FinalWin Prob.pScore
2020%99
111
180%111
107
ORTG#PossPace
DEN logo DEN
111.0100106.0
MIA logo MIA
107.010094.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDENMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0DEN111
100%
107
0%
Q4 - 0:04.0MIAChalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS)111
99.8%
107
0.2%
Q4 - 0:10.0DENFaried Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)111
99.8%
104
0.2%
Q4 - 0:10.0DENFaried Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)110
99.8%
104
0.2%
Q4 - 0:11.0DENFaried REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)109
99.6%
104
0.4%
Q4 - 0:12.0MIAMISS James 3PT Jump Shot109
99.4%
104
0.6%
Q4 - 0:16.0DENFoye Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)109
98.1%
104
1.9%
Q4 - 0:16.0DENFoye Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)108
97.9%
104
2.1%
Q4 - 0:17.0MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)107
96.2%
104
3.8%
Q4 - 0:17.0MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)107
96.8%
103
3.2%
Q4 - 0:19.0MIAHEAT Rebound107
98.1%
102
1.9%
Q4 - 0:21.0DENMISS Lawson Free Throw 2 of 2107
97.5%
102
2.5%
Q4 - 0:21.0DENLawson Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)107
98.6%
102
1.4%
Q4 - 0:25.0DENChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)106
96.8%
102
3.2%
Q4 - 0:26.0MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot106
95.5%
102
4.5%
Q4 - 0:33.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)106
90.4%
102
9.6%
Q4 - 0:34.0DENMISS Chandler 25' 3PT Jump Shot106
92.9%
102
7.1%
Q4 - 0:56.0DENFaried REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)106
91.2%
102
8.8%
Q4 - 0:57.0MIAMISS James Free Throw 2 of 2106
90.2%
102
9.8%
Q4 - 0:57.0MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)106
85.9%
102
14.1%
Q4 - 1:05DENFaried Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)106
89.1%
101
10.9%
Q4 - 1:05DENFaried Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)105
87.1%
101
12.9%
Q4 - 1:24MIABosh 1' Dunk (11 PTS) (Chalmers 6 AST)104
78.4%
101
21.6%
Q4 - 1:38MIAJump Ball Chalmers vs. Lawson: Tip to Bosh104
82.8%
99
17.2%
Q4 - 2:15MIAAllen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)104
88.2%
99
11.8%
Q4 - 2:28MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)104
94.5%
96
5.5%
Q4 - 2:29DENMISS Fournier 26' 3PT Jump Shot104
95.4%
96
4.6%
Q4 - 2:47MIAChalmers 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)104
96.9%
96
3.1%
Q4 - 2:53DENLawson Traveling Turnover (P5.T16)104
97.9%
93
2.1%
Q4 - 2:56MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T20)104
98.7%
93
1.3%
Q4 - 3:04MIABosh REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)104
97.9%
93
2.1%
Q4 - 3:05DENMISS Arthur 18' Jump Shot104
98.2%
93
1.8%
Q4 - 3:26MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)104
98.8%
93
1.2%
Q4 - 3:26MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 2104
98.9%
92
1.1%
Q4 - 3:27DENAllen STEAL (1 STL)104
98.7%
92
1.3%
Q4 - 3:31MIAJames Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T19)104
97.8%
92
2.2%
Q4 - 3:47DENChandler Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)104
97.1%
92
2.9%
Q4 - 4:02MIAJames 2' Driving Layup (18 PTS)100
92.2%
92
7.8%
Q4 - 4:21DENFaried 6' Turnaround Hook Shot (20 PTS) (Lawson 9 AST)100
94.4%
90
5.6%
Q4 - 4:40DENFaried REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)98
92.5%
90
7.5%
Q4 - 4:41MIAMISS James 1' Layup98
91.6%
90
8.4%
Q4 - 4:51DENArthur 18' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Fournier 4 AST)98
89.1%
90
10.9%
Q4 - 5:11MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#18)96
79.5%
90
20.5%
Q4 - 5:11MIAHEAT Rebound96
72.9%
90
27.1%
Q4 - 5:12MIAMISS Chalmers 21' Jump Shot96
77.6%
90
22.4%
Q4 - 5:35DENArthur 1' Driving Dunk (16 PTS)96
73.2%
90
26.8%
Q4 - 5:57MIAChalmers 2' Driving Layup (10 PTS)94
66.9%
90
33.1%
Q4 - 6:05MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)94
67.6%
88
32.4%
Q4 - 6:06DENMISS Fournier 1' Layup94
69.9%
88
30.1%
Q4 - 6:22MIABosh 1' Layup (9 PTS) (James 6 AST)94
74.8%
88
25.2%
Q4 - 6:40DENBosh STEAL (3 STL)94
79.6%
86
20.4%
Q4 - 6:56MIAAllen Free Throw 3 of 3 (19 PTS)94
84.7%
86
15.3%
Q4 - 6:56MIAAllen Free Throw 2 of 3 (18 PTS)94
85.1%
85
14.9%
Q4 - 6:56MIAAllen Free Throw 1 of 3 (17 PTS)94
85.5%
84
14.5%
Q4 - 7:09DENArthur Free Throw 3 of 3 (14 PTS)94
87.6%
83
12.4%
Q4 - 7:09DENArthur Free Throw 2 of 3 (13 PTS)93
87.0%
83
13.0%
Q4 - 7:09DENArthur Free Throw 1 of 3 (12 PTS)92
86.4%
83
13.6%
Q4 - 7:27MIAAllen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (James 5 AST)91
80.7%
83
19.3%
Q4 - 7:37MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)91
87.7%
80
12.3%
Q4 - 7:38DENMISS Fournier 1' Finger Roll Layup91
88.7%
80
11.3%
Q4 - 7:42DENFournier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)91
90.7%
80
9.3%
Q4 - 7:43DENMISS Brooks 21' Jump Shot91
88.7%
80
11.3%
Q4 - 8:04DENFournier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)91
87.8%
80
12.2%
Q4 - 8:05MIAMISS Cole 3PT Jump Shot91
87.0%
80
13.0%
Q4 - 8:24DENLawson Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P3.T13)91
85.0%
80
15.0%
Q4 - 8:32MIACole Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T17)91
88.0%
80
12.0%
Q4 - 8:53DENHickson 2' Layup (11 PTS) (Brooks 5 AST)91
85.1%
80
14.9%
Q4 - 9:07MIAWade 8' Driving Jump Shot (18 PTS)89
78.2%
80
21.8%
Q4 - 9:21MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)89
82.1%
78
17.9%
Q4 - 9:22DENMISS Lawson 25' 3PT Jump Shot89
83.1%
78
16.9%
Q4 - 9:44MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)89
85.4%
78
14.6%
Q4 - 9:44MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)89
85.9%
77
14.1%
Q4 - 9:53MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)89
88.2%
76
11.8%
Q4 - 9:54DENMISS Hickson 18' Jump Shot89
89.0%
76
11.0%
Q4 - 10:07DENHickson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)89
88.2%
76
11.8%
Q4 - 10:08MIAMISS Allen 26' 3PT Jump Shot89
87.5%
76
12.5%
Q4 - 10:27DENArthur 15' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Hickson 3 AST)89
85.7%
76
14.3%
Q4 - 10:46MIAAllen 2' Driving Layup (13 PTS)87
82.8%
76
17.2%
Q4 - 11:02MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)87
83.7%
74
16.3%
Q4 - 11:03DENMISS Hickson 10' Jump Shot87
84.6%
74
15.4%
Q4 - 11:22MIAAllen 27' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)87
86.6%
74
13.4%
Q4 - 11:47DENHickson 12' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Lawson 8 AST)87
90.8%
71
9.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA85
89.0%
71
11.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound85
86.6%
71
13.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Andersen 31' 3PT Jump Shot85
88.3%
71
11.7%
Q3 - 0:04.0DENFaried 1' Putback Dunk (18 PTS)85
84.6%
71
15.4%
Q3 - 0:05.0DENFaried REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)83
81.6%
71
18.4%
Q3 - 0:05.0DENMISS Fournier 11' Jump Bank Shot83
79.5%
71
20.5%
Q3 - 0:27.0MIAWade 1' Layup (16 PTS)83
81.7%
71
18.3%
Q3 - 0:48.0DENFoye 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS)83
84.8%
69
15.2%
Q3 - 1:09MIAJames 2' Finger Roll Layup (16 PTS) (Cole 1 AST)81
79.4%
69
20.6%
Q3 - 1:32DENHickson 2' Layup (7 PTS) (Lawson 7 AST)81
82.6%
67
17.4%
Q3 - 1:47DENHickson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)79
79.5%
67
20.5%
Q3 - 1:48MIAMISS James 26' 3PT Jump Shot79
78.6%
67
21.4%
Q3 - 2:05DENLawson Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)79
73.0%
67
27.0%
Q3 - 2:05DENLawson Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)78
72.4%
67
27.6%
Q3 - 2:30MIAChalmers 9' Running Bank Shot (8 PTS)77
69.6%
67
30.4%
Q3 - 2:41DENFaried 2' Layup (16 PTS) (Lawson 6 AST)77
73.3%
65
26.7%
Q3 - 3:03MIAAndersen 1' Alley Oop Dunk (14 PTS) (James 4 AST)75
67.2%
65
32.8%
Q3 - 3:11MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)75
70.7%
63
29.3%
Q3 - 3:12DENMISS Faried Free Throw 2 of 275
71.3%
63
28.7%
Q3 - 3:12DENFaried Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)75
73.2%
63
26.8%
Q3 - 3:17MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T16)74
71.1%
63
28.9%
Q3 - 3:26DENFournier 2' Driving Layup (14 PTS)74
67.0%
63
33.0%
Q3 - 3:55MIAAndersen Alley Oop Dunk (12 PTS) (Chalmers 5 AST)72
63.3%
63
36.7%
Q3 - 4:10MIAHEAT Rebound72
64.6%
61
35.4%
Q3 - 4:11DENAndersen BLOCK (4 BLK)72
66.1%
61
33.9%
Q3 - 4:22MIAAndersen 1' Reverse Layup (10 PTS) (Allen 2 AST)72
69.4%
61
30.6%
Q3 - 4:36DENJames STEAL (1 STL)72
72.2%
59
27.8%
Q3 - 4:42DENQ. Miller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)72
76.2%
59
23.8%
Q3 - 4:43MIAMISS James 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup72
75.0%
59
25.0%
Q3 - 5:05DENLawson 1' Running Dunk (10 PTS)72
70.2%
59
29.8%
Q3 - 5:10MIABosh Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T15)70
67.2%
59
32.8%
Q3 - 5:19DENNuggets Turnover: Shot Clock (T#11)70
62.9%
59
37.1%
Q3 - 5:19DENNuggets Rebound70
67.3%
59
32.7%
Q3 - 5:20DENMISS Lawson 19' Fadeaway Jumper70
64.3%
59
35.7%
Q3 - 5:45MIAAllen 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (James 3 AST)70
67.4%
59
32.6%
Q3 - 5:54MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)70
73.7%
56
26.3%
Q3 - 5:55DENMISS Foye 25' 3PT Jump Shot70
74.8%
56
25.2%
Q3 - 6:01DENNuggets Rebound70
74.7%
56
25.3%
Q3 - 6:02DENMISS Faried 14' Jump Shot70
72.3%
56
27.7%
Q3 - 6:11MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T14)70
74.8%
56
25.2%
Q3 - 6:32DENLawson 15' Jump Shot (8 PTS)70
71.4%
56
28.6%
Q3 - 6:44MIABosh Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T13)68
68.5%
56
31.5%
Q3 - 6:51MIABosh REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)68
64.5%
56
35.5%
Q3 - 6:52DENMISS Foye 26' 3PT Jump Shot68
65.8%
56
34.2%
Q3 - 7:00DENLawson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)68
68.5%
56
31.5%
Q3 - 7:01MIAMISS Wade 10' Turnaround Jump Shot68
65.0%
56
35.0%
Q3 - 7:09MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)68
62.4%
56
37.6%
Q3 - 7:10DENMISS Q. Miller 15' Jump Shot68
63.6%
56
36.4%
Q3 - 7:20DENFaried REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)68
66.2%
56
33.8%
Q3 - 7:21MIAMISS Bosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot68
65.1%
56
34.9%
Q3 - 7:31DENBosh STEAL (2 STL)68
62.4%
56
37.6%
Q3 - 7:44MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)68
66.3%
56
33.7%
Q3 - 7:44MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)68
67.1%
55
32.9%
Q3 - 7:54DENLawson Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)68
69.4%
54
30.6%
Q3 - 7:54DENLawson Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)67
68.8%
54
31.2%
Q3 - 7:58DENFaried REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)66
66.4%
54
33.6%
Q3 - 7:59MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot66
65.2%
54
34.8%
Q3 - 8:24DENMozgov Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)66
60.9%
54
39.1%
Q3 - 8:24DENMozgov Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)65
60.1%
54
39.9%
Q3 - 8:40DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)64
57.8%
54
42.2%
Q3 - 8:41MIAMISS Wade 9' Floating Jump Shot64
56.6%
54
43.4%
Q3 - 8:56DENChandler Foul Turnover (P2.T9)64
53.6%
54
46.4%
Q3 - 9:00DENLawson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)64
57.9%
54
42.1%
Q3 - 9:01MIAMISS James 8' Jump Bank Shot64
54.6%
54
45.4%
Q3 - 9:17DENFaried 5' Jump Bank Shot (13 PTS) (Chandler 2 AST)64
52.1%
54
47.9%
Q3 - 9:31DENFaried REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)62
48.6%
54
51.4%
Q3 - 9:32MIAMISS James Free Throw 2 of 262
48.1%
54
51.9%
Q3 - 9:32MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)62
45.7%
54
54.3%
Q3 - 9:33MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)62
48.4%
53
51.6%
Q3 - 9:34DENMISS Chandler 8' Jump Shot62
49.6%
53
50.4%
Q3 - 9:57MIABosh Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)62
52.3%
53
47.7%
Q3 - 10:05DENBattier STEAL (1 STL)62
46.5%
53
53.5%
Q3 - 10:09DENNuggets Rebound62
50.2%
53
49.8%
Q3 - 10:10DENMISS Mozgov 26' 3PT Jump Shot62
47.7%
53
52.3%
Q3 - 10:14DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)62
50.2%
53
49.8%
Q3 - 10:15MIAMISS Wade 15' Jump Shot62
49.1%
53
50.9%
Q3 - 10:33DENFaried 7' Jump Hook Shot (11 PTS)62
46.7%
53
53.3%
Q3 - 10:44DENLawson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)60
43.2%
53
56.8%
Q3 - 10:45MIAMISS Battier 24' 3PT Jump Shot60
42.1%
53
57.9%
Q3 - 10:55MIABosh REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)60
39.7%
53
60.3%
Q3 - 10:56DENMISS Chandler 9' Running Jump Shot60
40.8%
53
59.2%
Q3 - 11:07DENFaried REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)60
41.5%
53
58.5%
Q3 - 11:08MIAMISS Chalmers 3' Driving Layup60
40.5%
53
59.5%
Q3 - 11:28DENFaried 1' Running Dunk (9 PTS) (Lawson 5 AST)60
38.2%
53
61.8%
Q3 - 11:31MIABattier Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)58
35.1%
53
64.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0DEN58
31.9%
53
68.1%
Q2 - 0:18.0DENFournier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)58
33.7%
53
66.3%
Q2 - 0:19.0MIAMISS Wade 1' Layup58
33.0%
53
67.0%
Q2 - 0:33.0DENFournier 2' Layup (12 PTS) (Lawson 4 AST)58
31.5%
53
68.5%
Q2 - 0:39.0MIAAndersen Slam Dunk (8 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)56
28.1%
53
71.9%
Q2 - 0:48.0DENBrooks 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Lawson 3 AST)56
31.5%
51
68.5%
Q2 - 1:02MIAAllen 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)53
25.1%
51
74.9%
Q2 - 1:16MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)53
31.2%
48
68.8%
Q2 - 1:17DENMISS Fournier 2' Layup53
31.8%
48
68.2%
Q2 - 1:23DENHickson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)53
33.0%
48
67.0%
Q2 - 1:24MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot53
32.5%
48
67.5%
Q2 - 1:39DENFaried 1' Layup (7 PTS) (Lawson 2 AST)53
31.2%
48
68.8%
Q2 - 1:46MIAChalmers 1' Layup (6 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)51
27.6%
48
72.4%
Q2 - 2:04MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)51
29.9%
46
70.1%
Q2 - 2:05DENMISS Fournier 25' 3PT Jump Shot51
30.7%
46
69.3%
Q2 - 2:12DENNuggets Rebound51
32.7%
46
67.3%
Q2 - 2:13DENAndersen BLOCK (3 BLK)51
30.8%
46
69.2%
Q2 - 2:29MIAWade 9' Jump Shot (12 PTS)51
32.7%
46
67.3%
Q2 - 2:35MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)51
35.5%
44
64.5%
Q2 - 2:36MIAMISS Wade 2' Driving Layup51
37.5%
44
62.5%
Q2 - 2:48DENQ. Miller Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)51
35.5%
44
64.5%
Q2 - 2:49MIABosh Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T10)48
30.0%
44
70.0%
Q2 - 2:53MIABosh REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)48
27.5%
44
72.5%
Q2 - 2:54DENAndersen BLOCK (2 BLK)48
28.3%
44
71.7%
Q2 - 3:03DENFournier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)48
29.3%
44
70.7%
Q2 - 3:04MIAMISS Allen 24' 3PT Jump Shot48
28.4%
44
71.6%
Q2 - 3:18MIAHEAT Rebound48
26.4%
44
73.6%
Q2 - 3:19MIAMISS Bosh 1' Driving Layup48
28.4%
44
71.6%
Q2 - 3:39DENHickson 1' Dunk (5 PTS) (Brooks 4 AST)48
26.4%
44
73.6%
Q2 - 3:45MIAChalmers 6' Jump Shot (4 PTS)46
24.6%
44
75.4%
Q2 - 4:01DENArthur 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Brooks 3 AST)46
25.8%
42
74.2%
Q2 - 4:22MIABosh 16' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST)43
21.7%
42
78.3%
Q2 - 4:29MIABosh REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)43
23.7%
40
76.3%
Q2 - 4:30MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot43
25.2%
40
74.8%
Q2 - 4:36MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)43
23.7%
40
76.3%
Q2 - 4:37MIAMISS Bosh 5' Jump Shot43
25.2%
40
74.8%
Q2 - 4:51DENFournier 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Brooks 2 AST)43
23.7%
40
76.3%
Q2 - 4:58DENHickson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)40
19.8%
40
80.2%
Q2 - 4:59MIAMISS Bosh 3PT Jump Shot40
19.3%
40
80.7%
Q2 - 5:20DENQ. Miller 1' Running Dunk (2 PTS) (Brooks 1 AST)40
17.9%
40
82.1%
Q2 - 5:23MIAChalmers Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)38
16.3%
40
83.7%
Q2 - 5:43DENBrooks 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Hickson 2 AST)38
14.8%
40
85.2%
Q2 - 5:56DENQ. Miller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
12.1%
40
87.9%
Q2 - 5:57MIAMISS James 8' Turnaround Jump Shot35
11.8%
40
88.2%
Q2 - 6:18DENHickson Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)35
11.0%
40
89.0%
Q2 - 6:18DENMISS Hickson Free Throw 1 of 234
10.6%
40
89.4%
Q2 - 6:18DENHickson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)34
11.2%
40
88.8%
Q2 - 6:19DENMISS Brooks 25' 3PT Jump Shot34
10.3%
40
89.7%
Q2 - 6:29MIAOden Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T8)34
11.2%
40
88.8%
Q2 - 6:46DENArthur 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Hickson 1 AST)34
10.0%
40
90.0%
Q2 - 6:54DENHickson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)32
9.2%
40
90.8%
Q2 - 6:55MIAMISS Cole 26' 3PT Jump Shot32
8.9%
40
91.1%
Q2 - 7:11DENFournier 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (7 PTS)32
8.3%
40
91.7%
Q2 - 7:29MIABosh 3' Driving Layup (3 PTS)30
7.6%
40
92.4%
Q2 - 7:53DENFournier 27' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)30
8.3%
38
91.7%
Q2 - 8:07MIAOden Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)27
7.0%
38
93.0%
Q2 - 8:40DENBrooks 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Fournier 3 AST)27
6.3%
38
93.7%
Q2 - 8:54MIAJames 5' Driving Bank Shot (13 PTS)24
5.2%
38
94.8%
Q2 - 9:15DENBrooks Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)24
5.8%
36
94.2%
Q2 - 9:26MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T6)24
6.4%
36
93.6%
Q2 - 9:46DENHickson Dunk (2 PTS) (Fournier 2 AST)24
5.8%
36
94.2%
Q2 - 9:57DENNuggets Rebound22
5.3%
36
94.7%
Q2 - 9:58DENAndersen BLOCK (1 BLK)22
4.9%
36
95.1%
Q2 - 10:10MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#5)22
5.5%
36
94.5%
Q2 - 10:10MIAHEAT Rebound22
4.9%
36
95.1%
Q2 - 10:11MIAMISS Beasley 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup22
5.3%
36
94.7%
Q2 - 10:35MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
4.9%
36
95.1%
Q2 - 10:36DENMISS Fournier 25' 3PT Jump Shot22
5.0%
36
95.0%
Q2 - 10:48MIABeasley 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS)22
5.4%
36
94.6%
Q2 - 11:12DENArthur 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS)22
6.1%
34
93.9%
Q2 - 11:23MIAAndersen 1' Tip Shot (6 PTS)20
5.6%
34
94.4%
Q2 - 11:24MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)20
6.1%
32
93.9%
Q2 - 11:25MIAMISS James 7' Running Jump Shot20
6.5%
32
93.5%
Q2 - 11:31MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
6.1%
32
93.9%
Q2 - 11:32DENMISS Arthur 18' Jump Shot20
6.3%
32
93.7%
Q2 - 11:46MIAAllen 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 2 AST)20
6.7%
32
93.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0DEN20
7.3%
30
92.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)20
8.0%
30
92.0%
Q1 - 0:04.0DENNuggets Turnover: Shot Clock (T#6)20
7.5%
30
92.5%
Q1 - 0:28.0DENFournier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
8.0%
30
92.0%
Q1 - 0:29.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 120
8.0%
30
92.0%
Q1 - 0:43.0DENChandler 5' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Lawson 1 AST)20
8.9%
28
91.1%
Q1 - 0:48.0DENLawson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)18
8.0%
28
92.0%
Q1 - 0:50.0MIAMISS Wade 5' Driving Jump Shot18
7.9%
28
92.1%
Q1 - 1:06DENFournier 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)18
7.6%
28
92.4%
Q1 - 1:11DENFournier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
6.8%
28
93.2%
Q1 - 1:12MIAMISS Beasley 26' 3PT Jump Shot16
6.7%
28
93.3%
Q1 - 1:21MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
6.4%
28
93.6%
Q1 - 1:22DENMISS Chandler 24' 3PT Jump Shot16
6.5%
28
93.5%
Q1 - 1:36MIAAndersen Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)16
6.8%
28
93.2%
Q1 - 1:36MIAAndersen Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)16
7.0%
27
93.0%
Q1 - 1:36MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)16
7.6%
26
92.4%
Q1 - 1:37MIAMISS Wade 1' Layup16
7.9%
26
92.1%
Q1 - 1:53MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
7.6%
26
92.4%
Q1 - 1:54DENMISS Arthur 20' Jump Shot16
7.7%
26
92.3%
Q1 - 2:07MIAWade 1' Driving Layup (8 PTS)16
8.3%
26
91.7%
Q1 - 2:20DENLawson Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)16
9.0%
24
91.0%
Q1 - 2:20DENLawson Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)15
8.9%
24
91.1%
Q1 - 2:24MIABeasley 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS)14
8.3%
24
91.7%
Q1 - 2:41DENLawson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)14
9.0%
22
91.0%
Q1 - 2:54MIAAllen Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)14
9.7%
22
90.3%
Q1 - 3:06DENArthur 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Fournier 1 AST)14
8.9%
22
91.1%
Q1 - 3:28MIAAndersen 1' Dunk (2 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)12
8.3%
22
91.7%
Q1 - 3:43DENLawson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)12
8.9%
20
91.1%
Q1 - 3:43DENLawson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)11
8.8%
20
91.2%
Q1 - 3:52MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)10
8.3%
20
91.7%
Q1 - 3:56MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)10
9.7%
17
90.3%
Q1 - 3:57DENMISS Foye 24' 3PT Jump Shot10
9.9%
17
90.1%
Q1 - 4:02DENHickson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)10
10.5%
17
89.5%
Q1 - 4:03DENMISS Chandler 24' 3PT Jump Shot10
9.9%
17
90.1%
Q1 - 4:15DENHickson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
10.5%
17
89.5%
Q1 - 4:16MIAMISS Bosh 24' 3PT Jump Shot10
10.2%
17
89.8%
Q1 - 4:26MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
9.6%
17
90.4%
Q1 - 4:27DENMISS Faried 1' Tip Shot10
9.9%
17
90.1%
Q1 - 4:28DENFaried REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)10
10.5%
17
89.5%
Q1 - 4:30DENMISS Hickson 12' Jump Shot10
9.9%
17
90.1%
Q1 - 4:45DENHickson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
10.5%
17
89.5%
Q1 - 4:46MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 2 of 210
10.4%
17
89.6%
Q1 - 4:46MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)10
9.8%
17
90.2%
Q1 - 4:46MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
10.4%
16
89.6%
Q1 - 4:47MIAMISS Wade 1' Reverse Layup10
11.0%
16
89.0%
Q1 - 4:57DENFoye 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Mozgov 1 AST)10
10.4%
16
89.6%
Q1 - 5:00DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)7
9.0%
16
91.0%
Q1 - 5:01DENMISS Chandler 9' Jump Shot7
8.7%
16
91.3%
Q1 - 5:21MIAJames 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS)7
9.2%
16
90.8%
Q1 - 5:32DENMozgov Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)7
9.8%
14
90.2%
Q1 - 5:33DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)7
10.7%
14
89.3%
Q1 - 5:34DENBattier BLOCK (1 BLK)7
10.1%
14
89.9%
Q1 - 5:54MIAWade 4' Jump Shot (6 PTS)7
10.6%
14
89.4%
Q1 - 5:56MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)7
11.4%
12
88.6%
Q1 - 5:57MIAMISS Wade 9' Jump Bank Shot7
12.0%
12
88.0%
Q1 - 6:13MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
11.4%
12
88.6%
Q1 - 6:14DENMISS Faried 6' Jump Shot7
11.6%
12
88.4%
Q1 - 6:31MIAWade 8' Turnaround Hook Shot (4 PTS) (James 1 AST)7
12.3%
12
87.7%
Q1 - 6:51DENMozgov 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Chandler 1 AST)7
13.1%
10
86.9%
Q1 - 7:13MIAJames 1' Driving Layup (6 PTS)5
12.2%
10
87.8%
Q1 - 7:28DENBosh STEAL (1 STL)5
12.9%
8
87.1%
Q1 - 7:34DENChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)5
13.9%
8
86.1%
Q1 - 7:35MIAMISS Bosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot5
13.6%
8
86.4%
Q1 - 7:43MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)5
12.9%
8
87.1%
Q1 - 7:44DENMISS Foye 22' Jump Shot5
13.2%
8
86.8%
Q1 - 8:08MIAJames 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)5
13.7%
8
86.3%
Q1 - 8:12MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
14.6%
6
85.4%
Q1 - 8:13DENMISS Lawson 20' Jump Shot5
14.9%
6
85.1%
Q1 - 8:17DENLawson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)5
15.6%
6
84.4%
Q1 - 8:17DENMISS Foye 25' 3PT Jump Shot5
14.9%
6
85.1%
Q1 - 8:24DENChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
15.6%
6
84.4%
Q1 - 8:26MIAMISS Bosh 5' Jump Shot5
15.3%
6
84.7%
Q1 - 8:35MIABattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
14.6%
6
85.4%
Q1 - 8:36DENMISS Lawson 20' Jump Shot5
14.9%
6
85.1%
Q1 - 8:52MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)5
15.6%
6
84.4%
Q1 - 9:08DENFaried Alley Oop Dunk (5 PTS) (Foye 1 AST)5
14.5%
6
85.5%
Q1 - 9:12DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)3
13.7%
6
86.3%
Q1 - 9:13MIAMISS Bosh 10' Jump Shot3
13.4%
6
86.6%
Q1 - 9:24DENFaried Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)3
12.8%
6
87.2%
Q1 - 9:38MIAWade 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)3
13.7%
6
86.3%
Q1 - 9:42MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
14.5%
4
85.5%
Q1 - 9:43DENMISS Mozgov 7' Jump Bank Shot3
14.8%
4
85.2%
Q1 - 10:06MIAJames Running Dunk (2 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)3
15.4%
4
84.6%
Q1 - 10:10DENChalmers STEAL (1 STL)3
16.2%
2
83.8%
Q1 - 10:22MIAChalmers 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS)3
17.3%
2
82.7%
Q1 - 10:39DENFaried Tip Shot (3 PTS)3
18.2%
0
81.8%
Q1 - 10:40DENFaried REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)1
17.3%
0
82.7%
Q1 - 10:41DENMISS Faried 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup1
16.6%
0
83.4%
Q1 - 10:46MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)1
17.3%
0
82.7%
Q1 - 11:10DENFaried Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)1
16.1%
0
83.9%
Q1 - 11:10DENMISS Faried Free Throw 1 of 20
15.8%
0
84.2%
Q1 - 11:23DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
16.0%
0
84.0%
Q1 - 11:24MIAMISS Wade 6' Turnaround Jump Shot0
15.7%
0
84.3%
Q1 - 11:37MIAHEAT Rebound0
15.2%
0
84.8%
Q1 - 11:38DENMISS Faried 2' Driving Layup0
15.4%
0
84.6%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Bosh vs. Mozgov: Tip to Chandler0
16.0%
0
84.0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.11 55.5%
MIA
1.15 57.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DEN
21
32
66%
MIA
26
38
68%
Midrange
DEN
10
29
34%
MIA
9
19
47%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DEN
8
12.0
21
38%
57%
MIA
7
10.5
24
29%
44%
Free Throws
DEN
25
29
86%
MIA
16
21
76%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Faried2463%12.0 / 19
D. Arthur1875%9.0 / 12
E. Fournier1450%7.0 / 14
T. Lawson1354%6.5 / 12
J. Hickson1155%5.5 / 10
A. Brooks990%4.5 / 5
R. Foye744%3.5 / 8
W. Chandler638%3.0 / 8
Q. Miller583%2.5 / 3
T. Mozgov450%2.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Allen22110%11.0 / 10
L. James2153%10.5 / 20
D. Wade1948%9.5 / 20
M. Chalmers1673%8.0 / 11
C. Andersen1488%7.0 / 8
C. Bosh1139%5.5 / 14
M. Beasley450%2.0 / 4
S. Battier0-0.0 / 1
N. Cole0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DEN
85
+14
-15
99
MIA
82
+11
-18
93
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.11 55.5%
MIA
1.15 57.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.3
110.7
DEN 111.0 +4.0
MIA 107.0
Pace
97.8
91.5
DEN 106.0 +11.3
MIA 94.7
Avg. Poss. Time
14.2
15.8
DEN 13.6 +1.6
MIA 15.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.7%
55.4%
DEN 52.4%
MIA 56.2% +3.8%
TO %
15.7%
15.4%
DEN 15.2% +2.9%
MIA 18.1%
ORB %
27.5%
20.6%
DEN 24.3% +6.4%
MIA 17.9%
FTrt
30.6
30.0
DEN 35.4 +9.5
MIA 25.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.4%
58.8%
DEN 66.7% +11.9%
MIA 54.8%
STL %
7.6%
9.7%
DEN 13.0% +5.0%
MIA 8.0%
BLK %
8.6%
8.1%
DEN 3.5%
MIA 8.2% +4.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.51 and 2.51.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.2%
57.5%
DEN 55.5%
MIA 57.5% +2.0%
Rim FG%
57.6%
66.7%
DEN 65.6%
MIA 68.4% +2.8%
Mid FG%
36.2%
42.8%
DEN 34.5%
MIA 47.4% +12.9%
3P %
35.8%
36.4%
DEN 38.1% +8.9%
MIA 29.2%
FT %
72.6%
76.0%
DEN 86.2% +10.0%
MIA 76.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
40.2%
38.3%
DEN 39.0%
MIA 46.9% +7.9%
Mid Att. %
32.0%
32.5%
DEN 35.4%
MIA 23.5% +11.9%
3P Att. %
27.8%
29.2%
DEN 25.6%
MIA 29.6% +4.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.71 and 2.71.
Game TotalsDENMIA
Possessions100100
Possession Minutes22.625.4
Points111107
Rebounds4135
Assists2623
Steals138
Blocks25
Turnovers (Team)15 (2)18 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (5)7 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)32 (0)28 (3)
Field Goals39-8242-81
At-the-Rim FG21-3226-38
Midrange FG10-299-19
2-Point FG31-6135-57
3-Point FG8-217-24
Free Throws25-2916-21
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 5'11" 195 · 26
38.5
13
54%
5
9
4
0
6
1
1
4
9-10
90%
2-6
33%
0-1
0%
F · 6'8" 228 · 24
30.1
24
63%
10
1
3
0
2
2
3
7
6-8
75%
9-15
60%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 218 · 30
24.0
7
44%
0
1
0
0
1
2
0
0
2-2
100%
1-2
50%
1-5
20%
F · 6'9" 225 · 27
21.9
6
38%
3
2
0
0
2
4
0
3
1-1
100%
1-4
25%
1-4
25%
C · 7'1" 275 · 28
16.0
4
50%
6
1
0
1
1
1
2
4
2-2
100%
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 21
30.4
14
50%
6
4
1
0
0
3
1
5
0-0
-
4-9
44%
2-5
40%
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 26
26.0
11
55%
9
3
0
1
0
2
2
7
1-2
50%
5-9
56%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 235 · 26
23.8
18
75%
0
0
4
0
1
3
0
0
3-3
100%
6-10
60%
1-1
100%
G · 6'0" 161 · 29
15.1
9
90%
0
5
0
0
1
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
3-4
75%
F · 6'9" 210 · 21
14.2
5
83%
2
0
1
0
1
1
0
2
1-1
100%
2-3
67%
0-0
-
F · 7'0" 242 · 24
G · 5'9" 180 · 30
· 6'10" 225 · 25
#8 · F · 6'10" 225 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#34 · C · 7'0" 270 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
111
56%
41
26
13
2
15
0
9
32
25-29
86%
31-61
51%
8-21
38%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.