FinalWin Prob.pScore
2619%99
102
381%111
109
ORTG#PossPace
LAL logo LAL
107.495102.5
MIA logo MIA
114.79588.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatLakersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatLakersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventLALMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA102
0%
109
100%
Q4 - 0:18.0LALYoung Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)102
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 0:18.0LALMISS Young Free Throw 1 of 2101
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 0:22.0MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (27 PTS)101
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 0:22.0MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 2101
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 0:35.0MIAHEAT Rebound101
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 0:36.0LALMISS Marshall 29' 3PT Jump Shot101
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 0:54.0MIABosh 19' Jump Shot (31 PTS)101
0.7%
108
99.3%
Q4 - 1:08MIAHEAT Rebound101
1.6%
106
98.4%
Q4 - 1:09LALMISS Young 25' 3PT Jump Shot101
2.0%
106
98.0%
Q4 - 1:18LALLakers Rebound101
3.7%
106
96.3%
Q4 - 1:19LALMISS Hill 3' Jump Shot101
2.4%
106
97.6%
Q4 - 1:20LALHill REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)101
3.8%
106
96.2%
Q4 - 1:20LALMISS Young 21' Jump Shot101
2.5%
106
97.5%
Q4 - 1:38LALMarshall REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)101
4.7%
106
95.3%
Q4 - 1:39MIAMISS James 24' 3PT Jump Shot101
4.0%
106
96.0%
Q4 - 2:04MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)101
3.2%
106
96.8%
Q4 - 2:05LALMISS Marshall Free Throw 1 of 1101
3.4%
106
96.6%
Q4 - 2:24MIAJames 25' 3PT Jump Shot (26 PTS)99
2.3%
106
97.7%
Q4 - 2:51LALMeeks 25' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS)99
5.8%
103
94.2%
Q4 - 3:11MIAJames 2' Driving Layup (23 PTS)96
2.7%
103
97.3%
Q4 - 3:30LALHill 9' Turnaround Hook Shot (8 PTS)96
3.7%
101
96.3%
Q4 - 3:49MIAAllen 26' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (James 6 AST)94
3.7%
101
96.3%
Q4 - 4:09LALYoung 26' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS)94
7.2%
98
92.8%
Q4 - 4:23MIABosh 14' Jump Shot (29 PTS)91
3.6%
98
96.4%
Q4 - 4:49LALGasol 6' Turnaround Jump Shot (22 PTS)91
4.9%
96
95.1%
Q4 - 5:12MIABeasley Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T18)89
4.5%
96
95.5%
Q4 - 5:37LALMeeks 26' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Marshall 11 AST)89
3.1%
96
96.9%
Q4 - 5:54MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)86
1.7%
96
98.3%
Q4 - 5:54MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 286
1.8%
95
98.2%
Q4 - 5:55MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)86
1.6%
95
98.4%
Q4 - 5:56LALMISS Young 12' Fadeaway Jumper86
1.8%
95
98.2%
Q4 - 6:06MIABeasley Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T17)86
2.9%
95
97.1%
Q4 - 6:22MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)86
2.1%
95
97.9%
Q4 - 6:23LALMISS Harris 3PT Jump Shot86
2.3%
95
97.7%
Q4 - 6:39MIABosh 16' Jump Shot (27 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)86
2.9%
95
97.1%
Q4 - 7:04MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)86
4.3%
93
95.7%
Q4 - 7:05LALMISS Young Free Throw 1 of 186
4.5%
93
95.5%
Q4 - 7:08MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T16)84
3.4%
93
96.6%
Q4 - 7:31LALHarris Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T12)84
2.5%
93
97.5%
Q4 - 7:45MIABosh 17' Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Cole 5 AST)84
3.3%
93
96.7%
Q4 - 8:01LALGasol 14' Jump Shot (20 PTS)84
5.0%
91
95.0%
Q4 - 8:20MIABeasley 6' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)82
3.9%
91
96.1%
Q4 - 8:43LALYoung 15' Jump Shot (13 PTS)82
4.9%
89
95.1%
Q4 - 8:50MIACole 2' Driving Reverse Layup (11 PTS)80
3.8%
89
96.2%
Q4 - 9:13MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)80
5.5%
87
94.5%
Q4 - 9:14LALMISS Gasol 14' Jump Shot80
5.9%
87
94.1%
Q4 - 9:36MIABosh 17' Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Cole 4 AST)80
6.8%
87
93.2%
Q4 - 9:54LALYoung 1' Layup (11 PTS) (Gasol 4 AST)80
8.5%
85
91.5%
Q4 - 9:58MIABeasley Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T15)78
6.8%
85
93.2%
Q4 - 10:06MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)78
5.8%
85
94.2%
Q4 - 10:07LALMISS Hill 9' Hook Shot78
6.2%
85
93.8%
Q4 - 10:16LALYoung REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)78
7.2%
85
92.8%
Q4 - 10:18LALMISS Young 3PT Jump Shot78
6.2%
85
93.8%
Q4 - 10:33LALLakers Rebound78
7.2%
85
92.8%
Q4 - 10:34MIAMISS Chalmers 2' Layup78
6.7%
85
93.3%
Q4 - 10:47LALGasol Free Throw 1 of 1 (18 PTS)78
5.8%
85
94.2%
Q4 - 11:14LALLakers Rebound75
4.2%
85
95.8%
Q4 - 11:15MIAMISS Oden 1' Dunk75
3.9%
85
96.1%
Q4 - 11:16MIAOden REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)75
3.4%
85
96.6%
Q4 - 11:17MIAMISS Cole 12' Floating Jump Shot75
3.9%
85
96.1%
Q4 - 11:24MIAOden REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)75
3.4%
85
96.6%
Q4 - 11:25LALMISS Meeks 26' 3PT Jump Shot75
3.6%
85
96.4%
Q4 - 11:30LALHarris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)75
4.2%
85
95.8%
Q4 - 11:31LALOden BLOCK (1 BLK)75
3.6%
85
96.4%
Q4 - 11:41MIALewis Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T14)75
4.2%
85
95.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0LAL75
3.4%
85
96.6%
Q3 - 0:01.0LALMarshall REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)75
4.5%
85
95.5%
Q3 - 0:02.0MIAMISS Cole 18' Jump Shot75
4.2%
85
95.8%
Q3 - 0:08.0MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)75
3.7%
85
96.3%
Q3 - 0:10.0LALMISS Hill Free Throw 1 of 175
3.8%
85
96.2%
Q3 - 0:11.0LALHill REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)73
3.0%
85
97.0%
Q3 - 0:12.0LALMISS Young 20' Jump Shot73
2.6%
85
97.4%
Q3 - 0:28.0LALHill REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)73
3.0%
85
97.0%
Q3 - 0:29.0MIAMISS Beasley Free Throw 2 of 273
2.9%
85
97.1%
Q3 - 0:29.0MIABeasley Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)73
2.6%
85
97.4%
Q3 - 0:47.0MIAOden REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)73
3.0%
84
97.0%
Q3 - 0:48.0MIAMISS Beasley 14' Jump Shot73
3.4%
84
96.6%
Q3 - 0:59.0LALSacre 8' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Marshall 10 AST)73
3.0%
84
97.0%
Q3 - 1:10MIACole 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Beasley 4 AST)71
2.7%
84
97.3%
Q3 - 1:24MIAHEAT Rebound71
3.9%
81
96.1%
Q3 - 1:25MIAMISS Mason Jr. 25' 3PT Jump Shot71
4.4%
81
95.6%
Q3 - 1:30MIAJames REBOUND (Off:2 Def:11)71
3.9%
81
96.1%
Q3 - 1:31LALMISS Sacre 5' Hook Shot71
4.1%
81
95.9%
Q3 - 1:44MIABeasley 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Mason Jr. 1 AST)71
4.7%
81
95.3%
Q3 - 2:01LALYoung 1' Running Dunk (9 PTS) (Marshall 9 AST)71
5.9%
79
94.1%
Q3 - 2:06MIACole Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T13)69
5.0%
79
95.0%
Q3 - 2:22LALHill 7' Hook Shot (4 PTS)69
4.1%
79
95.9%
Q3 - 2:24LALHill REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)67
3.5%
79
96.5%
Q3 - 2:25LALMISS Young 25' 3PT Jump Shot67
3.0%
79
97.0%
Q3 - 2:34MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)67
3.5%
79
96.5%
Q3 - 2:34MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)67
3.6%
78
96.4%
Q3 - 2:49LALYoung 13' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Marshall 8 AST)67
4.1%
77
95.9%
Q3 - 3:08LALHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)65
3.7%
77
96.3%
Q3 - 3:09MIAMISS Beasley 25' 3PT Jump Shot65
3.5%
77
96.5%
Q3 - 3:24MIAJames REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)65
3.1%
77
96.9%
Q3 - 3:25LALMISS Gasol Free Throw 2 of 265
3.1%
77
96.9%
Q3 - 3:25LALGasol Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)65
3.5%
77
96.5%
Q3 - 3:25LALGasol REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)64
3.1%
77
96.9%
Q3 - 3:26LALMISS Gasol 2' Layup64
2.7%
77
97.3%
Q3 - 3:29LALGasol REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)64
3.1%
77
96.9%
Q3 - 3:30LALMISS Kelly 1' Driving Layup64
2.7%
77
97.3%
Q3 - 3:41LALGasol REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)64
3.1%
77
96.9%
Q3 - 3:42MIAMISS Allen 16' Jump Shot64
2.9%
77
97.1%
Q3 - 3:56LALYoung Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T11)64
2.6%
77
97.4%
Q3 - 4:00LALGasol REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)64
3.1%
77
96.9%
Q3 - 4:01MIAMISS James 24' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot64
3.1%
77
96.9%
Q3 - 4:07MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)64
2.7%
77
97.3%
Q3 - 4:08LALMISS Young 16' Jump Shot64
2.9%
77
97.1%
Q3 - 4:25LALKelly REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)64
3.3%
77
96.7%
Q3 - 4:26MIAMISS James Free Throw 2 of 264
3.2%
77
96.8%
Q3 - 4:26MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 264
2.9%
77
97.1%
Q3 - 4:47LALGasol 1' Layup (14 PTS) (Marshall 7 AST)64
2.7%
77
97.3%
Q3 - 4:57MIABosh 7' Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Cole 3 AST)62
2.4%
77
97.6%
Q3 - 5:13LALYoung 8' Floating Jump Shot (5 PTS)62
2.9%
75
97.1%
Q3 - 5:33MIABattier Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T12)60
2.5%
75
97.5%
Q3 - 5:43MIABattier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)60
2.1%
75
97.9%
Q3 - 5:44MIAMISS Allen 24' 3PT Jump Shot60
2.4%
75
97.6%
Q3 - 5:50LALChalmers STEAL (1 STL)60
2.1%
75
97.9%
Q3 - 5:59MIAJames 2' Driving Dunk (18 PTS)60
2.5%
75
97.5%
Q3 - 6:05MIAJames REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)60
3.1%
73
96.9%
Q3 - 6:06LALMISS Kelly 24' 3PT Jump Shot60
3.2%
73
96.8%
Q3 - 6:12MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T11)60
3.6%
73
96.4%
Q3 - 6:22MIABattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)60
3.1%
73
96.9%
Q3 - 6:23LALMISS Young 17' Jump Shot60
3.2%
73
96.8%
Q3 - 6:33LALHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)60
3.6%
73
96.4%
Q3 - 6:34MIAMISS James 16' Fadeaway Jumper60
3.5%
73
96.5%
Q3 - 6:51MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)60
3.1%
73
96.9%
Q3 - 6:52LALMISS Gasol 2' Layup60
3.2%
73
96.8%
Q3 - 7:05MIAChalmers 9' Driving Bank Shot (11 PTS)60
3.8%
73
96.2%
Q3 - 7:36LALMeeks 2' Driving Layup (16 PTS) (Marshall 6 AST)60
4.3%
71
95.7%
Q3 - 7:43MIABosh 20' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (James 5 AST)58
3.8%
71
96.2%
Q3 - 8:06LALKelly 19' Jump Shot (7 PTS)58
4.4%
69
95.6%
Q3 - 8:16MIABosh Tip Shot (17 PTS)56
3.9%
69
96.1%
Q3 - 8:17MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)56
4.4%
67
95.6%
Q3 - 8:18MIAMISS Allen 24' 3PT Jump Shot56
4.9%
67
95.1%
Q3 - 8:32LALBattier STEAL (2 STL)56
4.4%
67
95.6%
Q3 - 8:40LALGasol REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)56
5.2%
67
94.8%
Q3 - 8:41MIAMISS Bosh 10' Jump Shot56
4.9%
67
95.1%
Q3 - 9:01LALMeeks 1' Layup (14 PTS)56
4.5%
67
95.5%
Q3 - 9:04MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T10)54
3.9%
67
96.1%
Q3 - 9:17LALW. Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Kelly 2 AST)54
3.4%
67
96.6%
Q3 - 9:28MIAJames 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS)51
2.6%
67
97.4%
Q3 - 9:47LALMeeks 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Gasol 3 AST)51
3.4%
64
96.6%
Q3 - 10:02MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)48
2.6%
64
97.4%
Q3 - 10:02MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)48
2.7%
63
97.3%
Q3 - 10:05MIAJames REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)48
3.0%
62
97.0%
Q3 - 10:06LALMISS Gasol 7' Jump Shot48
3.1%
62
96.9%
Q3 - 10:26MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T9)48
3.4%
62
96.6%
Q3 - 10:45LALW. Johnson 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Kelly 1 AST)48
3.0%
62
97.0%
Q3 - 10:48MIABattier 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)46
2.6%
62
97.4%
Q3 - 10:56MIAJames REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)46
3.4%
59
96.6%
Q3 - 10:57LALMISS W. Johnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot46
3.6%
59
96.4%
Q3 - 11:16MIABosh 6' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Battier 5 AST)46
4.1%
59
95.9%
Q3 - 11:36LALLakers Turnover: Shot Clock (T#8)46
4.6%
57
95.4%
Q3 - 11:36LALLakers Rebound46
5.3%
57
94.7%
Q3 - 11:37LALMISS Marshall 9' Floating Jump Shot46
4.8%
57
95.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0LAL46
5.3%
57
94.7%
Q2 - 0:09.0LALGasol REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)46
5.5%
57
94.5%
Q2 - 0:10.0MIAMISS Battier Free Throw 3 of 346
5.4%
57
94.6%
Q2 - 0:10.0MIAMISS Battier Free Throw 2 of 346
4.9%
57
95.1%
Q2 - 0:10.0MIAMISS Battier Free Throw 1 of 346
4.5%
57
95.5%
Q2 - 0:31.0LALMarshall 26' 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Gasol 2 AST)46
5.0%
57
95.0%
Q2 - 0:48.0MIABosh 2' Finger Roll Layup (13 PTS) (James 4 AST)43
3.7%
57
96.3%
Q2 - 0:57.0LALKelly Foul Turnover (P2.T7)43
4.4%
55
95.6%
Q2 - 1:14MIAAndersen 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T8)43
5.0%
55
95.0%
Q2 - 1:23MIAJames REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)43
4.6%
55
95.4%
Q2 - 1:24LALMISS Young 27' 3PT Jump Shot43
4.7%
55
95.3%
Q2 - 1:34MIAAndersen 1' Layup (4 PTS)43
5.0%
55
95.0%
Q2 - 1:35MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)43
5.9%
53
94.1%
Q2 - 1:37MIAMISS Bosh 9' Hook Shot43
6.2%
53
93.8%
Q2 - 2:00LALKelly 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Marshall 5 AST)43
5.9%
53
94.1%
Q2 - 2:11MIAJames 1' Driving Layup (11 PTS)40
4.7%
53
95.3%
Q2 - 2:17LALAllen STEAL (1 STL)40
5.2%
51
94.8%
Q2 - 2:24MIAJames Foul Turnover (P2.T7)40
5.9%
51
94.1%
Q2 - 2:27MIAJames REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)40
5.2%
51
94.8%
Q2 - 2:28LALBosh BLOCK (1 BLK)40
5.4%
51
94.6%
Q2 - 2:39LALKelly REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)40
5.9%
51
94.1%
Q2 - 2:40MIAMISS James 14' Fadeaway Jumper40
5.7%
51
94.3%
Q2 - 3:06LALGasol 10' Fadeaway Jumper (12 PTS)40
5.2%
51
94.8%
Q2 - 3:14LALGasol REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)38
4.8%
51
95.2%
Q2 - 3:15LALMISS Kelly 2' Driving Layup38
4.4%
51
95.6%
Q2 - 3:27LALGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)38
4.8%
51
95.2%
Q2 - 3:28MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 138
4.7%
51
95.3%
Q2 - 3:52LALGasol 6' Hook Shot (10 PTS)38
5.2%
49
94.8%
Q2 - 4:05MIABosh 10' Jump Hook Shot (11 PTS) (Cole 2 AST)36
4.9%
49
95.1%
Q2 - 4:15MIAMISS Allen Free Throw Technical36
5.4%
47
94.6%
Q2 - 4:24MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)36
5.4%
47
94.6%
Q2 - 4:25LALMISS Marshall 24' 3PT Jump Shot36
5.6%
47
94.4%
Q2 - 4:37MIACole 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (6 PTS)36
6.1%
47
93.9%
Q2 - 4:56MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)36
6.7%
45
93.3%
Q2 - 4:57LALMISS Gasol 16' Jump Shot36
7.0%
45
93.0%
Q2 - 5:02LALKelly REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)36
7.6%
45
92.4%
Q2 - 5:03MIAMISS James 7' Fadeaway Jumper36
7.4%
45
92.6%
Q2 - 5:16LALAndersen STEAL (1 STL)36
6.9%
45
93.1%
Q2 - 5:28MIAJames 1' Driving Layup (7 PTS)36
7.6%
45
92.4%
Q2 - 5:42LALGasol 8' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Meeks 1 AST)36
8.5%
43
91.5%
Q2 - 5:58LALGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)34
7.6%
43
92.4%
Q2 - 5:59MIAMISS Bosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot34
7.4%
43
92.6%
Q2 - 6:19LALMeeks Dunk (9 PTS) (Marshall 4 AST)34
6.9%
43
93.1%
Q2 - 6:26LALGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)32
6.4%
43
93.6%
Q2 - 6:27MIAMISS Bosh 8' Turnaround Hook Shot32
6.1%
43
93.9%
Q2 - 6:42MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)32
5.6%
43
94.4%
Q2 - 6:43LALMISS Kelly Free Throw 2 of 232
5.7%
43
94.3%
Q2 - 6:43LALMISS Kelly Free Throw 1 of 232
6.1%
43
93.9%
Q2 - 6:46LALKelly REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)32
6.4%
43
93.6%
Q2 - 6:47LALAndersen BLOCK (1 BLK)32
5.8%
43
94.2%
Q2 - 6:57LALYoung REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
6.4%
43
93.6%
Q2 - 6:58MIAMISS Cole 7' Floating Jump Shot32
6.1%
43
93.9%
Q2 - 7:15MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)32
5.8%
43
94.2%
Q2 - 7:16MIAMISS Lewis 24' 3PT Jump Shot32
6.2%
43
93.8%
Q2 - 7:28LALMeeks Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)32
5.8%
43
94.2%
Q2 - 7:28LALMeeks Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)31
5.7%
43
94.3%
Q2 - 7:31MIAChalmers Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T6)30
5.3%
43
94.7%
Q2 - 7:38MIALewis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)30
4.7%
43
95.3%
Q2 - 7:39LALLewis BLOCK (1 BLK)30
4.9%
43
95.1%
Q2 - 7:50MIACole 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Beasley 3 AST)30
5.3%
43
94.7%
Q2 - 7:55LALCole STEAL (1 STL)30
5.8%
41
94.2%
Q2 - 8:05LALHill REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)30
6.5%
41
93.5%
Q2 - 8:06MIAMISS Bosh 19' Jump Shot30
6.3%
41
93.7%
Q2 - 8:11MIALewis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)30
5.9%
41
94.1%
Q2 - 8:12MIAMISS Lewis 8' Hook Shot30
6.3%
41
93.7%
Q2 - 8:30LALLakers Rebound30
5.9%
41
94.1%
Q2 - 8:30LALMarshall Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)30
5.9%
41
94.1%
Q2 - 8:30LALMISS Marshall Free Throw 1 of 229
5.8%
41
94.2%
Q2 - 8:50MIACole Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)29
5.9%
41
94.1%
Q2 - 8:50MIACole Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)29
6.1%
40
93.9%
Q2 - 8:53MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
6.5%
39
93.5%
Q2 - 8:54LALMISS Hill 1' Layup29
6.7%
39
93.3%
Q2 - 8:55LALHill REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)29
7.2%
39
92.8%
Q2 - 8:56LALMISS Meeks 13' Fadeaway Jumper29
6.7%
39
93.3%
Q2 - 9:22MIAChalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Beasley 2 AST)29
7.2%
39
92.8%
Q2 - 9:42LALHarris 12' Running Bank Shot (7 PTS)29
8.6%
36
91.4%
Q2 - 9:54MIAOden 6' Turnaround Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Cole 1 AST)27
7.9%
36
92.1%
Q2 - 10:10MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)27
8.7%
34
91.3%
Q2 - 10:11LALMISS Young 19' Jump Shot27
9.0%
34
91.0%
Q2 - 10:21MIABeasley 1' Dunk (2 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)27
9.7%
34
90.3%
Q2 - 10:35LALHill Foul Turnover (P1.T3)27
10.4%
32
89.6%
Q2 - 10:53MIAChalmers Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)27
11.6%
32
88.4%
Q2 - 11:11MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
10.6%
32
89.4%
Q2 - 11:12LALMISS Harris 6' Jump Shot27
10.9%
32
89.1%
Q2 - 11:32MIAOden 1' Dunk (3 PTS) (Beasley 1 AST)27
11.6%
32
88.4%
Q2 - 11:45MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
12.6%
30
87.4%
Q2 - 11:46LALMISS Harris 25' 3PT Jump Shot27
12.9%
30
87.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA27
13.8%
30
86.2%
Q1 - 0:02.0LALHill Tip Shot (2 PTS)27
12.8%
30
87.2%
Q1 - 0:03.0LALHill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)25
11.5%
30
88.5%
Q1 - 0:04.0LALMISS Young 8' Floating Jump Shot25
11.1%
30
88.9%
Q1 - 0:11.0MIAJames 9' Jump Shot (5 PTS)25
11.5%
30
88.5%
Q1 - 0:12.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)25
12.8%
28
87.2%
Q1 - 0:13.0MIAMISS James 2' Layup25
13.4%
28
86.6%
Q1 - 0:14.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)25
12.8%
28
87.2%
Q1 - 0:15.0MIAMISS Cole 26' 3PT Jump Shot25
13.4%
28
86.6%
Q1 - 0:33.0MIAOden REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)25
12.8%
28
87.2%
Q1 - 0:34.0MIAMISS Oden 1' Tip Shot25
13.4%
28
86.6%
Q1 - 0:35.0MIAOden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)25
12.8%
28
87.2%
Q1 - 0:36.0MIAMISS Beasley 5' Driving Layup25
13.4%
28
86.6%
Q1 - 0:49.0LALHarris Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)25
12.8%
28
87.2%
Q1 - 0:53.0MIACole Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)22
10.6%
28
89.4%
Q1 - 1:04LALMeeks Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)22
10.0%
28
90.0%
Q1 - 1:04LALMeeks Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)21
9.9%
28
90.1%
Q1 - 1:13MIAJames 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (3 PTS)20
9.0%
28
91.0%
Q1 - 1:22MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)20
10.0%
26
90.0%
Q1 - 1:23LALMISS Sacre 17' Jump Shot20
10.2%
26
89.8%
Q1 - 1:40LALHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
10.6%
26
89.4%
Q1 - 1:41MIAMISS Oden 6' Turnaround Hook Shot20
10.4%
26
89.6%
Q1 - 1:57LALSacre 3' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Harris 1 AST)20
10.0%
26
90.0%
Q1 - 2:16MIAOden Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)18
9.1%
26
90.9%
Q1 - 2:16MIAMISS Oden Free Throw 1 of 218
9.3%
25
90.7%
Q1 - 2:30LALHarris Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)18
9.2%
25
90.8%
Q1 - 2:30LALHarris Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)17
9.0%
25
91.0%
Q1 - 2:43MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)16
8.4%
25
91.6%
Q1 - 2:43MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 216
8.5%
24
91.5%
Q1 - 2:44MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)16
8.5%
24
91.5%
Q1 - 2:45LALMISS Harris 25' 3PT Jump Shot16
8.7%
24
91.3%
Q1 - 2:50LALSacre REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)16
9.1%
24
90.9%
Q1 - 2:52LALMISS Young 21' Jump Shot16
8.7%
24
91.3%
Q1 - 3:04MIAAndersen Foul Turnover (P1.T3)16
9.1%
24
90.9%
Q1 - 3:14MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
8.4%
24
91.6%
Q1 - 3:15LALMISS Kelly 3PT Jump Shot16
8.6%
24
91.4%
Q1 - 3:34MIAAllen 1' Driving Layup (7 PTS) (Battier 4 AST)16
9.1%
24
90.9%
Q1 - 3:52LALYoung 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Marshall 3 AST)16
9.8%
22
90.2%
Q1 - 4:15MIAAndersen 1' Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (James 3 AST)13
8.4%
22
91.6%
Q1 - 4:34MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
9.0%
20
91.0%
Q1 - 4:35LALMISS Kelly 9' Driving Hook Shot13
9.2%
20
90.8%
Q1 - 4:49LALYoung REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
9.8%
20
90.2%
Q1 - 4:50MIAMISS Andersen 18' Jump Shot13
9.6%
20
90.4%
Q1 - 5:04LALBattier STEAL (1 STL)13
9.2%
20
90.8%
Q1 - 5:15MIAChalmers 1' Driving Layup (6 PTS)13
10.0%
20
90.0%
Q1 - 5:24LALGasol 2' Layup (6 PTS) (W. Johnson 1 AST)13
10.7%
18
89.3%
Q1 - 5:44LALW. Johnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
10.0%
18
90.0%
Q1 - 5:45MIAMISS Battier 26' 3PT Jump Shot11
9.7%
18
90.3%
Q1 - 5:54MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)11
9.2%
18
90.8%
Q1 - 5:55LALMISS Kelly 17' Jump Shot11
9.4%
18
90.6%
Q1 - 6:15MIAAllen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Battier 3 AST)11
10.0%
18
90.0%
Q1 - 6:25MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)11
11.4%
15
88.6%
Q1 - 6:26LALMISS Kelly 25' 3PT Jump Shot11
11.7%
15
88.3%
Q1 - 6:45LALKelly REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
12.3%
15
87.7%
Q1 - 6:46MIAMISS Allen 24' 3PT Jump Shot11
12.0%
15
88.0%
Q1 - 7:00LALW. Johnson 3' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Marshall 2 AST)11
11.4%
15
88.6%
Q1 - 7:21MIABosh 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (James 2 AST)9
10.7%
15
89.3%
Q1 - 7:35LALGasol Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)9
11.3%
13
88.7%
Q1 - 7:35LALGasol Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)8
11.2%
13
88.8%
Q1 - 7:58MIAAllen 1' Layup (2 PTS) (James 1 AST)7
10.7%
13
89.3%
Q1 - 8:07MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
11.2%
11
88.8%
Q1 - 8:08LALMISS Meeks 25' 3PT Jump Shot7
11.5%
11
88.5%
Q1 - 8:14MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)7
12.1%
11
87.9%
Q1 - 8:16LALJames STEAL (1 STL)7
11.2%
11
88.8%
Q1 - 8:30MIAChalmers 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS)7
12.1%
11
87.9%
Q1 - 8:40LALGasol 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Marshall 1 AST)7
12.8%
9
87.2%
Q1 - 8:54MIABosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS)5
12.1%
9
87.9%
Q1 - 8:56MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)5
13.7%
6
86.3%
Q1 - 8:57MIAMISS Bosh 21' Jump Shot5
14.3%
6
85.7%
Q1 - 9:15LALMeeks 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Gasol 1 AST)5
13.6%
6
86.4%
Q1 - 9:19LALGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
12.1%
6
87.9%
Q1 - 9:20LALMISS W. Johnson 21' Jump Shot2
11.5%
6
88.5%
Q1 - 9:47MIABosh 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Battier 2 AST)2
12.1%
6
87.9%
Q1 - 9:56MIABattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
12.7%
4
87.3%
Q1 - 9:57LALMISS Meeks 1' Layup2
13.0%
4
87.0%
Q1 - 10:03LALMarshall REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
13.6%
4
86.4%
Q1 - 10:04MIAMISS Bosh 24' 3PT Jump Shot2
13.4%
4
86.6%
Q1 - 10:30LALKelly 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
12.8%
4
87.2%
Q1 - 10:46MIAAllen Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)0
12.1%
4
87.9%
Q1 - 10:53MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
11.3%
4
88.7%
Q1 - 10:54LALMISS W. Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot0
11.5%
4
88.5%
Q1 - 11:09MIAChalmers 2' Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Battier 1 AST)0
11.9%
4
88.1%
Q1 - 11:15MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
12.7%
2
87.3%
Q1 - 11:16LALMISS Gasol 8' Turnaround Jump Shot0
12.9%
2
87.1%
Q1 - 11:42MIABosh 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)0
13.4%
2
86.6%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Bosh vs. Gasol: Tip to Chalmers0
14.2%
0
85.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

LAL
1.03 51.5%
MIA
1.21 60.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
LAL
16
28
57%
MIA
21
26
81%
Midrange
LAL
15
35
43%
MIA
16
32
50%
3PT | Effective 3PT
LAL
9
13.5
25
36%
54%
MIA
8
12.0
20
40%
60%
Free Throws
LAL
13
21
62%
MIA
11
23
48%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
LAL logo Lakers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
P. Gasol2265%11.0 / 17
J. Meeks2273%11.0 / 15
N. Young1945%9.5 / 21
J. Hill857%4.0 / 7
R. Kelly732%3.5 / 11
W. Johnson758%3.5 / 6
M. Harris744%3.5 / 8
K. Marshall643%3.0 / 7
R. Sacre450%2.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Bosh3170%15.5 / 22
L. James2764%13.5 / 21
M. Chalmers1192%5.5 / 6
N. Cole1161%5.5 / 9
R. Allen1063%5.0 / 8
M. Beasley750%3.5 / 7
G. Oden542%2.5 / 6
C. Andersen467%2.0 / 3
S. Battier350%1.5 / 3
R. Lewis0-0.0 / 2
R. Mason Jr.0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

LAL
84
+16
-11
100
MIA
77
+13
-18
90
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

LAL
1.03 51.5%
MIA
1.21 60.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
104.2
110.7
LAL 107.4
MIA 114.7 +7.4
Pace
98.8
91.5
LAL 102.5 +14.1
MIA 88.5
Avg. Poss. Time
14.2
15.8
LAL 14.0 +2.2
MIA 16.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.5%
55.4%
LAL 50.6%
MIA 62.8% +12.2%
TO %
15.0%
15.4%
LAL 11.0% +6.0%
MIA 17.0%
ORB %
20.3%
20.6%
LAL 26.5%
MIA 35.3% +8.8%
FTrt
26.3
30.0
LAL 23.9
MIA 29.5 +5.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
63.9%
58.8%
LAL 52.5%
MIA 55.6% +3.1%
STL %
7.6%
9.7%
LAL 12.6% +5.2%
MIA 7.4%
BLK %
8.1%
8.1%
LAL 1.7%
MIA 6.3% +4.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.51 and 2.51.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.2%
57.5%
LAL 51.5%
MIA 60.6% +9.1%
Rim FG%
58.2%
66.7%
LAL 57.1%
MIA 80.8% +23.7%
Mid FG%
38.5%
42.8%
LAL 42.9%
MIA 50.0% +7.1%
3P %
38.1%
36.4%
LAL 36.0%
MIA 40.0% +4.0%
FT %
75.7%
76.0%
LAL 61.9% +14.1%
MIA 47.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.5%
38.3%
LAL 31.8%
MIA 33.3% +1.5%
Mid Att. %
37.4%
32.5%
LAL 39.8% +1.3%
MIA 41.0%
3P Att. %
29.1%
29.2%
LAL 28.4% +2.8%
MIA 25.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.71 and 2.71.
Game TotalsLALMIA
Possessions9595
Possession Minutes22.225.8
Points102109
Rebounds3548
Assists2125
Steals127
Blocks14
Turnovers (Team)11 (1)18 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)13 (3)12 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)22 (2)36 (2)
Field Goals40-8845-78
At-the-Rim FG16-2821-26
Midrange FG15-3516-32
2-Point FG31-6337-58
3-Point FG9-258-20
Free Throws13-2111-23
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
C · 7'0" 250 · 34
37.5
22
65%
11
4
3
0
1
1
4
7
4-5
80%
9-15
60%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 200 · 22
35.8
6
43%
3
11
1
0
3
2
0
3
1-3
33%
1-3
33%
1-3
33%
G · 6'4" 210 · 26
35.6
22
73%
0
1
2
0
1
1
0
0
4-4
100%
3-7
43%
4-6
67%
F · 6'11" 230 · 23
25.8
7
32%
5
2
1
0
2
3
1
4
0-2
0%
2-6
33%
1-4
25%
F · 6'7" 215 · 27
18.4
7
58%
1
1
1
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
67%
1-3
33%
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 29
33.0
19
45%
3
1
3
0
2
4
1
2
1-3
33%
6-14
43%
2-6
33%
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 26
22.1
8
57%
7
0
1
1
1
2
5
2
0-1
0%
4-7
57%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 185 · 24
21.3
7
44%
4
1
0
0
1
0
1
3
3-3
100%
2-4
50%
0-3
0%
C · 7'0" 270 · 25
10.5
4
50%
1
0
0
0
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 172 · 34
G · 6'2" 180 · 27
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 23
C · 7'0" 265 · 32
#10 · G · 6'3" 178 · 40
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#24 · F-G · 6'6" 212 · 35
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
102
52%
35
21
12
1
11
0
13
22
13-21
62%
31-63
49%
9-25
36%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.