FinalWin Prob.pScore
147%96
84
553%97
90
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
93.39091.2
IND logo IND
101.18987.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PacersHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PacersHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAIND
Q4 - 0:00.0IND84
0%
90
100%
Q4 - 0:08.0MIAAllen 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)84
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 0:26.0INDStephenson 2' Dunk (12 PTS) (Hill 6 AST)81
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 0:31.0INDHill REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)81
0.2%
88
99.8%
Q4 - 0:32.0MIAMISS Wade 26' 3PT Jump Shot81
0.3%
88
99.7%
Q4 - 0:38.0INDWest 4' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Hill 5 AST)81
0.8%
88
99.2%
Q4 - 0:51.0INDPACERS Rebound81
2.2%
86
97.8%
Q4 - 0:51.0MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot81
2.8%
86
97.2%
Q4 - 0:59.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:13)81
5.3%
86
94.7%
Q4 - 1:00INDMISS Hibbert 3' Layup81
4.4%
86
95.6%
Q4 - 1:15MIAStephenson STEAL (1 STL)81
3.8%
86
96.2%
Q4 - 1:18MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)81
7.3%
86
92.7%
Q4 - 1:19INDMISS George 16' Jump Shot81
6.2%
86
93.8%
Q4 - 1:43INDStephenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)81
5.8%
86
94.2%
Q4 - 1:44MIAMISS James 2' Driving Layup81
6.9%
86
93.1%
Q4 - 2:03MIAHeat Rebound81
11.2%
86
88.8%
Q4 - 2:05MIAMISS Andersen Free Throw 1 of 181
7.1%
86
92.9%
Q4 - 2:18MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)79
4.8%
86
95.2%
Q4 - 2:19INDMISS Hibbert 7' Jump Hook Shot79
4.0%
86
96.0%
Q4 - 2:46MIAAndersen 3' Alley Oop Dunk (8 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)79
2.7%
86
97.3%
Q4 - 3:05INDWest 2' Layup (15 PTS) (Stephenson 5 AST)77
2.5%
86
97.5%
Q4 - 3:24MIAJames Traveling Turnover (P4.T10)77
3.4%
84
96.6%
Q4 - 3:32MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:12)77
8.5%
84
91.5%
Q4 - 3:33INDMISS Scola 22' Jump Shot77
7.6%
84
92.4%
Q4 - 3:53INDScola REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)77
5.5%
84
94.5%
Q4 - 3:54MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot77
6.1%
84
93.9%
Q4 - 4:18INDHibbert 11' Jump Hook Shot (24 PTS)77
7.8%
84
92.2%
Q4 - 4:38MIAJames 24' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Allen 2 AST)77
10.5%
82
89.5%
Q4 - 4:59MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:11)74
5.3%
82
94.7%
Q4 - 4:59INDMISS Hibbert Free Throw 2 of 274
5.0%
82
95.0%
Q4 - 4:59INDHibbert Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)74
4.0%
82
96.0%
Q4 - 4:59INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)74
5.1%
81
94.9%
Q4 - 5:00INDMISS Scola 5' Jump Shot74
6.7%
81
93.3%
Q4 - 5:13MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)74
7.2%
81
92.8%
Q4 - 5:13MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)73
6.7%
81
93.3%
Q4 - 5:19INDGeorge 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Scola 1 AST)72
5.4%
81
94.6%
Q4 - 5:22INDScola REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)72
9.8%
78
90.2%
Q4 - 5:23INDMISS George 25' 3PT Jump Shot72
12.2%
78
87.8%
Q4 - 5:29INDScola REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)72
9.7%
78
90.3%
Q4 - 5:30MIAMISS Wade 10' Turnaround Jump Shot72
10.8%
78
89.2%
Q4 - 5:42MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)72
13.4%
78
86.6%
Q4 - 5:43INDMISS Hibbert 17' Jump Shot72
12.2%
78
87.8%
Q4 - 6:00INDScola REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)72
9.6%
78
90.4%
Q4 - 6:00MIAMISS James Free Throw 2 of 272
10.1%
78
89.9%
Q4 - 6:00MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 272
12.3%
78
87.7%
Q4 - 6:19INDScola 1' Layup (7 PTS) (Stephenson 4 AST)72
15.9%
78
84.1%
Q4 - 6:27INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)72
19.7%
76
80.3%
Q4 - 6:28MIAMISS James 2' Layup72
21.4%
76
78.6%
Q4 - 6:43INDWatson 2' Driving Layup (6 PTS)72
25.6%
76
74.4%
Q4 - 6:48MIAWatson STEAL (2 STL)72
31.0%
74
69.0%
Q4 - 7:04MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)72
39.8%
74
60.2%
Q4 - 7:05INDMISS Watson 3' Layup72
37.6%
74
62.4%
Q4 - 7:21MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)72
32.7%
74
67.3%
Q4 - 7:21MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)71
31.5%
74
68.5%
Q4 - 7:36INDGeorge Bad Pass Turnover (P6.T21)70
27.4%
74
72.6%
Q4 - 7:53MIAAndersen Traveling Turnover (P1.T8)70
21.7%
74
78.3%
Q4 - 8:14INDHibbert 4' Jump Hook Shot (21 PTS) (George 4 AST)70
28.6%
74
71.4%
Q4 - 8:39MIAWade 2' Driving Dunk (15 PTS) (James 6 AST)70
34.1%
72
65.9%
Q4 - 8:44MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)68
28.5%
72
71.5%
Q4 - 8:45INDMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot68
27.0%
72
73.0%
Q4 - 9:06MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T7)68
25.0%
72
75.0%
Q4 - 9:19INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)68
29.8%
72
70.2%
Q4 - 9:19INDHibbert 2' Putback Dunk (19 PTS)68
29.8%
72
70.2%
Q4 - 9:20INDMISS Watson 2' Driving Layup68
38.9%
70
61.1%
Q4 - 9:38INDPACERS Rebound68
35.0%
70
65.0%
Q4 - 9:39MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot68
36.7%
70
63.3%
Q4 - 9:52INDScola Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T20)68
40.6%
70
59.4%
Q4 - 10:05MIAWade 18' Pullup Jump Shot (13 PTS)68
35.5%
70
64.5%
Q4 - 10:25INDScola 18' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Watson 1 AST)66
30.6%
70
69.4%
Q4 - 10:36INDWatson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)66
35.5%
68
64.5%
Q4 - 10:37MIAMISS Allen 16' Jump Shot66
37.1%
68
62.9%
Q4 - 11:02MIALewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)66
41.2%
68
58.8%
Q4 - 11:03INDMISS Watson 3PT Jump Shot66
39.5%
68
60.5%
Q4 - 11:40MIACole 13' Pullup Jump Shot (9 PTS)66
35.9%
68
64.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA64
31.2%
68
68.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound64
31.2%
68
68.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)64
31.2%
68
68.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Andersen 1' Tip Shot64
28.0%
68
72.0%
Q3 - 0:01.0MIAMISS James 1' Layup64
29.1%
68
70.9%
Q3 - 0:21.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)64
31.9%
68
68.1%
Q3 - 0:21.0INDMISS Mahinmi Free Throw 2 of 264
31.3%
68
68.7%
Q3 - 0:21.0INDMISS Mahinmi Free Throw 1 of 264
28.9%
68
71.1%
Q3 - 0:42.0MIACole 4' Driving Layup (7 PTS)64
27.7%
68
72.3%
Q3 - 0:55.0INDGeorge 24' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (West 4 AST)62
23.7%
68
76.3%
Q3 - 1:14MIAAndersen Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)62
32.6%
65
67.4%
Q3 - 1:35INDGeorge 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)59
24.5%
65
75.5%
Q3 - 1:54INDWest REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)59
32.6%
62
67.4%
Q3 - 1:55MIAMISS James 24' 3PT Jump Shot59
33.9%
62
66.1%
Q3 - 2:12MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)59
37.3%
62
62.7%
Q3 - 2:13INDMISS George 26' 3PT Jump Shot59
35.9%
62
64.1%
Q3 - 2:36INDWest REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)59
32.8%
62
67.2%
Q3 - 2:37MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot59
34.2%
62
65.8%
Q3 - 2:44MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)59
37.2%
62
62.8%
Q3 - 2:45INDMISS West 21' Jump Shot59
35.9%
62
64.1%
Q3 - 3:05INDHill REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)59
33.4%
62
66.6%
Q3 - 3:07INDMISS Hill 8' Floating Jump Shot59
36.5%
62
63.5%
Q3 - 3:31MIABosh 2' Layup (12 PTS) (James 5 AST)59
33.4%
62
66.6%
Q3 - 3:51INDGeorge 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Hill 4 AST)57
29.8%
62
70.2%
Q3 - 3:58INDPACERS Rebound57
33.4%
60
66.6%
Q3 - 3:58INDMISS Johnson 2' Layup57
36.4%
60
63.6%
Q3 - 4:03MIAHill STEAL (2 STL)57
33.5%
60
66.5%
Q3 - 4:22INDWest Bad Pass Turnover (P7.T19)57
38.4%
60
61.6%
Q3 - 4:33INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)57
33.5%
60
66.5%
Q3 - 4:36MIAMISS Bosh 26' 3PT Jump Shot57
35.0%
60
65.0%
Q3 - 5:00INDGeorge Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)57
38.3%
60
61.7%
Q3 - 5:00INDGeorge Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)57
39.0%
59
61.0%
Q3 - 5:15INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)57
41.7%
58
58.3%
Q3 - 5:15MIAMISS Bosh 20' Jump Shot57
43.1%
58
56.9%
Q3 - 5:27INDHibbert Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T18)57
46.4%
58
53.6%
Q3 - 5:47INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)57
41.7%
58
58.3%
Q3 - 5:48MIAMISS Battier 26' 3PT Jump Shot57
43.1%
58
56.9%
Q3 - 6:12INDHibbert Free Throw 1 of 1 (17 PTS)57
46.3%
58
53.7%
Q3 - 6:29MIAJames 2' Layup (12 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)57
53.8%
55
46.2%
Q3 - 6:35INDWest Lost Ball Turnover (P6.T17)55
50.3%
55
49.7%
Q3 - 6:47INDHill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)55
45.9%
55
54.1%
Q3 - 6:47MIAMISS James 19' Jump Shot55
47.2%
55
52.8%
Q3 - 7:15INDWest Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T16)55
49.9%
55
50.1%
Q3 - 7:29INDHill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)55
45.7%
55
54.3%
Q3 - 7:30MIAMISS Chalmers 3' Reverse Layup55
47.0%
55
53.0%
Q3 - 7:42INDWest Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T15)55
49.9%
55
50.1%
Q3 - 7:56INDWest REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)55
45.7%
55
54.3%
Q3 - 7:58MIAMISS Bosh 24' 3PT Jump Shot55
47.0%
55
53.0%
Q3 - 8:01MIABattier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)55
49.9%
55
50.1%
Q3 - 8:02MIAMISS Chalmers 3' Running Jump Shot55
46.9%
55
53.1%
Q3 - 8:15INDHill 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (George 2 AST)55
49.9%
55
50.1%
Q3 - 8:26MIAWade 2' Slam Dunk (11 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)55
56.8%
52
43.2%
Q3 - 8:39INDHibbert Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)53
53.7%
52
46.3%
Q3 - 8:48INDWest REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)53
60.5%
49
39.5%
Q3 - 8:49MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Shot53
61.7%
49
38.3%
Q3 - 9:05INDWest 20' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Hill 3 AST)53
63.7%
49
36.3%
Q3 - 9:30MIABosh 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (James 4 AST)53
67.0%
47
33.0%
Q3 - 9:40INDGeorge Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)51
63.8%
47
36.2%
Q3 - 9:40INDGeorge Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)51
64.3%
46
35.7%
Q3 - 9:44MIAHill STEAL (1 STL)51
67.0%
45
33.0%
Q3 - 9:47INDStephenson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T14)51
70.3%
45
29.7%
Q3 - 10:05MIAChalmers 1' Driving Layup (9 PTS)51
66.5%
45
33.5%
Q3 - 10:19MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)49
63.4%
45
36.6%
Q3 - 10:20INDMISS Stephenson 7' Jump Hook Shot49
62.3%
45
37.7%
Q3 - 10:43MIABosh 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (James 3 AST)49
59.9%
45
40.1%
Q3 - 11:03INDHibbert 9' Jump Hook Shot (11 PTS) (Stephenson 3 AST)47
56.3%
45
43.7%
Q3 - 11:14INDStephenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)47
59.6%
43
40.4%
Q3 - 11:15MIAMISS Battier 3PT Jump Shot47
60.6%
43
39.4%
Q3 - 11:37INDStephenson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (West 3 AST)47
63.0%
43
37.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA47
69.1%
40
30.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound47
72.1%
40
27.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Bosh 26' 3PT Jump Shot47
70.0%
40
30.0%
Q2 - 0:04.0INDStephenson Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)47
70.7%
40
29.3%
Q2 - 0:19.0INDWest REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)47
76.5%
37
23.5%
Q2 - 0:19.0MIAMISS Cole Free Throw 2 of 247
76.7%
37
23.3%
Q2 - 0:19.0MIACole Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)47
78.2%
37
21.8%
Q2 - 0:33.0INDWest 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Hill 2 AST)46
75.9%
37
24.1%
Q2 - 0:55.0MIAWade 12' Floating Jump Shot (9 PTS)46
78.8%
35
21.2%
Q2 - 1:06INDWest Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)44
75.1%
35
24.9%
Q2 - 1:06INDWest Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)44
75.6%
34
24.4%
Q2 - 1:20MIAJames Foul Turnover (P2.T4)44
78.2%
33
21.8%
Q2 - 1:24INDStephenson Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T13)44
79.6%
33
20.4%
Q2 - 1:41INDHill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)44
78.2%
33
21.8%
Q2 - 1:42MIAMISS Bosh 20' Step Back Jump Shot44
78.7%
33
21.3%
Q2 - 1:55INDWest Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)44
79.6%
33
20.4%
Q2 - 1:55INDWest Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)44
80.0%
32
20.0%
Q2 - 2:21MIAJames 1' Layup (10 PTS) (Cole 2 AST)44
81.1%
31
18.9%
Q2 - 2:28MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)42
79.2%
31
20.8%
Q2 - 2:30INDMISS George 3' Layup42
78.5%
31
21.5%
Q2 - 2:47MIABosh 5' Jump Shot (6 PTS)42
77.1%
31
22.9%
Q2 - 2:49MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)40
74.8%
31
25.2%
Q2 - 2:50MIAMISS James 3' Driving Layup40
73.1%
31
26.9%
Q2 - 3:14INDJump Ball George vs. James: Tip to Cole40
74.3%
31
25.7%
Q2 - 3:19MIAGeorge STEAL (2 STL)40
71.5%
31
28.5%
Q2 - 3:25INDGeorge Foul Turnover (P4.T11)40
74.3%
31
25.7%
Q2 - 3:31INDStephenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)40
71.5%
31
28.5%
Q2 - 3:33MIAMISS James 12' Fadeaway Jumper40
72.4%
31
27.6%
Q2 - 3:54INDGeorge Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)40
74.4%
31
25.6%
Q2 - 3:54INDGeorge Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)40
74.7%
30
25.3%
Q2 - 4:17MIAAndersen 1' Slam Dunk (3 PTS) (Cole 1 AST)40
75.3%
29
24.7%
Q2 - 4:26INDGeorge Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T10)38
73.2%
29
26.8%
Q2 - 4:43INDPACERS Rebound38
70.8%
29
29.2%
Q2 - 4:45MIAHibbert BLOCK (1 BLK)38
71.6%
29
28.4%
Q2 - 5:04INDWest Foul Turnover (P3.T9)38
72.6%
29
27.4%
Q2 - 5:12INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
70.4%
29
29.6%
Q2 - 5:13MIAMISS Cole 25' 3PT Jump Shot38
71.1%
29
28.9%
Q2 - 5:31MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)38
72.6%
29
27.4%
Q2 - 5:32INDMISS Stephenson 25' 3PT Jump Shot38
72.0%
29
28.0%
Q2 - 5:48MIAAndersen Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)38
70.4%
29
29.6%
Q2 - 5:48MIAMISS Andersen Free Throw 1 of 237
69.8%
29
30.2%
Q2 - 5:49MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)37
70.3%
29
29.7%
Q2 - 5:50MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 237
68.3%
29
31.7%
Q2 - 5:50MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)37
69.9%
29
30.1%
Q2 - 6:17INDWest Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)36
67.7%
29
32.3%
Q2 - 6:34INDMahinmi REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)36
64.8%
29
35.2%
Q2 - 6:35MIAMISS Lewis 24' 3PT Jump Shot36
65.7%
29
34.3%
Q2 - 6:38MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)36
67.7%
29
32.3%
Q2 - 6:40MIAMISS Wade 6' Jump Shot36
65.7%
29
34.3%
Q2 - 6:57INDWest 2' Putback Layup (5 PTS)36
67.7%
29
32.3%
Q2 - 6:57INDWest REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)36
69.7%
27
30.3%
Q2 - 6:58INDMISS Mahinmi 2' Layup36
71.6%
27
28.4%
Q2 - 7:19INDWatson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
69.1%
27
30.9%
Q2 - 7:20MIAMISS Allen 19' Jump Shot36
69.8%
27
30.2%
Q2 - 7:37MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)36
71.6%
27
28.4%
Q2 - 7:38INDMISS Mahinmi 12' Jump Shot36
70.8%
27
29.2%
Q2 - 7:52INDPACERS Rebound36
69.1%
27
30.9%
Q2 - 7:52INDMISS Johnson 1' Layup36
70.9%
27
29.1%
Q2 - 7:55INDStephenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)36
69.1%
27
30.9%
Q2 - 7:56MIAMISS Wade 20' Pullup Jump Shot36
69.9%
27
30.1%
Q2 - 8:04MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)36
70.7%
27
29.3%
Q2 - 8:06INDMISS Watson 25' 3PT Jump Shot36
70.0%
27
30.0%
Q2 - 8:10INDMahinmi REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)36
68.5%
27
31.5%
Q2 - 8:11INDMISS West Free Throw 2 of 236
70.4%
27
29.6%
Q2 - 8:11INDWest Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)36
69.0%
27
31.0%
Q2 - 8:25MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)36
70.7%
26
29.3%
Q2 - 8:25MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)35
70.2%
26
29.8%
Q2 - 8:44MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
68.6%
26
31.4%
Q2 - 8:45INDMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot34
67.9%
26
32.1%
Q2 - 8:56INDStephenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
66.2%
26
33.8%
Q2 - 8:57MIAMISS Andersen 5' Jump Shot34
67.0%
26
33.0%
Q2 - 9:20INDScola Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)34
68.0%
26
32.0%
Q2 - 9:20INDMISS Scola Free Throw 1 of 234
68.4%
25
31.6%
Q2 - 9:41MIACole 2' Driving Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)34
67.8%
25
32.2%
Q2 - 9:45INDScola Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T7)32
65.8%
25
34.2%
Q2 - 10:02INDJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)32
62.8%
25
37.2%
Q2 - 10:03MIAMISS Lewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot32
63.6%
25
36.4%
Q2 - 10:20INDWatson 1' Layup (4 PTS)32
65.5%
25
34.5%
Q2 - 10:23INDScola REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
67.3%
23
32.7%
Q2 - 10:25MIAMahinmi BLOCK (1 BLK)32
68.1%
23
31.9%
Q2 - 10:39INDJohnson 9' Jump Shot (2 PTS)32
69.8%
23
30.2%
Q2 - 10:40INDJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)32
71.5%
21
28.5%
Q2 - 10:41INDMISS Stephenson 5' Driving Jump Shot32
73.1%
21
26.9%
Q2 - 11:03MIAWade 1' Layup (4 PTS)32
71.0%
21
29.0%
Q2 - 11:11MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
69.1%
21
30.9%
Q2 - 11:12INDMISS Stephenson 10' Jump Shot30
68.4%
21
31.6%
Q2 - 11:28INDStephenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
66.9%
21
33.1%
Q2 - 11:29MIAMISS Allen 17' Jump Shot30
67.6%
21
32.4%
Q2 - 11:48INDScola 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Stephenson 2 AST)30
69.1%
21
30.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA30
71.0%
19
29.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0INDWatson 2' Layup (2 PTS)30
73.1%
19
26.9%
Q1 - 0:02.0MIAWatson STEAL (1 STL)30
74.5%
17
25.5%
Q1 - 0:12.0INDGeorge Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)30
75.8%
17
24.2%
Q1 - 0:27.0MIAWade 11' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS)30
74.5%
17
25.5%
Q1 - 0:46.0INDHill 12' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)28
72.2%
17
27.8%
Q1 - 0:59.0MIACole 17' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)28
74.5%
15
25.5%
Q1 - 1:08MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)26
71.7%
15
28.3%
Q1 - 1:09INDMISS George 19' Jump Shot26
71.3%
15
28.7%
Q1 - 1:25MIAJames 2' Layup (8 PTS)26
70.3%
15
29.7%
Q1 - 1:38MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)24
67.8%
15
32.2%
Q1 - 1:39INDMISS Hibbert 9' Jump Hook Shot24
67.4%
15
32.6%
Q1 - 2:09MIALewis 3' Layup (2 PTS) (James 2 AST)24
65.9%
15
34.1%
Q1 - 2:20INDScola Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)22
63.7%
15
36.3%
Q1 - 2:45MIAChalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)22
61.7%
15
38.3%
Q1 - 2:53MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)19
57.2%
15
42.8%
Q1 - 2:54INDMISS George 25' 3PT Jump Shot19
56.6%
15
43.4%
Q1 - 2:59INDHill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)19
55.1%
15
44.9%
Q1 - 3:01INDMISS Hill Free Throw 2 of 219
56.8%
15
43.2%
Q1 - 3:01INDMISS Hill Free Throw 1 of 219
55.3%
15
44.7%
Q1 - 3:13MIAJames 6' Jump Hook Shot (6 PTS)19
54.8%
15
45.2%
Q1 - 3:34INDScola Foul Turnover (P1.T4)17
52.7%
15
47.3%
Q1 - 3:44INDScola REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
50.3%
15
49.7%
Q1 - 3:46MIAMISS Allen 2' Layup17
51.1%
15
48.9%
Q1 - 4:12INDStephenson 17' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS)17
52.5%
15
47.5%
Q1 - 4:25MIABosh 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)17
54.4%
13
45.6%
Q1 - 4:34MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
52.6%
13
47.4%
Q1 - 4:35INDMISS George 13' Step Back Jump Shot15
51.8%
13
48.2%
Q1 - 4:47MIAJames 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS)15
50.1%
13
49.9%
Q1 - 4:53MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
48.2%
13
51.8%
Q1 - 4:54INDMISS Hibbert 4' Layup13
47.5%
13
52.5%
Q1 - 5:09INDWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)13
45.7%
13
54.3%
Q1 - 5:10MIAMISS Battier 26' 3PT Jump Shot13
46.4%
13
53.6%
Q1 - 5:21MIAHeat Rebound13
47.9%
13
52.1%
Q1 - 5:23MIAMISS James 16' Jump Shot13
46.4%
13
53.6%
Q1 - 5:45INDStephenson 1' Layup (2 PTS) (West 2 AST)13
47.9%
13
52.1%
Q1 - 5:58INDPACERS Rebound13
49.8%
11
50.2%
Q1 - 5:59MIAMISS Battier 25' 3PT Jump Shot13
50.5%
11
49.5%
Q1 - 6:16INDHibbert 5' Jump Shot (9 PTS)13
51.7%
11
48.3%
Q1 - 6:33INDHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
53.5%
9
46.5%
Q1 - 6:34MIAMISS Battier 25' 3PT Jump Shot13
54.1%
9
45.9%
Q1 - 6:54INDHibbert 4' Jump Hook Shot (7 PTS) (Hill 1 AST)13
55.6%
9
44.4%
Q1 - 7:09MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)13
56.8%
7
43.2%
Q1 - 7:09MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)12
56.4%
7
43.6%
Q1 - 7:09MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)11
55.2%
7
44.8%
Q1 - 7:10MIAMISS Wade 3' Layup11
53.7%
7
46.3%
Q1 - 7:15INDGeorge Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)11
55.2%
7
44.8%
Q1 - 7:22MIAGeorge STEAL (1 STL)11
53.1%
7
46.9%
Q1 - 7:33INDHill Double Dribble Turnover (P1.T2)11
55.2%
7
44.8%
Q1 - 7:48MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)11
53.1%
7
46.9%
Q1 - 7:48MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)10
52.7%
7
47.3%
Q1 - 7:55MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
51.5%
7
48.5%
Q1 - 7:57INDMISS West 7' Jump Shot9
50.8%
7
49.2%
Q1 - 8:11INDHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
49.4%
7
50.6%
Q1 - 8:12MIAMISS James 26' 3PT Jump Shot9
50.0%
7
50.0%
Q1 - 8:44INDHibbert 6' Jump Hook Shot (5 PTS) (Stephenson 1 AST)9
51.4%
7
48.6%
Q1 - 9:07MIAChalmers 5' Running Bank Shot (2 PTS)9
53.0%
5
47.0%
Q1 - 9:13INDWest Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)7
51.4%
5
48.6%
Q1 - 9:23INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
49.4%
5
50.6%
Q1 - 9:24MIAMISS Wade 1' Layup7
50.0%
5
50.0%
Q1 - 9:31INDWest 1' Putback Layup (2 PTS)7
51.4%
5
48.6%
Q1 - 9:32INDWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)7
53.0%
3
47.0%
Q1 - 9:34INDMISS Stephenson 24' 3PT Jump Shot7
54.4%
3
45.6%
Q1 - 9:50MIABattier 2' Dunk (5 PTS) (James 1 AST)7
53.0%
3
47.0%
Q1 - 10:07INDHibbert 16' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (West 1 AST)5
51.2%
3
48.8%
Q1 - 10:31INDWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
52.8%
1
47.2%
Q1 - 10:32MIAMISS Bosh 19' Jump Shot5
53.4%
1
46.6%
Q1 - 10:51MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)5
54.7%
1
45.3%
Q1 - 10:51INDMISS Hibbert Free Throw 2 of 25
54.4%
1
45.6%
Q1 - 10:51INDHibbert Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)5
53.3%
1
46.7%
Q1 - 11:13MIABattier 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)5
54.2%
0
45.8%
Q1 - 11:23MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
50.8%
0
49.2%
Q1 - 11:24INDMISS Hill 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
50.3%
0
49.7%
Q1 - 11:39MIABosh 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)2
49.3%
0
50.7%
Q1 - 12:00INDJump Ball Hibbert vs. Bosh: Tip to Wade0
47.5%
0
52.5%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.94 47.2%
IND
1.14 57.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
19
32
59%
IND
17
27
63%
Midrange
MIA
10
24
42%
IND
12
25
48%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
4
6.0
21
19%
29%
IND
5
7.5
15
33%
50%
Free Throws
MIA
14
20
70%
IND
17
25
68%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. James1745%8.5 / 19
D. Wade1750%8.5 / 17
C. Bosh1250%6.0 / 12
C. Andersen1056%5.0 / 9
M. Chalmers956%4.5 / 8
N. Cole975%4.5 / 6
S. Battier536%2.5 / 7
R. Allen330%1.5 / 5
R. Lewis233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
IND logo Pacers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Hibbert2471%12.0 / 17
P. George1761%8.5 / 14
D. West1777%8.5 / 11
L. Stephenson1267%6.0 / 9
L. Scola758%3.5 / 6
C. Watson643%3.0 / 7
G. Hill550%2.5 / 5
O. Johnson220%1.0 / 5
I. Mahinmi0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
78
+10
-12
88
IND
68
+11
-21
79
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.94 47.2%
IND
1.14 57.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
110.7
104.5
MIA 93.3 +7.8
IND 101.1
Pace
91.5
92.2
MIA 91.2 +3.4
IND 87.8
Avg. Poss. Time
15.8
16.1
MIA 15.8 +0.6
IND 16.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
55.4%
49.0%
MIA 45.5%
IND 54.5% +9.0%
TO %
15.4%
15.6%
MIA 12.3% +8.9%
IND 21.2%
ORB %
20.6%
24.9%
MIA 15.0%
IND 25.0% +10.0%
FTrt
30.0
29.0
MIA 26.0
IND 37.3 +11.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.8%
56.0%
MIA 60.6%
IND 64.7% +4.1%
STL %
9.7%
7.3%
MIA 14.4% +6.5%
IND 7.9%
BLK %
8.1%
8.5%
MIA 11.5% +7.9%
IND 3.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.51 and 2.51.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
57.5%
52.0%
MIA 47.2%
IND 57.0% +9.8%
Rim FG%
66.7%
56.4%
MIA 59.4%
IND 63.0% +3.6%
Mid FG%
42.8%
41.0%
MIA 41.7%
IND 48.0% +6.3%
3P %
36.4%
35.7%
MIA 19.0%
IND 33.3% +14.3%
FT %
76.0%
77.9%
MIA 70.0% +2.0%
IND 68.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
38.3%
33.3%
MIA 41.6% +1.3%
IND 40.3%
Mid Att. %
32.5%
43.3%
MIA 31.2% +6.1%
IND 37.3%
3P Att. %
29.2%
23.5%
MIA 27.3% +4.9%
IND 22.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.71 and 2.71.
Game TotalsMIAIND
Possessions9089
Possession Minutes23.724.3
Points8490
Rebounds3343
Assists2022
Steals137
Blocks62
Turnovers (Team)12 (0)21 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)6 (4)9 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)27 (0)34 (4)
Field Goals33-7734-67
At-the-Rim FG19-3217-27
Midrange FG10-2412-25
2-Point FG29-5629-52
3-Point FG4-215-15
Free Throws14-2017-25
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 250 · 29
38.5
17
45%
14
6
2
0
5
3
1
13
4-6
67%
5-12
42%
1-4
25%
G · 6'4" 220 · 32
34.9
17
50%
6
6
3
0
1
1
1
5
5-6
83%
6-13
46%
0-1
0%
C · 6'11" 235 · 30
32.4
12
50%
3
1
2
1
2
3
1
2
0-0
-
6-9
67%
0-3
0%
G · 6'2" 190 · 28
27.9
9
56%
3
2
2
1
2
2
0
3
2-2
100%
2-4
50%
1-3
33%
F · 6'8" 220 · 35
14.8
5
36%
1
0
0
1
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
1-6
17%
G · 6'5" 205 · 38
26.3
3
30%
1
2
1
1
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-4
0%
1-1
100%
G · 6'2" 175 · 25
23.4
9
75%
1
3
1
0
0
2
0
1
1-2
50%
4-4
100%
0-1
0%
F · 6'10" 235 · 34
21.1
2
33%
1
0
1
1
0
4
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-2
0%
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 35
20.8
10
56%
3
0
1
1
1
3
2
1
2-4
50%
4-8
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 205 · 33
F · 6'8" 235 · 34
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 33
C · 6'9" 245 · 31
#20 · C · 7'0" 273 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#8 · F · 6'9" 235 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
84
47%
33
20
13
6
12
0
6
27
14-20
70%
29-56
52%
4-21
19%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.