FinalWin Prob.pScore
2615%92
98
385%106
112
ORTG#PossPace
ORL logo ORL
104.39497.5
MIA logo MIA
120.49389.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventORLMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA98
0%
112
100%
Q4 - 0:18.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)98
0%
112
100%
Q4 - 0:19.0ORLMISS Dedmon 18' Jump Shot98
0%
112
100%
Q4 - 0:36.0MIAHaslem 1' Layup (2 PTS)98
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 0:37.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)98
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 0:38.0MIAMISS Douglas 20' Jump Shot98
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 1:01ORLDedmon Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)98
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 1:14MIADouglas Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T17)95
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 1:24MIADouglas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)95
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 1:25ORLMISS Thomas 26' 3PT Jump Shot95
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 1:37ORLDedmon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)95
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 1:38MIAMISS Beasley 18' Jump Shot95
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 2:00ORLThomas 7' Hook Shot (2 PTS)95
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 2:06ORLDedmon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)93
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 2:07MIAMISS Cole 17' Jump Shot93
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 2:26MIALewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)93
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 2:27ORLBeasley BLOCK (3 BLK)93
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 2:45ORLNicholson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)93
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 2:46MIAMISS Douglas 17' Jump Shot93
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 2:56ORLMagic Turnover: Shot Clock (T#13)93
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 3:20ORLO'Quinn REBOUND (Off:6 Def:9)93
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 3:21MIAMISS Beasley 1' Finger Roll Layup93
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 3:40ORLO'Quinn 2' Dunk (14 PTS)93
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 3:42ORLO'Quinn REBOUND (Off:6 Def:8)91
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 3:43ORLMISS Lamb 10' Jump Shot91
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 3:44ORLLamb REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)91
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 3:45ORLMISS Lamb 7' Jump Shot91
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 4:07MIAAllen 20' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Cole 1 AST)91
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 4:22ORLNicholson 12' Jump Shot (4 PTS)91
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 4:36ORLO'Quinn REBOUND (Off:5 Def:8)89
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 4:37MIAMISS Allen 12' Jump Shot89
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 4:56ORLHarkless Traveling Turnover (P3.T12)89
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 5:10MIAWade 15' Jump Shot (24 PTS)89
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 5:29ORLHarkless 1' Layup (14 PTS) (O'Quinn 2 AST)89
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 5:35MIACole Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T16)87
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 5:40MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)87
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 5:41ORLWade BLOCK (1 BLK)87
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 5:56MIABeasley 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS)87
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 6:00MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)87
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 6:01MIAMISS Cole 5' Driving Hook Shot87
0.2%
104
99.8%
Q4 - 6:22ORLHarris 18' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Nelson 11 AST)87
0.2%
104
99.8%
Q4 - 6:36MIABeasley 1' Driving Layup (6 PTS)85
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 6:50ORLHarkless 1' Layup (12 PTS) (Moore 1 AST)85
0.2%
102
99.8%
Q4 - 7:02MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T15)83
0.2%
102
99.8%
Q4 - 7:16ORLHarkless Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)83
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 7:16ORLHarkless Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)82
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 7:26MIAOden Foul Turnover (P1.T14)81
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 7:40ORLO'Quinn 1' Dunk (12 PTS)81
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 7:42ORLO'Quinn REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7)79
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 7:43ORLMISS Lamb 8' Jump Shot79
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 8:02MIAWade 12' Jump Bank Shot (22 PTS)79
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 8:10MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)79
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 8:11ORLMISS Moore 25' 3PT Jump Shot79
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 8:31MIACole 17' Jump Shot (9 PTS)79
0.2%
100
99.8%
Q4 - 8:50ORLMoore 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Nicholson 1 AST)79
0.2%
98
99.8%
Q4 - 9:04MIACole Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)77
0.2%
98
99.8%
Q4 - 9:04MIACole Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)77
0.2%
97
99.8%
Q4 - 9:13MIAOden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)77
0.3%
96
99.7%
Q4 - 9:14ORLMISS Nelson 3PT Jump Shot77
0.3%
96
99.7%
Q4 - 9:22ORLO'Quinn REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)77
0.4%
96
99.6%
Q4 - 9:23ORLMISS Lamb 24' 3PT Jump Shot77
0.3%
96
99.7%
Q4 - 9:33ORLLamb REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)77
0.4%
96
99.6%
Q4 - 9:35MIAMISS Cole 24' 3PT Jump Shot77
0.3%
96
99.7%
Q4 - 9:56ORLMoore 21' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (O'Quinn 1 AST)77
0.3%
96
99.7%
Q4 - 10:09MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (20 PTS)75
0.3%
96
99.7%
Q4 - 10:28ORLO'Quinn 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS)75
0.4%
93
99.6%
Q4 - 10:40MIABeasley Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P3.T13)73
0.3%
93
99.7%
Q4 - 10:44MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)73
0.3%
93
99.7%
Q4 - 10:45ORLMISS Nicholson 17' Jump Shot73
0.3%
93
99.7%
Q4 - 11:00MIABeasley 4' Jump Shot (4 PTS)73
0.3%
93
99.7%
Q4 - 11:16MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)73
0.5%
91
99.5%
Q4 - 11:17ORLMISS Nelson 24' 3PT Jump Shot73
0.6%
91
99.4%
Q4 - 11:36MIAAndersen Putback Slam Dunk (5 PTS)73
0.7%
91
99.3%
Q4 - 11:37MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)73
0.8%
89
99.2%
Q4 - 11:38MIAMISS Cole 2' Layup73
1.0%
89
99.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORL73
0.8%
89
99.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORLMagic Rebound73
1.0%
89
99.0%
Q3 - 0:01.0ORLMISS Harkless 24' 3PT Jump Shot73
1.0%
89
99.0%
Q3 - 0:02.0MIACole Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T12)73
1.2%
89
98.8%
Q3 - 0:03.0ORLOladipo 2' Driving Layup (10 PTS)73
1.0%
89
99.0%
Q3 - 0:23.0ORLMagic Rebound71
0.8%
89
99.2%
Q3 - 0:24.0MIAMISS Allen 3PT Jump Shot71
0.7%
89
99.3%
Q3 - 0:30.0ORLJames STEAL (4 STL)71
0.6%
89
99.4%
Q3 - 0:43.0ORLO'Quinn REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)71
0.8%
89
99.2%
Q3 - 0:44.0MIAMISS Allen 25' 3PT Jump Shot71
0.7%
89
99.3%
Q3 - 1:01ORLO'Quinn Foul Turnover (P2.T10)71
0.7%
89
99.3%
Q3 - 1:02ORLNicholson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)71
0.9%
89
99.1%
Q3 - 1:03ORLBeasley BLOCK (2 BLK)71
0.8%
89
99.2%
Q3 - 1:14ORLO'Quinn REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)71
0.9%
89
99.1%
Q3 - 1:15MIAMISS Beasley 21' Jump Shot71
0.8%
89
99.2%
Q3 - 1:30ORLO'Quinn Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)71
0.7%
89
99.3%
Q3 - 1:30ORLO'Quinn Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)70
0.7%
89
99.3%
Q3 - 1:38ORLO'Quinn REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)69
0.6%
89
99.4%
Q3 - 1:39MIAMISS James 14' Jump Shot69
0.6%
89
99.4%
Q3 - 1:51MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)69
0.5%
89
99.5%
Q3 - 1:52ORLMISS Moore 10' Jump Shot69
0.5%
89
99.5%
Q3 - 2:17MIAJames 19' Jump Shot (20 PTS)69
0.7%
89
99.3%
Q3 - 2:42ORLOladipo Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T9)69
0.8%
87
99.2%
Q3 - 3:02MIAAllen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Battier 2 AST)69
1.1%
87
98.9%
Q3 - 3:13MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)69
1.5%
84
98.5%
Q3 - 3:14ORLMISS Vucevic 8' Hook Shot69
1.6%
84
98.4%
Q3 - 3:39MIAJames 19' Fadeaway Jumper (18 PTS)69
1.9%
84
98.1%
Q3 - 4:00ORLOladipo Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)69
2.2%
82
97.8%
Q3 - 4:00ORLOladipo Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)68
2.1%
82
97.9%
Q3 - 4:12MIAChalmers 3' Layup (7 PTS)67
2.0%
82
98.0%
Q3 - 4:24MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)67
2.3%
80
97.7%
Q3 - 4:25ORLMISS Oladipo Free Throw 2 of 267
2.4%
80
97.6%
Q3 - 4:25ORLMISS Oladipo Free Throw 1 of 267
2.7%
80
97.3%
Q3 - 4:41MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)67
2.8%
80
97.2%
Q3 - 4:41MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)67
2.9%
79
97.1%
Q3 - 4:52ORLNicholson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)67
3.2%
78
96.8%
Q3 - 4:52ORLNicholson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)66
3.1%
78
96.9%
Q3 - 5:07MIAWade 12' Fadeaway Bank Shot (17 PTS) (James 7 AST)65
3.0%
78
97.0%
Q3 - 5:28MIABattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)65
3.4%
76
96.6%
Q3 - 5:29ORLMISS Oladipo Free Throw 2 of 265
3.5%
76
96.5%
Q3 - 5:29ORLOladipo Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)65
3.9%
76
96.1%
Q3 - 5:32MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)64
3.5%
76
96.5%
Q3 - 5:41ORLVucevic 1' Layup (18 PTS)64
2.9%
76
97.1%
Q3 - 5:43ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:6 Def:4)62
2.5%
76
97.5%
Q3 - 5:44ORLAndersen BLOCK (1 BLK)62
2.2%
76
97.8%
Q3 - 6:06MIAAndersen 1' Tip Shot (3 PTS)62
2.6%
76
97.4%
Q3 - 6:07MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)62
3.0%
74
97.0%
Q3 - 6:08MIAMISS Battier 4' Jump Shot62
3.4%
74
96.6%
Q3 - 6:30MIAHEAT Rebound62
3.0%
74
97.0%
Q3 - 6:31ORLMISS Harkless 25' 3PT Jump Shot62
3.2%
74
96.8%
Q3 - 6:32ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)62
3.6%
74
96.4%
Q3 - 6:33ORLMISS Harris 20' Jump Shot62
3.2%
74
96.8%
Q3 - 6:55MIAJames 1' Alley Oop Dunk (14 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)62
3.6%
74
96.4%
Q3 - 7:00ORLJames STEAL (3 STL)62
4.1%
72
95.9%
Q3 - 7:17MIABattier 8' Driving Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)62
5.0%
72
95.0%
Q3 - 7:46ORLHarris 1' Alley Oop Dunk (18 PTS) (Nelson 10 AST)62
5.7%
70
94.3%
Q3 - 7:52ORLHarkless REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)60
5.0%
70
95.0%
Q3 - 7:53MIAMISS Andersen 18' Jump Shot60
4.7%
70
95.3%
Q3 - 8:10MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)60
4.3%
70
95.7%
Q3 - 8:11ORLMISS Oladipo 25' 3PT Jump Shot60
4.5%
70
95.5%
Q3 - 8:27MIABattier 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)60
5.0%
70
95.0%
Q3 - 8:45ORLVucevic 1' Dunk (16 PTS) (Harkless 1 AST)60
6.6%
67
93.4%
Q3 - 8:59MIAWade 2' Driving Layup (15 PTS)58
5.8%
67
94.2%
Q3 - 9:13MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)58
6.6%
65
93.4%
Q3 - 9:14ORLMISS Nelson 17' Jump Shot58
6.9%
65
93.1%
Q3 - 9:34ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)58
7.6%
65
92.4%
Q3 - 9:35MIAMISS Chalmers 1' Driving Layup58
7.3%
65
92.7%
Q3 - 9:56ORLHarris Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)58
6.6%
65
93.4%
Q3 - 9:56ORLHarris Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)57
6.4%
65
93.6%
Q3 - 10:04MIAJames 1' Layup (12 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)56
5.7%
65
94.3%
Q3 - 10:07MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)56
6.5%
63
93.5%
Q3 - 10:08ORLMISS Harkless 17' Jump Shot56
6.7%
63
93.3%
Q3 - 10:27ORLHarkless REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)56
7.4%
63
92.6%
Q3 - 10:28MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot56
7.1%
63
92.9%
Q3 - 10:47ORLVucevic 1' Layup (14 PTS) (Nelson 9 AST)56
6.5%
63
93.5%
Q3 - 10:57ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)54
5.7%
63
94.3%
Q3 - 10:58MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot54
5.4%
63
94.6%
Q3 - 11:02MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)54
5.0%
63
95.0%
Q3 - 11:03ORLMISS Nelson 24' 3PT Jump Shot54
5.2%
63
94.8%
Q3 - 11:19MIABosh 1' Layup (17 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)54
5.7%
63
94.3%
Q3 - 11:38MIABattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)54
6.5%
61
93.5%
Q3 - 11:39ORLMISS Harkless Free Throw 2 of 254
6.6%
61
93.4%
Q3 - 11:39ORLHarkless Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)54
7.0%
61
93.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORL53
6.5%
61
93.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORLMagic Rebound53
6.5%
61
93.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORLMISS Nelson 24' 3PT Jump Shot53
5.9%
61
94.1%
Q2 - 0:05.0ORLO'Quinn REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)53
6.6%
61
93.4%
Q2 - 0:06.0MIAMISS James Free Throw 2 of 253
6.5%
61
93.5%
Q2 - 0:06.0MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)53
6.0%
61
94.0%
Q2 - 0:09.0ORLJames STEAL (2 STL)53
6.8%
60
93.2%
Q2 - 0:29.0MIAWade 12' Jump Shot (13 PTS)53
7.5%
60
92.5%
Q2 - 0:45.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)53
8.7%
58
91.3%
Q2 - 0:46.0ORLMISS Moore Free Throw 2 of 253
8.8%
58
91.2%
Q2 - 0:46.0ORLMoore Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)53
9.5%
58
90.5%
Q2 - 0:49.0ORLO'Quinn REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)52
8.4%
58
91.6%
Q2 - 0:50.0MIAMISS Wade 11' Fadeaway Jumper52
8.2%
58
91.8%
Q2 - 1:00ORLO'Quinn Dunk (6 PTS) (Nelson 8 AST)52
7.7%
58
92.3%
Q2 - 1:06MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)50
6.7%
58
93.3%
Q2 - 1:13ORLHarris Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)50
6.2%
58
93.8%
Q2 - 1:13ORLHarris Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)49
6.1%
58
93.9%
Q2 - 1:32MIAOden Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)48
5.3%
58
94.7%
Q2 - 1:32MIAOden Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)48
5.5%
57
94.5%
Q2 - 1:45MIAOden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)48
6.2%
56
93.8%
Q2 - 1:46ORLMISS Harkless 1' Layup48
6.4%
56
93.6%
Q2 - 2:11ORLHarkless REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)48
6.9%
56
93.1%
Q2 - 2:12MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot48
6.7%
56
93.3%
Q2 - 2:38ORLNelson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)48
6.2%
56
93.8%
Q2 - 2:55MIAOden 1' Alley Oop Dunk (6 PTS) (James 6 AST)45
4.9%
56
95.1%
Q2 - 3:06MIAHEAT Rebound45
5.4%
54
94.6%
Q2 - 3:07ORLBosh BLOCK (1 BLK)45
5.7%
54
94.3%
Q2 - 3:22ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)45
6.2%
54
93.8%
Q2 - 3:24MIAMISS Oden Free Throw 1 of 145
6.1%
54
93.9%
Q2 - 3:42MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)45
6.8%
52
93.2%
Q2 - 3:43MIAMISS Cole 25' 3PT Jump Shot45
7.5%
52
92.5%
Q2 - 4:08ORLVucevic 17' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Nelson 7 AST)45
6.9%
52
93.1%
Q2 - 4:28MIACole 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Oden 1 AST)43
6.2%
52
93.8%
Q2 - 4:38MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)43
7.7%
49
92.3%
Q2 - 4:39ORLMISS Harris 3PT Jump Shot43
8.0%
49
92.0%
Q2 - 5:02MIACole 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)43
8.6%
49
91.4%
Q2 - 5:19ORLHarris Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)43
9.6%
47
90.4%
Q2 - 5:19ORLHarris Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)42
9.4%
47
90.6%
Q2 - 5:38MIAOden 9' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)41
8.6%
47
91.4%
Q2 - 6:02ORLVucevic 1' Layup (10 PTS)41
9.5%
45
90.5%
Q2 - 6:03ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)39
8.8%
45
91.2%
Q2 - 6:04ORLMISS Vucevic 9' Jump Shot39
8.1%
45
91.9%
Q2 - 6:21MIABosh 1' Reverse Layup (15 PTS) (James 5 AST)39
8.8%
45
91.2%
Q2 - 6:24MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)39
9.5%
43
90.5%
Q2 - 6:25MIAMISS Bosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot39
10.3%
43
89.7%
Q2 - 6:34MIAOden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)39
9.5%
43
90.5%
Q2 - 6:35ORLMISS Vucevic 2' Driving Layup39
9.8%
43
90.2%
Q2 - 6:47MIAWade 8' Step Back Jump Shot (11 PTS) (James 4 AST)39
10.7%
43
89.3%
Q2 - 7:01ORLOladipo Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)39
11.5%
41
88.5%
Q2 - 7:01ORLOladipo Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)38
11.3%
41
88.7%
Q2 - 7:13MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)37
10.6%
41
89.4%
Q2 - 7:13MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)37
10.7%
40
89.3%
Q2 - 7:37MIAOden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)37
11.5%
39
88.5%
Q2 - 7:38ORLMISS Nicholson 7' Jump Shot37
11.9%
39
88.1%
Q2 - 8:00MIAAllen Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)37
12.8%
39
87.2%
Q2 - 8:24ORLVucevic Tip Shot (8 PTS)37
11.4%
39
88.6%
Q2 - 8:26ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)35
10.5%
39
89.5%
Q2 - 8:28ORLMISS Lamb 4' Jump Shot35
9.8%
39
90.2%
Q2 - 8:47ORLO'Quinn REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)35
10.5%
39
89.5%
Q2 - 8:48MIAMISS Cole 2' Layup35
10.2%
39
89.8%
Q2 - 9:12ORLO'Quinn 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Oladipo 1 AST)35
9.3%
39
90.7%
Q2 - 9:21MIABeasley Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)33
8.6%
39
91.4%
Q2 - 9:24MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)33
7.8%
39
92.2%
Q2 - 9:25MIAMISS Allen 24' 3PT Jump Shot33
8.3%
39
91.7%
Q2 - 9:35MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
7.8%
39
92.2%
Q2 - 9:36ORLMISS O'Quinn 1' Layup33
8.0%
39
92.0%
Q2 - 9:37ORLO'Quinn REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)33
8.6%
39
91.4%
Q2 - 9:38ORLMISS O'Quinn 2' Tip Shot33
8.0%
39
92.0%
Q2 - 9:39ORLO'Quinn REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)33
8.6%
39
91.4%
Q2 - 9:40ORLMISS Lamb 24' 3PT Jump Shot33
8.0%
39
92.0%
Q2 - 9:59MIAWade 17' Jump Shot (9 PTS)33
8.6%
39
91.4%
Q2 - 10:11MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
9.4%
37
90.6%
Q2 - 10:12ORLBeasley BLOCK (1 BLK)33
9.7%
37
90.3%
Q2 - 10:33MIAWade 2' Layup (7 PTS)33
10.5%
37
89.5%
Q2 - 10:37ORLWade STEAL (1 STL)33
11.3%
35
88.8%
Q2 - 10:46MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)33
12.5%
35
87.5%
Q2 - 10:46MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)33
12.7%
34
87.3%
Q2 - 10:47MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)33
13.4%
33
86.6%
Q2 - 10:48MIAMISS Wade 2' Layup33
14.3%
33
85.7%
Q2 - 11:04ORLOladipo Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)33
13.5%
33
86.5%
Q2 - 11:04ORLMISS Oladipo Free Throw 1 of 232
13.3%
33
86.7%
Q2 - 11:18MIAAndersen Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)32
13.5%
33
86.5%
Q2 - 11:18MIAMISS Andersen Free Throw 1 of 232
13.9%
32
86.1%
Q2 - 11:34ORLO'Quinn 3' Tip Shot (2 PTS)32
13.5%
32
86.5%
Q2 - 11:36ORLO'Quinn REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)30
12.5%
32
87.5%
Q2 - 11:37ORLMISS Moore 5' Floating Jump Shot30
11.7%
32
88.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORL30
12.5%
32
87.5%
Q1 - 0:09.0ORLO'Quinn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
12.3%
32
87.7%
Q1 - 0:10.0MIAMISS Beasley 24' 3PT Jump Shot30
12.1%
32
87.9%
Q1 - 0:30.0ORLMoore 2' Layup (5 PTS)30
11.6%
32
88.4%
Q1 - 0:33.0MIABeasley Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)28
10.4%
32
89.6%
Q1 - 0:47.0ORLHarris 1' Layup (10 PTS) (Nelson 6 AST)28
9.8%
32
90.2%
Q1 - 1:00MIABeasley 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 3 AST)26
8.8%
32
91.2%
Q1 - 1:17ORLHarris Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)26
9.7%
30
90.3%
Q1 - 1:31MIAJames 1' Dunk (9 PTS)23
8.0%
30
92.0%
Q1 - 1:36ORLJames STEAL (1 STL)23
8.9%
28
91.1%
Q1 - 1:49ORLHarris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)23
9.5%
28
90.5%
Q1 - 1:50MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot23
9.3%
28
90.7%
Q1 - 2:14MIAHEAT Rebound23
8.9%
28
91.1%
Q1 - 2:15ORLMISS Harkless 3' Running Hook Shot23
9.1%
28
90.9%
Q1 - 2:38MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)23
9.6%
28
90.4%
Q1 - 2:42ORLChalmers STEAL (2 STL)23
11.4%
25
88.6%
Q1 - 2:44ORLHarris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)23
12.2%
25
87.8%
Q1 - 2:45MIAMISS James 13' Fadeaway Jumper23
12.0%
25
88.0%
Q1 - 3:11ORLMoore 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Nelson 5 AST)23
11.1%
25
88.9%
Q1 - 3:27MIABosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)20
9.6%
25
90.4%
Q1 - 3:34ORLBattier STEAL (1 STL)20
11.1%
22
88.9%
Q1 - 3:53MIAChalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)20
12.1%
22
87.9%
Q1 - 4:12ORLHarkless 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Nelson 4 AST)20
13.7%
19
86.3%
Q1 - 4:26MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)17
11.9%
19
88.1%
Q1 - 4:37ORLOladipo 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)17
13.7%
16
86.3%
Q1 - 4:57MIAAllen 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)15
12.8%
16
87.2%
Q1 - 5:06MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)15
13.6%
14
86.4%
Q1 - 5:07ORLMISS O'Quinn 17' Jump Shot15
13.9%
14
86.1%
Q1 - 5:20MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)15
14.7%
14
85.3%
Q1 - 5:20MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)15
14.9%
13
85.1%
Q1 - 5:20MIAHEAT Rebound15
15.7%
12
84.3%
Q1 - 5:21ORLMISS Oladipo 18' Jump Shot15
16.0%
12
84.0%
Q1 - 5:36MIAWade Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P2.T6)15
16.9%
12
83.1%
Q1 - 5:50ORLVucevic 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Nelson 3 AST)15
15.7%
12
84.3%
Q1 - 6:10MIAChalmers Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T5)13
14.3%
12
85.7%
Q1 - 6:16ORLVucevic 1' Tip Shot (4 PTS)13
13.3%
12
86.7%
Q1 - 6:17ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)11
12.5%
12
87.5%
Q1 - 6:18ORLMISS Harris 5' Jump Shot11
11.8%
12
88.2%
Q1 - 6:34MIAChalmers Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4)11
12.5%
12
87.5%
Q1 - 6:50MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)11
11.6%
12
88.4%
Q1 - 6:51ORLMISS Harkless Free Throw 1 of 111
11.7%
12
88.3%
Q1 - 6:53MIABosh Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)9
10.9%
12
89.1%
Q1 - 6:55MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
10.1%
12
89.9%
Q1 - 6:56ORLMISS Vucevic 21' Jump Shot9
10.3%
12
89.7%
Q1 - 7:12MIAWade Player Out of Bounds Violation Turnover (P1.T2)9
10.7%
12
89.3%
Q1 - 7:19MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
9.9%
12
90.1%
Q1 - 7:20ORLMISS Harris 8' Jump Shot9
10.2%
12
89.8%
Q1 - 7:41MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)9
10.7%
12
89.3%
Q1 - 7:41MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)9
10.8%
11
89.2%
Q1 - 7:50ORLHarris 12' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Nelson 2 AST)9
11.4%
10
88.6%
Q1 - 8:12MIAJames 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS)7
10.5%
10
89.5%
Q1 - 8:16MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
11.2%
8
88.8%
Q1 - 8:17ORLMISS Oladipo 26' 3PT Jump Shot7
11.4%
8
88.6%
Q1 - 8:44MIABosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Battier 1 AST)7
12.0%
8
88.0%
Q1 - 9:09ORLVucevic 1' Tip Shot (2 PTS)7
13.4%
5
86.6%
Q1 - 9:10ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)5
12.7%
5
87.3%
Q1 - 9:11ORLMISS Harris Layup5
12.1%
5
87.9%
Q1 - 9:12ORLHarris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)5
12.7%
5
87.3%
Q1 - 9:13ORLMISS Nelson 22' Jump Shot5
12.1%
5
87.9%
Q1 - 9:39MIAWade 1' Dunk (3 PTS) (James 1 AST)5
12.7%
5
87.3%
Q1 - 9:43ORLChalmers STEAL (1 STL)5
13.4%
3
86.6%
Q1 - 9:48ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
14.3%
3
85.7%
Q1 - 9:49MIAMISS Battier 24' 3PT Jump Shot5
14.0%
3
86.0%
Q1 - 10:00MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
13.4%
3
86.6%
Q1 - 10:01ORLMISS Nelson 24' 3PT Jump Shot5
13.5%
3
86.5%
Q1 - 10:09ORLMagic Rebound5
14.1%
3
85.9%
Q1 - 10:10ORLMISS Oladipo 17' Jump Shot5
13.5%
3
86.5%
Q1 - 10:16MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)5
14.1%
3
85.9%
Q1 - 10:22ORLHarkless Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)5
13.2%
3
86.8%
Q1 - 10:32ORLHarkless REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
14.1%
3
85.9%
Q1 - 10:33MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 25
14.0%
3
86.0%
Q1 - 10:33MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)5
13.5%
3
86.5%
Q1 - 10:45ORLHarkless 1' Layup (2 PTS)5
14.1%
2
85.9%
Q1 - 10:54ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
13.3%
2
86.7%
Q1 - 10:55MIAMISS Bosh 3' Layup3
13.1%
2
86.9%
Q1 - 11:04MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)3
12.3%
2
87.7%
Q1 - 11:05MIAMISS Bosh 1' Driving Dunk3
12.8%
2
87.2%
Q1 - 11:18ORLHarris 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Nelson 1 AST)3
12.3%
2
87.7%
Q1 - 11:36MIAJames 1' Reverse Layup (2 PTS)0
10.9%
2
89.1%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Bosh vs. Vucevic: Tip to James0
11.6%
0
88.4%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
0.98 49.0%
MIA
1.32 65.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ORL
21
35
60%
MIA
21
30
70%
Midrange
ORL
11
30
37%
MIA
16
28
57%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ORL
4
6.0
18
22%
33%
MIA
6
9.0
16
38%
56%
Free Throws
ORL
22
29
76%
MIA
20
24
83%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Harris2071%10.0 / 14
N. Vučević1864%9.0 / 14
M. Harkless1458%7.0 / 12
K. O'Quinn1464%7.0 / 11
V. Oladipo1045%5.0 / 11
E. Moore1063%5.0 / 8
A. Nicholson429%2.0 / 7
J. Nelson319%1.5 / 8
D. Dedmon375%1.5 / 2
A. Thomas250%1.0 / 2
D. Lamb0-0.0 / 6
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2475%12.0 / 16
L. James2071%10.0 / 14
C. Bosh1785%8.5 / 10
N. Cole945%4.5 / 10
M. Beasley850%4.0 / 8
G. Oden8100%4.0 / 4
M. Chalmers788%3.5 / 4
R. Allen750%3.5 / 7
S. Battier563%2.5 / 4
C. Andersen563%2.5 / 4
U. Haslem2100%1.0 / 1
T. Douglas0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ORL
82
+18
-12
100
MIA
76
+9
-17
85
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
0.98 49.0%
MIA
1.32 65.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
101.9
110.7
ORL 104.3
MIA 120.4 +16.2
Pace
93.4
91.5
ORL 97.5 +7.8
MIA 89.8
Avg. Poss. Time
15.3
15.8
ORL 14.8 +1.3
MIA 16.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.7%
55.4%
ORL 45.8%
MIA 62.2% +16.4%
TO %
15.0%
15.4%
ORL 12.0% +4.7%
MIA 16.7%
ORB %
22.5%
20.6%
ORL 33.3% +6.0%
MIA 27.3%
FTrt
25.3
30.0
ORL 34.9 +2.5
MIA 32.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.1%
58.8%
ORL 50.0% +3.5%
MIA 46.5%
STL %
8.1%
9.7%
ORL 9.6% +1.0%
MIA 8.6%
BLK %
6.9%
8.1%
ORL 1.7%
MIA 9.2% +7.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.51 and 2.51.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.0%
57.5%
ORL 49.0%
MIA 65.9% +16.9%
Rim FG%
55.8%
66.7%
ORL 60.0%
MIA 70.0% +10.0%
Mid FG%
40.7%
42.8%
ORL 36.7%
MIA 57.1% +20.4%
3P %
35.3%
36.4%
ORL 22.2%
MIA 37.5% +15.3%
FT %
76.3%
76.0%
ORL 75.9%
MIA 83.3% +7.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.8%
38.3%
ORL 42.2% +1.6%
MIA 40.5%
Mid Att. %
42.7%
32.5%
ORL 36.1% +1.7%
MIA 37.8%
3P Att. %
23.5%
29.2%
ORL 21.7% +0.1%
MIA 21.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.71 and 2.71.
Game TotalsORLMIA
Possessions9493
Possession Minutes23.124.9
Points98112
Rebounds3939
Assists1820
Steals98
Blocks16
Turnovers (Team)12 (1)17 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)15 (3)9 (0)
Def. Rebounds (Team)24 (1)30 (4)
Field Goals36-8343-74
At-the-Rim FG21-3521-30
Midrange FG11-3016-28
2-Point FG32-6537-58
3-Point FG4-186-16
Free Throws22-2920-24
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 220 · 21
33.5
14
58%
4
1
3
0
3
0
0
4
3-5
60%
4-8
50%
1-3
33%
G · 6'0" 190 · 32
30.9
3
19%
1
11
1
0
2
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
0%
1-6
17%
F · 6'8" 226 · 22
28.1
20
71%
3
0
0
0
1
1
1
2
7-7
100%
5-9
56%
1-2
50%
G · 6'4" 210 · 22
26.3
10
45%
0
1
0
0
2
3
0
0
6-10
60%
2-4
50%
0-2
0%
C · 6'10" 260 · 23
22.8
18
64%
10
0
2
0
0
3
6
4
0-0
-
9-14
64%
0-0
-
F-G · 6'4" 191 · 25
33.9
10
63%
0
1
1
0
2
2
0
0
1-2
50%
3-5
60%
1-2
50%
C-F · 6'10" 250 · 24
22.3
14
64%
15
2
2
1
2
4
6
9
2-2
100%
6-10
60%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 250 · 24
19.9
4
29%
2
2
0
0
0
4
1
1
2-2
100%
1-6
17%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 200 · 22
14.5
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-4
0%
0-2
0%
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 21
4.9
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-1
0%
C · 7'0" 245 · 25
2.9
3
75%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
1-1
100%
1-2
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 260 · 31
G · 6'2" 190 · 31
#4 · G · 6'5" 210 · 28
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
98
49%
39
18
9
1
12
0
15
24
22-29
76%
32-65
49%
4-18
22%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.