FinalWin Prob.pScore
2723%98
81
677%108
103
ORTG#PossPace
UTA logo UTA
93.18781.8
DAL logo DAL
115.78995.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MavericksJazzQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MavericksJazzQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventUTADAL
Q4 - 0:00.0DAL81
0%
103
100%
Q4 - 0:11.0UTARush 10' Jump Bank Shot (5 PTS)81
0%
103
100%
Q4 - 0:27.0DALHarris 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS)79
0%
103
100%
Q4 - 0:47.0UTAGarrett Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T16)79
0%
100
100%
Q4 - 0:55.0UTAGobert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)79
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 0:56.0DALMISS Ellington 9' Running Jump Shot79
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 1:09UTAGobert Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)79
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 1:09UTAGobert Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)78
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 1:10UTAGobert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)77
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 1:11UTAMISS Burke 25' 3PT Jump Shot77
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 1:26UTAGarrett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)77
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 1:27DALMISS Harris 16' Jump Shot77
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 1:46DALJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)77
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 1:48UTAMISS Garrett 20' Step Back Jump Shot77
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 2:07UTAGarrett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)77
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 2:08DALMISS Larkin 14' Pullup Jump Shot77
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 2:25DALHarris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)77
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 2:26UTAMISS Burke 22' Jump Shot77
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 2:46DALEllington 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Larkin 1 AST)77
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 2:58DALJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)77
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 2:59UTAMISS Garrett 7' Driving Jump Shot77
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 3:19UTAGobert REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)77
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 3:20DALMISS Harris 21' Jump Shot77
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 3:35UTABurke Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T15)77
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 3:56DALDalembert 4' Jump Bank Hook Shot (12 PTS)77
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 3:58DALDalembert REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)77
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 3:59DALMISS Harris 6' Driving Jump Shot77
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 4:16DALMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)77
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 4:18UTAEvans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)77
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 4:18UTAMISS Evans 2' Tip Shot77
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 4:20UTAMISS Burke 3PT Jump Shot77
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 4:27UTAEvans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)77
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 4:29DALMISS Dalembert 16' Jump Shot77
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 4:33DALCalderon REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)77
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 4:34DALMISS Calderon 7' Driving Jump Shot77
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 4:54UTABurke 17' Floating Jump Shot (13 PTS)77
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 5:08DALDalembert 2' Layup (10 PTS) (Ellis 4 AST)75
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 5:20UTAEvans Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)75
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 5:25DALMarion Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T9)72
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 5:33DALMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)72
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 5:34UTAMISS Rush 25' 3PT Jump Shot72
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 5:48DALEllis Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)72
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 5:48DALEllis Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)72
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 5:52UTARush 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Burke 4 AST)72
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 6:14DALCalderon 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Carter 4 AST)69
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 6:17DALCarter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)69
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 6:19DALMISS Calderon 3PT Jump Shot69
0.2%
88
99.8%
Q4 - 6:35DALEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)69
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 6:36UTAMISS Burke 3PT Jump Shot69
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 6:55DALEllis 1' Running Finger Roll Layup (20 PTS) (Calderon 7 AST)69
0.2%
88
99.8%
Q4 - 7:00UTACalderon STEAL (2 STL)69
0.2%
86
99.8%
Q4 - 7:24DALCarter 10' Turnaround Fadeaway (9 PTS)69
0.4%
86
99.6%
Q4 - 7:42DALCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)69
0.5%
84
99.5%
Q4 - 7:43UTAMISS Burks Free Throw 2 of 269
0.6%
84
99.4%
Q4 - 7:43UTAMISS Burks Free Throw 1 of 269
0.7%
84
99.3%
Q4 - 7:48UTABurks REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)69
0.7%
84
99.3%
Q4 - 7:49DALMISS Calderon 18' Pullup Jump Shot69
0.7%
84
99.3%
Q4 - 7:59DALCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)69
0.5%
84
99.5%
Q4 - 8:00UTAMISS Hayward 25' 3PT Jump Shot69
0.6%
84
99.4%
Q4 - 8:20UTAKanter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)69
1.0%
84
99.0%
Q4 - 8:21DALMISS Ellis 20' Jump Shot69
0.9%
84
99.1%
Q4 - 8:40UTACarter STEAL (2 STL)69
0.8%
84
99.2%
Q4 - 8:58UTAJazz Rebound69
1.0%
84
99.0%
Q4 - 8:58DALMISS Crowder 25' 3PT Jump Shot69
0.9%
84
99.1%
Q4 - 9:15DALWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)69
1.0%
84
99.0%
Q4 - 9:17UTAMISS Kanter 1' Reverse Layup69
1.1%
84
98.9%
Q4 - 9:32UTABurks REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)69
1.2%
84
98.8%
Q4 - 9:32DALMISS Carter 15' Pullup Jump Shot69
1.2%
84
98.8%
Q4 - 9:53UTAEvans 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Hayward 5 AST)69
1.0%
84
99.0%
Q4 - 10:11DALCrowder Foul Turnover (P1.T8)67
0.9%
84
99.1%
Q4 - 10:25DALCrowder REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)67
0.7%
84
99.3%
Q4 - 10:26UTAMISS Lucas III 17' Floating Jump Shot67
0.8%
84
99.2%
Q4 - 10:51UTABurks REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)67
0.9%
84
99.1%
Q4 - 10:51DALHarris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)67
0.7%
84
99.3%
Q4 - 10:51DALMISS Harris 2' Tip Shot67
0.9%
84
99.1%
Q4 - 10:53DALMISS Crowder 1' Driving Layup67
0.9%
84
99.1%
Q4 - 10:57UTACrowder STEAL (3 STL)67
0.7%
84
99.3%
Q4 - 11:08DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)67
1.1%
84
98.9%
Q4 - 11:08DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)67
1.2%
83
98.8%
Q4 - 11:21DALWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)67
1.4%
82
98.6%
Q4 - 11:21UTAMISS Burks 8' Driving Jump Shot67
1.5%
82
98.5%
Q4 - 11:38UTALucas III REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)67
1.7%
82
98.3%
Q4 - 11:39DALMISS Nowitzki 18' Jump Shot67
1.6%
82
98.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0UTA67
1.4%
82
98.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0UTAJazz Rebound67
1.7%
82
98.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0UTAMISS Burks 34' 3PT Running Jump Shot67
1.5%
82
98.5%
Q3 - 0:02.0DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)67
1.9%
82
98.1%
Q3 - 0:02.0DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)67
2.0%
81
98.0%
Q3 - 0:16.0UTAHayward Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)67
2.4%
80
97.6%
Q3 - 0:16.0UTAMISS Hayward Free Throw 1 of 266
2.3%
80
97.7%
Q3 - 0:33.0DALWright Slam Dunk (8 PTS) (Harris 2 AST)66
2.3%
80
97.7%
Q3 - 0:49.0UTAHayward 19' Jump Shot (7 PTS)66
2.9%
78
97.1%
Q3 - 0:50.0UTAHayward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)64
2.3%
78
97.7%
Q3 - 0:52.0UTAMISS Burks 5' Driving Jump Shot64
2.0%
78
98.0%
Q3 - 1:11DALNowitzki 17' Jump Shot (16 PTS)64
2.6%
78
97.4%
Q3 - 1:33DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)64
3.1%
76
96.9%
Q3 - 1:33UTAMISS Kanter Free Throw 2 of 264
3.2%
76
96.8%
Q3 - 1:33UTAMISS Kanter Free Throw 1 of 264
3.6%
76
96.4%
Q3 - 1:51DALHarris 13' Jump Shot (4 PTS)64
3.8%
76
96.2%
Q3 - 2:03DALMAVERICKS Rebound64
4.8%
74
95.2%
Q3 - 2:05UTAMISS Burke 25' 3PT Jump Shot64
5.1%
74
94.9%
Q3 - 2:27DALWright Alley Oop Dunk (6 PTS) (Carter 3 AST)64
5.8%
74
94.2%
Q3 - 2:39UTAJazz Turnover: Shot Clock (T#11)64
6.8%
72
93.2%
Q3 - 2:39UTAJazz Rebound64
8.2%
72
91.8%
Q3 - 2:39UTAMISS Burke 24' 3PT Jump Shot64
7.2%
72
92.8%
Q3 - 3:04DALCarter Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)64
8.5%
72
91.5%
Q3 - 3:04DALMISS Carter Free Throw 1 of 264
8.8%
71
91.2%
Q3 - 3:21UTAJefferson 23' Jump Shot (10 PTS)64
8.4%
71
91.6%
Q3 - 3:39UTAJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)62
7.2%
71
92.8%
Q3 - 3:40DALMISS Ellis 25' 3PT Jump Shot62
6.8%
71
93.2%
Q3 - 3:59UTAHayward 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Jefferson 4 AST)62
6.0%
71
94.0%
Q3 - 4:15DALWright Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)59
4.7%
71
95.3%
Q3 - 4:15DALWright Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)59
4.9%
70
95.1%
Q3 - 4:35UTAKanter 5' Turnaround Bank Shot (6 PTS) (Burke 3 AST)59
5.3%
69
94.7%
Q3 - 4:43UTAJazz Rebound57
4.6%
69
95.4%
Q3 - 4:44DALMISS Ellis 21' Pullup Jump Shot57
4.4%
69
95.6%
Q3 - 5:00DALEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)57
3.8%
69
96.2%
Q3 - 5:01UTAMISS Favors 13' Jump Shot57
4.3%
69
95.7%
Q3 - 5:10UTAWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)57
4.9%
69
95.1%
Q3 - 5:11DALMISS Ellis 5' Driving Hook Shot57
4.6%
69
95.4%
Q3 - 5:21DALBlair REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)57
4.1%
69
95.9%
Q3 - 5:22UTAMISS Hayward 24' 3PT Jump Shot57
4.3%
69
95.7%
Q3 - 5:44DALMarion 1' Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Ellis 3 AST)57
4.9%
69
95.1%
Q3 - 5:48DALCalderon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)57
5.5%
67
94.5%
Q3 - 5:50UTAMarion BLOCK (1 BLK)57
5.9%
67
94.1%
Q3 - 6:08DALEllis 22' Jump Shot (18 PTS)57
6.8%
67
93.2%
Q3 - 6:27UTABurke 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Jefferson 3 AST)57
7.8%
65
92.2%
Q3 - 6:47DALEllis 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Calderon 6 AST)54
5.9%
65
94.1%
Q3 - 7:20UTAJefferson Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)54
7.9%
62
92.1%
Q3 - 7:45DALDalembert 1' Alley Oop Layup (8 PTS) (Calderon 5 AST)51
6.0%
62
94.0%
Q3 - 8:04DALDalembert REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)51
7.0%
60
93.0%
Q3 - 8:05DALDalembert REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)51
7.0%
60
93.0%
Q3 - 8:05DALMISS Dalembert 2' Tip Shot51
7.8%
60
92.2%
Q3 - 8:06DALMISS Ellis 6' Driving Jump Shot51
7.8%
60
92.2%
Q3 - 8:18DALMAVERICKS Rebound51
7.0%
60
93.0%
Q3 - 8:19DALMISS Calderon 24' 3PT Jump Shot51
7.8%
60
92.2%
Q3 - 8:39UTAFavors Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)51
7.0%
60
93.0%
Q3 - 8:39UTAFavors Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)50
6.7%
60
93.3%
Q3 - 8:58DALDalembert 1' Alley Oop Dunk (6 PTS) (Calderon 4 AST)49
6.2%
60
93.8%
Q3 - 9:05DALMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)49
7.1%
58
92.9%
Q3 - 9:07DALMISS Marion Driving Layup49
7.8%
58
92.2%
Q3 - 9:11DALEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)49
7.1%
58
92.9%
Q3 - 9:12UTAMISS Jefferson 3PT Jump Shot49
7.4%
58
92.6%
Q3 - 9:33DALDalembert 1' Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Ellis 2 AST)49
8.2%
58
91.8%
Q3 - 9:39UTACalderon STEAL (1 STL)49
9.3%
56
90.7%
Q3 - 9:43UTAHayward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)49
10.6%
56
89.4%
Q3 - 9:46DALMISS Ellis 2' Driving Layup49
10.2%
56
89.8%
Q3 - 10:02UTABurke 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)49
9.2%
56
90.8%
Q3 - 10:23DALNowitzki 5' Driving Bank Shot (14 PTS) (Marion 3 AST)46
7.1%
56
92.9%
Q3 - 10:41UTAJefferson 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Hayward 4 AST)46
8.1%
54
91.9%
Q3 - 10:57UTAHayward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)43
6.2%
54
93.8%
Q3 - 10:58DALMISS Ellis 17' Floating Jump Shot43
6.0%
54
94.0%
Q3 - 11:11DALMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)43
5.6%
54
94.4%
Q3 - 11:14UTAMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot43
5.8%
54
94.2%
Q3 - 11:22UTAWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)43
6.4%
54
93.6%
Q3 - 11:23DALMISS Nowitzki 12' Step Back Jump Shot43
6.1%
54
93.9%
Q3 - 11:42DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)43
5.6%
54
94.4%
Q3 - 11:43UTAMISS Hayward 25' 3PT Jump Shot43
5.8%
54
94.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0DAL43
6.4%
54
93.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0UTAHayward Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T9)43
5.6%
54
94.4%
Q2 - 0:15.0DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)43
6.6%
54
93.4%
Q2 - 0:15.0DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)43
6.7%
53
93.3%
Q2 - 0:15.0DALMISS Nowitzki Free Throw Technical43
7.7%
52
92.3%
Q2 - 0:32.0UTABurke 19' Floating Jump Shot (5 PTS)43
7.7%
52
92.3%
Q2 - 0:39.0DALMarion Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)41
6.6%
52
93.4%
Q2 - 0:49.0UTAFavors 13' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Hayward 3 AST)41
6.0%
52
94.0%
Q2 - 1:13UTAJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)39
5.4%
52
94.6%
Q2 - 1:14DALMISS Calderon 21' Floating Jump Shot39
5.2%
52
94.8%
Q2 - 1:39UTAFavors 1' Putback Layup (2 PTS)39
4.9%
52
95.1%
Q2 - 1:42UTAFavors REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)37
4.2%
52
95.8%
Q2 - 1:43UTAMISS Favors 3' Driving Layup37
4.0%
52
96.0%
Q2 - 1:57DALDalembert 3' Hook Bank Shot (2 PTS) (Calderon 3 AST)37
4.2%
52
95.8%
Q2 - 2:11DALMAVERICKS Rebound37
5.0%
50
95.0%
Q2 - 2:12UTAMISS Burke 20' Jump Shot37
5.2%
50
94.8%
Q2 - 2:30DALEllis 23' Jump Shot (13 PTS)37
5.6%
50
94.4%
Q2 - 2:45DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)37
6.3%
48
93.7%
Q2 - 2:47UTAMISS Williams 1' Driving Dunk37
6.6%
48
93.4%
Q2 - 3:05DALMarion Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)37
7.3%
48
92.7%
Q2 - 3:19UTAMarion STEAL (2 STL)37
6.4%
48
93.6%
Q2 - 3:41DALCalderon 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Carter 2 AST)37
7.3%
48
92.7%
Q2 - 3:47DALCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)37
8.9%
45
91.1%
Q2 - 3:48UTAMISS Favors 6' Driving Jump Shot37
9.3%
45
90.7%
Q2 - 4:06UTAFavors REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)37
10.2%
45
89.8%
Q2 - 4:07DALMISS Carter Free Throw 2 of 237
10.0%
45
90.0%
Q2 - 4:07DALCarter Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)37
9.3%
45
90.7%
Q2 - 4:07DALCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)37
10.2%
44
89.8%
Q2 - 4:07UTAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot37
10.5%
44
89.5%
Q2 - 4:21DALEllis Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)37
11.3%
44
88.7%
Q2 - 4:21DALMISS Ellis Free Throw 1 of 237
11.5%
43
88.5%
Q2 - 4:23DALDalembert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)37
11.3%
43
88.7%
Q2 - 4:24DALMISS Carter 26' 3PT Jump Shot37
12.1%
43
87.9%
Q2 - 4:33DALMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)37
11.3%
43
88.7%
Q2 - 4:34UTAMISS Burks 14' Running Jump Shot37
11.6%
43
88.4%
Q2 - 4:58DALCarter 11' Step Back Jump Shot (5 PTS)37
12.5%
43
87.5%
Q2 - 5:18UTAWilliams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Burks 3 AST)37
13.9%
41
86.1%
Q2 - 5:32DALEllis Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)34
11.3%
41
88.7%
Q2 - 5:32DALEllis Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)34
11.5%
40
88.5%
Q2 - 5:40DALDalembert REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
12.6%
39
87.4%
Q2 - 5:41UTAMISS Lucas III 28' 3PT Jump Shot34
12.9%
39
87.1%
Q2 - 6:02DALEllis 14' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Marion 2 AST)34
14.1%
39
85.9%
Q2 - 6:07UTAMarion STEAL (1 STL)34
15.1%
37
84.9%
Q2 - 6:09UTAFavors REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)34
16.9%
37
83.1%
Q2 - 6:10DALMISS Marion 5' Driving Jump Shot34
16.4%
37
83.6%
Q2 - 6:30UTACarter STEAL (1 STL)34
15.2%
37
84.8%
Q2 - 6:56UTAWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)34
16.9%
37
83.1%
Q2 - 6:56DALMISS Nowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot34
16.4%
37
83.6%
Q2 - 7:02DALHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)34
15.2%
37
84.8%
Q2 - 7:03UTAMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot34
15.7%
37
84.3%
Q2 - 7:10UTABurks REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)34
16.8%
37
83.2%
Q2 - 7:11UTAMISS Favors 19' Jump Shot34
15.7%
37
84.3%
Q2 - 7:26DALBlair REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)34
16.8%
37
83.2%
Q2 - 7:26DALBlair Putback Layup (4 PTS)34
16.8%
37
83.2%
Q2 - 7:28DALMISS Harris 4' Driving Jump Shot34
19.4%
35
80.6%
Q2 - 7:44UTALucas III 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Burks 2 AST)34
18.1%
35
81.9%
Q2 - 8:02UTAFavors REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)31
15.2%
35
84.8%
Q2 - 8:03DALMISS Ellis 7' Running Jump Shot31
14.8%
35
85.2%
Q2 - 8:19UTALucas III 19' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)31
13.9%
35
86.1%
Q2 - 8:23UTAWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)29
12.7%
35
87.3%
Q2 - 8:24DALMISS Harris 4' Driving Jump Shot29
12.4%
35
87.6%
Q2 - 8:45DALHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
11.6%
35
88.4%
Q2 - 8:46UTAMISS Rush 24' 3PT Jump Shot29
11.9%
35
88.1%
Q2 - 9:11DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)29
12.7%
35
87.3%
Q2 - 9:11DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)29
12.8%
34
87.2%
Q2 - 9:28UTAWilliams 19' Jump Shot (18 PTS)29
13.8%
33
86.2%
Q2 - 9:36UTABurks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)27
12.7%
33
87.3%
Q2 - 9:37DALMISS Harris 1' Driving Layup27
12.3%
33
87.7%
Q2 - 9:40UTACrowder STEAL (2 STL)27
11.5%
33
88.5%
Q2 - 9:52DALHarris 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Crowder 2 AST)27
12.7%
33
87.3%
Q2 - 10:12UTAWilliams 1' Driving Layup (16 PTS) (Burks 1 AST)27
13.8%
31
86.2%
Q2 - 10:16DALHarris Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)25
12.9%
31
87.1%
Q2 - 10:29DALWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)25
11.6%
31
88.4%
Q2 - 10:30UTAMISS Rush 24' 3PT Jump Shot25
12.0%
31
88.0%
Q2 - 10:50UTARush REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
12.9%
31
87.1%
Q2 - 10:51DALMISS Harris 16' Pullup Jump Shot25
12.5%
31
87.5%
Q2 - 11:08UTAKanter 11' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS) (Lucas III 2 AST)25
11.9%
31
88.1%
Q2 - 11:29DALNowitzki 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Crowder 1 AST)23
10.9%
31
89.1%
Q2 - 11:31UTACrowder STEAL (1 STL)23
12.9%
28
87.1%
Q2 - 11:35DALHarris Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)23
14.1%
28
85.9%
Q2 - 11:37DALHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
12.9%
28
87.1%
Q2 - 11:38UTAMISS Burks 25' 3PT Jump Shot23
13.3%
28
86.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0DAL23
14.1%
28
85.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0DALWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)23
12.9%
28
87.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0DALMISS Wright 5' Driving Hook Shot23
13.7%
28
86.3%
Q1 - 0:15.0UTABurks Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T3)23
13.2%
28
86.8%
Q1 - 0:35.0DALCarter 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)23
14.0%
28
86.0%
Q1 - 0:43.0DALCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)23
16.7%
25
83.3%
Q1 - 0:43.0UTAMISS Burks Free Throw 2 of 223
16.9%
25
83.1%
Q1 - 0:43.0UTAMISS Burks Free Throw 1 of 223
17.8%
25
82.2%
Q1 - 0:49.0UTAJazz Rebound23
17.8%
25
82.2%
Q1 - 0:51.0UTAWright BLOCK (1 BLK)23
17.1%
25
82.9%
Q1 - 1:02UTAEvans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
17.6%
25
82.4%
Q1 - 1:03DALMISS Wright 11' Running Jump Shot23
17.3%
25
82.7%
Q1 - 1:10DALBlair REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
16.7%
25
83.3%
Q1 - 1:12UTAMISS Rush 24' 3PT Jump Shot23
17.0%
25
83.0%
Q1 - 1:26DALBlair Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)23
17.6%
25
82.4%
Q1 - 1:45UTAKanter 8' Turnaround Bank Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Lucas III 1 AST)23
16.7%
25
83.3%
Q1 - 1:56UTABurks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
15.1%
25
84.9%
Q1 - 1:57DALMISS Blair 5' Hook Shot21
14.9%
25
85.1%
Q1 - 2:06DALWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
14.2%
25
85.8%
Q1 - 2:08UTAMISS Rush 3PT Jump Shot21
14.6%
25
85.4%
Q1 - 2:31UTABurks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
15.3%
25
84.7%
Q1 - 2:32DALMISS Blair Free Throw 1 of 121
15.1%
25
84.9%
Q1 - 2:37DALCrowder REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
16.6%
23
83.4%
Q1 - 2:38UTAMISS Burke 13' Running Jump Shot21
17.0%
23
83.0%
Q1 - 3:00DALWright Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Carter 1 AST)21
17.8%
23
82.2%
Q1 - 3:14DALCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
18.9%
21
81.1%
Q1 - 3:15UTAMISS Burks 20' Floating Jump Shot21
19.4%
21
80.6%
Q1 - 3:28UTAEvans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
20.4%
21
79.6%
Q1 - 3:29DALMISS Carter 3' Jump Shot21
20.0%
21
80.0%
Q1 - 3:52UTAFavors Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)21
18.9%
21
81.1%
Q1 - 4:13DALEllis 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS)21
20.1%
21
79.9%
Q1 - 4:27DALBlair REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
21.3%
19
78.7%
Q1 - 4:28UTAMISS Jefferson 3PT Jump Shot21
21.8%
19
78.2%
Q1 - 4:40DALEllis 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (4 PTS)21
23.0%
19
77.0%
Q1 - 4:50DALCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
24.4%
17
75.6%
Q1 - 4:51UTAMISS Burke 25' 3PT Jump Shot21
24.9%
17
75.1%
Q1 - 5:08UTAFavors REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
25.6%
17
74.4%
Q1 - 5:10DALMISS Blair 1' Reverse Layup21
25.1%
17
74.9%
Q1 - 5:19DALEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
24.0%
17
76.0%
Q1 - 5:20UTAWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)21
25.6%
17
74.4%
Q1 - 5:20UTAMISS Williams 1' Tip Shot21
24.5%
17
75.5%
Q1 - 5:21UTAMISS Williams 2' Running Layup21
24.5%
17
75.5%
Q1 - 5:42DALCalderon 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Marion 1 AST)21
25.7%
17
74.3%
Q1 - 5:56UTAWilliams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Burke 2 AST)21
28.8%
14
71.2%
Q1 - 6:05DALCalderon Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)18
24.9%
14
75.1%
Q1 - 6:23UTABurke 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Hayward 2 AST)18
23.4%
14
76.6%
Q1 - 6:37DALEllis 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Calderon 2 AST)15
20.8%
14
79.2%
Q1 - 6:57UTAJefferson 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Favors 1 AST)15
22.0%
12
78.0%
Q1 - 7:14DALMarion 1' Running Dunk (4 PTS) (Calderon 1 AST)13
20.5%
12
79.5%
Q1 - 7:35UTAWilliams 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Jefferson 2 AST)13
21.5%
10
78.5%
Q1 - 7:54UTAFavors REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
19.3%
10
80.7%
Q1 - 7:55DALMISS Ellis 25' 3PT Jump Shot10
18.9%
10
81.1%
Q1 - 8:02DALCalderon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
17.8%
10
82.2%
Q1 - 8:03UTAMISS Hayward 25' 3PT Jump Shot10
18.1%
10
81.9%
Q1 - 8:29DALNowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Ellis 1 AST)10
19.0%
10
81.0%
Q1 - 8:41DALDalembert REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
21.2%
7
78.8%
Q1 - 8:42UTAMISS Burke 19' Jump Shot10
21.7%
7
78.3%
Q1 - 8:52UTABurke REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
22.6%
7
77.4%
Q1 - 8:53DALMISS Nowitzki 5' Fadeaway Jumper10
22.2%
7
77.8%
Q1 - 9:09UTAHayward 2' Running Layup (2 PTS) (Jefferson 1 AST)10
21.0%
7
79.0%
Q1 - 9:13DALEllis Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)8
20.0%
7
80.0%
Q1 - 9:24UTAEllis STEAL (1 STL)8
18.7%
7
81.3%
Q1 - 9:46DALNowitzki 13' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)8
20.0%
7
80.0%
Q1 - 10:06UTAWilliams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Burke 1 AST)8
20.8%
5
79.2%
Q1 - 10:30DALCalderon 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)5
18.7%
5
81.3%
Q1 - 10:33DALCalderon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)5
20.8%
2
79.2%
Q1 - 10:34DALMISS Calderon 24' 3PT Jump Shot5
21.7%
2
78.3%
Q1 - 10:53UTAWilliams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Hayward 1 AST)5
20.8%
2
79.2%
Q1 - 11:01UTAJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
18.3%
2
81.7%
Q1 - 11:02DALMISS Calderon 12' Jump Shot2
18.1%
2
81.9%
Q1 - 11:22UTAWilliams 20' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
17.5%
2
82.5%
Q1 - 11:39DALMarion 9' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Nowitzki 1 AST)0
16.5%
2
83.5%
Q1 - 12:00DALJump Ball Dalembert vs. Favors: Tip to Nowitzki0
17.5%
0
82.5%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

UTA
0.96 48.2%
DAL
1.10 54.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
UTA
7
16
44%
DAL
17
32
53%
Midrange
UTA
12
25
48%
DAL
11
31
35%
3PT | Effective 3PT
UTA
12
18.0
35
34%
51%
DAL
10
15.0
18
56%
83%
Free Throws
UTA
7
14
50%
DAL
17
22
77%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
UTA logo Jazz
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Williams2170%10.5 / 15
T. Burke1343%6.5 / 15
R. Jefferson1083%5.0 / 6
G. Hayward850%4.0 / 8
D. Favors643%3.0 / 7
E. Kanter660%3.0 / 5
J. Evans583%2.5 / 3
J. Lucas III563%2.5 / 4
B. Rush536%2.5 / 7
R. Gobert2100%1.0 / 1
A. Burks0-0.0 / 9
D. Garrett0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Ellis2255%11.0 / 20
D. Nowitzki2083%10.0 / 12
J. Calderon1255%6.0 / 11
S. Dalembert1275%6.0 / 8
V. Carter956%4.5 / 8
B. Wright867%4.0 / 6
D. Harris732%3.5 / 11
S. Marion660%3.0 / 5
D. Blair450%2.0 / 4
W. Ellington375%1.5 / 2
J. Crowder0-0.0 / 2
S. Larkin0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

UTA
72
+9
-15
81
DAL
80
+12
-9
92
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

UTA
0.96 48.2%
DAL
1.10 54.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
103.5
110.7
UTA 93.1 +22.6
DAL 115.7
Pace
91.3
94.1
UTA 81.8
DAL 95.0 +13.2
Avg. Poss. Time
16.1
15.7
UTA 17.6
DAL 15.2 +2.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.4%
52.6%
UTA 48.7%
DAL 53.1% +4.4%
TO %
15.2%
13.9%
UTA 16.3%
DAL 9.0% +7.3%
ORB %
25.6%
24.7%
UTA 14.0%
DAL 26.2% +12.2%
FTrt
27.1
25.3
UTA 18.4
DAL 27.2 +8.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
56.4%
59.6%
UTA 71.0% +7.8%
DAL 63.2%
STL %
7.6%
9.1%
UTA 8.0%
DAL 11.2% +3.2%
BLK %
7.3%
7.4%
UTA 6.3% +1.4%
DAL 4.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.0%
55.0%
UTA 48.2%
DAL 54.8% +6.6%
Rim FG%
58.2%
60.9%
UTA 43.8%
DAL 53.1% +9.3%
Mid FG%
37.8%
42.4%
UTA 48.0% +12.5%
DAL 35.5%
3P %
34.4%
38.4%
UTA 34.3%
DAL 55.6% +21.3%
FT %
74.7%
79.5%
UTA 50.0%
DAL 77.3% +27.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.2%
32.8%
UTA 21.1%
DAL 39.5% +18.5%
Mid Att. %
40.0%
39.9%
UTA 32.9% +5.4%
DAL 38.3%
3P Att. %
23.7%
27.4%
UTA 46.1% +23.8%
DAL 22.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsUTADAL
Possessions8789
Possession Minutes25.522.5
Points81103
Rebounds3748
Assists2224
Steals710
Blocks42
Turnovers (Team)15 (1)9 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)6 (3)11 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)31 (2)37 (2)
Field Goals31-7638-81
At-the-Rim FG7-1617-32
Midrange FG12-2511-31
2-Point FG19-4128-63
3-Point FG12-3510-18
Free Throws7-1417-22
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'1" 191 · 21
33.6
13
43%
1
5
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-6
33%
3-9
33%
G · 6'8" 226 · 24
30.3
8
50%
3
5
2
0
2
2
1
2
1-2
50%
2-2
100%
1-5
20%
F · 6'9" 237 · 28
28.4
21
70%
5
2
0
0
0
3
1
4
0-0
-
3-7
43%
5-8
63%
F · 6'7" 233 · 34
26.7
10
83%
3
4
1
0
2
1
0
3
1-1
100%
3-3
100%
1-3
33%
C · 6'10" 265 · 23
26.3
6
43%
6
1
0
3
4
3
1
5
2-2
100%
2-6
33%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 214 · 23
19.8
0
0%
7
3
2
0
4
2
1
6
0-4
0%
0-5
0%
0-2
0%
F · 6'9" 200 · 26
19.6
5
83%
4
0
1
0
0
2
1
3
1-1
100%
2-3
67%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 245 · 22
15.1
6
60%
1
0
0
0
0
4
0
1
0-2
0%
3-4
75%
0-0
-
G · 5'11" 166 · 31
14.4
5
63%
1
2
1
0
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
1-2
50%
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 29
13.8
5
36%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
1-6
17%
C · 7'1" 258 · 22
6.3
2
100%
3
0
0
1
0
0
1
2
2-2
100%
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 190 · 25
5.8
0
0%
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 250 · 28
#22 · F · 6'9" 225 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#21 · G · 6'3" 175 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
81
48%
37
22
7
4
15
0
6
31
7-14
50%
19-41
46%
12-35
34%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.