FinalWin Prob.pScore
2227%103
106
773%111
122
ORTG#PossPace
DEN logo DEN
112.894107.8
DAL logo DAL
129.89483.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MavericksNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MavericksNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDENDAL
Q4 - 0:00.0DAL106
0%
122
100%
Q4 - 0:10.0DALBlair REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)106
0%
122
100%
Q4 - 0:11.0DENMISS Q. Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot106
0%
122
100%
Q4 - 0:17.0DALJames Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T16)106
0%
122
100%
Q4 - 0:18.0DALJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)106
0%
122
100%
Q4 - 0:18.0DALMISS Ellington 26' 3PT Jump Shot106
0%
122
100%
Q4 - 0:32.0DENQ. Miller 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Brooks 2 AST)106
0.1%
122
99.9%
Q4 - 0:46.0DENRandolph REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)103
0.1%
122
99.9%
Q4 - 0:47.0DALMISS Blair Free Throw 2 of 2103
0.1%
122
99.9%
Q4 - 0:47.0DALBlair Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)103
0.1%
122
99.9%
Q4 - 0:57.0DENLarkin STEAL (1 STL)103
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 1:17DALMarion 15' Running Bank Shot (14 PTS)103
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 1:38DALJump Ball Carter vs. Lawson: Tip to Harris103
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 1:46DALEllis 26' 3PT Jump Shot (26 PTS)103
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 2:05DALEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)103
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 2:07DENCarter BLOCK (1 BLK)103
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 2:22DALEllis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Wright 3 AST)103
0.2%
116
99.8%
Q4 - 2:38DALMarion REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)103
0.4%
113
99.6%
Q4 - 2:39DENMISS Lawson 25' 3PT Jump Shot103
0.5%
113
99.5%
Q4 - 2:49DALEllis 15' Step Back Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Wright 2 AST)103
0.7%
113
99.3%
Q4 - 3:08DENLawson 1' Running Layup (17 PTS)103
1.3%
111
98.7%
Q4 - 3:21DALWright 1' Dunk (13 PTS) (Ellis 7 AST)101
0.9%
111
99.1%
Q4 - 3:40DENLawson 1' Driving Layup (15 PTS)101
2.2%
109
97.8%
Q4 - 3:59DALMarion 2' Slam Dunk (12 PTS) (Wright 1 AST)99
1.5%
109
98.5%
Q4 - 4:22DALMarion REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)99
2.1%
107
97.9%
Q4 - 4:23DENMISS Fournier 24' 3PT Jump Shot99
2.3%
107
97.7%
Q4 - 4:30DALWright 1' Layup (11 PTS) (Marion 3 AST)99
3.1%
107
96.9%
Q4 - 4:53DENFournier 1' Running Layup (7 PTS) (Brooks 1 AST)99
4.2%
105
95.8%
Q4 - 5:10DALEllis 1' Running Finger Roll Layup (18 PTS) (Marion 2 AST)97
4.1%
105
95.9%
Q4 - 5:15DENHarris STEAL (1 STL)97
5.5%
103
94.5%
Q4 - 5:29DALNowitzki 11' Step Back Jump Shot (21 PTS)97
7.7%
103
92.3%
Q4 - 5:48DALMarion REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)97
10.2%
101
89.8%
Q4 - 5:50DENMISS Lawson Free Throw 2 of 297
10.6%
101
89.4%
Q4 - 5:50DENLawson Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)97
13.1%
101
86.9%
Q4 - 6:05DALNowitzki 12' Step Back Jump Shot (19 PTS)96
11.6%
101
88.4%
Q4 - 6:29DENArthur Running Slam Dunk (11 PTS) (Lawson 9 AST)96
14.5%
99
85.5%
Q4 - 6:46DALEllis Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T15)94
11.5%
99
88.5%
Q4 - 7:05DENArthur 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Lawson 8 AST)94
9.4%
99
90.6%
Q4 - 7:18DALEllis 19' Jump Shot (16 PTS)91
5.7%
99
94.3%
Q4 - 7:34DENFournier 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Lawson 7 AST)91
7.2%
97
92.8%
Q4 - 7:44DENChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)88
4.4%
97
95.6%
Q4 - 7:45DALMISS Carter 7' Jump Shot88
4.0%
97
96.0%
Q4 - 8:05DENCarter STEAL (1 STL)88
4.0%
97
96.0%
Q4 - 8:16DALCalderon Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T14)88
5.1%
97
94.9%
Q4 - 8:32DENBrooks 12' Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS)88
4.0%
97
96.0%
Q4 - 8:46DALEllis 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (14 PTS)86
3.1%
97
96.9%
Q4 - 9:02DALDalembert REBOUND (Off:7 Def:3)86
4.6%
95
95.4%
Q4 - 9:03DALMISS Marion 10' Running Jump Shot86
5.4%
95
94.6%
Q4 - 9:19DENHickson 1' Layup (18 PTS)86
4.6%
95
95.4%
Q4 - 9:27DENHickson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)84
3.6%
95
96.4%
Q4 - 9:31DALMISS Wright 9' Running Jump Shot84
3.4%
95
96.6%
Q4 - 9:45DENArthur Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)84
2.9%
95
97.1%
Q4 - 9:45DENArthur Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)83
2.8%
95
97.2%
Q4 - 9:51DENHickson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)82
2.3%
95
97.7%
Q4 - 9:54DALMISS Carter 11' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot82
2.1%
95
97.9%
Q4 - 10:23DALCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)82
2.1%
95
97.9%
Q4 - 10:24DENMISS Brooks 24' 3PT Jump Shot82
2.2%
95
97.8%
Q4 - 10:29DALCrowder Foul Turnover (P2.T13)82
2.6%
95
97.4%
Q4 - 10:43DENHickson 1' Driving Layup (16 PTS) (Arthur 2 AST)82
2.1%
95
97.9%
Q4 - 11:00DALNowitzki 18' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Calderon 6 AST)80
1.7%
95
98.3%
Q4 - 11:12DALCrowder REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)80
2.4%
93
97.6%
Q4 - 11:13DENMISS Randolph 24' 3PT Jump Shot80
2.6%
93
97.4%
Q4 - 11:26DALCalderon 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Carter 4 AST)80
3.0%
93
97.0%
Q4 - 11:43DENBrooks 1' Putback Layup (4 PTS)80
4.5%
90
95.5%
Q4 - 11:46DENBrooks REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)78
3.7%
90
96.3%
Q4 - 11:46DENMISS Fournier 24' 3PT Jump Shot78
3.2%
90
96.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0DAL78
3.7%
90
96.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)78
3.0%
90
97.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0DENMISS Brooks 25' 3PT Jump Shot78
3.2%
90
96.8%
Q3 - 0:13.0DENRandolph REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)78
4.0%
90
96.0%
Q3 - 0:15.0DALMISS Nowitzki 13' Step Back Jump Shot78
3.8%
90
96.2%
Q3 - 0:35.0DENRandolph 1' Running Slam Dunk (10 PTS) (Fournier 1 AST)78
3.3%
90
96.7%
Q3 - 0:38.0DALHarris Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T12)76
2.7%
90
97.3%
Q3 - 0:49.0DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)76
2.2%
90
97.8%
Q3 - 0:51.0DENMISS Fournier 19' Pullup Jump Shot76
2.4%
90
97.6%
Q3 - 1:11DALCarter 26' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Nowitzki 1 AST)76
3.0%
90
97.0%
Q3 - 1:46DENFournier Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)76
4.4%
87
95.6%
Q3 - 1:46DENFournier Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)75
4.2%
87
95.8%
Q3 - 1:51DENFournier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)74
3.6%
87
96.4%
Q3 - 1:52DALMISS Carter 24' 3PT Jump Shot74
3.4%
87
96.6%
Q3 - 2:05DENHickson Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)74
3.3%
87
96.7%
Q3 - 2:05DENHickson Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)73
3.1%
87
96.9%
Q3 - 2:07DENHickson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)72
2.8%
87
97.2%
Q3 - 2:08DENMISS Randolph 16' Jump Shot72
2.4%
87
97.6%
Q3 - 2:25DALWright 1' Alley Oop Layup (9 PTS) (Harris 3 AST)72
2.7%
87
97.3%
Q3 - 2:41DALBlair REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)72
3.3%
85
96.7%
Q3 - 2:42DALMISS Marion 26' 3PT Jump Shot72
3.7%
85
96.3%
Q3 - 2:58DENArthur 1' Putback Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Foye 1 AST)72
3.2%
85
96.8%
Q3 - 3:19DALHarris Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T11)70
3.0%
85
97.0%
Q3 - 3:25DENEllis STEAL (1 STL)70
2.5%
85
97.5%
Q3 - 3:38DENRandolph REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)70
3.0%
85
97.0%
Q3 - 3:39DALMISS Marion 2' Layup70
2.8%
85
97.2%
Q3 - 3:58DENHickson 2' Putback Slam Dunk (12 PTS)70
2.5%
85
97.5%
Q3 - 4:00DENHickson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)68
2.1%
85
97.9%
Q3 - 4:00DENMISS Hickson 3' Layup68
1.9%
85
98.1%
Q3 - 4:20DALCarter 21' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Ellis 6 AST)68
2.4%
85
97.6%
Q3 - 4:34DALMarion REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)68
2.7%
83
97.3%
Q3 - 4:35DENMISS Hickson Free Throw 2 of 268
2.8%
83
97.2%
Q3 - 4:35DENMISS Hickson Free Throw 1 of 268
3.0%
83
97.0%
Q3 - 4:45DENHickson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)68
3.3%
83
96.7%
Q3 - 4:45DALMISS Calderon 17' Jump Shot68
3.1%
83
96.9%
Q3 - 4:59DENHickson Layup (10 PTS) (Lawson 6 AST)68
2.7%
83
97.3%
Q3 - 5:10DALMarion REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)66
2.5%
83
97.5%
Q3 - 5:10DALMarion Putback Layup (10 PTS)66
2.5%
83
97.5%
Q3 - 5:12DALMISS Carter 5' Driving Jump Shot66
3.3%
81
96.7%
Q3 - 5:26DALEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)66
2.9%
81
97.1%
Q3 - 5:27DENMISS Hickson Free Throw 2 of 266
3.0%
81
97.0%
Q3 - 5:27DENMISS Hickson Free Throw 1 of 266
3.2%
81
96.8%
Q3 - 5:37DALMarion 1' Running Layup (8 PTS) (Carter 3 AST)66
3.5%
81
96.5%
Q3 - 5:51DENLawson Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T11)66
4.0%
79
96.0%
Q3 - 6:02DALMarion 14' Floating Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Calderon 5 AST)66
5.1%
79
94.9%
Q3 - 6:11DALDalembert REBOUND (Off:6 Def:3)66
5.8%
77
94.2%
Q3 - 6:12DENMISS Lawson 13' Fadeaway Jumper66
6.1%
77
93.9%
Q3 - 6:25DALCalderon 7' Pullup Jump Shot (7 PTS)66
6.8%
77
93.2%
Q3 - 6:35DENLawson Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)66
7.8%
75
92.2%
Q3 - 6:42DALEllis 1' Layup (12 PTS)63
5.9%
75
94.1%
Q3 - 6:51DALMAVERICKS Rebound63
6.7%
73
93.3%
Q3 - 6:54DENMISS Lawson 1' Driving Layup63
7.1%
73
92.9%
Q3 - 7:02DALEllis Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)63
8.1%
73
91.9%
Q3 - 7:15DALMAVERICKS Rebound63
10.6%
70
89.4%
Q3 - 7:16DENDalembert BLOCK (1 BLK)63
11.1%
70
88.9%
Q3 - 7:26DALEllis 1' Driving Layup (7 PTS)63
12.3%
70
87.7%
Q3 - 7:47DENChandler Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T10)63
13.9%
68
86.1%
Q3 - 7:52DALEllis Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T10)63
16.0%
68
84.0%
Q3 - 8:17DENFoye 26' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Lawson 5 AST)63
13.9%
68
86.1%
Q3 - 8:34DALCalderon 15' Jump Shot (5 PTS)60
10.9%
68
89.1%
Q3 - 8:50DENMozgov Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)60
12.2%
66
87.8%
Q3 - 8:50DENMozgov Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)59
11.9%
66
88.1%
Q3 - 8:50DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)58
10.9%
66
89.1%
Q3 - 8:52DENMISS Faried 10' Hook Shot58
9.8%
66
90.2%
Q3 - 9:09DENFaried REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)58
10.9%
66
89.1%
Q3 - 9:10DALMISS Ellis 26' 3PT Jump Shot58
10.4%
66
89.6%
Q3 - 9:34DALDalembert REBOUND (Off:6 Def:2)58
9.5%
66
90.5%
Q3 - 9:35DALMISS Ellis 2' Driving Layup58
10.4%
66
89.6%
Q3 - 9:49DALCalderon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)58
9.5%
66
90.5%
Q3 - 9:49DENMISS Chandler 24' 3PT Jump Shot58
9.9%
66
90.1%
Q3 - 10:03DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)58
10.8%
66
89.2%
Q3 - 10:03DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)58
11.0%
65
89.0%
Q3 - 10:21DALMISS Nowitzki Free Throw Technical58
12.3%
64
87.7%
Q3 - 10:22DENChandler 3' Driving Layup (6 PTS)58
12.3%
64
87.7%
Q3 - 10:27DALEllis Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T9)56
10.8%
64
89.2%
Q3 - 10:45DENFoye 27' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Lawson 4 AST)56
9.5%
64
90.5%
Q3 - 10:56DALDalembert Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P3.T8)53
7.3%
64
92.7%
Q3 - 11:17DALCalderon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)53
6.6%
64
93.4%
Q3 - 11:18DENMISS Foye 9' Jump Shot53
6.9%
64
93.1%
Q3 - 11:42DALNowitzki 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Ellis 5 AST)53
7.6%
64
92.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0DAL53
9.7%
61
90.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0DALMAVERICKS Rebound53
9.7%
61
90.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0DALMISS Calderon 3' Driving Layup53
10.6%
61
89.4%
Q2 - 0:02.0DALCalderon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)53
10.3%
61
89.7%
Q2 - 0:03.0DENMISS Randolph 3PT Jump Shot53
10.6%
61
89.4%
Q2 - 0:25.0DENRandolph REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)53
11.2%
61
88.8%
Q2 - 0:27.0DALMISS Wright 1' Layup53
10.9%
61
89.1%
Q2 - 0:28.0DALWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)53
10.2%
61
89.8%
Q2 - 0:30.0DALMISS Wright 4' Jump Shot53
10.9%
61
89.1%
Q2 - 0:51.0DENRandolph 1' Driving Layup (8 PTS)53
10.2%
61
89.8%
Q2 - 1:00DALNowitzki 10' Step Back Jump Shot (10 PTS)51
8.8%
61
91.2%
Q2 - 1:22DALWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)51
10.6%
59
89.4%
Q2 - 1:22DENMISS Lawson 24' 3PT Jump Shot51
10.9%
59
89.1%
Q2 - 1:31DALEllis Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)51
11.4%
59
88.6%
Q2 - 1:41DALEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)51
10.6%
59
89.4%
Q2 - 1:42DENMISS Arthur 20' Jump Shot51
10.8%
59
89.2%
Q2 - 1:48DENLawson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)51
11.4%
59
88.6%
Q2 - 1:50DALMISS Carter 3' Layup51
11.2%
59
88.8%
Q2 - 2:01DALCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)51
10.6%
59
89.4%
Q2 - 2:03DENMISS Chandler 7' Turnaround Jump Shot51
10.9%
59
89.1%
Q2 - 2:12DENChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)51
11.8%
59
88.2%
Q2 - 2:14DALDalembert REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)51
10.6%
59
89.4%
Q2 - 2:14DALMISS Dalembert 2' Putback Layup51
11.4%
59
88.6%
Q2 - 2:17DALMISS Harris 2' Layup51
11.4%
59
88.6%
Q2 - 2:22DENDalembert STEAL (1 STL)51
10.6%
59
89.4%
Q2 - 2:34DALDalembert Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)51
11.8%
59
88.2%
Q2 - 2:34DALDalembert Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)51
12.1%
58
87.9%
Q2 - 2:34DALDalembert REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)51
13.2%
57
86.8%
Q2 - 2:34DALMISS Carter 24' 3PT Jump Shot51
14.2%
57
85.8%
Q2 - 2:58DENFaried Foul Turnover (P1.T8)51
13.2%
57
86.8%
Q2 - 3:01DENChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)51
14.8%
57
85.2%
Q2 - 3:03DALMISS Nowitzki 16' Jump Shot51
14.3%
57
85.7%
Q2 - 3:22DENFaried 7' Turnaround Hook Shot (6 PTS)51
13.1%
57
86.9%
Q2 - 3:34DALNowitzki 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Harris 2 AST)49
12.0%
57
88.0%
Q2 - 3:50DENFoye 27' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Chandler 5 AST)49
13.1%
55
86.9%
Q2 - 3:58DENChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)46
10.8%
55
89.2%
Q2 - 3:59DALMISS Nowitzki 14' Jump Shot46
10.4%
55
89.6%
Q2 - 4:21DENMozgov Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)46
9.8%
55
90.2%
Q2 - 4:36DALWright 2' Running Slam Dunk (7 PTS) (Carter 2 AST)43
8.0%
55
92.0%
Q2 - 4:46DENFaried REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)43
8.8%
53
91.2%
Q2 - 4:46DENFaried Putback Slam Dunk (4 PTS)43
8.8%
53
91.2%
Q2 - 4:47DENMISS Lawson Driving Layup41
7.4%
53
92.6%
Q2 - 4:59DENFoye REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)41
7.9%
53
92.1%
Q2 - 5:00DALMISS Calderon 24' 3PT Jump Shot41
7.7%
53
92.3%
Q2 - 5:13DENLawson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Chandler 3 AST)41
7.3%
53
92.7%
Q2 - 5:18DENFoye REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)38
5.9%
53
94.1%
Q2 - 5:19DENWright BLOCK (1 BLK)38
5.5%
53
94.5%
Q2 - 5:32DALWright Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)38
5.9%
53
94.1%
Q2 - 5:45DALCrowder REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)38
7.3%
50
92.7%
Q2 - 5:46DENMISS Hickson Free Throw 1 of 138
7.4%
50
92.6%
Q2 - 6:13DALCrowder 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Ellis 4 AST)36
6.9%
50
93.1%
Q2 - 6:34DALCrowder REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)36
8.3%
47
91.7%
Q2 - 6:36DENMISS Faried 7' Jump Bank Shot36
8.6%
47
91.4%
Q2 - 6:57DALCrowder 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Calderon 4 AST)36
9.3%
47
90.7%
Q2 - 7:08DALEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
11.3%
44
88.7%
Q2 - 7:09DENMISS Hickson Free Throw 2 of 236
11.5%
44
88.5%
Q2 - 7:09DENMISS Hickson Free Throw 1 of 236
12.1%
44
87.9%
Q2 - 7:19DALCrowder 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Calderon 3 AST)36
12.6%
44
87.4%
Q2 - 7:43DENHickson 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Lawson 2 AST)36
15.0%
41
85.0%
Q2 - 7:55DALWright Running Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Ellis 3 AST)34
13.8%
41
86.2%
Q2 - 8:16DENArthur 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS)34
15.1%
39
84.9%
Q2 - 8:26DALNowitzki Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)32
13.8%
39
86.2%
Q2 - 8:33DALHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
12.6%
39
87.4%
Q2 - 8:34DENHickson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)32
13.8%
39
86.2%
Q2 - 8:34DENMISS Hickson 1' Layup32
13.0%
39
87.0%
Q2 - 8:36DENMISS Hickson 15' Jump Shot32
13.0%
39
87.0%
Q2 - 8:56DALHarris Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)32
13.8%
39
86.2%
Q2 - 8:56DALHarris Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)32
14.1%
38
85.9%
Q2 - 9:02DENCrowder STEAL (1 STL)32
15.0%
37
85.0%
Q2 - 9:04DENArthur REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)32
16.4%
37
83.6%
Q2 - 9:05DENMISS Hickson 10' Jump Shot32
15.4%
37
84.6%
Q2 - 9:18DALCrowder Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)32
16.4%
37
83.6%
Q2 - 9:28DENBrooks Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)32
15.0%
37
85.0%
Q2 - 9:37DALCalderon 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Harris 1 AST)32
16.4%
37
83.6%
Q2 - 9:53DALWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
19.3%
34
80.7%
Q2 - 9:54DENMISS Brooks 24' 3PT Jump Shot32
19.8%
34
80.2%
Q2 - 10:04DALNowitzki 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS)32
21.2%
34
78.8%
Q2 - 10:24DENRandolph 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Arthur 1 AST)32
22.6%
32
77.4%
Q2 - 10:38DENRandolph REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
19.5%
32
80.5%
Q2 - 10:39DALMISS Harris 7' Jump Shot29
19.0%
32
81.0%
Q2 - 10:49DALCrowder REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)29
17.8%
32
82.2%
Q2 - 10:50DALMISS Nowitzki 28' 3PT Jump Shot29
19.0%
32
81.0%
Q2 - 11:00DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)29
17.8%
32
82.2%
Q2 - 11:02DENMISS Fournier 3PT Jump Shot29
18.5%
32
81.5%
Q2 - 11:10DALCrowder 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Carter 1 AST)29
19.5%
32
80.5%
Q2 - 11:21DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)29
22.7%
29
77.3%
Q2 - 11:23DENMISS Brooks 23' Step Back Jump Shot29
23.2%
29
76.8%
Q2 - 11:38DALCarter 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS)29
24.5%
29
75.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0DAL29
28.1%
26
71.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0DALMAVERICKS Rebound29
28.1%
26
71.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0DALMISS Blair 6' Jump Shot29
29.6%
26
70.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0DALBlair REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)29
28.1%
26
71.9%
Q1 - 0:01.0DALMISS Harris 21' Jump Shot29
29.2%
26
70.8%
Q1 - 0:10.0DENBrooks 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS)29
28.2%
26
71.8%
Q1 - 0:30.0DENArthur REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
25.9%
26
74.1%
Q1 - 0:31.0DALMISS Harris 24' 3PT Jump Shot27
25.5%
26
74.5%
Q1 - 0:41.0DENHickson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)27
24.6%
26
75.4%
Q1 - 0:56.0DALHarris Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)27
25.9%
26
74.1%
Q1 - 1:15DENRandolph 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Lawson 1 AST)27
29.8%
23
70.2%
Q1 - 1:28DALHarris Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)24
25.7%
23
74.3%
Q1 - 1:38DENHickson 6' Floating Jump Shot (4 PTS)24
24.4%
23
75.6%
Q1 - 2:00DALCarter 17' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Crowder 1 AST)22
22.3%
23
77.7%
Q1 - 2:15DALCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
24.2%
21
75.8%
Q1 - 2:16DENMISS Arthur 25' 3PT Jump Shot22
24.7%
21
75.3%
Q1 - 2:29DALHarris Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)22
25.8%
21
74.2%
Q1 - 2:29DALHarris Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)22
26.1%
20
73.9%
Q1 - 2:45DALBlair REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)22
27.7%
19
72.3%
Q1 - 2:48DALMISS Marion 3' Layup22
28.9%
19
71.1%
Q1 - 2:52DENMarion STEAL (2 STL)22
27.7%
19
72.3%
Q1 - 3:06DENRandolph REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
29.1%
19
70.9%
Q1 - 3:09DALMISS Blair 6' Running Jump Shot22
28.5%
19
71.5%
Q1 - 3:26DENHickson 11' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS) (Chandler 2 AST)22
27.2%
19
72.8%
Q1 - 3:43DALMarion 6' Jump Shot (4 PTS)20
25.6%
19
74.4%
Q1 - 3:45DALMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)20
27.2%
17
72.8%
Q1 - 3:46DALMISS Ellis 25' 3PT Jump Shot20
28.6%
17
71.4%
Q1 - 3:52DALHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
27.2%
17
72.8%
Q1 - 3:53DENMISS Foye 25' 3PT Jump Shot20
27.8%
17
72.2%
Q1 - 4:08DENFaried REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)20
28.6%
17
71.4%
Q1 - 4:10DALMISS Blair 12' Floating Jump Shot20
28.0%
17
72.0%
Q1 - 4:33DENChandler Layup (4 PTS) (Faried 3 AST)20
26.6%
17
73.4%
Q1 - 4:59DALCarter 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Marion 1 AST)18
25.2%
17
74.8%
Q1 - 5:14DENMarion STEAL (1 STL)18
28.0%
14
72.0%
Q1 - 5:28DALEllis 2' Running Finger Roll Layup (5 PTS)18
29.8%
14
70.2%
Q1 - 5:33DALCalderon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
31.4%
12
68.6%
Q1 - 5:34DENMISS Chandler 25' 3PT Jump Shot18
32.0%
12
68.0%
Q1 - 5:40DENHickson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
33.4%
12
66.6%
Q1 - 5:43DALMISS Carter 7' Jump Shot18
32.8%
12
67.2%
Q1 - 6:05DENFaried Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)18
30.5%
12
69.5%
Q1 - 6:05DENFaried Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)17
30.0%
12
70.0%
Q1 - 6:08DALEllis Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)16
29.0%
12
71.0%
Q1 - 6:15DENNowitzki STEAL (2 STL)16
27.3%
12
72.7%
Q1 - 6:20DENHickson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
29.1%
12
70.9%
Q1 - 6:21DALMISS Blair Free Throw 2 of 216
28.8%
12
71.2%
Q1 - 6:21DALBlair Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)16
28.0%
12
72.0%
Q1 - 6:36DENLawson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Faried 2 AST)16
28.9%
11
71.1%
Q1 - 6:42DENFaried REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)13
26.0%
11
74.0%
Q1 - 6:43DALMISS Nowitzki 13' Jump Shot13
25.5%
11
74.5%
Q1 - 6:58DALMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
24.4%
11
75.6%
Q1 - 6:59DENMISS Foye 26' 3PT Jump Shot13
24.8%
11
75.2%
Q1 - 7:09DENFoye REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
25.5%
11
74.5%
Q1 - 7:10DALMISS Calderon 25' 3PT Jump Shot13
25.0%
11
75.0%
Q1 - 7:24DENFoye 27' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Chandler 1 AST)13
23.9%
11
76.1%
Q1 - 7:29DENFaried REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)10
21.5%
11
78.5%
Q1 - 7:31DENMISS Lawson 19' Step Back Jump Shot10
20.5%
11
79.5%
Q1 - 7:45DALNowitzki 1' Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Calderon 2 AST)10
21.5%
11
78.5%
Q1 - 7:55DALDalembert REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)10
22.6%
9
77.4%
Q1 - 7:56DENMISS Faried 1' Layup10
23.0%
9
77.0%
Q1 - 8:19DALNowitzki 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Ellis 2 AST)10
23.8%
9
76.2%
Q1 - 8:37DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)10
25.1%
7
74.9%
Q1 - 8:37DENMozgov 1' Putback Dunk (2 PTS)10
25.1%
7
74.9%
Q1 - 8:39DENMISS Faried 1' Layup8
22.8%
7
77.2%
Q1 - 8:45DALDalembert Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)8
23.8%
7
76.2%
Q1 - 9:03DENLawson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)8
22.2%
7
77.8%
Q1 - 9:14DALMarion 1' Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Ellis 1 AST)5
20.0%
7
80.0%
Q1 - 9:21DALMAVERICKS Rebound5
21.0%
5
79.0%
Q1 - 9:22DALMISS Calderon 15' Pullup Jump Shot5
22.0%
5
78.0%
Q1 - 9:33DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)5
21.0%
5
79.0%
Q1 - 9:34DENMISS Foye 1' Driving Layup5
21.4%
5
78.6%
Q1 - 9:42DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)5
22.4%
5
77.6%
Q1 - 9:43DALDalembert REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)5
21.0%
5
79.0%
Q1 - 9:43DALMISS Dalembert 2' Tip Shot5
22.0%
5
78.0%
Q1 - 9:46DALMISS Nowitzki 12' Step Back Jump Shot5
22.0%
5
78.0%
Q1 - 10:06DENFoye 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Faried 1 AST)5
21.0%
5
79.0%
Q1 - 10:14DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
18.9%
5
81.1%
Q1 - 10:15DALMISS Dalembert 2' Layup2
18.6%
5
81.4%
Q1 - 10:28DENNowitzki STEAL (1 STL)2
17.8%
5
82.2%
Q1 - 10:40DALEllis Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)2
18.9%
5
81.1%
Q1 - 10:47DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
21.0%
2
79.0%
Q1 - 10:49DENMISS Mozgov 9' Hook Shot2
21.4%
2
78.6%
Q1 - 11:03DALDalembert 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Calderon 1 AST)2
21.8%
2
78.2%
Q1 - 11:18DENChandler 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Mozgov 1 AST)2
23.2%
0
76.8%
Q1 - 11:24DENNuggets Rebound0
21.9%
0
78.1%
Q1 - 11:25DENNowitzki BLOCK (1 BLK)0
21.2%
0
78.8%
Q1 - 11:33DALDalembert Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)0
21.9%
0
78.1%
Q1 - 11:34DALDalembert REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)0
20.9%
0
79.1%
Q1 - 11:35DALMISS Dalembert 2' Layup0
21.6%
0
78.4%
Q1 - 11:38DALDalembert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)0
20.9%
0
79.1%
Q1 - 11:39DALMISS Dalembert 1' Layup0
21.6%
0
78.4%
Q1 - 11:51DALDalembert REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
20.9%
0
79.1%
Q1 - 11:53DENCalderon BLOCK (1 BLK)0
21.2%
0
78.8%
Q1 - 12:00DALJump Ball Dalembert vs. Mozgov: Tip to Faried0
21.9%
0
78.1%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.18 58.9%
DAL
1.23 61.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DEN
19
29
66%
DAL
18
32
56%
Midrange
DEN
8
22
36%
DAL
18
35
51%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DEN
13
19.5
30
43%
65%
DAL
12
18.0
22
55%
82%
Free Throws
DEN
13
21
62%
DAL
14
17
82%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Hickson1856%9.0 / 16
T. Lawson1765%8.5 / 13
R. Foye1575%7.5 / 10
D. Arthur1179%5.5 / 7
A. Randolph1071%5.0 / 7
T. Mozgov788%3.5 / 4
E. Fournier750%3.5 / 7
W. Chandler650%3.0 / 6
K. Faried627%3.0 / 11
A. Brooks643%3.0 / 7
Q. Miller375%1.5 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Ellis2693%13.0 / 14
D. Nowitzki2166%10.5 / 16
S. Marion1464%7.0 / 11
V. Carter1354%6.5 / 12
B. Wright1372%6.5 / 9
J. Crowder12150%6.0 / 4
J. Calderon1056%5.0 / 9
D. Harris750%3.5 / 7
S. Dalembert429%2.0 / 7
D. Blair225%1.0 / 4
W. Ellington0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DEN
78
+11
-16
89
DAL
78
+18
-16
96
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.18 58.9%
DAL
1.23 61.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.3
110.7
DEN 112.8
DAL 129.8 +17.0
Pace
97.8
94.1
DEN 107.8 +24.4
DAL 83.3
Avg. Poss. Time
14.2
15.7
DEN 13.4 +3.9
DAL 17.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.7%
52.6%
DEN 57.4%
DAL 60.7% +3.3%
TO %
15.7%
13.9%
DEN 15.1%
DAL 14.2% +0.9%
ORB %
27.5%
24.7%
DEN 23.3%
DAL 37.5% +14.2%
FTrt
30.6
25.3
DEN 25.9 +6.8
DAL 19.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.4%
59.6%
DEN 60.0% +1.7%
DAL 58.3%
STL %
7.6%
9.1%
DEN 8.5%
DAL 11.7% +3.2%
BLK %
8.6%
7.4%
DEN 6.0%
DAL 9.8% +3.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.2%
55.0%
DEN 58.9%
DAL 61.6% +2.7%
Rim FG%
57.6%
60.9%
DEN 65.5% +9.2%
DAL 56.3%
Mid FG%
36.2%
42.4%
DEN 36.4%
DAL 51.4% +15.0%
3P %
35.8%
38.4%
DEN 43.3%
DAL 54.5% +11.2%
FT %
72.6%
79.5%
DEN 61.9%
DAL 82.4% +20.5%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
40.2%
32.8%
DEN 35.8%
DAL 36.0% +0.2%
Mid Att. %
32.0%
39.9%
DEN 27.2% +12.2%
DAL 39.3%
3P Att. %
27.8%
27.4%
DEN 37.0% +12.3%
DAL 24.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsDENDAL
Possessions9494
Possession Minutes20.927.1
Points106122
Rebounds3548
Assists2428
Steals811
Blocks45
Turnovers (Team)16 (0)16 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (1)15 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)25 (0)33 (2)
Field Goals40-8148-89
At-the-Rim FG19-2918-32
Midrange FG8-2218-35
2-Point FG27-5136-67
3-Point FG13-3012-22
Free Throws13-2114-17
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 5'11" 195 · 26
38.3
17
65%
1
9
0
0
7
1
0
1
2-3
67%
3-7
43%
3-5
60%
F · 6'9" 225 · 27
31.1
6
50%
4
5
1
0
1
2
0
4
0-0
-
3-4
75%
0-2
0%
G · 6'4" 218 · 30
27.6
15
75%
3
1
1
0
1
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-2
0%
5-8
63%
F · 6'8" 228 · 24
21.3
6
27%
5
3
3
1
1
2
2
3
2-2
100%
2-10
20%
0-0
-
C · 7'1" 275 · 28
13.6
7
88%
4
1
0
1
0
4
2
2
3-3
100%
2-3
67%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 235 · 26
27.8
11
79%
2
2
0
1
2
1
1
1
2-2
100%
3-4
75%
1-2
50%
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 26
23.7
18
56%
8
0
2
0
2
2
3
5
2-9
22%
8-12
67%
0-0
-
G · 6'0" 161 · 29
21.1
6
43%
1
2
0
0
1
1
1
0
0-0
-
3-4
75%
0-3
0%
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 21
18.3
7
50%
1
1
1
1
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
1-2
50%
1-4
25%
· 6'10" 225 · 25
16.1
10
71%
6
0
0
0
0
3
0
6
0-0
-
2-3
67%
2-4
50%
F · 6'9" 210 · 21
1.2
3
75%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-2
50%
F · 7'0" 242 · 24
G · 5'9" 180 · 30
#34 · C · 7'0" 270 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#8 · F · 6'10" 225 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
106
59%
35
24
8
4
16
0
10
25
13-21
62%
27-51
53%
13-30
43%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.