FinalWin Prob.pScore
2523%102
103
577%112
107
ORTG#PossPace
SAC logo SAC
115.78988.0
DAL logo DAL
123.08788.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MavericksKingsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MavericksKingsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSACDAL
Q4 - 0:00.0SAC103
0%
107
100%
Q4 - 0:04.0DALEllis Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)103
0.4%
107
99.6%
Q4 - 0:04.0DALEllis Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)103
0.6%
106
99.4%
Q4 - 0:05.0SACThornton 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Gay 6 AST)103
2.5%
105
97.5%
Q4 - 0:12.0DALEllis Free Throw 1 of 1 (18 PTS)100
0.8%
105
99.2%
Q4 - 0:23.0SACGay 4' Driving Jump Shot (35 PTS)100
5.3%
102
94.7%
Q4 - 0:32.0SACThornton REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)98
3.2%
102
96.8%
Q4 - 0:33.0SACMISS Thomas 3PT Jump Shot98
1.6%
102
98.4%
Q4 - 0:50.0DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (34 PTS)98
4.9%
102
95.1%
Q4 - 0:50.0DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (33 PTS)98
5.2%
101
94.8%
Q4 - 1:03SACThompson 7' Turnaround Hook Shot (8 PTS) (Thornton 1 AST)98
9.7%
100
90.3%
Q4 - 1:19SACAcy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)96
7.0%
100
93.0%
Q4 - 1:20DALMISS Calderon 25' 3PT Jump Shot96
5.9%
100
94.1%
Q4 - 1:41DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)96
4.9%
100
95.1%
Q4 - 1:42SACMISS Thomas 14' Pullup Jump Shot96
5.9%
100
94.1%
Q4 - 2:01DALNowitzki 20' Jump Shot (32 PTS)96
9.5%
100
90.5%
Q4 - 2:20SACGay Free Throw 2 of 2 (33 PTS)96
13.2%
98
86.8%
Q4 - 2:20SACGay Free Throw 1 of 2 (32 PTS)95
12.4%
98
87.6%
Q4 - 2:37DALEllis 15' Floating Jump Shot (15 PTS)94
9.9%
98
90.1%
Q4 - 2:53SACNowitzki STEAL (2 STL)94
14.0%
96
86.0%
Q4 - 3:05DALWright 5' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Calderon 7 AST)94
22.0%
96
78.0%
Q4 - 3:19SACThomas 4' Driving Jump Shot (19 PTS)94
28.3%
94
71.7%
Q4 - 3:32DALEllis Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)92
22.2%
94
77.8%
Q4 - 3:32DALEllis Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)92
23.4%
93
76.6%
Q4 - 3:52SACGay REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)92
28.4%
92
71.6%
Q4 - 3:52SACGay 1' Tip Shot (31 PTS)92
28.4%
92
71.6%
Q4 - 3:53SACMISS Thornton 2' Putback Layup90
17.4%
92
82.6%
Q4 - 3:56SACThornton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)90
21.9%
92
78.1%
Q4 - 3:58SACEllis BLOCK (1 BLK)90
17.4%
92
82.6%
Q4 - 4:18SACAcy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)90
21.8%
92
78.2%
Q4 - 4:20DALMISS Carter 3PT Jump Shot90
19.7%
92
80.3%
Q4 - 4:39SACGay Free Throw 2 of 2 (29 PTS)90
15.4%
92
84.6%
Q4 - 4:39SACGay Free Throw 1 of 2 (28 PTS)89
14.6%
92
85.4%
Q4 - 4:56DALCalderon 24' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS)88
11.3%
92
88.7%
Q4 - 5:06DALWright REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)88
21.5%
89
78.5%
Q4 - 5:07SACMISS Gay 13' Pullup Jump Shot88
23.4%
89
76.6%
Q4 - 5:19SACGay REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)88
28.3%
89
71.7%
Q4 - 5:21DALMISS Wright 2' Jump Shot88
26.1%
89
73.9%
Q4 - 5:41DALWright REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)88
21.5%
89
78.5%
Q4 - 5:42DALMISS Ellis 6' Floating Jump Shot88
26.1%
89
73.9%
Q4 - 5:59DALWright REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)88
21.5%
89
78.5%
Q4 - 6:00SACMISS Thomas 3PT Jump Shot88
23.5%
89
76.5%
Q4 - 6:13SACGay REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)88
27.5%
89
72.5%
Q4 - 6:14DALMISS Nowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot88
25.5%
89
74.5%
Q4 - 6:31DALCrowder REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)88
21.3%
89
78.7%
Q4 - 6:32SACMISS Gay Free Throw 2 of 288
22.0%
89
78.0%
Q4 - 6:32SACGay Free Throw 1 of 2 (27 PTS)88
25.9%
89
74.1%
Q4 - 6:39SACKings Rebound87
21.9%
89
78.1%
Q4 - 6:40SACMISS McLemore 24' 3PT Jump Shot87
18.1%
89
81.9%
Q4 - 6:54DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (30 PTS)87
21.9%
89
78.1%
Q4 - 6:54DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (29 PTS)87
22.4%
88
77.6%
Q4 - 6:54DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)87
26.8%
87
73.2%
Q4 - 6:54SACMISS Acy 4' Jump Shot87
28.9%
87
71.1%
Q4 - 7:04SACMcLemore REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)87
32.6%
87
67.4%
Q4 - 7:05SACMISS Thomas 21' Jump Shot87
28.1%
87
71.9%
Q4 - 7:11SACAcy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)87
32.6%
87
67.4%
Q4 - 7:13DALMISS Ellis 8' Driving Jump Shot87
30.6%
87
69.4%
Q4 - 7:26DALEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)87
26.3%
87
73.7%
Q4 - 7:28SACMISS Gay 19' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot87
28.1%
87
71.9%
Q4 - 7:46DALEllis Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)87
32.7%
87
67.3%
Q4 - 7:46DALEllis Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)87
33.9%
86
66.1%
Q4 - 7:53SACCalderon STEAL (1 STL)87
38.5%
85
61.5%
Q4 - 8:15DALNowitzki 24' 3PT Jump Shot (28 PTS) (Calderon 6 AST)87
43.8%
85
56.2%
Q4 - 8:20DALWright REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)87
56.7%
82
43.3%
Q4 - 8:21DALMISS Ellis 25' 3PT Jump Shot87
61.0%
82
39.0%
Q4 - 8:43SACThomas Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T13)87
56.8%
82
43.2%
Q4 - 8:52SACWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)87
63.0%
82
37.0%
Q4 - 8:53SACMISS Thomas 24' 3PT Jump Shot87
58.7%
82
41.3%
Q4 - 9:13DALWright Alley Oop Dunk (8 PTS) (Nowitzki 2 AST)87
59.9%
82
40.1%
Q4 - 9:24DALWright REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)87
65.6%
80
34.4%
Q4 - 9:26DALMISS Nowitzki 13' Step Back Jump Shot87
69.2%
80
30.8%
Q4 - 9:50SACMcLemore REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)87
65.7%
80
34.3%
Q4 - 9:50SACMcLemore 1' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)87
65.7%
80
34.3%
Q4 - 9:52SACMISS Williams 16' Jump Shot85
56.0%
80
44.0%
Q4 - 10:08SACWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)85
57.2%
80
42.8%
Q4 - 10:09DALMISS Nowitzki 18' Jump Shot85
55.5%
80
44.5%
Q4 - 10:27SACAcy Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)85
51.6%
80
48.4%
Q4 - 10:27SACAcy Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)84
50.3%
80
49.7%
Q4 - 10:41SACThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)83
46.1%
80
53.9%
Q4 - 10:43DALMISS Harris 6' Jump Shot83
44.4%
80
55.6%
Q4 - 10:53SACWright STEAL (1 STL)83
40.5%
80
59.5%
Q4 - 11:09SACAcy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)83
44.9%
80
55.1%
Q4 - 11:10DALMISS Wright Free Throw 1 of 183
44.2%
80
55.8%
Q4 - 11:29SACWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)83
50.2%
78
49.8%
Q4 - 11:29SACWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)82
48.8%
78
51.2%
Q4 - 11:49DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 1 (25 PTS)81
44.9%
78
55.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0SAC81
55.6%
75
44.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0SACKings Rebound81
60.9%
75
39.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0SACMISS Gay 23' Jump Shot81
57.2%
75
42.8%
Q3 - 0:05.0SACWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)81
58.6%
75
41.4%
Q3 - 0:06.0DALMISS Ellis Free Throw 2 of 281
57.9%
75
42.1%
Q3 - 0:06.0DALEllis Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)81
54.5%
75
45.5%
Q3 - 0:17.0SACNowitzki STEAL (1 STL)81
58.9%
74
41.1%
Q3 - 0:32.0DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)81
63.6%
74
36.4%
Q3 - 0:32.0DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)81
64.0%
73
36.0%
Q3 - 0:42.0DALWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)81
68.4%
72
31.6%
Q3 - 0:43.0DALMISS Nowitzki 24' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot81
71.3%
72
28.7%
Q3 - 0:50.0DALCarter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)81
68.4%
72
31.6%
Q3 - 0:51.0SACMISS Williams 16' Jump Shot81
69.7%
72
30.3%
Q3 - 1:11DALWright 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (4 PTS) (Ellis 3 AST)81
70.0%
72
30.0%
Q3 - 1:32SACThomas 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS)81
74.2%
70
25.8%
Q3 - 1:50SACAcy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)78
65.9%
70
34.1%
Q3 - 1:50DALMISS Blair Layup78
64.6%
70
35.4%
Q3 - 2:11DALCrowder REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)78
58.5%
70
41.5%
Q3 - 2:12SACMISS Gay 26' 3PT Jump Shot78
59.9%
70
40.1%
Q3 - 2:39DALEllis 1' Running Dunk (8 PTS)78
63.3%
70
36.7%
Q3 - 2:42SACEllis STEAL (3 STL)78
67.4%
68
32.6%
Q3 - 2:54DALBlair Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)78
71.5%
68
28.5%
Q3 - 2:54DALBlair Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)78
72.7%
67
27.3%
Q3 - 3:01DALBlair REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)78
72.5%
66
27.5%
Q3 - 3:03SACMISS Gay 23' Jump Shot78
73.7%
66
26.3%
Q3 - 3:27DALBlair 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Harris 4 AST)78
76.3%
66
23.7%
Q3 - 3:44SACGay 1' Driving Reverse Layup (26 PTS)78
79.2%
64
20.8%
Q3 - 4:05DALEllis 21' Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS)76
74.6%
64
25.4%
Q3 - 4:24SACGray 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Gay 5 AST)76
77.1%
62
22.9%
Q3 - 4:34DALBlair Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)74
74.7%
62
25.3%
Q3 - 4:34DALMISS Blair Free Throw 1 of 274
75.7%
61
24.3%
Q3 - 4:51SACThomas 17' Floating Jump Shot (14 PTS)74
74.0%
61
26.0%
Q3 - 5:12SACGay REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)72
69.2%
61
30.8%
Q3 - 5:13DALMISS Carter 4' Hook Shot72
68.0%
61
32.0%
Q3 - 5:15DALCarter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)72
65.1%
61
34.9%
Q3 - 5:16DALMISS Harris 25' 3PT Jump Shot72
68.0%
61
32.0%
Q3 - 5:30SACGay 22' Jump Shot (24 PTS)72
65.1%
61
34.9%
Q3 - 5:42SACGay REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)70
61.9%
61
38.1%
Q3 - 5:43DALMISS Calderon 3PT Jump Shot70
60.5%
61
39.5%
Q3 - 5:59SACThompson 17' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS) (Thomas 6 AST)70
57.3%
61
42.7%
Q3 - 6:15SACThompson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)68
51.7%
61
48.3%
Q3 - 6:16DALMISS Crowder 25' 3PT Jump Shot68
50.3%
61
49.7%
Q3 - 6:20DALBlair REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)68
47.3%
61
52.7%
Q3 - 6:22DALMISS Nowitzki 17' Jump Shot68
50.4%
61
49.6%
Q3 - 6:43SACCrowder STEAL (2 STL)68
47.4%
61
52.6%
Q3 - 6:45SACGay REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)68
51.8%
61
48.2%
Q3 - 6:46SACMISS Thomas 24' 3PT Jump Shot68
48.7%
61
51.3%
Q3 - 7:02DALCalderon 1' Driving Layup (11 PTS) (Nowitzki 1 AST)68
49.9%
61
50.1%
Q3 - 7:12SACGay Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)68
53.5%
59
46.5%
Q3 - 7:12SACGay Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)67
52.9%
59
47.1%
Q3 - 7:24DALNowitzki 21' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Calderon 5 AST)66
50.0%
59
50.0%
Q3 - 7:40SACThomas 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (12 PTS)66
53.6%
57
46.4%
Q3 - 7:56DALCalderon Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)63
46.2%
57
53.8%
Q3 - 7:56DALMISS Calderon Free Throw 1 of 263
46.6%
56
53.4%
Q3 - 8:06SACThomas 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Gay 4 AST)63
44.7%
56
55.3%
Q3 - 8:14SACGay REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)60
38.0%
56
62.0%
Q3 - 8:16SACMISS Thornton 23' Jump Shot60
35.2%
56
64.8%
Q3 - 8:32SACKings Rebound60
38.0%
56
62.0%
Q3 - 8:32DALMISS Crowder 25' 3PT Jump Shot60
36.7%
56
63.3%
Q3 - 8:57SACGay Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)60
34.0%
56
66.0%
Q3 - 8:57SACGay Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)59
33.5%
56
66.5%
Q3 - 9:03SACGay REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)58
30.1%
56
69.9%
Q3 - 9:04DALMISS Nowitzki 14' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot58
29.2%
56
70.8%
Q3 - 9:19SACThompson 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Thomas 5 AST)58
27.1%
56
72.9%
Q3 - 9:32DALCalderon 2' Driving Layup (8 PTS)56
24.4%
56
75.6%
Q3 - 9:40DALDalembert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)56
27.1%
54
72.9%
Q3 - 9:41SACMISS Thomas 25' 3PT Jump Shot56
28.0%
54
72.0%
Q3 - 9:58SACThompson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)56
30.3%
54
69.7%
Q3 - 9:59DALMISS Crowder 24' 3PT Jump Shot56
29.3%
54
70.7%
Q3 - 10:19SACThompson 8' Jump Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Gay 3 AST)56
26.3%
54
73.7%
Q3 - 10:28SACGay REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)54
23.6%
54
76.4%
Q3 - 10:29DALMISS Calderon 22' Pullup Jump Shot54
22.9%
54
77.1%
Q3 - 10:47SACThornton 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Gray 2 AST)54
21.2%
54
78.8%
Q3 - 11:02DALJump Ball Crowder vs. Gray: Tip to Thompson51
16.6%
54
83.4%
Q3 - 11:02DALMISS Crowder 4' Jump Shot51
16.0%
54
84.0%
Q3 - 11:10DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)51
14.7%
54
85.3%
Q3 - 11:11SACMISS Gay 18' Pullup Jump Shot51
15.3%
54
84.7%
Q3 - 11:25SACGay REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)51
16.6%
54
83.4%
Q3 - 11:26DALMISS Nowitzki 18' Jump Shot51
16.0%
54
84.0%
Q3 - 11:46SACThomas 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Gay 2 AST)51
14.7%
54
85.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0DAL49
13.1%
54
86.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0DALWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)49
11.6%
54
88.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0SACMISS Thomas 12' Running Jump Shot49
12.0%
54
88.0%
Q2 - 0:15.0SACKings Rebound49
13.1%
54
86.9%
Q2 - 0:16.0SACMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot49
12.4%
54
87.6%
Q2 - 0:38.0DALEllis 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS)49
13.1%
54
86.9%
Q2 - 0:49.0SACThomas 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Gay 1 AST)49
15.1%
52
84.9%
Q2 - 0:52.0DALNowitzki Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)47
13.1%
52
86.9%
Q2 - 1:07DALCrowder REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)47
12.3%
52
87.7%
Q2 - 1:08SACMISS Gay Free Throw 2 of 247
12.4%
52
87.6%
Q2 - 1:08SACGay Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)47
13.5%
52
86.5%
Q2 - 1:30DALCalderon Running Layup (6 PTS)46
11.8%
52
88.2%
Q2 - 1:41SACThornton 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Thomas 4 AST)46
13.8%
50
86.2%
Q2 - 2:02DALEllis Driving Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS)43
10.9%
50
89.1%
Q2 - 2:21SACGay Free Throw 1 of 1 (17 PTS)43
12.1%
48
87.9%
Q2 - 2:38SACWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)40
9.7%
48
90.3%
Q2 - 2:39DALMISS Calderon 25' 3PT Jump Shot40
9.4%
48
90.6%
Q2 - 2:58SACWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)40
8.7%
48
91.3%
Q2 - 2:58SACMISS Williams Free Throw 1 of 239
8.4%
48
91.6%
Q2 - 3:03SACWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)39
8.8%
48
91.2%
Q2 - 3:04DALMISS Dalembert 11' Fadeaway Jumper39
8.5%
48
91.5%
Q2 - 3:24SACGay Dunk (14 PTS) (Gray 1 AST)39
7.7%
48
92.3%
Q2 - 3:40DALNowitzki 17' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Calderon 4 AST)37
7.1%
48
92.9%
Q2 - 3:57DALCrowder REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)37
7.7%
46
92.3%
Q2 - 3:58SACMISS Thomas 14' Jump Shot37
8.1%
46
91.9%
Q2 - 4:15DALDalembert 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Calderon 3 AST)37
8.9%
46
91.1%
Q2 - 4:36SACGray 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Thomas 3 AST)37
9.8%
44
90.2%
Q2 - 4:55SACGray REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)35
8.9%
44
91.1%
Q2 - 4:55SACMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot35
8.2%
44
91.8%
Q2 - 5:07SACGay REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
9.0%
44
91.0%
Q2 - 5:08DALMISS Calderon 25' 3PT Jump Shot35
8.7%
44
91.3%
Q2 - 5:25SACWilliams 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)35
8.1%
44
91.9%
Q2 - 5:43DALCarter Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Ellis 2 AST)33
7.3%
44
92.7%
Q2 - 6:04SACGay Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)33
8.2%
42
91.8%
Q2 - 6:04SACGay Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)32
8.1%
42
91.9%
Q2 - 6:20DALDalembert 1' Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Harris 3 AST)31
7.6%
42
92.4%
Q2 - 6:27DALHarris REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)31
8.2%
40
91.8%
Q2 - 6:29DALMISS Harris 10' Jump Shot31
8.9%
40
91.1%
Q2 - 6:39DALDalembert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)31
8.2%
40
91.8%
Q2 - 6:40SACMISS Thornton 18' Jump Shot31
8.5%
40
91.5%
Q2 - 6:52SACGray REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
9.2%
40
90.8%
Q2 - 6:55DALMISS Crowder 1' Driving Layup31
8.9%
40
91.1%
Q2 - 6:59SACCrowder STEAL (1 STL)31
8.2%
40
91.8%
Q2 - 7:18DALHarris Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)31
9.3%
40
90.7%
Q2 - 7:18DALEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)31
11.2%
37
88.8%
Q2 - 7:21SACMISS Fredette 25' 3PT Jump Shot31
11.5%
37
88.5%
Q2 - 7:45DALHarris 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS)31
12.4%
37
87.6%
Q2 - 8:07SACFredette 16' Jump Shot (7 PTS)31
13.5%
35
86.5%
Q2 - 8:21DALNowitzki 2' Driving Layup (16 PTS)29
12.4%
35
87.6%
Q2 - 8:39SACFredette Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)29
13.5%
33
86.5%
Q2 - 8:55DALNowitzki 16' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Crowder 2 AST)29
14.8%
33
85.2%
Q2 - 9:10SACFredette 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (5 PTS)29
15.8%
31
84.2%
Q2 - 9:22DALNowitzki 19' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Harris 2 AST)26
13.4%
31
86.6%
Q2 - 9:42SACAcy 1' Dunk (6 PTS) (Fredette 2 AST)26
14.6%
29
85.4%
Q2 - 9:57DALHarris Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)24
13.4%
29
86.6%
Q2 - 9:57DALHarris Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)24
13.7%
28
86.3%
Q2 - 10:08SACFredette Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Landry 2 AST)24
14.6%
27
85.4%
Q2 - 10:26DALWright Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)22
13.6%
27
86.4%
Q2 - 10:26DALMISS Wright Free Throw 1 of 222
13.9%
26
86.1%
Q2 - 10:41SACLandry 1' Dunk (4 PTS) (Fredette 1 AST)22
13.4%
26
86.6%
Q2 - 10:51DALNowitzki 9' Fadeaway Jumper (10 PTS) (Harris 1 AST)20
12.5%
26
87.5%
Q2 - 11:15DALCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
13.6%
24
86.4%
Q2 - 11:16SACMISS Williams 15' Fadeaway Jumper20
14.0%
24
86.0%
Q2 - 11:28DALCarter Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)20
14.9%
24
85.1%
Q2 - 11:41SACThompson Foul Turnover (P1.T6)20
13.6%
24
86.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0DAL20
14.9%
24
85.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0DALMAVERICKS Rebound20
13.6%
24
86.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0DALMISS Harris 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot20
14.5%
24
85.5%
Q1 - 0:03.0SACKings Turnover: Shot Clock (T#5)20
13.9%
24
86.1%
Q1 - 0:03.0SACKings Rebound20
14.7%
24
85.3%
Q1 - 0:04.0SACMISS McLemore 24' 3PT Jump Shot20
14.1%
24
85.9%
Q1 - 0:27.0SACKings Rebound20
14.7%
24
85.3%
Q1 - 0:27.0DALMISS Harris 24' 3PT Jump Shot20
14.5%
24
85.5%
Q1 - 0:48.0DALWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)20
13.9%
24
86.1%
Q1 - 0:49.0SACMISS Thomas 25' 3PT Jump Shot20
14.1%
24
85.9%
Q1 - 0:58.0SACWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
14.7%
24
85.3%
Q1 - 0:59.0DALMISS Blair 5' Jump Shot20
14.5%
24
85.5%
Q1 - 1:01DALBlair REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)20
13.8%
24
86.2%
Q1 - 1:03DALMISS Carter 2' Driving Layup20
14.4%
24
85.6%
Q1 - 1:24SACThomas 5' Driving Jump Shot (2 PTS)20
13.8%
24
86.2%
Q1 - 1:38DALCarter 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS)18
12.5%
24
87.5%
Q1 - 1:59SACLandry 1' Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)18
13.9%
22
86.1%
Q1 - 2:06SACWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
12.7%
22
87.3%
Q1 - 2:07DALMISS Larkin 24' 3PT Jump Shot16
12.4%
22
87.6%
Q1 - 2:15DALHarris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)16
11.8%
22
88.2%
Q1 - 2:16DALMISS Wright 13' Driving Jump Shot16
12.4%
22
87.6%
Q1 - 2:24DALWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
11.8%
22
88.2%
Q1 - 2:25SACMISS Thomas 13' Step Back Jump Shot16
12.1%
22
87.9%
Q1 - 2:47SACLandry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
12.7%
22
87.3%
Q1 - 2:48DALMISS Blair 6' Jump Shot16
12.4%
22
87.6%
Q1 - 3:03SACMcLemore 17' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)16
11.6%
22
88.4%
Q1 - 3:11DALCalderon 18' Floating Jump Shot (4 PTS)14
10.8%
22
89.2%
Q1 - 3:28SACAcy Foul Turnover (P1.T4)14
11.7%
20
88.3%
Q1 - 3:49DALWright Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)14
12.7%
20
87.3%
Q1 - 3:49DALMISS Wright Free Throw 1 of 214
13.0%
19
87.0%
Q1 - 4:11SACAcy 1' Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Landry 1 AST)14
12.5%
19
87.5%
Q1 - 4:32DALCalderon 1' Running Layup (2 PTS) (Ellis 1 AST)12
11.7%
19
88.3%
Q1 - 4:36SACEllis STEAL (2 STL)12
12.5%
17
87.5%
Q1 - 4:50DALBlair Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)12
13.6%
17
86.4%
Q1 - 4:50DALMISS Blair Free Throw 1 of 212
13.9%
16
86.1%
Q1 - 4:56DALWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
13.4%
16
86.6%
Q1 - 4:57SACMISS Thomas 24' 3PT Jump Shot12
13.8%
16
86.2%
Q1 - 5:12SACAcy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
14.7%
16
85.3%
Q1 - 5:14DALMISS Carter 24' 3PT Jump Shot12
14.4%
16
85.6%
Q1 - 5:29SACAcy 2' Slam Dunk (2 PTS)12
13.6%
16
86.4%
Q1 - 5:42DALBlair Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)10
12.7%
16
87.3%
Q1 - 5:42SACEllis STEAL (1 STL)10
11.8%
16
88.2%
Q1 - 5:44DALCrowder REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
12.7%
16
87.3%
Q1 - 5:44DALCrowder 1' Putback Layup (6 PTS)10
12.7%
16
87.3%
Q1 - 5:46DALMISS Blair Driving Layup10
14.4%
14
85.6%
Q1 - 5:52SACBlair STEAL (1 STL)10
13.6%
14
86.4%
Q1 - 6:10DALNowitzki 10' Step Back Jump Shot (8 PTS)10
14.6%
14
85.4%
Q1 - 6:25SACGay 8' Jump Shot (10 PTS)10
15.5%
12
84.5%
Q1 - 6:43DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)8
14.6%
12
85.4%
Q1 - 6:43DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)8
14.7%
11
85.3%
Q1 - 6:58SACGay 14' Step Back Jump Shot (8 PTS)8
15.5%
10
84.5%
Q1 - 7:08SACGay REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
14.5%
10
85.5%
Q1 - 7:09DALMISS Calderon 25' 3PT Jump Shot6
14.2%
10
85.8%
Q1 - 7:19DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
13.5%
10
86.5%
Q1 - 7:20SACMISS Thompson 4' Jump Shot6
13.8%
10
86.2%
Q1 - 7:40DALCrowder 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Calderon 2 AST)6
14.5%
10
85.5%
Q1 - 7:45DALCalderon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
15.3%
8
84.7%
Q1 - 7:46SACMISS Thornton Driving Layup6
15.7%
8
84.3%
Q1 - 7:54DALCalderon Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)6
16.5%
8
83.5%
Q1 - 8:06DALEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
15.2%
8
84.8%
Q1 - 8:07DALMISS Ellis 2' Driving Layup6
15.9%
8
84.1%
Q1 - 8:16DALDalembert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
15.2%
8
84.8%
Q1 - 8:17DALMISS Calderon 1' Layup6
15.9%
8
84.1%
Q1 - 8:25SACGay Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)6
15.2%
8
84.8%
Q1 - 8:25SACGay Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)5
15.1%
8
84.9%
Q1 - 8:48DALNowitzki 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Crowder 1 AST)4
14.4%
8
85.6%
Q1 - 9:06SACGay 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Thomas 2 AST)4
15.2%
6
84.8%
Q1 - 9:18DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)2
14.4%
6
85.6%
Q1 - 9:18DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)2
14.4%
5
85.6%
Q1 - 9:46SACGay Running Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Thomas 1 AST)2
15.2%
4
84.8%
Q1 - 9:55SACThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
14.4%
4
85.6%
Q1 - 9:56DALMISS Nowitzki 19' Jump Shot0
14.1%
4
85.9%
Q1 - 10:05DALDalembert REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
13.5%
4
86.5%
Q1 - 10:06SACMISS Thornton 18' Jump Shot0
13.8%
4
86.2%
Q1 - 10:36DALCrowder 1' Running Slam Dunk (2 PTS)0
14.4%
4
85.6%
Q1 - 10:38DALCrowder REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
15.2%
2
84.8%
Q1 - 10:39SACDalembert BLOCK (1 BLK)0
15.5%
2
84.5%
Q1 - 11:04DALDalembert 1' Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Calderon 1 AST)0
15.9%
2
84.1%
Q1 - 11:26DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
16.9%
0
83.1%
Q1 - 11:27SACMISS Thompson 11' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot0
17.2%
0
82.8%
Q1 - 11:46SACThompson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
17.8%
0
82.2%
Q1 - 11:47DALMISS Calderon 22' Jump Shot0
17.5%
0
82.5%
Q1 - 12:00DALJump Ball Dalembert vs. Gray: Tip to Nowitzki0
16.9%
0
83.1%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAC
1.16 57.9%
DAL
1.09 54.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAC
17
23
74%
DAL
23
33
70%
Midrange
SAC
14
31
45%
DAL
13
28
46%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAC
7
10.5
21
33%
50%
DAL
2
3.0
19
11%
16%
Free Throws
SAC
20
23
87%
DAL
29
36
81%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAC logo Kings
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Gay3573%17.5 / 24
I. Thomas1945%9.5 / 21
M. Thornton950%4.5 / 9
J. Thompson857%4.0 / 7
Q. Acy880%4.0 / 5
J. Fredette788%3.5 / 4
D. Williams531%2.5 / 8
A. Gray4100%2.0 / 2
B. McLemore450%2.0 / 4
C. Landry4100%2.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Nowitzki3471%17.0 / 24
M. Ellis2071%10.0 / 14
J. Calderon1447%7.0 / 15
B. Wright1063%5.0 / 8
D. Harris744%3.5 / 8
J. Crowder638%3.0 / 8
S. Dalembert675%3.0 / 4
D. Blair638%3.0 / 8
V. Carter433%2.0 / 6
S. Larkin0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAC
75
+14
-14
89
DAL
83
+13
-4
96
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAC
1.16 57.9%
DAL
1.09 54.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.2
110.7
SAC 115.7
DAL 123.0 +7.3
Pace
94.0
94.1
SAC 88.0
DAL 88.0 +0.1
Avg. Poss. Time
15.5
15.7
SAC 16.4
DAL 16.4 +0.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.4%
52.6%
SAC 55.3% +6.5%
DAL 48.8%
TO %
15.5%
13.9%
SAC 15.0%
DAL 4.0% +11.0%
ORB %
27.9%
24.7%
SAC 28.6%
DAL 29.3% +0.7%
FTrt
33.1
25.3
SAC 30.7
DAL 45.0 +14.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
51.1%
59.6%
SAC 52.6%
DAL 55.3% +2.7%
STL %
7.6%
9.1%
SAC 4.5%
DAL 11.5% +7.0%
BLK %
6.5%
7.4%
SAC 9.8% +6.1%
DAL 3.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.0%
55.0%
SAC 57.9% +3.3%
DAL 54.6%
Rim FG%
57.6%
60.9%
SAC 73.9% +4.2%
DAL 69.7%
Mid FG%
39.3%
42.4%
SAC 45.2%
DAL 46.4% +1.2%
3P %
33.3%
38.4%
SAC 33.3% +22.8%
DAL 10.5%
FT %
76.1%
79.5%
SAC 87.0% +6.4%
DAL 80.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.7%
32.8%
SAC 30.7%
DAL 41.3% +10.6%
Mid Att. %
41.5%
39.9%
SAC 41.3%
DAL 35.0% +6.3%
3P Att. %
21.8%
27.4%
SAC 28.0% +4.3%
DAL 23.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsSACDAL
Possessions8987
Possession Minutes24.323.7
Points103107
Rebounds3937
Assists2021
Steals410
Blocks62
Turnovers (Team)14 (1)4 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (4)12 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)29 (2)25 (0)
Field Goals38-7538-80
At-the-Rim FG17-2323-33
Midrange FG14-3113-28
2-Point FG31-5436-61
3-Point FG7-212-19
Free Throws20-2329-36
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 5'9" 185 · 25
42.1
19
45%
2
6
1
0
3
3
0
2
0-0
-
5-11
45%
3-10
30%
F · 6'8" 230 · 27
35.6
35
73%
12
6
1
0
3
0
3
9
15-17
88%
10-15
67%
0-1
0%
G · 6'4" 205 · 27
33.6
9
50%
2
1
0
0
1
1
2
0
0-0
-
0-5
0%
3-4
75%
C · 7'0" 270 · 29
22.6
4
100%
3
2
0
3
1
1
1
2
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-0
-
F · 6'11" 250 · 28
19.2
8
57%
4
0
0
0
1
5
1
3
0-0
-
4-7
57%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 240 · 23
30.6
8
80%
6
0
1
2
1
5
0
6
2-2
100%
3-4
75%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 240 · 23
23.1
5
31%
7
1
0
0
1
4
1
6
3-4
75%
1-4
25%
0-2
0%
G · 6'5" 195 · 21
14.4
4
50%
2
0
1
0
1
3
2
0
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-2
0%
F · 6'9" 248 · 30
12.4
4
100%
1
2
0
1
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 195 · 25
6.4
7
88%
0
2
0
0
1
2
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
100%
1-2
50%
F · 6'9" 207 · 29
G · 6'3" 190 · 23
#15 · C · 6'11" 270 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
103
58%
39
20
4
6
14
0
10
29
20-23
87%
31-54
57%
7-21
33%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.