FinalWin Prob.pScore
2227%101
106
973%109
116
ORTG#PossPace
DET logo DET
111.695106.3
DAL logo DAL
119.69787.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MavericksPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MavericksPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDETDAL
Q4 - 0:00.0DAL106
0%
116
100%
Q4 - 0:06.0DETStuckey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)104
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 0:07.0DALMISS Crowder 32' 3PT Jump Shot104
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 0:26.0DALMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)104
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 0:27.0DALMISS Blair 9' Jump Shot104
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 0:51.0DETJennings 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (24 PTS)104
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 0:54.0DALNowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot (28 PTS) (Marion 1 AST)102
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 1:13DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)102
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 1:15DETMISS Monroe Free Throw 2 of 2102
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 1:15DETMonroe Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)102
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 1:25DALNowitzki 19' Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Harris 7 AST)101
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 1:48DALMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)101
0.3%
111
99.7%
Q4 - 1:49DETMISS Jennings 26' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot101
0.4%
111
99.6%
Q4 - 1:58DETPistons Rebound101
0.5%
111
99.5%
Q4 - 2:00DALMISS Blair 8' Jump Shot101
0.5%
111
99.5%
Q4 - 2:20DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)101
0.4%
111
99.6%
Q4 - 2:22DETMISS Stuckey 14' Turnaround Jump Shot101
0.5%
111
99.5%
Q4 - 2:37DALCalderon 14' Fadeaway Jumper (17 PTS)101
0.7%
111
99.3%
Q4 - 2:49DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)101
1.0%
109
99.0%
Q4 - 2:52DETMISS Smith 9' Turnaround Hook Shot101
1.5%
109
98.5%
Q4 - 3:00DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)101
2.2%
109
97.8%
Q4 - 3:02DALBlair REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)101
1.3%
109
98.7%
Q4 - 3:02DALMISS Blair 2' Putback Layup101
1.9%
109
98.1%
Q4 - 3:03DALMISS Marion 10' Running Bank Shot101
1.9%
109
98.1%
Q4 - 3:25DETJennings Free Throw 1 of 1 (22 PTS)101
1.3%
109
98.7%
Q4 - 3:27DETSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)98
0.6%
109
99.4%
Q4 - 3:31DALMISS Blair 7' Jump Hook Shot98
1.1%
109
98.9%
Q4 - 3:49DETMonroe 5' Driving Hook Shot (19 PTS)98
0.7%
109
99.3%
Q4 - 4:06DALBlair 11' Running Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Harris 6 AST)96
0.5%
109
99.5%
Q4 - 4:27DALCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)96
0.7%
107
99.3%
Q4 - 4:29DETMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot96
0.8%
107
99.2%
Q4 - 4:44DALCalderon 20' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Carter 3 AST)96
1.0%
107
99.0%
Q4 - 4:59DETDrummond Traveling Turnover (P1.T12)96
1.4%
105
98.6%
Q4 - 5:12DALCalderon 2' Running Layup (13 PTS)96
3.0%
105
97.0%
Q4 - 5:17DALCalderon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)96
4.0%
103
96.0%
Q4 - 5:18DETWright BLOCK (3 BLK)96
4.5%
103
95.5%
Q4 - 5:26DALCarter 3' Driving Layup (13 PTS)96
5.7%
103
94.3%
Q4 - 5:44DETMonroe 14' Jump Shot (17 PTS)96
7.5%
101
92.5%
Q4 - 5:54DALEllis Bad Pass Turnover (P8.T17)94
5.6%
101
94.4%
Q4 - 6:09DETMonroe 1' Layup (15 PTS) (Stuckey 4 AST)94
4.9%
101
95.1%
Q4 - 6:27DALMarion Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T16)92
3.8%
101
96.2%
Q4 - 6:42DETStuckey 19' Jump Shot (11 PTS)92
2.7%
101
97.3%
Q4 - 6:55DETJennings REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)90
2.1%
101
97.9%
Q4 - 6:57DALMISS Nowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot90
1.9%
101
98.1%
Q4 - 7:07DETJennings Free Throw 1 of 1 (19 PTS)90
1.9%
101
98.1%
Q4 - 7:15DALCrowder 2' Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Harris 5 AST)87
1.1%
101
98.9%
Q4 - 7:31DETJennings Free Throw 3 of 3 (16 PTS)87
1.5%
99
98.5%
Q4 - 7:31DETMISS Jennings Free Throw 2 of 386
1.4%
99
98.6%
Q4 - 7:31DETMISS Jennings Free Throw 1 of 386
1.7%
99
98.3%
Q4 - 7:45DALNowitzki 26' 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Harris 4 AST)86
1.5%
99
98.5%
Q4 - 8:03DETSingler 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Stuckey 3 AST)86
3.2%
96
96.8%
Q4 - 8:20DALWright 2' Alley Oop Dunk (8 PTS) (Harris 3 AST)83
1.9%
96
98.1%
Q4 - 8:36DALMAVERICKS Rebound83
2.4%
94
97.6%
Q4 - 8:38DETMISS Jennings 4' Driving Jump Shot83
2.6%
94
97.4%
Q4 - 8:58DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)83
3.1%
94
96.9%
Q4 - 9:00DALMISS Nowitzki 18' Jump Shot83
2.9%
94
97.1%
Q4 - 9:30DETSmith 1' Layup (25 PTS) (Jennings 7 AST)83
2.9%
94
97.1%
Q4 - 9:36DETJennings REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)81
2.3%
94
97.7%
Q4 - 9:38DALMISS Carter 26' 3PT Jump Shot81
2.1%
94
97.9%
Q4 - 9:52DETSingler Foul Turnover (P1.T11)81
1.8%
94
98.2%
Q4 - 10:07DALHarris 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS)81
2.7%
94
97.3%
Q4 - 10:28DALWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)81
4.1%
91
95.9%
Q4 - 10:30DETMISS Stuckey 7' Running Jump Shot81
4.4%
91
95.6%
Q4 - 10:49DALWright Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)81
5.1%
91
94.9%
Q4 - 10:49DALWright Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)81
5.4%
90
94.6%
Q4 - 10:57DALCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)81
6.3%
89
93.7%
Q4 - 11:00DETWright BLOCK (2 BLK)81
6.7%
89
93.3%
Q4 - 11:12DALCarter Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)81
8.4%
89
91.6%
Q4 - 11:12DALCarter Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)81
8.7%
88
91.3%
Q4 - 11:17DALCrowder REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)81
10.2%
87
89.8%
Q4 - 11:19DETSingler REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)81
12.3%
87
87.7%
Q4 - 11:19DETWright BLOCK (1 BLK)81
10.8%
87
89.2%
Q4 - 11:20DETMISS Singler 14' Pullup Jump Shot81
10.8%
87
89.2%
Q4 - 11:45DALCarter 27' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Harris 2 AST)81
12.3%
87
87.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0DET81
17.7%
84
82.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0DETStuckey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)81
21.1%
84
78.9%
Q3 - 0:01.0DALMISS Harris 2' Driving Reverse Layup81
20.2%
84
79.8%
Q3 - 0:17.0DETStuckey Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)81
18.1%
84
81.9%
Q3 - 0:17.0DETStuckey Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)80
17.6%
84
82.4%
Q3 - 0:37.0DALHarris 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (11 PTS)79
15.1%
84
84.9%
Q3 - 0:41.0DALWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)79
21.3%
81
78.7%
Q3 - 0:44.0DETMISS Smith 5' Running Bank Shot79
22.4%
81
77.6%
Q3 - 0:58.0DALHarris 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS)79
24.9%
81
75.1%
Q3 - 1:18DETSmith 2' Driving Layup (23 PTS)79
28.5%
79
71.5%
Q3 - 1:28DALWright Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)77
24.6%
79
75.4%
Q3 - 1:28DALWright Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)77
25.7%
78
74.3%
Q3 - 1:37DETStuckey Traveling Turnover (P1.T10)77
28.6%
77
71.4%
Q3 - 1:53DETHarrellson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)77
32.6%
77
67.4%
Q3 - 1:54DALMISS Carter Free Throw 2 of 277
32.1%
77
67.9%
Q3 - 1:54DALMISS Carter Free Throw 1 of 277
29.1%
77
70.9%
Q3 - 2:18DETCaldwell-Pope 1' Running Dunk (9 PTS) (Stuckey 2 AST)77
27.8%
77
72.2%
Q3 - 2:22DALHarris Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T15)75
24.4%
77
75.6%
Q3 - 2:36DETStuckey 19' Jump Shot (7 PTS)75
21.0%
77
79.0%
Q3 - 2:51DALCarter Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)73
18.2%
77
81.8%
Q3 - 2:51DALCarter Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)73
18.6%
76
81.4%
Q3 - 3:10DALMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)73
21.0%
75
79.0%
Q3 - 3:12DETMISS Smith 8' Jump Hook Shot73
21.9%
75
78.1%
Q3 - 3:29DETSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)73
24.3%
75
75.7%
Q3 - 3:30DALMISS Carter 26' 3PT Jump Shot73
23.3%
75
76.7%
Q3 - 3:55DETHarrellson 2' Running Layup (2 PTS) (Stuckey 1 AST)73
20.9%
75
79.1%
Q3 - 4:14DALCalderon 20' Jump Shot (11 PTS)71
18.7%
75
81.3%
Q3 - 4:23DETSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)71
20.8%
73
79.2%
Q3 - 4:23DETSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)70
19.8%
73
80.2%
Q3 - 4:35DALCalderon Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)69
18.6%
73
81.4%
Q3 - 4:35DALCalderon Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)69
18.9%
72
81.1%
Q3 - 4:52DETSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)69
20.8%
71
79.2%
Q3 - 4:52DETSmith 3' Tip Shot (19 PTS)69
20.8%
71
79.2%
Q3 - 4:55DETMISS Smith 4' Running Bank Shot67
16.5%
71
83.5%
Q3 - 5:06DALNowitzki 24' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS)67
18.6%
71
81.4%
Q3 - 5:20DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)67
23.7%
68
76.3%
Q3 - 5:21DETMISS Jennings 25' 3PT Jump Shot67
24.8%
68
75.2%
Q3 - 5:27DALEllis Bad Pass Turnover (P7.T14)67
27.3%
68
72.7%
Q3 - 5:42DETMonroe 5' Running Hook Shot (13 PTS)67
23.7%
68
76.3%
Q3 - 5:55DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)65
21.3%
68
78.7%
Q3 - 5:55DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)65
21.5%
67
78.5%
Q3 - 5:58DETDalembert STEAL (1 STL)65
23.7%
66
76.3%
Q3 - 6:13DALEllis 3' Running Layup (11 PTS)65
26.8%
66
73.2%
Q3 - 6:35DETMonroe 16' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Jennings 6 AST)65
29.7%
64
70.3%
Q3 - 6:57DALCalderon 14' Fadeaway Jumper (7 PTS)63
26.9%
64
73.1%
Q3 - 7:11DETJennings 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS)63
29.2%
62
70.8%
Q3 - 7:19DALMarion 14' Running Bank Shot (8 PTS) (Calderon 4 AST)60
23.5%
62
76.5%
Q3 - 7:33DETJennings 19' Step Back Jump Shot (12 PTS)60
26.1%
60
73.9%
Q3 - 7:39DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)58
23.5%
60
76.5%
Q3 - 7:40DALMISS Marion 26' 3PT Jump Shot58
22.6%
60
77.4%
Q3 - 7:55DALDalembert REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)58
20.6%
60
79.4%
Q3 - 7:56DETMISS Drummond Free Throw 2 of 258
21.0%
60
79.0%
Q3 - 7:56DETMISS Drummond Free Throw 1 of 258
21.9%
60
78.1%
Q3 - 8:04DALDalembert 2' Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Nowitzki 4 AST)58
23.4%
60
76.6%
Q3 - 8:17DALMAVERICKS Rebound58
25.8%
58
74.2%
Q3 - 8:17DETMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 258
26.2%
58
73.8%
Q3 - 8:17DETSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)58
27.7%
58
72.3%
Q3 - 8:19DETSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)57
26.2%
58
73.8%
Q3 - 8:21DETMISS Jennings 22' Fadeaway Jumper57
24.0%
58
76.0%
Q3 - 8:45DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)57
26.2%
58
73.8%
Q3 - 8:46DALMISS Ellis 18' Jump Shot57
25.2%
58
74.8%
Q3 - 8:58DETJennings 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Caldwell-Pope 1 AST)57
23.0%
58
77.0%
Q3 - 9:04DETCaldwell-Pope REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)54
18.2%
58
81.8%
Q3 - 9:06DALMISS Dalembert 1' Running Layup54
17.5%
58
82.5%
Q3 - 9:31DETJennings 2' Layup (7 PTS) (Monroe 2 AST)54
16.0%
58
84.0%
Q3 - 9:39DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)52
14.2%
58
85.8%
Q3 - 9:41DETMISS Jennings 2' Driving Reverse Layup52
13.0%
58
87.0%
Q3 - 9:47DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)52
14.2%
58
85.8%
Q3 - 9:48DETMISS Harrellson 26' 3PT Jump Shot52
13.0%
58
87.0%
Q3 - 10:00DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)52
14.2%
58
85.8%
Q3 - 10:00DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)52
14.4%
57
85.6%
Q3 - 10:20DETJennings 15' Step Back Jump Shot (5 PTS)52
15.9%
56
84.1%
Q3 - 10:31DALEllis Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P6.T13)50
14.1%
56
85.9%
Q3 - 10:45DALMAVERICKS Rebound50
12.4%
56
87.6%
Q3 - 10:46DETMISS Caldwell-Pope Free Throw 1 of 150
12.6%
56
87.4%
Q3 - 10:46DETCaldwell-Pope REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)48
11.0%
56
89.0%
Q3 - 10:46DETJennings REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)48
11.0%
56
89.0%
Q3 - 10:46DETMISS Jennings 2' Putback Layup48
10.0%
56
90.0%
Q3 - 10:49DETMISS Smith 4' Running Bank Shot48
10.0%
56
90.0%
Q3 - 10:54DALMarion Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)48
11.0%
56
89.0%
Q3 - 10:59DALDalembert REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)48
9.6%
56
90.4%
Q3 - 11:01DETMISS Smith 2' Driving Layup48
10.2%
56
89.8%
Q3 - 11:10DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)48
11.2%
56
88.8%
Q3 - 11:12DALMISS Marion 25' 3PT Jump Shot48
10.7%
56
89.3%
Q3 - 11:21DETMarion STEAL (1 STL)48
9.8%
56
90.2%
Q3 - 11:28DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)48
11.2%
56
88.8%
Q3 - 11:29DALMISS Nowitzki 19' Jump Shot48
10.7%
56
89.3%
Q3 - 11:47DETMonroe 2' Layup (9 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)48
9.8%
56
90.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0DET46
8.7%
56
91.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0DETHarrellson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)46
8.7%
56
91.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0DALMISS Calderon 3PT Jump Shot46
8.3%
56
91.7%
Q2 - 0:15.0DALCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)46
8.2%
56
91.8%
Q2 - 0:16.0DETMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 246
8.3%
56
91.7%
Q2 - 0:16.0DETSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)46
8.8%
56
91.2%
Q2 - 0:31.0DALCalderon 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Nowitzki 3 AST)45
7.9%
56
92.1%
Q2 - 0:48.0DETStuckey Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)45
10.3%
53
89.7%
Q2 - 0:48.0DETMISS Stuckey Free Throw 1 of 244
10.1%
53
89.9%
Q2 - 1:00DALEllis 8' Pullup Bank Shot (9 PTS)44
10.1%
53
89.9%
Q2 - 1:13DALEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)44
12.1%
51
87.9%
Q2 - 1:14DETMISS Smith 17' Jump Shot44
12.3%
51
87.7%
Q2 - 1:24DETHarrellson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)44
12.9%
51
87.1%
Q2 - 1:25DALMISS Nowitzki 19' Jump Shot44
12.7%
51
87.3%
Q2 - 1:35DALBlair REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)44
12.0%
51
88.0%
Q2 - 1:37DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 24' 3PT Jump Shot44
12.3%
51
87.7%
Q2 - 1:54DALBlair 2' Reverse Layup (7 PTS) (Ellis 3 AST)44
12.9%
51
87.1%
Q2 - 2:10DETCaldwell-Pope 2' Driving Layup (5 PTS)44
14.8%
49
85.2%
Q2 - 2:14DALNowitzki Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)42
13.4%
49
86.6%
Q2 - 2:35DETSmith 3' Running Layup (15 PTS)42
12.0%
49
88.0%
Q2 - 2:50DETSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)40
10.7%
49
89.3%
Q2 - 2:51DALMISS Dalembert Free Throw 2 of 240
10.6%
49
89.4%
Q2 - 2:51DALMISS Dalembert Free Throw 1 of 240
9.8%
49
90.2%
Q2 - 2:51DALDalembert REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)40
9.6%
49
90.4%
Q2 - 2:53DALMISS Ellis 2' Driving Layup40
10.4%
49
89.6%
Q2 - 3:00DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)40
9.6%
49
90.4%
Q2 - 3:01DETMISS Jennings Free Throw 2 of 240
9.8%
49
90.2%
Q2 - 3:01DETJennings Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)40
10.6%
49
89.4%
Q2 - 3:07DALEllis Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T10)39
9.9%
49
90.1%
Q2 - 3:24DETJennings 23' Step Back Jump Shot (2 PTS)39
8.6%
49
91.4%
Q2 - 3:38DALCalderon Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)37
7.9%
49
92.1%
Q2 - 3:49DETJennings Foul Turnover (P4.T7)37
6.9%
49
93.1%
Q2 - 4:03DALBlair 2' Layup (5 PTS) (Carter 2 AST)37
8.1%
49
91.9%
Q2 - 4:13DETBlair STEAL (1 STL)37
9.0%
47
91.0%
Q2 - 4:21DETSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)37
10.0%
47
90.0%
Q2 - 4:23DETMISS Singler 27' 3PT Jump Shot37
9.3%
47
90.7%
Q2 - 4:35DALCarter 11' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS)37
10.0%
47
90.0%
Q2 - 4:55DALBlair REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)37
11.0%
45
89.0%
Q2 - 4:56DETMISS Smith 20' Jump Shot37
11.4%
45
88.6%
Q2 - 5:12DALEllis Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)37
12.3%
45
87.7%
Q2 - 5:12DALEllis Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)37
12.6%
44
87.4%
Q2 - 5:22DALCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)37
13.7%
43
86.3%
Q2 - 5:24DETSingler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)37
15.0%
43
85.0%
Q2 - 5:24DETDalembert BLOCK (3 BLK)37
14.1%
43
85.9%
Q2 - 5:27DETMISS Singler 4' Running Jump Shot37
14.1%
43
85.9%
Q2 - 5:47DALMarion 10' Running Bank Shot (6 PTS) (Calderon 3 AST)37
15.0%
43
85.0%
Q2 - 6:08DETDrummond 2' Running Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)37
16.5%
41
83.5%
Q2 - 6:12DETSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
15.3%
41
84.7%
Q2 - 6:13DALMISS Ellis 3PT Jump Shot35
14.8%
41
85.2%
Q2 - 6:21DALMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)35
13.7%
41
86.3%
Q2 - 6:22DETDalembert BLOCK (2 BLK)35
14.2%
41
85.8%
Q2 - 6:34DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)35
15.3%
41
84.7%
Q2 - 6:35DALMISS Dalembert 3' Putback Layup35
14.8%
41
85.2%
Q2 - 6:37DALDalembert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)35
13.7%
41
86.3%
Q2 - 6:38DALMISS Carter 26' 3PT Jump Shot35
14.8%
41
85.2%
Q2 - 6:48DALCalderon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)35
13.7%
41
86.3%
Q2 - 6:50DALMISS Marion 11' Running Jump Shot35
14.8%
41
85.2%
Q2 - 7:08DETSmith 15' Pullup Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Jennings 5 AST)35
13.9%
41
86.1%
Q2 - 7:27DETSingler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)33
12.8%
41
87.2%
Q2 - 7:29DALMISS Ellis 2' Running Layup33
12.4%
41
87.6%
Q2 - 7:34DETCalderon STEAL (1 STL)33
11.5%
41
88.5%
Q2 - 7:50DALEllis 1' Driving Layup (5 PTS)33
12.8%
41
87.2%
Q2 - 7:54DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)33
13.8%
39
86.2%
Q2 - 7:57DETMISS Stuckey 2' Running Reverse Layup33
14.3%
39
85.7%
Q2 - 8:17DALDalembert 1' Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Harris 1 AST)33
15.3%
39
84.7%
Q2 - 8:26DETSingler 11' Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS)33
16.7%
37
83.3%
Q2 - 8:43DALNowitzki 2' Driving Layup (13 PTS) (Ellis 2 AST)31
15.3%
37
84.7%
Q2 - 9:00DETStuckey Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)31
16.7%
35
83.3%
Q2 - 9:00DETStuckey Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)30
16.4%
35
83.6%
Q2 - 9:04DETSingler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)29
15.3%
35
84.7%
Q2 - 9:06DALMISS Harris 25' 3PT Jump Shot29
14.9%
35
85.1%
Q2 - 9:27DETStuckey 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)29
14.0%
35
86.0%
Q2 - 9:47DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)27
12.9%
35
87.1%
Q2 - 9:57DALCrowder REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)27
15.2%
32
84.8%
Q2 - 9:59DETDalembert BLOCK (1 BLK)27
15.6%
32
84.4%
Q2 - 10:03DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)27
16.9%
32
83.1%
Q2 - 10:05DETMISS Stuckey 16' Step Back Jump Shot27
15.8%
32
84.2%
Q2 - 10:28DALWright Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)27
16.9%
32
83.1%
Q2 - 10:41DALHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
15.3%
32
84.7%
Q2 - 10:44DETMISS Monroe 3' Driving Layup27
15.7%
32
84.3%
Q2 - 11:00DALWright 1' Alley Oop Layup (2 PTS) (Carter 1 AST)27
16.8%
32
83.2%
Q2 - 11:08DALCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
18.2%
30
81.8%
Q2 - 11:11DETMISS Monroe 5' Jump Hook Shot27
18.7%
30
81.3%
Q2 - 11:25DALHarris 2' Running Reverse Layup (6 PTS) (Nowitzki 2 AST)27
19.8%
30
80.2%
Q2 - 11:42DETSingler 1' Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Monroe 1 AST)27
21.3%
28
78.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0DAL25
19.8%
28
80.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0DALMAVERICKS Rebound25
18.2%
28
81.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0DALMISS Harris 25' 3PT Jump Shot25
19.3%
28
80.7%
Q1 - 0:24.0DETMonroe Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)25
18.5%
28
81.5%
Q1 - 0:24.0DETMISS Monroe Free Throw 1 of 224
18.1%
28
81.9%
Q1 - 0:24.0DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)24
18.2%
28
81.8%
Q1 - 0:25.0DETMISS Smith 3' Driving Layup24
17.4%
28
82.6%
Q1 - 0:42.0DALHarris Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)24
18.2%
28
81.8%
Q1 - 0:42.0DALHarris Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)24
18.5%
27
81.5%
Q1 - 0:45.0DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)24
20.0%
26
80.0%
Q1 - 0:46.0DETMISS Singler 6' Jump Shot24
20.3%
26
79.7%
Q1 - 1:02DALBlair Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)24
21.0%
26
79.0%
Q1 - 1:02DALMISS Blair Free Throw 1 of 224
21.6%
25
78.4%
Q1 - 1:02DALBlair REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)24
21.4%
25
78.6%
Q1 - 1:03DALMISS Blair 2' Running Layup24
22.2%
25
77.8%
Q1 - 1:19DALCrowder REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)24
21.4%
25
78.6%
Q1 - 1:21DALMISS Nowitzki 26' 3PT Jump Shot24
22.2%
25
77.8%
Q1 - 1:31DETSmith 21' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Jennings 4 AST)24
21.4%
25
78.6%
Q1 - 1:47DALCarter 6' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)22
19.5%
25
80.5%
Q1 - 1:59DETNowitzki STEAL (1 STL)22
21.4%
23
78.6%
Q1 - 2:19DALHarris Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)22
22.8%
23
77.2%
Q1 - 2:19DALHarris Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)22
23.1%
22
76.9%
Q1 - 2:32DETSmith 7' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Jennings 3 AST)22
24.5%
21
75.5%
Q1 - 2:41DETStuckey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)20
22.8%
21
77.2%
Q1 - 2:44DETCarter BLOCK (1 BLK)20
21.8%
21
78.2%
Q1 - 2:48DETStuckey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
22.8%
21
77.2%
Q1 - 2:50DALMISS Carter 25' 3PT Jump Shot20
22.3%
21
77.7%
Q1 - 3:06DETSmith 5' Running Hook Shot (7 PTS)20
21.0%
21
79.0%
Q1 - 3:27DALEllis Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T7)18
19.7%
21
80.3%
Q1 - 3:39DALWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
18.2%
21
81.8%
Q1 - 3:40DETMISS Stuckey 3PT Jump Shot18
18.7%
21
81.3%
Q1 - 3:59DALBlair 5' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS)18
19.7%
21
80.3%
Q1 - 4:22DETSingler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)18
20.7%
19
79.3%
Q1 - 4:22DETSingler 2' Running Layup (2 PTS)18
20.7%
19
79.3%
Q1 - 4:25DETMISS Drummond 3' Layup16
18.5%
19
81.5%
Q1 - 4:29DALCarter Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)16
19.5%
19
80.5%
Q1 - 4:33DETJennings Traveling Turnover (P3.T3)16
18.0%
19
82.0%
Q1 - 4:34DALEllis Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T5)16
19.5%
19
80.5%
Q1 - 4:57DETSmith 1' Dunk (5 PTS) (Jennings 2 AST)16
18.0%
19
82.0%
Q1 - 5:00DALMarion Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)14
16.9%
19
83.1%
Q1 - 5:04DALMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
15.9%
19
84.1%
Q1 - 5:06DETMISS Drummond 9' Turnaround Hook Shot14
16.2%
19
83.8%
Q1 - 5:17DALEllis Traveling Turnover (P2.T3)14
17.1%
19
82.9%
Q1 - 5:39DALMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
15.8%
19
84.2%
Q1 - 5:40DETMISS Smith 18' Jump Shot14
16.2%
19
83.8%
Q1 - 5:47DETMISS Jennings Free Throw Technical14
17.1%
19
82.9%
Q1 - 5:52DETPistons Rebound14
17.1%
19
82.9%
Q1 - 5:53DETMISS Drummond 8' Hook Shot14
16.2%
19
83.8%
Q1 - 5:56DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)14
17.1%
19
82.9%
Q1 - 5:57DETMISS Jennings 3PT Jump Shot14
16.2%
19
83.8%
Q1 - 6:10DALCalderon 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)14
17.0%
19
83.0%
Q1 - 6:20DETDrummond 5' Hook Shot (2 PTS)14
18.1%
17
81.9%
Q1 - 6:22DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)12
17.0%
17
83.0%
Q1 - 6:24DETMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot12
16.2%
17
83.8%
Q1 - 6:36DALNowitzki 17' Pullup Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Calderon 2 AST)12
17.1%
17
82.9%
Q1 - 6:48DETJennings Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T2)12
18.1%
15
81.9%
Q1 - 7:03DALMarion 3' Running Layup (4 PTS) (Calderon 1 AST)12
19.3%
15
80.7%
Q1 - 7:16DETSmith Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)12
20.3%
13
79.7%
Q1 - 7:29DALEllis Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)9
18.1%
13
81.9%
Q1 - 7:41DETCaldwell-Pope 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Drummond 1 AST)9
20.3%
10
79.7%
Q1 - 7:46DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
18.1%
10
81.9%
Q1 - 7:47DETMISS Jennings 9' Running Jump Shot6
17.3%
10
82.7%
Q1 - 8:03DALNowitzki 20' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS)6
18.0%
10
82.0%
Q1 - 8:27DALDalembert REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
19.0%
8
81.0%
Q1 - 8:29DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 2' Layup6
19.4%
8
80.6%
Q1 - 8:34DALEllis Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)6
20.3%
8
79.7%
Q1 - 8:40DETEllis STEAL (1 STL)6
19.0%
8
81.0%
Q1 - 8:53DALNowitzki 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Dalembert 1 AST)6
20.3%
8
79.7%
Q1 - 9:09DALMAVERICKS Rebound6
21.3%
6
78.7%
Q1 - 9:09DETMISS Smith 13' Fadeaway Jumper6
21.7%
6
78.3%
Q1 - 9:25DALMarion 2' Dunk (2 PTS) (Ellis 1 AST)6
22.7%
6
77.3%
Q1 - 9:29DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
23.8%
4
76.2%
Q1 - 9:30DETMISS Smith 16' Jump Shot6
24.3%
4
75.7%
Q1 - 9:53DALDalembert 1' Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Nowitzki 1 AST)6
25.3%
4
74.7%
Q1 - 10:06DETMonroe 9' Turnaround Hook Shot (6 PTS)6
26.2%
2
73.8%
Q1 - 10:21DALCalderon Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)4
25.1%
2
74.9%
Q1 - 10:30DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
23.7%
2
76.3%
Q1 - 10:30DETMonroe 2' Tip Shot (4 PTS)4
23.7%
2
76.3%
Q1 - 10:31DETMISS Monroe 1' Layup2
21.7%
2
78.3%
Q1 - 10:42DALNowitzki 15' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
22.6%
2
77.4%
Q1 - 11:04DETMonroe 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Jennings 1 AST)2
23.5%
0
76.5%
Q1 - 11:09DETCaldwell-Pope REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
22.2%
0
77.8%
Q1 - 11:12DALMISS Marion 3PT Jump Shot0
21.9%
0
78.1%
Q1 - 11:24DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
21.2%
0
78.8%
Q1 - 11:25DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 5' Jump Shot0
21.5%
0
78.5%
Q1 - 11:43DETSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
22.2%
0
77.8%
Q1 - 11:45DALMISS Nowitzki 16' Jump Shot0
21.9%
0
78.1%
Q1 - 12:00DALJump Ball Dalembert vs. Drummond: Tip to Calderon0
21.2%
0
78.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DET
1.02 51.0%
DAL
1.30 65.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DET
25
46
54%
DAL
19
26
73%
Midrange
DET
14
32
44%
DAL
17
27
63%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DET
4
6.0
13
31%
46%
DAL
7
10.5
21
33%
50%
Free Throws
DET
16
28
57%
DAL
23
28
82%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Jennings2665%13.0 / 20
J. Smith2546%12.5 / 27
G. Monroe2067%10.0 / 15
R. Stuckey1139%5.5 / 14
K. Caldwell-Pope964%4.5 / 7
K. Singler941%4.5 / 11
A. Drummond433%2.0 / 6
J. Harrellson250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Nowitzki2878%14.0 / 18
J. Calderon1794%8.5 / 9
D. Harris1478%7.0 / 9
V. Carter1359%6.5 / 11
M. Ellis1161%5.5 / 9
D. Blair945%4.5 / 10
S. Marion844%4.0 / 9
B. Wright8100%4.0 / 4
S. Dalembert650%3.0 / 6
J. Crowder250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DET
83
+18
-12
101
DAL
80
+8
-17
88
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DET
1.02 51.0%
DAL
1.30 65.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.2
110.7
DET 111.6
DAL 119.6 +8.0
Pace
94.7
94.1
DET 106.3 +18.6
DAL 87.7
Avg. Poss. Time
15.2
15.7
DET 13.5 +2.9
DAL 16.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.2%
52.6%
DET 49.5%
DAL 62.8% +13.3%
TO %
14.7%
13.9%
DET 10.4% +6.1%
DAL 16.5%
ORB %
31.4%
24.7%
DET 34.7% +12.1%
DAL 22.6%
FTrt
29.6
25.3
DET 30.8
DAL 37.8 +7.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
53.9%
59.6%
DET 41.9%
DAL 53.5% +11.6%
STL %
8.8%
9.1%
DET 10.5% +4.3%
DAL 6.2%
BLK %
8.0%
7.4%
DET 0.0%
DAL 9.0% +9.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.23 and 2.23.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.3%
55.0%
DET 51.0%
DAL 65.2% +14.2%
Rim FG%
57.6%
60.9%
DET 54.3%
DAL 73.1% +18.8%
Mid FG%
35.4%
42.4%
DET 43.8%
DAL 63.0% +19.2%
3P %
32.1%
38.4%
DET 30.8%
DAL 33.3% +2.5%
FT %
67.0%
79.5%
DET 57.1%
DAL 82.1% +25.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
45.0%
32.8%
DET 50.5% +15.4%
DAL 35.1%
Mid Att. %
32.8%
39.9%
DET 35.2% +1.3%
DAL 36.5%
3P Att. %
22.2%
27.4%
DET 14.3%
DAL 28.4% +14.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.89 and 2.89.
Game TotalsDETDAL
Possessions9597
Possession Minutes21.426.6
Points106116
Rebounds4139
Assists1823
Steals106
Blocks07
Turnovers (Team)12 (0)17 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)17 (1)7 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)24 (1)32 (4)
Field Goals43-9143-74
At-the-Rim FG25-4619-26
Midrange FG14-3217-27
2-Point FG39-7836-53
3-Point FG4-137-21
Free Throws16-2823-28
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 225 · 28
41.3
25
46%
8
2
2
0
2
2
3
5
5-7
71%
10-22
45%
0-2
0%
G · 6'1" 170 · 24
37.6
26
65%
3
7
0
0
6
4
1
2
4-8
50%
8-13
62%
2-5
40%
G · 6'5" 204 · 21
29.6
9
64%
3
1
4
0
1
3
1
2
0-1
0%
3-5
60%
1-2
50%
F · 6'11" 265 · 24
28.5
20
67%
9
2
0
0
0
3
5
4
2-4
50%
9-13
69%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 279 · 20
26.1
4
33%
6
1
1
0
1
2
3
3
0-2
0%
2-5
40%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 228 · 26
32.1
9
41%
5
0
2
0
1
4
3
2
0-0
-
3-9
33%
1-2
50%
G · 6'5" 205 · 28
31.1
11
39%
4
5
1
0
1
1
1
3
5-6
83%
3-10
30%
0-1
0%
F-C · 6'10" 275 · 25
12.8
2
50%
3
0
0
0
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-1
0%
· 6'8" 216 · 22
0.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'0" 185 · 31
F · 6'11" 232 · 29
F · 6'10" 231 · 27
F · 6'8" 215 · 26
#34 · G · 6'0" 185 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#1 · G · 6'3" 210 · 37
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
106
51%
41
18
10
0
12
0
17
24
16-28
57%
39-78
50%
4-13
31%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.