for complete access.
All Games Sunday, January 26, 2014
FinalWin Prob.pScore
10
Spurs
36%100
101
2
Heat
64%105
113
ORTG#PossPace
SAS logo SAS
112.29089.8
MIA logo MIA
122.89292.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSASMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA101
0%
113
100%
Q4 - 0:07.0SASJoseph Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)101
0%
113
100%
Q4 - 0:07.0SASJoseph Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)100
0%
113
100%
Q4 - 0:11.0MIABeasley 9' Driving Jump Shot (12 PTS)99
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 0:34.0SASJoseph 6' Jump Shot (4 PTS)99
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 0:37.0SASSpurs Rebound97
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 0:38.0SASMISS De Colo 2' Driving Layup97
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 0:54.0SASJeffers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)97
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 0:55.0MIAMISS Mason Jr. 3PT Jump Shot97
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 1:14SASJeffers 1' Dunk (5 PTS) (Baynes 2 AST)97
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 1:24MIABeasley 2' Driving Layup (10 PTS)95
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 1:45SASJeffers 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (3 PTS)95
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 1:59MIAMason Jr. 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Beasley 2 AST)93
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 2:14SASBaynes 1' Dunk (6 PTS) (De Colo 3 AST)93
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 2:24SASDe Colo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)91
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 2:26MIAMISS Cole 25' 3PT Jump Shot91
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 2:47SASDe Colo 2' Driving Layup (7 PTS)91
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 2:54SASBaynes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)89
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 2:55MIAMISS Lewis 3PT Jump Shot89
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 3:14SASBaynes 7' Turnaround Hook Shot (4 PTS)89
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 3:26SASBaynes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)87
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 3:28MIAMISS Beasley 12' Jump Shot87
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 3:42MIAOden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)87
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 3:43MIAMISS Cole 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup87
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 3:54MIACole REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)87
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 3:55SASMISS Bonner 25' 3PT Jump Shot87
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 4:08MIACole Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T14)87
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 4:34SASDe Colo Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)87
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 4:34SASDe Colo Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)86
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 4:34SASDe Colo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)85
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 4:35MIAMISS Oden 9' Jump Shot85
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 4:56SASDe Colo 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (3 PTS) (Jeffers 1 AST)85
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 5:15MIABeasley Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T13)83
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 5:39SASBonner 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (De Colo 2 AST)83
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 5:49MIACole Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T12)80
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 5:54MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)80
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 5:55SASMISS Jeffers 12' Jump Shot80
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 6:18MIAChalmers 1' Layup (16 PTS) (Beasley 1 AST)80
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 6:33SASDe Colo Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)80
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 6:33SASMISS De Colo Free Throw 1 of 279
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 6:54SASBaynes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)79
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 6:55MIAMISS Andersen 25' 3PT Jump Shot79
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 7:11SASBelinelli 21' Jump Shot (12 PTS)79
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 7:26SASJoseph REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)77
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 7:27MIAMISS Beasley 1' Alley Oop Dunk77
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 7:38SASJoseph 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Baynes 1 AST)77
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 7:54MIABeasley 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Chalmers 7 AST)75
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 8:15SASBeasley STEAL (1 STL)75
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 8:31MIAAndersen 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)75
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 8:42MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)75
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 8:43SASMISS Mills 3PT Jump Shot75
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 8:50SASBaynes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)75
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 8:51SASMISS Joseph 25' 3PT Jump Shot75
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 9:12MIACole 16' Pullup Jump Shot (11 PTS)75
0.2%
100
99.8%
Q4 - 9:32SASBaynes 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (De Colo 1 AST)75
0.2%
98
99.8%
Q4 - 9:46MIACole 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)73
0.2%
98
99.8%
Q4 - 10:10MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)73
0.4%
95
99.6%
Q4 - 10:11SASMISS Mills 25' 3PT Jump Shot73
0.4%
95
99.6%
Q4 - 10:19MIAWade Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T11)73
0.5%
95
99.5%
Q4 - 10:33SASBelinelli Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)73
0.4%
95
99.6%
Q4 - 10:33SASBelinelli Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)72
0.4%
95
99.6%
Q4 - 10:51MIAAndersen 1' Layup (6 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)71
0.3%
95
99.7%
Q4 - 11:07SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)71
0.5%
93
99.5%
Q4 - 11:15SASAyres REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)71
0.6%
93
99.4%
Q4 - 11:16MIAMISS Wade 16' Fadeaway Jumper71
0.6%
93
99.4%
Q4 - 11:28MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)71
0.5%
93
99.5%
Q4 - 11:29SASMISS Mills 3PT Jump Shot71
0.5%
93
99.5%
Q4 - 11:42MIAWade 1' Layup (8 PTS) (Chalmers 6 AST)71
0.6%
93
99.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA71
0.7%
91
99.3%
Q3 - 0:01.0SASAyres Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)71
0.9%
91
99.1%
Q3 - 0:01.0SASMISS Ayres Free Throw 1 of 270
0.9%
91
99.1%
Q3 - 0:06.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)70
0.9%
91
99.1%
Q3 - 0:06.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)70
1.0%
90
99.0%
Q3 - 0:26.0MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)70
1.1%
89
98.9%
Q3 - 0:27.0SASMISS De Colo 25' 3PT Jump Shot70
1.2%
89
98.8%
Q3 - 0:42.0SASJoseph REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)70
1.4%
89
98.6%
Q3 - 0:47.0SASMISS Joseph 26' 3PT Jump Shot70
1.2%
89
98.8%
Q3 - 1:06MIACole Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)70
1.6%
89
98.4%
Q3 - 1:06MIACole Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)70
1.7%
88
98.3%
Q3 - 1:06MIACole REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)70
1.9%
87
98.1%
Q3 - 1:11SASBattier BLOCK (2 BLK)70
2.1%
87
97.9%
Q3 - 1:17SASAyres REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)70
2.3%
87
97.7%
Q3 - 1:18MIAMISS Cole 25' 3PT Jump Shot70
2.2%
87
97.8%
Q3 - 1:36MIACole REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)70
1.9%
87
98.1%
Q3 - 1:38SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot70
2.0%
87
98.0%
Q3 - 2:00MIACole 9' Jump Shot (4 PTS)70
2.3%
87
97.7%
Q3 - 2:03MIACole REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)70
3.2%
85
96.8%
Q3 - 2:05MIAMISS Cole 13' Floating Jump Shot70
3.6%
85
96.4%
Q3 - 2:19SASAyres Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T10)70
3.2%
85
96.8%
Q3 - 2:34MIAAllen Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)70
3.8%
85
96.2%
Q3 - 2:34MIAAllen Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)70
3.9%
84
96.1%
Q3 - 2:37MIACole REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)70
4.5%
83
95.5%
Q3 - 2:38MIAMISS Wade 9' Jump Bank Shot70
5.1%
83
94.9%
Q3 - 2:49MIABattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)70
4.5%
83
95.5%
Q3 - 2:50SASMISS Belinelli Free Throw 1 of 170
4.6%
83
95.4%
Q3 - 3:07MIABosh 4' Hook Shot (24 PTS)68
4.3%
83
95.7%
Q3 - 3:32SASGinobili 3' Driving Layup (3 PTS)68
4.9%
81
95.1%
Q3 - 3:39SASGinobili Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)66
4.2%
81
95.8%
Q3 - 3:57MIAChalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Bosh 3 AST)65
3.6%
81
96.4%
Q3 - 4:08MIABattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)65
5.3%
78
94.7%
Q3 - 4:09SASMISS Belinelli 18' Jump Shot65
5.6%
78
94.4%
Q3 - 4:27MIAJames 19' Jump Shot (18 PTS)65
6.4%
78
93.6%
Q3 - 4:58SASDiaw 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Parker 7 AST)65
7.3%
76
92.7%
Q3 - 5:12MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)62
5.8%
76
94.2%
Q3 - 5:12MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)62
6.0%
75
94.0%
Q3 - 5:25MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)62
6.6%
74
93.4%
Q3 - 5:26SASMISS Diaw 5' Jump Shot62
7.0%
74
93.0%
Q3 - 5:44MIABosh 1' Dunk (20 PTS) (James 6 AST)62
7.9%
74
92.1%
Q3 - 5:54MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)62
8.9%
72
91.1%
Q3 - 5:55SASMISS Parker 20' Jump Shot62
9.4%
72
90.6%
Q3 - 6:13MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)62
11.1%
72
88.9%
Q3 - 6:13MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)62
11.4%
71
88.6%
Q3 - 6:24MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)62
12.5%
70
87.5%
Q3 - 6:25SASMISS Belinelli 24' 3PT Jump Shot62
13.1%
70
86.9%
Q3 - 6:46MIAJames Double Dribble Turnover (P4.T10)62
14.6%
70
85.4%
Q3 - 7:00MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)62
12.5%
70
87.5%
Q3 - 7:01SASMISS Parker 20' Jump Shot62
13.5%
70
86.5%
Q3 - 7:18MIABosh 19' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (James 5 AST)62
14.9%
70
85.1%
Q3 - 7:27MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)62
16.7%
68
83.3%
Q3 - 7:28SASMISS Joseph 20' Fadeaway Jumper62
17.4%
68
82.6%
Q3 - 8:03MIAJames 1' Running Dunk (16 PTS) (Bosh 2 AST)62
19.4%
68
80.6%
Q3 - 8:08SASBosh STEAL (1 STL)62
21.5%
66
78.5%
Q3 - 8:21SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)62
24.6%
66
75.4%
Q3 - 8:22MIAMISS James 9' Jump Shot62
23.6%
66
76.4%
Q3 - 8:44SASDuncan 2' Layup (23 PTS) (Diaw 3 AST)62
21.5%
66
78.5%
Q3 - 8:50MIABosh Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)60
19.4%
66
80.6%
Q3 - 8:59SASBelinelli Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)60
16.8%
66
83.2%
Q3 - 8:59SASBelinelli Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)59
16.5%
66
83.5%
Q3 - 9:05MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T8)58
15.2%
66
84.8%
Q3 - 9:25SASDuncan 6' Hook Shot (21 PTS) (Belinelli 3 AST)58
13.3%
66
86.7%
Q3 - 9:44MIAAllen 15' Jump Bank Shot (8 PTS) (Chalmers 5 AST)56
11.8%
66
88.2%
Q3 - 9:52MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)56
13.3%
64
86.7%
Q3 - 9:53SASBattier BLOCK (1 BLK)56
13.9%
64
86.1%
Q3 - 10:15MIABosh 1' Layup (16 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST)56
15.3%
64
84.7%
Q3 - 10:17MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)56
17.2%
62
82.8%
Q3 - 10:18MIAMISS Chalmers 7' Jump Shot56
18.7%
62
81.3%
Q3 - 10:23MIAHEAT Rebound56
17.2%
62
82.8%
Q3 - 10:24MIAMISS Allen 14' Jump Shot56
18.7%
62
81.3%
Q3 - 10:42SASParker 17' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Joseph 2 AST)56
17.2%
62
82.8%
Q3 - 11:01MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)54
15.7%
62
84.3%
Q3 - 11:01MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)54
16.0%
61
84.0%
Q3 - 11:18SASDiaw 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (12 PTS)54
17.5%
60
82.5%
Q3 - 11:29MIAJames 1' Layup (14 PTS) (Allen 3 AST)52
15.7%
60
84.3%
Q3 - 11:45SASDuncan 2' Layup (19 PTS) (Diaw 2 AST)52
17.5%
58
82.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA50
15.7%
58
84.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)50
13.9%
58
86.1%
Q2 - 0:01.0SASMISS Parker 3PT Jump Shot50
15.1%
58
84.9%
Q2 - 0:11.0MIAAllen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (James 4 AST)50
16.0%
58
84.0%
Q2 - 0:26.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)50
20.4%
55
79.6%
Q2 - 0:27.0SASMISS Parker 16' Pullup Jump Shot50
20.9%
55
79.1%
Q2 - 0:37.0MIAWade 9' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS)50
22.1%
55
77.9%
Q2 - 0:51.0SASDuncan 4' Hook Shot (17 PTS) (Parker 6 AST)50
25.0%
53
75.0%
Q2 - 1:01SASBaynes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)48
22.3%
53
77.7%
Q2 - 1:02MIAMISS James 21' Jump Shot48
21.8%
53
78.2%
Q2 - 1:28SASDuncan 19' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Parker 5 AST)48
20.9%
53
79.1%
Q2 - 1:53MIAJames 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)46
18.1%
53
81.9%
Q2 - 2:16MIAHEAT Rebound46
22.8%
50
77.2%
Q2 - 2:17SASMISS Ginobili 18' Jump Shot46
23.5%
50
76.5%
Q2 - 2:34MIAJames 12' Fadeaway Jumper (9 PTS)46
25.0%
50
75.0%
Q2 - 2:58SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)46
27.5%
48
72.5%
Q2 - 2:58SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)45
26.9%
48
73.1%
Q2 - 3:12MIAOden 1' Dunk (3 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)44
25.3%
48
74.7%
Q2 - 3:30SASParker Foul Turnover (P2.T8)44
27.2%
46
72.8%
Q2 - 3:33SASBaynes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)44
30.1%
46
69.9%
Q2 - 3:34MIAMISS James 9' Driving Jump Shot44
29.2%
46
70.8%
Q2 - 3:38MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)44
27.2%
46
72.8%
Q2 - 3:39SASMISS Duncan 4' Jump Shot44
28.1%
46
71.9%
Q2 - 4:00MIABosh 16' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)44
30.1%
46
69.9%
Q2 - 4:21SASDiaw 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)44
32.2%
44
67.8%
Q2 - 4:33SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)41
27.4%
44
72.6%
Q2 - 4:34MIAMISS Bosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot41
26.7%
44
73.3%
Q2 - 4:42SASOden STEAL (1 STL)41
25.1%
44
74.9%
Q2 - 4:55MIACole 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)41
27.4%
44
72.6%
Q2 - 5:07SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)41
29.8%
42
70.2%
Q2 - 5:19MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)38
25.2%
42
74.8%
Q2 - 5:21SASJames STEAL (1 STL)38
29.8%
39
70.2%
Q2 - 5:41SASBelinelli REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)38
32.1%
39
67.9%
Q2 - 5:42SASMISS Diaw 1' Driving Layup38
30.5%
39
69.5%
Q2 - 5:52SASBelinelli REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)38
32.1%
39
67.9%
Q2 - 5:53MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot38
31.4%
39
68.6%
Q2 - 6:03MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)38
29.5%
39
70.5%
Q2 - 6:04SASMISS Duncan 7' Hook Shot38
30.4%
39
69.6%
Q2 - 6:24SASMills REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)38
32.4%
39
67.6%
Q2 - 6:25MIAMISS Oden 1' Dunk38
31.5%
39
68.5%
Q2 - 6:34MIAOden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
29.6%
39
70.4%
Q2 - 6:35SASMISS Mills 15' Jump Shot38
30.4%
39
69.6%
Q2 - 6:42SASMills REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)38
32.4%
39
67.6%
Q2 - 6:43SASOden BLOCK (1 BLK)38
30.4%
39
69.6%
Q2 - 7:02MIAOden Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)38
32.1%
39
67.9%
Q2 - 7:02MIAMISS Oden Free Throw 1 of 238
32.7%
38
67.3%
Q2 - 7:22SASAyres Reverse Layup (6 PTS) (Diaw 1 AST)38
31.9%
38
68.1%
Q2 - 7:37MIACole Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)36
29.9%
38
70.1%
Q2 - 7:54MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)36
27.4%
38
72.6%
Q2 - 7:55SASMISS Joseph 20' Jump Shot36
28.1%
38
71.9%
Q2 - 8:06SASSpurs Rebound36
29.6%
38
70.4%
Q2 - 8:07SASAndersen BLOCK (2 BLK)36
28.1%
38
71.9%
Q2 - 8:12SASBelinelli REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
29.6%
38
70.4%
Q2 - 8:13MIAMISS Cole 20' Jump Shot36
28.9%
38
71.1%
Q2 - 8:29SASDiaw 9' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Belinelli 2 AST)36
27.4%
38
72.6%
Q2 - 8:42MIABeasley 14' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Cole 2 AST)34
25.5%
38
74.5%
Q2 - 8:49MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)34
27.4%
36
72.6%
Q2 - 8:50MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot34
29.0%
36
71.0%
Q2 - 9:05MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)34
27.3%
36
72.7%
Q2 - 9:06SASMISS Bonner 25' 3PT Jump Shot34
27.9%
36
72.1%
Q2 - 9:20MIAChalmers Foul Turnover (P2.T6)34
29.5%
36
70.5%
Q2 - 9:28SASBonner Traveling Turnover (P1.T5)34
27.3%
36
72.7%
Q2 - 9:41SASAyres REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)34
29.5%
36
70.5%
Q2 - 9:42MIAMISS Beasley 20' Jump Shot34
28.8%
36
71.2%
Q2 - 10:07SASMills 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Ayres 2 AST)34
27.3%
36
72.7%
Q2 - 10:20SASJeffers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
23.8%
36
76.2%
Q2 - 10:21MIAMISS Wade 13' Floating Jump Shot31
23.2%
36
76.8%
Q2 - 10:32MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
21.8%
36
78.2%
Q2 - 10:33SASMISS Mills 24' 3PT Jump Shot31
22.4%
36
77.6%
Q2 - 10:47MIAAndersen 1' Layup (4 PTS)31
23.8%
36
76.2%
Q2 - 10:49MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)31
25.4%
34
74.6%
Q2 - 10:50MIAMISS Wade 1' Driving Layup31
26.9%
34
73.1%
Q2 - 11:13SASAyres 1' Dunk (4 PTS)31
25.6%
34
74.4%
Q2 - 11:14SASAyres REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)29
23.9%
34
76.1%
Q2 - 11:15SASAndersen BLOCK (1 BLK)29
22.6%
34
77.4%
Q2 - 11:27SASBonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
23.9%
34
76.1%
Q2 - 11:28MIAMISS Wade 12' Floating Jump Shot29
23.3%
34
76.7%
Q2 - 11:43SASJeffers Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)29
22.1%
34
77.9%
Q2 - 11:43SASMISS Jeffers Free Throw 1 of 228
21.6%
34
78.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA28
22.2%
34
77.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound28
20.4%
34
79.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS James 34' 3PT Jump Shot28
21.6%
34
78.4%
Q1 - 0:04.0SASBelinelli 14' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS)28
20.9%
34
79.1%
Q1 - 0:25.0SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
19.0%
34
81.0%
Q1 - 0:26.0MIAMISS James 9' Turnaround Jump Shot26
18.7%
34
81.3%
Q1 - 0:51.0SASBelinelli 18' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS) (Ayres 1 AST)26
17.9%
34
82.1%
Q1 - 1:12MIABeasley 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)24
16.5%
34
83.5%
Q1 - 1:32SASAyres 1' Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)24
18.2%
32
81.8%
Q1 - 1:39MIABeasley Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)22
16.5%
32
83.5%
Q1 - 1:39MIABeasley Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)22
16.8%
31
83.2%
Q1 - 1:47MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
18.2%
30
81.8%
Q1 - 1:48SASMISS Ginobili 20' Fadeaway Jumper22
18.5%
30
81.5%
Q1 - 2:03MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)22
19.5%
30
80.5%
Q1 - 2:12MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
18.2%
30
81.8%
Q1 - 2:13SASMISS Belinelli 20' Jump Shot22
18.6%
30
81.4%
Q1 - 2:37MIAWade 1' Layup (2 PTS) (James 3 AST)22
19.5%
30
80.5%
Q1 - 2:46MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
21.1%
28
78.9%
Q1 - 2:47SASMISS Belinelli 26' 3PT Jump Shot22
21.5%
28
78.5%
Q1 - 2:58MIAAndersen Foul Turnover (P1.T4)22
22.5%
28
77.5%
Q1 - 3:12SASGinobili Traveling Turnover (P1.T4)22
21.0%
28
79.0%
Q1 - 3:25MIAAndersen Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)22
22.6%
28
77.4%
Q1 - 3:25MIAAndersen Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)22
23.1%
27
76.9%
Q1 - 3:42SASWade STEAL (1 STL)22
24.1%
26
75.9%
Q1 - 3:51MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)22
25.9%
26
74.1%
Q1 - 4:16SASDuncan 2' Layup (8 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)22
24.0%
26
76.0%
Q1 - 4:31MIABosh 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Cole 1 AST)20
22.7%
26
77.3%
Q1 - 4:41SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)20
24.0%
24
76.0%
Q1 - 4:41SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)19
23.7%
24
76.3%
Q1 - 4:55MIAChalmers 16' Jump Shot (9 PTS)18
22.7%
24
77.3%
Q1 - 5:17SASDiaw 5' Driving Hook Shot (5 PTS)18
24.3%
22
75.7%
Q1 - 5:42MIAJames 2' Reverse Layup (4 PTS)16
22.9%
22
77.1%
Q1 - 5:57SASDuncan 9' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)16
24.3%
20
75.7%
Q1 - 6:12SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)14
23.1%
20
76.9%
Q1 - 6:13SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot14
22.0%
20
78.0%
Q1 - 6:23MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)14
23.1%
20
76.9%
Q1 - 6:25MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)14
21.6%
20
78.4%
Q1 - 6:26SASMISS Duncan 26' 3PT Jump Shot14
22.0%
20
78.0%
Q1 - 6:49MIABosh 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (James 2 AST)14
23.1%
20
76.9%
Q1 - 7:09SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)14
25.8%
17
74.2%
Q1 - 7:09SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)13
25.5%
17
74.5%
Q1 - 7:12SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
24.6%
17
75.4%
Q1 - 7:13MIAMISS Allen 24' 3PT Jump Shot12
24.1%
17
75.9%
Q1 - 7:16MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)12
23.0%
17
77.0%
Q1 - 7:17MIAMISS James 20' Jump Shot12
24.1%
17
75.9%
Q1 - 7:25MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
23.0%
17
77.0%
Q1 - 7:26SASMISS Parker 16' Jump Shot12
23.4%
17
76.6%
Q1 - 7:52MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)12
24.6%
17
75.4%
Q1 - 8:05SASDuncan 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Joseph 1 AST)12
27.3%
14
72.7%
Q1 - 8:24MIAChalmers 1' Driving Layup (7 PTS)10
26.0%
14
74.0%
Q1 - 8:35SASParker 1' Driving Layup (7 PTS)10
27.3%
12
72.7%
Q1 - 8:49MIAChalmers 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (5 PTS)8
26.0%
12
74.0%
Q1 - 9:05SASDiaw 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)8
27.4%
10
72.6%
Q1 - 9:22MIABosh 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 1 AST)5
24.8%
10
75.2%
Q1 - 9:39SASParker 2' Driving Layup (5 PTS)5
26.0%
8
74.0%
Q1 - 9:45MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)3
24.7%
8
75.3%
Q1 - 9:56SASParker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Belinelli 1 AST)3
23.3%
8
76.7%
Q1 - 10:16MIAAllen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)0
21.3%
8
78.7%
Q1 - 10:27MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
23.6%
5
76.4%
Q1 - 10:28SASMISS Belinelli 24' 3PT Jump Shot0
24.0%
5
76.0%
Q1 - 10:52MIAJames 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Allen 2 AST)0
24.9%
5
75.1%
Q1 - 10:58SASAllen STEAL (1 STL)0
26.1%
3
73.9%
Q1 - 11:10SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
27.3%
3
72.7%
Q1 - 11:11MIAMISS Battier 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
27.0%
3
73.0%
Q1 - 11:25SASParker Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T1)0
26.2%
3
73.8%
Q1 - 11:39MIAChalmers 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)0
27.4%
3
72.6%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Bosh vs. Duncan: Tip to Chalmers0
30.2%
0
69.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.17 58.7%
MIA
1.30 64.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAS
17
25
68%
MIA
18
22
82%
Midrange
SAS
15
29
52%
MIA
17
33
52%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAS
6
9.0
22
27%
41%
MIA
8
12.0
19
42%
63%
Free Throws
SAS
19
23
83%
MIA
19
20
95%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Duncan2377%11.5 / 15
B. Diaw1575%7.5 / 10
M. Belinelli1255%6.0 / 11
T. Parker1155%5.5 / 10
J. Ayres788%3.5 / 4
N. De Colo758%3.5 / 6
C. Joseph643%3.0 / 7
A. Baynes6100%3.0 / 3
O. Jeffers563%2.5 / 4
M. Ginobili321%1.5 / 7
P. Mills325%1.5 / 6
M. Bonner350%1.5 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Bosh24100%12.0 / 12
L. James1860%9.0 / 15
M. Chalmers1689%8.0 / 9
M. Beasley1267%6.0 / 9
N. Cole1155%5.5 / 10
R. Allen1083%5.0 / 6
D. Wade844%4.0 / 9
C. Andersen880%4.0 / 5
G. Oden350%1.5 / 3
R. Mason Jr.375%1.5 / 2
S. Battier0-0.0 / 1
R. Lewis0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAS
78
+8
-12
86
MIA
78
+9
-14
87
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.17 58.7%
MIA
1.30 64.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
110.3
110.7
SAS 112.2
MIA 122.8 +10.6
Pace
95.2
91.5
SAS 89.8
MIA 92.2 +2.4
Avg. Poss. Time
15.1
15.8
SAS 16.0
MIA 15.6 +0.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
53.7%
55.4%
SAS 53.9%
MIA 63.5% +9.6%
TO %
14.7%
15.4%
SAS 12.2% +2.3%
MIA 14.5%
ORB %
22.8%
20.6%
SAS 16.7%
MIA 24.1% +7.4%
FTrt
24.0
30.0
SAS 30.3 +3.3
MIA 27.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
62.1%
58.8%
SAS 63.2%
MIA 65.1% +1.9%
STL %
7.7%
9.7%
SAS 8.9% +2.4%
MIA 6.5%
BLK %
7.7%
8.1%
SAS 7.3%
MIA 9.3% +2.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.51 and 2.51.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
56.0%
57.5%
SAS 58.7%
MIA 64.9% +6.2%
Rim FG%
63.1%
66.7%
SAS 68.0%
MIA 81.8% +13.8%
Mid FG%
40.6%
42.8%
SAS 51.7% +0.2%
MIA 51.5%
3P %
39.7%
36.4%
SAS 27.3%
MIA 42.1% +14.8%
FT %
78.6%
76.0%
SAS 82.6%
MIA 95.0% +12.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.5%
38.3%
SAS 32.9% +3.2%
MIA 29.7%
Mid Att. %
37.8%
32.5%
SAS 38.2% +6.4%
MIA 44.6%
3P Att. %
25.7%
29.2%
SAS 28.9% +3.3%
MIA 25.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.71 and 2.71.
Game TotalsSASMIA
Possessions9092
Possession Minutes24.123.9
Points101113
Rebounds2837
Assists2428
Steals86
Blocks45
Turnovers (Team)12 (0)14 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)6 (2)7 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)22 (0)30 (1)
Field Goals38-7643-74
At-the-Rim FG17-2518-22
Midrange FG15-2917-33
2-Point FG32-5435-55
3-Point FG6-228-19
Free Throws19-2319-20
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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10 San Antonio Spurs
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Marco Belinelli
F · 6'5" 210 · 28
31.0
12
55%
3
3
1
0
1
1
1
2
4-5
80%
4-6
67%
0-3
0%
Boris Diaw
C · 6'8" 250 · 32
27.2
15
75%
1
3
0
0
3
2
0
1
0-0
-
3-7
43%
3-3
100%
Cory Joseph
G · 6'2" 200 · 22
26.8
6
43%
2
2
2
1
0
2
1
1
2-2
100%
2-4
50%
0-2
0%
Tim Duncan
F · 6'11" 250 · 38
24.4
23
77%
3
0
2
1
1
3
1
2
5-5
100%
9-12
75%
0-1
0%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 32
24.1
11
55%
1
7
1
0
2
2
0
1
2-2
100%
3-7
43%
1-2
50%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 36
24.6
3
21%
1
1
0
1
2
2
0
1
1-1
100%
1-5
20%
0-2
0%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 25
17.3
3
25%
2
0
1
0
1
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-5
20%
Aron Baynes
C · 6'10" 260 · 27
15.2
6
100%
6
2
1
1
0
1
1
5
0-0
-
3-3
100%
0-0
-
Jeff Ayres
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 27
15.2
7
88%
4
2
0
0
1
1
1
3
1-2
50%
3-3
100%
0-0
-
Nando De Colo
G · 6'5" 195 · 27
14.8
7
58%
2
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
3-4
75%
2-3
67%
0-1
0%
Othyus Jeffers
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 28
9.8
5
63%
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
1-2
50%
2-3
67%
0-0
-
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 34
9.6
3
50%
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-3
33%
Tiago Splitter
#22 · C-F · 6'11" 245 · 29
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
Danny Green
#4 · G-F · 6'6" 215 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
Kawhi Leonard
#2 · F · 6'7" 225 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
101
59%
28
24
8
4
12
0
6
22
19-23
83%
32-54
59%
6-22
27%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.