FinalWin Prob.pScore
1132%99
119
368%106
121
ORTG#PossPace
ATL logo ATL
115.510396.1
MIA logo MIA
119.810188.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatHawksQ1Q2Q3Q4OT19:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:002:00

Scoring Margin

HeatHawksQ1Q2Q3Q4OT19:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:002:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventATLMIA
OT1 - 0:00.0ATL119
0%
121
100%
OT1 - 0:00.0MIAAndersen Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)119
2.5%
121
97.5%
OT1 - 0:00.0MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)119
0.3%
120
99.7%
OT1 - 0:00.0ATLMISS Korver 5' Jump Shot119
0.7%
120
99.3%
OT1 - 0:09.0MIABeasley Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)119
33.7%
120
66.3%
OT1 - 0:09.0MIABeasley Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)119
38.9%
119
61.1%
OT1 - 0:09.0MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)119
53.4%
118
46.6%
OT1 - 0:09.0MIAMISS Beasley 6' Jump Shot119
74.6%
118
25.4%
OT1 - 0:29.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)119
49.8%
118
50.2%
OT1 - 0:30.0ATLMISS Millsap 25' 3PT Jump Shot119
56.9%
118
43.1%
OT1 - 0:46.0ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)119
67.8%
118
32.2%
OT1 - 0:48.0ATLMISS Korver 25' 3PT Jump Shot119
54.2%
118
45.8%
OT1 - 1:08MIAAndersen 2' Layup (11 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST)119
63.6%
118
36.4%
OT1 - 1:21ATLHorford 2' Layup (21 PTS) (Teague 8 AST)119
72.7%
116
27.3%
OT1 - 1:37ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)117
60.0%
116
40.0%
OT1 - 1:39MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot117
55.4%
116
44.6%
OT1 - 1:58ATLTeague 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (26 PTS)117
45.4%
116
54.6%
OT1 - 2:01ATLTeague REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)115
36.1%
116
63.9%
OT1 - 2:05MIAMISS James Free Throw 2 of 2115
34.5%
116
65.5%
OT1 - 2:05MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (38 PTS)115
27.9%
116
72.1%
OT1 - 2:16ATLHorford Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)115
33.7%
115
66.3%
OT1 - 2:16ATLHorford Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)114
31.0%
115
69.0%
OT1 - 2:26MIAJames 18' Jump Shot (37 PTS)113
26.5%
115
73.5%
OT1 - 2:44ATLTeague 2' Driving Layup (24 PTS)113
33.7%
113
66.3%
OT1 - 2:50ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)111
26.7%
113
73.3%
OT1 - 2:50MIAMISS Chalmers 2' Layup111
23.2%
113
76.8%
OT1 - 2:58MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)111
17.4%
113
82.6%
OT1 - 2:59MIAMISS Beasley 6' Hook Shot111
23.5%
113
76.5%
OT1 - 3:16ATLMillsap Foul Turnover (P3.T19)111
17.4%
113
82.6%
OT1 - 3:25MIAChalmers 1' Driving Layup (12 PTS)111
26.9%
113
73.1%
OT1 - 3:44MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)111
34.1%
111
65.9%
OT1 - 3:45ATLMISS Williams 28' 3PT Fadeaway Jumper111
37.0%
111
63.0%
OT1 - 4:10ATLKorver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)111
44.1%
111
55.9%
OT1 - 4:11MIAMISS Chalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot111
40.9%
111
59.1%
OT1 - 4:36MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)111
34.1%
111
65.9%
OT1 - 4:37ATLMISS Korver 28' 3PT Jump Shot111
37.0%
111
63.0%
OT1 - 4:59MIAJump Ball Andersen vs. Horford: Tip to Teague111
44.2%
111
55.8%
Q4 - 0:02.0ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)111
57.5%
111
42.5%
Q4 - 0:03.0ATLMISS Millsap 1' Layup111
43.2%
111
56.8%
Q4 - 0:08.0MIAAllen Free Throw 3 of 3 (19 PTS)111
59.5%
111
40.5%
Q4 - 0:08.0MIAAllen Free Throw 2 of 3 (18 PTS)111
62.3%
110
37.7%
Q4 - 0:08.0MIAAllen Free Throw 1 of 3 (17 PTS)111
65.5%
109
34.5%
Q4 - 0:14.0ATLTeague Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)111
90.0%
108
10.0%
Q4 - 0:14.0ATLTeague Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)110
88.6%
108
11.4%
Q4 - 0:14.0MIAJames 1' Driving Dunk (35 PTS)109
81.4%
108
18.6%
Q4 - 0:22.0ATLWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)109
87.0%
106
13.0%
Q4 - 0:22.0ATLWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)108
85.4%
106
14.6%
Q4 - 0:23.0MIAJames 26' 3PT Jump Shot (33 PTS)107
76.4%
106
23.6%
Q4 - 0:31.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)107
92.2%
103
7.8%
Q4 - 0:32.0ATLMISS Millsap 26' 3PT Jump Shot107
94.2%
103
5.8%
Q4 - 0:47.0MIAChalmers Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T13)107
94.5%
103
5.5%
Q4 - 1:01MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)107
85.9%
103
14.1%
Q4 - 1:04ATLMISS Teague 10' Jump Shot107
87.8%
103
12.2%
Q4 - 1:30MIAJames 27' 3PT Jump Shot (30 PTS)107
88.8%
103
11.2%
Q4 - 1:40ATLKorver 26' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Teague 7 AST)107
94.6%
100
5.4%
Q4 - 1:49MIAAndersen Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)104
85.8%
100
14.2%
Q4 - 1:49MIAMISS Andersen Free Throw 1 of 2104
87.4%
99
12.6%
Q4 - 2:00ATLMillsap 4' Driving Jump Shot (25 PTS)104
85.8%
99
14.2%
Q4 - 2:11ATLTeague REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)102
79.5%
99
20.5%
Q4 - 2:13MIAMISS Bosh 17' Jump Shot102
76.5%
99
23.5%
Q4 - 2:31ATLWilliams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Teague 6 AST)102
68.1%
99
31.9%
Q4 - 2:50MIABosh 1' Driving Layup (11 PTS)99
48.6%
99
51.4%
Q4 - 3:12ATLTeague Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)99
55.2%
97
44.8%
Q4 - 3:12ATLTeague Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)98
53.7%
97
46.3%
Q4 - 3:13ATLAntic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)97
47.0%
97
53.0%
Q4 - 3:15MIAMISS Allen 25' 3PT Jump Shot97
42.8%
97
57.2%
Q4 - 3:36ATLTeague 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (18 PTS)97
34.2%
97
65.8%
Q4 - 3:57MIAChalmers Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T12)95
26.9%
97
73.1%
Q4 - 4:08MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)95
19.4%
97
80.6%
Q4 - 4:09ATLMISS Millsap 4' Driving Finger Roll Layup95
21.4%
97
78.6%
Q4 - 4:25ATLKorver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)95
26.7%
97
73.3%
Q4 - 4:28MIAMISS Andersen Free Throw 2 of 295
25.6%
97
74.4%
Q4 - 4:28MIAAndersen Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)95
21.6%
97
78.4%
Q4 - 4:40ATLTeague Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)95
25.9%
96
74.1%
Q4 - 4:40ATLMISS Teague Free Throw 1 of 294
24.9%
96
75.1%
Q4 - 4:58MIAJames 6' Turnaround Bank Hook Shot (27 PTS)94
26.6%
96
73.4%
Q4 - 5:15MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)94
33.7%
94
66.3%
Q4 - 5:19ATLMISS Horford 2' Layup94
36.3%
94
63.7%
Q4 - 5:40MIALewis Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)94
42.4%
94
57.6%
Q4 - 5:43ATLJames STEAL (2 STL)94
33.8%
94
66.2%
Q4 - 5:46ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)94
42.4%
94
57.6%
Q4 - 5:48MIAMISS Mason Jr. 25' 3PT Jump Shot94
39.7%
94
60.3%
Q4 - 5:59MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)94
33.8%
94
66.2%
Q4 - 6:00ATLAndersen BLOCK (2 BLK)94
36.3%
94
63.7%
Q4 - 6:02ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)94
41.1%
94
58.9%
Q4 - 6:05MIAMISS Mason Jr. 25' 3PT Jump Shot94
38.6%
94
61.4%
Q4 - 6:24MIAJames REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)94
33.2%
94
66.8%
Q4 - 6:26ATLMISS Korver 24' 3PT Jump Shot94
35.5%
94
64.5%
Q4 - 6:45MIAJames 5' Driving Jump Shot (25 PTS)94
41.2%
94
58.8%
Q4 - 7:12ATLHorford 1' Layup (17 PTS) (Mack 7 AST)94
46.3%
92
53.7%
Q4 - 7:20ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)92
40.1%
92
59.9%
Q4 - 7:22MIAMISS Cole 3PT Jump Shot92
37.9%
92
62.1%
Q4 - 7:36ATLCole STEAL (2 STL)92
33.0%
92
67.0%
Q4 - 7:42MIAAndersen Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)92
40.2%
92
59.8%
Q4 - 7:58ATLMack Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)92
53.4%
89
46.6%
Q4 - 7:58ATLMISS Mack Free Throw 1 of 291
51.7%
89
48.3%
Q4 - 8:13MIAMason Jr. 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Andersen 2 AST)91
51.9%
89
48.1%
Q4 - 8:23MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)91
64.5%
86
35.5%
Q4 - 8:25ATLMISS Scott 24' 3PT Jump Shot91
66.3%
86
33.7%
Q4 - 8:35ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)91
70.2%
86
29.8%
Q4 - 8:37MIAMISS Beasley 1' Driving Layup91
68.5%
86
31.5%
Q4 - 8:54ATLHorford Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)91
64.6%
86
35.4%
Q4 - 8:54ATLHorford Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)90
63.0%
86
37.0%
Q4 - 9:11MIABeasley 1' Finger Roll Layup (8 PTS)89
56.4%
86
43.6%
Q4 - 9:17MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)89
62.2%
84
37.8%
Q4 - 9:19ATLMISS Scott 25' 3PT Jump Shot89
63.9%
84
36.1%
Q4 - 9:39MIALewis 9' Driving Hook Shot (6 PTS)89
67.8%
84
32.2%
Q4 - 9:58ATLScott Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)89
72.9%
82
27.1%
Q4 - 10:12MIAMason Jr. 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS)86
60.1%
82
39.9%
Q4 - 10:32ATLWilliams 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Mack 6 AST)86
65.4%
80
34.6%
Q4 - 10:37MIACole Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)84
60.2%
80
39.8%
Q4 - 10:49MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)84
54.6%
80
45.4%
Q4 - 10:53ATLMISS Horford 16' Jump Shot84
56.4%
80
43.6%
Q4 - 11:16MIABeasley Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)84
58.8%
80
41.2%
Q4 - 11:16MIAMISS Beasley Free Throw 1 of 284
59.9%
79
40.1%
Q4 - 11:24MIAMason Jr. REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)84
58.7%
79
41.3%
Q4 - 11:26ATLMISS Scott 3PT Jump Shot84
60.3%
79
39.7%
Q4 - 11:37MIABeasley 1' Driving Layup (5 PTS) (Cole 3 AST)84
63.9%
79
36.1%
Q4 - 11:44MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)84
68.7%
77
31.3%
Q4 - 11:45ATLMISS Williams 12' Jump Shot84
70.1%
77
29.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATL84
73.2%
77
26.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)84
73.2%
77
26.8%
Q3 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Cole 25' 3PT Jump Shot84
69.9%
77
30.1%
Q3 - 0:06.0ATLCarroll 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Williams 5 AST)84
67.0%
77
33.0%
Q3 - 0:25.0MIABeasley 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 6 AST)81
57.3%
77
42.7%
Q3 - 0:30.0MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)81
67.1%
74
32.9%
Q3 - 0:31.0ATLMISS Mack 27' 3PT Jump Shot81
68.4%
74
31.6%
Q3 - 0:47.0MIAJames 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (23 PTS)81
71.3%
74
28.7%
Q3 - 0:50.0MIAMason Jr. REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)81
75.5%
72
24.5%
Q3 - 0:51.0ATLMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot81
76.6%
72
23.4%
Q3 - 0:58.0ATLBrand REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)81
79.0%
72
21.0%
Q3 - 1:02MIAMISS Beasley 20' Jump Shot81
75.9%
72
24.1%
Q3 - 1:26ATLMillsap 26' 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Mack 5 AST)81
73.6%
72
26.4%
Q3 - 1:40MIACole 16' Jump Shot (5 PTS)78
65.2%
72
34.8%
Q3 - 1:59ATLMack 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)78
69.7%
70
30.3%
Q3 - 2:16ATLHawks Rebound76
63.1%
70
36.9%
Q3 - 2:18MIAMISS Beasley 4' Driving Jump Shot76
61.7%
70
38.3%
Q3 - 2:27MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)76
58.5%
70
41.5%
Q3 - 2:30ATLMISS Carroll 24' 3PT Jump Shot76
60.0%
70
40.0%
Q3 - 2:46MIAAllen 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)76
63.2%
70
36.8%
Q3 - 3:05ATLMillsap 26' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Brand 1 AST)76
69.3%
67
30.7%
Q3 - 3:12ATLBrand REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)73
61.6%
67
38.4%
Q3 - 3:14ATLMISS Brand 10' Jump Shot73
58.4%
67
41.6%
Q3 - 3:20ATLBrand REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)73
61.7%
67
38.3%
Q3 - 3:23MIAMISS James 26' 3PT Jump Shot73
60.3%
67
39.7%
Q3 - 3:44ATLMillsap 26' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Mack 4 AST)73
57.1%
67
42.9%
Q3 - 3:55MIAJames Putback Dunk (21 PTS)70
48.5%
67
51.5%
Q3 - 3:56MIAJames REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)70
52.7%
65
47.3%
Q3 - 3:57MIAMISS Chalmers 27' 3PT Jump Shot70
56.0%
65
44.0%
Q3 - 4:00MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)70
52.7%
65
47.3%
Q3 - 4:03ATLBosh BLOCK (4 BLK)70
52.8%
65
47.2%
Q3 - 4:06ATLTeague REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)70
56.4%
65
43.6%
Q3 - 4:07ATLMISS Teague 25' 3PT Jump Shot70
52.8%
65
47.2%
Q3 - 4:33MIAChalmers Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T9)70
56.5%
65
43.5%
Q3 - 4:39MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)70
51.3%
65
48.7%
Q3 - 4:41MIAMISS Allen 3PT Jump Shot70
54.9%
65
45.1%
Q3 - 4:54MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)70
51.3%
65
48.7%
Q3 - 4:56ATLMISS Teague Free Throw 2 of 270
52.0%
65
48.0%
Q3 - 4:56ATLMISS Teague Free Throw 1 of 270
55.0%
65
45.0%
Q3 - 5:11MIABosh Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T8)70
55.0%
65
45.0%
Q3 - 5:26ATLHorford 1' Layup (13 PTS) (Carroll 2 AST)70
50.3%
65
49.7%
Q3 - 5:31MIAAllen Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)68
46.8%
65
53.2%
Q3 - 5:51MIAHEAT Rebound68
42.1%
65
57.9%
Q3 - 5:51ATLMISS Millsap 18' Jump Shot68
43.5%
65
56.5%
Q3 - 6:19MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)68
45.7%
65
54.3%
Q3 - 6:19MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)68
53.2%
62
46.8%
Q3 - 6:19MIAMISS James 26' 3PT Jump Shot68
56.2%
62
43.8%
Q3 - 6:23MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)68
53.2%
62
46.8%
Q3 - 6:29ATLMISS Teague 4' Driving Jump Shot68
54.6%
62
45.4%
Q3 - 6:41MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)68
57.6%
62
42.4%
Q3 - 6:41MIAMISS Chalmers Free Throw 1 of 268
58.4%
61
41.6%
Q3 - 6:44ATLChalmers STEAL (1 STL)68
57.2%
61
42.8%
Q3 - 6:56MIAJames 24' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)68
61.5%
61
38.5%
Q3 - 7:14ATLCarroll 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Teague 5 AST)68
66.7%
58
33.3%
Q3 - 7:31MIAAllen 17' Pullup Jump Shot (13 PTS)65
59.9%
58
40.1%
Q3 - 7:45ATLJames STEAL (1 STL)65
63.3%
56
36.7%
Q3 - 8:01MIAAllen 1' Driving Layup (11 PTS) (Beasley 1 AST)65
66.1%
56
33.9%
Q3 - 8:28ATLHorford 1' Layup (11 PTS) (Millsap 2 AST)65
69.0%
54
31.0%
Q3 - 8:37MIABattier Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)63
66.2%
54
33.8%
Q3 - 8:50ATLTeague Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T14)63
62.2%
54
37.8%
Q3 - 8:59MIAJames 1' Tip Shot (16 PTS)63
66.2%
54
33.8%
Q3 - 9:00MIAJames REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)63
69.0%
52
31.0%
Q3 - 9:01MIAMISS James Tip Shot63
69.9%
52
30.1%
Q3 - 9:02MIAJames REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)63
67.7%
52
32.3%
Q3 - 9:03MIAMISS James 2' Layup63
69.9%
52
30.1%
Q3 - 9:15ATLTeague 2' Driving Layup (15 PTS)63
67.8%
52
32.2%
Q3 - 9:25MIAChalmers Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T5)61
64.6%
52
35.4%
Q3 - 9:43MIABattier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)61
61.1%
52
38.9%
Q3 - 9:44ATLMISS Teague Free Throw 1 of 161
61.6%
52
38.4%
Q3 - 10:02MIABosh 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)59
56.3%
52
43.7%
Q3 - 10:07MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)59
59.7%
50
40.3%
Q3 - 10:10ATLMISS Teague 10' Jump Shot59
60.8%
50
39.2%
Q3 - 10:14ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)59
63.2%
50
36.8%
Q3 - 10:16ATLMISS Teague 10' Jump Shot59
60.8%
50
39.2%
Q3 - 10:20ATLTeague REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)59
63.2%
50
36.8%
Q3 - 10:22MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)59
59.8%
50
40.2%
Q3 - 10:22MIAMISS Bosh 2' Tip Shot59
62.2%
50
37.8%
Q3 - 10:28MIAMISS Chalmers 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup59
62.2%
50
37.8%
Q3 - 10:37ATLMillsap Foul Turnover (P2.T13)59
59.8%
50
40.2%
Q3 - 10:40ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)59
63.3%
50
36.7%
Q3 - 10:43MIAMISS James 16' Jump Shot59
62.2%
50
37.8%
Q3 - 11:02ATLMillsap 24' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Horford 3 AST)59
58.3%
50
41.7%
Q3 - 11:13MIAAllen Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)56
51.7%
50
48.3%
Q3 - 11:33ATLMillsap 6' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Teague 4 AST)56
48.1%
50
51.9%
Q3 - 11:39ATLTeague REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)54
44.9%
50
55.1%
Q3 - 11:41MIAMISS Battier 24' 3PT Jump Shot54
43.8%
50
56.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA54
41.4%
50
58.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)54
44.9%
50
55.1%
Q2 - 0:03.0MIAMISS James Free Throw 2 of 254
43.2%
50
56.8%
Q2 - 0:03.0MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 254
41.0%
50
59.0%
Q2 - 0:10.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)54
41.2%
50
58.8%
Q2 - 0:13.0MIAMISS Chalmers 2' Layup54
42.8%
50
57.2%
Q2 - 0:16.0MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)54
41.2%
50
58.8%
Q2 - 0:19.0MIAMISS Allen 25' 3PT Jump Shot54
42.9%
50
57.1%
Q2 - 0:36.0ATLHawks Turnover: Shot Clock (T#12)54
41.2%
50
58.8%
Q2 - 0:36.0ATLHawks Rebound54
43.6%
50
56.4%
Q2 - 0:36.0ATLMISS Antic 25' 3PT Jump Shot54
41.9%
50
58.1%
Q2 - 0:50.0ATLAntic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)54
43.7%
50
56.3%
Q2 - 0:59.0MIAMISS Chalmers 7' Driving Jump Shot54
42.9%
50
57.1%
Q2 - 1:16ATLTeague 2' Driving Layup (11 PTS)54
41.0%
50
59.0%
Q2 - 1:25MIABosh Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)52
36.9%
50
63.1%
Q2 - 1:44ATLTeague 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (9 PTS)52
35.0%
50
65.0%
Q2 - 1:48ATLKorver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)50
31.1%
50
68.9%
Q2 - 1:51MIAMISS James 13' Jump Shot50
30.6%
50
69.4%
Q2 - 2:15ATLKorver 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Millsap 1 AST)50
28.7%
50
71.3%
Q2 - 2:19ATLAntic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)47
23.9%
50
76.1%
Q2 - 2:23MIAMISS Chalmers 1' Driving Layup47
23.2%
50
76.8%
Q2 - 2:40ATLAntic 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T11)47
21.7%
50
78.3%
Q2 - 3:04MIAChalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS)47
24.0%
50
76.0%
Q2 - 3:26ATLHorford 1' Layup (9 PTS)47
28.2%
47
71.8%
Q2 - 3:30ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)45
26.3%
47
73.7%
Q2 - 3:33ATLMISS Millsap 3' Driving Jump Shot45
24.4%
47
75.6%
Q2 - 3:50MIAAllen 22' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (James 5 AST)45
26.3%
47
73.7%
Q2 - 4:12ATLMillsap 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Williams 4 AST)45
28.1%
45
71.9%
Q2 - 4:24ATLTeague REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)42
23.7%
45
76.3%
Q2 - 4:26ATLMISS Millsap 3PT Jump Shot42
22.3%
45
77.7%
Q2 - 4:35ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)42
23.7%
45
76.3%
Q2 - 4:38MIAMISS James 10' Jump Shot42
23.1%
45
76.9%
Q2 - 4:51ATLHorford 16' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Teague 3 AST)42
21.7%
45
78.3%
Q2 - 5:09MIAAndersen 2' Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Cole 2 AST)40
19.9%
45
80.1%
Q2 - 5:22MIAMason Jr. REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)40
21.8%
43
78.2%
Q2 - 5:28ATLMISS Horford 9' Jump Shot40
22.4%
43
77.6%
Q2 - 5:45MIAJames 2' Driving Layup (14 PTS)40
23.7%
43
76.3%
Q2 - 5:55MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)40
25.9%
41
74.1%
Q2 - 5:57MIAMISS Mason Jr. 24' 3PT Jump Shot40
27.4%
41
72.6%
Q2 - 6:23ATLKorver 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Horford 2 AST)40
25.7%
41
74.3%
Q2 - 6:34ATLScott REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)37
22.1%
41
77.9%
Q2 - 6:36MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot37
21.4%
41
78.6%
Q2 - 7:01ATLHorford 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Carroll 1 AST)37
20.1%
41
79.9%
Q2 - 7:08ATLKorver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
17.0%
41
83.0%
Q2 - 7:18MIAMISS Cole 5' Running Hook Shot34
16.5%
41
83.5%
Q2 - 7:29MIAHEAT Rebound34
15.4%
41
84.6%
Q2 - 7:29MIAMISS James 6' Turnaround Jump Shot34
16.5%
41
83.5%
Q2 - 7:53ATLHorford 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Mack 3 AST)34
15.4%
41
84.6%
Q2 - 8:09MIALewis 2' Dunk (4 PTS) (Andersen 1 AST)32
14.3%
41
85.7%
Q2 - 8:12MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)32
15.6%
39
84.4%
Q2 - 8:14MIAMISS Lewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot32
16.6%
39
83.4%
Q2 - 8:33ATLWilliams Driving Layup (2 PTS)32
15.6%
39
84.4%
Q2 - 8:36ATLCarroll REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)30
14.3%
39
85.7%
Q2 - 8:39MIAMISS Cole 4' Driving Jump Shot30
13.9%
39
86.1%
Q2 - 9:04ATLScott 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Mack 2 AST)30
13.2%
39
86.8%
Q2 - 9:10ATLScott REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
11.1%
39
88.9%
Q2 - 9:12MIAMISS Cole Driving Layup27
10.8%
39
89.2%
Q2 - 9:36ATLScott 6' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)27
10.1%
39
89.9%
Q2 - 9:52MIAMason Jr. 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)25
9.2%
39
90.8%
Q2 - 10:00MIAMason Jr. REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
11.0%
36
89.0%
Q2 - 10:06ATLAndersen BLOCK (1 BLK)25
11.6%
36
88.4%
Q2 - 10:18MIAJames 26' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Lewis 1 AST)25
12.4%
36
87.6%
Q2 - 10:25ATLCarroll Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T10)25
14.5%
33
85.5%
Q2 - 10:30ATLCarroll REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)25
16.0%
33
84.0%
Q2 - 10:33MIAMISS Cole 14' Jump Shot25
15.5%
33
84.5%
Q2 - 10:49ATLCarroll 5' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)25
14.5%
33
85.5%
Q2 - 11:01ATLCarroll REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)23
13.7%
33
86.3%
Q2 - 11:03MIAMISS Mason Jr. 3PT Jump Shot23
13.3%
33
86.7%
Q2 - 11:17ATLMack Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)23
12.5%
33
87.5%
Q2 - 11:44MIAAndersen 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T2)23
13.7%
33
86.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATL23
12.5%
33
87.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIACole 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 4 AST)23
13.7%
33
86.3%
Q1 - 0:22.0MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
16.4%
30
83.6%
Q1 - 0:23.0ATLMISS Williams 20' Jump Shot23
16.7%
30
83.3%
Q1 - 0:42.0ATLBrand REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)23
17.4%
30
82.6%
Q1 - 0:45.0ATLMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot23
16.7%
30
83.3%
Q1 - 1:02MIALewis 1' Layup (2 PTS) (James 3 AST)23
17.6%
30
82.4%
Q1 - 1:17ATLBrand 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Mack 1 AST)23
19.3%
28
80.7%
Q1 - 1:25ATLBrand REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)21
17.5%
28
82.5%
Q1 - 1:26ATLMISS Millsap 2' Layup21
16.9%
28
83.1%
Q1 - 1:38MIAJames 2' Layup (9 PTS) (Cole 1 AST)21
17.5%
28
82.5%
Q1 - 1:54ATLCole STEAL (1 STL)21
19.3%
26
80.7%
Q1 - 2:10MIAAndersen Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)21
20.6%
26
79.4%
Q1 - 2:10MIAAndersen Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)21
21.1%
25
78.9%
Q1 - 2:25ATLBrand Layup (2 PTS)21
22.3%
24
77.7%
Q1 - 2:26ATLBrand REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)19
20.6%
24
79.4%
Q1 - 2:27ATLMISS Mack 10' Jump Shot19
19.7%
24
80.3%
Q1 - 2:50ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)19
20.6%
24
79.4%
Q1 - 2:51ATLMISS Teague 5' Jump Shot19
19.7%
24
80.3%
Q1 - 3:00MIAChalmers 8' Jump Shot (6 PTS)19
20.6%
24
79.4%
Q1 - 3:14ATLMillsap 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)19
22.0%
22
78.0%
Q1 - 3:31MIAAllen 20' Jump Shot (7 PTS)16
19.3%
22
80.7%
Q1 - 3:37MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)16
20.6%
20
79.4%
Q1 - 3:39ATLMISS Brand 15' Jump Shot16
21.0%
20
79.0%
Q1 - 3:49ATLHawks Rebound16
22.2%
20
77.8%
Q1 - 3:50ATLBosh BLOCK (3 BLK)16
21.0%
20
79.0%
Q1 - 4:00MIABosh 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS)16
22.2%
20
77.8%
Q1 - 4:08ATLBosh STEAL (2 STL)16
23.4%
18
76.6%
Q1 - 4:09ATLHawks Rebound16
25.2%
18
74.8%
Q1 - 4:09ATLBosh BLOCK (2 BLK)16
23.9%
18
76.1%
Q1 - 4:23ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)16
25.2%
18
74.8%
Q1 - 4:24MIAMISS Lewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot16
24.6%
18
75.4%
Q1 - 4:36ATLTeague Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)16
23.4%
18
76.6%
Q1 - 4:51MIAChalmers 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS)13
20.6%
18
79.4%
Q1 - 5:00MIABattier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)13
21.9%
16
78.1%
Q1 - 5:01MIAMISS Bosh 7' Hook Shot13
23.1%
16
76.9%
Q1 - 5:17ATLKorver 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Teague 2 AST)13
22.1%
16
77.9%
Q1 - 5:22ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)10
19.5%
16
80.5%
Q1 - 5:24MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot10
19.0%
16
81.0%
Q1 - 5:44ATLKorver 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Teague 1 AST)10
18.1%
16
81.9%
Q1 - 6:05MIAChalmers Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)7
16.1%
16
83.9%
Q1 - 6:18ATLTeague 7' Floating Jump Shot (4 PTS)7
15.0%
16
85.0%
Q1 - 6:34MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)5
14.1%
16
85.9%
Q1 - 6:34MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 25
14.3%
15
85.7%
Q1 - 6:54ATLTeague 11' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS)5
14.0%
15
86.0%
Q1 - 7:02MIAJames 1' Layup (6 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)3
13.4%
15
86.6%
Q1 - 7:11ATLMillsap 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Horford 1 AST)3
14.2%
13
85.8%
Q1 - 7:16ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)0
12.6%
13
87.4%
Q1 - 7:18ATLMISS Horford 18' Jump Shot0
11.9%
13
88.1%
Q1 - 7:41MIAJames 1' Driving Dunk (4 PTS) (Battier 1 AST)0
12.5%
13
87.5%
Q1 - 7:46ATLBattier STEAL (1 STL)0
13.3%
11
86.7%
Q1 - 7:52MIAAllen 3' Driving Jump Shot (5 PTS)0
14.3%
11
85.7%
Q1 - 8:11ATLTeague Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)0
15.3%
9
84.7%
Q1 - 8:21MIABosh 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 2 AST)0
16.3%
9
83.7%
Q1 - 8:31MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
17.3%
7
82.7%
Q1 - 8:32ATLBosh BLOCK (1 BLK)0
17.6%
7
82.4%
Q1 - 8:50MIAAllen Reverse Dunk (3 PTS) (James 1 AST)0
18.5%
7
81.5%
Q1 - 8:54ATLBosh STEAL (1 STL)0
19.5%
5
80.5%
Q1 - 9:15MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)0
20.9%
5
79.1%
Q1 - 9:15MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)0
21.2%
4
78.8%
Q1 - 9:26MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
22.0%
3
78.0%
Q1 - 9:27ATLMISS Horford 16' Jump Shot0
22.4%
3
77.6%
Q1 - 9:34MIAAllen Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)0
23.4%
3
76.6%
Q1 - 9:34MIAMISS Allen Free Throw 1 of 20
23.5%
2
76.5%
Q1 - 9:40ATLHorford Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)0
23.2%
2
76.8%
Q1 - 9:46ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
24.7%
2
75.3%
Q1 - 9:47MIAMISS Bosh Layup0
24.2%
2
75.8%
Q1 - 9:57MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
23.2%
2
76.8%
Q1 - 9:58ATLMISS Millsap 5' Jump Shot0
23.7%
2
76.3%
Q1 - 10:07MIAJames 5' Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS)0
24.7%
2
75.3%
Q1 - 10:28ATLMillsap Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)0
25.9%
0
74.1%
Q1 - 10:34ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
27.4%
0
72.6%
Q1 - 10:35MIAMISS Bosh 2' Layup0
26.9%
0
73.1%
Q1 - 10:42ATLCarroll Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
25.9%
0
74.1%
Q1 - 11:00ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
27.4%
0
72.6%
Q1 - 11:01MIAMISS James 4' Jump Shot0
26.6%
0
73.4%
Q1 - 11:15MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
25.8%
0
74.2%
Q1 - 11:17ATLMISS Teague 28' 3PT Jump Shot0
26.1%
0
73.9%
Q1 - 11:37ATLCarroll REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
27.0%
0
73.0%
Q1 - 11:38ATLMISS Millsap 6' Jump Shot0
26.1%
0
73.9%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Bosh vs. Horford: Tip to Korver0
27.0%
0
73.0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
1.14 57.2%
MIA
1.15 57.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ATL
21
37
57%
MIA
25
40
63%
Midrange
ATL
6
20
30%
MIA
11
22
50%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ATL
17
25.5
34
50%
75%
MIA
10
15.0
29
34%
52%
Free Throws
ATL
14
19
74%
MIA
19
29
66%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Teague2654%13.0 / 24
P. Millsap2563%12.5 / 20
A. Horford2170%10.5 / 15
K. Korver1583%7.5 / 9
L. Williams945%4.5 / 10
D. Carroll8100%4.0 / 4
M. Scott867%4.0 / 6
E. Brand450%2.0 / 4
S. Mack325%1.5 / 6
P. Antic0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. James3861%19.0 / 31
R. Allen1979%9.5 / 12
M. Chalmers1246%6.0 / 13
C. Andersen1286%6.0 / 7
C. Bosh1155%5.5 / 10
M. Beasley1050%5.0 / 10
R. Mason Jr.857%4.0 / 7
R. Lewis660%3.0 / 5
N. Cole531%2.5 / 8
S. Battier0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ATL
85
+17
-18
102
MIA
88
+14
-13
102
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
1.14 57.2%
MIA
1.15 57.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
105.6
110.7
ATL 115.5
MIA 119.8 +4.3
Pace
95.0
91.5
ATL 96.1 +7.2
MIA 88.9
Avg. Poss. Time
14.9
15.8
ATL 15.0 +1.2
MIA 16.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.5%
55.4%
ATL 57.7% +1.7%
MIA 56.0%
TO %
15.2%
15.4%
ATL 16.1%
MIA 11.1% +5.0%
ORB %
21.0%
20.6%
ATL 29.5% +1.2%
MIA 28.3%
FTrt
26.6
30.0
ATL 20.9
MIA 31.9 +11.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
66.7%
58.8%
ATL 65.9% +22.4%
MIA 43.5%
STL %
8.7%
9.7%
ATL 6.8%
MIA 7.9% +1.1%
BLK %
6.5%
8.1%
ATL 6.5%
MIA 10.5% +4.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.51 and 2.51.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.7%
57.5%
ATL 57.2%
MIA 57.6% +0.4%
Rim FG%
59.2%
66.7%
ATL 56.8%
MIA 62.5% +5.7%
Mid FG%
41.3%
42.8%
ATL 30.0%
MIA 50.0% +20.0%
3P %
36.3%
36.4%
ATL 50.0% +15.5%
MIA 34.5%
FT %
78.1%
76.0%
ATL 73.7% +8.2%
MIA 65.5%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.9%
38.3%
ATL 40.7%
MIA 44.0% +3.3%
Mid Att. %
34.5%
32.5%
ATL 22.0% +2.2%
MIA 24.2%
3P Att. %
31.6%
29.2%
ATL 37.4% +5.5%
MIA 31.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.71 and 2.71.
Game TotalsATLMIA
Possessions103101
Possession Minutes25.727.3
Points119121
Rebounds4644
Assists2920
Steals78
Blocks46
Turnovers (Team)18 (1)13 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)13 (4)13 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)33 (1)31 (1)
Field Goals44-9146-91
At-the-Rim FG21-3725-40
Midrange FG6-2011-22
2-Point FG27-5736-62
3-Point FG17-3410-29
Free Throws14-1919-29
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'8" 246 · 29
41.9
25
63%
10
2
0
1
3
6
3
7
0-0
-
2-10
20%
7-10
70%
C · 6'10" 245 · 28
40.3
21
70%
11
3
1
1
2
3
3
8
4-4
100%
7-12
58%
1-1
100%
G · 6'7" 212 · 33
40.0
15
83%
4
1
2
0
2
4
0
4
0-0
-
0-1
0%
5-8
63%
G · 6'2" 189 · 26
38.1
26
54%
6
8
2
0
5
4
2
4
6-10
60%
10-18
56%
0-2
0%
F · 6'8" 215 · 27
25.4
8
100%
4
2
1
1
2
4
1
3
0-0
-
1-1
100%
2-3
67%
G · 6'1" 175 · 27
33.8
9
45%
0
5
0
0
1
0
0
0
2-2
100%
2-5
40%
1-4
25%
G · 6'3" 203 · 24
21.7
3
25%
0
7
1
0
2
1
0
0
1-2
50%
1-4
25%
0-1
0%
F · 6'8" 237 · 25
11.0
8
67%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
1-1
100%
2-2
100%
1-4
25%
F · 6'9" 254 · 35
8.5
4
50%
6
1
0
1
0
2
4
2
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'11" 260 · 31
4.4
0
0%
3
0
0
0
1
2
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
G · 6'4" 215 · 23
· 6'10" 250 · 29
G · 6'1" 175 · 20
#7 · G · 6'4" 194 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#20 · F · 6'7" 220 · 29
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
265
119
57%
46
29
7
4
18
0
13
33
14-19
74%
27-57
47%
17-34
50%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.