FinalWin Prob.pScore
2224%97
110
676%107
120
ORTG#PossPace
DET logo DET
108.9101100.1
SAS logo SAS
120.0100102.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

SpursPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SpursPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDETSAS
Q4 - 0:00.0SAS110
0%
120
100%
Q4 - 0:05.0DETSiva 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Datome 1 AST)110
0%
120
100%
Q4 - 0:06.0DETDatome REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)107
0%
120
100%
Q4 - 0:07.0SASMISS Daye 18' Jump Shot107
0%
120
100%
Q4 - 0:24.0SASBonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)107
0.1%
120
99.9%
Q4 - 0:27.0DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 19' Jump Shot107
0.1%
120
99.9%
Q4 - 0:46.0SASJoseph Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)107
0.1%
120
99.9%
Q4 - 0:46.0SASJoseph Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)107
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 0:48.0DETSingler 17' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Stuckey 4 AST)107
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 1:06SASJoseph Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T18)105
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 1:17DETStuckey 8' Running Jump Shot (17 PTS)105
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 1:26SASBaynes Lane Violation Turnover (P1.T17)103
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 1:26SASMISS Daye Free Throw 1 of 2103
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 1:45DETGinobili STEAL (3 STL)103
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 1:59SASLeonard 1' Dunk (15 PTS) (Ginobili 9 AST)103
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 2:03DETSingler 2' Driving Layup (13 PTS) (Bynum 9 AST)103
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 2:25SASGinobili 3' Layup (16 PTS) (Splitter 6 AST)101
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 2:40SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)101
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 2:41DETMISS Stuckey 13' Jump Shot101
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 2:51DETPistons Rebound101
0.2%
114
99.8%
Q4 - 2:51DETSplitter BLOCK (1 BLK)101
0.2%
114
99.8%
Q4 - 3:09SASBelinelli 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Ginobili 8 AST)101
0.2%
114
99.8%
Q4 - 3:29DETStuckey 2' Running Layup (15 PTS)101
0.5%
111
99.5%
Q4 - 3:37SASGinobili 1' Layup (14 PTS) (Belinelli 4 AST)99
0.7%
111
99.3%
Q4 - 3:42DETDiaw STEAL (1 STL)99
1.0%
109
99.0%
Q4 - 4:03SASSplitter 6' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Diaw 4 AST)99
1.4%
109
98.6%
Q4 - 4:17DETDrummond 8' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Bynum 8 AST)99
1.9%
107
98.1%
Q4 - 4:26DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:6 Def:11)97
1.3%
107
98.7%
Q4 - 4:27DETMISS Smith 3' Driving Layup97
1.0%
107
99.0%
Q4 - 4:44SASGinobili Free Throw 3 of 3 (12 PTS)97
1.3%
107
98.7%
Q4 - 4:44SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 3 (11 PTS)97
1.4%
106
98.6%
Q4 - 4:44SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 3 (10 PTS)97
1.5%
105
98.5%
Q4 - 4:50SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)97
2.7%
104
97.3%
Q4 - 4:51SASMISS Splitter 2' Layup97
3.5%
104
96.5%
Q4 - 5:11SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)97
3.6%
104
96.4%
Q4 - 5:11DETMISS Bynum 7' Jump Shot97
4.0%
104
96.0%
Q4 - 5:25DETSingler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)97
5.1%
104
94.9%
Q4 - 5:26SASMISS Diaw 4' Jump Shot97
4.6%
104
95.4%
Q4 - 5:46DETBynum 17' Step Back Jump Shot (18 PTS)97
3.6%
104
96.4%
Q4 - 5:59SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)95
2.6%
104
97.4%
Q4 - 5:59SASSplitter 1' Tip Shot (11 PTS)95
2.6%
104
97.4%
Q4 - 6:01SASMISS Splitter 3' Layup95
5.5%
102
94.5%
Q4 - 6:16DETBynum 3' Layup (16 PTS)95
4.3%
102
95.7%
Q4 - 6:31SASDiaw 3' Layup (12 PTS) (Ginobili 7 AST)93
3.4%
102
96.6%
Q4 - 6:48DETDrummond Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)93
4.3%
100
95.7%
Q4 - 6:48DETDrummond Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)92
3.7%
100
96.3%
Q4 - 7:13SASSplitter 1' Layup (9 PTS) (Diaw 3 AST)91
3.9%
100
96.1%
Q4 - 7:30DETBynum 18' Jump Shot (14 PTS)91
5.0%
98
95.0%
Q4 - 7:39DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:5 Def:11)89
3.9%
98
96.1%
Q4 - 7:40SASMISS Green 18' Jump Shot89
3.6%
98
96.4%
Q4 - 8:00DETBynum 3' Jump Shot (12 PTS)89
2.9%
98
97.1%
Q4 - 8:18SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)87
2.8%
98
97.2%
Q4 - 8:18SASSplitter 1' Tip Shot (7 PTS)87
2.8%
98
97.2%
Q4 - 8:19SASMISS Diaw 2' Layup87
4.2%
96
95.8%
Q4 - 8:36SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)87
3.5%
96
96.5%
Q4 - 8:36DETMISS Smith 8' Jump Shot87
3.8%
96
96.2%
Q4 - 8:53SASDiaw 3' Layup (10 PTS) (Splitter 5 AST)87
4.5%
96
95.5%
Q4 - 9:07DETSmith 1' Layup (24 PTS) (Stuckey 3 AST)87
6.4%
94
93.6%
Q4 - 9:15DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:5 Def:10)85
5.1%
94
94.9%
Q4 - 9:16SASMISS Mills 21' Jump Shot85
4.8%
94
95.2%
Q4 - 9:33SASSPURS Rebound85
4.1%
94
95.9%
Q4 - 9:34DETMISS Smith 26' 3PT Jump Shot85
4.4%
94
95.6%
Q4 - 9:52DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:5 Def:9)85
5.1%
94
94.9%
Q4 - 9:53SASMISS Green 25' 3PT Jump Shot85
4.8%
94
95.2%
Q4 - 10:00DETAyres STEAL (1 STL)85
4.1%
94
95.9%
Q4 - 10:06DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:5 Def:8)85
5.6%
94
94.4%
Q4 - 10:07SASMISS Mills 25' 3PT Jump Shot85
5.2%
94
94.8%
Q4 - 10:16DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7)85
4.5%
94
95.5%
Q4 - 10:16DETDrummond 1' Tip Shot (12 PTS)85
4.5%
94
95.5%
Q4 - 10:18DETMISS Smith 5' Jump Shot83
3.1%
94
96.9%
Q4 - 10:26DETPistons Rebound83
3.6%
94
96.4%
Q4 - 10:26DETBelinelli BLOCK (1 BLK)83
3.1%
94
96.9%
Q4 - 10:43SASMills 4' Driving Finger Roll Layup (11 PTS) (Green 2 AST)83
3.6%
94
96.4%
Q4 - 10:55DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)83
4.5%
92
95.5%
Q4 - 10:55DETDrummond 1' Tip Shot (10 PTS)83
4.5%
92
95.5%
Q4 - 10:56DETMISS Bynum 7' Jump Shot81
3.1%
92
96.9%
Q4 - 11:13SASDiaw 3' Reverse Layup (8 PTS) (Belinelli 3 AST)81
4.0%
92
96.0%
Q4 - 11:24DETPistons Turnover: Shot Clock (T#12)81
4.9%
90
95.1%
Q4 - 11:24DETSingler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)81
6.1%
90
93.9%
Q4 - 11:25DETMISS Bynum 16' Jump Shot81
5.2%
90
94.8%
Q4 - 11:47DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)81
6.0%
90
94.0%
Q4 - 11:48SASMISS Diaw 3PT Jump Shot81
5.7%
90
94.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0DET81
4.9%
90
95.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0DETSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)81
6.0%
90
94.0%
Q3 - 0:01.0SASMISS Belinelli 22' Jump Shot81
6.1%
90
93.9%
Q3 - 0:10.0DETStuckey Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)81
5.3%
90
94.7%
Q3 - 0:10.0DETStuckey Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)80
5.2%
90
94.8%
Q3 - 0:29.0SASBelinelli Traveling Turnover (P2.T16)79
4.3%
90
95.7%
Q3 - 0:37.0SASGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)79
3.6%
90
96.4%
Q3 - 0:38.0DETMISS Stuckey 17' Jump Shot79
3.8%
90
96.2%
Q3 - 0:51.0SASLeonard Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)79
4.3%
90
95.7%
Q3 - 0:51.0SASLeonard Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)79
4.5%
89
95.5%
Q3 - 1:04DETStuckey Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)79
5.6%
88
94.4%
Q3 - 1:04DETStuckey Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)78
5.5%
88
94.5%
Q3 - 1:11DETPistons Rebound77
4.6%
88
95.4%
Q3 - 1:12DETGreen BLOCK (1 BLK)77
4.1%
88
95.9%
Q3 - 1:25SASGreen 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Diaw 2 AST)77
4.6%
88
95.4%
Q3 - 1:34DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)77
5.6%
86
94.4%
Q3 - 1:34DETMonroe 1' Tip Shot (12 PTS)77
5.6%
86
94.4%
Q3 - 1:35DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 8' Jump Shot75
4.1%
86
95.9%
Q3 - 1:51SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)75
4.6%
86
95.4%
Q3 - 1:58SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)75
6.7%
83
93.3%
Q3 - 1:59DETMISS Smith 9' Step Back Jump Shot75
7.1%
83
92.9%
Q3 - 2:20SASBelinelli 1' Reverse Layup (17 PTS) (Diaw 1 AST)75
8.4%
83
91.6%
Q3 - 2:38SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)75
9.8%
81
90.2%
Q3 - 2:39DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 26' 3PT Jump Shot75
10.4%
81
89.6%
Q3 - 2:59DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)75
11.7%
81
88.3%
Q3 - 3:00SASMISS Ginobili 26' 3PT Jump Bank Shot75
11.1%
81
88.9%
Q3 - 3:14DETBynum Foul Turnover (P4.T11)75
10.1%
81
89.9%
Q3 - 3:18DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)75
12.0%
81
88.0%
Q3 - 3:19SASMISS Leonard 24' 3PT Jump Shot75
11.4%
81
88.6%
Q3 - 3:33DETMonroe 2' Layup (10 PTS)75
10.1%
81
89.9%
Q3 - 3:52SASGinobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS)73
8.7%
81
91.3%
Q3 - 4:10DETMonroe Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)73
11.9%
78
88.1%
Q3 - 4:10DETMonroe Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)72
11.4%
78
88.6%
Q3 - 4:23SASBelinelli Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)71
10.5%
78
89.5%
Q3 - 4:27SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)71
13.8%
75
86.2%
Q3 - 4:28DETMISS Bynum 8' Jump Shot71
14.6%
75
85.4%
Q3 - 4:46SASGinobili 4' Running Finger Roll Layup (6 PTS) (Splitter 4 AST)71
16.5%
75
83.5%
Q3 - 4:56SASBelinelli REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)71
18.4%
73
81.6%
Q3 - 4:57DETMISS Monroe 20' Jump Shot71
19.4%
73
80.6%
Q3 - 5:23SASGinobili 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Splitter 3 AST)71
21.5%
73
78.5%
Q3 - 5:34DETDrummond 2' Alley Oop Layup (8 PTS) (Bynum 7 AST)71
24.0%
71
76.0%
Q3 - 5:40DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)69
21.5%
71
78.5%
Q3 - 5:40DETGinobili BLOCK (1 BLK)69
19.4%
71
80.6%
Q3 - 6:04SASBelinelli 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Ginobili 5 AST)69
21.1%
71
78.9%
Q3 - 6:13DETDuncan STEAL (2 STL)69
26.6%
68
73.4%
Q3 - 6:23SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T15)69
30.2%
68
69.8%
Q3 - 6:38DETDrummond 1' Alley Oop Dunk (6 PTS) (Bynum 6 AST)69
26.6%
68
73.4%
Q3 - 6:43DETBynum REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)67
23.9%
68
76.1%
Q3 - 6:44SASMISS Duncan 18' Jump Shot67
23.0%
68
77.0%
Q3 - 7:01DETPistons Turnover: Shot Clock (T#9)67
20.6%
68
79.4%
Q3 - 7:28SASGreen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)67
23.5%
68
76.5%
Q3 - 7:34DETGinobili STEAL (2 STL)67
29.2%
65
70.8%
Q3 - 7:40SASGinobili 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)67
32.8%
65
67.2%
Q3 - 7:48DETSmith 1' Layup (22 PTS) (Singler 1 AST)67
36.0%
63
64.0%
Q3 - 8:01SASLeonard Traveling Turnover (P2.T14)65
32.3%
63
67.7%
Q3 - 8:10DETBynum 1' Layup (10 PTS)65
28.6%
63
71.4%
Q3 - 8:15SASDuncan Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T13)63
26.1%
63
73.9%
Q3 - 8:26DETMonroe 7' Jump Shot (6 PTS)63
22.9%
63
77.1%
Q3 - 8:48SASSplitter 2' Dunk (5 PTS) (Ginobili 4 AST)61
20.7%
63
79.3%
Q3 - 8:53SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)61
22.9%
61
77.1%
Q3 - 8:54DETMISS Bynum 22' Jump Shot61
23.8%
61
76.2%
Q3 - 9:07SASLeonard Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T12)61
25.3%
61
74.7%
Q3 - 9:19SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)61
22.6%
61
77.4%
Q3 - 9:20DETMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 261
23.0%
61
77.0%
Q3 - 9:20DETMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 261
24.3%
61
75.7%
Q3 - 9:26DETSingler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)61
25.4%
61
74.6%
Q3 - 9:28SASMISS Duncan 2' Layup61
24.5%
61
75.5%
Q3 - 9:38DETDrummond 4' Alley Oop Layup (4 PTS) (Bynum 5 AST)61
22.6%
61
77.4%
Q3 - 9:59SASDuncan 1' Running Dunk (10 PTS) (Leonard 3 AST)59
20.3%
61
79.7%
Q3 - 10:03DETLeonard STEAL (2 STL)59
22.0%
59
78.0%
Q3 - 10:21DETPistons Rebound59
24.6%
59
75.4%
Q3 - 10:21DETMISS Monroe 12' Jump Shot59
22.8%
59
77.2%
Q3 - 10:32SASLeonard Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)59
24.7%
59
75.3%
Q3 - 10:32SASLeonard Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)59
25.2%
58
74.8%
Q3 - 10:49DETBynum 2' Reverse Layup (8 PTS) (Drummond 2 AST)59
27.4%
57
72.6%
Q3 - 10:57DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)57
24.7%
57
75.3%
Q3 - 10:58SASMISS Duncan 10' Jump Shot57
23.9%
57
76.1%
Q3 - 11:14DETBynum 6' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS)57
21.6%
57
78.4%
Q3 - 11:21DETSingler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)55
19.5%
57
80.5%
Q3 - 11:22SASMISS Splitter 1' Layup55
18.8%
57
81.2%
Q3 - 11:42DETBynum 5' Jump Shot (4 PTS)55
17.3%
57
82.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0DET53
15.5%
57
84.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0DETPistons Rebound53
15.5%
57
84.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0DETMISS Stuckey 47' 3PT Running Jump Shot53
14.2%
57
85.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0DETStuckey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)53
15.5%
57
84.5%
Q2 - 0:01.0SASMISS Ginobili 2' Layup53
15.1%
57
84.9%
Q2 - 0:17.0SASSPURS Rebound53
14.2%
57
85.8%
Q2 - 0:18.0DETMISS Jennings 27' 3PT Jump Shot53
14.6%
57
85.4%
Q2 - 0:36.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)53
15.4%
57
84.6%
Q2 - 0:36.0SASDuncan 1' Putback Layup (8 PTS)53
15.4%
57
84.6%
Q2 - 0:37.0SASMISS Mills 26' 3PT Jump Shot53
18.7%
55
81.3%
Q2 - 0:43.0SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)53
17.7%
55
82.3%
Q2 - 0:45.0DETMISS Drummond 2' Tip Shot53
18.1%
55
81.9%
Q2 - 0:45.0DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)53
19.2%
55
80.8%
Q2 - 0:46.0DETMISS Monroe 6' Running Jump Shot53
18.1%
55
81.9%
Q2 - 1:14SASDuncan 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Leonard 2 AST)53
19.2%
55
80.8%
Q2 - 1:31SASSPURS Rebound53
22.0%
53
78.0%
Q2 - 1:32DETLeonard BLOCK (2 BLK)53
22.4%
53
77.6%
Q2 - 1:49SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)53
23.5%
53
76.5%
Q2 - 1:49SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)53
24.0%
52
76.0%
Q2 - 2:02SASMills REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)53
25.8%
51
74.2%
Q2 - 2:03DETMISS Monroe 2' Running Layup53
26.5%
51
73.5%
Q2 - 2:21SASSplitter 1' Dunk (3 PTS) (Ginobili 3 AST)53
28.3%
51
71.7%
Q2 - 2:27DETGinobili STEAL (1 STL)53
30.9%
49
69.1%
Q2 - 2:58SASLeonard 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (9 PTS)53
33.6%
49
66.4%
Q2 - 3:09SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)53
35.1%
47
64.9%
Q2 - 3:10DETMISS Drummond 4' Jump Shot53
36.1%
47
63.9%
Q2 - 3:13DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)53
38.4%
47
61.6%
Q2 - 3:15DETMISS Stuckey 17' Jump Shot53
36.1%
47
63.9%
Q2 - 3:20DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)53
38.5%
47
61.5%
Q2 - 3:21SASMISS Duncan 17' Jump Shot53
37.4%
47
62.6%
Q2 - 3:41DETSingler 14' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Stuckey 2 AST)53
35.1%
47
64.9%
Q2 - 4:01SASSplitter Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)51
31.7%
47
68.3%
Q2 - 4:12DETStuckey 2' Layup (9 PTS)51
29.3%
47
70.7%
Q2 - 4:23DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)49
27.0%
47
73.0%
Q2 - 4:24DETMISS Stuckey 20' Jump Shot49
25.4%
47
74.6%
Q2 - 4:29SASDuncan Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T10)49
27.0%
47
73.0%
Q2 - 4:41DETCaldwell-Pope 18' Pullup Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Drummond 1 AST)49
24.7%
47
75.3%
Q2 - 5:11SASMills 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS)47
22.4%
47
77.6%
Q2 - 5:30DETStuckey 11' Jump Shot (7 PTS)47
26.7%
44
73.3%
Q2 - 5:50SASGreen Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)45
24.5%
44
75.5%
Q2 - 6:01SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)45
22.1%
44
77.9%
Q2 - 6:02DETMISS Drummond 9' Jump Hook Shot45
22.9%
44
77.1%
Q2 - 6:16SASMills Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)45
24.5%
44
75.5%
Q2 - 6:19SASMills REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)45
22.2%
44
77.8%
Q2 - 6:20DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 25' 3PT Jump Shot45
22.9%
44
77.1%
Q2 - 6:35DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)45
24.5%
44
75.5%
Q2 - 6:36SASMISS Belinelli 19' Jump Shot45
23.8%
44
76.2%
Q2 - 7:02DETDrummond 1' Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Bynum 4 AST)45
22.0%
44
78.0%
Q2 - 7:16SASDiaw Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)43
20.4%
44
79.6%
Q2 - 7:16SASDiaw Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)43
20.8%
43
79.2%
Q2 - 7:27SASAyres REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)43
22.0%
42
78.0%
Q2 - 7:28DETMISS Bynum 18' Jump Shot43
22.6%
42
77.4%
Q2 - 7:46SASMills 2' Layup (6 PTS) (Belinelli 2 AST)43
24.1%
42
75.9%
Q2 - 8:00DETBynum 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)43
25.9%
40
74.1%
Q2 - 8:08DETStuckey Free Throw Technical (5 PTS)41
23.7%
40
76.3%
Q2 - 8:27SASBelinelli 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Mills 2 AST)40
21.9%
40
78.1%
Q2 - 8:38DETSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)40
25.5%
37
74.5%
Q2 - 8:38DETSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)39
24.8%
37
75.2%
Q2 - 8:48SASDiaw Foul Turnover (P1.T7)38
23.7%
37
76.3%
Q2 - 9:03DETSmith 18' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Bynum 3 AST)38
21.3%
37
78.7%
Q2 - 9:19SASMills 21' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS)36
19.8%
37
80.2%
Q2 - 9:39SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
21.4%
35
78.6%
Q2 - 9:40DETMISS Bynum 11' Running Jump Shot36
21.9%
35
78.1%
Q2 - 9:56SASDiaw 4' Jump Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)36
23.2%
35
76.8%
Q2 - 10:13DETSmith 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Stuckey 1 AST)36
24.8%
33
75.2%
Q2 - 10:30SASBelinelli 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Mills 1 AST)33
21.6%
33
78.4%
Q2 - 10:44DETSmith 9' Running Bank Shot (13 PTS)33
24.8%
30
75.2%
Q2 - 10:50DETSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)31
23.3%
30
76.7%
Q2 - 10:51SASMISS Mills 25' 3PT Jump Shot31
22.7%
30
77.3%
Q2 - 11:08DETCaldwell-Pope 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Smith 5 AST)31
21.4%
30
78.6%
Q2 - 11:31SASMills 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)28
18.4%
30
81.6%
Q2 - 11:43DETStuckey 12' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS)28
19.8%
28
80.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0SAS26
18.4%
28
81.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0SASSPURS Rebound26
16.9%
28
83.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0SASMISS Diaw 46' 3PT Jump Shot26
17.9%
28
82.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0DETBynum Foul Turnover (P1.T5)26
16.9%
28
83.1%
Q1 - 0:11.0DETSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)26
18.1%
28
81.9%
Q1 - 0:12.0SASMISS Mills 8' Driving Jump Shot26
17.8%
28
82.2%
Q1 - 0:27.0DETSmith 21' Pullup Jump Shot (11 PTS)26
17.1%
28
82.9%
Q1 - 0:33.0DETSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)24
15.5%
28
84.5%
Q1 - 0:34.0SASMISS Diaw 2' Layup24
15.2%
28
84.8%
Q1 - 0:45.0DETStuckey 2' Alley Oop Layup (2 PTS) (Smith 4 AST)24
14.6%
28
85.4%
Q1 - 0:56.0SASBelinelli Free Throw 3 of 3 (3 PTS)22
13.2%
28
86.8%
Q1 - 0:56.0SASBelinelli Free Throw 2 of 3 (2 PTS)22
13.4%
27
86.6%
Q1 - 0:56.0SASBelinelli Free Throw 1 of 3 (1 PTS)22
13.6%
26
86.4%
Q1 - 1:00SASAyres REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)22
15.8%
25
84.2%
Q1 - 1:01SASMISS Ginobili 3' Running Layup22
16.4%
25
83.6%
Q1 - 1:15DETSmith 2' Layup (9 PTS)22
15.8%
25
84.2%
Q1 - 1:21SASBelinelli Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)20
14.3%
25
85.7%
Q1 - 1:26SASMills REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
13.5%
25
86.5%
Q1 - 1:27DETMISS Stuckey 12' Jump Shot20
13.7%
25
86.3%
Q1 - 1:33SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T5)20
14.3%
25
85.7%
Q1 - 1:49SASAyres REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)20
13.5%
25
86.5%
Q1 - 1:50DETMISS Bynum 20' Jump Shot20
13.7%
25
86.3%
Q1 - 2:06SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)20
14.5%
25
85.5%
Q1 - 2:11SASAyres REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)20
13.5%
25
86.5%
Q1 - 2:12SASMISS Ginobili 12' Step Back Jump Shot20
14.2%
25
85.8%
Q1 - 2:31DETSmith 11' Pullup Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Bynum 2 AST)20
13.5%
25
86.5%
Q1 - 2:46SASAyres 10' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Belinelli 1 AST)18
12.4%
25
87.6%
Q1 - 3:02DETSmith 7' Pullup Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Bynum 1 AST)18
13.3%
23
86.7%
Q1 - 3:12SASJoseph Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)16
12.4%
23
87.6%
Q1 - 3:12SASJoseph Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)16
12.6%
22
87.4%
Q1 - 3:17SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)16
13.3%
21
86.7%
Q1 - 3:18DETMISS Smith 20' Jump Shot16
13.7%
21
86.3%
Q1 - 3:38SASDiaw 1' Alley Oop Layup (2 PTS) (Splitter 2 AST)16
14.5%
21
85.5%
Q1 - 3:55DETSingler 2' Layup (9 PTS) (Smith 3 AST)16
15.5%
19
84.5%
Q1 - 4:04DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)14
14.3%
19
85.7%
Q1 - 4:05SASMISS Duncan 8' Turnaround Bank Shot14
14.0%
19
86.0%
Q1 - 4:14SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)14
13.2%
19
86.8%
Q1 - 4:15DETMISS Monroe 5' Jump Shot14
13.5%
19
86.5%
Q1 - 4:34SASJoseph 19' Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS)14
14.3%
19
85.7%
Q1 - 4:50DETSingler 18' Pullup Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Monroe 1 AST)14
15.3%
17
84.7%
Q1 - 5:05SASDuncan 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Splitter 1 AST)12
14.5%
17
85.5%
Q1 - 5:13SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)12
15.4%
15
84.6%
Q1 - 5:14DETMISS Smith 18' Jump Shot12
15.8%
15
84.2%
Q1 - 5:29DETJennings REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
16.6%
15
83.4%
Q1 - 5:30SASMISS Ginobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot12
16.3%
15
83.7%
Q1 - 5:45DETSingler Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)12
15.4%
15
84.6%
Q1 - 5:49SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)12
16.6%
15
83.4%
Q1 - 6:01DETSmith 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Jennings 1 AST)12
15.3%
15
84.7%
Q1 - 6:19SASGreen Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)9
13.5%
15
86.5%
Q1 - 6:23SASJoseph REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
12.5%
15
87.5%
Q1 - 6:25DETDuncan BLOCK (1 BLK)9
12.8%
15
87.2%
Q1 - 6:37SASJoseph Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)9
13.5%
15
86.5%
Q1 - 6:46SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)9
12.5%
15
87.5%
Q1 - 6:49DETMISS Monroe 14' Jump Shot9
12.8%
15
87.2%
Q1 - 6:56SASLeonard 1' Alley Oop Dunk (7 PTS) (Joseph 2 AST)9
13.5%
15
86.5%
Q1 - 7:03DETJoseph STEAL (1 STL)9
14.2%
13
85.8%
Q1 - 7:21SASLeonard 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Joseph 1 AST)9
15.4%
13
84.6%
Q1 - 7:34SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)9
17.3%
10
82.7%
Q1 - 7:44DETMISS Smith 19' Jump Shot9
17.6%
10
82.4%
Q1 - 7:49DETSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
18.6%
10
81.4%
Q1 - 7:50SASMISS Leonard 11' Jump Shot9
18.2%
10
81.8%
Q1 - 8:10DETMonroe Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)9
17.1%
10
82.9%
Q1 - 8:10DETMonroe Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)8
16.8%
10
83.2%
Q1 - 8:21SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)7
16.2%
10
83.8%
Q1 - 8:21SASLeonard 2' Tip Shot (2 PTS)7
16.2%
10
83.8%
Q1 - 8:21SASMISS Splitter Free Throw 2 of 27
18.1%
8
81.9%
Q1 - 8:21SASSplitter Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)7
17.5%
8
82.5%
Q1 - 8:21SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)7
18.2%
7
81.8%
Q1 - 8:23SASMISS Duncan 6' Jump Shot7
19.0%
7
81.0%
Q1 - 8:37SASSPURS Rebound7
18.2%
7
81.8%
Q1 - 8:38DETLeonard BLOCK (1 BLK)7
18.6%
7
81.4%
Q1 - 8:45DETSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
19.4%
7
80.6%
Q1 - 8:47SASMISS Green 2' Layup7
19.1%
7
80.9%
Q1 - 9:01DETMonroe Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)7
18.1%
7
81.9%
Q1 - 9:01DETMonroe Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)6
17.8%
7
82.2%
Q1 - 9:14SASJoseph 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Green 1 AST)5
17.2%
7
82.8%
Q1 - 9:30DETSingler 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)5
18.1%
5
81.9%
Q1 - 9:38DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
16.2%
5
83.8%
Q1 - 9:39SASMISS Leonard 2' Layup2
15.8%
5
84.2%
Q1 - 9:49DETSingler 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)2
15.1%
5
84.9%
Q1 - 9:58DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
14.3%
5
85.7%
Q1 - 9:59SASMISS Duncan 17' Jump Shot0
14.0%
5
86.0%
Q1 - 10:08SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)0
13.5%
5
86.5%
Q1 - 10:09DETMISS Jennings 17' Jump Shot0
13.8%
5
86.2%
Q1 - 10:19SASJoseph Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)0
14.4%
5
85.6%
Q1 - 10:19SASJoseph Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)0
14.6%
4
85.4%
Q1 - 10:24SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
15.2%
3
84.8%
Q1 - 10:25SASMISS Green 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
15.9%
3
84.1%
Q1 - 10:28SASGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
15.2%
3
84.8%
Q1 - 10:29DETMISS Drummond 4' Jump Shot0
15.5%
3
84.5%
Q1 - 10:49SASGreen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Leonard 1 AST)0
16.2%
3
83.8%
Q1 - 10:55DETLeonard STEAL (1 STL)0
18.0%
0
82.0%
Q1 - 11:00DETSingler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
19.2%
0
80.8%
Q1 - 11:01SASMISS Splitter 1' Reverse Layup0
18.5%
0
81.5%
Q1 - 11:13SASSPURS Rebound0
17.9%
0
82.1%
Q1 - 11:14SASMISS Splitter 1' Driving Reverse Layup0
18.5%
0
81.5%
Q1 - 11:26DETDuncan STEAL (1 STL)0
17.9%
0
82.1%
Q1 - 11:47DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
18.8%
0
81.2%
Q1 - 11:48SASMISS Leonard 18' Jump Shot0
18.5%
0
81.5%
Q1 - 12:00SASJump Ball Duncan vs. Drummond: Tip to Joseph0
17.9%
0
82.1%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DET
1.08 53.9%
SAS
1.28 63.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DET
21
33
64%
SAS
26
39
67%
Midrange
DET
19
47
40%
SAS
9
24
38%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DET
5
7.5
10
50%
75%
SAS
9
13.5
19
47%
71%
Free Throws
DET
15
17
88%
SAS
23
25
92%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Smith2457%12.0 / 21
W. Bynum1850%9.0 / 18
R. Stuckey1757%8.5 / 15
A. Drummond1662%8.0 / 13
K. Singler1594%7.5 / 8
G. Monroe1243%6.0 / 14
K. Caldwell-Pope542%2.5 / 6
P. Siva3150%1.5 / 1
B. Jennings0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Belinelli20111%10.0 / 9
M. Ginobili1667%8.0 / 12
K. Leonard1568%7.5 / 11
T. Splitter1354%6.5 / 12
T. Duncan1350%6.5 / 13
B. Diaw1255%6.0 / 11
P. Mills1155%5.5 / 10
C. Joseph10100%5.0 / 5
D. Green857%4.0 / 7
J. Ayres2100%1.0 / 1
A. Daye0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DET
88
+14
-13
102
SAS
82
+11
-18
93
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DET
1.08 53.9%
SAS
1.28 63.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.2
110.3
DET 108.9
SAS 120.0 +11.1
Pace
94.7
95.2
DET 100.1
SAS 102.2 +2.1
Avg. Poss. Time
15.2
15.1
DET 14.4
SAS 14.1 +0.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.2%
53.7%
DET 52.8%
SAS 59.1% +6.3%
TO %
14.7%
14.7%
DET 13.3% +2.9%
SAS 16.2%
ORB %
31.4%
22.8%
DET 24.3%
SAS 24.3%
FTrt
29.6
24.0
DET 18.9
SAS 30.5 +11.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
53.9%
62.1%
DET 53.3%
SAS 77.3% +24.0%
STL %
8.8%
7.7%
DET 9.9%
SAS 10.0% +0.1%
BLK %
8.0%
7.7%
DET 6.3%
SAS 8.8% +2.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.23 and 2.23.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.3%
56.0%
DET 53.9%
SAS 63.8% +9.9%
Rim FG%
57.6%
63.1%
DET 63.6%
SAS 66.7% +3.1%
Mid FG%
35.4%
40.6%
DET 40.4% +2.9%
SAS 37.5%
3P %
32.1%
39.7%
DET 50.0% +2.6%
SAS 47.4%
FT %
67.0%
78.6%
DET 88.2%
SAS 92.0% +3.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
45.0%
36.5%
DET 36.7%
SAS 47.6% +10.9%
Mid Att. %
32.8%
37.8%
DET 52.2%
SAS 29.3% +23.0%
3P Att. %
22.2%
25.7%
DET 11.1%
SAS 23.2% +12.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.89 and 2.89.
Game TotalsDETSAS
Possessions101100
Possession Minutes24.223.5
Points110120
Rebounds3737
Assists2434
Steals1010
Blocks47
Turnovers (Team)13 (2)18 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (5)9 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)28 (0)28 (4)
Field Goals45-9044-82
At-the-Rim FG21-3326-39
Midrange FG19-479-24
2-Point FG40-8035-63
3-Point FG5-109-19
Free Throws15-1723-25
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 225 · 28
42.5
24
57%
6
5
3
1
3
5
0
6
2-4
50%
8-16
50%
2-3
67%
C · 6'11" 279 · 21
40.1
16
62%
17
2
2
2
0
2
6
11
2-2
100%
7-12
58%
0-0
-
G · 6'8" 228 · 26
34.4
15
94%
5
1
1
0
1
3
1
4
0-0
-
6-7
86%
1-1
100%
F · 6'11" 265 · 24
31.3
12
43%
5
1
3
1
0
1
2
3
6-6
100%
3-11
27%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 170 · 24
13.4
0
0%
1
1
0
0
2
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
G · 6'5" 205 · 28
30.8
17
57%
1
4
0
0
3
1
0
1
5-5
100%
6-12
50%
0-1
0%
G · 6'0" 185 · 31
30.6
18
50%
1
9
0
0
4
3
0
1
0-0
-
9-18
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 204 · 21
11.4
5
42%
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
33%
1-3
33%
F · 6'10" 231 · 27
3.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'0" 185 · 23
0.8
3
150%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-1
100%
· 6'8" 216 · 22
0.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 215 · 26
0.8
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'11" 232 · 30
#55 · F-C · 6'10" 275 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#1 · G · 6'3" 210 · 37
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
110
54%
37
24
10
4
13
0
9
28
15-17
88%
40-80
50%
5-10
50%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.