FinalWin Prob.pScore
436%95
94
164%99
97
ORTG#PossPace
IND logo IND
101.19385.6
MIA logo MIA
103.294102.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventINDMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA94
0%
97
100%
Q4 - 0:03.0MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)94
0.6%
97
99.4%
Q4 - 0:04.0INDMISS George 25' 3PT Jump Shot94
0.8%
97
99.2%
Q4 - 0:10.0MIAAllen Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)94
6.3%
97
93.7%
Q4 - 0:10.0MIAAllen Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)94
7.0%
96
93.0%
Q4 - 0:13.0INDJames STEAL (3 STL)94
14.6%
95
85.4%
Q4 - 0:25.0INDPacers Rebound94
36.3%
95
63.7%
Q4 - 0:26.0MIAMISS Andersen 18' Jump Shot94
29.0%
95
71.0%
Q4 - 0:44.0INDWest Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)94
19.6%
95
80.4%
Q4 - 0:44.0INDWest Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)93
17.6%
95
82.4%
Q4 - 0:59.0MIAAllen 28' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (James 7 AST)92
13.4%
95
86.6%
Q4 - 1:04MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)92
34.6%
92
65.4%
Q4 - 1:05INDMISS George 10' Jump Shot92
39.5%
92
60.5%
Q4 - 1:30MIABosh 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (James 6 AST)92
50.7%
92
49.3%
Q4 - 1:40MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)92
72.1%
89
27.9%
Q4 - 1:41INDMISS West 13' Jump Shot92
75.3%
89
24.7%
Q4 - 1:52INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)92
80.7%
89
19.3%
Q4 - 1:53MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot92
78.2%
89
21.8%
Q4 - 2:17MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)92
70.6%
89
29.4%
Q4 - 2:18INDMISS George 21' Jump Shot92
74.3%
89
25.7%
Q4 - 2:47MIAWade 1' Running Dunk (32 PTS) (Allen 3 AST)92
81.6%
89
18.4%
Q4 - 2:51MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)92
83.8%
87
16.2%
Q4 - 2:52INDMISS Stephenson 14' Fadeaway Jumper92
85.8%
87
14.2%
Q4 - 3:09MIAAndersen 1' Layup (8 PTS) (James 5 AST)92
89.9%
87
10.1%
Q4 - 3:21INDWest 12' Fadeaway Bank Shot (21 PTS)92
92.7%
85
7.3%
Q4 - 3:43MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (30 PTS)90
85.3%
85
14.7%
Q4 - 3:52INDHibbert 6' Hook Shot (6 PTS) (George 6 AST)90
92.3%
82
7.7%
Q4 - 4:10MIABosh 16' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Allen 2 AST)88
89.8%
82
10.2%
Q4 - 4:34INDStephenson 1' Driving Layup (13 PTS)88
92.7%
80
7.3%
Q4 - 4:57INDWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)86
90.1%
80
9.9%
Q4 - 4:58MIAMISS Allen 3PT Jump Shot86
88.9%
80
11.1%
Q4 - 5:21INDGeorge 21' Jump Shot (25 PTS) (West 2 AST)86
81.5%
80
18.5%
Q4 - 5:41MIAWade 10' Pullup Jump Shot (27 PTS)84
76.5%
80
23.5%
Q4 - 5:55MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)84
81.7%
78
18.3%
Q4 - 5:56INDMISS West 9' Turnaround Hook Shot84
83.3%
78
16.7%
Q4 - 6:19INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)84
83.3%
78
16.7%
Q4 - 6:20MIAMISS Wade 27' 3PT Jump Shot84
81.8%
78
18.2%
Q4 - 6:47MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)84
78.2%
78
21.8%
Q4 - 6:48INDMISS George 15' Jump Shot84
79.9%
78
20.1%
Q4 - 6:56INDScola REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)84
83.5%
78
16.5%
Q4 - 6:57MIAMISS Wade 5' Turnaround Jump Shot84
82.0%
78
18.0%
Q4 - 7:10INDGeorge Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)84
75.3%
78
24.7%
Q4 - 7:10INDGeorge Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)83
74.5%
78
25.5%
Q4 - 7:25MIAWade 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (25 PTS) (Cole 2 AST)82
70.5%
78
29.5%
Q4 - 7:30INDWade STEAL (3 STL)82
75.5%
76
24.5%
Q4 - 7:50MIACole Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)82
80.8%
76
19.2%
Q4 - 7:58INDScola Traveling Turnover (P2.T14)82
75.5%
76
24.5%
Q4 - 8:12INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)82
77.9%
76
22.1%
Q4 - 8:13MIAMISS Allen 25' 3PT Jump Shot82
76.6%
76
23.4%
Q4 - 8:23MIALewis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)82
73.3%
76
26.7%
Q4 - 8:24MIAMISS Lewis 3' Driving Layup82
76.6%
76
23.4%
Q4 - 8:37MIALewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)82
73.4%
76
26.6%
Q4 - 8:38INDMISS Mahinmi Free Throw 2 of 282
74.0%
76
26.0%
Q4 - 8:38INDMahinmi Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)82
76.6%
76
23.4%
Q4 - 8:56INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)81
73.4%
76
26.6%
Q4 - 8:57MIAMISS Allen 20' Jump Shot81
71.8%
76
28.2%
Q4 - 9:17INDScola 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (George 5 AST)81
65.8%
76
34.2%
Q4 - 9:38INDWatson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)79
60.3%
76
39.7%
Q4 - 9:39MIAMISS James 26' 3PT Jump Shot79
58.5%
76
41.5%
Q4 - 9:54INDAllen STEAL (1 STL)79
54.5%
76
45.5%
Q4 - 9:57MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)79
60.3%
76
39.7%
Q4 - 10:15INDScola Foul Turnover (P1.T12)79
52.9%
76
47.1%
Q4 - 10:33MIAJames 25' 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Lewis 1 AST)79
58.6%
76
41.4%
Q4 - 10:48INDGeorge Free Throw 1 of 1 (21 PTS)79
69.0%
73
31.0%
Q4 - 10:49INDMahinmi REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)76
58.7%
73
41.3%
Q4 - 10:50INDMISS Scola 16' Jump Shot76
54.7%
73
45.3%
Q4 - 11:02MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)76
57.4%
73
42.6%
Q4 - 11:02MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)76
58.5%
72
41.5%
Q4 - 11:22MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)76
62.5%
71
37.5%
Q4 - 11:23INDMISS Watson 19' Jump Shot76
64.1%
71
35.9%
Q4 - 11:40INDMahinmi REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)76
67.5%
71
32.5%
Q4 - 11:41MIAMISS James 12' Fadeaway Jumper76
66.1%
71
33.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0IND76
62.6%
71
37.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0INDPacers Rebound76
67.6%
71
32.4%
Q3 - 0:02.0INDMISS George 26' 3PT Jump Shot76
62.8%
71
37.2%
Q3 - 0:08.0MIAAndersen 1' Layup (6 PTS)76
65.9%
71
34.1%
Q3 - 0:09.0MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)76
70.5%
69
29.5%
Q3 - 0:10.0MIAMISS Cole 12' Floating Jump Shot76
73.3%
69
26.7%
Q3 - 0:27.0INDWest 17' Fadeaway Jumper (19 PTS)76
70.6%
69
29.4%
Q3 - 0:49.0MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 1 (19 PTS)74
66.1%
69
33.9%
Q3 - 1:09INDPacers Turnover: Backcourt (T#11)74
72.9%
66
27.1%
Q3 - 1:21MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)74
76.6%
66
23.4%
Q3 - 1:21MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)74
77.3%
65
22.7%
Q3 - 1:23INDLewis STEAL (2 STL)74
80.0%
64
20.0%
Q3 - 1:38INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)74
82.9%
64
17.1%
Q3 - 1:39MIAMISS Cole 25' 3PT Jump Shot74
82.1%
64
17.9%
Q3 - 2:04INDMahinmi Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)74
77.8%
64
22.2%
Q3 - 2:04INDMahinmi Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)73
76.8%
64
23.2%
Q3 - 2:09INDStephenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)72
74.6%
64
25.4%
Q3 - 2:10MIAMISS Lewis 3PT Jump Shot72
73.5%
64
26.5%
Q3 - 2:23MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)72
70.9%
64
29.1%
Q3 - 2:24INDMISS Mahinmi 21' Jump Shot72
72.1%
64
27.9%
Q3 - 2:45MIALewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 3 AST)72
74.8%
64
25.2%
Q3 - 2:59MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)72
81.1%
61
18.9%
Q3 - 3:00INDMISS G. Hill 17' Jump Shot72
82.0%
61
18.0%
Q3 - 3:23INDStephenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)72
82.4%
61
17.6%
Q3 - 3:24MIAMISS Bosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot72
81.6%
61
18.4%
Q3 - 3:35MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)72
79.5%
61
20.5%
Q3 - 3:36INDMISS West 16' Jump Shot72
80.4%
61
19.6%
Q3 - 3:57MIACole 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bosh 2 AST)72
82.5%
61
17.5%
Q3 - 4:17INDWest 2' Layup (17 PTS) (George 4 AST)72
85.5%
58
14.5%
Q3 - 4:39MIABosh 1' Driving Layup (10 PTS)70
83.8%
58
16.2%
Q3 - 5:01INDWest 16' Jump Shot (15 PTS)70
84.3%
56
15.7%
Q3 - 5:24MIAWade 1' Running Dunk (23 PTS) (James 2 AST)68
82.4%
56
17.6%
Q3 - 5:28INDJames STEAL (2 STL)68
84.4%
54
15.6%
Q3 - 5:44MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)68
86.8%
54
13.2%
Q3 - 5:44MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 268
87.2%
53
12.8%
Q3 - 5:48INDWest 4' Jump Bank Shot (13 PTS)68
86.5%
53
13.5%
Q3 - 5:49INDWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)66
84.8%
53
15.2%
Q3 - 5:50INDMISS Mahinmi 13' Jump Shot66
83.0%
53
17.0%
Q3 - 6:09MIAWade 12' Step Back Jump Shot (20 PTS)66
83.3%
53
16.7%
Q3 - 6:23INDGeorge Free Throw 3 of 3 (18 PTS)66
85.2%
51
14.8%
Q3 - 6:23INDGeorge Free Throw 2 of 3 (17 PTS)65
84.8%
51
15.2%
Q3 - 6:23INDGeorge Free Throw 1 of 3 (16 PTS)64
84.5%
51
15.5%
Q3 - 6:45MIAWade 7' Jump Bank Shot (18 PTS)63
81.0%
51
19.0%
Q3 - 6:54MIAHEAT Rebound63
83.1%
49
16.9%
Q3 - 6:55INDMISS George 24' 3PT Jump Shot63
83.9%
49
16.1%
Q3 - 7:02INDPacers Rebound63
84.1%
49
15.9%
Q3 - 7:03INDMISS G. Hill 15' Jump Shot63
82.5%
49
17.5%
Q3 - 7:35INDStephenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)63
84.2%
49
15.8%
Q3 - 7:36MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot63
83.5%
49
16.5%
Q3 - 7:42MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)63
81.8%
49
18.2%
Q3 - 7:43INDMISS G. Hill 25' 3PT Jump Shot63
82.6%
49
17.4%
Q3 - 7:49MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)63
84.2%
49
15.8%
Q3 - 7:57INDGeorge 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (G. Hill 1 AST)63
81.8%
49
18.2%
Q3 - 8:03MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)60
76.1%
49
23.9%
Q3 - 8:12INDWest 12' Jump Shot (11 PTS)60
72.8%
49
27.2%
Q3 - 8:34MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)58
70.3%
49
29.7%
Q3 - 8:34MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)58
70.8%
48
29.2%
Q3 - 8:55INDGeorge 14' Fadeaway Jumper (12 PTS)58
72.9%
47
27.1%
Q3 - 9:10INDPacers Rebound56
68.8%
47
31.2%
Q3 - 9:11MIAMISS Bosh 19' Jump Shot56
67.9%
47
32.1%
Q3 - 9:18MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)56
65.6%
47
34.4%
Q3 - 9:20MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 2 of 256
68.5%
47
31.5%
Q3 - 9:20MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 256
66.2%
47
33.8%
Q3 - 9:44INDGeorge 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Stephenson 2 AST)56
65.6%
47
34.4%
Q3 - 10:03MIAWade 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (16 PTS)53
57.8%
47
42.2%
Q3 - 10:08MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)53
61.1%
45
38.9%
Q3 - 10:09INDMISS West 16' Jump Shot53
62.2%
45
37.8%
Q3 - 10:26MIAJames 20' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)53
64.6%
45
35.4%
Q3 - 10:36MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)53
67.7%
43
32.3%
Q3 - 10:37INDMISS George 15' Jump Shot53
68.7%
43
31.3%
Q3 - 11:02MIABosh 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Chalmers 5 AST)53
69.5%
43
30.5%
Q3 - 11:14INDWest Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)53
72.2%
41
27.8%
Q3 - 11:14INDMISS West Free Throw 1 of 252
71.7%
41
28.3%
Q3 - 11:27INDPacers Rebound52
72.4%
41
27.6%
Q3 - 11:28MIAMISS James 5' Jump Shot52
71.5%
41
28.5%
Q3 - 11:33MIAHEAT Rebound52
69.5%
41
30.5%
Q3 - 11:34MIAMISS Battier 8' Turnaround Hook Shot52
71.5%
41
28.5%
Q3 - 11:45INDWade STEAL (2 STL)52
69.5%
41
30.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA52
72.5%
41
27.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)52
69.5%
41
30.5%
Q2 - 0:01.0INDMISS Stephenson 9' Driving Jump Shot52
69.0%
41
31.0%
Q2 - 0:20.0INDScola REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)52
70.6%
41
29.4%
Q2 - 0:21.0MIAMISS Bosh 24' 3PT Jump Shot52
69.9%
41
30.1%
Q2 - 0:34.0MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)52
68.5%
41
31.5%
Q2 - 0:35.0INDMISS Scola 20' Jump Shot52
69.1%
41
30.9%
Q2 - 0:57.0MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)52
70.7%
41
29.3%
Q2 - 0:57.0MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)52
71.2%
40
28.8%
Q2 - 1:20INDGeorge 15' Jump Shot (7 PTS)52
73.0%
39
27.0%
Q2 - 1:26INDWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)50
69.5%
39
30.5%
Q2 - 1:27MIAMISS Wade 11' Fadeaway Jumper50
68.9%
39
31.1%
Q2 - 1:53INDGeorge 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (5 PTS)50
67.7%
39
32.3%
Q2 - 2:15MIAWade 1' Alley Oop Dunk (14 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST)48
63.2%
39
36.8%
Q2 - 2:32INDG. Hill 10' Jump Bank Shot (7 PTS)48
66.1%
37
33.9%
Q2 - 2:47MIABosh Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T8)46
63.2%
37
36.8%
Q2 - 3:00MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)46
60.4%
37
39.6%
Q2 - 3:01INDMISS George Free Throw 2 of 246
59.4%
37
40.6%
Q2 - 3:01INDGeorge Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)46
61.3%
37
38.7%
Q2 - 3:01INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)45
59.5%
37
40.5%
Q2 - 3:02MIAMISS Cole 26' 3PT Jump Shot45
58.4%
37
41.6%
Q2 - 3:24INDG. Hill 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)45
56.0%
37
44.0%
Q2 - 3:37MIAWade 6' Driving Jump Shot (12 PTS)42
50.7%
37
49.3%
Q2 - 3:59INDWest Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)42
53.1%
35
46.9%
Q2 - 3:59INDWest Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)41
52.5%
35
47.5%
Q2 - 4:10INDG. Hill REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)40
49.4%
35
50.6%
Q2 - 4:11INDMISS G. Hill 17' Jump Shot40
47.3%
35
52.7%
Q2 - 4:50MIAJames Traveling Turnover (P1.T7)40
49.5%
35
50.5%
Q2 - 4:59MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)40
46.5%
35
53.5%
Q2 - 5:00INDMISS West 17' Jump Shot40
47.4%
35
52.6%
Q2 - 5:10INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)40
48.9%
35
51.1%
Q2 - 5:11MIAMISS James 21' Jump Shot40
48.0%
35
52.0%
Q2 - 5:33INDHibbert Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)40
46.2%
35
53.8%
Q2 - 5:33INDHibbert Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)39
45.6%
35
54.4%
Q2 - 5:46MIAJames 2' Driving Layup (12 PTS)38
43.3%
35
56.7%
Q2 - 6:05INDScola 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (George 3 AST)38
45.4%
33
54.6%
Q2 - 6:22MIAJames 17' Pullup Jump Shot (10 PTS)36
43.3%
33
56.7%
Q2 - 6:31MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)36
45.5%
31
54.5%
Q2 - 6:32INDMISS Scola 17' Jump Shot36
46.5%
31
53.5%
Q2 - 6:44MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)36
48.7%
31
51.3%
Q2 - 6:44MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)36
49.3%
30
50.7%
Q2 - 6:48MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)36
51.0%
29
49.0%
Q2 - 6:49INDMISS Stephenson 27' 3PT Jump Shot36
52.0%
29
48.0%
Q2 - 7:12MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)36
53.3%
29
46.7%
Q2 - 7:12MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 1 of 236
53.9%
28
46.1%
Q2 - 7:25MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)36
53.0%
28
47.0%
Q2 - 7:26INDMISS Watson 2' Reverse Layup36
53.9%
28
46.1%
Q2 - 7:40MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)36
56.0%
28
44.0%
Q2 - 7:47MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)36
53.0%
28
47.0%
Q2 - 7:48INDMISS Watson 3' Jump Shot36
53.9%
28
46.1%
Q2 - 7:51MIALewis Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)36
56.0%
28
44.0%
Q2 - 7:52INDLewis STEAL (1 STL)36
53.0%
28
47.0%
Q2 - 8:10MIAJames 5' Driving Bank Shot (6 PTS)36
54.9%
28
45.1%
Q2 - 8:20MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)36
57.4%
26
42.6%
Q2 - 8:21INDMISS Scola 10' Floating Jump Shot36
58.2%
26
41.8%
Q2 - 8:39INDStephenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)36
60.1%
26
39.9%
Q2 - 8:40MIAMISS James 24' 3PT Jump Shot36
59.3%
26
40.7%
Q2 - 8:52MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)36
57.5%
26
42.5%
Q2 - 8:53INDMISS Watson 25' 3PT Jump Shot36
58.3%
26
41.7%
Q2 - 9:00MIABosh Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)36
60.1%
26
39.9%
Q2 - 9:11MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)36
56.3%
26
43.7%
Q2 - 9:12INDMISS Scola 19' Jump Shot36
57.1%
26
42.9%
Q2 - 9:28MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)36
59.0%
26
41.0%
Q2 - 9:28MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)36
59.4%
25
40.6%
Q2 - 9:46INDScola 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Stephenson 1 AST)36
61.3%
24
38.7%
Q2 - 9:52MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)34
59.0%
24
41.0%
Q2 - 10:05INDButler 1' Layup (5 PTS)34
55.8%
24
44.2%
Q2 - 10:06INDButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)32
53.8%
24
46.2%
Q2 - 10:07INDMISS Watson 2' Driving Layup32
51.8%
24
48.2%
Q2 - 10:11MIACole Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)32
53.8%
24
46.2%
Q2 - 10:17MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)32
50.9%
24
49.1%
Q2 - 10:18MIAMISS Lewis 14' Jump Shot32
52.9%
24
47.1%
Q2 - 10:37INDMahinmi 1' Dunk (2 PTS)32
50.9%
24
49.1%
Q2 - 10:38INDMahinmi REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)30
48.8%
24
51.2%
Q2 - 10:39INDMISS Butler 16' Jump Shot30
46.8%
24
53.2%
Q2 - 10:48INDWatson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
48.8%
24
51.2%
Q2 - 10:49MIAMISS Wade 17' Fadeaway Jumper30
47.9%
24
52.1%
Q2 - 11:06INDStephenson 16' Turnaround Fadeaway (11 PTS)30
45.7%
24
54.3%
Q2 - 11:29MIAWade 17' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Cole 1 AST)28
43.5%
24
56.5%
Q2 - 11:41INDScola Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)28
45.7%
22
54.3%
Q2 - 11:41INDScola Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)27
45.2%
22
54.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0IND26
43.5%
22
56.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAAllen 4' Driving Bank Shot (2 PTS)26
43.5%
22
56.5%
Q1 - 0:06.0INDWatson 6' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS)26
45.7%
20
54.3%
Q1 - 0:13.0INDMahinmi REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
42.7%
20
57.3%
Q1 - 0:14.0MIAMISS Wade 3' Driving Layup24
42.2%
20
57.8%
Q1 - 0:35.0INDWest 13' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS)24
41.0%
20
59.0%
Q1 - 0:39.0INDPacers Rebound22
38.2%
20
61.8%
Q1 - 0:40.0INDMISS Mahinmi 1' Layup22
37.1%
20
62.9%
Q1 - 0:57.0MIAWade 1' Driving Layup (8 PTS)22
38.2%
20
61.8%
Q1 - 1:10INDWade STEAL (1 STL)22
40.7%
18
59.3%
Q1 - 1:24MIAWade 17' Step Back Jump Shot (6 PTS)22
42.4%
18
57.6%
Q1 - 1:51INDButler 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (West 1 AST)22
45.3%
16
54.7%
Q1 - 2:02INDButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
40.3%
16
59.7%
Q1 - 2:03MIAMISS Lewis 3PT Jump Shot19
39.7%
16
60.3%
Q1 - 2:10MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
38.3%
16
61.7%
Q1 - 2:11INDMISS Mahinmi 11' Jump Shot19
38.9%
16
61.1%
Q1 - 2:35INDButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
40.3%
16
59.7%
Q1 - 2:36MIAMISS Cole 21' Jump Shot19
39.7%
16
60.3%
Q1 - 2:40MIAHEAT Rebound19
38.3%
16
61.7%
Q1 - 2:40MIAMISS Cole 3' Driving Layup19
39.7%
16
60.3%
Q1 - 2:59INDStephenson Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)19
38.3%
16
61.7%
Q1 - 2:59INDStephenson Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)18
37.6%
16
62.4%
Q1 - 3:16INDStephenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)17
35.9%
16
64.1%
Q1 - 3:17MIAMISS Allen 25' 3PT Jump Shot17
35.2%
16
64.8%
Q1 - 3:30INDHibbert Foul Turnover (P1.T5)17
33.7%
16
66.3%
Q1 - 3:42MIAAndersen 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)17
35.9%
16
64.1%
Q1 - 4:00INDStephenson 10' Floating Jump Shot (7 PTS)17
37.8%
14
62.2%
Q1 - 4:02INDG. Hill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)15
35.6%
14
64.4%
Q1 - 4:05INDMISS G. Hill 11' Floating Jump Shot15
34.0%
14
66.0%
Q1 - 4:24INDStephenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)15
35.6%
14
64.4%
Q1 - 4:25MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot15
34.9%
14
65.1%
Q1 - 4:41INDWest 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Hibbert 1 AST)15
33.4%
14
66.6%
Q1 - 4:56INDG. Hill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
31.7%
14
68.3%
Q1 - 4:57MIAMISS Wade 14' Turnaround Jump Shot13
31.1%
14
68.9%
Q1 - 5:12INDHibbert 7' Hook Shot (2 PTS)13
29.7%
14
70.3%
Q1 - 5:39MIAJames 1' Running Dunk (4 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)11
28.1%
14
71.9%
Q1 - 5:44INDChalmers STEAL (2 STL)11
29.7%
12
70.3%
Q1 - 5:55MIAAndersen 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)11
31.6%
12
68.4%
Q1 - 6:13INDStephenson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (George 2 AST)11
32.9%
10
67.1%
Q1 - 6:26MIAChalmers 1' Layup (2 PTS) (James 1 AST)8
29.7%
10
70.3%
Q1 - 6:32MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
31.2%
8
68.8%
Q1 - 6:33INDMISS G. Hill 25' 3PT Jump Shot8
31.7%
8
68.3%
Q1 - 6:39INDStephenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)8
33.1%
8
66.9%
Q1 - 6:40MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot8
32.5%
8
67.5%
Q1 - 7:01MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
30.9%
8
69.1%
Q1 - 7:02INDMISS Hibbert 3' Layup8
31.5%
8
68.5%
Q1 - 7:17MIAChalmers Foul Turnover (P1.T1)8
32.8%
8
67.2%
Q1 - 7:26INDStephenson 12' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS) (George 1 AST)8
30.9%
8
69.1%
Q1 - 7:48MIAJames 1' Running Dunk (2 PTS)6
29.6%
8
70.4%
Q1 - 7:51INDJames STEAL (1 STL)6
30.9%
6
69.1%
Q1 - 7:58INDPacers Rebound6
32.9%
6
67.1%
Q1 - 7:59INDMISS West 15' Fadeaway Jumper6
31.5%
6
68.5%
Q1 - 8:14INDStephenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
32.6%
6
67.3%
Q1 - 8:15MIAMISS Bosh 17' Jump Shot6
32.1%
6
67.9%
Q1 - 8:20INDGeorge 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)6
30.9%
6
69.1%
Q1 - 8:24INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
29.5%
6
70.5%
Q1 - 8:27MIAMISS Wade 5' Jump Shot4
29.0%
6
71.0%
Q1 - 8:28MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
27.8%
6
72.2%
Q1 - 8:31MIAMISS Wade 1' Driving Layup4
29.0%
6
71.0%
Q1 - 8:47INDG. Hill Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)4
27.8%
6
72.2%
Q1 - 8:47INDG. Hill Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)3
27.6%
6
72.4%
Q1 - 9:02INDPacers Rebound2
26.7%
6
73.3%
Q1 - 9:03MIAMISS Bosh 1' Driving Layup2
26.2%
6
73.8%
Q1 - 9:12INDPacers Turnover: Backcourt (T#2)2
25.2%
6
74.8%
Q1 - 9:26MIAWade 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (4 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)2
26.7%
6
73.3%
Q1 - 9:30INDChalmers STEAL (1 STL)2
27.9%
4
72.1%
Q1 - 9:35INDStephenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
29.6%
4
70.4%
Q1 - 9:36MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot2
29.1%
4
70.9%
Q1 - 9:45MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)2
27.9%
4
72.1%
Q1 - 9:46INDMISS West 20' Jump Shot2
28.4%
4
71.6%
Q1 - 10:10MIAWade 2' Reverse Layup (2 PTS)2
29.6%
4
70.4%
Q1 - 10:22MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
30.9%
2
69.1%
Q1 - 10:23INDMISS Stephenson 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
31.4%
2
68.6%
Q1 - 10:29INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
32.5%
2
67.5%
Q1 - 10:30MIAMISS James 8' Jump Shot2
32.0%
2
68.0%
Q1 - 10:51INDWest Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)2
30.9%
2
69.1%
Q1 - 10:51INDWest Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)1
30.6%
2
69.4%
Q1 - 11:02INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
29.3%
2
70.7%
Q1 - 11:03MIAMISS Wade 13' Jump Shot0
28.9%
2
71.1%
Q1 - 11:14MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
28.1%
2
71.9%
Q1 - 11:15INDMISS George 26' 3PT Jump Shot0
28.4%
2
71.6%
Q1 - 11:41MIABosh 3' Driving Bank Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)0
29.3%
2
70.7%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Bosh vs. Hibbert: Tip to James0
30.8%
0
69.2%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

IND
1.04 52.2%
MIA
1.09 54.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
IND
8
13
62%
MIA
21
29
72%
Midrange
IND
19
46
41%
MIA
11
27
41%
3PT | Effective 3PT
IND
5
7.5
14
36%
54%
MIA
5
7.5
21
24%
36%
Free Throws
IND
25
28
89%
MIA
18
22
82%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
IND logo Pacers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
P. George2566%12.5 / 19
D. West2361%11.5 / 19
L. Stephenson1365%6.5 / 10
L. Scola844%4.0 / 9
G. Hill739%3.5 / 9
R. Hibbert6100%3.0 / 3
I. Mahinmi536%2.5 / 7
R. Butler583%2.5 / 3
C. Watson217%1.0 / 6
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade3262%16.0 / 26
L. James2471%12.0 / 17
C. Bosh1558%7.5 / 13
C. Andersen880%4.0 / 5
R. Allen750%3.5 / 7
M. Chalmers433%2.0 / 6
N. Cole325%1.5 / 6
R. Lewis330%1.5 / 5
U. Haslem150%0.5 / 1
S. Battier0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

IND
79
+10
-14
89
MIA
82
+7
-12
89
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

IND
1.04 52.2%
MIA
1.09 54.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
104.5
110.7
IND 101.1
MIA 103.2 +2.1
Pace
92.2
91.5
IND 85.6
MIA 102.9 +17.2
Avg. Poss. Time
16.1
15.8
IND 16.8
MIA 14.0 +2.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.0%
55.4%
IND 47.3%
MIA 51.3% +4.0%
TO %
15.6%
15.4%
IND 15.8%
MIA 12.2% +3.6%
ORB %
24.9%
20.6%
IND 15.8% +1.5%
MIA 14.3%
FTrt
29.0
30.0
IND 38.4 +9.8
MIA 28.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
56.0%
58.8%
IND 40.6%
MIA 56.8% +16.2%
STL %
7.3%
9.7%
IND 9.7%
MIA 11.7% +2.0%
BLK %
8.5%
8.1%
IND 3.6% +3.6%
MIA 0.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.51 and 2.51.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.0%
57.5%
IND 52.2%
MIA 54.5% +2.3%
Rim FG%
56.4%
66.7%
IND 61.5%
MIA 72.4% +10.9%
Mid FG%
41.0%
42.8%
IND 41.3% +0.6%
MIA 40.7%
3P %
35.7%
36.4%
IND 35.7% +11.9%
MIA 23.8%
FT %
77.9%
76.0%
IND 89.3% +7.5%
MIA 81.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.3%
38.3%
IND 17.8%
MIA 37.7% +19.9%
Mid Att. %
43.3%
32.5%
IND 63.0%
MIA 35.1% +27.9%
3P Att. %
23.5%
29.2%
IND 19.2%
MIA 27.3% +8.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.71 and 2.71.
Game TotalsINDMIA
Possessions9394
Possession Minutes26.121.9
Points9497
Rebounds3637
Assists1321
Steals911
Blocks20
Turnovers (Team)14 (2)12 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)6 (4)5 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)30 (4)32 (1)
Field Goals32-7337-77
At-the-Rim FG8-1321-29
Midrange FG19-4611-27
2-Point FG27-5932-56
3-Point FG5-145-21
Free Throws25-2818-22
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'8" 220 · 24
43.1
25
66%
8
6
2
0
3
4
0
8
7-8
88%
6-10
60%
2-6
33%
G · 6'6" 230 · 23
41.1
13
65%
9
2
1
0
2
4
0
9
2-2
100%
4-6
67%
1-3
33%
F · 6'9" 250 · 33
36.0
23
61%
3
2
0
0
2
2
1
2
7-8
88%
8-15
53%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 188 · 28
30.9
7
39%
3
1
0
0
1
1
2
1
2-2
100%
1-5
20%
1-3
33%
C · 7'2" 270 · 27
22.9
6
100%
2
1
0
1
1
5
0
2
2-2
100%
2-3
67%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 262 · 27
22.8
5
36%
4
1
2
1
0
3
2
2
3-4
75%
1-5
20%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 175 · 30
17.1
2
17%
2
0
3
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-5
20%
0-1
0%
F · 6'9" 241 · 34
14.4
8
44%
2
0
1
0
3
2
0
2
2-2
100%
3-8
38%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 215 · 35
11.8
5
83%
3
0
0
0
1
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
50%
1-1
100%
G · 6'5" 220 · 25
F · 6'7" 225 · 23
F · 6'9" 239 · 30
G · 6'3" 205 · 26
#33 · F-G · 6'9" 222 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
94
52%
36
13
9
2
14
0
6
30
25-28
89%
27-59
46%
5-14
36%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.