FinalWin Prob.pScore
1920%93
107
580%104
124
ORTG#PossPace
CHA logo CHA
121.68887.5
MIA logo MIA
139.38989.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatBobcatsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatBobcatsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventCHAMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA107
0%
124
100%
Q4 - 0:02.0CHADouglas BLOCK (1 BLK)107
0%
124
100%
Q4 - 0:07.0MIALiggins 1' Layup (2 PTS)107
0%
124
100%
Q4 - 0:08.0MIALiggins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)107
0%
122
100%
Q4 - 0:09.0MIAMISS Haslem 15' Jump Shot107
0%
122
100%
Q4 - 0:31.0CHATolliver 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Zeller 5 AST)107
0.1%
122
99.9%
Q4 - 0:39.0MIAHaslem 1' Layup (3 PTS)104
0.1%
122
99.9%
Q4 - 0:40.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)104
0.1%
120
99.9%
Q4 - 0:41.0MIAMISS Douglas 3PT Jump Shot104
0.1%
120
99.9%
Q4 - 0:57.0CHANeal 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Zeller 4 AST)104
0.1%
120
99.9%
Q4 - 1:13MIADouglas 26' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Beasley 2 AST)101
0.1%
120
99.9%
Q4 - 1:34MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)101
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 1:35CHAMISS Tolliver 24' 3PT Jump Shot101
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 1:52MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (61 PTS)101
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 1:52MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (60 PTS)101
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 2:08CHAJefferson 17' Jump Shot (38 PTS) (Douglas-Roberts 2 AST)101
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 2:23MIAJames 9' Jump Bank Shot (59 PTS)99
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 2:50MIAHEAT Rebound99
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 2:51CHAMISS Neal 9' Floating Jump Shot99
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 3:03CHATolliver REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)99
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 3:04CHAMISS Tolliver 25' 3PT Jump Shot99
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 3:10CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:4 Def:15)99
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 3:11MIAMISS Haslem 1' Layup99
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 3:27MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)99
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 3:28CHAMISS Walker 6' Jump Shot99
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 3:35CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:4 Def:14)99
0.3%
113
99.7%
Q4 - 3:36MIAMISS Allen 1' Driving Layup99
0.3%
113
99.7%
Q4 - 3:42MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)99
0.2%
113
99.8%
Q4 - 3:43CHAMISS Neal 17' Jump Shot99
0.2%
113
99.8%
Q4 - 3:48CHATolliver REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)99
0.3%
113
99.7%
Q4 - 3:49CHAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot99
0.2%
113
99.8%
Q4 - 4:12CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:4 Def:13)99
0.3%
113
99.7%
Q4 - 4:13MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 2 of 299
0.3%
113
99.7%
Q4 - 4:13MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)99
0.2%
113
99.8%
Q4 - 4:31CHATolliver 1' Layup (9 PTS) (Douglas-Roberts 1 AST)99
0.3%
112
99.7%
Q4 - 4:52CHAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)97
0.2%
112
99.8%
Q4 - 4:53MIAMISS James 26' 3PT Jump Shot97
0.2%
112
99.8%
Q4 - 5:10CHANeal Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)97
0.2%
112
99.8%
Q4 - 5:10CHANeal Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)96
0.2%
112
99.8%
Q4 - 5:16CHATolliver REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)95
0.2%
112
99.8%
Q4 - 5:17MIAMISS James 24' 3PT Jump Shot95
0.2%
112
99.8%
Q4 - 5:32MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)95
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 5:33CHAMISS Ridnour 21' Jump Shot95
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 5:46MIAJames 2' Layup (57 PTS)95
0.2%
112
99.8%
Q4 - 6:09CHADouglas-Roberts Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)95
0.4%
110
99.6%
Q4 - 6:09CHADouglas-Roberts Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)94
0.3%
110
99.7%
Q4 - 6:29MIAAndersen 1' Alley Oop Dunk (7 PTS) (Chalmers 7 AST)93
0.3%
110
99.7%
Q4 - 6:53CHATolliver 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Zeller 3 AST)93
0.4%
108
99.6%
Q4 - 7:05CHAZeller REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)90
0.3%
108
99.7%
Q4 - 7:06MIAMISS James 17' Fadeaway Jumper90
0.3%
108
99.7%
Q4 - 7:30CHANeal 1' Driving Layup (5 PTS)90
0.2%
108
99.8%
Q4 - 7:48MIAChalmers 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS)88
0.2%
108
99.8%
Q4 - 8:11CHATolliver 25' 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Neal 5 AST)88
0.3%
106
99.7%
Q4 - 8:26MIAJames 1' Layup (55 PTS) (Allen 4 AST)85
0.2%
106
99.8%
Q4 - 8:37CHATolliver Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)85
0.2%
104
99.8%
Q4 - 8:37CHAMISS Tolliver Free Throw 1 of 284
0.2%
104
99.8%
Q4 - 9:03MIABeasley Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)84
0.3%
104
99.7%
Q4 - 9:03MIABeasley Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)84
0.4%
103
99.6%
Q4 - 9:13MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)84
0.4%
102
99.6%
Q4 - 9:14CHAMISS Jefferson 6' Hook Shot84
0.5%
102
99.5%
Q4 - 9:15CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:4 Def:12)84
0.6%
102
99.4%
Q4 - 9:18CHAMISS Douglas-Roberts 2' Driving Reverse Layup84
0.5%
102
99.5%
Q4 - 9:29CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:12)84
0.5%
102
99.5%
Q4 - 9:30MIAMISS Allen 3PT Jump Shot84
0.5%
102
99.5%
Q4 - 9:49CHABeasley STEAL (1 STL)84
0.4%
102
99.6%
Q4 - 9:53MIACole Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)84
0.5%
102
99.5%
Q4 - 10:10CHAJefferson 1' Dunk (36 PTS) (Zeller 2 AST)84
0.5%
102
99.5%
Q4 - 10:23CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:11)82
0.4%
102
99.6%
Q4 - 10:24MIAMISS James 15' Jump Shot82
0.4%
102
99.6%
Q4 - 10:40CHAZeller 1' Driving Dunk (10 PTS)82
0.3%
102
99.7%
Q4 - 10:48MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)80
0.3%
102
99.7%
Q4 - 11:00MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)80
0.2%
102
99.8%
Q4 - 11:01CHADouglas-Roberts Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)80
0.3%
102
99.7%
Q4 - 11:01CHAMISS Douglas-Roberts Free Throw 2 of 279
0.2%
102
99.8%
Q4 - 11:04MIAJames 20' Pullup Jump Shot (53 PTS)79
0.3%
102
99.7%
Q4 - 11:20CHAAndersen STEAL (2 STL)79
0.3%
100
99.7%
Q4 - 11:36MIAJames 2' Driving Layup (51 PTS)79
0.4%
100
99.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0CHA79
0.5%
98
99.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)79
0.7%
98
99.3%
Q3 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Beasley 25' 3PT Jump Shot79
0.7%
98
99.3%
Q3 - 0:15.0CHAZeller Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)79
0.6%
98
99.4%
Q3 - 0:15.0CHAZeller Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)78
0.6%
98
99.4%
Q3 - 0:15.0CHABobcats Rebound77
0.5%
98
99.5%
Q3 - 0:16.0CHAMISS Walker 6' Floating Jump Shot77
0.5%
98
99.5%
Q3 - 0:27.0MIAAndersen Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P1.T5)77
0.5%
98
99.5%
Q3 - 0:38.0CHAWalker 1' Driving Layup (7 PTS)77
0.4%
98
99.6%
Q3 - 0:48.0MIAAndersen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Beasley 1 AST)75
0.3%
98
99.7%
Q3 - 1:02CHAKidd-Gilchrist Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)75
0.6%
95
99.4%
Q3 - 1:02CHAKidd-Gilchrist Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)74
0.6%
95
99.4%
Q3 - 1:16MIAJames 29' 3PT Jump Shot (49 PTS)73
0.5%
95
99.5%
Q3 - 1:36CHAZeller 1' Driving Layup (6 PTS) (Walker 8 AST)73
0.7%
92
99.3%
Q3 - 1:52MIAJames 26' 3PT Jump Shot (46 PTS)71
0.6%
92
99.4%
Q3 - 2:09CHAZeller 1' Tip Shot (4 PTS)71
1.0%
89
99.0%
Q3 - 2:10CHAZeller REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)69
0.9%
89
99.1%
Q3 - 2:11CHAMISS Zeller 1' Tip Shot69
0.7%
89
99.3%
Q3 - 2:12CHAZeller REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)69
0.9%
89
99.1%
Q3 - 2:15CHAMISS Douglas-Roberts 8' Jump Bank Shot69
0.7%
89
99.3%
Q3 - 2:40MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 1 (43 PTS)69
0.8%
89
99.2%
Q3 - 2:52MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)69
1.2%
86
98.8%
Q3 - 2:53CHAMISS Zeller 1' Dunk69
1.3%
86
98.7%
Q3 - 2:54CHAZeller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)69
1.5%
86
98.5%
Q3 - 2:55CHAMISS Douglas-Roberts 3PT Jump Shot69
1.3%
86
98.7%
Q3 - 3:11MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 1 (40 PTS)69
1.6%
86
98.4%
Q3 - 3:21CHAZeller 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Walker 7 AST)69
2.3%
83
97.7%
Q3 - 3:40CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)67
1.9%
83
98.1%
Q3 - 3:41MIAMISS Battier 25' 3PT Jump Shot67
1.8%
83
98.2%
Q3 - 3:43MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)67
1.6%
83
98.4%
Q3 - 3:44MIAMISS Bosh 18' Jump Shot67
1.8%
83
98.2%
Q3 - 4:03CHAJefferson 4' Jump Shot (34 PTS)67
1.7%
83
98.3%
Q3 - 4:04CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)65
1.5%
83
98.5%
Q3 - 4:05CHAMISS Neal 24' Jump Shot65
1.3%
83
98.7%
Q3 - 4:09CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)65
1.5%
83
98.5%
Q3 - 4:10MIAMISS James 1' Driving Reverse Layup65
1.4%
83
98.6%
Q3 - 4:41CHAJefferson 15' Jump Shot (32 PTS) (Walker 6 AST)65
1.2%
83
98.8%
Q3 - 4:57MIAJames Tip Shot (37 PTS)63
1.1%
83
98.9%
Q3 - 4:58MIAJames REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)63
1.2%
81
98.8%
Q3 - 4:59MIAMISS Chalmers 2' Driving Layup63
1.4%
81
98.6%
Q3 - 5:03CHABosh STEAL (1 STL)63
1.4%
81
98.6%
Q3 - 5:20MIADouglas 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (James 4 AST)63
1.7%
81
98.3%
Q3 - 5:28MIAJames REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)63
2.2%
78
97.8%
Q3 - 5:29CHAMISS Jefferson 10' Jump Shot63
2.4%
78
97.6%
Q3 - 5:33CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)63
2.7%
78
97.3%
Q3 - 5:34CHAMISS Jefferson 9' Jump Shot63
2.4%
78
97.6%
Q3 - 6:01MIAJames 25' 3PT Jump Shot (35 PTS)63
2.9%
78
97.1%
Q3 - 6:18CHAJefferson 20' Jump Shot (30 PTS) (Neal 4 AST)63
3.8%
75
96.2%
Q3 - 6:38CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)61
3.3%
75
96.7%
Q3 - 6:39MIAMISS Bosh 9' Jump Shot61
3.1%
75
96.9%
Q3 - 6:58CHAWalker 20' Jump Shot (5 PTS)61
2.8%
75
97.2%
Q3 - 7:23MIABosh 18' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Douglas 1 AST)59
2.6%
75
97.4%
Q3 - 7:38MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)59
2.9%
73
97.1%
Q3 - 7:39CHAMISS Kidd-Gilchrist 18' Jump Shot59
3.1%
73
96.9%
Q3 - 7:54MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)59
3.5%
73
96.5%
Q3 - 7:54MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)59
3.6%
72
96.4%
Q3 - 8:03CHADouglas STEAL (1 STL)59
4.0%
71
96.0%
Q3 - 8:22CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)59
4.8%
71
95.2%
Q3 - 8:23MIAMISS James 19' Jump Shot59
4.5%
71
95.5%
Q3 - 8:47MIABattier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)59
4.0%
71
96.0%
Q3 - 8:48CHAMISS Walker Free Throw 2 of 259
4.1%
71
95.9%
Q3 - 8:48CHAWalker Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)59
4.6%
71
95.4%
Q3 - 8:55CHABobcats Rebound58
4.1%
71
95.9%
Q3 - 8:56CHAMISS McRoberts 9' Jump Shot58
3.7%
71
96.3%
Q3 - 9:15MIABosh 26' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS)58
4.2%
71
95.8%
Q3 - 9:20MIABattier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)58
5.5%
68
94.5%
Q3 - 9:21MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot58
6.1%
68
93.9%
Q3 - 9:33CHAJefferson 3' Driving Layup (28 PTS) (Walker 5 AST)58
5.5%
68
94.5%
Q3 - 10:00MIAJames 16' Fadeaway Jumper (32 PTS)56
4.8%
68
95.2%
Q3 - 10:16MIADouglas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)56
5.5%
66
94.5%
Q3 - 10:17CHAMISS McRoberts 19' Jump Shot56
5.7%
66
94.3%
Q3 - 10:33MIAJames 3PT Jump Shot (30 PTS)56
6.3%
66
93.7%
Q3 - 10:56CHAMcRoberts Tip Shot (7 PTS)56
8.2%
63
91.8%
Q3 - 10:57CHAMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)54
7.2%
63
92.8%
Q3 - 10:58CHAMISS Neal 16' Jump Shot54
6.6%
63
93.4%
Q3 - 11:21MIAJames 24' 3PT Jump Shot (27 PTS)54
7.3%
63
92.7%
Q3 - 11:42MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)54
9.4%
60
90.6%
Q3 - 11:43CHAMISS Jefferson Free Throw 2 of 254
9.5%
60
90.5%
Q3 - 11:43CHAMISS Jefferson Free Throw 1 of 254
10.3%
60
89.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA54
10.6%
60
89.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound54
9.4%
60
90.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Battier 3' Layup54
10.2%
60
89.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIABattier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)54
9.4%
60
90.6%
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAMISS James Free Throw 2 of 254
10.6%
60
89.4%
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)54
9.8%
60
90.2%
Q2 - 0:17.0CHAMcRoberts 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (5 PTS)54
11.0%
59
89.0%
Q2 - 0:33.0CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)52
9.5%
59
90.5%
Q2 - 0:34.0MIAMISS James 11' Fadeaway Jumper52
9.2%
59
90.8%
Q2 - 0:41.0CHAJefferson 6' Turnaround Jump Shot (26 PTS)52
8.7%
59
91.3%
Q2 - 0:54.0MIAJames 18' Fadeaway Jumper (23 PTS)50
7.5%
59
92.5%
Q2 - 1:13CHAWalker 1' Layup (2 PTS) (McRoberts 4 AST)50
9.0%
57
91.0%
Q2 - 1:29MIAJames 1' Tip Shot (21 PTS)48
7.6%
57
92.4%
Q2 - 1:30MIAJames REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)48
9.0%
55
91.0%
Q2 - 1:31MIAMISS James 3' Driving Jump Shot48
9.4%
55
90.6%
Q2 - 1:42MIABattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)48
8.9%
55
91.1%
Q2 - 1:43CHAMISS Neal 6' Jump Shot48
9.2%
55
90.8%
Q2 - 1:57MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)48
9.6%
55
90.4%
Q2 - 1:57MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 248
9.9%
54
90.1%
Q2 - 2:09CHAWalker Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)48
9.9%
54
90.1%
Q2 - 2:12CHAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)48
11.1%
54
88.9%
Q2 - 2:13MIAMISS Allen 25' 3PT Jump Shot48
10.7%
54
89.3%
Q2 - 2:26CHAJefferson 1' Driving Layup (24 PTS)48
9.9%
54
90.1%
Q2 - 2:46MIAOden 1' Dunk (4 PTS) (Chalmers 6 AST)46
8.9%
54
91.1%
Q2 - 3:07CHAJefferson 17' Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Neal 3 AST)46
9.8%
52
90.2%
Q2 - 3:18CHABobcats Rebound44
9.0%
52
91.0%
Q2 - 3:20CHAMISS Neal 1' Driving Layup44
8.2%
52
91.8%
Q2 - 3:26MIAOden Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)44
9.0%
52
91.0%
Q2 - 3:39MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)44
7.9%
52
92.1%
Q2 - 3:40CHAMISS McRoberts 25' 3PT Jump Shot44
8.2%
52
91.8%
Q2 - 4:01MIAAllen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Chalmers 5 AST)44
9.0%
52
91.0%
Q2 - 4:06CHAChalmers STEAL (2 STL)44
11.0%
49
89.0%
Q2 - 4:16CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)44
12.2%
49
87.8%
Q2 - 4:17MIAMISS Chalmers 1' Driving Layup44
11.9%
49
88.1%
Q2 - 4:28CHAJefferson Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)44
11.0%
49
89.0%
Q2 - 4:28CHAJefferson Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)43
10.8%
49
89.2%
Q2 - 4:44MIAAllen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST)42
10.0%
49
90.0%
Q2 - 4:58CHARidnour 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (McRoberts 3 AST)42
12.2%
46
87.8%
Q2 - 5:18MIACole Foul Turnover (P1.T3)39
10.0%
46
90.0%
Q2 - 5:28MIAHEAT Rebound39
9.1%
46
90.9%
Q2 - 5:29MIAMISS Bosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot39
9.7%
46
90.3%
Q2 - 5:55CHAJefferson 14' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Ridnour 2 AST)39
9.1%
46
90.9%
Q2 - 6:10MIACole 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)37
8.4%
46
91.6%
Q2 - 6:20MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)37
9.1%
44
90.9%
Q2 - 6:21CHAMISS Jefferson 1' Driving Layup37
9.4%
44
90.6%
Q2 - 6:39MIAOden 6' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)37
10.2%
44
89.8%
Q2 - 7:00CHADouglas-Roberts 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Ridnour 1 AST)37
11.1%
42
88.9%
Q2 - 7:16CHATolliver REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)34
9.3%
42
90.7%
Q2 - 7:17CHABosh BLOCK (1 BLK)34
8.6%
42
91.4%
Q2 - 7:20CHARidnour REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
9.3%
42
90.7%
Q2 - 7:21MIAMISS Bosh 14' Jump Shot34
9.0%
42
91.0%
Q2 - 7:39CHAJefferson 6' Jump Shot (16 PTS)34
8.3%
42
91.7%
Q2 - 7:42CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)32
7.7%
42
92.3%
Q2 - 7:43CHAMISS Tolliver 25' 3PT Jump Shot32
7.1%
42
92.9%
Q2 - 7:52MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)32
7.7%
42
92.3%
Q2 - 8:09MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)32
7.0%
42
93.0%
Q2 - 8:10CHAMISS Ridnour 25' 3PT Jump Shot32
7.2%
42
92.8%
Q2 - 8:31MIABosh 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS)32
7.7%
42
92.3%
Q2 - 8:56CHAMcRoberts 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)32
8.4%
40
91.6%
Q2 - 9:23MIAJames 26' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS)29
7.1%
40
92.9%
Q2 - 9:28MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)29
8.4%
37
91.6%
Q2 - 9:29CHAMISS Tolliver 25' 3PT Jump Shot29
8.7%
37
91.3%
Q2 - 9:48MIABeasley 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Allen 3 AST)29
9.3%
37
90.7%
Q2 - 9:52MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
10.1%
35
89.9%
Q2 - 9:53CHAMISS Tolliver 26' 3PT Jump Shot29
10.4%
35
89.6%
Q2 - 10:01CHABiyombo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
11.4%
35
88.6%
Q2 - 10:02MIAMISS Cole 25' 3PT Jump Shot29
11.0%
35
89.0%
Q2 - 10:20CHADouglas-Roberts Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)29
10.2%
35
89.8%
Q2 - 10:38MIAJames 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS)26
8.7%
35
91.3%
Q2 - 10:46MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
10.2%
32
89.8%
Q2 - 10:47CHAMISS Douglas-Roberts 24' 3PT Jump Shot26
10.6%
32
89.4%
Q2 - 11:01MIAAndersen 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Allen 2 AST)26
11.4%
32
88.6%
Q2 - 11:12CHABobcats Turnover: Shot Clock (T#6)26
12.4%
30
87.6%
Q2 - 11:13CHADouglas-Roberts REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)26
13.5%
30
86.5%
Q2 - 11:14CHAAndersen BLOCK (1 BLK)26
12.7%
30
87.3%
Q2 - 11:37MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)26
13.5%
30
86.5%
Q2 - 11:37MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 226
13.8%
29
86.2%
Q2 - 11:44MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
13.5%
29
86.5%
Q2 - 11:45CHAMISS Tolliver 9' Jump Shot26
13.8%
29
86.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0CHA26
14.7%
29
85.3%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAJames 3' Layup (11 PTS)26
14.5%
29
85.5%
Q1 - 0:02.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)26
16.1%
27
83.9%
Q1 - 0:03.0MIAMISS James 6' Jump Shot26
16.7%
27
83.3%
Q1 - 0:19.0MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
16.1%
27
83.9%
Q1 - 0:20.0CHAMISS Zeller Free Throw 2 of 226
16.2%
27
83.8%
Q1 - 0:20.0CHAMISS Zeller Free Throw 1 of 226
17.1%
27
82.9%
Q1 - 0:39.0MIAAllen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 3 AST)26
17.0%
27
83.0%
Q1 - 0:50.0CHADouglas-Roberts 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Walker 4 AST)26
20.2%
24
79.8%
Q1 - 1:09MIAJames 1' Reverse Layup (9 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)23
16.9%
24
83.1%
Q1 - 1:20CHABobcats Turnover: Shot Clock (T#5)23
18.6%
22
81.4%
Q1 - 1:20CHABobcats Rebound23
19.6%
22
80.4%
Q1 - 1:21CHAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot23
18.9%
22
81.1%
Q1 - 1:44MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)23
19.6%
22
80.4%
Q1 - 1:44MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)23
19.9%
21
80.1%
Q1 - 1:47CHAAndersen STEAL (1 STL)23
21.5%
20
78.5%
Q1 - 2:03MIAJames Foul Turnover (P1.T1)23
22.7%
20
77.3%
Q1 - 2:07MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)23
21.3%
20
78.7%
Q1 - 2:09CHAMISS Jefferson 4' Driving Jump Shot23
21.7%
20
78.3%
Q1 - 2:28CHAZeller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
22.7%
20
77.3%
Q1 - 2:29MIAMISS James 20' Jump Shot23
22.3%
20
77.7%
Q1 - 2:40MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
21.3%
20
78.7%
Q1 - 2:41CHAMISS Zeller 18' Jump Shot23
21.7%
20
78.3%
Q1 - 2:51CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)23
22.7%
20
77.3%
Q1 - 2:52MIAMISS Allen 17' Jump Shot23
22.3%
20
77.7%
Q1 - 3:09CHAJefferson 4' Jump Bank Shot (14 PTS) (Zeller 1 AST)23
20.8%
20
79.2%
Q1 - 3:21MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)21
19.5%
20
80.5%
Q1 - 3:21MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)21
19.7%
19
80.3%
Q1 - 3:39CHAJefferson 20' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Walker 3 AST)21
20.8%
18
79.2%
Q1 - 4:02MIABosh 1' Driving Reverse Layup (6 PTS)19
19.0%
18
81.0%
Q1 - 4:30CHAJefferson 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Walker 2 AST)19
20.3%
16
79.7%
Q1 - 4:46MIABattier 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 2 AST)17
19.1%
16
80.9%
Q1 - 4:53MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
21.7%
13
78.3%
Q1 - 4:54CHAMISS Neal 25' 3PT Jump Shot17
22.2%
13
77.8%
Q1 - 5:09CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
22.9%
13
77.1%
Q1 - 5:10MIAMISS Battier 2' Driving Layup17
22.4%
13
77.6%
Q1 - 5:25CHANeal Traveling Turnover (P2.T3)17
21.4%
13
78.6%
Q1 - 5:46MIADouglas 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)17
22.9%
13
77.1%
Q1 - 5:49CHAChalmers STEAL (1 STL)17
24.3%
11
75.7%
Q1 - 5:59CHAKidd-Gilchrist REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)17
26.0%
11
74.0%
Q1 - 6:00MIAMISS Chalmers 9' Floating Jump Shot17
25.4%
11
74.6%
Q1 - 6:09CHAJefferson 8' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Neal 2 AST)17
23.4%
11
76.6%
Q1 - 6:23CHAKidd-Gilchrist REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)15
22.2%
11
77.8%
Q1 - 6:24MIAMISS Bosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot15
21.8%
11
78.2%
Q1 - 6:33MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)15
20.8%
11
79.2%
Q1 - 6:34CHAMISS Neal 27' 3PT Jump Shot15
21.2%
11
78.8%
Q1 - 7:01MIAJames 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)15
21.7%
11
78.3%
Q1 - 7:17CHANeal Foul Turnover (P1.T1)15
24.2%
8
75.8%
Q1 - 7:26MIABosh 12' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS)15
25.8%
8
74.2%
Q1 - 7:29MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)15
27.1%
6
72.9%
Q1 - 7:30MIAMISS Chalmers 5' Jump Shot15
28.3%
6
71.7%
Q1 - 7:47CHAJefferson 1' Driving Reverse Layup (6 PTS)15
27.1%
6
72.9%
Q1 - 7:57CHAKidd-Gilchrist REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)13
25.9%
6
74.1%
Q1 - 7:58MIAMISS Bosh 20' Jump Shot13
25.3%
6
74.7%
Q1 - 8:13CHAKidd-Gilchrist 7' Running Bank Shot (6 PTS)13
23.7%
6
76.3%
Q1 - 8:18CHAMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
22.5%
6
77.5%
Q1 - 8:19MIAMISS James 7' Hook Shot11
22.0%
6
78.0%
Q1 - 8:40CHAKidd-Gilchrist 7' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (McRoberts 1 AST)11
21.1%
6
78.9%
Q1 - 8:58MIABosh 1' Dunk (2 PTS) (James 1 AST)9
20.0%
6
80.0%
Q1 - 9:13CHAJefferson 9' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Neal 1 AST)9
20.8%
4
79.2%
Q1 - 9:21CHAKidd-Gilchrist REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)7
19.7%
4
80.3%
Q1 - 9:22CHAMISS Jefferson 19' Jump Shot7
18.9%
4
81.1%
Q1 - 9:43MIADouglas 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)7
19.7%
4
80.3%
Q1 - 10:04CHAJefferson 5' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS)7
20.4%
2
79.6%
Q1 - 10:15CHAKidd-Gilchrist REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
19.5%
2
80.5%
Q1 - 10:16MIAMISS Bosh 20' Jump Shot5
19.1%
2
80.9%
Q1 - 10:29CHANeal 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Jefferson 1 AST)5
18.3%
2
81.7%
Q1 - 10:49MIAJames 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)2
16.5%
2
83.5%
Q1 - 10:59MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
17.3%
0
82.7%
Q1 - 11:00MIAMISS Bosh 21' Jump Shot2
18.1%
0
81.9%
Q1 - 11:19CHAKidd-Gilchrist 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Walker 1 AST)2
17.1%
0
82.9%
Q1 - 11:39CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
16.1%
0
83.9%
Q1 - 11:40MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot0
15.9%
0
84.1%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Bosh vs. Jefferson: Tip to James0
15.3%
0
84.7%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

CHA
1.11 55.7%
MIA
1.32 66.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
CHA
17
24
71%
MIA
20
29
69%
Midrange
CHA
16
35
46%
MIA
10
26
38%
3PT | Effective 3PT
CHA
9
13.5
23
39%
59%
MIA
16
24.0
28
57%
86%
Free Throws
CHA
14
21
67%
MIA
16
20
80%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
CHA logo Bobcats
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Jefferson3873%19.0 / 26
C. Douglas-Roberts1255%6.0 / 11
A. Tolliver1255%6.0 / 11
G. Neal1042%5.0 / 12
C. Zeller1056%5.0 / 9
M. Kidd-Gilchrist880%4.0 / 5
K. Walker739%3.5 / 9
J. McRoberts758%3.5 / 6
L. Ridnour350%1.5 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. James6180%30.5 / 38
C. Bosh1550%7.5 / 15
T. Douglas10100%5.0 / 5
R. Allen964%4.5 / 7
C. Andersen7117%3.5 / 3
M. Chalmers425%2.0 / 8
M. Beasley467%2.0 / 3
G. Oden4100%2.0 / 2
S. Battier338%1.5 / 4
U. Haslem338%1.5 / 4
N. Cole250%1.0 / 2
D. Liggins2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

CHA
78
+17
-10
95
MIA
82
+12
-7
94
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CHA
1.11 55.7%
MIA
1.32 66.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
103.7
110.7
CHA 121.6
MIA 139.3 +17.7
Pace
92.4
91.5
CHA 87.5
MIA 89.6 +2.1
Avg. Poss. Time
16.0
15.8
CHA 16.5
MIA 16.1 +0.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.1%
55.4%
CHA 56.7%
MIA 65.1% +8.4%
TO %
12.5%
15.4%
CHA 11.6%
MIA 7.1% +4.5%
ORB %
21.9%
20.6%
CHA 33.3% +6.3%
MIA 27.0%
FTrt
29.7
30.0
CHA 25.6 +1.5
MIA 24.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
59.7%
58.8%
CHA 64.3% +25.2%
MIA 39.1%
STL %
6.5%
9.7%
CHA 4.5%
MIA 7.9% +3.4%
BLK %
8.4%
8.1%
CHA 0.0%
MIA 5.1% +5.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.81 and 2.81.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.6%
57.5%
CHA 55.7%
MIA 66.0% +10.3%
Rim FG%
57.4%
66.7%
CHA 70.8% +1.8%
MIA 69.0%
Mid FG%
38.1%
42.8%
CHA 45.7% +7.2%
MIA 38.5%
3P %
35.1%
36.4%
CHA 39.1%
MIA 57.1% +18.0%
FT %
73.7%
76.0%
CHA 66.7%
MIA 80.0% +13.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
35.2%
38.3%
CHA 29.3%
MIA 34.9% +5.7%
Mid Att. %
43.0%
32.5%
CHA 42.7%
MIA 31.3% +11.4%
3P Att. %
21.9%
29.2%
CHA 28.0%
MIA 33.7% +5.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.71 and 2.71.
Game TotalsCHAMIA
Possessions8889
Possession Minutes24.123.9
Points107124
Rebounds4036
Assists2718
Steals47
Blocks03
Turnovers (Team)10 (2)7 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)13 (4)10 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)27 (0)26 (1)
Field Goals42-8246-83
At-the-Rim FG17-2420-29
Midrange FG16-3510-26
2-Point FG33-5930-55
3-Point FG9-2316-28
Free Throws14-2116-20
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
C · 6'10" 280 · 29
37.5
38
73%
19
1
1
0
1
4
4
15
2-4
50%
18-24
75%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 184 · 24
33.6
7
39%
2
8
0
0
2
2
0
2
1-2
50%
3-5
60%
0-3
0%
G · 6'4" 210 · 29
32.6
10
42%
0
5
0
0
2
2
0
0
2-2
100%
1-7
14%
2-4
50%
F · 6'7" 232 · 20
25.9
8
80%
5
0
0
0
0
2
1
4
2-2
100%
3-4
75%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 240 · 27
25.3
7
58%
2
4
0
0
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-4
50%
1-2
50%
G · 6'7" 210 · 27
24.3
12
55%
1
2
0
0
0
2
1
0
4-5
80%
1-5
20%
2-4
50%
F · 6'8" 240 · 29
22.1
12
55%
4
0
1
0
1
0
3
1
1-2
50%
1-2
50%
3-8
38%
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 21
19.0
10
56%
5
5
2
0
2
2
3
2
2-4
50%
4-7
57%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 175 · 33
14.4
3
50%
1
2
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-2
50%
C · 6'9" 255 · 22
5.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 215 · 26
G · 6'1" 185 · 34
#33 · C · 7'0" 263 · 34
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#44 · · 6'7" 225 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
107
56%
40
27
4
0
10
0
13
27
14-21
67%
33-59
56%
9-23
39%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.