FinalWin Prob.pScore
2716%94
94
184%108
117
ORTG#PossPace
UTA logo UTA
101.19391.8
MIA logo MIA
125.89394.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatJazzQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatJazzQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventUTAMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA94
0%
117
100%
Q4 - 0:18.0MIAMason Jr. REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)94
0%
117
100%
Q4 - 0:19.0UTAMISS Harris 17' Jump Shot94
0%
117
100%
Q4 - 0:36.0MIAMason Jr. 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Cole 4 AST)94
0%
117
100%
Q4 - 0:49.0UTAHarris 7' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)94
0%
115
100%
Q4 - 0:59.0UTABiedrins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)92
0%
115
100%
Q4 - 1:00MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot92
0%
115
100%
Q4 - 1:13UTAHarris 6' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)92
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 1:31MIAHaslem 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Cole 3 AST)90
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 1:41MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)90
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 1:42UTAMISS Harris 19' Jump Shot90
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 1:55MIACole 1' Dunk (13 PTS)90
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 1:57UTACole STEAL (1 STL)90
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 2:07MIAAnthony 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Mason Jr. 1 AST)90
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 2:29MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)90
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 2:30UTAMISS Williams 3PT Jump Shot90
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 2:36UTABurks REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)90
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 2:37MIAMISS Bosh 19' Jump Shot90
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 2:55MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)90
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 2:56UTAMISS Burke 19' Pullup Jump Shot90
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 3:10MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 1 (30 PTS)90
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 3:25UTAFavors 2' Reverse Layup (17 PTS) (Burks 7 AST)90
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 3:42MIAJames 1' Layup (27 PTS) (Cole 2 AST)88
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 3:59UTABurks 1' Driving Layup (31 PTS)88
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 4:19MIAJames 21' Jump Shot (25 PTS)86
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 4:34UTAWilliams 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Burks 6 AST)86
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 4:51MIAJames Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T15)84
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 4:55UTAAllen STEAL (1 STL)84
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 5:11MIAAllen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (James 9 AST)84
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 5:30UTALewis STEAL (2 STL)84
0.2%
99
99.8%
Q4 - 5:35MIAAllen Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T14)84
0.3%
99
99.7%
Q4 - 5:50MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)84
0.2%
99
99.8%
Q4 - 5:51UTAMISS Favors Free Throw 1 of 184
0.2%
99
99.8%
Q4 - 6:06MIAJames 1' Layup (23 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)82
0.2%
99
99.8%
Q4 - 6:11MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)82
0.3%
97
99.7%
Q4 - 6:12UTAMISS Hayward 3PT Jump Shot82
0.3%
97
99.7%
Q4 - 6:33MIACole Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)82
0.4%
97
99.6%
Q4 - 6:33MIACole Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)82
0.5%
96
99.5%
Q4 - 6:54UTAFavors 17' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Hayward 2 AST)82
0.6%
95
99.4%
Q4 - 7:24MIAWade 6' Jump Shot (27 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)80
0.6%
95
99.4%
Q4 - 7:33MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)80
0.7%
93
99.3%
Q4 - 7:34MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot80
0.9%
93
99.1%
Q4 - 7:49MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)80
0.7%
93
99.3%
Q4 - 7:50UTAMISS Kanter 18' Jump Shot80
0.8%
93
99.2%
Q4 - 8:06MIACole Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T13)80
1.3%
93
98.7%
Q4 - 8:08MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)80
1.0%
93
99.0%
Q4 - 8:09UTAWade BLOCK (1 BLK)80
1.1%
93
98.9%
Q4 - 8:35MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)80
1.3%
93
98.7%
Q4 - 8:35MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)80
1.3%
92
98.7%
Q4 - 8:47UTAKanter 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (14 PTS)80
1.6%
91
98.4%
Q4 - 9:09MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)78
1.5%
91
98.5%
Q4 - 9:09MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)78
1.6%
90
98.4%
Q4 - 9:19MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)78
1.9%
89
98.1%
Q4 - 9:20UTAMISS Burks 1' Layup78
2.1%
89
97.9%
Q4 - 9:27MIACole 1' Layup (9 PTS) (Andersen 1 AST)78
2.4%
89
97.6%
Q4 - 9:32UTAAndersen STEAL (1 STL)78
3.1%
87
96.9%
Q4 - 9:47MIAWade 8' Jump Shot (21 PTS)78
3.8%
87
96.2%
Q4 - 10:06UTAKanter 1' Reverse Layup (12 PTS)78
5.2%
85
94.8%
Q4 - 10:15UTAEvans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)76
4.2%
85
95.8%
Q4 - 10:16MIAMISS Cole 24' 3PT Jump Shot76
3.9%
85
96.1%
Q4 - 10:30UTALewis STEAL (1 STL)76
3.3%
85
96.7%
Q4 - 10:52MIAWade 4' Jump Shot (19 PTS)76
4.1%
85
95.9%
Q4 - 11:10UTAHayward 2' Layup (7 PTS)76
5.6%
83
94.4%
Q4 - 11:15MIAAllen Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)74
4.6%
83
95.4%
Q4 - 11:26UTABurks 24' 3PT Jump Shot (29 PTS) (Burke 4 AST)74
3.7%
83
96.3%
Q4 - 11:49UTAKanter REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)71
2.4%
83
97.6%
Q4 - 11:50MIAMISS Wade 1' Layup71
2.3%
83
97.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA71
2.0%
83
98.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound71
2.0%
83
98.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Cole 30' 3PT Jump Shot71
2.3%
83
97.7%
Q3 - 0:02.0UTABurks Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)71
2.2%
83
97.8%
Q3 - 0:02.0UTAMISS Burks Free Throw 1 of 270
2.1%
83
97.9%
Q3 - 0:19.0MIAWade 12' Jump Shot (17 PTS)70
2.2%
83
97.8%
Q3 - 0:29.0MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)70
2.7%
81
97.3%
Q3 - 0:31.0UTAMISS Rush 19' Jump Shot70
2.8%
81
97.2%
Q3 - 0:46.0MIAAllen Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T11)70
3.2%
81
96.8%
Q3 - 0:50.0MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)70
2.7%
81
97.3%
Q3 - 0:53.0UTAAndersen BLOCK (3 BLK)70
2.8%
81
97.2%
Q3 - 1:14UTARush REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)70
3.4%
81
96.6%
Q3 - 1:15MIAMISS Andersen Free Throw 2 of 270
3.3%
81
96.7%
Q3 - 1:15MIAAndersen Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)70
3.0%
81
97.0%
Q3 - 1:35UTABurks 1' Dunk (25 PTS)70
3.4%
80
96.6%
Q3 - 1:39MIACole Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)68
2.8%
80
97.2%
Q3 - 1:52MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)68
2.3%
80
97.7%
Q3 - 1:53UTAMISS Kanter 11' Jump Shot68
2.5%
80
97.5%
Q3 - 2:22MIACole 1' Reverse Layup (7 PTS) (James 8 AST)68
3.0%
80
97.0%
Q3 - 2:34UTABurks 8' Driving Jump Shot (23 PTS)68
3.6%
78
96.4%
Q3 - 2:39UTAJazz Rebound66
3.0%
78
97.0%
Q3 - 2:40UTABosh BLOCK (2 BLK)66
2.7%
78
97.3%
Q3 - 3:00MIAAllen 8' Jump Shot (2 PTS)66
3.0%
78
97.0%
Q3 - 3:05MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)66
3.8%
76
96.2%
Q3 - 3:06MIAMISS Allen 3PT Jump Shot66
4.3%
76
95.7%
Q3 - 3:30UTAGarrett Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)66
3.8%
76
96.2%
Q3 - 3:45MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)66
4.5%
76
95.5%
Q3 - 3:45MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)66
4.7%
75
95.3%
Q3 - 4:00UTABurks Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)66
5.3%
74
94.7%
Q3 - 4:00UTABurks Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)65
5.1%
74
94.9%
Q3 - 4:26MIABosh 1' Dunk (18 PTS) (Chalmers 8 AST)64
4.8%
74
95.2%
Q3 - 4:32MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)64
5.4%
72
94.6%
Q3 - 4:33UTAMISS Garrett 15' Jump Shot64
5.8%
72
94.2%
Q3 - 4:55UTAFavors REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)64
6.6%
72
93.4%
Q3 - 4:56MIAMISS Wade 7' Jump Shot64
6.2%
72
93.8%
Q3 - 5:06UTABurks 24' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)64
5.6%
72
94.4%
Q3 - 5:34MIABosh 19' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Chalmers 7 AST)61
4.2%
72
95.8%
Q3 - 5:46MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)61
4.8%
70
95.2%
Q3 - 5:47UTAMISS Burks Free Throw 2 of 261
4.9%
70
95.1%
Q3 - 5:47UTABurks Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)61
5.4%
70
94.6%
Q3 - 6:12MIAChalmers 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (James 7 AST)60
5.0%
70
95.0%
Q3 - 6:18MIALewis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)60
6.7%
67
93.3%
Q3 - 6:19MIAMISS Chalmers Layup60
7.5%
67
92.5%
Q3 - 6:36UTAWilliams 8' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Burks 4 AST)60
6.7%
67
93.3%
Q3 - 6:54MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)58
5.8%
67
94.2%
Q3 - 6:54MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)58
6.0%
66
94.0%
Q3 - 7:04UTAFavors Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)58
6.7%
65
93.3%
Q3 - 7:22MIAWade 1' Dunk (13 PTS) (Chalmers 6 AST)55
5.1%
65
94.9%
Q3 - 7:35UTABurks 2' Reverse Layup (15 PTS)55
5.8%
63
94.2%
Q3 - 7:50MIAJames 18' Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Chalmers 5 AST)53
5.1%
63
94.9%
Q3 - 7:56MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)53
5.8%
61
94.2%
Q3 - 7:57MIAMISS Lewis 26' 3PT Jump Shot53
6.5%
61
93.5%
Q3 - 8:03MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)53
5.9%
61
94.1%
Q3 - 8:04UTAMISS Williams 10' Jump Shot53
6.2%
61
93.8%
Q3 - 8:07UTAWilliams REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)53
6.9%
61
93.1%
Q3 - 8:09UTAMISS Favors 15' Jump Shot53
6.2%
61
93.8%
Q3 - 8:25MIAJames 1' Dunk (19 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)53
6.9%
61
93.1%
Q3 - 8:32MIALewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)53
7.8%
59
92.2%
Q3 - 8:33UTAMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot53
8.1%
59
91.9%
Q3 - 8:42MIABosh 2' Putback Layup (14 PTS)53
9.1%
59
90.9%
Q3 - 8:43MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)53
10.2%
57
89.8%
Q3 - 8:44MIAMISS Chalmers 1' Layup53
11.4%
57
88.6%
Q3 - 8:59MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)53
10.2%
57
89.8%
Q3 - 9:00UTAMISS Burke 24' 3PT Jump Shot53
10.7%
57
89.3%
Q3 - 9:16UTAWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)53
11.6%
57
88.4%
Q3 - 9:17MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Shot53
11.1%
57
88.9%
Q3 - 9:26UTAFavors 9' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Hayward 1 AST)53
10.1%
57
89.9%
Q3 - 9:44MIAChalmers 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (James 6 AST)51
8.9%
57
91.1%
Q3 - 9:58MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)51
11.6%
54
88.4%
Q3 - 9:59UTAMISS Jefferson 1' Layup51
12.1%
54
87.9%
Q3 - 10:04UTAHayward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)51
12.7%
54
87.3%
Q3 - 10:05MIAMISS James 1' Layup51
12.2%
54
87.8%
Q3 - 10:12MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)51
11.2%
54
88.8%
Q3 - 10:13UTAMISS Hayward 15' Jump Shot51
11.7%
54
88.3%
Q3 - 10:28MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)51
12.8%
54
87.2%
Q3 - 10:32UTAHayward Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)51
11.2%
54
88.8%
Q3 - 10:32UTAMISS Hayward Free Throw 1 of 250
11.0%
54
89.0%
Q3 - 10:45MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)50
11.3%
54
88.7%
Q3 - 10:55UTAHayward Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T9)50
14.4%
51
85.6%
Q3 - 11:12MIABosh 1' Dunk (9 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)50
15.9%
51
84.1%
Q3 - 11:18UTAChalmers STEAL (2 STL)50
17.7%
49
82.3%
Q3 - 11:21UTAFavors REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)50
19.9%
49
80.1%
Q3 - 11:22UTAMISS Hayward 25' 3PT Jump Shot50
18.4%
49
81.6%
Q3 - 11:39MIAJames 1' Layup (17 PTS)50
19.9%
49
80.1%
Q3 - 11:41MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)50
22.1%
47
77.9%
Q3 - 11:44UTAMISS Burke 25' 3PT Jump Shot50
22.9%
47
77.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA50
24.7%
47
75.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0UTAWilliams 1' Tip Shot (4 PTS)50
22.1%
47
77.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0UTAWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)48
19.9%
47
80.1%
Q2 - 0:01.0UTAMISS Burke 28' 3PT Jump Shot48
18.2%
47
81.8%
Q2 - 0:07.0UTABurks REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)48
19.3%
47
80.7%
Q2 - 0:10.0MIAMISS Bosh 24' 3PT Jump Shot48
18.8%
47
81.2%
Q2 - 0:32.0UTABurks 2' Driving Layup (13 PTS)48
17.8%
47
82.2%
Q2 - 0:55.0MIABosh 1' Layup (7 PTS) (Cole 1 AST)46
15.5%
47
84.5%
Q2 - 1:23UTAFavors 1' Layup (6 PTS) (Burke 3 AST)46
17.8%
45
82.2%
Q2 - 1:27UTABurke REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)44
15.4%
45
84.6%
Q2 - 1:28MIAMISS James 27' 3PT Jump Shot44
15.1%
45
84.9%
Q2 - 1:40UTAHayward Foul Turnover (P2.T7)44
14.4%
45
85.6%
Q2 - 1:44MIAJames 2' Dunk (15 PTS)44
15.4%
45
84.6%
Q2 - 1:49UTAJames STEAL (1 STL)44
17.8%
43
82.2%
Q2 - 2:02UTAFavors REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)44
19.0%
43
81.0%
Q2 - 2:06MIAMISS Chalmers Free Throw 2 of 244
18.8%
43
81.2%
Q2 - 2:06MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)44
17.5%
43
82.5%
Q2 - 2:08UTABosh STEAL (2 STL)44
19.0%
42
81.0%
Q2 - 2:19MIAChalmers 1' Layup (5 PTS) (James 5 AST)44
21.0%
42
79.0%
Q2 - 2:36UTAJazz Turnover: Shot Clock (T#4)44
23.2%
40
76.8%
Q2 - 3:00MIAWade 1' Dunk (11 PTS) (James 4 AST)44
25.4%
40
74.6%
Q2 - 3:02MIABattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)44
26.5%
38
73.5%
Q2 - 3:03UTAMISS Burke 9' Jump Shot44
27.3%
38
72.7%
Q2 - 3:23MIAJames 1' Dunk (13 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)44
29.4%
38
70.6%
Q2 - 3:33UTAWilliams 2' Tip Shot (2 PTS)44
31.5%
36
68.5%
Q2 - 3:34UTAWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)42
29.5%
36
70.5%
Q2 - 3:35UTAMISS Burks 9' Jump Shot42
27.4%
36
72.6%
Q2 - 3:51MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)42
29.5%
36
70.5%
Q2 - 3:53UTAChalmers STEAL (1 STL)42
26.6%
36
73.4%
Q2 - 4:07MIAWade 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup (9 PTS)42
28.0%
36
72.0%
Q2 - 4:34UTABurks 1' Driving Reverse Layup (11 PTS)42
30.4%
34
69.6%
Q2 - 4:39UTAJazz Rebound40
28.1%
34
71.9%
Q2 - 4:40UTAMISS Williams 1' Driving Dunk40
26.5%
34
73.5%
Q2 - 4:57MIAWade 6' Jump Shot (7 PTS)40
28.1%
34
71.9%
Q2 - 5:15UTAGarrett 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)40
29.8%
32
70.2%
Q2 - 5:34UTAKanter REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)37
25.2%
32
74.8%
Q2 - 5:35MIAMISS Bosh 20' Jump Shot37
24.6%
32
75.4%
Q2 - 5:50UTAKanter 1' Layup (10 PTS)37
23.2%
32
76.8%
Q2 - 5:53UTAKanter REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)35
21.2%
32
78.8%
Q2 - 5:54UTAMISS Burks 25' 3PT Jump Shot35
20.0%
32
80.0%
Q2 - 6:15UTAGarrett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
21.1%
32
78.9%
Q2 - 6:16MIAMISS Bosh 20' Jump Shot35
20.4%
32
79.6%
Q2 - 6:29UTABosh STEAL (1 STL)35
19.0%
32
81.0%
Q2 - 6:44UTAKanter REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)35
21.1%
32
78.9%
Q2 - 6:45MIAMISS Bosh 19' Jump Shot35
20.4%
32
79.6%
Q2 - 6:59UTABurks 2' Layup (9 PTS) (Garrett 1 AST)35
19.0%
32
81.0%
Q2 - 7:03MIACole Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)33
17.2%
32
82.8%
Q2 - 7:05MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
15.6%
32
84.4%
Q2 - 7:07UTAMISS Burks 24' 3PT Jump Shot33
16.1%
32
83.9%
Q2 - 7:22UTAEvans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
17.3%
32
82.7%
Q2 - 7:23MIAMISS Wade 9' Jump Shot33
16.8%
32
83.2%
Q2 - 7:42UTAKanter Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)33
15.6%
32
84.4%
Q2 - 7:42UTAKanter Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)32
15.3%
32
84.7%
Q2 - 7:42UTAKanter REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)31
14.4%
32
85.6%
Q2 - 7:42UTAAndersen BLOCK (2 BLK)31
13.4%
32
86.6%
Q2 - 7:53MIACole 6' Jump Shot (5 PTS)31
14.5%
32
85.5%
Q2 - 8:06MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
15.4%
30
84.6%
Q2 - 8:08UTAMISS Kanter 14' Jump Shot31
15.9%
30
84.1%
Q2 - 8:28UTAKanter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)31
16.9%
30
83.1%
Q2 - 8:29MIAMISS Allen 26' 3PT Jump Shot31
16.5%
30
83.5%
Q2 - 8:50UTAEvans 7' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Burks 3 AST)31
15.5%
30
84.5%
Q2 - 9:09MIAWade Traveling Turnover (P3.T6)29
13.8%
30
86.2%
Q2 - 9:26UTAKanter 2' Layup (6 PTS)29
12.6%
30
87.4%
Q2 - 9:27UTAKanter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)27
11.6%
30
88.4%
Q2 - 9:29UTAMISS Kanter 4' Jump Shot27
10.9%
30
89.1%
Q2 - 9:42UTAKanter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
11.6%
30
88.4%
Q2 - 9:43MIAMISS Lewis 3PT Jump Shot27
11.3%
30
88.7%
Q2 - 10:06UTAKanter 1' Layup (4 PTS)27
10.6%
30
89.4%
Q2 - 10:22MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)25
9.9%
30
90.1%
Q2 - 10:22MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 225
10.1%
29
89.9%
Q2 - 10:37UTABurks Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)25
9.7%
29
90.3%
Q2 - 10:37UTAMISS Burks Free Throw 1 of 224
9.5%
29
90.5%
Q2 - 10:41MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T5)24
9.9%
29
90.1%
Q2 - 10:57UTAKanter 9' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Burks 2 AST)24
8.9%
29
91.1%
Q2 - 11:20MIACole 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Lewis 1 AST)22
8.3%
29
91.7%
Q2 - 11:43UTAEvans 1' Dunk (2 PTS) (Burks 1 AST)22
9.9%
26
90.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA20
9.1%
26
90.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0UTABurks 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS)20
8.3%
26
91.7%
Q1 - 0:15.0UTAEvans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
7.6%
26
92.4%
Q1 - 0:16.0MIAMISS Allen 24' 3PT Jump Shot18
7.5%
26
92.5%
Q1 - 0:39.0MIALewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
7.1%
26
92.9%
Q1 - 0:40.0UTALewis BLOCK (1 BLK)18
7.3%
26
92.7%
Q1 - 0:59.0UTABurks REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)18
7.6%
26
92.4%
Q1 - 1:00UTAMISS Burke 21' Jump Shot18
7.3%
26
92.7%
Q1 - 1:05UTABurke REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)18
7.6%
26
92.4%
Q1 - 1:06UTAAndersen BLOCK (1 BLK)18
7.3%
26
92.7%
Q1 - 1:28MIALewis 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 3 AST)18
7.6%
26
92.4%
Q1 - 1:38MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
9.2%
23
90.8%
Q1 - 1:39UTAMISS Favors 12' Jump Shot18
9.4%
23
90.6%
Q1 - 2:04UTAFavors REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)18
9.9%
23
90.1%
Q1 - 2:05MIAMISS James Free Throw 2 of 218
9.8%
23
90.2%
Q1 - 2:05MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)18
9.3%
23
90.7%
Q1 - 2:25MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
10.0%
22
90.0%
Q1 - 2:26UTAMISS Hayward 6' Running Hook Shot18
10.2%
22
89.8%
Q1 - 2:38UTAFavors REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)18
10.8%
22
89.2%
Q1 - 2:39MIAMISS Allen 3' Layup18
10.5%
22
89.5%
Q1 - 2:52MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)18
10.0%
22
90.0%
Q1 - 2:53UTAMISS Favors Free Throw 1 of 118
10.1%
22
89.9%
Q1 - 3:02MIAJames 1' Layup (10 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)16
9.1%
22
90.9%
Q1 - 3:08UTABurks 9' Jump Shot (4 PTS)16
9.8%
20
90.2%
Q1 - 3:32UTAFavors REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)14
9.1%
20
90.9%
Q1 - 3:33MIAMISS James 9' Jump Shot14
8.9%
20
91.1%
Q1 - 3:59UTABurks 2' Layup (2 PTS)14
8.3%
20
91.7%
Q1 - 4:04MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)12
7.7%
20
92.3%
Q1 - 4:15MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
7.0%
20
93.0%
Q1 - 4:16UTABattier BLOCK (1 BLK)12
7.2%
20
92.8%
Q1 - 4:33MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)12
7.7%
20
92.3%
Q1 - 4:33MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 212
7.8%
19
92.2%
Q1 - 4:41MIABattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
7.6%
19
92.4%
Q1 - 4:42UTAMISS Hayward 29' 3PT Jump Shot12
7.8%
19
92.2%
Q1 - 5:11MIAJames 14' Jump Shot (8 PTS)12
8.5%
19
91.5%
Q1 - 5:33UTAHayward 1' Layup (4 PTS)12
9.1%
17
90.9%
Q1 - 5:35UTAHayward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
8.4%
17
91.6%
Q1 - 5:36UTAMISS Hayward 3PT Jump Shot10
8.0%
17
92.0%
Q1 - 6:00MIAChalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 2 AST)10
8.4%
17
91.6%
Q1 - 6:11MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)10
9.7%
14
90.3%
Q1 - 6:12UTAMISS Jefferson 19' Jump Shot10
9.9%
14
90.1%
Q1 - 6:26MIAHEAT Turnover: Backcourt (T#3)10
10.4%
14
89.6%
Q1 - 6:46UTAFavors 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS)10
9.7%
14
90.3%
Q1 - 7:04MIABosh Dunk (4 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)8
9.0%
14
91.0%
Q1 - 7:20UTAHayward Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)8
9.6%
12
90.4%
Q1 - 7:20UTAHayward Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)7
9.5%
12
90.5%
Q1 - 7:22MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)6
9.0%
12
91.0%
Q1 - 7:29MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
8.3%
12
91.7%
Q1 - 7:32UTAMISS Burke 19' Jump Shot6
8.5%
12
91.5%
Q1 - 7:53MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)6
9.0%
12
91.0%
Q1 - 7:53MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)6
9.2%
11
90.8%
Q1 - 8:09UTAJefferson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Burke 1 AST)6
9.5%
10
90.5%
Q1 - 8:28MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)3
8.3%
10
91.7%
Q1 - 8:28MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)3
8.4%
9
91.6%
Q1 - 8:39MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
8.9%
8
91.1%
Q1 - 8:40UTAMISS Jefferson 25' 3PT Jump Shot3
9.1%
8
90.9%
Q1 - 8:59MIABosh 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS)3
9.5%
8
90.5%
Q1 - 9:09MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)3
10.1%
6
89.9%
Q1 - 9:10UTAMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot3
10.3%
6
89.7%
Q1 - 9:30MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)3
10.8%
6
89.2%
Q1 - 9:31MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)3
10.1%
6
89.9%
Q1 - 9:32UTAMISS Favors 12' Jump Shot3
10.3%
6
89.7%
Q1 - 9:45MIAJames 1' Reverse Dunk (4 PTS)3
10.8%
6
89.2%
Q1 - 9:46MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)3
11.5%
4
88.5%
Q1 - 9:48MIAMISS Chalmers 1' Driving Layup3
12.0%
4
88.0%
Q1 - 9:53MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
11.5%
4
88.5%
Q1 - 9:54UTABosh BLOCK (1 BLK)3
11.7%
4
88.3%
Q1 - 10:13MIAWade 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 1 AST)3
12.2%
4
87.8%
Q1 - 10:27UTAJefferson Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)3
12.9%
2
87.1%
Q1 - 10:39UTAHayward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
13.8%
2
86.2%
Q1 - 10:40MIAMISS James 18' Jump Shot3
13.5%
2
86.5%
Q1 - 11:03UTABurke 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Favors 1 AST)3
12.7%
2
87.3%
Q1 - 11:08UTAFavors REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
11.2%
2
88.8%
Q1 - 11:10UTAMISS Williams 22' Jump Shot0
10.8%
2
89.2%
Q1 - 11:33MIAJames 8' Hook Bank Shot (2 PTS)0
11.3%
2
88.7%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Bosh vs. Favors: Tip to James0
12.0%
0
88.0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

UTA
1.02 51.1%
MIA
1.33 66.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
UTA
20
30
67%
MIA
24
30
80%
Midrange
UTA
14
36
39%
MIA
15
26
58%
3PT | Effective 3PT
UTA
5
7.5
18
28%
42%
MIA
6
9.0
15
40%
60%
Free Throws
UTA
11
17
65%
MIA
21
26
81%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
UTA logo Jazz
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Burks3174%15.5 / 21
D. Favors1771%8.5 / 12
E. Kanter1458%7.0 / 12
M. Williams840%4.0 / 10
G. Hayward735%3.5 / 10
J. Evans433%2.0 / 6
M. Harris450%2.0 / 4
T. Burke319%1.5 / 8
R. Jefferson330%1.5 / 5
D. Garrett375%1.5 / 2
B. Rush0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. James3079%15.0 / 19
D. Wade2771%13.5 / 19
C. Bosh2067%10.0 / 15
N. Cole1381%6.5 / 8
M. Chalmers1275%6.0 / 8
R. Allen542%2.5 / 6
R. Lewis350%1.5 / 3
R. Mason Jr.2100%1.0 / 1
U. Haslem250%1.0 / 2
J. Anthony2100%1.0 / 1
C. Andersen150%0.5 / 1
S. Battier0-0.0 / 0
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

UTA
79
+13
-14
92
MIA
79
+7
-14
86
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

UTA
1.02 51.1%
MIA
1.33 66.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
103.5
110.7
UTA 101.1
MIA 125.8 +24.7
Pace
91.3
91.5
UTA 91.8
MIA 94.2 +2.5
Avg. Poss. Time
16.1
15.8
UTA 15.7
MIA 15.3 +0.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.4%
55.4%
UTA 49.4%
MIA 67.6% +18.2%
TO %
15.2%
15.4%
UTA 14.1% +1.3%
MIA 15.4%
ORB %
25.6%
20.6%
UTA 23.9% +2.5%
MIA 21.4%
FTrt
27.1
30.0
UTA 20.2
MIA 36.6 +16.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
56.4%
58.8%
UTA 43.6%
MIA 62.2% +18.6%
STL %
7.6%
9.7%
UTA 7.5%
MIA 10.8% +3.3%
BLK %
7.3%
8.1%
UTA 3.6%
MIA 12.1% +8.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.51 and 2.51.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.0%
57.5%
UTA 51.1%
MIA 66.5% +15.4%
Rim FG%
58.2%
66.7%
UTA 66.7%
MIA 80.0% +13.3%
Mid FG%
37.8%
42.8%
UTA 38.9%
MIA 57.7% +18.8%
3P %
34.4%
36.4%
UTA 27.8%
MIA 40.0% +12.2%
FT %
74.7%
76.0%
UTA 64.7%
MIA 80.8% +16.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.2%
38.3%
UTA 35.7%
MIA 42.3% +6.5%
Mid Att. %
40.0%
32.5%
UTA 42.9%
MIA 36.6% +6.2%
3P Att. %
23.7%
29.2%
UTA 21.4% +0.3%
MIA 21.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.71 and 2.71.
Game TotalsUTAMIA
Possessions9393
Possession Minutes24.323.7
Points94117
Rebounds3341
Assists1728
Steals710
Blocks28
Turnovers (Team)14 (1)14 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (2)6 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)22 (0)35 (0)
Field Goals39-8445-71
At-the-Rim FG20-3024-30
Midrange FG14-3615-26
2-Point FG34-6639-56
3-Point FG5-186-15
Free Throws11-1721-26
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'1" 191 · 21
30.9
3
19%
2
4
0
0
1
2
1
1
0-0
-
0-4
0%
1-4
25%
C · 6'10" 265 · 22
28.5
17
71%
7
1
1
2
1
1
2
5
1-3
33%
8-12
67%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 237 · 27
27.8
8
40%
4
2
0
0
0
1
3
1
0-0
-
4-7
57%
0-3
0%
G · 6'8" 226 · 24
27.4
7
35%
3
2
1
0
5
4
1
2
3-4
75%
2-4
50%
0-4
0%
F · 6'7" 233 · 33
11.6
3
30%
0
0
1
0
1
3
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
0%
1-2
50%
G · 6'5" 214 · 22
34.0
31
74%
3
7
4
0
2
4
1
2
5-8
63%
10-13
77%
2-4
50%
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 28
20.6
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 200 · 26
17.8
4
33%
3
0
0
0
1
2
0
3
0-0
-
2-6
33%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 245 · 22
17.2
14
58%
8
0
0
0
0
2
3
5
2-2
100%
6-11
55%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 190 · 25
17.1
3
75%
1
1
0
0
3
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-1
100%
F · 6'6" 242 · 31
2.4
4
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-0
-
G · 5'11" 166 · 31
2.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 250 · 28
2.4
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#27 · C · 7'1" 258 · 21
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#21 · G · 6'3" 175 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
94
51%
33
17
7
2
14
0
11
22
11-17
65%
34-66
52%
5-18
28%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.