for complete access.
All Games Tuesday, January 21, 2014
FinalWin Prob.pScore
23
Celtics
25%95
86
4
Heat
75%104
93
ORTG#PossPace
BOS logo BOS
98.98788.4
MIA logo MIA
106.98785.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatCelticsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatCelticsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventBOSMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA86
0%
93
100%
Q4 - 0:02.0BOSMISS Green 30' 3PT Jump Shot86
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 0:10.0BOSHumphries REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)86
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 0:11.0MIAMISS James Free Throw 2 of 286
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 0:11.0MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (29 PTS)86
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 0:16.0MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)86
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 0:17.0BOSMISS Rondo 24' 3PT Jump Shot86
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 0:26.0MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (28 PTS)86
0.6%
92
99.4%
Q4 - 0:26.0MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (27 PTS)86
0.7%
91
99.3%
Q4 - 0:43.0MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)86
2.1%
90
97.9%
Q4 - 0:44.0BOSMISS Rondo Free Throw 2 of 286
2.4%
90
97.6%
Q4 - 0:44.0BOSMISS Rondo Free Throw 1 of 286
3.5%
90
96.5%
Q4 - 0:59.0MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)86
5.9%
90
94.1%
Q4 - 0:59.0MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)86
6.6%
89
93.4%
Q4 - 1:12BOSGreen Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T18)86
11.1%
88
88.9%
Q4 - 1:33BOSJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)86
20.9%
88
79.1%
Q4 - 1:34BOSMISS Rondo 3' Driving Layup86
14.9%
88
85.1%
Q4 - 1:52MIAAllen 16' Fadeaway Jumper (7 PTS)86
21.3%
88
78.7%
Q4 - 2:14MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)86
29.8%
86
70.2%
Q4 - 2:15BOSMISS Johnson 3PT Jump Shot86
33.8%
86
66.2%
Q4 - 2:33MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)86
44.0%
86
56.0%
Q4 - 2:33MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)86
46.2%
85
53.8%
Q4 - 2:36BOSAndersen STEAL (1 STL)86
52.5%
84
47.5%
Q4 - 2:43MIACole Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T14)86
67.1%
84
32.9%
Q4 - 3:08BOSHumphries Dunk (14 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)86
50.5%
84
49.5%
Q4 - 3:21MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T13)84
42.5%
84
57.5%
Q4 - 3:32MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)84
29.9%
84
70.1%
Q4 - 3:33BOSMISS Green 3PT Jump Shot84
32.6%
84
67.4%
Q4 - 3:47BOSHumphries REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)84
39.2%
84
60.8%
Q4 - 3:48MIAMISS James 1' Reverse Dunk84
36.2%
84
63.8%
Q4 - 4:01MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)84
29.8%
84
70.2%
Q4 - 4:01BOSMISS Green 10' Jump Shot84
32.6%
84
67.4%
Q4 - 4:11BOSGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)84
39.3%
84
60.7%
Q4 - 4:12MIAMISS Cole 20' Jump Shot84
36.3%
84
63.7%
Q4 - 4:32BOSSullinger 11' Jump Shot (12 PTS)84
29.8%
84
70.2%
Q4 - 4:57BOSHumphries REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)82
23.0%
84
77.0%
Q4 - 4:58MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 182
22.0%
84
78.0%
Q4 - 5:25BOSHumphries 1' Dunk (12 PTS) (Pressey 3 AST)82
29.3%
82
70.7%
Q4 - 5:30MIACole Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T12)80
23.3%
82
76.7%
Q4 - 5:52BOSJohnson 2' Layup (11 PTS)80
17.4%
82
82.6%
Q4 - 5:53BOSJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)78
13.3%
82
86.7%
Q4 - 5:54BOSMISS Sullinger 26' 3PT Jump Shot78
10.6%
82
89.4%
Q4 - 6:18MIABosh 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (James 4 AST)78
14.2%
82
85.8%
Q4 - 6:47BOSJohnson Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)78
22.6%
79
77.4%
Q4 - 7:01MIAAndersen Alley Oop Dunk (13 PTS) (Cole 6 AST)75
14.7%
79
85.3%
Q4 - 7:14MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)75
18.2%
77
81.8%
Q4 - 7:15BOSMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot75
19.6%
77
80.4%
Q4 - 7:17MIAAndersen Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)75
23.2%
77
76.8%
Q4 - 7:19MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)75
18.2%
77
81.8%
Q4 - 7:21BOSMISS Rondo 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup75
19.6%
77
80.4%
Q4 - 7:23BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)75
23.2%
77
76.8%
Q4 - 7:24MIAMISS Bosh 26' 3PT Jump Shot75
21.6%
77
78.4%
Q4 - 7:48BOSRondo Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)75
18.1%
77
81.9%
Q4 - 7:48BOSMISS Rondo Free Throw 1 of 274
16.9%
77
83.1%
Q4 - 7:52BOSHumphries REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)74
18.6%
77
81.4%
Q4 - 7:53MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot74
17.2%
77
82.8%
Q4 - 8:16BOSHumphries 1' Tip Shot (10 PTS)74
15.4%
77
84.6%
Q4 - 8:17BOSHumphries REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)72
12.3%
77
87.7%
Q4 - 8:18BOSMISS Bass 18' Jump Shot72
10.5%
77
89.5%
Q4 - 8:35BOSHumphries REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)72
12.2%
77
87.8%
Q4 - 8:36MIAMISS Cole 26' 3PT Jump Shot72
11.4%
77
88.6%
Q4 - 8:52MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)72
9.7%
77
90.3%
Q4 - 8:53BOSMISS Humphries 17' Jump Shot72
10.4%
77
89.6%
Q4 - 9:14BOSWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)72
12.9%
77
87.1%
Q4 - 9:15MIAMISS Bosh 17' Jump Shot72
12.1%
77
87.9%
Q4 - 9:33BOSWallace Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T16)72
10.4%
77
89.6%
Q4 - 9:46BOSBass Free Throw Technical (15 PTS)72
12.9%
77
87.1%
Q4 - 9:47MIABeasley Dunk (9 PTS) (Cole 5 AST)71
10.4%
77
89.6%
Q4 - 9:51BOSCole STEAL (3 STL)71
12.9%
75
87.1%
Q4 - 10:03MIAAndersen Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T10)71
16.1%
75
83.9%
Q4 - 10:19BOSOlynyk 1' Layup (6 PTS) (Bass 2 AST)71
13.2%
75
86.8%
Q4 - 10:32MIAAndersen 18' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Chalmers 6 AST)69
10.8%
75
89.2%
Q4 - 10:40MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)69
13.2%
73
86.8%
Q4 - 10:41BOSChalmers BLOCK (1 BLK)69
14.0%
73
86.0%
Q4 - 10:51BOSWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)69
16.1%
73
83.9%
Q4 - 10:52MIAMISS Beasley 1' Driving Layup69
15.1%
73
84.9%
Q4 - 10:57MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)69
13.2%
73
86.8%
Q4 - 10:58BOSMISS Olynyk 18' Jump Shot69
14.0%
73
86.0%
Q4 - 11:15MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)69
16.5%
73
83.5%
Q4 - 11:15MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)69
17.1%
72
82.9%
Q4 - 11:34BOSBass Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)69
19.6%
71
80.4%
Q4 - 11:34BOSBass Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)68
19.2%
71
80.8%
Q4 - 11:34BOSBass REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)67
16.5%
71
83.5%
Q4 - 11:35BOSAndersen BLOCK (1 BLK)67
14.5%
71
85.5%
Q4 - 11:44MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)67
16.5%
71
83.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA67
13.7%
71
86.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound67
13.7%
71
86.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS James 39' 3PT Jump Shot67
15.6%
71
84.4%
Q3 - 0:01.0MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)67
14.2%
71
85.8%
Q3 - 0:02.0BOSMISS Green 26' 3PT Jump Shot67
14.9%
71
85.1%
Q3 - 0:26.0BOSGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)67
16.7%
71
83.3%
Q3 - 0:27.0MIAMISS Allen 25' 3PT Jump Shot67
15.9%
71
84.1%
Q3 - 0:40.0BOSBass Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)67
14.1%
71
85.9%
Q3 - 0:40.0BOSBass Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)66
13.8%
71
86.2%
Q3 - 0:47.0MIABeasley 13' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Cole 4 AST)65
11.7%
71
88.3%
Q3 - 1:01BOSBass 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS)65
14.3%
69
85.7%
Q3 - 1:13BOSGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)63
12.0%
69
88.0%
Q3 - 1:14MIAMISS James 24' 3PT Jump Shot63
11.4%
69
88.6%
Q3 - 1:39BOSGreen 1' Driving Layup (12 PTS)63
10.1%
69
89.9%
Q3 - 1:55MIAJames 14' Fadeaway Jumper (18 PTS)61
8.4%
69
91.6%
Q3 - 2:14BOSBass Foul Turnover (P2.T14)61
10.3%
67
89.7%
Q3 - 2:37MIAJames 16' Jump Shot (16 PTS)61
12.2%
67
87.8%
Q3 - 3:04BOSSullinger 2' Layup (10 PTS)61
14.4%
65
85.6%
Q3 - 3:06BOSSullinger REBOUND (Off:8 Def:3)59
12.5%
65
87.5%
Q3 - 3:07BOSMISS Pressey 25' 3PT Jump Shot59
11.1%
65
88.9%
Q3 - 3:23MIAJames 9' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Chalmers 5 AST)59
12.5%
65
87.5%
Q3 - 3:43BOSBass 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Green 1 AST)59
14.4%
63
85.6%
Q3 - 3:52BOSBass REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)57
12.5%
63
87.5%
Q3 - 3:53MIAMISS Chalmers 1' Driving Layup57
11.9%
63
88.1%
Q3 - 4:24BOSWallace 1' Driving Layup (8 PTS) (Bass 1 AST)57
10.7%
63
89.3%
Q3 - 4:38MIAChalmers 2' Driving Layup (8 PTS)55
9.5%
63
90.5%
Q3 - 4:54MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)55
10.7%
61
89.3%
Q3 - 4:55MIAMISS Allen 26' 3PT Jump Shot55
12.1%
61
87.9%
Q3 - 5:15MIAHEAT Rebound55
11.0%
61
89.0%
Q3 - 5:17BOSMISS Wallace 4' Jump Shot55
11.5%
61
88.5%
Q3 - 5:40MIAJames Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T8)55
13.0%
61
87.0%
Q3 - 5:48MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)55
10.9%
61
89.1%
Q3 - 5:49BOSMISS Sullinger 25' 3PT Jump Shot55
11.5%
61
88.5%
Q3 - 5:57BOSSullinger REBOUND (Off:7 Def:3)55
13.0%
61
87.0%
Q3 - 5:58MIAMISS Battier 24' Jump Shot55
12.3%
61
87.7%
Q3 - 6:12BOSHumphries 2' Layup (8 PTS)55
11.1%
61
88.9%
Q3 - 6:15BOSHumphries REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)53
9.8%
61
90.2%
Q3 - 6:16BOSMISS Wallace 1' Layup53
8.8%
61
91.2%
Q3 - 6:31MIABosh Alley Oop Dunk (13 PTS) (Allen 4 AST)53
9.8%
61
90.2%
Q3 - 6:49MIAHEAT Rebound53
11.1%
59
88.9%
Q3 - 6:50BOSMISS Sullinger 7' Jump Shot53
11.7%
59
88.3%
Q3 - 6:51BOSSullinger REBOUND (Off:7 Def:2)53
13.0%
59
87.0%
Q3 - 6:52BOSMISS Wallace 24' 3PT Jump Shot53
11.7%
59
88.3%
Q3 - 7:20MIABattier 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Allen 3 AST)53
13.0%
59
87.0%
Q3 - 7:22MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)53
14.7%
57
85.3%
Q3 - 7:23MIAMISS Battier 24' 3PT Jump Shot53
16.2%
57
83.8%
Q3 - 7:41BOSSullinger Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)53
14.7%
57
85.3%
Q3 - 7:41BOSSullinger Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)52
14.3%
57
85.7%
Q3 - 7:41BOSSullinger REBOUND (Off:6 Def:2)51
13.0%
57
87.0%
Q3 - 7:42BOSMISS Pressey 25' 3PT Jump Shot51
11.8%
57
88.2%
Q3 - 7:57MIAAllen Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)51
13.0%
57
87.0%
Q3 - 8:21BOSHumphries 14' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Rondo 5 AST)51
11.3%
57
88.7%
Q3 - 8:44MIABattier 1' Layup (2 PTS) (James 3 AST)49
10.0%
57
90.0%
Q3 - 9:00BOSSullinger 2' Layup (6 PTS)49
11.3%
55
88.7%
Q3 - 9:02BOSSullinger REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)47
10.0%
55
90.0%
Q3 - 9:03BOSBattier BLOCK (1 BLK)47
9.1%
55
90.9%
Q3 - 9:04BOSSullinger REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)47
10.0%
55
90.0%
Q3 - 9:07BOSMISS Sullinger 2' Alley Oop Layup47
9.1%
55
90.9%
Q3 - 9:12BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)47
10.0%
55
90.0%
Q3 - 9:13MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot47
9.6%
55
90.4%
Q3 - 9:38BOSWallace 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Rondo 4 AST)47
8.7%
55
91.3%
Q3 - 10:00MIABosh 2' Layup (11 PTS) (Battier 2 AST)44
6.7%
55
93.3%
Q3 - 10:19BOSHumphries Foul Turnover (P2.T13)44
7.7%
53
92.3%
Q3 - 10:39MIABosh 1' Layup (9 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST)44
8.7%
53
91.3%
Q3 - 10:53BOSHumphries 7' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Rondo 3 AST)44
9.9%
51
90.1%
Q3 - 11:06MIABosh Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)42
8.9%
51
91.1%
Q3 - 11:34BOSSullinger 14' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS)42
7.8%
51
92.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0BOS40
6.9%
51
93.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0BOSCeltics Rebound40
6.9%
51
93.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0BOSMISS Green 63' 3PT Jump Shot40
6.3%
51
93.7%
Q2 - 0:02.0MIABosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Allen 2 AST)40
7.2%
51
92.8%
Q2 - 0:11.0MIAHEAT Rebound40
9.4%
48
90.6%
Q2 - 0:12.0MIAMISS Allen 3PT Jump Shot40
10.0%
48
90.0%
Q2 - 0:33.0BOSGreen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Humphries 2 AST)40
9.4%
48
90.6%
Q2 - 0:50.0MIAJames 1' Tip Shot (12 PTS)37
7.1%
48
92.9%
Q2 - 0:51.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)37
8.3%
46
91.7%
Q2 - 0:52.0MIAMISS James 2' Layup37
8.8%
46
91.2%
Q2 - 1:03MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)37
8.7%
46
91.3%
Q2 - 1:04BOSMISS Sullinger 25' 3PT Jump Shot37
8.9%
46
91.1%
Q2 - 1:13MIACole Foul Turnover (P2.T5)37
9.3%
46
90.7%
Q2 - 1:19BOSSullinger Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)37
8.7%
46
91.3%
Q2 - 1:19BOSSullinger Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)36
8.4%
46
91.6%
Q2 - 1:19BOSCeltics Rebound35
7.4%
46
92.6%
Q2 - 1:20BOSMISS Humphries 19' Jump Shot35
7.0%
46
93.0%
Q2 - 1:37MIAJames 1' Dunk (10 PTS) (Cole 3 AST)35
7.4%
46
92.6%
Q2 - 1:41BOSCole STEAL (2 STL)35
8.6%
44
91.4%
Q2 - 1:59MIAOden Putback Dunk (2 PTS)35
9.3%
44
90.7%
Q2 - 2:00MIAOden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)35
10.9%
42
89.1%
Q2 - 2:01MIAMISS James 9' Jump Shot35
11.7%
42
88.3%
Q2 - 2:19BOSCeltics Turnover: Shot Clock (T#11)35
10.8%
42
89.2%
Q2 - 2:19BOSCeltics Rebound35
12.1%
42
87.9%
Q2 - 2:19BOSOden BLOCK (1 BLK)35
11.2%
42
88.8%
Q2 - 2:42BOSHumphries REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)35
12.1%
42
87.9%
Q2 - 2:43MIAMISS Oden 7' Jump Shot35
11.7%
42
88.3%
Q2 - 3:07BOSHumphries Foul Turnover (P1.T10)35
10.8%
42
89.2%
Q2 - 3:20BOSGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)35
12.2%
42
87.8%
Q2 - 3:21MIAMISS Oden 16' Jump Shot35
11.8%
42
88.2%
Q2 - 3:43BOSHumphries 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)35
10.8%
42
89.2%
Q2 - 3:57BOSSullinger REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)33
9.9%
42
90.1%
Q2 - 3:58BOSMISS Green 24' 3PT Jump Shot33
9.0%
42
91.0%
Q2 - 4:14BOSSullinger REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)33
9.9%
42
90.1%
Q2 - 4:15MIAMISS Cole 24' 3PT Jump Shot33
9.6%
42
90.4%
Q2 - 4:37BOSGreen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Pressey 2 AST)33
8.9%
42
91.1%
Q2 - 4:43BOSSullinger REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)30
7.2%
42
92.8%
Q2 - 4:44MIAMISS Chalmers 8' Jump Shot30
7.0%
42
93.0%
Q2 - 5:03BOSCeltics Turnover: Shot Clock (T#9)30
6.7%
42
93.3%
Q2 - 5:03BOSCeltics Rebound30
7.4%
42
92.6%
Q2 - 5:04BOSMISS Sullinger 25' 3PT Jump Shot30
6.9%
42
93.1%
Q2 - 5:27MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)30
7.4%
42
92.6%
Q2 - 5:41BOSAnthony 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Rondo 2 AST)30
6.7%
42
93.3%
Q2 - 5:52BOSAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)28
6.0%
42
94.0%
Q2 - 5:53MIAMISS Lewis 3PT Jump Shot28
5.8%
42
94.2%
Q2 - 6:03MIALewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
5.5%
42
94.5%
Q2 - 6:04BOSMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot28
5.7%
42
94.3%
Q2 - 6:11BOSSullinger REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)28
6.3%
42
93.7%
Q2 - 6:12BOSMISS Wallace 24' 3PT Jump Shot28
5.7%
42
94.3%
Q2 - 6:30MIABosh 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Cole 2 AST)28
6.2%
42
93.8%
Q2 - 6:44BOSWallace Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)28
6.8%
40
93.2%
Q2 - 6:48BOSJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
5.6%
40
94.4%
Q2 - 6:49MIAMISS Beasley 19' Jump Shot25
5.4%
40
94.6%
Q2 - 7:08BOSJohnson 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Sullinger 1 AST)25
5.2%
40
94.8%
Q2 - 7:29MIACole 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)22
4.3%
40
95.7%
Q2 - 7:34BOSCole STEAL (1 STL)22
4.7%
38
95.3%
Q2 - 7:43BOSAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
5.2%
38
94.8%
Q2 - 7:44MIAMISS Lewis 12' Jump Shot22
5.1%
38
94.9%
Q2 - 8:00BOSMISS Wallace 2' Driving Layup22
4.8%
38
95.2%
Q2 - 8:11MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)22
5.9%
36
94.1%
Q2 - 8:12MIAMISS Chalmers 1' Driving Layup22
6.3%
36
93.7%
Q2 - 8:21BOSOlynyk 12' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Rondo 1 AST)22
5.9%
36
94.1%
Q2 - 8:44MIAAndersen 1' Putback Dunk (7 PTS)20
5.4%
36
94.6%
Q2 - 8:45MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)20
5.9%
34
94.1%
Q2 - 8:46MIAMISS Cole 2' Driving Layup20
6.3%
34
93.7%
Q2 - 9:10BOSJohnson 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wallace 2 AST)20
6.0%
34
94.0%
Q2 - 9:37MIALewis 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)17
5.0%
34
95.0%
Q2 - 9:50MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)17
6.0%
31
94.0%
Q2 - 9:51BOSMISS Olynyk 12' Fadeaway Jumper17
6.2%
31
93.8%
Q2 - 10:10BOSAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
6.9%
31
93.1%
Q2 - 10:11MIAMISS Lewis 2' Layup17
6.6%
31
93.4%
Q2 - 10:16BOSBeasley STEAL (1 STL)17
6.2%
31
93.8%
Q2 - 10:27BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
6.9%
31
93.1%
Q2 - 10:28MIAMISS Cole 19' Jump Shot17
6.6%
31
93.4%
Q2 - 10:54MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
6.1%
31
93.9%
Q2 - 10:55BOSMISS Rondo 25' 3PT Jump Shot17
6.3%
31
93.7%
Q2 - 11:24MIABeasley 20' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Cole 1 AST)17
7.0%
31
93.0%
Q2 - 11:39BOSOlynyk 2' Layup (2 PTS)17
7.6%
29
92.4%
Q2 - 11:41BOSOlynyk REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)15
7.0%
29
93.0%
Q2 - 11:42BOSMISS Wallace 24' 3PT Jump Shot15
6.6%
29
93.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0BOS15
7.0%
29
93.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIABeasley 35' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 2 AST)15
7.0%
29
93.0%
Q1 - 0:02.0BOSJames STEAL (2 STL)15
8.7%
26
91.3%
Q1 - 0:17.0BOSGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
9.2%
26
90.8%
Q1 - 0:18.0MIAMISS Cole 24' 3PT Jump Shot15
9.0%
26
91.0%
Q1 - 0:41.0BOSBass 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Pressey 1 AST)15
8.6%
26
91.4%
Q1 - 1:01MIACole Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)13
7.9%
26
92.1%
Q1 - 1:17MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)13
7.4%
26
92.6%
Q1 - 1:18BOSMISS Green 12' Jump Shot13
7.5%
26
92.5%
Q1 - 1:25MIAJames 21' Jump Shot (8 PTS)13
7.9%
26
92.1%
Q1 - 1:51BOSPressey 8' Driving Jump Shot (2 PTS)13
8.8%
24
91.2%
Q1 - 1:58BOSBass REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)11
7.9%
24
92.1%
Q1 - 1:59BOSMISS Olynyk 15' Jump Shot11
7.5%
24
92.5%
Q1 - 2:19MIAAndersen 3' Hook Shot (5 PTS) (Battier 1 AST)11
8.1%
24
91.9%
Q1 - 2:35BOSPressey Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)11
8.8%
22
91.2%
Q1 - 2:58MIAAndersen Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)11
9.5%
22
90.5%
Q1 - 2:58MIAAndersen Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)11
9.7%
21
90.3%
Q1 - 3:07BOSGreen 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (4 PTS)11
10.3%
20
89.7%
Q1 - 3:32MIAAndersen Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)9
9.6%
20
90.4%
Q1 - 3:32MIAMISS Andersen Free Throw 1 of 29
9.8%
19
90.2%
Q1 - 3:32MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)9
9.5%
19
90.5%
Q1 - 3:33MIAMISS Allen 16' Jump Bank Shot9
10.1%
19
89.9%
Q1 - 3:46BOSBass 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wallace 1 AST)9
9.5%
19
90.5%
Q1 - 4:03MIAAllen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)7
8.9%
19
91.1%
Q1 - 4:10MIABattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
10.3%
16
89.7%
Q1 - 4:11BOSMISS Green 9' Jump Shot7
10.6%
16
89.4%
Q1 - 4:28MIAChalmers 1' Reverse Layup (6 PTS)7
11.3%
16
88.7%
Q1 - 4:42BOSJames STEAL (1 STL)7
12.0%
14
88.0%
Q1 - 4:59MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)7
13.1%
14
86.9%
Q1 - 5:06MIAHEAT Rebound7
12.4%
14
87.6%
Q1 - 5:07BOSMISS Bass 2' Layup7
12.7%
14
87.3%
Q1 - 5:11BOSHumphries REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)7
13.3%
14
86.7%
Q1 - 5:12MIAMISS James 16' Fadeaway Jumper7
13.0%
14
87.0%
Q1 - 5:27MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
12.3%
14
87.7%
Q1 - 5:28BOSMISS Humphries 3' Jump Shot7
12.6%
14
87.4%
Q1 - 5:47MIAJames 2' Layup (6 PTS)7
13.3%
14
86.7%
Q1 - 5:53MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
14.2%
12
85.8%
Q1 - 5:54BOSMISS Bradley 25' 3PT Jump Shot7
14.5%
12
85.5%
Q1 - 6:12BOSBradley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
15.3%
12
84.7%
Q1 - 6:13MIAMISS James 2' Alley Oop Layup7
15.0%
12
85.0%
Q1 - 6:34BOSBass 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Humphries 1 AST)7
14.2%
12
85.8%
Q1 - 6:58MIABosh Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)5
13.4%
12
86.6%
Q1 - 7:05BOSSullinger Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)5
12.4%
12
87.6%
Q1 - 7:26MIABosh 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 1 AST)5
13.4%
12
86.6%
Q1 - 7:40MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)5
14.2%
10
85.8%
Q1 - 7:41BOSMISS Bradley 14' Jump Shot5
14.5%
10
85.5%
Q1 - 7:53BOSCeltics Rebound5
15.3%
10
84.7%
Q1 - 7:53BOSBosh BLOCK (1 BLK)5
14.5%
10
85.5%
Q1 - 7:54BOSSullinger REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)5
15.3%
10
84.7%
Q1 - 7:55BOSMISS Rondo 2' Layup5
14.5%
10
85.5%
Q1 - 8:14MIAAllen 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)5
15.2%
10
84.8%
Q1 - 8:24BOSBradley Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)5
16.1%
8
83.9%
Q1 - 8:29BOSHumphries REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)5
17.2%
8
82.8%
Q1 - 8:30BOSMISS Sullinger 25' 3PT Jump Shot5
16.4%
8
83.6%
Q1 - 8:41BOSCeltics Rebound5
17.2%
8
82.8%
Q1 - 8:42BOSMISS Rondo 16' Jump Shot5
16.4%
8
83.6%
Q1 - 8:52MIAJames 1' Dunk (4 PTS)5
17.2%
8
82.8%
Q1 - 8:56MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
18.2%
6
81.8%
Q1 - 8:57BOSMISS Bradley 3' Jump Shot5
18.5%
6
81.5%
Q1 - 9:05BOSHumphries REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)5
19.3%
6
80.7%
Q1 - 9:06MIAMISS Bosh 1' Layup5
18.9%
6
81.1%
Q1 - 9:13MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
18.1%
6
81.9%
Q1 - 9:14BOSMISS Rondo 25' 3PT Jump Shot5
18.5%
6
81.5%
Q1 - 9:29BOSGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
19.3%
6
80.7%
Q1 - 9:30MIAMISS Chalmers Free Throw 1 of 15
19.1%
6
80.9%
Q1 - 9:37MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
20.3%
4
79.7%
Q1 - 9:38BOSMISS Sullinger 8' Hook Shot5
20.7%
4
79.3%
Q1 - 9:51MIAChalmers 6' Driving Jump Shot (2 PTS)5
21.6%
4
78.4%
Q1 - 10:18BOSGreen 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)5
22.5%
2
77.5%
Q1 - 10:29BOSHumphries REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)3
21.5%
2
78.5%
Q1 - 10:30MIAMISS James 26' 3PT Jump Shot3
21.1%
2
78.9%
Q1 - 10:49BOSBradley Free Throw 3 of 3 (3 PTS)3
20.2%
2
79.8%
Q1 - 10:49BOSBradley Free Throw 2 of 3 (2 PTS)2
20.0%
2
80.0%
Q1 - 10:49BOSBradley Free Throw 1 of 3 (1 PTS)1
19.7%
2
80.3%
Q1 - 10:50BOSHumphries REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
18.2%
2
81.8%
Q1 - 10:51BOSMISS Green 1' Layup0
17.4%
2
82.6%
Q1 - 11:08BOSCeltics Rebound0
17.9%
2
82.1%
Q1 - 11:09MIAMISS Battier 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
17.6%
2
82.4%
Q1 - 11:32BOSGreen Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
17.0%
2
83.0%
Q1 - 11:45MIAJames 1' Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)0
17.9%
2
82.1%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Bosh vs. Humphries: Tip to James0
19.0%
0
81.0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

BOS
0.91 45.3%
MIA
1.13 56.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
BOS
13
28
46%
MIA
22
31
71%
Midrange
BOS
15
29
52%
MIA
11
23
48%
3PT | Effective 3PT
BOS
5
7.5
27
19%
28%
MIA
5
7.5
20
25%
38%
Free Throws
BOS
15
18
83%
MIA
12
16
75%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
BOS logo Celtics
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Bass1583%7.5 / 9
K. Humphries1470%7.0 / 10
J. Green1240%6.0 / 15
J. Sullinger1238%6.0 / 16
C. Johnson1179%5.5 / 7
G. Wallace844%4.0 / 9
K. Olynyk643%3.0 / 7
A. Bradley338%1.5 / 4
P. Pressey233%1.0 / 3
J. Anthony2100%1.0 / 1
R. Rondo15%0.5 / 10
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. James2960%14.5 / 24
C. Bosh1680%8.0 / 10
C. Andersen13108%6.5 / 6
M. Beasley975%4.5 / 6
M. Chalmers850%4.0 / 8
R. Allen750%3.5 / 7
S. Battier440%2.0 / 5
R. Lewis338%1.5 / 4
N. Cole214%1.0 / 7
G. Oden233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

BOS
71
+23
-16
94
MIA
73
+9
-14
82
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

BOS
0.91 45.3%
MIA
1.13 56.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
102.8
110.7
BOS 98.9 +8.0
MIA 106.9
Pace
93.5
91.5
BOS 88.4 +2.8
MIA 85.6
Avg. Poss. Time
15.4
15.8
BOS 16.3 +0.5
MIA 16.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.7%
55.4%
BOS 42.3%
MIA 54.7% +12.4%
TO %
15.4%
15.4%
BOS 16.4%
MIA 14.7% +1.7%
ORB %
27.4%
20.6%
BOS 39.5% +20.1%
MIA 19.4%
FTrt
24.8
30.0
BOS 21.4
MIA 21.6 +0.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.6%
58.8%
BOS 51.5%
MIA 57.9% +6.4%
STL %
7.6%
9.7%
BOS 9.2% +1.2%
MIA 8.0%
BLK %
6.7%
8.1%
BOS 5.6%
MIA 8.8% +3.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.51 and 2.51.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.2%
57.5%
BOS 45.3%
MIA 56.7% +11.4%
Rim FG%
55.2%
66.7%
BOS 46.4%
MIA 71.0% +24.6%
Mid FG%
40.0%
42.8%
BOS 51.7% +3.9%
MIA 47.8%
3P %
33.3%
36.4%
BOS 18.5%
MIA 25.0% +6.5%
FT %
77.7%
76.0%
BOS 83.3% +8.3%
MIA 75.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.5%
38.3%
BOS 33.3%
MIA 41.9% +8.6%
Mid Att. %
40.3%
32.5%
BOS 34.5%
MIA 31.1% +3.4%
3P Att. %
25.1%
29.2%
BOS 32.1% +5.1%
MIA 27.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.71 and 2.71.
Game TotalsBOSMIA
Possessions8787
Possession Minutes23.624.4
Points8693
Rebounds4633
Assists1722
Steals87
Blocks35
Turnovers (Team)16 (2)14 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)17 (6)7 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)29 (1)26 (3)
Field Goals33-8438-74
At-the-Rim FG13-2822-31
Midrange FG15-2911-23
2-Point FG28-5733-54
3-Point FG5-275-20
Free Throws15-1812-16
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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23 Boston Celtics
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Jeff Green
F · 6'8" 235 · 27
36.9
12
40%
6
1
0
1
3
3
0
6
0-0
-
3-8
38%
2-7
29%
Jared Sullinger
F · 6'9" 260 · 22
29.0
12
38%
11
1
2
0
2
3
8
3
4-4
100%
4-9
44%
0-5
0%
Kris Humphries
C · 6'9" 235 · 29
28.6
14
70%
13
2
1
0
2
4
4
9
0-0
-
7-10
70%
0-0
-
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 28
25.7
1
5%
3
5
1
0
3
1
0
3
1-4
25%
0-5
0%
0-3
0%
Avery Bradley
G · 6'2" 180 · 23
7.4
3
38%
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
3-3
100%
0-2
0%
0-1
0%
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 31
26.8
8
44%
2
2
0
0
2
1
0
2
1-1
100%
2-5
40%
1-4
25%
Chris Johnson
F · 6'6" 206 · 24
24.9
11
79%
3
1
1
0
0
1
2
1
1-1
100%
2-2
100%
2-5
40%
Phil Pressey
G · 5'11" 175 · 23
22.3
2
33%
0
3
1
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-2
0%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 29
18.3
15
83%
3
2
1
1
2
1
2
1
5-5
100%
5-7
71%
0-0
-
Kelly Olynyk
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 23
13.0
6
43%
1
0
1
0
0
3
1
0
0-0
-
3-7
43%
0-0
-
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 31
7.2
2
100%
3
0
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 25
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 34
Vitor Faverani
C · 6'11" 260 · 26
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
86
45%
46
17
8
3
16
0
17
29
15-18
83%
28-57
49%
5-27
19%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.