FinalWin Prob.pScore
964%110
110
2536%105
115
ORTG#PossPace
DAL logo DAL
115.89592.1
DEN logo DEN
122.39497.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

NuggetsMavericksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

NuggetsMavericksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDALDEN
Q4 - 0:00.0DEN110
0%
115
100%
Q4 - 0:10.0DALEllis 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Crowder 1 AST)110
0.3%
115
99.7%
Q4 - 0:13.0DENChandler Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)107
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 0:13.0DENMISS Chandler Free Throw 1 of 2107
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 0:19.0DALBrooks STEAL (4 STL)107
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 0:23.0DALCrowder REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)107
0.5%
114
99.5%
Q4 - 0:24.0DENMISS Lawson Free Throw 2 of 2107
0.5%
114
99.5%
Q4 - 0:24.0DENLawson Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)107
0.3%
114
99.7%
Q4 - 0:30.0DALLarkin 3' Driving Layup (2 PTS)107
0.7%
113
99.3%
Q4 - 0:37.0DENFournier Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)105
0.3%
113
99.7%
Q4 - 0:37.0DENMISS Fournier Free Throw 1 of 2105
0.3%
112
99.7%
Q4 - 0:39.0DALCrowder 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Larkin 1 AST)105
0.5%
112
99.5%
Q4 - 0:44.0DENFoye Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T15)102
0.2%
112
99.8%
Q4 - 0:51.0DALEllis 6' Floating Jump Shot (13 PTS)102
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 1:00DALMavericks Rebound100
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 1:01DALMISS Carter 25' 3PT Jump Shot100
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 1:05DENFaried Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T14)100
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 1:12DALCarter 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS)100
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 1:24DALMavericks Rebound97
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 1:25DALHickson BLOCK (5 BLK)97
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 1:33DENFaried Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)97
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 1:33DENFaried Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)97
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 1:42DALWright 2' Layup (18 PTS) (Calderon 6 AST)97
0.2%
110
99.8%
Q4 - 1:57DENFoye Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)95
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 1:57DENFoye Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)95
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 2:00DALLawson STEAL (2 STL)95
0.2%
108
99.8%
Q4 - 2:13DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)95
0.4%
108
99.6%
Q4 - 2:14DENMISS Chandler 3' Jump Shot95
0.4%
108
99.6%
Q4 - 2:38DALEllis Driving Dunk (11 PTS)95
0.2%
108
99.8%
Q4 - 2:44DENLawson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T13)93
0.2%
108
99.8%
Q4 - 3:05DALCalderon 9' Jump Shot (5 PTS)93
0.2%
108
99.8%
Q4 - 3:23DENHickson 1' Alley Oop Dunk (16 PTS) (Faried 4 AST)91
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 3:42DALCarter 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Calderon 5 AST)91
0.5%
106
99.5%
Q4 - 3:56DENFoye 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Hickson 3 AST)88
0.2%
106
99.8%
Q4 - 4:25DALCarter 1' Dunk (11 PTS) (Ellis 4 AST)88
0.4%
103
99.6%
Q4 - 4:36DENFaried Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)86
0.3%
103
99.7%
Q4 - 4:36DENFaried Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)86
0.3%
102
99.7%
Q4 - 4:55DALEllis 3' Layup (9 PTS)86
0.4%
101
99.6%
Q4 - 5:17DENFaried 2' Alley Oop Dunk (12 PTS) (Lawson 7 AST)84
0.6%
101
99.4%
Q4 - 5:30DALEllis Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)84
0.9%
99
99.1%
Q4 - 5:46DENFournier Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T12)81
0.5%
99
99.5%
Q4 - 6:10DALNowitzki 13' Floating Jump Shot (27 PTS)81
0.6%
99
99.4%
Q4 - 6:27DENHickson 1' Driving Slam Dunk (14 PTS) (Brooks 4 AST)79
0.5%
99
99.5%
Q4 - 6:43DALCarter 8' Floating Jump Shot (9 PTS)79
0.6%
97
99.4%
Q4 - 6:54DENHickson 2' Layup (12 PTS) (Faried 3 AST)77
0.5%
97
99.5%
Q4 - 7:18DALNowitzki 15' Jump Shot (25 PTS)77
1.0%
95
99.0%
Q4 - 7:40DENHickson 2' Dunk (10 PTS) (Fournier 2 AST)75
0.8%
95
99.2%
Q4 - 7:45DALBrooks STEAL (3 STL)75
1.0%
93
99.0%
Q4 - 7:56DENFournier 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Brooks 3 AST)75
1.3%
93
98.7%
Q4 - 8:13DENFaried REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)75
3.2%
90
96.8%
Q4 - 8:14DALMISS Carter 10' Jump Shot75
3.4%
90
96.6%
Q4 - 8:35DALJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)75
4.0%
90
96.0%
Q4 - 8:40DENMISS Hickson Free Throw 1 of 175
3.9%
90
96.1%
Q4 - 8:42DALFournier STEAL (1 STL)75
5.1%
88
94.9%
Q4 - 9:01DENHickson 2' Layup (6 PTS) (Arthur 1 AST)75
8.2%
88
91.8%
Q4 - 9:24DENHickson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)75
10.1%
86
89.9%
Q4 - 9:25DALMISS Carter 15' Fadeaway Jumper75
10.8%
86
89.2%
Q4 - 9:46DENArthur 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS)75
12.4%
86
87.6%
Q4 - 10:01DENChandler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)75
17.3%
84
82.7%
Q4 - 10:02DALHickson BLOCK (4 BLK)75
18.3%
84
81.7%
Q4 - 10:15DENChandler Traveling Turnover (P2.T11)75
20.7%
84
79.3%
Q4 - 10:24DENChandler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)75
17.2%
84
82.8%
Q4 - 10:25DALMISS Nowitzki 16' Jump Shot75
18.2%
84
81.8%
Q4 - 10:48DENChandler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)75
20.6%
84
79.4%
Q4 - 10:48DENChandler 2' Tip Shot (20 PTS)75
20.6%
84
79.4%
Q4 - 10:49DENMISS Chandler 3' Layup75
27.6%
82
72.4%
Q4 - 11:11DALNowitzki 14' Fadeaway Jumper (23 PTS)75
26.1%
82
73.9%
Q4 - 11:34DENChandler 26' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Brooks 2 AST)73
22.1%
82
77.9%
Q4 - 11:43DENBrooks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)73
30.3%
79
69.7%
Q4 - 11:45DALMISS Harris 24' 3PT Jump Shot73
31.8%
79
68.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0DEN73
35.1%
79
64.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0DENHickson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)73
30.3%
79
69.7%
Q3 - 0:01.0DALMISS Harris 26' 3PT Jump Shot73
33.7%
79
66.3%
Q3 - 0:05.0DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)73
36.8%
79
63.2%
Q3 - 0:05.0DENMISS Brooks 16' Jump Shot73
35.4%
79
64.6%
Q3 - 0:29.0DENNUGGETS Rebound73
32.2%
79
67.8%
Q3 - 0:30.0DALMISS Carter 26' 3PT Jump Shot73
33.5%
79
66.5%
Q3 - 0:44.0DENArthur Foul Turnover (P1.T10)73
36.6%
79
63.4%
Q3 - 1:03DALWright 2' Layup (16 PTS) (Harris 11 AST)73
33.8%
79
66.2%
Q3 - 1:18DALMavericks Rebound71
29.4%
79
70.6%
Q3 - 1:20DENMISS Arthur 2' Layup71
28.2%
79
71.8%
Q3 - 1:21DENArthur REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)71
25.6%
79
74.4%
Q3 - 1:22DENMISS Mozgov 3' Layup71
28.2%
79
71.8%
Q3 - 1:43DALWright 13' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Harris 10 AST)71
25.5%
79
74.5%
Q3 - 1:51DALHarris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)69
21.9%
79
78.1%
Q3 - 1:52DENMISS Arthur 18' Jump Shot69
20.9%
79
79.1%
Q3 - 2:01DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:6 Def:4)69
20.4%
79
79.6%
Q3 - 2:02DENMISS Brooks 13' Jump Shot69
22.7%
79
77.3%
Q3 - 2:15DALMarion Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)69
20.3%
79
79.7%
Q3 - 2:27DALCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)69
23.6%
79
76.4%
Q3 - 2:28DENMISS Fournier 4' Jump Shot69
22.6%
79
77.4%
Q3 - 2:46DALMarion 6' Floating Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Ellis 3 AST)69
20.2%
79
79.8%
Q3 - 3:05DALMavericks Rebound67
19.3%
79
80.7%
Q3 - 3:05DENMISS Mozgov 5' Hook Shot67
18.4%
79
81.6%
Q3 - 3:12DALArthur STEAL (1 STL)67
16.4%
79
83.6%
Q3 - 3:18DALWright REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)67
19.2%
79
80.8%
Q3 - 3:19DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)67
16.4%
79
83.6%
Q3 - 3:19DENMISS Mozgov 1' Tip Shot67
18.3%
79
81.7%
Q3 - 3:20DENMISS Lawson 17' Jump Shot67
18.3%
79
81.7%
Q3 - 3:25DENArthur REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)67
16.4%
79
83.6%
Q3 - 3:26DALMozgov BLOCK (1 BLK)67
17.2%
79
82.8%
Q3 - 3:44DENFoye Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T9)67
19.1%
79
80.9%
Q3 - 3:44DALFoye STEAL (2 STL)67
16.3%
79
83.7%
Q3 - 3:53DALWright REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)67
19.1%
79
80.9%
Q3 - 3:54DALMISS Carter 26' 3PT Jump Shot67
17.1%
79
82.9%
Q3 - 4:14DENFoye Foul Turnover (P2.T8)67
20.7%
79
79.3%
Q3 - 4:20DALCarter 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Harris 9 AST)67
17.4%
79
82.6%
Q3 - 4:39DENFournier 3' Jump Shot (5 PTS)64
13.4%
79
86.6%
Q3 - 4:50DENNUGGETS Rebound64
15.0%
77
85.0%
Q3 - 4:50DENMISS Faried 4' Hook Shot64
17.0%
77
83.0%
Q3 - 4:52DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)64
15.0%
77
85.0%
Q3 - 4:54DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)64
15.0%
77
85.0%
Q3 - 4:54DENMISS Mozgov 2' Layup64
17.0%
77
83.0%
Q3 - 4:56DENFaried REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)64
15.0%
77
85.0%
Q3 - 4:56DENMISS Faried 1' Layup64
17.0%
77
83.0%
Q3 - 4:57DENMISS Chandler 5' Jump Shot64
17.0%
77
83.0%
Q3 - 5:16DALChandler STEAL (2 STL)64
16.2%
77
83.8%
Q3 - 5:35DALCalderon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)64
18.9%
77
81.1%
Q3 - 5:36DENMISS Lawson 25' 3PT Jump Shot64
18.0%
77
82.0%
Q3 - 5:57DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)64
16.1%
77
83.9%
Q3 - 5:58DENMISS Chandler 3PT Jump Shot64
18.0%
77
82.0%
Q3 - 6:17DALChandler STEAL (1 STL)64
17.7%
77
82.3%
Q3 - 6:28DALEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)64
20.4%
77
79.6%
Q3 - 6:29DENMISS Mozgov 6' Hook Shot64
19.5%
77
80.5%
Q3 - 6:48DALNowitzki 1' Layup (21 PTS)64
17.6%
77
82.4%
Q3 - 7:02DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)62
16.7%
77
83.3%
Q3 - 7:03DENMISS Chandler 18' Jump Shot62
16.0%
77
84.0%
Q3 - 7:19DALNowitzki 12' Fadeaway Jumper (19 PTS)62
14.5%
77
85.5%
Q3 - 7:38DENChandler 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Foye 4 AST)60
12.8%
77
87.2%
Q3 - 7:48DALFoye STEAL (1 STL)60
16.5%
74
83.5%
Q3 - 8:07DENLawson 1' Driving Layup (19 PTS) (Chandler 1 AST)60
19.9%
74
80.1%
Q3 - 8:12DALLawson STEAL (1 STL)60
22.0%
72
78.0%
Q3 - 8:24DENFaried 2' Layup (10 PTS) (Lawson 6 AST)60
25.1%
72
74.9%
Q3 - 8:34DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)60
27.6%
70
72.4%
Q3 - 8:35DALMISS Marion 25' 3PT Jump Shot60
28.6%
70
71.4%
Q3 - 8:51DALMarion REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)60
31.1%
70
68.9%
Q3 - 8:53DENMISS Faried 15' Jump Shot60
30.0%
70
70.0%
Q3 - 9:09DALNowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Calderon 4 AST)60
28.8%
70
71.2%
Q3 - 9:16DALMarion REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)57
23.2%
70
76.8%
Q3 - 9:17DENMISS Foye 24' 3PT Jump Shot57
22.4%
70
77.6%
Q3 - 9:29DALNowitzki 4' Jump Shot (14 PTS)57
20.6%
70
79.4%
Q3 - 9:59DALJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)55
18.4%
70
81.6%
Q3 - 10:00DENMISS Faried 4' Hook Shot55
17.7%
70
82.3%
Q3 - 10:07DENFoye REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)55
17.5%
70
82.5%
Q3 - 10:08DALMISS James 2' Layup55
18.2%
70
81.8%
Q3 - 10:20DENMozgov Foul Turnover (P1.T7)55
19.7%
70
80.3%
Q3 - 10:24DALNowitzki 18' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Ellis 2 AST)55
17.5%
70
82.5%
Q3 - 10:41DENChandler Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)53
15.5%
70
84.5%
Q3 - 10:41DENChandler Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)53
15.9%
69
84.1%
Q3 - 10:49DENLawson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)53
17.4%
68
82.6%
Q3 - 10:50DALMISS Nowitzki 16' Jump Shot53
18.0%
68
82.0%
Q3 - 11:07DALJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)53
21.3%
68
78.7%
Q3 - 11:08DENMISS Foye 25' 3PT Jump Shot53
20.6%
68
79.4%
Q3 - 11:13DALMarion 3' Layup (13 PTS)53
19.0%
68
81.0%
Q3 - 11:17DALMarion REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)51
17.0%
68
83.0%
Q3 - 11:18DALMISS Ellis 2' Layup51
15.6%
68
84.4%
Q3 - 11:38DALJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)51
16.9%
68
83.1%
Q3 - 11:40DENMISS Chandler 26' 3PT Jump Shot51
16.3%
68
83.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0DAL51
15.0%
68
85.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0DALMavericks Rebound51
16.9%
68
83.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0DALMISS Marion 9' Jump Shot51
15.5%
68
84.5%
Q2 - 0:01.0DALMarion REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)51
18.3%
68
81.7%
Q2 - 0:01.0DALMISS Marion 2' Layup51
17.3%
68
82.7%
Q2 - 0:02.0DALMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)51
18.3%
68
81.7%
Q2 - 0:03.0DALMISS Wright 7' Jump Shot51
17.3%
68
82.7%
Q2 - 0:26.0DENFoye 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Lawson 5 AST)51
18.2%
68
81.8%
Q2 - 0:34.0DALWright 2' Dunk (12 PTS) (Harris 8 AST)51
23.0%
65
77.0%
Q2 - 0:57.0DENNUGGETS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#6)49
20.2%
65
79.8%
Q2 - 0:57.0DENNUGGETS Rebound49
18.6%
65
81.4%
Q2 - 0:58.0DENMISS Lawson 25' 3PT Jump Shot49
19.7%
65
80.3%
Q2 - 1:42DALNowitzki 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Harris 7 AST)49
19.9%
65
80.1%
Q2 - 1:52DALHarris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)47
17.2%
65
82.8%
Q2 - 1:53DENMISS Lawson 12' Jump Shot47
16.9%
65
83.1%
Q2 - 2:13DENNUGGETS Rebound47
16.9%
65
83.1%
Q2 - 2:14DALMISS Marion 11' Jump Hook Shot47
17.5%
65
82.5%
Q2 - 2:31DENLawson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)47
18.7%
65
81.3%
Q2 - 2:32DENLawson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)47
16.9%
65
83.1%
Q2 - 2:34DALMISS Nowitzki 15' Fadeaway Jumper47
17.4%
65
82.6%
Q2 - 2:50DENFaried 4' Jump Hook Shot (8 PTS) (Foye 3 AST)47
18.7%
65
81.3%
Q2 - 3:07DENLawson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)47
21.9%
63
78.1%
Q2 - 3:08DALMISS Nowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot47
22.7%
63
77.3%
Q2 - 3:13DALHarris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)47
24.5%
63
75.5%
Q2 - 3:16DALMISS Calderon 26' 3PT Jump Shot47
22.6%
63
77.4%
Q2 - 3:34DENHickson 2' Reverse Dunk (4 PTS) (Foye 2 AST)47
24.4%
63
75.6%
Q2 - 3:57DENFaried REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)47
26.2%
61
73.8%
Q2 - 3:58DENMISS Foye 25' 3PT Jump Shot47
28.1%
61
71.9%
Q2 - 4:12DALWright 6' Floating Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Harris 6 AST)47
27.9%
61
72.1%
Q2 - 4:22DENHickson 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Lawson 4 AST)45
25.6%
61
74.4%
Q2 - 4:34DALMarion 6' Floating Jump Shot (11 PTS)45
27.8%
59
72.2%
Q2 - 4:43DALCalderon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)43
25.6%
59
74.4%
Q2 - 4:44DALHickson BLOCK (3 BLK)43
24.0%
59
76.0%
Q2 - 4:54DENChandler Foul Turnover (P1.T4)43
25.6%
59
74.4%
Q2 - 4:56DENArthur REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)43
23.4%
59
76.6%
Q2 - 4:58DALHickson BLOCK (2 BLK)43
24.0%
59
76.0%
Q2 - 5:18DALDalembert REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)43
26.6%
59
73.4%
Q2 - 5:18DENMISS Brooks 26' 3PT Jump Shot43
25.9%
59
74.1%
Q2 - 5:38DALCalderon 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Ellis 1 AST)43
24.5%
59
75.5%
Q2 - 5:47DALCrowder REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)40
20.5%
59
79.5%
Q2 - 5:48DENMISS Chandler 26' 3PT Jump Shot40
19.9%
59
80.1%
Q2 - 6:05DALCalderon Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4)40
19.5%
59
80.5%
Q2 - 6:16DENBrooks 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS)40
21.7%
59
78.3%
Q2 - 6:22DALBrooks STEAL (2 STL)40
23.2%
57
76.8%
Q2 - 6:30DENBrooks 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Hickson 2 AST)40
25.6%
57
74.4%
Q2 - 6:49DENBrooks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)40
27.3%
55
72.7%
Q2 - 6:50DALMISS Calderon 25' 3PT Jump Shot40
28.1%
55
71.9%
Q2 - 7:06DENChandler 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Brooks 1 AST)40
31.2%
55
68.8%
Q2 - 7:17DALEllis Foul Turnover (P1.T2)40
35.6%
52
64.4%
Q2 - 7:23DENArthur 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS)40
38.4%
52
61.6%
Q2 - 7:36DENHickson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)40
40.6%
50
59.4%
Q2 - 7:37DALMISS Marion 13' Turnaround Jump Shot40
41.5%
50
58.5%
Q2 - 7:51DALMavericks Rebound40
43.5%
50
56.5%
Q2 - 7:52DALHickson BLOCK (1 BLK)40
41.4%
50
58.6%
Q2 - 8:00DENArthur Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)40
43.5%
50
56.5%
Q2 - 8:00DENArthur Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)40
43.9%
49
56.1%
Q2 - 8:03DENHickson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)40
46.5%
48
53.5%
Q2 - 8:04DENMISS Chandler 1' Layup40
48.4%
48
51.6%
Q2 - 8:05DENChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)40
46.5%
48
53.5%
Q2 - 8:06DENMISS Chandler 2' Layup40
48.4%
48
51.6%
Q2 - 8:19DENArthur REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)40
46.5%
48
53.5%
Q2 - 8:20DALMISS Ellis 22' Jump Shot40
47.3%
48
52.7%
Q2 - 8:46DALCrowder REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)40
49.2%
48
50.8%
Q2 - 8:47DENMISS Hickson 5' Jump Hook Shot40
48.4%
48
51.6%
Q2 - 9:07DALWright 1' Putback Dunk (8 PTS)40
47.4%
48
52.6%
Q2 - 9:10DALWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)38
45.1%
48
54.9%
Q2 - 9:11DALMISS Nowitzki 13' Jump Shot38
43.2%
48
56.8%
Q2 - 9:34DENChandler 1' Driving Dunk (7 PTS) (Hickson 1 AST)38
45.0%
48
55.0%
Q2 - 9:40DENHickson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
47.3%
46
52.7%
Q2 - 9:40DALMISS Nowitzki 18' Jump Shot38
48.2%
46
51.8%
Q2 - 10:00DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)38
50.0%
46
50.0%
Q2 - 10:01DENMISS Chandler 26' 3PT Jump Shot38
49.4%
46
50.6%
Q2 - 10:13DALEllis 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS)38
47.4%
46
52.6%
Q2 - 10:32DENArthur Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)36
45.4%
46
54.6%
Q2 - 10:32DENArthur Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)36
45.8%
45
54.2%
Q2 - 10:43DALNowitzki 9' Fadeaway Jumper (8 PTS)36
47.4%
44
52.6%
Q2 - 11:04DENArthur 1' Alley Oop Layup (2 PTS) (Lawson 3 AST)34
45.7%
44
54.3%
Q2 - 11:10DENLawson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)34
47.9%
42
52.1%
Q2 - 11:11DALMISS Ellis 11' Floating Jump Shot34
48.7%
42
51.3%
Q2 - 11:23DENChandler Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)34
50.5%
42
49.5%
Q2 - 11:23DENMISS Chandler Free Throw 1 of 234
51.0%
41
49.0%
Q2 - 11:26DALBrooks STEAL (1 STL)34
50.3%
41
49.7%
Q2 - 11:45DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)34
52.9%
41
47.1%
Q2 - 11:46DENMISS Brooks 26' 3PT Jump Shot34
52.1%
41
47.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0DEN34
50.3%
41
49.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0DALCrowder Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)34
50.3%
41
49.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0DALCrowder Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)33
49.6%
41
50.4%
Q1 - 0:01.0DALCrowder REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)32
48.1%
41
51.9%
Q1 - 0:02.0DALMISS Harris 4' Jump Shot32
46.9%
41
53.1%
Q1 - 0:05.0DALHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
48.1%
41
51.9%
Q1 - 0:07.0DENMISS Hickson 18' Jump Shot32
47.5%
41
52.5%
Q1 - 0:28.0DENLawson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)32
46.3%
41
53.7%
Q1 - 0:29.0DENMISS Lawson 24' 3PT Jump Shot32
47.5%
41
52.5%
Q1 - 0:35.0DALWright 2' Alley Oop Layup (6 PTS) (Harris 5 AST)32
46.3%
41
53.7%
Q1 - 0:47.0DENLawson Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)30
43.4%
41
56.6%
Q1 - 0:47.0DENLawson Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)30
43.8%
40
56.2%
Q1 - 0:51.0DENLawson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)30
46.3%
39
53.7%
Q1 - 0:54.0DENMISS Foye 27' 3PT Jump Shot30
47.5%
39
52.5%
Q1 - 1:15DALWright 1' Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Harris 4 AST)30
47.1%
39
52.9%
Q1 - 1:20DENQ. Miller Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)28
44.3%
39
55.7%
Q1 - 1:39DALWright 1' Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Harris 3 AST)28
42.5%
39
57.5%
Q1 - 1:49DENFaried 3' Layup (6 PTS) (Lawson 2 AST)26
39.7%
39
60.3%
Q1 - 2:00DALCrowder 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Harris 2 AST)26
42.5%
37
57.5%
Q1 - 2:16DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
38.4%
37
61.6%
Q1 - 2:17DENMISS Lawson 18' Jump Shot23
37.8%
37
62.2%
Q1 - 2:36DALHarris Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)23
36.4%
37
63.6%
Q1 - 2:36DALHarris Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)22
36.0%
37
64.0%
Q1 - 2:51DENFaried Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)21
34.2%
37
65.8%
Q1 - 2:51DENFaried Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)21
34.8%
36
65.2%
Q1 - 3:11DALCarter Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)21
37.0%
35
63.0%
Q1 - 3:11DALCarter Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)20
36.6%
35
63.4%
Q1 - 3:22DENLawson Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)19
35.1%
35
64.9%
Q1 - 3:22DENLawson Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)19
35.4%
34
64.6%
Q1 - 3:32DALMarion 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Harris 1 AST)19
36.9%
33
63.1%
Q1 - 3:45DALMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
33.0%
33
67.0%
Q1 - 3:47DENMISS Mozgov Free Throw 2 of 216
32.8%
33
67.2%
Q1 - 3:47DENMozgov Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)16
31.5%
33
68.5%
Q1 - 3:51DENFaried REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)16
32.9%
32
67.1%
Q1 - 3:52DALMISS Harris 17' Jump Shot16
33.5%
32
66.5%
Q1 - 4:10DENFoye 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Lawson 1 AST)16
36.2%
32
63.8%
Q1 - 4:29DALCarter Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)16
40.0%
29
60.0%
Q1 - 4:29DALCarter Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)15
39.7%
29
60.3%
Q1 - 4:46DENFournier 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Faried 2 AST)14
38.2%
29
61.8%
Q1 - 4:51DENFoye REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)14
42.1%
26
57.9%
Q1 - 4:52DALMISS Carter 24' 3PT Jump Shot14
42.8%
26
57.2%
Q1 - 5:03DENFoye REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)14
45.5%
26
54.5%
Q1 - 5:03DENFoye 1' Putback Dunk (5 PTS)14
45.5%
26
54.5%
Q1 - 5:04DENMISS Fournier 1' Layup14
48.9%
24
51.1%
Q1 - 5:10DENFaried REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)14
47.4%
24
52.6%
Q1 - 5:10DALMISS Carter 18' Fadeaway Jumper14
48.0%
24
52.0%
Q1 - 5:25DENMozgov Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)14
49.5%
24
50.5%
Q1 - 5:25DENMozgov Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)14
50.0%
23
50.0%
Q1 - 5:26DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)14
51.4%
22
48.6%
Q1 - 5:27DENMISS Lawson 3' Jump Shot14
53.0%
22
47.0%
Q1 - 5:35DALMarion 2' Alley Oop Dunk (6 PTS) (Calderon 3 AST)14
51.4%
22
48.6%
Q1 - 5:50DENLawson Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)12
49.5%
22
50.5%
Q1 - 5:50DENLawson Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)12
49.9%
21
50.1%
Q1 - 6:10DALNowitzki 10' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS)12
52.4%
20
47.6%
Q1 - 6:27DENChandler Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)10
50.6%
20
49.4%
Q1 - 6:27DENChandler Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)10
51.0%
19
49.0%
Q1 - 6:29DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)10
52.3%
18
47.7%
Q1 - 6:30DALMISS Ellis 18' Jump Shot10
53.0%
18
47.0%
Q1 - 6:49DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
54.5%
18
45.5%
Q1 - 6:50DENMISS Chandler 5' Driving Jump Shot10
53.8%
18
46.2%
Q1 - 7:08DALEllis 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Dalembert 1 AST)10
53.0%
18
47.0%
Q1 - 7:26DENLawson Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)8
51.4%
18
48.6%
Q1 - 7:31DENFaried REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)8
56.8%
14
43.2%
Q1 - 7:32DALMISS Calderon 26' 3PT Jump Shot8
57.4%
14
42.6%
Q1 - 7:44DENLawson 11' Jump Shot (7 PTS)8
58.9%
14
41.1%
Q1 - 8:16DALMarion 2' Driving Dunk (4 PTS) (Calderon 2 AST)8
61.2%
12
38.8%
Q1 - 8:21DENFoye Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)6
59.5%
12
40.5%
Q1 - 8:33DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
57.6%
12
42.4%
Q1 - 8:34DALMISS Nowitzki 18' Jump Shot6
58.2%
12
41.8%
Q1 - 8:57DENFaried 2' Layup (2 PTS)6
59.5%
12
40.5%
Q1 - 9:07DENFaried REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
61.8%
10
38.2%
Q1 - 9:07DALMISS Dalembert 6' Jump Shot6
62.3%
10
37.7%
Q1 - 9:14DENLawson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)6
63.6%
10
36.4%
Q1 - 9:27DALMarion 5' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Calderon 1 AST)6
66.7%
7
33.3%
Q1 - 9:37DENChandler 2' Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Mozgov 1 AST)4
65.2%
7
34.8%
Q1 - 9:50DENChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
66.7%
5
33.3%
Q1 - 9:51DALMISS Dalembert 15' Jump Shot4
67.2%
5
32.8%
Q1 - 10:09DENFoye 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Faried 1 AST)4
68.5%
5
31.5%
Q1 - 10:13DENFaried REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
71.3%
2
28.7%
Q1 - 10:14DENMISS Faried 2' Layup4
72.3%
2
27.7%
Q1 - 10:20DALNowitzki 4' Jump Hook Shot (4 PTS)4
71.3%
2
28.7%
Q1 - 10:38DENFaried Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)2
70.0%
2
30.0%
Q1 - 10:52DALNowitzki 9' Turnaround Fadeaway (2 PTS)2
68.4%
2
31.6%
Q1 - 11:10DENLawson 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Foye 1 AST)0
66.9%
2
33.1%
Q1 - 11:35DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
68.6%
0
31.4%
Q1 - 11:36DALMISS Ellis 18' Jump Shot0
68.9%
0
31.1%
Q1 - 12:00DENJump Ball Mozgov vs. Dalembert: Tip to Calderon0
69.8%
0
30.2%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DAL
1.20 59.8%
DEN
1.15 57.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DAL
20
30
67%
DEN
22
41
54%
Midrange
DAL
17
37
46%
DEN
4
14
29%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DAL
9
13.5
20
45%
68%
DEN
11
16.5
24
46%
69%
Free Throws
DAL
9
9
100%
DEN
30
36
83%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Nowitzki2768%13.5 / 20
B. Wright1869%9.0 / 13
V. Carter1761%8.5 / 14
M. Ellis1662%8.0 / 13
S. Marion1563%7.5 / 12
J. Crowder8133%4.0 / 3
J. Calderon550%2.5 / 5
D. Harris217%1.0 / 6
S. Larkin2100%1.0 / 1
S. Dalembert0-0.0 / 3
B. James0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
W. Chandler2150%10.5 / 21
T. Lawson2063%10.0 / 16
R. Foye1680%8.0 / 10
K. Faried1662%8.0 / 13
J. Hickson1680%8.0 / 10
D. Arthur1071%5.0 / 7
E. Fournier975%4.5 / 6
A. Brooks433%2.0 / 6
T. Mozgov321%1.5 / 7
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DAL
80
+12
-15
92
DEN
80
+18
-14
98
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DAL
1.20 59.8%
DEN
1.15 57.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
110.7
106.3
DAL 115.8
DEN 122.3 +6.6
Pace
94.1
97.8
DAL 92.1
DEN 97.0 +4.9
Avg. Poss. Time
15.7
14.2
DAL 15.6
DEN 14.8 +0.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.6%
49.7%
DAL 58.0% +4.2%
DEN 53.8%
TO %
13.9%
15.7%
DAL 14.2%
DEN 13.7% +0.5%
ORB %
24.7%
27.5%
DAL 22.9%
DEN 39.0% +16.1%
FTrt
25.3
30.6
DAL 10.3
DEN 45.6 +35.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
59.6%
58.4%
DAL 52.2%
DEN 73.0% +20.8%
STL %
9.1%
7.6%
DAL 6.3%
DEN 12.8% +6.5%
BLK %
7.4%
8.6%
DAL 7.3%
DEN 9.0% +1.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.0%
52.2%
DAL 59.8% +2.3%
DEN 57.5%
Rim FG%
60.9%
57.6%
DAL 66.7% +13.0%
DEN 53.7%
Mid FG%
42.4%
36.2%
DAL 45.9% +17.3%
DEN 28.6%
3P %
38.4%
35.8%
DAL 45.0%
DEN 45.8% +0.8%
FT %
79.5%
72.6%
DAL 100.0% +16.7%
DEN 83.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
32.8%
40.2%
DAL 34.5%
DEN 51.9% +17.4%
Mid Att. %
39.9%
32.0%
DAL 42.5%
DEN 17.7% +24.8%
3P Att. %
27.4%
27.8%
DAL 23.0%
DEN 30.4% +7.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsDALDEN
Possessions9594
Possession Minutes24.823.3
Points110115
Rebounds3343
Assists2427
Steals612
Blocks46
Turnovers (Team)15 (0)14 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (4)16 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)25 (2)27 (2)
Field Goals46-8737-79
At-the-Rim FG20-3022-41
Midrange FG17-374-14
2-Point FG37-6726-55
3-Point FG9-2011-24
Free Throws9-930-36
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'3" 185 · 28
38.6
16
62%
1
4
1
1
3
5
0
1
1-1
100%
6-12
50%
1-1
100%
F · 7'0" 245 · 36
34.4
27
68%
7
0
0
0
1
4
0
7
0-0
-
12-18
67%
1-2
50%
G · 6'3" 200 · 32
30.6
5
50%
2
6
1
0
4
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
1-4
25%
F · 6'7" 228 · 36
29.1
15
63%
6
0
0
0
1
1
3
3
0-0
-
6-10
60%
1-2
50%
C · 6'11" 255 · 34
9.6
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
0%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 26
25.0
18
69%
3
0
1
2
1
2
2
1
0-0
-
9-13
69%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 37
20.8
17
61%
1
0
1
0
1
4
0
1
4-4
100%
2-5
40%
3-7
43%
G · 6'3" 185 · 31
17.8
2
17%
4
11
1
0
1
2
1
3
2-2
100%
0-3
0%
0-2
0%
F · 6'6" 235 · 24
15.8
8
133%
4
1
0
1
2
1
1
3
2-2
100%
0-0
-
2-2
100%
C · 6'10" 235 · 29
10.5
0
0%
4
0
1
0
1
5
0
4
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G · 5'11" 175 · 21
4.8
2
100%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 25
3.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 200 · 26
#33 · G · 6'3" 191 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#7 · G · 6'7" 195 · 21
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
110
60%
33
24
6
4
15
0
8
25
9-9
100%
37-67
55%
9-20
45%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.