Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Wednesday, January 29, 2014

Final			Win Prob.	pScore
	10	Grizzlies	60%	101	99
	24	Kings	40%	97	89

	ORTG	#Poss	Pace
MEM	119.3	83	82.5
SAC	109.9	81	81.5

Scoring Opportunities

MEM

+12

-12

SAC

+17

-15

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MEM

1.16 58.2%

SAC

1.05 52.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / WinProb
Clock	Team	Event	MEM	SAC
Q4 - 0:00.0	MEM		99 100%	89 0%
Q4 - 0:19.0	MEM	Randolph REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)	99 99.9%	89 0.1%
Q4 - 0:21.0	MEM	MISS Lee 19' Jump Shot	99 99.9%	89 0.1%
Q4 - 0:44.0	SAC	McLemore Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T17)	99 99.9%	89 0.1%
Q4 - 0:57.0	MEM	Conley Free Throw 2 of 2 (27 PTS)	99 99.8%	89 0.2%
Q4 - 0:57.0	MEM	Conley Free Throw 1 of 2 (26 PTS)	98 99.8%	89 0.2%
Q4 - 0:59.0	SAC	McLemore Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T16)	97 99.7%	89 0.3%
Q4 - 1:02	MEM	McLemore STEAL (1 STL)	97 99.3%	89 0.7%
Q4 - 1:14	SAC	McLemore 2' Layup (6 PTS)	97 99.5%	89 0.5%
Q4 - 1:15	SAC	McLemore REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	97 99.7%	87 0.3%
Q4 - 1:16	SAC	MISS McLemore 19' Jump Shot	97 99.8%	87 0.2%
Q4 - 1:22	SAC	Landry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)	97 99.6%	87 0.4%
Q4 - 1:23	SAC	MISS Thompson 21' Jump Shot	97 99.7%	87 0.3%
Q4 - 1:32	MEM	Prince 1' Dunk (9 PTS) (Conley 10 AST)	97 99.5%	87 0.5%
Q4 - 1:36	SAC	Gay Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T15)	95 99.1%	87 0.9%
Q4 - 1:46	MEM	Conley 25' 3PT Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Gasol 5 AST)	95 98.2%	87 1.8%
Q4 - 2:08	SAC	Thomas 2' Driving Layup (24 PTS) (Thompson 1 AST)	92 95.5%	87 4.5%
Q4 - 2:27	MEM	Prince 2' Layup (7 PTS)	92 96.8%	85 3.2%
Q4 - 2:30	SAC	Gay Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T14)	90 95.5%	85 4.5%
Q4 - 2:51	MEM	Prince 20' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Gasol 4 AST)	90 90.8%	85 9.2%
Q4 - 3:11	SAC	McLemore Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)	88 87.7%	85 12.3%
Q4 - 3:11	SAC	McLemore Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)	88 88.5%	84 11.5%
Q4 - 3:24	MEM	Conley Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)	88 91.0%	83 9.0%
Q4 - 3:24	MEM	Conley Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)	87 90.4%	83 9.6%
Q4 - 3:46	SAC	Gay 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (23 PTS)	86 84.4%	83 15.6%
Q4 - 4:07	MEM	Randolph 9' Running Jump Shot (18 PTS)	86 88.6%	81 11.4%
Q4 - 4:34	SAC	Thomas 24' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Gay 5 AST)	84 84.8%	81 15.2%
Q4 - 4:55	MEM	Gasol 15' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Conley 9 AST)	84 92.1%	78 7.9%
Q4 - 5:20	SAC	Gay Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)	82 86.8%	78 13.2%
Q4 - 5:20	SAC	Gay Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)	82 87.4%	77 12.6%
Q4 - 5:32	SAC	Landry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)	82 90.0%	76 10.0%
Q4 - 5:33	MEM	MISS Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot	82 91.0%	76 9.0%
Q4 - 5:52	MEM	Prince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	82 92.9%	76 7.1%
Q4 - 5:54	SAC	MISS Gay 2' Layup	82 92.1%	76 7.9%
Q4 - 6:12	SAC	Landry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)	82 88.4%	76 11.6%
Q4 - 6:13	MEM	MISS Randolph 18' Jump Shot	82 89.4%	76 10.6%
Q4 - 6:37	SAC	Landry 1' Layup (8 PTS) (Thomas 5 AST)	82 91.5%	76 8.5%
Q4 - 6:46	SAC	McLemore REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	82 93.4%	74 6.6%
Q4 - 6:48	MEM	MISS Davis 4' Alley Oop Layup	82 94.0%	74 6.0%
Q4 - 7:11	SAC	Thomas 7' Fadeaway Jumper (19 PTS)	82 94.3%	74 5.7%
Q4 - 7:12	SAC	Thomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	82 95.5%	72 4.5%
Q4 - 7:13	SAC	MISS Thompson 5' Jump Shot	82 96.3%	72 3.7%
Q4 - 7:30	MEM	Davis 1' Dunk (6 PTS) (Randolph 2 AST)	82 95.5%	72 4.5%
Q4 - 7:33	SAC	Thomas Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T13)	80 94.3%	72 5.7%
Q4 - 7:58	MEM	Conley Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)	80 92.4%	72 7.6%
Q4 - 7:58	MEM	Conley Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)	79 92.1%	72 7.9%
Q4 - 8:08	SAC	Thomas 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS)	78 89.0%	72 11.0%
Q4 - 8:16	SAC	Landry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)	78 93.2%	69 6.8%
Q4 - 8:17	MEM	MISS Miller 24' 3PT Jump Shot	78 93.6%	69 6.4%
Q4 - 8:23	SAC	Gay Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T12)	78 94.6%	69 5.4%
Q4 - 8:45	MEM	Randolph 11' Jump Hook Shot (16 PTS) (Conley 8 AST)	78 93.2%	69 6.8%
Q4 - 9:11	SAC	Landry 11' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (McLemore 1 AST)	76 90.2%	69 9.8%
Q4 - 9:34	MEM	Randolph Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)	76 92.2%	67 7.8%
Q4 - 9:50	MEM	Miller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	73 88.0%	67 12.0%
Q4 - 9:51	SAC	MISS Fredette 26' 3PT Jump Shot	73 87.2%	67 12.8%
Q4 - 10:08	MEM	Davis 8' Jump Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Randolph 1 AST)	73 84.1%	67 15.9%
Q4 - 10:29	SAC	McLemore 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Fredette 4 AST)	71 80.9%	67 19.1%
Q4 - 10:49	SAC	Acy REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)	71 84.2%	65 15.8%
Q4 - 10:51	MEM	Randolph REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)	71 87.0%	65 13.0%
Q4 - 10:51	MEM	MISS Randolph 2' Layup	71 85.1%	65 14.9%
Q4 - 10:52	MEM	MISS Calathes 8' Running Jump Shot	71 85.1%	65 14.9%
Q4 - 11:18	SAC	Acy 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Fredette 3 AST)	71 86.0%	65 14.0%
Q4 - 11:43	SAC	Landry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)	71 88.4%	63 11.6%
Q4 - 11:44	MEM	MISS Miller Free Throw 1 of 1	71 88.7%	63 11.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0	MEM		69 86.0%	63 14.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0	MEM	Lee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	69 86.0%	63 14.0%
Q3 - 0:01.0	SAC	MISS Thomas 26' 3PT Jump Shot	69 84.4%	63 15.6%
Q3 - 0:08.0	MEM	Calathes 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Gasol 2 AST)	69 82.6%	63 17.4%
Q3 - 0:26.0	MEM	Gasol REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)	67 79.3%	63 20.7%
Q3 - 0:27.0	SAC	Acy REBOUND (Off:4 Def:0)	67 75.9%	63 24.1%
Q3 - 0:27.0	SAC	MISS Acy 3' Layup	67 78.3%	63 21.7%
Q3 - 0:28.0	SAC	MISS Thomas 25' 3PT Jump Shot	67 78.3%	63 21.7%
Q3 - 0:38.0	MEM	Miller 18' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Gasol 1 AST)	67 75.9%	63 24.1%
Q3 - 0:59.0	SAC	Landry 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Thomas 4 AST)	65 71.8%	63 28.2%
Q3 - 1:13	SAC	Landry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	65 75.4%	61 24.6%
Q3 - 1:15	MEM	Acy BLOCK (1 BLK)	65 76.5%	61 23.5%
Q3 - 1:24	SAC	Williams Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T11)	65 78.8%	61 21.2%
Q3 - 1:29	SAC	Thompson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)	65 75.4%	61 24.6%
Q3 - 1:30	MEM	MISS Johnson 4' Jump Shot	65 76.5%	61 23.5%
Q3 - 1:44	SAC	McLemore Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)	65 78.8%	61 21.2%
Q3 - 1:59	MEM	Conley Foul Turnover (P3.T11)	65 75.5%	61 24.5%
Q3 - 2:19	MEM	Grizzlies Rebound	65 78.0%	61 22.0%
Q3 - 2:20	MEM	MISS Gasol 10' Jump Shot	65 75.6%	61 24.4%
Q3 - 2:40	SAC	Thompson Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T9)	65 78.1%	61 21.9%
Q3 - 2:43	SAC	Thompson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)	65 74.6%	61 25.4%
Q3 - 2:44	SAC	MISS Williams 13' Jump Shot	65 77.0%	61 23.0%
Q3 - 3:02	MEM	Johnson Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T10)	65 74.2%	61 25.8%
Q3 - 3:21	MEM	Johnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	65 77.7%	61 22.3%
Q3 - 3:22	SAC	MISS McLemore 26' 3PT Jump Shot	65 76.6%	61 23.4%
Q3 - 3:35	MEM	Conley 8' Running Jump Shot (18 PTS)	65 74.2%	61 25.8%
Q3 - 3:41	MEM	Gasol REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)	63 70.9%	61 29.1%
Q3 - 3:43	SAC	MISS Thompson 7' Jump Hook Shot	63 69.7%	61 30.3%
Q3 - 4:00	MEM	Conley 5' Jump Shot (16 PTS)	63 66.7%	61 33.3%
Q3 - 4:01	MEM	Conley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	61 63.3%	61 36.7%
Q3 - 4:01	MEM	Gray BLOCK (1 BLK)	61 59.8%	61 40.2%
Q3 - 4:04	MEM	Randolph REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)	61 63.3%	61 36.7%
Q3 - 4:05	MEM	MISS Conley 7' Jump Shot	61 59.8%	61 40.2%
Q3 - 4:26	MEM	Conley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	61 63.3%	61 36.7%
Q3 - 4:28	SAC	MISS Thomas 11' Running Jump Shot	61 61.8%	61 38.2%
Q3 - 4:41	SAC	KINGS Rebound	61 58.3%	61 41.7%
Q3 - 4:43	MEM	MISS Conley 25' 3PT Jump Shot	61 59.8%	61 40.2%
Q3 - 4:59	MEM	Prince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	61 63.3%	61 36.7%
Q3 - 4:59	SAC	MISS Gay 25' 3PT Jump Shot	61 61.8%	61 38.2%
Q3 - 5:21	MEM	Randolph 2' Driving Layup (11 PTS)	61 58.3%	61 41.7%
Q3 - 5:25	SAC	Gay Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)	59 54.9%	61 45.1%
Q3 - 5:40	SAC	Gray REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)	59 50.1%	61 49.9%
Q3 - 5:41	MEM	MISS Randolph 9' Jump Hook Shot	59 51.5%	61 48.5%
Q3 - 5:59	SAC	Gay 1' Driving Slam Dunk (19 PTS)	59 54.9%	61 45.1%
Q3 - 6:02	MEM	Gay STEAL (1 STL)	59 58.8%	59 41.2%
Q3 - 6:16	SAC	Thompson 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Thomas 3 AST)	59 63.0%	59 37.0%
Q3 - 6:24	SAC	KINGS Rebound	59 66.2%	57 33.8%
Q3 - 6:24	SAC	MISS Gray 7' Running Hook Shot	59 68.9%	57 31.1%
Q3 - 6:40	SAC	Thompson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)	59 66.2%	57 33.8%
Q3 - 6:40	MEM	MISS Gasol 20' Jump Shot	59 67.4%	57 32.6%
Q3 - 7:10	SAC	Gray 7' Jump Hook Shot (4 PTS)	59 69.6%	57 30.4%
Q3 - 7:35	MEM	Gasol 9' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Conley 6 AST)	59 72.5%	55 27.5%
Q3 - 7:57	SAC	Thomas 6' Running Hook Shot (14 PTS)	57 69.7%	55 30.3%
Q3 - 8:17	MEM	Conley 21' Jump Shot (14 PTS)	57 72.3%	53 27.7%
Q3 - 8:43	MEM	Grizzlies Rebound	55 69.6%	53 30.4%
Q3 - 8:43	SAC	MISS Thornton 25' 3PT Jump Shot	55 68.5%	53 31.5%
Q3 - 9:02	MEM	Conley 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS)	55 66.0%	53 34.0%
Q3 - 9:20	SAC	Thompson Traveling Turnover (P1.T7)	52 59.2%	53 40.8%
Q3 - 9:36	MEM	Randolph Kicked Ball Violation Turnover (P1.T8)	52 55.5%	53 44.5%
Q3 - 9:49	SAC	Thomas Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)	52 59.3%	53 40.7%
Q3 - 10:00	SAC	Thompson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	52 55.5%	53 44.5%
Q3 - 10:00	MEM	MISS Prince 25' 3PT Jump Shot	52 56.7%	53 43.3%
Q3 - 10:12	SAC	Gay 25' 3PT Jump Bank Shot (17 PTS)	52 59.8%	53 40.2%
Q3 - 10:30	MEM	Conley 23' Jump Shot (9 PTS)	52 66.3%	50 33.7%
Q3 - 10:58	SAC	Thompson 23' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Gay 4 AST)	50 63.1%	50 36.9%
Q3 - 11:22	MEM	Randolph 6' Jump Shot (9 PTS)	50 66.6%	48 33.4%
Q3 - 11:47	SAC	Gay 1' Driving Dunk (14 PTS)	48 63.5%	48 36.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0	MEM		48 66.6%	46 33.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0	MEM	Grizzlies Rebound	48 69.7%	46 30.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0	MEM	MISS Randolph 25' 3PT Jump Shot	48 67.5%	46 32.5%
Q2 - 0:22.0	SAC	Gay 2' Driving Reverse Layup (12 PTS)	48 69.1%	46 30.9%
Q2 - 0:32.0	SAC	KINGS Rebound	48 72.5%	44 27.5%
Q2 - 0:33.0	SAC	MISS Thomas 6' Jump Shot	48 73.9%	44 26.1%
Q2 - 0:44.0	SAC	Thompson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	48 72.5%	44 27.5%
Q2 - 0:44.0	MEM	MISS Calathes 15' Running Jump Shot	48 73.1%	44 26.9%
Q2 - 0:54.0	MEM	Calathes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	48 74.5%	44 25.5%
Q2 - 0:54.0	SAC	MISS Gray 4' Jump Shot	48 73.9%	44 26.1%
Q2 - 1:17	MEM	Randolph 7' Running Hook Shot (7 PTS)	48 72.4%	44 27.6%
Q2 - 1:41	SAC	Gay 13' Pullup Bank Shot (10 PTS)	46 68.8%	44 31.2%
Q2 - 1:50	SAC	Gay REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	46 72.4%	42 27.6%
Q2 - 1:51	MEM	MISS Miller 18' Jump Shot	46 72.9%	42 27.1%
Q2 - 2:09	SAC	Thomas 10' Running Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Thornton 1 AST)	46 74.2%	42 25.8%
Q2 - 2:15	SAC	Acy REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)	46 76.4%	40 23.6%
Q2 - 2:18	SAC	MISS Gay 2' Layup	46 78.0%	40 22.0%
Q2 - 2:20	SAC	Gay REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	46 76.5%	40 23.5%
Q2 - 2:21	SAC	MISS Thomas 6' Jump Shot	46 78.0%	40 22.0%
Q2 - 2:38	MEM	Miller 18' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Calathes 4 AST)	46 76.5%	40 23.5%
Q2 - 2:52	SAC	Acy 5' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Gay 3 AST)	44 74.2%	40 25.8%
Q2 - 3:16	MEM	Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Calathes 3 AST)	44 76.1%	38 23.9%
Q2 - 3:22	MEM	Calathes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	41 72.0%	38 28.0%
Q2 - 3:23	SAC	MISS Thomas 25' 3PT Jump Shot	41 71.1%	38 28.9%
Q2 - 3:39	MEM	Miller 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Calathes 2 AST)	41 69.0%	38 31.0%
Q2 - 3:54	SAC	Gay 2' Driving Layup (8 PTS)	39 66.9%	38 33.1%
Q2 - 4:08	SAC	Landry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	39 69.0%	36 31.0%
Q2 - 4:09	MEM	MISS Koufos 4' Alley Oop Layup	39 69.8%	36 30.2%
Q2 - 4:17	MEM	Miller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	39 71.5%	36 28.5%
Q2 - 4:18	SAC	MISS Thomas 25' 3PT Jump Shot	39 70.7%	36 29.3%
Q2 - 4:40	MEM	Calathes Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T7)	39 69.0%	36 31.0%
Q2 - 4:57	SAC	Gay 8' Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS)	39 71.5%	36 28.5%
Q2 - 5:16	SAC	KINGS Rebound	39 73.7%	34 26.3%
Q2 - 5:16	MEM	MISS Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot	39 74.4%	34 25.6%
Q2 - 5:20	MEM	Conley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	39 75.8%	34 24.2%
Q2 - 5:23	SAC	MISS Williams 6' Jump Shot	39 75.2%	34 24.8%
Q2 - 5:39	MEM	Johnson 6' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS)	39 73.7%	34 26.3%
Q2 - 5:53	SAC	Gay 7' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)	37 71.4%	34 28.6%
Q2 - 6:04	SAC	Landry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	37 73.2%	32 26.8%
Q2 - 6:05	MEM	MISS Conley 24' 3PT Jump Shot	37 74.0%	32 26.0%
Q2 - 6:20	MEM	Davis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	37 75.8%	32 24.2%
Q2 - 6:20	SAC	MISS Gay 25' 3PT Jump Shot	37 75.0%	32 25.0%
Q2 - 6:31	MEM	Conley 3' Driving Layup (7 PTS)	37 73.3%	32 26.7%
Q2 - 6:41	MEM	Miller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	35 71.5%	32 28.5%
Q2 - 6:42	MEM	MISS Davis 19' Jump Shot	35 69.6%	32 30.4%
Q2 - 7:08	SAC	Williams 2' Alley Oop Dunk (8 PTS) (Thomas 2 AST)	35 71.2%	32 28.8%
Q2 - 7:13	MEM	Johnson Foul Turnover (P1.T6)	35 73.2%	30 26.8%
Q2 - 7:25	SAC	Acy Traveling Turnover (P1.T5)	35 75.4%	30 24.6%
Q2 - 7:50	MEM	Koufos 7' Jump Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Miller 2 AST)	35 73.1%	30 26.9%
Q2 - 8:07	SAC	Fredette Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)	33 70.9%	30 29.1%
Q2 - 8:21	MEM	Conley 7' Turnaround Jump Shot (5 PTS)	33 68.6%	30 31.4%
Q2 - 8:34	SAC	Landry 2' Dunk (2 PTS) (Fredette 2 AST)	31 66.4%	30 33.6%
Q2 - 8:58	MEM	Miller Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)	31 68.6%	28 31.4%
Q2 - 9:07	MEM	Grizzlies Rebound	31 70.9%	28 29.1%
Q2 - 9:07	SAC	MISS Williams 3' Jump Shot	31 70.2%	28 29.8%
Q2 - 9:20	MEM	Koufos REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	31 68.6%	28 31.4%
Q2 - 9:20	MEM	Koufos 2' Tip Shot (2 PTS)	31 68.6%	28 31.4%
Q2 - 9:21	MEM	MISS Conley 6' Running Jump Shot	29 64.8%	28 35.2%
Q2 - 9:31	MEM	Davis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	29 66.5%	28 33.5%
Q2 - 9:32	SAC	MISS Landry 5' Jump Shot	29 65.8%	28 34.2%
Q2 - 9:48	MEM	Johnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)	29 64.1%	28 35.9%
Q2 - 9:48	MEM	Johnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)	28 63.5%	28 36.5%
Q2 - 9:58	MEM	Koufos REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	27 61.9%	28 38.1%
Q2 - 9:59	SAC	Acy REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)	27 59.3%	28 40.7%
Q2 - 9:59	SAC	MISS Williams 1' Tip Shot	27 61.1%	28 38.9%
Q2 - 10:01	SAC	MISS Fredette 25' 3PT Jump Shot	27 61.0%	28 39.0%
Q2 - 10:17	SAC	Landry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	27 59.1%	28 40.9%
Q2 - 10:17	MEM	MISS Miller 3PT Jump Shot	27 59.9%	28 40.1%
Q2 - 10:34	SAC	Williams Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)	27 61.9%	28 38.1%
Q2 - 10:34	SAC	Williams Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)	27 62.4%	27 37.6%
Q2 - 10:39	SAC	Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	27 63.8%	26 36.2%
Q2 - 10:40	MEM	MISS Miller 3PT Jump Shot	27 64.6%	26 35.4%
Q2 - 10:54	MEM	Koufos REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	27 66.4%	26 33.6%
Q2 - 10:54	SAC	MISS McLemore 24' 3PT Jump Shot	27 65.6%	26 34.4%
Q2 - 11:16	MEM	Davis 11' Jump Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)	27 63.7%	26 36.3%
Q2 - 11:39	SAC	Williams 3' Layup (4 PTS) (Fredette 1 AST)	25 61.6%	26 38.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0	MEM		25 63.7%	24 36.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0	MEM	Grizzlies Rebound	25 66.1%	24 33.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0	MEM	MISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot	25 64.5%	24 35.5%
Q1 - 0:03.0	SAC	Fredette 7' Floating Jump Shot (4 PTS)	25 65.5%	24 34.5%
Q1 - 0:23.0	SAC	Fredette REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	25 68.2%	22 31.8%
Q1 - 0:24.0	SAC	MISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot	25 69.2%	22 30.8%
Q1 - 0:40.0	SAC	Gray REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)	25 68.2%	22 31.8%
Q1 - 0:40.0	MEM	MISS Davis 9' Turnaround Jump Shot	25 68.7%	22 31.3%
Q1 - 0:56.0	SAC	KINGS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#3)	25 69.7%	22 30.3%
Q1 - 0:56.0	SAC	KINGS Rebound	25 68.2%	22 31.8%
Q1 - 0:56.0	SAC	MISS Acy Layup	25 69.3%	22 30.7%
Q1 - 0:56.0	SAC	Acy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	25 68.2%	22 31.8%
Q1 - 0:58.0	SAC	MISS Acy 3' Layup	25 69.3%	22 30.7%
Q1 - 1:21	MEM	Gasol 11' Jump Shot (8 PTS)	25 68.3%	22 31.7%
Q1 - 1:46	SAC	Fredette 14' Step Back Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Gray 3 AST)	23 65.7%	22 34.3%
Q1 - 2:08	MEM	Randolph Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)	23 68.1%	20 31.9%
Q1 - 2:19	MEM	Johnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	20 63.9%	20 36.1%
Q1 - 2:20	SAC	MISS McLemore 25' 3PT Jump Shot	20 63.3%	20 36.7%
Q1 - 2:32	MEM	Gasol 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Calathes 1 AST)	20 61.9%	20 38.1%
Q1 - 2:48	SAC	Williams Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)	18 59.6%	20 40.4%
Q1 - 2:48	SAC	Williams Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)	18 60.1%	19 39.9%
Q1 - 2:52	MEM	Williams STEAL (1 STL)	18 61.9%	18 38.1%
Q1 - 3:02	MEM	Randolph REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	18 64.2%	18 35.8%
Q1 - 3:02	SAC	MISS Thomas 20' Jump Shot	18 63.5%	18 36.5%
Q1 - 3:19	SAC	Gray REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)	18 61.9%	18 38.1%
Q1 - 3:20	SAC	MISS Thompson 15' Jump Shot	18 63.5%	18 36.5%
Q1 - 3:44	MEM	Calathes 6' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)	18 61.9%	18 38.1%
Q1 - 3:50	MEM	Gasol REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)	16 59.9%	18 40.1%
Q1 - 3:50	MEM	MISS Randolph 7' Jump Hook Shot	16 58.3%	18 41.7%
Q1 - 4:19	SAC	Gray 3' Layup (2 PTS)	16 60.2%	18 39.8%
Q1 - 4:19	SAC	Gray REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)	16 62.0%	16 38.0%
Q1 - 4:20	SAC	Gray REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	16 62.0%	16 38.0%
Q1 - 4:20	SAC	MISS Gray 3' Tip Shot	16 63.6%	16 36.4%
Q1 - 4:22	SAC	MISS Thomas 18' Jump Shot	16 63.6%	16 36.4%
Q1 - 4:36	MEM	Prince 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Conley 5 AST)	16 62.0%	16 38.0%
Q1 - 4:43	SAC	Gay Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)	13 58.1%	16 41.9%
Q1 - 4:55	MEM	Lee 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Conley 4 AST)	13 55.7%	16 44.3%
Q1 - 5:12	SAC	Thomas 2' Layup (10 PTS) (Gray 2 AST)	11 54.1%	16 45.9%
Q1 - 5:17	MEM	Gray STEAL (2 STL)	11 56.0%	14 44.0%
Q1 - 5:28	SAC	KINGS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#1)	11 58.1%	14 41.9%
Q1 - 5:28	SAC	KINGS Rebound	11 56.0%	14 44.0%
Q1 - 5:28	SAC	MISS Thomas 25' 3PT Jump Shot	11 57.5%	14 42.5%
Q1 - 5:53	MEM	Conley Free Throw 3 of 3 (3 PTS)	11 55.9%	14 44.1%
Q1 - 5:53	MEM	Conley Free Throw 2 of 3 (2 PTS)	10 55.6%	14 44.4%
Q1 - 5:53	MEM	Conley Free Throw 1 of 3 (1 PTS)	9 55.3%	14 44.7%
Q1 - 6:12	MEM	Randolph REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	8 52.6%	14 47.4%
Q1 - 6:13	SAC	MISS Thomas 26' 3PT Jump Shot	8 52.0%	14 48.0%
Q1 - 6:29	MEM	Gasol Offensive Foul Turnover (P1.T2)	8 50.5%	14 49.5%
Q1 - 6:45	SAC	Thomas 27' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Gay 2 AST)	8 52.6%	14 47.4%
Q1 - 7:10	MEM	Gasol 1' Dunk (4 PTS) (Conley 3 AST)	8 56.6%	11 43.4%
Q1 - 7:31	SAC	Thornton 5' Driving Layup (2 PTS)	6 55.0%	11 45.0%
Q1 - 7:54	MEM	Gasol 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Conley 2 AST)	6 56.6%	9 43.4%
Q1 - 8:04	MEM	Randolph REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	4 55.6%	9 44.4%
Q1 - 8:05	SAC	MISS Thompson 6' Jump Shot	4 55.0%	9 45.0%
Q1 - 8:20	SAC	Thompson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	4 53.5%	9 46.5%
Q1 - 8:22	MEM	MISS Gasol Free Throw 2 of 2	4 53.8%	9 46.2%
Q1 - 8:22	MEM	MISS Gasol Free Throw 1 of 2	4 55.1%	9 44.9%
Q1 - 8:38	SAC	Gay 9' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)	4 55.5%	9 44.5%
Q1 - 8:50	SAC	Thompson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	4 57.1%	7 42.9%
Q1 - 8:51	MEM	Gasol REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)	4 59.1%	7 40.9%
Q1 - 8:51	MEM	MISS Gasol 5' Jump Hook Shot	4 57.8%	7 42.2%
Q1 - 8:52	MEM	MISS Randolph 7' Jump Shot	4 57.7%	7 42.3%
Q1 - 8:57	MEM	Gasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	4 59.1%	7 40.9%
Q1 - 8:59	MEM	MISS Randolph 18' Jump Shot	4 57.7%	7 42.3%
Q1 - 9:18	SAC	Thompson 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Thomas 1 AST)	4 59.6%	7 40.4%
Q1 - 9:34	MEM	Randolph 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)	4 61.1%	5 38.9%
Q1 - 9:52	MEM	Randolph REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	2 59.6%	5 40.4%
Q1 - 9:53	SAC	MISS Gay 15' Jump Shot	2 59.0%	5 41.0%
Q1 - 10:11	MEM	Lee 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Conley 1 AST)	2 58.0%	5 42.0%
Q1 - 10:33	SAC	Thomas 3' Driving Layup (5 PTS) (Gray 1 AST)	0 56.5%	5 43.5%
Q1 - 10:40	MEM	Gray STEAL (1 STL)	0 58.0%	3 42.0%
Q1 - 10:52	SAC	Thomas 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Gay 1 AST)	0 59.9%	3 40.1%
Q1 - 11:02	SAC	Gray REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	0 63.1%	0 36.9%
Q1 - 11:03	MEM	MISS Conley 4' Jump Shot	0 63.5%	0 36.5%
Q1 - 11:19	MEM	Lee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	0 64.5%	0 35.5%
Q1 - 11:20	SAC	MISS Gay 25' 3PT Jump Shot	0 64.1%	0 35.9%
Q1 - 11:41	SAC	KINGS Rebound	0 63.1%	0 36.9%
Q1 - 11:41	MEM	MISS Gasol 12' Jump Shot	0 63.5%	0 36.5%
Q1 - 12:00	SAC	Jump Ball Gray vs. Gasol: Tip to Conley	0 64.5%	0 35.5%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MEM

1.16 58.2%

SAC

1.05 52.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MEM

60%

SAC

59%

Midrange

MEM

61%

SAC

55%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MEM

6.0

29%

43%

SAC

7.5

24%

36%

Free Throws

MEM

81%

SAC

100%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Grizzlies

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
M. Conley	27	79%	13.5 / 17
Z. Randolph	18	56%	9.0 / 16
M. Gasol	12	55%	6.0 / 11
M. Miller	11	50%	5.5 / 11
T. Prince	9	90%	4.5 / 5
E. Davis	6	50%	3.0 / 6
C. Lee	4	50%	2.0 / 4
J. Johnson	4	50%	2.0 / 4
N. Calathes	4	50%	2.0 / 4
K. Koufos	4	67%	2.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Kings

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
I. Thomas	24	57%	12.0 / 21
R. Gay	23	68%	11.5 / 17
C. Landry	8	80%	4.0 / 5
D. Williams	8	44%	4.0 / 9
J. Thompson	6	38%	3.0 / 8
B. McLemore	6	43%	3.0 / 7
A. Gray	4	40%	2.0 / 5
Q. Acy	4	40%	2.0 / 5
J. Fredette	4	50%	2.0 / 4
M. Thornton	2	50%	1.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MEM

+12

-12

SAC

+17

-15

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MEM

1.16 58.2%

SAC

1.05 52.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	106.7 106.2	MEM 119.3 +9.4 SAC 109.9
Pace	89.6 94.0	MEM 82.5 +1.0 SAC 81.5
Avg. Poss. Time	16.5 15.5	MEM 17.5 +0.2 SAC 17.7
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	49.4% 48.4%	MEM 57.3% +6.0% SAC 51.3%
TO %	14.3% 15.5%	MEM 12.8% +4.3% SAC 17.1%
ORB %	28.3% 27.9%	MEM 30.0% SAC 37.1% +7.1%
FTrt	24.8 33.1	MEM 21.3 +11.2 SAC 10.1
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	57.4% 51.1%	MEM 58.5% +5.9% SAC 52.6%
STL %	8.5% 7.6%	MEM 13.3% +7.1% SAC 6.2%
BLK %	7.9% 6.5%	MEM 6.9% +3.6% SAC 3.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	51.3% 52.0%	MEM 58.2% +5.8% SAC 52.4%
Rim FG%	57.9% 57.6%	MEM 60.0% +0.7% SAC 59.3%
Mid FG%	40.5% 39.3%	MEM 61.0% +6.2% SAC 54.8%
3P %	35.3% 33.3%	MEM 28.6% +4.8% SAC 23.8%
FT %	74.1% 76.1%	MEM 81.3% SAC 100.0% +18.7%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	39.2% 36.7%	MEM 26.7% SAC 34.2% +7.5%
Mid Att. %	43.8% 41.5%	MEM 54.7% SAC 39.2% +15.4%
3P Att. %	17.1% 21.8%	MEM 18.7% SAC 26.6% +7.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.34 and 2.34.

Game Totals	MEM	SAC
Possessions	83	81
Possession Minutes	24.1	23.9
Points	99	89
Rebounds	31	34
Assists	24	20
Steals	11	5
Blocks	4	2
Turnovers (Team)	12 (0)	15 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	9 (3)	13 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	22 (2)	21 (3)
Field Goals	41-75	38-79
At-the-Rim FG	12-20	16-27
Midrange FG	25-41	17-31
2-Point FG	37-61	33-58
3-Point FG	4-14	5-21
Free Throws	13-16	8-8
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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10 Memphis Grizzlies

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Zach Randolph F · 6'9" 250 · 33	36.2	18	56%	7	2	4	0	1	3	3	4	2-2	100%	8-15	53%	0-1	0%
Mike Conley G · 6'0" 175 · 26	34.4	27	79%	3	10	2	0	4	2	1	2	9-9	100%	6-9	67%	2-4	50%
Marc Gasol C · 7'1" 255 · 29	32.7	12	55%	5	5	0	2	1	0	3	2	0-2	0%	6-10	60%	0-0	-
Tayshaun Prince F · 6'9" 212 · 34	29.6	9	90%	2	0	2	1	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	3-3	100%	1-2	50%
Courtney Lee G · 6'5" 200 · 28	24.9	4	50%	2	0	1	0	1	2	0	2	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Mike Miller G-F · 6'8" 218 · 34	26.8	11	50%	3	2	1	0	1	2	1	2	0-1	0%	4-5	80%	1-6	17%
Ed Davis F-C · 6'10" 245 · 25	17.4	6	50%	2	0	0	1	0	2	0	2	0-0	-	3-6	50%	0-0	-
James Johnson F · 6'8" 240 · 27	14.6	4	50%	2	1	1	0	2	2	0	2	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Nick Calathes G · 6'6" 213 · 25	13.7	4	50%	2	4	0	0	2	1	0	2	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Kosta Koufos C · 7'0" 265 · 25	9.8	4	67%	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Tony Allen · 6'4" 213 · 32
Jon Leuer F-C · 6'10" 228 · 25
Jamaal Franklin G · 6'5" 191 · 23
Quincy Pondexter #20 · F · 6'7" 230 · 26	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	99	58%	31	24	11	4	12	0	9	22	13-16	81%	37-61	61%	4-14	29%

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10 Memphis Grizzlies

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Zach Randolph F · 6'9" 250 · 33	36.2	18	56%	7	2	4	0	1	3	3	4	2-2	100%	8-15	53%	0-1	0%
Mike Conley G · 6'0" 175 · 26	34.4	27	79%	3	10	2	0	4	2	1	2	9-9	100%	6-9	67%	2-4	50%
Marc Gasol C · 7'1" 255 · 29	32.7	12	55%	5	5	0	2	1	0	3	2	0-2	0%	6-10	60%	0-0	-
Tayshaun Prince F · 6'9" 212 · 34	29.6	9	90%	2	0	2	1	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	3-3	100%	1-2	50%
Courtney Lee G · 6'5" 200 · 28	24.9	4	50%	2	0	1	0	1	2	0	2	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Mike Miller G-F · 6'8" 218 · 34	26.8	11	50%	3	2	1	0	1	2	1	2	0-1	0%	4-5	80%	1-6	17%
Ed Davis F-C · 6'10" 245 · 25	17.4	6	50%	2	0	0	1	0	2	0	2	0-0	-	3-6	50%	0-0	-
James Johnson F · 6'8" 240 · 27	14.6	4	50%	2	1	1	0	2	2	0	2	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Nick Calathes G · 6'6" 213 · 25	13.7	4	50%	2	4	0	0	2	1	0	2	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Kosta Koufos C · 7'0" 265 · 25	9.8	4	67%	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Tony Allen · 6'4" 213 · 32
Jon Leuer F-C · 6'10" 228 · 25
Jamaal Franklin G · 6'5" 191 · 23
Quincy Pondexter #20 · F · 6'7" 230 · 26	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	99	58%	31	24	11	4	12	0	9	22	13-16	81%	37-61	61%	4-14	29%

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24 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Isaiah Thomas G · 5'9" 185 · 25	38.9	24	57%	1	5	0	0	2	2	1	0	0-0	-	6-11	55%	4-10	40%
Rudy Gay F · 6'8" 230 · 27	34.0	23	68%	2	5	1	0	5	0	1	1	2-2	100%	9-12	75%	1-4	25%
Jason Thompson F · 6'11" 250 · 28	31.3	6	38%	7	1	0	0	2	3	1	6	0-0	-	3-8	38%	0-0	-
Aaron Gray C · 7'0" 270 · 29	22.6	4	40%	6	3	2	1	0	1	3	3	0-0	-	2-5	40%	0-0	-
Marcus Thornton G · 6'4" 205 · 27	16.7	2	50%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Ben McLemore G · 6'5" 195 · 21	26.1	6	43%	2	1	1	0	3	0	1	1	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	0-3	0%
Carl Landry F · 6'9" 248 · 30	23.2	8	80%	9	0	0	0	0	2	1	8	0-0	-	4-5	80%	0-0	-
Derrick Williams F · 6'8" 240 · 23	19.2	8	44%	1	0	1	0	1	2	0	1	4-4	100%	2-6	33%	0-1	0%
Quincy Acy F · 6'7" 240 · 23	18.9	4	40%	5	0	0	1	1	2	4	1	0-0	-	2-5	40%	0-0	-
Jimmer Fredette G · 6'2" 195 · 25	9.2	4	50%	1	4	0	0	1	0	1	0	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-2	0%
Travis Outlaw F · 6'9" 207 · 29
Ray McCallum G · 6'3" 190 · 23
DeMarcus Cousins #15 · C · 6'11" 270 · 23	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	89	52%	34	20	5	2	15	0	13	21	8-8	100%	33-58	57%	5-21	24%

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Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).

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Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg

BOXSCORE