FinalWin Prob.pScore
635%100
104
165%106
113
ORTG#PossPace
HOU logo HOU
114.39192.5
MIA logo MIA
122.89290.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatRocketsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatRocketsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventHOUMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA104
0%
113
100%
Q4 - 0:06.0HOUBeverley Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)104
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 0:06.0HOUBeverley Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)103
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 0:23.0MIAWade 16' Jump Shot (24 PTS)102
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 0:42.0HOUJames STEAL (2 STL)102
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 0:46.0MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)102
0.2%
111
99.8%
Q4 - 0:46.0MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)102
0.2%
110
99.8%
Q4 - 0:46.0MIAAllen Free Throw Technical (25 PTS)102
0.3%
109
99.7%
Q4 - 1:02MIAHEAT Rebound102
1.1%
108
98.9%
Q4 - 1:03MIAMISS James 5' Jump Shot102
1.9%
108
98.1%
Q4 - 1:22MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)102
1.8%
108
98.2%
Q4 - 1:23HOUMISS Harden 24' 3PT Jump Shot102
2.2%
108
97.8%
Q4 - 1:36HOURockets Rebound102
4.1%
108
95.9%
Q4 - 1:36HOUBosh BLOCK (1 BLK)102
2.8%
108
97.2%
Q4 - 1:41MIABosh 19' Jump Shot (18 PTS)102
4.4%
108
95.6%
Q4 - 2:03MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)102
7.4%
106
92.6%
Q4 - 2:04HOUMISS Harden 2' Driving Layup102
8.8%
106
91.2%
Q4 - 2:12HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:11)102
12.9%
106
87.1%
Q4 - 2:13MIAMISS Bosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot102
11.0%
106
89.0%
Q4 - 2:33MIAHEAT Rebound102
7.5%
106
92.5%
Q4 - 2:34HOUMISS Beverley 28' 3PT Jump Shot102
8.9%
106
91.1%
Q4 - 2:55MIAAllen 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS)102
13.9%
106
86.1%
Q4 - 3:11MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)102
26.1%
103
73.9%
Q4 - 3:12HOUMISS Lin 25' 3PT Jump Shot102
29.5%
103
70.5%
Q4 - 3:31MIAAllen Layup (21 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)102
36.9%
103
63.1%
Q4 - 3:49MIAHEAT Rebound102
45.0%
101
55.0%
Q4 - 3:50HOUMISS Parsons 19' Turnaround Jump Shot102
48.2%
101
51.8%
Q4 - 4:15MIAWade 8' Driving Jump Shot (22 PTS)102
55.7%
101
44.3%
Q4 - 4:26MIAAllen Free Throw Technical (19 PTS)102
64.1%
99
35.9%
Q4 - 4:26HOUBeverley 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Lin 2 AST)102
72.4%
98
27.6%
Q4 - 4:40HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)99
55.8%
98
44.2%
Q4 - 4:41MIAMISS James 2' Driving Layup99
52.6%
98
47.4%
Q4 - 4:53MIAAllen Free Throw Technical (18 PTS)99
45.2%
98
54.8%
Q4 - 5:09HOUHarden Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T15)99
52.0%
97
48.0%
Q4 - 5:14MIAWade 14' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Cole 4 AST)99
61.0%
97
39.0%
Q4 - 5:37HOUHoward 2' Jump Bank Shot (21 PTS)99
68.2%
95
31.8%
Q4 - 5:38HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)97
61.2%
95
38.8%
Q4 - 5:39HOUMISS Lin 2' Driving Layup97
55.0%
95
45.0%
Q4 - 6:04MIAAllen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)97
58.4%
95
41.6%
Q4 - 6:13HOUHarden 24' 3PT Jump Shot (30 PTS) (Howard 5 AST)97
71.2%
92
28.8%
Q4 - 6:20HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)94
58.5%
92
41.5%
Q4 - 6:21MIAMISS Andersen 1' Tip Shot94
55.9%
92
44.1%
Q4 - 6:22MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)94
50.0%
92
50.0%
Q4 - 6:23MIAMISS Bosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot94
55.9%
92
44.1%
Q4 - 6:38HOUParsons 2' Driving Layup (9 PTS)94
50.0%
92
50.0%
Q4 - 6:57MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (18 PTS)92
43.4%
92
56.6%
Q4 - 7:07HOUWade STEAL (2 STL)92
55.6%
89
44.4%
Q4 - 7:30HOUAsik REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)92
63.1%
89
36.9%
Q4 - 7:31MIAMISS Allen 3PT Jump Shot92
60.9%
89
39.1%
Q4 - 7:59HOUBeverley 7' Floating Jump Shot (10 PTS)92
55.7%
89
44.3%
Q4 - 8:06HOULin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)90
47.9%
89
52.1%
Q4 - 8:07MIAMISS James 4' Driving Jump Shot90
46.0%
89
54.0%
Q4 - 8:16MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)90
41.7%
89
58.3%
Q4 - 8:17HOUMISS Harden 27' 3PT Jump Shot90
43.6%
89
56.4%
Q4 - 8:40MIAJames Foul Turnover (P5.T14)90
48.0%
89
52.0%
Q4 - 8:47HOUBattier STEAL (1 STL)90
41.7%
89
58.3%
Q4 - 9:01MIACole 2' Driving Layup (5 PTS)90
46.9%
89
53.1%
Q4 - 9:25HOUAsik 1' Layup (4 PTS)90
53.0%
87
47.0%
Q4 - 9:27HOUAsik REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)88
47.0%
87
53.0%
Q4 - 9:28HOUMISS Beverley 3PT Jump Shot88
42.8%
87
57.2%
Q4 - 9:47MIACole 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 6 AST)88
47.0%
87
53.0%
Q4 - 9:59HOUHarden 25' 3PT Jump Shot (27 PTS) (Beverley 5 AST)88
59.0%
84
41.0%
Q4 - 10:14MIAAndersen 1' Dunk (6 PTS) (Cole 3 AST)85
45.9%
84
54.1%
Q4 - 10:31HOUHarden 1' Layup (24 PTS) (Lin 1 AST)85
51.5%
82
48.5%
Q4 - 10:41HOURockets Rebound83
45.9%
82
54.1%
Q4 - 10:42HOUMISS Motiejunas 4' Hook Shot83
42.0%
82
58.0%
Q4 - 11:01HOUMotiejunas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)83
45.3%
82
54.7%
Q4 - 11:03MIAMISS Allen 24' 3PT Jump Shot83
43.6%
82
56.4%
Q4 - 11:18HOUBeverley 9' Floating Jump Shot (8 PTS)83
39.9%
82
60.1%
Q4 - 11:37MIAAllen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Battier 1 AST)81
35.0%
82
65.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0HOU81
45.2%
79
54.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0HOURockets Rebound81
50.7%
79
49.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0HOUMISS Beverley 40' 3PT Jump Shot81
46.9%
79
53.1%
Q3 - 0:07.0MIAJames 8' Fadeaway Jumper (22 PTS)81
49.6%
79
50.4%
Q3 - 0:28.0HOUBeverley 4' Floating Jump Shot (6 PTS)81
55.0%
77
45.0%
Q3 - 0:53.0MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)79
49.7%
77
50.3%
Q3 - 0:53.0MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 279
50.8%
76
49.2%
Q3 - 1:07MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)79
48.8%
76
51.2%
Q3 - 1:08HOUMISS Lin 20' Jump Shot79
50.2%
76
49.8%
Q3 - 1:13HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)79
53.5%
76
46.5%
Q3 - 1:14MIAMISS Cole 20' Jump Shot79
52.1%
76
47.9%
Q3 - 1:26HOUMotiejunas 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Howard 4 AST)79
48.8%
76
51.2%
Q3 - 1:39MIAAllen Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)76
39.0%
76
61.0%
Q3 - 1:39MIAAllen Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)76
39.5%
75
60.5%
Q3 - 1:58HOUHoward 1' Dunk (19 PTS)76
44.0%
74
56.0%
Q3 - 2:00HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)74
39.1%
74
60.9%
Q3 - 2:01HOUMISS Parsons 3' Layup74
35.2%
74
64.8%
Q3 - 2:10HOUMotiejunas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)74
38.4%
74
61.6%
Q3 - 2:11HOUMISS Harden 24' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot74
35.3%
74
64.7%
Q3 - 2:36MIAAllen 6' Driving Bank Shot (9 PTS)74
38.4%
74
61.6%
Q3 - 3:01HOUMotiejunas 3' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS) (Howard 3 AST)74
42.1%
72
57.9%
Q3 - 3:12HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)72
38.1%
72
61.9%
Q3 - 3:13MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot72
36.8%
72
63.2%
Q3 - 3:26HOUHoward 2' Alley Oop Dunk (17 PTS) (Parsons 5 AST)72
33.7%
72
66.3%
Q3 - 3:43MIAWade 18' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (James 5 AST)70
30.1%
72
69.9%
Q3 - 3:53MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)70
33.7%
70
66.3%
Q3 - 3:54HOUMISS Parsons 25' 3PT Jump Shot70
35.0%
70
65.0%
Q3 - 4:02MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T13)70
38.1%
70
61.9%
Q3 - 4:23HOUParsons 2' Layup (7 PTS) (Howard 2 AST)70
33.2%
70
66.8%
Q3 - 4:27MIAJames Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T12)68
30.3%
70
69.7%
Q3 - 4:39HOUHarden Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)68
26.1%
70
73.9%
Q3 - 4:39HOUHarden Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)67
25.7%
70
74.3%
Q3 - 5:01MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#11)66
23.6%
70
76.4%
Q3 - 5:25HOUHarden Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)66
20.3%
70
79.7%
Q3 - 5:25HOUMISS Harden Free Throw 1 of 265
20.0%
70
80.0%
Q3 - 5:29MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T10)65
20.7%
70
79.3%
Q3 - 5:36MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)65
17.8%
70
82.2%
Q3 - 5:37HOUMISS Harden 25' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot65
18.6%
70
81.4%
Q3 - 5:52HOUJones REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)65
20.7%
70
79.3%
Q3 - 5:53HOUMISS Beverley 3PT Jump Shot65
18.6%
70
81.4%
Q3 - 6:06HOUJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)65
20.9%
70
79.1%
Q3 - 6:07MIAMISS Chalmers 3PT Jump Shot65
20.0%
70
80.0%
Q3 - 6:20HOUHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)65
18.1%
70
81.9%
Q3 - 6:20HOUHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)64
17.2%
70
82.8%
Q3 - 6:37MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)63
16.1%
70
83.9%
Q3 - 6:37MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)63
16.5%
69
83.5%
Q3 - 6:41MIAOden REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)63
18.1%
68
81.9%
Q3 - 6:42HOUMISS Jones 1' Driving Layup63
18.9%
68
81.1%
Q3 - 7:04MIAChalmers 16' Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS)63
20.9%
68
79.1%
Q3 - 7:12MIAOden REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)63
23.3%
66
76.7%
Q3 - 7:13HOUMISS Howard 4' Hook Shot63
24.3%
66
75.7%
Q3 - 7:32MIABosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST)63
26.5%
66
73.5%
Q3 - 7:57HOUParsons 1' Running Dunk (5 PTS)63
32.6%
63
67.4%
Q3 - 8:00MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T9)61
29.6%
63
70.4%
Q3 - 8:09MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)61
26.1%
63
73.9%
Q3 - 8:10HOUMISS Parsons Free Throw 2 of 261
26.5%
63
73.5%
Q3 - 8:10HOUParsons Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)61
28.4%
63
71.6%
Q3 - 8:15HOUJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)60
26.5%
63
73.5%
Q3 - 8:16MIAMISS James 3' Driving Layup60
25.5%
63
74.5%
Q3 - 8:21MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)60
23.3%
63
76.7%
Q3 - 8:22HOUMISS Beverley 20' Jump Shot60
24.3%
63
75.7%
Q3 - 8:36HOURockets Rebound60
26.5%
63
73.5%
Q3 - 8:37MIAMISS James 21' Jump Shot60
25.5%
63
74.5%
Q3 - 9:00HOUHoward Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)60
23.3%
63
76.7%
Q3 - 9:09MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)60
26.2%
63
73.8%
Q3 - 9:09MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)60
26.8%
62
73.2%
Q3 - 9:11MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)60
29.0%
61
71.0%
Q3 - 9:12HOUMISS Parsons 1' Driving Layup60
30.0%
61
70.0%
Q3 - 9:28MIAJames 2' Driving Layup (17 PTS)60
32.3%
61
67.7%
Q3 - 9:33MIAOden REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)60
35.4%
59
64.6%
Q3 - 9:34HOUMISS Beverley 10' Jump Shot60
36.5%
59
63.5%
Q3 - 9:46MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T8)60
39.0%
59
61.0%
Q3 - 9:55HOUHarden Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)60
35.4%
59
64.6%
Q3 - 9:55HOUHarden Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)59
35.0%
59
65.0%
Q3 - 9:57HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)58
32.3%
59
67.7%
Q3 - 9:58MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot58
31.3%
59
68.7%
Q3 - 10:17MIAHEAT Rebound58
28.8%
59
71.2%
Q3 - 10:18MIAMISS Bosh 3PT Jump Shot58
30.9%
59
69.1%
Q3 - 10:41HOUHarden 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Beverley 4 AST)58
28.8%
59
71.2%
Q3 - 10:47HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)55
23.4%
59
76.6%
Q3 - 10:49MIAMISS Oden 2' Reverse Layup55
22.6%
59
77.4%
Q3 - 11:14HOUHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)55
21.0%
59
79.0%
Q3 - 11:14HOUMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 254
20.1%
59
79.9%
Q3 - 11:33MIABosh 17' Turnaround Jump Shot (13 PTS)54
21.1%
59
78.9%
Q3 - 11:51HOUBeverley Traveling Turnover (P2.T11)54
23.4%
57
76.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA54
26.1%
57
73.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound54
23.4%
57
76.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS James 40' 3PT Jump Shot54
25.2%
57
74.8%
Q2 - 0:01.0HOUBeverley 1' Driving Dunk (4 PTS)54
24.1%
57
75.9%
Q2 - 0:08.0MIABattier Free Throw 3 of 3 (5 PTS)52
21.2%
57
78.8%
Q2 - 0:08.0MIAMISS Battier Free Throw 2 of 352
21.6%
56
78.4%
Q2 - 0:08.0MIABattier Free Throw 1 of 3 (4 PTS)52
20.0%
56
80.0%
Q2 - 0:31.0HOUHoward 2' Layup (12 PTS) (Beverley 3 AST)52
24.0%
55
76.0%
Q2 - 0:42.0MIABosh Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)50
21.2%
55
78.8%
Q2 - 0:49.0MIAAllen Free Throw Technical (7 PTS)50
19.5%
55
80.5%
Q2 - 1:09HOUJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Parsons 4 AST)50
22.1%
54
77.9%
Q2 - 1:36MIAWade 1' Layup (11 PTS) (James 4 AST)47
17.4%
54
82.6%
Q2 - 1:40MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)47
20.0%
52
80.0%
Q2 - 1:42HOUMISS Howard 1' Driving Layup47
20.4%
52
79.6%
Q2 - 1:52MIABosh 17' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)47
21.4%
52
78.6%
Q2 - 2:07HOUHarden Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)47
24.0%
50
76.0%
Q2 - 2:07HOUHarden Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)46
23.7%
50
76.3%
Q2 - 2:14MIAAllen 9' Jump Bank Shot (6 PTS)45
21.9%
50
78.1%
Q2 - 2:39HOUHarden 9' Driving Jump Shot (12 PTS)45
24.1%
48
75.9%
Q2 - 2:52HOUJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)43
21.9%
48
78.1%
Q2 - 2:53HOUMISS Harden 25' 3PT Jump Shot43
20.4%
48
79.6%
Q2 - 3:00HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)43
21.9%
48
78.1%
Q2 - 3:01MIAMISS Douglas 16' Jump Shot43
21.4%
48
78.6%
Q2 - 3:21HOUHoward 1' Putback Slam Dunk (10 PTS)43
19.8%
48
80.2%
Q2 - 3:21HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)41
18.3%
48
81.7%
Q2 - 3:22HOUMISS Beverley 10' Turnaround Jump Shot41
16.9%
48
83.1%
Q2 - 3:36MIAJames 1' Driving Dunk (15 PTS)41
18.3%
48
81.7%
Q2 - 3:47HOUBeverley Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)41
19.8%
46
80.2%
Q2 - 3:47HOUBeverley Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)40
19.5%
46
80.5%
Q2 - 3:54MIABosh 21' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (James 3 AST)39
18.3%
46
81.7%
Q2 - 4:07HOUJones Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)39
20.1%
44
79.9%
Q2 - 4:11MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T6)36
16.7%
44
83.3%
Q2 - 4:26HOUHarden 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS)36
15.1%
44
84.9%
Q2 - 4:40HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)33
12.4%
44
87.6%
Q2 - 4:41MIAMISS Bosh 1' Tip Shot33
12.0%
44
88.0%
Q2 - 4:42MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)33
11.2%
44
88.8%
Q2 - 4:43MIAMISS Allen 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup33
12.0%
44
88.0%
Q2 - 5:02HOUBeverley Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)33
11.5%
44
88.5%
Q2 - 5:12MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)33
12.6%
44
87.4%
Q2 - 5:24HOULin Foul Turnover (P2.T9)33
11.5%
44
88.5%
Q2 - 5:30MIAWade 6' Driving Jump Shot (9 PTS)33
12.6%
44
87.4%
Q2 - 5:35HOUChalmers STEAL (1 STL)33
14.0%
42
86.0%
Q2 - 5:42HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
15.3%
42
84.7%
Q2 - 5:43MIAMISS James 18' Fadeaway Jumper33
14.9%
42
85.1%
Q2 - 6:05MIABattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
14.1%
42
85.9%
Q2 - 6:06HOUMISS Howard 10' Turnaround Hook Shot33
14.6%
42
85.4%
Q2 - 6:28HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
15.8%
42
84.2%
Q2 - 6:29MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot33
15.3%
42
84.7%
Q2 - 6:34MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)33
14.1%
42
85.9%
Q2 - 6:35HOUMISS Jones 21' Jump Shot33
14.6%
42
85.4%
Q2 - 6:49MIAJames 19' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)33
15.8%
42
84.2%
Q2 - 6:51MIAHEAT Rebound33
17.0%
40
83.0%
Q2 - 6:52MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot33
18.3%
40
81.7%
Q2 - 7:14HOURockets Turnover: 5 Second Inbound (T#7)33
17.3%
40
82.7%
Q2 - 7:14HOURockets Rebound33
19.1%
40
80.9%
Q2 - 7:15HOUWade BLOCK (1 BLK)33
17.9%
40
82.1%
Q2 - 7:36MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)33
19.1%
40
80.9%
Q2 - 7:36MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)33
19.4%
39
80.6%
Q2 - 7:49HOUAsik 1' Tip Shot (2 PTS)33
20.6%
38
79.4%
Q2 - 7:52HOUAsik REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)31
19.1%
38
80.9%
Q2 - 7:53HOUMISS Hamilton 10' Jump Shot31
17.8%
38
82.2%
Q2 - 8:00HOUHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
19.1%
38
80.9%
Q2 - 8:01MIAMISS Wade 10' Jump Bank Shot31
18.7%
38
81.3%
Q2 - 8:16MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)31
17.5%
38
82.5%
Q2 - 8:17HOUMISS Asik Free Throw 2 of 231
17.8%
38
82.2%
Q2 - 8:17HOUMISS Asik Free Throw 1 of 231
18.5%
38
81.5%
Q2 - 8:18HOUAsik REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)31
19.2%
38
80.8%
Q2 - 8:19HOUMISS Asik 2' Jump Bank Shot31
18.0%
38
82.0%
Q2 - 8:21HOUAsik REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)31
19.2%
38
80.8%
Q2 - 8:22HOUMISS Hamilton 4' Driving Jump Shot31
18.0%
38
82.0%
Q2 - 8:38MIAWade 16' Step Back Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Cole 2 AST)31
19.2%
38
80.8%
Q2 - 8:52MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)31
20.7%
36
79.3%
Q2 - 8:53HOUMISS Harden 26' 3PT Jump Shot31
21.3%
36
78.7%
Q2 - 9:06MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)31
22.6%
36
77.4%
Q2 - 9:06MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 231
23.0%
35
77.0%
Q2 - 9:34MIAHEAT Rebound31
22.5%
35
77.5%
Q2 - 9:35MIAMISS Cole 2' Jump Shot31
23.8%
35
76.2%
Q2 - 9:38HOUCole STEAL (1 STL)31
22.5%
35
77.5%
Q2 - 9:52MIABattier 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Cole 1 AST)31
24.4%
35
75.6%
Q2 - 10:10MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)31
28.1%
32
71.9%
Q2 - 10:11HOUMISS Lin 12' Turnaround Jump Shot31
28.8%
32
71.2%
Q2 - 10:38HOUMotiejunas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
30.5%
32
69.5%
Q2 - 10:39MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 231
30.2%
32
69.8%
Q2 - 10:39MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 231
28.9%
32
71.1%
Q2 - 10:50MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
28.1%
32
71.9%
Q2 - 10:51HOUMISS Motiejunas 24' 3PT Jump Shot31
28.8%
32
71.2%
Q2 - 11:12HOUAsik REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
30.4%
32
69.6%
Q2 - 11:13MIAMISS Cole 21' Jump Shot31
29.7%
32
70.3%
Q2 - 11:35HOULin 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS)31
28.3%
32
71.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA28
24.6%
32
75.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound28
22.8%
32
77.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Cole 3PT Jump Shot28
24.1%
32
75.9%
Q1 - 0:22.0HOUHoward Traveling Turnover (P1.T5)28
23.2%
32
76.8%
Q1 - 0:42.0MIAAllen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (James 2 AST)28
24.4%
32
75.6%
Q1 - 0:57.0HOULin Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)28
28.5%
29
71.5%
Q1 - 1:23MIAJames 1' Running Dunk (11 PTS)25
24.5%
29
75.5%
Q1 - 1:26HOUJames STEAL (1 STL)25
26.7%
27
73.3%
Q1 - 1:33HOUMotiejunas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
28.0%
27
72.0%
Q1 - 1:34MIAMISS James 16' Jump Shot25
27.6%
27
72.4%
Q1 - 1:43MIAAllen Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)25
26.7%
27
73.3%
Q1 - 2:01HOUMotiejunas 8' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Parsons 2 AST)25
28.4%
26
71.6%
Q1 - 2:21HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)23
26.5%
26
73.5%
Q1 - 2:23MIAMISS Battier 24' 3PT Jump Shot23
26.0%
26
74.0%
Q1 - 2:37HOUParsons 1' Layup (2 PTS)23
24.9%
26
75.1%
Q1 - 2:41MIAJames Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4)21
23.1%
26
76.9%
Q1 - 2:48MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)21
21.7%
26
78.3%
Q1 - 2:49HOUMISS Harden 25' 3PT Jump Shot21
22.1%
26
77.9%
Q1 - 3:10MIAMISS Chalmers 1' Driving Layup21
22.7%
26
77.3%
Q1 - 3:10MIAHEAT Rebound21
23.2%
26
76.8%
Q1 - 3:10MIAAndersen Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)21
23.2%
26
76.8%
Q1 - 3:10MIAAndersen Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)21
23.6%
25
76.4%
Q1 - 3:14MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)21
24.7%
24
75.3%
Q1 - 3:15MIAMISS Allen 20' Jump Shot21
25.9%
24
74.1%
Q1 - 3:33HOUHoward 1' Alley Oop Dunk (8 PTS) (Parsons 1 AST)21
24.7%
24
75.3%
Q1 - 3:48MIABosh 5' Running Hook Shot (5 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)19
23.2%
24
76.8%
Q1 - 3:55HOUHarden Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)19
24.7%
22
75.3%
Q1 - 3:55HOUHarden Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)18
24.5%
22
75.5%
Q1 - 4:06MIABosh 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 1 AST)17
23.2%
22
76.8%
Q1 - 4:19MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
26.2%
19
73.8%
Q1 - 4:20HOUAndersen BLOCK (1 BLK)17
26.7%
19
73.3%
Q1 - 4:32MIAAndersen 4' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)17
28.1%
19
71.9%
Q1 - 4:59HOUHoward 1' Dunk (6 PTS) (Beverley 2 AST)17
29.7%
17
70.3%
Q1 - 5:22MIAJames 1' Dunk (9 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)15
28.0%
17
72.0%
Q1 - 5:34MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)15
29.6%
15
70.4%
Q1 - 5:35MIAMISS Wade 8' Floating Jump Shot15
30.9%
15
69.1%
Q1 - 5:38MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)15
29.6%
15
70.4%
Q1 - 5:39MIAMISS Wade 7' Jump Shot15
30.9%
15
69.1%
Q1 - 5:56HOUHarden Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)15
29.6%
15
70.4%
Q1 - 5:56HOUHarden Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)14
29.4%
15
70.6%
Q1 - 6:01HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
27.9%
15
72.1%
Q1 - 6:02MIAMISS Bosh 26' 3PT Jump Shot13
27.3%
15
72.7%
Q1 - 6:26HOUHarden 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)13
26.2%
15
73.8%
Q1 - 6:53MIAJames 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)10
23.4%
15
76.6%
Q1 - 7:11MIAHEAT Rebound10
26.1%
12
73.9%
Q1 - 7:12HOUMISS Harden 1' Layup10
26.6%
12
73.4%
Q1 - 7:15HOUParsons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
27.8%
12
72.2%
Q1 - 7:16MIAMISS Chalmers 3' Driving Layup10
27.3%
12
72.7%
Q1 - 7:28HOUJones 5' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Beverley 1 AST)10
26.1%
12
73.9%
Q1 - 7:43MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)8
24.8%
12
75.2%
Q1 - 7:43MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)8
25.1%
11
74.9%
Q1 - 7:53HOUJones 5' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)8
26.1%
10
73.9%
Q1 - 8:14MIAChalmers 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS)6
24.8%
10
75.2%
Q1 - 8:22HOUBosh STEAL (2 STL)6
26.1%
8
73.9%
Q1 - 8:40MIAWade 10' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS)6
27.7%
8
72.3%
Q1 - 8:59HOUHoward 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Harden 1 AST)6
29.0%
6
71.0%
Q1 - 9:04HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
27.7%
6
72.3%
Q1 - 9:05MIAMISS Oden 4' Hook Shot4
27.2%
6
72.8%
Q1 - 9:06MIAOden REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)4
26.2%
6
73.8%
Q1 - 9:07MIAMISS Chalmers 2' Reverse Layup4
27.2%
6
72.8%
Q1 - 9:20HOUJones 2' Driving Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
26.2%
6
73.8%
Q1 - 9:39MIAJames 1' Dunk (2 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)2
24.9%
6
75.1%
Q1 - 9:43HOUWade STEAL (1 STL)2
26.2%
4
73.8%
Q1 - 9:47MIAJames Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)2
27.7%
4
72.3%
Q1 - 9:55HOUBosh STEAL (1 STL)2
26.2%
4
73.8%
Q1 - 10:06MIAOden Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)2
27.7%
4
72.3%
Q1 - 10:08MIAOden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
26.3%
4
73.7%
Q1 - 10:09MIAMISS Chalmers 3PT Jump Shot2
27.3%
4
72.7%
Q1 - 10:28HOUHoward Driving Dunk (2 PTS)2
26.3%
4
73.7%
Q1 - 10:40MIAWade 1' Driving Dunk (2 PTS)0
25.1%
4
74.9%
Q1 - 10:55MIAOden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
26.2%
2
73.8%
Q1 - 10:56HOUMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 20
26.4%
2
73.6%
Q1 - 10:56HOUMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 20
27.1%
2
72.9%
Q1 - 11:06MIAChalmers 2' Driving Jump Shot (2 PTS)0
27.4%
2
72.6%
Q1 - 11:21MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
28.9%
0
71.1%
Q1 - 11:22HOUMISS Parsons 6' Driving Jump Shot0
29.3%
0
70.7%
Q1 - 11:45MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
30.2%
0
69.8%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Bosh vs. Howard: Tip to Wade0
28.9%
0
71.1%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

HOU
1.16 57.8%
MIA
1.22 60.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
HOU
23
36
64%
MIA
14
27
52%
Midrange
HOU
5
16
31%
MIA
17
29
59%
3PT | Effective 3PT
HOU
9
13.5
23
39%
59%
MIA
9
13.5
22
41%
61%
Free Throws
HOU
21
28
75%
MIA
24
29
83%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
HOU logo Rockets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Harden3068%15.0 / 22
D. Howard2170%10.5 / 15
P. Beverley1547%7.5 / 16
T. Jones1286%6.0 / 7
C. Parsons945%4.5 / 10
D. Motiejunas770%3.5 / 5
J. Lin643%3.0 / 7
O. Asik450%2.0 / 4
J. Hamilton0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Allen25104%12.5 / 12
L. James2457%12.0 / 21
D. Wade2467%12.0 / 18
C. Bosh1869%9.0 / 13
M. Chalmers638%3.0 / 8
C. Andersen675%3.0 / 4
N. Cole542%2.5 / 6
S. Battier5125%2.5 / 2
G. Oden0-0.0 / 2
T. Douglas0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

HOU
76
+14
-15
90
MIA
79
+14
-13
93
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

HOU
1.16 57.8%
MIA
1.22 60.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
110.9
110.7
HOU 114.3
MIA 122.8 +8.5
Pace
96.4
91.5
HOU 92.5 +2.1
MIA 90.5
Avg. Poss. Time
14.6
15.8
HOU 15.6 +0.4
MIA 15.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
53.1%
55.4%
HOU 55.3%
MIA 57.1% +1.8%
TO %
15.9%
15.4%
HOU 15.5%
MIA 13.4% +2.1%
ORB %
27.4%
20.6%
HOU 29.4% +6.8%
MIA 22.6%
FTrt
38.6
30.0
HOU 37.3 +0.1
MIA 37.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
56.3%
58.8%
HOU 48.6%
MIA 52.5% +3.9%
STL %
7.8%
9.7%
HOU 12.1% +2.3%
MIA 9.8%
BLK %
8.7%
8.1%
HOU 7.1% +1.3%
MIA 5.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.98 and 2.98.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.4%
57.5%
HOU 57.8%
MIA 60.8% +3.0%
Rim FG%
59.7%
66.7%
HOU 63.9% +12.0%
MIA 51.9%
Mid FG%
38.5%
42.8%
HOU 31.3%
MIA 58.6% +27.3%
3P %
35.8%
36.4%
HOU 39.1%
MIA 40.9% +1.8%
FT %
71.2%
76.0%
HOU 75.0%
MIA 82.8% +7.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
45.4%
38.3%
HOU 48.0% +13.4%
MIA 34.6%
Mid Att. %
21.6%
32.5%
HOU 21.3% +15.8%
MIA 37.2%
3P Att. %
33.0%
29.2%
HOU 30.7% +2.5%
MIA 28.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.36 and 3.36.
Game TotalsHOUMIA
Possessions9192
Possession Minutes23.624.4
Points104113
Rebounds3431
Assists1821
Steals119
Blocks43
Turnovers (Team)15 (1)13 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (4)7 (7)
Def. Rebounds (Team)24 (1)24 (3)
Field Goals37-7540-78
At-the-Rim FG23-3614-27
Midrange FG5-1617-29
2-Point FG28-5231-56
3-Point FG9-239-22
Free Throws21-2824-29
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'5" 220 · 25
43.2
30
68%
3
1
1
0
4
3
0
3
11-12
92%
2-4
50%
5-12
42%
F · 6'10" 230 · 25
37.9
9
45%
1
5
4
0
2
2
0
1
1-2
50%
4-8
50%
0-1
0%
C · 6'11" 265 · 28
37.8
21
70%
14
5
0
2
2
3
3
11
3-6
50%
9-12
75%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 185 · 26
36.3
15
47%
0
5
3
1
2
3
0
0
4-4
100%
4-9
44%
1-5
20%
F · 6'9" 252 · 22
24.6
12
86%
4
0
2
0
1
1
2
2
1-1
100%
4-6
67%
1-1
100%
G · 6'3" 200 · 26
25.6
6
43%
1
2
1
0
3
4
0
1
1-1
100%
1-5
20%
1-2
50%
F-C · 7'0" 220 · 23
17.2
7
70%
4
0
0
0
1
2
1
3
0-0
-
2-3
67%
1-2
50%
C · 7'0" 255 · 28
10.2
4
50%
6
0
0
0
0
1
4
2
0-2
0%
2-3
67%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 23
7.3
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 32
F · 6'9" 225 · 26
G · 6'0" 200 · 23
C · 6'10" 250 · 23
#30 · G · 6'4" 205 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#33 · F · 6'9" 225 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
104
58%
34
18
11
4
15
0
10
24
21-28
75%
28-52
54%
9-23
39%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.