FinalWin Prob.pScore
178%106
89
2722%95
94
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
103.58696.8
UTA logo UTA
110.68576.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

JazzHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

JazzHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAUTA
Q4 - 0:00.0UTA89
0%
94
100%
Q4 - 0:04.0MIAMISS James 24' 3PT Jump Shot89
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 0:10.0UTAHayward Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)89
1.5%
94
98.5%
Q4 - 0:10.0UTAMISS Hayward Free Throw 1 of 289
1.7%
93
98.3%
Q4 - 0:10.0UTAHayward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)89
1.1%
93
98.9%
Q4 - 0:11.0MIAMISS Wade 2' Driving Layup89
1.8%
93
98.2%
Q4 - 0:17.0MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)89
6.3%
93
93.7%
Q4 - 0:19.0MIAMISS Allen 24' 3PT Jump Shot89
2.6%
93
97.4%
Q4 - 0:24.0UTABurke 19' Jump Shot (13 PTS)89
9.0%
93
91.0%
Q4 - 0:46.0MIAAllen 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Chalmers 7 AST)89
24.2%
91
75.8%
Q4 - 0:56.0UTAMISS Jefferson 24' 3PT Jump Shot86
8.0%
91
92.0%
Q4 - 1:21MIAHeat Rebound86
15.1%
91
84.9%
Q4 - 1:21MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)86
8.6%
91
91.4%
Q4 - 1:21MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 285
7.8%
91
92.2%
Q4 - 1:26UTAJefferson 21' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)85
10.1%
91
89.9%
Q4 - 1:42MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)85
18.4%
89
81.6%
Q4 - 1:42MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)84
16.8%
89
83.2%
Q4 - 1:57UTAFavors Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)83
13.0%
89
87.0%
Q4 - 1:57UTAFavors Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)83
14.6%
88
85.4%
Q4 - 2:22MIAAllen 15' Jump Bank Shot (6 PTS)83
20.4%
87
79.6%
Q4 - 2:36MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)81
15.6%
87
84.4%
Q4 - 2:37UTAMISS Burke 24' 3PT Jump Shot81
13.2%
87
86.8%
Q4 - 2:57MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)81
11.5%
87
88.5%
Q4 - 2:57MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)80
10.7%
87
89.3%
Q4 - 3:01MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)79
8.4%
87
91.6%
Q4 - 3:02UTAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot79
7.2%
87
92.8%
Q4 - 3:19UTAHayward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)79
5.0%
87
95.0%
Q4 - 3:20MIAMISS Bosh 24' 3PT Jump Shot79
5.9%
87
94.1%
Q4 - 3:34UTAWilliams 26' 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Jefferson 2 AST)79
13.4%
87
86.6%
Q4 - 4:01MIAChalmers 5' Running Jump Shot (10 PTS)79
22.5%
84
77.5%
Q4 - 4:13UTAWilliams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Hayward 11 AST)77
16.9%
84
83.1%
Q4 - 4:26UTAKanter REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)77
29.3%
81
70.7%
Q4 - 4:28MIAMISS James Free Throw 2 of 277
30.5%
81
69.5%
Q4 - 4:28MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)77
36.0%
81
64.0%
Q4 - 4:39MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)76
30.0%
81
70.0%
Q4 - 4:41UTAMISS Jefferson 24' 3PT Jump Shot76
27.3%
81
72.7%
Q4 - 5:05MIAWade 1' Slam Dunk (17 PTS) (Chalmers 6 AST)76
27.9%
81
72.1%
Q4 - 5:09MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)74
22.1%
81
77.9%
Q4 - 5:10UTAMISS Williams 22' Jump Shot74
20.3%
81
79.7%
Q4 - 5:17MIAGarrett STEAL (1 STL)74
16.4%
81
83.6%
Q4 - 5:31UTAHayward Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)74
21.9%
81
78.1%
Q4 - 5:31UTAHayward Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)74
22.7%
80
77.3%
Q4 - 5:44UTAKanter REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)74
27.5%
79
72.5%
Q4 - 5:46MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot74
29.8%
79
70.2%
Q4 - 5:51MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)74
35.4%
79
64.6%
Q4 - 5:52MIAMISS Chalmers 5' Jump Shot74
29.7%
79
70.3%
Q4 - 6:11UTAKanter Slam Dunk (8 PTS) (Hayward 10 AST)74
41.1%
79
58.9%
Q4 - 6:25MIACole Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)74
47.4%
77
52.6%
Q4 - 6:25MIAMISS Cole Free Throw 1 of 273
45.8%
77
54.2%
Q4 - 6:32UTAGarrett Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T12)73
48.3%
77
51.7%
Q4 - 6:50UTAKanter REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)73
39.8%
77
60.2%
Q4 - 6:51MIAMISS Andersen Free Throw 2 of 273
40.9%
77
59.1%
Q4 - 6:51MIAAndersen Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)73
45.2%
77
54.8%
Q4 - 6:51MIAHeat Rebound72
40.7%
77
59.3%
Q4 - 6:52UTAMISS Burks 25' 3PT Jump Shot72
38.2%
77
61.8%
Q4 - 7:10UTAEvans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)72
38.0%
77
62.0%
Q4 - 7:12MIAMISS Allen 20' Jump Shot72
40.2%
77
59.8%
Q4 - 7:22MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)72
45.3%
77
54.7%
Q4 - 7:23UTAMISS Burks 3' Running Jump Shot72
43.0%
77
57.0%
Q4 - 7:49MIAWade 11' Running Jump Shot (15 PTS)72
37.7%
77
62.3%
Q4 - 8:17UTAJefferson 18' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Burks 2 AST)70
35.3%
77
64.7%
Q4 - 8:39MIAAllen 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS)70
41.3%
75
58.7%
Q4 - 9:03UTABurks Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T11)68
38.5%
75
61.5%
Q4 - 9:08MIABurks STEAL (2 STL)68
33.0%
75
67.0%
Q4 - 9:21UTAJefferson Free Throw 3 of 3 (10 PTS)68
38.4%
75
61.6%
Q4 - 9:21UTAJefferson Free Throw 2 of 3 (9 PTS)68
39.6%
74
60.4%
Q4 - 9:21UTAJefferson Free Throw 1 of 3 (8 PTS)68
41.1%
73
58.9%
Q4 - 9:43MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)68
50.1%
72
49.9%
Q4 - 9:43MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)67
48.7%
72
51.3%
Q4 - 9:49MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)66
44.0%
72
56.0%
Q4 - 9:50UTAMISS Hayward 25' 3PT Jump Shot66
42.2%
72
57.8%
Q4 - 10:12UTAJAZZ Rebound66
40.9%
72
59.1%
Q4 - 10:13MIAMISS Bosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot66
42.6%
72
57.4%
Q4 - 10:33UTAKanter 2' Reverse Layup (6 PTS) (Garrett 2 AST)66
46.5%
72
53.5%
Q4 - 10:44MIAWade Foul Turnover (P1.T8)66
52.0%
70
48.0%
Q4 - 11:13UTAKanter 4' Hook Bank Shot (4 PTS)66
58.5%
70
41.5%
Q4 - 11:15UTAKanter REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)66
63.5%
68
36.5%
Q4 - 11:17UTAMISS Burks 3' Driving Jump Shot66
66.9%
68
33.1%
Q4 - 11:41UTAKanter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)66
63.5%
68
36.5%
Q4 - 11:42MIAMISS Allen 24' 3PT Jump Shot66
65.0%
68
35.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0UTA66
68.4%
68
31.6%
Q3 - 0:02.0MIAEvans STEAL (1 STL)66
64.9%
68
35.1%
Q3 - 0:05.0MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)66
69.2%
68
30.8%
Q3 - 0:07.0UTAMISS Kanter 2' Layup66
67.9%
68
32.1%
Q3 - 0:30.0MIACole 1' Layup (11 PTS) (James 5 AST)66
64.8%
68
35.2%
Q3 - 0:33.0UTAHayward Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)64
59.8%
68
40.2%
Q3 - 0:53.0UTAEvans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)64
54.9%
68
45.1%
Q3 - 0:54.0MIAMISS Cole 3PT Jump Shot64
56.4%
68
43.6%
Q3 - 1:14UTAKanter 6' Running Hook Shot (2 PTS)64
61.2%
68
38.8%
Q3 - 1:32MIACole Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)64
65.8%
66
34.2%
Q3 - 1:32MIAMISS Cole Free Throw 1 of 263
64.9%
66
35.1%
Q3 - 1:35UTABurks Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)63
65.7%
66
34.3%
Q3 - 2:02MIAAllen 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS)63
62.3%
66
37.7%
Q3 - 2:16UTAEvans 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Hayward 9 AST)61
57.9%
66
42.1%
Q3 - 2:39UTAKanter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)61
62.2%
64
37.8%
Q3 - 2:41MIAMISS Battier 6' Running Hook Shot61
63.6%
64
36.4%
Q3 - 2:59UTAEvans Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)61
66.6%
64
33.4%
Q3 - 3:06UTAHayward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)61
63.5%
64
36.5%
Q3 - 3:08MIAMISS James 18' Fadeaway Jumper61
64.8%
64
35.2%
Q3 - 3:28MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)61
67.7%
64
32.3%
Q3 - 3:30UTAMISS Favors Free Throw 2 of 261
67.2%
64
32.8%
Q3 - 3:30UTAMISS Favors Free Throw 1 of 261
64.8%
64
35.2%
Q3 - 3:54MIABattier 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)61
63.3%
64
36.7%
Q3 - 4:07MIAOden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)58
56.7%
64
43.3%
Q3 - 4:09UTAMISS Burke 24' 3PT Jump Shot58
55.1%
64
44.9%
Q3 - 4:18MIAHayward STEAL (3 STL)58
51.4%
64
48.6%
Q3 - 4:20MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)58
56.6%
64
43.4%
Q3 - 4:21UTAMISS Favors 16' Jump Shot58
55.1%
64
44.9%
Q3 - 4:40UTAEvans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)58
51.4%
64
48.6%
Q3 - 4:41MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot58
53.0%
64
47.0%
Q3 - 5:07UTABurke 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Burks 1 AST)58
57.3%
64
42.7%
Q3 - 5:19UTAFavors REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)58
64.6%
61
35.4%
Q3 - 5:20UTAMISS Evans 24' 3PT Jump Shot58
67.5%
61
32.5%
Q3 - 5:35MIAHayward STEAL (2 STL)58
64.5%
61
35.5%
Q3 - 5:46UTAFavors Traveling Turnover (P1.T7)58
68.8%
61
31.2%
Q3 - 6:04MIABattier Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)58
65.9%
61
34.1%
Q3 - 6:04MIABattier Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)57
65.2%
61
34.8%
Q3 - 6:26UTAHayward 22' Jump Shot (6 PTS)56
62.6%
61
37.4%
Q3 - 6:51MIAWade 1' Reverse Layup (11 PTS) (James 4 AST)56
65.8%
59
34.2%
Q3 - 6:56MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)54
62.5%
59
37.5%
Q3 - 6:57UTAMISS Jefferson 22' Jump Shot54
61.2%
59
38.8%
Q3 - 7:03UTAFavors REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)54
59.3%
59
40.7%
Q3 - 7:04MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot54
60.5%
59
39.5%
Q3 - 7:24UTAWilliams Foul Turnover (P1.T6)54
63.2%
59
36.8%
Q3 - 7:25UTAWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)54
59.3%
59
40.7%
Q3 - 7:27UTAMISS Jefferson 5' Jump Shot54
62.0%
59
38.0%
Q3 - 7:34UTAHayward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)54
59.3%
59
40.7%
Q3 - 7:35UTAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot54
62.0%
59
38.0%
Q3 - 7:55UTAJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)54
59.2%
59
40.8%
Q3 - 7:56MIAMISS Wade 23' Jump Shot54
60.5%
59
39.5%
Q3 - 8:20UTAHayward 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS)54
64.1%
59
35.9%
Q3 - 8:41UTAFavors REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)54
67.0%
57
33.0%
Q3 - 8:43MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot54
68.1%
57
31.9%
Q3 - 9:05UTABurke 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Hayward 8 AST)54
71.1%
57
28.9%
Q3 - 9:27MIAJefferson STEAL (1 STL)54
76.6%
54
23.4%
Q3 - 9:32MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)54
79.2%
54
20.8%
Q3 - 9:34UTAMISS Hayward 23' Jump Shot54
78.5%
54
21.5%
Q3 - 9:53UTAHayward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)54
76.6%
54
23.4%
Q3 - 9:55UTAMISS Burke 24' 3PT Jump Shot54
78.5%
54
21.5%
Q3 - 10:03UTAHayward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)54
77.6%
54
22.4%
Q3 - 10:04MIAMISS Bosh 13' Jump Shot54
78.4%
54
21.6%
Q3 - 10:14MIABattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)54
80.0%
54
20.0%
Q3 - 10:15UTAMISS Williams Free Throw 2 of 254
79.7%
54
20.3%
Q3 - 10:15UTAMISS Williams Free Throw 1 of 254
78.0%
54
22.0%
Q3 - 10:35UTAHayward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)54
77.5%
54
22.5%
Q3 - 10:36MIAMISS Bosh 10' Jump Shot54
78.3%
54
21.7%
Q3 - 11:01UTAWilliams 2' Layup (17 PTS) (Hayward 7 AST)54
80.6%
54
19.4%
Q3 - 11:14MIAJames 3' Running Layup (11 PTS) (Battier 3 AST)54
82.6%
52
17.4%
Q3 - 11:19UTABurke Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)52
80.6%
52
19.4%
Q3 - 11:35MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)52
78.3%
52
21.7%
Q3 - 11:35MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)51
77.9%
52
22.1%
Q3 - 11:42MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)50
75.9%
52
24.1%
Q3 - 11:43UTAMISS Favors 15' Jump Shot50
75.1%
52
24.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA50
73.2%
52
26.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound50
75.9%
52
24.1%
Q2 - 0:02.0MIAMISS Wade 16' Turnaround Bank Shot50
74.7%
52
25.3%
Q2 - 0:15.0UTAWilliams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Burke 3 AST)50
76.0%
52
24.0%
Q2 - 0:35.0MIAWade 1' Layup (9 PTS) (James 3 AST)50
81.0%
49
19.0%
Q2 - 0:51.0UTABurks 18' Jump Shot (12 PTS)48
78.3%
49
21.7%
Q2 - 1:10MIAChalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Battier 2 AST)48
81.2%
47
18.8%
Q2 - 1:25MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)45
76.1%
47
23.9%
Q2 - 1:26UTAMISS Burke 24' 3PT Jump Shot45
75.6%
47
24.4%
Q2 - 1:50MIAJames Slam Dunk (9 PTS)45
74.6%
47
25.4%
Q2 - 1:53MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)43
71.1%
47
28.9%
Q2 - 1:55UTAMISS Williams 5' Jump Hook Shot43
70.6%
47
29.4%
Q2 - 2:01UTAFavors REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)43
69.5%
47
30.5%
Q2 - 2:02UTAMISS Burks 25' 3PT Jump Shot43
71.4%
47
28.6%
Q2 - 2:25MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)43
69.5%
47
30.5%
Q2 - 2:37UTABurks 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Favors 1 AST)40
64.0%
47
36.0%
Q2 - 2:56MIABattier 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Chalmers 5 AST)40
69.5%
44
30.5%
Q2 - 3:04MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)37
65.8%
44
34.2%
Q2 - 3:05UTAMISS Jefferson 3PT Jump Shot37
64.8%
44
35.2%
Q2 - 3:31MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)37
62.4%
44
37.6%
Q2 - 3:31MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)36
61.8%
44
38.2%
Q2 - 3:50MIAOden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)35
60.0%
44
40.0%
Q2 - 3:52UTAMISS Williams 22' Jump Shot35
59.0%
44
41.0%
Q2 - 4:00UTAJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)35
56.5%
44
43.5%
Q2 - 4:01MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot35
59.2%
44
40.8%
Q2 - 4:07UTABurks Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)35
61.1%
44
38.9%
Q2 - 4:07UTAMISS Burks Free Throw 1 of 235
61.7%
43
38.3%
Q2 - 4:10UTABurks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
61.1%
43
38.9%
Q2 - 4:13MIAWilliams BLOCK (1 BLK)35
61.9%
43
38.1%
Q2 - 4:18UTAJefferson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)35
63.8%
43
36.2%
Q2 - 4:30UTAJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
61.0%
43
39.0%
Q2 - 4:31MIAMISS Cole 24' 3PT Jump Shot35
61.9%
43
38.1%
Q2 - 4:52UTAJefferson 5' Running Jump Shot (7 PTS)35
63.8%
43
36.2%
Q2 - 5:15MIACole 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Battier 1 AST)35
67.2%
41
32.8%
Q2 - 5:37UTABurks 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS)32
61.9%
41
38.1%
Q2 - 6:04MIACole 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)32
65.0%
39
35.0%
Q2 - 6:22MIAOden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
60.4%
39
39.6%
Q2 - 6:23UTAMISS Kanter 12' Jump Shot29
59.4%
39
40.6%
Q2 - 6:46MIAJames 5' Turnaround Bank Shot (5 PTS)29
57.2%
39
42.8%
Q2 - 7:01MIAOden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
56.3%
39
43.7%
Q2 - 7:02UTAMISS Rush 1' Driving Layup27
55.4%
39
44.6%
Q2 - 7:09UTAEvans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)27
53.3%
39
46.7%
Q2 - 7:10MIAMISS Wade 2' Layup27
54.2%
39
45.8%
Q2 - 7:24MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)27
56.2%
39
43.8%
Q2 - 7:27UTAMISS Rush Free Throw 2 of 227
55.8%
39
44.2%
Q2 - 7:27UTARush Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)27
54.1%
39
45.9%
Q2 - 7:46MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)27
55.8%
38
44.2%
Q2 - 7:46MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 226
55.4%
38
44.6%
Q2 - 8:11UTABurks 5' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)26
57.0%
38
43.0%
Q2 - 8:16UTAJAZZ Rebound26
59.4%
36
40.6%
Q2 - 8:16UTAKanter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)26
59.4%
36
40.6%
Q2 - 8:16UTAMISS Kanter 1' Layup26
61.2%
36
38.8%
Q2 - 8:16UTAMISS Burks 2' Layup26
61.2%
36
38.8%
Q2 - 8:40MIACole 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)26
59.4%
36
40.6%
Q2 - 8:51MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)24
57.0%
36
43.0%
Q2 - 8:53MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot24
55.1%
36
44.9%
Q2 - 9:12UTAEvans Slam Dunk (4 PTS)24
58.5%
36
41.5%
Q2 - 9:16UTAEvans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)24
60.7%
34
39.3%
Q2 - 9:19UTAMISS Burks 20' Jump Shot24
62.5%
34
37.5%
Q2 - 9:41UTAEvans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
60.6%
34
39.4%
Q2 - 9:42MIAMISS Cole 24' 3PT Jump Shot24
61.4%
34
38.6%
Q2 - 10:09MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)24
63.4%
34
36.6%
Q2 - 10:10UTAMISS Hayward 4' Running Hook Shot24
62.6%
34
37.4%
Q2 - 10:32UTABurks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
60.7%
34
39.3%
Q2 - 10:33MIAMISS Bosh 22' Jump Shot24
61.6%
34
38.4%
Q2 - 10:56UTABurks 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)24
63.5%
34
36.5%
Q2 - 11:10MIAWade 2' Layup (4 PTS)24
65.7%
32
34.3%
Q2 - 11:17UTAHayward Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)22
63.6%
32
36.4%
Q2 - 11:30MIABosh 13' Fadeaway Jumper (10 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)22
61.2%
32
38.8%
Q2 - 11:47UTAKanter Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)20
59.0%
32
41.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0UTA20
56.5%
32
43.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)20
56.5%
32
43.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)19
56.1%
32
43.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound18
54.3%
32
45.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0UTAMISS Burks 24' Jump Shot18
53.5%
32
46.5%
Q1 - 0:22.0UTAEvans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
52.9%
32
47.1%
Q1 - 0:23.0MIAMISS James 5' Jump Shot18
53.4%
32
46.6%
Q1 - 0:37.0UTABurks Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)18
54.6%
32
45.4%
Q1 - 0:50.0UTAKanter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
52.9%
32
47.1%
Q1 - 0:51.0MIAMISS Cole 20' Jump Shot18
53.4%
32
46.6%
Q1 - 1:19UTAEvans 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Hayward 6 AST)18
55.9%
32
44.1%
Q1 - 1:34UTAJAZZ Rebound18
58.7%
30
41.3%
Q1 - 1:35MIAMISS James 23' Jump Shot18
59.2%
30
40.8%
Q1 - 1:58UTAHayward 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Garrett 1 AST)18
60.2%
30
39.8%
Q1 - 2:03MIABurks STEAL (1 STL)18
63.4%
28
36.6%
Q1 - 2:05MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)18
65.3%
28
34.7%
Q1 - 2:08MIAMISS Allen 25' 3PT Jump Shot18
64.0%
28
36.0%
Q1 - 2:29UTAFavors Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Evans 1 AST)18
65.3%
28
34.7%
Q1 - 2:48UTAJAZZ Rebound18
67.5%
26
32.5%
Q1 - 2:50MIAMISS Bosh 19' Jump Shot18
68.0%
26
32.0%
Q1 - 3:03MIAHeat Rebound18
70.1%
26
29.9%
Q1 - 3:03UTAMISS Favors 14' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot18
69.5%
26
30.5%
Q1 - 3:29MIAAndersen 1' Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST)18
68.0%
26
32.0%
Q1 - 3:53UTAJefferson 2' Driving Layup (5 PTS)16
66.1%
26
33.9%
Q1 - 4:08UTAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
68.8%
24
31.2%
Q1 - 4:10MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot16
69.5%
24
30.5%
Q1 - 4:20UTAFavors Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)16
70.9%
24
29.1%
Q1 - 4:20UTAFavors Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)16
71.3%
23
28.7%
Q1 - 4:39MIAWade 2' Running Layup (2 PTS) (James 2 AST)16
72.4%
22
27.6%
Q1 - 4:48MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
70.8%
22
29.2%
Q1 - 4:53UTAMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot14
70.2%
22
29.8%
Q1 - 5:01MIAHayward STEAL (1 STL)14
69.5%
22
30.5%
Q1 - 5:13UTAWilliams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Burke 2 AST)14
71.3%
22
28.7%
Q1 - 5:28UTAJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
74.4%
19
25.6%
Q1 - 5:30MIAMISS Battier 25' 3PT Jump Shot14
74.9%
19
25.1%
Q1 - 5:55UTABurke 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Jefferson 1 AST)14
76.1%
19
23.9%
Q1 - 6:18UTAHayward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
79.2%
16
20.8%
Q1 - 6:19MIAMISS Bosh 17' Jump Shot14
79.7%
16
20.3%
Q1 - 6:34UTAWilliams 17' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Hayward 5 AST)14
80.6%
16
19.4%
Q1 - 6:51MIABosh 2' Layup (6 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)14
81.7%
14
18.3%
Q1 - 7:03UTAFavors 3' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)12
80.9%
14
19.1%
Q1 - 7:07UTAFavors REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)12
81.9%
12
18.1%
Q1 - 7:08UTAMISS Hayward 1' Layup12
82.8%
12
17.2%
Q1 - 7:13UTAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
81.9%
12
18.1%
Q1 - 7:15MIAMISS Wade 1' Reverse Layup12
82.3%
12
17.7%
Q1 - 7:25MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
83.1%
12
16.9%
Q1 - 7:27UTAMISS Hayward 2' Layup12
82.8%
12
17.2%
Q1 - 7:33MIAFavors STEAL (1 STL)12
81.9%
12
18.1%
Q1 - 7:41MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
83.1%
12
16.9%
Q1 - 7:42UTAMISS Burke 21' Jump Shot12
82.8%
12
17.2%
Q1 - 7:52UTABurke REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
81.9%
12
18.1%
Q1 - 7:53MIAMISS Bosh 20' Jump Shot12
82.3%
12
17.7%
Q1 - 8:12UTAWilliams 1' Layup (7 PTS) (Hayward 4 AST)12
83.5%
12
16.5%
Q1 - 8:33MIAJames 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)12
84.4%
10
15.6%
Q1 - 8:47UTABurke 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Hayward 3 AST)9
82.4%
10
17.6%
Q1 - 9:04MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)9
83.7%
8
16.3%
Q1 - 9:04MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)8
83.6%
8
16.4%
Q1 - 9:21UTAWilliams 13' Running Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Hayward 2 AST)7
82.8%
8
17.2%
Q1 - 9:46MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)7
83.7%
6
16.3%
Q1 - 9:56UTAJefferson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Burke 1 AST)4
81.8%
6
18.2%
Q1 - 10:13UTAHayward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
83.8%
3
16.2%
Q1 - 10:14MIAMISS James 20' Jump Shot4
84.1%
3
15.9%
Q1 - 10:39UTAWilliams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Hayward 1 AST)4
84.8%
3
15.2%
Q1 - 10:52MIAChalmers 2' Layup (2 PTS) (James 1 AST)4
86.4%
0
13.6%
Q1 - 10:56MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
85.7%
0
14.3%
Q1 - 10:57UTAMISS Favors 9' Jump Shot2
85.4%
0
14.6%
Q1 - 11:12UTAFavors REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
84.8%
0
15.2%
Q1 - 11:13UTAMISS Burke 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
85.4%
0
14.6%
Q1 - 11:40MIABosh 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)2
84.8%
0
15.2%
Q1 - 12:00UTAJump Ball Favors vs. Bosh: Tip to James0
83.9%
0
16.1%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.09 54.3%
UTA
1.09 54.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
14
20
70%
UTA
12
23
52%
Midrange
MIA
8
24
33%
UTA
14
26
54%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
7
10.5
23
30%
46%
UTA
10
15.0
25
40%
60%
Free Throws
MIA
24
30
80%
UTA
12
19
63%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade1959%9.5 / 16
L. James1341%6.5 / 16
C. Bosh1341%6.5 / 16
M. Chalmers1286%6.0 / 7
N. Cole1255%6.0 / 11
R. Allen956%4.5 / 8
S. Battier880%4.0 / 5
C. Andersen375%1.5 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
UTA logo Jazz
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Williams2372%11.5 / 16
R. Jefferson1464%7.0 / 11
T. Burke1359%6.5 / 11
A. Burks1246%6.0 / 13
G. Hayward945%4.5 / 10
D. Favors844%4.0 / 9
E. Kanter857%4.0 / 7
J. Evans675%3.0 / 4
B. Rush125%0.5 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
76
+6
-10
82
UTA
73
+11
-12
84
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.09 54.3%
UTA
1.09 54.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
110.7
103.5
MIA 103.5
UTA 110.6 +7.1
Pace
91.5
91.3
MIA 96.8 +20.3
UTA 76.5
Avg. Poss. Time
15.8
16.1
MIA 14.9 +3.9
UTA 18.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
55.4%
48.4%
MIA 48.5%
UTA 55.4% +6.9%
TO %
15.4%
15.2%
MIA 11.1% +1.6%
UTA 12.7%
ORB %
20.6%
25.6%
MIA 13.9%
UTA 27.0% +13.1%
FTrt
30.0
27.1
MIA 44.8 +19.1
UTA 25.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.8%
56.4%
MIA 65.5% +1.6%
UTA 63.9%
STL %
9.7%
7.6%
MIA 9.3%
UTA 10.6% +1.3%
BLK %
8.1%
7.3%
MIA 4.1% +1.8%
UTA 2.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.51 and 2.51.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
57.5%
51.0%
MIA 54.3%
UTA 54.7% +0.4%
Rim FG%
66.7%
58.2%
MIA 70.0% +17.8%
UTA 52.2%
Mid FG%
42.8%
37.8%
MIA 33.3%
UTA 53.8% +20.5%
3P %
36.4%
34.4%
MIA 30.4%
UTA 40.0% +9.6%
FT %
76.0%
74.7%
MIA 80.0% +16.8%
UTA 63.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
38.3%
36.2%
MIA 29.9%
UTA 31.1% +1.2%
Mid Att. %
32.5%
40.0%
MIA 35.8%
UTA 35.1% +0.7%
3P Att. %
29.2%
23.7%
MIA 34.3% +0.5%
UTA 33.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.71 and 2.71.
Game TotalsMIAUTA
Possessions8685
Possession Minutes21.326.7
Points8994
Rebounds3241
Assists1923
Steals89
Blocks21
Turnovers (Team)10 (0)12 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)5 (1)10 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)27 (4)31 (3)
Field Goals29-6736-74
At-the-Rim FG14-2012-23
Midrange FG8-2414-26
2-Point FG22-4426-49
3-Point FG7-2310-25
Free Throws24-3012-19
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 250 · 29
39.4
13
41%
7
5
0
0
5
2
0
7
4-6
67%
3-7
43%
1-6
17%
G · 6'4" 220 · 32
36.4
19
59%
6
2
0
0
3
4
0
6
5-5
100%
7-14
50%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 235 · 30
34.5
13
41%
7
1
0
1
0
0
2
5
7-8
88%
3-9
33%
0-3
0%
G · 6'2" 190 · 28
30.8
12
86%
2
7
0
0
1
3
0
2
3-3
100%
3-4
75%
1-2
50%
F · 6'8" 220 · 35
25.1
8
80%
1
3
2
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-1
0%
2-3
67%
G · 6'5" 205 · 39
23.0
9
56%
0
1
1
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
3-4
75%
1-4
25%
G · 6'2" 175 · 25
21.5
12
55%
0
0
4
0
0
0
0
0
2-4
50%
2-4
50%
2-5
40%
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 36
18.5
3
75%
5
0
0
0
0
4
3
2
1-2
50%
1-1
100%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 273 · 26
10.8
0
0%
4
0
1
1
0
3
0
4
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 235 · 34
F · 6'9" 235 · 25
F · 6'10" 235 · 35
G · 6'2" 195 · 28
#22 · G-F · 6'8" 218 · 33
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#21 · G · 6'5" 205 · 33
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
89
54%
32
19
8
2
10
0
5
27
24-30
80%
22-44
50%
7-23
30%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.