| ORTG | #Poss | Pace | |
|---|---|---|---|
 MIA | 115.6 | 96 | 87.9 |
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Scoring Opportunities
MIA
84
+6
-12
90
GSW
81
+14
-13
95
Base
ORB
TOV
Scoring Efficiency
MIA
1.23 61.7%
GSW
1.12 56.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS
Win Probability
Scoring Margin
Play-by-Play
| Score / WinProb | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clock | Team | Event | MIA | GSW |
| Q4 - 0:00.0 | GSW | 111 100% | 110 0% | |
| Q4 - 0:00.0 | MIA | James 27' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot (36 PTS) | 111 95.9% | 110 4.1% |
| Q4 - 0:14.0 | GSW | Curry Free Throw 1 of 1 (29 PTS) | 108 20.4% | 110 79.6% |
| Q4 - 0:23.0 | GSW | Curry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 108 57.7% | 107 42.3% |
| Q4 - 0:25.0 | MIA | MISS James Free Throw 2 of 2 | 108 60.9% | 107 39.1% |
| Q4 - 0:25.0 | MIA | James Free Throw 1 of 2 (33 PTS) | 108 73.2% | 107 26.8% |
| Q4 - 0:47.0 | GSW | Curry 15' Pullup Jump Shot (26 PTS) | 107 57.5% | 107 42.5% |
| Q4 - 0:58.0 | MIA | James 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (32 PTS) | 107 69.7% | 105 30.3% |
| Q4 - 1:22 | GSW | Iguodala 18' Turnaround Jump Shot (9 PTS) | 104 41.6% | 105 58.4% |
| Q4 - 1:37 | GSW | WARRIORS Rebound | 104 53.3% | 103 46.7% |
| Q4 - 1:37 | GSW | MISS Curry 2' Driving Layup | 104 63.1% | 103 36.9% |
| Q4 - 1:44 | MIA | Lee STEAL (2 STL) | 104 53.2% | 103 46.8% |
| Q4 - 2:01 | GSW | Lee Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS) | 104 66.8% | 103 33.2% |
| Q4 - 2:01 | GSW | MISS Lee Free Throw 1 of 2 | 104 68.6% | 102 31.4% |
| Q4 - 2:11 | GSW | Curry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 104 64.5% | 102 35.5% |
| Q4 - 2:12 | MIA | MISS Beasley 22' Pullup Jump Shot | 104 68.6% | 102 31.4% |
| Q4 - 2:30 | GSW | Lee Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS) | 104 77.0% | 102 23.0% |
| Q4 - 2:30 | GSW | Lee Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS) | 104 78.4% | 101 21.6% |
| Q4 - 2:45 | MIA | Chalmers 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Allen 3 AST) | 104 82.5% | 100 17.5% |
| Q4 - 2:50 | MIA | Chalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 101 67.6% | 100 32.4% |
| Q4 - 2:52 | MIA | MISS James 30' 3PT Jump Shot | 101 56.4% | 100 43.6% |
| Q4 - 3:20 | GSW | Thompson 20' Step Back Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Lee 2 AST) | 101 65.7% | 100 34.3% |
| Q4 - 3:34 | MIA | Iguodala STEAL (2 STL) | 101 69.0% | 98 31.0% |
| Q4 - 3:58 | GSW | Lee 2' Reverse Layup (18 PTS) | 101 77.6% | 98 22.4% |
| Q4 - 3:59 | GSW | Lee REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6) | 101 83.0% | 96 17.0% |
| Q4 - 4:00 | GSW | MISS Iguodala 3PT Jump Shot | 101 86.7% | 96 13.3% |
| Q4 - 4:16 | GSW | Thompson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 101 83.2% | 96 16.8% |
| Q4 - 4:17 | MIA | MISS James 7' Jump Shot | 101 85.0% | 96 15.0% |
| Q4 - 4:20 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:1 Def:12) | 101 88.3% | 96 11.7% |
| Q4 - 4:21 | MIA | Thompson BLOCK (1 BLK) | 101 85.0% | 96 15.0% |
| Q4 - 4:40 | GSW | Lee Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T13) | 101 88.5% | 96 11.5% |
| Q4 - 4:58 | GSW | Lee REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6) | 101 83.5% | 96 16.5% |
| Q4 - 4:59 | MIA | MISS James 16' Fadeaway Jumper | 101 85.2% | 96 14.8% |
| Q4 - 5:29 | GSW | Green 1' Driving Slam Dunk (8 PTS) (Curry 7 AST) | 101 85.1% | 96 14.9% |
| Q4 - 5:43 | MIA | Thompson STEAL (2 STL) | 101 88.7% | 94 11.3% |
| Q4 - 6:02 | GSW | Lee 5' Driving Hook Shot (16 PTS) (Curry 6 AST) | 101 89.5% | 94 10.5% |
| Q4 - 6:14 | MIA | Beasley 4' Driving Hook Shot (16 PTS) (Chalmers 7 AST) | 101 91.8% | 92 8.2% |
| Q4 - 6:30 | GSW | Green Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS) | 99 89.7% | 92 10.3% |
| Q4 - 6:30 | GSW | Green Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS) | 99 90.5% | 91 9.5% |
| Q4 - 6:44 | MIA | Bosh 1' Slam Dunk (19 PTS) (Chalmers 6 AST) | 99 91.9% | 90 8.1% |
| Q4 - 6:55 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:0 Def:12) | 97 89.8% | 90 10.2% |
| Q4 - 6:56 | GSW | MISS Thompson 9' Floating Jump Shot | 97 88.8% | 90 11.2% |
| Q4 - 7:06 | MIA | James 17' Step Back Jump Shot (29 PTS) | 97 84.0% | 90 16.0% |
| Q4 - 7:27 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:0 Def:11) | 95 80.4% | 90 19.6% |
| Q4 - 7:28 | GSW | MISS Crawford 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 95 78.9% | 90 21.1% |
| Q4 - 7:43 | GSW | Iguodala REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5) | 95 75.2% | 90 24.8% |
| Q4 - 7:44 | MIA | MISS Allen 18' Jump Shot | 95 76.9% | 90 23.1% |
| Q4 - 8:09 | GSW | Crawford Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS) | 95 78.1% | 90 21.9% |
| Q4 - 8:32 | MIA | James 8' Fadeaway Jumper (27 PTS) | 95 85.8% | 87 14.2% |
| Q4 - 8:55 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:0 Def:10) | 93 82.4% | 87 17.6% |
| Q4 - 8:57 | GSW | MISS Barnes 15' Pullup Jump Shot | 93 81.2% | 87 18.8% |
| Q4 - 9:16 | MIA | Beasley Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS) | 93 76.3% | 87 23.7% |
| Q4 - 9:16 | MIA | Beasley Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS) | 92 75.3% | 87 24.7% |
| Q4 - 9:19 | GSW | Curry Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T12) | 91 71.7% | 87 28.3% |
| Q4 - 9:32 | MIA | James 2' Layup (25 PTS) (Allen 2 AST) | 91 66.6% | 87 33.4% |
| Q4 - 9:47 | MIA | Allen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 89 61.1% | 87 38.9% |
| Q4 - 9:48 | GSW | MISS Green 16' Jump Shot | 89 59.3% | 87 40.7% |
| Q4 - 10:09 | MIA | Allen 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (9 PTS) (James 9 AST) | 89 54.3% | 87 45.7% |
| Q4 - 10:15 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 86 43.1% | 87 56.9% |
| Q4 - 10:16 | GSW | MISS Curry 2' Driving Layup | 86 41.4% | 87 58.6% |
| Q4 - 10:27 | MIA | Bosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS) | 86 37.6% | 87 62.4% |
| Q4 - 10:27 | MIA | Bosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS) | 85 36.7% | 87 63.3% |
| Q4 - 10:40 | GSW | Curry Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T11) | 84 32.5% | 87 67.5% |
| Q4 - 10:42 | GSW | Green REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6) | 84 27.7% | 87 72.3% |
| Q4 - 10:44 | MIA | MISS Allen 3' Jump Shot | 84 29.1% | 87 70.9% |
| Q4 - 11:04 | GSW | Curry 1' Driving Layup (24 PTS) | 84 33.0% | 87 67.0% |
| Q4 - 11:07 | MIA | Curry STEAL (1 STL) | 84 37.8% | 85 62.2% |
| Q4 - 11:18 | MIA | Heat Rebound | 84 43.0% | 85 57.0% |
| Q4 - 11:18 | MIA | MISS Beasley 3PT Jump Shot | 84 39.4% | 85 60.6% |
| Q4 - 11:33 | GSW | Curry 26' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot (22 PTS) | 84 43.0% | 85 57.0% |
| Q4 - 11:48 | GSW | Curry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 84 53.7% | 82 46.3% |
| Q4 - 11:49 | MIA | Green BLOCK (3 BLK) | 84 55.3% | 82 44.7% |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | MIA | 84 59.1% | 82 40.9% | |
| Q3 - 0:01.0 | GSW | Curry 25' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot (19 PTS) | 84 58.2% | 82 41.8% |
| Q3 - 0:11.0 | MIA | Andersen 1' Putback Layup (6 PTS) | 84 67.9% | 79 32.1% |
| Q3 - 0:11.0 | MIA | Andersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 82 63.1% | 79 36.9% |
| Q3 - 0:12.0 | MIA | MISS James 3' Layup | 82 59.9% | 79 40.1% |
| Q3 - 0:33.0 | GSW | Curry Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS) | 82 63.2% | 79 36.8% |
| Q3 - 0:33.0 | GSW | Curry Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS) | 82 63.6% | 78 36.4% |
| Q3 - 0:39.0 | MIA | Allen 24' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS) (James 8 AST) | 82 68.0% | 77 32.0% |
| Q3 - 0:54.0 | GSW | Barnes 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Crawford 2 AST) | 79 58.3% | 77 41.7% |
| Q3 - 1:13 | MIA | Andersen 1' Slam Dunk (4 PTS) | 79 66.8% | 74 33.2% |
| Q3 - 1:35 | GSW | Barnes 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (11 PTS) (Curry 5 AST) | 77 62.2% | 74 37.8% |
| Q3 - 1:41 | GSW | Lee REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5) | 77 66.9% | 72 33.1% |
| Q3 - 1:44 | MIA | MISS Cole 3' Layup | 77 68.1% | 72 31.9% |
| Q3 - 2:12 | GSW | Iguodala 2' Driving Slam Dunk (7 PTS) | 77 69.5% | 72 30.5% |
| Q3 - 2:18 | MIA | Lee STEAL (1 STL) | 77 73.1% | 70 26.9% |
| Q3 - 2:29 | GSW | Iguodala Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T10) | 77 76.8% | 70 23.2% |
| Q3 - 2:45 | GSW | Lee REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4) | 77 73.2% | 70 26.8% |
| Q3 - 2:46 | MIA | MISS James 27' 3PT Jump Shot | 77 74.4% | 70 25.6% |
| Q3 - 3:10 | GSW | Barnes 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Thompson 1 AST) | 77 75.7% | 70 24.3% |
| Q3 - 3:16 | GSW | Thompson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 77 81.5% | 67 18.5% |
| Q3 - 3:17 | MIA | MISS Bosh 4' Jump Shot | 77 82.3% | 67 17.7% |
| Q3 - 3:37 | GSW | Lee 11' Turnaround Bank Hook Shot (14 PTS) | 77 84.2% | 67 15.8% |
| Q3 - 3:53 | MIA | Bosh 15' Step Back Jump Shot (15 PTS) | 77 86.3% | 65 13.7% |
| Q3 - 4:10 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 75 83.3% | 65 16.7% |
| Q3 - 4:11 | MIA | MISS Battier 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot | 75 81.2% | 65 18.8% |
| Q3 - 4:24 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9) | 75 83.3% | 65 16.7% |
| Q3 - 4:26 | GSW | MISS Curry 11' Floating Jump Shot | 75 82.4% | 65 17.6% |
| Q3 - 4:28 | GSW | Curry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 75 80.2% | 65 19.8% |
| Q3 - 4:29 | GSW | MISS Thompson 18' Jump Shot | 75 82.4% | 65 17.6% |
| Q3 - 4:32 | GSW | WARRIORS Rebound | 75 80.2% | 65 19.8% |
| Q3 - 4:32 | GSW | MISS Lee 7' Running Jump Shot | 75 82.4% | 65 17.6% |
| Q3 - 4:34 | GSW | Lee REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3) | 75 80.2% | 65 19.8% |
| Q3 - 4:38 | MIA | MISS Allen 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 75 81.2% | 65 18.8% |
| Q3 - 4:59 | GSW | Curry 20' Pullup Jump Shot (14 PTS) | 75 83.4% | 65 16.6% |
| Q3 - 5:18 | GSW | Barnes REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3) | 75 84.1% | 63 15.9% |
| Q3 - 5:19 | MIA | MISS Cole 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 75 84.9% | 63 15.1% |
| Q3 - 5:35 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8) | 75 86.5% | 63 13.5% |
| Q3 - 5:35 | GSW | MISS Thompson 17' Step Back Jump Shot | 75 85.8% | 63 14.2% |
| Q3 - 5:39 | GSW | Barnes REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2) | 75 84.2% | 63 15.8% |
| Q3 - 5:40 | GSW | MISS Barnes 9' Floating Jump Shot | 75 85.9% | 63 14.1% |
| Q3 - 5:58 | GSW | Barnes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 75 84.2% | 63 15.8% |
| Q3 - 6:01 | MIA | MISS James Free Throw 2 of 2 | 75 83.3% | 63 16.7% |
| Q3 - 6:01 | MIA | MISS James Free Throw 1 of 2 | 75 84.7% | 63 15.3% |
| Q3 - 6:09 | GSW | Lee REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2) | 75 85.4% | 63 14.6% |
| Q3 - 6:09 | GSW | Lee 1' Putback Slam Dunk (12 PTS) | 75 85.4% | 63 14.6% |
| Q3 - 6:10 | GSW | MISS Curry 2' Driving Layup | 75 88.4% | 61 11.6% |
| Q3 - 6:21 | MIA | Cole Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T7) | 75 87.1% | 61 12.9% |
| Q3 - 6:40 | GSW | Curry Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS) | 75 89.0% | 61 11.0% |
| Q3 - 6:40 | GSW | Curry Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS) | 75 89.2% | 60 10.8% |
| Q3 - 6:46 | GSW | Curry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 75 90.3% | 59 9.7% |
| Q3 - 6:47 | MIA | MISS James 15' Step Back Jump Shot | 75 90.8% | 59 9.2% |
| Q3 - 7:13 | GSW | Thompson 11' Turnaround Bank Shot (15 PTS) (Curry 4 AST) | 75 90.9% | 59 9.1% |
| Q3 - 7:21 | GSW | Lee REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2) | 75 92.0% | 57 8.0% |
| Q3 - 7:21 | MIA | MISS Douglas 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 75 92.4% | 57 7.6% |
| Q3 - 7:38 | GSW | Thompson 27' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Iguodala 5 AST) | 75 93.2% | 57 6.8% |
| Q3 - 7:52 | MIA | Bosh Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS) | 75 94.8% | 54 5.2% |
| Q3 - 8:00 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7) | 72 93.2% | 54 6.8% |
| Q3 - 8:01 | GSW | MISS Thompson 12' Jump Shot | 72 92.3% | 54 7.7% |
| Q3 - 8:14 | MIA | Chalmers 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (9 PTS) (James 6 AST) | 72 91.5% | 54 8.5% |
| Q3 - 8:28 | GSW | Iguodala Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9) | 69 89.0% | 54 11.0% |
| Q3 - 8:40 | MIA | Bosh 1' Running Slam Dunk (10 PTS) (Douglas 1 AST) | 69 87.2% | 54 12.8% |
| Q3 - 8:48 | MIA | Douglas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 67 85.7% | 54 14.3% |
| Q3 - 8:49 | GSW | MISS Curry 5' Floating Jump Shot | 67 85.1% | 54 14.9% |
| Q3 - 9:01 | MIA | James 2' Driving Layup (23 PTS) (Chalmers 5 AST) | 67 82.7% | 54 17.3% |
| Q3 - 9:06 | GSW | Lee Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS) | 65 80.6% | 54 19.4% |
| Q3 - 9:06 | GSW | Lee Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS) | 65 80.9% | 53 19.1% |
| Q3 - 9:23 | MIA | James 1' Driving Slam Dunk (21 PTS) | 65 82.7% | 52 17.3% |
| Q3 - 9:40 | GSW | Lee Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8) | 63 80.7% | 52 19.3% |
| Q3 - 9:51 | MIA | Douglas Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS) | 63 78.2% | 52 21.8% |
| Q3 - 9:51 | MIA | MISS Douglas Free Throw 1 of 2 | 62 77.8% | 52 22.2% |
| Q3 - 10:05 | GSW | Thompson 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup (10 PTS) (Iguodala 4 AST) | 62 77.4% | 52 22.6% |
| Q3 - 10:30 | MIA | Bosh 16' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS) | 62 79.8% | 50 20.2% |
| Q3 - 10:45 | MIA | Douglas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 60 77.5% | 50 22.5% |
| Q3 - 10:47 | GSW | MISS Green 8' Floating Jump Shot | 60 76.7% | 50 23.3% |
| Q3 - 11:03 | MIA | James 24' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST) | 60 73.8% | 50 26.2% |
| Q3 - 11:20 | GSW | Iguodala 1' Driving Layup (5 PTS) (Lee 1 AST) | 57 68.3% | 50 31.7% |
| Q3 - 11:29 | GSW | Thompson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 57 71.1% | 48 28.9% |
| Q3 - 11:30 | MIA | MISS Bosh 16' Step Back Jump Shot | 57 72.0% | 48 28.0% |
| Q3 - 11:44 | GSW | Thompson 17' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Green 2 AST) | 57 74.0% | 48 26.0% |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | GSW | 57 76.5% | 46 23.5% | |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | GSW | WARRIORS Rebound | 57 76.5% | 46 23.5% |
| Q2 - 0:01.0 | GSW | MISS Thompson 62' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot | 57 76.8% | 46 23.2% |
| Q2 - 0:02.0 | MIA | Bosh Running Dunk (6 PTS) (James 5 AST) | 57 75.6% | 46 24.4% |
| Q2 - 0:10.0 | GSW | Curry Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T7) | 55 72.5% | 46 27.5% |
| Q2 - 0:27.0 | MIA | James 2' Driving Layup (16 PTS) | 55 70.5% | 46 29.5% |
| Q2 - 0:41.0 | GSW | Curry Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS) | 53 67.0% | 46 33.0% |
| Q2 - 0:41.0 | GSW | Curry Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS) | 53 67.3% | 45 32.7% |
| Q2 - 0:49.0 | MIA | Allen 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 4 AST) | 53 70.5% | 44 29.5% |
| Q2 - 0:55.0 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6) | 50 64.1% | 44 35.9% |
| Q2 - 0:56.0 | GSW | MISS Thompson 19' Jump Shot | 50 63.3% | 44 36.7% |
| Q2 - 1:10 | GSW | WARRIORS Rebound | 50 61.3% | 44 38.7% |
| Q2 - 1:11 | MIA | MISS James 11' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot | 50 61.9% | 44 38.1% |
| Q2 - 1:31 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5) | 50 63.3% | 44 36.7% |
| Q2 - 1:32 | GSW | MISS Speights 18' Jump Shot | 50 62.7% | 44 37.3% |
| Q2 - 1:45 | MIA | Beasley 9' Driving Jump Shot (12 PTS) | 50 61.3% | 44 38.7% |
| Q2 - 2:03 | GSW | Thompson 21' Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Speights 2 AST) | 48 57.1% | 44 42.9% |
| Q2 - 2:24 | GSW | WARRIORS Rebound | 48 60.1% | 42 39.9% |
| Q2 - 2:25 | MIA | MISS Bosh 11' Running Bank Shot | 48 61.0% | 42 39.0% |
| Q2 - 2:44 | GSW | Green 11' Turnaround Fadeaway (4 PTS) | 48 63.1% | 42 36.9% |
| Q2 - 2:57 | MIA | Oden Foul Turnover (P1.T6) | 48 66.0% | 40 34.0% |
| Q2 - 3:12 | GSW | Iguodala 24' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Curry 3 AST) | 48 68.1% | 40 31.9% |
| Q2 - 3:24 | GSW | Iguodala REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 48 72.6% | 37 27.4% |
| Q2 - 3:25 | MIA | MISS Oden Free Throw 2 of 2 | 48 73.0% | 37 27.0% |
| Q2 - 3:25 | MIA | MISS Oden Free Throw 1 of 2 | 48 74.4% | 37 25.6% |
| Q2 - 3:39 | GSW | Curry 27' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Iguodala 3 AST) | 48 75.4% | 37 24.6% |
| Q2 - 3:45 | GSW | Iguodala REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 48 79.2% | 34 20.8% |
| Q2 - 3:46 | MIA | MISS James 27' 3PT Jump Shot | 48 79.9% | 34 20.1% |
| Q2 - 3:49 | MIA | Oden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 48 81.5% | 34 18.5% |
| Q2 - 3:53 | GSW | Green REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5) | 48 79.2% | 34 20.8% |
| Q2 - 3:53 | GSW | MISS Green 1' Tip Shot | 48 80.8% | 34 19.2% |
| Q2 - 3:54 | GSW | MISS Lee 2' Layup | 48 80.8% | 34 19.2% |
| Q2 - 4:10 | MIA | Cole Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS) | 48 78.2% | 34 21.8% |
| Q2 - 4:15 | MIA | Beasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 45 74.0% | 34 26.0% |
| Q2 - 4:16 | GSW | MISS Crawford 1' Driving Layup | 45 73.3% | 34 26.7% |
| Q2 - 4:23 | GSW | Crawford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 45 71.7% | 34 28.3% |
| Q2 - 4:24 | MIA | MISS Allen 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot | 45 72.4% | 34 27.6% |
| Q2 - 4:35 | MIA | Allen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 45 74.1% | 34 25.9% |
| Q2 - 4:37 | GSW | Lee REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1) | 45 71.7% | 34 28.3% |
| Q2 - 4:37 | GSW | MISS Lee 2' Tip Shot | 45 73.4% | 34 26.6% |
| Q2 - 4:38 | GSW | MISS Crawford 11' Jump Shot | 45 73.4% | 34 26.6% |
| Q2 - 4:54 | MIA | Beasley 1' Reverse Layup (10 PTS) (James 3 AST) | 45 71.8% | 34 28.2% |
| Q2 - 5:07 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 43 68.8% | 34 31.3% |
| Q2 - 5:08 | GSW | MISS Lee Free Throw 2 of 2 | 43 68.4% | 34 31.6% |
| Q2 - 5:08 | GSW | MISS Lee Free Throw 1 of 2 | 43 66.7% | 34 33.3% |
| Q2 - 5:08 | GSW | Lee REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1) | 43 66.4% | 34 33.6% |
| Q2 - 5:09 | GSW | MISS Lee 2' Layup | 43 68.0% | 34 32.0% |
| Q2 - 5:29 | MIA | James Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS) | 43 66.4% | 34 33.6% |
| Q2 - 5:36 | GSW | Barnes 1' Driving Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Iguodala 2 AST) | 40 61.1% | 34 38.9% |
| Q2 - 5:42 | MIA | Barnes STEAL (1 STL) | 40 63.8% | 32 36.2% |
| Q2 - 6:06 | GSW | Curry 29' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot (5 PTS) | 40 66.0% | 32 34.0% |
| Q2 - 6:16 | MIA | Cole Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS) | 40 70.3% | 29 29.7% |
| Q2 - 6:16 | MIA | Cole Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS) | 39 69.8% | 29 30.2% |
| Q2 - 6:37 | GSW | Crawford 12' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Speights 1 AST) | 38 68.4% | 29 31.6% |
| Q2 - 6:53 | MIA | Beasley 5' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Bosh 2 AST) | 38 70.3% | 27 29.7% |
| Q2 - 7:12 | GSW | Barnes 17' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Crawford 1 AST) | 36 67.5% | 27 32.5% |
| Q2 - 7:32 | MIA | Cole 17' Pullup Jump Shot (5 PTS) | 36 69.6% | 25 30.4% |
| Q2 - 7:43 | MIA | Andersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 34 67.6% | 25 32.4% |
| Q2 - 7:45 | GSW | MISS Crawford 28' 3PT Jump Shot | 34 66.8% | 25 33.2% |
| Q2 - 7:56 | GSW | Lee REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 34 64.9% | 25 35.1% |
| Q2 - 7:57 | MIA | MISS Beasley 6' Driving Hook Shot | 34 65.7% | 25 34.3% |
| Q2 - 8:11 | MIA | Andersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 34 66.6% | 25 33.4% |
| Q2 - 8:12 | GSW | MISS Speights 9' Jump Shot | 34 65.9% | 25 34.1% |
| Q2 - 8:16 | GSW | Barnes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 34 64.2% | 25 35.8% |
| Q2 - 8:17 | GSW | MISS Speights 18' Jump Shot | 34 65.9% | 25 34.1% |
| Q2 - 8:30 | MIA | Beasley 1' Driving Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST) | 34 64.2% | 25 35.8% |
| Q2 - 8:52 | GSW | Lee 1' Putback Layup (8 PTS) | 32 61.9% | 25 38.1% |
| Q2 - 8:52 | GSW | Lee REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 32 64.2% | 23 35.8% |
| Q2 - 8:54 | GSW | MISS Crawford 14' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot | 32 66.0% | 23 34.0% |
| Q2 - 9:05 | GSW | Speights REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 32 63.4% | 23 36.6% |
| Q2 - 9:06 | MIA | MISS Cole 9' Floating Jump Shot | 32 64.2% | 23 35.8% |
| Q2 - 9:21 | MIA | Andersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 32 65.9% | 23 34.1% |
| Q2 - 9:22 | GSW | MISS Speights Free Throw 2 of 2 | 32 65.6% | 23 34.4% |
| Q2 - 9:22 | GSW | Speights Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS) | 32 64.0% | 23 36.0% |
| Q2 - 9:38 | MIA | Beasley 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST) | 32 65.8% | 22 34.2% |
| Q2 - 9:44 | GSW | Thompson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6) | 30 63.6% | 22 36.4% |
| Q2 - 9:50 | MIA | Thompson STEAL (1 STL) | 30 61.1% | 22 38.9% |
| Q2 - 10:10 | GSW | Crawford 4' Floating Jump Shot (4 PTS) | 30 63.3% | 22 36.7% |
| Q2 - 10:19 | GSW | Speights REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 30 65.2% | 20 34.8% |
| Q2 - 10:20 | MIA | MISS Bosh 17' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot | 30 66.0% | 20 34.0% |
| Q2 - 10:41 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 30 67.8% | 20 32.2% |
| Q2 - 10:43 | GSW | MISS Barnes 2' Layup | 30 67.0% | 20 33.0% |
| Q2 - 10:58 | MIA | Chalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS) | 30 65.2% | 20 34.8% |
| Q2 - 10:58 | MIA | Chalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS) | 29 64.8% | 20 35.2% |
| Q2 - 11:14 | MIA | Heat Rebound | 28 62.6% | 20 37.4% |
| Q2 - 11:14 | GSW | MISS Thompson 7' Jump Shot | 28 61.9% | 20 38.1% |
| Q2 - 11:31 | GSW | Speights REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 28 60.2% | 20 39.8% |
| Q2 - 11:32 | MIA | MISS Beasley 17' Pullup Jump Shot | 28 60.9% | 20 39.1% |
| Q2 - 11:46 | MIA | Beasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 28 62.6% | 20 37.4% |
| Q2 - 11:47 | GSW | MISS Speights 18' Pullup Jump Shot | 28 61.9% | 20 38.1% |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | GSW | 28 60.2% | 20 39.8% | |
| Q1 - 0:01.0 | MIA | James 3PT Step Back Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Cole 2 AST) | 28 60.0% | 20 40.0% |
| Q1 - 0:14.0 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 25 54.8% | 20 45.2% |
| Q1 - 0:15.0 | GSW | MISS Barnes 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 25 54.3% | 20 45.7% |
| Q1 - 0:30.0 | MIA | Beasley 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Cole 1 AST) | 25 53.1% | 20 46.9% |
| Q1 - 0:34.0 | GSW | Green Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5) | 23 50.2% | 20 49.8% |
| Q1 - 0:44.0 | GSW | Speights REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 23 48.4% | 20 51.6% |
| Q1 - 0:46.0 | MIA | Green BLOCK (2 BLK) | 23 48.9% | 20 51.1% |
| Q1 - 1:11 | GSW | Speights 16' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS) | 23 50.0% | 20 50.0% |
| Q1 - 1:25 | GSW | Green REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5) | 23 52.9% | 18 47.1% |
| Q1 - 1:26 | MIA | MISS Andersen Free Throw 2 of 2 | 23 53.1% | 18 46.9% |
| Q1 - 1:26 | MIA | MISS Andersen Free Throw 1 of 2 | 23 54.5% | 18 45.5% |
| Q1 - 1:39 | GSW | Crawford 1' Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Barnes 1 AST) | 23 54.5% | 18 45.5% |
| Q1 - 1:44 | MIA | Green STEAL (2 STL) | 23 57.4% | 16 42.6% |
| Q1 - 1:54 | MIA | Cole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 23 59.1% | 16 40.9% |
| Q1 - 1:55 | GSW | MISS Green 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot | 23 58.6% | 16 41.4% |
| Q1 - 2:15 | MIA | Andersen 1' Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST) | 23 57.0% | 16 43.0% |
| Q1 - 2:28 | GSW | Barnes Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS) | 21 54.6% | 16 45.4% |
| Q1 - 2:28 | GSW | Barnes Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 21 55.1% | 15 44.9% |
| Q1 - 2:37 | GSW | Barnes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 21 57.0% | 14 43.0% |
| Q1 - 2:38 | MIA | MISS James 15' Jump Shot | 21 57.6% | 14 42.4% |
| Q1 - 2:56 | GSW | Curry Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4) | 21 59.0% | 14 41.0% |
| Q1 - 3:00 | GSW | Green REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 21 57.0% | 14 43.0% |
| Q1 - 3:01 | MIA | MISS James 4' Jump Shot | 21 57.2% | 14 42.8% |
| Q1 - 3:16 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 21 58.8% | 14 41.2% |
| Q1 - 3:17 | GSW | MISS Barnes 8' Turnaround Bank Shot | 21 58.1% | 14 41.9% |
| Q1 - 3:40 | MIA | James 9' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Allen 1 AST) | 21 56.5% | 14 43.5% |
| Q1 - 4:11 | GSW | Lee 2' Driving Layup (6 PTS) (Curry 2 AST) | 19 54.0% | 14 46.0% |
| Q1 - 4:23 | GSW | Green REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 19 55.9% | 12 44.1% |
| Q1 - 4:24 | MIA | MISS Bosh 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot | 19 56.6% | 12 43.4% |
| Q1 - 4:36 | MIA | Allen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 19 58.3% | 12 41.7% |
| Q1 - 4:38 | GSW | MISS Barnes 3' Layup | 19 57.6% | 12 42.4% |
| Q1 - 4:47 | MIA | James Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS) | 19 55.9% | 12 44.1% |
| Q1 - 4:47 | MIA | James Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS) | 18 55.5% | 12 44.5% |
| Q1 - 4:57 | GSW | Green REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 17 54.0% | 12 46.0% |
| Q1 - 4:57 | GSW | Green 1' Tip Shot (2 PTS) | 17 54.0% | 12 46.0% |
| Q1 - 4:59 | GSW | MISS Iguodala 14' Jump Shot | 17 57.6% | 10 42.4% |
| Q1 - 5:21 | MIA | Bosh 13' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS) (James 2 AST) | 17 55.0% | 10 45.0% |
| Q1 - 5:35 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 15 53.2% | 10 46.8% |
| Q1 - 5:35 | GSW | MISS Lee 2' Layup | 15 52.5% | 10 47.5% |
| Q1 - 5:38 | GSW | Iguodala REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 15 51.0% | 10 49.0% |
| Q1 - 5:39 | GSW | MISS Iguodala 3' Layup | 15 52.5% | 10 47.5% |
| Q1 - 5:56 | MIA | Cole 27' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Battier 1 AST) | 15 51.0% | 10 49.0% |
| Q1 - 6:14 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 12 46.6% | 10 53.4% |
| Q1 - 6:15 | GSW | MISS Lee 3' Jump Shot | 12 46.0% | 10 54.0% |
| Q1 - 6:31 | GSW | Iguodala REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 12 44.5% | 10 55.5% |
| Q1 - 6:32 | MIA | MISS Chalmers 2' Driving Layup | 12 45.1% | 10 54.9% |
| Q1 - 6:36 | MIA | Battier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 12 46.6% | 10 53.4% |
| Q1 - 6:38 | GSW | MISS Curry 2' Layup | 12 46.0% | 10 54.0% |
| Q1 - 6:51 | MIA | James 1' Driving Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST) | 12 44.5% | 10 55.5% |
| Q1 - 6:55 | GSW | Curry Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3) | 10 42.7% | 10 57.3% |
| Q1 - 7:04 | MIA | Chalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS) | 10 40.5% | 10 59.5% |
| Q1 - 7:04 | MIA | Chalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS) | 9 40.1% | 10 59.9% |
| Q1 - 7:09 | MIA | Battier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 8 38.9% | 10 61.1% |
| Q1 - 7:10 | GSW | MISS Thompson Free Throw 2 of 2 | 8 38.7% | 10 61.3% |
| Q1 - 7:10 | GSW | Thompson Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS) | 8 37.4% | 10 62.6% |
| Q1 - 7:21 | MIA | Battier 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS) | 8 38.7% | 9 61.3% |
| Q1 - 7:42 | GSW | Curry Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS) | 6 37.2% | 9 62.8% |
| Q1 - 7:42 | GSW | Curry Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 6 37.3% | 8 62.7% |
| Q1 - 7:55 | MIA | Bosh 2' Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (James 1 AST) | 6 38.7% | 7 61.3% |
| Q1 - 8:08 | GSW | Lee Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2) | 4 37.2% | 7 62.8% |
| Q1 - 8:18 | GSW | Green REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 4 35.4% | 7 64.6% |
| Q1 - 8:19 | MIA | MISS James 27' 3PT Jump Shot | 4 35.9% | 7 64.1% |
| Q1 - 8:39 | GSW | Lee 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Curry 1 AST) | 4 37.2% | 7 62.8% |
| Q1 - 8:49 | GSW | Green REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 4 38.8% | 5 61.2% |
| Q1 - 8:50 | MIA | MISS Bosh 9' Turnaround Hook Shot | 4 39.4% | 5 60.6% |
| Q1 - 9:08 | GSW | Green Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1) | 4 40.9% | 5 59.1% |
| Q1 - 9:12 | MIA | Green STEAL (1 STL) | 4 39.0% | 5 61.0% |
| Q1 - 9:23 | MIA | Douglas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 4 40.9% | 5 59.1% |
| Q1 - 9:24 | GSW | MISS Thompson 24' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot | 4 40.3% | 5 59.7% |
| Q1 - 9:42 | MIA | James 7' Running Bank Shot (2 PTS) | 4 39.0% | 5 61.0% |
| Q1 - 10:02 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 2 37.6% | 5 62.4% |
| Q1 - 10:03 | GSW | MISS Lee 13' Step Back Jump Shot | 2 37.1% | 5 62.9% |
| Q1 - 10:24 | MIA | Chalmers Driving Slam Dunk (2 PTS) | 2 35.9% | 5 64.1% |
| Q1 - 10:40 | GSW | Lee Driving Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Iguodala 1 AST) | 0 34.5% | 5 65.5% |
| Q1 - 10:49 | GSW | Iguodala REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 0 35.9% | 3 64.1% |
| Q1 - 10:50 | MIA | Green BLOCK (1 BLK) | 0 36.4% | 3 63.6% |
| Q1 - 11:06 | GSW | Thompson 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Green 1 AST) | 0 37.4% | 3 62.6% |
| Q1 - 11:12 | MIA | Iguodala STEAL (1 STL) | 0 40.7% | 0 59.3% |
| Q1 - 11:30 | MIA | Heat Rebound | 0 42.2% | 0 57.8% |
| Q1 - 11:31 | MIA | MISS Chalmers 36' 3PT Jump Shot | 0 41.2% | 0 58.8% |
| Q1 - 12:00 | GSW | Jump Ball Lee vs. Bosh: Tip to Chalmers | 0 42.2% | 0 57.8% |
SHOOTING
Scoring Efficiency
MIA
1.23 61.7%
GSW
1.12 56.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
Scoring by Shot Type
At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
23
31
74%
GSW
17
32
53%
Midrange
MIA
9
25
36%
GSW
14
35
40%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
10
15.0
22
45%
68%
GSW
9
13.5
16
56%
84%
Free Throws
MIA
17
25
68%
GSW
21
26
81%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency Misses
Bars scaled to point value.
Total Points
| Heat| PLAYER | PTS | TS% | TSM / TSA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. James | 36 | 62% | 18.0 / 29 | |
| C. Bosh | 19 | 63% | 9.5 / 15 | |
| M. Beasley | 16 | 67% | 8.0 / 12 | |
| M. Chalmers | 12 | 67% | 6.0 / 9 | |
| N. Cole | 10 | 71% | 5.0 / 7 | |
| R. Allen | 9 | 64% | 4.5 / 7 | |
| C. Andersen | 6 | 75% | 3.0 / 4 | |
| S. Battier | 2 | 33% | 1.0 / 3 | |
| T. Douglas | 1 | 25% | 0.5 / 2 | |
| G. Oden | 0 | - | 0.0 / 1 |
TS Makes
TS Misses
Total Points
| Warriors| PLAYER | PTS | TS% | TSM / TSA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Curry | 29 | 81% | 14.5 / 18 | |
| D. Lee | 21 | 55% | 10.5 / 19 | |
| K. Thompson | 17 | 53% | 8.5 / 16 | |
| H. Barnes | 14 | 58% | 7.0 / 12 | |
| A. Iguodala | 9 | 64% | 4.5 / 7 | |
| J. Crawford | 9 | 50% | 4.5 / 9 | |
| D. Green | 8 | 50% | 4.0 / 8 | |
| M. Speights | 3 | 25% | 1.5 / 6 |
TS Makes
TS Misses
MATCHUP
Scoring Opportunities
MIA
84
+6
-12
90
GSW
81
+14
-13
95
Base
ORB
TOV
Scoring Efficiency
MIA
1.23 61.7%
GSW
1.12 56.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
Reg Season Avg | Game Stats | |
|---|---|---|
| Efficiency & Pace | This Game | |
| Efficiency | 110.7 107.8 | MIA 115.6 GSW 117.0 +1.4 |
| Pace | 91.5 96.1 | MIA 87.9 GSW 103.5 +15.5 |
| Avg. Poss. Time | 15.8 14.6 | MIA 16.4 GSW 13.9 +2.5 |
| Four Factors | This Game | |
| EFG % | 55.4% 51.7% | MIA 60.3% +6.7% GSW 53.6% |
| TO % | 15.4% 15.4% | MIA 11.9% +0.2% GSW 12.1% |
| ORB % | 20.6% 25.2% | MIA 11.1% GSW 26.2% +15.1% |
| FTrt | 30.0 24.7 | MIA 32.1 +0.8 GSW 31.3 |
| Misc. Stats | This Game | |
| AST % | 58.8% 59.1% | MIA 59.5% +4.5% GSW 55.0% |
| STL % | 9.7% 8.1% | MIA 11.5% +0.9% GSW 10.6% |
| BLK % | 8.1% 7.7% | MIA 7.5% +0.4% GSW 7.1% |
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.51 and 2.51.
Reg Season Avg | Game Stats | |
|---|---|---|
| Shooting Efficiency | This Game | |
| TS% | 57.5% 53.8% | MIA 61.7% +5.6% GSW 56.1% |
| Rim FG% | 66.7% 59.2% | MIA 74.2% +21.1% GSW 53.1% |
| Mid FG% | 42.8% 40.9% | MIA 36.0% GSW 40.0% +4.0% |
| 3P % | 36.4% 38.0% | MIA 45.5% GSW 56.3% +10.8% |
| FT % | 76.0% 75.4% | MIA 68.0% GSW 80.8% +12.8% |
| Shot Distribution | This Game | |
| Rim Att. % | 38.3% 33.5% | MIA 39.7% +1.2% GSW 38.6% |
| Mid Att. % | 32.5% 37.4% | MIA 32.1% +10.1% GSW 42.2% |
| 3P Att. % | 29.2% 29.1% | MIA 28.2% +8.9% GSW 19.3% |
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.71 and 2.71.
| Game Totals | MIA | GSW |
|---|---|---|
| Possessions | 96 | 94 |
| Possession Minutes | 26.2 | 21.8 |
| Points | 111 | 110 |
| Rebounds | 35 | 43 |
| Assists | 25 | 22 |
| Steals | 11 | 10 |
| Blocks | 5 | 4 |
| Turnovers (Team) | 12 (0) | 13 (0) |
| Fouls | ||
| Off. Rebounds (Team) | 4 (2) | 11 (3) |
| Def. Rebounds (Team) | 31 (1) | 32 (2) |
| Field Goals | 42-78 | 40-83 |
| At-the-Rim FG | 23-31 | 17-32 |
| Midrange FG | 9-25 | 14-35 |
| 2-Point FG | 32-56 | 31-67 |
| 3-Point FG | 10-22 | 9-16 |
| Free Throws | 17-25 | 21-26 |
| Fast Break Pts | ||
| 2nd Chance Pts | ||
| Points in Paint | ||
| Pts off Turnovers | ||
| Bench Points | ||
| Biggest Lead |
BOXSCORE
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Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.
Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.
Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.
Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.
Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.