FinalWin Prob.pScore
555%98
87
1445%96
107
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
98.98891.1
CHI logo CHI
118.99087.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

BullsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

BullsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIACHI
Q4 - 0:00.0CHI87
0%
107
100%
Q4 - 0:08.0MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)85
0%
107
100%
Q4 - 0:11.0CHIMISS Murphy 9' Hook Shot85
0%
107
100%
Q4 - 0:30.0MIABeasley Traveling Turnover (P3.T9)85
0%
107
100%
Q4 - 0:43.0CHIBoozer REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)85
0%
107
100%
Q4 - 0:43.0CHIBoozer 2' Putback Layup (27 PTS)85
0%
107
100%
Q4 - 0:43.0CHIMISS Dunleavy 20' Jump Shot85
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:06CHIHinrich REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)85
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:08MIAMISS Mason Jr. 26' 3PT Jump Shot85
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:21CHIBoozer 14' Jump Bank Shot (25 PTS) (Hinrich 7 AST)85
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:33MIACole Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)85
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 1:33MIACole Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)84
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 1:50CHIDeng 25' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Hinrich 6 AST)83
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 1:59MIABeasley Foul Turnover (P2.T8)83
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 2:12MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)83
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 2:13CHIMISS Gibson 15' Jump Shot83
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 2:34MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)83
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 2:34MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)82
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 2:44MIALewis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)81
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 2:46MIAMISS Beasley 25' 3PT Jump Shot81
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 2:56CHIDeng Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T17)81
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 3:12CHIBULLS Rebound81
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 3:12MIAMISS James 19' Jump Shot81
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 3:27CHIBoozer Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)81
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 3:27CHIBoozer Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)81
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 3:42CHIDunleavy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)81
0.2%
98
99.8%
Q4 - 3:43MIAMISS Mason Jr. 2' Layup81
0.2%
98
99.8%
Q4 - 3:58CHIDeng 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS)81
0.3%
98
99.7%
Q4 - 4:23CHIGibson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)81
0.5%
95
99.5%
Q4 - 4:24MIAMISS Beasley 3' Layup81
0.6%
95
99.4%
Q4 - 4:25MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)81
0.7%
95
99.3%
Q4 - 4:26MIAMISS Beasley 7' Jump Shot81
0.6%
95
99.4%
Q4 - 4:33MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)81
0.7%
95
99.3%
Q4 - 4:34MIAMISS Lewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot81
0.5%
95
99.5%
Q4 - 4:44MIAMason Jr. REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)81
0.7%
95
99.3%
Q4 - 4:45CHIMISS Noah 8' Jump Shot81
0.6%
95
99.4%
Q4 - 5:07CHIGibson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)81
0.9%
95
99.1%
Q4 - 5:09MIAGibson BLOCK (1 BLK)81
1.1%
95
98.9%
Q4 - 5:22CHIGibson 13' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Hinrich 5 AST)81
1.3%
95
98.7%
Q4 - 5:38MIACole 4' Running Jump Shot (10 PTS)81
1.8%
93
98.2%
Q4 - 6:00CHIDeng Foul Turnover (P3.T16)79
1.3%
93
98.7%
Q4 - 6:11MIAMason Jr. 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Beasley 2 AST)79
1.5%
93
98.5%
Q4 - 6:21MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)76
0.9%
93
99.1%
Q4 - 6:22CHIMISS Dunleavy 26' 3PT Jump Shot76
0.8%
93
99.2%
Q4 - 6:40MIABeasley 1' Layup (13 PTS)76
0.6%
93
99.4%
Q4 - 6:58CHINoah REBOUND (Off:3 Def:12)74
0.5%
93
99.5%
Q4 - 6:58CHINoah 2' Tip Shot (17 PTS)74
0.5%
93
99.5%
Q4 - 7:00CHIMISS Gibson 18' Jump Shot74
0.8%
91
99.2%
Q4 - 7:17CHINoah REBOUND (Off:2 Def:12)74
1.0%
91
99.0%
Q4 - 7:19MIAMISS Beasley Free Throw 2 of 274
1.0%
91
99.0%
Q4 - 7:19MIABeasley Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)74
1.2%
91
98.8%
Q4 - 7:28MIALewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)73
1.0%
91
99.0%
Q4 - 7:31CHIMISS Deng 18' Jump Shot73
0.9%
91
99.1%
Q4 - 7:51MIABeasley 15' Jump Shot (10 PTS)73
0.7%
91
99.3%
Q4 - 7:56CHIDunleavy Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T15)71
0.6%
91
99.4%
Q4 - 8:05CHINoah REBOUND (Off:2 Def:11)71
0.7%
91
99.3%
Q4 - 8:06MIAMISS Mason Jr. 25' 3PT Jump Shot71
0.7%
91
99.3%
Q4 - 8:21CHINoah Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)71
0.8%
91
99.2%
Q4 - 8:21CHINoah Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)71
0.9%
90
99.1%
Q4 - 8:35MIABeasley 2' Layup (8 PTS)71
1.1%
89
98.9%
Q4 - 8:41MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)69
0.8%
89
99.2%
Q4 - 8:43CHIMISS Noah 4' Jump Shot69
0.8%
89
99.2%
Q4 - 9:01MIAMason Jr. 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS)69
1.0%
89
99.0%
Q4 - 9:08MIAMason Jr. REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)67
0.7%
89
99.3%
Q4 - 9:09MIAMISS Mason Jr. 3PT Jump Shot67
0.6%
89
99.4%
Q4 - 9:28MIALewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)67
0.7%
89
99.3%
Q4 - 9:29CHIMISS Snell 4' Running Bank Shot67
0.7%
89
99.3%
Q4 - 9:47MIAGibson STEAL (1 STL)67
0.6%
89
99.4%
Q4 - 9:55CHIDunleavy Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T14)67
0.7%
89
99.3%
Q4 - 10:09CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)67
0.8%
89
99.2%
Q4 - 10:10MIAMISS Beasley 15' Jump Shot67
0.8%
89
99.2%
Q4 - 10:13MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)67
1.0%
89
99.0%
Q4 - 10:15MIAMISS Beasley 2' Layup67
0.8%
89
99.2%
Q4 - 10:33CHINoah 13' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Deng 5 AST)67
1.0%
89
99.0%
Q4 - 10:52MIACole 6' Fadeaway Jumper (8 PTS)67
1.2%
87
98.8%
Q4 - 11:00MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)65
1.0%
87
99.0%
Q4 - 11:01CHIMISS Deng 3PT Jump Shot65
1.2%
87
98.8%
Q4 - 11:24MIABeasley 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS)65
1.0%
87
99.0%
Q4 - 11:42CHIGibson 16' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Dunleavy 2 AST)63
0.8%
87
99.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0CHI63
1.0%
85
99.0%
Q3 - 0:01.0CHIBULLS Rebound63
1.3%
85
98.7%
Q3 - 0:01.0MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot63
1.4%
85
98.6%
Q3 - 0:22.0CHISnell Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T13)63
1.5%
85
98.5%
Q3 - 0:29.0CHISnell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)63
1.3%
85
98.7%
Q3 - 0:30.0MIAMISS James 1' Layup63
1.3%
85
98.7%
Q3 - 0:47.0CHIGibson Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)63
1.5%
85
98.5%
Q3 - 0:47.0CHIGibson Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)63
1.6%
84
98.4%
Q3 - 0:47.0CHIGibson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)63
1.9%
83
98.1%
Q3 - 0:47.0CHIMISS Teague 3' Layup63
2.1%
83
97.9%
Q3 - 1:11MIACole 2' Driving Layup (6 PTS)63
2.3%
83
97.7%
Q3 - 1:26CHIGibson Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)61
1.9%
83
98.1%
Q3 - 1:38CHIBoozer REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)61
2.7%
80
97.3%
Q3 - 1:39MIAMISS Beasley 21' Jump Shot61
2.9%
80
97.1%
Q3 - 1:52CHIGibson 5' Jump Shot (10 PTS)61
3.3%
80
96.7%
Q3 - 2:15MIAAllen Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)61
4.6%
78
95.4%
Q3 - 2:15MIAAllen Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)60
4.6%
78
95.4%
Q3 - 2:27MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)59
3.9%
78
96.1%
Q3 - 2:28CHIMISS Gibson 21' Jump Shot59
3.7%
78
96.3%
Q3 - 2:34CHIBULLS Rebound59
3.2%
78
96.8%
Q3 - 2:34CHIMISS Boozer 3' Jump Shot59
3.7%
78
96.3%
Q3 - 2:52CHIGibson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)59
3.2%
78
96.8%
Q3 - 2:53MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 2 of 259
3.3%
78
96.7%
Q3 - 2:53MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 259
3.7%
78
96.3%
Q3 - 3:02CHIBULLS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#12)59
4.6%
78
95.4%
Q3 - 3:02CHIBULLS Rebound59
3.8%
78
96.2%
Q3 - 3:02CHIMISS Noah 6' Jump Shot59
4.3%
78
95.7%
Q3 - 3:25CHINoah REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)59
3.8%
78
96.2%
Q3 - 3:26MIAMISS Cole 8' Jump Shot59
4.0%
78
96.0%
Q3 - 3:41CHINoah 6' Hook Shot (11 PTS) (Snell 2 AST)59
4.5%
78
95.5%
Q3 - 4:08MIABosh 4' Hook Shot (10 PTS) (James 2 AST)59
5.8%
76
94.2%
Q3 - 4:25MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)57
5.1%
76
94.9%
Q3 - 4:26CHIMISS Deng 24' 3PT Jump Shot57
4.8%
76
95.2%
Q3 - 4:46MIABosh 2' Layup (8 PTS) (Cole 7 AST)57
4.2%
76
95.8%
Q3 - 5:01MIAHeat Rebound55
4.1%
76
95.9%
Q3 - 5:01CHIMISS Teague 25' 3PT Jump Shot55
3.9%
76
96.1%
Q3 - 5:27MIABattier 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)55
3.4%
76
96.6%
Q3 - 5:44CHISnell 3' Driving Layup (8 PTS)52
2.5%
76
97.5%
Q3 - 5:58MIACole Foul Turnover (P3.T6)52
2.9%
74
97.1%
Q3 - 6:04CHIBoozer Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T11)52
4.0%
74
96.0%
Q3 - 6:23MIABattier 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)52
3.4%
74
96.6%
Q3 - 6:32MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)49
2.5%
74
97.5%
Q3 - 6:34CHIMISS Boozer 14' Jump Shot49
2.4%
74
97.6%
Q3 - 6:50CHINoah REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)49
2.1%
74
97.9%
Q3 - 6:51MIAMISS James 15' Jump Shot49
2.2%
74
97.8%
Q3 - 7:07CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)49
2.8%
74
97.2%
Q3 - 7:07CHIDeng 2' Putback Layup (14 PTS)49
2.8%
74
97.2%
Q3 - 7:07CHIMISS Deng 2' Layup49
3.6%
72
96.4%
Q3 - 7:28MIACole 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS)49
3.2%
72
96.8%
Q3 - 7:51CHISnell 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Noah 3 AST)47
2.8%
72
97.2%
Q3 - 8:11CHIBoozer REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)47
4.1%
69
95.9%
Q3 - 8:12MIAMISS Bosh 13' Jump Shot47
4.3%
69
95.7%
Q3 - 8:28CHIDeng Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)47
4.8%
69
95.2%
Q3 - 8:28CHIDeng Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)47
4.9%
68
95.1%
Q3 - 8:47MIAJames 1' Driving Dunk (19 PTS)47
5.4%
67
94.6%
Q3 - 8:51CHISnell Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)45
4.8%
67
95.2%
Q3 - 8:59CHIHinrich Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 2 (13 PTS)45
4.0%
67
96.0%
Q3 - 8:59CHIHinrich Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 2 (12 PTS)45
4.2%
66
95.8%
Q3 - 8:59MIAMISS James Free Throw Technical45
5.4%
65
94.6%
Q3 - 8:59MIACole Foul Turnover (P2.T5)45
5.4%
65
94.6%
Q3 - 9:08MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)45
6.8%
65
93.2%
Q3 - 9:09CHIMISS Hinrich 21' Jump Shot45
6.5%
65
93.5%
Q3 - 9:19CHIHinrich REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)45
5.9%
65
94.1%
Q3 - 9:20MIAMISS Allen 3PT Jump Shot45
6.2%
65
93.8%
Q3 - 9:27MIABattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)45
6.8%
65
93.2%
Q3 - 9:28CHIMISS Snell 25' 3PT Jump Shot45
6.5%
65
93.5%
Q3 - 9:47MIANoah STEAL (1 STL)45
5.9%
65
94.1%
Q3 - 9:53MIAHeat Rebound45
6.8%
65
93.2%
Q3 - 9:53MIAMISS Battier 24' 3PT Jump Shot45
6.1%
65
93.9%
Q3 - 10:12CHIBoozer REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)45
7.4%
65
92.6%
Q3 - 10:12CHIBoozer 2' Putback Layup (21 PTS)45
7.4%
65
92.6%
Q3 - 10:14CHIMISS Hinrich 3' Layup45
9.2%
63
90.8%
Q3 - 10:36CHIBoozer REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)45
8.4%
63
91.6%
Q3 - 10:37MIAMISS Chalmers 3PT Jump Shot45
8.7%
63
91.3%
Q3 - 10:54CHIHinrich 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Deng 4 AST)45
9.5%
63
90.5%
Q3 - 11:04CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)45
13.4%
60
86.6%
Q3 - 11:05MIAMISS Battier 4' Jump Shot45
13.9%
60
86.1%
Q3 - 11:31CHINoah 6' Turnaround Hook Shot (9 PTS) (Hinrich 4 AST)45
15.0%
60
85.0%
Q3 - 11:46CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)45
16.8%
58
83.2%
Q3 - 11:47MIAMISS Chalmers Free Throw 2 of 245
17.0%
58
83.0%
Q3 - 11:47MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)45
18.4%
58
81.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0CHI44
16.8%
58
83.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0CHIBULLS Rebound44
14.9%
58
85.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0CHIMISS Deng 18' Jump Shot44
16.2%
58
83.8%
Q2 - 0:12.0MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)44
16.4%
58
83.6%
Q2 - 0:12.0MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)43
16.1%
58
83.9%
Q2 - 0:12.0MIAHeat Rebound42
14.3%
58
85.7%
Q2 - 0:12.0MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot42
13.5%
58
86.5%
Q2 - 0:35.0CHIDeng Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)42
14.2%
58
85.8%
Q2 - 0:35.0CHIDeng Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)42
14.5%
57
85.5%
Q2 - 0:46.0MIAAllen Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)42
16.3%
56
83.7%
Q2 - 0:46.0MIAAllen Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)41
16.1%
56
83.9%
Q2 - 0:49.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)40
14.2%
56
85.8%
Q2 - 0:50.0CHIMISS Deng 26' 3PT Jump Shot40
13.8%
56
86.2%
Q2 - 1:05MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 1 (17 PTS)40
14.0%
56
86.0%
Q2 - 1:16CHIBoozer Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)37
10.7%
56
89.3%
Q2 - 1:16CHIMISS Boozer Free Throw 1 of 237
11.0%
55
89.0%
Q2 - 1:34MIABosh Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)37
11.2%
55
88.8%
Q2 - 1:53CHIBoozer Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)37
12.0%
55
88.0%
Q2 - 1:53CHIBoozer Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)37
12.3%
54
87.7%
Q2 - 1:53CHIBoozer REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)37
13.9%
53
86.1%
Q2 - 1:53CHIMISS Hinrich 24' 3PT Jump Shot37
14.6%
53
85.4%
Q2 - 2:22MIAJames 1' Driving Layup (14 PTS) (Cole 5 AST)37
14.5%
53
85.5%
Q2 - 2:41CHIBoozer 16' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Deng 3 AST)35
13.0%
53
87.0%
Q2 - 3:06MIAJames 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Cole 4 AST)35
15.3%
51
84.7%
Q2 - 3:18CHIDeng Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)32
12.7%
51
87.3%
Q2 - 3:18CHIMISS Deng Free Throw 1 of 232
12.9%
50
87.1%
Q2 - 3:18CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)32
12.4%
50
87.6%
Q2 - 3:19CHIMISS Dunleavy 24' 3PT Jump Shot32
13.6%
50
86.4%
Q2 - 3:28CHINoah REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)32
12.4%
50
87.6%
Q2 - 3:30MIAMISS Haslem 2' Layup32
12.9%
50
87.1%
Q2 - 3:56CHINoah Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)32
14.0%
50
86.0%
Q2 - 3:56CHINoah Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)32
14.4%
49
85.6%
Q2 - 4:11MIACole 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)32
16.4%
48
83.6%
Q2 - 4:31CHINoah Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)30
14.9%
48
85.1%
Q2 - 4:31CHIMISS Noah Free Throw 1 of 230
15.3%
47
84.7%
Q2 - 4:32CHIDunleavy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)30
14.9%
47
85.1%
Q2 - 4:33MIAMISS Bosh 20' Jump Shot30
15.3%
47
84.7%
Q2 - 5:04CHIBoozer 2' Layup (14 PTS) (Hinrich 3 AST)30
17.1%
47
82.9%
Q2 - 5:14MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)30
18.8%
45
81.2%
Q2 - 5:14MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)29
18.5%
45
81.5%
Q2 - 5:29CHIBoozer 2' Layup (12 PTS) (Noah 2 AST)28
17.1%
45
82.9%
Q2 - 5:50CHINoah REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)28
18.8%
43
81.2%
Q2 - 5:51MIAMISS Bosh 22' Jump Shot28
19.3%
43
80.7%
Q2 - 6:01CHIBULLS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#9)28
21.6%
43
78.4%
Q2 - 6:01CHIBULLS Rebound28
19.4%
43
80.6%
Q2 - 6:01CHIMISS Snell 27' 3PT Jump Shot28
20.9%
43
79.1%
Q2 - 6:24CHINoah REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)28
19.3%
43
80.7%
Q2 - 6:26MIAMISS Bosh 20' Jump Shot28
20.0%
43
80.0%
Q2 - 6:31MIAHeat Rebound28
21.5%
43
78.5%
Q2 - 6:31MIAMISS Chalmers 3' Layup28
20.0%
43
80.0%
Q2 - 6:48CHINoah 1' Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Snell 1 AST)28
21.4%
43
78.6%
Q2 - 6:56CHISnell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
23.0%
41
77.0%
Q2 - 6:57MIAMISS James 22' Jump Shot28
23.7%
41
76.3%
Q2 - 7:23CHIDunleavy 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Teague 3 AST)28
26.2%
41
73.8%
Q2 - 7:32CHIDunleavy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)28
30.2%
38
69.8%
Q2 - 7:34CHIMISS Gibson Free Throw 1 of 128
32.5%
38
67.5%
Q2 - 7:51MIALewis 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Cole 3 AST)28
34.9%
36
65.1%
Q2 - 8:00MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
30.5%
36
69.5%
Q2 - 8:02CHIMISS Mohammed 3' Layup25
30.3%
36
69.7%
Q2 - 8:10CHIDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
28.7%
36
71.3%
Q2 - 8:11MIAMISS Cole 19' Jump Shot25
29.4%
36
70.6%
Q2 - 8:23MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)25
31.0%
36
69.0%
Q2 - 8:24CHIMISS Teague 2' Layup25
30.3%
36
69.7%
Q2 - 8:34CHIBULLS Rebound25
28.7%
36
71.3%
Q2 - 8:34CHIMISS Mohammed 2' Layup25
30.3%
36
69.7%
Q2 - 8:49MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)25
28.7%
36
71.3%
Q2 - 8:49MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 1 of 224
28.2%
36
71.8%
Q2 - 9:16CHIDeng 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Mohammed 1 AST)24
29.6%
36
70.4%
Q2 - 9:34CHITeague REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
33.8%
33
66.2%
Q2 - 9:35MIAMISS Mason Jr. 24' 3PT Jump Shot24
34.5%
33
65.5%
Q2 - 9:43CHIMISS Gibson Free Throw 1 of 124
35.9%
33
64.1%
Q2 - 9:43CHIGibson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)24
36.2%
33
63.8%
Q2 - 9:43CHIGibson 2' Putback Layup (6 PTS)24
36.2%
33
63.8%
Q2 - 9:44CHIMISS Gibson 3' Hook Shot24
40.2%
31
59.8%
Q2 - 10:05MIAMason Jr. 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Beasley 1 AST)24
38.5%
31
61.5%
Q2 - 10:19CHIDeng Traveling Turnover (P2.T8)22
36.6%
31
63.4%
Q2 - 10:43MIADunleavy STEAL (1 STL)22
34.0%
31
66.0%
Q2 - 11:02CHIGibson 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Deng 2 AST)22
36.8%
31
63.2%
Q2 - 11:18CHIMohammed REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
39.0%
29
61.0%
Q2 - 11:19MIAMISS Cole 17' Jump Shot22
39.7%
29
60.3%
Q2 - 11:29MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
41.4%
29
58.6%
Q2 - 11:31CHIMISS Teague Free Throw 2 of 222
41.1%
29
58.9%
Q2 - 11:31CHIMISS Teague Free Throw 1 of 222
39.7%
29
60.3%
Q2 - 11:47MIABeasley 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Cole 2 AST)22
38.9%
29
61.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA20
36.8%
29
63.2%
Q1 - 0:02.0CHIDeng 25' 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Teague 1 AST)20
36.8%
29
63.2%
Q1 - 0:12.0CHIGibson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
41.9%
26
58.1%
Q1 - 0:13.0MIAMISS James 24' 3PT Jump Shot20
42.4%
26
57.6%
Q1 - 0:36.0CHIGibson 2' Dunk (2 PTS) (Dunleavy 1 AST)20
43.6%
26
56.4%
Q1 - 0:53.0CHIBULLS Rebound20
46.5%
24
53.5%
Q1 - 0:53.0MIAMISS Haslem 20' Jump Shot20
47.1%
24
52.9%
Q1 - 1:03MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)20
48.7%
24
51.3%
Q1 - 1:05MIAMISS Cole 1' Layup20
47.5%
24
52.5%
Q1 - 1:13CHIGibson Traveling Turnover (P1.T7)20
48.7%
24
51.3%
Q1 - 1:35MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)20
46.9%
24
53.1%
Q1 - 1:39CHIHinrich Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)17
41.8%
24
58.2%
Q1 - 1:55MIABeasley 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)17
40.2%
24
59.8%
Q1 - 2:07CHIBoozer Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)15
38.0%
24
62.0%
Q1 - 2:23CHIBoozer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)15
42.5%
21
57.5%
Q1 - 2:24MIADeng BLOCK (1 BLK)15
43.1%
21
56.9%
Q1 - 2:44CHISnell 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Hinrich 2 AST)15
44.6%
21
55.4%
Q1 - 3:00MIAAllen 6' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)15
49.3%
18
50.7%
Q1 - 3:15CHIBoozer 15' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Hinrich 1 AST)13
47.2%
18
52.8%
Q1 - 3:27CHIHinrich REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)13
49.3%
16
50.7%
Q1 - 3:28CHIMISS Snell 23' Jump Shot13
50.9%
16
49.1%
Q1 - 3:52CHIBoozer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)13
49.3%
16
50.7%
Q1 - 3:53MIAMISS Bosh 7' Jump Shot13
50.0%
16
50.0%
Q1 - 4:14CHIBoozer 3 Second Violation Turnover (P3.T5)13
51.9%
16
48.1%
Q1 - 4:36MIABosh 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (James 1 AST)13
49.5%
16
50.5%
Q1 - 4:50CHIBoozer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)11
47.6%
16
52.4%
Q1 - 4:50CHIBoozer 2' Putback Layup (5 PTS)11
47.6%
16
52.4%
Q1 - 4:53CHIMISS Boozer 5' Jump Shot11
51.2%
14
48.8%
Q1 - 5:12CHIBULLS Rebound11
49.7%
14
50.3%
Q1 - 5:12MIAMISS James 12' Jump Shot11
50.4%
14
49.6%
Q1 - 5:39CHIHinrich 22' Jump Shot (8 PTS)11
51.9%
14
48.1%
Q1 - 5:45CHINoah REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)11
53.8%
12
46.2%
Q1 - 5:46MIAMISS Bosh 8' Hook Shot11
54.5%
12
45.5%
Q1 - 6:06MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)11
56.1%
12
43.9%
Q1 - 6:08CHIMISS Boozer Free Throw 2 of 211
55.8%
12
44.2%
Q1 - 6:08CHIBoozer Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)11
54.6%
12
45.4%
Q1 - 6:22CHINoah REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)11
55.9%
11
44.1%
Q1 - 6:23MIAMISS Chalmers 3PT Jump Shot11
56.5%
11
43.5%
Q1 - 6:42CHIBoozer Foul Turnover (P2.T4)11
58.0%
11
42.0%
Q1 - 6:45CHISnell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
55.9%
11
44.1%
Q1 - 6:47MIAMISS Battier 25' 3PT Jump Shot11
56.5%
11
43.5%
Q1 - 6:58CHIBoozer Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)11
58.0%
11
42.0%
Q1 - 7:16MIABosh 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)11
55.9%
11
44.1%
Q1 - 7:33CHIDeng Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)9
54.3%
11
45.7%
Q1 - 7:33CHIMISS Deng Free Throw 1 of 29
54.6%
10
45.4%
Q1 - 7:50MIAAllen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)9
54.0%
10
46.0%
Q1 - 8:13CHINoah REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)6
50.9%
10
49.1%
Q1 - 8:13CHINoah 2' Tip Shot (2 PTS)6
50.9%
10
49.1%
Q1 - 8:15CHIMISS Boozer 2' Layup6
54.0%
8
46.0%
Q1 - 8:18MIAJames Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T1)6
52.6%
8
47.4%
Q1 - 8:18MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
54.6%
8
45.4%
Q1 - 8:18CHIMISS Boozer 19' Jump Shot6
54.0%
8
46.0%
Q1 - 8:34CHINoah REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)6
52.6%
8
47.4%
Q1 - 8:35MIAMISS Battier 25' 3PT Jump Shot6
53.2%
8
46.8%
Q1 - 8:56CHIBoozer 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Deng 1 AST)6
54.6%
8
45.4%
Q1 - 9:05CHIHinrich REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
56.5%
6
43.5%
Q1 - 9:06MIAMISS Bosh 21' Jump Shot6
57.1%
6
42.9%
Q1 - 9:30CHIHinrich 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Noah 1 AST)6
58.4%
6
41.6%
Q1 - 9:47MIAChalmers 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)6
61.7%
3
38.3%
Q1 - 9:55MIAHeat Rebound4
60.2%
3
39.8%
Q1 - 9:55CHIMISS Boozer 4' Jump Shot4
59.6%
3
40.4%
Q1 - 10:09CHIHinrich REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
58.3%
3
41.7%
Q1 - 10:10MIAMISS Allen 25' 3PT Jump Shot4
58.8%
3
41.2%
Q1 - 10:24CHIHinrich 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Boozer 1 AST)4
60.1%
3
39.9%
Q1 - 10:37CHINoah REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)4
63.2%
0
36.8%
Q1 - 10:38MIAMISS James 16' Jump Shot4
63.7%
0
36.3%
Q1 - 10:49CHIDeng Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)4
65.0%
0
35.0%
Q1 - 10:52CHINoah REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
63.2%
0
36.8%
Q1 - 10:54CHIMISS Boozer 18' Jump Shot4
64.4%
0
35.6%
Q1 - 11:09CHINoah REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
63.1%
0
36.9%
Q1 - 11:11MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 14
63.3%
0
36.7%
Q1 - 11:17CHIHinrich Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)2
61.4%
0
38.6%
Q1 - 11:38MIAJames 1' Layup (2 PTS)2
59.9%
0
40.1%
Q1 - 11:43MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
58.2%
0
41.8%
Q1 - 11:45CHIMISS Deng 16' Jump Shot0
57.7%
0
42.3%
Q1 - 12:00CHIJump Ball Noah vs. Bosh: Tip to Snell0
56.7%
0
43.3%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.99 49.4%
CHI
1.15 57.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
14
23
61%
CHI
18
31
58%
Midrange
MIA
12
32
38%
CHI
9
24
38%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
6
9.0
22
27%
41%
CHI
10
15.0
19
53%
79%
Free Throws
MIA
17
24
71%
CHI
23
32
72%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. James2155%10.5 / 19
M. Beasley1554%7.5 / 14
N. Cole1267%6.0 / 9
C. Bosh1038%5.0 / 13
R. Allen975%4.5 / 6
R. Mason Jr.744%3.5 / 8
S. Battier650%3.0 / 6
M. Chalmers330%1.5 / 5
R. Lewis375%1.5 / 2
U. Haslem113%0.5 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
CHI logo Bulls
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Boozer2764%13.5 / 21
L. Deng2063%10.0 / 16
T. Gibson1968%9.5 / 14
J. Noah1771%8.5 / 12
K. Hinrich1393%6.5 / 7
T. Snell857%4.0 / 7
M. Dunleavy338%1.5 / 4
M. Teague0-0.0 / 4
N. Mohammed0-0.0 / 2
E. Murphy0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
79
+9
-9
88
CHI
75
+18
-15
93
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.99 49.4%
CHI
1.15 57.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
110.7
103.2
MIA 98.9 +20.0
CHI 118.9
Pace
91.5
89.6
MIA 91.1 +4.1
CHI 87.0
Avg. Poss. Time
15.8
16.3
MIA 15.8 +0.7
CHI 16.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
55.4%
47.1%
MIA 45.5%
CHI 56.8% +11.3%
TO %
15.4%
15.4%
MIA 9.3% +6.9%
CHI 16.2%
ORB %
20.6%
27.2%
MIA 14.3%
CHI 38.2% +23.9%
FTrt
30.0
29.0
MIA 31.2
CHI 43.2 +12.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.8%
65.4%
MIA 50.0%
CHI 64.9% +14.9%
STL %
9.7%
8.0%
MIA 10.2% +6.9%
CHI 3.3%
BLK %
8.1%
8.3%
MIA 9.1% +5.5%
CHI 3.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.51 and 2.51.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
57.5%
50.0%
MIA 49.4%
CHI 57.5% +8.1%
Rim FG%
66.7%
54.2%
MIA 60.9% +2.8%
CHI 58.1%
Mid FG%
42.8%
37.8%
MIA 37.5%
CHI 37.5%
3P %
36.4%
34.8%
MIA 27.3%
CHI 52.6% +25.3%
FT %
76.0%
77.9%
MIA 70.8%
CHI 71.9% +1.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
38.3%
37.0%
MIA 29.9%
CHI 41.9% +12.0%
Mid Att. %
32.5%
40.8%
MIA 41.6%
CHI 32.4% +9.1%
3P Att. %
29.2%
22.2%
MIA 28.6% +2.9%
CHI 25.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.71 and 2.71.
Game TotalsMIACHI
Possessions8890
Possession Minutes23.224.8
Points87107
Rebounds2749
Assists1624
Steals93
Blocks52
Turnovers (Team)9 (0)15 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)6 (3)13 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)21 (2)36 (4)
Field Goals32-7737-74
At-the-Rim FG14-2318-31
Midrange FG12-329-24
2-Point FG26-5527-55
3-Point FG6-2210-19
Free Throws17-2423-32
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 250 · 29
33.3
21
55%
5
2
3
0
1
2
0
5
6-8
75%
6-13
46%
1-4
25%
C · 6'11" 235 · 30
26.7
10
38%
2
1
0
2
1
2
0
2
2-4
50%
4-11
36%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 205 · 38
26.5
9
75%
1
1
1
0
0
2
0
1
4-4
100%
1-1
100%
1-3
33%
F · 6'8" 220 · 35
17.6
6
50%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
2-5
40%
G · 6'2" 190 · 28
13.7
3
30%
0
3
0
0
0
4
0
0
1-2
50%
1-2
50%
0-2
0%
G · 6'2" 175 · 25
32.4
12
67%
1
7
0
0
4
4
0
1
2-2
100%
5-9
56%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 235 · 33
25.9
1
13%
4
0
0
1
0
3
1
3
1-2
50%
0-3
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 235 · 25
22.7
15
54%
7
2
1
2
3
5
3
4
1-2
50%
7-12
58%
0-1
0%
F · 6'10" 235 · 34
22.6
3
75%
3
0
3
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-2
50%
G · 6'5" 205 · 33
18.7
7
44%
3
0
1
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
2-3
67%
1-5
20%
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 35
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 33
C · 6'9" 245 · 31
#20 · C · 7'0" 273 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#3 · G · 6'4" 220 · 32
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
87
49%
27
16
9
5
9
0
6
21
17-24
71%
26-55
47%
6-22
27%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.