FinalWin Prob.pScore
459%103
114
1741%100
121
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
117.59794.6
ATL logo ATL
123.598101.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HawksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HawksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAATL
Q4 - 0:00.0ATL114
0%
121
100%
Q4 - 0:13.0MIACarroll STEAL (1 STL)114
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 0:14.0ATLKorver Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)114
0.2%
121
99.8%
Q4 - 0:14.0ATLKorver Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)114
0.2%
120
99.8%
Q4 - 0:15.0ATLKorver REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)114
0.4%
119
99.6%
Q4 - 0:17.0MIAMISS James 24' 3PT Jump Shot114
0.7%
119
99.3%
Q4 - 0:22.0MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)114
2.4%
119
97.6%
Q4 - 0:23.0ATLMISS Carroll 25' 3PT Jump Shot114
1.8%
119
98.2%
Q4 - 0:46.0MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T17)114
2.4%
119
97.6%
Q4 - 0:55.0ATLKorver 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Millsap 4 AST)114
6.3%
119
93.7%
Q4 - 1:12MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 1 (30 PTS)114
22.2%
116
77.8%
Q4 - 1:21MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)111
9.8%
116
90.2%
Q4 - 1:22ATLMISS Mack 1' Driving Reverse Layup111
8.4%
116
91.6%
Q4 - 1:41ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)111
7.5%
116
92.5%
Q4 - 1:42MIAMISS Cole 25' 3PT Jump Shot111
8.9%
116
91.1%
Q4 - 1:57ATLAntic 1' Layup (17 PTS) (Millsap 3 AST)111
12.9%
116
87.1%
Q4 - 2:12MIACole 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Allen 3 AST)111
19.8%
114
80.2%
Q4 - 2:23MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)108
9.9%
114
90.1%
Q4 - 2:25ATLMISS Mack 25' 3PT Jump Shot108
8.3%
114
91.7%
Q4 - 2:41ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)108
5.6%
114
94.4%
Q4 - 2:42MIAMISS Bosh 24' 3PT Jump Shot108
6.7%
114
93.3%
Q4 - 3:07ATLCarroll 1' Layup (19 PTS) (Korver 6 AST)108
11.5%
114
88.5%
Q4 - 3:19ATLCarroll REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)108
15.4%
112
84.6%
Q4 - 3:21MIAMillsap BLOCK (1 BLK)108
17.7%
112
82.3%
Q4 - 3:33ATLMillsap Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)108
28.0%
112
72.0%
Q4 - 3:33ATLMillsap Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)108
29.6%
111
70.4%
Q4 - 3:45MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T16)108
34.7%
110
65.3%
Q4 - 3:56ATLAntic Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)108
44.3%
110
55.7%
Q4 - 3:56ATLMISS Antic Free Throw 1 of 2108
46.5%
109
53.5%
Q4 - 4:07ATLAntic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)108
43.3%
109
56.7%
Q4 - 4:09MIAMISS Bosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot108
46.4%
109
53.6%
Q4 - 4:28ATLMillsap Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)108
53.7%
109
46.3%
Q4 - 4:28ATLMillsap Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)108
55.7%
108
44.3%
Q4 - 4:40ATLMack REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)108
62.2%
107
37.8%
Q4 - 4:43MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot108
65.2%
107
34.8%
Q4 - 4:49MIACole REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)108
71.6%
107
28.4%
Q4 - 4:51MIAMISS Chalmers Free Throw 2 of 2108
63.5%
107
36.5%
Q4 - 4:51MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)108
69.2%
107
30.8%
Q4 - 5:06ATLCarroll Foul Turnover (P1.T13)107
62.4%
107
37.6%
Q4 - 5:19ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)107
53.5%
107
46.5%
Q4 - 5:21MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot107
56.3%
107
43.7%
Q4 - 5:45ATLCarroll 24' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Mack 7 AST)107
62.5%
107
37.5%
Q4 - 6:02ATLHAWKS Rebound107
74.8%
104
25.2%
Q4 - 6:02ATLMISS Antic 3' Driving Layup107
79.1%
104
20.9%
Q4 - 6:25MIAJames 26' 3PT Jump Shot (27 PTS) (Cole 8 AST)107
74.9%
104
25.1%
Q4 - 6:32ATLWilliams Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T12)104
62.8%
104
37.2%
Q4 - 6:46ATLKorver REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)104
54.4%
104
45.6%
Q4 - 6:47ATLMISS Antic 25' 3PT Jump Shot104
60.3%
104
39.7%
Q4 - 7:05MIAJames 25' 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Bosh 2 AST)104
55.8%
104
44.2%
Q4 - 7:22ATLWilliams Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T11)101
42.5%
104
57.5%
Q4 - 7:26MIAWilliams STEAL (1 STL)101
35.2%
104
64.8%
Q4 - 7:35MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)101
42.5%
104
57.5%
Q4 - 7:37ATLMISS Millsap 2' Layup101
40.2%
104
59.8%
Q4 - 8:08MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#14)101
37.5%
104
62.5%
Q4 - 8:33MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)101
43.5%
104
56.5%
Q4 - 8:35ATLMISS Scott 9' Running Hook Shot101
41.6%
104
58.4%
Q4 - 8:42ATLKorver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)101
37.3%
104
62.7%
Q4 - 8:44MIAMISS Bosh 26' 3PT Jump Shot101
39.2%
104
60.8%
Q4 - 9:07ATLScott 10' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Korver 5 AST)101
44.8%
104
55.2%
Q4 - 9:22MIAAndersen 1' Alley Oop Layup (8 PTS) (Cole 7 AST)101
50.7%
102
49.3%
Q4 - 9:32MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)99
44.7%
102
55.3%
Q4 - 9:33ATLMISS Mack 25' 3PT Jump Shot99
42.9%
102
57.1%
Q4 - 9:40ATLAntic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)99
38.9%
102
61.1%
Q4 - 9:41MIAMISS Andersen 1' Layup99
40.6%
102
59.4%
Q4 - 9:50MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)99
44.7%
102
55.3%
Q4 - 9:52MIAMISS Bosh 19' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot99
40.6%
102
59.4%
Q4 - 10:05MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)99
45.6%
102
54.4%
Q4 - 10:06ATLMISS Korver 25' 3PT Jump Shot99
43.9%
102
56.1%
Q4 - 10:22MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)99
40.0%
102
60.0%
Q4 - 10:22MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)98
39.1%
102
60.9%
Q4 - 10:43ATLWilliams 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Mack 6 AST)97
34.7%
102
65.3%
Q4 - 10:57MIABosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Mason Jr. 1 AST)97
45.5%
99
54.5%
Q4 - 11:21ATLMack 16' Jump Shot (13 PTS)94
35.7%
99
64.3%
Q4 - 11:41MIABosh 22' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Cole 6 AST)94
40.7%
97
59.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATL92
35.7%
97
64.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATLCarroll REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)92
30.8%
97
69.2%
Q3 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Cole 2' Running Reverse Layup92
33.9%
97
66.1%
Q3 - 0:04.0ATLMillsap Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)92
37.0%
97
63.0%
Q3 - 0:04.0ATLMillsap Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)92
38.0%
96
62.0%
Q3 - 0:24.0MIAAndersen Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)92
42.0%
95
58.0%
Q3 - 0:24.0MIAAndersen Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)91
40.5%
95
59.5%
Q3 - 0:47.0ATLScott Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)90
36.8%
95
63.2%
Q3 - 0:47.0ATLScott Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)90
37.8%
94
62.2%
Q3 - 1:00MIAJames 5' Turnaround Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Lewis 2 AST)90
41.9%
93
58.1%
Q3 - 1:10MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)88
38.0%
93
62.0%
Q3 - 1:12ATLMISS Brand 17' Jump Shot88
36.7%
93
63.3%
Q3 - 1:25MIAAndersen Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)88
33.6%
93
66.4%
Q3 - 1:25MIAAndersen Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)87
32.3%
93
67.7%
Q3 - 1:25MIAHeat Rebound86
29.3%
93
70.7%
Q3 - 1:26MIAMISS Cole 25' 3PT Jump Shot86
26.6%
93
73.4%
Q3 - 1:46ATLMack Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T10)86
29.2%
93
70.8%
Q3 - 2:11MIAAndersen 1' Reverse Dunk (2 PTS) (James 6 AST)86
26.7%
93
73.3%
Q3 - 2:27ATLWilliams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Scott 1 AST)84
23.3%
93
76.7%
Q3 - 2:42ATLHAWKS Rebound84
30.4%
90
69.6%
Q3 - 2:43MIAMISS Lewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot84
31.7%
90
68.3%
Q3 - 3:05ATLBrand 12' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Mack 5 AST)84
36.0%
90
64.0%
Q3 - 3:20MIACole Traveling Turnover (P4.T13)84
39.9%
88
60.1%
Q3 - 3:25ATLKorver Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T9)84
44.5%
88
55.5%
Q3 - 3:45MIACole Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P3.T12)84
39.8%
88
60.2%
Q3 - 3:49MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)84
44.5%
88
55.5%
Q3 - 3:51ATLMISS Scott 1' Putback Layup84
43.0%
88
57.0%
Q3 - 3:52ATLScott REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)84
39.8%
88
60.2%
Q3 - 3:53ATLMISS Mack 2' Running Layup84
43.0%
88
57.0%
Q3 - 3:59MIAScott STEAL (2 STL)84
39.8%
88
60.2%
Q3 - 4:13ATLBrand 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Mack 4 AST)84
45.5%
88
54.5%
Q3 - 4:28MIACole 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS)84
48.8%
86
51.2%
Q3 - 4:50ATLBrand 10' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Mack 3 AST)82
45.4%
86
54.6%
Q3 - 4:56MIAKorver STEAL (2 STL)82
48.8%
84
51.2%
Q3 - 4:59ATLBrand Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)82
54.0%
84
46.0%
Q3 - 5:04ATLBrand REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)82
49.2%
84
50.8%
Q3 - 5:06ATLMISS Scott 25' 3PT Jump Shot82
52.4%
84
47.6%
Q3 - 5:19MIACole Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)82
49.1%
84
50.9%
Q3 - 5:19MIACole Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)81
48.2%
84
51.8%
Q3 - 5:32ATLCarroll 2' Running Layup (14 PTS) (Korver 4 AST)80
45.6%
84
54.4%
Q3 - 5:36ATLKorver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)80
49.1%
82
50.9%
Q3 - 5:37MIAMISS James 3PT Jump Shot80
50.6%
82
49.4%
Q3 - 5:46ATLKorver Foul Turnover (P2.T7)80
53.9%
82
46.1%
Q3 - 6:04MIAJames 1' Running Layup (19 PTS)80
49.9%
82
50.1%
Q3 - 6:09MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)78
46.4%
82
53.6%
Q3 - 6:11ATLMISS Teague 22' Jump Shot78
45.0%
82
55.0%
Q3 - 6:22MIABrand STEAL (1 STL)78
42.0%
82
58.0%
Q3 - 6:28ATLTeague Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)78
46.3%
82
53.7%
Q3 - 6:37MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)78
41.9%
82
58.1%
Q3 - 6:37MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)77
41.2%
82
58.8%
Q3 - 6:41MIABattier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)76
38.5%
82
61.5%
Q3 - 6:43ATLMISS Korver 3PT Jump Shot76
37.2%
82
62.8%
Q3 - 6:56ATLCarroll REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)76
34.4%
82
65.6%
Q3 - 6:57MIAMISS James Free Throw 2 of 276
34.9%
82
65.1%
Q3 - 6:57MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)76
37.3%
82
62.7%
Q3 - 7:15ATLMillsap Foul Turnover (P2.T5)75
35.5%
82
64.5%
Q3 - 7:31ATLHAWKS Rebound75
31.7%
82
68.3%
Q3 - 7:33MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot75
32.8%
82
67.2%
Q3 - 7:42MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)75
35.5%
82
64.5%
Q3 - 7:43ATLMISS Millsap 25' 3PT Jump Shot75
34.3%
82
65.7%
Q3 - 8:01MIAJames 4' Driving Layup (16 PTS)75
32.4%
82
67.6%
Q3 - 8:17ATLCarroll 1' Running Dunk (12 PTS) (Korver 3 AST)73
29.6%
82
70.4%
Q3 - 8:21MIAKorver STEAL (1 STL)73
32.3%
80
67.7%
Q3 - 8:25MIABattier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)73
36.2%
80
63.8%
Q3 - 8:26MIAMISS James 19' Jump Shot73
33.5%
80
66.5%
Q3 - 8:47ATLCarroll 1' Layup (10 PTS)73
36.2%
80
63.8%
Q3 - 8:56ATLKorver Free Throw Technical (7 PTS)73
39.2%
78
60.8%
Q3 - 9:10MIAMillsap STEAL (1 STL)73
43.6%
77
56.4%
Q3 - 9:22MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)73
47.3%
77
52.7%
Q3 - 9:24ATLMISS Korver 26' 3PT Jump Shot73
46.2%
77
53.8%
Q3 - 9:30ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)73
43.6%
77
56.4%
Q3 - 9:31MIAMISS Bosh 17' Jump Shot73
44.7%
77
55.3%
Q3 - 9:49ATLTeague 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Korver 2 AST)73
47.3%
77
52.7%
Q3 - 9:53ATLCarroll REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)73
50.8%
75
49.2%
Q3 - 9:54ATLMISS Millsap 4' Driving Jump Shot73
53.5%
75
46.5%
Q3 - 10:10MIAJames Foul Turnover (P1.T6)73
51.6%
75
48.4%
Q3 - 10:14MIABattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)73
55.3%
75
44.7%
Q3 - 10:15ATLMISS Korver 24' 3PT Jump Shot73
54.2%
75
45.8%
Q3 - 10:19ATLHAWKS Rebound73
51.6%
75
48.4%
Q3 - 10:19ATLMISS Millsap 9' Driving Jump Shot73
54.1%
75
45.9%
Q3 - 10:33ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)73
51.6%
75
48.4%
Q3 - 10:34MIAMISS Chalmers 3PT Jump Shot73
52.7%
75
47.3%
Q3 - 11:05ATLAntic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)73
55.9%
75
44.1%
Q3 - 11:05ATLAntic 1' Tip Shot (14 PTS)73
55.9%
75
44.1%
Q3 - 11:07ATLMISS Teague 11' Driving Jump Shot73
61.5%
73
38.5%
Q3 - 11:26MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)73
59.1%
73
40.9%
Q3 - 11:47ATLCarroll 2' Layup (8 PTS) (Antic 3 AST)70
52.4%
73
47.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA70
55.7%
71
44.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)70
59.2%
71
40.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATLMISS Williams 21' Jump Shot70
58.2%
71
41.8%
Q2 - 0:17.0MIABattier Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)70
56.6%
71
43.4%
Q2 - 0:17.0MIABattier Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)69
55.9%
71
44.1%
Q2 - 0:17.0MIAHeat Rebound68
52.5%
71
47.5%
Q2 - 0:18.0ATLMISS Carroll 3PT Jump Shot68
51.7%
71
48.3%
Q2 - 0:34.0MIAAllen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (James 5 AST)68
50.0%
71
50.0%
Q2 - 0:47.0ATLWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)65
42.6%
71
57.4%
Q2 - 0:47.0ATLWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)65
43.2%
70
56.8%
Q2 - 1:08MIAAllen 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Cole 5 AST)65
47.4%
69
52.6%
Q2 - 1:22ATLBrand 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Williams 5 AST)62
40.0%
69
60.0%
Q2 - 1:34MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)62
44.2%
67
55.8%
Q2 - 1:34MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)61
43.3%
67
56.7%
Q2 - 1:34MIAHeat Rebound60
40.0%
67
60.0%
Q2 - 1:34MIAMISS Cole 3' Driving Layup60
38.6%
67
61.4%
Q2 - 1:48ATLMillsap 2' Layup (20 PTS) (Williams 4 AST)60
40.0%
67
60.0%
Q2 - 2:00MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)60
44.2%
65
55.8%
Q2 - 2:00MIAHaslem Tip Shot (4 PTS)60
44.2%
65
55.8%
Q2 - 2:01MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)58
41.3%
65
58.7%
Q2 - 2:01MIAMISS Haslem 1' Tip Shot58
39.2%
65
60.8%
Q2 - 2:03MIAMISS James 7' Fadeaway Jumper58
39.2%
65
60.8%
Q2 - 2:19ATLMillsap 15' Jump Shot (18 PTS)58
41.3%
65
58.7%
Q2 - 2:35ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)58
44.3%
63
55.7%
Q2 - 2:36MIAMISS Bosh 16' Jump Shot58
45.2%
63
54.8%
Q2 - 2:53ATLMillsap Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)58
47.3%
63
52.7%
Q2 - 2:53ATLMISS Millsap Free Throw 1 of 258
48.0%
62
52.0%
Q2 - 2:57ATLBrand REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)58
47.3%
62
52.7%
Q2 - 2:58MIAMISS James 1' Driving Layup58
48.3%
62
51.7%
Q2 - 3:05MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)58
51.5%
62
48.5%
Q2 - 3:08MIAMISS James Free Throw 2 of 258
48.3%
62
51.7%
Q2 - 3:08MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)58
50.3%
62
49.7%
Q2 - 3:24ATLCarroll 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Brand 1 AST)57
48.4%
62
51.6%
Q2 - 3:45MIAAllen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Cole 4 AST)57
53.8%
59
46.2%
Q2 - 3:50MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)54
48.4%
59
51.6%
Q2 - 3:52ATLMISS Korver 25' 3PT Jump Shot54
47.3%
59
52.7%
Q2 - 4:06MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)54
45.8%
59
54.2%
Q2 - 4:08MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)51
40.2%
59
59.8%
Q2 - 4:10MIAMISS James 1' Driving Reverse Layup51
38.2%
59
61.8%
Q2 - 4:30ATLMillsap 1' Layup (15 PTS) (Teague 6 AST)51
40.1%
59
59.9%
Q2 - 4:41MIAAllen 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (James 4 AST)51
42.9%
57
57.1%
Q2 - 4:52ATLMillsap Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)48
37.4%
57
62.6%
Q2 - 5:13MIABosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (James 3 AST)48
35.5%
57
64.5%
Q2 - 5:33ATLMack 2' Layup (11 PTS) (Antic 2 AST)45
30.4%
57
69.6%
Q2 - 5:51MIAHaslem 1' Dunk (2 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)45
33.0%
55
67.0%
Q2 - 6:14ATLMillsap Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)43
31.5%
55
68.5%
Q2 - 6:18ATLCarroll REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)43
35.9%
52
64.1%
Q2 - 6:21ATLMISS Korver 2' Reverse Layup43
38.1%
52
61.9%
Q2 - 6:39MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)43
35.9%
52
64.1%
Q2 - 6:45MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)40
31.5%
52
68.5%
Q2 - 6:48ATLMISS Mack 25' 3PT Jump Shot40
30.6%
52
69.4%
Q2 - 7:00ATLKorver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)40
28.7%
52
71.3%
Q2 - 7:01MIAMISS Mason Jr. 2' Layup40
30.6%
52
69.4%
Q2 - 7:20ATLScott 1' Running Slam Dunk (8 PTS) (Mack 2 AST)40
32.3%
52
67.7%
Q2 - 7:24ATLMack REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)40
34.4%
50
65.6%
Q2 - 7:25MIAMISS Bosh 19' Jump Shot40
35.2%
50
64.8%
Q2 - 7:33MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)40
37.1%
50
62.9%
Q2 - 7:34ATLMISS Antic 25' 3PT Jump Shot40
36.3%
50
63.7%
Q2 - 7:47MIABosh Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T5)40
34.3%
50
65.7%
Q2 - 7:59MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)40
37.1%
50
62.9%
Q2 - 8:00ATLMISS Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot40
36.3%
50
63.7%
Q2 - 8:11MIAChalmers 17' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Cole 3 AST)40
35.1%
50
64.9%
Q2 - 8:25ATLMack Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)38
32.9%
50
67.1%
Q2 - 8:25ATLMack Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)38
33.4%
49
66.6%
Q2 - 8:34ATLScott REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)38
35.1%
48
64.9%
Q2 - 8:35MIAMISS Mason Jr. 21' Jump Shot38
35.9%
48
64.1%
Q2 - 8:47ATLAntic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)38
37.6%
48
62.4%
Q2 - 8:47ATLAntic Tip Shot (12 PTS)38
37.6%
48
62.4%
Q2 - 8:49ATLMISS Scott 1' Alley Oop Layup38
41.8%
46
58.2%
Q2 - 8:54MIAScott STEAL (1 STL)38
40.0%
46
60.0%
Q2 - 9:14ATLMack 2' Driving Layup (7 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)38
43.3%
46
56.7%
Q2 - 9:27MIAChalmers Running Layup (12 PTS)38
45.6%
44
54.4%
Q2 - 9:30ATLScott Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)36
43.3%
44
56.7%
Q2 - 9:41ATLAntic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)36
40.7%
44
59.3%
Q2 - 9:43MIAMISS Beasley 2' Driving Layup36
41.5%
44
58.5%
Q2 - 9:56ATLWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)36
43.3%
44
56.7%
Q2 - 9:56ATLWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)36
43.7%
43
56.3%
Q2 - 9:59ATLKorver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)36
45.6%
42
54.4%
Q2 - 10:00MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot36
46.4%
42
53.6%
Q2 - 10:04ATLKorver Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)36
48.5%
42
51.5%
Q2 - 10:07MIAChalmers 5' Running Jump Shot (10 PTS)36
45.6%
42
54.4%
Q2 - 10:32ATLKorver 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Millsap 2 AST)34
43.6%
42
56.4%
Q2 - 10:45ATLMack REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
48.1%
39
51.9%
Q2 - 10:46MIAMISS Lewis 26' 3PT Jump Shot34
49.0%
39
51.0%
Q2 - 11:06ATLMack 2' Driving Layup (5 PTS)34
51.0%
39
49.0%
Q2 - 11:21MIAChalmers 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Lewis 1 AST)34
53.2%
37
46.8%
Q2 - 11:45ATLKorver 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)31
48.6%
37
51.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATL31
53.2%
34
46.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAJames 15' Fadeaway Jumper (10 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)31
53.2%
34
46.8%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAHeat Rebound29
50.8%
34
49.2%
Q1 - 0:03.0MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot29
49.6%
34
50.4%
Q1 - 0:21.0ATLScott 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Mack 1 AST)29
50.8%
34
49.2%
Q1 - 0:31.0ATLBrand REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)29
56.1%
31
43.9%
Q1 - 0:32.0MIAMISS James Free Throw 2 of 229
56.3%
31
43.7%
Q1 - 0:32.0MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)29
57.9%
31
42.1%
Q1 - 0:35.0MIALewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
55.5%
31
44.5%
Q1 - 0:36.0ATLMISS Carroll 2' Driving Layup28
54.9%
31
45.1%
Q1 - 1:00MIAJames Slam Dunk (7 PTS) (Cole 2 AST)28
53.7%
31
46.3%
Q1 - 1:02ATLWilliams Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)26
51.3%
31
48.7%
Q1 - 1:13MIAAllen 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Cole 1 AST)26
49.5%
31
50.5%
Q1 - 1:28ATLScott Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)24
46.6%
31
53.4%
Q1 - 1:32ATLScott REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
51.8%
28
48.2%
Q1 - 1:33MIAMISS Andersen 4' Running Jump Shot24
52.3%
28
47.7%
Q1 - 1:57ATLMack 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)24
53.5%
28
46.5%
Q1 - 2:09ATLBrand REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
58.6%
25
41.4%
Q1 - 2:10MIAMISS Cole 24' 3PT Jump Shot24
59.2%
25
40.8%
Q1 - 2:25MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)24
60.6%
25
39.4%
Q1 - 2:26ATLMISS Scott 25' 3PT Jump Shot24
60.0%
25
40.0%
Q1 - 2:44ATLBrand REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
58.6%
25
41.4%
Q1 - 2:46MIAMISS James 16' Fadeaway Jumper24
59.2%
25
40.8%
Q1 - 3:06ATLWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)24
60.9%
25
39.1%
Q1 - 3:06ATLWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)24
61.2%
24
38.8%
Q1 - 3:18MIAJames 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)24
62.8%
23
37.2%
Q1 - 3:30MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)21
58.8%
23
41.2%
Q1 - 3:33ATLMISS Millsap 8' Driving Jump Shot21
58.0%
23
42.0%
Q1 - 3:44ATLScott REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
56.4%
23
43.6%
Q1 - 3:45MIAMISS James 22' Jump Shot21
57.1%
23
42.9%
Q1 - 4:04ATLMillsap Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)21
59.0%
23
41.0%
Q1 - 4:11MIABattier 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Allen 2 AST)21
62.9%
20
37.1%
Q1 - 4:27MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
59.0%
20
41.0%
Q1 - 4:28ATLMISS Carroll 20' Jump Shot18
58.3%
20
41.7%
Q1 - 5:02MIAChalmers 2' Running Layup (5 PTS)18
56.7%
20
43.3%
Q1 - 5:07MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
54.9%
20
45.1%
Q1 - 5:08ATLMISS Teague 22' Jump Shot16
54.2%
20
45.8%
Q1 - 5:18MIAJames 1' Alley Oop Layup (2 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)16
52.7%
20
47.3%
Q1 - 5:27ATLCarroll 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Teague 4 AST)14
50.8%
20
49.2%
Q1 - 5:46MIAChalmers 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 2 AST)14
54.7%
17
45.3%
Q1 - 5:52MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)11
50.8%
17
49.2%
Q1 - 5:54ATLMISS Teague 3' Driving Layup11
50.1%
17
49.9%
Q1 - 5:59MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)11
48.5%
17
51.5%
Q1 - 5:59MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 210
48.2%
17
51.8%
Q1 - 6:10ATLMillsap 10' Turnaround Fadeaway (7 PTS)10
49.4%
17
50.6%
Q1 - 6:29MIABattier 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (James 1 AST)10
51.2%
15
48.8%
Q1 - 6:55ATLAntic 1' Dunk (10 PTS) (Teague 3 AST)7
47.4%
15
52.6%
Q1 - 7:08MIABosh 7' Turnaround Fadeaway (4 PTS) (Battier 1 AST)7
49.7%
13
50.3%
Q1 - 7:16MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)5
48.1%
13
51.9%
Q1 - 7:18ATLMISS Korver 25' 3PT Jump Shot5
47.4%
13
52.6%
Q1 - 7:29ATLKorver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
45.9%
13
54.1%
Q1 - 7:30MIAMISS Chalmers 5' Driving Jump Shot5
46.5%
13
53.5%
Q1 - 7:39ATLMillsap Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)5
48.1%
13
51.9%
Q1 - 7:54ATLCarroll REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
51.6%
10
48.4%
Q1 - 7:55MIAMISS Bosh 1' Layup5
52.2%
10
47.8%
Q1 - 8:16ATLAntic 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Millsap 1 AST)5
54.3%
10
45.7%
Q1 - 8:35MIABattier 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)5
57.7%
7
42.3%
Q1 - 8:44MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
54.2%
7
45.8%
Q1 - 8:46ATLMISS Teague 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
53.6%
7
46.4%
Q1 - 9:01MIABosh 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)2
52.9%
7
47.1%
Q1 - 9:14ATLMillsap 2' Driving Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Korver 1 AST)0
51.3%
7
48.7%
Q1 - 9:30MIABosh Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T3)0
52.8%
5
47.2%
Q1 - 9:59ATLAntic 7' Turnaround Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Teague 2 AST)0
54.8%
5
45.2%
Q1 - 10:08MIABosh Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)0
56.8%
3
43.2%
Q1 - 10:39ATLAntic 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Teague 1 AST)0
58.6%
3
41.4%
Q1 - 10:53ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
61.7%
0
38.3%
Q1 - 10:54MIAMISS Bosh 2' Driving Layup0
62.3%
0
37.7%
Q1 - 11:09MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
63.2%
0
36.8%
Q1 - 11:10ATLMISS Carroll 21' Jump Shot0
62.8%
0
37.2%
Q1 - 11:22ATLAntic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
61.8%
0
38.2%
Q1 - 11:23MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
62.3%
0
37.7%
Q1 - 11:29MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
63.3%
0
36.7%
Q1 - 11:31MIAMISS Bosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
62.3%
0
37.7%
Q1 - 11:38MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
63.3%
0
36.7%
Q1 - 11:40ATLMISS Teague 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
62.8%
0
37.2%
Q1 - 11:56MIABosh Backcourt Turnover (P1.T1)0
61.8%
0
38.2%
Q1 - 12:00ATLJump Ball Millsap vs. Bosh: Tip to Bosh0
63.3%
0
36.7%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.24 62.0%
ATL
1.27 63.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
16
29
55%
ATL
19
29
66%
Midrange
MIA
7
16
44%
ATL
11
21
52%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
15
22.5
33
45%
68%
ATL
12
18.0
31
39%
58%
Free Throws
MIA
23
28
82%
ATL
25
27
93%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. James3065%15.0 / 23
C. Bosh2153%10.5 / 20
M. Chalmers1761%8.5 / 14
R. Allen14140%7.0 / 5
S. Battier11138%5.5 / 4
C. Andersen867%4.0 / 6
N. Cole744%3.5 / 8
U. Haslem675%3.0 / 4
R. Mason Jr.0-0.0 / 2
R. Lewis0-0.0 / 2
M. Beasley0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
P. Millsap2676%13.0 / 17
D. Carroll1973%9.5 / 13
P. Antic1777%8.5 / 11
S. Mack1359%6.5 / 11
K. Korver1255%6.0 / 11
L. Williams1286%6.0 / 7
M. Scott1260%6.0 / 10
E. Brand880%4.0 / 5
J. Teague214%1.0 / 7
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
80
+11
-17
91
ATL
85
+9
-13
94
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.24 62.0%
ATL
1.27 63.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
110.7
105.6
MIA 117.5
ATL 123.5 +5.9
Pace
91.5
95.0
MIA 94.6
ATL 101.3 +6.7
Avg. Poss. Time
15.8
14.9
MIA 15.2
ATL 14.2 +1.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
55.4%
51.5%
MIA 58.3%
ATL 59.3% +1.0%
TO %
15.4%
15.2%
MIA 16.6%
ATL 12.3% +4.3%
ORB %
20.6%
21.0%
MIA 20.5% +1.1%
ATL 19.4%
FTrt
30.0
26.6
MIA 35.9 +2.6
ATL 33.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.8%
66.7%
MIA 73.7%
ATL 78.6% +4.9%
STL %
9.7%
8.7%
MIA 9.3% +1.1%
ATL 8.2%
BLK %
8.1%
6.5%
MIA 4.0% +1.8%
ATL 2.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.51 and 2.51.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
57.5%
53.7%
MIA 62.0%
ATL 63.7% +1.7%
Rim FG%
66.7%
59.2%
MIA 55.2%
ATL 65.5% +10.3%
Mid FG%
42.8%
41.3%
MIA 43.8%
ATL 52.4% +8.6%
3P %
36.4%
36.3%
MIA 45.5% +6.8%
ATL 38.7%
FT %
76.0%
78.1%
MIA 82.1%
ATL 92.6% +10.5%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
38.3%
33.9%
MIA 37.2% +1.4%
ATL 35.8%
Mid Att. %
32.5%
34.5%
MIA 20.5% +5.4%
ATL 25.9%
3P Att. %
29.2%
31.6%
MIA 42.3% +4.0%
ATL 38.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.71 and 2.71.
Game TotalsMIAATL
Possessions9798
Possession Minutes24.623.2
Points114121
Rebounds3738
Assists2833
Steals98
Blocks21
Turnovers (Team)17 (1)13 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (3)7 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)29 (1)31 (2)
Field Goals38-7842-81
At-the-Rim FG16-2919-29
Midrange FG7-1611-21
2-Point FG23-4530-50
3-Point FG15-3312-31
Free Throws23-2825-27
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 250 · 29
38.7
30
65%
4
6
1
0
3
1
1
3
5-8
63%
8-14
57%
3-7
43%
G · 6'5" 205 · 39
36.0
14
140%
7
3
1
1
2
3
1
6
0-0
-
1-1
100%
4-4
100%
C · 6'11" 235 · 30
34.1
21
53%
7
2
0
0
4
5
0
7
5-6
83%
5-12
42%
2-6
33%
G · 6'2" 190 · 28
27.4
17
61%
5
4
2
0
3
4
0
5
3-4
75%
4-5
80%
2-7
29%
F · 6'8" 220 · 35
20.9
11
138%
3
1
0
0
1
1
1
2
2-2
100%
0-0
-
3-3
100%
G · 6'2" 175 · 25
28.9
7
44%
4
8
3
0
4
4
1
3
2-2
100%
1-3
33%
1-4
25%
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 36
17.5
8
67%
2
0
0
1
0
2
1
1
4-4
100%
2-4
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 205 · 33
13.0
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 235 · 34
11.9
6
75%
4
1
0
0
0
4
3
1
2-2
100%
2-3
67%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 235 · 34
8.5
0
0%
1
2
2
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-2
0%
F · 6'9" 235 · 25
3.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 273 · 26
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 33
#0 · G · 6'2" 195 · 28
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#3 · G · 6'4" 220 · 32
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
114
62%
37
28
9
2
17
0
8
29
23-28
82%
23-45
51%
15-33
45%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.