FinalWin Prob.pScore
834%101
106
266%107
112
ORTG#PossPace
DAL logo DAL
111.69593.0
SAS logo SAS
119.19496.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

SpursMavericksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SpursMavericksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDALSAS
Q4 - 0:00.0DAL106
0%
112
100%
Q4 - 0:03.0SASDiaw Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)106
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 0:03.0SASMISS Diaw Free Throw 1 of 2106
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 0:09.0DALWright REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)106
0.2%
111
99.8%
Q4 - 0:09.0DALWright 12' Jump Shot (8 PTS)106
0.2%
111
99.8%
Q4 - 0:10.0DALDiaw BLOCK (1 BLK)104
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 0:19.0SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)104
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 0:19.0SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)104
0.2%
110
99.8%
Q4 - 0:20.0DALWright 7' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Ellis 8 AST)104
0.3%
109
99.7%
Q4 - 0:24.0SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)102
0.3%
109
99.7%
Q4 - 0:24.0SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)102
0.3%
108
99.7%
Q4 - 0:28.0DALEllington 3PT Step Back Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Calderon 6 AST)102
0.7%
107
99.3%
Q4 - 0:38.0SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)99
0.3%
107
99.7%
Q4 - 0:38.0SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw 1 of 299
0.3%
106
99.7%
Q4 - 0:39.0SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)99
0.3%
106
99.7%
Q4 - 0:40.0DALMISS Nowitzki 15' Jump Shot99
0.4%
106
99.6%
Q4 - 0:45.0SASParker 2' Driving Layup (22 PTS)99
0.7%
106
99.3%
Q4 - 1:00SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)99
2.0%
104
98.0%
Q4 - 1:02SASMISS Diaw 3PT Jump Shot99
3.3%
104
96.7%
Q4 - 1:19DALEllis 2' Driving Layup (17 PTS)99
2.9%
104
97.1%
Q4 - 1:29DALCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)97
2.2%
104
97.8%
Q4 - 1:30SASMISS Duncan 17' Jump Shot97
1.8%
104
98.2%
Q4 - 1:50DALCarter 13' Fadeaway Jumper (21 PTS)97
1.8%
104
98.2%
Q4 - 2:09SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)95
1.3%
104
98.7%
Q4 - 2:09SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)95
1.5%
103
98.5%
Q4 - 2:30DALEllis 1' Driving Reverse Layup (15 PTS) (Calderon 5 AST)95
1.9%
102
98.1%
Q4 - 2:45DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)93
1.4%
102
98.6%
Q4 - 2:46DALMISS Ellis 4' Running Bank Shot93
0.9%
102
99.1%
Q4 - 2:55DALCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)93
1.7%
102
98.3%
Q4 - 2:56SASMISS Parker 17' Jump Shot93
1.5%
102
98.5%
Q4 - 3:08DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)93
1.0%
102
99.0%
Q4 - 3:08DALMISS Nowitzki Free Throw 1 of 292
1.0%
102
99.0%
Q4 - 3:27DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)92
1.1%
102
98.9%
Q4 - 3:28SASMISS Green 13' Pullup Bank Shot92
0.9%
102
99.1%
Q4 - 3:49SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)92
1.3%
102
98.7%
Q4 - 3:50SASMISS Green 25' 3PT Jump Shot92
1.7%
102
98.3%
Q4 - 3:56SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)92
1.3%
102
98.7%
Q4 - 3:57DALMISS Carter 26' 3PT Jump Shot92
1.4%
102
98.6%
Q4 - 4:09SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)92
1.8%
102
98.2%
Q4 - 4:09SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)92
2.0%
101
98.0%
Q4 - 4:33DALDalembert 1' Dunk (8 PTS) (Ellis 7 AST)92
2.5%
100
97.5%
Q4 - 4:53SASDiaw 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Parker 7 AST)90
1.8%
100
98.2%
Q4 - 5:08DALCalderon 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS)90
4.9%
97
95.1%
Q4 - 5:23SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)88
3.7%
97
96.3%
Q4 - 5:42DALCarter 2' Driving Layup (19 PTS)88
6.7%
94
93.3%
Q4 - 6:02SASParker 21' Jump Shot (20 PTS)86
6.3%
94
93.7%
Q4 - 6:14DALCalderon 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS)86
8.0%
92
92.0%
Q4 - 6:33SASLeonard 24' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Parker 6 AST)84
6.2%
92
93.8%
Q4 - 6:52DALWright 1' Running Layup (4 PTS) (Carter 5 AST)84
10.4%
89
89.6%
Q4 - 7:08SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)82
9.4%
89
90.6%
Q4 - 7:08SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 282
9.9%
88
90.1%
Q4 - 7:16SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)82
9.1%
88
90.9%
Q4 - 7:17DALMISS Wright 9' Jump Shot82
9.9%
88
90.1%
Q4 - 7:35DALWright REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)82
12.0%
88
88.0%
Q4 - 7:36SASMISS Belinelli 25' 3PT Jump Shot82
11.0%
88
89.0%
Q4 - 7:55DALEllis 12' Jump Shot (13 PTS)82
9.0%
88
91.0%
Q4 - 8:14DALMavericks Rebound80
8.2%
88
91.8%
Q4 - 8:16SASMISS Belinelli 25' 3PT Jump Shot80
7.6%
88
92.4%
Q4 - 8:32DALMarion 7' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Ellis 6 AST)80
6.4%
88
93.6%
Q4 - 8:55SASSplitter 2' Reverse Layup (11 PTS) (Ginobili 7 AST)78
5.0%
88
95.0%
Q4 - 9:03SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)78
7.3%
86
92.7%
Q4 - 9:04DALMISS Nowitzki 12' Fadeaway Jumper78
7.9%
86
92.1%
Q4 - 9:24SASSplitter Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)78
9.1%
86
90.9%
Q4 - 9:24SASSplitter Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)78
9.6%
85
90.4%
Q4 - 9:29SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)78
11.3%
84
88.7%
Q4 - 9:30SASMISS Leonard 1' Layup78
13.1%
84
86.9%
Q4 - 9:31SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)78
11.3%
84
88.7%
Q4 - 9:32SASMISS Belinelli 3PT Jump Shot78
13.1%
84
86.9%
Q4 - 9:42SASSPURS Rebound78
11.3%
84
88.7%
Q4 - 9:43SASMISS Diaw 25' 3PT Jump Shot78
13.1%
84
86.9%
Q4 - 9:57DALHarris Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)78
11.3%
84
88.7%
Q4 - 9:57DALMISS Harris Free Throw 1 of 277
10.8%
84
89.2%
Q4 - 10:16DALEllington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)77
12.0%
84
88.0%
Q4 - 10:17SASMISS Diaw 3' Driving Layup77
11.3%
84
88.7%
Q4 - 10:31DALWright REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)77
9.8%
84
90.2%
Q4 - 10:31DALWright 1' Tip Shot (2 PTS)77
9.8%
84
90.2%
Q4 - 10:32DALMISS Carter 2' Layup75
6.9%
84
93.1%
Q4 - 10:50SASBelinelli 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Diaw 2 AST)75
8.0%
84
92.0%
Q4 - 11:05DALNowitzki 20' Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Carter 4 AST)75
12.7%
81
87.3%
Q4 - 11:23SASMills 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Ginobili 6 AST)73
10.5%
81
89.5%
Q4 - 11:41DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 1 (19 PTS)73
15.2%
78
84.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0DAL70
10.5%
78
89.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0DALMavericks Rebound70
10.5%
78
89.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0DALMISS Harris 19' Jump Shot70
9.1%
78
90.9%
Q3 - 0:22.0DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)70
11.1%
78
88.9%
Q3 - 0:25.0SASMISS Splitter 3' Reverse Layup70
10.5%
78
89.5%
Q3 - 0:26.0SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)70
9.3%
78
90.7%
Q3 - 0:27.0SASMISS Ginobili 3' Driving Jump Shot70
10.5%
78
89.5%
Q3 - 0:34.0SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)70
9.3%
78
90.7%
Q3 - 0:35.0DALMISS Wright Free Throw 2 of 270
9.5%
78
90.5%
Q3 - 0:35.0DALMISS Wright Free Throw 1 of 270
10.6%
78
89.4%
Q3 - 0:47.0DALWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)70
11.1%
78
88.9%
Q3 - 0:48.0SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot70
10.5%
78
89.5%
Q3 - 0:54.0DALHarris 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Carter 3 AST)70
9.3%
78
90.7%
Q3 - 1:13SASGinobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Splitter 2 AST)67
6.8%
78
93.2%
Q3 - 1:17SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)67
9.8%
75
90.2%
Q3 - 1:18SASMISS Diaw 6' Jump Shot67
11.0%
75
89.0%
Q3 - 1:28SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)67
9.8%
75
90.2%
Q3 - 1:29DALMISS Ellington 17' Jump Shot67
10.3%
75
89.7%
Q3 - 1:48SASGinobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Belinelli 1 AST)67
11.6%
75
88.4%
Q3 - 2:00DALCarter 14' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Wright 2 AST)67
16.3%
72
83.7%
Q3 - 2:16SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)65
14.3%
72
85.7%
Q3 - 2:16SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)65
14.6%
71
85.4%
Q3 - 2:23DALDiaw STEAL (1 STL)65
16.6%
70
83.4%
Q3 - 2:40SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)65
19.4%
70
80.6%
Q3 - 2:40SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)65
19.9%
69
80.1%
Q3 - 2:44SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)65
22.4%
68
77.6%
Q3 - 2:45DALMISS Harris 4' Running Jump Shot65
23.5%
68
76.5%
Q3 - 2:57DALHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)65
26.0%
68
74.0%
Q3 - 2:58SASMISS Leonard 24' 3PT Jump Shot65
24.8%
68
75.2%
Q3 - 3:25DALHarris 3' Layup (4 PTS) (Blair 2 AST)65
22.6%
68
77.4%
Q3 - 3:30SASDuncan Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T13)63
19.9%
68
80.1%
Q3 - 3:45DALBlair 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS)63
17.0%
68
83.0%
Q3 - 4:04SASDuncan 18' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Ginobili 5 AST)61
15.4%
68
84.6%
Q3 - 4:17SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)61
17.2%
66
82.8%
Q3 - 4:18DALMISS Calderon 25' 3PT Jump Shot61
18.1%
66
81.9%
Q3 - 4:37SASParker 4' Driving Reverse Layup (18 PTS)61
20.3%
66
79.7%
Q3 - 4:56DALNowitzki 5' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Calderon 4 AST)61
22.6%
64
77.4%
Q3 - 5:16SASDiaw 7' Driving Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Parker 5 AST)59
20.5%
64
79.5%
Q3 - 5:32SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)59
22.8%
62
77.2%
Q3 - 5:33DALMISS Calderon 19' Jump Shot59
23.9%
62
76.1%
Q3 - 5:43DALBlair REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)59
26.4%
62
73.6%
Q3 - 5:44SASMISS Ginobili 26' 3PT Jump Shot59
25.3%
62
74.7%
Q3 - 5:49SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)59
22.8%
62
77.2%
Q3 - 5:51DALLeonard BLOCK (1 BLK)59
23.9%
62
76.1%
Q3 - 5:54DALBlair REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)59
26.4%
62
73.6%
Q3 - 5:55DALMISS Ellis 20' Jump Shot59
23.9%
62
76.1%
Q3 - 6:04DALEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)59
26.3%
62
73.7%
Q3 - 6:05SASMISS Parker 25' 3PT Jump Shot59
25.2%
62
74.8%
Q3 - 6:28DALBlair 3' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Calderon 3 AST)59
23.0%
62
77.0%
Q3 - 6:39DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)57
20.6%
62
79.4%
Q3 - 6:40SASMISS Duncan 7' Jump Bank Shot57
19.7%
62
80.3%
Q3 - 6:59DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)57
17.8%
62
82.2%
Q3 - 6:59DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)56
17.6%
62
82.4%
Q3 - 7:16DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)55
16.0%
62
84.0%
Q3 - 7:17SASMISS Green 25' 3PT Jump Shot55
15.3%
62
84.7%
Q3 - 7:22SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)55
13.9%
62
86.1%
Q3 - 7:23DALMISS Dalembert 5' Jump Shot55
14.5%
62
85.5%
Q3 - 7:27DALDalembert REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)55
16.0%
62
84.0%
Q3 - 7:30DALMISS Nowitzki 26' 3PT Jump Shot55
14.5%
62
85.5%
Q3 - 7:42SASLeonard 26' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)55
16.0%
62
84.0%
Q3 - 7:58DALNowitzki 5' Running Jump Shot (12 PTS)55
20.4%
59
79.6%
Q3 - 8:12SASSplitter 1' Reverse Layup (7 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)53
18.4%
59
81.6%
Q3 - 8:29DALEllis Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T6)53
20.4%
57
79.6%
Q3 - 8:42SASLeonard Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)53
23.4%
57
76.6%
Q3 - 8:44SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)53
28.7%
54
71.3%
Q3 - 8:46DALMISS Ellis 26' 3PT Jump Shot53
29.8%
54
70.2%
Q3 - 8:53SASDuncan Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T12)53
32.4%
54
67.6%
Q3 - 9:04DALDalembert 1' Tip Shot (6 PTS)53
28.7%
54
71.3%
Q3 - 9:04DALDalembert REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)51
25.8%
54
74.2%
Q3 - 9:05DALMISS Calderon 5' Running Jump Shot51
23.9%
54
76.1%
Q3 - 9:19SASDuncan Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T11)51
25.9%
54
74.1%
Q3 - 9:38DALSplitter STEAL (2 STL)51
23.1%
54
76.9%
Q3 - 9:44DALDalembert REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)51
25.9%
54
74.1%
Q3 - 9:45SASMISS Green 24' 3PT Jump Shot51
25.0%
54
75.0%
Q3 - 9:59DALNowitzki 10' Fadeaway Jumper (10 PTS)51
23.1%
54
76.9%
Q3 - 10:20SASDuncan 4' Jump Shot (7 PTS)49
20.6%
54
79.4%
Q3 - 10:37SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)49
23.0%
52
77.0%
Q3 - 10:38DALDalembert REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)49
25.7%
52
74.3%
Q3 - 10:38DALMISS Dalembert 1' Layup49
23.8%
52
76.2%
Q3 - 10:41DALGreen BLOCK (1 BLK)49
23.8%
52
76.2%
Q3 - 11:00SASParker 12' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Leonard 1 AST)49
25.7%
52
74.3%
Q3 - 11:12DALDalembert Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)49
28.3%
50
71.7%
Q3 - 11:12DALDalembert Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)48
27.6%
50
72.4%
Q3 - 11:12DALDalembert REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)47
25.7%
50
74.3%
Q3 - 11:13DALMISS Ellis 8' Running Jump Shot47
23.8%
50
76.2%
Q3 - 11:31SASParker 20' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Green 3 AST)47
25.7%
50
74.3%
Q3 - 11:44SASSPURS Rebound47
28.3%
48
71.7%
Q3 - 11:45SASMISS Splitter 7' Jump Shot47
30.4%
48
69.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0DAL47
28.3%
48
71.7%
Q2 - 0:01.0DALCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)47
30.9%
48
69.1%
Q2 - 0:02.0SASMISS Diaw 7' Jump Shot47
30.2%
48
69.8%
Q2 - 0:03.0SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)47
28.8%
48
71.2%
Q2 - 0:04.0SASMISS Diaw 3PT Jump Shot47
30.2%
48
69.8%
Q2 - 0:29.0DALEllis 26' 3PT Jump Bank Shot (11 PTS)47
28.8%
48
71.2%
Q2 - 0:41.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)44
23.1%
48
76.9%
Q2 - 0:41.0SASDuncan 2' Tip Shot (5 PTS)44
23.1%
48
76.9%
Q2 - 0:41.0SASMISS Mills 19' Jump Shot44
27.5%
46
72.5%
Q2 - 0:53.0SASSPURS Rebound44
26.1%
46
73.9%
Q2 - 0:53.0SASMISS Duncan 9' Turnaround Bank Shot44
27.5%
46
72.5%
Q2 - 1:11DALCarter 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Wright 1 AST)44
26.5%
46
73.5%
Q2 - 1:28SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)41
21.0%
46
79.0%
Q2 - 1:28SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 241
21.5%
45
78.5%
Q2 - 1:54DALHarris 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Carter 2 AST)41
21.8%
45
78.2%
Q2 - 1:59DALDalembert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)39
19.0%
45
81.0%
Q2 - 2:00SASMISS Parker 4' Floating Jump Shot39
18.6%
45
81.4%
Q2 - 2:10SASGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)39
17.6%
45
82.4%
Q2 - 2:11DALMISS Ellis 2' Driving Layup39
18.2%
45
81.8%
Q2 - 2:30SASDuncan Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)39
19.5%
45
80.5%
Q2 - 2:45DALCarter 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Ellis 5 AST)39
17.6%
45
82.4%
Q2 - 2:49DALDalembert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)36
14.3%
45
85.7%
Q2 - 2:51DALDuncan BLOCK (2 BLK)36
13.3%
45
86.7%
Q2 - 3:11SASDuncan 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)36
14.7%
45
85.3%
Q2 - 3:25DALEllis Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)36
16.0%
43
84.0%
Q2 - 3:30SASLeonard Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)33
13.3%
43
86.7%
Q2 - 3:35SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)33
11.7%
43
88.3%
Q2 - 3:37DALMISS Marion 24' 3PT Jump Shot33
12.2%
43
87.8%
Q2 - 3:55SASSplitter Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)33
13.3%
43
86.7%
Q2 - 4:11DALCarter 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Ellis 4 AST)33
16.4%
40
83.6%
Q2 - 4:17DALDalembert REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)30
13.5%
40
86.5%
Q2 - 4:18SASMISS Duncan 1' Layup30
13.1%
40
86.9%
Q2 - 4:38SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
12.1%
40
87.9%
Q2 - 4:39DALMISS Ellis 19' Jump Shot30
12.5%
40
87.5%
Q2 - 4:48DALMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)30
13.5%
40
86.5%
Q2 - 4:49DALMISS Carter 25' 3PT Jump Shot30
12.5%
40
87.5%
Q2 - 5:00SASGreen 13' Floating Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)30
13.5%
40
86.5%
Q2 - 5:25DALCarter 2' Driving Layup (6 PTS) (Ellis 3 AST)30
15.1%
38
84.9%
Q2 - 5:38SASParker 19' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Splitter 1 AST)28
13.7%
38
86.3%
Q2 - 5:54SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)28
15.1%
36
84.9%
Q2 - 5:55DALMISS Carter 12' Fadeaway Jumper28
15.6%
36
84.4%
Q2 - 6:14SASSplitter Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)28
17.1%
36
82.9%
Q2 - 6:29SASGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)28
15.2%
36
84.8%
Q2 - 6:30DALMISS Calderon 18' Jump Shot28
15.8%
36
84.2%
Q2 - 6:44DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
17.0%
36
83.0%
Q2 - 6:45SASMISS Parker 1' Layup28
16.5%
36
83.5%
Q2 - 6:52SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
15.2%
36
84.8%
Q2 - 6:53DALDuncan BLOCK (1 BLK)28
15.8%
36
84.2%
Q2 - 7:10SASLeonard 5' Pullup Jump Shot (7 PTS)28
17.2%
36
82.8%
Q2 - 7:25SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)28
18.6%
34
81.4%
Q2 - 7:26DALMISS Nowitzki 16' Jump Shot28
19.1%
34
80.9%
Q2 - 7:42DALWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)28
20.5%
34
79.5%
Q2 - 7:43SASMISS Splitter 1' Reverse Layup28
19.9%
34
80.1%
Q2 - 8:04DALNowitzki 16' Turnaround Fadeaway (8 PTS)28
18.8%
34
81.2%
Q2 - 8:15DALWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)26
17.3%
34
82.7%
Q2 - 8:16DALMISS Ellington 17' Jump Shot26
16.3%
34
83.7%
Q2 - 8:24SASGreen Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)26
17.3%
34
82.7%
Q2 - 8:31SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)26
15.8%
34
84.2%
Q2 - 8:33DALMISS Calderon 16' Jump Shot26
16.2%
34
83.8%
Q2 - 8:43SASGreen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Mills 1 AST)26
17.3%
34
82.7%
Q2 - 8:55DALNowitzki 13' Turnaround Fadeaway (6 PTS)26
20.4%
31
79.6%
Q2 - 9:12DALEllington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)24
18.9%
31
81.1%
Q2 - 9:13DALMISS Harris 24' 3PT Jump Shot24
17.8%
31
82.2%
Q2 - 9:38SASBaynes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)24
18.9%
31
81.1%
Q2 - 9:38SASBaynes 2' Tip Shot (4 PTS)24
18.9%
31
81.1%
Q2 - 9:39SASMISS Mills 25' 3PT Jump Shot24
21.7%
29
78.3%
Q2 - 9:47SASBaynes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
20.4%
29
79.6%
Q2 - 9:48DALMISS Nowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot24
21.0%
29
79.0%
Q2 - 10:06SASDiaw 1' Reverse Layup (8 PTS) (Baynes 1 AST)24
22.5%
29
77.5%
Q2 - 10:21SASBaynes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
23.9%
27
76.1%
Q2 - 10:22DALMISS Carter 26' 3PT Jump Shot24
24.6%
27
75.4%
Q2 - 10:37SASBelinelli Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)24
26.1%
27
73.9%
Q2 - 10:37SASBelinelli Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)24
26.3%
26
73.7%
Q2 - 10:39SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
27.7%
25
72.3%
Q2 - 10:40DALMISS Nowitzki 11' Fadeaway Jumper24
28.4%
25
71.6%
Q2 - 10:53SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)24
30.1%
25
69.9%
Q2 - 11:08DALNowitzki 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS)24
27.8%
25
72.2%
Q2 - 11:26SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)22
26.1%
25
73.9%
Q2 - 11:35SASBelinelli REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
24.1%
25
75.9%
Q2 - 11:36DALMISS Harris 18' Jump Shot22
24.7%
25
75.3%
Q2 - 11:47SASDiaw Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)22
26.1%
25
73.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0DAL22
24.1%
25
75.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0DALMavericks Rebound22
26.1%
25
73.9%
Q1 - 0:01.0DALMISS Carter 19' Jump Shot22
24.9%
25
75.1%
Q1 - 0:17.0SASDiaw Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)22
25.8%
25
74.2%
Q1 - 0:19.0DALCarter 2' Driving Reverse Layup (4 PTS)22
24.5%
25
75.5%
Q1 - 0:37.0SASBaynes 1' Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Ginobili 4 AST)20
22.4%
25
77.6%
Q1 - 0:52.0DALEllis Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)20
24.5%
23
75.5%
Q1 - 0:52.0DALMISS Ellis Free Throw 1 of 219
24.1%
23
75.9%
Q1 - 1:00SASDiaw 2' Layup (6 PTS) (Ginobili 3 AST)19
24.0%
23
76.0%
Q1 - 1:06DALGinobili STEAL (1 STL)19
26.3%
21
73.7%
Q1 - 1:22SASDiaw 2' Reverse Layup (4 PTS)19
27.6%
21
72.4%
Q1 - 1:43DALBlair REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)19
30.0%
19
70.0%
Q1 - 1:43DALBlair 1' Layup (2 PTS)19
30.0%
19
70.0%
Q1 - 1:45DALMISS Harris 9' Jump Bank Shot17
26.7%
19
73.3%
Q1 - 2:05SASDiaw 5' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)17
27.9%
19
72.1%
Q1 - 2:11SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
29.8%
17
70.2%
Q1 - 2:12DALMISS Blair 6' Jump Shot17
30.4%
17
69.6%
Q1 - 2:26DALMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)17
31.6%
17
68.4%
Q1 - 2:27SASMISS Diaw 2' Running Layup17
31.1%
17
68.9%
Q1 - 2:39DALMarion 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Carter 1 AST)17
29.8%
17
70.2%
Q1 - 2:57DALEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
26.0%
17
74.0%
Q1 - 2:58SASMISS Mills 25' 3PT Jump Shot14
25.6%
17
74.4%
Q1 - 3:14DALCarter 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)14
24.3%
17
75.7%
Q1 - 3:28DALMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
22.8%
17
77.2%
Q1 - 3:29SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot12
22.3%
17
77.7%
Q1 - 3:32SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)12
21.1%
17
78.9%
Q1 - 3:33SASMISS Mills 9' Floating Jump Shot12
22.3%
17
77.7%
Q1 - 3:38SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)12
21.2%
17
78.8%
Q1 - 3:39SASMISS Ginobili 2' Running Finger Roll Layup12
22.3%
17
77.7%
Q1 - 3:55DALEllis 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Calderon 2 AST)12
21.2%
17
78.8%
Q1 - 3:59SASLeonard Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)10
19.8%
17
80.2%
Q1 - 4:10DALCalderon 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Blair 1 AST)10
18.4%
17
81.6%
Q1 - 4:29SASParker 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Diaw 1 AST)8
17.3%
17
82.7%
Q1 - 4:41SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
19.7%
14
80.3%
Q1 - 4:42DALMISS Carter 1' Layup8
20.2%
14
79.8%
Q1 - 4:59SASLeonard 12' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)8
21.3%
14
78.7%
Q1 - 5:10DALEllis Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)8
22.8%
12
77.2%
Q1 - 5:24DALMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
24.4%
12
75.6%
Q1 - 5:25SASMISS Leonard 25' 3PT Jump Shot8
23.9%
12
76.1%
Q1 - 5:37SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
22.8%
12
77.2%
Q1 - 5:38DALMISS Marion 26' 3PT Jump Shot8
23.3%
12
76.7%
Q1 - 5:46DALCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
24.4%
12
75.6%
Q1 - 5:47SASMISS Diaw 21' Jump Shot8
23.9%
12
76.1%
Q1 - 6:00SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)8
22.8%
12
77.2%
Q1 - 6:01DALMISS Calderon 17' Jump Shot8
23.3%
12
76.7%
Q1 - 6:14SASParker Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)8
24.4%
12
75.6%
Q1 - 6:17SASGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
27.3%
9
72.7%
Q1 - 6:20DALSplitter BLOCK (1 BLK)8
27.8%
9
72.2%
Q1 - 6:25DALCalderon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
29.0%
9
71.0%
Q1 - 6:27DALMISS Blair 2' Layup8
27.8%
9
72.2%
Q1 - 6:33SASParker Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)8
29.0%
9
71.0%
Q1 - 6:45DALLeonard STEAL (1 STL)8
27.3%
9
72.7%
Q1 - 6:53DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
29.0%
9
71.0%
Q1 - 6:54SASMISS Splitter 6' Fadeaway Bank Shot8
28.5%
9
71.5%
Q1 - 7:10DALCalderon 18' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)8
27.1%
9
72.9%
Q1 - 7:19DALBlair REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
25.9%
9
74.1%
Q1 - 7:20SASMISS Green 17' Jump Shot6
25.3%
9
74.7%
Q1 - 7:26SASSPURS Rebound6
24.2%
9
75.8%
Q1 - 7:27SASMISS Parker 15' Jump Shot6
25.3%
9
74.7%
Q1 - 7:34SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
24.2%
9
75.8%
Q1 - 7:36DALMISS Ellis 18' Jump Shot6
24.7%
9
75.3%
Q1 - 7:50SASParker 17' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS)6
25.9%
9
74.1%
Q1 - 7:58SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
27.1%
7
72.9%
Q1 - 7:59DALMISS Nowitzki 15' Jump Shot6
27.6%
7
72.4%
Q1 - 8:17SASSplitter 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Green 1 AST)6
28.7%
7
71.3%
Q1 - 8:25DALSplitter STEAL (1 STL)6
30.1%
5
69.9%
Q1 - 8:35DALDalembert REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
31.8%
5
68.2%
Q1 - 8:36SASMISS Duncan 19' Jump Shot6
31.3%
5
68.7%
Q1 - 8:51SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
30.1%
5
69.9%
Q1 - 8:52DALMISS Marion 11' Running Jump Shot6
30.6%
5
69.4%
Q1 - 9:06DALEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
31.7%
5
68.3%
Q1 - 9:07SASMISS Duncan 18' Jump Shot6
31.2%
5
68.8%
Q1 - 9:24SASGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
30.0%
5
70.0%
Q1 - 9:25DALMISS Calderon 19' Pullup Jump Shot6
30.5%
5
69.5%
Q1 - 9:34DALCalderon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
31.7%
5
68.3%
Q1 - 9:35SASMISS Splitter 5' Hook Shot6
31.2%
5
68.8%
Q1 - 9:51DALNowitzki 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Ellis 2 AST)6
30.0%
5
70.0%
Q1 - 9:58DALDalembert REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
28.7%
5
71.3%
Q1 - 9:59SASMISS Green 15' Jump Shot4
28.2%
5
71.8%
Q1 - 10:18DALEllis 20' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Calderon 1 AST)4
27.1%
5
72.9%
Q1 - 10:26DALMavericks Rebound2
25.9%
5
74.1%
Q1 - 10:27DALMISS Nowitzki 18' Jump Shot2
24.9%
5
75.1%
Q1 - 10:45SASLeonard 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)2
25.9%
5
74.1%
Q1 - 10:59SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
28.5%
2
71.5%
Q1 - 10:59DALMISS Dalembert 20' Jump Shot2
29.0%
2
71.0%
Q1 - 11:15SASParker 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)2
29.7%
2
70.3%
Q1 - 11:42DALDalembert 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Ellis 1 AST)2
31.2%
0
68.8%
Q1 - 12:00SASJump Ball Duncan vs. Dalembert: Tip to Dalembert0
29.7%
0
70.3%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DAL
0.99 49.5%
SAS
1.17 58.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DAL
18
32
56%
SAS
19
30
63%
Midrange
DAL
20
47
43%
SAS
10
27
37%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DAL
7
10.5
18
39%
58%
SAS
10
15.0
27
37%
56%
Free Throws
DAL
9
14
64%
SAS
24
28
86%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Nowitzki2258%11.0 / 19
V. Carter2166%10.5 / 16
M. Ellis1753%8.5 / 16
J. Calderon836%4.0 / 11
S. Dalembert850%4.0 / 8
D. Harris840%4.0 / 10
B. Wright857%4.0 / 7
D. Blair660%3.0 / 5
S. Marion536%2.5 / 7
W. Ellington338%1.5 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Parker2273%11.0 / 15
T. Duncan1757%8.5 / 15
K. Leonard1689%8.0 / 9
M. Ginobili1563%7.5 / 12
B. Diaw1447%7.0 / 15
T. Splitter1155%5.5 / 10
D. Green531%2.5 / 8
M. Belinelli550%2.5 / 5
A. Baynes4100%2.0 / 2
P. Mills330%1.5 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DAL
88
+18
-7
106
SAS
81
+15
-13
96
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DAL
0.99 49.5%
SAS
1.17 58.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
110.7
110.3
DAL 111.6
SAS 119.1 +7.6
Pace
94.1
95.2
DAL 93.0
SAS 96.1 +3.1
Avg. Poss. Time
15.7
15.1
DAL 15.5
SAS 15.0 +0.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.6%
53.7%
DAL 50.0%
SAS 52.4% +2.4%
TO %
13.9%
14.7%
DAL 6.4% +5.5%
SAS 11.9%
ORB %
24.7%
22.8%
DAL 28.6% +1.1%
SAS 27.5%
FTrt
25.3
24.0
DAL 14.4
SAS 33.3 +18.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
59.6%
62.1%
DAL 53.3%
SAS 71.8% +18.5%
STL %
9.1%
7.7%
DAL 10.5% +5.2%
SAS 5.3%
BLK %
7.4%
7.7%
DAL 8.8% +1.2%
SAS 7.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.0%
56.0%
DAL 49.5%
SAS 58.3% +8.8%
Rim FG%
60.9%
63.1%
DAL 56.3%
SAS 63.3% +7.0%
Mid FG%
42.4%
40.6%
DAL 42.6% +5.6%
SAS 37.0%
3P %
38.4%
39.7%
DAL 38.9% +1.9%
SAS 37.0%
FT %
79.5%
78.6%
DAL 64.3%
SAS 85.7% +21.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
32.8%
36.5%
DAL 33.0%
SAS 35.7% +2.7%
Mid Att. %
39.9%
37.8%
DAL 48.5%
SAS 32.1% +16.3%
3P Att. %
27.4%
25.7%
DAL 18.6%
SAS 32.1% +13.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.04 and 2.04.
Game TotalsDALSAS
Possessions9594
Possession Minutes24.523.5
Points106112
Rebounds4346
Assists2428
Steals105
Blocks56
Turnovers (Team)7 (0)13 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)14 (4)11 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)29 (1)35 (0)
Field Goals45-9739-84
At-the-Rim FG18-3219-30
Midrange FG20-4710-27
2-Point FG38-7929-57
3-Point FG7-1810-27
Free Throws9-1424-28
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'3" 185 · 28
37.9
17
53%
3
8
1
0
3
2
0
3
2-3
67%
6-13
46%
1-2
50%
G · 6'3" 200 · 32
31.5
8
36%
2
6
3
1
2
1
1
1
0-0
-
4-10
40%
0-1
0%
F · 7'0" 245 · 36
31.3
22
58%
7
0
0
1
1
3
1
6
4-5
80%
9-15
60%
0-2
0%
F · 6'7" 228 · 36
28.8
5
36%
4
1
3
0
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
1-4
25%
1-3
33%
C · 6'11" 255 · 34
18.6
8
50%
10
0
0
0
0
4
5
5
2-2
100%
3-7
43%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 37
29.1
21
66%
4
5
0
0
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
6-10
60%
3-6
50%
G · 6'3" 185 · 31
20.9
8
40%
1
0
0
0
0
3
0
1
1-2
50%
2-6
33%
1-3
33%
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 26
17.6
8
57%
6
2
2
2
0
3
3
3
0-2
0%
4-6
67%
0-0
-
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 25
12.6
6
60%
4
2
1
1
1
1
2
2
0-0
-
3-5
60%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 200 · 26
11.8
3
38%
2
0
0
0
0
3
1
1
0-0
-
0-3
0%
1-1
100%
F · 6'6" 235 · 24
G · 5'11" 175 · 21
C · 6'10" 235 · 29
#33 · G · 6'3" 191 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#7 · G · 6'7" 195 · 21
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
106
50%
43
24
10
5
7
0
14
29
9-14
64%
38-79
48%
7-18
39%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.