FinalWin Prob.pScore
1643%103
112
1257%105
98
ORTG#PossPace
DEN logo DEN
115.597101.7
TOR logo TOR
102.19691.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

RaptorsNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

RaptorsNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDENTOR
Q4 - 0:00.0DEN112
100%
98
0%
Q4 - 0:13.0TORGay Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)112
99.9%
98
0.1%
Q4 - 0:13.0TORGay Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)112
99.9%
97
0.1%
Q4 - 0:27.0DENRobinson 2' Driving Layup (23 PTS) (Miller 7 AST)112
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 0:30.0TORDeRozan Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T14)110
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 0:36.0DENRobinson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T15)110
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 0:51.0DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:7 Def:8)110
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 0:52.0TORMISS Lowry 24' 3PT Jump Shot110
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 0:58.0DENMozgov Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)110
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 0:58.0DENMozgov Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)109
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 0:58.0DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:7 Def:7)108
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 0:58.0TORMISS Hansbrough 1' Tip Shot108
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 0:58.0TORHansbrough REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)108
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 0:58.0TORMISS Ross 3' Layup108
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 0:59.0TORRoss REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)108
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 1:01TORMISS DeRozan 12' Jump Shot108
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 1:14TORRAPTORS Rebound108
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 1:14TORMISS Gay 2' Driving Layup108
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 1:29DENMozgov Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)108
99.8%
96
0.2%
Q4 - 1:29DENMISS Mozgov Free Throw 1 of 2107
99.7%
96
0.3%
Q4 - 1:30DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:7 Def:6)107
99.8%
96
0.2%
Q4 - 1:31TORMISS Ross 20' Jump Shot107
99.7%
96
0.3%
Q4 - 1:39DENRobinson 3PT Step Back Jump Shot (21 PTS)107
99.5%
96
0.5%
Q4 - 1:58DENMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)104
98.4%
96
1.6%
Q4 - 1:59TORMISS Lowry 8' Jump Shot104
98.1%
96
1.9%
Q4 - 2:15DENRobinson 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Chandler 3 AST)104
97.0%
96
3.0%
Q4 - 2:38TORLowry 4' Floating Jump Shot (17 PTS)101
93.3%
96
6.7%
Q4 - 2:54DENMozgov Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)101
93.8%
94
6.2%
Q4 - 2:54DENMISS Mozgov Free Throw 1 of 2100
93.2%
94
6.8%
Q4 - 3:14DENNuggets Rebound100
94.4%
94
5.6%
Q4 - 3:15TORMISS Gay 4' Driving Jump Shot100
93.5%
94
6.5%
Q4 - 3:25DENLawson Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T14)100
90.9%
94
9.1%
Q4 - 3:38TORGay 6' Jump Shot (21 PTS)100
91.1%
94
8.9%
Q4 - 3:49DENMozgov 1' Slam Dunk (12 PTS) (Lawson 6 AST)100
93.6%
92
6.4%
Q4 - 4:00DENLawson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)98
91.5%
92
8.5%
Q4 - 4:02TORMISS Lowry 24' 3PT Jump Shot98
90.5%
92
9.5%
Q4 - 4:20TORLowry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)98
87.9%
92
12.1%
Q4 - 4:21DENMISS Robinson 25' 3PT Jump Shot98
89.2%
92
10.8%
Q4 - 4:34TORValanciunas Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)98
91.7%
92
8.3%
Q4 - 4:34TORMISS Valanciunas Free Throw 1 of 298
92.2%
91
7.8%
Q4 - 4:34TORRAPTORS Rebound98
91.5%
91
8.5%
Q4 - 4:35TORMISS DeRozan 25' 3PT Jump Shot98
93.5%
91
6.5%
Q4 - 4:59DENRobinson 2' Driving Layup (15 PTS)98
91.6%
91
8.4%
Q4 - 5:07TORRoss Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)96
84.8%
91
15.2%
Q4 - 5:07TORRoss Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)96
85.8%
90
14.2%
Q4 - 5:12DENFaried 1' Alley Oop Dunk (12 PTS) (Chandler 2 AST)96
88.4%
89
11.6%
Q4 - 5:17DENMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)94
84.9%
89
15.1%
Q4 - 5:18TORMISS DeRozan 22' Jump Shot94
83.4%
89
16.6%
Q4 - 5:34DENMozgov Traveling Turnover (P2.T13)94
79.7%
89
20.3%
Q4 - 5:54TORRoss 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Stone 2 AST)94
85.1%
89
14.9%
Q4 - 6:07DENRobinson 15' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Miller 6 AST)94
89.1%
86
10.9%
Q4 - 6:23TORRoss 20' Pullup Jump Shot (5 PTS)92
86.4%
86
13.6%
Q4 - 6:57DENMiller 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (9 PTS) (Robinson 5 AST)92
89.3%
84
10.7%
Q4 - 7:07TORRAPTORS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#13)90
84.2%
84
15.8%
Q4 - 7:07TORRAPTORS Rebound90
79.7%
84
20.3%
Q4 - 7:08TORMISS Stone 9' Running Jump Shot90
82.9%
84
17.1%
Q4 - 7:33DENArthur 18' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Robinson 4 AST)90
79.8%
84
20.2%
Q4 - 7:46TORGay 1' Driving Layup (19 PTS)88
75.5%
84
24.5%
Q4 - 7:56TORStone REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)88
79.9%
82
20.1%
Q4 - 7:58DENMISS Mozgov 3' Finger Roll Layup88
81.4%
82
18.6%
Q4 - 8:21TORGay 17' Jump Shot (17 PTS)88
82.1%
82
17.9%
Q4 - 8:37TORHansbrough REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)88
85.6%
80
14.4%
Q4 - 8:39TORMISS Stone 24' 3PT Jump Shot88
87.7%
80
12.3%
Q4 - 8:58DENArthur 22' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Miller 5 AST)88
85.7%
80
14.3%
Q4 - 9:17TORHansbrough 3' Layup (7 PTS) (Novak 1 AST)86
80.2%
80
19.8%
Q4 - 9:23TORGay REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)86
83.8%
78
16.2%
Q4 - 9:25TORMISS Novak 24' 3PT Jump Shot86
85.9%
78
14.1%
Q4 - 9:48DENHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)86
83.8%
78
16.2%
Q4 - 9:48DENHamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)85
82.8%
78
17.2%
Q4 - 9:58TORLowry Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)84
80.3%
78
19.7%
Q4 - 9:58TORLowry Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)84
80.9%
77
19.1%
Q4 - 10:11DENRobinson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Hamilton 1 AST)84
82.0%
76
18.0%
Q4 - 10:17TORGay Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)81
74.4%
76
25.6%
Q4 - 10:36DENMozgov 1' Slam Dunk (10 PTS) (Miller 4 AST)81
69.9%
76
30.1%
Q4 - 10:53TORGay 19' Jump Shot (15 PTS)79
65.0%
76
35.0%
Q4 - 11:06TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:8 Def:3)79
68.5%
74
31.5%
Q4 - 11:08TORMISS Lowry 19' Jump Shot79
71.7%
74
28.3%
Q4 - 11:21DENRobinson 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Mozgov 1 AST)79
68.6%
74
31.4%
Q4 - 11:45TORValanciunas 14' Jump Shot (17 PTS)76
58.8%
74
41.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0TOR76
63.8%
72
36.2%
Q3 - 0:01.0DENArthur 1' Layup (10 PTS)76
63.0%
72
37.0%
Q3 - 0:02.0TORDeRozan Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T11)74
57.9%
72
42.1%
Q3 - 0:06.0DENNovak STEAL (1 STL)74
53.1%
72
46.9%
Q3 - 0:23.0DENNuggets Rebound74
58.0%
72
42.0%
Q3 - 0:23.0DENDeRozan BLOCK (1 BLK)74
54.6%
72
45.4%
Q3 - 0:27.0TORLowry Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T10)74
58.0%
72
42.0%
Q3 - 0:37.0DENLawson 13' Pullup Jump Shot (16 PTS)74
53.1%
72
46.9%
Q3 - 0:43.0DENHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)72
47.8%
72
52.2%
Q3 - 0:45.0TORMISS Valanciunas 20' Jump Shot72
46.3%
72
53.7%
Q3 - 0:55.0TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)72
42.9%
72
57.1%
Q3 - 0:57.0DENMISS Lawson Free Throw 2 of 272
43.5%
72
56.5%
Q3 - 0:57.0DENLawson Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)72
47.0%
72
53.0%
Q3 - 1:11TORNovak 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (DeRozan 4 AST)71
42.6%
72
57.4%
Q3 - 1:17TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)71
52.5%
69
47.5%
Q3 - 1:19TORMISS Lowry 25' 3PT Jump Shot71
55.8%
69
44.2%
Q3 - 1:38DENHamilton 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS)71
52.5%
69
47.5%
Q3 - 1:55DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:7 Def:5)68
42.6%
69
57.4%
Q3 - 1:56TORMISS DeRozan Free Throw 2 of 268
42.0%
69
58.0%
Q3 - 1:56TORDeRozan Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)68
38.6%
69
61.4%
Q3 - 2:10DENLawson Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)68
42.2%
68
57.8%
Q3 - 2:10DENLawson Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)67
41.3%
68
58.7%
Q3 - 2:13DENLawson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)66
37.9%
68
62.1%
Q3 - 2:14TORMISS Lowry 24' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot66
36.5%
68
63.5%
Q3 - 2:41DENArthur 21' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Lawson 5 AST)66
33.5%
68
66.5%
Q3 - 3:01TORHansbrough Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)64
30.2%
68
69.8%
Q3 - 3:01TORHansbrough Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)64
31.0%
67
69.0%
Q3 - 3:11DENMozgov 1' Slam Dunk (8 PTS)64
33.8%
66
66.2%
Q3 - 3:14DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:7 Def:4)62
30.2%
66
69.8%
Q3 - 3:15DENMISS Mozgov 1' Layup62
27.4%
66
72.6%
Q3 - 3:17DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:6 Def:4)62
30.2%
66
69.8%
Q3 - 3:19DENGay BLOCK (2 BLK)62
27.4%
66
72.6%
Q3 - 3:35TORJohnson Foul Turnover (P1.T9)62
30.2%
66
69.8%
Q3 - 3:44DENMozgov Traveling Turnover (P1.T11)62
26.2%
66
73.8%
Q3 - 3:56TORGay 3' Layup (13 PTS)62
30.1%
66
69.9%
Q3 - 4:06TORGay REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)62
33.7%
64
66.3%
Q3 - 4:07DENMISS Mozgov 1' Putback Layup62
35.1%
64
64.9%
Q3 - 4:09DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)62
38.5%
64
61.5%
Q3 - 4:11DENMISS Fournier 2' Driving Layup62
35.1%
64
64.9%
Q3 - 4:20TORDeRozan Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)62
38.5%
64
61.5%
Q3 - 4:20TORDeRozan Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)62
39.2%
63
60.8%
Q3 - 4:31DENArthur 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Lawson 4 AST)62
41.7%
62
58.3%
Q3 - 4:40DENFaried REBOUND (Off:6 Def:6)60
38.5%
62
61.5%
Q3 - 4:41DENMISS Chandler 24' 3PT Jump Shot60
35.1%
62
64.9%
Q3 - 4:53TORGay 6' Turnaround Jump Shot (11 PTS)60
38.5%
62
61.5%
Q3 - 5:15DENLawson 2' Driving Layup (11 PTS)60
41.7%
60
58.3%
Q3 - 5:25DENNuggets Rebound58
38.3%
60
61.7%
Q3 - 5:25TORMISS DeRozan 17' Jump Shot58
36.9%
60
63.1%
Q3 - 5:36TORLowry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)58
33.9%
60
66.1%
Q3 - 5:37DENMISS Chandler 20' Jump Shot58
35.2%
60
64.8%
Q3 - 5:48TORLowry Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T8)58
38.3%
60
61.7%
Q3 - 5:58DENGay STEAL (3 STL)58
33.9%
60
66.1%
Q3 - 6:17TORValanciunas 1' Slam Dunk (15 PTS) (Lowry 7 AST)58
38.3%
60
61.7%
Q3 - 6:32TORGay REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)58
41.7%
58
58.3%
Q3 - 6:33DENMISS Lawson 21' Jump Shot58
43.0%
58
57.0%
Q3 - 6:40DENChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)58
46.1%
58
53.9%
Q3 - 6:42TORMISS Valanciunas 15' Jump Shot58
44.7%
58
55.3%
Q3 - 6:54DENLawson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Chandler 1 AST)58
41.7%
58
58.3%
Q3 - 7:02TORLowry 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (DeRozan 3 AST)55
34.5%
58
65.5%
Q3 - 7:26DENFoye Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)55
41.5%
55
58.5%
Q3 - 7:26DENFoye Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)54
40.9%
55
59.1%
Q3 - 7:31TORValanciunas 2' Turnaround Hook Shot (13 PTS) (Lowry 6 AST)53
38.1%
55
61.9%
Q3 - 7:56DENHickson Foul Turnover (P1.T9)53
41.5%
53
58.5%
Q3 - 8:03DENHickson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)53
45.5%
53
54.5%
Q3 - 8:04TORMISS Valanciunas 2' Layup53
44.2%
53
55.8%
Q3 - 8:05TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:7 Def:3)53
41.3%
53
58.7%
Q3 - 8:07TORMISS Gay 3' Layup53
44.2%
53
55.8%
Q3 - 8:32DENFaried 15' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Lawson 3 AST)53
41.3%
53
58.7%
Q3 - 8:49TORDeRozan 12' Pullup Jump Shot (14 PTS)51
38.2%
53
61.8%
Q3 - 8:58TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)51
41.3%
51
58.7%
Q3 - 8:59DENMISS Foye 3PT Jump Shot51
42.6%
51
57.4%
Q3 - 9:06DENFaried REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)51
45.0%
51
55.0%
Q3 - 9:07TORMISS Gay 9' Turnaround Jump Shot51
43.8%
51
56.2%
Q3 - 9:28DENHickson 3' Reverse Layup (3 PTS) (Faried 3 AST)51
41.3%
51
58.7%
Q3 - 9:45TORLowry 17' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Gay 3 AST)49
37.9%
51
62.1%
Q3 - 9:59TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:6 Def:3)49
41.3%
49
58.7%
Q3 - 10:01DENValanciunas BLOCK (3 BLK)49
42.3%
49
57.7%
Q3 - 10:14TORValanciunas 14' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (DeRozan 2 AST)49
44.8%
49
55.2%
Q3 - 10:32DENFaried 2' Running Finger Roll Layup (8 PTS) (Lawson 2 AST)49
48.3%
47
51.7%
Q3 - 10:45DENFaried REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)47
44.8%
47
55.2%
Q3 - 10:46TORMISS Gay 21' Jump Shot47
43.7%
47
56.3%
Q3 - 11:09DENLawson Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T8)47
41.3%
47
58.7%
Q3 - 11:25TORValanciunas 5' Turnaround Fadeaway (9 PTS)47
44.8%
47
55.2%
Q3 - 11:42TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)47
48.1%
45
51.9%
Q3 - 11:43DENMISS Lawson 15' Step Back Jump Shot47
49.2%
45
50.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0DEN47
51.7%
45
48.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0DENNuggets Rebound47
51.7%
45
48.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0DENMISS Lawson 14' Jump Shot47
49.2%
45
50.8%
Q2 - 0:19.0DENFaried REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)47
50.8%
45
49.2%
Q2 - 0:20.0TORMISS DeRozan 25' 3PT Jump Shot47
50.0%
45
50.0%
Q2 - 0:44.0DENLawson 1' Driving Layup (6 PTS) (Faried 2 AST)47
48.3%
45
51.7%
Q2 - 0:47.0DENFaried REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)45
44.3%
45
55.7%
Q2 - 0:48.0DENMISS Lawson 25' 3PT Jump Shot45
42.5%
45
57.5%
Q2 - 1:06DENFaried REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)45
44.0%
45
56.0%
Q2 - 1:07TORMISS Hansbrough 17' Jump Shot45
43.4%
45
56.6%
Q2 - 1:18TORHansbrough REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)45
42.0%
45
58.0%
Q2 - 1:20DENMISS Foye 9' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot45
42.6%
45
57.4%
Q2 - 1:35DENFoye REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)45
44.0%
45
56.0%
Q2 - 1:37TORMISS Ross 3' Running Layup45
43.4%
45
56.6%
Q2 - 2:02DENFaried 1' Tip Shot (6 PTS)45
41.3%
45
58.7%
Q2 - 2:04DENFaried REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)43
38.4%
45
61.6%
Q2 - 2:05DENMISS Foye 3PT Jump Shot43
36.4%
45
63.6%
Q2 - 2:27TORValanciunas 5' Jump Hook Shot (7 PTS)43
38.4%
45
61.6%
Q2 - 2:42TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)43
41.4%
43
58.6%
Q2 - 2:44DENMISS Lawson 17' Pullup Jump Shot43
42.3%
43
57.7%
Q2 - 2:51DENFaried REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)43
44.4%
43
55.6%
Q2 - 2:53TORMISS DeRozan 16' Pullup Jump Shot43
43.5%
43
56.5%
Q2 - 3:02DENLawson 4' Driving Jump Shot (4 PTS)43
41.1%
43
58.9%
Q2 - 3:18TORRAPTORS Rebound41
38.8%
43
61.2%
Q2 - 3:18TORValanciunas Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)41
38.8%
43
61.2%
Q2 - 3:18TORMISS Valanciunas Free Throw 1 of 241
39.3%
42
60.7%
Q2 - 3:37DENFaried Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)41
38.2%
42
61.8%
Q2 - 3:37DENFaried Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)40
37.3%
42
62.7%
Q2 - 3:48DENFaried REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)39
35.9%
42
64.1%
Q2 - 3:50TORMISS Lowry 24' 3PT Jump Shot39
34.9%
42
65.1%
Q2 - 3:57DENDeRozan STEAL (1 STL)39
32.7%
42
67.3%
Q2 - 4:10TORDeRozan Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)39
35.7%
42
64.3%
Q2 - 4:10TORMISS DeRozan Free Throw 1 of 239
36.2%
41
63.8%
Q2 - 4:21DENLowry STEAL (2 STL)39
35.7%
41
64.3%
Q2 - 4:23DENFaried REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)39
38.5%
41
61.5%
Q2 - 4:24DENMISS Foye 24' 3PT Jump Shot39
36.5%
41
63.5%
Q2 - 4:35DENChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)39
38.5%
41
61.5%
Q2 - 4:36TORMISS DeRozan 11' Turnaround Jump Shot39
37.6%
41
62.4%
Q2 - 5:00TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)39
35.7%
41
64.3%
Q2 - 5:01DENMISS Robinson 25' 3PT Jump Shot39
36.7%
41
63.3%
Q2 - 5:17DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)39
38.5%
41
61.5%
Q2 - 5:20TORMISS Gay 5' Jump Shot39
37.7%
41
62.3%
Q2 - 5:23TORLowry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)39
36.0%
41
64.0%
Q2 - 5:24DENMISS Hamilton 24' 3PT Jump Shot39
36.7%
41
63.3%
Q2 - 5:31DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)39
38.5%
41
61.5%
Q2 - 5:32DENMISS Faried 6' Hook Shot39
36.7%
41
63.3%
Q2 - 5:52DENRobinson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)39
38.5%
41
61.5%
Q2 - 5:53DENMISS Hamilton 1' Driving Jump Shot39
36.7%
41
63.3%
Q2 - 5:59TORValanciunas Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)39
38.5%
41
61.5%
Q2 - 6:12DENMozgov 1' Putback Slam Dunk (6 PTS)39
35.8%
41
64.2%
Q2 - 6:15DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)37
33.8%
41
66.2%
Q2 - 6:17DENMISS Hamilton 2' Driving Layup37
31.8%
41
68.2%
Q2 - 6:23DENHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)37
33.8%
41
66.2%
Q2 - 6:24TORMISS Gay 20' Jump Shot37
32.9%
41
67.1%
Q2 - 6:40DENRobinson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Miller 3 AST)37
30.9%
41
69.1%
Q2 - 6:45DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)34
26.8%
41
73.2%
Q2 - 6:46DENMISS Miller 2' Layup34
25.1%
41
74.9%
Q2 - 6:58TORGay 2' Tip Shot (9 PTS)34
26.8%
41
73.2%
Q2 - 7:00TORGay REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)34
28.6%
39
71.4%
Q2 - 7:02TORMISS Gay 2' Driving Jump Shot34
30.7%
39
69.3%
Q2 - 7:14TORNovak REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
29.0%
39
71.0%
Q2 - 7:14DENMISS Mozgov 2' Putback Layup34
29.8%
39
70.2%
Q2 - 7:15DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)34
31.5%
39
68.5%
Q2 - 7:16DENGay BLOCK (1 BLK)34
29.8%
39
70.2%
Q2 - 7:43TORGay 15' Jump Shot (7 PTS)34
31.5%
39
68.5%
Q2 - 7:54TORGay REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)34
33.6%
37
66.4%
Q2 - 7:55DENMISS Miller 2' Layup34
34.4%
37
65.6%
Q2 - 8:06DENArthur REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)34
36.2%
37
63.8%
Q2 - 8:08TORMISS Ross 24' 3PT Jump Shot34
35.4%
37
64.6%
Q2 - 8:24DENArthur 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Robinson 3 AST)34
33.7%
37
66.3%
Q2 - 8:32DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)32
31.5%
37
68.5%
Q2 - 8:34TORMISS Gay 2' Driving Slam Dunk32
30.8%
37
69.2%
Q2 - 9:01DENHamilton 3' Driving Bank Shot (5 PTS) (Arthur 2 AST)32
29.4%
37
70.6%
Q2 - 9:07TORGay Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)30
27.5%
37
72.5%
Q2 - 9:15TORGay REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)30
25.4%
37
74.6%
Q2 - 9:16DENMISS Hamilton 24' 3PT Jump Shot30
26.1%
37
73.9%
Q2 - 9:26DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
27.5%
37
72.5%
Q2 - 9:28TORMISS Ross 25' 3PT Jump Shot30
26.9%
37
73.1%
Q2 - 9:49DENHamilton 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Arthur 1 AST)30
25.4%
37
74.6%
Q2 - 10:14TORNovak 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Stone 1 AST)27
22.3%
37
77.7%
Q2 - 10:20DENStone STEAL (1 STL)27
25.5%
34
74.5%
Q2 - 10:38DENArthur REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
27.8%
34
72.2%
Q2 - 10:39TORMISS Novak 21' Jump Shot27
27.1%
34
72.9%
Q2 - 10:56TORStone REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
25.5%
34
74.5%
Q2 - 10:57DENMISS Robinson 3PT Jump Shot27
26.2%
34
73.8%
Q2 - 11:17TORRoss 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Gay 2 AST)27
27.9%
34
72.1%
Q2 - 11:24TORRAPTORS Rebound27
31.8%
31
68.2%
Q2 - 11:25TORMISS Gay 2' Layup27
33.4%
31
66.6%
Q2 - 11:44DENMiller 3' Driving Hook Shot (7 PTS)27
31.8%
31
68.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0DEN25
29.9%
31
70.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0DENNuggets Rebound25
29.9%
31
70.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0DENMISS Robinson 2' Driving Layup25
28.4%
31
71.6%
Q1 - 0:02.0DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
29.8%
31
70.2%
Q1 - 0:03.0TORMISS Johnson 9' Running Hook Shot25
29.3%
31
70.7%
Q1 - 0:23.0DENMozgov 1' Running Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Miller 2 AST)25
28.3%
31
71.7%
Q1 - 0:28.0TORHansbrough 2' Running Finger Roll Layup (3 PTS) (Lowry 5 AST)23
26.0%
31
74.0%
Q1 - 0:39.0DENMozgov 6' Turnaround Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)23
28.3%
29
71.7%
Q1 - 0:51.0DENMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
26.0%
29
74.0%
Q1 - 0:52.0TORMISS Lowry 25' 3PT Jump Shot21
25.6%
29
74.4%
Q1 - 1:00DENMiller 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Robinson 2 AST)21
24.6%
29
75.4%
Q1 - 1:20DENHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
21.3%
29
78.7%
Q1 - 1:21TORMISS DeRozan 20' Turnaround Jump Shot18
21.0%
29
79.0%
Q1 - 1:38DENArthur 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Robinson 1 AST)18
20.2%
29
79.8%
Q1 - 1:57TORValanciunas 1' Slam Dunk (4 PTS)16
18.4%
29
81.6%
Q1 - 1:59TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:6 Def:2)16
20.2%
27
79.8%
Q1 - 2:01TORMISS Valanciunas 3' Jump Bank Shot16
21.4%
27
78.6%
Q1 - 2:08TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
20.4%
27
79.6%
Q1 - 2:09DENMISS Miller 2' Driving Layup16
20.8%
27
79.2%
Q1 - 2:18DENMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
21.8%
27
78.2%
Q1 - 2:19TORMISS Gay 24' 3PT Jump Shot16
21.3%
27
78.7%
Q1 - 2:28TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)16
20.4%
27
79.6%
Q1 - 2:30TORMISS Valanciunas 1' Tip Shot16
21.3%
27
78.7%
Q1 - 2:32TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)16
20.4%
27
79.6%
Q1 - 2:33TORMISS DeRozan 15' Jump Shot16
21.3%
27
78.7%
Q1 - 2:40TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
20.4%
27
79.6%
Q1 - 2:42DENMISS Robinson 1' Driving Layup16
20.8%
27
79.2%
Q1 - 2:47TORLowry Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T5)16
21.8%
27
78.2%
Q1 - 2:55DENMiller 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)16
20.4%
27
79.6%
Q1 - 3:15DENArthur REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
19.2%
27
80.8%
Q1 - 3:16TORMISS Gay 8' Jump Shot14
18.7%
27
81.3%
Q1 - 3:33TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
17.7%
27
82.3%
Q1 - 3:35DENMISS Robinson Free Throw 1 of 114
17.9%
27
82.1%
Q1 - 3:56TORDeRozan Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)12
16.6%
27
83.4%
Q1 - 3:56TORDeRozan Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)12
16.8%
26
83.2%
Q1 - 4:06TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)12
18.1%
25
81.9%
Q1 - 4:08DENMISS Foye 13' Floating Jump Shot12
18.5%
25
81.5%
Q1 - 4:21TORLowry Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)12
19.6%
25
80.4%
Q1 - 4:21TORLowry Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)12
19.8%
24
80.2%
Q1 - 4:43DENChandler 21' Jump Bank Shot (5 PTS) (Lawson 1 AST)12
20.8%
23
79.2%
Q1 - 4:52DENLawson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
19.6%
23
80.4%
Q1 - 4:53TORMISS Gay Free Throw 2 of 210
19.4%
23
80.6%
Q1 - 4:53TORGay Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)10
18.5%
23
81.5%
Q1 - 4:56TORGay REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)10
19.4%
22
80.6%
Q1 - 5:00DENMISS Mozgov 3' Layup10
19.9%
22
80.1%
Q1 - 5:12TORDeRozan 8' Turnaround Fadeaway (9 PTS) (Lowry 4 AST)10
21.7%
22
78.3%
Q1 - 5:25TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)10
22.9%
20
77.1%
Q1 - 5:25TORMISS Valanciunas 2' Layup10
24.1%
20
75.9%
Q1 - 5:25TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)10
22.9%
20
77.1%
Q1 - 5:25TORMISS Valanciunas 2' Tip Shot10
24.1%
20
75.9%
Q1 - 5:26TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
22.9%
20
77.1%
Q1 - 5:28TORMISS Lowry 2' Driving Reverse Layup10
24.1%
20
75.9%
Q1 - 5:52DENLawson 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)10
22.9%
20
77.1%
Q1 - 5:56TORLowry Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)8
21.6%
20
78.4%
Q1 - 5:58TORRAPTORS Rebound8
20.1%
20
79.9%
Q1 - 5:58TORMISS Lowry 3' Driving Layup8
21.1%
20
78.9%
Q1 - 6:02DENLowry STEAL (1 STL)8
20.8%
20
79.2%
Q1 - 6:09TORHansbrough Foul Turnover (P1.T3)8
22.2%
20
77.8%
Q1 - 6:23TORHansbrough REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
20.8%
20
79.2%
Q1 - 6:24DENMISS Faried 2' Layup8
21.2%
20
78.8%
Q1 - 6:38TORGay 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Lowry 3 AST)8
22.2%
20
77.8%
Q1 - 6:56DENFoye Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)8
23.5%
18
76.5%
Q1 - 7:11TORLowry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (DeRozan 1 AST)8
25.5%
18
74.5%
Q1 - 7:25TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
28.2%
15
71.8%
Q1 - 7:26DENValanciunas BLOCK (2 BLK)8
28.8%
15
71.2%
Q1 - 7:40TORDeRozan 3' Driving Layup (7 PTS)8
30.0%
15
70.0%
Q1 - 7:52DENFaried 2' Driving Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Foye 1 AST)8
31.4%
13
68.6%
Q1 - 7:57DENFaried REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)6
30.0%
13
70.0%
Q1 - 7:59DENValanciunas BLOCK (1 BLK)6
28.8%
13
71.2%
Q1 - 8:10TORDeRozan 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Lowry 2 AST)6
30.3%
13
69.7%
Q1 - 8:24DENHickson Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)6
33.3%
10
66.7%
Q1 - 8:24DENMISS Hickson Free Throw 1 of 25
32.8%
10
67.2%
Q1 - 8:28DENLawson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
33.5%
10
66.5%
Q1 - 8:29TORMISS Gay 24' 3PT Jump Shot5
32.9%
10
67.1%
Q1 - 8:38TORHansbrough REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
31.7%
10
68.3%
Q1 - 8:39DENMISS Faried 6' Running Bank Hook Shot5
32.2%
10
67.8%
Q1 - 8:50TORHansbrough Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)5
33.5%
10
66.5%
Q1 - 8:50TORMISS Hansbrough Free Throw 1 of 25
33.8%
9
66.2%
Q1 - 8:53TORGay REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)5
33.3%
9
66.7%
Q1 - 8:55DENMISS Hickson 2' Driving Layup5
33.9%
9
66.1%
Q1 - 9:08TORValanciunas 6' Turnaround Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Lowry 1 AST)5
35.4%
9
64.6%
Q1 - 9:25DENGay STEAL (2 STL)5
36.9%
7
63.1%
Q1 - 9:26DENFaried REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)5
38.8%
7
61.2%
Q1 - 9:27DENMISS Lawson 24' 3PT Jump Shot5
37.5%
7
62.5%
Q1 - 9:34TORLowry Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)5
38.8%
7
61.2%
Q1 - 9:41TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
36.9%
7
63.1%
Q1 - 9:42DENMISS Chandler 25' 3PT Jump Shot5
37.5%
7
62.5%
Q1 - 9:54TORLowry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Gay 1 AST)5
38.8%
7
61.2%
Q1 - 10:03DENGay STEAL (1 STL)5
42.0%
4
58.0%
Q1 - 10:13TORDeRozan 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Hansbrough 1 AST)5
43.8%
4
56.2%
Q1 - 10:29DENChandler 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)5
45.4%
2
54.6%
Q1 - 10:53TORGay 8' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
42.2%
2
57.8%
Q1 - 11:05TORGay REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
43.5%
0
56.5%
Q1 - 11:06DENMISS Foye 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
44.0%
0
56.0%
Q1 - 11:14TORDeRozan Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)2
45.0%
0
55.0%
Q1 - 11:25DENFoye 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Faried 1 AST)2
43.6%
0
56.4%
Q1 - 11:41DENHickson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
41.8%
0
58.2%
Q1 - 11:43TORMISS Valanciunas 4' Driving Hook Shot0
41.3%
0
58.7%
Q1 - 12:00TORJump Ball Valanciunas vs. Hickson: Tip to Hansbrough0
40.3%
0
59.7%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.13 56.6%
TOR
0.96 48.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DEN
23
44
52%
TOR
13
31
42%
Midrange
DEN
11
20
55%
TOR
14
34
41%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DEN
10
15.0
23
43%
65%
TOR
8
12.0
22
36%
55%
Free Throws
DEN
14
19
74%
TOR
20
26
77%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
N. Robinson2382%11.5 / 14
T. Lawson1653%8.0 / 15
T. Mozgov1653%8.0 / 15
D. Arthur14100%7.0 / 7
K. Faried1255%6.0 / 11
J. Hamilton1056%5.0 / 9
A. Miller964%4.5 / 7
W. Chandler542%2.5 / 6
R. Foye425%2.0 / 8
J. Hickson350%1.5 / 3
E. Fournier0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
TOR logo Raptors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Gay2346%11.5 / 25
J. Valančiūnas1850%9.0 / 18
K. Lowry1750%8.5 / 17
D. DeRozan1747%8.5 / 18
T. Ross1056%5.0 / 9
T. Hansbrough758%3.5 / 6
S. Novak675%3.0 / 4
A. Johnson0-0.0 / 1
J. Stone0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DEN
82
+17
-15
99
TOR
83
+20
-13
103
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.13 56.6%
TOR
0.96 48.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.3
108.7
DEN 115.5 +13.4
TOR 102.1
Pace
97.8
92.0
DEN 101.7 +10.0
TOR 91.7
Avg. Poss. Time
14.2
16.1
DEN 14.2 +1.5
TOR 15.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.7%
49.8%
DEN 56.3% +11.5%
TOR 44.8%
TO %
15.7%
14.4%
DEN 13.6%
TOR 12.5% +1.1%
ORB %
27.5%
27.2%
DEN 33.3% +3.5%
TOR 29.8%
FTrt
30.6
30.6
DEN 21.8
TOR 29.9 +8.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.4%
58.1%
DEN 65.9% +14.5%
TOR 51.4%
STL %
7.6%
7.6%
DEN 10.3% +2.0%
TOR 8.3%
BLK %
8.6%
6.9%
DEN 9.2%
TOR 9.4% +0.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.2%
53.0%
DEN 56.6% +8.6%
TOR 48.0%
Rim FG%
57.6%
57.5%
DEN 52.3% +10.4%
TOR 41.9%
Mid FG%
36.2%
38.7%
DEN 55.0% +13.8%
TOR 41.2%
3P %
35.8%
37.2%
DEN 43.5% +7.1%
TOR 36.4%
FT %
72.6%
78.3%
DEN 73.7%
TOR 76.9% +3.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
40.2%
33.3%
DEN 50.6% +14.9%
TOR 35.6%
Mid Att. %
32.0%
38.2%
DEN 23.0% +16.1%
TOR 39.1%
3P Att. %
27.8%
28.5%
DEN 26.4% +1.1%
TOR 25.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsDENTOR
Possessions9796
Possession Minutes22.925.1
Points11298
Rebounds4742
Assists2918
Steals108
Blocks66
Turnovers (Team)15 (0)13 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)14 (3)14 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)33 (2)28 (0)
Field Goals44-8735-87
At-the-Rim FG23-4413-31
Midrange FG11-2014-34
2-Point FG34-6427-65
3-Point FG10-238-22
Free Throws14-1920-26
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 225 · 27
30.4
5
42%
2
3
2
0
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
33%
1-3
33%
G · 5'11" 195 · 26
29.1
16
53%
4
6
1
0
5
2
0
4
3-4
75%
5-10
50%
1-3
33%
F · 6'8" 228 · 24
20.1
12
55%
12
3
0
0
2
2
6
6
2-2
100%
5-10
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 218 · 30
19.0
4
25%
1
1
1
0
2
3
0
1
2-2
100%
1-3
33%
0-4
0%
C · 6'9" 242 · 25
17.5
3
50%
2
0
0
2
2
2
0
2
1-2
50%
1-2
50%
0-0
-
C · 7'1" 275 · 27
31.3
16
53%
15
1
2
2
2
1
7
8
4-6
67%
6-12
50%
0-0
-
G · 5'9" 180 · 30
23.5
23
82%
1
5
0
0
1
4
1
0
0-1
0%
4-6
67%
5-8
63%
G · 6'3" 200 · 38
23.1
9
64%
4
7
1
0
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
3-6
50%
1-1
100%
F · 6'9" 235 · 26
22.6
14
100%
3
2
3
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
7-7
100%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 23
17.6
10
56%
3
1
0
1
1
2
0
3
2-2
100%
1-4
25%
2-4
50%
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 21
5.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
· 6'10" 225 · 24
F · 6'9" 210 · 21
#34 · C · 7'0" 270 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#8 · F · 6'10" 225 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
112
57%
47
29
10
6
15
0
14
33
14-19
74%
34-64
53%
10-23
43%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.