FinalWin Prob.pScore
859%107
113
2241%104
102
ORTG#PossPace
DAL logo DAL
114.19991.9
DET logo DET
105.297105.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PistonsMavericksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PistonsMavericksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDALDET
Q4 - 0:00.0DAL113
100%
102
0%
Q4 - 0:23.0DETMonroe Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T12)113
99.9%
102
0.1%
Q4 - 0:33.0DALDalembert Driving Layup (12 PTS) (Carter 5 AST)113
99.9%
102
0.1%
Q4 - 0:41.0DETMonroe Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)111
99.9%
102
0.1%
Q4 - 0:48.0DALCalderon Foul Turnover (P4.T14)111
99.8%
102
0.2%
Q4 - 0:57.0DETBynum Driving Layup (17 PTS)111
99.8%
102
0.2%
Q4 - 1:02DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:4 Def:13)111
99.9%
100
0.1%
Q4 - 1:03DALMISS Ellis 21' Jump Shot111
99.9%
100
0.1%
Q4 - 1:25DALDalembert REBOUND (Off:6 Def:5)111
99.9%
100
0.1%
Q4 - 1:26DETMISS Singler Free Throw 2 of 2111
99.9%
100
0.1%
Q4 - 1:26DETMISS Singler Free Throw 1 of 2111
99.8%
100
0.2%
Q4 - 1:35DETSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)111
99.7%
100
0.3%
Q4 - 1:37DALMISS Nowitzki 12' Turnaround Jump Shot111
99.7%
100
0.3%
Q4 - 1:51DALCalderon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)111
99.7%
100
0.3%
Q4 - 1:53DETMISS Smith 4' Jump Shot111
99.7%
100
0.3%
Q4 - 2:09DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:4 Def:12)111
99.5%
100
0.5%
Q4 - 2:10DALMISS Carter 25' 3PT Jump Shot111
99.6%
100
0.4%
Q4 - 2:24DETBynum Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)111
99.7%
100
0.3%
Q4 - 2:38DALEllis 1' Driving Layup (12 PTS)111
99.5%
100
0.5%
Q4 - 2:55DETMonroe 1' Driving Layup (17 PTS)109
98.9%
100
1.1%
Q4 - 3:09DALEllis Layup (10 PTS)109
99.3%
98
0.7%
Q4 - 3:14DETBynum Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)107
99.0%
98
1.0%
Q4 - 3:23DETJump Ball Monroe vs. Dalembert: Tip to107
98.3%
98
1.7%
Q4 - 3:23DALMavericks Rebound107
99.0%
98
1.0%
Q4 - 3:23DALMonroe BLOCK (2 BLK)107
98.5%
98
1.5%
Q4 - 3:23DALDalembert REBOUND (Off:6 Def:4)107
99.0%
98
1.0%
Q4 - 3:25DALMISS Ellis 21' Jump Shot107
98.5%
98
1.5%
Q4 - 3:39DALDalembert REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)107
98.0%
98
2.0%
Q4 - 3:40DETMISS Smith 20' Jump Shot107
97.7%
98
2.3%
Q4 - 3:57DALNowitzki 19' Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Ellis 13 AST)107
97.1%
98
2.9%
Q4 - 4:13DETStuckey Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)105
96.1%
98
3.9%
Q4 - 4:13DETStuckey Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)105
96.3%
97
3.7%
Q4 - 4:16DETStuckey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)105
97.2%
96
2.8%
Q4 - 4:17DALMISS Marion 15' Jump Shot105
97.5%
96
2.5%
Q4 - 4:39DETMonroe 1' Layup (15 PTS)105
98.2%
96
1.8%
Q4 - 4:40DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:4 Def:11)105
98.7%
94
1.3%
Q4 - 4:41DETMISS Monroe 1' Layup105
99.0%
94
1.0%
Q4 - 4:59DALEllis 1' Driving Layup (8 PTS) (Harris 3 AST)105
98.7%
94
1.3%
Q4 - 5:18DETMonroe Layup (13 PTS)103
97.2%
94
2.8%
Q4 - 5:19DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:3 Def:11)103
97.9%
92
2.1%
Q4 - 5:20DETMISS Stuckey 1' Layup103
98.4%
92
1.6%
Q4 - 5:28DETSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)103
97.9%
92
2.1%
Q4 - 5:30DALMISS Harris 26' 3PT Jump Shot103
98.1%
92
1.9%
Q4 - 5:39DETSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T8)103
98.6%
92
1.4%
Q4 - 5:55DALEllis 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Ellington 2 AST)103
97.9%
92
2.1%
Q4 - 6:12DALWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)101
96.3%
92
3.7%
Q4 - 6:13DETMISS Smith 21' Jump Shot101
95.9%
92
4.1%
Q4 - 6:31DETBynum REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)101
94.9%
92
5.1%
Q4 - 6:33DALSmith BLOCK (3 BLK)101
95.4%
92
4.6%
Q4 - 6:51DALHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)101
96.3%
92
3.7%
Q4 - 6:51DETMISS Bynum 1' Reverse Layup101
95.9%
92
4.1%
Q4 - 7:02DETPISTONS Rebound101
93.9%
92
6.1%
Q4 - 7:02DALMISS Wright 5' Jump Shot101
94.4%
92
5.6%
Q4 - 7:16DALEllington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)101
95.5%
92
4.5%
Q4 - 7:17DETMISS Stuckey 2' Layup101
95.1%
92
4.9%
Q4 - 7:30DALHarris Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)101
94.0%
92
6.0%
Q4 - 7:42DALWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)98
90.2%
92
9.8%
Q4 - 7:43DETMISS Bynum Free Throw 2 of 298
89.8%
92
10.2%
Q4 - 7:43DETBynum Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)98
87.9%
92
12.1%
Q4 - 7:55DALEllis 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS)98
90.0%
91
10.0%
Q4 - 8:14DETJerebko Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)96
85.9%
91
14.1%
Q4 - 8:14DETJerebko Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)96
86.4%
90
13.6%
Q4 - 8:14DETJerebko REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)96
88.7%
89
11.3%
Q4 - 8:14DETMISS Bynum 20' Jump Shot96
90.4%
89
9.6%
Q4 - 8:37DALNowitzki 28' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Carter 4 AST)96
88.8%
89
11.2%
Q4 - 8:59DETCaldwell-Pope Layup (5 PTS) (Stuckey 3 AST)93
82.6%
89
17.4%
Q4 - 9:03DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)93
84.7%
87
15.3%
Q4 - 9:04DALMISS Harris 6' Jump Shot93
85.6%
87
14.4%
Q4 - 9:19DALEllington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)93
87.6%
87
12.4%
Q4 - 9:20DETMISS Drummond 1' Layup93
86.8%
87
13.2%
Q4 - 9:29DETJerebko REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)93
84.7%
87
15.3%
Q4 - 9:30DALMISS Carter 1' Layup93
85.7%
87
14.3%
Q4 - 9:48DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)93
87.6%
87
12.4%
Q4 - 9:49DETMISS Drummond Free Throw 2 of 293
87.3%
87
12.7%
Q4 - 9:49DETDrummond Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)93
86.3%
87
13.7%
Q4 - 9:49DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)93
87.6%
86
12.4%
Q4 - 9:49DETMISS Drummond 1' Layup93
89.3%
86
10.7%
Q4 - 10:09DALCarter 27' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS)93
86.5%
86
13.5%
Q4 - 10:25DETStuckey Layup (7 PTS) (Bynum 8 AST)90
80.4%
86
19.6%
Q4 - 10:32DETCaldwell-Pope REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)90
83.7%
84
16.3%
Q4 - 10:33DALMISS Nowitzki 9' Jump Shot90
84.6%
84
15.4%
Q4 - 10:56DETBynum 18' Jump Shot (14 PTS)90
86.6%
84
13.4%
Q4 - 11:12DALHarris Traveling Turnover (P1.T12)90
88.0%
82
12.0%
Q4 - 11:20DALCarter REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)90
90.1%
82
9.9%
Q4 - 11:21DETMISS Stuckey 26' 3PT Jump Shot90
89.5%
82
10.5%
Q4 - 11:44DALEllington Running Layup (7 PTS) (Carter 3 AST)90
88.0%
82
12.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0DET88
85.6%
82
14.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0DETPISTONS Rebound88
82.7%
82
17.3%
Q3 - 0:01.0DETMISS Stuckey 22' Jump Shot88
84.0%
82
16.0%
Q3 - 0:06.0DALWright 1' Dunk (9 PTS) (Carter 2 AST)88
82.1%
82
17.9%
Q3 - 0:18.0DETBynum 22' Pullup Jump Shot (12 PTS)86
78.8%
82
21.2%
Q3 - 0:33.0DALNowitzki 17' Jump Shot (19 PTS)86
82.1%
80
17.9%
Q3 - 0:49.0DALWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)84
78.8%
80
21.2%
Q3 - 0:50.0DETMISS Jerebko 26' 3PT Jump Shot84
77.8%
80
22.2%
Q3 - 1:03DETCaldwell-Pope REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)84
74.7%
80
25.3%
Q3 - 1:04DALMISS Nowitzki 27' 3PT Jump Shot84
75.8%
80
24.2%
Q3 - 1:18DETCaldwell-Pope 4' Floating Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bynum 7 AST)84
78.2%
80
21.8%
Q3 - 1:38DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:2 Def:11)84
81.5%
78
18.5%
Q3 - 1:39DALMISS Carter Free Throw 2 of 284
81.8%
78
18.2%
Q3 - 1:39DALCarter Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)84
83.8%
78
16.2%
Q3 - 1:54DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)83
81.4%
78
18.6%
Q3 - 1:56DETMISS Monroe Free Throw 2 of 283
81.0%
78
19.0%
Q3 - 1:56DETMonroe Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)83
79.1%
78
20.9%
Q3 - 1:57DETSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)83
81.5%
77
18.5%
Q3 - 2:00DALMISS Wright Alley Oop Layup83
82.3%
77
17.7%
Q3 - 2:11DETBynum 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS)83
83.3%
77
16.7%
Q3 - 2:32DALWright 1' Dunk (7 PTS)83
85.6%
75
14.4%
Q3 - 2:32DALWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)81
83.3%
75
16.7%
Q3 - 2:35DALMISS Carter 8' Hook Shot81
81.3%
75
18.7%
Q3 - 2:54DETMonroe Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)81
83.3%
75
16.7%
Q3 - 2:54DETMonroe Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)81
84.0%
74
16.0%
Q3 - 3:01DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)81
84.9%
73
15.1%
Q3 - 3:03DALSmith BLOCK (2 BLK)81
85.7%
73
14.3%
Q3 - 3:15DALMarion REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)81
87.3%
73
12.7%
Q3 - 3:16DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 3PT Jump Shot81
86.6%
73
13.4%
Q3 - 3:22DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)81
85.0%
73
15.0%
Q3 - 3:23DALMISS Blair 1' Tip Shot81
85.7%
73
14.3%
Q3 - 3:24DALBlair REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)81
87.3%
73
12.7%
Q3 - 3:25DALMonroe BLOCK (1 BLK)81
85.7%
73
14.3%
Q3 - 3:27DALBlair REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)81
87.3%
73
12.7%
Q3 - 3:28DALMISS Marion 3PT Jump Shot81
85.7%
73
14.3%
Q3 - 3:46DETSingler Traveling Turnover (P1.T7)81
87.3%
73
12.7%
Q3 - 3:57DALBlair 5' Jump Shot (4 PTS)81
85.0%
73
15.0%
Q3 - 4:17DETBynum Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)79
82.3%
73
17.7%
Q3 - 4:17DETBynum Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)79
82.7%
72
17.3%
Q3 - 4:28DALBlair 6' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Carter 1 AST)79
84.2%
71
15.8%
Q3 - 4:41DETSmith 11' Fadeaway Jumper (32 PTS)77
82.4%
71
17.6%
Q3 - 5:00DALCarter Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)77
84.2%
69
15.8%
Q3 - 5:00DALCarter Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)76
83.9%
69
16.1%
Q3 - 5:00DALCarter REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)75
82.4%
69
17.6%
Q3 - 5:00DALMISS Calderon 26' 3PT Jump Shot75
80.2%
69
19.8%
Q3 - 5:14DETSmith Dunk (30 PTS) (Bynum 6 AST)75
81.5%
69
18.5%
Q3 - 5:21DALSmith STEAL (1 STL)75
83.6%
67
16.4%
Q3 - 5:34DETStuckey Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)75
86.0%
67
14.0%
Q3 - 5:34DETStuckey Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)75
86.3%
66
13.7%
Q3 - 5:37DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)75
87.6%
65
12.4%
Q3 - 5:38DALMISS Marion 5' Jump Shot75
88.3%
65
11.7%
Q3 - 5:47DALEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)75
89.6%
65
10.4%
Q3 - 5:48DETMISS Singler 27' 3PT Jump Shot75
89.0%
65
11.0%
Q3 - 6:09DALNowitzki Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T10)75
87.1%
65
12.9%
Q3 - 6:26DETSmith Free Throw 1 of 1 (28 PTS)75
89.0%
65
11.0%
Q3 - 6:34DALMarion 1' Dunk (10 PTS) (Calderon 4 AST)75
91.6%
62
8.4%
Q3 - 6:41DETSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T6)73
90.5%
62
9.5%
Q3 - 6:47DETSingler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)73
88.8%
62
11.2%
Q3 - 6:48DALMISS Marion 1' Layup73
89.4%
62
10.6%
Q3 - 7:05DALCalderon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)73
89.8%
62
10.2%
Q3 - 7:06DETMISS Smith 18' Jump Shot73
89.3%
62
10.7%
Q3 - 7:19DALEllis Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)73
88.2%
62
11.8%
Q3 - 7:29DALMarion REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)73
89.8%
62
10.2%
Q3 - 7:32DETMISS Stuckey 19' Jump Shot73
89.4%
62
10.6%
Q3 - 7:40DETStuckey Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)73
88.2%
62
11.8%
Q3 - 7:47DETSingler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)73
89.7%
61
10.3%
Q3 - 7:48DALMISS Dalembert Tip Shot73
90.2%
61
9.8%
Q3 - 7:49DALDalembert REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)73
91.2%
61
8.8%
Q3 - 7:51DALMISS Nowitzki 19' Fadeaway Jumper73
90.2%
61
9.8%
Q3 - 8:09DETSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)73
90.9%
61
9.1%
Q3 - 8:09DETMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 273
91.3%
60
8.7%
Q3 - 8:13DALSingler STEAL (3 STL)73
90.7%
60
9.3%
Q3 - 8:27DALMarion REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)73
92.1%
60
7.9%
Q3 - 8:28DALMISS Calderon Free Throw 2 of 273
90.9%
60
9.1%
Q3 - 8:28DALCalderon Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)73
91.8%
60
8.2%
Q3 - 8:31DETJennings Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)72
90.9%
60
9.1%
Q3 - 8:43DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)72
89.3%
60
10.7%
Q3 - 8:44DALMISS Dalembert Free Throw 1 of 172
89.6%
60
10.4%
Q3 - 8:51DALMarion REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)70
88.1%
60
11.9%
Q3 - 8:53DALMISS Nowitzki 26' 3PT Jump Shot70
86.7%
60
13.3%
Q3 - 9:07DALDalembert REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)70
87.5%
60
12.5%
Q3 - 9:08DETMISS Drummond 9' Jump Shot70
87.0%
60
13.0%
Q3 - 9:34DALNowitzki 17' Turnaround Jump Shot (17 PTS)70
85.8%
60
14.2%
Q3 - 9:53DETSingler 8' Running Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Smith 3 AST)68
84.0%
60
16.0%
Q3 - 10:16DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)68
85.6%
58
14.4%
Q3 - 10:16DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)67
85.4%
58
14.6%
Q3 - 10:36DETSingler Layup (5 PTS)66
83.8%
58
16.2%
Q3 - 10:38DETSingler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)66
85.6%
56
14.4%
Q3 - 10:39DETMISS Jennings 1' Layup66
86.8%
56
13.2%
Q3 - 10:50DETSingler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)66
85.6%
56
14.4%
Q3 - 10:51DALMISS Marion 26' 3PT Jump Shot66
86.1%
56
13.9%
Q3 - 11:05DETDrummond 1' Reverse Layup (7 PTS) (Monroe 2 AST)66
86.9%
56
13.1%
Q3 - 11:27DALCalderon 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Dalembert 1 AST)66
88.4%
54
11.6%
Q3 - 11:41DALMarion REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)64
86.9%
54
13.1%
Q3 - 11:41DETMISS Jennings 26' 3PT Jump Shot64
86.4%
54
13.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0DAL64
85.2%
54
14.8%
Q2 - 0:01.0DALDalembert REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)64
86.0%
54
14.0%
Q2 - 0:01.0DETMISS Jennings 3PT Jump Shot64
85.6%
54
14.4%
Q2 - 0:14.0DALNowitzki 16' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Marion 2 AST)64
84.8%
54
15.2%
Q2 - 0:37.0DETBynum Driving Layup (6 PTS)62
82.6%
54
17.4%
Q2 - 0:48.0DETPISTONS Rebound62
84.8%
52
15.2%
Q2 - 0:49.0DALMISS Nowitzki 26' 3PT Jump Shot62
85.2%
52
14.8%
Q2 - 0:57.0DALCalderon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)62
86.1%
52
13.9%
Q2 - 0:59.0DETMISS Singler 3PT Jump Shot62
85.7%
52
14.3%
Q2 - 1:14DALDalembert 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Ellis 11 AST)62
84.4%
52
15.6%
Q2 - 1:29DETSmith Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4)60
82.0%
52
18.0%
Q2 - 1:42DALNowitzki 5' Jump Shot (11 PTS)60
80.8%
52
19.2%
Q2 - 2:04DETSmith 19' Jump Shot (24 PTS)58
77.9%
52
22.1%
Q2 - 2:15DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)58
79.9%
50
20.1%
Q2 - 2:16DALMISS Nowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot58
80.5%
50
19.5%
Q2 - 2:27DALDalembert REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)58
81.9%
50
18.1%
Q2 - 2:28DALMISS Calderon 26' 3PT Jump Shot58
80.6%
50
19.4%
Q2 - 2:47DETMonroe 1' Layup (8 PTS) (Bynum 4 AST)58
81.9%
50
18.1%
Q2 - 2:58DALCarter Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)58
83.7%
48
16.3%
Q2 - 2:58DALCarter Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)57
83.4%
48
16.6%
Q2 - 3:07DALMarion REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)56
81.8%
48
18.2%
Q2 - 3:08DETMISS Singler 19' Jump Shot56
81.1%
48
18.9%
Q2 - 3:31DALDalembert 1' Layup (6 PTS) (Ellis 10 AST)56
79.5%
48
20.5%
Q2 - 3:54DETSmith 16' Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Bynum 3 AST)54
77.9%
48
22.1%
Q2 - 4:12DALDalembert 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Ellis 9 AST)54
79.2%
46
20.8%
Q2 - 4:33DETSmith 1' Layup (20 PTS) (Singler 2 AST)52
77.3%
46
22.7%
Q2 - 4:42DETBynum REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)52
79.2%
44
20.8%
Q2 - 4:45DETMISS Bynum Driving Reverse Layup52
80.5%
44
19.5%
Q2 - 5:05DALCalderon Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T7)52
79.0%
44
21.0%
Q2 - 5:11DALDalembert REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)52
80.8%
44
19.2%
Q2 - 5:12DETMISS Bynum 19' Jump Shot52
80.2%
44
19.8%
Q2 - 5:18DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)52
79.0%
44
21.0%
Q2 - 5:19DALMISS Carter 27' 3PT Jump Shot52
79.6%
44
20.4%
Q2 - 5:39DETSmith 18' Jump Shot (18 PTS)52
80.8%
44
19.2%
Q2 - 5:58DALCarter 1' Layup (10 PTS) (Marion 1 AST)52
82.5%
42
17.5%
Q2 - 6:04DALMarion REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)50
80.6%
42
19.4%
Q2 - 6:05DALMISS Carter 26' 3PT Jump Shot50
79.1%
42
20.9%
Q2 - 6:14DALCalderon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)50
80.6%
42
19.4%
Q2 - 6:15DETMISS Monroe Layup50
80.0%
42
20.0%
Q2 - 6:37DALCalderon 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Ellis 8 AST)50
78.5%
42
21.5%
Q2 - 6:58DALMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)47
74.9%
42
25.1%
Q2 - 6:59DETMISS Caldwell-Pope Free Throw 2 of 247
74.6%
42
25.4%
Q2 - 6:59DETCaldwell-Pope Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)47
73.3%
42
26.7%
Q2 - 7:16DALMarion 8' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Ellis 7 AST)47
74.3%
41
25.7%
Q2 - 7:33DALCarter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)45
72.5%
41
27.5%
Q2 - 7:34DETMISS Monroe 2' Layup45
71.8%
41
28.2%
Q2 - 7:55DALWright 1' Dunk (5 PTS) (Ellis 6 AST)45
70.0%
41
30.0%
Q2 - 8:09DETBynum 1' Layup (4 PTS)43
67.7%
41
32.3%
Q2 - 8:09DETBynum REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)43
69.8%
39
30.2%
Q2 - 8:10DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 1' Layup43
71.4%
39
28.6%
Q2 - 8:15DALCaldwell-Pope STEAL (1 STL)43
69.8%
39
30.2%
Q2 - 8:25DALCarter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)43
72.1%
39
27.9%
Q2 - 8:27DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 26' 3PT Jump Shot43
71.4%
39
28.6%
Q2 - 8:41DALMarion 6' Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Calderon 2 AST)43
69.9%
39
30.1%
Q2 - 8:52DETJerebko Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)41
67.7%
39
32.3%
Q2 - 9:03DALEllis Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)41
71.8%
36
28.2%
Q2 - 9:03DALEllis Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)40
71.4%
36
28.6%
Q2 - 9:08DETDrummond 4' Hook Shot (5 PTS) (Jennings 3 AST)39
69.9%
36
30.1%
Q2 - 9:25DALWright Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)39
71.8%
34
28.2%
Q2 - 9:38DETBynum 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Stuckey 2 AST)36
67.7%
34
32.3%
Q2 - 9:43DALStuckey STEAL (1 STL)36
69.7%
32
30.3%
Q2 - 9:58DETSmith Free Throw 1 of 1 (16 PTS)36
72.0%
32
28.0%
Q2 - 10:02DETStuckey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
75.2%
29
24.8%
Q2 - 10:03DALMISS Nowitzki 13' Jump Shot36
75.9%
29
24.1%
Q2 - 10:17DALCarter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)36
77.4%
29
22.6%
Q2 - 10:18DETMISS Smith 18' Jump Shot36
76.7%
29
23.3%
Q2 - 10:23DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
75.3%
29
24.7%
Q2 - 10:25DALMISS Blair 1' Layup36
75.9%
29
24.1%
Q2 - 10:32DALHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)36
77.4%
29
22.6%
Q2 - 10:34DETMISS Bynum 9' Jump Bank Shot36
76.7%
29
23.3%
Q2 - 10:46DALHarris Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)36
75.3%
29
24.7%
Q2 - 10:46DALHarris Layup (2 PTS) (Ellington 1 AST)35
73.4%
29
26.6%
Q2 - 10:47DETSmith Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)33
71.8%
29
28.2%
Q2 - 11:03DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)33
69.2%
29
30.8%
Q2 - 11:03DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)32
69.0%
29
31.0%
Q2 - 11:23DETSmith 20' Jump Shot (13 PTS)31
67.2%
29
32.8%
Q2 - 11:40DALEllington Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)31
69.2%
27
30.8%
Q2 - 11:40DALEllington Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)30
68.9%
27
31.1%
Q2 - 11:48DALHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
67.2%
27
32.8%
Q2 - 11:49DETMISS Stuckey 20' Jump Shot29
66.5%
27
33.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0DAL29
64.9%
27
35.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0DALMavericks Rebound29
67.2%
27
32.8%
Q1 - 0:01.0DALMISS Ellington 27' 3PT Jump Shot29
65.6%
27
34.4%
Q1 - 0:04.0DETSmith 5' Hook Shot (11 PTS)29
66.6%
27
33.4%
Q1 - 0:27.0DALCarter 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Harris 2 AST)29
69.2%
25
30.8%
Q1 - 0:39.0DETSingler 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bynum 1 AST)26
64.5%
25
35.5%
Q1 - 0:43.0DETBynum REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
69.2%
22
30.8%
Q1 - 0:45.0DALSmith BLOCK (1 BLK)26
69.7%
22
30.3%
Q1 - 1:00DALMavericks Rebound26
70.7%
22
29.3%
Q1 - 1:00DETMISS Jennings Layup26
70.3%
22
29.7%
Q1 - 1:04DALSingler STEAL (2 STL)26
69.2%
22
30.8%
Q1 - 1:09DALHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
70.7%
22
29.3%
Q1 - 1:11DETMISS Stuckey 18' Fadeaway Jumper26
70.2%
22
29.8%
Q1 - 1:29DALEllington 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Harris 1 AST)26
69.2%
22
30.8%
Q1 - 1:33DALBlair REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)23
64.6%
22
35.4%
Q1 - 1:36DALMISS Carter 1' Reverse Layup23
63.5%
22
36.5%
Q1 - 1:51DALMavericks Rebound23
64.6%
22
35.4%
Q1 - 1:53DETMISS Monroe Free Throw 2 of 223
64.4%
22
35.6%
Q1 - 1:53DETMISS Monroe Free Throw 1 of 223
63.1%
22
36.9%
Q1 - 1:59DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)23
63.1%
22
36.9%
Q1 - 2:00DALMISS Ellis 6' Jump Shot23
63.5%
22
36.5%
Q1 - 2:20DETStuckey Layup (2 PTS) (Monroe 1 AST)23
64.9%
22
35.1%
Q1 - 2:33DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)23
67.1%
20
32.9%
Q1 - 2:36DALMISS Carter 1' Tip Shot23
67.6%
20
32.4%
Q1 - 2:37DALCarter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)23
68.9%
20
31.1%
Q1 - 2:38DALMISS Carter 1' Layup23
67.6%
20
32.4%
Q1 - 2:48DETPISTONS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#2)23
68.9%
20
31.1%
Q1 - 2:51DETPISTONS Rebound23
67.1%
20
32.9%
Q1 - 2:51DETMISS Smith 8' Jump Shot23
68.3%
20
31.7%
Q1 - 3:13DALSingler STEAL (1 STL)23
66.9%
20
33.1%
Q1 - 3:32DETSmith 16' Fadeaway Jumper (9 PTS)23
69.0%
20
31.0%
Q1 - 3:47DALCarter 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Ellis 5 AST)23
70.7%
18
29.3%
Q1 - 4:03DETPISTONS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#1)20
67.1%
18
32.9%
Q1 - 4:29DALMarion Layup (4 PTS) (Ellis 4 AST)20
64.9%
18
35.1%
Q1 - 4:39DETMonroe 6' Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)18
63.2%
18
36.8%
Q1 - 4:56DALMarion 7' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Ellis 3 AST)18
64.9%
16
35.1%
Q1 - 5:14DETMonroe Layup (4 PTS)16
62.9%
16
37.1%
Q1 - 5:15DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)16
64.6%
14
35.4%
Q1 - 5:17DETMISS Monroe 6' Jump Shot16
66.0%
14
34.0%
Q1 - 5:32DALCarter 11' Jump Shot (2 PTS)16
64.6%
14
35.4%
Q1 - 5:54DALMavericks Rebound14
62.9%
14
37.1%
Q1 - 5:54DETMISS Monroe 5' Jump Shot14
62.3%
14
37.7%
Q1 - 5:56DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)14
60.8%
14
39.2%
Q1 - 5:57DETMISS Jennings 17' Jump Shot14
62.3%
14
37.7%
Q1 - 6:09DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
60.9%
14
39.1%
Q1 - 6:10DALMISS Nowitzki 27' 3PT Jump Shot14
61.5%
14
38.5%
Q1 - 6:14DALMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)14
62.9%
14
37.1%
Q1 - 6:16DETMISS Singler 3' Jump Shot14
62.3%
14
37.7%
Q1 - 6:36DALNowitzki 17' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Ellis 2 AST)14
60.9%
14
39.1%
Q1 - 6:51DETSmith 1' Driving Layup (7 PTS)12
59.1%
14
40.9%
Q1 - 6:57DALDrummond STEAL (1 STL)12
60.9%
12
39.1%
Q1 - 7:09DETSmith 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Jennings 2 AST)12
63.0%
12
37.0%
Q1 - 7:26DALNowitzki Layup (5 PTS) (Calderon 1 AST)12
66.2%
9
33.8%
Q1 - 7:38DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
64.7%
9
35.3%
Q1 - 7:39DETMISS Jennings 27' 3PT Jump Shot10
64.1%
9
35.9%
Q1 - 7:56DALCalderon 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)10
62.7%
9
37.3%
Q1 - 8:04DALDalembert REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)7
59.7%
9
40.3%
Q1 - 8:05DALMISS Ellis 6' Jump Shot7
58.4%
9
41.6%
Q1 - 8:12DALMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)7
59.7%
9
40.3%
Q1 - 8:13DALMISS Calderon 5' Jump Shot7
58.4%
9
41.6%
Q1 - 8:30DETJennings Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)7
59.7%
9
40.3%
Q1 - 8:38DALCalderon Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)7
61.3%
7
38.7%
Q1 - 8:41DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
63.2%
7
36.8%
Q1 - 8:42DETMISS Monroe 1' Layup7
62.6%
7
37.4%
Q1 - 8:55DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
61.3%
7
38.7%
Q1 - 8:56DALMISS Dalembert Free Throw 2 of 27
61.6%
7
38.4%
Q1 - 8:56DALMISS Dalembert Free Throw 1 of 27
62.7%
7
37.3%
Q1 - 9:07DETDrummond Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)7
63.5%
7
36.5%
Q1 - 9:07DETMISS Drummond Free Throw 1 of 27
64.3%
6
35.7%
Q1 - 9:23DALDalembert Layup (2 PTS)7
63.3%
6
36.7%
Q1 - 9:24DALDalembert REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)5
61.8%
6
38.2%
Q1 - 9:27DALDrummond BLOCK (1 BLK)5
60.5%
6
39.5%
Q1 - 9:30DALDalembert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)5
61.8%
6
38.2%
Q1 - 9:31DALMISS Nowitzki 15' Jump Shot5
60.5%
6
39.5%
Q1 - 9:54DETDrummond 1' Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Jennings 1 AST)5
61.8%
6
38.2%
Q1 - 9:59DETJennings REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
63.3%
4
36.7%
Q1 - 10:00DALMISS Calderon 17' Jump Shot5
63.9%
4
36.1%
Q1 - 10:11DETSmith Layup (2 PTS)5
65.1%
4
34.9%
Q1 - 10:30DALNowitzki 28' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Ellis 1 AST)5
66.5%
2
33.5%
Q1 - 10:39DALMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
63.5%
2
36.5%
Q1 - 10:40DETMISS Singler 21' Jump Shot2
63.0%
2
37.0%
Q1 - 11:09DALCalderon 5' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
61.9%
2
38.1%
Q1 - 11:20DETMonroe 1' Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Singler 1 AST)0
60.1%
2
39.9%
Q1 - 11:34DETSingler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
61.9%
0
38.1%
Q1 - 11:35DALMISS Marion 24' 3PT Jump Shot0
62.3%
0
37.7%
Q1 - 12:00DETJump Ball Drummond vs. Dalembert: Tip to Marion0
63.3%
0
36.7%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DAL
1.10 54.9%
DET
1.04 52.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DAL
22
40
55%
DET
27
43
63%
Midrange
DAL
14
27
52%
DET
11
28
39%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DAL
8
12.0
23
35%
52%
DET
2
3.0
11
18%
27%
Free Throws
DAL
17
22
77%
DET
20
30
67%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Nowitzki2457%12.0 / 21
V. Carter1856%9.0 / 16
M. Ellis1260%6.0 / 10
S. Dalembert1260%6.0 / 10
J. Calderon1161%5.5 / 9
S. Marion1042%5.0 / 12
B. Wright964%4.5 / 7
W. Ellington788%3.5 / 4
D. Harris650%3.0 / 6
D. Blair440%2.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Smith3276%16.0 / 21
G. Monroe1753%8.5 / 16
W. Bynum1761%8.5 / 14
R. Stuckey941%4.5 / 11
A. Drummond850%4.0 / 8
K. Singler739%3.5 / 9
K. Caldwell-Pope542%2.5 / 6
J. Jerebko5125%2.5 / 2
B. Jennings214%1.0 / 7
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DAL
85
+18
-14
103
DET
87
+11
-10
98
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DAL
1.10 54.9%
DET
1.04 52.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
110.7
106.2
DAL 114.1 +9.0
DET 105.2
Pace
94.1
94.7
DAL 91.9
DET 105.2 +13.3
Avg. Poss. Time
15.7
15.2
DAL 15.7
DET 13.7 +2.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.6%
48.2%
DAL 53.3% +3.3%
DET 50.0%
TO %
13.9%
14.7%
DAL 12.3%
DET 11.2% +1.1%
ORB %
24.7%
31.4%
DAL 34.8% +13.9%
DET 20.9%
FTrt
25.3
29.6
DAL 24.4
DET 36.6 +12.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
59.6%
53.9%
DAL 70.5% +18.0%
DET 52.5%
STL %
9.1%
8.8%
DAL 8.1% +0.9%
DET 7.2%
BLK %
7.4%
8.0%
DAL 8.5%
DET 9.0% +0.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.23 and 2.23.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.0%
50.3%
DAL 54.9% +2.9%
DET 52.0%
Rim FG%
60.9%
57.6%
DAL 55.0%
DET 62.8% +7.8%
Mid FG%
42.4%
35.4%
DAL 51.9% +12.6%
DET 39.3%
3P %
38.4%
32.1%
DAL 34.8% +16.6%
DET 18.2%
FT %
79.5%
67.0%
DAL 77.3% +10.6%
DET 66.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
32.8%
45.0%
DAL 44.4%
DET 52.4% +8.0%
Mid Att. %
39.9%
32.8%
DAL 30.0% +4.1%
DET 34.1%
3P Att. %
27.4%
22.2%
DAL 25.6% +12.1%
DET 13.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.89 and 2.89.
Game TotalsDALDET
Possessions9997
Possession Minutes25.922.1
Points113102
Rebounds5039
Assists3121
Steals87
Blocks66
Turnovers (Team)14 (0)10 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)16 (2)9 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)34 (3)30 (2)
Field Goals44-9040-82
At-the-Rim FG22-4027-43
Midrange FG14-2711-28
2-Point FG36-6738-71
3-Point FG8-232-11
Free Throws17-2220-30
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'3" 185 · 28
37.1
12
60%
1
13
3
0
2
2
0
1
2-2
100%
5-9
56%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 228 · 36
30.8
10
42%
11
2
1
0
0
2
4
7
0-0
-
5-9
56%
0-3
0%
F · 7'0" 245 · 36
30.6
24
57%
4
1
0
0
1
4
0
4
4-4
100%
7-12
58%
2-7
29%
G · 6'3" 200 · 32
29.1
11
61%
4
4
1
0
4
2
0
4
1-2
50%
2-4
50%
2-4
50%
C · 6'11" 255 · 34
24.7
12
60%
11
1
0
3
2
1
6
5
0-3
0%
6-9
67%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 37
29.5
18
56%
6
5
1
1
2
0
2
4
5-6
83%
2-7
29%
3-6
50%
G · 6'3" 185 · 31
18.9
6
50%
4
3
0
1
1
3
0
4
2-2
100%
2-4
50%
0-1
0%
G · 6'5" 200 · 26
15.7
7
88%
2
2
1
0
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
1-1
100%
1-2
50%
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 26
13.7
9
64%
4
0
0
1
0
3
1
3
1-1
100%
4-7
57%
0-0
-
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 25
9.6
4
40%
3
0
1
0
2
1
3
0
0-0
-
2-5
40%
0-0
-
G · 5'11" 175 · 21
0.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'6" 235 · 24
C · 6'10" 235 · 29
#7 · G · 6'7" 195 · 21
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#33 · G · 6'3" 191 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
113
55%
50
31
8
6
14
0
16
34
17-22
77%
36-67
54%
8-23
35%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.