for complete access.
All Games Wednesday, January 29, 2014
FinalWin Prob.pScore
1
Thunder
45%100
112
3
Heat
55%102
95
ORTG#PossPace
OKC logo OKC
120.49394.0
MIA logo MIA
102.29392.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatThunderQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatThunderQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventOKCMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0OKC112
100%
95
0%
Q4 - 0:31.0MIADouglas 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Lewis 1 AST)112
99.9%
95
0.1%
Q4 - 0:35.0OKCLewis STEAL (1 STL)112
99.9%
93
0.1%
Q4 - 0:56.0MIABeasley 1' Driving Layup (6 PTS)112
99.9%
93
0.1%
Q4 - 1:06OKCThunder Turnover: Shot Clock (T#15)112
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 1:29MIABeasley Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T21)112
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 1:46OKCIbaka REBOUND (Off:6 Def:2)112
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 1:46OKCIbaka 1' Tip Shot (22 PTS)112
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 1:47OKCMISS Durant 25' 3PT Jump Shot110
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 2:06OKCJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)110
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 2:07MIAMISS Bosh 17' Jump Shot110
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 2:30OKCIbaka 14' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Lamb 4 AST)110
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 2:55MIAAndersen 1' Layup (8 PTS) (Cole 3 AST)108
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 3:05MIAHEAT Rebound108
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 3:06MIAMISS James 10' Fadeaway Jumper108
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 3:17MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)108
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 3:18OKCMISS Jackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot108
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 3:39MIAJames 2' Driving Reverse Layup (34 PTS)108
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 4:03OKCJackson 6' Floating Jump Shot (9 PTS)108
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 4:30MIAAndersen 1' Putback Dunk (6 PTS)106
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 4:31MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)106
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 4:32MIAMISS Cole 15' Jump Shot106
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 4:46OKCLamb 25' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Durant 5 AST)106
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 5:09MIAJames 25' 3PT Jump Shot (32 PTS)103
99.8%
85
0.2%
Q4 - 5:38OKCLamb 1' Driving Layup (15 PTS)103
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 5:53MIAAllen Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)101
99.8%
82
0.2%
Q4 - 5:53MIAAllen Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)101
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 6:15MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)101
99.8%
80
0.2%
Q4 - 6:16OKCMISS Durant 31' 3PT Jump Shot101
99.8%
80
0.2%
Q4 - 6:37MIAWade 19' Pullup Jump Shot (15 PTS)101
99.8%
80
0.2%
Q4 - 6:50MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)101
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 6:51OKCMISS Jackson 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup101
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 7:16MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (29 PTS)101
99.8%
78
0.2%
Q4 - 7:16MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (28 PTS)101
99.8%
77
0.2%
Q4 - 7:28MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)101
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 7:29OKCWade BLOCK (2 BLK)101
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 7:45OKCFisher REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)101
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 7:46MIAMISS Bosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot101
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 8:00OKCDurant Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P4.T14)101
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 8:08MIAAllen Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T20)101
99.8%
76
0.2%
Q4 - 8:23OKCFisher 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Collison 2 AST)101
99.8%
76
0.2%
Q4 - 8:45MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)98
99.7%
76
0.3%
Q4 - 8:45MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 298
99.7%
75
0.3%
Q4 - 8:49MIACole REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)98
99.7%
75
0.3%
Q4 - 8:50MIAMISS Allen 3PT Jump Shot98
99.7%
75
0.3%
Q4 - 9:08OKCCollison 2' Tip Shot (3 PTS)98
99.5%
75
0.5%
Q4 - 9:09OKCCollison REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)96
99.3%
75
0.7%
Q4 - 9:10OKCMISS Jones 17' Jump Shot96
99.2%
75
0.8%
Q4 - 9:25MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T19)96
99.4%
75
0.6%
Q4 - 9:42OKCThunder Turnover: Shot Clock (T#13)96
99.2%
75
0.8%
Q4 - 10:03OKCFisher REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)96
99.1%
75
0.9%
Q4 - 10:04MIAMISS Cole 3PT Jump Shot96
99.0%
75
1.0%
Q4 - 10:14OKCAllen STEAL (1 STL)96
98.9%
75
1.1%
Q4 - 10:18MIACole Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T18)96
99.1%
75
0.9%
Q4 - 10:32OKCCole STEAL (1 STL)96
98.9%
75
1.1%
Q4 - 10:44OKCCollison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)96
99.1%
75
0.9%
Q4 - 10:46MIAMISS James 12' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot96
99.1%
75
0.9%
Q4 - 11:05OKCDurant 15' Turnaround Fadeaway (33 PTS)96
98.6%
75
1.4%
Q4 - 11:14OKCDurant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)94
98.3%
75
1.7%
Q4 - 11:15MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot94
98.2%
75
1.8%
Q4 - 11:39OKCDurant 25' 3PT Jump Shot (31 PTS) (Lamb 3 AST)94
97.9%
75
2.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA91
96.8%
75
3.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0OKCFisher 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)91
96.1%
75
3.9%
Q3 - 0:02.0MIAAllen Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)88
93.2%
75
6.8%
Q3 - 0:02.0MIAMISS Allen Free Throw 1 of 288
93.3%
74
6.7%
Q3 - 0:04.0OKCThunder Turnover: Shot Clock (T#10)88
93.2%
74
6.8%
Q3 - 0:04.0OKCThunder Rebound88
94.4%
74
5.6%
Q3 - 0:04.0OKCMISS Durant 26' 3PT Jump Shot88
93.6%
74
6.4%
Q3 - 0:26.0OKCFisher REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)88
94.4%
74
5.6%
Q3 - 0:27.0MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot88
94.1%
74
5.9%
Q3 - 0:40.0OKCDurant 26' 3PT Jump Shot (28 PTS)88
93.3%
74
6.7%
Q3 - 0:48.0MIAJames 21' Jump Shot (27 PTS)85
90.2%
74
9.8%
Q3 - 1:08OKCDurant 15' Pullup Bank Shot (25 PTS)85
90.9%
72
9.1%
Q3 - 1:21MIAAllen 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Chalmers 8 AST)83
89.1%
72
10.9%
Q3 - 1:33OKCIbaka Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)83
90.9%
70
9.1%
Q3 - 1:33OKCIbaka Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)82
90.6%
70
9.4%
Q3 - 1:33OKCIbaka REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)81
89.1%
70
10.9%
Q3 - 1:34OKCMISS Durant 5' Jump Shot81
87.8%
70
12.2%
Q3 - 1:39OKCIbaka REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)81
89.1%
70
10.9%
Q3 - 1:40OKCMISS Durant 10' Jump Shot81
87.8%
70
12.2%
Q3 - 2:01MIAJames 18' Fadeaway Jumper (25 PTS)81
87.7%
70
12.3%
Q3 - 2:21OKCDurant 28' 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS)81
89.6%
68
10.4%
Q3 - 2:33MIAJames 2' Driving Layup (23 PTS) (Cole 2 AST)78
85.7%
68
14.3%
Q3 - 2:46MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)78
87.8%
66
12.2%
Q3 - 2:47OKCMISS Ibaka 16' Jump Shot78
88.4%
66
11.6%
Q3 - 3:03MIAJames 13' Fadeaway Jumper (21 PTS)78
88.7%
66
11.3%
Q3 - 3:22MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)78
90.3%
64
9.7%
Q3 - 3:23OKCMISS Jackson Free Throw 2 of 278
90.5%
64
9.5%
Q3 - 3:23OKCMISS Jackson Free Throw 1 of 278
91.6%
64
8.4%
Q3 - 3:36MIAWade 7' Running Bank Shot (12 PTS) (James 3 AST)78
91.9%
64
8.1%
Q3 - 3:42MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)78
93.0%
62
7.0%
Q3 - 3:43OKCMISS Sefolosha 26' 3PT Jump Shot78
93.4%
62
6.6%
Q3 - 3:57MIACole Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T17)78
94.2%
62
5.8%
Q3 - 4:07OKCIbaka 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T9)78
92.1%
62
7.9%
Q3 - 4:27MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T16)78
93.6%
62
6.4%
Q3 - 4:41OKCIbaka 18' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Durant 4 AST)78
92.2%
62
7.8%
Q3 - 4:52OKCIbaka REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)76
91.2%
62
8.8%
Q3 - 4:53MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot76
90.7%
62
9.3%
Q3 - 5:05OKCSefolosha Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)76
88.4%
62
11.6%
Q3 - 5:05OKCMISS Sefolosha Free Throw 1 of 275
88.1%
62
11.9%
Q3 - 5:22MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T15)75
88.7%
62
11.3%
Q3 - 5:29OKCSefolosha Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)75
86.7%
62
13.3%
Q3 - 5:29OKCMISS Sefolosha Free Throw 1 of 274
86.3%
62
13.7%
Q3 - 5:33MIABosh Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T14)74
86.9%
62
13.1%
Q3 - 5:49OKCSefolosha Foul Turnover (P1.T8)74
84.6%
62
15.4%
Q3 - 6:20MIABosh 1' Putback Dunk (18 PTS)74
85.9%
62
14.1%
Q3 - 6:21MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)74
87.5%
60
12.5%
Q3 - 6:22MIAMISS Wade 6' Jump Shot74
88.8%
60
11.2%
Q3 - 6:35OKCJackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)74
87.5%
60
12.5%
Q3 - 6:35OKCJackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)73
87.4%
60
12.6%
Q3 - 6:39OKCSefolosha REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)72
85.9%
60
14.1%
Q3 - 6:40MIAMISS Battier 25' 3PT Jump Shot72
85.3%
60
14.7%
Q3 - 6:54OKCDurant 17' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)72
83.7%
60
16.3%
Q3 - 7:23MIAWade 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Battier 2 AST)70
80.5%
60
19.5%
Q3 - 7:48OKCIbaka 19' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Jackson 4 AST)70
82.6%
58
17.4%
Q3 - 8:14MIABosh 1' Dunk (16 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)68
79.9%
58
20.1%
Q3 - 8:25OKCDurant Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)68
81.9%
56
18.1%
Q3 - 8:25OKCDurant Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)67
81.6%
56
18.4%
Q3 - 8:28MIAJames Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T13)66
79.9%
56
20.1%
Q3 - 8:34OKCChalmers STEAL (1 STL)66
77.0%
56
23.0%
Q3 - 8:38OKCJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)66
79.9%
56
20.1%
Q3 - 8:39MIAMISS James 24' 3PT Jump Shot66
79.0%
56
21.0%
Q3 - 8:57MIAHEAT Rebound66
77.0%
56
23.0%
Q3 - 8:58OKCMISS Ibaka 16' Jump Shot66
77.9%
56
22.1%
Q3 - 9:09MIAJames 18' Fadeaway Jumper (19 PTS)66
78.8%
56
21.2%
Q3 - 9:29OKCIbaka 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T6)66
81.2%
54
18.8%
Q3 - 9:41MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)66
83.4%
54
16.6%
Q3 - 10:00OKCJackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)66
81.2%
54
18.8%
Q3 - 10:00OKCJackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)65
80.9%
54
19.1%
Q3 - 10:11MIABosh 1' Dunk (14 PTS) (Chalmers 7 AST)64
78.1%
54
21.9%
Q3 - 10:22OKCJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Sefolosha 4 AST)64
80.5%
52
19.5%
Q3 - 10:37OKCThunder Rebound61
75.6%
52
24.4%
Q3 - 10:38MIAMISS Battier 25' 3PT Jump Shot61
74.8%
52
25.2%
Q3 - 10:56OKCSefolosha 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Durant 3 AST)61
72.9%
52
27.1%
Q3 - 11:10OKCSefolosha REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)58
66.2%
52
33.8%
Q3 - 11:11MIAMISS Bosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot58
65.2%
52
34.8%
Q3 - 11:27OKCJackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)58
62.9%
52
37.1%
Q3 - 11:41MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)55
56.5%
52
43.5%
Q3 - 11:41MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)55
57.2%
51
42.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA55
59.7%
50
40.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)55
59.7%
50
40.3%
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Chalmers 11' Jump Shot55
61.1%
50
38.9%
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)55
59.5%
50
40.5%
Q2 - 0:02.0MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot55
61.1%
50
38.9%
Q2 - 0:23.0OKCIbaka Tip Shot (12 PTS)55
59.5%
50
40.5%
Q2 - 0:24.0OKCIbaka REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)53
55.5%
50
44.5%
Q2 - 0:25.0OKCMISS Durant 21' Jump Shot53
53.8%
50
46.2%
Q2 - 0:42.0MIAWade 1' Layup (8 PTS) (James 2 AST)53
55.5%
50
44.5%
Q2 - 1:01OKCIbaka 1' Layup (10 PTS) (Durant 2 AST)53
59.2%
48
40.8%
Q2 - 1:28MIAJames 4' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)51
55.0%
48
45.0%
Q2 - 1:45OKCLamb 6' Jump Shot (13 PTS)51
59.3%
46
40.7%
Q2 - 1:46OKCLamb REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)49
55.0%
46
45.0%
Q2 - 1:47OKCMISS Jackson 1' Driving Layup49
53.6%
46
46.4%
Q2 - 1:53MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T11)49
55.0%
46
45.0%
Q2 - 1:57OKCDurant 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Ibaka 1 AST)49
53.0%
46
47.0%
Q2 - 2:22OKCDurant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)46
45.8%
46
54.2%
Q2 - 2:23MIAMISS Wade 15' Jump Shot46
44.9%
46
55.1%
Q2 - 2:33MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)46
42.8%
46
57.2%
Q2 - 2:34OKCMISS Durant 10' Jump Shot46
43.7%
46
56.3%
Q2 - 2:57MIAJames 1' Layup (13 PTS) (Chalmers 6 AST)46
45.8%
46
54.2%
Q2 - 3:16OKCDurant 1' Layup (13 PTS) (Jackson 3 AST)46
48.4%
44
51.6%
Q2 - 3:19OKCJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)44
46.0%
44
54.0%
Q2 - 3:20MIAMISS Battier 25' 3PT Jump Shot44
44.9%
44
55.1%
Q2 - 3:42MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)44
42.5%
44
57.5%
Q2 - 3:43OKCMISS Durant 25' 3PT Jump Shot44
43.6%
44
56.4%
Q2 - 3:51OKCDurant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)44
46.0%
44
54.0%
Q2 - 3:52MIAMISS Bosh 1' Layup44
44.9%
44
55.1%
Q2 - 4:11OKCLamb 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Sefolosha 3 AST)44
42.6%
44
57.4%
Q2 - 4:28MIAHEAT Turnover: Backcourt (T#10)41
37.1%
44
62.9%
Q2 - 4:50OKCDurant 21' Pullup Jump Shot (11 PTS)41
34.4%
44
65.6%
Q2 - 5:02MIAChalmers Foul Turnover (P3.T9)39
32.1%
44
67.9%
Q2 - 5:15OKCSefolosha 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Jackson 2 AST)39
29.8%
44
70.2%
Q2 - 5:31MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)37
27.4%
44
72.6%
Q2 - 5:38MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)37
32.2%
41
67.8%
Q2 - 5:39OKCMISS Ibaka 18' Jump Shot37
32.9%
41
67.1%
Q2 - 5:56MIAWade 1' Layup (6 PTS) (Chalmers 5 AST)37
34.6%
41
65.4%
Q2 - 6:00MIABattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)37
37.3%
39
62.7%
Q2 - 6:01OKCMISS Sefolosha 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup37
38.1%
39
61.9%
Q2 - 6:07MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)37
40.3%
39
59.7%
Q2 - 6:21OKCIbaka Tip Shot (8 PTS)37
37.2%
39
62.8%
Q2 - 6:22OKCIbaka REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)35
35.1%
39
64.9%
Q2 - 6:23OKCMISS Lamb 6' Floating Jump Shot35
33.1%
39
66.9%
Q2 - 6:27MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)35
35.1%
39
64.9%
Q2 - 6:40OKCLamb Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)35
32.2%
39
67.8%
Q2 - 6:52MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)35
35.1%
39
64.9%
Q2 - 6:52MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 235
35.5%
38
64.5%
Q2 - 6:58MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)35
34.6%
38
65.4%
Q2 - 6:59OKCMISS Ibaka 12' Hook Shot35
35.6%
38
64.4%
Q2 - 7:16MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)35
37.7%
38
62.3%
Q2 - 7:34OKCDurant 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (9 PTS)35
34.9%
38
65.1%
Q2 - 7:39OKCDurant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)33
32.8%
38
67.2%
Q2 - 7:40MIAMISS James 1' Driving Layup33
32.0%
38
68.0%
Q2 - 7:44MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)33
30.2%
38
69.8%
Q2 - 7:45OKCMISS Fisher 20' Jump Shot33
31.0%
38
69.0%
Q2 - 8:14MIAWade 17' Turnaround Fadeaway (4 PTS)33
32.9%
38
67.1%
Q2 - 8:22MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)33
35.1%
36
64.9%
Q2 - 8:23OKCMISS Fisher 9' Jump Bank Shot33
35.8%
36
64.2%
Q2 - 8:40OKCLamb REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)33
37.6%
36
62.4%
Q2 - 8:41MIAMISS Bosh 20' Jump Shot33
36.8%
36
63.2%
Q2 - 8:53OKCLamb Tip Shot (8 PTS)33
35.1%
36
64.9%
Q2 - 8:54OKCLamb REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)31
32.8%
36
67.2%
Q2 - 8:55OKCMISS Jones 1' Driving Layup31
31.2%
36
68.8%
Q2 - 9:00OKCJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
32.8%
36
67.2%
Q2 - 9:01MIAMISS Beasley 12' Jump Shot31
32.3%
36
67.7%
Q2 - 9:30OKCFisher 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Collison 1 AST)31
30.7%
36
69.3%
Q2 - 9:33OKCCollison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)28
26.7%
36
73.3%
Q2 - 9:35OKCMISS Jones 20' Jump Shot28
25.3%
36
74.7%
Q2 - 9:45MIABeasley 8' Driving Jump Shot (4 PTS)28
26.7%
36
73.3%
Q2 - 10:02MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
28.7%
34
71.3%
Q2 - 10:03OKCMISS Collison Free Throw 2 of 228
29.0%
34
71.0%
Q2 - 10:03OKCCollison Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)28
30.3%
34
69.7%
Q2 - 10:16MIABeasley Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)27
29.0%
34
71.0%
Q2 - 10:16MIABeasley Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)27
29.5%
33
70.5%
Q2 - 10:26MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
30.8%
32
69.2%
Q2 - 10:27OKCMISS Lamb 25' 3PT Jump Shot27
31.5%
32
68.5%
Q2 - 10:36OKCJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
33.3%
32
66.7%
Q2 - 10:37MIAMISS Beasley 8' Jump Shot27
32.5%
32
67.5%
Q2 - 10:59OKCLamb 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Sefolosha 2 AST)27
30.8%
32
69.2%
Q2 - 11:04MIACole Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)24
27.2%
32
72.8%
Q2 - 11:22OKCLamb 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Fisher 1 AST)24
25.2%
32
74.8%
Q2 - 11:43MIAAndersen 2' Layup (4 PTS)21
21.9%
32
78.1%
Q2 - 11:44MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)21
23.4%
30
76.6%
Q2 - 11:45MIAMISS Andersen 1' Layup21
24.8%
30
75.2%
Q2 - 11:46MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)21
23.4%
30
76.6%
Q2 - 11:47MIAMISS Wade 22' Jump Shot21
24.8%
30
75.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA21
23.4%
30
76.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound21
23.4%
30
76.6%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Allen 27' 3PT Jump Shot21
25.0%
30
75.0%
Q1 - 0:02.0OKCLamb Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)21
24.1%
30
75.9%
Q1 - 0:12.0MIAAndersen 1' Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Cole 1 AST)21
25.4%
30
74.6%
Q1 - 0:31.0OKCFisher 26' 3PT Jump Bank Shot (6 PTS) (Lamb 2 AST)21
27.7%
28
72.3%
Q1 - 0:41.0MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)18
23.6%
28
76.4%
Q1 - 0:41.0MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)18
24.0%
27
76.0%
Q1 - 0:50.0OKCSefolosha 8' Running Bank Shot (2 PTS)18
25.8%
26
74.2%
Q1 - 1:03MIAJames 1' Driving Layup (6 PTS)16
24.1%
26
75.9%
Q1 - 1:13MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)16
26.2%
24
73.8%
Q1 - 1:14OKCMISS Sefolosha 17' Jump Shot16
26.6%
24
73.4%
Q1 - 1:32MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)16
27.5%
24
72.5%
Q1 - 1:32MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)16
27.9%
23
72.1%
Q1 - 1:45MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)16
29.9%
22
70.1%
Q1 - 1:46MIAMISS Beasley 26' 3PT Jump Shot16
30.9%
22
69.1%
Q1 - 2:04OKCDurant Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)16
30.0%
22
70.0%
Q1 - 2:04OKCDurant Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)15
29.8%
22
70.2%
Q1 - 2:08OKCSefolosha REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)14
28.0%
22
72.0%
Q1 - 2:09MIAMISS Allen 12' Jump Shot14
27.5%
22
72.5%
Q1 - 2:36OKCDurant Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)14
26.3%
22
73.7%
Q1 - 2:58MIAAllen Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)11
22.8%
22
77.2%
Q1 - 3:05MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
21.5%
22
78.5%
Q1 - 3:06OKCMISS Durant 16' Pullup Jump Shot11
22.0%
22
78.0%
Q1 - 3:12OKCDurant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)11
23.2%
22
76.8%
Q1 - 3:13MIAMISS Battier 24' 3PT Jump Shot11
22.7%
22
77.3%
Q1 - 3:40OKCIbaka 6' Turnaround Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Sefolosha 1 AST)11
21.5%
22
78.5%
Q1 - 3:55MIAChalmers Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T3)9
20.2%
22
79.8%
Q1 - 4:11MIABattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
19.1%
22
80.9%
Q1 - 4:12OKCMISS Ibaka 17' Jump Shot9
19.5%
22
80.5%
Q1 - 4:20OKCDurant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
20.6%
22
79.4%
Q1 - 4:21MIAMISS Bosh 2' Layup9
20.1%
22
79.9%
Q1 - 4:40MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)9
19.0%
22
81.0%
Q1 - 4:41OKCMISS Lamb 25' 3PT Jump Shot9
19.5%
22
80.5%
Q1 - 4:48MIAJames Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)9
20.6%
22
79.4%
Q1 - 5:00OKCDurant 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS)9
19.0%
22
81.0%
Q1 - 5:05MIABosh Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)7
18.7%
22
81.3%
Q1 - 5:23OKCFisher 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Lamb 1 AST)7
17.4%
22
82.6%
Q1 - 5:31OKCSefolosha REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
15.2%
22
84.8%
Q1 - 5:32MIAMISS Bosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot4
14.9%
22
85.1%
Q1 - 5:37MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
14.1%
22
85.9%
Q1 - 5:38MIAMISS James 7' Hook Shot4
14.9%
22
85.1%
Q1 - 5:57MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)4
14.1%
22
85.9%
Q1 - 5:58OKCMISS Durant 21' Jump Shot4
14.4%
22
85.6%
Q1 - 6:05OKCIbaka REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
16.0%
22
84.0%
Q1 - 6:06OKCMISS Ibaka 7' Jump Shot4
15.2%
22
84.8%
Q1 - 6:20MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)4
16.0%
22
84.0%
Q1 - 6:20MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)4
16.2%
21
83.8%
Q1 - 6:26MIABattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
17.0%
20
83.0%
Q1 - 6:27OKCMISS Ibaka 16' Jump Shot4
17.3%
20
82.7%
Q1 - 6:36OKCDurant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
18.2%
20
81.8%
Q1 - 6:37MIAMISS Chalmers Free Throw 1 of 14
18.0%
20
82.0%
Q1 - 6:49OKCIbaka 1' Driving Dunk (4 PTS) (Durant 1 AST)4
19.3%
18
80.7%
Q1 - 7:07MIABosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST)2
18.8%
18
81.2%
Q1 - 7:15MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)2
21.0%
15
79.0%
Q1 - 7:16OKCMISS Ibaka 8' Jump Shot2
21.5%
15
78.5%
Q1 - 7:42MIABattier 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)2
22.5%
15
77.5%
Q1 - 8:04OKCThunder Turnover: Shot Clock (T#3)2
25.6%
12
74.4%
Q1 - 8:04OKCSefolosha REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
27.1%
12
72.9%
Q1 - 8:05OKCWade BLOCK (1 BLK)2
26.0%
12
74.0%
Q1 - 8:28MIABosh 2' Running Layup (6 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)2
27.1%
12
72.9%
Q1 - 8:34MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)2
28.4%
10
71.6%
Q1 - 8:35OKCMISS Jackson 1' Driving Layup2
28.9%
10
71.1%
Q1 - 8:48MIAChalmers 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS)2
30.1%
10
69.9%
Q1 - 8:51MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
31.5%
8
68.5%
Q1 - 8:53MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
32.7%
8
67.3%
Q1 - 9:04MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
32.0%
8
68.0%
Q1 - 9:05OKCMISS Jackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
32.5%
8
67.5%
Q1 - 9:16OKCThunder Rebound2
33.7%
8
66.3%
Q1 - 9:17OKCMISS Ibaka 17' Jump Shot2
32.5%
8
67.5%
Q1 - 9:41MIAWade 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)2
33.7%
8
66.3%
Q1 - 9:53OKCJackson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)2
35.1%
6
64.9%
Q1 - 10:01OKCIbaka REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
37.2%
6
62.8%
Q1 - 10:02MIAMISS Chalmers 8' Driving Jump Shot2
36.7%
6
63.3%
Q1 - 10:08MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
35.5%
6
64.5%
Q1 - 10:09OKCMISS Ibaka 7' Jump Shot2
36.0%
6
64.0%
Q1 - 10:31MIAJames 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Battier 1 AST)2
37.2%
6
62.8%
Q1 - 10:36OKCDurant Foul Turnover (P1.T1)2
38.6%
4
61.4%
Q1 - 10:48MIABosh 1' Driving Dunk (4 PTS)2
40.5%
4
59.5%
Q1 - 11:08MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
41.9%
2
58.1%
Q1 - 11:09OKCMISS Durant 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
42.4%
2
57.6%
Q1 - 11:33MIABosh 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 1 AST)2
43.4%
2
56.6%
Q1 - 11:47OKCIbaka 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)2
45.2%
0
54.8%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Bosh vs. Ibaka: Tip to Sefolosha0
43.4%
0
56.6%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

OKC
1.19 59.6%
MIA
1.10 55.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
OKC
11
18
61%
MIA
21
25
84%
Midrange
OKC
14
35
40%
MIA
13
28
46%
3PT | Effective 3PT
OKC
16
24.0
27
59%
89%
MIA
3
4.5
19
16%
24%
Free Throws
OKC
14
19
74%
MIA
18
22
82%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
OKC logo Thunder
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Durant3366%16.5 / 25
S. Ibaka2252%11.0 / 21
J. Lamb1890%9.0 / 10
D. Fisher15107%7.5 / 7
T. Sefolosha950%4.5 / 9
R. Jackson945%4.5 / 10
P. Jones III338%1.5 / 4
N. Collison350%1.5 / 3
K. Perkins0-0.0 / 0
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. James3471%17.0 / 24
C. Bosh1856%9.0 / 16
D. Wade1558%7.5 / 13
C. Andersen880%4.0 / 5
M. Beasley650%3.0 / 6
R. Allen542%2.5 / 6
M. Chalmers450%2.0 / 4
S. Battier330%1.5 / 5
T. Douglas2100%1.0 / 1
N. Cole0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

OKC
81
+13
-12
94
MIA
73
+12
-20
85
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

OKC
1.19 59.6%
MIA
1.10 55.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
110.4
110.7
OKC 120.4 +18.3
MIA 102.2
Pace
95.6
91.5
OKC 94.0 +1.4
MIA 92.6
Avg. Poss. Time
15.0
15.8
OKC 15.3 +0.2
MIA 15.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.0%
55.4%
OKC 61.3% +7.8%
MIA 53.5%
TO %
15.4%
15.4%
OKC 15.3% +5.2%
MIA 20.5%
ORB %
26.5%
20.6%
OKC 28.9%
MIA 30.3% +1.4%
FTrt
30.3
30.0
OKC 23.8
MIA 30.6 +6.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
56.2%
58.8%
OKC 56.1% +2.0%
MIA 54.1%
STL %
8.6%
9.7%
OKC 14.0% +9.7%
MIA 4.3%
BLK %
10.3%
8.1%
OKC 3.8%
MIA 3.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.51 and 2.51.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.1%
57.5%
OKC 59.6% +4.4%
MIA 55.2%
Rim FG%
61.0%
66.7%
OKC 61.1%
MIA 84.0% +22.9%
Mid FG%
42.2%
42.8%
OKC 40.0%
MIA 46.4% +6.4%
3P %
36.1%
36.4%
OKC 59.3% +43.5%
MIA 15.8%
FT %
80.6%
76.0%
OKC 73.7%
MIA 81.8% +8.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
35.0%
38.3%
OKC 22.5%
MIA 34.7% +12.2%
Mid Att. %
37.9%
32.5%
OKC 43.8%
MIA 38.9% +4.9%
3P Att. %
27.1%
29.2%
OKC 33.8% +7.4%
MIA 26.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.71 and 2.71.
Game TotalsOKCMIA
Possessions9393
Possession Minutes23.724.1
Points11295
Rebounds3437
Assists2320
Steals134
Blocks22
Turnovers (Team)12 (4)20 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (2)10 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)23 (1)27 (1)
Field Goals41-8037-72
At-the-Rim FG11-1821-25
Midrange FG14-3513-28
2-Point FG25-5334-53
3-Point FG16-273-19
Free Throws14-1918-22
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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1 Oklahoma City Thunder
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'11" 240 · 25
40.3
33
66%
7
5
2
0
4
3
0
7
5-5
100%
8-14
57%
4-9
44%
Thabo Sefolosha
G · 6'7" 220 · 30
33.7
9
50%
5
4
6
0
1
1
1
4
2-4
50%
2-4
50%
1-3
33%
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 24
33.3
22
52%
8
1
1
1
2
1
6
2
2-2
100%
10-20
50%
0-0
-
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 24
29.9
9
45%
3
4
2
0
3
3
0
3
4-6
67%
1-4
25%
1-3
33%
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 29
4.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
Jeremy Lamb
G · 6'5" 185 · 22
34.9
18
90%
3
4
0
0
2
1
2
1
0-0
-
3-4
75%
4-6
67%
Perry Jones III
F · 6'11" 235 · 22
30.4
3
38%
2
2
0
1
0
5
0
2
0-0
-
0-3
0%
1-1
100%
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 39
18.1
15
107%
3
1
1
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-2
0%
5-5
100%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 33
12.9
3
50%
3
2
1
0
0
1
2
1
1-2
50%
1-2
50%
0-0
-
Steven Adams
C · 6'11" 265 · 21
1.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
Hasheem Thabeet
C · 7'3" 263 · 27
Russell Westbrook
#0 · G · 6'3" 200 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
Andre Roberson
#21 · G-F · 6'7" 210 · 22
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
112
60%
34
23
13
2
12
0
11
23
14-19
74%
25-53
47%
16-27
59%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.