FinalWin Prob.pScore
1823%96
100
177%106
102
ORTG#PossPace
ATL logo ATL
104.296102.1
SAS logo SAS
105.29791.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

SpursHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SpursHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventATLSAS
Q4 - 0:00.0ATL100
0%
102
100%
Q4 - 0:00.0ATLHawks Rebound100
2.5%
102
97.5%
Q4 - 0:00.0ATLMISS Millsap 3PT Turnaround Jump Shot100
0%
102
100%
Q4 - 0:00.0SASDuncan 16' Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Ginobili 7 AST)100
2.5%
102
97.5%
Q4 - 0:04.0ATLTeague 26' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS)100
37.3%
100
62.7%
Q4 - 0:15.0SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)97
6.2%
100
93.8%
Q4 - 0:15.0SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)97
7.1%
99
92.9%
Q4 - 0:17.0ATLMillsap 25' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot (15 PTS)97
11.5%
98
88.5%
Q4 - 0:31.0SASSPURS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#19)94
3.3%
98
96.7%
Q4 - 0:55.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:6 Def:15)94
2.6%
98
97.4%
Q4 - 0:55.0ATLMISS Teague Layup94
3.3%
98
96.7%
Q4 - 1:01SASLeonard 11' Jump Shot (4 PTS)94
5.7%
98
94.3%
Q4 - 1:21ATLHorford 1' Layup (18 PTS) (Millsap 3 AST)94
11.2%
96
88.8%
Q4 - 1:36SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)92
8.2%
96
91.8%
Q4 - 1:36SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)92
8.8%
95
91.2%
Q4 - 1:48ATLTeague 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS)92
13.1%
94
86.9%
Q4 - 1:53ATLTeague REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)89
5.5%
94
94.5%
Q4 - 1:54SASMISS Leonard 1' Dunk89
4.7%
94
95.3%
Q4 - 2:11ATLMillsap 1' Slam Dunk (12 PTS) (Teague 7 AST)89
3.5%
94
96.5%
Q4 - 2:19ATLHawks Rebound87
2.6%
94
97.4%
Q4 - 2:19SASMISS Ginobili 26' 3PT Jump Shot87
2.1%
94
97.9%
Q4 - 2:40SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)87
1.4%
94
98.6%
Q4 - 2:41ATLGinobili BLOCK (1 BLK)87
1.7%
94
98.3%
Q4 - 2:53SASGreen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Leonard 1 AST)87
3.0%
94
97.0%
Q4 - 3:18SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:6 Def:14)87
6.4%
91
93.6%
Q4 - 3:19SASMISS Parker 16' Jump Shot87
9.1%
91
90.9%
Q4 - 3:26SASGreen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)87
6.3%
91
93.7%
Q4 - 3:27ATLMISS Carroll 25' 3PT Jump Shot87
7.4%
91
92.6%
Q4 - 3:45SASParker 17' Jump Shot (15 PTS)87
11.9%
91
88.1%
Q4 - 3:56SASGreen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)87
15.8%
89
84.2%
Q4 - 3:58ATLMISS Horford 16' Jump Shot87
17.5%
89
82.5%
Q4 - 4:17SASDuncan 2' Layup (21 PTS) (Parker 7 AST)87
22.1%
89
77.9%
Q4 - 4:35ATLHorford 16' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Teague 6 AST)87
28.6%
87
71.4%
Q4 - 4:48SASParker 1' Reverse Layup (13 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)85
22.0%
87
78.0%
Q4 - 5:08ATLCarroll REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)85
28.0%
85
72.0%
Q4 - 5:08ATLCarroll 1' Layup (17 PTS)85
28.0%
85
72.0%
Q4 - 5:12ATLGreen BLOCK (1 BLK)83
18.1%
85
81.9%
Q4 - 5:16SASDuncan Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T18)83
22.2%
85
77.8%
Q4 - 5:28ATLDiaw STEAL (1 STL)83
16.5%
85
83.5%
Q4 - 5:34ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:4 Def:10)83
22.2%
85
77.8%
Q4 - 5:35ATLDuncan BLOCK (2 BLK)83
18.1%
85
81.9%
Q4 - 5:37ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)83
22.2%
85
77.8%
Q4 - 5:38ATLMISS Williams 14' Jump Shot83
18.1%
85
81.9%
Q4 - 5:53ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)83
22.2%
85
77.8%
Q4 - 5:54SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 283
21.4%
85
78.6%
Q4 - 5:54SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)83
17.9%
85
82.1%
Q4 - 6:15SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)83
21.5%
84
78.5%
Q4 - 6:16ATLMISS Millsap 24' 3PT Jump Shot83
23.3%
84
76.7%
Q4 - 6:26ATLCarroll REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)83
27.9%
84
72.1%
Q4 - 6:27ATLDiaw BLOCK (1 BLK)83
23.3%
84
76.7%
Q4 - 6:29ATLTeague REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)83
27.9%
84
72.1%
Q4 - 6:30SASMISS Green 25' 3PT Jump Shot83
25.8%
84
74.2%
Q4 - 6:53ATLWilliams 15' Jump Shot (10 PTS)83
21.5%
84
78.5%
Q4 - 7:01ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)81
17.6%
84
82.4%
Q4 - 7:02SASMISS Green 25' 3PT Jump Shot81
16.3%
84
83.7%
Q4 - 7:21ATLTeague 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS)81
13.5%
84
86.5%
Q4 - 7:35ATLCarroll REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)78
8.4%
84
91.6%
Q4 - 7:36SASMISS Belinelli 3PT Jump Shot78
7.7%
84
92.3%
Q4 - 7:58ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)78
6.3%
84
93.7%
Q4 - 7:58ATLHorford 1' Layup (14 PTS)78
6.3%
84
93.7%
Q4 - 7:59ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)76
5.0%
84
95.0%
Q4 - 7:59ATLMISS Horford Layup76
4.1%
84
95.9%
Q4 - 8:01ATLMISS Williams 3PT Jump Shot76
4.8%
84
95.2%
Q4 - 8:22SASDuncan 1' Layup (18 PTS) (Diaw 3 AST)76
5.7%
84
94.3%
Q4 - 8:31SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:5 Def:14)76
7.2%
82
92.8%
Q4 - 8:32ATLMISS Millsap 1' Layup76
7.7%
82
92.3%
Q4 - 8:44SASDiaw 1' Finger Roll Layup (16 PTS) (Parker 6 AST)76
9.1%
82
90.9%
Q4 - 9:02ATLTeague Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)76
12.1%
80
87.9%
Q4 - 9:02ATLTeague Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)75
11.7%
80
88.3%
Q4 - 9:06SASMills Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T17)74
9.8%
80
90.2%
Q4 - 9:11SASBelinelli REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)74
7.9%
80
92.1%
Q4 - 9:14ATLDuncan BLOCK (1 BLK)74
8.4%
80
91.6%
Q4 - 9:32SASParker 16' Jump Shot (11 PTS)74
9.7%
80
90.3%
Q4 - 9:46SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:5 Def:13)74
12.1%
78
87.9%
Q4 - 9:48SASMISS Duncan 10' Jump Bank Shot74
14.0%
78
86.0%
Q4 - 9:58SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:13)74
12.1%
78
87.9%
Q4 - 9:59SASMISS Diaw Free Throw 2 of 274
14.5%
78
85.5%
Q4 - 9:59SASDiaw Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)74
12.6%
78
87.4%
Q4 - 10:02SASBelinelli REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)74
15.1%
77
84.9%
Q4 - 10:03ATLMISS Scott 25' 3PT Jump Shot74
16.0%
77
84.0%
Q4 - 10:17SASBelinelli 5' Floating Jump Shot (13 PTS)74
18.2%
77
81.8%
Q4 - 10:24SASBelinelli REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)74
21.8%
75
78.2%
Q4 - 10:25ATLMISS Horford 17' Jump Shot74
23.0%
75
77.0%
Q4 - 10:46SASDiaw 1' Layup (13 PTS) (Parker 5 AST)74
26.0%
75
74.0%
Q4 - 10:58ATLBelinelli STEAL (2 STL)74
30.5%
73
69.5%
Q4 - 11:03ATLScott REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)74
35.0%
73
65.0%
Q4 - 11:04SASMISS Mills 24' 3PT Jump Shot74
33.5%
73
66.5%
Q4 - 11:15ATLBrand Foul Turnover (P2.T8)74
30.2%
73
69.8%
Q4 - 11:24ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)74
35.0%
73
65.0%
Q4 - 11:25SASMISS Diaw 5' Jump Shot74
33.5%
73
66.5%
Q4 - 11:35ATLMartin 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Mack 2 AST)74
30.2%
73
69.8%
Q4 - 11:49SASSplitter Foul Turnover (P4.T16)71
22.0%
73
78.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATL71
18.5%
73
81.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATLHawks Rebound71
22.0%
73
78.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATLMISS Martin 52' 3PT Jump Shot71
19.5%
73
80.5%
Q3 - 0:01.0SASGinobili 25' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot (6 PTS)71
21.9%
73
78.1%
Q3 - 0:08.0ATLTeague Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)71
29.8%
70
70.2%
Q3 - 0:29.0SASDiaw 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Ginobili 6 AST)71
34.2%
70
65.8%
Q3 - 0:45.0SASSPURS Rebound71
44.1%
67
55.9%
Q3 - 0:46.0ATLMISS Mack 11' Jump Shot71
45.6%
67
54.4%
Q3 - 1:08SASSplitter 6' Hook Shot (11 PTS) (Diaw 2 AST)71
47.2%
67
52.8%
Q3 - 1:23SASMills REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)71
52.3%
65
47.7%
Q3 - 1:24ATLMISS Martin 25' 3PT Jump Shot71
53.7%
65
46.3%
Q3 - 1:44SASMills 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Ginobili 5 AST)71
57.1%
65
42.9%
Q3 - 1:57ATLMack 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Carroll 2 AST)71
62.0%
63
38.0%
Q3 - 2:10SASMills Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T15)68
49.9%
63
50.1%
Q3 - 2:15SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)68
45.1%
63
54.9%
Q3 - 2:16ATLMISS Millsap 25' 3PT Jump Shot68
46.6%
63
53.4%
Q3 - 2:29SASBelinelli Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T14)68
50.0%
63
50.0%
Q3 - 2:40ATLMillsap 1' Layup (10 PTS)68
45.3%
63
54.8%
Q3 - 2:45SASSplitter Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T13)66
40.9%
63
59.1%
Q3 - 2:52ATLMillsap 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Mack 1 AST)66
36.3%
63
63.7%
Q3 - 3:07SASParker 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Diaw 1 AST)63
27.8%
63
72.2%
Q3 - 3:33ATLMartin Foul Turnover (P1.T6)63
35.2%
60
64.8%
Q3 - 3:38ATLCarroll REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)63
39.7%
60
60.3%
Q3 - 3:40SASMISS Parker Layup63
38.3%
60
61.7%
Q3 - 3:45ATLBelinelli STEAL (1 STL)63
35.2%
60
64.8%
Q3 - 4:06SASDiaw 2' Layup (8 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)63
39.0%
60
61.0%
Q3 - 4:14ATLDuncan STEAL (1 STL)63
42.2%
58
57.8%
Q3 - 4:25SASParker Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T12)63
47.4%
58
52.6%
Q3 - 4:47ATLMillsap Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)63
42.3%
58
57.7%
Q3 - 5:05SASBelinelli 15' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)60
34.0%
58
66.0%
Q3 - 5:12SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:13)60
37.3%
56
62.7%
Q3 - 5:13SASMISS Duncan 2' Layup60
40.4%
56
59.6%
Q3 - 5:22SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:13)60
37.3%
56
62.7%
Q3 - 5:23ATLMISS Teague 17' Jump Shot60
38.7%
56
61.3%
Q3 - 5:29ATLMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)60
41.9%
56
58.1%
Q3 - 5:30SASMISS Ginobili 18' Jump Shot60
40.5%
56
59.5%
Q3 - 5:48SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:12)60
37.3%
56
62.7%
Q3 - 5:49ATLMISS Martin 20' Jump Shot60
38.7%
56
61.3%
Q3 - 5:57ATLHawks Rebound60
41.9%
56
58.1%
Q3 - 5:58ATLMISS Millsap 18' Jump Shot60
38.7%
56
61.3%
Q3 - 6:08ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)60
40.3%
56
59.7%
Q3 - 6:10SASMISS Belinelli 1' Reverse Layup60
39.0%
56
61.0%
Q3 - 6:24SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)60
36.2%
56
63.8%
Q3 - 6:25ATLMISS Millsap 18' Jump Shot60
37.4%
56
62.6%
Q3 - 6:38SASDuncan Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)60
40.4%
56
59.6%
Q3 - 6:52ATLHorford 9' Pullup Jump Shot (12 PTS)60
36.2%
56
63.8%
Q3 - 6:58ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)58
33.0%
56
67.0%
Q3 - 6:59SASMISS Green 24' 3PT Jump Shot58
31.9%
56
68.1%
Q3 - 7:13ATLWilliams 9' Floating Jump Shot (8 PTS)58
28.5%
56
71.5%
Q3 - 7:34SASParker 18' Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS)56
25.8%
56
74.2%
Q3 - 7:42SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:11)56
28.5%
54
71.5%
Q3 - 7:44ATLMISS Millsap 10' Turnaround Jump Shot56
29.6%
54
70.4%
Q3 - 8:01SASDuncan Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)56
31.6%
54
68.4%
Q3 - 8:04SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)56
28.0%
54
72.0%
Q3 - 8:05ATLMISS Horford 17' Jump Shot56
29.0%
54
71.0%
Q3 - 8:21SASLeonard Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)56
31.6%
54
68.4%
Q3 - 8:33SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)56
28.0%
54
72.0%
Q3 - 8:35ATLMISS Williams Layup56
29.1%
54
70.9%
Q3 - 8:55SASDuncan 1' Layup (16 PTS)56
31.6%
54
68.4%
Q3 - 9:06SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)56
33.7%
52
66.3%
Q3 - 9:09SASMISS Splitter 7' Running Hook Shot56
36.1%
52
63.9%
Q3 - 9:19SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)56
33.7%
52
66.3%
Q3 - 9:20ATLMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot56
34.7%
52
65.3%
Q3 - 9:35SASParker Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T8)56
37.2%
52
62.8%
Q3 - 9:55ATLHorford 15' Jump Shot (10 PTS)56
33.7%
52
66.3%
Q3 - 10:07ATLCarroll REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)54
29.6%
52
70.4%
Q3 - 10:08SASMISS Green 16' Jump Shot54
28.7%
52
71.3%
Q3 - 10:17ATLCarroll 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Teague 5 AST)54
26.7%
52
73.3%
Q3 - 10:33ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)51
21.5%
52
78.5%
Q3 - 10:34SASMISS Leonard 3PT Jump Shot51
20.8%
52
79.2%
Q3 - 10:52ATLTeague Foul Turnover (P1.T3)51
19.2%
52
80.8%
Q3 - 10:59SASDuncan 1' Layup (14 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)51
21.6%
52
78.4%
Q3 - 11:09SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)51
23.4%
50
76.6%
Q3 - 11:10ATLMISS Millsap 18' Jump Shot51
24.2%
50
75.8%
Q3 - 11:25ATLTeague REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)51
26.1%
50
73.9%
Q3 - 11:27SASMISS Leonard 25' 3PT Jump Shot51
25.3%
50
74.7%
Q3 - 11:45ATLCarroll 13' Floating Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Teague 4 AST)51
23.5%
50
76.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0SAS49
21.2%
50
78.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)49
18.9%
50
81.1%
Q2 - 0:01.0ATLMISS Mack 28' 3PT Jump Shot49
19.7%
50
80.3%
Q2 - 0:06.0SASDuncan 6' Jump Shot (12 PTS)49
20.8%
50
79.2%
Q2 - 0:06.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)49
23.6%
48
76.4%
Q2 - 0:08.0SASMISS Diaw 3PT Jump Shot49
24.9%
48
75.1%
Q2 - 0:30.0SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)49
23.6%
48
76.4%
Q2 - 0:31.0ATLMISS Teague 25' 3PT Jump Shot49
24.2%
48
75.8%
Q2 - 0:51.0SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)49
25.5%
48
74.5%
Q2 - 0:51.0SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)49
26.0%
47
74.0%
Q2 - 1:00ATLLeonard STEAL (1 STL)49
28.7%
46
71.3%
Q2 - 1:12ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)49
30.3%
46
69.7%
Q2 - 1:13SASMISS Duncan 8' Jump Bank Shot49
29.8%
46
70.2%
Q2 - 1:20SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)49
28.6%
46
71.4%
Q2 - 1:21ATLMISS Horford 5' Jump Shot49
29.1%
46
70.9%
Q2 - 1:31ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)49
30.3%
46
69.7%
Q2 - 1:32SASMISS Duncan 1' Layup49
29.8%
46
70.2%
Q2 - 1:50ATLCarroll 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Millsap 2 AST)49
28.6%
46
71.4%
Q2 - 1:54ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)46
22.8%
46
77.2%
Q2 - 1:56ATLMISS Horford 1' Layup46
21.8%
46
78.2%
Q2 - 2:13ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)46
22.9%
46
77.1%
Q2 - 2:14SASMISS Leonard 18' Jump Shot46
22.3%
46
77.7%
Q2 - 2:32ATLMillsap Layup (2 PTS)46
20.8%
46
79.2%
Q2 - 2:34ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)44
18.8%
46
81.2%
Q2 - 2:37ATLMISS Mack Reverse Layup44
17.6%
46
82.4%
Q2 - 2:44ATLCarroll REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)44
18.8%
46
81.2%
Q2 - 2:45ATLMISS Mack 20' Jump Shot44
17.6%
46
82.4%
Q2 - 3:03SASDuncan 5' Running Bank Shot (8 PTS) (Belinelli 3 AST)44
18.7%
46
81.3%
Q2 - 3:10SASGreen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)44
20.2%
44
79.8%
Q2 - 3:11SASMISS Splitter 8' Jump Shot44
21.9%
44
78.1%
Q2 - 3:23ATLTeague 13' Jump Shot (8 PTS)44
20.2%
44
79.8%
Q2 - 3:32SASBelinelli 16' Fadeaway Jumper (9 PTS) (Splitter 3 AST)42
18.7%
44
81.3%
Q2 - 3:48ATLJenkins 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Horford 2 AST)42
20.3%
42
79.7%
Q2 - 3:53SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)40
18.7%
42
81.3%
Q2 - 4:14ATLHorford 1' Layup (8 PTS) (Carroll 1 AST)40
16.6%
42
83.4%
Q2 - 4:18ATLCarroll REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)38
15.1%
42
84.9%
Q2 - 4:20SASMISS Splitter 10' Jump Bank Shot38
14.7%
42
85.3%
Q2 - 4:35SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)38
13.7%
42
86.3%
Q2 - 4:37ATLMISS Teague 15' Jump Bank Shot38
14.1%
42
85.9%
Q2 - 4:45ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)38
15.1%
42
84.9%
Q2 - 4:46SASMISS Belinelli 10' Running Bank Shot38
14.7%
42
85.3%
Q2 - 4:56SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)38
13.7%
42
86.3%
Q2 - 4:57ATLMISS Jenkins 25' 3PT Jump Shot38
14.1%
42
85.9%
Q2 - 5:15SASSplitter 6' Turnaround Hook Shot (9 PTS)38
15.1%
42
84.9%
Q2 - 5:37SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)38
16.6%
40
83.4%
Q2 - 5:38ATLMISS Millsap 1' Layup38
17.1%
40
82.9%
Q2 - 5:55SASDuncan 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Belinelli 2 AST)38
18.2%
40
81.8%
Q2 - 6:03SASBelinelli REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
19.7%
38
80.3%
Q2 - 6:04ATLMISS Jenkins 25' 3PT Jump Shot38
20.4%
38
79.6%
Q2 - 6:20ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)38
21.9%
38
78.1%
Q2 - 6:22SASMISS Green 17' Jump Shot38
21.2%
38
78.8%
Q2 - 6:27SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)38
19.7%
38
80.3%
Q2 - 6:29ATLMISS Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot38
20.4%
38
79.6%
Q2 - 6:48SASMills Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)38
21.9%
38
78.1%
Q2 - 6:48SASMISS Mills Free Throw 1 of 238
22.2%
37
77.8%
Q2 - 6:59ATLMack 8' Jump Shot (4 PTS)38
21.6%
37
78.4%
Q2 - 7:17SASBelinelli 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Splitter 2 AST)36
19.8%
37
80.2%
Q2 - 7:34ATLWilliams 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Scott 1 AST)36
23.2%
34
76.8%
Q2 - 7:53SASBelinelli Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)34
21.6%
34
78.4%
Q2 - 8:08ATLMartin 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Williams 4 AST)34
19.5%
34
80.5%
Q2 - 8:29SASSplitter Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)31
16.5%
34
83.5%
Q2 - 8:30SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)31
19.5%
31
80.5%
Q2 - 8:31SASMISS Green 24' 3PT Jump Shot31
20.7%
31
79.3%
Q2 - 8:37SASGreen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)31
19.5%
31
80.5%
Q2 - 8:39SASMISS Splitter 1' Layup31
20.7%
31
79.3%
Q2 - 8:52SASMills REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
19.5%
31
80.5%
Q2 - 8:55ATLMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot31
20.0%
31
80.0%
Q2 - 9:03SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)31
20.8%
31
79.2%
Q2 - 9:18ATLBrand 2' Layup (6 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)31
19.1%
31
80.9%
Q2 - 9:36SASDiaw 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Ginobili 4 AST)29
17.7%
31
82.3%
Q2 - 9:51ATLBrand 1' Layup (4 PTS)29
19.1%
29
80.9%
Q2 - 10:12SASBelinelli 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Ginobili 3 AST)27
17.9%
29
82.1%
Q2 - 10:31ATLMack Layup (2 PTS)27
19.1%
27
80.9%
Q2 - 10:38ATLScott REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
17.8%
27
82.2%
Q2 - 10:41SASMISS Ginobili 16' Step Back Jump Shot25
17.3%
27
82.7%
Q2 - 11:03ATLWilliams 12' Driving Bank Shot (4 PTS)25
16.4%
27
83.6%
Q2 - 11:15SASGinobili 9' Running Hook Shot (3 PTS)23
15.2%
27
84.8%
Q2 - 11:31SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
16.4%
25
83.6%
Q2 - 11:32ATLMISS Martin 27' 3PT Jump Shot23
16.8%
25
83.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATL23
17.8%
25
82.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0SASDiaw Layup (4 PTS) (Belinelli 1 AST)23
17.8%
25
82.2%
Q1 - 0:04.0ATLWilliams 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)23
19.4%
23
80.6%
Q1 - 0:26.0ATLBrand REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)21
17.6%
23
82.4%
Q1 - 0:27.0SASMISS Ginobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot21
17.3%
23
82.7%
Q1 - 0:39.0SASAyres REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
16.6%
23
83.4%
Q1 - 0:40.0ATLAyres BLOCK (1 BLK)21
16.9%
23
83.1%
Q1 - 1:07SASAyres Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)21
17.5%
23
82.5%
Q1 - 1:07SASMISS Ayres Free Throw 1 of 221
17.8%
22
82.2%
Q1 - 1:21SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
17.8%
22
82.2%
Q1 - 1:22ATLMISS Martin 17' Jump Shot21
18.1%
22
81.9%
Q1 - 1:38SASDiaw 6' Jump Shot (2 PTS)21
18.9%
22
81.1%
Q1 - 1:55ATLBrand 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Teague 3 AST)21
20.7%
20
79.3%
Q1 - 2:16SASMills 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)19
19.0%
20
81.0%
Q1 - 2:25SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
22.0%
17
78.0%
Q1 - 2:26ATLMISS Millsap 15' Step Back Jump Shot19
22.5%
17
77.5%
Q1 - 2:42ATLBrand REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)19
23.5%
17
76.5%
Q1 - 2:43SASMISS Mills 11' Running Bank Shot19
23.1%
17
76.9%
Q1 - 2:54SASSPURS Rebound19
22.0%
17
78.0%
Q1 - 2:55ATLMISS Carroll 6' Running Hook Shot19
22.5%
17
77.5%
Q1 - 3:00ATLBrand REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
23.5%
17
76.5%
Q1 - 3:01SASMISS Parker 15' Jump Shot19
22.7%
17
77.3%
Q1 - 3:18ATLTeague 1' Layup (6 PTS)19
21.6%
17
78.4%
Q1 - 3:32SASBelinelli 9' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)17
20.3%
17
79.7%
Q1 - 3:44ATLTeague Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)17
21.6%
15
78.4%
Q1 - 3:44ATLTeague Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)16
21.4%
15
78.6%
Q1 - 4:05ATLBrand REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
19.9%
15
80.1%
Q1 - 4:05SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw 2 of 215
19.7%
15
80.3%
Q1 - 4:05SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)15
18.7%
15
81.3%
Q1 - 4:22ATLTeague 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Horford 1 AST)15
19.7%
14
80.3%
Q1 - 4:33SASParker Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)13
18.6%
14
81.4%
Q1 - 4:39SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
17.1%
14
82.9%
Q1 - 4:40ATLMISS Teague 18' Jump Shot13
17.6%
14
82.4%
Q1 - 4:49ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)13
18.6%
14
81.4%
Q1 - 4:50SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot13
18.1%
14
81.9%
Q1 - 5:04ATLHorford 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Teague 2 AST)13
17.2%
14
82.8%
Q1 - 5:25SASLeonard 1' Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Splitter 1 AST)11
16.1%
14
83.9%
Q1 - 5:35SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
17.1%
12
82.9%
Q1 - 5:36ATLMISS Horford 13' Step Back Jump Shot11
17.5%
12
82.5%
Q1 - 6:01SASSplitter 2' Dunk (4 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)11
18.1%
12
81.9%
Q1 - 6:05SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)11
19.2%
10
80.8%
Q1 - 6:07ATLMISS Millsap 25' 3PT Jump Shot11
19.6%
10
80.4%
Q1 - 6:31SASDuncan 1' Layup (4 PTS)11
20.6%
10
79.4%
Q1 - 6:55ATLHorford 1' Reverse Layup (4 PTS)11
21.8%
8
78.2%
Q1 - 7:08ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
20.3%
8
79.7%
Q1 - 7:09SASMISS Leonard 18' Jump Shot9
19.9%
8
80.1%
Q1 - 7:15SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)9
18.9%
8
81.1%
Q1 - 7:18ATLMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot9
19.3%
8
80.7%
Q1 - 7:23SASSplitter Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T3)9
20.3%
8
79.7%
Q1 - 7:39ATLSplitter STEAL (1 STL)9
18.9%
8
81.1%
Q1 - 7:55SASSPURS Turnover: Backcourt (T#2)9
20.3%
8
79.7%
Q1 - 8:08SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
18.7%
8
81.3%
Q1 - 8:09ATLMISS Teague 8' Jump Shot9
19.1%
8
80.9%
Q1 - 8:24SASDuncan 6' Running Hook Shot (2 PTS)9
19.9%
8
80.1%
Q1 - 8:40ATLHorford 1' Alley Oop Layup (2 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)9
21.1%
6
78.9%
Q1 - 8:46ATLCarroll REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)7
20.0%
6
80.0%
Q1 - 8:47ATLMISS Carroll 26' 3PT Jump Shot7
19.1%
6
80.9%
Q1 - 8:51ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
20.0%
6
80.0%
Q1 - 8:55SASMISS Parker 1' Reverse Layup7
19.6%
6
80.4%
Q1 - 9:06ATLCarroll 1' Layup (7 PTS) (Millsap 1 AST)7
18.5%
6
81.5%
Q1 - 9:27SASParker 1' Layup (4 PTS)5
17.6%
6
82.4%
Q1 - 9:39ATLCarroll 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Teague 1 AST)5
18.5%
4
81.5%
Q1 - 10:05SASParker 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Green 1 AST)2
16.6%
4
83.4%
Q1 - 10:22ATLCarroll 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)2
17.4%
2
82.6%
Q1 - 10:28SASSplitter Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
16.6%
2
83.4%
Q1 - 10:40SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
15.5%
2
84.5%
Q1 - 10:42ATLSplitter BLOCK (2 BLK)0
15.9%
2
84.1%
Q1 - 11:06SASSplitter 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)0
16.3%
2
83.7%
Q1 - 11:19SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
17.3%
0
82.7%
Q1 - 11:21ATLSplitter BLOCK (1 BLK)0
17.6%
0
82.4%
Q1 - 11:37ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
18.2%
0
81.8%
Q1 - 11:38SASMISS Duncan 9' Jump Shot0
17.9%
0
82.1%
Q1 - 12:00SASJump Ball Duncan vs. Horford: Tip to Parker0
17.3%
0
82.7%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
0.99 49.5%
SAS
1.15 57.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ATL
17
30
57%
SAS
19
27
70%
Midrange
ATL
14
35
40%
SAS
17
33
52%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ATL
11
16.5
31
35%
53%
SAS
6
9.0
18
33%
50%
Free Throws
ATL
5
5
100%
SAS
12
17
71%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Teague1963%9.5 / 15
A. Horford1856%9.0 / 16
D. Carroll1777%8.5 / 11
P. Millsap1538%7.5 / 20
L. Williams1036%5.0 / 14
S. Mack750%3.5 / 7
C. Martin643%3.0 / 7
E. Brand675%3.0 / 4
J. Jenkins233%1.0 / 3
M. Scott0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Duncan2368%11.5 / 17
B. Diaw1680%8.0 / 10
T. Parker1568%7.5 / 11
M. Belinelli1372%6.5 / 9
T. Splitter1161%5.5 / 9
M. Ginobili1050%5.0 / 10
P. Mills660%3.0 / 5
K. Leonard429%2.0 / 7
D. Green321%1.5 / 7
J. Ayres150%0.5 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ATL
86
+13
-10
99
SAS
80
+9
-17
89
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
0.99 49.5%
SAS
1.15 57.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
105.6
110.3
ATL 104.2
SAS 105.2 +1.0
Pace
95.0
95.2
ATL 102.1 +10.6
SAS 91.5
Avg. Poss. Time
14.9
15.1
ATL 14.1 +1.6
SAS 15.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.5%
53.7%
ATL 49.5%
SAS 57.7% +8.2%
TO %
15.2%
14.7%
ATL 9.2% +9.0%
SAS 18.2%
ORB %
21.0%
22.8%
ATL 20.4%
SAS 23.7% +3.3%
FTrt
26.6
24.0
ATL 5.2
SAS 21.8 +16.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
66.7%
62.1%
ATL 52.4%
SAS 64.3% +11.9%
STL %
8.7%
7.7%
ATL 10.4% +4.2%
SAS 6.2%
BLK %
6.5%
7.7%
ATL 3.3%
SAS 12.3% +9.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.23 and 2.23.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.7%
56.0%
ATL 49.5%
SAS 57.3% +7.8%
Rim FG%
59.2%
63.1%
ATL 56.7%
SAS 70.4% +13.7%
Mid FG%
41.3%
40.6%
ATL 40.0%
SAS 51.5% +11.5%
3P %
36.3%
39.7%
ATL 35.5% +2.2%
SAS 33.3%
FT %
78.1%
78.6%
ATL 100.0% +29.4%
SAS 70.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.9%
36.5%
ATL 31.3%
SAS 34.6% +3.4%
Mid Att. %
34.5%
37.8%
ATL 36.5% +5.8%
SAS 42.3%
3P Att. %
31.6%
25.7%
ATL 32.3% +9.2%
SAS 23.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.04 and 2.04.
Game TotalsATLSAS
Possessions9697
Possession Minutes22.625.4
Points100102
Rebounds3948
Assists2227
Steals106
Blocks28
Turnovers (Team)10 (0)17 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (3)9 (0)
Def. Rebounds (Team)29 (1)39 (2)
Field Goals42-9642-78
At-the-Rim FG17-3019-27
Midrange FG14-3517-33
2-Point FG31-6536-60
3-Point FG11-316-18
Free Throws5-512-17
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'8" 246 · 29
38.3
15
38%
14
3
2
1
2
2
4
10
1-1
100%
4-14
29%
2-6
33%
F · 6'8" 215 · 27
36.9
17
77%
8
2
2
0
1
3
4
4
0-0
-
4-6
67%
3-5
60%
G · 6'2" 189 · 25
36.7
19
63%
3
7
1
0
3
3
0
3
4-4
100%
3-9
33%
3-4
75%
C · 6'10" 245 · 27
35.2
18
56%
7
3
2
0
0
0
2
5
0-0
-
9-16
56%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 175 · 27
27.3
10
36%
0
4
1
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
5-8
63%
0-6
0%
F · 6'7" 220 · 29
19.9
6
43%
1
0
1
0
1
5
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
0%
2-5
40%
G · 6'3" 203 · 24
19.7
7
50%
0
2
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
2-5
40%
1-2
50%
F · 6'9" 254 · 35
12.6
6
75%
4
0
1
0
2
1
0
4
0-0
-
3-4
75%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 237 · 25
9.8
0
0%
2
1
0
0
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
G · 6'4" 215 · 23
3.4
2
33%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-2
0%
· 6'10" 250 · 29
G · 6'1" 175 · 20
F-C · 6'11" 260 · 31
#26 · G · 6'7" 212 · 33
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#7 · G · 6'4" 194 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
100
50%
39
22
10
2
10
0
10
29
5-5
100%
31-65
48%
11-31
35%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.