FinalWin Prob.pScore
159%106
103
1041%103
97
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
113.29194.5
PHX logo PHX
107.89086.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

SunsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SunsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAPHX
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA103
100%
97
0%
Q4 - 0:02.0PHXMISS Mark Morris 26' 3PT Jump Bank Shot103
99.9%
97
0.1%
Q4 - 0:09.0MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (37 PTS)103
99.7%
97
0.3%
Q4 - 0:09.0MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (36 PTS)102
99.7%
97
0.3%
Q4 - 0:12.0PHXMark Morris 4' Turnaround Bank Shot (12 PTS)101
99.3%
97
0.7%
Q4 - 0:25.0MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (35 PTS)101
99.3%
95
0.7%
Q4 - 0:25.0MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (34 PTS)100
99.2%
95
0.8%
Q4 - 0:25.0PHXGreen Free Throw Technical (26 PTS)99
98.6%
95
1.4%
Q4 - 0:31.0PHXTucker 21' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Dragic 9 AST)99
99.2%
94
0.8%
Q4 - 0:40.0MIABosh 24' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (James 3 AST)99
99.3%
92
0.7%
Q4 - 1:03PHXGreen 3PT Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Dragic 8 AST)96
95.8%
92
4.2%
Q4 - 1:13MIAJames 1' Driving Dunk (33 PTS)96
98.3%
89
1.7%
Q4 - 1:16PHXMark Morris Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T16)94
97.1%
89
2.9%
Q4 - 1:24PHXGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)94
94.1%
89
5.9%
Q4 - 1:26MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot94
94.9%
89
5.1%
Q4 - 1:51PHXFrye Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T15)94
95.3%
89
4.7%
Q4 - 2:05MIAJames 18' Step Back Jump Shot (31 PTS)94
92.1%
89
7.9%
Q4 - 2:26MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)92
89.0%
89
11.0%
Q4 - 2:29MIAMISS Cole 19' Jump Shot92
84.2%
89
15.8%
Q4 - 2:48PHXGreen Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)92
89.1%
89
10.9%
Q4 - 2:48PHXGreen Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)92
89.8%
88
10.2%
Q4 - 2:52MIADragic STEAL (4 STL)92
90.7%
87
9.3%
Q4 - 3:12PHXTucker Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)92
94.4%
87
5.6%
Q4 - 3:12PHXTucker Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)92
94.9%
86
5.1%
Q4 - 3:12PHXSUNS Rebound92
96.0%
85
4.0%
Q4 - 3:12PHXMISS Green 14' Jump Shot92
97.2%
85
2.8%
Q4 - 3:29MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (29 PTS)92
96.0%
85
4.0%
Q4 - 3:29MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 291
95.7%
85
4.3%
Q4 - 3:30MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)91
96.4%
85
3.6%
Q4 - 3:31PHXMISS Dragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot91
93.3%
85
6.7%
Q4 - 4:00MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (28 PTS)91
91.8%
85
8.2%
Q4 - 4:00MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (27 PTS)90
91.2%
85
8.8%
Q4 - 4:02MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)89
88.8%
85
11.2%
Q4 - 4:04PHXMISS Mark Morris 2' Layup89
87.5%
85
12.5%
Q4 - 4:16PHXMark Morris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)89
84.1%
85
15.9%
Q4 - 4:18MIAMISS James 28' 3PT Jump Shot89
85.8%
85
14.2%
Q4 - 4:41PHXTucker Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T14)89
89.1%
85
10.9%
Q4 - 5:00PHXGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)89
84.3%
85
15.7%
Q4 - 5:02MIAMark Morris BLOCK (2 BLK)89
83.4%
85
16.6%
Q4 - 5:24MIAChalmers Free Throw Clear Path 2 of 2 (13 PTS)89
86.7%
85
13.3%
Q4 - 5:24MIAChalmers Free Throw Clear Path 1 of 2 (12 PTS)88
85.8%
85
14.2%
Q4 - 5:24PHXDragic Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T13)87
76.9%
85
23.1%
Q4 - 5:41PHXFrye REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)87
69.7%
85
30.3%
Q4 - 5:42MIAMISS James 16' Jump Shot87
72.1%
85
27.9%
Q4 - 5:58PHXDragic 15' Step Back Jump Shot (15 PTS)87
77.0%
85
23.0%
Q4 - 6:20MIAAllen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (James 2 AST)87
80.4%
83
19.6%
Q4 - 6:40PHXGreen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS)84
69.9%
83
30.1%
Q4 - 6:53PHXFrye REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)84
80.5%
80
19.5%
Q4 - 6:54MIAMISS Chalmers Free Throw 2 of 284
81.2%
80
18.8%
Q4 - 6:54MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)84
84.1%
80
15.9%
Q4 - 7:04MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)83
80.1%
80
19.9%
Q4 - 7:06PHXMISS Mark Morris 16' Jump Shot83
78.6%
80
21.4%
Q4 - 7:21MIACole 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Allen 3 AST)83
74.8%
80
25.2%
Q4 - 7:46PHXDragic 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Barbosa 1 AST)80
63.6%
80
36.4%
Q4 - 8:06MIAChalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)80
74.1%
77
25.9%
Q4 - 8:26MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)77
63.0%
77
37.0%
Q4 - 8:28PHXMISS Frye 25' 3PT Jump Shot77
61.2%
77
38.8%
Q4 - 8:40MIACole Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P4.T12)77
56.9%
77
43.1%
Q4 - 9:00PHXMark Morris 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Dragic 7 AST)77
63.1%
77
36.9%
Q4 - 9:23MIACole Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)77
68.4%
75
31.6%
Q4 - 9:37MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)77
73.3%
75
26.7%
Q4 - 9:40PHXMISS Tucker 6' Running Jump Shot77
71.9%
75
28.1%
Q4 - 10:01MIACole 18' Jump Shot (7 PTS)77
67.8%
75
32.2%
Q4 - 10:17PHXSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)75
62.8%
75
37.2%
Q4 - 10:17PHXMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 275
64.7%
74
35.3%
Q4 - 10:26MIAGreen STEAL (1 STL)75
62.7%
74
37.3%
Q4 - 10:46MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)75
67.9%
74
32.1%
Q4 - 10:48PHXMISS Mark Morris 16' Jump Shot75
66.4%
74
33.6%
Q4 - 11:06MIAJames 25' 3PT Jump Shot (26 PTS)75
62.3%
74
37.7%
Q4 - 11:13MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)72
52.0%
74
48.0%
Q4 - 11:16PHXMISS Tucker 5' Hook Shot72
50.3%
74
49.7%
Q4 - 11:16PHXTucker REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)72
46.5%
74
53.5%
Q4 - 11:18PHXMISS Mark Morris 15' Jump Shot72
50.3%
74
49.7%
Q4 - 11:41PHXTucker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)72
46.5%
74
53.5%
Q4 - 11:43MIAMISS Lewis Free Throw 2 of 272
47.2%
74
52.8%
Q4 - 11:43MIALewis Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)72
50.8%
74
49.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA71
46.6%
74
53.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0PHXMark Morris Dunk (8 PTS) (Tucker 5 AST)71
46.6%
74
53.4%
Q3 - 0:17.0MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)71
52.7%
72
47.3%
Q3 - 0:17.0MIAAndersen 2' Layup (6 PTS)71
52.7%
72
47.3%
Q3 - 0:18.0MIADragic BLOCK (1 BLK)69
44.0%
72
56.0%
Q3 - 0:32.0PHXMark Morris Foul Turnover (P2.T12)69
47.3%
72
52.7%
Q3 - 0:38.0PHXDragic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)69
42.4%
72
57.6%
Q3 - 0:39.0PHXMISS Tucker 25' 3PT Jump Shot69
45.8%
72
54.2%
Q3 - 0:50.0PHXGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)69
42.4%
72
57.6%
Q3 - 0:52.0MIAMISS Allen 3PT Jump Shot69
43.9%
72
56.1%
Q3 - 1:16PHXMark Morris 3' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Tucker 4 AST)69
48.1%
72
51.9%
Q3 - 1:49MIAJames 18' Jump Shot (23 PTS)69
53.1%
70
46.9%
Q3 - 2:13MIAHeat Rebound67
48.7%
70
51.3%
Q3 - 2:14MIAMISS Cole 24' 3PT Jump Shot67
45.3%
70
54.7%
Q3 - 2:42PHXGreen Slam Dunk (17 PTS) (Dragic 6 AST)67
48.7%
70
51.3%
Q3 - 2:47MIADragic STEAL (3 STL)67
53.2%
68
46.8%
Q3 - 3:12PHXFrye 21' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Dragic 5 AST)67
58.4%
68
41.6%
Q3 - 3:25MIABosh Dunk (18 PTS) (Cole 3 AST)67
62.3%
66
37.7%
Q3 - 3:41PHXFrye 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Dragic 4 AST)65
58.4%
66
41.6%
Q3 - 4:03MIAAllen 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Cole 2 AST)65
65.9%
63
34.1%
Q3 - 4:09PHXGreen Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T11)63
62.9%
63
37.1%
Q3 - 4:14PHXFrye REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)63
57.8%
63
42.2%
Q3 - 4:16MIAMISS James 16' Turnaround Jump Shot63
59.4%
63
40.6%
Q3 - 4:42PHXGreen 27' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Dragic 3 AST)63
62.9%
63
37.1%
Q3 - 5:00PHXDragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)63
69.7%
60
30.3%
Q3 - 5:03MIAMISS Douglas 17' Step Back Jump Shot63
70.6%
60
29.4%
Q3 - 5:18PHXGreen 9' Pullup Jump Shot (12 PTS)63
73.3%
60
26.7%
Q3 - 5:33PHXTucker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)63
75.9%
58
24.1%
Q3 - 5:34MIAMISS Chalmers Free Throw 2 of 263
76.4%
58
23.6%
Q3 - 5:34MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)63
78.3%
58
21.7%
Q3 - 5:56PHXGreen 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (10 PTS)62
76.4%
58
23.6%
Q3 - 6:07PHXPlumlee REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)62
81.1%
55
18.9%
Q3 - 6:09MIAMISS Chalmers 3PT Jump Shot62
81.9%
55
18.1%
Q3 - 6:26MIABattier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)62
83.7%
55
16.3%
Q3 - 6:30PHXMISS Dragic 2' Driving Reverse Layup62
82.9%
55
17.1%
Q3 - 6:40MIAJames Slam Dunk (21 PTS)62
81.1%
55
18.9%
Q3 - 6:42PHXDragic Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)60
78.8%
55
21.2%
Q3 - 6:58MIAJames Dunk (19 PTS) (Douglas 2 AST)60
75.7%
55
24.3%
Q3 - 7:10PHXTucker Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)58
72.4%
55
27.6%
Q3 - 7:28MIABosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (James 1 AST)58
69.0%
55
31.0%
Q3 - 7:38MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)55
62.4%
55
37.6%
Q3 - 7:40PHXMISS Frye 25' 3PT Jump Shot55
61.2%
55
38.8%
Q3 - 7:57MIADouglas 2' Driving Layup (5 PTS)55
58.4%
55
41.6%
Q3 - 8:02PHXDragic Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)53
55.3%
55
44.7%
Q3 - 8:10MIAJames 7' Fadeaway Bank Shot (17 PTS)53
50.9%
55
49.1%
Q3 - 8:33PHXPlumlee 6' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Tucker 3 AST)51
47.7%
55
52.3%
Q3 - 8:43PHXTucker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)51
50.9%
53
49.1%
Q3 - 8:44MIAMISS Battier 26' 3PT Jump Shot51
52.2%
53
47.8%
Q3 - 8:51MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)51
55.2%
53
44.8%
Q3 - 8:53PHXMISS Dragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot51
53.9%
53
46.1%
Q3 - 9:13PHXSUNS Rebound51
51.5%
53
48.5%
Q3 - 9:13MIAMISS Douglas 26' 3PT Jump Shot51
52.6%
53
47.4%
Q3 - 9:27PHXFrye 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Dragic 2 AST)51
55.2%
53
44.8%
Q3 - 9:39MIABosh 2' Layup (13 PTS) (Douglas 1 AST)51
58.7%
51
41.3%
Q3 - 9:52MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)49
55.2%
51
44.8%
Q3 - 9:56PHXMISS Plumlee 10' Turnaround Hook Shot49
54.1%
51
45.9%
Q3 - 10:12MIABattier 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)49
52.3%
51
47.7%
Q3 - 10:38PHXFrye 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Tucker 2 AST)46
45.1%
51
54.9%
Q3 - 10:42PHXGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)46
52.2%
48
47.8%
Q3 - 10:46MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot46
53.3%
48
46.7%
Q3 - 10:50MIABattier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)46
55.8%
48
44.2%
Q3 - 10:53PHXMISS Green 14' Pullup Jump Shot46
54.7%
48
45.3%
Q3 - 11:05PHXSUNS Rebound46
53.0%
48
47.0%
Q3 - 11:05PHXMISS Dragic 2' Driving Layup46
55.4%
48
44.6%
Q3 - 11:25MIAJames 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS)46
53.0%
48
47.0%
Q3 - 11:46PHXGreen Driving Layup (7 PTS)43
46.2%
48
53.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA43
49.5%
46
50.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0PHXGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)43
49.5%
46
50.5%
Q2 - 0:02.0MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)43
53.1%
46
46.9%
Q2 - 0:02.0MIAMISS Andersen 1' Putback Layup43
51.4%
46
48.6%
Q2 - 0:04.0MIAMISS Battier 25' 3PT Jump Shot43
51.4%
46
48.6%
Q2 - 0:26.0MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)43
53.1%
46
46.9%
Q2 - 0:28.0PHXMISS Frye 25' 3PT Jump Shot43
52.4%
46
47.6%
Q2 - 0:35.0MIAJames Foul Turnover (P3.T8)43
50.6%
46
49.4%
Q2 - 0:36.0MIABattier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)43
53.1%
46
46.9%
Q2 - 0:39.0PHXMISS Dragic 9' Turnaround Jump Shot43
52.4%
46
47.6%
Q2 - 0:49.0PHXFrye REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)43
50.6%
46
49.4%
Q2 - 0:52.0MIAMISS Cole 3PT Jump Shot43
51.4%
46
48.6%
Q2 - 0:58.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)43
53.1%
46
46.9%
Q2 - 0:59.0PHXMISS Frye 25' 3PT Jump Shot43
52.4%
46
47.6%
Q2 - 1:18MIAChalmers 1' Driving Layup (6 PTS)43
51.3%
46
48.7%
Q2 - 1:36PHXFrye 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Tucker 1 AST)41
46.9%
46
53.1%
Q2 - 1:56PHXTucker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)41
54.4%
43
45.6%
Q2 - 1:58MIAMISS Bosh 18' Jump Shot41
55.1%
43
44.9%
Q2 - 2:14MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)41
57.3%
43
42.7%
Q2 - 2:16PHXMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 241
56.8%
43
43.2%
Q2 - 2:16PHXSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)41
55.3%
43
44.7%
Q2 - 2:26PHXTucker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)41
57.2%
42
42.8%
Q2 - 2:28MIAMISS Battier 3PT Jump Shot41
58.2%
42
41.8%
Q2 - 2:53PHXMark Morris Dunk (4 PTS) (Frye 2 AST)41
60.2%
42
39.8%
Q2 - 3:06MIACole Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)41
63.2%
40
36.8%
Q2 - 3:06MIACole Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)40
62.6%
40
37.4%
Q2 - 3:11MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)39
60.9%
40
39.1%
Q2 - 3:14PHXMISS Frye 24' 3PT Jump Shot39
59.9%
40
40.1%
Q2 - 3:30MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)39
57.4%
40
42.6%
Q2 - 3:30MIABosh 2' Layup (11 PTS)39
57.4%
40
42.6%
Q2 - 3:32MIAMISS James 2' Driving Layup37
52.6%
40
47.4%
Q2 - 3:38MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)37
55.1%
40
44.9%
Q2 - 3:40PHXMISS Mark Morris 3' Layup37
54.0%
40
46.0%
Q2 - 3:58PHXSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)37
51.4%
40
48.6%
Q2 - 4:00MIAMISS James 18' Jump Shot37
52.5%
40
47.5%
Q2 - 4:16PHXSmith Driving Layup (6 PTS)37
55.1%
40
44.9%
Q2 - 4:23PHXFrye REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)37
57.9%
38
42.1%
Q2 - 4:25MIAMISS Chalmers 9' Jump Shot37
58.8%
38
41.2%
Q2 - 4:42PHXMark Morris Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)37
60.8%
38
39.2%
Q2 - 4:42PHXMark Morris Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)37
61.3%
37
38.7%
Q2 - 5:08MIAChalmers 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS)37
63.7%
36
36.3%
Q2 - 5:27PHXSmith 5' Floating Jump Shot (4 PTS)35
60.9%
36
39.1%
Q2 - 5:40MIAJames 3' Layup (12 PTS) (Cole 1 AST)35
63.7%
34
36.3%
Q2 - 5:52PHXDragic Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)33
60.9%
34
39.1%
Q2 - 5:52PHXDragic Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)33
61.4%
33
38.6%
Q2 - 5:55MIADragic STEAL (2 STL)33
63.6%
32
36.4%
Q2 - 5:57MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)33
66.1%
32
33.9%
Q2 - 6:00PHXMISS Dragic 12' Turnaround Jump Shot33
65.4%
32
34.6%
Q2 - 6:11MIAJames 2' Driving Layup (10 PTS)33
63.4%
32
36.6%
Q2 - 6:18MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)31
61.3%
32
38.7%
Q2 - 6:21PHXMISS Tucker 1' Driving Layup31
60.3%
32
39.7%
Q2 - 6:49MIAJames 1' Dunk (8 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)31
58.1%
32
41.9%
Q2 - 6:54PHXMarc Morris Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)29
55.9%
32
44.1%
Q2 - 7:12MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)29
53.2%
32
46.8%
Q2 - 7:12MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)28
52.8%
32
47.2%
Q2 - 7:17MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)27
50.9%
32
49.1%
Q2 - 7:19PHXMISS Marc Morris 24' 3PT Jump Shot27
50.0%
32
50.0%
Q2 - 7:31MIAAndersen 2' Layup (4 PTS)27
47.9%
32
52.1%
Q2 - 7:32MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)25
45.5%
32
54.5%
Q2 - 7:34MIAMISS Andersen 2' Layup25
43.5%
32
56.5%
Q2 - 7:57MIAHeat Rebound25
45.5%
32
54.5%
Q2 - 7:58PHXMISS Barbosa 22' Jump Shot25
44.6%
32
55.4%
Q2 - 8:18MIAAllen Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)25
43.2%
32
56.8%
Q2 - 8:26PHXBarbosa Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)25
45.8%
32
54.2%
Q2 - 8:29PHXBarbosa REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
50.9%
29
49.1%
Q2 - 8:30MIAMark Morris BLOCK (1 BLK)25
51.7%
29
48.3%
Q2 - 8:43PHXSmith Foul Turnover (P1.T6)25
53.6%
29
46.4%
Q2 - 8:47PHXMark Morris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)25
50.9%
29
49.1%
Q2 - 8:49MIAMISS Lewis 24' 3PT Jump Shot25
51.7%
29
48.3%
Q2 - 9:11PHXBarbosa 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)25
54.1%
29
45.9%
Q2 - 9:14PHXLen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
56.4%
27
43.6%
Q2 - 9:16MIAMISS Cole 6' Floating Jump Shot25
57.2%
27
42.8%
Q2 - 9:35PHXSmith 1' Layup (2 PTS)25
59.0%
27
41.0%
Q2 - 9:38PHXSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
61.2%
25
38.8%
Q2 - 9:41MIALen BLOCK (1 BLK)25
62.0%
25
38.0%
Q2 - 9:54MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
63.7%
25
36.3%
Q2 - 9:56PHXMISS Mark Morris 18' Jump Shot25
63.0%
25
37.0%
Q2 - 10:08MIAAllen 5' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)25
61.0%
25
39.0%
Q2 - 10:32MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)23
59.0%
25
41.0%
Q2 - 10:34PHXMISS Marc Morris 17' Jump Shot23
58.2%
25
41.8%
Q2 - 10:50MIACole Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)23
56.2%
25
43.8%
Q2 - 10:50MIAMISS Cole Free Throw 1 of 222
55.7%
25
44.3%
Q2 - 10:54PHXBarbosa Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T5)22
56.6%
25
43.4%
Q2 - 11:00PHXLen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
53.8%
25
46.2%
Q2 - 11:02MIAMISS Lewis 17' Jump Shot22
54.7%
25
45.3%
Q2 - 11:26MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
56.5%
25
43.5%
Q2 - 11:28PHXMISS Mark Morris 24' 3PT Jump Shot22
55.7%
25
44.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0PHX22
53.9%
25
46.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0PHXSUNS Rebound22
53.9%
25
46.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0PHXMISS Marc Morris 25' 3PT Jump Shot22
55.7%
25
44.3%
Q1 - 0:04.0MIAJames 2' Driving Layup (6 PTS)22
54.4%
25
45.6%
Q1 - 0:19.0PHXBarbosa Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)20
51.5%
25
48.5%
Q1 - 0:42.0MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)20
49.7%
25
50.3%
Q1 - 0:42.0MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)19
49.2%
25
50.8%
Q1 - 0:45.0MIALewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
46.8%
25
53.2%
Q1 - 0:47.0PHXMISS Frye 23' Jump Shot18
46.2%
25
53.8%
Q1 - 0:59.0MIAAndersen Putback Dunk (2 PTS)18
45.0%
25
55.0%
Q1 - 1:03MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)16
42.8%
25
57.2%
Q1 - 1:04MIAMISS Cole 26' 3PT Jump Shot16
41.7%
25
58.3%
Q1 - 1:23MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)16
42.8%
25
57.2%
Q1 - 1:25MIAMISS Allen 25' 3PT Jump Shot16
41.6%
25
58.4%
Q1 - 1:32PHXMark Morris Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)16
42.8%
25
57.2%
Q1 - 1:35MIAMark Morris STEAL (1 STL)16
41.1%
25
58.9%
Q1 - 1:51MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
42.7%
25
57.3%
Q1 - 1:53PHXMISS Green 25' 3PT Jump Shot16
42.2%
25
57.8%
Q1 - 2:10MIACole Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)16
41.3%
25
58.7%
Q1 - 2:16MIALewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
43.4%
25
56.6%
Q1 - 2:19PHXMark Morris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)16
41.3%
25
58.7%
Q1 - 2:19PHXMISS Mark Morris 3' Tip Shot16
42.8%
25
57.2%
Q1 - 2:21PHXMISS Green 25' 3PT Jump Shot16
42.8%
25
57.2%
Q1 - 2:43MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)16
41.3%
25
58.7%
Q1 - 2:43MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 215
40.9%
25
59.1%
Q1 - 2:56PHXGreen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Frye 1 AST)15
41.2%
25
58.8%
Q1 - 3:14MIACole 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)15
46.0%
22
54.0%
Q1 - 3:34PHXTucker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)13
44.0%
22
56.0%
Q1 - 3:34PHXTucker 1' Putback Layup (10 PTS)13
44.0%
22
56.0%
Q1 - 3:37PHXMISS Dragic 2' Layup13
47.7%
20
52.3%
Q1 - 3:57MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)13
46.0%
20
54.0%
Q1 - 3:57MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 212
45.6%
20
54.4%
Q1 - 3:57MIAHeat Rebound12
46.2%
20
53.8%
Q1 - 3:57MIAMISS Allen 3PT Jump Shot12
44.5%
20
55.5%
Q1 - 4:13PHXDragic 14' Step Back Jump Shot (8 PTS)12
46.9%
20
53.1%
Q1 - 4:26MIABosh 2' Layup (6 PTS) (Allen 2 AST)12
48.7%
18
51.3%
Q1 - 4:36MIADouglas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)10
46.9%
18
53.1%
Q1 - 4:37PHXMISS Green 24' 3PT Jump Shot10
46.1%
18
53.9%
Q1 - 4:56MIABosh 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)10
44.4%
18
55.6%
Q1 - 5:00MIAHeat Rebound8
42.6%
18
57.4%
Q1 - 5:00MIATucker BLOCK (1 BLK)8
40.9%
18
59.1%
Q1 - 5:10PHXGreen Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)8
43.3%
18
56.7%
Q1 - 5:31MIAChalmers 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)8
41.1%
18
58.9%
Q1 - 5:42PHXTucker 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Green 2 AST)6
39.3%
18
60.7%
Q1 - 6:07MIABosh 1' Driving Dunk (2 PTS)6
44.1%
15
55.9%
Q1 - 6:17PHXDragic Free Throw 3 of 3 (6 PTS)4
42.3%
15
57.7%
Q1 - 6:17PHXDragic Free Throw 2 of 3 (5 PTS)4
42.7%
14
57.3%
Q1 - 6:17PHXDragic Free Throw 1 of 3 (4 PTS)4
43.2%
13
56.8%
Q1 - 6:28MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#3)4
46.0%
12
54.0%
Q1 - 6:53MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
48.1%
12
51.9%
Q1 - 6:55PHXMISS Dragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot4
47.5%
12
52.5%
Q1 - 7:01PHXPlumlee REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)4
46.6%
12
53.4%
Q1 - 7:03PHXMISS Tucker 13' Running Jump Shot4
48.2%
12
51.8%
Q1 - 7:21PHXPlumlee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)4
46.6%
12
53.4%
Q1 - 7:23MIAMISS Douglas 26' 3PT Jump Shot4
47.3%
12
52.7%
Q1 - 7:33MIABattier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
48.8%
12
51.2%
Q1 - 7:33MIAMISS Douglas 2' Layup4
47.3%
12
52.7%
Q1 - 7:35MIADouglas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
48.8%
12
51.2%
Q1 - 7:37MIAGreen BLOCK (1 BLK)4
47.3%
12
52.7%
Q1 - 7:57MIAMISS James Free Throw Clear Path 2 of 24
48.8%
12
51.2%
Q1 - 7:57MIAJames Free Throw Clear Path 1 of 2 (1 PTS)4
50.2%
12
49.8%
Q1 - 7:58PHXFrye Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)3
46.9%
12
53.1%
Q1 - 8:09MIADouglas 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Battier 1 AST)3
45.6%
12
54.4%
Q1 - 8:32PHXGreen 11' Jump Shot (2 PTS)0
42.1%
12
57.9%
Q1 - 8:38PHXFrye REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
43.7%
10
56.3%
Q1 - 8:40MIAMISS Douglas 3PT Jump Shot0
44.4%
10
55.6%
Q1 - 9:01PHXTucker 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Green 1 AST)0
46.7%
10
53.3%
Q1 - 9:19MIABosh 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T2)0
50.0%
7
50.0%
Q1 - 9:38PHXTucker 5' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)0
52.0%
7
48.0%
Q1 - 9:41PHXTucker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
53.6%
5
46.4%
Q1 - 9:42PHXMISS Tucker 2' Layup0
55.0%
5
45.0%
Q1 - 10:00PHXPlumlee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)0
53.6%
5
46.4%
Q1 - 10:03MIAMISS James 2' Reverse Layup0
54.7%
5
45.3%
Q1 - 10:15PHXDragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)0
56.0%
5
44.0%
Q1 - 10:19PHXPlumlee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
59.2%
2
40.8%
Q1 - 10:25MIAMISS James 2' Finger Roll Layup0
59.7%
2
40.3%
Q1 - 10:35MIADouglas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
61.0%
2
39.0%
Q1 - 10:37PHXMISS Plumlee 6' Jump Shot0
60.4%
2
39.6%
Q1 - 10:47PHXPlumlee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
59.1%
2
40.9%
Q1 - 10:49MIAMISS Chalmers Layup0
59.7%
2
40.3%
Q1 - 10:58PHXFrye 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Dragic 1 AST)0
61.0%
2
39.0%
Q1 - 11:05MIADragic STEAL (1 STL)0
62.6%
0
37.4%
Q1 - 11:08MIABattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
63.9%
0
36.1%
Q1 - 11:10PHXMISS Frye 14' Turnaround Jump Shot0
63.5%
0
36.5%
Q1 - 11:41PHXDragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
62.6%
0
37.4%
Q1 - 11:42MIAMISS Battier 26' 3PT Jump Shot0
63.0%
0
37.0%
Q1 - 12:00PHXJump Ball Plumlee vs. Bosh: Tip to James0
64.0%
0
36.0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.11 55.4%
PHX
1.15 57.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
22
33
67%
PHX
13
22
59%
Midrange
MIA
5
16
31%
PHX
10
26
38%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
9
13.5
27
33%
50%
PHX
12
18.0
28
43%
64%
Free Throws
MIA
22
30
73%
PHX
15
17
88%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. James3766%18.5 / 28
C. Bosh2181%10.5 / 13
M. Chalmers1372%6.5 / 9
N. Cole1045%5.0 / 11
R. Allen758%3.5 / 6
C. Andersen660%3.0 / 5
T. Douglas528%2.5 / 9
S. Battier330%1.5 / 5
R. Lewis117%0.5 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
PHX logo Suns
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
G. Green2687%13.0 / 15
G. Dragic1554%7.5 / 14
C. Frye1558%7.5 / 13
P. Tucker1458%7.0 / 12
M. Morris1240%6.0 / 15
I. Smith880%4.0 / 5
L. Barbosa583%2.5 / 3
M. Plumlee233%1.0 / 3
M. Morris0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
79
+12
-12
91
PHX
74
+9
-16
83
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.11 55.4%
PHX
1.15 57.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
110.7
109.5
MIA 113.2 +5.4
PHX 107.8
Pace
91.5
95.8
MIA 94.5 +7.8
PHX 86.7
Avg. Poss. Time
15.8
15.0
MIA 15.2 +1.4
PHX 16.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
55.4%
51.9%
MIA 53.3%
PHX 53.9% +0.6%
TO %
15.4%
15.4%
MIA 12.7% +3.4%
PHX 16.1%
ORB %
20.6%
26.4%
MIA 23.1% +7.3%
PHX 15.8%
FTrt
30.0
29.3
MIA 39.5 +17.1
PHX 22.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.8%
49.3%
MIA 38.9%
PHX 57.1% +18.2%
STL %
9.7%
8.7%
MIA 13.2% +6.5%
PHX 6.7%
BLK %
8.1%
7.2%
MIA 2.1%
PHX 12.2% +10.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.51 and 2.51.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
57.5%
54.4%
MIA 55.4%
PHX 57.7% +2.3%
Rim FG%
66.7%
60.2%
MIA 66.7% +7.6%
PHX 59.1%
Mid FG%
42.8%
40.2%
MIA 31.3%
PHX 38.5% +7.2%
3P %
36.4%
37.2%
MIA 33.3%
PHX 42.9% +9.6%
FT %
76.0%
75.8%
MIA 73.3%
PHX 88.2% +14.9%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
38.3%
35.2%
MIA 43.4% +14.5%
PHX 28.9%
Mid Att. %
32.5%
34.8%
MIA 21.1% +13.2%
PHX 34.2%
3P Att. %
29.2%
30.0%
MIA 35.5%
PHX 36.8% +1.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.71 and 2.71.
Game TotalsMIAPHX
Possessions9190
Possession Minutes23.124.9
Points10397
Rebounds4136
Assists1420
Steals126
Blocks16
Turnovers (Team)12 (1)16 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (3)6 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)32 (1)30 (1)
Field Goals36-7635-76
At-the-Rim FG22-3313-22
Midrange FG5-1610-26
2-Point FG27-4923-48
3-Point FG9-2712-28
Free Throws22-3015-17
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 250 · 29
41.0
37
66%
9
3
5
0
4
2
1
8
11-14
79%
10-17
59%
2-5
40%
C · 6'11" 235 · 30
38.4
21
81%
8
1
0
0
2
2
2
6
3-4
75%
6-9
67%
2-2
100%
G · 6'2" 190 · 28
32.6
13
72%
0
1
2
0
0
3
0
0
4-6
67%
3-5
60%
1-2
50%
F · 6'8" 220 · 35
25.9
3
30%
5
1
1
0
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-5
20%
G · 6'2" 195 · 28
15.2
5
28%
3
2
0
1
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
1-5
20%
1-4
25%
G · 6'2" 175 · 25
29.8
10
45%
1
3
2
0
4
2
0
1
3-4
75%
2-5
40%
1-4
25%
G · 6'5" 205 · 39
28.6
7
58%
7
3
1
0
2
1
0
7
0-0
-
2-2
100%
1-4
25%
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 36
17.9
6
60%
6
0
1
0
0
4
4
2
0-0
-
3-5
60%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 235 · 35
10.7
1
17%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
C · 7'0" 273 · 26
F · 6'8" 235 · 34
F · 6'9" 235 · 25
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 33
#21 · G · 6'5" 205 · 33
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#3 · G · 6'4" 220 · 32
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
103
55%
41
14
12
1
12
0
9
32
22-30
73%
27-49
55%
9-27
33%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.