FinalWin Prob.pScore
557%101
97
1543%99
114
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
104.39395.6
WAS logo WAS
125.39188.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

WizardsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

WizardsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAWAS
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA97
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 0:16.0WASSingleton 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS)97
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 1:15MIAJones 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Cole 7 AST)95
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 1:25WASWall 19' Pullup Jump Shot (22 PTS)92
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 1:46MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Cole 6 AST)92
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 2:00WASNene 2' Slam Dunk (19 PTS) (Wall 9 AST)89
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 2:19WASAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)89
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 2:20MIAMISS James Free Throw 2 of 289
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 2:20MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)89
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 2:28MIAJames REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)88
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 2:29WASMISS Webster 25' 3PT Jump Shot88
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 2:52WASJump Ball Nene vs. Bosh: Tip to Wall88
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 3:01WASWebster 2' Alley Oop Dunk (11 PTS) (Wall 8 AST)88
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 3:18WASBooker REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)88
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 3:20WASMISS Wall 20' Jump Shot88
0.2%
103
99.8%
Q4 - 3:43WASBooker REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)88
0.4%
103
99.6%
Q4 - 3:44MIAMISS Allen 26' 3PT Jump Shot88
0.4%
103
99.6%
Q4 - 4:02WASWall Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)88
0.6%
103
99.4%
Q4 - 4:02WASWall Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)88
0.6%
102
99.4%
Q4 - 4:07WASBooker REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)88
0.8%
101
99.2%
Q4 - 4:08MIAMISS James 7' Jump Shot88
0.9%
101
99.1%
Q4 - 4:30WASWall Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)88
1.1%
101
98.9%
Q4 - 4:30WASWall Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)88
1.2%
100
98.8%
Q4 - 4:33WASBooker REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)88
1.5%
99
98.5%
Q4 - 4:33MIAMISS James 1' Layup88
1.8%
99
98.2%
Q4 - 5:04WASBeal 2' Running Layup (19 PTS)88
3.8%
99
96.2%
Q4 - 5:32MIACole 4' Running Bank Shot (13 PTS)88
5.0%
97
95.0%
Q4 - 5:50WASTemple Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T12)86
3.7%
97
96.3%
Q4 - 6:09WASNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)86
3.9%
97
96.1%
Q4 - 6:10MIAMISS Bosh 26' 3PT Jump Shot86
4.3%
97
95.7%
Q4 - 6:19MIABosh REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)86
5.3%
97
94.7%
Q4 - 6:20WASMISS Beal 26' 3PT Jump Shot86
4.8%
97
95.2%
Q4 - 6:46MIAWade Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T12)86
3.8%
97
96.2%
Q4 - 6:57MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)86
5.2%
97
94.8%
Q4 - 6:58WASMISS Nene 1' Layup86
4.7%
97
95.3%
Q4 - 7:17MIABosh 26' 3PT Jump Shot (26 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)86
5.2%
97
94.8%
Q4 - 7:41WASTemple 17' Pullup Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Nene 9 AST)83
3.1%
97
96.9%
Q4 - 8:06WASNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)83
5.3%
95
94.7%
Q4 - 8:08MIAMISS James 21' Jump Shot83
5.6%
95
94.4%
Q4 - 8:12MIAHeat Rebound83
6.6%
95
93.4%
Q4 - 8:13MIANene BLOCK (2 BLK)83
5.6%
95
94.4%
Q4 - 8:29WASBooker Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)83
6.6%
95
93.4%
Q4 - 8:29WASMISS Booker Free Throw 1 of 283
7.2%
94
92.8%
Q4 - 8:31WASBooker REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)83
6.6%
94
93.4%
Q4 - 8:32WASMISS Webster 25' 3PT Jump Shot83
7.8%
94
92.2%
Q4 - 8:35WASBeal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)83
6.6%
94
93.4%
Q4 - 8:37MIAWall BLOCK (2 BLK)83
7.1%
94
92.9%
Q4 - 8:50WASWall Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)83
8.3%
94
91.7%
Q4 - 8:50WASWall Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)83
8.6%
93
91.4%
Q4 - 8:54WASWall REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)83
10.5%
92
89.5%
Q4 - 8:56MIAMISS Cole 3PT Jump Shot83
11.3%
92
88.7%
Q4 - 9:02MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)83
15.3%
92
84.7%
Q4 - 9:03WASMISS Nene Layup83
14.3%
92
85.7%
Q4 - 9:19MIABosh 17' Jump Shot (23 PTS) (James 7 AST)83
12.3%
92
87.7%
Q4 - 9:33MIAHeat Rebound81
9.9%
92
90.1%
Q4 - 9:34WASMISS Wall 28' 3PT Jump Shot81
9.3%
92
90.7%
Q4 - 9:48WASWall REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)81
7.9%
92
92.1%
Q4 - 9:49MIAMISS James 22' Jump Shot81
8.5%
92
91.5%
Q4 - 10:13MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)81
11.3%
92
88.7%
Q4 - 10:14WASMISS Beal 22' Jump Shot81
10.6%
92
89.4%
Q4 - 10:35MIAJames 1' Tip Shot (24 PTS)81
9.2%
92
90.8%
Q4 - 10:37MIAJames REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)79
7.5%
92
92.5%
Q4 - 10:38MIAMISS Battier 28' 3PT Jump Shot79
6.4%
92
93.6%
Q4 - 11:05WASWall 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Nene 8 AST)79
8.5%
92
91.5%
Q4 - 11:22MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)79
12.4%
89
87.6%
Q4 - 11:22MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)78
11.9%
89
88.1%
Q4 - 11:42WASBeal Free Throw 1 of 1 (17 PTS)77
10.3%
89
89.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0WAS77
14.9%
86
85.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0WASWIZARDS Rebound77
14.9%
86
85.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Allen 35' 3PT Jump Shot77
15.7%
86
84.3%
Q3 - 0:02.0WASWebster Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P3.T11)77
19.4%
86
80.6%
Q3 - 0:12.0MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)77
16.4%
86
83.6%
Q3 - 0:12.0MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)76
15.9%
86
84.1%
Q3 - 0:15.0WASWall Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T10)75
13.7%
86
86.3%
Q3 - 0:33.0WASGortat REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)75
11.5%
86
88.5%
Q3 - 0:34.0MIAMISS Battier 26' 3PT Jump Shot75
12.1%
86
87.9%
Q3 - 0:46.0WASGortat 2' Layup (12 PTS) (Ariza 5 AST)75
13.6%
86
86.4%
Q3 - 0:56.0MIACole 17' Pullup Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)75
16.3%
84
83.7%
Q3 - 1:02MIABattier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)73
15.0%
84
85.0%
Q3 - 1:03MIAMISS Bosh 26' 3PT Jump Shot73
13.3%
84
86.7%
Q3 - 1:19WASWebster Foul Turnover (P2.T9)73
14.9%
84
85.1%
Q3 - 1:22WASGortat REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)73
12.6%
84
87.4%
Q3 - 1:23WASMISS Webster 26' 3PT Jump Shot73
14.2%
84
85.8%
Q3 - 1:56MIABosh 26' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Cole 5 AST)73
12.6%
84
87.4%
Q3 - 2:13WASWebster Foul Turnover (P1.T8)70
10.0%
84
90.0%
Q3 - 2:35MIACole Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)70
8.3%
84
91.7%
Q3 - 2:35MIACole Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)69
8.0%
84
92.0%
Q3 - 2:39WASGortat Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)68
7.1%
84
92.9%
Q3 - 2:56MIABosh 8' Jump Bank Shot (18 PTS)68
5.9%
84
94.1%
Q3 - 2:58MIABosh REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)66
4.9%
84
95.1%
Q3 - 2:59MIAMISS Battier 9' Jump Shot66
4.4%
84
95.6%
Q3 - 3:22WASWall Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T6)66
5.7%
84
94.3%
Q3 - 3:41MIACole 1' Reverse Layup (7 PTS) (James 6 AST)66
4.8%
84
95.2%
Q3 - 3:46WASAriza Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)64
4.1%
84
95.9%
Q3 - 4:00MIABattier 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 5 AST)64
3.4%
84
96.6%
Q3 - 4:23WASGortat 6' Hook Shot (10 PTS) (Nene 7 AST)61
2.8%
84
97.2%
Q3 - 4:40MIAJames 1' Dunk (18 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)61
3.2%
82
96.8%
Q3 - 4:45WASAriza Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)59
2.8%
82
97.2%
Q3 - 4:50WASNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)59
2.3%
82
97.7%
Q3 - 4:52MIAMISS Wade 2' Layup59
2.5%
82
97.5%
Q3 - 4:57WASWall Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)59
2.8%
82
97.2%
Q3 - 5:15MIAJames 1' Driving Slam Dunk (16 PTS) (Cole 4 AST)59
2.7%
82
97.3%
Q3 - 5:25MIAJames Free Throw Technical (14 PTS)57
2.3%
82
97.7%
Q3 - 5:47WASAriza 1' Dunk (10 PTS) (Nene 6 AST)56
2.0%
82
98.0%
Q3 - 6:00MIACole Traveling Turnover (P2.T11)56
2.2%
80
97.8%
Q3 - 6:12MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)56
3.2%
80
96.8%
Q3 - 6:13WASMISS Beal 17' Jump Shot56
3.0%
80
97.0%
Q3 - 6:33MIACole 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (James 4 AST)56
2.7%
80
97.3%
Q3 - 6:41MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)53
2.0%
80
98.0%
Q3 - 6:42WASMISS Beal 3PT Jump Shot53
1.9%
80
98.1%
Q3 - 7:03MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)53
1.9%
80
98.1%
Q3 - 7:03MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)52
1.9%
80
98.1%
Q3 - 7:13MIABattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)51
1.7%
80
98.3%
Q3 - 7:14WASMISS Ariza 25' 3PT Jump Shot51
1.6%
80
98.4%
Q3 - 7:26WASAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)51
1.4%
80
98.6%
Q3 - 7:27MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot51
1.5%
80
98.5%
Q3 - 7:55WASNene 16' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Beal 4 AST)51
1.7%
80
98.3%
Q3 - 8:07WASGortat REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)51
2.1%
78
97.9%
Q3 - 8:08MIAMISS Battier 3PT Jump Shot51
2.2%
78
97.8%
Q3 - 8:21WASAriza 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Nene 5 AST)51
2.5%
78
97.5%
Q3 - 8:34WASBeal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)51
3.3%
75
96.7%
Q3 - 8:34MIAMISS James 26' 3PT Jump Shot51
3.4%
75
96.6%
Q3 - 8:53WASAriza 2' Driving Layup (5 PTS) (Nene 4 AST)51
3.9%
75
96.1%
Q3 - 8:59MIANene STEAL (2 STL)51
4.4%
73
95.6%
Q3 - 9:11MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)51
5.6%
73
94.4%
Q3 - 9:11WASMISS Wall 26' 3PT Jump Shot51
5.3%
73
94.7%
Q3 - 9:19WASWall REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)51
4.8%
73
95.2%
Q3 - 9:20MIAMISS Wade 21' Jump Shot51
5.0%
73
95.0%
Q3 - 9:34MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)51
5.5%
73
94.5%
Q3 - 9:35WASMISS Beal 13' Jump Shot51
5.3%
73
94.7%
Q3 - 9:45MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)51
4.8%
73
95.2%
Q3 - 9:55MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)48
3.6%
73
96.4%
Q3 - 9:56WASMISS Gortat 5' Jump Shot48
3.5%
73
96.5%
Q3 - 10:12WASWall REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)48
3.5%
73
96.5%
Q3 - 10:13MIAMISS James 3PT Jump Shot48
3.7%
73
96.3%
Q3 - 10:37WASBeal 16' Fadeaway Jumper (14 PTS)48
4.0%
73
96.0%
Q3 - 10:42WASGortat REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)48
4.6%
71
95.4%
Q3 - 10:43WASMISS Nene 14' Jump Shot48
5.1%
71
94.9%
Q3 - 10:56MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#9)48
4.6%
71
95.4%
Q3 - 10:56MIAHeat Rebound48
5.3%
71
94.7%
Q3 - 10:56MIAWall BLOCK (1 BLK)48
4.8%
71
95.2%
Q3 - 11:29WASNene 17' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Wall 6 AST)48
6.0%
71
94.0%
Q3 - 11:37WASGortat REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)48
6.8%
69
93.2%
Q3 - 11:37MIAMISS Oden 3' Layup48
7.1%
69
92.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA48
7.7%
69
92.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)48
7.7%
69
92.3%
Q2 - 0:01.0WASMISS Ariza 3PT Jump Shot48
8.4%
69
91.6%
Q2 - 0:12.0MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)48
7.8%
69
92.2%
Q2 - 0:12.0MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)47
7.6%
69
92.4%
Q2 - 0:24.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)46
6.7%
69
93.3%
Q2 - 0:25.0WASMISS Wall 9' Jump Shot46
6.5%
69
93.5%
Q2 - 0:48.0MIAJames 19' Pullup Jump Shot (11 PTS)46
6.1%
69
93.9%
Q2 - 1:04WASBooker 20' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Beal 3 AST)44
5.7%
69
94.3%
Q2 - 1:18MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)44
6.7%
67
93.3%
Q2 - 1:22MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)41
5.1%
67
94.9%
Q2 - 1:23WASMISS Gortat 9' Jump Shot41
4.9%
67
95.1%
Q2 - 1:45MIAOden 2' Dunk (6 PTS) (James 3 AST)41
4.7%
67
95.3%
Q2 - 1:59MIAOden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)39
3.9%
67
96.1%
Q2 - 2:00WASMISS Wall 27' 3PT Jump Shot39
3.9%
67
96.1%
Q2 - 2:19MIABosh 27' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (James 2 AST)39
4.0%
67
96.0%
Q2 - 2:35WASWebster 27' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Booker 2 AST)36
3.1%
67
96.9%
Q2 - 2:54MIAJames Alley Oop Dunk (6 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)36
4.0%
64
96.0%
Q2 - 2:59MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)34
3.5%
64
96.5%
Q2 - 3:00WASMISS Wall 18' Jump Shot34
3.4%
64
96.6%
Q2 - 3:15MIABosh Layup (8 PTS)34
3.5%
64
96.5%
Q2 - 3:17MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)32
3.2%
64
96.8%
Q2 - 3:18MIAMISS Wade 8' Jump Shot32
2.9%
64
97.1%
Q2 - 3:26MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)32
3.2%
64
96.8%
Q2 - 3:27MIAMISS James 26' 3PT Jump Shot32
2.9%
64
97.1%
Q2 - 3:34MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)32
3.2%
64
96.8%
Q2 - 3:35WASMISS Gortat 9' Jump Shot32
3.1%
64
96.9%
Q2 - 3:53MIAOden Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)32
2.8%
64
97.2%
Q2 - 3:53MIAOden Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)31
2.7%
64
97.3%
Q2 - 3:53MIAHeat Rebound30
2.5%
64
97.5%
Q2 - 3:54WASMISS Gortat 14' Jump Shot30
2.4%
64
97.6%
Q2 - 4:09WASAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
2.6%
64
97.4%
Q2 - 4:10MIAMISS Cole 21' Jump Shot30
2.7%
64
97.3%
Q2 - 4:23WASNene Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)30
2.9%
64
97.1%
Q2 - 4:23WASNene Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)30
3.0%
63
97.0%
Q2 - 4:32WASGortat REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)30
3.3%
62
96.7%
Q2 - 4:35MIAMISS James 17' Jump Shot30
3.4%
62
96.6%
Q2 - 4:59WASNene 17' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Wall 5 AST)30
3.6%
62
96.4%
Q2 - 5:15MIACole 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)30
4.4%
60
95.6%
Q2 - 5:33WASNene Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)28
4.0%
60
96.0%
Q2 - 5:33WASNene Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)28
4.1%
59
95.9%
Q2 - 5:46MIAOden 1' Dunk (2 PTS)28
4.4%
58
95.6%
Q2 - 5:49MIAOden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)26
4.0%
58
96.0%
Q2 - 5:50MIAGortat BLOCK (3 BLK)26
3.7%
58
96.3%
Q2 - 6:03WASBeal Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)26
4.4%
58
95.6%
Q2 - 6:03WASBeal Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)26
4.5%
57
95.5%
Q2 - 6:05MIATemple STEAL (1 STL)26
4.8%
56
95.2%
Q2 - 6:17MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
5.4%
56
94.6%
Q2 - 6:17WASMISS Nene 16' Jump Shot26
5.2%
56
94.8%
Q2 - 6:31WASBeal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)26
4.8%
56
95.2%
Q2 - 6:32MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot26
5.0%
56
95.0%
Q2 - 6:45WASNene Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)26
5.4%
56
94.6%
Q2 - 6:52WASGortat REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)26
6.5%
53
93.5%
Q2 - 6:53WASMISS Nene 5' Jump Shot26
7.1%
53
92.9%
Q2 - 7:01WASBeal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
7.2%
53
92.8%
Q2 - 7:02MIAMISS Bosh 8' Jump Shot26
7.5%
53
92.5%
Q2 - 7:15MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)26
8.0%
53
92.0%
Q2 - 7:17MIAMISS Allen 25' 3PT Jump Shot26
7.4%
53
92.6%
Q2 - 7:22MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)26
8.0%
53
92.0%
Q2 - 7:24WASMISS Beal 3PT Jump Shot26
7.8%
53
92.2%
Q2 - 7:29WASWebster REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
7.2%
53
92.8%
Q2 - 7:31MIAMISS Wade 1' Layup26
7.4%
53
92.6%
Q2 - 7:39MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
8.0%
53
92.0%
Q2 - 7:41WASMISS Nene Free Throw 2 of 226
7.9%
53
92.1%
Q2 - 7:41WASNene Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)26
7.4%
53
92.6%
Q2 - 7:52MIAWade 4' Floating Jump Shot (8 PTS)26
7.9%
52
92.1%
Q2 - 8:01WASNene Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)24
7.8%
52
92.2%
Q2 - 8:01WASMISS Nene Free Throw 1 of 224
8.0%
51
92.0%
Q2 - 8:13WASBooker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)24
7.7%
51
92.3%
Q2 - 8:14WASMISS Webster 26' 3PT Jump Shot24
8.3%
51
91.7%
Q2 - 8:38MIAWade 2' Layup (6 PTS)24
7.7%
51
92.3%
Q2 - 9:00MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
7.0%
51
93.0%
Q2 - 9:01WASMISS Nene 1' Layup22
7.5%
51
92.5%
Q2 - 9:16WASNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
7.0%
51
93.0%
Q2 - 9:17MIAMISS Beasley 20' Jump Shot22
7.2%
51
92.8%
Q2 - 9:30WASWebster 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Beal 2 AST)22
7.7%
51
92.3%
Q2 - 9:48MIAWade 5' Floating Jump Shot (4 PTS)22
9.2%
48
90.8%
Q2 - 9:57WASTemple Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)20
8.4%
48
91.6%
Q2 - 9:57WASMISS Temple Free Throw 1 of 220
8.6%
47
91.4%
Q2 - 10:02WASTemple REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
8.7%
47
91.3%
Q2 - 10:03MIAMISS Beasley 14' Jump Shot20
9.0%
47
91.0%
Q2 - 10:31WASNene 1' Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS) (Temple 1 AST)20
9.6%
47
90.4%
Q2 - 10:46WASBooker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)20
10.4%
45
89.6%
Q2 - 10:47MIAMISS Allen 25' 3PT Jump Shot20
10.7%
45
89.3%
Q2 - 10:55MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
11.5%
45
88.5%
Q2 - 10:56WASMISS Nene 5' Jump Shot20
11.1%
45
88.9%
Q2 - 11:15MIABeasley 3' Driving Layup (6 PTS)20
11.0%
45
89.0%
Q2 - 11:34WASBooker 3' Driving Layup (10 PTS) (Ariza 4 AST)18
10.1%
45
89.9%
Q2 - 11:51MIAMason Jr. Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T7)18
10.9%
43
89.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA18
12.0%
43
88.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0WASBooker 1' Running Tip Shot (8 PTS)18
12.0%
43
88.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0WASBooker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)18
12.9%
41
87.1%
Q1 - 0:01.0WASMISS Wall 17' Jump Shot18
14.3%
41
85.7%
Q1 - 0:12.0MIABeasley 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS)18
13.8%
41
86.2%
Q1 - 0:32.0WASWall 20' Pullup Jump Shot (11 PTS)16
12.4%
41
87.6%
Q1 - 0:37.0MIAHaslem 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Cole 2 AST)16
13.7%
39
86.3%
Q1 - 0:52.0WASWebster 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wall 4 AST)14
12.4%
39
87.6%
Q1 - 1:06MIABeasley 2' Layup (2 PTS)14
15.7%
36
84.3%
Q1 - 1:24WASBooker 1' Driving Reverse Layup (6 PTS) (Wall 3 AST)12
14.2%
36
85.8%
Q1 - 1:29WASWall REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
15.6%
34
84.4%
Q1 - 1:30MIAGortat BLOCK (2 BLK)12
15.9%
34
84.1%
Q1 - 1:42WASAriza 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wall 2 AST)12
16.5%
34
83.5%
Q1 - 1:55WASGortat REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
19.6%
31
80.4%
Q1 - 1:56MIAMISS Beasley 21' Jump Shot12
19.9%
31
80.1%
Q1 - 2:08MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)12
21.4%
31
78.6%
Q1 - 2:09MIAMISS Cole 18' Jump Shot12
20.4%
31
79.6%
Q1 - 2:30WASGortat 4' Running Hook Shot (8 PTS) (Ariza 3 AST)12
21.4%
31
78.6%
Q1 - 2:39WASBooker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)12
23.0%
29
77.0%
Q1 - 2:40MIAMISS Haslem 1' Layup12
23.5%
29
76.5%
Q1 - 2:55WASBooker Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)12
24.5%
29
75.5%
Q1 - 2:55WASBooker Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)12
25.1%
28
74.9%
Q1 - 2:59MIAWebster STEAL (1 STL)12
26.4%
27
73.6%
Q1 - 3:13WASWall 29' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS)12
28.8%
27
71.2%
Q1 - 3:27WASWebster REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
32.4%
24
67.6%
Q1 - 3:28MIAMISS Bosh 21' Jump Shot12
33.0%
24
67.0%
Q1 - 3:49WASGortat 8' Turnaround Fadeaway (6 PTS)12
34.5%
24
65.5%
Q1 - 4:01WASBooker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
37.1%
22
62.9%
Q1 - 4:02MIAMISS Bosh 22' Jump Shot12
37.8%
22
62.2%
Q1 - 4:27WASBeal Driving Layup (10 PTS) (Booker 1 AST)12
39.3%
22
60.7%
Q1 - 4:32MIABooker STEAL (1 STL)12
41.1%
20
58.9%
Q1 - 4:56WASBooker 5' Turnaround Hook Shot (2 PTS)12
43.5%
20
56.5%
Q1 - 5:15WASBooker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
45.9%
18
54.1%
Q1 - 5:16MIAMISS Bosh 3PT Jump Shot12
46.6%
18
53.4%
Q1 - 5:29MIAHeat Rebound12
48.1%
18
51.9%
Q1 - 5:29MIAGortat BLOCK (1 BLK)12
46.6%
18
53.4%
Q1 - 5:31MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)12
48.1%
18
51.9%
Q1 - 5:31MIAMISS James 3PT Jump Shot12
46.6%
18
53.4%
Q1 - 5:51WASBeal 1' Layup (8 PTS) (Nene 3 AST)12
48.1%
18
51.9%
Q1 - 5:57WASBeal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
50.0%
16
50.0%
Q1 - 5:58MIAMISS Cole 24' 3PT Jump Shot12
50.7%
16
49.3%
Q1 - 6:06MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
52.6%
16
47.4%
Q1 - 6:07WASMISS Nene 15' Jump Shot12
52.0%
16
48.0%
Q1 - 6:26MIAJames 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS)12
50.4%
16
49.6%
Q1 - 6:41WASWall Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)10
48.7%
16
51.3%
Q1 - 6:45MIANene STEAL (1 STL)10
46.5%
16
53.5%
Q1 - 7:09WASWall 1' Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Ariza 2 AST)10
49.2%
16
50.8%
Q1 - 7:13MIAAriza STEAL (2 STL)10
50.7%
14
49.3%
Q1 - 7:24WASBeal 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Nene 2 AST)10
52.9%
14
47.1%
Q1 - 7:37MIAWade 21' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)10
56.4%
11
43.6%
Q1 - 7:46MIAHeat Rebound8
54.8%
11
45.2%
Q1 - 7:47MIAMISS Bosh 16' Jump Shot8
53.3%
11
46.7%
Q1 - 8:10WASGortat 1' Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Ariza 1 AST)8
55.2%
11
44.8%
Q1 - 8:14MIAAriza STEAL (1 STL)8
56.8%
9
43.2%
Q1 - 8:28WASWall 22' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Beal 1 AST)8
58.8%
9
41.2%
Q1 - 8:41MIAJames Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)8
60.4%
7
39.6%
Q1 - 8:44MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
62.3%
7
37.7%
Q1 - 8:45WASMISS Nene 17' Jump Shot8
61.7%
7
38.3%
Q1 - 9:10MIABosh 5' Jump Bank Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)8
60.6%
7
39.4%
Q1 - 9:23MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
59.1%
7
40.9%
Q1 - 9:24WASMISS Ariza 13' Jump Shot6
58.5%
7
41.5%
Q1 - 9:41MIABosh 13' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)6
57.2%
7
42.8%
Q1 - 9:57WASNene Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)4
55.6%
7
44.4%
Q1 - 10:17MIAJames 5' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS) (Cole 1 AST)4
54.0%
7
46.0%
Q1 - 10:29WASBeal 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Nene 1 AST)2
52.4%
7
47.6%
Q1 - 10:41WASGortat REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
55.7%
4
44.3%
Q1 - 10:42MIAMISS Cole 3PT Jump Shot2
56.2%
4
43.8%
Q1 - 10:58WASWall Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)2
57.5%
4
42.5%
Q1 - 10:58WASWall Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)2
57.8%
3
42.2%
Q1 - 11:00WASAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
59.0%
2
41.0%
Q1 - 11:02MIANene BLOCK (1 BLK)2
59.6%
2
40.4%
Q1 - 11:07MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
60.6%
2
39.4%
Q1 - 11:09WASMISS Gortat 3' Layup2
60.1%
2
39.9%
Q1 - 11:27MIABosh 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 1 AST)2
59.2%
2
40.8%
Q1 - 11:43WASGortat 5' Running Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Wall 1 AST)0
57.4%
2
42.6%
Q1 - 12:00WASJump Ball Gortat vs. Bosh: Tip to Beal0
59.1%
0
40.9%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.02 51.1%
WAS
1.31 65.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
19
29
66%
WAS
18
25
72%
Midrange
MIA
11
30
37%
WAS
13
28
46%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
7
10.5
25
28%
42%
WAS
10
15.0
22
45%
68%
Free Throws
MIA
16
17
94%
WAS
22
26
85%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Bosh2665%13.0 / 20
L. James2557%12.5 / 22
N. Cole1554%7.5 / 14
D. Wade836%4.0 / 11
G. Oden675%3.0 / 4
M. Beasley650%3.0 / 6
J. Jones6150%3.0 / 2
S. Battier330%1.5 / 5
U. Haslem250%1.0 / 2
R. Allen0-0.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
WAS logo Wizards
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Wall2574%12.5 / 17
Nene1950%9.5 / 19
B. Beal1968%9.5 / 14
T. Booker1393%6.5 / 7
M. Gortat1255%6.0 / 11
M. Webster1169%5.5 / 8
T. Ariza1071%5.0 / 7
G. Temple375%1.5 / 2
C. Singleton2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
81
+13
-12
94
WAS
79
+7
-12
86
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.02 51.1%
WAS
1.31 65.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
110.7
105.5
MIA 104.3
WAS 125.3 +21.0
Pace
91.5
93.7
MIA 95.6 +7.0
WAS 88.6
Avg. Poss. Time
15.8
15.3
MIA 15.1 +1.2
WAS 16.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
55.4%
50.6%
MIA 48.2%
WAS 61.3% +13.1%
TO %
15.4%
14.8%
MIA 12.4%
WAS 12.2% +0.2%
ORB %
20.6%
25.2%
MIA 20.9%
WAS 21.2% +0.3%
FTrt
30.0
24.8
MIA 20.2
WAS 34.7 +14.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.8%
60.1%
MIA 59.5%
WAS 73.2% +13.7%
STL %
9.7%
8.5%
MIA 6.5%
WAS 7.7% +1.2%
BLK %
8.1%
7.7%
MIA 1.9%
WAS 11.9% +10.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.51 and 2.51.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
57.5%
52.5%
MIA 51.1%
WAS 65.5% +14.4%
Rim FG%
66.7%
61.8%
MIA 65.5%
WAS 72.0% +6.5%
Mid FG%
42.8%
37.7%
MIA 36.7%
WAS 46.4% +9.7%
3P %
36.4%
38.0%
MIA 28.0%
WAS 45.5% +17.5%
FT %
76.0%
73.1%
MIA 94.1% +9.5%
WAS 84.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
38.3%
33.8%
MIA 34.5% +1.2%
WAS 33.3%
Mid Att. %
32.5%
41.6%
MIA 35.7% +1.6%
WAS 37.3%
3P Att. %
29.2%
24.6%
MIA 29.8% +0.4%
WAS 29.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.71 and 2.71.
Game TotalsMIAWAS
Possessions9391
Possession Minutes23.424.6
Points97114
Rebounds3541
Assists2230
Steals67
Blocks17
Turnovers (Team)12 (1)12 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (4)7 (0)
Def. Rebounds (Team)26 (2)34 (1)
Field Goals37-8441-75
At-the-Rim FG19-2918-25
Midrange FG11-3013-28
2-Point FG30-5931-53
3-Point FG7-2510-22
Free Throws16-1722-26
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 250 · 29
41.1
25
57%
8
7
2
0
4
1
2
6
9-10
90%
8-14
57%
0-4
0%
G · 6'2" 175 · 25
39.6
15
54%
2
7
3
0
2
4
0
2
2-2
100%
5-8
63%
1-5
20%
C · 6'11" 235 · 30
35.9
26
65%
7
2
1
0
0
2
3
4
3-3
100%
7-13
54%
3-6
50%
G · 6'4" 220 · 32
32.9
8
36%
6
5
0
0
3
0
1
5
0-0
-
4-11
36%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 220 · 35
19.3
3
30%
2
0
0
1
0
3
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-4
25%
G · 6'5" 205 · 38
25.3
0
0%
1
1
0
0
2
3
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-4
0%
F · 6'8" 235 · 34
20.7
2
50%
6
0
0
0
0
3
0
6
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 273 · 26
8.4
6
75%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
2-2
100%
2-3
67%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 235 · 25
6.9
6
50%
1
0
0
0
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
3-6
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 205 · 33
6.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 33
2.3
6
150%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
2-2
100%
F · 6'10" 235 · 34
0.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 195 · 28
#11 · F-C · 6'10" 245 · 36
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#15 · G · 6'2" 190 · 28
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
97
51%
35
22
6
1
12
0
9
26
16-17
94%
30-59
51%
7-25
28%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.