| ORTG | #Poss | Pace | |
|---|---|---|---|
 MIA | 112.0 | 92 | 85.2 |
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Scoring Opportunities
MIA
84
+11
-8
95
HOU
73
+16
-18
89
Base
ORB
TOV
Scoring Efficiency
MIA
1.07 53.6%
HOU
1.16 58.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS
Win Probability
Scoring Margin
Play-by-Play
| Score / WinProb | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clock | Team | Event | MIA | HOU |
| Q4 - 0:00.0 | HOU | 103 0% | 106 100% | |
| Q4 - 0:13.0 | HOU | Harden Bad Pass Turnover (P6.T18) | 103 8.1% | 106 91.9% |
| Q4 - 0:21.0 | MIA | Beasley 25' 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Wade 6 AST) | 103 3.0% | 106 97.0% |
| Q4 - 0:34.0 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5) | 100 0.9% | 106 99.1% |
| Q4 - 0:34.0 | HOU | MISS Harden Free Throw 2 of 2 | 100 0.8% | 106 99.2% |
| Q4 - 0:34.0 | HOU | Harden Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS) | 100 0.4% | 106 99.6% |
| Q4 - 0:54.0 | MIA | Wade 5' Turnaround Jump Shot (24 PTS) | 100 2.0% | 105 98.0% |
| Q4 - 1:06 | MIA | Allen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 98 1.5% | 105 98.5% |
| Q4 - 1:08 | MIA | MISS James 9' Running Bank Shot | 98 1.0% | 105 99.0% |
| Q4 - 1:23 | HOU | Jones Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS) | 98 2.3% | 105 97.7% |
| Q4 - 1:23 | HOU | MISS Jones Free Throw 1 of 2 | 98 2.7% | 104 97.3% |
| Q4 - 1:47 | HOU | Howard REBOUND (Off:3 Def:13) | 98 3.2% | 104 96.8% |
| Q4 - 1:47 | MIA | MISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 2 | 98 3.4% | 104 96.6% |
| Q4 - 1:47 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS) | 98 4.6% | 104 95.4% |
| Q4 - 1:51 | MIA | Beasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 97 3.4% | 104 96.6% |
| Q4 - 1:52 | HOU | MISS Beverley 28' 3PT Jump Shot | 97 2.9% | 104 97.1% |
| Q4 - 2:17 | MIA | Beasley 17' Jump Bank Shot (21 PTS) (James 6 AST) | 97 2.2% | 104 97.8% |
| Q4 - 2:37 | HOU | Beverley 3' Layup (19 PTS) (Harden 11 AST) | 95 1.6% | 104 98.4% |
| Q4 - 2:40 | HOU | Howard REBOUND (Off:3 Def:12) | 95 2.2% | 102 97.8% |
| Q4 - 2:43 | MIA | MISS James 22' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot | 95 2.6% | 102 97.4% |
| Q4 - 3:17 | HOU | Harden 15' Floating Jump Shot (20 PTS) | 95 4.7% | 102 95.3% |
| Q4 - 3:43 | HOU | Howard REBOUND (Off:3 Def:11) | 95 9.1% | 100 90.9% |
| Q4 - 3:44 | MIA | MISS Bosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 95 10.2% | 100 89.8% |
| Q4 - 3:59 | MIA | Heat Rebound | 95 12.9% | 100 87.1% |
| Q4 - 4:01 | HOU | MISS Harden 15' Step Back Jump Shot | 95 11.5% | 100 88.5% |
| Q4 - 4:29 | MIA | Beasley 2' Layup (19 PTS) (James 5 AST) | 95 8.6% | 100 91.4% |
| Q4 - 4:44 | HOU | Howard 2' Layup (22 PTS) | 93 6.2% | 100 93.8% |
| Q4 - 4:46 | HOU | Howard REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10) | 93 8.6% | 98 91.4% |
| Q4 - 4:47 | HOU | MISS Beverley 4' Running Jump Shot | 93 11.2% | 98 88.8% |
| Q4 - 5:01 | HOU | Jones REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7) | 93 10.8% | 98 89.2% |
| Q4 - 5:02 | MIA | MISS Bosh 16' Jump Shot | 93 11.9% | 98 88.1% |
| Q4 - 5:22 | HOU | Harden 12' Step Back Jump Shot (18 PTS) | 93 14.7% | 98 85.3% |
| Q4 - 5:38 | HOU | Howard REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10) | 93 19.0% | 96 81.0% |
| Q4 - 5:42 | MIA | MISS Wade 5' Driving Layup | 93 20.8% | 96 79.2% |
| Q4 - 5:59 | HOU | Jones Free Throw 1 of 1 (18 PTS) | 93 25.3% | 96 74.7% |
| Q4 - 6:12 | MIA | Wade 4' Jump Shot (21 PTS) | 93 39.2% | 93 60.8% |
| Q4 - 6:14 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1) | 91 33.1% | 93 66.9% |
| Q4 - 6:16 | MIA | MISS Wade 7' Running Jump Shot | 91 28.0% | 93 72.0% |
| Q4 - 6:31 | HOU | Jones REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6) | 91 33.0% | 93 67.0% |
| Q4 - 6:31 | HOU | Jones 1' Putback Dunk (15 PTS) | 91 33.0% | 93 67.0% |
| Q4 - 6:33 | HOU | MISS Howard 5' Hook Shot | 91 45.0% | 91 55.0% |
| Q4 - 6:55 | MIA | Allen 10' Running Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Wade 5 AST) | 91 39.2% | 91 60.8% |
| Q4 - 7:24 | HOU | Jones 16' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Parsons 8 AST) | 89 33.6% | 91 66.4% |
| Q4 - 7:39 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS) | 89 39.4% | 89 60.6% |
| Q4 - 7:39 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS) | 88 38.0% | 89 62.0% |
| Q4 - 8:00 | HOU | Howard Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS) | 87 33.6% | 89 66.4% |
| Q4 - 8:00 | HOU | MISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 2 | 87 36.1% | 88 63.9% |
| Q4 - 8:00 | HOU | Howard REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9) | 87 32.9% | 88 67.1% |
| Q4 - 8:00 | HOU | MISS Parsons 4' Driving Jump Shot | 87 37.9% | 88 62.1% |
| Q4 - 8:26 | MIA | Beasley 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Cole 2 AST) | 87 33.9% | 88 66.1% |
| Q4 - 8:41 | HOU | Motiejunas Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T17) | 84 23.3% | 88 76.7% |
| Q4 - 8:56 | MIA | Cole 20' Pullup Jump Shot (5 PTS) | 84 19.0% | 88 81.0% |
| Q4 - 9:10 | HOU | Asik Foul Turnover (P2.T16) | 82 16.6% | 88 83.4% |
| Q4 - 9:19 | MIA | Andersen Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS) | 82 13.5% | 88 86.5% |
| Q4 - 9:33 | MIA | Andersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5) | 79 8.8% | 88 91.2% |
| Q4 - 9:33 | HOU | MISS Asik Free Throw 2 of 2 | 79 8.5% | 88 91.5% |
| Q4 - 9:33 | HOU | Asik Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS) | 79 7.7% | 88 92.3% |
| Q4 - 9:45 | HOU | Asik REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2) | 79 8.8% | 87 91.2% |
| Q4 - 9:46 | MIA | MISS Cole 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 79 9.4% | 87 90.6% |
| Q4 - 9:59 | HOU | Lin Free Throw Technical (7 PTS) | 79 10.9% | 87 89.1% |
| Q4 - 10:00 | MIA | Allen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 79 13.4% | 86 86.6% |
| Q4 - 10:02 | HOU | MISS Motiejunas 2' Dunk | 79 13.6% | 86 86.4% |
| Q4 - 10:15 | MIA | Allen 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Wade 4 AST) | 79 11.8% | 86 88.2% |
| Q4 - 10:32 | MIA | Andersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4) | 76 7.8% | 86 92.2% |
| Q4 - 10:33 | HOU | MISS Parsons 27' 3PT Jump Shot | 76 7.3% | 86 92.7% |
| Q4 - 10:47 | MIA | Beasley 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Cole 1 AST) | 76 6.3% | 86 93.7% |
| Q4 - 11:11 | HOU | Lin 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Parsons 7 AST) | 73 4.7% | 86 95.3% |
| Q4 - 11:24 | HOU | Motiejunas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 73 7.0% | 83 93.0% |
| Q4 - 11:25 | MIA | MISS Allen 3PT Jump Shot | 73 7.5% | 83 92.5% |
| Q4 - 11:39 | HOU | Asik 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T15) | 73 8.6% | 83 91.4% |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | MIA | 73 7.0% | 83 93.0% | |
| Q3 - 0:07.0 | HOU | Harden 9' Running Jump Shot (16 PTS) | 73 9.3% | 83 90.7% |
| Q3 - 0:28.0 | HOU | ROCKETS Rebound | 73 11.3% | 81 88.7% |
| Q3 - 0:29.0 | HOU | MISS Harden 27' 3PT Jump Shot | 73 12.7% | 81 87.3% |
| Q3 - 0:44.0 | MIA | Beasley 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (James 4 AST) | 73 11.2% | 81 88.8% |
| Q3 - 1:04 | HOU | Asik 1' Dunk (2 PTS) | 70 8.3% | 81 91.7% |
| Q3 - 1:06 | HOU | Asik REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1) | 70 10.0% | 79 90.0% |
| Q3 - 1:06 | HOU | MISS Motiejunas 3PT Jump Shot | 70 11.3% | 79 88.7% |
| Q3 - 1:29 | MIA | Beasley Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS) | 70 10.0% | 79 90.0% |
| Q3 - 1:29 | MIA | Beasley Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS) | 69 9.6% | 79 90.4% |
| Q3 - 1:47 | HOU | Motiejunas Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS) | 68 8.3% | 79 91.7% |
| Q3 - 1:47 | HOU | MISS Motiejunas Free Throw 1 of 2 | 68 8.7% | 78 91.3% |
| Q3 - 1:47 | HOU | ROCKETS Rebound | 68 8.3% | 78 91.7% |
| Q3 - 1:48 | HOU | MISS Hamilton 15' Pullup Jump Shot | 68 9.4% | 78 90.6% |
| Q3 - 2:06 | MIA | Andersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3) | 68 8.9% | 78 91.1% |
| Q3 - 2:06 | MIA | Andersen 1' Tip Shot (2 PTS) | 68 8.9% | 78 91.1% |
| Q3 - 2:09 | MIA | MISS James Free Throw 2 of 2 | 66 6.5% | 78 93.5% |
| Q3 - 2:09 | MIA | James Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS) | 66 7.3% | 78 92.7% |
| Q3 - 2:11 | HOU | Harden Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T14) | 65 6.4% | 78 93.6% |
| Q3 - 2:12 | HOU | ROCKETS Rebound | 65 5.3% | 78 94.7% |
| Q3 - 2:12 | HOU | MISS Howard 4' Running Hook Shot | 65 6.0% | 78 94.0% |
| Q3 - 2:35 | MIA | Allen 6' Pullup Bank Shot (8 PTS) | 65 5.3% | 78 94.7% |
| Q3 - 2:54 | HOU | Harden Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS) | 63 4.4% | 78 95.6% |
| Q3 - 2:54 | HOU | MISS Harden Free Throw 1 of 2 | 63 4.6% | 77 95.4% |
| Q3 - 2:55 | HOU | Harden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 63 4.4% | 77 95.6% |
| Q3 - 2:56 | MIA | MISS Andersen 1' Tip Shot | 63 4.7% | 77 95.3% |
| Q3 - 2:56 | MIA | Andersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 63 5.3% | 77 94.7% |
| Q3 - 2:58 | MIA | MISS Cole 5' Floating Jump Shot | 63 4.7% | 77 95.3% |
| Q3 - 3:15 | MIA | Andersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 63 5.9% | 77 94.1% |
| Q3 - 3:15 | HOU | MISS Jones 3' Layup | 63 5.6% | 77 94.4% |
| Q3 - 3:16 | HOU | Jones REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6) | 63 4.9% | 77 95.1% |
| Q3 - 3:17 | HOU | MISS Jones 4' Jump Shot | 63 5.6% | 77 94.4% |
| Q3 - 3:19 | HOU | Jones REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6) | 63 4.9% | 77 95.1% |
| Q3 - 3:20 | HOU | MISS Hamilton 16' Jump Shot | 63 5.6% | 77 94.4% |
| Q3 - 3:43 | HOU | Howard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9) | 63 4.9% | 77 95.1% |
| Q3 - 3:44 | MIA | MISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 63 5.2% | 77 94.8% |
| Q3 - 4:08 | HOU | Harden 17' Step Back Jump Shot (13 PTS) | 63 6.4% | 77 93.6% |
| Q3 - 4:32 | MIA | Beasley 2' Layup (6 PTS) (Wade 3 AST) | 63 7.3% | 75 92.7% |
| Q3 - 4:39 | HOU | Harden 1' Driving Dunk (11 PTS) | 61 6.4% | 75 93.6% |
| Q3 - 4:44 | HOU | Parsons REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 61 7.2% | 73 92.8% |
| Q3 - 4:45 | MIA | MISS Beasley 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 61 7.7% | 73 92.3% |
| Q3 - 4:55 | MIA | Beasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 61 8.8% | 73 91.2% |
| Q3 - 4:56 | HOU | MISS Beverley 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 61 8.3% | 73 91.7% |
| Q3 - 5:16 | MIA | James 3' Layup (21 PTS) (Beasley 1 AST) | 61 7.8% | 73 92.2% |
| Q3 - 5:35 | HOU | Beverley 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Harden 9 AST) | 59 6.8% | 73 93.2% |
| Q3 - 5:40 | HOU | Howard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8) | 59 9.0% | 70 91.0% |
| Q3 - 5:43 | MIA | MISS James 6' Fadeaway Jumper | 59 9.5% | 70 90.5% |
| Q3 - 5:59 | HOU | Howard 1' Alley Oop Dunk (19 PTS) (Harden 8 AST) | 59 10.7% | 70 89.3% |
| Q3 - 6:05 | MIA | Cole 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) | 59 12.7% | 68 87.3% |
| Q3 - 6:31 | HOU | Parsons 11' Pullup Jump Shot (10 PTS) | 56 9.7% | 68 90.3% |
| Q3 - 6:36 | HOU | Howard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7) | 56 11.0% | 66 89.0% |
| Q3 - 6:37 | MIA | MISS Wade 3PT Jump Shot | 56 11.6% | 66 88.4% |
| Q3 - 7:06 | HOU | Parsons 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Harden 7 AST) | 56 13.3% | 66 86.7% |
| Q3 - 7:14 | HOU | Jones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6) | 56 15.0% | 64 85.0% |
| Q3 - 7:15 | MIA | MISS Battier 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 56 15.6% | 64 84.4% |
| Q3 - 7:40 | HOU | Howard 1' Alley Oop Dunk (17 PTS) (Parsons 6 AST) | 56 17.2% | 64 82.8% |
| Q3 - 7:44 | HOU | Parsons REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 56 19.3% | 62 80.7% |
| Q3 - 7:45 | HOU | MISS Beverley 3PT Jump Shot | 56 21.2% | 62 78.8% |
| Q3 - 7:52 | HOU | Jones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5) | 56 19.3% | 62 80.7% |
| Q3 - 7:53 | MIA | MISS James 22' Jump Shot | 56 20.1% | 62 79.9% |
| Q3 - 8:06 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 56 22.4% | 62 77.6% |
| Q3 - 8:07 | HOU | MISS Howard 7' Jump Shot | 56 21.5% | 62 78.5% |
| Q3 - 8:21 | MIA | Battier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 56 19.5% | 62 80.5% |
| Q3 - 8:21 | MIA | Battier 3' Tip Shot (2 PTS) | 56 19.5% | 62 80.5% |
| Q3 - 8:23 | MIA | MISS Bosh 16' Jump Shot | 54 15.9% | 62 84.1% |
| Q3 - 8:40 | HOU | Parsons 1' Driving Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Beverley 2 AST) | 54 17.6% | 62 82.4% |
| Q3 - 8:45 | MIA | Harden STEAL (1 STL) | 54 19.5% | 60 80.5% |
| Q3 - 9:00 | MIA | Chalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 54 22.4% | 60 77.6% |
| Q3 - 9:02 | HOU | MISS Harden 10' Running Jump Shot | 54 21.6% | 60 78.4% |
| Q3 - 9:06 | HOU | Beverley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0) | 54 19.9% | 60 80.1% |
| Q3 - 9:07 | HOU | MISS Parsons 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 54 21.6% | 60 78.4% |
| Q3 - 9:17 | HOU | Howard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6) | 54 19.9% | 60 80.1% |
| Q3 - 9:17 | MIA | MISS Battier 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 54 20.6% | 60 79.4% |
| Q3 - 9:34 | HOU | Harden 2' Layup (9 PTS) (Jones 2 AST) | 54 22.4% | 60 77.6% |
| Q3 - 9:37 | HOU | Jones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 54 24.9% | 58 75.1% |
| Q3 - 9:39 | MIA | MISS Wade 20' Pullup Jump Shot | 54 25.8% | 58 74.2% |
| Q3 - 9:48 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1) | 54 27.9% | 58 72.1% |
| Q3 - 9:49 | HOU | MISS Harden 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 54 27.0% | 58 73.0% |
| Q3 - 9:52 | HOU | Beverley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 54 24.9% | 58 75.1% |
| Q3 - 9:54 | HOU | MISS Harden 26' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot | 54 27.0% | 58 73.0% |
| Q3 - 10:01 | HOU | Parsons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 54 25.1% | 58 74.9% |
| Q3 - 10:02 | MIA | MISS Battier 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 54 26.0% | 58 74.0% |
| Q3 - 10:32 | HOU | Howard 1' Slam Dunk (15 PTS) (Jones 1 AST) | 54 27.9% | 58 72.1% |
| Q3 - 10:51 | MIA | Wade 2' Layup (17 PTS) (James 3 AST) | 54 30.9% | 56 69.1% |
| Q3 - 10:56 | HOU | Beverley Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T13) | 52 27.9% | 56 72.1% |
| Q3 - 11:00 | MIA | Beverley STEAL (3 STL) | 52 25.1% | 56 74.9% |
| Q3 - 11:23 | HOU | Beverley 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Harden 6 AST) | 52 28.2% | 56 71.8% |
| Q3 - 11:44 | HOU | Howard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5) | 52 34.0% | 53 66.0% |
| Q3 - 11:45 | MIA | MISS Battier 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 52 35.0% | 53 65.0% |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | HOU | 52 37.3% | 53 62.7% | |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS) | 52 34.0% | 53 66.0% |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | MIA | MISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 2 | 51 33.3% | 53 66.7% |
| Q2 - 0:05.0 | HOU | Parsons Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T12) | 51 33.8% | 53 66.2% |
| Q2 - 0:19.0 | MIA | James 2' Driving Reverse Layup (19 PTS) | 51 31.7% | 53 68.3% |
| Q2 - 0:36.0 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 49 28.2% | 53 71.8% |
| Q2 - 0:38.0 | MIA | MISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 2 | 49 26.5% | 53 73.5% |
| Q2 - 0:38.0 | MIA | MISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 2 | 49 28.2% | 53 71.8% |
| Q2 - 0:46.0 | HOU | Howard Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS) | 49 28.2% | 53 71.8% |
| Q2 - 0:46.0 | HOU | MISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 2 | 49 29.3% | 52 70.7% |
| Q2 - 0:55.0 | MIA | Wade 19' Step Back Jump Shot (14 PTS) | 49 28.8% | 52 71.2% |
| Q2 - 1:07 | HOU | Howard Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS) | 47 25.9% | 52 74.1% |
| Q2 - 1:07 | HOU | Howard Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS) | 47 26.9% | 51 73.1% |
| Q2 - 1:20 | MIA | Wade 2' Turnaround Jump Shot (12 PTS) | 47 29.3% | 50 70.7% |
| Q2 - 1:33 | MIA | Battier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 45 25.8% | 50 74.2% |
| Q2 - 1:34 | HOU | MISS Parsons 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 45 25.4% | 50 74.6% |
| Q2 - 1:42 | HOU | Jones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 45 24.3% | 50 75.7% |
| Q2 - 1:44 | MIA | MISS James 12' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot | 45 24.8% | 50 75.2% |
| Q2 - 1:58 | MIA | MISS Chalmers Free Throw Technical | 45 25.8% | 50 74.2% |
| Q2 - 2:13 | HOU | Harden Foul Turnover (P4.T11) | 45 26.5% | 50 73.5% |
| Q2 - 2:28 | MIA | Wade Traveling Turnover (P2.T7) | 45 24.1% | 50 75.9% |
| Q2 - 2:43 | HOU | Harden 6' Driving Jump Shot (7 PTS) | 45 26.5% | 50 73.5% |
| Q2 - 2:55 | HOU | Jones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 45 29.0% | 48 71.0% |
| Q2 - 2:56 | MIA | MISS Chalmers 2' Driving Layup | 45 29.8% | 48 70.2% |
| Q2 - 3:09 | HOU | Beverley Free Throw 3 of 3 (11 PTS) | 45 31.9% | 48 68.1% |
| Q2 - 3:09 | HOU | Beverley Free Throw 2 of 3 (10 PTS) | 45 32.3% | 47 67.7% |
| Q2 - 3:09 | HOU | MISS Beverley Free Throw 1 of 3 | 45 32.8% | 46 67.2% |
| Q2 - 3:17 | MIA | Beverley STEAL (2 STL) | 45 34.0% | 46 66.0% |
| Q2 - 3:20 | MIA | Chalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 45 37.4% | 46 62.6% |
| Q2 - 3:22 | MIA | Beverley BLOCK (1 BLK) | 45 35.0% | 46 65.0% |
| Q2 - 3:25 | MIA | Chalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 45 37.4% | 46 62.6% |
| Q2 - 3:27 | HOU | MISS Jones 4' Layup | 45 36.3% | 46 63.7% |
| Q2 - 3:54 | MIA | James Driving Slam Dunk (17 PTS) | 45 34.0% | 46 66.0% |
| Q2 - 3:58 | HOU | Howard Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10) | 43 31.9% | 46 68.1% |
| Q2 - 4:18 | HOU | Jones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 43 29.2% | 46 70.8% |
| Q2 - 4:19 | MIA | MISS Cole 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 43 29.9% | 46 70.1% |
| Q2 - 4:36 | HOU | Parsons Foul Turnover (P2.T9) | 43 31.7% | 46 68.3% |
| Q2 - 4:48 | MIA | James Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS) | 43 29.2% | 46 70.8% |
| Q2 - 4:48 | MIA | MISS James Free Throw 1 of 2 | 42 28.7% | 46 71.3% |
| Q2 - 4:54 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 42 29.3% | 46 70.7% |
| Q2 - 4:55 | HOU | MISS Beverley 9' Floating Jump Shot | 42 28.5% | 46 71.5% |
| Q2 - 4:58 | MIA | Beverley STEAL (1 STL) | 42 26.8% | 46 73.2% |
| Q2 - 5:01 | HOU | Harden Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T8) | 42 29.4% | 46 70.6% |
| Q2 - 5:10 | MIA | James 2' Driving Layup (14 PTS) | 42 27.2% | 46 72.8% |
| Q2 - 5:18 | HOU | Jones 27' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Harden 5 AST) | 40 24.9% | 46 75.1% |
| Q2 - 5:42 | HOU | Harden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 40 29.4% | 43 70.6% |
| Q2 - 5:43 | MIA | MISS Beasley 3PT Jump Shot | 40 30.1% | 43 69.9% |
| Q2 - 6:00 | HOU | Howard 6' Turnaround Hook Shot (10 PTS) | 40 31.7% | 43 68.3% |
| Q2 - 6:18 | MIA | Bosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS) | 40 34.1% | 41 65.9% |
| Q2 - 6:18 | MIA | MISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 2 | 39 33.7% | 41 66.3% |
| Q2 - 6:30 | HOU | Beverley Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7) | 39 34.6% | 41 65.4% |
| Q2 - 6:48 | HOU | Asik REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 39 31.7% | 41 68.3% |
| Q2 - 6:50 | MIA | Lin BLOCK (1 BLK) | 39 32.5% | 41 67.5% |
| Q2 - 6:57 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 39 34.6% | 41 65.4% |
| Q2 - 6:58 | HOU | MISS Lin 27' 3PT Jump Shot | 39 33.7% | 41 66.3% |
| Q2 - 7:21 | HOU | Hamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 39 31.8% | 41 68.2% |
| Q2 - 7:22 | MIA | MISS Beasley 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 39 32.6% | 41 67.4% |
| Q2 - 7:45 | HOU | Lin Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T6) | 39 34.5% | 41 65.5% |
| Q2 - 7:50 | MIA | Chalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS) | 39 31.8% | 41 68.2% |
| Q2 - 7:50 | MIA | MISS Chalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 | 38 31.4% | 41 68.6% |
| Q2 - 7:51 | HOU | Harden Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5) | 38 32.1% | 41 67.9% |
| Q2 - 7:58 | HOU | Asik REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 38 29.5% | 41 70.5% |
| Q2 - 8:00 | HOU | MISS Motiejunas 6' Hook Shot | 38 31.3% | 41 68.7% |
| Q2 - 8:07 | MIA | Cole Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4) | 38 29.6% | 41 70.4% |
| Q2 - 8:19 | HOU | Lin 4' Driving Finger Roll Layup (3 PTS) (Harden 4 AST) | 38 32.0% | 41 68.0% |
| Q2 - 8:43 | MIA | Wade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3) | 38 34.2% | 39 65.8% |
| Q2 - 8:55 | MIA | Allen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 38 36.6% | 39 63.4% |
| Q2 - 8:56 | HOU | MISS Motiejunas 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 38 35.9% | 39 64.1% |
| Q2 - 9:09 | HOU | Hamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 38 34.0% | 39 66.0% |
| Q2 - 9:10 | MIA | MISS Cole 6' Turnaround Jump Shot | 38 34.7% | 39 65.3% |
| Q2 - 9:34 | MIA | Beasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 38 36.5% | 39 63.5% |
| Q2 - 9:34 | HOU | MISS Harden 27' 3PT Jump Shot | 38 35.7% | 39 64.3% |
| Q2 - 9:42 | HOU | MISS Harden Free Throw Technical | 38 34.0% | 39 66.0% |
| Q2 - 9:56 | HOU | Hamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 38 34.0% | 39 66.0% |
| Q2 - 9:56 | MIA | MISS Allen 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 38 34.8% | 39 65.2% |
| Q2 - 10:13 | MIA | Cole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 38 36.6% | 39 63.4% |
| Q2 - 10:14 | HOU | MISS Asik 2' Layup | 38 35.8% | 39 64.2% |
| Q2 - 10:23 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0) | 38 33.9% | 39 66.1% |
| Q2 - 10:23 | MIA | Wade 2' Turnaround Bank Shot (10 PTS) | 38 33.9% | 39 66.1% |
| Q2 - 10:26 | MIA | MISS Wade 2' Driving Reverse Layup | 36 30.4% | 39 69.6% |
| Q2 - 10:48 | MIA | Beasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 36 32.1% | 39 67.9% |
| Q2 - 10:49 | HOU | MISS Lin 3PT Jump Shot | 36 31.3% | 39 68.7% |
| Q2 - 11:12 | MIA | Beasley 15' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Allen 1 AST) | 36 29.9% | 39 70.1% |
| Q2 - 11:18 | HOU | Lin Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4) | 34 28.0% | 39 72.0% |
| Q2 - 11:44 | MIA | Allen 14' Jump Shot (6 PTS) | 34 26.0% | 39 74.0% |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | MIA | 32 24.3% | 39 75.7% | |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | HOU | Hamilton 4' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Parsons 5 AST) | 32 24.3% | 39 75.7% |
| Q1 - 0:25.0 | MIA | Cole Foul Turnover (P1.T2) | 32 26.5% | 37 73.5% |
| Q1 - 0:27.0 | HOU | Howard Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS) | 32 27.8% | 37 72.2% |
| Q1 - 0:27.0 | HOU | Howard Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS) | 32 28.6% | 36 71.4% |
| Q1 - 0:28.0 | HOU | Howard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 32 30.3% | 35 69.7% |
| Q1 - 0:30.0 | MIA | MISS Allen 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 32 30.7% | 35 69.3% |
| Q1 - 0:36.0 | MIA | Allen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 32 31.8% | 35 68.2% |
| Q1 - 0:37.0 | HOU | MISS Lin 3PT Jump Shot | 32 31.3% | 35 68.7% |
| Q1 - 0:49.0 | MIA | Allen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (James 2 AST) | 32 30.3% | 35 69.7% |
| Q1 - 0:54.0 | MIA | Andersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 29 26.0% | 35 74.0% |
| Q1 - 0:56.0 | HOU | MISS Motiejunas 3' Driving Layup | 29 25.6% | 35 74.4% |
| Q1 - 1:10 | HOU | Lin Free Throw Technical (1 PTS) | 29 24.9% | 35 75.1% |
| Q1 - 1:26 | MIA | Beasley 3' Jump Shot (2 PTS) | 29 26.6% | 34 73.4% |
| Q1 - 1:46 | HOU | Hamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS) | 27 24.4% | 34 75.6% |
| Q1 - 1:46 | HOU | Hamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 27 24.9% | 33 75.1% |
| Q1 - 2:05 | MIA | James Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS) | 27 26.7% | 32 73.3% |
| Q1 - 2:05 | MIA | James Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS) | 26 26.3% | 32 73.7% |
| Q1 - 2:18 | MIA | Allen Free Throw Technical (1 PTS) | 25 24.8% | 32 75.2% |
| Q1 - 2:28 | HOU | Parsons 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS) | 24 23.2% | 32 76.8% |
| Q1 - 2:43 | MIA | James 2' Driving Layup (10 PTS) | 24 24.9% | 30 75.1% |
| Q1 - 3:01 | HOU | Howard 1' Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Parsons 4 AST) | 22 23.4% | 30 76.6% |
| Q1 - 3:13 | MIA | Heat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#1) | 22 24.9% | 28 75.1% |
| Q1 - 3:13 | MIA | Heat Rebound | 22 26.7% | 28 73.3% |
| Q1 - 3:13 | MIA | MISS Battier 31' 3PT Hook Shot | 22 25.4% | 28 74.6% |
| Q1 - 3:41 | HOU | Jones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 22 26.7% | 28 73.3% |
| Q1 - 3:41 | HOU | Jones Putback Dunk (8 PTS) | 22 26.7% | 28 73.3% |
| Q1 - 3:42 | HOU | MISS Parsons 1' Driving Layup | 22 29.7% | 26 70.3% |
| Q1 - 3:48 | HOU | Howard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 22 28.3% | 26 71.7% |
| Q1 - 3:52 | MIA | MISS James 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot | 22 28.9% | 26 71.1% |
| Q1 - 3:58 | MIA | Andersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 22 30.3% | 26 69.7% |
| Q1 - 4:01 | HOU | MISS Beverley 14' Running Jump Shot | 22 29.7% | 26 70.3% |
| Q1 - 4:26 | MIA | James 1' Slam Dunk (8 PTS) | 22 28.3% | 26 71.7% |
| Q1 - 4:28 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 20 26.8% | 26 73.2% |
| Q1 - 4:30 | MIA | Jones BLOCK (1 BLK) | 20 25.5% | 26 74.5% |
| Q1 - 4:34 | MIA | Chalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 20 26.8% | 26 73.2% |
| Q1 - 4:36 | HOU | MISS Jones 2' Layup | 20 26.2% | 26 73.8% |
| Q1 - 4:52 | MIA | James 2' Alley Oop Dunk (6 PTS) (Wade 2 AST) | 20 24.9% | 26 75.1% |
| Q1 - 4:56 | HOU | Parsons Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3) | 18 23.6% | 26 76.4% |
| Q1 - 5:03 | HOU | Parsons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 18 22.4% | 26 77.6% |
| Q1 - 5:06 | MIA | MISS Wade 12' Pullup Bank Shot | 18 22.9% | 26 77.1% |
| Q1 - 5:28 | HOU | Harden 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) | 18 24.0% | 26 76.0% |
| Q1 - 5:43 | HOU | Harden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 18 26.9% | 23 73.1% |
| Q1 - 5:44 | MIA | MISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 18 27.5% | 23 72.5% |
| Q1 - 5:51 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 18 28.7% | 23 71.3% |
| Q1 - 5:52 | HOU | MISS Howard 3' Jump Shot | 18 28.2% | 23 71.8% |
| Q1 - 5:54 | HOU | Howard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 18 26.9% | 23 73.1% |
| Q1 - 5:55 | HOU | MISS Jones 5' Hook Shot | 18 28.2% | 23 71.8% |
| Q1 - 6:07 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS) | 18 27.1% | 23 72.9% |
| Q1 - 6:07 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS) | 17 26.8% | 23 73.2% |
| Q1 - 6:26 | HOU | Jones 5' Turnaround Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Parsons 3 AST) | 16 25.8% | 23 74.2% |
| Q1 - 6:48 | MIA | Wade 2' Layup (6 PTS) (James 1 AST) | 16 27.1% | 21 72.9% |
| Q1 - 6:57 | HOU | Harden 23' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS) | 14 25.8% | 21 74.2% |
| Q1 - 7:07 | MIA | Wade 1' Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST) | 14 27.2% | 19 72.8% |
| Q1 - 7:11 | HOU | Howard Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2) | 12 26.0% | 19 74.0% |
| Q1 - 7:24 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS) | 12 24.3% | 19 75.7% |
| Q1 - 7:24 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 11 24.0% | 19 76.0% |
| Q1 - 7:24 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 10 23.2% | 19 76.8% |
| Q1 - 7:25 | MIA | MISS Wade 3' Layup | 10 22.1% | 19 77.9% |
| Q1 - 7:30 | HOU | Howard 3' Driving Layup (4 PTS) | 10 23.2% | 19 76.8% |
| Q1 - 7:41 | MIA | Bosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS) | 10 24.3% | 17 75.7% |
| Q1 - 7:41 | MIA | Bosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS) | 9 24.1% | 17 75.9% |
| Q1 - 7:55 | HOU | Beverley 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Howard 1 AST) | 8 23.2% | 17 76.8% |
| Q1 - 8:13 | MIA | Chalmers 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS) | 8 26.0% | 14 74.0% |
| Q1 - 8:28 | HOU | Howard 4' Layup (2 PTS) (Beverley 1 AST) | 6 24.7% | 14 75.3% |
| Q1 - 8:39 | MIA | James 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS) | 6 26.0% | 12 74.0% |
| Q1 - 8:43 | HOU | Harden Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1) | 4 24.7% | 12 75.3% |
| Q1 - 8:55 | HOU | Harden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 4 23.3% | 12 76.7% |
| Q1 - 8:55 | MIA | MISS Bosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 4 23.7% | 12 76.3% |
| Q1 - 9:13 | HOU | Beverley 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Harden 3 AST) | 4 25.1% | 12 74.9% |
| Q1 - 9:28 | MIA | James 2' Driving Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST) | 4 27.7% | 9 72.3% |
| Q1 - 9:48 | HOU | Jones 4' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Harden 2 AST) | 2 26.5% | 9 73.5% |
| Q1 - 9:57 | HOU | ROCKETS Rebound | 2 27.7% | 7 72.3% |
| Q1 - 9:57 | HOU | MISS Howard 3' Layup | 2 28.8% | 7 71.2% |
| Q1 - 10:13 | MIA | Bosh 1' Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST) | 2 28.1% | 7 71.9% |
| Q1 - 10:40 | HOU | Beverley 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Parsons 2 AST) | 0 26.8% | 7 73.2% |
| Q1 - 10:47 | HOU | Howard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 0 29.4% | 4 70.6% |
| Q1 - 10:48 | MIA | MISS Chalmers 3' Driving Layup | 0 29.9% | 4 70.1% |
| Q1 - 11:03 | HOU | Jones 1' Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Parsons 1 AST) | 0 30.8% | 4 69.2% |
| Q1 - 11:10 | HOU | Howard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 0 32.4% | 2 67.6% |
| Q1 - 11:12 | MIA | MISS Chalmers 4' Driving Layup | 0 32.8% | 2 67.2% |
| Q1 - 11:34 | HOU | Parsons 19' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS) (Harden 1 AST) | 0 33.8% | 2 66.2% |
| Q1 - 12:00 | HOU | Jump Ball Howard vs. Bosh: Tip to Beverley | 0 35.4% | 0 64.6% |
SHOOTING
Scoring Efficiency
MIA
1.07 53.6%
HOU
1.16 58.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
Scoring by Shot Type
At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
24
35
69%
HOU
21
36
58%
Midrange
MIA
7
18
39%
HOU
11
19
58%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
7
10.5
27
26%
39%
HOU
8
12.0
23
35%
52%
Free Throws
MIA
20
29
69%
HOU
18
27
67%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency Misses
Bars scaled to point value.
Total Points
| Heat| PLAYER | PTS | TS% | TSM / TSA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Wade | 24 | 57% | 12.0 / 21 | |
| M. Beasley | 24 | 86% | 12.0 / 14 | |
| L. James | 22 | 52% | 11.0 / 21 | |
| R. Allen | 13 | 81% | 6.5 / 8 | |
| C. Bosh | 5 | 36% | 2.5 / 7 | |
| N. Cole | 5 | 36% | 2.5 / 7 | |
| C. Andersen | 5 | 83% | 2.5 / 3 | |
| M. Chalmers | 3 | 25% | 1.5 / 6 | |
| S. Battier | 2 | 17% | 1.0 / 6 |
TS Makes
TS Misses
Total Points
| Rockets| PLAYER | PTS | TS% | TSM / TSA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Howard | 22 | 65% | 11.0 / 17 | |
| J. Harden | 21 | 62% | 10.5 / 17 | |
| T. Jones | 19 | 68% | 9.5 / 14 | |
| P. Beverley | 19 | 73% | 9.5 / 13 | |
| C. Parsons | 10 | 50% | 5.0 / 10 | |
| J. Lin | 7 | 70% | 3.5 / 5 | |
| J. Hamilton | 4 | 50% | 2.0 / 4 | |
| O. Asik | 3 | 50% | 1.5 / 3 | |
| D. Motiejunas | 1 | 8% | 0.5 / 6 |
TS Makes
TS Misses
MATCHUP
Scoring Opportunities
MIA
84
+11
-8
95
HOU
73
+16
-18
89
Base
ORB
TOV
Scoring Efficiency
MIA
1.07 53.6%
HOU
1.16 58.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
Reg Season Avg | Game Stats | |
|---|---|---|
| Efficiency & Pace | This Game | |
| Efficiency | 110.7 110.9 | MIA 112.0 HOU 116.5 +4.5 |
| Pace | 91.5 96.4 | MIA 85.2 HOU 98.9 +13.7 |
| Avg. Poss. Time | 15.8 14.6 | MIA 16.9 HOU 14.6 +2.3 |
| Four Factors | This Game | |
| EFG % | 55.4% 53.1% | MIA 51.9% HOU 56.4% +4.5% |
| TO % | 15.4% 15.9% | MIA 8.8% +7.9% HOU 16.7% |
| ORB % | 20.6% 27.4% | MIA 22.7% HOU 34.3% +11.6% |
| FTrt | 30.0 38.6 | MIA 36.3 +1.7 HOU 34.6 |
| Misc. Stats | This Game | |
| AST % | 58.8% 56.3% | MIA 50.0% HOU 60.0% +10.0% |
| STL % | 9.7% 7.8% | MIA 12.0% +7.6% HOU 4.4% |
| BLK % | 8.1% 8.7% | MIA 12.7% +7.0% HOU 5.7% |
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.98 and 2.98.
Reg Season Avg | Game Stats | |
|---|---|---|
| Shooting Efficiency | This Game | |
| TS% | 57.5% 55.4% | MIA 53.6% HOU 58.2% +4.6% |
| Rim FG% | 66.7% 59.7% | MIA 68.6% +10.3% HOU 58.3% |
| Mid FG% | 42.8% 38.5% | MIA 38.9% HOU 57.9% +19.0% |
| 3P % | 36.4% 35.8% | MIA 25.9% HOU 34.8% +8.9% |
| FT % | 76.0% 71.2% | MIA 69.0% +2.3% HOU 66.7% |
| Shot Distribution | This Game | |
| Rim Att. % | 38.3% 45.4% | MIA 43.8% HOU 46.2% +2.4% |
| Mid Att. % | 32.5% 21.6% | MIA 22.5% +1.9% HOU 24.4% |
| 3P Att. % | 29.2% 33.0% | MIA 33.8% +4.3% HOU 29.5% |
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.36 and 3.36.
| Game Totals | MIA | HOU |
|---|---|---|
| Possessions | 92 | 91 |
| Possession Minutes | 25.9 | 22.1 |
| Points | 103 | 106 |
| Rebounds | 33 | 46 |
| Assists | 19 | 24 |
| Steals | 11 | 4 |
| Blocks | 7 | 3 |
| Turnovers (Team) | 8 (1) | 18 (0) |
| Fouls | ||
| Off. Rebounds (Team) | 10 (1) | 12 (4) |
| Def. Rebounds (Team) | 23 (1) | 34 (0) |
| Field Goals | 38-80 | 40-78 |
| At-the-Rim FG | 24-35 | 21-36 |
| Midrange FG | 7-18 | 11-19 |
| 2-Point FG | 31-53 | 32-55 |
| 3-Point FG | 7-27 | 8-23 |
| Free Throws | 20-29 | 18-27 |
| Fast Break Pts | ||
| 2nd Chance Pts | ||
| Points in Paint | ||
| Pts off Turnovers | ||
| Bench Points | ||
| Biggest Lead |
BOXSCORE
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.
Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.
Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.
Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.
Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.