FinalWin Prob.pScore
354%95
88
1146%94
95
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
91.79690.9
CHI logo CHI
102.29380.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

BullsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q4OT19:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:002:00

Scoring Margin

BullsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q4OT19:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:002:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIACHI
OT1 - 0:00.0CHI88
0%
95
100%
OT1 - 0:21.0CHIHinrich REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)88
0.1%
95
99.9%
OT1 - 0:23.0MIAMISS James 7' Jump Shot88
0.2%
95
99.8%
OT1 - 0:27.0MIAHeat Rebound88
0.5%
95
99.5%
OT1 - 0:27.0CHIMISS Hinrich 26' 3PT Jump Shot88
0.4%
95
99.6%
OT1 - 0:48.0CHIButler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)88
0.6%
95
99.4%
OT1 - 0:49.0MIAMISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot88
0.8%
95
99.2%
OT1 - 1:01MIAHeat Rebound88
1.9%
95
98.1%
OT1 - 1:01CHIMISS Butler 24' 3PT Jump Shot88
1.5%
95
98.5%
OT1 - 1:25MIAJames 2' Layup (17 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)88
1.8%
95
98.2%
OT1 - 1:33CHIButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)86
1.4%
95
98.6%
OT1 - 1:33CHIButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)86
1.6%
94
98.4%
OT1 - 1:35CHIButler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)86
2.3%
93
97.7%
OT1 - 1:37MIANoah BLOCK (4 BLK)86
2.9%
93
97.1%
OT1 - 1:41MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:11)86
4.4%
93
95.6%
OT1 - 1:42MIAMISS Bosh 26' 3PT Jump Shot86
3.1%
93
96.9%
OT1 - 1:53CHINoah REBOUND (Off:6 Def:6)86
4.8%
93
95.2%
OT1 - 1:53CHINoah 3' Layup (20 PTS)86
4.8%
93
95.2%
OT1 - 1:53CHIMISS Gibson 15' Jump Shot86
10.2%
91
89.8%
OT1 - 2:12MIAGibson STEAL (2 STL)86
7.8%
91
92.2%
OT1 - 2:25CHIButler 12' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Noah 7 AST)86
13.6%
91
86.4%
OT1 - 2:40CHIButler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)86
18.1%
89
81.9%
OT1 - 2:42CHIMISS Gibson 16' Jump Shot86
25.4%
89
74.6%
OT1 - 2:59CHIHinrich REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)86
20.2%
89
79.8%
OT1 - 3:00MIAMISS James 26' 3PT Jump Shot86
23.0%
89
77.0%
OT1 - 3:18MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)86
30.5%
89
69.5%
OT1 - 3:19CHIMISS Noah 19' Jump Shot86
27.0%
89
73.0%
OT1 - 3:44CHINoah REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)86
24.4%
89
75.6%
OT1 - 3:45MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Shot86
26.7%
89
73.3%
OT1 - 4:07CHIAugustin 24' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Gibson 4 AST)86
32.3%
89
67.7%
OT1 - 4:18CHIGibson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)86
49.7%
86
50.3%
OT1 - 4:19CHIMISS Butler 25' 3PT Jump Shot86
57.0%
86
43.0%
OT1 - 4:44CHINoah REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)86
49.6%
86
50.4%
OT1 - 4:45MIAMISS Andersen 7' Hook Shot86
52.9%
86
47.1%
OT1 - 5:00CHIJump Ball Noah vs. Bosh: Tip to Chalmers86
60.2%
86
39.8%
Q4 - 0:20.0CHIHinrich 3' Layup (11 PTS) (Noah 6 AST)86
70.1%
86
29.9%
Q4 - 0:29.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)86
79.2%
84
20.8%
Q4 - 0:29.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)85
76.0%
84
24.0%
Q4 - 0:52.0CHIButler Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T13)84
62.8%
84
37.2%
Q4 - 1:10MIAJames 3' Layup (15 PTS)84
45.3%
84
54.7%
Q4 - 1:28MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:11)82
35.7%
84
64.3%
Q4 - 1:29CHIMISS Hinrich 19' Jump Shot82
31.6%
84
68.4%
Q4 - 1:48CHIGibson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)82
25.6%
84
74.4%
Q4 - 1:49MIAMISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot82
28.9%
84
71.1%
Q4 - 2:07MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)82
39.2%
84
60.8%
Q4 - 2:08CHIMISS Gibson Free Throw 1 of 182
37.3%
84
62.7%
Q4 - 2:10CHINoah REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)82
48.1%
82
51.9%
Q4 - 2:12MIAButler BLOCK (1 BLK)82
52.7%
82
47.3%
Q4 - 2:21MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)82
62.9%
82
37.1%
Q4 - 2:22MIAMISS James 2' Layup82
52.7%
82
47.3%
Q4 - 2:45CHINoah 5' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Hinrich 4 AST)82
63.2%
82
36.8%
Q4 - 2:48CHIBULLS Rebound82
70.7%
80
29.3%
Q4 - 2:48CHIMISS Noah 3' Jump Shot82
78.7%
80
21.3%
Q4 - 3:18MIABosh 26' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (James 8 AST)82
69.7%
80
30.3%
Q4 - 3:32MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)79
51.0%
80
49.0%
Q4 - 3:34CHIMISS Gibson Free Throw 2 of 279
49.6%
80
50.4%
Q4 - 3:34CHIGibson Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)79
43.9%
80
56.1%
Q4 - 3:34MIAGibson STEAL (1 STL)79
50.0%
79
50.0%
Q4 - 3:44MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)79
60.1%
79
39.9%
Q4 - 3:46CHIMISS Augustin 3' Layup79
57.0%
79
43.0%
Q4 - 4:03CHIGibson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)79
49.7%
79
50.3%
Q4 - 4:04MIAMISS Wade 2' Layup79
52.9%
79
47.1%
Q4 - 4:09MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)79
60.1%
79
39.9%
Q4 - 4:10CHIMISS Augustin 15' Jump Shot79
57.0%
79
43.0%
Q4 - 4:17CHIBULLS Rebound79
49.7%
79
50.3%
Q4 - 4:18CHIMISS Noah 3' Layup79
57.0%
79
43.0%
Q4 - 4:36CHINoah REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)79
49.6%
79
50.4%
Q4 - 4:39MIAMISS James 27' 3PT Jump Shot79
52.9%
79
47.1%
Q4 - 4:56CHINoah 7' Hook Shot (16 PTS) (Gibson 3 AST)79
60.1%
79
39.9%
Q4 - 5:08MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)79
66.5%
77
33.5%
Q4 - 5:08MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)78
64.9%
77
35.1%
Q4 - 5:21CHINoah 8' Jump Shot (14 PTS)77
59.3%
77
40.7%
Q4 - 5:40MIABosh 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (James 7 AST)77
66.6%
75
33.4%
Q4 - 5:55MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)74
51.0%
75
49.0%
Q4 - 5:57CHIMISS Gibson 16' Jump Shot74
48.2%
75
51.8%
Q4 - 6:15CHIBULLS Rebound74
43.4%
75
56.6%
Q4 - 6:15MIAMISS James 21' Jump Shot74
46.0%
75
54.0%
Q4 - 6:34CHIButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)74
51.9%
75
48.1%
Q4 - 6:34CHIButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)74
53.3%
74
46.7%
Q4 - 6:37MIAButler STEAL (4 STL)74
58.5%
73
41.5%
Q4 - 6:41MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)74
66.5%
73
33.5%
Q4 - 6:42CHIMISS Augustin 3PT Jump Shot74
64.1%
73
35.9%
Q4 - 6:58CHIButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)74
58.5%
73
41.5%
Q4 - 6:59MIAMISS Wade 9' Jump Bank Shot74
61.0%
73
39.0%
Q4 - 7:23CHIAugustin 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Gibson 2 AST)74
66.1%
73
33.9%
Q4 - 7:27CHIGibson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)74
76.8%
70
23.2%
Q4 - 7:28CHIMISS Hinrich 20' Fadeaway Jumper74
80.4%
70
19.6%
Q4 - 7:56MIAAllen Traveling Turnover (P1.T15)74
76.9%
70
23.1%
Q4 - 8:13CHIAugustin Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)74
80.1%
70
19.9%
Q4 - 8:13CHIAugustin Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)74
80.5%
69
19.5%
Q4 - 8:16CHIGibson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)74
83.9%
68
16.1%
Q4 - 8:18MIAMISS Allen 25' 3PT Jump Shot74
85.0%
68
15.0%
Q4 - 8:30MIAOden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)74
87.1%
68
12.9%
Q4 - 8:31MIAMISS Bosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot74
85.0%
68
15.0%
Q4 - 8:53CHIGibson 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Hinrich 3 AST)74
87.2%
68
12.8%
Q4 - 9:05MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#14)74
88.4%
66
11.6%
Q4 - 9:05MIAHeat Rebound74
90.6%
66
9.4%
Q4 - 9:07MIANoah BLOCK (3 BLK)74
89.1%
66
10.9%
Q4 - 9:34CHIGibson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)74
90.7%
66
9.3%
Q4 - 9:34CHIGibson 1' Putback Dunk (2 PTS)74
90.7%
66
9.3%
Q4 - 9:35CHIMISS Butler 2' Reverse Layup74
93.6%
64
6.4%
Q4 - 9:40MIADunleavy STEAL (2 STL)74
92.6%
64
7.4%
Q4 - 10:00CHINoah 3' Driving Layup (12 PTS)74
94.1%
64
5.9%
Q4 - 10:16MIAJames Slam Dunk (13 PTS)74
94.4%
62
5.6%
Q4 - 10:19CHIAugustin Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T12)72
93.1%
62
6.9%
Q4 - 10:33MIACole 20' Jump Shot (11 PTS)72
91.5%
62
8.5%
Q4 - 10:52CHIAugustin 26' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Noah 4 AST)70
89.7%
62
10.3%
Q4 - 11:19MIAAllen 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (James 6 AST)70
92.2%
59
7.8%
Q4 - 11:28MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)67
88.6%
59
11.4%
Q4 - 11:29CHIMISS Gibson 12' Fadeaway Jumper67
87.9%
59
12.1%
Q4 - 11:48CHIGibson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)67
86.2%
59
13.8%
Q4 - 11:50MIANoah BLOCK (2 BLK)67
87.0%
59
13.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA67
88.6%
59
11.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound67
88.6%
59
11.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS James 2' Layup67
87.0%
59
13.0%
Q3 - 0:04.0CHIAugustin 2' Driving Layup (11 PTS)67
87.7%
59
12.3%
Q3 - 0:16.0MIAJames 13' Jump Shot (11 PTS)67
89.8%
57
10.2%
Q3 - 0:38.0CHIButler 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Augustin 2 AST)65
87.7%
57
12.3%
Q3 - 0:46.0CHIBULLS Rebound65
91.6%
54
8.4%
Q3 - 0:46.0CHIMISS Boozer 1' Layup65
92.6%
54
7.4%
Q3 - 1:00MIAJames 27' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Beasley 1 AST)65
91.6%
54
8.4%
Q3 - 1:08CHIDunleavy Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)62
86.9%
54
13.1%
Q3 - 1:20CHIBoozer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)62
84.6%
54
15.4%
Q3 - 1:21MIAMISS Beasley 3PT Jump Shot62
85.3%
54
14.7%
Q3 - 1:47CHIButler 2' Layup (7 PTS)62
86.9%
54
13.1%
Q3 - 1:50MIAButler STEAL (3 STL)62
89.1%
52
10.9%
Q3 - 2:12CHIDunleavy 2' Layup (8 PTS) (Boozer 2 AST)62
89.8%
52
10.2%
Q3 - 2:31MIAJames 3' Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Cole 1 AST)62
91.4%
50
8.6%
Q3 - 2:41CHIGibson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)60
89.9%
50
10.1%
Q3 - 2:56MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)60
88.0%
50
12.0%
Q3 - 2:56MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)59
87.6%
50
12.4%
Q3 - 3:08MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)58
85.2%
50
14.8%
Q3 - 3:09CHIMISS Gibson 15' Jump Shot58
84.4%
50
15.6%
Q3 - 3:33MIAAllen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (James 5 AST)58
82.6%
50
17.4%
Q3 - 3:46CHIButler Foul Turnover (P1.T9)55
77.1%
50
22.9%
Q3 - 4:04CHIDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)55
72.6%
50
27.4%
Q3 - 4:06MIANoah BLOCK (1 BLK)55
73.9%
50
26.1%
Q3 - 4:25CHIDunleavy 20' Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Boozer 1 AST)55
76.6%
50
23.4%
Q3 - 4:46CHIBoozer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)55
79.0%
48
21.0%
Q3 - 4:47MIAMISS James 21' Jump Shot55
80.0%
48
20.0%
Q3 - 5:11CHINoah Illegal Screen Turnover (P1.T8)55
81.3%
48
18.7%
Q3 - 5:15CHIBULLS Rebound55
78.2%
48
21.8%
Q3 - 5:15CHIMISS Boozer 19' Jump Shot55
80.4%
48
19.6%
Q3 - 5:30MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)55
78.3%
48
21.7%
Q3 - 5:30MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)54
77.6%
48
22.4%
Q3 - 5:36MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)53
75.8%
48
24.2%
Q3 - 5:37CHIMISS Boozer 3' Layup53
74.7%
48
25.3%
Q3 - 5:55MIAChalmers Free Throw Technical (5 PTS)53
72.1%
48
27.9%
Q3 - 5:55MIAChalmers Foul Turnover (P4.T11)52
68.6%
48
31.4%
Q3 - 6:14CHIBoozer 14' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Dunleavy 2 AST)52
72.0%
48
28.0%
Q3 - 6:37MIABosh 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Chalmers 5 AST)52
74.8%
46
25.2%
Q3 - 6:45MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)49
68.7%
46
31.3%
Q3 - 6:48CHIMISS Butler 2' Layup49
67.6%
46
32.4%
Q3 - 6:57CHIBULLS Rebound49
64.8%
46
35.2%
Q3 - 6:57MIAMISS Battier 25' 3PT Jump Shot49
66.0%
46
34.0%
Q3 - 7:28CHIHinrich 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Noah 3 AST)49
68.1%
46
31.9%
Q3 - 7:35CHIButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)49
71.1%
44
28.9%
Q3 - 7:37MIAMISS Wade 3' Layup49
72.1%
44
27.9%
Q3 - 7:42MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)49
74.4%
44
25.6%
Q3 - 7:43CHIMISS Hinrich 17' Jump Shot49
73.4%
44
26.6%
Q3 - 7:48CHIHinrich REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)49
71.1%
44
28.9%
Q3 - 7:49MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot49
72.1%
44
27.9%
Q3 - 8:00CHIHinrich Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T7)49
74.4%
44
25.6%
Q3 - 8:17CHIDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)49
70.7%
44
29.3%
Q3 - 8:19MIAMISS Battier 3PT Jump Shot49
71.8%
44
28.2%
Q3 - 8:44CHIButler 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Hinrich 2 AST)49
74.1%
44
25.9%
Q3 - 8:59MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)49
79.1%
41
20.9%
Q3 - 8:59MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)48
78.6%
41
21.4%
Q3 - 9:04CHIButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)47
76.2%
41
23.8%
Q3 - 9:04CHIButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)47
76.7%
40
23.3%
Q3 - 9:24MIAWade 2' Dunk (21 PTS) (James 4 AST)47
78.7%
39
21.3%
Q3 - 9:26MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)45
76.3%
39
23.7%
Q3 - 9:28CHIMISS Dunleavy 25' 3PT Jump Shot45
75.4%
39
24.6%
Q3 - 9:39CHINoah REBOUND (Off:5 Def:1)45
73.4%
39
26.6%
Q3 - 9:40MIAMISS James 15' Turnaround Jump Shot45
74.3%
39
25.7%
Q3 - 10:02CHINoah 8' Hook Shot (10 PTS)45
76.0%
39
24.0%
Q3 - 10:18CHIBULLS Rebound45
78.5%
37
21.5%
Q3 - 10:18CHIMISS Noah 6' Hook Shot45
80.1%
37
19.9%
Q3 - 10:36MIABoozer STEAL (1 STL)45
78.5%
37
21.5%
Q3 - 10:54MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)45
80.8%
37
19.2%
Q3 - 10:55CHIMISS Boozer 7' Hook Shot45
80.1%
37
19.9%
Q3 - 11:12MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)45
78.0%
37
22.0%
Q3 - 11:12MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)44
77.5%
37
22.5%
Q3 - 11:15MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)43
75.7%
37
24.3%
Q3 - 11:16CHIMISS Butler 17' Jump Shot43
74.9%
37
25.1%
Q3 - 11:29MIAHinrich STEAL (2 STL)43
73.0%
37
27.0%
Q3 - 11:36MIABattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)43
75.7%
37
24.3%
Q3 - 11:37CHIMISS Boozer 13' Jump Shot43
74.9%
37
25.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA43
73.0%
37
27.0%
Q2 - 0:02.0CHINoah 2' Hook Shot (8 PTS)43
74.6%
37
25.4%
Q2 - 0:27.0MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (James 3 AST)43
77.7%
35
22.3%
Q2 - 0:35.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)41
74.7%
35
25.3%
Q2 - 0:37.0CHIButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)41
72.8%
35
27.2%
Q2 - 0:37.0CHIMISS Butler 3' Layup41
74.1%
35
25.9%
Q2 - 0:38.0CHIMISS Boozer 15' Jump Shot41
74.1%
35
25.9%
Q2 - 1:01MIABosh 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)41
72.5%
35
27.5%
Q2 - 1:17MIAHeat Rebound39
68.9%
35
31.1%
Q2 - 1:17MIAMISS Cole 25' 3PT Jump Shot39
67.7%
35
32.3%
Q2 - 1:37MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)39
68.9%
35
31.1%
Q2 - 1:38CHIMISS Hinrich 16' Jump Shot39
68.4%
35
31.6%
Q2 - 1:57MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)39
67.2%
35
32.8%
Q2 - 2:08CHIBULLS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#6)39
69.0%
35
31.0%
Q2 - 2:40MIAChalmers 1' Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS)39
66.3%
35
33.7%
Q2 - 2:45CHIHinrich Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T5)37
63.5%
35
36.5%
Q2 - 3:08MIACole 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (James 2 AST)37
60.4%
35
39.6%
Q2 - 3:15MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)34
55.1%
35
44.9%
Q2 - 3:16CHIMISS Augustin 25' 3PT Jump Shot34
54.0%
35
46.0%
Q2 - 3:31CHIBoozer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)34
51.5%
35
48.5%
Q2 - 3:32MIAMISS Chalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot34
52.6%
35
47.4%
Q2 - 3:41MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)34
55.1%
35
44.9%
Q2 - 3:42CHIMISS Boozer 13' Jump Shot34
54.0%
35
46.0%
Q2 - 4:04MIAButler STEAL (2 STL)34
51.9%
35
48.1%
Q2 - 4:08MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)34
54.8%
35
45.2%
Q2 - 4:09CHIMISS Butler 21' Jump Shot34
53.9%
35
46.1%
Q2 - 4:33MIAJames 2' Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST)34
51.9%
35
48.1%
Q2 - 4:37MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)32
49.1%
35
50.9%
Q2 - 4:38CHIMISS Dunleavy 15' Jump Shot32
48.2%
35
51.8%
Q2 - 5:06MIABosh 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)32
46.6%
35
53.4%
Q2 - 5:11MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)30
43.7%
35
56.3%
Q2 - 5:12CHIMISS Dunleavy 24' 3PT Jump Shot30
42.9%
35
57.1%
Q2 - 5:29MIAWade 4' Driving Layup (15 PTS)30
41.0%
35
59.0%
Q2 - 5:40MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)28
38.2%
35
61.8%
Q2 - 5:42CHIMISS Noah Free Throw 2 of 228
37.9%
35
62.1%
Q2 - 5:42CHINoah Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)28
36.2%
35
63.8%
Q2 - 5:42CHINoah REBOUND (Off:5 Def:0)28
38.3%
34
61.7%
Q2 - 5:44CHIMISS Butler 3' Running Layup28
40.1%
34
59.9%
Q2 - 5:48CHIButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)28
38.3%
34
61.7%
Q2 - 5:51MIAMISS James 9' Jump Shot28
39.1%
34
60.9%
Q2 - 6:12MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)28
41.7%
34
58.3%
Q2 - 6:13CHIMISS Butler 24' 3PT Jump Shot28
40.7%
34
59.3%
Q2 - 6:33CHIButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)28
38.5%
34
61.5%
Q2 - 6:34MIAMISS Bosh 23' Jump Shot28
39.5%
34
60.5%
Q2 - 6:57CHIAugustin 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Dunleavy 1 AST)28
41.6%
34
58.4%
Q2 - 7:03CHIDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
47.0%
31
53.0%
Q2 - 7:04MIAMISS Cole 11' Turnaround Jump Shot28
47.9%
31
52.1%
Q2 - 7:31CHIDunleavy 12' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Noah 2 AST)28
50.0%
31
50.0%
Q2 - 7:59MIABeasley 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)28
52.3%
29
47.7%
Q2 - 8:23CHIAugustin 1' Driving Layup (6 PTS)26
49.9%
29
50.1%
Q2 - 8:37MIACole 3' Driving Layup (6 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)26
52.4%
27
47.6%
Q2 - 8:52MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)24
49.9%
27
50.1%
Q2 - 8:54CHIMISS Gibson 13' Turnaround Jump Shot24
49.1%
27
50.9%
Q2 - 9:23MIAWade 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (13 PTS)24
47.5%
27
52.5%
Q2 - 9:39CHIMohammed REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)22
45.2%
27
54.8%
Q2 - 9:39CHIMohammed 1' Putback Layup (2 PTS)22
45.2%
27
54.8%
Q2 - 9:41CHIMISS Augustin 3' Layup22
49.4%
25
50.6%
Q2 - 9:58MIACole Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)22
47.5%
25
52.5%
Q2 - 9:58MIACole Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)21
46.9%
25
53.1%
Q2 - 10:14CHIDunleavy 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Snell 4 AST)20
45.4%
25
54.6%
Q2 - 10:32CHIGibson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)20
47.4%
23
52.6%
Q2 - 10:34MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 220
47.8%
23
52.2%
Q2 - 10:34MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)20
49.4%
23
50.6%
Q2 - 10:54MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
47.8%
23
52.2%
Q2 - 10:55CHIMISS Gibson 14' Jump Shot19
47.0%
23
53.0%
Q2 - 11:10CHIGibson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
45.3%
23
54.7%
Q2 - 11:11MIAMISS Allen 20' Jump Shot19
46.0%
23
54.0%
Q2 - 11:33CHIAugustin 16' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS)19
47.8%
23
52.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA19
50.0%
21
50.0%
Q1 - 0:12.0CHIAugustin 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Gibson 1 AST)19
52.2%
21
47.8%
Q1 - 0:14.0CHIGibson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
55.2%
19
44.8%
Q1 - 0:15.0MIASnell BLOCK (1 BLK)19
55.7%
19
44.3%
Q1 - 0:40.0CHIBoozer 17' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Snell 3 AST)19
56.9%
19
43.1%
Q1 - 0:56.0MIACole 3' Layup (2 PTS)19
59.8%
17
40.2%
Q1 - 1:11MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
57.0%
17
43.0%
Q1 - 1:12CHIMISS Boozer 20' Jump Shot17
56.5%
17
43.5%
Q1 - 1:33CHISnell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
55.3%
17
44.7%
Q1 - 1:34MIAMISS Beasley 26' 3PT Jump Shot17
55.8%
17
44.2%
Q1 - 1:50MIAAllen Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)17
57.0%
17
43.0%
Q1 - 2:00MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)16
54.7%
17
45.3%
Q1 - 2:02CHIMISS Gibson 3' Layup16
54.4%
17
45.6%
Q1 - 2:09CHIButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)16
53.0%
17
47.0%
Q1 - 2:10MIAMISS Beasley 22' Jump Shot16
53.6%
17
46.4%
Q1 - 2:29CHIBoozer 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Augustin 1 AST)16
55.1%
17
44.9%
Q1 - 2:42CHIAugustin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
57.5%
15
42.5%
Q1 - 2:43MIAMISS James 22' Jump Shot16
58.1%
15
41.9%
Q1 - 3:14CHIHinrich 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Snell 2 AST)16
59.7%
15
40.3%
Q1 - 3:34MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)16
63.7%
12
36.3%
Q1 - 3:34MIAAndersen 1' Tip Shot (2 PTS)16
63.7%
12
36.3%
Q1 - 3:35MIAMISS Chalmers 4' Jump Shot14
60.2%
12
39.8%
Q1 - 3:52CHIHinrich Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T4)14
61.8%
12
38.2%
Q1 - 4:06MIAButler STEAL (1 STL)14
59.4%
12
40.6%
Q1 - 4:09MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
61.7%
12
38.3%
Q1 - 4:10CHIMISS Snell 26' 3PT Jump Shot14
61.0%
12
39.0%
Q1 - 4:34MIAWade 4' Jump Bank Shot (10 PTS) (James 1 AST)14
59.4%
12
40.6%
Q1 - 4:39MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
57.6%
12
42.4%
Q1 - 4:40CHIMISS Hinrich 3PT Jump Shot12
56.8%
12
43.2%
Q1 - 4:51CHIButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
55.2%
12
44.8%
Q1 - 4:52MIAMISS James 4' Running Layup12
55.9%
12
44.1%
Q1 - 4:57CHIHinrich Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)12
57.6%
12
42.4%
Q1 - 5:22MIAJames 3' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)12
55.0%
12
45.0%
Q1 - 5:26MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
53.2%
12
46.8%
Q1 - 5:28CHIMISS Boozer 3' Layup10
52.5%
12
47.5%
Q1 - 5:47MIAChalmers Traveling Turnover (P2.T5)10
51.0%
12
49.0%
Q1 - 5:49MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)10
53.2%
12
46.8%
Q1 - 5:50MIAMISS James 21' Jump Shot10
51.6%
12
48.4%
Q1 - 6:02MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
53.3%
12
46.7%
Q1 - 6:03CHIMISS Noah 6' Hook Shot10
52.7%
12
47.3%
Q1 - 6:28CHISnell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
51.2%
12
48.8%
Q1 - 6:29MIAMISS James 20' Jump Shot10
51.8%
12
48.2%
Q1 - 6:57CHIBoozer 2' Layup (3 PTS) (Noah 1 AST)10
53.3%
12
46.7%
Q1 - 7:11MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)10
55.1%
10
44.9%
Q1 - 7:11MIAWade 2' Putback Layup (8 PTS)10
55.1%
10
44.9%
Q1 - 7:17MIAMISS Wade 13' Jump Shot8
52.0%
10
48.0%
Q1 - 7:47CHIHinrich 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Snell 1 AST)8
53.5%
10
46.5%
Q1 - 7:50CHINoah REBOUND (Off:4 Def:0)8
55.1%
8
44.9%
Q1 - 7:50CHIMISS Butler 25' 3PT Jump Shot8
56.6%
8
43.4%
Q1 - 8:08CHIButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
55.4%
8
44.6%
Q1 - 8:09MIAMISS Wade 19' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot8
56.0%
8
44.0%
Q1 - 8:25CHINoah 20' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Hinrich 1 AST)8
57.4%
8
42.6%
Q1 - 8:43MIAChalmers Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T4)8
59.0%
6
41.0%
Q1 - 8:50MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
60.9%
6
39.1%
Q1 - 8:52CHIMISS Boozer Free Throw 2 of 28
60.7%
6
39.3%
Q1 - 8:52CHIBoozer Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)8
59.6%
6
40.4%
Q1 - 8:54MIAHinrich STEAL (1 STL)8
60.8%
5
39.2%
Q1 - 9:10CHIHinrich 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS)8
62.8%
5
37.2%
Q1 - 9:23MIABosh 1' Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)8
64.2%
3
35.8%
Q1 - 9:28CHIHinrich Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)6
62.8%
3
37.2%
Q1 - 9:35MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)6
60.9%
3
39.1%
Q1 - 9:35MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)5
60.5%
3
39.5%
Q1 - 9:50CHINoah REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)4
59.3%
3
40.7%
Q1 - 9:50CHINoah 1' Putback Layup (3 PTS)4
59.3%
3
40.7%
Q1 - 9:51CHIMISS Noah 3' Layup4
62.2%
1
37.8%
Q1 - 10:13MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)4
60.8%
1
39.2%
Q1 - 10:13MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)3
60.4%
1
39.6%
Q1 - 10:16CHIBoozer Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)2
59.3%
1
40.7%
Q1 - 10:30MIAJames Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)2
57.5%
1
42.5%
Q1 - 10:36MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
59.3%
1
40.7%
Q1 - 10:37CHIMISS Boozer 15' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot2
58.7%
1
41.3%
Q1 - 10:53MIADunleavy STEAL (1 STL)2
57.5%
1
42.5%
Q1 - 11:02CHINoah Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)2
58.9%
1
41.1%
Q1 - 11:02CHIMISS Noah Free Throw 1 of 22
59.3%
0
40.7%
Q1 - 11:02CHINoah REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)2
59.1%
0
40.9%
Q1 - 11:02CHINoah REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
59.1%
0
40.9%
Q1 - 11:02CHIMISS Noah 3' Layup2
60.1%
0
39.9%
Q1 - 11:04CHIMISS Butler 7' Jump Shot2
60.1%
0
39.9%
Q1 - 11:14CHIBoozer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
59.1%
0
40.9%
Q1 - 11:15CHIMISS Dunleavy 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
60.1%
0
39.9%
Q1 - 11:42MIAWade 2' Dunk (2 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)2
59.1%
0
40.9%
Q1 - 12:00CHIJump Ball Noah vs. Bosh: Tip to James0
57.4%
0
42.6%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.00 50.0%
CHI
0.94 47.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
17
28
61%
CHI
15
29
52%
Midrange
MIA
6
26
23%
CHI
16
42
38%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
7
10.5
20
35%
53%
CHI
7
10.5
19
37%
55%
Free Throws
MIA
21
22
95%
CHI
12
17
71%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2557%12.5 / 22
L. James1737%8.5 / 23
C. Bosh1575%7.5 / 10
N. Cole1169%5.5 / 8
M. Chalmers964%4.5 / 7
R. Allen770%3.5 / 5
C. Andersen250%1.0 / 2
M. Beasley220%1.0 / 5
S. Battier0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
CHI logo Bulls
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Augustin2279%11.0 / 14
J. Noah2056%10.0 / 18
J. Butler1644%8.0 / 18
K. Hinrich1150%5.5 / 11
C. Boozer930%4.5 / 15
M. Dunleavy850%4.0 / 8
T. Gibson729%3.5 / 12
N. Mohammed2100%1.0 / 1
T. Snell0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
79
+9
-17
88
CHI
81
+18
-12
99
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.00 50.0%
CHI
0.94 47.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
110.7
103.2
MIA 91.7 +10.5
CHI 102.2
Pace
91.5
89.6
MIA 90.9 +10.2
CHI 80.7
Avg. Poss. Time
15.8
16.3
MIA 15.8 +2.0
CHI 17.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
55.4%
47.1%
MIA 45.3%
CHI 46.1% +0.8%
TO %
15.4%
15.4%
MIA 17.7%
CHI 11.8% +5.9%
ORB %
20.6%
27.2%
MIA 15.0%
CHI 26.5% +11.5%
FTrt
30.0
29.0
MIA 29.7 +10.8
CHI 18.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.8%
65.4%
MIA 66.7% +0.9%
CHI 65.8%
STL %
9.7%
8.0%
MIA 8.3%
CHI 11.8% +3.5%
BLK %
8.1%
8.3%
MIA 12.7%
CHI 13.0% +0.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.51 and 2.51.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
57.5%
50.0%
MIA 50.0% +3.0%
CHI 47.0%
Rim FG%
66.7%
54.2%
MIA 60.7% +9.0%
CHI 51.7%
Mid FG%
42.8%
37.8%
MIA 23.1%
CHI 38.1% +15.0%
3P %
36.4%
34.8%
MIA 35.0%
CHI 36.8% +1.8%
FT %
76.0%
77.9%
MIA 95.5% +24.9%
CHI 70.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
38.3%
37.0%
MIA 37.8% +5.6%
CHI 32.2%
Mid Att. %
32.5%
40.8%
MIA 35.1% +11.5%
CHI 46.7%
3P Att. %
29.2%
22.2%
MIA 27.0% +5.9%
CHI 21.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.71 and 2.71.
Game TotalsMIACHI
Possessions9693
Possession Minutes25.427.6
Points8895
Rebounds4247
Assists2025
Steals811
Blocks97
Turnovers (Team)17 (1)12 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)6 (3)13 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)36 (2)34 (2)
Field Goals30-7438-90
At-the-Rim FG17-2815-29
Midrange FG6-2616-42
2-Point FG23-5431-71
3-Point FG7-207-19
Free Throws21-2212-17
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 250 · 29
45.3
17
37%
9
8
3
1
4
1
1
8
0-0
-
7-20
35%
1-3
33%
G · 6'4" 220 · 32
39.5
25
57%
5
4
2
0
4
3
1
4
11-12
92%
7-14
50%
0-2
0%
C · 6'11" 235 · 30
37.9
15
75%
5
1
1
0
0
5
0
5
0-0
-
3-5
60%
3-5
60%
G · 6'2" 190 · 28
37.3
9
64%
6
5
1
0
5
5
1
5
7-7
100%
1-3
33%
0-1
0%
F · 6'8" 220 · 35
9.4
0
0%
1
0
0
1
1
4
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-2
0%
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 36
33.1
2
50%
13
0
0
6
0
0
2
11
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 205 · 39
20.7
7
70%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
1-1
100%
0-2
0%
2-3
67%
G · 6'2" 175 · 25
18.1
11
69%
0
1
0
0
1
2
0
0
2-2
100%
3-5
60%
1-2
50%
F · 6'9" 235 · 25
15.1
2
20%
1
1
1
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-2
0%
C · 7'0" 273 · 26
8.6
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 195 · 28
F · 6'8" 235 · 34
F · 6'10" 235 · 35
#14 · G · 6'6" 209 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#22 · G-F · 6'8" 218 · 33
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
265
88
50%
42
20
8
9
17
0
6
36
21-22
95%
23-54
43%
7-20
35%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.