FinalWin Prob.pScore
2456%103
101
2944%101
90
ORTG#PossPace
DEN logo DEN
111.09198.7
MIL logo MIL
101.18983.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

BucksNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

BucksNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDENMIL
Q4 - 0:00.0DEN101
100%
90
0%
Q4 - 0:02.0MILPachulia Traveling Turnover (P4.T14)101
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 0:02.0MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)101
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 0:03.0MILMISS Middleton 3PT Jump Shot101
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 0:12.0MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)101
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 0:13.0DENMISS Fournier 26' 3PT Jump Shot101
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 0:36.0MILIlyasova Layup (14 PTS) (Middleton 1 AST)101
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 0:47.0DENFaried Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)101
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 0:47.0DENFaried Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)100
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 0:52.0MILPachulia 17' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wolters 5 AST)99
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 1:02DENFoye 16' Jump Shot (12 PTS)99
99.9%
86
0.1%
Q4 - 1:26MILIlyasova Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)97
99.9%
86
0.1%
Q4 - 1:26MILIlyasova Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)97
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 1:26MILBUCKS Rebound97
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 1:26MILMISS Middleton 25' 3PT Jump Shot97
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 1:35MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)97
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 1:36DENMISS Hickson Free Throw 2 of 297
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 1:36DENMISS Hickson Free Throw 1 of 297
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 1:55DENFournier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)97
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 1:56MILMISS Ilyasova 25' 3PT Jump Shot97
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 2:14DENFournier 27' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Foye 10 AST)97
99.8%
84
0.2%
Q4 - 2:35MILAntetokounmpo 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Pachulia 2 AST)94
99.5%
84
0.5%
Q4 - 2:49DENHickson 6' Hook Shot (14 PTS) (Foye 9 AST)94
99.8%
81
0.2%
Q4 - 3:04MILPachulia Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)92
99.5%
81
0.5%
Q4 - 3:04MILPachulia Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)92
99.6%
80
0.4%
Q4 - 3:11DENFoye Layup (10 PTS)92
99.7%
79
0.3%
Q4 - 3:23MILWolters REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)90
99.5%
79
0.5%
Q4 - 3:23MILWolters 1' Tip Shot (12 PTS)90
99.5%
79
0.5%
Q4 - 3:25MILMISS Wolters 1' Layup90
99.8%
77
0.2%
Q4 - 3:47DENNuggets Turnover: Shot Clock (T#16)90
99.3%
77
0.7%
Q4 - 3:47DENNuggets Rebound90
99.5%
77
0.5%
Q4 - 3:47DENMISS Arthur 19' Jump Shot90
99.4%
77
0.6%
Q4 - 4:14MILMiddleton Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)90
99.5%
77
0.5%
Q4 - 4:14MILMiddleton Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)90
99.6%
76
0.4%
Q4 - 4:23DENMozgov 5' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Arthur 1 AST)90
99.7%
75
0.3%
Q4 - 4:39MILJump Ball Ilyasova vs. Faried: Tip to Mozgov88
99.6%
75
0.4%
Q4 - 4:39MILMISS Henson 1' Layup88
99.5%
75
0.5%
Q4 - 4:40MILHenson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)88
99.3%
75
0.7%
Q4 - 4:43MILMISS Middleton 1' Layup88
99.5%
75
0.5%
Q4 - 5:04DENFaried 1' Driving Layup (24 PTS)88
98.8%
75
1.2%
Q4 - 5:16DENFournier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)86
98.4%
75
1.6%
Q4 - 5:17MILMISS Ilyasova Layup86
98.2%
75
1.8%
Q4 - 5:26MILButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)86
97.7%
75
2.3%
Q4 - 5:29DENHenson BLOCK (1 BLK)86
98.0%
75
2.0%
Q4 - 5:36DENFaried REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)86
98.4%
75
1.6%
Q4 - 5:37MILMISS Butler 3PT Jump Shot86
98.2%
75
1.8%
Q4 - 5:53DENFournier 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Faried 2 AST)86
97.8%
75
2.2%
Q4 - 6:07MILButler Free Throw 3 of 3 (17 PTS)84
95.9%
75
4.1%
Q4 - 6:07MILMISS Butler Free Throw 2 of 384
96.1%
74
3.9%
Q4 - 6:07MILButler Free Throw 1 of 3 (16 PTS)84
95.0%
74
5.0%
Q4 - 6:12MILHenson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)84
96.8%
73
3.2%
Q4 - 6:13MILMISS Butler 25' 3PT Jump Shot84
97.5%
73
2.5%
Q4 - 6:38DENFaried REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)84
96.9%
73
3.1%
Q4 - 6:38DENFaried Dunk (22 PTS)84
96.9%
73
3.1%
Q4 - 6:39DENMISS Fournier 25' 3PT Jump Shot82
95.0%
73
5.0%
Q4 - 6:53DENFournier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)82
96.0%
73
4.0%
Q4 - 6:54MILMISS Mayo 25' 3PT Jump Shot82
95.6%
73
4.4%
Q4 - 7:15DENMozgov Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)82
93.4%
73
6.6%
Q4 - 7:15DENMozgov Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)81
93.0%
73
7.0%
Q4 - 7:31MILBUCKS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#13)80
91.7%
73
8.3%
Q4 - 7:31MILAntetokounmpo REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)80
89.0%
73
11.0%
Q4 - 7:32MILMISS Antetokounmpo 2' Layup80
90.9%
73
9.1%
Q4 - 7:55DENFournier 8' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Mozgov 1 AST)80
89.0%
73
11.0%
Q4 - 8:13DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)78
84.6%
73
15.4%
Q4 - 8:15MILMISS Wolters 1' Layup78
83.6%
73
16.4%
Q4 - 8:25MILAntetokounmpo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)78
81.0%
73
19.0%
Q4 - 8:27MILMISS Wolters 25' 3PT Jump Shot78
83.6%
73
16.4%
Q4 - 8:42MILMayo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)78
81.1%
73
18.9%
Q4 - 8:44DENMISS Fournier 19' Jump Shot78
82.2%
73
17.8%
Q4 - 8:54DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)78
84.7%
73
15.3%
Q4 - 8:55MILMISS Butler 16' Jump Shot78
83.7%
73
16.3%
Q4 - 9:19MILBUCKS Rebound78
79.7%
73
20.3%
Q4 - 9:19DENMISS Randolph 5' Jump Shot78
80.9%
73
19.1%
Q4 - 9:36MILHenson Traveling Turnover (P5.T12)78
83.4%
73
16.6%
Q4 - 9:49DENFournier Foul Turnover (P2.T15)78
79.8%
73
20.2%
Q4 - 9:54MILButler 17' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Antetokounmpo 4 AST)78
83.4%
73
16.6%
Q4 - 10:05MILButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)78
85.2%
71
14.8%
Q4 - 10:12DENButler BLOCK (2 BLK)78
86.1%
71
13.9%
Q4 - 10:40DENArthur REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)78
88.0%
71
12.0%
Q4 - 10:41MILMISS Henson 3' Hook Shot78
87.2%
71
12.8%
Q4 - 10:54MILBUCKS Rebound78
85.3%
71
14.7%
Q4 - 10:55DENMISS Arthur 13' Jump Shot78
86.2%
71
13.8%
Q4 - 11:14MILButler 10' Jump Shot (13 PTS)78
86.9%
71
13.1%
Q4 - 11:35DENMozgov Foul Turnover (P2.T14)78
89.1%
69
10.9%
Q4 - 11:45MILHenson 1' Alley Oop Layup (12 PTS) (Antetokounmpo 3 AST)78
91.1%
69
8.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0DEN78
92.7%
67
7.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0MILAntetokounmpo Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)78
94.0%
67
6.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0MILAntetokounmpo Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)78
94.4%
66
5.6%
Q3 - 0:01.0MILMayo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)78
94.5%
65
5.5%
Q3 - 0:02.0DENAntetokounmpo BLOCK (3 BLK)78
94.8%
65
5.2%
Q3 - 0:11.0MILPachulia Foul Turnover (P3.T11)78
95.5%
65
4.5%
Q3 - 0:30.0DENChandler 16' Jump Shot (15 PTS)78
94.6%
65
5.4%
Q3 - 0:38.0DENRandolph REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)76
93.4%
65
6.6%
Q3 - 0:39.0MILMISS Wolters 27' 3PT Jump Shot76
93.0%
65
7.0%
Q3 - 1:02DENMozgov Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)76
91.2%
65
8.8%
Q3 - 1:02DENMozgov Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)75
90.9%
65
9.1%
Q3 - 1:25MILHenson 1' Layup (10 PTS) (Antetokounmpo 2 AST)74
89.5%
65
10.5%
Q3 - 1:39DENMozgov Foul Turnover (P1.T13)74
91.3%
63
8.7%
Q3 - 1:51MILPachulia Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)74
92.7%
63
7.3%
Q3 - 2:10DENChandler 1' Dunk (13 PTS)74
90.3%
63
9.7%
Q3 - 2:18DENArthur REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)72
88.6%
63
11.4%
Q3 - 2:19MILMISS Mayo 26' 3PT Jump Shot72
88.0%
63
12.0%
Q3 - 2:24MILBUCKS Rebound72
86.5%
63
13.5%
Q3 - 2:24MILMISS Wolters 3' Jump Shot72
88.0%
63
12.0%
Q3 - 2:29MILWolters REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)72
86.5%
63
13.5%
Q3 - 2:30DENMISS Fournier 28' 3PT Jump Shot72
87.2%
63
12.8%
Q3 - 2:44MILMiddleton 1' Running Layup (4 PTS)72
88.7%
63
11.3%
Q3 - 3:07DENFaried 2' Layup (20 PTS) (Fournier 3 AST)72
89.6%
61
10.4%
Q3 - 3:16DENChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)70
88.0%
61
12.0%
Q3 - 3:17MILMISS Wolters 18' Jump Shot70
87.3%
61
12.7%
Q3 - 3:34DENChandler 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Foye 8 AST)70
85.8%
61
14.2%
Q3 - 3:52MILWolters Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)67
81.1%
61
18.9%
Q3 - 4:09DENHickson Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)67
77.0%
61
23.0%
Q3 - 4:25MILMayo 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Wolters 4 AST)64
71.2%
61
28.8%
Q3 - 4:34DENRandolph Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T12)64
77.1%
58
22.9%
Q3 - 4:51MILWolters 1' Reverse Layup (10 PTS)64
80.6%
58
19.4%
Q3 - 4:59MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)64
82.6%
56
17.4%
Q3 - 5:00DENMISS Faried 4' Jump Shot64
83.5%
56
16.5%
Q3 - 5:17MILPachulia Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)64
84.5%
56
15.5%
Q3 - 5:35DENRandolph 1' Layup (8 PTS) (Hickson 1 AST)64
81.9%
56
18.1%
Q3 - 5:39DENHickson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)62
79.7%
56
20.3%
Q3 - 5:41DENMISS Randolph 25' 3PT Jump Shot62
77.5%
56
22.5%
Q3 - 6:01MILAntetokounmpo 1' Dunk (6 PTS)62
79.1%
56
20.9%
Q3 - 6:04DENAntetokounmpo STEAL (2 STL)62
81.3%
54
18.7%
Q3 - 6:15MILIlyasova Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)62
83.9%
54
16.1%
Q3 - 6:15MILMISS Ilyasova Free Throw 1 of 262
84.2%
53
15.8%
Q3 - 6:15MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)62
83.6%
53
16.4%
Q3 - 6:15MILMISS Butler 5' Jump Shot62
85.3%
53
14.7%
Q3 - 6:43DENFaried 1' Alley Oop Dunk (18 PTS) (Foye 6 AST)62
83.7%
53
16.3%
Q3 - 6:48MILHenson Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T7)60
81.6%
53
18.4%
Q3 - 7:04DENHickson 1' Layup (9 PTS) (Foye 5 AST)60
78.1%
53
21.9%
Q3 - 7:11DENChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)58
75.6%
53
24.4%
Q3 - 7:12MILMISS Butler 1' Layup58
74.7%
53
25.3%
Q3 - 7:32DENFaried 1' Alley Oop Dunk (16 PTS) (Foye 4 AST)58
72.4%
53
27.6%
Q3 - 7:41MILIlyasova 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Wolters 3 AST)56
69.5%
53
30.5%
Q3 - 7:52MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)56
75.4%
50
24.6%
Q3 - 7:53DENMISS Hickson 3' Jump Shot56
76.4%
50
23.6%
Q3 - 8:06DENRandolph REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)56
78.1%
50
21.9%
Q3 - 8:07MILMISS Middleton 3PT Jump Shot56
77.2%
50
22.8%
Q3 - 8:23DENRandolph 1' Driving Layup (6 PTS)56
75.0%
50
25.0%
Q3 - 8:36DENFaried REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)54
72.5%
50
27.5%
Q3 - 8:37MILMISS Middleton 25' 3PT Jump Shot54
71.4%
50
28.6%
Q3 - 8:56DENHickson 1' Dunk (7 PTS)54
68.9%
50
31.1%
Q3 - 9:21MILHenson 5' Hook Bank Shot (8 PTS)52
65.7%
50
34.3%
Q3 - 9:37DENChandler Traveling Turnover (P1.T10)52
68.8%
48
31.2%
Q3 - 9:45MILHenson Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T6)52
72.0%
48
28.0%
Q3 - 10:03MILHenson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)52
68.9%
48
31.1%
Q3 - 10:04DENMISS Randolph 19' Jump Shot52
69.8%
48
30.2%
Q3 - 10:20MILHenson 1' Dunk (6 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)52
71.9%
48
28.1%
Q3 - 10:29DENFaried 4' Turnaround Hook Shot (14 PTS)52
74.6%
46
25.4%
Q3 - 10:45MILIlyasova Layup (6 PTS) (Wolters 2 AST)50
71.9%
46
28.1%
Q3 - 10:56MILHenson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)50
74.6%
44
25.4%
Q3 - 10:57DENMISS Foye 10' Jump Shot50
75.5%
44
24.5%
Q3 - 11:22MILWolters 5' Jump Shot (8 PTS)50
77.0%
44
23.0%
Q3 - 11:45DENFaried Foul Turnover (P3.T9)50
79.3%
42
20.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIL50
81.6%
42
18.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)50
79.3%
42
20.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0DENMISS Fournier 6' Jump Shot50
80.0%
42
20.0%
Q2 - 0:01.0DENFournier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)50
80.5%
42
19.5%
Q2 - 0:02.0DENMISS Foye 25' 3PT Jump Shot50
79.4%
42
20.6%
Q2 - 0:21.0DENChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)50
80.5%
42
19.5%
Q2 - 0:22.0DENMISS Hickson Free Throw 2 of 250
79.1%
42
20.9%
Q2 - 0:22.0DENMISS Hickson Free Throw 1 of 250
80.3%
42
19.7%
Q2 - 0:33.0MILMayo Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)50
80.6%
42
19.4%
Q2 - 0:48.0DENChandler 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Foye 3 AST)50
78.9%
42
21.1%
Q2 - 0:53.0DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)47
73.6%
42
26.4%
Q2 - 0:55.0MILMISS Butler 2' Layup47
73.0%
42
27.0%
Q2 - 1:10DENMozgov 1' Layup (8 PTS)47
71.4%
42
28.6%
Q2 - 1:12DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)45
67.7%
42
32.3%
Q2 - 1:14DENAntetokounmpo BLOCK (2 BLK)45
66.5%
42
33.5%
Q2 - 1:28DENHickson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)45
67.8%
42
32.2%
Q2 - 1:30MILMISS Ilyasova 1' Layup45
67.2%
42
32.8%
Q2 - 1:46MILMayo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)45
65.9%
42
34.1%
Q2 - 1:47DENMISS Chandler 8' Jump Shot45
66.5%
42
33.5%
Q2 - 2:10MILMayo 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS)45
68.0%
42
32.0%
Q2 - 2:22MILHenson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)45
70.6%
40
29.4%
Q2 - 2:24MILMISS Butler 26' 3PT Jump Shot45
72.4%
40
27.6%
Q2 - 2:43DENHickson Traveling Turnover (P2.T8)45
70.6%
40
29.4%
Q2 - 3:01MILButler 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Antetokounmpo 1 AST)45
73.1%
40
26.9%
Q2 - 3:07MILAntetokounmpo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)45
77.2%
37
22.8%
Q2 - 3:08MILMISS Ilyasova 16' Jump Shot45
78.9%
37
21.1%
Q2 - 3:13MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)45
77.2%
37
22.8%
Q2 - 3:15DENButler BLOCK (1 BLK)45
77.9%
37
22.1%
Q2 - 3:47MILIlyasova Layup (4 PTS) (Henson 2 AST)45
79.6%
37
20.4%
Q2 - 3:52DENButler STEAL (1 STL)45
81.1%
35
18.9%
Q2 - 3:55MILHenson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)45
83.3%
35
16.7%
Q2 - 4:07MILBUCKS Rebound45
80.6%
35
19.4%
Q2 - 4:08DENMISS Foye 26' 3PT Jump Shot45
81.1%
35
18.9%
Q2 - 4:31MILHenson Reverse Layup (4 PTS)45
82.4%
35
17.6%
Q2 - 4:50MILHenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)45
84.0%
33
16.0%
Q2 - 4:51DENMISS Randolph 24' 3PT Jump Shot45
84.5%
33
15.5%
Q2 - 5:00DENChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)45
85.6%
33
14.4%
Q2 - 5:01MILMISS Butler 16' Jump Shot45
84.7%
33
15.3%
Q2 - 5:08MILButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)45
83.7%
33
16.3%
Q2 - 5:10DENMISS Faried 4' Jump Hook Shot45
84.1%
33
15.9%
Q2 - 5:31MILBUCKS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#3)45
85.1%
33
14.9%
Q2 - 5:56DENFaried 16' Jump Shot (12 PTS)45
83.7%
33
16.3%
Q2 - 6:09DENHickson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)43
81.8%
33
18.2%
Q2 - 6:10DENMISS Randolph Free Throw 2 of 243
80.0%
33
20.0%
Q2 - 6:10DENRandolph Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)43
81.1%
33
18.9%
Q2 - 6:14MILButler Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)42
80.1%
33
19.9%
Q2 - 6:19DENIlyasova STEAL (1 STL)42
77.9%
33
22.1%
Q2 - 6:23DENHickson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)42
80.1%
33
19.9%
Q2 - 6:25MILMISS Wolters 18' Jump Shot42
79.4%
33
20.6%
Q2 - 6:50DENHickson Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)42
77.9%
33
22.1%
Q2 - 6:50DENMISS Hickson Free Throw 1 of 241
77.3%
33
22.7%
Q2 - 6:50DENHickson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)41
78.3%
33
21.7%
Q2 - 6:51DENMISS Hickson Layup41
76.7%
33
23.3%
Q2 - 7:15MILWolters 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS)41
77.7%
33
22.3%
Q2 - 7:26DENArthur 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Faried 1 AST)41
79.3%
31
20.7%
Q2 - 7:47MILWolters 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS)38
75.9%
31
24.1%
Q2 - 8:09DENMozgov 1' Layup (6 PTS) (Foye 2 AST)38
77.1%
29
22.9%
Q2 - 8:19DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)36
75.3%
29
24.7%
Q2 - 8:23MILMISS Mayo 25' 3PT Jump Shot36
74.7%
29
25.3%
Q2 - 8:31MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)36
73.2%
29
26.8%
Q2 - 8:34DENFaried REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)36
75.3%
29
24.7%
Q2 - 8:34DENMISS Faried 1' Tip Shot36
73.9%
29
26.1%
Q2 - 8:35DENMISS Faried 2' Layup36
73.9%
29
26.1%
Q2 - 8:47MILMayo 1' Driving Layup (6 PTS)36
75.3%
29
24.7%
Q2 - 9:10DENFaried Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)36
76.7%
27
23.3%
Q2 - 9:19MILMISS Ilyasova 7' Running Jump Shot33
72.4%
27
27.6%
Q2 - 9:19DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)33
70.8%
27
29.2%
Q2 - 9:36MILBUCKS Rebound33
70.8%
27
29.2%
Q2 - 9:38DENAntetokounmpo BLOCK (1 BLK)33
71.5%
27
28.5%
Q2 - 9:47DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)33
73.0%
27
27.0%
Q2 - 9:48MILMISS Antetokounmpo 26' 3PT Jump Shot33
72.4%
27
27.6%
Q2 - 10:00MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)33
70.9%
27
29.1%
Q2 - 10:01DENMISS Mozgov 5' Jump Shot33
71.1%
27
28.9%
Q2 - 10:22MILAntetokounmpo Free Throw 1 of 1 (4 PTS)33
72.8%
27
27.2%
Q2 - 10:25DENAntetokounmpo STEAL (1 STL)33
76.2%
24
23.8%
Q2 - 10:27DENFournier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)33
78.2%
24
21.8%
Q2 - 10:28DENMISS Arthur 17' Jump Shot33
76.8%
24
23.2%
Q2 - 10:41DENNuggets Rebound33
78.3%
24
21.7%
Q2 - 10:41MILMISS Pachulia 2' Layup33
77.6%
24
22.4%
Q2 - 10:42MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)33
76.2%
24
23.8%
Q2 - 10:45MILMISS Ilyasova 1' Layup33
77.7%
24
22.3%
Q2 - 10:55DENFoye 23' Jump Bank Shot (8 PTS)33
76.2%
24
23.8%
Q2 - 11:19MILMayo 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Pachulia 1 AST)31
74.1%
24
25.9%
Q2 - 11:40DENFoye Traveling Turnover (P2.T4)31
75.8%
22
24.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0DEN31
77.7%
22
22.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0MILRaduljica REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
75.8%
22
24.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)31
77.7%
22
22.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0DENMISS Mozgov 1' Tip Shot31
76.4%
22
23.6%
Q1 - 0:01.0DENMISS Foye Layup31
76.1%
22
23.9%
Q1 - 0:10.0MILAntetokounmpo Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)31
76.9%
22
23.1%
Q1 - 0:10.0MILMISS Antetokounmpo Free Throw 1 of 231
77.4%
21
22.6%
Q1 - 0:28.0DENArthur 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)31
77.4%
21
22.6%
Q1 - 0:35.0DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
75.2%
21
24.8%
Q1 - 0:37.0MILMISS Antetokounmpo 11' Jump Shot29
74.8%
21
25.2%
Q1 - 0:44.0DENMozgov Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)29
73.9%
21
26.1%
Q1 - 0:44.0DENMozgov Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)28
73.5%
21
26.5%
Q1 - 0:55.0MILMayo 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)27
71.6%
21
28.4%
Q1 - 1:05DENMozgov Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)27
73.7%
19
26.3%
Q1 - 1:05DENMozgov Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)26
73.3%
19
26.7%
Q1 - 1:14MILRaduljica Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)25
71.4%
19
28.6%
Q1 - 1:14MILRaduljica Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)25
71.8%
18
28.2%
Q1 - 1:27MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)25
73.7%
17
26.3%
Q1 - 1:28MILMISS Middleton 24' 3PT Jump Shot25
74.6%
17
25.4%
Q1 - 1:54MILBUCKS Rebound25
73.7%
17
26.3%
Q1 - 1:55DENMISS Mozgov Free Throw 2 of 225
73.9%
17
26.1%
Q1 - 1:55DENMISS Mozgov Free Throw 1 of 225
75.1%
17
24.9%
Q1 - 1:59DENChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
75.0%
17
25.0%
Q1 - 2:00MILMISS Antetokounmpo 25' 3PT Jump Shot25
74.6%
17
25.4%
Q1 - 2:22MILAntetokounmpo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
73.4%
17
26.6%
Q1 - 2:24DENMISS Mozgov 7' Hook Shot25
73.9%
17
26.1%
Q1 - 2:52MILWolters 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Henson 1 AST)25
75.0%
17
25.0%
Q1 - 3:08DENChandler 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Fournier 1 AST)25
76.4%
15
23.6%
Q1 - 3:17MILButler 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS)22
73.2%
15
26.8%
Q1 - 3:40MILBUCKS Rebound22
74.8%
13
25.2%
Q1 - 3:41DENMISS Randolph Free Throw 2 of 222
75.1%
13
24.9%
Q1 - 3:41DENMISS Randolph Free Throw 1 of 222
76.1%
13
23.9%
Q1 - 3:43MILHenson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)22
76.6%
13
23.4%
Q1 - 3:49MILHenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
74.8%
13
25.2%
Q1 - 3:50DENMISS Randolph 24' 3PT Jump Shot22
75.4%
13
24.6%
Q1 - 4:00MILHenson 8' Hook Shot (2 PTS)22
76.6%
13
23.4%
Q1 - 4:20MILButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
77.6%
11
22.4%
Q1 - 4:21DENMISS Faried Free Throw 2 of 222
77.8%
11
22.2%
Q1 - 4:21DENFaried Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)22
78.6%
11
21.4%
Q1 - 4:25MILButler 15' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS)21
77.8%
11
22.2%
Q1 - 4:47DENChandler Dunk (2 PTS) (Randolph 3 AST)21
79.1%
9
20.9%
Q1 - 4:58DENNuggets Rebound19
77.8%
9
22.2%
Q1 - 4:58MILMISS Pachulia 1' Layup19
77.3%
9
22.7%
Q1 - 5:09MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
75.1%
9
24.9%
Q1 - 5:12DENMISS Foye 26' 3PT Jump Shot19
75.6%
9
24.4%
Q1 - 5:21DENHickson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)19
76.8%
9
23.2%
Q1 - 5:22MILMISS Middleton 10' Jump Shot19
76.3%
9
23.7%
Q1 - 5:45DENFoye 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Randolph 2 AST)19
75.2%
9
24.8%
Q1 - 5:49DENRandolph REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
72.2%
9
27.8%
Q1 - 5:50MILMISS Ilyasova 17' Jump Shot16
71.6%
9
28.4%
Q1 - 6:04DENHickson 2' Hook Shot (4 PTS)16
69.8%
9
30.2%
Q1 - 6:18DENChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
68.3%
9
31.7%
Q1 - 6:20MILMISS Butler 15' Jump Shot14
67.7%
9
32.3%
Q1 - 6:32DENFoye Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)14
66.4%
9
33.6%
Q1 - 6:37MILButler 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Wolters 1 AST)14
68.3%
9
31.7%
Q1 - 6:49DENRandolph 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Foye 1 AST)14
69.8%
7
30.2%
Q1 - 6:58DENHickson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)11
66.6%
7
33.4%
Q1 - 6:59MILMISS Ilyasova 26' 3PT Jump Shot11
66.0%
7
34.0%
Q1 - 7:13DENFaried Foul Turnover (P1.T2)11
64.4%
7
35.6%
Q1 - 7:29MILMiddleton 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)11
66.4%
7
33.6%
Q1 - 7:50DENFaried REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)11
67.8%
5
32.2%
Q1 - 7:50DENFaried 1' Dunk (6 PTS)11
67.8%
5
32.2%
Q1 - 7:52DENMISS Randolph 2' Layup9
65.0%
5
35.0%
Q1 - 8:17MILButler 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)9
66.4%
5
33.6%
Q1 - 8:40DENHickson Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)9
67.8%
3
32.2%
Q1 - 8:53DENHickson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)9
69.6%
3
30.4%
Q1 - 8:55MILMISS Pachulia 7' Jump Shot9
69.0%
3
31.0%
Q1 - 9:18DENHickson 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Chandler 1 AST)9
67.8%
3
32.2%
Q1 - 9:36MILPachulia Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)7
66.4%
3
33.6%
Q1 - 9:36MILMISS Pachulia Free Throw 1 of 27
66.7%
2
33.3%
Q1 - 9:50DENFaried 4' Jump Hook Shot (4 PTS)7
66.2%
2
33.8%
Q1 - 10:12DENHickson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)5
64.6%
2
35.4%
Q1 - 10:13MILMISS Wolters 18' Jump Shot5
64.0%
2
36.0%
Q1 - 10:27DENFaried REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)5
62.8%
2
37.2%
Q1 - 10:27DENFaried 1' Tip Shot (2 PTS)5
62.8%
2
37.2%
Q1 - 10:31DENMISS Chandler 2' Layup3
60.1%
2
39.9%
Q1 - 10:40DENHickson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
61.4%
2
38.6%
Q1 - 10:41MILMISS Ilyasova 13' Jump Shot3
60.8%
2
39.2%
Q1 - 10:53MILMiddleton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
59.6%
2
40.4%
Q1 - 10:55DENMISS Foye 25' 3PT Jump Shot3
60.1%
2
39.9%
Q1 - 11:03MILIlyasova 1' Reverse Layup (2 PTS)3
61.0%
2
39.0%
Q1 - 11:05MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)3
62.8%
0
37.2%
Q1 - 11:06MILMISS Butler 23' Jump Shot3
63.8%
0
36.2%
Q1 - 11:23DENFoye 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Randolph 1 AST)3
62.8%
0
37.2%
Q1 - 11:34DENNuggets Rebound0
59.5%
0
40.5%
Q1 - 11:34MILMISS Pachulia 8' Jump Shot0
59.0%
0
41.0%
Q1 - 12:00MILJump Ball Pachulia vs. Hickson: Tip to Wolters0
58.0%
0
42.0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.10 54.9%
MIL
0.96 47.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DEN
23
39
59%
MIL
19
34
56%
Midrange
DEN
8
19
42%
MIL
12
27
44%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DEN
8
12.0
18
44%
67%
MIL
4
6.0
21
19%
29%
Free Throws
DEN
15
26
58%
MIL
16
20
80%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Faried2676%13.0 / 17
W. Chandler1594%7.5 / 8
J. Hickson1458%7.0 / 12
T. Mozgov1464%7.0 / 11
R. Foye1250%6.0 / 12
A. Randolph831%4.0 / 13
E. Fournier739%3.5 / 9
D. Arthur542%2.5 / 6
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Butler1747%8.5 / 18
E. Ilyasova1444%7.0 / 16
N. Wolters1243%6.0 / 14
J. Henson1275%6.0 / 8
G. Antetokounmpo1161%5.5 / 9
O. Mayo1169%5.5 / 8
K. Middleton630%3.0 / 10
Z. Pachulia542%2.5 / 6
M. Raduljica2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DEN
76
+14
-15
90
MIL
77
+14
-12
91
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.10 54.9%
MIL
0.96 47.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.3
103.2
DEN 111.0 +9.9
MIL 101.1
Pace
97.8
91.7
DEN 98.7 +15.5
MIL 83.2
Avg. Poss. Time
14.2
15.9
DEN 14.6 +2.7
MIL 17.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.7%
47.9%
DEN 56.6% +11.5%
MIL 45.1%
TO %
15.7%
15.4%
DEN 15.5%
MIL 13.4% +2.1%
ORB %
27.5%
27.1%
DEN 35.1% +5.1%
MIL 30.0%
FTrt
30.6
27.4
DEN 34.2 +9.8
MIL 24.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.4%
59.6%
DEN 56.4% +13.5%
MIL 42.9%
STL %
7.6%
7.1%
DEN 6.6% +2.1%
MIL 4.5%
BLK %
8.6%
8.2%
DEN 9.8%
MIL 10.3% +0.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.2%
50.4%
DEN 54.9% +7.0%
MIL 47.9%
Rim FG%
57.6%
54.2%
DEN 59.0% +3.1%
MIL 55.9%
Mid FG%
36.2%
38.3%
DEN 42.1%
MIL 44.4% +2.3%
3P %
35.8%
35.3%
DEN 44.4% +25.4%
MIL 19.0%
FT %
72.6%
74.7%
DEN 57.7%
MIL 80.0% +22.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
40.2%
39.1%
DEN 51.3% +9.9%
MIL 41.5%
Mid Att. %
32.0%
37.9%
DEN 25.0% +7.9%
MIL 32.9%
3P Att. %
27.8%
23.1%
DEN 23.7%
MIL 25.6% +1.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsDENMIL
Possessions9189
Possession Minutes22.125.7
Points10190
Rebounds4136
Assists2215
Steals64
Blocks66
Turnovers (Team)15 (1)12 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)13 (1)12 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)28 (4)24 (6)
Field Goals39-7635-82
At-the-Rim FG23-3919-34
Midrange FG8-1912-27
2-Point FG31-5831-61
3-Point FG8-184-21
Free Throws15-2616-20
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'4" 218 · 30
39.8
12
50%
0
10
1
2
4
1
0
0
0-0
-
3-6
50%
2-6
33%
F · 6'8" 228 · 24
38.5
26
76%
6
2
1
0
3
1
4
2
4-5
80%
11-15
73%
0-0
-
G · 6'9" 225 · 27
32.0
15
94%
6
1
0
0
1
1
1
5
0-0
-
3-5
60%
3-3
100%
C · 6'9" 242 · 25
29.0
14
58%
10
1
2
0
2
2
3
7
2-7
29%
6-9
67%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 225 · 25
27.8
8
31%
3
3
2
0
1
3
0
3
1-4
25%
2-7
29%
1-4
25%
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 21
27.4
7
39%
5
3
0
0
2
2
2
3
0-0
-
2-5
40%
1-4
25%
C · 7'1" 275 · 28
23.1
14
64%
9
1
0
3
2
6
2
7
8-10
80%
3-6
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 235 · 26
22.5
5
42%
2
1
0
1
0
4
0
2
0-0
-
1-5
20%
1-1
100%
G · 5'11" 195 · 26
F · 6'9" 210 · 21
G · 6'0" 161 · 29
G · 5'9" 180 · 30
F · 7'0" 242 · 24
#8 · F · 6'10" 225 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#34 · C · 7'0" 270 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
101
55%
41
22
6
6
15
0
13
28
15-26
58%
31-58
53%
8-18
44%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.