FinalWin Prob.pScore
1730%89
79
470%96
93
ORTG#PossPace
CHI logo CHI
90.88792.3
MIA logo MIA
106.98782.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatBullsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatBullsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventCHIMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA79
0%
93
100%
Q4 - 0:19.0CHIGibson 17' Jump Shot (20 PTS)79
0%
93
100%
Q4 - 0:29.0MIAAllen 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Beasley 2 AST)77
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 0:53.0CHINoah Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)77
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 0:53.0CHINoah Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)76
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 1:02MIAWade 1' Tip Shot (23 PTS)75
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 1:03MIAWade REBOUND (Off:7 Def:3)75
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 1:05MIAMISS Bosh 1' Tip Shot75
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 1:06MIABosh REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)75
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 1:07MIAMISS Allen 24' 3PT Jump Shot75
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 1:29CHIDunleavy 26' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Augustin 5 AST)75
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 1:34MIABosh 1' Layup (28 PTS)72
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 1:35MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)72
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 1:36MIAMISS Allen 11' Jump Shot72
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 1:54CHIDunleavy Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)72
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 1:54CHIMISS Dunleavy Free Throw 1 of 271
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 1:56MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T8)71
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 1:56CHINoah Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)71
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 1:56CHIMISS Noah Free Throw 1 of 270
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 1:59CHINoah REBOUND (Off:5 Def:10)70
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 2:00MIAMISS Wade 1' Driving Layup70
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 2:24CHIGibson Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)70
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 2:24CHIGibson Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)69
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 2:24CHIGibson REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)68
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 2:25CHIMISS Noah 1' Layup68
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 2:43MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (21 PTS)68
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 2:54MIAWade REBOUND (Off:6 Def:3)68
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 2:55CHIMISS Gibson 10' Fadeaway Jumper68
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 3:22MIAChalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS)68
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 3:42CHIAugustin Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)68
0.4%
81
99.6%
Q4 - 3:42CHIAugustin Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)67
0.4%
81
99.6%
Q4 - 3:52CHIGibson REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)66
0.3%
81
99.7%
Q4 - 3:53MIAMISS Bosh 20' Jump Shot66
0.2%
81
99.8%
Q4 - 4:08CHIBulls Turnover: Shot Clock (T#19)66
0.2%
81
99.8%
Q4 - 4:34MIABosh 15' Jump Shot (26 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)66
0.2%
81
99.8%
Q4 - 4:49CHINoah Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T18)66
0.3%
79
99.7%
Q4 - 5:07MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)66
0.9%
79
99.1%
Q4 - 5:07MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)66
0.9%
78
99.1%
Q4 - 5:19MIAHEAT Rebound66
1.2%
77
98.8%
Q4 - 5:20CHIBosh BLOCK (1 BLK)66
1.3%
77
98.7%
Q4 - 5:33MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)66
1.7%
77
98.3%
Q4 - 5:48MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)66
1.2%
77
98.8%
Q4 - 5:49CHIMISS Hinrich 20' Jump Shot66
1.3%
77
98.7%
Q4 - 5:58CHIGibson REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)66
1.7%
77
98.3%
Q4 - 5:59MIAMISS Wade 9' Turnaround Jump Shot66
1.5%
77
98.5%
Q4 - 6:20CHINoah 7' Hook Shot (17 PTS)66
1.6%
77
98.4%
Q4 - 6:46MIAChalmers 1' Layup (9 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)64
1.3%
77
98.7%
Q4 - 7:00CHIGibson 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup (16 PTS)64
1.6%
75
98.4%
Q4 - 7:26CHIHinrich REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)62
1.7%
75
98.3%
Q4 - 7:27MIAMISS Bosh 26' 3PT Jump Shot62
1.5%
75
98.5%
Q4 - 7:51CHIHinrich 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Snell 3 AST)62
1.2%
75
98.8%
Q4 - 7:58CHIHinrich REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)59
0.7%
75
99.3%
Q4 - 7:59MIAMISS Wade 9' Jump Shot59
0.7%
75
99.3%
Q4 - 8:13CHINoah Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)59
0.8%
75
99.2%
Q4 - 8:13CHINoah REBOUND (Off:5 Def:9)56
0.5%
75
99.5%
Q4 - 8:13CHIMISS Gibson 1' Layup56
0.4%
75
99.6%
Q4 - 8:23MIAWade 2' Driving Layup (19 PTS)56
0.5%
75
99.5%
Q4 - 8:24MIAWade REBOUND (Off:6 Def:2)56
0.6%
73
99.4%
Q4 - 8:25MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot56
0.7%
73
99.3%
Q4 - 8:37MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)56
0.6%
73
99.4%
Q4 - 8:38CHIMISS Snell 25' 3PT Jump Shot56
0.6%
73
99.4%
Q4 - 8:51MIAAllen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Beasley 1 AST)56
0.7%
73
99.3%
Q4 - 9:10CHIBulls Turnover: Shot Clock (T#17)56
1.6%
70
98.4%
Q4 - 9:12CHINoah REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)56
2.0%
70
98.0%
Q4 - 9:13CHIAndersen BLOCK (2 BLK)56
1.7%
70
98.3%
Q4 - 9:33CHINoah REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)56
2.0%
70
98.0%
Q4 - 9:34MIAMISS Beasley 16' Jump Shot56
1.9%
70
98.1%
Q4 - 9:48CHIGibson Foul Turnover (P3.T16)56
1.6%
70
98.4%
Q4 - 9:56MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)56
2.0%
70
98.0%
Q4 - 9:56MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)56
2.1%
69
97.9%
Q4 - 9:57MIAWade REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)56
2.5%
68
97.5%
Q4 - 9:58MIAMISS Andersen 2' Layup56
3.0%
68
97.0%
Q4 - 9:59MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)56
2.5%
68
97.5%
Q4 - 10:00MIAMISS Beasley 9' Jump Shot56
3.0%
68
97.0%
Q4 - 10:02MIAWade REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)56
3.0%
68
97.0%
Q4 - 10:04MIAMISS Wade 1' Layup56
3.4%
68
96.6%
Q4 - 10:13CHIGibson Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)56
2.9%
68
97.1%
Q4 - 10:13CHIGibson Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)55
2.8%
68
97.2%
Q4 - 10:33CHINoah REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)54
2.4%
68
97.6%
Q4 - 10:34MIAMISS Allen 18' Jump Shot54
2.2%
68
97.8%
Q4 - 11:00CHIGibson Dunk (12 PTS) (Noah 3 AST)54
1.9%
68
98.1%
Q4 - 11:03CHINoah REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)52
1.8%
68
98.2%
Q4 - 11:04CHIMISS Dunleavy 25' 3PT Jump Shot52
1.6%
68
98.4%
Q4 - 11:19MIABeasley 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Chalmers 9 AST)52
1.8%
68
98.2%
Q4 - 11:35MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)52
2.7%
65
97.3%
Q4 - 11:36CHIMISS Gibson 16' Jump Shot52
2.9%
65
97.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0CHI52
3.3%
65
96.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0CHIBulls Rebound52
3.3%
65
96.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0CHIMISS Augustin 50' 3PT Jump Shot52
2.9%
65
97.1%
Q3 - 0:02.0MIAAndersen Foul Turnover (P2.T6)52
3.7%
65
96.3%
Q3 - 0:09.0MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)52
3.1%
65
96.9%
Q3 - 0:10.0CHIMISS Gibson 9' Turnaround Jump Shot52
3.3%
65
96.7%
Q3 - 0:32.0CHIDunleavy REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)52
3.7%
65
96.3%
Q3 - 0:34.0MIAMISS Andersen Free Throw 2 of 252
3.6%
65
96.4%
Q3 - 0:34.0MIAAndersen Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)52
3.2%
65
96.8%
Q3 - 0:34.0MIAHEAT Rebound52
3.7%
64
96.3%
Q3 - 0:34.0CHIMISS Snell 25' 3PT Jump Shot52
4.0%
64
96.0%
Q3 - 0:49.0MIAAndersen 1' Alley Oop Layup (6 PTS) (Chalmers 8 AST)52
4.5%
64
95.5%
Q3 - 0:59.0CHIBulls Turnover: Shot Clock (T#15)52
5.5%
62
94.5%
Q3 - 1:00CHIBulls Rebound52
6.6%
62
93.4%
Q3 - 1:00CHIChalmers BLOCK (1 BLK)52
5.8%
62
94.2%
Q3 - 1:01CHIBoozer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)52
7.1%
62
92.9%
Q3 - 1:02CHIBeasley BLOCK (1 BLK)52
6.3%
62
93.7%
Q3 - 1:26MIABeasley 8' Driving Bank Shot (2 PTS)52
7.1%
62
92.9%
Q3 - 1:53CHIBoozer 1' Driving Layup (8 PTS)52
8.5%
60
91.5%
Q3 - 2:10MIAAllen 6' Running Bank Shot (4 PTS) (Chalmers 7 AST)50
7.5%
60
92.5%
Q3 - 2:16CHIChalmers STEAL (2 STL)50
8.9%
58
91.1%
Q3 - 2:29MIAAndersen 1' Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Chalmers 6 AST)50
10.6%
58
89.4%
Q3 - 2:45CHIBulls Turnover: Shot Clock (T#13)50
12.4%
56
87.6%
Q3 - 3:13MIABosh 18' Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Andersen 1 AST)50
15.0%
56
85.0%
Q3 - 3:27CHIChalmers STEAL (1 STL)50
17.3%
54
82.7%
Q3 - 3:48MIAAllen 12' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)50
20.2%
54
79.8%
Q3 - 4:00MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)50
23.0%
52
77.0%
Q3 - 4:01CHIMISS Augustin 24' 3PT Jump Shot50
23.9%
52
76.1%
Q3 - 4:12CHINoah REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)50
26.7%
52
73.3%
Q3 - 4:13MIAMISS Battier 26' 3PT Jump Shot50
25.5%
52
74.5%
Q3 - 4:27MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)50
22.8%
52
77.2%
Q3 - 4:28CHIMISS Dunleavy 3PT Jump Shot50
23.9%
52
76.1%
Q3 - 5:01MIABosh 24' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Battier 1 AST)50
26.4%
52
73.6%
Q3 - 5:21CHIBoozer Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)50
32.8%
49
67.2%
Q3 - 5:21CHIBoozer Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)49
32.0%
49
68.0%
Q3 - 5:26MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)48
29.8%
49
70.2%
Q3 - 5:35MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)48
25.9%
49
74.1%
Q3 - 5:36CHIMISS Hinrich 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup48
27.1%
49
72.9%
Q3 - 5:57MIAWade 19' Jump Shot (15 PTS)48
29.8%
49
70.2%
Q3 - 6:07MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)48
32.3%
47
67.7%
Q3 - 6:08CHIMISS Boozer 16' Jump Shot48
33.5%
47
66.5%
Q3 - 6:19CHINoah REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)48
36.3%
47
63.7%
Q3 - 6:20MIAMISS Chalmers Free Throw 2 of 248
35.8%
47
64.2%
Q3 - 6:20MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)48
33.4%
47
66.6%
Q3 - 6:35CHINoah 1' Layup (12 PTS) (Boozer 4 AST)48
35.9%
46
64.1%
Q3 - 6:52MIABosh 16' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)46
32.8%
46
67.2%
Q3 - 7:00MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)46
36.0%
44
64.0%
Q3 - 7:01CHIMISS Augustin 24' 3PT Jump Shot46
36.4%
44
63.6%
Q3 - 7:20MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#4)46
39.2%
44
60.8%
Q3 - 7:42MIAOden REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)46
35.3%
44
64.7%
Q3 - 7:43CHIMISS Noah 9' Running Hook Shot46
36.5%
44
63.5%
Q3 - 7:52CHIBulls Rebound46
39.3%
44
60.7%
Q3 - 7:54CHIMISS Dunleavy 1' Tip Shot46
36.5%
44
63.5%
Q3 - 7:55CHIDunleavy REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)46
39.3%
44
60.7%
Q3 - 7:56CHIMISS Augustin 1' Driving Layup46
36.5%
44
63.5%
Q3 - 8:00MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T3)46
39.3%
44
60.7%
Q3 - 8:09MIAOden REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)46
34.8%
44
65.2%
Q3 - 8:10CHIMISS Dunleavy 24' 3PT Jump Shot46
36.0%
44
64.0%
Q3 - 8:16CHIBoozer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)46
38.8%
44
61.2%
Q3 - 8:17MIAMISS Chalmers 1' Driving Layup46
37.6%
44
62.4%
Q3 - 8:31CHIHinrich 18' Step Back Jump Shot (7 PTS)46
34.8%
44
65.2%
Q3 - 8:52CHIBoozer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)44
31.9%
44
68.1%
Q3 - 8:53MIAMISS Battier 24' 3PT Jump Shot44
30.8%
44
69.2%
Q3 - 9:17CHIDunleavy 21' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Hinrich 3 AST)44
28.1%
44
71.9%
Q3 - 9:31MIAOden 1' Dunk (5 PTS) (Chalmers 5 AST)42
25.3%
44
74.7%
Q3 - 9:34MIAWade REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)42
28.1%
42
71.9%
Q3 - 9:35MIAMISS Oden 2' Layup42
30.3%
42
69.7%
Q3 - 9:38MIAOden REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)42
28.1%
42
71.9%
Q3 - 9:41MIAMISS Wade 21' Jump Shot42
30.3%
42
69.7%
Q3 - 9:53CHIBattier STEAL (2 STL)42
28.1%
42
71.9%
Q3 - 9:59CHIHinrich REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)42
31.3%
42
68.7%
Q3 - 10:00MIAMISS Bosh 20' Jump Shot42
30.3%
42
69.7%
Q3 - 10:22CHINoah 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Snell 2 AST)42
27.6%
42
72.4%
Q3 - 10:44MIAChalmers 1' Driving Layup (6 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)40
24.9%
42
75.1%
Q3 - 10:56MIAOden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)40
27.7%
40
72.3%
Q3 - 10:57MIAMISS Bosh 15' Jump Shot40
29.7%
40
70.3%
Q3 - 11:10CHIBulls Turnover: Shot Clock (T#10)40
27.3%
40
72.7%
Q3 - 11:11CHIBulls Rebound40
30.3%
40
69.7%
Q3 - 11:12CHIMISS Noah 3' Jump Shot40
28.2%
40
71.8%
Q3 - 11:34CHIBulls Rebound40
30.3%
40
69.7%
Q3 - 11:35MIAMISS Bosh 26' 3PT Jump Shot40
29.4%
40
70.6%
Q3 - 11:44MIAHEAT Rebound40
27.3%
40
72.7%
Q3 - 11:45MIAMISS Chalmers 2' Driving Layup40
29.4%
40
70.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0CHI40
27.3%
40
72.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAWade 15' Fadeaway Jumper (13 PTS)40
30.3%
40
69.7%
Q2 - 0:12.0MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)40
33.2%
38
66.8%
Q2 - 0:13.0CHIMISS Snell 13' Jump Shot40
33.9%
38
66.1%
Q2 - 0:37.0MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (11 PTS)40
35.5%
38
64.5%
Q2 - 0:46.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)40
39.3%
36
60.7%
Q2 - 0:47.0MIAMISS Wade 9' Jump Shot40
41.0%
36
59.0%
Q2 - 1:07CHIGibson 1' Tip Shot (10 PTS)40
39.1%
36
60.9%
Q2 - 1:08CHIGibson REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)38
35.1%
36
64.9%
Q2 - 1:09CHIMISS Hinrich 2' Driving Layup38
33.8%
36
66.2%
Q2 - 1:12CHIAugustin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)38
35.1%
36
64.9%
Q2 - 1:13MIAMISS Bosh 19' Jump Shot38
34.5%
36
65.5%
Q2 - 1:27CHIHinrich Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)38
33.2%
36
66.8%
Q2 - 1:30CHIGibson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)38
35.1%
36
64.9%
Q2 - 1:31CHIWade BLOCK (1 BLK)38
33.8%
36
66.2%
Q2 - 1:47MIABosh 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST)38
35.1%
36
64.9%
Q2 - 2:01CHIGibson 11' Jump Bank Shot (8 PTS)38
40.8%
33
59.2%
Q2 - 2:05CHIGibson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)36
38.0%
33
62.0%
Q2 - 2:06CHIMISS Snell 26' 3PT Jump Shot36
35.9%
33
64.1%
Q2 - 2:12CHISnell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)36
38.0%
33
62.0%
Q2 - 2:13MIAMISS Andersen 2' Layup36
37.1%
33
62.9%
Q2 - 2:14MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)36
35.1%
33
64.9%
Q2 - 2:16MIAMISS Andersen 1' Layup36
37.1%
33
62.9%
Q2 - 2:17MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)36
35.1%
33
64.9%
Q2 - 2:19MIAMISS Wade 2' Hook Shot36
37.1%
33
62.9%
Q2 - 2:40CHINoah Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)36
35.1%
33
64.9%
Q2 - 2:41CHINoah REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)33
29.7%
33
70.3%
Q2 - 2:42CHIBattier BLOCK (1 BLK)33
27.9%
33
72.1%
Q2 - 2:59CHIGibson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)33
29.7%
33
70.3%
Q2 - 3:00MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot33
28.9%
33
71.1%
Q2 - 3:06CHICole STEAL (1 STL)33
26.6%
33
73.4%
Q2 - 3:15MIAAndersen Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P1.T2)33
29.5%
33
70.5%
Q2 - 3:37CHIGibson 1' Dunk (6 PTS) (Augustin 4 AST)33
26.6%
33
73.4%
Q2 - 3:44CHIBulls Rebound31
24.8%
33
75.2%
Q2 - 3:45CHIMISS Hinrich 5' Floating Jump Shot31
23.0%
33
77.0%
Q2 - 4:07MIAAndersen 2' Alley Oop Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)31
24.4%
33
75.6%
Q2 - 4:28CHIGibson 7' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Augustin 3 AST)31
26.5%
31
73.5%
Q2 - 4:48MIAChalmers 9' Driving Bank Shot (4 PTS)29
24.4%
31
75.6%
Q2 - 5:06CHISnell 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Noah 2 AST)29
26.5%
29
73.5%
Q2 - 5:27CHIAugustin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
22.3%
29
77.7%
Q2 - 5:28MIAMISS Wade 21' Jump Shot26
21.7%
29
78.3%
Q2 - 5:51CHIGibson 1' Dunk (2 PTS) (Hinrich 2 AST)26
20.5%
29
79.5%
Q2 - 6:08MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (9 PTS)24
19.0%
29
81.0%
Q2 - 6:19MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)24
20.3%
27
79.7%
Q2 - 6:20CHIMISS Augustin 26' 3PT Jump Shot24
21.0%
27
79.0%
Q2 - 6:34MIAWade 1' Driving Layup (7 PTS)24
22.6%
27
77.4%
Q2 - 6:40MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)24
24.1%
25
75.9%
Q2 - 6:41CHIMISS Augustin 13' Jump Shot24
24.9%
25
75.1%
Q2 - 6:57MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)24
26.6%
25
73.4%
Q2 - 6:57MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)24
27.0%
24
73.0%
Q2 - 7:09CHIBulls Turnover: Shot Clock (T#7)24
28.2%
23
71.8%
Q2 - 7:09CHIBulls Rebound24
30.7%
23
69.3%
Q2 - 7:10CHIMISS Gibson 15' Jump Shot24
29.0%
23
71.0%
Q2 - 7:33MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)24
30.7%
23
69.3%
Q2 - 7:37CHIWade STEAL (2 STL)24
35.2%
20
64.8%
Q2 - 7:53CHIMohammed REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)24
38.0%
20
62.0%
Q2 - 7:54MIAMISS Wade 9' Jump Shot24
37.1%
20
62.9%
Q2 - 8:10CHIBulls Turnover: Shot Clock (T#5)24
34.7%
20
65.3%
Q2 - 8:10CHIBulls Rebound24
37.2%
20
62.8%
Q2 - 8:10CHIMISS Augustin 2' Layup24
35.5%
20
64.5%
Q2 - 8:31CHIMohammed REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)24
37.2%
20
62.8%
Q2 - 8:33MIAMISS Cole 21' Jump Shot24
36.5%
20
63.5%
Q2 - 8:53CHIMohammed REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)24
34.8%
20
65.2%
Q2 - 8:53MIAJump Ball Andersen vs. Mohammed: Tip to Bosh24
34.8%
20
65.2%
Q2 - 8:53CHIAndersen BLOCK (1 BLK)24
35.5%
20
64.5%
Q2 - 9:06CHIGibson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)24
36.5%
20
63.5%
Q2 - 9:07MIAMISS Andersen Free Throw 2 of 224
36.2%
20
63.8%
Q2 - 9:07MIAMISS Andersen Free Throw 1 of 224
34.8%
20
65.2%
Q2 - 9:16MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)24
34.0%
20
66.0%
Q2 - 9:17CHIMISS Mohammed 19' Jump Shot24
34.8%
20
65.2%
Q2 - 9:39CHIDunleavy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)24
36.5%
20
63.5%
Q2 - 9:40MIAMISS Bosh 30' 3PT Jump Shot24
35.8%
20
64.2%
Q2 - 10:03MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
33.8%
20
66.2%
Q2 - 10:04CHIMISS Gibson 21' Jump Shot24
34.6%
20
65.4%
Q2 - 10:20CHISnell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
36.5%
20
63.5%
Q2 - 10:21MIAMISS Cole 26' 3PT Jump Shot24
35.7%
20
64.3%
Q2 - 10:25MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)24
33.8%
20
66.2%
Q2 - 10:26MIAMISS Andersen 24' 3PT Jump Shot24
35.7%
20
64.3%
Q2 - 10:47MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
33.8%
20
66.2%
Q2 - 10:48CHIMISS Snell 24' 3PT Jump Shot24
34.6%
20
65.4%
Q2 - 10:55CHIGibson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)24
36.5%
20
63.5%
Q2 - 10:56CHIMISS Gibson 13' Turnaround Jump Shot24
34.6%
20
65.4%
Q2 - 11:11CHIMohammed REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
36.0%
20
64.0%
Q2 - 11:12MIAMISS Bosh 1' Driving Layup24
35.3%
20
64.7%
Q2 - 11:22MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
33.7%
20
66.3%
Q2 - 11:23CHIMISS Augustin 20' Jump Shot24
34.4%
20
65.6%
Q2 - 11:39CHIGibson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
36.1%
20
63.9%
Q2 - 11:40MIAMISS Bosh 19' Jump Shot24
35.4%
20
64.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0CHI24
33.7%
20
66.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0CHIBoozer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)24
36.1%
20
63.9%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Cole 1' Driving Layup24
34.9%
20
65.1%
Q1 - 0:19.0CHIDunleavy 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Augustin 2 AST)24
33.8%
20
66.2%
Q1 - 0:31.0MIABosh 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Cole 2 AST)21
29.2%
20
70.8%
Q1 - 0:37.0MIAHEAT Rebound21
31.7%
18
68.3%
Q1 - 0:38.0CHIMISS Augustin 27' 3PT Jump Shot21
32.2%
18
67.8%
Q1 - 0:59.0CHIBoozer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)21
33.3%
18
66.7%
Q1 - 1:00MIAMISS Andersen 3PT Jump Shot21
32.8%
18
67.2%
Q1 - 1:13MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
31.4%
18
68.6%
Q1 - 1:14CHIMISS Boozer 19' Jump Shot21
31.9%
18
68.1%
Q1 - 1:37MIABosh 15' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Cole 1 AST)21
32.9%
18
67.1%
Q1 - 1:51CHISnell 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Augustin 1 AST)21
35.6%
16
64.4%
Q1 - 1:58CHINoah REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)18
30.9%
16
69.1%
Q1 - 1:59MIAMISS Cole 9' Driving Jump Shot18
30.5%
16
69.5%
Q1 - 2:10MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
29.3%
16
70.7%
Q1 - 2:11CHIMISS Dunleavy 20' Jump Shot18
29.8%
16
70.2%
Q1 - 2:31CHINoah REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)18
31.0%
16
69.0%
Q1 - 2:32MIAMISS Allen 21' Jump Shot18
30.5%
16
69.5%
Q1 - 2:46CHINoah Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)18
29.3%
16
70.7%
Q1 - 3:03CHIBoozer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
25.5%
16
74.5%
Q1 - 3:04MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot15
24.9%
16
75.1%
Q1 - 3:26CHIDunleavy Tip Shot (4 PTS)15
23.7%
16
76.3%
Q1 - 3:27CHIDunleavy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)13
22.2%
16
77.8%
Q1 - 3:28CHIMISS Noah 1' Driving Layup13
21.1%
16
78.9%
Q1 - 3:46MIABattier 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)13
22.2%
16
77.8%
Q1 - 4:07CHIHinrich 2' Running Layup (5 PTS) (Noah 1 AST)13
25.0%
13
75.0%
Q1 - 4:13CHIHinrich REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)11
23.6%
13
76.4%
Q1 - 4:14MIAMISS Battier 25' 3PT Jump Shot11
23.1%
13
76.9%
Q1 - 4:36MIAHEAT Rebound11
21.9%
13
78.1%
Q1 - 4:37CHIMISS Snell 18' Jump Shot11
22.4%
13
77.6%
Q1 - 5:05MIAChalmers 8' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)11
23.5%
13
76.5%
Q1 - 5:21CHINoah 2' Tip Shot (2 PTS)11
24.9%
11
75.1%
Q1 - 5:22CHINoah REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)9
23.5%
11
76.5%
Q1 - 5:23CHIMISS Hinrich 5' Jump Shot9
22.5%
11
77.5%
Q1 - 5:25CHIHinrich REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)9
23.5%
11
76.5%
Q1 - 5:26CHIMISS Hinrich 13' Jump Shot9
22.5%
11
77.5%
Q1 - 5:50CHIBulls Rebound9
23.5%
11
76.5%
Q1 - 5:51MIAMISS Battier 24' 3PT Jump Shot9
23.1%
11
76.9%
Q1 - 6:04CHIBoozer 6' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Snell 1 AST)9
21.8%
11
78.2%
Q1 - 6:20CHIHinrich REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
20.7%
11
79.3%
Q1 - 6:22MIAMISS Chalmers 3' Driving Reverse Layup7
20.2%
11
79.8%
Q1 - 6:31MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)7
19.3%
11
80.7%
Q1 - 6:32CHIMISS Boozer 15' Jump Shot7
19.7%
11
80.3%
Q1 - 6:46MIAWade 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)7
20.7%
11
79.3%
Q1 - 7:03MIAOden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
21.7%
9
78.3%
Q1 - 7:04CHIMISS Snell 25' 3PT Jump Shot7
22.2%
9
77.8%
Q1 - 7:15MIAWade 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T1)7
23.2%
9
76.8%
Q1 - 7:34CHIHinrich 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Boozer 2 AST)7
21.7%
9
78.3%
Q1 - 7:51MIAOden Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)4
19.4%
9
80.6%
Q1 - 7:52MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
21.7%
6
78.3%
Q1 - 7:53MIAMISS Bosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot4
22.8%
6
77.2%
Q1 - 8:06MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
21.7%
6
78.3%
Q1 - 8:07CHIMISS Dunleavy 3PT Jump Shot4
22.1%
6
77.9%
Q1 - 8:29CHISnell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
23.1%
6
76.9%
Q1 - 8:30MIAMISS Bosh 1' Reverse Layup4
22.6%
6
77.4%
Q1 - 8:48CHIDunleavy Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)4
21.7%
6
78.3%
Q1 - 8:56CHINoah REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)4
23.1%
6
76.9%
Q1 - 8:57MIAMISS Oden 8' Turnaround Hook Shot4
22.6%
6
77.4%
Q1 - 9:22CHIBoozer 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Hinrich 1 AST)4
21.7%
6
78.3%
Q1 - 9:42CHINoah REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
20.6%
6
79.4%
Q1 - 9:43MIAMISS Chalmers 2' Driving Layup2
20.2%
6
79.8%
Q1 - 9:56CHIBattier STEAL (1 STL)2
19.3%
6
80.7%
Q1 - 10:06CHINoah REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
20.7%
6
79.3%
Q1 - 10:07MIAMISS Wade 10' Fadeaway Jumper2
20.3%
6
79.7%
Q1 - 10:18CHIWade STEAL (1 STL)2
19.5%
6
80.5%
Q1 - 10:23CHIBoozer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
20.7%
6
79.3%
Q1 - 10:24MIAMISS Bosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
20.3%
6
79.7%
Q1 - 10:35MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
19.5%
6
80.5%
Q1 - 10:36CHIMISS Dunleavy 26' 3PT Jump Shot2
19.9%
6
80.1%
Q1 - 10:51MIABosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)2
20.7%
6
79.3%
Q1 - 11:00MIABattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
22.9%
3
77.1%
Q1 - 11:01CHIMISS Boozer 19' Jump Shot2
23.2%
3
76.8%
Q1 - 11:20MIABosh 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)2
23.9%
3
76.1%
Q1 - 11:43CHIDunleavy 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Boozer 1 AST)2
26.6%
0
73.4%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Bosh vs. Noah: Tip to Snell0
25.2%
0
74.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

CHI
0.81 40.3%
MIA
0.97 48.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
CHI
13
30
43%
MIA
13
28
46%
Midrange
CHI
10
30
33%
MIA
15
37
41%
3PT | Effective 3PT
CHI
6
9.0
21
29%
43%
MIA
9
13.5
23
39%
59%
Free Throws
CHI
15
17
88%
MIA
10
14
71%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
CHI logo Bulls
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Noah2077%10.0 / 13
T. Gibson2050%10.0 / 20
M. Dunleavy1350%6.5 / 13
K. Hinrich1050%5.0 / 10
C. Boozer844%4.0 / 9
T. Snell630%3.0 / 10
D. Augustin29%1.0 / 11
N. Mohammed0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Bosh2856%14.0 / 25
D. Wade2350%11.5 / 23
M. Chalmers1255%6.0 / 11
R. Allen1063%5.0 / 8
C. Andersen735%3.5 / 10
G. Oden563%2.5 / 4
M. Beasley563%2.5 / 4
S. Battier330%1.5 / 5
N. Cole0-0.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

CHI
75
+22
-12
97
MIA
80
+16
-7
96
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CHI
0.81 40.3%
MIA
0.97 48.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
103.2
110.7
CHI 90.8 +16.1
MIA 106.9
Pace
89.6
91.5
CHI 92.3 +9.9
MIA 82.3
Avg. Poss. Time
16.3
15.8
CHI 15.6 +1.9
MIA 17.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.1%
55.4%
CHI 39.5%
MIA 47.2% +7.7%
TO %
15.4%
15.4%
CHI 17.7%
MIA 7.8% +9.9%
ORB %
27.2%
20.6%
CHI 36.6% +7.2%
MIA 29.4%
FTrt
29.0
30.0
CHI 21.0 +5.1
MIA 15.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
65.4%
58.8%
CHI 62.1% +2.6%
MIA 59.5%
STL %
8.0%
9.7%
CHI 2.3%
MIA 9.2% +6.9%
BLK %
8.3%
8.1%
CHI 6.2%
MIA 11.7% +5.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.51 and 2.51.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.0%
57.5%
CHI 40.3%
MIA 48.4% +8.1%
Rim FG%
54.2%
66.7%
CHI 43.3%
MIA 46.4% +3.1%
Mid FG%
37.8%
42.8%
CHI 33.3%
MIA 40.5% +7.2%
3P %
34.8%
36.4%
CHI 28.6%
MIA 39.1% +10.5%
FT %
77.9%
76.0%
CHI 88.2% +16.8%
MIA 71.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.0%
38.3%
CHI 37.0% +5.2%
MIA 31.8%
Mid Att. %
40.8%
32.5%
CHI 37.0% +5.0%
MIA 42.0%
3P Att. %
22.2%
29.2%
CHI 25.9%
MIA 26.1% +0.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.71 and 2.71.
Game TotalsCHIMIA
Possessions8787
Possession Minutes22.625.4
Points7993
Rebounds5141
Assists1822
Steals28
Blocks47
Turnovers (Team)12 (7)7 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)15 (7)15 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)36 (2)26 (4)
Field Goals29-8137-88
At-the-Rim FG13-3013-28
Midrange FG10-3015-37
2-Point FG23-6028-65
3-Point FG6-219-23
Free Throws15-1710-14
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
C · 6'11" 230 · 29
40.0
20
77%
15
3
0
4
2
4
5
10
6-7
86%
7-11
64%
0-0
-
G · 6'7" 221 · 22
37.5
6
30%
3
3
0
0
0
4
0
3
0-0
-
0-3
0%
2-7
29%
F · 6'9" 230 · 33
35.8
13
50%
4
0
1
0
3
0
2
2
1-2
50%
3-5
60%
2-7
29%
G · 6'4" 190 · 33
34.4
10
50%
6
3
0
0
3
1
1
5
0-0
-
2-8
25%
2-2
100%
F · 6'9" 258 · 32
24.0
8
44%
7
4
1
0
0
1
1
6
2-2
100%
3-8
38%
0-0
-
G · 6'0" 183 · 26
36.3
2
9%
2
5
0
0
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
0-5
0%
0-5
0%
F · 6'9" 235 · 29
27.6
20
50%
10
0
0
0
3
3
5
5
4-4
100%
8-18
44%
0-0
-
C · 6'10" 250 · 36
4.5
0
0%
4
0
0
0
1
1
1
3
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 230 · 24
F · 6'10" 230 · 23
F · 6'9" 220 · 22
F-C · 6'9" 230 · 26
#1 · G · 6'3" 190 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
79
40%
51
18
2
4
12
0
15
36
15-17
88%
23-60
38%
6-21
29%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.