FinalWin Prob.pScore
1747%106
109
2253%107
126
ORTG#PossPace
DEN logo DEN
107.9101102.2
DET logo DET
126.010098.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PistonsNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PistonsNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDENDET
Q4 - 0:00.0DEN109
0%
126
100%
Q4 - 0:03.0DENFoye REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)109
0%
126
100%
Q4 - 0:04.0DETMISS Smith 26' 3PT Jump Shot109
0%
126
100%
Q4 - 0:25.0DETSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)109
0%
126
100%
Q4 - 0:27.0DENDrummond BLOCK (3 BLK)109
0.1%
126
99.9%
Q4 - 0:29.0DENHamilton REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)109
0.1%
126
99.9%
Q4 - 0:30.0DENMISS Arthur 26' 3PT Jump Shot109
0.1%
126
99.9%
Q4 - 0:42.0DETJennings 26' 3PT Jump Shot (35 PTS)109
0.1%
126
99.9%
Q4 - 1:02DENChandler 27' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Arthur 2 AST)109
0.1%
123
99.9%
Q4 - 1:10DETJennings 26' 3PT Jump Shot (32 PTS)106
0.1%
123
99.9%
Q4 - 1:28DENArthur 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Chandler 5 AST)106
0.1%
120
99.9%
Q4 - 1:39DETStuckey Foul Turnover (P1.T10)104
0.1%
120
99.9%
Q4 - 1:57DETSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)104
0.1%
120
99.9%
Q4 - 1:58DENMISS Foye 27' 3PT Jump Shot104
0.1%
120
99.9%
Q4 - 2:10DETJennings 1' Layup (29 PTS)104
0.1%
120
99.9%
Q4 - 2:14DENJennings STEAL (2 STL)104
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 2:27DETStuckey 15' Jump Shot (19 PTS)104
0.2%
118
99.8%
Q4 - 2:45DETSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)104
0.3%
116
99.7%
Q4 - 2:46DENMISS Hamilton 1' Layup104
0.3%
116
99.7%
Q4 - 2:48DENHamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)104
0.5%
116
99.5%
Q4 - 2:49DENDrummond BLOCK (2 BLK)104
0.3%
116
99.7%
Q4 - 3:06DETDrummond Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)104
0.7%
116
99.3%
Q4 - 3:06DETDrummond Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)104
0.8%
115
99.2%
Q4 - 3:24DENFoye 17' Jump Shot (25 PTS)104
0.9%
114
99.1%
Q4 - 3:31DETStuckey 1' Layup (17 PTS) (Smith 8 AST)102
1.5%
114
98.5%
Q4 - 3:34DETSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)102
2.0%
112
98.0%
Q4 - 3:35DETMISS Jennings 24' 3PT Jump Shot102
2.6%
112
97.4%
Q4 - 3:49DENHickson Traveling Turnover (P5.T19)102
1.9%
112
98.1%
Q4 - 3:49DENHickson REBOUND (Off:7 Def:9)102
2.8%
112
97.2%
Q4 - 3:50DENMISS Hamilton 1' Layup102
2.1%
112
97.9%
Q4 - 4:02DETSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T9)102
2.7%
112
97.3%
Q4 - 4:20DETSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)102
1.8%
112
98.2%
Q4 - 4:22DENMISS Hickson 7' Jump Shot102
2.0%
112
98.0%
Q4 - 4:48DETDrummond 1' Layup (16 PTS)102
2.6%
112
97.4%
Q4 - 4:52DENDrummond STEAL (2 STL)102
3.6%
110
96.4%
Q4 - 5:07DETMISS Stuckey Free Throw Technical102
7.5%
110
92.5%
Q4 - 5:09DETStuckey 18' Jump Shot (15 PTS)102
7.4%
110
92.6%
Q4 - 5:24DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:8 Def:7)102
9.8%
108
90.2%
Q4 - 5:24DENMISS Mozgov 5' Jump Shot102
10.8%
108
89.2%
Q4 - 5:35DETSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T8)102
13.5%
108
86.5%
Q4 - 5:58DENQ. Miller 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS)102
9.7%
108
90.3%
Q4 - 6:07DENHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)100
9.4%
108
90.6%
Q4 - 6:09DETMISS Stuckey 4' Jump Shot100
8.6%
108
91.4%
Q4 - 6:16DENSingler STEAL (2 STL)100
6.8%
108
93.2%
Q4 - 6:26DETSmith 6' Hook Shot (30 PTS)100
9.3%
108
90.7%
Q4 - 6:39DENRandolph Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T16)100
11.8%
106
88.2%
Q4 - 6:40DENRandolph REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)100
15.8%
106
84.2%
Q4 - 6:41DETMISS Jennings 1' Layup100
14.5%
106
85.5%
Q4 - 6:46DENMonroe STEAL (1 STL)100
11.7%
106
88.3%
Q4 - 7:00DETMonroe Traveling Turnover (P3.T7)100
15.7%
106
84.3%
Q4 - 7:16DENFournier 20' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Randolph 1 AST)100
13.8%
106
86.2%
Q4 - 7:23DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)98
11.0%
106
89.0%
Q4 - 7:25DETMISS Smith Layup98
10.2%
106
89.8%
Q4 - 7:42DETPISTONS Rebound98
8.3%
106
91.7%
Q4 - 7:43DENMISS Hamilton Free Throw 2 of 298
8.6%
106
91.4%
Q4 - 7:43DENHamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)98
9.9%
106
90.1%
Q4 - 7:50DENHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)97
8.5%
106
91.5%
Q4 - 7:52DETMISS Stuckey 10' Fadeaway Jumper97
7.8%
106
92.2%
Q4 - 7:58DENSmith STEAL (4 STL)97
6.4%
106
93.6%
Q4 - 8:05DENRandolph REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)97
10.0%
106
90.0%
Q4 - 8:06DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 3PT Jump Shot97
9.3%
106
90.7%
Q4 - 8:32DENRandolph 27' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Mozgov 3 AST)97
7.9%
106
92.1%
Q4 - 8:43DETSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)94
4.8%
106
95.2%
Q4 - 9:08DENQ. Miller Driving Layup (4 PTS)94
4.7%
106
95.3%
Q4 - 9:18DENFournier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)92
3.7%
106
96.3%
Q4 - 9:19DENMISS Q. Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot92
3.2%
106
96.8%
Q4 - 9:31DETStuckey Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)92
3.7%
106
96.3%
Q4 - 9:46DENFournier 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Mozgov 2 AST)92
5.8%
103
94.2%
Q4 - 10:11DETSmith 10' Running Hook Shot (28 PTS)89
4.4%
103
95.6%
Q4 - 10:37DENRandolph 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Foye 3 AST)89
5.4%
101
94.6%
Q4 - 10:49DETMonroe 1' Layup (14 PTS) (Stuckey 3 AST)86
3.5%
101
96.5%
Q4 - 11:10DETSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)86
5.0%
99
95.0%
Q4 - 11:11DENMISS Foye 26' 3PT Jump Shot86
5.4%
99
94.6%
Q4 - 11:24DETStuckey Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)86
6.2%
99
93.8%
Q4 - 11:24DETStuckey Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)86
6.4%
98
93.6%
Q4 - 11:39DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)86
7.5%
97
92.5%
Q4 - 11:40DENMISS Randolph 4' Jump Shot86
8.0%
97
92.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0DEN86
9.1%
97
90.9%
Q3 - 0:01.0DENHickson REBOUND (Off:6 Def:9)86
10.1%
97
89.9%
Q3 - 0:02.0DETMISS Jennings 21' Jump Shot86
9.6%
97
90.4%
Q3 - 0:27.0DENFoye 26' 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS)86
8.4%
97
91.6%
Q3 - 0:41.0DETMonroe 1' Dunk (12 PTS) (Jennings 12 AST)83
5.7%
97
94.3%
Q3 - 0:59.0DENHickson 1' Layup (15 PTS) (Mozgov 1 AST)83
6.9%
95
93.1%
Q3 - 1:10DENChandler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)81
6.4%
95
93.6%
Q3 - 1:11DETMISS Smith 27' 3PT Jump Shot81
6.0%
95
94.0%
Q3 - 1:29DENHickson Layup (13 PTS) (Chandler 4 AST)81
5.3%
95
94.7%
Q3 - 1:37DENFoye REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)79
4.4%
95
95.6%
Q3 - 1:38DETMISS Smith 14' Jump Shot79
4.1%
95
95.9%
Q3 - 1:44DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)79
3.6%
95
96.4%
Q3 - 1:46DENMISS Hickson 5' Jump Shot79
3.9%
95
96.1%
Q3 - 2:05DETSmith 5' Hook Shot (26 PTS) (Stuckey 2 AST)79
5.1%
95
94.9%
Q3 - 2:29DENFoye 13' Jump Shot (20 PTS)79
5.9%
93
94.1%
Q3 - 2:40DENNuggets Rebound77
5.0%
93
95.0%
Q3 - 2:40DENMISS Randolph 24' 3PT Jump Shot77
4.4%
93
95.6%
Q3 - 2:51DENRandolph REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)77
5.0%
93
95.0%
Q3 - 2:51DETMISS Drummond 1' Layup77
4.7%
93
95.3%
Q3 - 2:55DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:8 Def:6)77
4.1%
93
95.9%
Q3 - 2:56DETMISS Jennings 28' 3PT Jump Shot77
4.7%
93
95.3%
Q3 - 3:01DENDrummond STEAL (1 STL)77
4.7%
93
95.3%
Q3 - 3:20DETJennings 28' 3PT Jump Shot (27 PTS) (Smith 7 AST)77
5.7%
93
94.3%
Q3 - 3:32DENChandler Free Throw 3 of 3 (17 PTS)77
7.8%
90
92.2%
Q3 - 3:32DENChandler Free Throw 2 of 3 (16 PTS)76
7.5%
90
92.5%
Q3 - 3:32DENMISS Chandler Free Throw 1 of 375
7.2%
90
92.8%
Q3 - 3:47DETJennings Free Throw 3 of 3 (24 PTS)75
6.7%
90
93.3%
Q3 - 3:47DETJennings Free Throw 2 of 3 (23 PTS)75
6.8%
89
93.2%
Q3 - 3:47DETJennings Free Throw 1 of 3 (22 PTS)75
7.1%
88
92.9%
Q3 - 4:01DENFoye 20' Jump Shot (18 PTS)75
9.7%
87
90.3%
Q3 - 4:18DETDrummond 1' Putback Dunk (14 PTS)73
8.6%
87
91.4%
Q3 - 4:19DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:7 Def:6)73
9.7%
85
90.3%
Q3 - 4:20DETMISS Singler 5' Jump Shot73
11.1%
85
88.9%
Q3 - 4:23DETPISTONS Rebound73
9.7%
85
90.3%
Q3 - 4:23DETMISS Smith 15' Jump Shot73
11.1%
85
88.9%
Q3 - 4:31DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:6 Def:6)73
9.7%
85
90.3%
Q3 - 4:32DETMISS Drummond 4' Jump Shot73
11.1%
85
88.9%
Q3 - 4:40DETSingler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)73
9.7%
85
90.3%
Q3 - 4:41DENMISS Randolph 28' 3PT Jump Shot73
10.3%
85
89.7%
Q3 - 5:02DETJennings 18' Pullup Jump Shot (21 PTS)73
12.3%
85
87.7%
Q3 - 5:16DETPISTONS Rebound73
13.9%
83
86.1%
Q3 - 5:18DENMISS Hickson Free Throw 2 of 273
14.2%
83
85.8%
Q3 - 5:18DENMISS Hickson Free Throw 1 of 273
15.3%
83
84.7%
Q3 - 5:40DETMonroe 11' Running Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Jennings 11 AST)73
16.3%
83
83.7%
Q3 - 5:52DETSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)73
18.3%
81
81.7%
Q3 - 5:53DENMISS Hickson 17' Jump Shot73
19.2%
81
80.8%
Q3 - 6:15DETJennings Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)73
22.1%
81
77.9%
Q3 - 6:23DETPISTONS Rebound73
19.2%
81
80.8%
Q3 - 6:23DETMISS Jennings Layup73
21.2%
81
78.8%
Q3 - 6:29DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)73
19.2%
81
80.8%
Q3 - 6:30DENMISS Foye 26' 3PT Jump Shot73
20.0%
81
80.0%
Q3 - 6:39DETDrummond Layup (12 PTS)73
22.1%
81
77.9%
Q3 - 7:00DENFoye Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)73
24.6%
79
75.4%
Q3 - 7:00DENFoye Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)72
24.2%
79
75.8%
Q3 - 7:15DETSingler Layup (10 PTS) (Jennings 10 AST)71
22.5%
79
77.5%
Q3 - 7:22DETSingler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)71
25.1%
77
74.9%
Q3 - 7:22DETMISS Jennings 27' 3PT Jump Shot71
27.3%
77
72.7%
Q3 - 7:49DENArthur Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T12)71
25.1%
77
74.9%
Q3 - 8:09DETMonroe 1' Layup (8 PTS) (Jennings 9 AST)71
28.9%
77
71.1%
Q3 - 8:19DENFoye 27' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS)71
31.5%
75
68.5%
Q3 - 8:31DETSmith 26' 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Drummond 2 AST)68
25.8%
75
74.2%
Q3 - 8:47DENArthur 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Chandler 3 AST)68
31.5%
72
68.5%
Q3 - 9:07DETSmith 6' Running Hook Shot (21 PTS)66
28.9%
72
71.1%
Q3 - 9:30DENFaried 1' Dunk (11 PTS) (Arthur 1 AST)66
31.9%
70
68.1%
Q3 - 9:41DENHickson REBOUND (Off:6 Def:8)64
29.0%
70
71.0%
Q3 - 9:42DENMISS Chandler 27' 3PT Jump Shot64
26.8%
70
73.2%
Q3 - 9:48DENHickson REBOUND (Off:5 Def:8)64
29.0%
70
71.0%
Q3 - 9:50DETMISS Smith 24' 3PT Jump Shot64
28.0%
70
72.0%
Q3 - 10:09DENChandler 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Hickson 2 AST)64
26.5%
70
73.5%
Q3 - 10:25DENHickson REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7)61
21.3%
70
78.7%
Q3 - 10:26DETMISS Jennings 27' 3PT Jump Shot61
20.6%
70
79.4%
Q3 - 10:32DENSingler STEAL (1 STL)61
19.0%
70
81.0%
Q3 - 10:37DENHickson REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)61
21.3%
70
78.7%
Q3 - 10:38DENMISS Foye 26' 3PT Jump Shot61
19.7%
70
80.3%
Q3 - 10:47DENHickson REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)61
21.3%
70
78.7%
Q3 - 10:48DENMISS Foye 27' 3PT Jump Shot61
19.7%
70
80.3%
Q3 - 11:05DETSingler 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Smith 6 AST)61
22.2%
70
77.8%
Q3 - 11:13DETJennings REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)61
27.2%
67
72.8%
Q3 - 11:14DENMISS Hickson 5' Jump Shot61
28.0%
67
72.0%
Q3 - 11:18DENHickson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)61
30.1%
67
69.9%
Q3 - 11:19DENMISS Chandler 27' 3PT Jump Shot61
28.0%
67
72.0%
Q3 - 11:32DETJennings Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)61
30.1%
67
69.9%
Q3 - 11:32DETJennings Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)61
30.6%
66
69.4%
Q3 - 11:35DENSmith STEAL (3 STL)61
32.9%
65
67.1%
Q3 - 11:40DENFaried REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)61
36.2%
65
63.8%
Q3 - 11:41DETMISS Monroe 4' Jump Shot61
35.2%
65
64.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0DEN61
32.9%
65
67.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0DENNuggets Rebound61
36.1%
65
63.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0DENMISS Chandler 70' 3PT Jump Shot61
33.9%
65
66.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0DETJennings Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)61
36.1%
65
63.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0DETJennings Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)61
36.7%
64
63.3%
Q2 - 0:02.0DETSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)61
40.2%
63
59.8%
Q2 - 0:03.0DENMISS Chandler 9' Jump Shot61
40.9%
63
59.1%
Q2 - 0:26.0DETJennings 27' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Jerebko 1 AST)61
42.6%
63
57.4%
Q2 - 0:29.0DETJerebko REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)61
49.9%
60
50.1%
Q2 - 0:30.0DENMISS Hickson 5' Jump Shot61
50.6%
60
49.4%
Q2 - 0:49.0DETJennings 26' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Smith 5 AST)61
52.4%
60
47.6%
Q2 - 0:54.0DENSmith STEAL (2 STL)61
59.7%
57
40.3%
Q2 - 1:01DENFoye REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)61
61.5%
57
38.5%
Q2 - 1:03DETMISS Smith 19' Jump Shot61
60.9%
57
39.1%
Q2 - 1:12DENHickson Tip Shot (11 PTS)61
59.5%
57
40.5%
Q2 - 1:12DENHickson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)59
55.3%
57
44.7%
Q2 - 1:14DENMISS Faried 6' Jump Shot59
53.9%
57
46.1%
Q2 - 1:27DETSmith Dunk (19 PTS) (Jennings 8 AST)59
55.3%
57
44.7%
Q2 - 1:37DENFaried Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)59
59.6%
55
40.4%
Q2 - 1:37DENMISS Faried Free Throw 1 of 258
58.5%
55
41.5%
Q2 - 1:45DETJennings 27' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS)58
58.5%
55
41.5%
Q2 - 2:03DENChandler 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS)58
64.3%
52
35.7%
Q2 - 2:10DENChandler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)55
58.6%
52
41.4%
Q2 - 2:13DENDrummond BLOCK (1 BLK)55
56.4%
52
43.6%
Q2 - 2:18DENNuggets Rebound55
58.6%
52
41.4%
Q2 - 2:18DENMISS Faried 4' Jump Shot55
56.4%
52
43.6%
Q2 - 2:20DENFaried REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)55
58.6%
52
41.4%
Q2 - 2:21DENMISS Hickson Free Throw 2 of 255
55.9%
52
44.1%
Q2 - 2:21DENMISS Hickson Free Throw 1 of 255
57.6%
52
42.4%
Q2 - 2:29DETSingler 1' Layup (5 PTS) (Jennings 7 AST)55
58.6%
52
41.4%
Q2 - 2:35DETStuckey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)55
61.6%
50
38.4%
Q2 - 2:36DENMISS Lawson 16' Jump Shot55
62.4%
50
37.6%
Q2 - 2:53DENFoye REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)55
64.4%
50
35.6%
Q2 - 2:54DETMISS Smith 6' Hook Shot55
63.6%
50
36.4%
Q2 - 3:13DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)55
60.9%
50
39.1%
Q2 - 3:14DENMISS Foye 27' 3PT Jump Shot55
61.9%
50
38.1%
Q2 - 3:32DETDrummond 1' Driving Dunk (10 PTS) (Jennings 6 AST)55
64.3%
50
35.7%
Q2 - 3:43DENFoye 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS)55
66.5%
48
33.5%
Q2 - 3:56DETSingler 1' Driving Dunk (3 PTS) (Jennings 5 AST)52
61.5%
48
38.5%
Q2 - 4:12DENFaried Alley Oop Dunk (8 PTS) (Foye 2 AST)52
63.2%
46
36.8%
Q2 - 4:21DETSmith 14' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Jennings 4 AST)50
60.6%
46
39.4%
Q2 - 4:30DENFoye 6' Pullup Jump Shot (8 PTS)50
63.2%
44
36.8%
Q2 - 4:41DENFoye REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)48
60.6%
44
39.4%
Q2 - 4:42DETMISS Singler 26' 3PT Jump Shot48
59.7%
44
40.3%
Q2 - 4:49DENHickson 4' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Faried 1 AST)48
57.7%
44
42.3%
Q2 - 5:03DETDrummond 1' Layup (8 PTS) (Smith 4 AST)46
54.8%
44
45.2%
Q2 - 5:15DENFaried Layup (6 PTS) (Hickson 1 AST)46
57.6%
42
42.4%
Q2 - 5:22DENChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)44
54.7%
42
45.3%
Q2 - 5:23DETMISS Jennings 7' Jump Shot44
53.9%
42
46.1%
Q2 - 5:35DENHickson Foul Turnover (P2.T8)44
52.0%
42
48.0%
Q2 - 5:46DETSmith 6' Running Hook Shot (15 PTS) (Jennings 3 AST)44
54.7%
42
45.3%
Q2 - 5:59DENMozgov Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)44
57.6%
40
42.4%
Q2 - 6:14DETStuckey Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)44
60.3%
40
39.7%
Q2 - 6:14DETStuckey Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)44
60.7%
39
39.3%
Q2 - 6:16DETStuckey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)44
62.3%
38
37.7%
Q2 - 6:18DETMISS Stuckey 1' Layup44
64.5%
38
35.5%
Q2 - 6:22DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)44
62.3%
38
37.7%
Q2 - 6:23DENMISS Fournier 4' Jump Shot44
63.3%
38
36.7%
Q2 - 6:32DENNuggets Rebound44
65.4%
38
34.6%
Q2 - 6:32DENMISS Q. Miller 1' Layup44
63.3%
38
36.7%
Q2 - 6:38DENFournier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)44
65.4%
38
34.6%
Q2 - 6:40DETMISS Monroe 8' Hook Shot44
64.5%
38
35.5%
Q2 - 6:49DETSingler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)44
62.4%
38
37.6%
Q2 - 6:50DENMISS Mozgov Layup44
63.3%
38
36.7%
Q2 - 7:03DETMonroe Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)44
64.7%
38
35.3%
Q2 - 7:14DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)44
62.0%
38
38.0%
Q2 - 7:14DENMISS Arthur 21' Jump Shot44
62.8%
38
37.2%
Q2 - 7:24DENArthur REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)44
64.7%
38
35.3%
Q2 - 7:26DETMISS Stuckey 13' Fadeaway Jumper44
63.9%
38
36.1%
Q2 - 7:49DENQ. Miller Driving Layup (2 PTS)44
62.0%
38
38.0%
Q2 - 7:54DENArthur REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)42
59.8%
38
40.2%
Q2 - 7:55DETMISS Singler 4' Jump Shot42
58.9%
38
41.1%
Q2 - 8:19DENFournier 1' Layup (7 PTS) (Lawson 7 AST)42
56.5%
38
43.5%
Q2 - 8:24DENLawson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)40
54.1%
38
45.9%
Q2 - 8:25DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 20' Jump Shot40
53.2%
38
46.8%
Q2 - 8:30DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)40
51.4%
38
48.6%
Q2 - 8:32DENMISS Mozgov Dunk40
52.2%
38
47.8%
Q2 - 8:39DENArthur REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)40
54.1%
38
45.9%
Q2 - 8:40DENMISS Lawson 14' Jump Shot40
52.2%
38
47.8%
Q2 - 8:45DENLawson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)40
54.1%
38
45.9%
Q2 - 8:47DETMISS Stuckey Driving Layup40
53.3%
38
46.7%
Q2 - 9:02DENLawson Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)40
51.1%
38
48.9%
Q2 - 9:02DENLawson Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)39
50.7%
38
49.3%
Q2 - 9:16DETStuckey Driving Layup (6 PTS)38
48.8%
38
51.2%
Q2 - 9:31DENLawson 10' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS)38
51.1%
36
48.9%
Q2 - 9:42DETMonroe Driving Layup (6 PTS) (Caldwell-Pope 1 AST)36
48.8%
36
51.2%
Q2 - 10:01DENFournier Driving Layup (5 PTS)36
50.8%
34
49.2%
Q2 - 10:29DETMonroe Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)34
48.8%
34
51.2%
Q2 - 10:52DENFournier 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Lawson 6 AST)34
45.9%
34
54.1%
Q2 - 11:12DETSmith 19' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Singler 1 AST)31
41.4%
34
58.6%
Q2 - 11:15DETPISTONS Rebound31
43.6%
32
56.4%
Q2 - 11:15DETMISS Stuckey 9' Jump Shot31
45.3%
32
54.7%
Q2 - 11:31DENMozgov Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)31
43.6%
32
56.4%
Q2 - 11:31DENMozgov Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)30
43.1%
32
56.9%
Q2 - 11:46DETSmith 21' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Stuckey 1 AST)29
41.4%
32
58.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0DEN29
43.6%
30
56.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0DENArthur REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
46.1%
30
53.9%
Q1 - 0:01.0DETMISS Stuckey 7' Running Jump Shot29
45.1%
30
54.9%
Q1 - 0:05.0DETPISTONS Rebound29
44.0%
30
56.0%
Q1 - 0:05.0DENMISS Lawson 26' 3PT Jump Shot29
44.5%
30
55.5%
Q1 - 0:10.0DENQ. Miller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)29
45.7%
30
54.3%
Q1 - 0:11.0DENMISS Fournier 19' Jump Shot29
44.5%
30
55.5%
Q1 - 0:19.0DENNuggets Rebound29
45.7%
30
54.3%
Q1 - 0:19.0DENCaldwell-Pope BLOCK (1 BLK)29
44.5%
30
55.5%
Q1 - 0:36.0DETJennings Layup (6 PTS) (Smith 3 AST)29
45.7%
30
54.3%
Q1 - 0:39.0DENJennings STEAL (1 STL)29
48.6%
28
51.4%
Q1 - 0:48.0DETStuckey 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Jennings 2 AST)29
50.4%
28
49.6%
Q1 - 0:53.0DETStuckey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
53.3%
26
46.7%
Q1 - 0:53.0DENMISS Mozgov Free Throw 2 of 229
53.6%
26
46.4%
Q1 - 0:53.0DENMozgov Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)29
55.1%
26
44.9%
Q1 - 1:07DETSmith Dunk (9 PTS)28
52.7%
26
47.3%
Q1 - 1:08DETSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)28
55.5%
24
44.5%
Q1 - 1:09DETMISS Stuckey 17' Jump Shot28
56.7%
24
43.3%
Q1 - 1:21DENLawson 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)28
55.5%
24
44.5%
Q1 - 1:31DENFournier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
52.7%
24
47.3%
Q1 - 1:32DETMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 226
52.4%
24
47.6%
Q1 - 1:32DETSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)26
51.2%
24
48.8%
Q1 - 1:36DETPISTONS Rebound26
53.3%
23
46.7%
Q1 - 1:36DENMISS Q. Miller 24' 3PT Jump Shot26
53.8%
23
46.2%
Q1 - 1:55DETJennings 1' Dunk (4 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)26
54.9%
23
45.1%
Q1 - 2:00DENSmith STEAL (1 STL)26
57.8%
21
42.2%
Q1 - 2:13DETStuckey Layup (2 PTS) (Drummond 1 AST)26
59.5%
21
40.5%
Q1 - 2:16DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)26
61.8%
19
38.2%
Q1 - 2:20DENSmith BLOCK (1 BLK)26
62.4%
19
37.6%
Q1 - 2:36DENHickson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)26
63.8%
19
36.2%
Q1 - 2:36DETMISS Singler Free Throw 2 of 226
63.5%
19
36.5%
Q1 - 2:36DETSingler Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)26
62.0%
19
38.0%
Q1 - 2:40DETStuckey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
64.0%
18
36.0%
Q1 - 2:41DENMISS Chandler 17' Jump Shot26
64.5%
18
35.5%
Q1 - 2:48DENHickson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)26
65.9%
18
34.1%
Q1 - 2:50DETMISS Drummond 1' Tip Shot26
65.3%
18
34.7%
Q1 - 2:52DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)26
64.0%
18
36.0%
Q1 - 2:53DETMISS Smith 1' Layup26
65.3%
18
34.7%
Q1 - 2:54DETSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)26
64.0%
18
36.0%
Q1 - 2:54DETMISS Smith 4' Hook Shot26
65.3%
18
34.7%
Q1 - 3:10DENChandler 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Lawson 5 AST)26
63.4%
18
36.6%
Q1 - 3:21DETSmith 5' Hook Shot (6 PTS)23
59.4%
18
40.6%
Q1 - 3:36DETPISTONS Rebound23
61.4%
16
38.6%
Q1 - 3:37DENMISS Fournier Layup23
62.1%
16
37.9%
Q1 - 3:52DETDrummond Putback Dunk (6 PTS)23
63.7%
16
36.3%
Q1 - 3:53DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)23
65.5%
14
34.5%
Q1 - 3:54DETMISS Jennings Layup23
67.0%
14
33.0%
Q1 - 4:06DENChandler Traveling Turnover (P1.T4)23
64.9%
14
35.1%
Q1 - 4:14DETSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)23
67.1%
14
32.9%
Q1 - 4:22DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)23
64.9%
14
35.1%
Q1 - 4:23DENMISS Fournier 3PT Jump Shot23
65.6%
14
34.4%
Q1 - 4:38DENHickson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)23
67.1%
14
32.9%
Q1 - 4:40DETMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 223
66.8%
14
33.2%
Q1 - 4:40DETMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 223
65.9%
14
34.1%
Q1 - 4:58DENHickson 1' Driving Slam Dunk (7 PTS)23
64.9%
14
35.1%
Q1 - 5:11DETMonroe Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)21
62.1%
14
37.9%
Q1 - 5:11DETMonroe Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)21
62.6%
13
37.4%
Q1 - 5:19DENHickson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)21
63.9%
12
36.1%
Q1 - 5:24DENHickson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)21
66.0%
12
34.0%
Q1 - 5:25DETMISS Jennings 27' 3PT Jump Shot21
65.3%
12
34.7%
Q1 - 5:35DENHickson Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)21
64.0%
12
36.0%
Q1 - 5:35DENMISS Hickson Free Throw 1 of 220
63.3%
12
36.7%
Q1 - 5:45DENHickson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)20
64.1%
12
35.9%
Q1 - 5:46DETMISS Singler 21' Jump Shot20
63.5%
12
36.5%
Q1 - 6:02DENFoye Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)20
61.2%
12
38.8%
Q1 - 6:08DETJennings Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)20
63.3%
12
36.7%
Q1 - 6:14DENFaried Dunk (4 PTS) (Lawson 4 AST)20
61.2%
12
38.8%
Q1 - 6:19DETSmith 5' Running Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Jennings 1 AST)18
59.5%
12
40.5%
Q1 - 6:32DENHickson 1' Putback Dunk (4 PTS)18
61.3%
10
38.7%
Q1 - 6:34DENHickson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)16
59.6%
10
40.4%
Q1 - 6:35DENMISS Chandler 3PT Jump Shot16
58.1%
10
41.9%
Q1 - 6:54DETMonroe Layup (2 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)16
59.6%
10
40.4%
Q1 - 7:00DETPISTONS Rebound16
61.3%
8
38.7%
Q1 - 7:02DETMISS Drummond 1' Layup16
62.0%
8
38.0%
Q1 - 7:02DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)16
60.6%
8
39.4%
Q1 - 7:04DETMISS Smith 6' Hook Shot16
62.0%
8
38.0%
Q1 - 7:15DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)16
60.6%
8
39.4%
Q1 - 7:16DENMISS Foye 26' 3PT Jump Shot16
61.2%
8
38.8%
Q1 - 7:26DENChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)16
62.7%
8
37.3%
Q1 - 7:27DENMISS Faried Free Throw 1 of 116
60.9%
8
39.1%
Q1 - 7:40DETJennings 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)14
59.1%
8
40.9%
Q1 - 7:46DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
60.6%
6
39.4%
Q1 - 7:46DENMISS Lawson 1' Reverse Layup14
61.3%
6
38.7%
Q1 - 8:09DETDrummond Layup (4 PTS)14
62.3%
6
37.7%
Q1 - 8:10DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)14
63.9%
4
36.1%
Q1 - 8:11DETMISS Smith 15' Fadeaway Jumper14
65.2%
4
34.8%
Q1 - 8:39DENChandler 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Lawson 2 AST)14
63.9%
4
36.1%
Q1 - 8:52DETSmith 9' Running Hook Shot (2 PTS)11
60.6%
4
39.4%
Q1 - 9:00DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)11
62.2%
2
37.8%
Q1 - 9:01DENMISS Hickson 17' Jump Shot11
62.4%
2
37.6%
Q1 - 9:14DENLawson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
63.7%
2
36.3%
Q1 - 9:15DETMISS Smith 3PT Jump Shot11
63.2%
2
36.8%
Q1 - 9:28DENFaried Foul Turnover (P1.T1)11
61.9%
2
38.1%
Q1 - 9:36DENNuggets Rebound11
63.7%
2
36.3%
Q1 - 9:37DETMISS Singler 25' 3PT Jump Shot11
63.2%
2
36.8%
Q1 - 10:00DENFoye 27' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Chandler 2 AST)11
61.9%
2
38.1%
Q1 - 10:08DENFaried REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
58.1%
2
41.9%
Q1 - 10:09DETMISS Jennings 20' Jump Shot8
57.6%
2
42.4%
Q1 - 10:19DETPISTONS Rebound8
56.3%
2
43.7%
Q1 - 10:19DETMISS Singler Layup8
57.6%
2
42.4%
Q1 - 10:31DENHickson 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Lawson 1 AST)8
56.3%
2
43.7%
Q1 - 10:47DETDrummond 1' Tip Shot (2 PTS)6
54.8%
2
45.2%
Q1 - 10:48DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
56.3%
0
43.7%
Q1 - 10:49DETMISS Drummond Layup6
57.6%
0
42.4%
Q1 - 11:08DENFoye 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Chandler 1 AST)6
56.0%
0
44.0%
Q1 - 11:18DENHickson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
52.6%
0
47.4%
Q1 - 11:19DETMISS Monroe Layup3
52.1%
0
47.9%
Q1 - 11:40DENChandler 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Foye 1 AST)3
51.1%
0
48.9%
Q1 - 12:00DETJump Ball Drummond vs. Hickson: Tip to Faried0
47.6%
0
52.4%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.07 53.4%
DET
1.17 58.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DEN
15
34
44%
DET
29
48
60%
Midrange
DEN
11
21
52%
DET
13
30
43%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DEN
15
22.5
33
45%
68%
DET
8
12.0
20
40%
60%
Free Throws
DEN
12
22
55%
DET
18
23
78%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Foye2574%12.5 / 17
W. Chandler2071%10.0 / 14
J. Hickson1544%7.5 / 17
E. Fournier1260%6.0 / 10
K. Faried1169%5.5 / 8
T. Lawson638%3.0 / 8
Q. Miller650%3.0 / 6
A. Randolph660%3.0 / 5
D. Arthur440%2.0 / 5
T. Mozgov330%1.5 / 5
J. Hamilton117%0.5 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Jennings3570%17.5 / 25
J. Smith3052%15.0 / 29
R. Stuckey1956%9.5 / 17
A. Drummond1864%9.0 / 14
G. Monroe1470%7.0 / 10
K. Singler1045%5.0 / 11
K. Caldwell-Pope0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DEN
81
+20
-20
101
DET
90
+18
-10
108
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.07 53.4%
DET
1.17 58.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.3
106.2
DEN 107.9
DET 126.0 +18.1
Pace
97.8
94.7
DEN 102.2 +3.4
DET 98.8
Avg. Poss. Time
14.2
15.2
DEN 14.1 +0.5
DET 14.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.7%
48.2%
DEN 55.1%
DET 55.1%
TO %
15.7%
14.7%
DEN 17.0%
DET 8.5% +8.5%
ORB %
27.5%
31.4%
DEN 35.7% +6.8%
DET 28.9%
FTrt
30.6
29.6
DEN 25.0 +1.5
DET 23.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.4%
53.9%
DEN 58.5% +2.5%
DET 56.0%
STL %
7.6%
8.8%
DEN 4.0%
DET 11.0% +7.0%
BLK %
8.6%
8.0%
DEN 6.4%
DET 9.1% +2.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.23 and 2.23.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.2%
50.3%
DEN 53.4%
DET 58.3% +4.9%
Rim FG%
57.6%
57.6%
DEN 44.1%
DET 60.4% +16.3%
Mid FG%
36.2%
35.4%
DEN 52.4% +9.1%
DET 43.3%
3P %
35.8%
32.1%
DEN 45.5% +5.5%
DET 40.0%
FT %
72.6%
67.0%
DEN 54.5%
DET 78.3% +23.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
40.2%
45.0%
DEN 38.6%
DET 49.0% +10.3%
Mid Att. %
32.0%
32.8%
DEN 23.9% +6.7%
DET 30.6%
3P Att. %
27.8%
22.2%
DEN 37.5% +17.1%
DET 20.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.89 and 2.89.
Game TotalsDENDET
Possessions101100
Possession Minutes23.724.3
Points109126
Rebounds4740
Assists2428
Steals411
Blocks55
Turnovers (Team)20 (0)10 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)15 (5)13 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)32 (1)27 (5)
Field Goals41-8850-98
At-the-Rim FG15-3429-48
Midrange FG11-2113-30
2-Point FG26-5542-78
3-Point FG15-338-20
Free Throws12-2218-23
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
C · 6'9" 242 · 25
33.6
15
44%
16
2
0
1
5
2
7
9
1-6
17%
7-14
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 218 · 30
32.9
25
74%
5
3
0
1
3
0
0
5
2-2
100%
4-4
100%
5-12
42%
F · 6'9" 225 · 27
32.8
20
71%
4
5
0
0
1
3
2
2
2-3
67%
0-3
0%
6-10
60%
F · 6'8" 228 · 24
19.5
11
69%
3
1
0
1
2
2
1
2
1-3
33%
5-7
71%
0-0
-
G · 5'11" 195 · 26
19.4
6
38%
3
7
1
0
3
0
0
3
2-2
100%
2-6
33%
0-1
0%
C · 7'1" 275 · 28
21.6
3
30%
1
3
1
2
1
3
0
1
3-4
75%
0-3
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 235 · 26
21.4
4
40%
4
2
0
0
1
3
1
3
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-1
0%
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 21
20.8
12
60%
3
0
0
0
2
3
1
2
0-0
-
3-7
43%
2-3
67%
F · 6'9" 210 · 21
16.1
6
50%
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
3-4
75%
0-2
0%
· 6'10" 225 · 25
11.9
6
60%
3
1
0
0
2
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
0%
2-4
50%
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 23
10.1
1
17%
4
0
1
0
0
0
2
2
1-2
50%
0-2
0%
0-0
-
G · 5'9" 180 · 30
G · 6'3" 200 · 38
#34 · C · 7'0" 270 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#8 · F · 6'10" 225 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
109
53%
47
24
4
5
20
0
15
32
12-22
55%
26-55
47%
15-33
45%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.