FinalWin Prob.pScore
352%104
117
848%103
106
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
125.89397.0
DAL logo DAL
115.29288.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MavericksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MavericksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIADAL
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA117
100%
106
0%
Q4 - 0:10.0DALEllington 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (3 PTS)117
99.9%
106
0.1%
Q4 - 0:15.0MIAAndersen 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Chalmers 9 AST)117
99.9%
103
0.1%
Q4 - 0:36.0DALCrowder 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (James 1 AST)114
99.9%
103
0.1%
Q4 - 0:39.0DALJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)114
99.9%
100
0.1%
Q4 - 0:40.0DALMISS Ellington 25' 3PT Jump Shot114
99.9%
100
0.1%
Q4 - 0:53.0MIAAndersen Alley Oop Dunk (15 PTS) (James 6 AST)114
99.9%
100
0.1%
Q4 - 1:05MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)112
99.9%
100
0.1%
Q4 - 1:06DALMISS Nowitzki 19' Jump Shot112
99.9%
100
0.1%
Q4 - 1:18MIAAndersen Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)112
99.9%
100
0.1%
Q4 - 1:35DALDalembert REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)108
99.0%
100
1.0%
Q4 - 1:35DALDalembert Putback Dunk (7 PTS)108
99.0%
100
1.0%
Q4 - 1:35DALMISS Ellis 1' Driving Layup108
99.6%
98
0.4%
Q4 - 1:40MIAEllis STEAL (3 STL)108
99.3%
98
0.7%
Q4 - 1:58DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)108
99.5%
98
0.5%
Q4 - 1:58DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)108
99.5%
97
0.5%
Q4 - 1:58DALCarter REBOUND (Off:6 Def:1)108
99.7%
96
0.3%
Q4 - 2:00DALMISS Ellis 4' Driving Jump Shot108
99.8%
96
0.2%
Q4 - 2:14MIAJames 1' Driving Layup (42 PTS)108
99.6%
96
0.4%
Q4 - 2:29DALDalembert Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)106
99.5%
96
0.5%
Q4 - 2:29DALMISS Dalembert Free Throw 1 of 2106
99.5%
95
0.5%
Q4 - 2:43DALDalembert REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)106
99.4%
95
0.6%
Q4 - 2:44MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot106
99.5%
95
0.5%
Q4 - 3:01MIAJames REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)106
99.5%
95
0.5%
Q4 - 3:02DALMISS Ellis 19' Jump Shot106
99.4%
95
0.6%
Q4 - 3:21MIAAndersen Slam Dunk (12 PTS) (James 5 AST)106
99.1%
95
0.9%
Q4 - 3:30MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)104
98.8%
95
1.2%
Q4 - 3:31DALMISS Wright 6' Turnaround Hook Shot104
97.1%
95
2.9%
Q4 - 3:49MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (40 PTS)104
96.5%
95
3.5%
Q4 - 3:49MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (39 PTS)103
96.2%
95
3.8%
Q4 - 3:58MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)102
95.3%
95
4.7%
Q4 - 3:59MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot102
93.8%
95
6.2%
Q4 - 4:18MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)102
95.4%
95
4.6%
Q4 - 4:20DALMISS Ellis 1' Driving Layup102
94.8%
95
5.2%
Q4 - 4:35DALMarion REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)102
93.3%
95
6.7%
Q4 - 4:37MIAMISS Andersen 17' Jump Shot102
94.0%
95
6.0%
Q4 - 4:50MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)102
95.5%
95
4.5%
Q4 - 4:51DALMISS Marion 9' Jump Shot102
94.9%
95
5.1%
Q4 - 5:08MIAAndersen 2' Slam Dunk (10 PTS) (Chalmers 8 AST)102
90.9%
95
9.1%
Q4 - 5:22MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)100
88.1%
95
11.9%
Q4 - 5:23DALMISS Nowitzki 12' Jump Shot100
86.9%
95
13.1%
Q4 - 5:55MIAJames 1' Running Slam Dunk (38 PTS) (Chalmers 7 AST)100
83.8%
95
16.2%
Q4 - 6:00DALHarris Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T16)98
79.2%
95
20.8%
Q4 - 6:03DALWright REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)98
70.7%
95
29.3%
Q4 - 6:04DALMISS Wright 10' Jump Shot98
75.4%
95
24.6%
Q4 - 6:22DALEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)98
70.8%
95
29.2%
Q4 - 6:24MIAMISS James 26' 3PT Jump Shot98
72.9%
95
27.1%
Q4 - 6:36MIAHeat Rebound98
77.4%
95
22.6%
Q4 - 6:36DALMISS Carter 24' 3PT Jump Shot98
75.5%
95
24.5%
Q4 - 6:58MIAJames 24' 3PT Jump Shot (36 PTS) (Chalmers 6 AST)98
70.8%
95
29.2%
Q4 - 7:12DALCarter Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T15)95
57.8%
95
42.2%
Q4 - 7:23MIAJames 24' 3PT Jump Shot (33 PTS)95
50.2%
95
49.8%
Q4 - 7:29DALMarion Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T14)92
37.2%
95
62.8%
Q4 - 7:33MIAMarion STEAL (1 STL)92
30.3%
95
69.7%
Q4 - 7:47DALCarter Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)92
37.1%
95
62.9%
Q4 - 8:00MIAWade 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (13 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)92
57.1%
91
42.9%
Q4 - 8:05DALCarter Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T13)90
50.7%
91
49.3%
Q4 - 8:11DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)90
44.4%
91
55.6%
Q4 - 8:12MIAMISS Andersen 2' Reverse Layup90
46.3%
91
53.7%
Q4 - 8:24DALHarris Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)90
50.8%
91
49.2%
Q4 - 8:50MIAWade 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)90
44.4%
91
55.6%
Q4 - 9:10DALWright 1' Running Finger Roll Layup (12 PTS) (Nowitzki 7 AST)88
39.1%
91
60.9%
Q4 - 9:21DALWright REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)88
45.0%
89
55.0%
Q4 - 9:22MIAMISS Bosh 3PT Jump Shot88
46.8%
89
53.2%
Q4 - 9:43DALNowitzki 15' Jump Shot (20 PTS)88
50.9%
89
49.1%
Q4 - 9:57DALHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)88
57.0%
87
43.0%
Q4 - 9:58MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot88
58.7%
87
41.3%
Q4 - 10:06MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)88
62.0%
87
38.0%
Q4 - 10:07DALMISS Crowder 8' Driving Jump Shot88
60.4%
87
39.6%
Q4 - 10:27MIABosh 2' Jump Bank Shot (19 PTS)88
56.6%
87
43.4%
Q4 - 10:39DALHarris Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)86
51.0%
87
49.0%
Q4 - 10:39DALHarris Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)86
52.1%
86
47.9%
Q4 - 10:46DALCarter REBOUND (Off:5 Def:1)86
56.6%
85
43.4%
Q4 - 10:47DALMISS Harris 18' Step Back Jump Shot86
60.4%
85
39.6%
Q4 - 11:01DALCrowder REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)86
56.2%
85
43.8%
Q4 - 11:02DALMISS Nowitzki 18' Jump Shot86
59.9%
85
40.1%
Q4 - 11:06DALWright REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)86
56.2%
85
43.8%
Q4 - 11:07DALMISS Wright 9' Running Jump Shot86
59.9%
85
40.1%
Q4 - 11:16DALWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)86
56.2%
85
43.8%
Q4 - 11:17DALMISS Carter 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup86
59.9%
85
40.1%
Q4 - 11:38MIAAndersen Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)86
56.2%
85
43.8%
Q4 - 11:38MIAAndersen Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)85
54.7%
85
45.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0DAL84
50.9%
85
49.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0DALMAVERICKS Rebound84
45.5%
85
54.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0DALCarter REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)84
45.5%
85
54.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0DALMISS Carter 2' Tip Shot84
49.3%
85
50.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0DALMISS Calderon 16' Fadeaway Jumper84
49.3%
85
50.7%
Q3 - 0:17.0MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (30 PTS)84
46.1%
85
53.9%
Q3 - 0:17.0MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 283
45.1%
85
54.9%
Q3 - 0:17.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)83
45.9%
85
54.1%
Q3 - 0:17.0MIAMISS Wade 2' Driving Layup83
42.6%
85
57.4%
Q3 - 0:32.0DALHarris Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)83
45.9%
85
54.1%
Q3 - 0:32.0DALHarris Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)83
46.9%
84
53.1%
Q3 - 0:41.0MIAJames 26' 3PT Jump Shot (29 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)83
51.2%
83
48.8%
Q3 - 0:53.0DALWright Slam Dunk (10 PTS) (Harris 4 AST)80
40.9%
83
59.1%
Q3 - 1:03MIACole Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T10)80
46.4%
81
53.6%
Q3 - 1:20DALCarter Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)80
51.2%
81
48.8%
Q3 - 1:20DALCarter Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)80
52.0%
80
48.0%
Q3 - 1:20DALCarter REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)80
56.2%
79
43.8%
Q3 - 1:20DALMISS Nowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot80
59.4%
79
40.6%
Q3 - 1:26DALHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)80
56.2%
79
43.8%
Q3 - 1:27MIAMISS Battier 8' Driving Jump Shot80
57.6%
79
42.4%
Q3 - 1:50DALNowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Harris 3 AST)80
60.8%
79
39.2%
Q3 - 2:02MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)80
68.6%
76
31.4%
Q3 - 2:02MIAAndersen Tip Shot (6 PTS)80
68.6%
76
31.4%
Q3 - 2:03MIAMISS Cole 1' Driving Reverse Layup78
61.5%
76
38.5%
Q3 - 2:19MIAHeat Rebound78
64.7%
76
35.3%
Q3 - 2:20DALMISS Carter 25' 3PT Jump Shot78
63.3%
76
36.7%
Q3 - 2:38DALHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)78
60.2%
76
39.8%
Q3 - 2:40MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Fadeaway Jumper78
61.6%
76
38.4%
Q3 - 3:03DALWright Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T11)78
64.4%
76
35.6%
Q3 - 3:13MIAJames 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (26 PTS) (Battier 3 AST)78
59.9%
76
40.1%
Q3 - 3:20MIABattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)75
51.4%
76
48.6%
Q3 - 3:21DALMISS Marion 4' Running Jump Shot75
50.0%
76
50.0%
Q3 - 3:28DALMarion REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)75
46.6%
76
53.4%
Q3 - 3:30DALMISS Ellis 25' 3PT Jump Shot75
50.0%
76
50.0%
Q3 - 3:54MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)75
46.6%
76
53.4%
Q3 - 3:54MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)74
45.6%
76
54.4%
Q3 - 4:11MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)73
43.2%
76
56.8%
Q3 - 4:12DALMISS Marion 25' 3PT Jump Shot73
41.6%
76
58.4%
Q3 - 4:35MIABosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Chalmers 5 AST)73
38.1%
76
61.9%
Q3 - 4:49DALCarter 3' Driving Layup (9 PTS)70
31.2%
76
68.8%
Q3 - 5:07MIAJames Driving Slam Dunk (23 PTS)70
34.8%
74
65.2%
Q3 - 5:13MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)68
31.6%
74
68.4%
Q3 - 5:15DALMISS Marion 8' Driving Jump Shot68
30.4%
74
69.6%
Q3 - 5:26DALMarion REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)68
27.6%
74
72.4%
Q3 - 5:29DALMISS Calderon 24' 3PT Jump Shot68
30.3%
74
69.7%
Q3 - 5:33DALMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)68
27.6%
74
72.4%
Q3 - 5:34DALMISS Carter 24' 3PT Jump Shot68
30.3%
74
69.7%
Q3 - 5:42MIACarter STEAL (1 STL)68
27.6%
74
72.4%
Q3 - 6:03DALCalderon 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Nowitzki 6 AST)68
32.4%
74
67.6%
Q3 - 6:18MIAChalmers Foul Turnover (P2.T8)68
39.3%
71
60.7%
Q3 - 6:34DALEllis 22' Jump Shot (12 PTS)68
43.6%
71
56.4%
Q3 - 6:55MIABosh 1' Dunk (14 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST)68
47.0%
69
53.0%
Q3 - 7:18DALDalembert 1' Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Ellis 2 AST)66
43.6%
69
56.4%
Q3 - 7:33MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)66
47.1%
67
52.9%
Q3 - 7:33MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 265
46.5%
67
53.5%
Q3 - 7:47DALCalderon 21' Jump Shot (9 PTS)65
47.4%
67
52.6%
Q3 - 7:56DALDalembert REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)65
51.0%
65
49.0%
Q3 - 7:57MIAMISS Battier 24' 3PT Jump Shot65
52.2%
65
47.8%
Q3 - 8:06DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)65
55.2%
65
44.8%
Q3 - 8:06DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)65
55.6%
64
44.4%
Q3 - 8:26DALCalderon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)65
58.4%
63
41.6%
Q3 - 8:27MIAMISS James 22' Pullup Jump Shot65
59.6%
63
40.4%
Q3 - 8:33DALEllis Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T10)65
62.5%
63
37.5%
Q3 - 8:49DALDalembert REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)65
58.4%
63
41.6%
Q3 - 8:50MIAMISS Wade 11' Step Back Jump Shot65
59.6%
63
40.4%
Q3 - 9:03DALEllis 4' Driving Jump Shot (10 PTS)65
61.9%
63
38.1%
Q3 - 9:15MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)65
65.2%
61
34.8%
Q3 - 9:15MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)64
64.5%
61
35.5%
Q3 - 9:28DALNowitzki 16' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Ellis 1 AST)63
62.0%
61
38.0%
Q3 - 9:33MIAEllis STEAL (2 STL)63
65.2%
59
34.8%
Q3 - 9:37DALNowitzki Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)63
68.6%
59
31.4%
Q3 - 9:57MIAJames 22' Jump Shot (21 PTS)63
65.3%
59
34.7%
Q3 - 10:06DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)61
61.9%
59
38.1%
Q3 - 10:06DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)61
62.3%
58
37.7%
Q3 - 10:23DALMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)61
65.2%
57
34.8%
Q3 - 10:23MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 2 of 261
65.6%
57
34.4%
Q3 - 10:23MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)61
67.8%
57
32.2%
Q3 - 10:41DALEllis 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS)60
65.2%
57
34.8%
Q3 - 11:06MIAJames Foul Turnover (P1.T6)60
71.0%
54
29.0%
Q3 - 11:10MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)60
73.8%
54
26.2%
Q3 - 11:12DALDalembert REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)60
71.0%
54
29.0%
Q3 - 11:12DALMISS Dalembert Tip Shot60
73.0%
54
27.0%
Q3 - 11:14DALMISS Nowitzki 24' 3PT Jump Shot60
73.0%
54
27.0%
Q3 - 11:32DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)60
71.0%
54
29.0%
Q3 - 11:33MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot60
71.9%
54
28.1%
Q3 - 11:41DALMarion Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T8)60
73.9%
54
26.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0DAL60
71.0%
54
29.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0DALMAVERICKS Rebound60
71.0%
54
29.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0DALMISS Wright 18' Jump Shot60
73.0%
54
27.0%
Q2 - 0:05.0DALCalderon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)60
70.8%
54
29.2%
Q2 - 0:06.0MIAMISS Allen 3PT Jump Shot60
71.4%
54
28.6%
Q2 - 0:26.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)60
72.8%
54
27.2%
Q2 - 0:28.0DALMISS Ellis 24' 3PT Jump Shot60
72.2%
54
27.8%
Q2 - 0:35.0MIACole Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)60
70.8%
54
29.2%
Q2 - 0:44.0DALWright Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)60
72.8%
54
27.2%
Q2 - 0:44.0DALWright Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)60
73.6%
53
26.4%
Q2 - 0:50.0DALEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)60
75.9%
52
24.1%
Q2 - 0:51.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 260
76.2%
52
23.8%
Q2 - 0:51.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)60
77.7%
52
22.3%
Q2 - 0:52.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)59
75.4%
52
24.6%
Q2 - 0:52.0MIAMISS James 11' Driving Jump Shot59
74.0%
52
26.0%
Q2 - 1:07DALEllis Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)59
74.7%
52
25.3%
Q2 - 1:07DALEllis Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)59
75.1%
51
24.9%
Q2 - 1:22MIAChalmers 1' Running Layup (10 PTS) (James 4 AST)59
77.8%
50
22.2%
Q2 - 1:27DALCalderon Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)57
74.7%
50
25.3%
Q2 - 1:46DALWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)57
73.1%
50
26.9%
Q2 - 1:47MIAMISS Cole 3PT Jump Shot57
73.6%
50
26.4%
Q2 - 2:03DALCalderon 16' Jump Shot (7 PTS)57
74.5%
50
25.5%
Q2 - 2:15MIAJames 23' Pullup Jump Shot (19 PTS)57
76.8%
48
23.2%
Q2 - 2:23MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)55
74.5%
48
25.5%
Q2 - 2:25DALMISS Wright 5' Jump Hook Shot55
73.8%
48
26.2%
Q2 - 2:44DALCarter REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)55
72.1%
48
27.9%
Q2 - 2:45MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 155
72.5%
48
27.5%
Q2 - 2:56DALMarion Foul Turnover (P2.T6)53
69.5%
48
30.5%
Q2 - 3:13MIAOden Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)53
66.3%
48
33.7%
Q2 - 3:21MIABattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)50
61.4%
48
38.6%
Q2 - 3:21DALMISS Ellis 10' Driving Jump Shot50
60.3%
48
39.7%
Q2 - 3:34DALMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)50
57.9%
48
42.1%
Q2 - 3:35MIAMISS Battier 3PT Jump Shot50
59.0%
48
41.0%
Q2 - 3:49DALEllis Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)50
61.4%
48
38.6%
Q2 - 3:49DALMISS Ellis Free Throw 1 of 250
61.9%
47
38.1%
Q2 - 4:02DALMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)50
60.7%
47
39.3%
Q2 - 4:03MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot50
61.5%
47
38.5%
Q2 - 4:14MIAHeat Rebound50
63.5%
47
36.5%
Q2 - 4:15DALMISS Wright 12' Jump Shot50
62.6%
47
37.4%
Q2 - 4:36MIAOden 1' Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS) (James 3 AST)50
60.7%
47
39.3%
Q2 - 4:44MIACole REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)48
58.0%
47
42.0%
Q2 - 4:45MIAWright BLOCK (1 BLK)48
56.0%
47
44.0%
Q2 - 4:47MIAOden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)48
58.0%
47
42.0%
Q2 - 4:48MIAMISS Bosh 14' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot48
56.0%
47
44.0%
Q2 - 5:02MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)48
57.9%
47
42.1%
Q2 - 5:03DALMISS Calderon 25' 3PT Jump Shot48
57.1%
47
42.9%
Q2 - 5:20MIACole 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 2 AST)48
55.2%
47
44.8%
Q2 - 5:32DALCarter Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)45
49.5%
47
50.5%
Q2 - 5:32DALCarter Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)45
50.0%
46
50.0%
Q2 - 5:52MIAJames 2' Driving Reverse Layup (15 PTS)45
52.4%
45
47.6%
Q2 - 5:57MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)43
49.5%
45
50.5%
Q2 - 5:58DALMISS Marion 3PT Jump Shot43
48.6%
45
51.4%
Q2 - 6:16MIAChalmers 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)43
46.7%
45
53.3%
Q2 - 6:29DALCarter Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)40
41.8%
45
58.2%
Q2 - 6:29DALMISS Carter Free Throw 1 of 240
42.2%
44
57.8%
Q2 - 6:45DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)40
41.3%
44
58.7%
Q2 - 6:46MIAMISS Allen 23' Jump Shot40
42.2%
44
57.8%
Q2 - 7:04DALNowitzki 21' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Harris 2 AST)40
44.7%
44
55.3%
Q2 - 7:24MIABosh 4' Driving Jump Shot (10 PTS)40
47.0%
42
53.0%
Q2 - 7:40DALCrowder REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)38
44.7%
42
55.3%
Q2 - 7:40DALCrowder 1' Tip Shot (2 PTS)38
44.7%
42
55.3%
Q2 - 7:42DALMISS Ellis 9' Running Jump Shot38
49.1%
40
50.9%
Q2 - 8:00DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)38
47.0%
40
53.0%
Q2 - 8:01MIAMISS Bosh 24' 3PT Jump Shot38
48.0%
40
52.0%
Q2 - 8:24DALWright Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Nowitzki 5 AST)38
49.9%
40
50.1%
Q2 - 8:26DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)38
52.3%
38
47.7%
Q2 - 8:28DALMISS Wright 1' Driving Layup38
54.2%
38
45.8%
Q2 - 8:48MIABosh Running Slam Dunk (8 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)38
52.3%
38
47.7%
Q2 - 8:53DALEllis Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T5)36
49.9%
38
50.1%
Q2 - 9:12MIAAndersen 1' Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)36
47.3%
38
52.7%
Q2 - 9:24DALHarris Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)34
45.0%
38
55.0%
Q2 - 9:30DALHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
42.3%
38
57.7%
Q2 - 9:31MIAMISS Beasley 23' Jump Shot34
43.1%
38
56.9%
Q2 - 9:48DALWright 1' Running Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Harris 1 AST)34
45.0%
38
55.0%
Q2 - 9:52MIANowitzki STEAL (1 STL)34
47.3%
36
52.7%
Q2 - 10:13DALWright 1' Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Nowitzki 4 AST)34
50.1%
36
49.9%
Q2 - 10:22DALNowitzki Free Throw Technical (7 PTS)34
52.1%
34
47.9%
Q2 - 10:31MIAWade 1' Driving Reverse Layup (4 PTS)34
54.6%
33
45.4%
Q2 - 10:51DALHarris 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Nowitzki 3 AST)32
52.6%
33
47.4%
Q2 - 11:07DALCarter REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)32
57.0%
30
43.0%
Q2 - 11:09DALMISS Nowitzki 24' 3PT Jump Shot32
58.7%
30
41.3%
Q2 - 11:23MIABeasley 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)32
57.0%
30
43.0%
Q2 - 11:42DALNowitzki 2' Putback Layup (6 PTS)30
54.7%
30
45.3%
Q2 - 11:44DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)30
57.0%
28
43.0%
Q2 - 11:46DALMISS Wright 2' Driving Layup30
58.7%
28
41.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0DAL30
57.0%
28
43.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0DALMAVERICKS Rebound30
57.0%
28
43.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0DALMISS Nowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot30
58.7%
28
41.3%
Q1 - 0:03.0DALCrowder REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
57.2%
28
42.8%
Q1 - 0:04.0MIAMISS Allen 3PT Jump Shot30
57.7%
28
42.3%
Q1 - 0:24.0DALBlair 1' Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Crowder 1 AST)30
58.9%
28
41.1%
Q1 - 0:29.0DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)30
61.7%
26
38.3%
Q1 - 0:31.0MIAMISS Cole 2' Driving Layup30
62.2%
26
37.8%
Q1 - 0:45.0DALCarter Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)30
63.4%
26
36.6%
Q1 - 0:45.0DALCarter Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)30
63.7%
25
36.3%
Q1 - 0:52.0DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
66.0%
24
34.0%
Q1 - 0:53.0MIAMISS Allen 24' 3PT Floating Jump Shot30
66.5%
24
33.5%
Q1 - 1:12MIAHeat Rebound30
67.4%
24
32.6%
Q1 - 1:12DALMISS Blair 2' Driving Layup30
66.9%
24
33.1%
Q1 - 1:30MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)30
65.9%
24
34.1%
Q1 - 1:30MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)29
65.4%
24
34.6%
Q1 - 1:53DALCarter Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)28
63.2%
24
36.8%
Q1 - 1:53DALCarter Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)28
63.6%
23
36.4%
Q1 - 1:53DALCarter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)28
65.9%
22
34.1%
Q1 - 1:54DALMISS Carter 1' Layup28
66.9%
22
33.1%
Q1 - 2:18MIAJames 5' Turnaround Jump Shot (11 PTS)28
65.5%
22
34.5%
Q1 - 2:21MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)26
63.3%
22
36.7%
Q1 - 2:22MIAMISS Allen 16' Fadeaway Jumper26
62.0%
22
38.0%
Q1 - 2:35DALMarion Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)26
63.3%
22
36.7%
Q1 - 2:49MIAJames 20' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Cole 1 AST)26
61.4%
22
38.6%
Q1 - 3:07DALHarris 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)24
59.1%
22
40.9%
Q1 - 3:27MIAAndersen Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)24
61.1%
20
38.9%
Q1 - 3:45DALMarion 2' Alley Oop Dunk (7 PTS) (Carter 1 AST)22
59.1%
20
40.9%
Q1 - 3:57MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)22
61.1%
18
38.9%
Q1 - 4:03MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
56.9%
18
43.1%
Q1 - 4:04DALMISS Marion 25' 3PT Jump Shot19
56.2%
18
43.8%
Q1 - 4:16MIABattier 10' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)19
54.5%
18
45.5%
Q1 - 4:34DALCalderon Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)17
52.6%
18
47.4%
Q1 - 4:34DALCalderon Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)17
52.9%
17
47.1%
Q1 - 4:45DALDalembert REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)17
54.5%
16
45.5%
Q1 - 4:46MIAMISS Chalmers 3PT Jump Shot17
55.3%
16
44.7%
Q1 - 4:58MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
56.9%
16
43.1%
Q1 - 4:59DALMISS Carter 26' 3PT Jump Shot17
56.2%
16
43.8%
Q1 - 5:10MIAJames 1' Running Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)17
54.3%
16
45.7%
Q1 - 5:13DALCalderon Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)15
52.4%
16
47.6%
Q1 - 5:23MIAChalmers 1' Driving Layup (5 PTS)15
50.2%
16
49.8%
Q1 - 5:39DALDalembert Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Calderon 3 AST)13
48.3%
16
51.7%
Q1 - 6:03MIABosh 1' Running Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)13
50.3%
14
49.7%
Q1 - 6:16DALNowitzki 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS)11
48.5%
14
51.5%
Q1 - 6:27DALDalembert REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)11
50.3%
12
49.7%
Q1 - 6:28MIAMISS James 6' Floating Jump Shot11
50.9%
12
49.1%
Q1 - 6:48DALMarion 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Calderon 2 AST)11
52.4%
12
47.6%
Q1 - 6:59MIAJames Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)11
56.2%
9
43.8%
Q1 - 7:03DALEllis Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)9
54.4%
9
45.6%
Q1 - 7:18MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)9
52.2%
9
47.8%
Q1 - 7:18MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)8
51.9%
9
48.1%
Q1 - 7:31DALCalderon 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Nowitzki 2 AST)7
50.6%
9
49.4%
Q1 - 7:45DALMAVERICKS Rebound7
54.1%
6
45.9%
Q1 - 7:46DALMISS Calderon 25' 3PT Jump Shot7
55.6%
6
44.4%
Q1 - 7:50DALDalembert REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)7
54.1%
6
45.9%
Q1 - 7:52DALMISS Ellis 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup7
55.6%
6
44.4%
Q1 - 8:04MIAWade 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)7
54.4%
6
45.6%
Q1 - 8:10MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
52.7%
6
47.3%
Q1 - 8:11DALMISS Calderon 25' 3PT Jump Shot5
52.1%
6
47.9%
Q1 - 8:30MIAChalmers Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)5
50.7%
6
49.3%
Q1 - 8:34MIAHeat Rebound5
52.7%
6
47.3%
Q1 - 8:35DALMISS Dalembert 3' Finger Roll Layup5
52.1%
6
47.9%
Q1 - 8:48DALCalderon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
50.6%
6
49.4%
Q1 - 8:49MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot5
51.3%
6
48.7%
Q1 - 9:10DALMarion 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Nowitzki 1 AST)5
53.0%
6
47.0%
Q1 - 9:30MIAChalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Battier 1 AST)5
54.5%
4
45.5%
Q1 - 9:38MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
51.1%
4
48.9%
Q1 - 9:39DALDalembert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
49.2%
4
50.8%
Q1 - 9:39DALMISS Dalembert 2' Layup2
50.5%
4
49.5%
Q1 - 9:42DALMISS Dalembert 2' Layup2
50.5%
4
49.5%
Q1 - 9:50DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
49.2%
4
50.8%
Q1 - 9:51MIAMISS Bosh 12' Driving Jump Shot2
49.8%
4
50.2%
Q1 - 10:13DALEllis 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)2
51.3%
4
48.7%
Q1 - 10:37MIABosh 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 1 AST)2
52.8%
2
47.2%
Q1 - 10:47MIABattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
51.3%
2
48.7%
Q1 - 10:48DALMISS Dalembert 7' Jump Shot0
50.7%
2
49.3%
Q1 - 11:08MIAEllis STEAL (1 STL)0
49.6%
2
50.4%
Q1 - 11:25DALNowitzki 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Calderon 1 AST)0
51.1%
2
48.9%
Q1 - 11:43MIABosh Foul Turnover (P1.T1)0
52.9%
0
47.1%
Q1 - 12:00DALJump Ball Dalembert vs. Bosh: Tip to Wade0
54.4%
0
45.6%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.33 66.5%
DAL
1.03 51.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
25
30
83%
DAL
17
33
52%
Midrange
MIA
9
21
43%
DAL
8
25
32%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
10
15.0
26
38%
58%
DAL
9
13.5
27
33%
50%
Free Throws
MIA
19
24
79%
DAL
29
32
91%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. James4281%21.0 / 26
C. Bosh2279%11.0 / 14
C. Andersen1882%9.0 / 11
D. Wade1365%6.5 / 10
M. Chalmers1063%5.0 / 8
G. Oden583%2.5 / 3
N. Cole338%1.5 / 4
S. Battier225%1.0 / 4
M. Beasley250%1.0 / 2
R. Allen0-0.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Nowitzki2265%11.0 / 17
V. Carter1554%7.5 / 14
M. Ellis1240%6.0 / 15
J. Calderon1260%6.0 / 10
B. Wright1243%6.0 / 14
D. Harris990%4.5 / 5
S. Marion739%3.5 / 9
S. Dalembert739%3.5 / 9
J. Crowder583%2.5 / 3
W. Ellington375%1.5 / 2
D. Blair250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
81
+7
-12
88
DAL
76
+25
-16
101
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.33 66.5%
DAL
1.03 51.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
110.7
110.7
MIA 125.8 +10.6
DAL 115.2
Pace
91.5
94.1
MIA 97.0 +8.6
DAL 88.4
Avg. Poss. Time
15.8
15.7
MIA 14.8 +1.4
DAL 16.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
55.4%
52.6%
MIA 63.6% +18.3%
DAL 45.3%
TO %
15.4%
13.9%
MIA 12.1% +1.8%
DAL 13.9%
ORB %
20.6%
24.7%
MIA 19.4%
DAL 50.0% +30.6%
FTrt
30.0
25.3
MIA 31.2
DAL 37.6 +6.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.8%
59.6%
MIA 65.9% +7.1%
DAL 58.8%
STL %
9.7%
9.1%
MIA 11.8% +5.3%
DAL 6.5%
BLK %
8.1%
7.4%
MIA 8.6% +6.6%
DAL 2.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.51 and 2.51.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
57.5%
55.0%
MIA 66.5% +15.0%
DAL 51.5%
Rim FG%
66.7%
60.9%
MIA 83.3% +31.8%
DAL 51.5%
Mid FG%
42.8%
42.4%
MIA 42.9% +10.9%
DAL 32.0%
3P %
36.4%
38.4%
MIA 38.5% +5.2%
DAL 33.3%
FT %
76.0%
79.5%
MIA 79.2%
DAL 90.6% +11.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
38.3%
32.8%
MIA 39.0% +0.1%
DAL 38.8%
Mid Att. %
32.5%
39.9%
MIA 27.3% +2.1%
DAL 29.4%
3P Att. %
29.2%
27.4%
MIA 33.8% +2.0%
DAL 31.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.71 and 2.71.
Game TotalsMIADAL
Possessions9392
Possession Minutes23.025.0
Points117106
Rebounds2850
Assists2920
Steals116
Blocks51
Turnovers (Team)12 (0)16 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (0)21 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)21 (5)29 (0)
Field Goals44-7734-85
At-the-Rim FG25-3017-33
Midrange FG9-218-25
2-Point FG34-5125-58
3-Point FG10-269-27
Free Throws19-2429-32
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 250 · 29
38.5
42
81%
9
6
2
0
3
2
2
7
6-8
75%
12-15
80%
4-8
50%
G · 6'4" 220 · 32
33.7
13
65%
3
7
0
1
1
1
1
2
5-6
83%
4-7
57%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 235 · 30
33.1
22
79%
5
1
3
2
3
5
0
5
4-6
67%
6-8
75%
2-4
50%
G · 6'2" 190 · 28
29.9
10
63%
2
9
4
0
2
4
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
100%
2-6
33%
F · 6'8" 220 · 35
22.8
2
25%
3
3
1
0
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-2
0%
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 36
26.8
18
82%
3
0
0
1
0
4
2
1
3-3
100%
6-8
75%
1-1
100%
G · 6'2" 175 · 25
21.7
3
38%
1
2
1
0
2
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
0%
1-2
50%
G · 6'5" 205 · 39
21.6
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-3
0%
F · 6'9" 235 · 25
6.5
2
50%
0
0
0
1
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 273 · 26
5.3
5
83%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
1-1
100%
2-3
67%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 195 · 28
F · 6'10" 235 · 35
F · 6'8" 235 · 34
#22 · G-F · 6'8" 218 · 33
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#21 · G · 6'5" 205 · 33
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
117
67%
28
29
11
5
12
0
7
21
19-24
79%
34-51
67%
10-26
38%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.