FinalWin Prob.pScore
2318%96
103
182%108
122
ORTG#PossPace
SAC logo SAC
103.0100103.5
MIA logo MIA
122.010096.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatKingsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatKingsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSACMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA103
0%
122
100%
Q4 - 0:10.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)103
0%
122
100%
Q4 - 0:11.0SACMISS Outlaw 24' 3PT Jump Shot103
0%
122
100%
Q4 - 0:33.0MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)103
0%
122
100%
Q4 - 0:33.0MIAMISS Jones Free Throw 1 of 2103
0%
121
100%
Q4 - 0:41.0SACMcLemore 2' Driving Dunk (20 PTS)103
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 0:46.0SACMcCallum REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)101
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 0:48.0MIAMISS Allen 24' 3PT Jump Shot101
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 0:53.0SACMason Jr. STEAL (1 STL)101
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 1:06MIAHaslem Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T18)101
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 1:21SACMcLemore 24' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (McCallum 1 AST)101
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 1:30SACOutlaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)98
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 1:31MIAMISS Mason Jr. 26' 3PT Jump Shot98
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 1:35SACLewis STEAL (1 STL)98
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 1:51MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)98
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 1:51MIAMISS Chalmers Free Throw 1 of 298
0.1%
120
99.9%
Q4 - 2:06MIAMason Jr. REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)98
0.1%
120
99.9%
Q4 - 2:07SACMISS Acy 25' 3PT Jump Shot98
0.1%
120
99.9%
Q4 - 2:35MIAAllen 8' Running Jump Shot (18 PTS)98
0.1%
120
99.9%
Q4 - 2:59MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)98
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 3:00SACHaslem BLOCK (1 BLK)98
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 3:06MIAAllen Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T17)98
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 3:11MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)98
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 3:12SACMISS McCallum 6' Hook Shot98
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 3:16SACMcLemore REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)98
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 3:17SACMISS McCallum 25' 3PT Jump Shot98
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 3:30SACAcy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)98
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 3:31MIAMISS Allen 24' 3PT Jump Shot98
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 3:46MIALewis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)98
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 3:47SACMISS Acy Free Throw 2 of 298
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 3:47SACAcy Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)98
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 4:03MIAChalmers 1' Driving Layup (15 PTS)97
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 4:18SACMcLemore Alley Oop Dunk (15 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)97
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 4:22MIAAllen Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T16)95
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 4:49SACWilliams 12' Turnaround Fadeaway (7 PTS)95
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 5:06MIAHEAT Rebound93
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 5:06MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#15)93
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 5:07MIAMISS Andersen 1' Layup93
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 5:09MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)93
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 5:10MIAMISS Lewis 11' Running Hook Shot93
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 5:37SACAcy Tip Shot (4 PTS)93
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 5:38SACAcy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)91
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 5:39SACMISS Outlaw 16' Jump Shot91
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 5:51MIAChalmers 9' Jump Bank Shot (13 PTS)91
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 6:15MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)91
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 6:16SACMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot91
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 6:36MIAChalmers 1' Layup (11 PTS)91
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 6:47MIAHEAT Rebound91
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 6:48SACChalmers BLOCK (1 BLK)91
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 6:50SACMcLemore REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)91
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 6:51MIAMISS Wade 16' Turnaround Jump Shot91
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 7:12SACThomas 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (11 PTS)91
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 7:17MIAAllen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)89
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 7:41MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)89
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 7:42SACMISS Thomas 25' 3PT Jump Shot89
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 7:47SACOutlaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)89
0.2%
109
99.8%
Q4 - 7:48MIAMISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot89
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 8:12SACGay 2' Layup (14 PTS) (Outlaw 1 AST)89
0.2%
109
99.8%
Q4 - 8:17MIAChalmers Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T14)87
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 8:20SACChalmers STEAL (4 STL)87
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 8:37MIAAndersen Dunk (6 PTS) (Lewis 2 AST)87
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 8:58SACWade STEAL (3 STL)87
0.2%
107
99.8%
Q4 - 9:12SACWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)87
0.3%
107
99.7%
Q4 - 9:13MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 187
0.3%
107
99.7%
Q4 - 9:20SACWade STEAL (2 STL)87
0.4%
105
99.6%
Q4 - 9:25MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T13)87
0.5%
105
99.5%
Q4 - 9:48SACOutlaw 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Cousins 5 AST)87
0.4%
105
99.6%
Q4 - 10:16MIAWade 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Allen 4 AST)84
0.3%
105
99.7%
Q4 - 10:25MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)84
0.5%
102
99.5%
Q4 - 10:26SACMISS Gay 26' 3PT Jump Shot84
0.5%
102
99.5%
Q4 - 10:42MIAAndersen 1' Dunk (4 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)84
0.6%
102
99.4%
Q4 - 10:52SACAndersen STEAL (2 STL)84
0.8%
100
99.2%
Q4 - 11:12MIAAllen 1' Driving Layup (13 PTS)84
1.2%
100
98.8%
Q4 - 11:29SACCousins Free Throw 2 of 2 (27 PTS)84
1.4%
98
98.6%
Q4 - 11:29SACCousins Free Throw 1 of 2 (26 PTS)83
1.3%
98
98.7%
Q4 - 11:42SACGay REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)82
1.1%
98
98.9%
Q4 - 11:43MIAMISS Wade 16' Fadeaway Jumper82
1.1%
98
98.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0SAC82
0.9%
98
99.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0SACCousins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)82
1.1%
98
98.9%
Q3 - 0:01.0MIAMISS James 1' Driving Layup82
1.2%
98
98.8%
Q3 - 0:14.0SACCousins 1' Driving Layup (25 PTS)82
1.1%
98
98.9%
Q3 - 0:29.0MIALewis 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Allen 3 AST)80
0.9%
98
99.1%
Q3 - 0:44.0SACCousins Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)80
1.3%
95
98.7%
Q3 - 0:44.0SACMISS Cousins Free Throw 1 of 279
1.2%
95
98.8%
Q3 - 1:00MIAAllen 18' Jump Shot (11 PTS)79
1.3%
95
98.7%
Q3 - 1:22SACCousins Driving Reverse Layup (22 PTS) (Thomas 7 AST)79
1.8%
93
98.2%
Q3 - 1:35SACCousins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)77
1.4%
93
98.6%
Q3 - 1:36MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot77
1.4%
93
98.6%
Q3 - 2:08MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)77
1.3%
93
98.7%
Q3 - 2:09SACMISS Thomas 24' 3PT Jump Shot77
1.4%
93
98.6%
Q3 - 2:15MIAAllen Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)77
1.6%
93
98.4%
Q3 - 2:27MIABattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)77
1.3%
93
98.7%
Q3 - 2:28SACMISS Thomas 25' 3PT Jump Shot77
1.4%
93
98.6%
Q3 - 2:55MIABattier 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Allen 2 AST)77
1.6%
93
98.4%
Q3 - 3:19SACCousins 7' Driving Hook Shot (20 PTS) (Thompson 1 AST)77
2.5%
90
97.5%
Q3 - 3:46MIABosh Dunk (25 PTS) (James 8 AST)75
2.1%
90
97.9%
Q3 - 3:58MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)75
2.5%
88
97.5%
Q3 - 3:59SACMISS McLemore 26' 3PT Jump Shot75
2.6%
88
97.4%
Q3 - 4:16MIABattier 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Cole 5 AST)75
3.2%
88
96.8%
Q3 - 4:34SACThomas Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T14)75
4.3%
85
95.7%
Q3 - 4:49MIACole 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)75
5.2%
85
94.8%
Q3 - 4:54SACJames STEAL (1 STL)75
6.0%
83
94.0%
Q3 - 5:18MIABosh Layup (23 PTS) (James 7 AST)75
7.4%
83
92.6%
Q3 - 5:35SACCousins 1' Layup (18 PTS) (Gay 6 AST)75
8.4%
81
91.6%
Q3 - 5:53MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)73
7.4%
81
92.6%
Q3 - 5:58SACCousins 3' Driving Layup (16 PTS)73
6.2%
81
93.8%
Q3 - 6:26MIAWade 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Chalmers 5 AST)71
5.5%
81
94.5%
Q3 - 6:40MIABattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)71
7.3%
78
92.7%
Q3 - 6:41SACMISS Gay Free Throw 2 of 271
7.5%
78
92.5%
Q3 - 6:41SACMISS Gay Free Throw 1 of 271
8.3%
78
91.7%
Q3 - 6:58MIABosh 16' Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST)71
8.6%
78
91.4%
Q3 - 7:25SACThompson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T12)71
9.8%
76
90.2%
Q3 - 7:40SACCousins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)71
11.4%
76
88.6%
Q3 - 7:41MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 171
11.2%
76
88.8%
Q3 - 7:43SACChalmers STEAL (3 STL)71
12.9%
74
87.1%
Q3 - 7:58MIAWade 9' Turnaround Hook Shot (12 PTS)71
15.0%
74
85.0%
Q3 - 8:17SACBosh STEAL (1 STL)71
16.6%
72
83.4%
Q3 - 8:24SACCousins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)71
19.1%
72
80.9%
Q3 - 8:25MIAMISS James 19' Jump Shot71
18.3%
72
81.7%
Q3 - 8:45SACMcLemore 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Cousins 4 AST)71
16.6%
72
83.4%
Q3 - 8:55SACThompson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)68
13.1%
72
86.9%
Q3 - 8:56MIAMISS Battier 24' 3PT Jump Shot68
12.5%
72
87.5%
Q3 - 9:17SACGay 14' Jump Shot (12 PTS)68
11.2%
72
88.8%
Q3 - 9:31MIABosh Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T10)66
9.9%
72
90.1%
Q3 - 9:45SACCousins Dunk (14 PTS) (Gay 5 AST)66
8.6%
72
91.4%
Q3 - 9:56MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)64
7.5%
72
92.5%
Q3 - 9:56MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)64
7.7%
71
92.3%
Q3 - 10:04MIABattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)64
8.4%
70
91.6%
Q3 - 10:05SACMISS Cousins 17' Jump Shot64
8.8%
70
91.2%
Q3 - 10:26MIAJames 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)64
9.6%
70
90.4%
Q3 - 10:38SACThompson Putback Dunk (11 PTS)64
12.4%
67
87.6%
Q3 - 10:39SACThompson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)62
11.0%
67
89.0%
Q3 - 10:40SACMISS McLemore 2' Layup62
10.0%
67
90.0%
Q3 - 10:42SACMcLemore REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)62
11.0%
67
89.0%
Q3 - 10:43SACMISS Cousins Tip Shot62
10.0%
67
90.0%
Q3 - 10:44SACCousins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)62
11.0%
67
89.0%
Q3 - 10:45SACMISS Thompson 7' Hook Shot62
10.0%
67
90.0%
Q3 - 10:54SACGay REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)62
11.0%
67
89.0%
Q3 - 10:55MIAMISS Wade 15' Turnaround Jump Shot62
10.5%
67
89.5%
Q3 - 11:08MIAJames REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)62
9.6%
67
90.4%
Q3 - 11:09SACMISS McLemore 25' 3PT Jump Shot62
9.9%
67
90.1%
Q3 - 11:17SACCousins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)62
10.9%
67
89.1%
Q3 - 11:18MIAMISS Battier 26' 3PT Jump Shot62
10.5%
67
89.5%
Q3 - 11:31MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)62
9.6%
67
90.4%
Q3 - 11:32SACMISS Thomas Free Throw 2 of 262
9.7%
67
90.3%
Q3 - 11:32SACThomas Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)62
10.7%
67
89.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0SAC61
9.6%
67
90.4%
Q2 - 0:04.0MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 1 (19 PTS)61
9.6%
67
90.4%
Q2 - 0:25.0SACWade STEAL (1 STL)61
12.5%
64
87.5%
Q2 - 0:45.0MIAWade 1' Driving Reverse Layup (10 PTS)61
13.7%
64
86.3%
Q2 - 0:54.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)61
15.7%
62
84.3%
Q2 - 0:55.0SACMISS Gay 24' 3PT Jump Shot61
16.1%
62
83.9%
Q2 - 1:09MIAChalmers 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (7 PTS)61
17.0%
62
83.0%
Q2 - 1:22MIAJames REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)61
19.6%
60
80.4%
Q2 - 1:23SACMISS Thomas Free Throw 2 of 261
19.8%
60
80.2%
Q2 - 1:23SACMISS Thomas Free Throw 1 of 261
21.4%
60
78.6%
Q2 - 1:27SACThompson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)61
20.9%
60
79.1%
Q2 - 1:28MIAMISS Cole 2' Driving Layup61
20.5%
60
79.5%
Q2 - 1:38MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)61
19.6%
60
80.4%
Q2 - 1:39SACMISS Gay 3PT Jump Shot61
20.0%
60
80.0%
Q2 - 2:05MIAChalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (James 5 AST)61
20.9%
60
79.1%
Q2 - 2:30SACGay Alley Oop Dunk (10 PTS) (Thomas 6 AST)61
25.3%
57
74.7%
Q2 - 2:39MIAJames Running Dunk (13 PTS) (Cole 4 AST)59
23.0%
57
77.0%
Q2 - 2:44SACChalmers STEAL (2 STL)59
25.3%
55
74.7%
Q2 - 2:58MIABosh Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)59
27.7%
55
72.3%
Q2 - 3:06SACCousins 6' Hook Shot (12 PTS)59
24.2%
55
75.8%
Q2 - 3:22MIAJames Tip Shot (11 PTS)57
22.5%
55
77.5%
Q2 - 3:23MIAJames REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)57
24.3%
53
75.7%
Q2 - 3:24MIAMISS Bosh 3' Driving Layup57
26.2%
53
73.8%
Q2 - 3:45SACMcLemore 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Cousins 3 AST)57
24.3%
53
75.7%
Q2 - 3:58SACGay REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)54
20.5%
53
79.5%
Q2 - 3:59MIAMISS James 27' 3PT Jump Shot54
19.8%
53
80.2%
Q2 - 4:25SACMcLemore Alley Oop Dunk (7 PTS) (Thomas 5 AST)54
18.0%
53
82.0%
Q2 - 4:39SACKings Rebound52
16.4%
53
83.6%
Q2 - 4:40MIAMISS Andersen 26' 3PT Jump Shot52
15.9%
53
84.1%
Q2 - 4:49SACGay 8' Fadeaway Jumper (8 PTS)52
14.8%
53
85.2%
Q2 - 5:08MIABosh 1' Layup (16 PTS)50
13.4%
53
86.6%
Q2 - 5:10MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)50
14.8%
51
85.2%
Q2 - 5:12MIAMISS Bosh 8' Hook Shot50
15.8%
51
84.2%
Q2 - 5:39SACCousins 2' Dunk (10 PTS) (Gay 4 AST)50
14.8%
51
85.2%
Q2 - 5:40MIAJames Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)48
13.4%
51
86.6%
Q2 - 5:42MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)48
12.2%
51
87.8%
Q2 - 5:43SACMISS Thornton 1' Layup48
12.5%
51
87.5%
Q2 - 5:46SACThornton REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)48
13.4%
51
86.6%
Q2 - 5:48SACMISS Gay 18' Jump Shot48
12.5%
51
87.5%
Q2 - 6:01MIABosh 19' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (James 4 AST)48
13.5%
51
86.5%
Q2 - 6:09MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)48
14.6%
49
85.4%
Q2 - 6:10SACMISS Thomas 24' 3PT Jump Shot48
15.1%
49
84.9%
Q2 - 6:28MIAWade 10' Pullup Jump Shot (8 PTS)48
16.3%
49
83.7%
Q2 - 6:42SACCousins 13' Fadeaway Jumper (8 PTS)48
17.6%
47
82.4%
Q2 - 6:58SACGay REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)46
16.3%
47
83.7%
Q2 - 6:59MIAMISS Lewis 7' Jump Shot46
15.8%
47
84.2%
Q2 - 7:24SACGay Alley Oop Dunk (6 PTS) (Thomas 4 AST)46
14.5%
47
85.5%
Q2 - 7:35SACCousins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)44
13.4%
47
86.6%
Q2 - 7:36MIAMISS Wade 8' Jump Shot44
13.0%
47
87.0%
Q2 - 7:55SACThornton 4' Jump Shot (2 PTS)44
12.0%
47
88.0%
Q2 - 7:56SACThornton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)42
11.1%
47
88.9%
Q2 - 7:57SACMISS Thomas 19' Jump Shot42
10.3%
47
89.7%
Q2 - 8:02MIACole Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)42
11.0%
47
89.0%
Q2 - 8:06SACGay Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T7)42
10.0%
47
90.0%
Q2 - 8:31MIAWade 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (6 PTS) (Cole 3 AST)42
11.0%
47
89.0%
Q2 - 8:35SACAndersen STEAL (1 STL)42
12.0%
45
88.0%
Q2 - 8:55MIALewis 1' Layup (2 PTS)42
13.2%
45
86.8%
Q2 - 8:56MIALewis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)42
14.4%
43
85.6%
Q2 - 8:57MIAMISS Allen 24' 3PT Jump Shot42
15.4%
43
84.6%
Q2 - 9:07MIALewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)42
14.1%
43
85.9%
Q2 - 9:08SACMISS Cousins 19' Jump Shot42
14.5%
43
85.5%
Q2 - 9:21MIAAllen Driving Dunk (9 PTS)42
15.5%
43
84.5%
Q2 - 9:25MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)42
16.7%
41
83.3%
Q2 - 9:27SACMISS Williams 10' Jump Shot42
17.2%
41
82.8%
Q2 - 9:36MIACole Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)42
18.3%
41
81.7%
Q2 - 9:39MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)42
16.7%
41
83.3%
Q2 - 9:40SACMISS Gay 17' Jump Shot42
17.2%
41
82.8%
Q2 - 9:54MIACole 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)42
18.3%
41
81.7%
Q2 - 9:59SACAllen STEAL (1 STL)42
19.8%
39
80.2%
Q2 - 10:18MIAAndersen Running Dunk (2 PTS) (Cole 2 AST)42
21.5%
39
78.5%
Q2 - 10:23SACCole STEAL (1 STL)42
23.0%
37
77.0%
Q2 - 10:36MIAAllen 1' Layup (7 PTS) (Lewis 1 AST)42
25.1%
37
74.9%
Q2 - 10:46SACGay 8' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS)42
26.6%
35
73.4%
Q2 - 11:04MIAWade 3' Driving Layup (4 PTS)40
24.7%
35
75.3%
Q2 - 11:18SACWilliams 2' Driving Layup (5 PTS)40
26.5%
33
73.5%
Q2 - 11:25SACWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
24.7%
33
75.3%
Q2 - 11:26MIAMISS Wade 7' Driving Jump Shot38
24.2%
33
75.8%
Q2 - 11:45SACAcy Dunk (2 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)38
22.9%
33
77.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA36
21.3%
33
78.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)36
19.7%
33
80.3%
Q1 - 0:01.0SACJames BLOCK (1 BLK)36
20.1%
33
79.9%
Q1 - 0:21.0MIAAllen Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)36
20.9%
33
79.1%
Q1 - 0:34.0SACThomas 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (8 PTS)36
19.7%
33
80.3%
Q1 - 0:40.0MIAJames Dunk (9 PTS) (Cole 1 AST)33
16.6%
33
83.4%
Q1 - 1:01SACGay 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS)33
18.0%
31
82.0%
Q1 - 1:07SACGay REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
16.4%
31
83.6%
Q1 - 1:08MIAMISS Allen 25' 3PT Jump Shot31
16.1%
31
83.9%
Q1 - 1:27SACOutlaw 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)31
15.5%
31
84.5%
Q1 - 1:48MIAAllen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (James 3 AST)28
12.9%
31
87.1%
Q1 - 1:54MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
15.5%
28
84.5%
Q1 - 1:55SACMISS Williams Free Throw 1 of 128
15.6%
28
84.4%
Q1 - 2:11MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)26
14.1%
28
85.9%
Q1 - 2:15MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)26
16.6%
25
83.4%
Q1 - 2:16SACMISS Williams Free Throw 2 of 226
16.7%
25
83.3%
Q1 - 2:16SACWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)26
17.5%
25
82.5%
Q1 - 2:35MIAAllen 1' Driving Dunk (2 PTS) (James 2 AST)25
16.5%
25
83.5%
Q1 - 2:53SACThomas Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)25
17.8%
23
82.2%
Q1 - 3:05SACCousins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
15.1%
23
84.9%
Q1 - 3:06MIAMISS Allen 12' Jump Shot22
14.7%
23
85.3%
Q1 - 3:24SACCousins 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Thomas 3 AST)22
13.9%
23
86.1%
Q1 - 3:39MIABosh Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)20
13.0%
23
87.0%
Q1 - 3:54MIABattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
11.9%
23
88.1%
Q1 - 3:55SACMISS Williams Free Throw 2 of 220
12.1%
23
87.9%
Q1 - 3:55SACMISS Williams Free Throw 1 of 220
12.7%
23
87.3%
Q1 - 4:08SACThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
12.7%
23
87.3%
Q1 - 4:09MIAMISS Battier 24' 3PT Jump Shot20
12.4%
23
87.6%
Q1 - 4:27MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)20
11.7%
23
88.3%
Q1 - 4:28SACMISS Cousins Free Throw 2 of 220
11.8%
23
88.2%
Q1 - 4:28SACCousins Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)20
12.4%
23
87.6%
Q1 - 4:46MIAJames Driving Slam Dunk (4 PTS)19
11.8%
23
88.2%
Q1 - 4:54MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)19
12.6%
21
87.4%
Q1 - 4:55SACMISS Cousins Free Throw 2 of 219
12.8%
21
87.2%
Q1 - 4:55SACCousins Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)19
13.4%
21
86.6%
Q1 - 5:11MIABattier 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)18
12.8%
21
87.2%
Q1 - 5:24SACThompson 10' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Cousins 2 AST)18
14.6%
18
85.4%
Q1 - 5:36SACThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
13.7%
18
86.3%
Q1 - 5:37MIAMISS Bosh 17' Jump Shot16
13.4%
18
86.6%
Q1 - 5:56SACCousins Foul Turnover (P2.T3)16
12.7%
18
87.3%
Q1 - 6:07MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)16
13.5%
18
86.5%
Q1 - 6:07MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)16
13.6%
17
86.4%
Q1 - 6:11MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)16
14.3%
16
85.7%
Q1 - 6:12SACMISS McLemore 24' 3PT Jump Shot16
14.7%
16
85.3%
Q1 - 6:28MIABosh 5' Driving Finger Roll Layup (12 PTS) (Battier 1 AST)16
15.4%
16
84.6%
Q1 - 6:51SACThompson Layup (7 PTS) (Gay 2 AST)16
16.4%
14
83.6%
Q1 - 6:59MIAJames 1' Tip Shot (2 PTS)14
15.5%
14
84.5%
Q1 - 7:00MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)14
16.4%
12
83.6%
Q1 - 7:01MIAMISS Chalmers 10' Jump Shot14
16.8%
12
83.2%
Q1 - 7:10MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)14
16.0%
12
84.0%
Q1 - 7:11SACMISS Cousins 2' Driving Layup14
16.4%
12
83.6%
Q1 - 7:31MIABosh Alley Oop Dunk (10 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)14
17.2%
12
82.8%
Q1 - 7:39SACChalmers STEAL (1 STL)14
18.2%
10
81.8%
Q1 - 7:48SACGay REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
19.5%
10
80.5%
Q1 - 7:49MIAMISS Bosh 20' Jump Shot14
19.1%
10
80.9%
Q1 - 8:10SACMcLemore 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Thomas 2 AST)14
17.8%
10
82.2%
Q1 - 8:20MIAWade 8' Driving Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)11
15.8%
10
84.2%
Q1 - 8:31SACThomas 2' Layup (2 PTS)11
16.8%
8
83.2%
Q1 - 8:33MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)9
15.8%
8
84.2%
Q1 - 8:42MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)9
14.8%
8
85.2%
Q1 - 8:43SACMISS Thomas 25' 3PT Jump Shot9
15.1%
8
84.9%
Q1 - 9:02MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)9
15.6%
8
84.4%
Q1 - 9:02MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)9
15.8%
7
84.2%
Q1 - 9:04MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)9
16.5%
6
83.5%
Q1 - 9:05MIAMISS Wade 3' Driving Layup9
17.3%
6
82.7%
Q1 - 9:06MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)9
16.5%
6
83.5%
Q1 - 9:07MIAMISS Bosh 9' Driving Hook Shot9
17.3%
6
82.7%
Q1 - 9:27SACThompson Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)9
16.5%
6
83.5%
Q1 - 9:27SACMISS Thompson Free Throw 1 of 28
16.2%
6
83.8%
Q1 - 9:40MIABosh 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)8
16.6%
6
83.4%
Q1 - 9:52SACGay Foul Turnover (P1.T1)8
17.5%
4
82.5%
Q1 - 9:56MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)8
18.7%
4
81.3%
Q1 - 10:03SACMcLemore 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Cousins 1 AST)8
17.3%
4
82.7%
Q1 - 10:07MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)6
16.4%
4
83.6%
Q1 - 10:18SACCousins 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Thomas 1 AST)6
15.4%
4
84.6%
Q1 - 10:30SACMcLemore REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
14.6%
4
85.4%
Q1 - 10:31MIAMISS Battier 25' 3PT Jump Shot4
14.3%
4
85.7%
Q1 - 10:46SACThompson 6' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (McLemore 1 AST)4
13.7%
4
86.3%
Q1 - 11:05MIABosh Dunk (4 PTS) (James 1 AST)2
12.7%
4
87.3%
Q1 - 11:22SACThompson 8' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Gay 1 AST)2
13.6%
2
86.4%
Q1 - 11:38MIABosh 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)0
12.7%
2
87.3%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Bosh vs. Thompson: Tip to Wade0
13.6%
0
86.4%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAC
1.18 59.2%
MIA
1.34 67.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAC
23
29
79%
MIA
31
36
86%
Midrange
SAC
13
23
57%
MIA
10
24
42%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAC
7
10.5
22
32%
48%
MIA
10
15.0
23
43%
65%
Free Throws
SAC
10
24
42%
MIA
10
14
71%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAC logo Kings
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Cousins2771%13.5 / 19
B. McLemore2077%10.0 / 13
R. Gay1450%7.0 / 14
I. Thomas1142%5.5 / 13
J. Thompson1179%5.5 / 7
D. Williams750%3.5 / 7
T. Outlaw675%3.0 / 4
Q. Acy563%2.5 / 4
M. Thornton250%1.0 / 2
R. McCallum0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Bosh2574%12.5 / 17
D. Wade2063%10.0 / 16
L. James1882%9.0 / 11
R. Allen1869%9.0 / 13
M. Chalmers1680%8.0 / 10
S. Battier964%4.5 / 7
C. Andersen660%3.0 / 5
R. Lewis563%2.5 / 4
N. Cole467%2.0 / 3
J. Jones150%0.5 / 1
R. Mason Jr.0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAC
80
+7
-20
87
MIA
83
+8
-17
91
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAC
1.18 59.2%
MIA
1.34 67.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.2
110.7
SAC 103.0
MIA 122.0 +19.0
Pace
94.0
91.5
SAC 103.5 +6.8
MIA 96.7
Avg. Poss. Time
15.5
15.8
SAC 13.9 +1.0
MIA 14.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.4%
55.4%
SAC 62.8%
MIA 67.5% +4.7%
TO %
15.5%
15.4%
SAC 19.1%
MIA 16.8% +2.3%
ORB %
27.9%
20.6%
SAC 17.9%
MIA 21.9% +4.0%
FTrt
33.1
30.0
SAC 32.4 +15.5
MIA 16.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
51.1%
58.8%
SAC 58.1%
MIA 62.7% +4.6%
STL %
7.6%
9.7%
SAC 14.0%
MIA 15.0% +1.0%
BLK %
6.5%
8.1%
SAC 1.7%
MIA 5.8% +4.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.51 and 2.51.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.0%
57.5%
SAC 59.2%
MIA 67.0% +7.8%
Rim FG%
57.6%
66.7%
SAC 79.3%
MIA 86.1% +6.8%
Mid FG%
39.3%
42.8%
SAC 56.5% +14.8%
MIA 41.7%
3P %
33.3%
36.4%
SAC 31.8%
MIA 43.5% +11.7%
FT %
76.1%
76.0%
SAC 41.7%
MIA 71.4% +29.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.7%
38.3%
SAC 39.2%
MIA 43.4% +4.2%
Mid Att. %
41.5%
32.5%
SAC 31.1%
MIA 28.9% +2.2%
3P Att. %
21.8%
29.2%
SAC 29.7% +2.0%
MIA 27.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.71 and 2.71.
Game TotalsSACMIA
Possessions100100
Possession Minutes23.224.8
Points103122
Rebounds3239
Assists2532
Steals1415
Blocks13
Turnovers (Team)20 (0)17 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (0)7 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)25 (1)32 (1)
Field Goals43-7451-83
At-the-Rim FG23-2931-36
Midrange FG13-2310-24
2-Point FG36-5241-60
3-Point FG7-2210-23
Free Throws10-2410-14
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 5'9" 185 · 25
35.6
11
42%
2
7
1
0
3
2
0
2
2-5
40%
3-5
60%
1-6
17%
F · 6'8" 230 · 27
34.6
14
50%
6
6
3
1
7
3
0
6
0-2
0%
7-10
70%
0-3
0%
G · 6'5" 195 · 21
32.6
20
77%
4
1
1
0
2
2
2
2
0-0
-
4-6
67%
4-7
57%
C · 6'11" 270 · 23
31.9
27
71%
8
5
2
0
3
2
1
7
5-8
63%
11-15
73%
0-0
-
F · 6'11" 250 · 27
21.9
11
79%
3
1
0
0
1
1
1
2
1-2
50%
5-6
83%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 240 · 23
27.4
7
50%
2
3
3
0
0
2
0
2
1-5
20%
3-4
75%
0-1
0%
F · 6'9" 207 · 29
23.0
6
75%
2
1
2
0
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0%
2-3
67%
F · 6'7" 240 · 23
14.8
5
63%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
1-2
50%
2-2
100%
0-1
0%
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 27
9.2
2
50%
2
0
2
0
1
1
2
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 190 · 23
5.1
0
0%
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
G · 6'2" 195 · 25
3.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 270 · 29
C · 7'0" 235 · 27
#24 · F · 6'9" 248 · 30
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
103
59%
32
25
14
1
20
0
7
25
10-24
42%
36-52
69%
7-22
32%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.