FinalWin Prob.pScore
1041%98
94
859%101
105
ORTG#PossPace
IND logo IND
104.49086.0
DAL logo DAL
118.08993.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MavericksPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MavericksPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventINDDAL
Q4 - 0:00.0DAL94
0%
105
100%
Q4 - 0:21.0DALHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)94
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:23.0INDMISS George 25' 3PT Jump Shot94
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:33.0DALHarris 25' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Ellis 2 AST)94
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:53.0INDGeorge Free Throw 2 of 2 (27 PTS)94
0.3%
102
99.7%
Q4 - 0:53.0INDGeorge Free Throw 1 of 2 (26 PTS)93
0.3%
102
99.7%
Q4 - 0:56.0DALEllis 19' Fadeaway Jumper (20 PTS)92
0.2%
102
99.8%
Q4 - 1:18DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)92
0.6%
100
99.4%
Q4 - 1:18INDMISS G. Hill 18' Jump Shot92
0.8%
100
99.2%
Q4 - 1:26DALEllis 20' Pullup Jump Shot (18 PTS)92
1.4%
100
98.6%
Q4 - 1:40INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)92
2.9%
98
97.1%
Q4 - 1:40INDGeorge 2' Putback Layup (25 PTS)92
2.9%
98
97.1%
Q4 - 1:40INDMISS G. Hill 2' Driving Reverse Layup90
1.3%
98
98.7%
Q4 - 2:02DALHarris Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)90
2.4%
98
97.6%
Q4 - 2:02DALHarris Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)90
2.7%
97
97.3%
Q4 - 2:10INDHarris STEAL (4 STL)90
3.5%
96
96.5%
Q4 - 2:24DALEllis Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)90
6.3%
96
93.7%
Q4 - 2:24DALEllis Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)90
6.9%
95
93.1%
Q4 - 2:37INDG. Hill Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)90
8.7%
94
91.3%
Q4 - 2:37INDMISS G. Hill Free Throw 1 of 289
8.1%
94
91.9%
Q4 - 2:46INDPacers Rebound89
9.9%
94
90.1%
Q4 - 2:48DALMISS Nowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot89
8.3%
94
91.7%
Q4 - 2:57DALEllis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)89
6.7%
94
93.3%
Q4 - 2:58INDMISS West 3' Layup89
7.8%
94
92.2%
Q4 - 3:11DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)89
11.0%
94
89.0%
Q4 - 3:11DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)89
11.4%
93
88.6%
Q4 - 3:24DALDalembert REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)89
14.6%
92
85.4%
Q4 - 3:26INDMISS George 19' Jump Shot89
16.9%
92
83.1%
Q4 - 3:42DALNowitzki Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T10)89
24.7%
92
75.3%
Q4 - 4:02INDWest 3' Driving Layup (8 PTS) (G. Hill 3 AST)89
17.5%
92
82.5%
Q4 - 4:17DALHarris Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)87
12.9%
92
87.1%
Q4 - 4:20INDEllis STEAL (1 STL)87
23.5%
89
76.5%
Q4 - 4:31DALHarris Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)87
31.8%
89
68.2%
Q4 - 4:47DALMAVERICKS Rebound87
23.4%
89
76.6%
Q4 - 4:47INDMISS G. Hill 25' 3PT Jump Shot87
25.8%
89
74.2%
Q4 - 5:02INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)87
32.8%
89
67.2%
Q4 - 5:03DALMISS Nowitzki 20' Jump Shot87
30.4%
89
69.6%
Q4 - 5:17INDGeorge Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)87
25.2%
89
74.8%
Q4 - 5:17INDGeorge Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)86
24.3%
89
75.7%
Q4 - 5:40DALDalembert Backcourt Turnover (P2.T8)85
19.8%
89
80.2%
Q4 - 5:55INDStephenson 25' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot (21 PTS)85
14.6%
89
85.4%
Q4 - 6:10INDWest REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)82
10.0%
89
90.0%
Q4 - 6:12DALCarter REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)82
7.3%
89
92.7%
Q4 - 6:12DALMISS Carter 3' Fadeaway Jumper82
9.1%
89
90.9%
Q4 - 6:14DALCarter REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)82
7.3%
89
92.7%
Q4 - 6:14DALMISS Carter 1' Tip Shot82
9.1%
89
90.9%
Q4 - 6:15DALMISS Ellis 22' Jump Shot82
9.1%
89
90.9%
Q4 - 6:39INDGeorge Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)82
7.3%
89
92.7%
Q4 - 6:39INDGeorge Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)81
7.0%
89
93.0%
Q4 - 7:00DALDalembert 1' Alley Oop Dunk (8 PTS) (Calderon 7 AST)80
5.6%
89
94.4%
Q4 - 7:19INDG. Hill 3' Layup (19 PTS) (Stephenson 3 AST)80
8.7%
87
91.3%
Q4 - 7:21INDGeorge Free Throw Technical (19 PTS)78
6.9%
87
93.1%
Q4 - 7:33DALCarter 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Calderon 6 AST)77
5.3%
87
94.7%
Q4 - 7:50INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)77
8.6%
84
91.4%
Q4 - 7:50INDHibbert 6' Hook Shot (14 PTS)77
8.6%
84
91.4%
Q4 - 7:52INDMISS George 26' 3PT Jump Shot75
5.6%
84
94.4%
Q4 - 8:13INDScola REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)75
8.0%
84
92.0%
Q4 - 8:15DALMISS Calderon 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot75
7.4%
84
92.6%
Q4 - 8:37INDNowitzki STEAL (2 STL)75
6.2%
84
93.8%
Q4 - 8:57DALCalderon 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Harris 5 AST)75
7.9%
84
92.1%
Q4 - 9:07DALCarter REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)75
13.9%
81
86.1%
Q4 - 9:12DALMISS Nowitzki 16' Jump Shot75
16.0%
81
84.0%
Q4 - 9:41INDHibbert 6' Jump Hook Shot (12 PTS) (Turner 3 AST)75
13.8%
81
86.2%
Q4 - 9:51INDTurner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)73
11.2%
81
88.8%
Q4 - 9:52DALMISS Harris 19' Jump Shot73
10.4%
81
89.6%
Q4 - 10:10INDScola Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T18)73
9.9%
81
90.1%
Q4 - 10:27DALWright 6' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Harris 4 AST)73
12.1%
81
87.9%
Q4 - 10:38DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)73
14.7%
79
85.3%
Q4 - 10:41INDMISS Turner 1' Driving Reverse Layup73
15.6%
79
84.4%
Q4 - 11:04INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)73
18.7%
79
81.3%
Q4 - 11:05DALMISS Carter Free Throw 2 of 273
18.2%
79
81.8%
Q4 - 11:05DALCarter Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)73
16.1%
79
83.9%
Q4 - 11:27INDTurner 11' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)73
18.6%
78
81.4%
Q4 - 11:48DALWright 2' Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Harris 3 AST)71
15.5%
78
84.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0IND71
18.5%
76
81.5%
Q3 - 0:06.0INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)71
22.7%
76
77.3%
Q3 - 0:07.0DALMISS Harris 24' 3PT Jump Shot71
21.7%
76
78.3%
Q3 - 0:26.0INDGeorge 2' Layup (18 PTS)71
19.4%
76
80.6%
Q3 - 0:41.0INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)69
16.3%
76
83.7%
Q3 - 0:44.0DALMISS Nowitzki 4' Floating Jump Shot69
15.5%
76
84.5%
Q3 - 0:58.0INDCarter STEAL (1 STL)69
13.8%
76
86.2%
Q3 - 1:01DALNowitzki Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)69
17.0%
76
83.0%
Q3 - 1:05INDNowitzki STEAL (1 STL)69
14.5%
76
85.5%
Q3 - 1:19DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)69
17.0%
76
83.0%
Q3 - 1:19DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)69
17.2%
75
82.8%
Q3 - 1:19DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)69
20.0%
74
80.0%
Q3 - 1:20INDG. Hill REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)69
23.2%
74
76.8%
Q3 - 1:20INDMISS G. Hill 3' Layup69
21.0%
74
79.0%
Q3 - 1:23INDMISS G. Hill 7' Running Jump Shot69
21.0%
74
79.0%
Q3 - 1:28DALWright Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)69
23.2%
74
76.8%
Q3 - 1:39DALWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)69
20.0%
74
80.0%
Q3 - 1:40INDMISS West Free Throw 2 of 269
20.4%
74
79.6%
Q3 - 1:40INDWest Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)69
22.7%
74
77.3%
Q3 - 1:54DALHarris Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)68
19.9%
74
80.1%
Q3 - 1:54DALMISS Harris Free Throw 1 of 268
20.5%
73
79.5%
Q3 - 2:13INDG. Hill 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Turner 2 AST)68
20.4%
73
79.6%
Q3 - 2:19INDWest REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)65
15.1%
73
84.9%
Q3 - 2:21INDMISS G. Hill 26' 3PT Jump Shot65
13.4%
73
86.6%
Q3 - 2:37INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)65
15.1%
73
84.9%
Q3 - 2:39DALMISS Blair 2' Running Reverse Layup65
14.3%
73
85.7%
Q3 - 2:59INDG. Hill 27' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (West 3 AST)65
12.7%
73
87.3%
Q3 - 3:29DALHarris 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Carter 3 AST)62
9.9%
73
90.1%
Q3 - 3:44DALCarter REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)62
13.4%
70
86.6%
Q3 - 3:46DALMISS Ellis 25' 3PT Jump Shot62
15.0%
70
85.0%
Q3 - 4:02INDG. Hill 2' Driving Layup (11 PTS)62
13.9%
70
86.1%
Q3 - 4:17DALHarris 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Blair 3 AST)60
12.3%
70
87.7%
Q3 - 4:27INDBlair STEAL (1 STL)60
16.0%
67
84.0%
Q3 - 4:30INDButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)60
19.0%
67
81.0%
Q3 - 4:33DALMISS Carter 3' Running Layup60
18.1%
67
81.9%
Q3 - 4:47INDHarris STEAL (3 STL)60
16.0%
67
84.0%
Q3 - 5:05INDWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)60
19.4%
67
80.6%
Q3 - 5:06DALMISS Blair Free Throw 2 of 260
19.0%
67
81.0%
Q3 - 5:06DALMISS Blair Free Throw 1 of 260
17.6%
67
82.4%
Q3 - 5:15INDHibbert 4' Running Hook Shot (10 PTS)60
16.6%
67
83.4%
Q3 - 5:32INDPacers Rebound58
14.7%
67
85.3%
Q3 - 5:32DALMISS Ellis Free Throw 2 of 258
14.4%
67
85.6%
Q3 - 5:32DALEllis Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)58
13.1%
67
86.9%
Q3 - 5:32DALEllis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)58
14.4%
66
85.6%
Q3 - 5:34DALMISS Marion 1' Running Dunk58
16.1%
66
83.9%
Q3 - 5:38DALEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)58
14.4%
66
85.6%
Q3 - 5:40INDMISS Butler 3PT Jump Shot58
15.1%
66
84.9%
Q3 - 5:51DALEllis Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)58
16.9%
66
83.1%
Q3 - 5:51DALEllis Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)58
17.3%
65
82.7%
Q3 - 5:57INDHarris STEAL (2 STL)58
18.9%
64
81.1%
Q3 - 6:09DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)58
22.5%
64
77.5%
Q3 - 6:09DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)58
22.7%
63
77.3%
Q3 - 6:09DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)58
25.0%
62
75.0%
Q3 - 6:11DALMISS Ellis 1' Layup58
27.4%
62
72.6%
Q3 - 6:15INDHarris STEAL (1 STL)58
25.0%
62
75.0%
Q3 - 6:26DALEllis Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)58
28.5%
62
71.5%
Q3 - 6:26DALEllis Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)58
29.1%
61
70.9%
Q3 - 6:29DALEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)58
31.5%
60
68.5%
Q3 - 6:31INDMISS West 1' Reverse Dunk58
32.6%
60
67.4%
Q3 - 6:41DALBlair 1' Layup (5 PTS) (Harris 2 AST)58
35.4%
60
64.6%
Q3 - 6:55DALMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)58
38.7%
58
61.3%
Q3 - 6:56INDMISS West Free Throw 2 of 258
39.3%
58
60.7%
Q3 - 6:56INDWest Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)58
41.9%
58
58.1%
Q3 - 7:12DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)57
38.8%
58
61.2%
Q3 - 7:20DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)57
46.0%
55
54.0%
Q3 - 7:21INDMISS Stephenson 3' Driving Layup57
47.2%
55
52.8%
Q3 - 7:25INDG. Hill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)57
50.2%
55
49.8%
Q3 - 7:28DALMISS Ellis 2' Driving Layup57
48.9%
55
51.1%
Q3 - 7:48INDG. Hill 4' Running Jump Shot (9 PTS)57
46.0%
55
54.0%
Q3 - 8:14DALEllis 1' Layup (9 PTS)55
42.4%
55
57.6%
Q3 - 8:15DALEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)55
45.6%
53
54.4%
Q3 - 8:17INDMarion BLOCK (2 BLK)55
46.9%
53
53.1%
Q3 - 8:18INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)55
49.9%
53
50.1%
Q3 - 8:21INDMISS G. Hill 3' Driving Layup55
46.9%
53
53.1%
Q3 - 8:45DALCalderon 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Nowitzki 1 AST)55
49.9%
53
50.1%
Q3 - 8:58DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)55
56.8%
50
43.2%
Q3 - 8:58INDMISS G. Hill Free Throw 2 of 255
57.4%
50
42.6%
Q3 - 8:58INDG. Hill Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)55
60.0%
50
40.0%
Q3 - 9:12DALBlair 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T5)54
56.3%
50
43.7%
Q3 - 9:32INDGeorge 2' Reverse Layup (16 PTS)54
52.6%
50
47.4%
Q3 - 9:34INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)52
49.1%
50
50.9%
Q3 - 9:36INDMISS West 4' Running Jump Shot52
46.5%
50
53.5%
Q3 - 9:39INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)52
49.1%
50
50.9%
Q3 - 9:41INDMISS West 15' Jump Shot52
46.5%
50
53.5%
Q3 - 9:44INDG. Hill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)52
49.1%
50
50.9%
Q3 - 9:46INDMarion BLOCK (1 BLK)52
46.5%
50
53.5%
Q3 - 10:08DALDalembert Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)52
48.6%
50
51.4%
Q3 - 10:08DALDalembert REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)52
45.0%
50
55.0%
Q3 - 10:11DALMISS Dalembert 4' Hook Shot52
47.5%
50
52.5%
Q3 - 10:23INDGeorge Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)52
45.0%
50
55.0%
Q3 - 10:23INDGeorge Free Throw Technical (13 PTS)51
45.0%
50
55.0%
Q3 - 10:44INDWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)48
34.8%
50
65.2%
Q3 - 10:45DALMISS Nowitzki 15' Jump Shot48
33.8%
50
66.2%
Q3 - 11:00INDHibbert Traveling Turnover (P2.T11)48
31.6%
50
68.4%
Q3 - 11:24DALMarion 6' Running Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Calderon 4 AST)48
34.9%
50
65.1%
Q3 - 11:46INDGeorge 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (G. Hill 2 AST)48
38.0%
48
62.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0DAL45
31.8%
48
68.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0DALMAVERICKS Rebound45
28.8%
48
71.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0DALMISS Ellis 29' 3PT Running Jump Shot45
30.9%
48
69.1%
Q2 - 0:09.0INDStephenson 3' Running Reverse Layup (18 PTS) (Turner 1 AST)45
29.6%
48
70.4%
Q2 - 0:29.0INDWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)43
26.3%
48
73.7%
Q2 - 0:30.0DALMISS Nowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot43
25.7%
48
74.3%
Q2 - 0:38.0INDG. Hill 8' Running Bank Shot (6 PTS)43
24.4%
48
75.6%
Q2 - 0:55.0INDStephenson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)41
21.5%
48
78.5%
Q2 - 0:58.0DALMISS Ellis 6' Running Jump Shot41
21.0%
48
79.0%
Q2 - 1:12INDWest 7' Turnaround Hook Shot (4 PTS)41
20.5%
48
79.5%
Q2 - 1:29INDStephenson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)39
17.8%
48
82.2%
Q2 - 1:30DALMISS Nowitzki 14' Jump Shot39
17.4%
48
82.6%
Q2 - 1:43INDHibbert 8' Turnaround Hook Shot (8 PTS)39
16.6%
48
83.4%
Q2 - 2:06DALEllis 1' Driving Reverse Layup (7 PTS)37
15.1%
48
84.9%
Q2 - 2:19INDHibbert Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)37
16.7%
46
83.3%
Q2 - 2:19INDHibbert Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)36
16.4%
46
83.6%
Q2 - 2:36DALEllis Foul Turnover (P1.T3)35
15.1%
46
84.9%
Q2 - 2:44INDGeorge Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T10)35
13.5%
46
86.5%
Q2 - 3:03INDWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)35
15.7%
46
84.3%
Q2 - 3:04DALMISS Nowitzki 18' Jump Shot35
15.1%
46
84.9%
Q2 - 3:19INDHibbert 7' Jump Hook Shot (4 PTS) (George 2 AST)35
13.9%
46
86.1%
Q2 - 3:28INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)33
12.8%
46
87.2%
Q2 - 3:30DALMISS Calderon 25' 3PT Jump Shot33
12.3%
46
87.7%
Q2 - 3:49INDWest Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)33
11.2%
46
88.8%
Q2 - 3:49INDWest Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)32
11.0%
46
89.0%
Q2 - 4:09DALMarion 9' Fadeaway Jumper (10 PTS)31
10.7%
46
89.3%
Q2 - 4:33INDWest Traveling Turnover (P1.T9)31
11.9%
44
88.1%
Q2 - 4:52DALMarion 1' Running Layup (8 PTS) (Calderon 3 AST)31
13.1%
44
86.9%
Q2 - 4:54DALCalderon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)31
14.5%
42
85.5%
Q2 - 4:57INDMISS West 18' Jump Shot31
14.9%
42
85.1%
Q2 - 5:14DALMarion 1' Running Layup (6 PTS) (Carter 2 AST)31
16.4%
42
83.6%
Q2 - 5:26INDStephenson 19' Step Back Jump Shot (16 PTS)31
18.0%
40
82.0%
Q2 - 5:42INDStephenson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)29
16.3%
40
83.7%
Q2 - 5:43DALMISS Ellis 18' Pullup Jump Shot29
15.9%
40
84.1%
Q2 - 6:05DALWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
15.2%
40
84.8%
Q2 - 6:05INDMISS Mahinmi Free Throw 2 of 229
15.4%
40
84.6%
Q2 - 6:05INDMahinmi Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)29
16.2%
40
83.8%
Q2 - 6:19INDG. Hill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
15.5%
40
84.5%
Q2 - 6:21DALMISS Carter 25' 3PT Jump Shot28
14.9%
40
85.1%
Q2 - 6:22DALCalderon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)28
13.8%
40
86.2%
Q2 - 6:23DALDalembert REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)28
13.8%
40
86.2%
Q2 - 6:23DALMISS Dalembert 3' Tip Shot28
14.9%
40
85.1%
Q2 - 6:26DALDalembert REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)28
13.8%
40
86.2%
Q2 - 6:26DALMISS Dalembert 2' Tip Shot28
14.9%
40
85.1%
Q2 - 6:27DALMISS Marion 7' Jump Shot28
14.9%
40
85.1%
Q2 - 6:46DALDalembert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)28
13.8%
40
86.2%
Q2 - 6:46INDMISS Scola Free Throw 2 of 228
14.0%
40
86.0%
Q2 - 6:46INDScola Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)28
14.9%
40
85.1%
Q2 - 6:51INDMahinmi REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
14.0%
40
86.0%
Q2 - 6:53DALMISS Ellis 8' Floating Jump Shot27
13.6%
40
86.4%
Q2 - 7:05INDStephenson 3' Driving Layup (14 PTS)27
13.1%
40
86.9%
Q2 - 7:20DALMarion 1' Dunk (4 PTS) (Harris 1 AST)25
12.0%
40
88.0%
Q2 - 7:29DALEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)25
13.0%
38
87.0%
Q2 - 7:29INDMISS Scola 19' Jump Shot25
13.5%
38
86.5%
Q2 - 7:43INDScola REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)25
14.4%
38
85.6%
Q2 - 7:45DALMISS Harris 24' 3PT Jump Shot25
14.0%
38
86.0%
Q2 - 7:57INDG. Hill Free Throw 1 of 1 (4 PTS)25
13.0%
38
87.0%
Q2 - 8:19DALHarris 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Blair 2 AST)22
11.2%
38
88.8%
Q2 - 8:35INDStephenson Foul Turnover (P5.T8)22
13.4%
35
86.6%
Q2 - 8:51INDMahinmi REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
14.7%
35
85.3%
Q2 - 8:52DALEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)22
13.4%
35
86.6%
Q2 - 8:52DALMISS Ellis 4' Fadeaway Jumper22
14.3%
35
85.7%
Q2 - 8:55DALMISS Crowder 3' Running Layup22
14.3%
35
85.7%
Q2 - 9:00INDCrowder STEAL (1 STL)22
13.4%
35
86.6%
Q2 - 9:04DALNowitzki Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)22
15.1%
35
84.9%
Q2 - 9:09DALBlair REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)22
13.8%
35
86.2%
Q2 - 9:10DALMISS Blair 8' Jump Shot22
14.7%
35
85.3%
Q2 - 9:28INDStephenson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (G. Hill 1 AST)22
13.8%
35
86.2%
Q2 - 9:39INDG. Hill Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)19
11.6%
35
88.4%
Q2 - 9:52INDScola REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
10.6%
35
89.4%
Q2 - 9:53DALMISS Blair Free Throw 2 of 218
10.5%
35
89.5%
Q2 - 9:53DALBlair Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)18
10.0%
35
90.0%
Q2 - 10:04DALCrowder REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
10.8%
34
89.2%
Q2 - 10:05INDMISS Scola 17' Jump Shot18
11.1%
34
88.9%
Q2 - 10:30INDScola REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
12.0%
34
88.0%
Q2 - 10:31DALMISS Carter 3PT Jump Shot18
11.6%
34
88.4%
Q2 - 10:44DALMAVERICKS Rebound18
10.8%
34
89.2%
Q2 - 10:45INDMISS Turner 22' Jump Shot18
11.1%
34
88.9%
Q2 - 11:03DALCarter 4' Driving Bank Shot (6 PTS)18
12.3%
34
87.7%
Q2 - 11:17DALCarter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)18
13.3%
32
86.7%
Q2 - 11:18INDMISS Scola 16' Jump Shot18
13.6%
32
86.4%
Q2 - 11:31DALCarter Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)18
14.5%
32
85.5%
Q2 - 11:31DALCarter Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)18
14.7%
31
85.3%
Q2 - 11:31DALCarter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)18
15.7%
30
84.3%
Q2 - 11:32DALMISS Nowitzki 16' Jump Shot18
16.6%
30
83.4%
Q2 - 11:47INDMahinmi Foul Turnover (P1.T6)18
15.6%
30
84.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0IND18
17.0%
30
83.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0INDPacers Rebound18
17.0%
30
83.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0INDMISS Sloan 36' 3PT Jump Shot18
16.1%
30
83.9%
Q1 - 0:02.0DALHarris 12' Turnaround Fadeaway (2 PTS)18
17.2%
30
82.8%
Q1 - 0:19.0DALCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
18.9%
28
81.1%
Q1 - 0:22.0INDMISS Hibbert 13' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot18
19.3%
28
80.7%
Q1 - 0:48.0DALBlair Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)18
20.0%
28
80.0%
Q1 - 0:48.0DALBlair Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)18
20.5%
27
79.5%
Q1 - 0:53.0DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
22.0%
26
78.0%
Q1 - 0:55.0INDMISS Sloan 27' 3PT Fadeaway Jumper18
22.3%
26
77.7%
Q1 - 1:22DALCrowder 7' Jump Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Carter 1 AST)18
23.5%
26
76.5%
Q1 - 1:35INDPacers Turnover: Shot Clock (T#5)18
25.6%
24
74.4%
Q1 - 2:07INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
27.3%
24
72.7%
Q1 - 2:08DALMISS Calderon 23' Pullup Jump Shot18
26.8%
24
73.2%
Q1 - 2:26INDGeorge 21' Step Back Jump Shot (7 PTS)18
25.7%
24
74.3%
Q1 - 2:52DALMarion 13' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Calderon 2 AST)16
23.8%
24
76.2%
Q1 - 3:01DALCalderon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
25.6%
22
74.4%
Q1 - 3:02INDMISS George 25' 3PT Jump Shot16
26.2%
22
73.8%
Q1 - 3:17DALCalderon 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS)16
27.5%
22
72.5%
Q1 - 3:29INDGeorge 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Stephenson 2 AST)16
29.2%
20
70.8%
Q1 - 3:50DALCalderon 23' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Blair 1 AST)13
25.8%
20
74.2%
Q1 - 4:00INDStephenson Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T4)13
27.4%
18
72.6%
Q1 - 4:09INDWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)13
29.4%
18
70.6%
Q1 - 4:10INDMISS G. Hill 25' 3PT Jump Shot13
28.0%
18
72.0%
Q1 - 4:16INDG. Hill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
29.4%
18
70.6%
Q1 - 4:18DALMISS Blair 2' Running Layup13
28.8%
18
71.2%
Q1 - 4:39INDStephenson 22' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (West 2 AST)13
27.4%
18
72.6%
Q1 - 4:59DALCarter 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)11
25.9%
18
74.1%
Q1 - 5:08DALMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)11
27.8%
16
72.2%
Q1 - 5:10DALMISS Marion 3' Alley Oop Layup11
29.0%
16
71.0%
Q1 - 5:22INDStephenson Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)11
27.8%
16
72.2%
Q1 - 5:22INDStephenson Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)10
27.3%
16
72.7%
Q1 - 5:46INDStephenson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)9
26.3%
16
73.7%
Q1 - 5:47DALMISS Dalembert 20' Jump Shot9
25.7%
16
74.3%
Q1 - 6:08INDStephenson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (George 1 AST)9
24.9%
16
75.1%
Q1 - 6:23DALDalembert 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Marion 2 AST)6
22.2%
16
77.8%
Q1 - 6:34INDHibbert 6' Turnaround Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Stephenson 1 AST)6
23.5%
14
76.5%
Q1 - 6:41INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)4
22.2%
14
77.8%
Q1 - 6:44DALMISS Ellis 5' Running Jump Shot4
21.7%
14
78.3%
Q1 - 6:58DALEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
20.7%
14
79.3%
Q1 - 6:58INDMISS West 5' Hook Shot4
21.2%
14
78.8%
Q1 - 7:18DALNowitzki 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Marion 1 AST)4
22.6%
14
77.4%
Q1 - 7:34INDStephenson Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T3)4
25.1%
11
74.9%
Q1 - 7:35INDStephenson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
26.8%
11
73.2%
Q1 - 7:37INDMISS Stephenson 1' Driving Layup4
25.6%
11
74.4%
Q1 - 7:53DALEllis Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)4
26.8%
11
73.2%
Q1 - 8:11DALMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
29.8%
8
70.2%
Q1 - 8:13INDMISS George Alley Oop Layup4
30.3%
8
69.7%
Q1 - 8:25DALCalderon Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)4
31.5%
8
68.5%
Q1 - 8:35DALDalembert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)4
29.8%
8
70.2%
Q1 - 8:37INDMISS West 8' Jump Hook Shot4
30.3%
8
69.7%
Q1 - 8:51DALEllis 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS)4
31.5%
8
68.5%
Q1 - 8:58DALDalembert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
33.0%
6
67.0%
Q1 - 9:00INDMISS G. Hill 3' Running Layup4
33.5%
6
66.5%
Q1 - 9:12DALNowitzki 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Calderon 1 AST)4
35.0%
6
65.0%
Q1 - 9:24INDStephenson 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (West 1 AST)4
36.4%
4
63.6%
Q1 - 9:43INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)2
34.9%
4
65.1%
Q1 - 9:45DALMISS Dalembert 4' Hook Shot2
34.4%
4
65.6%
Q1 - 9:57INDHibbert Foul Turnover (P1.T2)2
33.2%
4
66.8%
Q1 - 10:08DALDalembert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
35.0%
4
65.0%
Q1 - 10:08DALDalembert 1' Tip Shot (4 PTS)2
35.0%
4
65.0%
Q1 - 10:09DALMISS Nowitzki 16' Jump Shot2
37.7%
2
62.3%
Q1 - 10:23INDGeorge 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)2
36.4%
2
63.6%
Q1 - 10:29INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
35.0%
2
65.0%
Q1 - 10:31DALMISS Calderon 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
34.5%
2
65.5%
Q1 - 10:48INDStephenson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
33.3%
2
66.7%
Q1 - 11:05INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
34.7%
2
65.3%
Q1 - 11:06DALMISS Nowitzki 26' 3PT Jump Shot0
34.3%
2
65.7%
Q1 - 11:18DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
33.4%
2
66.6%
Q1 - 11:20INDMISS Hibbert 13' Turnaround Hook Shot0
33.8%
2
66.2%
Q1 - 11:41DALDalembert 2' Running Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS) (Ellis 1 AST)0
34.7%
2
65.3%
Q1 - 12:00DALJump Ball Dalembert vs. Hibbert: Tip to Nowitzki0
36.4%
0
63.6%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

IND
1.15 57.3%
DAL
1.08 54.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
IND
14
28
50%
DAL
14
31
45%
Midrange
IND
11
23
48%
DAL
14
30
47%
3PT | Effective 3PT
IND
7
10.5
16
44%
66%
DAL
8
12.0
20
40%
60%
Free Throws
IND
23
29
79%
DAL
25
31
81%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
IND logo Pacers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
P. George2779%13.5 / 17
L. Stephenson2195%10.5 / 11
G. Hill2056%10.0 / 18
R. Hibbert1470%7.0 / 10
D. West833%4.0 / 12
E. Turner233%1.0 / 3
L. Scola113%0.5 / 4
I. Mahinmi150%0.5 / 1
D. Sloan0-0.0 / 2
R. Butler0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Ellis2050%10.0 / 20
D. Harris2091%10.0 / 11
D. Nowitzki1441%7.0 / 17
S. Marion1267%6.0 / 9
J. Calderon1063%5.0 / 8
V. Carter1050%5.0 / 10
S. Dalembert844%4.0 / 9
D. Blair536%2.5 / 7
B. Wright4100%2.0 / 2
J. Crowder250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

IND
70
+11
-20
81
DAL
79
+16
-10
95
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

IND
1.15 57.3%
DAL
1.08 54.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
104.5
110.7
IND 104.4
DAL 118.0 +13.5
Pace
92.2
94.1
IND 86.0
DAL 93.3 +7.3
Avg. Poss. Time
16.1
15.7
IND 16.7
DAL 15.4 +1.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.0%
52.6%
IND 53.0% +3.6%
DAL 49.4%
TO %
15.6%
13.9%
IND 20.8%
DAL 9.6% +11.2%
ORB %
24.9%
24.7%
IND 27.0%
DAL 32.6% +5.6%
FTrt
29.0
25.3
IND 43.3 +5.0
DAL 38.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
56.0%
59.6%
IND 43.8%
DAL 63.9% +20.1%
STL %
7.3%
9.1%
IND 5.6%
DAL 11.2% +5.6%
BLK %
8.5%
7.4%
IND 3.3%
DAL 3.9% +0.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.0%
55.0%
IND 57.3% +3.2%
DAL 54.1%
Rim FG%
56.4%
60.9%
IND 50.0% +4.8%
DAL 45.2%
Mid FG%
41.0%
42.4%
IND 47.8% +1.1%
DAL 46.7%
3P %
35.7%
38.4%
IND 43.8% +3.8%
DAL 40.0%
FT %
77.9%
79.5%
IND 79.3%
DAL 80.6% +1.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.3%
32.8%
IND 41.8% +3.5%
DAL 38.3%
Mid Att. %
43.3%
39.9%
IND 34.3% +2.7%
DAL 37.0%
3P Att. %
23.5%
27.4%
IND 23.9%
DAL 24.7% +0.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsINDDAL
Possessions9089
Possession Minutes25.122.9
Points94105
Rebounds4142
Assists1423
Steals510
Blocks22
Turnovers (Team)20 (1)10 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (1)15 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)31 (2)27 (2)
Field Goals32-6736-81
At-the-Rim FG14-2814-31
Midrange FG11-2314-30
2-Point FG25-5128-61
3-Point FG7-168-20
Free Throws23-2925-31
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'3" 188 · 28
38.4
20
56%
5
3
2
0
1
3
2
3
4-6
67%
5-11
45%
2-5
40%
C · 7'2" 270 · 27
37.4
14
70%
5
0
0
1
4
4
3
2
2-2
100%
6-9
67%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 230 · 24
36.4
21
95%
5
3
2
0
6
4
1
4
2-2
100%
5-7
71%
3-3
100%
F · 6'9" 250 · 34
32.6
8
33%
7
3
1
0
4
3
2
5
4-6
67%
2-9
22%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 220 · 24
30.8
27
79%
11
2
0
0
1
4
2
9
9-9
100%
6-9
67%
2-5
40%
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 25
24.9
2
33%
1
3
0
0
0
4
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 241 · 34
15.4
1
13%
4
0
0
0
1
1
0
4
1-2
50%
0-3
0%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 262 · 27
10.6
1
50%
2
0
0
1
1
3
0
2
1-2
50%
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 205 · 26
9.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-2
0%
F · 6'7" 215 · 35
3.8
0
0%
1
0
0
0
2
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
F · 6'7" 225 · 23
0.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 239 · 30
0.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F-C · 6'9" 260 · 25
#32 · G · 6'2" 175 · 30
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#17 · C · 7'0" 285 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
94
57%
41
14
5
2
20
0
10
31
23-29
79%
25-51
49%
7-16
44%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.