FinalWin Prob.pScore
2913%92
112
187%107
121
ORTG#PossPace
ORL logo ORL
114.39896.7
SAS logo SAS
122.299100.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

SpursMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SpursMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventORLSAS
Q4 - 0:00.0SAS112
0%
121
100%
Q4 - 0:23.0ORLLamb 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Moore 4 AST)112
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 0:35.0ORLMagic Rebound109
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 0:35.0ORLMISS Nicholson 8' Jump Shot109
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 0:50.0SASBaynes Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)109
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 0:50.0SASBaynes Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)109
0.1%
120
99.9%
Q4 - 1:07ORLDedmon 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Afflalo 4 AST)109
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 1:14ORLHarkless REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)107
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 1:15SASMISS Mills 25' 3PT Jump Shot107
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 1:29ORLAfflalo Free Throw 1 of 1 (17 PTS)107
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 1:43SASParker 24' 3PT Jump Shot (30 PTS) (Ginobili 5 AST)104
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 2:03SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)104
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 2:04ORLMISS Afflalo 21' Jump Shot104
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 2:15SASLeonard 1' Dunk (17 PTS)104
0.2%
116
99.8%
Q4 - 2:19ORLLeonard STEAL (2 STL)104
0.3%
114
99.7%
Q4 - 2:34SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 1 (24 PTS)104
0.5%
114
99.5%
Q4 - 2:53ORLAfflalo 24' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Nelson 5 AST)104
1.4%
111
98.6%
Q4 - 3:15SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)101
0.6%
111
99.4%
Q4 - 3:15SASGinobili 4' Tip Shot (21 PTS)101
0.6%
111
99.4%
Q4 - 3:16SASMISS Duncan 9' Jump Shot101
1.3%
109
98.7%
Q4 - 3:27SASGreen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)101
0.9%
109
99.1%
Q4 - 3:28ORLMISS Vucevic 18' Jump Shot101
1.0%
109
99.0%
Q4 - 3:41ORLMagic Rebound101
2.3%
109
97.7%
Q4 - 3:42SASMISS Parker 10' Jump Shot101
2.0%
109
98.0%
Q4 - 3:58ORLAfflalo 18' Pullup Jump Shot (11 PTS)101
1.4%
109
98.6%
Q4 - 4:15SASParker 8' Running Bank Shot (27 PTS)99
1.0%
109
99.0%
Q4 - 4:31ORLDuncan STEAL (1 STL)99
1.4%
107
98.6%
Q4 - 4:45SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)99
2.1%
107
97.9%
Q4 - 4:45SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)99
2.2%
106
97.8%
Q4 - 4:48SASBelinelli REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)99
2.9%
105
97.1%
Q4 - 4:49ORLLeonard BLOCK (2 BLK)99
3.3%
105
96.7%
Q4 - 5:00ORLHarris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)99
4.3%
105
95.7%
Q4 - 5:01SASMISS Splitter Free Throw 2 of 299
5.0%
105
95.0%
Q4 - 5:01SASSplitter Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)99
4.1%
105
95.9%
Q4 - 5:16ORLHarris 2' Layup (23 PTS) (Moore 3 AST)99
5.1%
104
94.9%
Q4 - 5:37ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)97
3.8%
104
96.2%
Q4 - 5:38SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot97
3.4%
104
96.6%
Q4 - 5:48SASLeonard Free Throw Clear Path 2 of 2 (15 PTS)97
2.6%
104
97.4%
Q4 - 5:48SASMISS Leonard Free Throw Clear Path 1 of 297
2.8%
103
97.2%
Q4 - 5:48ORLLeonard STEAL (1 STL)97
3.7%
103
96.3%
Q4 - 6:04SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)97
5.8%
103
94.2%
Q4 - 6:04SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)97
6.1%
102
93.9%
Q4 - 6:20SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)97
7.4%
101
92.6%
Q4 - 6:22ORLLeonard BLOCK (1 BLK)97
8.2%
101
91.8%
Q4 - 6:44SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T13)97
10.1%
101
89.9%
Q4 - 7:03ORLHarris 11' Jump Shot (21 PTS)97
7.8%
101
92.2%
Q4 - 7:19ORLHarkless REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)95
6.2%
101
93.8%
Q4 - 7:20SASMISS Diaw Free Throw 2 of 295
5.9%
101
94.1%
Q4 - 7:20SASMISS Diaw Free Throw 1 of 295
5.0%
101
95.0%
Q4 - 7:32ORLLamb Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)95
4.6%
101
95.4%
Q4 - 7:32ORLLamb Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)94
4.3%
101
95.7%
Q4 - 7:34SASGreen Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)93
3.6%
101
96.4%
Q4 - 7:36SASBelinelli REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)93
2.7%
101
97.3%
Q4 - 7:39ORLMISS Moore 25' 3PT Jump Shot93
2.9%
101
97.1%
Q4 - 7:54SASParker 1' Driving Layup (21 PTS)93
3.6%
101
96.4%
Q4 - 8:05ORLMoore 6' Running Bank Shot (8 PTS)93
5.3%
99
94.7%
Q4 - 8:25SASLeonard Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)91
4.1%
99
95.9%
Q4 - 8:25SASLeonard Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)91
4.3%
98
95.7%
Q4 - 8:33ORLHarkless REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)91
5.2%
97
94.8%
Q4 - 8:33ORLHarkless 2' Layup (12 PTS)91
5.2%
97
94.8%
Q4 - 8:35ORLGreen BLOCK (2 BLK)89
3.4%
97
96.6%
Q4 - 8:53SASDiaw 8' Step Back Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Green 3 AST)89
4.1%
97
95.9%
Q4 - 9:09ORLHarris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)89
5.7%
95
94.3%
Q4 - 9:09ORLHarris 1' Putback Layup (19 PTS)89
5.7%
95
94.3%
Q4 - 9:11ORLMISS Lamb 4' Jump Shot87
3.8%
95
96.2%
Q4 - 9:12ORLLamb REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)87
4.5%
95
95.5%
Q4 - 9:14ORLMISS Lamb 3' Driving Jump Shot87
3.8%
95
96.2%
Q4 - 9:17ORLMoore REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)87
4.5%
95
95.5%
Q4 - 9:18SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)87
3.6%
95
96.4%
Q4 - 9:18SASMISS Splitter 1' Tip Shot87
4.2%
95
95.8%
Q4 - 9:20SASMISS Mills 1' Layup87
4.2%
95
95.8%
Q4 - 9:51ORLHarris 2' Layup (17 PTS) (Moore 2 AST)87
3.6%
95
96.4%
Q4 - 9:57SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)85
2.8%
95
97.2%
Q4 - 10:07SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)85
2.5%
95
97.5%
Q4 - 10:08ORLSplitter BLOCK (1 BLK)85
2.7%
95
97.3%
Q4 - 10:10ORLHarkless REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)85
3.1%
95
96.9%
Q4 - 10:11ORLMISS Harkless 5' Jump Shot85
2.6%
95
97.4%
Q4 - 10:27SASSplitter Dunk (13 PTS) (Ginobili 4 AST)85
3.1%
95
96.9%
Q4 - 10:41ORLNicholson Foul Turnover (P2.T7)85
3.8%
93
96.2%
Q4 - 10:50SASSplitter 1' Dunk (11 PTS) (Ginobili 3 AST)85
4.8%
93
95.2%
Q4 - 11:04ORLGinobili STEAL (1 STL)85
6.3%
91
93.7%
Q4 - 11:16SASSplitter Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)85
7.7%
91
92.3%
Q4 - 11:34ORLHarris 2' Layup (15 PTS) (Moore 1 AST)85
11.3%
88
88.7%
Q4 - 11:40ORLMoore REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)83
9.4%
88
90.6%
Q4 - 11:41SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot83
8.8%
88
91.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORL83
7.7%
88
92.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORLMagic Rebound83
9.4%
88
90.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORLMISS Harkless 70' 3PT Jump Shot83
8.1%
88
91.9%
Q3 - 0:01.0ORLHarkless REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)83
9.5%
88
90.5%
Q3 - 0:01.0SASMISS Leonard 25' 3PT Jump Shot83
9.0%
88
91.0%
Q3 - 0:12.0ORLNelson Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)83
7.9%
88
92.1%
Q3 - 0:12.0ORLNelson Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)82
7.7%
88
92.3%
Q3 - 0:30.0SASGinobili 8' Pullup Bank Shot (19 PTS)81
6.5%
88
93.5%
Q3 - 0:39.0ORLO'Quinn 3' Layup (9 PTS) (Afflalo 3 AST)81
7.9%
86
92.1%
Q3 - 1:05SASGinobili 10' Floating Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Diaw 2 AST)79
6.6%
86
93.4%
Q3 - 1:22ORLNelson 1' Driving Layup (7 PTS)79
8.0%
84
92.0%
Q3 - 1:33ORLHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)77
6.6%
84
93.4%
Q3 - 1:34SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot77
6.3%
84
93.7%
Q3 - 1:52SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)77
5.5%
84
94.5%
Q3 - 1:53ORLMISS O'Quinn 21' Jump Shot77
5.8%
84
94.2%
Q3 - 2:11ORLO'Quinn REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)77
6.8%
84
93.2%
Q3 - 2:12SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 177
6.6%
84
93.4%
Q3 - 2:28ORLNelson 6' Floating Jump Shot (5 PTS)77
8.0%
82
92.0%
Q3 - 2:49SASLeonard 1' Driving Dunk (12 PTS)75
6.8%
82
93.2%
Q3 - 2:54SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)75
8.0%
80
92.0%
Q3 - 2:55ORLDuncan BLOCK (3 BLK)75
8.4%
80
91.6%
Q3 - 3:14SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)75
9.6%
80
90.4%
Q3 - 3:14SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 275
9.9%
79
90.1%
Q3 - 3:25ORLVucevic 17' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Afflalo 2 AST)75
9.5%
79
90.5%
Q3 - 3:44SASLeonard Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)73
8.2%
79
91.8%
Q3 - 3:44SASLeonard Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)73
8.4%
78
91.6%
Q3 - 3:53SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)73
9.5%
77
90.5%
Q3 - 3:54ORLMISS Nelson 27' 3PT Jump Shot73
10.0%
77
90.0%
Q3 - 4:04ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)73
11.4%
77
88.6%
Q3 - 4:05SASMISS Duncan 14' Jump Bank Shot73
10.7%
77
89.3%
Q3 - 4:08SASSPURS Rebound73
9.4%
77
90.6%
Q3 - 4:09SASMISS Parker 3' Running Reverse Layup73
10.7%
77
89.3%
Q3 - 4:30ORLVucevic 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T5)73
9.4%
77
90.6%
Q3 - 4:43SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)73
11.4%
77
88.6%
Q3 - 4:53SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)73
14.9%
74
85.1%
Q3 - 4:54ORLMISS Nelson 22' Jump Shot73
15.7%
74
84.3%
Q3 - 5:00ORLAfflalo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)73
17.7%
74
82.3%
Q3 - 5:01SASMISS Duncan 19' Jump Shot73
16.5%
74
83.5%
Q3 - 5:16ORLVucevic Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)73
14.8%
74
85.2%
Q3 - 5:16ORLMISS Vucevic Free Throw 1 of 272
14.3%
74
85.7%
Q3 - 5:33ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)72
15.1%
74
84.9%
Q3 - 5:34SASMISS Parker 9' Pullup Jump Shot72
14.4%
74
85.6%
Q3 - 5:50ORLO'Quinn Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)72
12.8%
74
87.2%
Q3 - 5:50ORLMISS O'Quinn Free Throw 1 of 271
12.4%
74
87.6%
Q3 - 6:03SASParker 16' Pullup Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)71
12.8%
74
87.2%
Q3 - 6:17SASParker Free Throw Technical (17 PTS)71
14.4%
72
85.6%
Q3 - 6:27ORLHarkless Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)71
16.5%
71
83.5%
Q3 - 6:27ORLHarkless Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)70
15.8%
71
84.2%
Q3 - 6:28SASSplitter Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)69
14.7%
71
85.3%
Q3 - 6:30ORLO'Quinn 1' Dunk (6 PTS)69
12.6%
71
87.4%
Q3 - 6:31ORLO'Quinn REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)67
11.1%
71
88.9%
Q3 - 6:32ORLGreen BLOCK (1 BLK)67
9.9%
71
90.1%
Q3 - 6:35ORLAfflalo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)67
11.1%
71
88.9%
Q3 - 6:36ORLMISS Nelson 25' 3PT Jump Shot67
9.9%
71
90.1%
Q3 - 6:49SASParker 17' Jump Shot (16 PTS)67
11.1%
71
88.9%
Q3 - 7:02SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)67
12.4%
69
87.6%
Q3 - 7:03ORLMISS Afflalo 16' Jump Shot67
13.0%
69
87.0%
Q3 - 7:23SASGreen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Splitter 1 AST)67
14.3%
69
85.7%
Q3 - 7:26SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)67
18.4%
66
81.6%
Q3 - 7:28SASMISS Parker 1' Driving Layup67
20.2%
66
79.8%
Q3 - 7:34SASGreen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)67
18.4%
66
81.6%
Q3 - 7:35ORLMISS Afflalo 18' Jump Shot67
19.1%
66
80.9%
Q3 - 7:49SASGreen Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)67
21.0%
66
79.0%
Q3 - 7:53SASGreen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)67
18.4%
66
81.6%
Q3 - 7:54ORLMISS Afflalo 14' Jump Shot67
19.2%
66
80.8%
Q3 - 8:15SASGreen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Leonard 4 AST)67
20.6%
66
79.4%
Q3 - 8:21SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)67
25.6%
63
74.4%
Q3 - 8:23ORLMISS Afflalo 2' Driving Layup67
26.6%
63
73.4%
Q3 - 8:29ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)67
29.0%
63
71.0%
Q3 - 8:31SASMISS Splitter 3' Jump Shot67
27.9%
63
72.1%
Q3 - 8:47ORLVucevic 4' Jump Shot (16 PTS)67
25.6%
63
74.4%
Q3 - 9:01SASDuncan 1' Layup (8 PTS) (Parker 5 AST)65
22.2%
63
77.8%
Q3 - 9:21ORLNelson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)65
24.8%
61
75.2%
Q3 - 9:28SASSplitter Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)65
27.8%
61
72.2%
Q3 - 9:36ORLAfflalo Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T3)65
24.8%
61
75.2%
Q3 - 9:57SASSplitter 5' Jump Shot (6 PTS)65
27.8%
61
72.2%
Q3 - 9:58SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)65
30.7%
59
69.3%
Q3 - 9:59SASMISS Splitter 2' Reverse Layup65
33.0%
59
67.0%
Q3 - 10:22SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)65
29.2%
59
70.8%
Q3 - 10:23ORLMISS Afflalo 21' Jump Shot65
30.1%
59
69.9%
Q3 - 10:39ORLO'Quinn REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)65
32.3%
59
67.7%
Q3 - 10:40SASMISS Splitter 2' Layup65
31.3%
59
68.7%
Q3 - 10:55ORLHarkless 1' Finger Roll Layup (8 PTS)65
29.3%
59
70.7%
Q3 - 11:00SASLeonard Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T7)63
26.4%
59
73.6%
Q3 - 11:09ORLVucevic 2' Layup (14 PTS) (Nelson 4 AST)63
22.6%
59
77.4%
Q3 - 11:16ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)61
20.4%
59
79.6%
Q3 - 11:17SASMISS Parker 15' Jump Shot61
19.7%
59
80.3%
Q3 - 11:39SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)61
18.2%
59
81.8%
Q3 - 11:40ORLMISS O'Quinn 18' Jump Shot61
18.8%
59
81.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0SAS61
20.4%
59
79.6%
Q2 - 0:01.0ORLAfflalo 27' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS)61
18.2%
59
81.8%
Q2 - 0:02.0SASDuncan Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)58
14.1%
59
85.9%
Q2 - 0:03.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)58
13.0%
59
87.0%
Q2 - 0:03.0ORLMISS Nelson 26' 3PT Jump Shot58
13.3%
59
86.7%
Q2 - 0:27.0SASDuncan 3' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)58
14.2%
59
85.8%
Q2 - 0:35.0ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)58
16.3%
57
83.7%
Q2 - 0:35.0ORLVucevic 2' Tip Shot (12 PTS)58
16.3%
57
83.7%
Q2 - 0:35.0ORLMISS Harris 9' Jump Shot56
13.3%
57
86.7%
Q2 - 0:49.0ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)56
14.2%
57
85.8%
Q2 - 0:50.0SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw 1 of 156
14.0%
57
86.0%
Q2 - 0:59.0ORLHarkless Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)56
16.2%
55
83.8%
Q2 - 0:59.0ORLMISS Harkless Free Throw 1 of 255
15.6%
55
84.4%
Q2 - 0:59.0ORLHarkless REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)55
15.9%
55
84.1%
Q2 - 0:59.0ORLMISS Vucevic 18' Jump Shot55
14.9%
55
85.1%
Q2 - 1:28SASDuncan 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)55
15.7%
55
84.3%
Q2 - 1:40SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)55
18.1%
53
81.9%
Q2 - 1:41ORLMISS Harkless 3PT Jump Shot55
18.5%
53
81.5%
Q2 - 1:58SASGinobili 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Leonard 3 AST)55
19.4%
53
80.6%
Q2 - 2:09SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)55
23.3%
50
76.7%
Q2 - 2:10ORLMISS Afflalo 20' Jump Shot55
24.0%
50
76.0%
Q2 - 2:26SASGinobili 1' Driving Layup (7 PTS)55
25.7%
50
74.3%
Q2 - 2:45ORLAfflalo 2' Layup (6 PTS) (Vucevic 3 AST)55
28.2%
48
71.8%
Q2 - 2:55ORLHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)53
25.7%
48
74.3%
Q2 - 2:56SASMISS Belinelli 18' Jump Shot53
25.0%
48
75.0%
Q2 - 3:11SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)53
22.2%
48
77.8%
Q2 - 3:12ORLMISS Harris Free Throw 1 of 153
22.6%
48
77.4%
Q2 - 3:14ORLHarkless REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)51
20.6%
48
79.4%
Q2 - 3:15SASMISS Ginobili 1' Driving Dunk51
19.9%
48
80.1%
Q2 - 3:30ORLVucevic 2' Layup (10 PTS) (Nelson 3 AST)51
18.4%
48
81.6%
Q2 - 3:45ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)49
17.0%
48
83.0%
Q2 - 3:46SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot49
16.4%
48
83.6%
Q2 - 3:55SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)49
15.1%
48
84.9%
Q2 - 3:56ORLDuncan BLOCK (2 BLK)49
15.6%
48
84.4%
Q2 - 4:03ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)49
16.3%
48
83.7%
Q2 - 4:04SASMISS Diaw 24' 3PT Jump Shot49
15.8%
48
84.2%
Q2 - 4:17ORLVucevic 6' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS)49
14.8%
48
85.2%
Q2 - 4:42SASDiaw Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)47
13.4%
48
86.6%
Q2 - 4:42SASMISS Diaw Free Throw 1 of 247
13.7%
47
86.3%
Q2 - 4:59ORLHarris 2' Driving Layup (11 PTS) (Nelson 2 AST)47
13.4%
47
86.6%
Q2 - 5:10SASParker Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)45
12.0%
47
88.0%
Q2 - 5:18SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)45
14.6%
44
85.4%
Q2 - 5:19ORLMISS Nelson 3PT Jump Shot45
15.0%
44
85.0%
Q2 - 5:24ORLHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)45
16.0%
44
84.0%
Q2 - 5:26SASMISS Mills 2' Layup45
15.6%
44
84.4%
Q2 - 5:46SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)45
14.6%
44
85.4%
Q2 - 5:47SASMISS Mills 12' Jump Shot45
15.6%
44
84.4%
Q2 - 5:57ORLNicholson 4' Jump Hook Shot (6 PTS)45
14.6%
44
85.4%
Q2 - 6:23SASDiaw 1' Driving Layup (5 PTS) (Green 2 AST)43
13.3%
44
86.7%
Q2 - 6:30SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)43
14.4%
42
85.6%
Q2 - 6:31ORLMISS Harris 16' Pullup Jump Shot43
14.9%
42
85.1%
Q2 - 6:56SASLeonard Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T5)43
16.0%
42
84.0%
Q2 - 7:03ORLNicholson 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Price 2 AST)43
14.1%
42
85.9%
Q2 - 7:13SASLeonard 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS)41
13.0%
42
87.0%
Q2 - 7:31ORLHarris 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Price 1 AST)41
15.5%
39
84.5%
Q2 - 7:41ORLMoore REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)39
14.3%
39
85.7%
Q2 - 7:42SASMISS Belinelli 25' 3PT Jump Shot39
13.9%
39
86.1%
Q2 - 7:55ORLNicholson 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Lamb 3 AST)39
12.9%
39
87.1%
Q2 - 8:14SASLeonard 1' Dunk (5 PTS) (Diaw 1 AST)37
11.7%
39
88.3%
Q2 - 8:20SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)37
12.8%
37
87.2%
Q2 - 8:21ORLMISS Harris 12' Jump Shot37
13.1%
37
86.9%
Q2 - 8:27SASMills Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)37
14.0%
37
86.0%
Q2 - 8:37ORLMagic Turnover: Backcourt (T#2)37
12.8%
37
87.2%
Q2 - 8:55ORLMoore REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)37
14.0%
37
86.0%
Q2 - 8:56SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot37
13.6%
37
86.4%
Q2 - 9:08SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)37
12.4%
37
87.6%
Q2 - 9:09ORLMISS Price 25' 3PT Jump Shot37
12.8%
37
87.2%
Q2 - 9:32SASDiaw Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)37
13.6%
37
86.4%
Q2 - 9:47ORLPrice 17' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)37
16.1%
34
83.9%
Q2 - 10:09SASMills 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Belinelli 2 AST)35
15.0%
34
85.0%
Q2 - 10:38ORLMoore 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Lamb 2 AST)35
17.4%
31
82.6%
Q2 - 10:51ORLHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)32
15.0%
31
85.0%
Q2 - 10:52SASMISS Mills 25' 3PT Jump Shot32
14.5%
31
85.5%
Q2 - 11:07ORLHarris 8' Jump Shot (7 PTS)32
13.6%
31
86.4%
Q2 - 11:24ORLHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
12.6%
31
87.4%
Q2 - 11:25SASMISS Ginobili 10' Running Bank Shot30
12.3%
31
87.7%
Q2 - 11:43ORLMoore 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Lamb 1 AST)30
11.5%
31
88.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0SAS27
9.7%
31
90.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)27
8.9%
31
91.1%
Q1 - 0:01.0ORLMISS Afflalo 17' Jump Shot27
9.2%
31
90.8%
Q1 - 0:19.0SASGinobili 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Belinelli 1 AST)27
9.6%
31
90.4%
Q1 - 0:27.0SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)27
11.7%
28
88.3%
Q1 - 0:28.0ORLMISS Harkless 2' Layup27
11.9%
28
88.1%
Q1 - 0:43.0SASParker 9' Pullup Jump Shot (11 PTS)27
12.4%
28
87.6%
Q1 - 0:54.0ORLAfflalo 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS)27
13.7%
26
86.3%
Q1 - 1:08SASBaynes Foul Turnover (P1.T3)25
12.2%
26
87.8%
Q1 - 1:19ORLHarkless 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Vucevic 2 AST)25
11.5%
26
88.5%
Q1 - 1:42SASParker 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS)22
9.6%
26
90.4%
Q1 - 1:59SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)22
10.6%
24
89.4%
Q1 - 2:00SASMISS Diaw 17' Jump Shot22
11.1%
24
88.9%
Q1 - 2:13ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)22
10.6%
24
89.4%
Q1 - 2:13ORLVucevic 2' Putback Layup (6 PTS)22
10.6%
24
89.4%
Q1 - 2:15ORLMISS Afflalo 13' Turnaround Jump Shot20
9.2%
24
90.8%
Q1 - 2:32SASGinobili 6' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Baynes 1 AST)20
9.7%
24
90.3%
Q1 - 2:49ORLHarris 21' Pullup Jump Shot (5 PTS)20
10.5%
22
89.5%
Q1 - 3:12SASParker 2' Driving Layup (7 PTS)18
9.6%
22
90.4%
Q1 - 3:28SASBelinelli REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
10.3%
20
89.7%
Q1 - 3:30ORLMISS Harris 21' Jump Shot18
10.6%
20
89.4%
Q1 - 3:43ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)18
11.2%
20
88.8%
Q1 - 3:44SASMISS Duncan 19' Jump Shot18
11.0%
20
89.0%
Q1 - 3:53ORLAfflalo Foul Turnover (P1.T1)18
10.3%
20
89.7%
Q1 - 3:53ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)18
11.2%
20
88.8%
Q1 - 3:55SASMISS Duncan 2' Layup18
11.0%
20
89.0%
Q1 - 3:56SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)18
10.3%
20
89.7%
Q1 - 3:57SASMISS Duncan 3' Layup18
11.0%
20
89.0%
Q1 - 4:04SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
10.1%
20
89.9%
Q1 - 4:06ORLMISS Vucevic 20' Jump Shot18
10.3%
20
89.7%
Q1 - 4:20SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)18
11.0%
20
89.0%
Q1 - 4:33ORLHarris Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)18
10.1%
20
89.9%
Q1 - 4:35ORLHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
8.7%
20
91.3%
Q1 - 4:36SASMISS Parker 3' Layup15
8.5%
20
91.5%
Q1 - 4:44SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)15
7.9%
20
92.1%
Q1 - 4:45ORLMISS Afflalo 24' 3PT Jump Shot15
8.2%
20
91.8%
Q1 - 4:53ORLMagic Rebound15
8.7%
20
91.3%
Q1 - 4:54ORLDuncan BLOCK (1 BLK)15
8.2%
20
91.8%
Q1 - 5:04SASParker 2' Layup (5 PTS)15
8.8%
20
91.2%
Q1 - 5:19ORLAfflalo 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (O'Quinn 1 AST)15
9.4%
18
90.6%
Q1 - 5:33SASParker 9' Pullup Bank Shot (3 PTS)13
8.8%
18
91.2%
Q1 - 5:44SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)13
9.4%
16
90.6%
Q1 - 5:45ORLMISS Harkless 3PT Jump Shot13
9.6%
16
90.4%
Q1 - 6:01SASGreen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)13
10.0%
16
90.0%
Q1 - 6:05SASGreen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)13
11.4%
13
88.6%
Q1 - 6:07SASMISS Duncan 16' Jump Shot13
12.1%
13
87.9%
Q1 - 6:27ORLO'Quinn 1' Layup (4 PTS)13
11.5%
13
88.5%
Q1 - 6:31ORLO'Quinn REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)11
10.8%
13
89.2%
Q1 - 6:32ORLMISS Vucevic 12' Jump Shot11
10.2%
13
89.8%
Q1 - 6:45SASLeonard Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)11
10.8%
13
89.2%
Q1 - 6:50SASGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
12.3%
10
87.7%
Q1 - 6:51ORLMISS Vucevic 7' Jump Hook Shot11
12.6%
10
87.4%
Q1 - 7:02ORLHarkless REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)11
12.9%
10
87.1%
Q1 - 7:03SASMISS Duncan 19' Jump Shot11
12.6%
10
87.4%
Q1 - 7:24ORLO'Quinn 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Harkless 1 AST)11
12.0%
10
88.0%
Q1 - 7:41SASGreen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)9
11.3%
10
88.7%
Q1 - 7:58ORLNelson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Afflalo 1 AST)9
12.8%
7
87.2%
Q1 - 8:15SASLeonard Foul Turnover (P1.T1)6
11.1%
7
88.9%
Q1 - 8:17SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
10.3%
7
89.7%
Q1 - 8:18ORLMISS Nelson 1' Layup6
10.5%
7
89.5%
Q1 - 8:32SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)6
11.1%
7
88.9%
Q1 - 8:32SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)6
11.2%
6
88.8%
Q1 - 8:41ORLVucevic 13' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Nelson 1 AST)6
11.8%
5
88.2%
Q1 - 8:55ORLO'Quinn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
11.1%
5
88.9%
Q1 - 8:56SASMISS Parker Free Throw 2 of 24
11.0%
5
89.0%
Q1 - 8:56SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)4
10.5%
5
89.5%
Q1 - 8:59SASGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
11.0%
4
89.0%
Q1 - 9:03ORLMISS O'Quinn Layup4
11.1%
4
88.9%
Q1 - 9:09ORLAfflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
11.7%
4
88.3%
Q1 - 9:10SASMISS Parker 25' 3PT Jump Shot4
11.4%
4
88.6%
Q1 - 9:37ORLVucevic Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)4
10.9%
4
89.1%
Q1 - 9:37ORLVucevic Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)3
10.7%
4
89.3%
Q1 - 9:46SASSplitter 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Leonard 1 AST)2
10.3%
4
89.7%
Q1 - 9:58ORLHarkless 1' Driving Dunk (2 PTS) (Vucevic 1 AST)2
10.9%
2
89.1%
Q1 - 10:11ORLHarkless REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)0
10.2%
2
89.8%
Q1 - 10:15ORLMISS Harkless 2' Running Layup0
9.8%
2
90.2%
Q1 - 10:25ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)0
10.2%
2
89.8%
Q1 - 10:26SASMISS Parker 6' Floating Jump Shot0
10.0%
2
90.0%
Q1 - 10:42SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
9.6%
2
90.4%
Q1 - 10:43ORLMISS Nelson 24' 3PT Jump Shot0
9.8%
2
90.2%
Q1 - 11:02SASSplitter Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)0
10.0%
2
90.0%
Q1 - 11:02SASSplitter Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)0
10.2%
1
89.8%
Q1 - 11:16SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
10.7%
0
89.3%
Q1 - 11:17ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
11.3%
0
88.7%
Q1 - 11:17ORLMISS Vucevic 2' Putback Layup0
10.9%
0
89.1%
Q1 - 11:18ORLMISS Harkless 2' Layup0
10.9%
0
89.1%
Q1 - 11:39ORLHarkless REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
11.3%
0
88.7%
Q1 - 11:40SASMISS Duncan 18' Jump Shot0
11.1%
0
88.9%
Q1 - 12:00SASJump Ball Duncan vs. Vucevic: Tip to Green0
10.7%
0
89.3%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
1.07 53.3%
SAS
1.26 63.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ORL
22
39
56%
SAS
21
33
64%
Midrange
ORL
17
39
44%
SAS
13
28
46%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ORL
7
10.5
18
39%
58%
SAS
9
13.5
20
45%
68%
Free Throws
ORL
13
17
76%
SAS
26
35
74%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Harris2377%11.5 / 15
N. Vučević1953%9.5 / 18
A. Afflalo1747%8.5 / 18
M. Harkless1238%6.0 / 16
J. Nelson941%4.5 / 11
K. O'Quinn950%4.5 / 9
E. Moore8100%4.0 / 4
A. Nicholson675%3.0 / 4
D. Lamb563%2.5 / 4
R. Price250%1.0 / 2
D. Dedmon2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Parker3068%15.0 / 22
M. Ginobili2471%12.0 / 17
K. Leonard17106%8.5 / 8
T. Splitter1464%7.0 / 11
D. Green12150%6.0 / 4
T. Duncan1137%5.5 / 15
B. Diaw857%4.0 / 7
P. Mills325%1.5 / 6
A. Baynes2100%1.0 / 1
M. Belinelli0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ORL
89
+15
-9
104
SAS
86
+9
-13
95
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
1.07 53.3%
SAS
1.26 63.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
101.9
110.3
ORL 114.3
SAS 122.2 +7.9
Pace
93.4
95.2
ORL 96.7
SAS 100.4 +3.7
Avg. Poss. Time
15.3
15.1
ORL 14.9
SAS 14.3 +0.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.7%
53.7%
ORL 51.6%
SAS 58.6% +7.0%
TO %
15.0%
14.7%
ORL 8.8% +3.1%
SAS 11.9%
ORB %
22.5%
22.8%
ORL 25.0% +5.5%
SAS 19.5%
FTrt
25.3
24.0
ORL 17.7
SAS 43.2 +25.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.1%
62.1%
ORL 52.2%
SAS 60.5% +8.3%
STL %
8.1%
7.7%
ORL 8.2% +4.2%
SAS 4.0%
BLK %
6.9%
7.7%
ORL 6.6%
SAS 10.3% +3.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.0%
56.0%
ORL 53.3%
SAS 63.0% +9.7%
Rim FG%
55.8%
63.1%
ORL 56.4%
SAS 63.6% +7.2%
Mid FG%
40.7%
40.6%
ORL 43.6%
SAS 46.4% +2.8%
3P %
35.3%
39.7%
ORL 38.9%
SAS 45.0% +6.1%
FT %
76.3%
78.6%
ORL 76.5% +2.2%
SAS 74.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.8%
36.5%
ORL 40.6%
SAS 40.7% +0.1%
Mid Att. %
42.7%
37.8%
ORL 40.6%
SAS 34.6% +6.1%
3P Att. %
23.5%
25.7%
ORL 18.8%
SAS 24.7% +5.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.04 and 2.04.
Game TotalsORLSAS
Possessions9899
Possession Minutes24.323.7
Points112121
Rebounds4544
Assists2426
Steals84
Blocks48
Turnovers (Team)9 (1)13 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (3)8 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)33 (1)36 (0)
Field Goals46-9643-81
At-the-Rim FG22-3921-33
Midrange FG17-3913-28
2-Point FG39-7834-61
3-Point FG7-189-20
Free Throws13-1726-35
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 220 · 21
35.9
12
38%
10
2
2
1
0
3
4
6
3-4
75%
3-10
30%
1-4
25%
G · 6'5" 210 · 28
34.9
17
47%
3
4
0
0
3
3
1
2
1-1
100%
5-15
33%
2-3
67%
C · 6'10" 260 · 23
29.9
19
53%
13
3
1
0
2
4
3
10
3-4
75%
8-16
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'0" 190 · 32
29.5
9
41%
1
5
0
0
2
2
0
1
2-2
100%
2-4
50%
1-6
17%
F · 6'10" 250 · 24
17.7
9
50%
5
1
1
1
0
1
2
3
1-2
50%
4-8
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 226 · 22
32.1
23
77%
8
0
2
2
0
1
1
7
1-2
50%
11-16
69%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 190 · 31
17.0
2
50%
0
2
1
0
0
3
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-1
0%
F-G · 6'4" 191 · 25
16.6
8
100%
4
4
0
0
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
1-1
100%
2-3
67%
G · 6'4" 200 · 22
13.7
5
63%
1
3
1
0
0
1
1
0
2-2
100%
0-2
0%
1-1
100%
F · 6'9" 250 · 24
9.7
6
75%
0
0
0
0
2
5
0
0
0-0
-
3-4
75%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 21
1.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 245 · 25
1.5
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 260 · 31
#5 · G · 6'4" 210 · 22
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
112
53%
45
24
8
4
9
0
12
33
13-17
76%
39-78
50%
7-18
39%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.