FinalWin Prob.pScore
835%93
86
365%98
91
ORTG#PossPace
MEM logo MEM
102.48482.2
MIA logo MIA
107.18586.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatGrizzliesQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatGrizzliesQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMEMMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA86
0%
91
100%
Q4 - 0:03.0MEMMISS Randolph 21' Jump Shot86
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 0:08.0MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)86
0.6%
91
99.4%
Q4 - 0:08.0MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 286
0.8%
90
99.2%
Q4 - 0:08.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)86
0.5%
90
99.5%
Q4 - 0:09.0MEMMISS Conley 25' 3PT Jump Shot86
0.8%
90
99.2%
Q4 - 0:14.0MIAAllen 1' Dunk (18 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)86
2.9%
90
97.1%
Q4 - 0:21.0MEMConley 2' Driving Layup (12 PTS)86
6.5%
88
93.5%
Q4 - 0:24.0MIAJames 21' Jump Shot (14 PTS)84
3.7%
88
96.3%
Q4 - 0:47.0MEMJames STEAL (2 STL)84
10.7%
86
89.3%
Q4 - 0:49.0MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:5 Def:9)84
21.4%
86
78.6%
Q4 - 0:51.0MEMMISS Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot84
14.0%
86
86.0%
Q4 - 1:04MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)84
22.8%
86
77.2%
Q4 - 1:04MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)84
25.2%
85
74.8%
Q4 - 1:10MEMJames STEAL (1 STL)84
34.2%
84
65.8%
Q4 - 1:32MIAWade 4' Jump Shot (12 PTS)84
49.8%
84
50.2%
Q4 - 1:33MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)84
60.8%
82
39.2%
Q4 - 1:35MIAMISS Bosh 2' Layup84
69.9%
82
30.1%
Q4 - 1:42MEMWade STEAL (2 STL)84
60.1%
82
39.9%
Q4 - 1:47MEMConley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)84
71.6%
82
28.4%
Q4 - 1:48MIAMISS Allen 24' 3PT Jump Shot84
68.1%
82
31.9%
Q4 - 2:05MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)84
59.2%
82
40.8%
Q4 - 2:06MEMMISS Randolph 2' Driving Layup84
63.4%
82
36.6%
Q4 - 2:22MIAJames 1' Driving Layup (12 PTS)84
72.6%
82
27.4%
Q4 - 2:31MIAHEAT Rebound84
79.0%
80
21.0%
Q4 - 2:32MIAMISS Allen 25' 3PT Jump Shot84
85.2%
80
14.8%
Q4 - 2:35MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)84
79.0%
80
21.0%
Q4 - 2:36MEMMISS Lee 24' 3PT Jump Shot84
81.9%
80
18.1%
Q4 - 3:01MEMGrizzlies Rebound84
84.7%
80
15.3%
Q4 - 3:02MEMMISS Lee 5' Hook Shot84
79.3%
80
20.7%
Q4 - 3:27MIAAllen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (James 7 AST)84
85.1%
80
14.9%
Q4 - 3:36MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)84
88.4%
77
11.6%
Q4 - 3:37MEMMISS Miller 16' Jump Shot84
89.7%
77
10.3%
Q4 - 3:59MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T15)84
92.5%
77
7.5%
Q4 - 4:08MEMLee 18' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Conley 6 AST)84
89.2%
77
10.8%
Q4 - 4:14MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)82
85.5%
77
14.5%
Q4 - 4:15MIAMISS Wade 8' Jump Shot82
83.8%
77
16.2%
Q4 - 4:33MEMConley 2' Layup (10 PTS) (Randolph 4 AST)82
79.7%
77
20.3%
Q4 - 4:45MEMPrince REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)80
73.6%
77
26.4%
Q4 - 4:46MEMMISS Conley 22' Jump Shot80
67.5%
77
32.5%
Q4 - 5:08MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)80
68.9%
77
31.1%
Q4 - 5:09MIAMISS Bosh 2' Layup80
66.5%
77
33.5%
Q4 - 5:24MIAHEAT Rebound80
60.8%
77
39.2%
Q4 - 5:24MEMMISS Lee 25' 3PT Jump Shot80
63.4%
77
36.6%
Q4 - 5:32MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)80
69.2%
77
30.8%
Q4 - 5:33MIAMISS Andersen 2' Tip Shot80
66.7%
77
33.3%
Q4 - 5:34MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)80
60.9%
77
39.1%
Q4 - 5:35MIAMISS Allen 14' Jump Shot80
66.8%
77
33.2%
Q4 - 5:37MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)80
60.9%
77
39.1%
Q4 - 5:40MIAMISS Bosh 24' 3PT Jump Shot80
66.8%
77
33.2%
Q4 - 5:58MEMRandolph 6' Fadeaway Jumper (25 PTS)80
61.0%
77
39.0%
Q4 - 6:18MIAAndersen Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)78
51.4%
77
48.6%
Q4 - 6:41MEMRandolph 5' Hook Shot (23 PTS)78
65.2%
74
34.8%
Q4 - 6:58MEMCalathes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)76
59.0%
74
41.0%
Q4 - 6:59MIAMISS Allen 26' 3PT Jump Shot76
56.4%
74
43.6%
Q4 - 7:18MEMKoufos 5' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Calathes 3 AST)76
49.2%
74
50.8%
Q4 - 7:38MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)74
43.0%
74
57.0%
Q4 - 7:39MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot74
40.7%
74
59.3%
Q4 - 7:52MEMMiller Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T14)74
35.6%
74
64.4%
Q4 - 8:07MIAWade 16' Fadeaway Jumper (10 PTS)74
42.0%
74
58.0%
Q4 - 8:16MEMAllen Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T13)74
48.5%
72
51.5%
Q4 - 8:34MIAWade 21' Jump Shot (8 PTS)74
54.9%
72
45.1%
Q4 - 8:58MEMKoufos 2' Putback Layup (6 PTS)74
61.3%
70
38.7%
Q4 - 8:59MEMKoufos REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)72
55.0%
70
45.0%
Q4 - 9:00MEMMISS Randolph 10' Fadeaway Jumper72
50.5%
70
49.5%
Q4 - 9:22MEMAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)72
53.4%
70
46.6%
Q4 - 9:23MIAMISS Allen 19' Turnaround Jump Shot72
51.6%
70
48.4%
Q4 - 9:34MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)72
47.5%
70
52.5%
Q4 - 9:35MEMMISS Allen Free Throw 1 of 172
48.3%
70
51.7%
Q4 - 9:45MEMCalathes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)70
41.5%
70
58.5%
Q4 - 9:46MIAMISS Cole 25' 3PT Jump Shot70
39.8%
70
60.2%
Q4 - 9:57MIAHEAT Rebound70
35.8%
70
64.2%
Q4 - 9:58MIAMISS Chalmers 5' Running Jump Shot70
39.8%
70
60.2%
Q4 - 10:09MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)70
35.4%
70
64.6%
Q4 - 10:10MEMMISS Calathes 2' Layup70
37.0%
70
63.0%
Q4 - 10:16MEMKoufos REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)70
40.8%
70
59.2%
Q4 - 10:17MIAMISS James 6' Hook Shot70
39.1%
70
60.9%
Q4 - 10:44MEMCalathes 4' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)70
35.4%
70
64.6%
Q4 - 10:57MIAJames 2' Jump Shot (10 PTS)68
30.5%
70
69.5%
Q4 - 11:11MEMCalathes Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T12)68
35.4%
68
64.6%
Q4 - 11:30MEMKoufos REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)68
40.5%
68
59.5%
Q4 - 11:31MIAMISS Andersen 4' Jump Shot68
38.9%
68
61.1%
Q4 - 11:32MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)68
35.4%
68
64.6%
Q4 - 11:33MIAMISS Cole 10' Running Jump Shot68
38.9%
68
61.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0MEM68
35.4%
68
64.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAAndersen 1' Putback Layup (2 PTS)68
40.5%
68
59.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)68
45.7%
66
54.3%
Q3 - 0:01.0MIAMISS James 2' Reverse Layup68
48.6%
66
51.4%
Q3 - 0:06.0MEMKoufos 5' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)68
45.2%
66
54.8%
Q3 - 0:26.0MIAAllen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (James 6 AST)66
40.1%
66
59.9%
Q3 - 0:44.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)66
50.4%
63
49.6%
Q3 - 0:45.0MEMMISS Allen Free Throw 2 of 266
51.1%
63
48.9%
Q3 - 0:45.0MEMAllen Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)66
54.3%
63
45.7%
Q3 - 0:47.0MEMJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)65
50.2%
63
49.8%
Q3 - 0:48.0MEMMISS Allen 5' Jump Shot65
46.8%
63
53.2%
Q3 - 1:11MIAChalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (James 5 AST)65
49.2%
63
50.8%
Q3 - 1:19MEMConley Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)65
59.0%
60
41.0%
Q3 - 1:19MEMMISS Conley Free Throw 1 of 264
58.3%
60
41.7%
Q3 - 1:33MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)64
58.9%
60
41.1%
Q3 - 1:33MIAMISS Chalmers Free Throw 1 of 264
59.9%
59
40.1%
Q3 - 1:41MEMGrizzlies Turnover: Shot Clock (T#11)64
59.1%
59
40.9%
Q3 - 1:41MEMGrizzlies Rebound64
63.6%
59
36.4%
Q3 - 1:42MEMMISS Conley 19' Jump Shot64
60.5%
59
39.5%
Q3 - 2:08MIACole 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Allen 4 AST)64
61.7%
59
38.3%
Q3 - 2:23MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)64
70.0%
56
30.0%
Q3 - 2:26MEMMISS Randolph 3' Jump Bank Shot64
71.2%
56
28.8%
Q3 - 2:27MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)64
73.9%
56
26.1%
Q3 - 2:28MEMAndersen BLOCK (1 BLK)64
71.2%
56
28.8%
Q3 - 2:40MIAChalmers 2' Driving Layup (10 PTS)64
74.0%
56
26.0%
Q3 - 3:02MIAHEAT Rebound64
75.5%
54
24.5%
Q3 - 3:02MEMMISS Conley 4' Floating Jump Shot64
76.6%
54
23.4%
Q3 - 3:18MEMKoufos REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)64
79.0%
54
21.0%
Q3 - 3:19MIAMISS Bosh 18' Jump Shot64
78.0%
54
22.0%
Q3 - 3:29MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)64
75.6%
54
24.4%
Q3 - 3:30MEMMISS Conley 25' 3PT Jump Shot64
76.7%
54
23.3%
Q3 - 4:02MIAWade 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)64
77.8%
54
22.2%
Q3 - 4:15MEMRandolph 5' Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Conley 5 AST)64
80.0%
52
20.0%
Q3 - 4:35MEMKoufos REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)62
77.9%
52
22.1%
Q3 - 4:36MEMMISS Lee 25' 3PT Jump Shot62
75.2%
52
24.8%
Q3 - 4:55MIAAndersen Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T14)62
77.9%
52
22.1%
Q3 - 5:13MEMConley Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)62
72.7%
52
27.3%
Q3 - 5:17MIABosh Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T13)59
66.2%
52
33.8%
Q3 - 5:35MEMLee 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Randolph 3 AST)59
61.8%
52
38.2%
Q3 - 5:48MEMConley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)56
54.4%
52
45.6%
Q3 - 5:49MIAMISS Bosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot56
53.0%
52
47.0%
Q3 - 5:57MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)56
49.6%
52
50.4%
Q3 - 5:58MEMBosh BLOCK (1 BLK)56
51.1%
52
48.9%
Q3 - 6:16MIABosh Foul Turnover (P3.T12)56
53.1%
52
46.9%
Q3 - 6:28MEMRandolph 15' Fadeaway Jumper (19 PTS)56
48.7%
52
51.3%
Q3 - 6:53MIAOden Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)54
45.2%
52
54.8%
Q3 - 7:15MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)54
51.7%
49
48.3%
Q3 - 7:16MEMMISS Conley 1' Driving Layup54
53.0%
49
47.0%
Q3 - 7:45MIAJames 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS)54
55.9%
49
44.1%
Q3 - 7:47MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)54
59.3%
47
40.7%
Q3 - 7:48MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot54
62.1%
47
37.9%
Q3 - 8:10MEMRandolph 1' Layup (17 PTS) (Gasol 1 AST)54
58.4%
47
41.6%
Q3 - 8:20MEMPrince REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)52
55.3%
47
44.7%
Q3 - 8:21MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot52
53.9%
47
46.1%
Q3 - 8:36MEMRandolph 1' Tip Shot (15 PTS)52
51.0%
47
49.0%
Q3 - 8:37MEMPrince REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)50
47.7%
47
52.3%
Q3 - 8:38MEMMISS Gasol 9' Jump Shot50
44.8%
47
55.2%
Q3 - 8:52MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)50
47.7%
47
52.3%
Q3 - 8:53MEMMISS Lee 26' 3PT Jump Shot50
44.8%
47
55.2%
Q3 - 9:13MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)50
46.7%
47
53.3%
Q3 - 9:14MIAMISS James 19' Jump Shot50
45.6%
47
54.4%
Q3 - 9:35MEMGasol 11' Turnaround Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Conley 4 AST)50
43.0%
47
57.0%
Q3 - 9:45MIAWade Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T11)48
39.6%
47
60.4%
Q3 - 9:57MIAJump Ball Oden vs. Randolph: Tip to Wade48
36.0%
47
64.0%
Q3 - 9:57MEMOden BLOCK (2 BLK)48
37.1%
47
62.9%
Q3 - 10:15MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)48
39.0%
47
61.0%
Q3 - 10:16MIAMISS James 19' Jump Shot48
37.9%
47
62.1%
Q3 - 10:40MEMGasol 12' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Lee 1 AST)48
35.6%
47
64.4%
Q3 - 10:46MIAJames Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T10)46
32.4%
47
67.6%
Q3 - 10:51MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)46
29.3%
47
70.7%
Q3 - 10:52MEMOden BLOCK (1 BLK)46
30.3%
47
69.7%
Q3 - 11:14MIABosh 15' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (James 4 AST)46
32.3%
47
67.7%
Q3 - 11:37MEMLee 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Randolph 2 AST)46
35.2%
45
64.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0MEM43
29.3%
45
70.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0MEMGrizzlies Rebound43
29.3%
45
70.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0MEMMISS Gasol 50' 3PT Jump Shot43
27.3%
45
72.7%
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#9)43
29.0%
45
71.0%
Q2 - 0:25.0MEMRandolph Foul Turnover (P3.T10)43
27.0%
45
73.0%
Q2 - 0:37.0MIAJames 10' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS) (Allen 3 AST)43
29.1%
45
70.9%
Q2 - 0:58.0MEMRandolph 1' Layup (13 PTS)43
32.5%
43
67.5%
Q2 - 1:06MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)41
29.1%
43
70.9%
Q2 - 1:07MIAMISS Bosh 24' 3PT Jump Shot41
28.5%
43
71.5%
Q2 - 1:27MEMGasol Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)41
27.4%
43
72.6%
Q2 - 1:27MEMMISS Gasol Free Throw 1 of 240
26.9%
43
73.1%
Q2 - 1:41MIAAllen 1' Layup (10 PTS) (James 3 AST)40
26.5%
43
73.5%
Q2 - 1:47MEMChalmers STEAL (2 STL)40
30.0%
41
70.0%
Q2 - 2:07MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)40
32.1%
41
67.9%
Q2 - 2:07MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)40
32.6%
40
67.4%
Q2 - 2:23MEMConley Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)40
34.8%
39
65.2%
Q2 - 2:44MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)40
37.7%
39
62.3%
Q2 - 2:44MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)40
38.2%
38
61.8%
Q2 - 2:52MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)40
40.7%
37
59.3%
Q2 - 2:53MEMMISS Prince 24' 3PT Jump Shot40
41.6%
37
58.4%
Q2 - 3:12MIABosh 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (James 2 AST)40
43.4%
37
56.6%
Q2 - 3:34MEMRandolph 4' Hook Shot (11 PTS)40
48.8%
34
51.2%
Q2 - 3:47MEMMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
46.4%
34
53.6%
Q2 - 3:48MIAMISS Bosh 19' Jump Shot38
45.3%
34
54.7%
Q2 - 4:05MEMConley Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)38
42.3%
34
57.7%
Q2 - 4:05MEMConley Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)37
41.9%
34
58.1%
Q2 - 4:19MIAChalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Allen 2 AST)36
39.6%
34
60.4%
Q2 - 4:37MEMGasol 14' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Conley 3 AST)36
45.2%
31
54.8%
Q2 - 4:44MIAJames Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T8)34
42.4%
31
57.6%
Q2 - 4:49MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)34
39.5%
31
60.5%
Q2 - 4:50MIAMISS Cole 24' 3PT Jump Shot34
41.5%
31
58.5%
Q2 - 4:59MEMWade STEAL (1 STL)34
39.5%
31
60.5%
Q2 - 5:19MIAJames 1' Running Dunk (4 PTS) (Battier 1 AST)34
42.0%
31
58.0%
Q2 - 5:23MEMBattier STEAL (2 STL)34
44.9%
29
55.1%
Q2 - 5:31MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)34
47.5%
29
52.5%
Q2 - 5:32MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot34
46.7%
29
53.3%
Q2 - 5:40MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
44.9%
29
55.1%
Q2 - 5:41MEMMISS Conley 6' Driving Hook Shot34
45.7%
29
54.3%
Q2 - 5:59MIABosh 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T7)34
47.5%
29
52.5%
Q2 - 6:11MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
44.1%
29
55.9%
Q2 - 6:12MEMMISS Johnson Free Throw 2 of 234
44.5%
29
55.5%
Q2 - 6:12MEMJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)34
46.2%
29
53.8%
Q2 - 6:16MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)33
44.7%
29
55.3%
Q2 - 6:18MIAMISS Wade 8' Running Hook Shot33
43.7%
29
56.3%
Q2 - 6:36MEMGasol 4' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Conley 2 AST)33
41.4%
29
58.6%
Q2 - 6:55MEMGrizzlies Rebound31
39.3%
29
60.7%
Q2 - 6:56MEMMISS Allen 21' Jump Shot31
37.2%
29
62.8%
Q2 - 7:08MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)31
38.8%
29
61.2%
Q2 - 7:08MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)31
39.3%
28
60.7%
Q2 - 7:24MEMBattier STEAL (1 STL)31
41.1%
27
58.9%
Q2 - 7:42MIAHaslem 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)31
44.0%
27
56.0%
Q2 - 7:47MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)31
46.3%
25
53.7%
Q2 - 7:48MEMMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot31
47.2%
25
52.8%
Q2 - 8:14MIAAllen 23' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Cole 1 AST)31
48.4%
25
51.6%
Q2 - 8:23MIAAllen Free Throw Technical (6 PTS)31
50.9%
23
49.1%
Q2 - 8:37MEMJohnson 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS)31
53.5%
22
46.5%
Q2 - 8:59MIACole 18' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS)29
51.1%
22
48.9%
Q2 - 9:16MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
52.5%
20
47.5%
Q2 - 9:17MEMMISS Miller 1' Layup29
53.3%
20
46.7%
Q2 - 9:33MIAWade Traveling Turnover (P1.T6)29
55.2%
20
44.8%
Q2 - 9:46MEMMiller 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)29
52.5%
20
47.5%
Q2 - 10:08MIAAllen 1' Reverse Layup (5 PTS)26
47.5%
20
52.5%
Q2 - 10:28MEMKoufos 1' Alley Oop Layup (2 PTS) (Calathes 1 AST)26
49.5%
18
50.5%
Q2 - 10:47MIABattier 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)24
47.5%
18
52.5%
Q2 - 10:56MIABattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
49.5%
16
50.5%
Q2 - 10:57MEMMISS Koufos 8' Hook Shot24
50.4%
16
49.6%
Q2 - 11:05MEMCalathes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
51.6%
16
48.4%
Q2 - 11:07MIAMISS Allen 6' Jump Hook Shot24
50.9%
16
49.1%
Q2 - 11:14MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)24
49.1%
16
50.9%
Q2 - 11:15MIAMISS Wade 6' Jump Shot24
50.9%
16
49.1%
Q2 - 11:21MIAAllen Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)24
49.1%
16
50.9%
Q2 - 11:37MEMJohnson 1' Driving Dunk (2 PTS)24
51.6%
15
48.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0MEM22
49.3%
15
50.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0MEMGrizzlies Rebound22
49.3%
15
50.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0MEMJames BLOCK (1 BLK)22
47.5%
15
52.5%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIABattier Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)22
48.3%
15
51.7%
Q1 - 0:03.0MEMCalathes Foul Turnover (P1.T4)22
46.6%
15
53.4%
Q1 - 0:16.0MEMAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
48.4%
15
51.6%
Q1 - 0:17.0MIAMISS Allen 20' Jump Shot22
47.8%
15
52.2%
Q1 - 0:41.0MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
46.6%
15
53.4%
Q1 - 0:42.0MEMMISS Randolph 19' Jump Shot22
47.2%
15
52.8%
Q1 - 1:05MIAAllen 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)22
47.8%
15
52.2%
Q1 - 1:25MEMCalathes 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Randolph 1 AST)22
50.7%
13
49.3%
Q1 - 1:46MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)20
47.9%
13
52.1%
Q1 - 1:57MEMLee Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)20
46.2%
13
53.8%
Q1 - 1:57MEMLee Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)19
45.9%
13
54.1%
Q1 - 2:17MEMAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
43.3%
13
56.7%
Q1 - 2:18MIAMISS Chalmers 3PT Jump Shot18
42.7%
13
57.3%
Q1 - 2:41MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
41.3%
13
58.7%
Q1 - 2:42MEMMISS Allen 1' Reverse Layup18
41.9%
13
58.1%
Q1 - 2:52MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)18
43.3%
13
56.7%
Q1 - 2:53MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot18
42.7%
13
57.3%
Q1 - 3:25MEMGasol 12' Turnaround Fadeaway (5 PTS) (Conley 1 AST)18
40.7%
13
59.3%
Q1 - 3:40MIABosh 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (James 1 AST)16
38.8%
13
61.2%
Q1 - 4:03MEMRandolph 5' Hook Shot (9 PTS)16
40.0%
11
60.0%
Q1 - 4:04MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)14
38.3%
11
61.7%
Q1 - 4:05MEMMISS Lee 6' Running Jump Shot14
36.7%
11
63.3%
Q1 - 4:18MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)14
38.3%
11
61.7%
Q1 - 4:19MIAMISS Bosh 1' Reverse Layup14
37.6%
11
62.4%
Q1 - 4:36MEMLee 1' Driving Dunk (2 PTS)14
36.0%
11
64.0%
Q1 - 4:55MIAJames 1' Layup (2 PTS)12
34.3%
11
65.7%
Q1 - 4:59MEMBosh STEAL (1 STL)12
36.0%
9
64.0%
Q1 - 5:09MIAAndersen Foul Turnover (P1.T3)12
37.7%
9
62.3%
Q1 - 5:20MEMRandolph 1' Driving Layup (7 PTS)12
35.6%
9
64.4%
Q1 - 5:34MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)10
33.9%
9
66.1%
Q1 - 5:50MEMChalmers STEAL (1 STL)10
32.0%
9
68.0%
Q1 - 6:12MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)10
33.5%
9
66.5%
Q1 - 6:13MEMMISS Randolph Free Throw 2 of 210
31.9%
9
68.1%
Q1 - 6:13MEMRandolph Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)10
32.9%
9
67.1%
Q1 - 6:31MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
31.8%
9
68.2%
Q1 - 6:32MIAMISS James 18' Jump Shot9
31.2%
9
68.8%
Q1 - 6:48MEMRandolph 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS)9
30.0%
9
70.0%
Q1 - 7:12MIAOden 1' Dunk (2 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)7
28.4%
9
71.6%
Q1 - 7:25MIAOden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)7
29.7%
7
70.3%
Q1 - 7:27MEMMISS Gasol 14' Turnaround Jump Shot7
30.3%
7
69.7%
Q1 - 7:46MIAWade 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)7
31.6%
7
68.4%
Q1 - 8:06MEMRandolph 5' Hook Shot (2 PTS)7
32.8%
5
67.2%
Q1 - 8:12MEMPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)5
31.4%
5
68.6%
Q1 - 8:13MEMMISS Conley 24' 3PT Jump Shot5
30.2%
5
69.8%
Q1 - 8:33MIAChalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)5
31.4%
5
68.6%
Q1 - 8:39MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
34.5%
2
65.5%
Q1 - 8:40MEMMISS Prince 4' Hook Shot5
35.0%
2
65.0%
Q1 - 8:42MEMPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
36.3%
2
63.7%
Q1 - 8:51MIAMISS Chalmers 5' Jump Shot5
35.8%
2
64.2%
Q1 - 8:53MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)5
34.5%
2
65.5%
Q1 - 8:54MIAMISS Bosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot5
35.8%
2
64.2%
Q1 - 9:12MEMGasol Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)5
34.3%
2
65.7%
Q1 - 9:17MIABosh Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)2
31.3%
2
68.7%
Q1 - 9:31MEMConley 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
29.6%
2
70.4%
Q1 - 9:34MEMConley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)0
28.3%
2
71.7%
Q1 - 9:35MEMMISS Gasol 20' Jump Shot0
27.2%
2
72.8%
Q1 - 10:04MIABosh 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)0
28.4%
2
71.6%
Q1 - 10:20MEMGrizzlies Turnover: Shot Clock (T#1)0
29.6%
0
70.4%
Q1 - 10:20MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)0
31.2%
0
68.8%
Q1 - 10:21MEMMISS Lee 13' Hook Shot0
30.1%
0
69.9%
Q1 - 10:44MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
31.2%
0
68.8%
Q1 - 10:45MIAMISS Bosh 9' Jump Shot0
30.8%
0
69.2%
Q1 - 10:46MIAOden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
29.6%
0
70.4%
Q1 - 10:47MIAMISS Wade 14' Fadeaway Jumper0
30.8%
0
69.2%
Q1 - 10:59MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
29.6%
0
70.4%
Q1 - 11:00MEMMISS Lee 11' Jump Shot0
30.1%
0
69.9%
Q1 - 11:03MEMLee REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
30.8%
0
69.2%
Q1 - 11:06MEMMISS Lee 19' Jump Shot0
29.9%
0
70.1%
Q1 - 11:13MEMConley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
30.8%
0
69.2%
Q1 - 11:14MEMMISS Randolph 20' Jump Shot0
29.9%
0
70.1%
Q1 - 11:36MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
30.8%
0
69.2%
Q1 - 11:37MIAMISS Bosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
30.4%
0
69.6%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Bosh vs. Gasol: Tip to Chalmers0
29.6%
0
70.4%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MEM
0.95 47.3%
MIA
1.10 54.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MEM
25
40
63%
MIA
16
24
67%
Midrange
MEM
8
25
32%
MIA
12
31
39%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MEM
3
4.5
14
21%
32%
MIA
7
10.5
20
35%
53%
Free Throws
MEM
11
17
65%
MIA
14
16
88%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MEM logo Grizzlies
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
Z. Randolph2560%12.5 / 21
M. Gasol1458%7.0 / 12
M. Conley1243%6.0 / 14
C. Lee1240%6.0 / 15
K. Koufos880%4.0 / 5
J. Johnson563%2.5 / 4
N. Calathes467%2.0 / 3
M. Miller338%1.5 / 4
T. Allen325%1.5 / 6
T. Prince0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Allen1864%9.0 / 14
L. James1550%7.5 / 15
M. Chalmers1478%7.0 / 9
D. Wade1454%7.0 / 13
C. Bosh1134%5.5 / 16
G. Oden5125%2.5 / 2
N. Cole550%2.5 / 5
C. Andersen563%2.5 / 4
U. Haslem250%1.0 / 2
S. Battier2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MEM
69
+20
-15
89
MIA
71
+12
-14
83
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MEM
0.95 47.3%
MIA
1.10 54.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.7
110.7
MEM 102.4
MIA 107.1 +4.7
Pace
89.6
91.5
MEM 82.2
MIA 86.9 +4.8
Avg. Poss. Time
16.5
15.8
MEM 17.5
MIA 16.6 +1.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.4%
55.4%
MEM 47.5%
MIA 51.3% +3.8%
TO %
14.3%
15.4%
MEM 16.4%
MIA 15.5% +0.9%
ORB %
28.3%
20.6%
MEM 38.5% +12.2%
MIA 26.3%
FTrt
24.8
30.0
MEM 21.5 +0.2
MIA 21.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.4%
58.8%
MEM 47.2%
MIA 57.1% +9.9%
STL %
8.5%
9.7%
MEM 8.3%
MIA 10.6% +2.3%
BLK %
7.9%
8.1%
MEM 1.8%
MIA 7.7% +5.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.51 and 2.51.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.3%
57.5%
MEM 47.3%
MIA 54.8% +7.5%
Rim FG%
57.9%
66.7%
MEM 62.5%
MIA 66.7% +4.2%
Mid FG%
40.5%
42.8%
MEM 32.0%
MIA 38.7% +6.7%
3P %
35.3%
36.4%
MEM 21.4%
MIA 35.0% +13.6%
FT %
74.1%
76.0%
MEM 64.7%
MIA 87.5% +22.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
39.2%
38.3%
MEM 50.6% +18.6%
MIA 32.0%
Mid Att. %
43.8%
32.5%
MEM 31.6% +9.7%
MIA 41.3%
3P Att. %
17.1%
29.2%
MEM 17.7%
MIA 26.7% +8.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.71 and 2.71.
Game TotalsMEMMIA
Possessions8485
Possession Minutes24.523.5
Points8691
Rebounds4334
Assists1720
Steals79
Blocks15
Turnovers (Team)15 (2)14 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)15 (5)10 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)28 (0)24 (3)
Field Goals36-7935-75
At-the-Rim FG25-4016-24
Midrange FG8-2512-31
2-Point FG33-6528-55
3-Point FG3-147-20
Free Throws11-1714-16
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 250 · 33
37.2
25
60%
14
4
0
0
5
5
5
9
1-2
50%
12-20
60%
0-0
-
G · 6'0" 175 · 26
34.1
12
43%
4
6
3
0
3
2
2
2
4-5
80%
4-9
44%
0-3
0%
G · 6'5" 200 · 28
32.0
12
40%
1
1
3
0
0
2
1
0
2-2
100%
2-8
25%
2-6
33%
F · 6'9" 212 · 34
31.0
0
0%
5
0
0
0
0
1
3
2
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
C · 7'1" 255 · 29
23.9
14
58%
6
1
0
0
2
1
1
5
2-3
67%
6-10
60%
0-1
0%
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 34
22.8
3
38%
1
0
0
0
2
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
0%
1-2
50%
C · 7'0" 265 · 25
18.7
8
80%
5
0
0
1
0
2
2
3
0-0
-
4-5
80%
0-0
-
· 6'4" 213 · 32
16.3
3
25%
3
1
1
0
1
2
0
3
1-3
33%
1-5
20%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 213 · 25
13.8
4
67%
3
3
0
0
2
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 240 · 27
10.2
5
63%
1
1
0
0
0
2
1
0
1-2
50%
2-2
100%
0-1
0%
F-C · 6'10" 228 · 25
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 25
G · 6'3" 205 · 32
#20 · F · 6'7" 230 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#22 · G · 6'5" 191 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
86
47%
43
17
7
1
15
0
15
28
11-17
65%
33-65
51%
3-14
21%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.