FinalWin Prob.pScore
2024%97
107
476%107
97
ORTG#PossPace
DET logo DET
109.29892.2
MIA logo MIA
100.097103.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDETMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0DET107
100%
97
0%
Q4 - 0:17.0MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P6.T19)107
99.9%
97
0.1%
Q4 - 0:18.0DETJennings Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)107
99.9%
97
0.1%
Q4 - 0:18.0DETJennings Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)106
99.9%
97
0.1%
Q4 - 0:29.0MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)105
99.9%
97
0.1%
Q4 - 0:29.0MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 2105
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 0:33.0DETMonroe 1' Dunk (16 PTS) (Smith 4 AST)105
99.8%
96
0.2%
Q4 - 0:35.0MIABeasley 24' 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS) (James 6 AST)103
99.7%
96
0.3%
Q4 - 0:41.0DETJennings Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)103
99.8%
93
0.2%
Q4 - 0:41.0DETMISS Jennings Free Throw 1 of 2102
99.8%
93
0.2%
Q4 - 0:49.0MIABosh 1' Dunk (14 PTS) (Beasley 1 AST)102
99.8%
93
0.2%
Q4 - 0:58.0DETDrummond 2' Layup (10 PTS)102
99.8%
91
0.2%
Q4 - 0:59.0DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:8 Def:10)100
99.6%
91
0.4%
Q4 - 1:00DETJames BLOCK (1 BLK)100
99.3%
91
0.7%
Q4 - 1:17DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:7 Def:10)100
99.3%
91
0.7%
Q4 - 1:18MIAMISS Bosh 24' Jump Shot100
99.1%
91
0.9%
Q4 - 1:27DETBeasley STEAL (1 STL)100
98.2%
91
1.8%
Q4 - 1:50DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)100
98.2%
91
1.8%
Q4 - 1:51MIAMISS Bosh 26' 3PT Jump Shot100
98.0%
91
2.0%
Q4 - 2:07DETMonroe 1' Layup (14 PTS) (Jennings 5 AST)100
96.9%
91
3.1%
Q4 - 2:12MIAJames Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T18)98
95.6%
91
4.4%
Q4 - 2:17DETJames STEAL (2 STL)98
92.2%
91
7.8%
Q4 - 2:39MIABeasley 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (20 PTS)98
95.6%
91
4.4%
Q4 - 2:58DETSmith 1' Driving Dunk (15 PTS)98
95.6%
89
4.4%
Q4 - 3:02MIABosh Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T17)96
93.8%
89
6.2%
Q4 - 3:08DETAllen STEAL (1 STL)96
90.1%
89
9.9%
Q4 - 3:30DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:7 Def:9)96
94.0%
89
6.0%
Q4 - 3:31MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 2 of 296
88.6%
89
11.4%
Q4 - 3:31MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)96
85.8%
89
14.2%
Q4 - 3:43DETStuckey Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)96
89.3%
88
10.7%
Q4 - 3:43DETStuckey Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)95
88.7%
88
11.3%
Q4 - 3:55MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T16)94
86.0%
88
14.0%
Q4 - 4:09DETJennings 26' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS)94
80.5%
88
19.5%
Q4 - 4:32DETStuckey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)91
67.0%
88
33.0%
Q4 - 4:33MIAMISS Bosh 24' 3PT Jump Shot91
64.1%
88
35.9%
Q4 - 4:44DETPistons Turnover: Shot Clock (T#19)91
57.2%
88
42.8%
Q4 - 4:44DETPistons Rebound91
67.1%
88
32.9%
Q4 - 4:45DETMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot91
60.3%
88
39.7%
Q4 - 5:06DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:7 Def:8)91
61.4%
88
38.6%
Q4 - 5:07MIAMISS Beasley 15' Jump Shot91
58.8%
88
41.2%
Q4 - 5:23DETStuckey Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T18)91
52.7%
88
47.3%
Q4 - 5:43DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:7 Def:7)91
61.8%
88
38.2%
Q4 - 5:44MIAMISS James 26' 3PT Jump Shot91
59.2%
88
40.8%
Q4 - 5:57DETStuckey Foul Turnover (P4.T17)91
52.9%
88
47.1%
Q4 - 6:17MIAJames 1' Driving Dunk (22 PTS)91
57.6%
88
42.4%
Q4 - 6:22MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)91
63.9%
86
36.1%
Q4 - 6:23DETMISS Smith 21' Jump Shot91
66.3%
86
33.7%
Q4 - 6:45MIABeasley Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)91
71.6%
86
28.4%
Q4 - 6:45MIABeasley Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)91
72.8%
85
27.2%
Q4 - 6:48DETCole STEAL (2 STL)91
76.7%
84
23.3%
Q4 - 7:08MIABeasley 1' Putback Layup (16 PTS)91
78.3%
84
21.7%
Q4 - 7:09MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)91
82.3%
82
17.7%
Q4 - 7:10MIAMISS Andersen 1' Layup91
85.2%
82
14.8%
Q4 - 7:24DETStuckey 5' Running Jump Shot (14 PTS)91
82.4%
82
17.6%
Q4 - 7:47MIAAndersen 1' Tip Shot (8 PTS)89
78.6%
82
21.4%
Q4 - 7:48MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)89
82.5%
80
17.5%
Q4 - 7:49MIAMISS Beasley Free Throw 1 of 189
86.0%
80
14.0%
Q4 - 8:07DETMonroe 2' Layup (12 PTS) (Stuckey 3 AST)89
86.6%
78
13.4%
Q4 - 8:25MIAAndersen Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)87
83.4%
78
16.6%
Q4 - 8:25MIAAndersen Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)87
84.4%
77
15.6%
Q4 - 8:38DETStuckey Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)87
86.8%
76
13.2%
Q4 - 8:38DETStuckey Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)86
86.3%
76
13.7%
Q4 - 8:52DETPistons Rebound85
83.6%
76
16.4%
Q4 - 8:53DETMISS Smith 1' Layup85
81.0%
76
19.0%
Q4 - 9:05MIACole 1' Layup (9 PTS)85
80.5%
76
19.5%
Q4 - 9:09DETCole STEAL (1 STL)85
84.0%
74
16.0%
Q4 - 9:13MIACole Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T15)85
87.0%
74
13.0%
Q4 - 9:24DETPistons Turnover: Shot Clock (T#14)85
84.1%
74
15.9%
Q4 - 9:25DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:7 Def:6)85
87.1%
74
12.9%
Q4 - 9:26DETMISS Stuckey 9' Running Jump Shot85
85.1%
74
14.9%
Q4 - 9:48MIACole 2' Reverse Layup (7 PTS)85
87.1%
74
12.9%
Q4 - 9:53MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)85
89.6%
72
10.4%
Q4 - 9:54DETLewis BLOCK (2 BLK)85
90.3%
72
9.7%
Q4 - 9:57DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:6 Def:6)85
91.7%
72
8.3%
Q4 - 9:58DETMISS Jennings 26' 3PT Jump Shot85
90.3%
72
9.7%
Q4 - 10:27MIACole 2' Driving Layup (5 PTS)85
89.7%
72
10.3%
Q4 - 10:32MIALewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)85
91.6%
70
8.4%
Q4 - 10:34DETMISS Singler 3PT Jump Shot85
92.2%
70
7.8%
Q4 - 10:47MIAAndersen Putback Dunk (4 PTS)85
93.3%
70
6.7%
Q4 - 10:48MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)85
94.5%
68
5.5%
Q4 - 10:49MIAMISS Beasley 22' Jump Shot85
95.3%
68
4.7%
Q4 - 11:22DETJerebko 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Singler 2 AST)85
93.4%
68
6.6%
Q4 - 11:40DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)82
90.3%
68
9.7%
Q4 - 11:41MIAMISS Beasley 1' Tip Shot82
89.7%
68
10.3%
Q4 - 11:42MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)82
88.2%
68
11.8%
Q4 - 11:43MIAMISS Beasley 2' Layup82
89.7%
68
10.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA82
88.2%
68
11.8%
Q3 - 0:01.0DETMonroe Layup (10 PTS) (Singler 1 AST)82
86.4%
68
13.6%
Q3 - 0:07.0MIAAndersen Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)80
83.8%
68
16.2%
Q3 - 0:07.0MIAAndersen Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)80
84.5%
67
15.5%
Q3 - 0:29.0DETMonroe 8' Hook Shot (8 PTS)80
86.5%
66
13.5%
Q3 - 0:51.0MIAJames 26' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)78
83.9%
66
16.1%
Q3 - 1:10DETJerebko Dunk (4 PTS) (Monroe 5 AST)78
87.0%
63
13.0%
Q3 - 1:27MIAJames Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T14)76
84.6%
63
15.4%
Q3 - 1:39DETSingler 1' Tip Shot (18 PTS)76
82.0%
63
18.0%
Q3 - 1:41DETSingler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)74
78.8%
63
21.2%
Q3 - 1:42DETMISS Stuckey 9' Running Jump Shot74
76.5%
63
23.5%
Q3 - 1:59MIAAllen Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T13)74
78.9%
63
21.1%
Q3 - 2:19DETStuckey Foul Turnover (P3.T13)74
72.6%
63
27.4%
Q3 - 2:39MIABeasley 1' Dunk (12 PTS) (James 5 AST)74
76.4%
63
23.6%
Q3 - 2:50MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)74
79.5%
61
20.5%
Q3 - 2:51DETMISS Singler 7' Hook Shot74
80.4%
61
19.6%
Q3 - 3:13MIACole 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Andersen 1 AST)74
80.5%
61
19.5%
Q3 - 3:30DETJennings 8' Running Jump Shot (9 PTS)74
85.4%
58
14.6%
Q3 - 3:42DETJennings REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)72
83.2%
58
16.8%
Q3 - 3:43MIAMISS Cole 17' Jump Shot72
82.4%
58
17.6%
Q3 - 3:50DETSmith Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T12)72
80.4%
58
19.6%
Q3 - 3:52DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)72
83.2%
58
16.8%
Q3 - 3:53MIAMISS Allen 5' Hook Shot72
82.4%
58
17.6%
Q3 - 3:54MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)72
80.4%
58
19.6%
Q3 - 3:55MIAMISS Battier 3PT Jump Shot72
82.4%
58
17.6%
Q3 - 4:02MIAJames REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)72
78.2%
58
21.8%
Q3 - 4:03DETMISS Smith 26' 3PT Jump Shot72
79.3%
58
20.7%
Q3 - 4:11DETSingler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)72
81.7%
58
18.3%
Q3 - 4:12MIAMISS Allen 3PT Jump Shot72
80.7%
58
19.3%
Q3 - 4:24DETStuckey Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)72
78.3%
58
21.7%
Q3 - 4:24DETStuckey Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)71
77.9%
58
22.1%
Q3 - 4:36MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)70
76.0%
58
24.0%
Q3 - 4:36MIAMISS Chalmers Free Throw 1 of 270
76.6%
57
23.4%
Q3 - 4:39MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)70
75.3%
57
24.7%
Q3 - 4:40DETMISS Smith 6' Hook Shot70
76.5%
57
23.5%
Q3 - 5:03MIAAllen 1' Driving Layup (12 PTS) (James 4 AST)70
77.0%
57
23.0%
Q3 - 5:22DETCaldwell-Pope 1' Tip Shot (10 PTS)70
79.5%
55
20.5%
Q3 - 5:23DETCaldwell-Pope REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)68
77.2%
55
22.8%
Q3 - 5:24DETMISS Smith 21' Jump Shot68
74.7%
55
25.3%
Q3 - 5:39MIAAllen 18' Fadeaway Jumper (10 PTS) (Chalmers 6 AST)68
77.2%
55
22.8%
Q3 - 5:52DETPistons Turnover: Shot Clock (T#11)68
79.6%
53
20.4%
Q3 - 5:53DETPistons Rebound68
82.6%
53
17.4%
Q3 - 5:54DETMISS Singler 25' 3PT Fadeaway Jumper68
80.6%
53
19.4%
Q3 - 6:15DETSingler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)68
80.5%
53
19.5%
Q3 - 6:16DETMISS Monroe Free Throw 2 of 268
78.0%
53
22.0%
Q3 - 6:16DETMISS Monroe Free Throw 1 of 268
79.5%
53
20.5%
Q3 - 6:20MIABattier 4' Tip Shot (2 PTS)68
80.5%
53
19.5%
Q3 - 6:21MIABattier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)68
82.6%
51
17.4%
Q3 - 6:22MIAMISS James 7' Hook Shot68
84.3%
51
15.7%
Q3 - 6:38DETSingler 1' Reverse Layup (16 PTS) (Smith 3 AST)68
82.7%
51
17.3%
Q3 - 6:50DETSingler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)66
80.6%
51
19.4%
Q3 - 6:51MIAMISS Battier 25' 3PT Jump Shot66
79.7%
51
20.3%
Q3 - 7:06MIAJames Free Throw Technical (17 PTS)66
75.7%
51
24.3%
Q3 - 7:22DETSingler 24' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)66
78.5%
50
21.5%
Q3 - 7:48MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T12)63
73.2%
50
26.8%
Q3 - 8:03DETJennings 1' Layup (7 PTS) (Monroe 4 AST)63
68.2%
50
31.8%
Q3 - 8:16MIABosh 17' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)61
65.5%
50
34.5%
Q3 - 8:40DETSingler 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Caldwell-Pope 2 AST)61
68.3%
48
31.7%
Q3 - 8:47DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)58
62.0%
48
38.0%
Q3 - 8:48MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot58
60.8%
48
39.2%
Q3 - 8:59MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)58
57.9%
48
42.1%
Q3 - 9:00DETMISS Monroe 2' Layup58
59.2%
48
40.8%
Q3 - 9:13DETJennings REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)58
60.1%
48
39.9%
Q3 - 9:14MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot58
59.0%
48
41.0%
Q3 - 9:18MIAHEAT Rebound58
56.5%
48
43.5%
Q3 - 9:19MIAMISS Chalmers 5' Jump Shot58
59.0%
48
41.0%
Q3 - 9:32DETJennings Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T10)58
56.5%
48
43.5%
Q3 - 9:43DETCaldwell-Pope REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)58
60.2%
48
39.8%
Q3 - 9:44MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot58
59.1%
48
40.9%
Q3 - 9:55DETJames STEAL (1 STL)58
56.5%
48
43.5%
Q3 - 10:06MIABosh 15' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (James 3 AST)58
58.3%
48
41.7%
Q3 - 10:24DETMonroe 1' Layup (6 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)58
61.7%
46
38.3%
Q3 - 10:38MIABosh 2' Driving Dunk (7 PTS) (Chalmers 5 AST)56
58.4%
46
41.6%
Q3 - 10:53MIABattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)56
61.8%
44
38.2%
Q3 - 10:54DETMISS Smith 21' Jump Shot56
62.8%
44
37.2%
Q3 - 11:09MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)56
63.1%
44
36.9%
Q3 - 11:09MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 256
63.6%
43
36.4%
Q3 - 11:25DETDrummond 1' Alley Oop Dunk (8 PTS) (Jennings 4 AST)56
63.0%
43
37.0%
Q3 - 11:42DETCaldwell-Pope REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)54
59.9%
43
40.1%
Q3 - 11:43MIAMISS Bosh 20' Jump Shot54
58.9%
43
41.1%
Q3 - 11:50DETBosh STEAL (1 STL)54
56.5%
43
43.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0DET54
60.0%
43
40.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0DETPistons Rebound54
60.0%
43
40.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0DETMISS Jennings 7' Jump Shot54
57.6%
43
42.4%
Q2 - 0:11.0MIAJames 1' Driving Layup (16 PTS)54
57.5%
43
42.5%
Q2 - 0:31.0DETSmith 19' Jump Shot (13 PTS)54
61.6%
41
38.4%
Q2 - 0:51.0MIABeasley 6' Running Jump Shot (10 PTS) (James 2 AST)52
57.7%
41
42.3%
Q2 - 1:02MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)52
60.4%
39
39.6%
Q2 - 1:03MIAMISS Allen 8' Running Jump Shot52
61.8%
39
38.2%
Q2 - 1:26DETSingler 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Stuckey 2 AST)52
60.5%
39
39.5%
Q2 - 1:45MIABeasley 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST)49
53.1%
39
46.9%
Q2 - 1:54DETStuckey 8' Jump Shot (8 PTS)49
60.5%
36
39.5%
Q2 - 2:16MIAJames 1' Driving Layup (14 PTS)47
55.3%
36
44.7%
Q2 - 2:31DETSmith 7' Turnaround Jump Shot (11 PTS)47
58.4%
34
41.6%
Q2 - 2:43DETJennings REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)45
55.4%
34
44.6%
Q2 - 2:44MIAMISS Beasley 1' Layup45
54.4%
34
45.6%
Q2 - 2:59DETJennings 1' Driving Layup (5 PTS)45
52.3%
34
47.7%
Q2 - 3:11MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)43
47.9%
34
52.1%
Q2 - 3:28DETStuckey Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)43
44.4%
34
55.6%
Q2 - 3:47MIAAllen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (James 1 AST)43
48.0%
34
52.0%
Q2 - 4:04DETSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)43
51.7%
31
48.3%
Q2 - 4:04DETMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 242
50.6%
31
49.4%
Q2 - 4:14MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)42
51.8%
31
48.2%
Q2 - 4:14MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 242
52.4%
30
47.6%
Q2 - 4:23DETDrummond Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)42
51.8%
30
48.2%
Q2 - 4:23DETDrummond Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)41
50.2%
30
49.8%
Q2 - 4:39MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)40
49.0%
30
51.0%
Q2 - 4:42MIAJames REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)40
54.7%
27
45.3%
Q2 - 4:43DETMISS Smith 15' Fadeaway Jumper40
55.6%
27
44.4%
Q2 - 5:06DETSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)40
56.4%
27
43.6%
Q2 - 5:07MIAMISS James 1' Reverse Layup40
55.5%
27
44.5%
Q2 - 5:32MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)40
53.7%
27
46.3%
Q2 - 5:33DETMISS Smith 24' 3PT Jump Shot40
54.5%
27
45.5%
Q2 - 5:59MIAJames 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Cole 2 AST)40
56.4%
27
43.6%
Q2 - 6:22DETSmith 1' Layup (8 PTS) (Monroe 3 AST)40
60.4%
24
39.6%
Q2 - 6:24DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)38
58.3%
24
41.7%
Q2 - 6:25DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 2' Layup38
56.0%
24
44.0%
Q2 - 6:29MIABeasley Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)38
58.3%
24
41.7%
Q2 - 6:38DETSmith 2' Layup (6 PTS)38
55.1%
24
44.9%
Q2 - 6:44MIACole Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)36
52.9%
24
47.1%
Q2 - 6:59MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)36
49.6%
24
50.4%
Q2 - 7:00DETMISS Drummond Free Throw 2 of 236
50.1%
24
49.9%
Q2 - 7:00DETMISS Drummond Free Throw 1 of 236
51.0%
24
49.0%
Q2 - 7:07MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)36
51.3%
24
48.7%
Q2 - 7:07MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 236
51.8%
23
48.2%
Q2 - 7:07MIAJames REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)36
51.0%
23
49.0%
Q2 - 7:08MIAMISS James 2' Layup36
53.0%
23
47.0%
Q2 - 7:16DETChalmers STEAL (1 STL)36
51.0%
23
49.0%
Q2 - 7:32MIAJames 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS)36
54.0%
23
46.0%
Q2 - 7:49MIAJames REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)36
56.4%
21
43.6%
Q2 - 7:50MIAMISS Bosh 13' Jump Shot36
58.4%
21
41.6%
Q2 - 8:10MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
55.0%
21
45.0%
Q2 - 8:11DETMISS Drummond Free Throw 2 of 236
55.4%
21
44.6%
Q2 - 8:11DETMISS Drummond Free Throw 1 of 236
56.2%
21
43.8%
Q2 - 8:12DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)36
57.7%
21
42.3%
Q2 - 8:13DETMISS Stuckey 2' Layup36
55.8%
21
44.2%
Q2 - 8:16DETStuckey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
57.7%
21
42.3%
Q2 - 8:17MIAMISS Chalmers 2' Layup36
56.9%
21
43.1%
Q2 - 8:22MIALewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)36
55.0%
21
45.0%
Q2 - 8:23DETMISS Jerebko 1' Layup36
55.9%
21
44.1%
Q2 - 8:24DETJerebko REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)36
57.7%
21
42.3%
Q2 - 8:27DETMISS Stuckey 7' Running Jump Shot36
55.9%
21
44.1%
Q2 - 8:34DETJerebko REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)36
57.7%
21
42.3%
Q2 - 8:35MIAMISS Cole 24' 3PT Jump Shot36
56.9%
21
43.1%
Q2 - 8:53MIALewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)36
55.1%
21
44.9%
Q2 - 8:54DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 15' Jump Shot36
55.9%
21
44.1%
Q2 - 9:09MIAChalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)36
56.0%
21
44.0%
Q2 - 9:30DETDrummond 2' Putback Layup (4 PTS)36
60.8%
18
39.2%
Q2 - 9:31DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)34
58.5%
18
41.5%
Q2 - 9:32DETMISS Jerebko 19' Step Back Jump Shot34
56.7%
18
43.3%
Q2 - 9:47DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)34
58.6%
18
41.4%
Q2 - 9:48MIAMISS Lewis 24' 3PT Jump Shot34
57.8%
18
42.2%
Q2 - 10:08DETCaldwell-Pope Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)34
55.1%
18
44.9%
Q2 - 10:08DETCaldwell-Pope Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)33
54.7%
18
45.3%
Q2 - 10:10DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)32
53.1%
18
46.9%
Q2 - 10:11MIAMISS Beasley 1' Driving Layup32
52.2%
18
47.8%
Q2 - 10:29DETDrummond 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)32
50.2%
18
49.8%
Q2 - 10:40DETJerebko REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
48.1%
18
51.9%
Q2 - 10:41MIAMISS Andersen 2' Putback Layup30
47.3%
18
52.7%
Q2 - 10:42MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)30
45.3%
18
54.7%
Q2 - 10:43MIAMISS Cole 5' Running Jump Shot30
47.3%
18
52.7%
Q2 - 11:06DETStuckey Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)30
44.7%
18
55.3%
Q2 - 11:06DETStuckey Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)29
44.3%
18
55.7%
Q2 - 11:23DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)28
42.5%
18
57.5%
Q2 - 11:24MIAMISS Beasley 14' Jump Shot28
41.7%
18
58.3%
Q2 - 11:38MIAHEAT Rebound28
40.0%
18
60.0%
Q2 - 11:39DETMISS Stuckey 14' Turnaround Jump Shot28
40.8%
18
59.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0DET28
42.5%
18
57.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0DETPistons Rebound28
42.5%
18
57.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0DETMISS Singler 28' 3PT Jump Shot28
40.8%
18
59.2%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAAllen Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)28
41.4%
18
58.6%
Q1 - 0:01.0DETJerebko 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)28
39.7%
18
60.3%
Q1 - 0:24.0MIACole Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)26
36.9%
18
63.1%
Q1 - 0:32.0DETSingler Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)26
35.3%
18
64.7%
Q1 - 0:32.0DETSingler Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)25
35.0%
18
65.0%
Q1 - 0:50.0MIAAllen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Cole 1 AST)24
32.7%
18
67.3%
Q1 - 0:57.0DETLewis STEAL (1 STL)24
37.5%
15
62.5%
Q1 - 1:07DETSingler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
38.4%
15
61.6%
Q1 - 1:08MIAMISS Andersen 24' 3PT Jump Shot24
37.9%
15
62.1%
Q1 - 1:17DETAndersen STEAL (1 STL)24
36.8%
15
63.2%
Q1 - 1:34MIABeasley 6' Jump Shot (5 PTS)24
38.4%
15
61.6%
Q1 - 1:53DETStuckey 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS)24
41.2%
13
58.8%
Q1 - 2:00DETSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)22
38.4%
13
61.6%
Q1 - 2:01MIAMISS Cole 17' Jump Shot22
37.7%
13
62.3%
Q1 - 2:23DETStuckey 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)22
36.3%
13
63.7%
Q1 - 2:40MIABeasley 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Lewis 1 AST)20
34.1%
13
65.9%
Q1 - 2:51MIALewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)20
38.4%
10
61.6%
Q1 - 2:52DETMISS Harrellson 17' Jump Shot20
39.0%
10
61.0%
Q1 - 3:04DETPistons Rebound20
39.8%
10
60.2%
Q1 - 3:05DETMISS Smith 6' Running Jump Shot20
38.2%
10
61.8%
Q1 - 3:14DETSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
39.8%
10
60.2%
Q1 - 3:15MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot20
39.1%
10
60.9%
Q1 - 3:38DETSingler 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Jennings 3 AST)20
37.6%
10
62.4%
Q1 - 3:44DETSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
33.6%
10
66.4%
Q1 - 3:45MIAMISS Bosh 16' Jump Shot17
33.0%
10
67.0%
Q1 - 4:00MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)17
31.6%
10
68.4%
Q1 - 4:01DETMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot17
31.2%
10
68.8%
Q1 - 4:12MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)17
32.7%
10
67.3%
Q1 - 4:16MIALewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
30.6%
10
69.4%
Q1 - 4:17DETLewis BLOCK (1 BLK)17
31.3%
10
68.7%
Q1 - 4:30DETJennings REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
32.8%
10
67.2%
Q1 - 4:31MIAMISS Allen 26' 3PT Jump Shot17
32.1%
10
67.9%
Q1 - 4:37MIALewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
30.7%
10
69.3%
Q1 - 4:38DETMISS Smith 2' Driving Reverse Layup17
31.3%
10
68.7%
Q1 - 4:44DETPistons Rebound17
32.8%
10
67.2%
Q1 - 4:45DETMISS Smith 1' Layup17
31.3%
10
68.7%
Q1 - 4:51DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
32.8%
10
67.2%
Q1 - 4:52MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot17
32.2%
10
67.8%
Q1 - 5:06MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)17
29.9%
10
70.1%
Q1 - 5:07MIAMISS Allen 15' Jump Shot17
31.2%
10
68.8%
Q1 - 5:30DETMonroe 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Stuckey 1 AST)17
30.0%
10
70.0%
Q1 - 5:46MIAAllen Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T5)15
28.4%
10
71.6%
Q1 - 5:59MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
26.7%
10
73.3%
Q1 - 6:00DETMISS Jennings 21' Jump Shot15
27.2%
10
72.8%
Q1 - 6:24MIAAllen 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)15
27.6%
10
72.4%
Q1 - 6:34MIAJump Ball Battier vs. Jennings: Tip to James15
29.1%
8
70.9%
Q1 - 6:42MIAJames 3' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)15
30.9%
8
69.1%
Q1 - 6:53DETSmith 1' Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Jennings 2 AST)15
32.4%
6
67.6%
Q1 - 6:59MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)13
30.9%
6
69.1%
Q1 - 7:07MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)13
28.2%
6
71.8%
Q1 - 7:08DETMISS Jennings 24' 3PT Jump Shot13
28.8%
6
71.2%
Q1 - 7:28MIAChalmers 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)13
30.1%
6
69.9%
Q1 - 7:41DETCaldwell-Pope 14' Jump Shot (6 PTS)13
31.5%
4
68.5%
Q1 - 7:48DETCaldwell-Pope REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
30.1%
4
69.9%
Q1 - 7:49MIAMISS James 20' Jump Shot11
29.6%
4
70.4%
Q1 - 7:58MIAHEAT Rebound11
28.3%
4
71.7%
Q1 - 7:59MIAMISS Chalmers 1' Driving Layup11
29.6%
4
70.4%
Q1 - 8:14DETSmith 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Monroe 2 AST)11
27.8%
4
72.2%
Q1 - 8:33MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)9
26.5%
4
73.5%
Q1 - 8:33MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)9
26.7%
3
73.3%
Q1 - 8:33MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)9
27.8%
2
72.2%
Q1 - 8:34MIAMISS Battier 26' 3PT Jump Shot9
28.9%
2
71.1%
Q1 - 8:53DETMonroe 8' Jump Shot (2 PTS)9
27.8%
2
72.2%
Q1 - 9:11MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)7
26.1%
2
73.9%
Q1 - 9:17DETBattier STEAL (1 STL)7
24.6%
2
75.4%
Q1 - 9:21DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)7
26.1%
2
73.9%
Q1 - 9:22MIAMISS Battier 26' 3PT Jump Shot7
25.6%
2
74.4%
Q1 - 9:39DETJennings 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Caldwell-Pope 1 AST)7
24.6%
2
75.4%
Q1 - 9:48DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)4
22.2%
2
77.8%
Q1 - 9:49DETMISS Drummond Putback Layup4
21.2%
2
78.8%
Q1 - 9:49DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)4
22.2%
2
77.8%
Q1 - 9:50DETMISS Drummond 1' Putback Layup4
21.2%
2
78.8%
Q1 - 9:51DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)4
22.2%
2
77.8%
Q1 - 9:52DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 1' Driving Layup4
21.2%
2
78.8%
Q1 - 10:01DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
21.9%
2
78.1%
Q1 - 10:02MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot4
21.5%
2
78.5%
Q1 - 10:15DETCaldwell-Pope 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Jennings 1 AST)4
20.7%
2
79.3%
Q1 - 10:22DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
19.7%
2
80.3%
Q1 - 10:23MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot2
19.3%
2
80.7%
Q1 - 10:48DETCaldwell-Pope 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Monroe 1 AST)2
18.5%
2
81.5%
Q1 - 10:59MIABosh Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)0
17.6%
2
82.4%
Q1 - 11:01MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
16.4%
2
83.6%
Q1 - 11:02DETMISS Smith 19' Jump Shot0
16.7%
2
83.3%
Q1 - 11:19MIABosh 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)0
17.3%
2
82.7%
Q1 - 11:30MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
18.4%
0
81.6%
Q1 - 11:31MIAMISS Jones 17' Jump Shot0
19.0%
0
81.0%
Q1 - 11:34DETPistons Turnover: Backcourt (T#1)0
18.4%
0
81.6%
Q1 - 11:50MIAChalmers Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)0
19.3%
0
80.7%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Bosh vs. Drummond: Tip to James0
18.4%
0
81.6%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DET
1.07 53.5%
MIA
1.04 52.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DET
24
37
65%
MIA
21
34
62%
Midrange
DET
10
27
37%
MIA
6
20
30%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DET
7
10.5
16
44%
66%
MIA
9
13.5
28
32%
48%
Free Throws
DET
18
26
69%
MIA
16
23
70%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Singler1882%9.0 / 11
G. Monroe1673%8.0 / 11
R. Stuckey1662%8.0 / 13
B. Jennings1568%7.5 / 11
J. Smith1534%7.5 / 22
A. Drummond1050%5.0 / 10
K. Caldwell-Pope1063%5.0 / 8
J. Jerebko770%3.5 / 5
J. Harrellson0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. James2364%11.5 / 18
M. Beasley2368%11.5 / 17
C. Bosh1450%7.0 / 14
R. Allen1260%6.0 / 10
N. Cole956%4.5 / 8
C. Andersen857%4.0 / 7
M. Chalmers638%3.0 / 8
S. Battier220%1.0 / 5
J. Jones0-0.0 / 4
R. Lewis0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DET
80
+20
-18
100
MIA
78
+15
-19
93
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DET
1.07 53.5%
MIA
1.04 52.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.2
110.7
DET 109.2 +9.2
MIA 100.0
Pace
94.7
91.5
DET 92.2
MIA 103.5 +11.2
Avg. Poss. Time
15.2
15.8
DET 15.6
MIA 13.9 +1.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.2%
55.4%
DET 55.6% +6.2%
MIA 49.4%
TO %
14.7%
15.4%
DET 19.4%
MIA 17.1% +2.3%
ORB %
31.4%
20.6%
DET 38.2% +9.9%
MIA 28.3%
FTrt
29.6
30.0
DET 32.5 +4.5
MIA 28.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
53.9%
58.8%
DET 51.2%
MIA 52.8% +1.6%
STL %
8.8%
9.7%
DET 11.2%
MIA 12.4% +1.2%
BLK %
8.0%
8.1%
DET 9.3% +4.6%
MIA 4.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.51 and 2.51.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.3%
57.5%
DET 53.5% +1.3%
MIA 52.2%
Rim FG%
57.6%
66.7%
DET 64.9% +3.1%
MIA 61.8%
Mid FG%
35.4%
42.8%
DET 37.0% +7.0%
MIA 30.0%
3P %
32.1%
36.4%
DET 43.8% +11.7%
MIA 32.1%
FT %
67.0%
76.0%
DET 69.2%
MIA 69.6% +0.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
45.0%
38.3%
DET 46.3% +4.8%
MIA 41.5%
Mid Att. %
32.8%
32.5%
DET 33.8%
MIA 24.4% +9.4%
3P Att. %
22.2%
29.2%
DET 20.0%
MIA 34.1% +14.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.89 and 2.89.
Game TotalsDETMIA
Possessions9897
Possession Minutes25.522.5
Points10797
Rebounds4634
Assists2119
Steals1112
Blocks53
Turnovers (Team)18 (4)19 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)13 (7)13 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)33 (0)21 (1)
Field Goals41-8036-82
At-the-Rim FG24-3721-34
Midrange FG10-276-20
2-Point FG34-6427-54
3-Point FG7-169-28
Free Throws18-2616-23
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'1" 170 · 24
43.6
15
68%
4
5
4
0
7
1
0
4
3-4
75%
3-5
60%
2-4
50%
F · 6'9" 225 · 28
39.1
15
34%
4
4
2
1
3
3
0
4
1-2
50%
7-17
41%
0-4
0%
F · 6'11" 265 · 23
37.1
16
73%
6
5
1
2
3
3
1
5
0-2
0%
8-10
80%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 279 · 20
22.6
10
50%
18
0
2
1
0
6
8
10
2-6
33%
4-7
57%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 204 · 21
19.6
10
63%
4
2
1
0
0
2
1
3
2-2
100%
4-7
57%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 205 · 28
32.7
16
62%
2
3
0
0
5
3
0
2
8-8
100%
4-9
44%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 228 · 26
26.6
18
82%
5
2
1
0
0
1
2
3
2-2
100%
2-3
67%
4-7
57%
F · 6'10" 231 · 27
9.9
7
70%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
2-4
50%
1-1
100%
F-C · 6'10" 275 · 25
8.6
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'0" 185 · 23
F · 6'11" 232 · 29
F · 6'8" 215 · 26
· 6'8" 216 · 22
#12 · G · 6'0" 185 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#1 · G · 6'3" 210 · 37
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
107
54%
46
21
11
5
18
0
13
33
18-26
69%
34-64
53%
7-16
44%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.