FinalWin Prob.pScore
651%102
110
1549%101
95
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
118.39394.4
DET logo DET
101.19492.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PistonsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PistonsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIADET
Q4 - 0:00.0DET110
100%
95
0%
Q4 - 0:03.0DETHarrellson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)110
99.9%
95
0.1%
Q4 - 0:06.0MIAMISS Jones 17' Jump Shot110
99.9%
95
0.1%
Q4 - 0:29.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)110
99.9%
95
0.1%
Q4 - 0:30.0DETMISS Datome 22' Jump Shot110
99.9%
95
0.1%
Q4 - 0:42.0DETSiva REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)110
99.9%
95
0.1%
Q4 - 0:45.0MIAMISS Haslem 19' Jump Shot110
99.9%
95
0.1%
Q4 - 1:02MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)110
99.9%
95
0.1%
Q4 - 1:03DETMISS Jerebko 17' Jump Shot110
99.9%
95
0.1%
Q4 - 1:17MIAMason Jr. Offensive Foul Turnover (P3.T17)110
99.9%
95
0.1%
Q4 - 1:30DETJerebko 27' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Siva 4 AST)110
99.9%
95
0.1%
Q4 - 1:36MIAJerebko STEAL (2 STL)110
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 2:01MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)110
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 2:02DETMISS Siva 21' Jump Shot110
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 2:08DETPISTONS Rebound110
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 2:08DETMISS Mitchell 1' Layup110
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 2:12DETPISTONS Rebound110
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 2:13DETMISS Harrellson 19' Jump Shot110
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 2:25DETDatome REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)110
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 2:26MIAMISS Bosh 26' 3PT Jump Shot110
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 2:54DETSmith 5' Hook Shot (13 PTS)110
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 3:09MIAJames 21' Pullup Jump Shot (24 PTS)110
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 3:38DETDrummond 1' Layup (19 PTS)108
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 3:41MIADrummond STEAL (2 STL)108
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 3:43MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)108
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 3:44DETMISS Smith 27' 3PT Jump Shot108
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 3:55MIAChalmers Layup (8 PTS) (Andersen 1 AST)108
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 4:10DETSmith 6' Hook Shot (11 PTS)106
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 4:23MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)106
99.9%
86
0.1%
Q4 - 4:23MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)105
99.9%
86
0.1%
Q4 - 4:27MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)104
99.9%
86
0.1%
Q4 - 4:29DETMISS Monroe 4' Hook Shot104
99.9%
86
0.1%
Q4 - 4:44MIAMason Jr. 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST)104
99.9%
86
0.1%
Q4 - 5:07DETMonroe Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)101
99.5%
86
0.5%
Q4 - 5:07DETMISS Monroe Free Throw 1 of 2101
99.5%
85
0.5%
Q4 - 5:19DETSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)101
99.5%
85
0.5%
Q4 - 5:20MIAMISS Lewis 3PT Jump Shot101
99.5%
85
0.5%
Q4 - 5:41DETJennings 28' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS)101
99.7%
85
0.3%
Q4 - 5:57MIAJames Backcourt Turnover (P6.T14)101
99.8%
82
0.2%
Q4 - 6:06DETDrummond 1' Tip Shot (17 PTS)101
99.8%
82
0.2%
Q4 - 6:07DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:8 Def:6)101
99.8%
80
0.2%
Q4 - 6:08DETMISS Datome 26' 3PT Jump Shot101
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 6:14DETDatome REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)101
99.8%
80
0.2%
Q4 - 6:16MIAMISS Andersen 1' Reverse Layup101
99.8%
80
0.2%
Q4 - 6:30DETDrummond Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T18)101
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 6:36DETJennings REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)101
99.8%
80
0.2%
Q4 - 6:37MIAMISS Lewis 27' 3PT Jump Shot101
99.8%
80
0.2%
Q4 - 6:43MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)101
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 6:44DETMISS Datome 21' Jump Shot101
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 7:11MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 1 (22 PTS)101
99.7%
80
0.3%
Q4 - 7:15MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)98
99.5%
80
0.5%
Q4 - 7:16DETMISS Datome 19' Jump Shot98
99.4%
80
0.6%
Q4 - 7:42MIALewis Traveling Turnover (P1.T13)98
99.3%
80
0.7%
Q4 - 7:53DETSingler Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)98
99.5%
80
0.5%
Q4 - 7:53DETSingler Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)98
99.5%
79
0.5%
Q4 - 7:59DETVillanueva REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)98
99.6%
78
0.4%
Q4 - 8:00MIAMISS Mason Jr. 28' 3PT Jump Shot98
99.7%
78
0.3%
Q4 - 8:07MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)98
99.5%
78
0.5%
Q4 - 8:08DETMISS Drummond Layup98
99.5%
78
0.5%
Q4 - 8:25MIAAndersen 1' Layup (10 PTS) (Bosh 3 AST)98
99.4%
78
0.6%
Q4 - 8:39DETDrummond Tip Shot (15 PTS)96
99.3%
78
0.7%
Q4 - 8:40DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:7 Def:6)96
99.4%
76
0.6%
Q4 - 8:42DETMISS Jennings 1' Layup96
99.5%
76
0.5%
Q4 - 8:54DETVillanueva REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)96
99.4%
76
0.6%
Q4 - 8:55MIAMISS Bosh 20' Jump Shot96
99.5%
76
0.5%
Q4 - 9:19DETVillanueva 7' Hook Shot (10 PTS)96
99.4%
76
0.6%
Q4 - 9:38MIAMason Jr. 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Cole 3 AST)96
99.5%
74
0.5%
Q4 - 9:45MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)93
99.2%
74
0.8%
Q4 - 9:46DETMISS Singler 25' 3PT Jump Shot93
99.1%
74
0.9%
Q4 - 9:57DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)93
99.0%
74
1.0%
Q4 - 9:58MIAMISS Bosh 17' Jump Shot93
99.1%
74
0.9%
Q4 - 10:16DETSingler 1' Layup (8 PTS)93
98.9%
74
1.1%
Q4 - 10:17DETSingler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)93
99.1%
72
0.9%
Q4 - 10:18DETMISS Jennings 5' Jump Shot93
99.3%
72
0.7%
Q4 - 10:23DETJennings REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)93
99.1%
72
0.9%
Q4 - 10:25MIADrummond BLOCK (2 BLK)93
99.2%
72
0.8%
Q4 - 10:53DETSingler Layup (6 PTS)93
99.3%
72
0.7%
Q4 - 10:54DETSingler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)93
99.5%
70
0.5%
Q4 - 10:56DETMISS Jerebko 4' Hook Shot93
99.5%
70
0.5%
Q4 - 11:19MIAAndersen 1' Tip Shot (8 PTS)93
99.3%
70
0.7%
Q4 - 11:19MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)91
99.1%
70
0.9%
Q4 - 11:20MIAMISS Cole 6' Jump Shot91
99.0%
70
1.0%
Q4 - 11:39MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)91
99.1%
70
0.9%
Q4 - 11:42DETMISS Harrellson 7' Floating Jump Shot91
99.1%
70
0.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0DET91
98.9%
70
1.1%
Q3 - 0:15.0MIAVillanueva STEAL (1 STL)91
98.7%
70
1.3%
Q3 - 0:39.0DETSiva Traveling Turnover (P2.T17)91
98.9%
70
1.1%
Q3 - 1:02MIAMason Jr. 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Cole 2 AST)91
98.4%
70
1.6%
Q3 - 1:16MIAMason Jr. REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)88
97.6%
70
2.4%
Q3 - 1:17DETMISS Villanueva 27' 3PT Jump Shot88
97.5%
70
2.5%
Q3 - 1:28MIACole Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)88
97.2%
70
2.8%
Q3 - 1:28MIACole Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)87
97.0%
70
3.0%
Q3 - 1:28MIAHeat Rebound86
96.6%
70
3.4%
Q3 - 1:28DETMISS Jennings 27' 3PT Jump Shot86
96.4%
70
3.6%
Q3 - 1:32DETHarrellson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)86
95.9%
70
4.1%
Q3 - 1:33MIAMISS Mason Jr. 27' 3PT Jump Shot86
96.1%
70
3.9%
Q3 - 1:37MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)86
96.6%
70
3.4%
Q3 - 1:39MIAMISS James 24' 3PT Jump Shot86
96.1%
70
3.9%
Q3 - 2:03DETVillanueva 28' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Jennings 6 AST)86
95.9%
70
4.1%
Q3 - 2:11DETPISTONS Rebound86
97.1%
67
2.9%
Q3 - 2:12DETMISS Jennings Free Throw 2 of 286
97.6%
67
2.4%
Q3 - 2:12DETJennings Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)86
97.3%
67
2.7%
Q3 - 2:22MIAJames 20' Pullup Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Mason Jr. 2 AST)86
97.6%
66
2.4%
Q3 - 2:48DETJennings 1' Driving Layup (15 PTS)84
97.2%
66
2.8%
Q3 - 3:00MIAMason Jr. 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 9 AST)84
97.7%
64
2.3%
Q3 - 3:04MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)81
96.2%
64
3.8%
Q3 - 3:05DETMISS Jerebko 17' Jump Shot81
95.9%
64
4.1%
Q3 - 3:12DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:6 Def:6)81
95.4%
64
4.6%
Q3 - 3:12DETMISS Jennings 7' Floating Jump Shot81
96.0%
64
4.0%
Q3 - 3:32MIAAndersen 1' Driving Layup (6 PTS)81
95.4%
64
4.6%
Q3 - 3:52DETJerebko Foul Turnover (P2.T16)79
94.7%
64
5.3%
Q3 - 3:56DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)79
93.6%
64
6.4%
Q3 - 3:57MIAMISS Chalmers 20' Jump Shot79
93.9%
64
6.1%
Q3 - 4:23DETJerebko 1' Layup (9 PTS) (Jennings 5 AST)79
94.1%
64
5.9%
Q3 - 4:33DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)79
94.9%
62
5.1%
Q3 - 4:34MIAMISS Bosh 3PT Jump Shot79
95.2%
62
4.8%
Q3 - 4:53DETSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T15)79
95.8%
62
4.2%
Q3 - 5:06MIABosh 21' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (James 8 AST)79
94.3%
62
5.7%
Q3 - 5:13MIAAllen Free Throw Technical (18 PTS)77
93.5%
62
6.5%
Q3 - 5:25DETDrummond Tip Shot (13 PTS)76
92.4%
62
7.6%
Q3 - 5:26DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)76
93.4%
60
6.6%
Q3 - 5:27DETMISS Drummond Tip Shot76
94.1%
60
5.9%
Q3 - 5:28DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)76
93.4%
60
6.6%
Q3 - 5:29DETMISS Jennings Layup76
94.1%
60
5.9%
Q3 - 5:40MIAJames Layup (17 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)76
93.4%
60
6.6%
Q3 - 5:44DETJennings Bad Pass Turnover (P6.T14)74
92.4%
60
7.6%
Q3 - 5:51MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T11)74
91.0%
60
9.0%
Q3 - 5:55MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)74
92.5%
60
7.5%
Q3 - 5:56DETMISS Jerebko 18' Jump Shot74
92.0%
60
8.0%
Q3 - 6:10DETJennings REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)74
90.3%
60
9.7%
Q3 - 6:11MIAMISS Allen 28' 3PT Jump Shot74
90.7%
60
9.3%
Q3 - 6:25DETJennings Free Throw 3 of 3 (13 PTS)74
91.7%
60
8.3%
Q3 - 6:25DETJennings Free Throw 2 of 3 (12 PTS)74
91.9%
59
8.1%
Q3 - 6:25DETJennings Free Throw 1 of 3 (11 PTS)74
92.2%
58
7.8%
Q3 - 6:40MIAJames 1' Layup (15 PTS) (Allen 3 AST)74
93.8%
57
6.2%
Q3 - 6:44DETJerebko Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T13)72
92.9%
57
7.1%
Q3 - 6:55MIAAllen 16' Running Jump Shot (17 PTS)72
91.6%
57
8.4%
Q3 - 7:26MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)70
89.7%
57
10.3%
Q3 - 7:27DETMISS Smith 20' Jump Shot70
89.2%
57
10.8%
Q3 - 7:49DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)70
88.1%
57
11.9%
Q3 - 7:50MIAMISS James Free Throw 2 of 270
88.3%
57
11.7%
Q3 - 7:50MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)70
89.3%
57
10.7%
Q3 - 7:53DETJennings Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T12)69
88.2%
57
11.8%
Q3 - 8:02DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)69
85.7%
57
14.3%
Q3 - 8:03MIAMISS Allen 26' 3PT Jump Shot69
86.4%
57
13.6%
Q3 - 8:22DETSmith Layup (9 PTS)69
87.8%
57
12.2%
Q3 - 8:29DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)69
89.1%
55
10.9%
Q3 - 8:32MIAMISS James 1' Tip Shot69
89.6%
55
10.4%
Q3 - 8:34MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)69
90.7%
55
9.3%
Q3 - 8:35MIAMISS Chalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot69
89.6%
55
10.4%
Q3 - 8:41DETJennings Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T11)69
90.7%
55
9.3%
Q3 - 9:04MIAAllen 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (James 7 AST)69
88.5%
55
11.5%
Q3 - 9:24MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)66
85.3%
55
14.7%
Q3 - 9:25DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 21' Jump Shot66
84.7%
55
15.3%
Q3 - 9:43MIAChalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Bosh 2 AST)66
83.3%
55
16.7%
Q3 - 9:59DETPISTONS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#10)63
79.0%
55
21.0%
Q3 - 10:27MIAAllen Layup (12 PTS) (James 6 AST)63
75.9%
55
24.1%
Q3 - 10:35MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)61
73.3%
55
26.7%
Q3 - 10:36DETMISS Smith 26' 3PT Jump Shot61
72.4%
55
27.6%
Q3 - 10:53DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)61
70.3%
55
29.7%
Q3 - 10:54DETMISS Jennings 27' 3PT Jump Shot61
72.4%
55
27.6%
Q3 - 11:05DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)61
69.9%
55
30.1%
Q3 - 11:06MIAMISS James 1' Driving Layup61
70.8%
55
29.2%
Q3 - 11:26DETMonroe Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)61
72.8%
55
27.2%
Q3 - 11:26DETMonroe Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)61
73.5%
54
26.5%
Q3 - 11:26DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:4 Def:0)61
75.4%
53
24.6%
Q3 - 11:27DETMISS Monroe Layup61
77.2%
53
22.8%
Q3 - 11:45MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)61
75.4%
53
24.6%
Q3 - 11:45MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)60
75.0%
53
25.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA59
72.9%
53
27.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound59
72.9%
53
27.1%
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Battier 29' 3PT Jump Shot59
70.3%
53
29.7%
Q2 - 0:06.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)59
71.7%
53
28.3%
Q2 - 0:07.0DETMISS Drummond Free Throw 2 of 259
71.4%
53
28.6%
Q2 - 0:07.0DETDrummond Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)59
70.4%
53
29.6%
Q2 - 0:27.0MIAJames Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T10)59
72.4%
52
27.6%
Q2 - 0:43.0DETDrummond 1' Layup (10 PTS) (Siva 3 AST)59
74.4%
52
25.6%
Q2 - 0:55.0DETSiva REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)59
77.4%
50
22.6%
Q2 - 0:56.0MIAMISS James 17' Jump Shot59
77.9%
50
22.1%
Q2 - 1:12DETSingler Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)59
78.3%
50
21.7%
Q2 - 1:25MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)59
76.9%
50
23.1%
Q2 - 1:25MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)58
76.4%
50
23.6%
Q2 - 1:33DETMonroe Foul Turnover (P2.T8)57
73.7%
50
26.3%
Q2 - 1:53MIAJames 10' Pullup Jump Shot (10 PTS)57
72.1%
50
27.9%
Q2 - 2:13DETDrummond 1' Alley Oop Dunk (8 PTS) (Siva 2 AST)55
68.4%
50
31.6%
Q2 - 2:25MIABattier 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)55
71.0%
48
29.0%
Q2 - 2:46DETSiva Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)52
65.7%
48
34.3%
Q2 - 2:50MIAMonroe STEAL (2 STL)52
62.9%
48
37.1%
Q2 - 3:09DETMonroe Tip Shot (7 PTS)52
65.7%
48
34.3%
Q2 - 3:10DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)52
67.8%
46
32.2%
Q2 - 3:12DETMISS Siva 1' Driving Layup52
70.0%
46
30.0%
Q2 - 3:18DETPISTONS Rebound52
67.8%
46
32.2%
Q2 - 3:18DETMISS Monroe Layup52
70.0%
46
30.0%
Q2 - 3:36MIAJames 2' Driving Layup (8 PTS)52
67.8%
46
32.2%
Q2 - 3:56MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)50
65.7%
46
34.3%
Q2 - 3:56DETMISS Singler Free Throw 2 of 250
65.3%
46
34.7%
Q2 - 3:56DETSingler Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)50
63.3%
46
36.7%
Q2 - 4:09MIAAllen Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)50
64.8%
45
35.2%
Q2 - 4:09MIAAllen Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)49
64.5%
45
35.5%
Q2 - 4:23DETDrummond 2' Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)48
62.2%
45
37.8%
Q2 - 4:38MIAHaslem Layup (2 PTS)48
64.8%
43
35.2%
Q2 - 5:05DETSiva Driving Layup (2 PTS)46
62.0%
43
38.0%
Q2 - 5:28MIAMonroe STEAL (1 STL)46
64.7%
41
35.3%
Q2 - 5:47DETSmith 3' Hook Shot (7 PTS) (Jennings 4 AST)46
67.2%
41
32.8%
Q2 - 6:03MIAJames 17' Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)46
69.0%
39
31.0%
Q2 - 6:21DETMonroe Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)44
67.1%
39
32.9%
Q2 - 6:37MIAMason Jr. Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T7)44
71.4%
36
28.6%
Q2 - 6:49DETJennings Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)44
74.0%
36
26.0%
Q2 - 6:49DETJennings Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)44
74.3%
35
25.7%
Q2 - 7:03MIABosh Putback Dunk (10 PTS)44
75.1%
34
24.9%
Q2 - 7:04MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)42
73.3%
34
26.7%
Q2 - 7:06MIAMISS Mason Jr. 3PT Jump Shot42
71.6%
34
28.4%
Q2 - 7:21DETDrummond Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)42
73.3%
34
26.7%
Q2 - 7:21DETMISS Drummond Free Throw 1 of 242
74.3%
33
25.7%
Q2 - 7:21DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)42
73.1%
33
26.9%
Q2 - 7:21DETMISS Monroe 1' Layup42
74.7%
33
25.3%
Q2 - 7:36MIACole 19' Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS)42
73.1%
33
26.9%
Q2 - 7:59DETMonroe 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Villanueva 2 AST)40
71.2%
33
28.8%
Q2 - 8:21MIALewis 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Cole 1 AST)40
72.5%
31
27.5%
Q2 - 8:29MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)37
68.3%
31
31.7%
Q2 - 8:30DETMISS Villanueva 26' 3PT Jump Shot37
67.6%
31
32.4%
Q2 - 8:39DETPISTONS Rebound37
65.9%
31
34.1%
Q2 - 8:39DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 20' Jump Shot37
67.6%
31
32.4%
Q2 - 8:43DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)37
65.9%
31
34.1%
Q2 - 8:45DETMISS Monroe 1' Layup37
67.6%
31
32.4%
Q2 - 9:01MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)37
65.5%
31
34.5%
Q2 - 9:01MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)36
65.1%
31
34.9%
Q2 - 9:18DETJerebko 5' Driving Hook Shot (7 PTS)35
63.4%
31
36.6%
Q2 - 9:37MIACole 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS)35
65.5%
29
34.5%
Q2 - 9:48MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
63.4%
29
36.6%
Q2 - 9:49DETMISS Harrellson 4' Hook Shot33
62.6%
29
37.4%
Q2 - 9:53DETHarrellson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)33
60.8%
29
39.2%
Q2 - 9:54DETMISS Villanueva 27' 3PT Jump Shot33
62.6%
29
37.4%
Q2 - 10:06MIABosh 17' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS)33
60.4%
29
39.6%
Q2 - 10:24DETVillanueva Dunk (5 PTS) (Jerebko 1 AST)31
58.5%
29
41.5%
Q2 - 10:28MIAJerebko STEAL (1 STL)31
60.5%
27
39.5%
Q2 - 10:42DETVillanueva 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Siva 1 AST)31
63.2%
27
36.8%
Q2 - 11:04MIACole Foul Turnover (P1.T5)31
66.9%
24
33.1%
Q2 - 11:14DETJerebko 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Villanueva 1 AST)31
69.2%
24
30.8%
Q2 - 11:27MIACole 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Mason Jr. 1 AST)31
73.0%
21
27.0%
Q2 - 11:38MIALewis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)29
71.2%
21
28.8%
Q2 - 11:39MIAMISS Bosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot29
69.7%
21
30.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0DET29
71.2%
21
28.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0DETPISTONS Rebound29
69.1%
21
30.9%
Q1 - 0:02.0DETMISS Villanueva 28' 3PT Jump Shot29
69.9%
21
30.1%
Q1 - 0:17.0MIAJennings STEAL (2 STL)29
68.9%
21
31.1%
Q1 - 0:34.0MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
70.4%
21
29.6%
Q1 - 0:35.0DETMISS Smith 27' 3PT Jump Shot29
70.0%
21
30.0%
Q1 - 0:46.0MIALewis 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (James 5 AST)29
68.9%
21
31.1%
Q1 - 1:09DETJennings Foul Turnover (P3.T6)26
64.0%
21
36.0%
Q1 - 1:27MIAAndersen Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)26
62.4%
21
37.6%
Q1 - 1:27MIAAndersen Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)25
61.8%
21
38.2%
Q1 - 1:40DETJennings 1' Driving Layup (8 PTS)24
59.7%
21
40.3%
Q1 - 1:52DETJerebko REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)24
62.4%
19
37.6%
Q1 - 1:53MIAMISS Allen 27' 3PT Jump Shot24
62.9%
19
37.1%
Q1 - 1:58MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
64.0%
19
36.0%
Q1 - 1:59DETMISS Jennings 28' 3PT Jump Shot24
63.5%
19
36.5%
Q1 - 2:18MIALewis 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 4 AST)24
62.1%
19
37.9%
Q1 - 2:42DETSingler 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Jennings 3 AST)21
57.6%
19
42.4%
Q1 - 2:47DETJerebko REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
62.2%
16
37.8%
Q1 - 2:48MIADrummond BLOCK (1 BLK)21
62.8%
16
37.2%
Q1 - 3:11DETJennings 9' Floating Jump Shot (6 PTS)21
64.1%
16
35.9%
Q1 - 3:29DETJerebko REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
65.9%
14
34.1%
Q1 - 3:30MIAMISS James 26' 3PT Jump Shot21
66.6%
14
33.4%
Q1 - 3:51DETJerebko Layup (2 PTS) (Jennings 2 AST)21
68.1%
14
31.9%
Q1 - 3:57MIAJennings STEAL (1 STL)21
69.8%
12
30.2%
Q1 - 4:19DETDrummond 1' Dunk (3 PTS) (Singler 1 AST)21
71.3%
12
28.7%
Q1 - 4:23MIASingler STEAL (1 STL)21
72.9%
10
27.1%
Q1 - 4:28DETJennings Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)21
74.8%
10
25.2%
Q1 - 4:44DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)21
72.9%
10
27.1%
Q1 - 4:46MIAMISS Chalmers Free Throw 2 of 221
73.1%
10
26.9%
Q1 - 4:46MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)21
74.2%
10
25.8%
Q1 - 4:48DETJennings Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)20
73.1%
10
26.9%
Q1 - 4:58MIAAndersen Dunk (2 PTS) (Allen 2 AST)20
71.2%
10
28.8%
Q1 - 5:14DETSmith 1' Alley Oop Layup (5 PTS) (Jennings 1 AST)18
68.5%
10
31.5%
Q1 - 5:25DETPISTONS Rebound18
70.1%
8
29.9%
Q1 - 5:26MIAMISS Bosh 16' Jump Shot18
70.7%
8
29.3%
Q1 - 5:40DETDrummond Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)18
72.0%
8
28.0%
Q1 - 5:40DETMISS Drummond Free Throw 1 of 218
72.8%
7
27.2%
Q1 - 5:55MIABosh Dunk (4 PTS) (James 3 AST)18
71.9%
7
28.1%
Q1 - 6:11DETJennings 7' Floating Jump Shot (4 PTS)16
69.5%
7
30.5%
Q1 - 6:18DETJennings REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
71.0%
5
29.0%
Q1 - 6:19MIAMISS Allen 17' Jump Shot16
71.5%
5
28.5%
Q1 - 6:26MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
72.7%
5
27.3%
Q1 - 6:27DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 27' 3PT Jump Shot16
72.2%
5
27.8%
Q1 - 6:54MIAJames 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS)16
71.0%
5
29.0%
Q1 - 7:04DETJump Ball Smith vs. Battier: Tip to14
68.9%
5
31.1%
Q1 - 7:23MIAAllen 1' Driving Reverse Layup (8 PTS)14
67.1%
5
32.9%
Q1 - 7:32MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)12
65.6%
5
34.4%
Q1 - 7:33DETMISS Drummond 1' Layup12
65.0%
5
35.0%
Q1 - 7:42MIADrummond STEAL (1 STL)12
63.6%
5
36.4%
Q1 - 7:58DETSmith 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Monroe 1 AST)12
65.7%
5
34.3%
Q1 - 8:03DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)12
68.6%
2
31.4%
Q1 - 8:04DETMISS Monroe 1' Layup12
69.7%
2
30.3%
Q1 - 8:16DETSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)12
68.5%
2
31.5%
Q1 - 8:17MIAMISS Bosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot12
69.1%
2
30.9%
Q1 - 8:26MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
70.3%
2
29.7%
Q1 - 8:27DETMISS Smith 17' Jump Shot12
69.7%
2
30.3%
Q1 - 8:40MIAAllen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (James 2 AST)12
68.5%
2
31.5%
Q1 - 8:47MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
65.4%
2
34.6%
Q1 - 8:48DETMISS Smith 1' Layup9
64.9%
2
35.1%
Q1 - 8:49DETSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)9
63.6%
2
36.4%
Q1 - 8:50DETMISS Monroe Layup9
64.9%
2
35.1%
Q1 - 9:06MIAAllen Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)9
63.4%
2
36.6%
Q1 - 9:09MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
60.2%
2
39.8%
Q1 - 9:10DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 17' Jump Shot6
59.6%
2
40.4%
Q1 - 9:30MIAJames Layup (2 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)6
58.3%
2
41.7%
Q1 - 9:35MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
56.7%
2
43.3%
Q1 - 9:36DETMISS Smith 5' Hook Shot4
56.1%
2
43.9%
Q1 - 9:44DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
54.8%
2
45.2%
Q1 - 9:45MIAMISS Battier 3PT Jump Shot4
55.4%
2
44.6%
Q1 - 10:11DETJennings 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
56.6%
2
43.4%
Q1 - 10:36DETSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
58.1%
0
41.9%
Q1 - 10:37MIAMISS Chalmers Layup4
58.7%
0
41.3%
Q1 - 10:43DETMonroe Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)4
59.9%
0
40.1%
Q1 - 10:47DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
58.1%
0
41.9%
Q1 - 10:48DETMISS Smith 16' Jump Shot4
59.4%
0
40.6%
Q1 - 11:09MIAChalmers 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)4
58.0%
0
42.0%
Q1 - 11:15DETSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)2
56.2%
0
43.8%
Q1 - 11:29MIABosh 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)2
54.7%
0
45.3%
Q1 - 11:35MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
52.9%
0
47.1%
Q1 - 11:36DETMISS Jennings 21' Jump Shot0
52.4%
0
47.6%
Q1 - 12:00DETJump Ball Drummond vs. Bosh: Tip to Jennings0
51.4%
0
48.6%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.34 67.1%
DET
0.96 48.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
20
25
80%
DET
24
43
56%
Midrange
MIA
9
19
47%
DET
5
22
23%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
11
16.5
28
39%
59%
DET
7
10.5
20
35%
53%
Free Throws
MIA
19
21
90%
DET
16
22
73%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. James2471%12.0 / 17
R. Allen1882%9.0 / 11
C. Bosh1653%8.0 / 15
R. Mason Jr.1286%6.0 / 7
C. Andersen1083%5.0 / 6
R. Lewis990%4.5 / 5
M. Chalmers850%4.0 / 8
N. Cole867%4.0 / 6
S. Battier350%1.5 / 3
U. Haslem250%1.0 / 2
J. Jones0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Drummond1968%9.5 / 14
B. Jennings1956%9.5 / 17
J. Smith1346%6.5 / 14
J. Jerebko1267%6.0 / 9
G. Monroe1042%5.0 / 12
K. Singler1083%5.0 / 6
C. Villanueva1063%5.0 / 8
P. Siva233%1.0 / 3
K. Caldwell-Pope0-0.0 / 4
J. Harrellson0-0.0 / 3
G. Datome0-0.0 / 4
T. Mitchell0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
76
+6
-17
82
DET
77
+22
-17
99
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.34 67.1%
DET
0.96 48.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
110.7
106.2
MIA 118.3 +17.2
DET 101.1
Pace
91.5
94.7
MIA 94.4 +1.9
DET 92.6
Avg. Poss. Time
15.8
15.2
MIA 15.2 +0.3
DET 15.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
55.4%
48.2%
MIA 63.2% +16.7%
DET 46.5%
TO %
15.4%
14.7%
MIA 17.3%
DET 16.0% +1.3%
ORB %
20.6%
31.4%
MIA 15.6%
DET 35.6% +20.0%
FTrt
30.0
29.6
MIA 29.2 +3.3
DET 25.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.8%
53.9%
MIA 65.0% +17.8%
DET 47.2%
STL %
9.7%
8.8%
MIA 8.6%
DET 10.6% +2.0%
BLK %
8.1%
8.0%
MIA 4.6% +0.1%
DET 4.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.51 and 2.51.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
57.5%
50.3%
MIA 67.1% +19.1%
DET 48.0%
Rim FG%
66.7%
57.6%
MIA 80.0% +24.2%
DET 55.8%
Mid FG%
42.8%
35.4%
MIA 47.4% +24.7%
DET 22.7%
3P %
36.4%
32.1%
MIA 39.3% +4.3%
DET 35.0%
FT %
76.0%
67.0%
MIA 90.5% +17.8%
DET 72.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
38.3%
45.0%
MIA 34.7%
DET 50.6% +15.9%
Mid Att. %
32.5%
32.8%
MIA 26.4%
DET 25.9% +0.5%
3P Att. %
29.2%
22.2%
MIA 38.9% +15.4%
DET 23.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.89 and 2.89.
Game TotalsMIADET
Possessions9394
Possession Minutes23.624.4
Points11095
Rebounds3443
Assists2617
Steals810
Blocks32
Turnovers (Team)17 (0)17 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)5 (1)16 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)29 (1)27 (1)
Field Goals40-7236-85
At-the-Rim FG20-2524-43
Midrange FG9-195-22
2-Point FG29-4429-65
3-Point FG11-287-20
Free Throws19-2116-22
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 250 · 29
35.0
24
71%
7
9
2
0
6
2
1
6
4-5
80%
10-13
77%
0-2
0%
G · 6'2" 190 · 28
32.3
8
50%
3
4
3
1
2
2
0
3
1-2
50%
2-5
40%
1-2
50%
C · 6'11" 235 · 30
31.4
16
53%
9
3
2
0
2
2
1
8
6-6
100%
5-8
63%
0-4
0%
G · 6'5" 205 · 38
24.5
18
82%
1
3
1
0
0
1
0
1
4-4
100%
4-5
80%
2-5
40%
F · 6'8" 220 · 35
20.3
3
50%
0
0
0
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-3
33%
G · 6'5" 205 · 33
23.5
12
86%
1
2
0
0
3
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
4-7
57%
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 35
23.4
10
83%
5
1
0
1
0
1
2
3
2-2
100%
4-5
80%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 235 · 34
22.8
9
90%
1
0
0
0
1
2
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
3-5
60%
G · 6'2" 175 · 25
15.7
8
67%
3
4
0
0
2
3
0
3
2-2
100%
3-5
60%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 235 · 33
8.4
2
50%
3
0
0
0
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 33
2.8
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 235 · 25
C · 6'9" 245 · 31
#20 · C · 7'0" 273 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#3 · G · 6'4" 220 · 32
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
110
67%
34
26
8
3
17
0
5
29
19-21
90%
29-44
66%
11-28
39%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.