Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Tuesday, February 11, 2014

Final			Win Prob.	pScore
	16	Wizards	48%	91	89
	18	Grizzlies	52%	92	92

	ORTG	#Poss	Pace
WAS	96.7	92	94.2
MEM	103.4	89	87.0

Scoring Opportunities

WAS

-13

MEM

+11

-17

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

WAS

1.02 51.1%

MEM

1.10 54.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / WinProb
Clock	Team	Event	WAS	MEM
Q4 - 0:00.0	WAS		89 0%	92 100%
Q4 - 0:11.0	WAS	Ariza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	89 7.9%	92 92.1%
Q4 - 0:11.0	MEM	MISS Randolph Free Throw 2 of 2	89 6.7%	92 93.3%
Q4 - 0:11.0	MEM	Randolph Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)	89 3.6%	92 96.4%
Q4 - 0:12.0	MEM	Randolph REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)	89 6.4%	91 93.6%
Q4 - 0:12.0	WAS	MISS Beal 21' Jump Shot	89 9.2%	91 90.8%
Q4 - 0:21.0	MEM	Lee Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T19)	89 22.8%	91 77.2%
Q4 - 0:23.0	WAS	Nene Free Throw 1 of 1 (17 PTS)	89 9.0%	91 91.0%
Q4 - 0:26.0	MEM	Gasol 21' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Calathes 6 AST)	86 2.3%	91 97.7%
Q4 - 0:48.0	WAS	Nene Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)	86 7.6%	89 92.4%
Q4 - 0:48.0	WAS	Nene Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)	85 6.3%	89 93.7%
Q4 - 0:54.0	WAS	Beal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)	84 5.0%	89 95.0%
Q4 - 0:54.0	MEM	MISS Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot	84 4.0%	89 96.0%
Q4 - 1:01	MEM	Randolph REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)	84 2.8%	89 97.2%
Q4 - 1:02	WAS	MISS Wall 22' Jump Shot	84 3.6%	89 96.4%
Q4 - 1:11	MEM	Gasol Traveling Turnover (P3.T18)	84 6.6%	89 93.4%
Q4 - 1:31	MEM	Lee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	84 5.1%	89 94.9%
Q4 - 1:32	WAS	MISS Beal 24' 3PT Jump Shot	84 6.2%	89 93.8%
Q4 - 1:42	MEM	Johnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)	84 9.8%	89 90.2%
Q4 - 1:42	MEM	Johnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)	84 11.0%	88 89.0%
Q4 - 1:44	MEM	Johnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	84 14.8%	87 85.2%
Q4 - 1:45	MEM	MISS Lee 24' 3PT Jump Shot	84 20.3%	87 79.7%
Q4 - 2:09	MEM	Calathes REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)	84 15.8%	87 84.2%
Q4 - 2:09	WAS	MISS Beal 19' Jump Shot	84 18.4%	87 81.6%
Q4 - 2:28	MEM	GRIZZLIES Turnover: 5 Second Inbound (T#17)	84 25.8%	87 74.2%
Q4 - 2:45	MEM	Calathes REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)	84 15.8%	87 84.2%
Q4 - 2:45	WAS	MISS Nene 19' Jump Shot	84 18.5%	87 81.5%
Q4 - 3:02	MEM	Jump Ball Randolph vs. Nene: Tip to Beal	84 26.9%	87 73.1%
Q4 - 3:18	WAS	Lee STEAL (2 STL)	84 17.5%	87 82.5%
Q4 - 3:21	WAS	Wall REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	84 27.1%	87 72.9%
Q4 - 3:22	MEM	MISS Lee 3PT Jump Shot	84 23.8%	87 76.2%
Q4 - 3:41	WAS	Beal 2' Reverse Layup (37 PTS) (Nene 3 AST)	84 21.4%	87 78.6%
Q4 - 3:55	MEM	Randolph Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)	82 15.9%	87 84.1%
Q4 - 3:55	MEM	Randolph Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)	82 17.1%	86 82.9%
Q4 - 4:12	MEM	Calathes REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)	82 20.8%	85 79.2%
Q4 - 4:12	WAS	MISS Nene 8' Jump Shot	82 23.0%	85 77.0%
Q4 - 4:34	MEM	Calathes Free Throw 1 of 1 (18 PTS)	82 28.4%	85 71.6%
Q4 - 4:41	MEM	Calathes REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)	82 45.3%	82 54.7%
Q4 - 4:44	WAS	MISS Beal 10' Fadeaway Jumper	82 48.5%	82 51.5%
Q4 - 4:59	WAS	Nene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	82 55.9%	82 44.1%
Q4 - 5:00	MEM	MISS Randolph 9' Jump Shot	82 52.7%	82 47.3%
Q4 - 5:12	MEM	Randolph REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)	82 45.6%	82 54.4%
Q4 - 5:12	WAS	MISS Webster 3PT Jump Shot	82 48.4%	82 51.6%
Q4 - 5:30	MEM	Calathes 4' Floating Jump Shot (15 PTS)	82 54.8%	82 45.2%
Q4 - 5:46	WAS	Nene 20' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Beal 2 AST)	82 62.4%	80 37.6%
Q4 - 6:08	WAS	Beal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	80 54.6%	80 45.4%
Q4 - 6:08	MEM	MISS Randolph 11' Jump Shot	80 52.0%	80 48.0%
Q4 - 6:22	MEM	Calathes REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)	80 46.0%	80 54.0%
Q4 - 6:23	WAS	MISS Beal 24' 3PT Jump Shot	80 48.6%	80 51.4%
Q4 - 6:31	MEM	Randolph Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T15)	80 54.5%	80 45.5%
Q4 - 6:54	WAS	Beal 14' Jump Shot (35 PTS)	80 46.0%	80 54.0%
Q4 - 7:08	WAS	Seraphin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)	78 40.5%	80 59.5%
Q4 - 7:08	WAS	MISS Temple 3PT Jump Shot	78 35.5%	80 64.5%
Q4 - 7:22	WAS	Ariza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	78 40.5%	80 59.5%
Q4 - 7:25	MEM	MISS Koufos 2' Layup	78 38.3%	80 61.7%
Q4 - 7:39	MEM	Morris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	78 33.3%	80 66.7%
Q4 - 7:41	WAS	MISS Seraphin 5' Hook Shot	78 35.4%	80 64.6%
Q4 - 7:52	WAS	Nene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	78 40.5%	80 59.5%
Q4 - 7:55	MEM	MISS Randolph 1' Driving Layup	78 38.2%	80 61.8%
Q4 - 8:07	MEM	Miller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	78 34.9%	80 65.1%
Q4 - 8:07	WAS	MISS Ariza 3PT Jump Shot	78 36.7%	80 63.3%
Q4 - 8:28	WAS	Beal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	78 40.9%	80 59.1%
Q4 - 8:28	MEM	MISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot	78 39.0%	80 61.0%
Q4 - 8:54	WAS	Beal 19' Step Back Jump Shot (33 PTS)	78 34.8%	80 65.2%
Q4 - 9:10	WAS	Seraphin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)	76 30.4%	80 69.6%
Q4 - 9:10	MEM	MISS Johnson Free Throw 3 of 3	76 29.8%	80 70.2%
Q4 - 9:10	MEM	MISS Johnson Free Throw 2 of 3	76 26.8%	80 73.2%
Q4 - 9:10	MEM	Johnson Free Throw 1 of 3 (11 PTS)	76 23.6%	80 76.4%
Q4 - 9:41	WAS	Seraphin 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS)	76 30.4%	79 69.6%
Q4 - 10:00	WAS	Ariza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	74 25.5%	79 74.5%
Q4 - 10:01	MEM	MISS Johnson 3' Layup	74 25.3%	79 74.7%
Q4 - 10:14	MEM	Davis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	74 22.4%	79 77.6%
Q4 - 10:16	WAS	MISS Ariza 26' 3PT Jump Shot	74 23.6%	79 76.4%
Q4 - 10:22	WAS	Seraphin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	74 26.6%	79 73.4%
Q4 - 10:23	MEM	MISS Koufos 3' Running Layup	74 25.3%	79 74.7%
Q4 - 10:47	MEM	Koufos REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)	74 22.3%	79 77.7%
Q4 - 10:47	WAS	MISS Beal 11' Jump Shot	74 23.6%	79 76.4%
Q4 - 10:59	WAS	Beal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	74 26.6%	79 73.4%
Q4 - 10:59	MEM	MISS Davis 10' Jump Shot	74 25.2%	79 74.8%
Q4 - 11:18	WAS	Beal Free Throw 2 of 2 (31 PTS)	74 23.3%	79 76.7%
Q4 - 11:18	WAS	Beal Free Throw 1 of 2 (30 PTS)	73 22.6%	79 77.4%
Q4 - 11:21	MEM	Morris Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T14)	72 19.8%	79 80.2%
Q4 - 11:45	WAS	Beal 22' Jump Shot (29 PTS)	72 16.5%	79 83.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0	WAS		70 13.7%	79 86.3%
Q3 - 0:01.0	MEM	Koufos Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)	70 14.9%	79 85.1%
Q3 - 0:01.0	MEM	Koufos Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)	70 15.8%	78 84.2%
Q3 - 0:07.0	WAS	Wall Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)	70 17.7%	77 82.3%
Q3 - 0:07.0	WAS	MISS Wall Free Throw 1 of 2	69 17.3%	77 82.7%
Q3 - 0:28.0	MEM	Calathes 19' Jump Shot (13 PTS)	69 17.6%	77 82.4%
Q3 - 0:53.0	MEM	Koufos REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)	69 20.8%	75 79.2%
Q3 - 0:53.0	WAS	MISS Wall 21' Jump Shot	69 21.8%	75 78.2%
Q3 - 1:13	MEM	Davis Foul Turnover (P1.T13)	69 25.2%	75 74.8%
Q3 - 1:18	WAS	Calathes STEAL (2 STL)	69 21.8%	75 78.2%
Q3 - 1:29	MEM	Gasol Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)	69 25.1%	75 74.9%
Q3 - 1:29	MEM	Gasol Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)	69 25.8%	74 74.2%
Q3 - 1:46	WAS	Ariza 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Wall 5 AST)	69 29.1%	73 70.9%
Q3 - 2:03	MEM	Calathes 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Prince 2 AST)	66 22.6%	73 77.4%
Q3 - 2:23	WAS	Gortat 1' Layup (10 PTS) (Wall 4 AST)	66 29.6%	70 70.4%
Q3 - 2:29	WAS	Nene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	64 26.0%	70 74.0%
Q3 - 2:30	MEM	MISS Gasol 15' Jump Shot	64 24.9%	70 75.1%
Q3 - 2:47	WAS	Nene 1' Slam Dunk (10 PTS) (Wall 3 AST)	64 22.4%	70 77.6%
Q3 - 3:00	MEM	Lee 9' Running Bank Shot (13 PTS)	62 19.4%	70 80.6%
Q3 - 3:17	WAS	Ariza Palming Turnover (P2.T11)	62 23.3%	68 76.7%
Q3 - 3:25	WAS	Webster REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	62 26.9%	68 73.1%
Q3 - 3:25	MEM	MISS Lee 3PT Jump Shot	62 25.8%	68 74.2%
Q3 - 3:43	WAS	Gortat 2' Layup (8 PTS) (Wall 2 AST)	62 23.3%	68 76.7%
Q3 - 3:52	WAS	Gortat REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)	60 20.4%	68 79.6%
Q3 - 3:53	MEM	MISS Lee 25' 3PT Jump Shot	60 19.5%	68 80.5%
Q3 - 4:15	WAS	Gortat Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)	60 18.1%	68 81.9%
Q3 - 4:15	WAS	MISS Gortat Free Throw 1 of 2	59 17.4%	68 82.6%
Q3 - 4:21	WAS	Gortat REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	59 18.7%	68 81.3%
Q3 - 4:23	MEM	MISS Calathes 12' Pullup Jump Shot	59 17.7%	68 82.3%
Q3 - 4:35	WAS	Beal Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T10)	59 15.7%	68 84.3%
Q3 - 4:58	MEM	Lee 19' Pullup Jump Shot (11 PTS)	59 18.6%	68 81.4%
Q3 - 5:19	WAS	Beal 24' 3PT Jump Shot (27 PTS)	59 21.5%	66 78.5%
Q3 - 5:37	MEM	GRIZZLIES Turnover: Shot Clock (T#12)	56 16.8%	66 83.2%
Q3 - 6:04	WAS	Beal 21' Pullup Jump Shot (24 PTS)	56 15.2%	66 84.8%
Q3 - 6:16	MEM	Lee 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Randolph 1 AST)	54 13.4%	66 86.6%
Q3 - 6:40	WAS	Beal 29' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Gortat 1 AST)	54 15.1%	64 84.9%
Q3 - 7:06	WAS	Wizards Rebound	51 12.2%	64 87.8%
Q3 - 7:06	MEM	MISS Lee 25' 3PT Jump Shot	51 11.7%	64 88.3%
Q3 - 7:23	MEM	Prince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	51 10.5%	64 89.5%
Q3 - 7:24	WAS	MISS Wall 24' 3PT Jump Shot	51 11.0%	64 89.0%
Q3 - 7:33	WAS	Gortat REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	51 12.2%	64 87.8%
Q3 - 7:34	MEM	MISS Prince 21' Jump Shot	51 11.7%	64 88.3%
Q3 - 7:49	WAS	Gortat Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)	51 10.5%	64 89.5%
Q3 - 8:01	MEM	Randolph Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P3.T11)	48 8.5%	64 91.5%
Q3 - 8:12	MEM	GRIZZLIES Rebound	48 7.2%	64 92.8%
Q3 - 8:13	WAS	MISS Beal 23' Jump Shot	48 7.6%	64 92.4%
Q3 - 8:28	MEM	Calathes 4' Running Bank Shot (8 PTS)	48 8.5%	64 91.5%
Q3 - 8:33	MEM	GRIZZLIES Rebound	48 9.5%	62 90.5%
Q3 - 8:33	MEM	MISS Randolph 6' Pullup Jump Shot	48 10.6%	62 89.4%
Q3 - 8:50	WAS	Ariza Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)	48 9.5%	62 90.5%
Q3 - 8:50	WAS	Ariza Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)	47 9.3%	62 90.7%
Q3 - 9:09	MEM	Prince 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Gasol 3 AST)	46 8.9%	62 91.1%
Q3 - 9:22	MEM	Gasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)	46 11.5%	59 88.5%
Q3 - 9:22	WAS	MISS Wall 25' 3PT Jump Shot	46 12.0%	59 88.0%
Q3 - 9:41	MEM	Gasol 18' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Calathes 5 AST)	46 13.1%	59 86.9%
Q3 - 10:06	WAS	Gortat 5' Turnaround Fadeaway (2 PTS)	46 15.5%	57 84.5%
Q3 - 10:31	MEM	Lee 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Calathes 4 AST)	44 13.7%	57 86.3%
Q3 - 10:38	WAS	Gasol STEAL (2 STL)	44 17.4%	54 82.6%
Q3 - 10:46	WAS	Gortat REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	44 19.6%	54 80.4%
Q3 - 10:48	MEM	MISS Calathes 24' 3PT Jump Shot	44 18.9%	54 81.1%
Q3 - 11:00	WAS	Ariza 22' Jump Shot (5 PTS)	44 17.4%	54 82.6%
Q3 - 11:10	MEM	Gasol 13' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Lee 1 AST)	42 16.3%	54 83.7%
Q3 - 11:29	WAS	Wall Layup (4 PTS)	42 18.2%	52 81.8%
Q3 - 11:36	MEM	Calathes Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T10)	40 16.3%	52 83.7%
Q3 - 11:48	MEM	Gasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)	40 14.4%	52 85.6%
Q3 - 11:48	WAS	MISS Ariza Free Throw 2 of 2	40 14.7%	52 85.3%
Q3 - 11:48	WAS	Ariza Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)	40 15.8%	52 84.2%
Q3 - 11:51	MEM	Gasol Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)	39 14.5%	52 85.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0	WAS		39 12.8%	52 87.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0	WAS	Wizards Rebound	39 14.5%	52 85.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0	WAS	MISS Nene 24' 3PT Jump Shot	39 13.3%	52 86.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0	WAS	Wizards Rebound	39 14.5%	52 85.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0	WAS	Johnson BLOCK (1 BLK)	39 13.3%	52 86.7%
Q2 - 0:06.0	MEM	Gasol 11' Pullup Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Calathes 3 AST)	39 15.3%	52 84.7%
Q2 - 0:28.0	MEM	Gasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)	39 17.5%	50 82.5%
Q2 - 0:28.0	WAS	MISS Webster 25' 3PT Jump Shot	39 17.9%	50 82.1%
Q2 - 0:38.0	MEM	Randolph 8' Pullup Bank Shot (10 PTS)	39 18.9%	50 81.1%
Q2 - 0:55.0	MEM	Gasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	39 21.5%	48 78.5%
Q2 - 0:57.0	WAS	MISS Seraphin 1' Reverse Layup	39 22.1%	48 77.9%
Q2 - 1:15	MEM	Randolph 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T8)	39 23.9%	48 76.1%
Q2 - 1:34	WAS	Beal 21' Pullup Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Nene 2 AST)	39 22.4%	48 77.6%
Q2 - 1:49	MEM	Randolph Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)	37 19.5%	48 80.5%
Q2 - 1:49	MEM	Randolph Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)	37 20.0%	47 80.0%
Q2 - 2:00	MEM	Calathes REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)	37 22.4%	46 77.6%
Q2 - 2:02	MEM	MISS Miller 26' 3PT Jump Shot	37 24.2%	46 75.8%
Q2 - 2:12	WAS	Wall 4' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)	37 22.6%	46 77.4%
Q2 - 2:20	MEM	Gasol 14' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)	35 20.5%	46 79.5%
Q2 - 2:33	WAS	Ariza Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)	35 22.6%	44 77.4%
Q2 - 2:33	WAS	Ariza Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)	34 22.2%	44 77.8%
Q2 - 2:51	MEM	Johnson 2' Driving Layup (10 PTS)	33 20.5%	44 79.5%
Q2 - 2:56	WAS	Johnson STEAL (2 STL)	33 22.6%	42 77.4%
Q2 - 3:16	MEM	Randolph REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)	33 25.8%	42 74.2%
Q2 - 3:16	MEM	Randolph 2' Tip Shot (6 PTS)	33 25.8%	42 74.2%
Q2 - 3:18	MEM	MISS Calathes 3' Running Layup	33 29.7%	40 70.3%
Q2 - 3:45	WAS	Beal 24' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS)	33 27.6%	40 72.4%
Q2 - 3:52	WAS	Nene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	30 23.5%	40 76.5%
Q2 - 3:54	WAS	MISS Nene 8' Fadeaway Bank Shot	30 21.7%	40 78.3%
Q2 - 4:16	MEM	Miller 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS)	30 24.0%	40 76.0%
Q2 - 4:23	WAS	Johnson STEAL (1 STL)	30 26.2%	38 73.8%
Q2 - 4:46	MEM	Johnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)	30 28.5%	38 71.5%
Q2 - 4:46	MEM	Johnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)	30 29.1%	37 70.9%
Q2 - 5:02	MEM	Davis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	30 31.4%	36 68.6%
Q2 - 5:03	WAS	MISS Nene 9' Turnaround Jump Shot	30 32.1%	36 67.9%
Q2 - 5:23	MEM	Davis Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)	30 33.7%	36 66.3%
Q2 - 5:23	MEM	Davis Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)	30 34.6%	35 65.4%
Q2 - 5:39	WAS	Nene 13' Jump Shot (8 PTS)	30 36.4%	34 63.6%
Q2 - 5:55	MEM	Randolph 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)	28 33.7%	34 66.3%
Q2 - 6:18	MEM	Randolph REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)	28 36.4%	32 63.6%
Q2 - 6:18	WAS	MISS Wall 24' 3PT Jump Shot	28 37.4%	32 62.6%
Q2 - 6:43	MEM	Johnson Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)	28 39.5%	32 60.5%
Q2 - 6:47	WAS	Davis STEAL (2 STL)	28 44.4%	29 55.6%
Q2 - 7:05	WAS	Booker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	28 47.5%	29 52.5%
Q2 - 7:06	MEM	MISS Johnson Free Throw 2 of 2	28 47.1%	29 52.9%
Q2 - 7:06	MEM	Johnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)	28 45.5%	29 54.5%
Q2 - 7:12	WAS	Calathes STEAL (1 STL)	28 47.2%	28 52.8%
Q2 - 7:16	MEM	Johnson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)	28 50.2%	28 49.8%
Q2 - 7:43	WAS	Beal 24' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Temple 2 AST)	28 47.2%	28 52.8%
Q2 - 7:56	WAS	Beal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	25 42.3%	28 57.7%
Q2 - 7:57	WAS	MISS Beal 9' Running Jump Shot	25 40.2%	28 59.8%
Q2 - 8:06	WAS	Booker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	25 42.1%	28 57.9%
Q2 - 8:07	MEM	MISS Morris 16' Pullup Jump Shot	25 41.3%	28 58.7%
Q2 - 8:28	MEM	Miller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	25 39.5%	28 60.5%
Q2 - 8:31	WAS	Davis BLOCK (1 BLK)	25 40.3%	28 59.7%
Q2 - 8:35	WAS	Temple REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	25 42.2%	28 57.8%
Q2 - 8:37	MEM	MISS Koufos 12' Step Back Jump Shot	25 41.3%	28 58.7%
Q2 - 9:01	MEM	GRIZZLIES Rebound	25 39.7%	28 60.3%
Q2 - 9:02	WAS	MISS Beal 21' Jump Shot	25 40.5%	28 59.5%
Q2 - 9:22	MEM	Johnson 1' Reverse Slam Dunk (2 PTS)	25 42.3%	28 57.7%
Q2 - 9:45	MEM	Davis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	25 44.6%	26 55.4%
Q2 - 9:47	WAS	MISS Webster 25' 3PT Jump Shot	25 45.4%	26 54.6%
Q2 - 10:14	MEM	Koufos REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)	25 47.3%	26 52.7%
Q2 - 10:14	MEM	Koufos 1' Putback Slam Dunk (4 PTS)	25 47.3%	26 52.7%
Q2 - 10:15	MEM	MISS Davis 2' Layup	25 51.4%	24 48.6%
Q2 - 10:37	WAS	Davis STEAL (1 STL)	25 49.4%	24 50.6%
Q2 - 10:44	MEM	Morris Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)	25 52.3%	24 47.7%
Q2 - 10:54	MEM	Johnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	25 49.4%	24 50.6%
Q2 - 10:55	WAS	MISS Booker 4' Hook Shot	25 50.3%	24 49.7%
Q2 - 11:04	WAS	Seraphin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	25 51.9%	24 48.1%
Q2 - 11:05	MEM	MISS Davis 10' Jump Shot	25 51.1%	24 48.9%
Q2 - 11:30	WAS	Beal 2' Driving Layup (11 PTS)	25 49.4%	24 50.6%
Q2 - 11:35	WAS	Seraphin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	23 47.1%	24 52.9%
Q2 - 11:38	MEM	Koufos REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	23 44.6%	24 55.4%
Q2 - 11:38	MEM	MISS Koufos 6' Hook Shot	23 46.3%	24 53.7%
Q2 - 11:40	MEM	MISS Koufos 2' Layup	23 46.3%	24 53.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0	WAS		23 44.6%	24 55.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0	WAS	Wizards Rebound	23 47.1%	24 52.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0	WAS	Lee BLOCK (1 BLK)	23 45.3%	24 54.7%
Q1 - 0:15.0	WAS	Ariza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	23 46.7%	24 53.3%
Q1 - 0:16.0	MEM	MISS Lee 11' Pullup Jump Shot	23 46.1%	24 53.9%
Q1 - 0:31.0	WAS	Seraphin 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Temple 1 AST)	23 44.9%	24 55.1%
Q1 - 0:44.0	MEM	Prince Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)	21 42.0%	24 58.0%
Q1 - 0:56.0	WAS	Temple 12' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)	21 40.3%	24 59.7%
Q1 - 1:12	MEM	Gasol 5' Jump Shot (6 PTS)	19 37.8%	24 62.2%
Q1 - 1:25	MEM	GRIZZLIES Rebound	19 40.6%	22 59.4%
Q1 - 1:25	MEM	MISS Morris 1' Layup	19 41.7%	22 58.3%
Q1 - 1:28	MEM	Gasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	19 40.6%	22 59.4%
Q1 - 1:31	WAS	Koufos BLOCK (1 BLK)	19 41.1%	22 58.9%
Q1 - 1:33	WAS	Booker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	19 42.2%	22 57.8%
Q1 - 1:34	WAS	MISS Wall 15' Step Back Jump Shot	19 41.1%	22 58.9%
Q1 - 1:50	MEM	Koufos 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Gasol 2 AST)	19 42.2%	22 57.8%
Q1 - 2:01	MEM	Prince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	19 45.0%	20 55.0%
Q1 - 2:02	WAS	MISS Webster 26' 3PT Jump Shot	19 45.6%	20 54.4%
Q1 - 2:17	MEM	Prince 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Morris 1 AST)	19 47.1%	20 52.9%
Q1 - 2:25	MEM	Morris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	19 49.5%	18 50.5%
Q1 - 2:26	MEM	MISS Gasol 6' Turnaround Jump Shot	19 50.9%	18 49.1%
Q1 - 2:46	WAS	Booker Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)	19 49.5%	18 50.5%
Q1 - 2:46	WAS	MISS Booker Free Throw 1 of 2	18 48.7%	18 51.3%
Q1 - 3:06	MEM	Calathes 2' Driving Layup (6 PTS)	18 49.5%	18 50.5%
Q1 - 3:18	MEM	Randolph REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)	18 51.5%	16 48.5%
Q1 - 3:20	WAS	MISS Ariza 25' 3PT Jump Shot	18 52.2%	16 47.8%
Q1 - 3:27	MEM	Calathes Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)	18 53.9%	16 46.1%
Q1 - 3:40	WAS	Nene Driving Dunk (6 PTS)	18 51.5%	16 48.5%
Q1 - 4:01	MEM	Calathes 9' Running Bank Shot (4 PTS)	16 49.4%	16 50.6%
Q1 - 4:25	WAS	Webster 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Seraphin 1 AST)	16 51.3%	14 48.7%
Q1 - 4:42	MEM	Randolph 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)	13 47.2%	14 52.8%
Q1 - 4:55	MEM	GRIZZLIES Rebound	13 49.1%	12 50.9%
Q1 - 4:56	WAS	MISS Wall 2' Layup	13 49.9%	12 50.1%
Q1 - 4:59	WAS	Seraphin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	13 51.6%	12 48.4%
Q1 - 5:01	MEM	MISS Gasol 6' Turnaround Jump Shot	13 50.4%	12 49.6%
Q1 - 5:09	MEM	Randolph REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	13 48.9%	12 51.1%
Q1 - 5:12	WAS	MISS Seraphin 8' Turnaround Hook Shot	13 49.6%	12 50.4%
Q1 - 5:26	MEM	Gasol Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)	13 51.1%	12 48.9%
Q1 - 5:30	WAS	Gasol STEAL (1 STL)	13 48.9%	12 51.1%
Q1 - 5:42	MEM	Lee Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)	13 51.1%	12 48.9%
Q1 - 5:42	MEM	Lee Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)	13 51.4%	11 48.6%
Q1 - 6:08	MEM	Gasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	13 52.7%	10 47.3%
Q1 - 6:09	MEM	MISS Randolph 20' Jump Shot	13 54.2%	10 45.8%
Q1 - 6:34	WAS	Beal 14' Pullup Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Wall 1 AST)	13 52.7%	10 47.3%
Q1 - 6:40	WAS	Wall REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	11 50.9%	10 49.1%
Q1 - 6:41	MEM	MISS Lee 3PT Jump Shot	11 50.2%	10 49.8%
Q1 - 6:53	MEM	Gasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	11 48.7%	10 51.3%
Q1 - 6:54	WAS	MISS Ariza 3PT Jump Shot	11 49.4%	10 50.6%
Q1 - 7:01	WAS	Wall REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	11 50.8%	10 49.2%
Q1 - 7:02	MEM	MISS Gasol 11' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot	11 50.1%	10 49.9%
Q1 - 7:13	MEM	Calathes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	11 48.6%	10 51.4%
Q1 - 7:15	MEM	MISS Randolph 1' Layup	11 50.1%	10 49.9%
Q1 - 7:16	MEM	Randolph REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	11 48.6%	10 51.4%
Q1 - 7:17	MEM	MISS Calathes 2' Layup	11 50.1%	10 49.9%
Q1 - 7:40	WAS	Beal 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Nene 1 AST)	11 48.6%	10 51.4%
Q1 - 8:01	MEM	Gasol 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Calathes 1 AST)	8 45.2%	10 54.8%
Q1 - 8:10	WAS	Nene 5' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)	8 46.9%	8 53.1%
Q1 - 8:28	MEM	Gasol Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)	6 45.2%	8 54.8%
Q1 - 8:28	MEM	Gasol Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)	6 45.5%	7 54.5%
Q1 - 8:49	WAS	Beal 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS)	6 46.9%	6 53.1%
Q1 - 9:03	MEM	Lee Foul Turnover (P1.T2)	4 45.5%	6 54.5%
Q1 - 9:07	WAS	Lee STEAL (1 STL)	4 43.5%	6 56.5%
Q1 - 9:24	MEM	Prince 1' Dunk (2 PTS) (Gasol 1 AST)	4 45.5%	6 54.5%
Q1 - 9:40	WAS	Nene 6' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)	4 47.1%	4 52.9%
Q1 - 9:55	WAS	Gortat REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	2 45.5%	4 54.5%
Q1 - 9:55	MEM	MISS Randolph 17' Jump Shot	2 44.9%	4 55.1%
Q1 - 10:15	WAS	Beal 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)	2 43.7%	4 56.3%
Q1 - 10:32	MEM	Lee 20' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)	0 42.2%	4 57.8%
Q1 - 10:38	MEM	Randolph REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	0 43.7%	2 56.3%
Q1 - 10:40	WAS	MISS Nene 15' Step Back Jump Shot	0 44.3%	2 55.7%
Q1 - 11:00	MEM	Calathes 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Prince 1 AST)	0 45.6%	2 54.4%
Q1 - 11:05	WAS	Prince STEAL (1 STL)	0 47.2%	0 52.8%
Q1 - 11:18	MEM	Randolph Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)	0 48.7%	0 51.3%
Q1 - 11:39	MEM	Randolph REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	0 47.2%	0 52.8%
Q1 - 11:40	WAS	MISS Gortat Free Throw 2 of 2	0 47.4%	0 52.6%
Q1 - 11:40	WAS	MISS Gortat Free Throw 1 of 2	0 48.4%	0 51.6%
Q1 - 12:00	MEM	Jump Ball Gasol vs. Gortat: Tip to Wall	0 48.7%	0 51.3%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

WAS

1.02 51.1%

MEM

1.10 54.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

WAS

67%

MEM

58%

Midrange

WAS

47%

MEM

48%

3PT | Effective 3PT

WAS

10.5

29%

44%

MEM

4.5

23%

35%

Free Throws

WAS

70%

MEM

85%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Wizards

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
B. Beal	37	74%	18.5 / 25
Nene	17	61%	8.5 / 14
T. Ariza	10	50%	5.0 / 10
M. Gortat	10	83%	5.0 / 6
J. Wall	5	23%	2.5 / 11
K. Seraphin	4	40%	2.0 / 5
M. Webster	3	30%	1.5 / 5
G. Temple	2	50%	1.0 / 2
T. Booker	1	10%	0.5 / 5

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Grizzlies

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
N. Calathes	18	75%	9.0 / 12
M. Gasol	18	69%	9.0 / 13
Z. Randolph	13	46%	6.5 / 14
C. Lee	13	50%	6.5 / 13
J. Johnson	13	72%	6.5 / 9
T. Prince	7	88%	3.5 / 4
K. Koufos	6	43%	3.0 / 7
M. Miller	2	33%	1.0 / 3
E. Davis	2	25%	1.0 / 4
D. Morris	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

WAS

-13

MEM

+11

-17

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

WAS

1.02 51.1%

MEM

1.10 54.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	105.5 106.7	WAS 96.7 +6.6 MEM 103.4
Pace	93.7 89.6	WAS 94.2 +7.2 MEM 87.0
Avg. Poss. Time	15.3 16.5	WAS 15.3 +1.3 MEM 16.6
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	50.6% 49.4%	WAS 50.7% +1.4% MEM 49.3%
TO %	14.8% 14.3%	WAS 13.6% +5.2% MEM 18.8%
ORB %	25.2% 28.3%	WAS 13.9% MEM 24.3% +10.4%
FTrt	24.8 24.8	WAS 27.0 MEM 38.6 +11.6
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	60.1% 57.4%	WAS 41.2% MEM 48.5% +7.3%
STL %	8.5% 8.5%	WAS 8.7% MEM 12.4% +3.7%
BLK %	7.7% 7.9%	WAS 12.3% +4.3% MEM 8.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	52.5% 51.3%	WAS 51.1% MEM 54.8% +3.7%
Rim FG%	61.8% 57.9%	WAS 66.7% +8.4% MEM 58.3%
Mid FG%	37.7% 40.5%	WAS 46.9% MEM 48.5% +1.6%
3P %	38.0% 35.3%	WAS 29.2% +6.1% MEM 23.1%
FT %	73.1% 74.1%	WAS 70.0% MEM 85.2% +15.2%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	33.8% 39.2%	WAS 24.3% MEM 34.3% +10.0%
Mid Att. %	41.6% 43.8%	WAS 43.2% +3.9% MEM 47.1%
3P Att. %	24.6% 17.1%	WAS 32.4% +13.9% MEM 18.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.34 and 2.34.

Game Totals	WAS	MEM
Possessions	92	89
Possession Minutes	23.4	24.6
Points	89	92
Rebounds	33	40
Assists	14	16
Steals	8	11
Blocks	7	4
Turnovers (Team)	13 (0)	17 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	5 (3)	9 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	28 (1)	31 (3)
Field Goals	34-74	33-70
At-the-Rim FG	12-18	14-24
Midrange FG	15-32	16-33
2-Point FG	27-50	30-57
3-Point FG	7-24	3-13
Free Throws	14-20	23-27
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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16 Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Trevor Ariza F · 6'8" 215 · 29	38.7	10	50%	4	0	1	1	2	1	0	4	5-6	83%	1-1	100%	1-6	17%
Bradley Beal G · 6'4" 207 · 21	36.8	37	74%	5	2	0	0	2	4	1	4	2-2	100%	10-17	59%	5-7	71%
Nene F · 6'11" 250 · 31	36.4	17	61%	4	3	3	1	2	4	1	3	3-3	100%	7-12	58%	0-1	0%
John Wall G · 6'4" 210 · 23	32.6	5	23%	3	5	0	0	4	4	0	3	1-2	50%	2-6	33%	0-4	0%
Marcin Gortat C · 6'11" 240 · 30	21.6	10	83%	6	1	0	0	1	4	1	5	2-5	40%	4-4	100%	0-0	-
Kevin Seraphin F-C · 6'10" 278 · 24	24.7	4	40%	6	1	0	4	0	0	1	5	0-0	-	2-5	40%	0-0	-
Martell Webster F-G · 6'7" 230 · 27	20.4	3	30%	1	0	1	0	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-5	20%
Garrett Temple G-F · 6'5" 195 · 28	15.6	2	50%	1	2	3	0	2	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Trevor Booker F · 6'8" 228 · 26	9.5	1	10%	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	1-2	50%	0-4	0%	0-0	-
Jan Vesely F · 7'0" 242 · 24	3.8	0	0%	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Chris Singleton F · 6'9" 228 · 24
Otto Porter Jr. F · 6'8" 198 · 21
Eric Maynor G · 6'3" 175 · 27
Al Harrington #7 · F · 6'9" 245 · 34	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Glen Rice #14 · G-F · 6'6" 206 · 23	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	89	51%	33	14	8	7	13	0	5	28	14-20	70%	27-50	54%	7-24	29%

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16 Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Trevor Ariza F · 6'8" 215 · 29	38.7	10	50%	4	0	1	1	2	1	0	4	5-6	83%	1-1	100%	1-6	17%
Bradley Beal G · 6'4" 207 · 21	36.8	37	74%	5	2	0	0	2	4	1	4	2-2	100%	10-17	59%	5-7	71%
Nene F · 6'11" 250 · 31	36.4	17	61%	4	3	3	1	2	4	1	3	3-3	100%	7-12	58%	0-1	0%
John Wall G · 6'4" 210 · 23	32.6	5	23%	3	5	0	0	4	4	0	3	1-2	50%	2-6	33%	0-4	0%
Marcin Gortat C · 6'11" 240 · 30	21.6	10	83%	6	1	0	0	1	4	1	5	2-5	40%	4-4	100%	0-0	-
Kevin Seraphin F-C · 6'10" 278 · 24	24.7	4	40%	6	1	0	4	0	0	1	5	0-0	-	2-5	40%	0-0	-
Martell Webster F-G · 6'7" 230 · 27	20.4	3	30%	1	0	1	0	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-5	20%
Garrett Temple G-F · 6'5" 195 · 28	15.6	2	50%	1	2	3	0	2	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Trevor Booker F · 6'8" 228 · 26	9.5	1	10%	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	1-2	50%	0-4	0%	0-0	-
Jan Vesely F · 7'0" 242 · 24	3.8	0	0%	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Chris Singleton F · 6'9" 228 · 24
Otto Porter Jr. F · 6'8" 198 · 21
Eric Maynor G · 6'3" 175 · 27
Al Harrington #7 · F · 6'9" 245 · 34	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Glen Rice #14 · G-F · 6'6" 206 · 23	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	89	51%	33	14	8	7	13	0	5	28	14-20	70%	27-50	54%	7-24	29%

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18 Memphis Grizzlies

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Nick Calathes G · 6'6" 213 · 25	35.7	18	75%	7	6	2	0	2	3	2	5	1-1	100%	7-10	70%	1-2	50%
Zach Randolph F · 6'9" 250 · 33	34.8	13	46%	10	1	0	0	5	4	2	8	5-6	83%	4-11	36%	0-0	-
Marc Gasol C · 7'1" 255 · 29	34.2	18	69%	7	3	2	0	3	3	1	6	4-4	100%	7-11	64%	0-0	-
Courtney Lee G · 6'5" 200 · 28	34.1	13	50%	1	1	2	1	2	2	0	1	2-2	100%	4-5	80%	1-7	14%
Tayshaun Prince F · 6'9" 212 · 34	22.5	7	88%	2	2	1	0	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-1	100%
James Johnson F · 6'8" 240 · 27	24.9	13	72%	2	1	2	1	1	1	1	1	7-10	70%	3-4	75%	0-1	0%
Mike Miller G-F · 6'8" 218 · 34	14.5	2	33%	2	1	0	0	0	2	0	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-2	0%
Ed Davis F-C · 6'10" 245 · 25	13.8	2	25%	3	0	2	1	1	1	0	3	2-2	100%	0-3	0%	0-0	-
Kosta Koufos C · 7'0" 265 · 25	13.3	6	43%	4	0	0	1	0	2	2	2	2-2	100%	2-7	29%	0-0	-
Darius Morris G · 6'4" 195 · 23	12.3	0	0%	2	1	0	0	2	0	1	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Tony Allen · 6'4" 213 · 32
Jon Leuer F-C · 6'10" 228 · 25
Jamaal Franklin G · 6'5" 191 · 23
Mike Conley #11 · G · 6'0" 175 · 26	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Quincy Pondexter #20 · F · 6'7" 230 · 26	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	92	55%	40	16	11	4	17	0	9	31	23-27	85%	30-57	53%	3-13	23%

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Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg

BOXSCORE