FinalWin Prob.pScore
161%102
90
1239%98
83
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
92.897100.6
TOR logo TOR
86.59692.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

RaptorsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

RaptorsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIATOR
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA90
100%
83
0%
Q4 - 0:12.0MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)90
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 0:13.0TORMISS Gay 19' Jump Shot90
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 0:19.0MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (27 PTS)90
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 0:19.0MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (26 PTS)89
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 0:26.0MIAHeat Rebound88
99.4%
83
0.6%
Q4 - 0:27.0MIAMISS Wade 2' Driving Layup88
98.7%
83
1.3%
Q4 - 0:45.0TORHansbrough Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)88
98.6%
83
1.4%
Q4 - 0:45.0TORMISS Hansbrough Free Throw 1 of 288
98.8%
82
1.2%
Q4 - 0:46.0TORHansbrough REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7)88
98.4%
82
1.6%
Q4 - 0:48.0TORMISS Gay 2' Driving Layup88
99.0%
82
1.0%
Q4 - 0:59.0TORGay REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)88
97.8%
82
2.2%
Q4 - 1:01MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot88
98.2%
82
1.8%
Q4 - 1:20TORHansbrough Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)88
98.3%
82
1.7%
Q4 - 1:20TORMISS Hansbrough Free Throw 1 of 288
98.5%
81
1.5%
Q4 - 1:22MIAJames 1' Driving Layup (25 PTS) (Chalmers 8 AST)88
98.1%
81
1.9%
Q4 - 1:36MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)86
96.2%
81
3.8%
Q4 - 1:37TORMISS Gay Free Throw 2 of 286
95.9%
81
4.1%
Q4 - 1:37TORMISS Gay Free Throw 1 of 286
94.2%
81
5.8%
Q4 - 1:41MIAHansbrough STEAL (1 STL)86
93.1%
81
6.9%
Q4 - 1:43MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)86
95.8%
81
4.2%
Q4 - 1:44TORMISS DeRozan 3' Jump Shot86
95.0%
81
5.0%
Q4 - 2:00MIAJames Foul Turnover (P3.T19)86
92.9%
81
7.1%
Q4 - 2:08MIAHeat Rebound86
95.6%
81
4.4%
Q4 - 2:09TORMISS Ross 24' 3PT Jump Shot86
94.8%
81
5.2%
Q4 - 2:35MIAWade Foul Turnover (P5.T18)86
92.3%
81
7.7%
Q4 - 2:44MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)86
95.7%
81
4.3%
Q4 - 2:45TORMISS DeRozan 18' Jump Shot86
94.9%
81
5.1%
Q4 - 2:57TORRoss REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)86
91.1%
81
8.9%
Q4 - 2:58MIAMISS Wade 3' Driving Jump Shot86
92.4%
81
7.6%
Q4 - 3:09MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)86
94.7%
81
5.3%
Q4 - 3:10TORMISS Lowry 24' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot86
93.8%
81
6.2%
Q4 - 3:19TORRoss REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)86
91.2%
81
8.8%
Q4 - 3:20MIAMISS James 21' Jump Shot86
92.5%
81
7.5%
Q4 - 3:44TORGay Foul Turnover (P3.T21)86
92.2%
81
7.8%
Q4 - 3:51TORGay REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)86
88.8%
81
11.2%
Q4 - 3:52MIAMISS Wade 9' Fadeaway Bank Shot86
90.0%
81
10.0%
Q4 - 4:03TORHansbrough Traveling Turnover (P1.T20)86
92.4%
81
7.6%
Q4 - 4:22MIAJames 25' 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Chalmers 7 AST)86
89.1%
81
10.9%
Q4 - 4:40TORGay 2' Layup (21 PTS)83
79.8%
81
20.2%
Q4 - 4:43TORGay REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)83
84.9%
79
15.1%
Q4 - 4:44TORMISS DeRozan Free Throw 2 of 283
89.0%
79
11.0%
Q4 - 4:44TORMISS DeRozan Free Throw 1 of 283
86.1%
79
13.9%
Q4 - 4:46TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)83
84.9%
79
15.1%
Q4 - 4:48TORMISS DeRozan 3PT Step Back Jump Shot83
88.3%
79
11.7%
Q4 - 5:05TORHansbrough REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)83
82.5%
79
17.5%
Q4 - 5:07MIAGay BLOCK (2 BLK)83
84.1%
79
15.9%
Q4 - 5:24TORDeRozan 9' Fadeaway Jumper (25 PTS) (Lowry 6 AST)83
87.3%
79
12.7%
Q4 - 5:31TORLowry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)83
90.4%
77
9.6%
Q4 - 5:32MIAMISS James 22' Jump Shot83
91.3%
77
8.7%
Q4 - 6:02TORLowry 1' Driving Layup (15 PTS)83
91.8%
77
8.2%
Q4 - 6:15TORRoss REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)83
93.6%
75
6.4%
Q4 - 6:16MIAMISS Lewis 3PT Jump Shot83
94.2%
75
5.8%
Q4 - 6:24MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)83
95.4%
75
4.6%
Q4 - 6:25TORMISS Ross 24' 3PT Jump Shot83
94.9%
75
5.1%
Q4 - 6:39MIAAndersen 2' Layup (5 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)83
93.7%
75
6.3%
Q4 - 7:01MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)81
90.8%
75
9.2%
Q4 - 7:02TORMISS Lowry 25' 3PT Jump Shot81
90.0%
75
10.0%
Q4 - 7:13MIAAndersen Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)81
87.9%
75
12.1%
Q4 - 7:13MIAMISS Andersen Free Throw 1 of 280
87.0%
75
13.0%
Q4 - 7:22MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)80
88.2%
75
11.8%
Q4 - 7:23TORMISS Gay 21' Jump Shot80
87.2%
75
12.8%
Q4 - 7:41TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)80
84.7%
75
15.3%
Q4 - 7:43MIAMISS Wade 14' Pullup Jump Shot80
85.8%
75
14.2%
Q4 - 8:03TORLowry 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Gay 3 AST)80
86.7%
75
13.3%
Q4 - 8:14TORGay REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)80
91.7%
72
8.3%
Q4 - 8:15MIAMISS Lewis 3PT Jump Shot80
92.3%
72
7.7%
Q4 - 8:23MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)80
93.4%
72
6.6%
Q4 - 8:24TORMISS Hansbrough 1' Putback Dunk80
93.0%
72
7.0%
Q4 - 8:28TORHansbrough REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)80
91.7%
72
8.3%
Q4 - 8:29TORMISS Gay 2' Driving Layup80
93.0%
72
7.0%
Q4 - 8:41MIAAllen Foul Turnover (P3.T17)80
91.7%
72
8.3%
Q4 - 8:45MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)80
93.5%
72
6.5%
Q4 - 8:50TORMISS DeRozan 2' Layup80
93.0%
72
7.0%
Q4 - 8:57TORHansbrough REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)80
91.8%
72
8.2%
Q4 - 8:58MIAMISS Allen 15' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot80
92.3%
72
7.7%
Q4 - 9:29TORDeRozan 12' Pullup Jump Shot (23 PTS)80
92.5%
72
7.5%
Q4 - 9:40TORHansbrough REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)80
94.0%
70
6.0%
Q4 - 9:41MIAMISS Cole 1' Driving Reverse Layup80
94.4%
70
5.6%
Q4 - 9:47MIALewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)80
95.3%
70
4.7%
Q4 - 9:48TORMISS Ross 3PT Jump Shot80
94.9%
70
5.1%
Q4 - 10:13TORHansbrough REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)80
93.2%
70
6.8%
Q4 - 10:14MIAMISS Allen 15' Floating Jump Shot80
93.6%
70
6.4%
Q4 - 10:37MIALewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)80
94.6%
70
5.4%
Q4 - 10:38TORMISS Lowry 17' Jump Shot80
94.2%
70
5.8%
Q4 - 10:50TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)80
93.3%
70
6.7%
Q4 - 10:51MIAMISS Allen 16' Pullup Jump Shot80
93.7%
70
6.3%
Q4 - 11:00TORLowry Bad Pass Turnover (P7.T19)80
94.6%
70
5.4%
Q4 - 11:12TORHansbrough REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)80
92.4%
70
7.6%
Q4 - 11:14MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 180
92.6%
70
7.4%
Q4 - 11:22MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)78
90.8%
70
9.2%
Q4 - 11:23TORMISS Hansbrough Free Throw 2 of 278
90.6%
70
9.4%
Q4 - 11:23TORMISS Hansbrough Free Throw 1 of 278
89.3%
70
10.7%
Q4 - 11:35MIALowry STEAL (2 STL)78
88.9%
70
11.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA78
90.9%
70
9.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0TORHansbrough Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)78
90.9%
70
9.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0TORHansbrough Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)78
91.3%
69
8.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0TORHansbrough REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)78
92.5%
68
7.5%
Q3 - 0:02.0TORMISS Hansbrough 3' Layup78
92.8%
68
7.2%
Q3 - 0:25.0MIARoss STEAL (1 STL)78
91.9%
68
8.1%
Q3 - 0:46.0TORLowry Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)78
93.3%
68
6.7%
Q3 - 0:46.0TORLowry Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)78
93.5%
67
6.5%
Q3 - 0:58.0MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)78
94.5%
66
5.5%
Q3 - 0:58.0MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 277
94.3%
66
5.7%
Q3 - 1:10MIAHeat Rebound77
93.9%
66
6.1%
Q3 - 1:11TORMISS Novak 3PT Jump Shot77
93.5%
66
6.5%
Q3 - 1:35MIAAllen Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T14)77
92.7%
66
7.3%
Q3 - 1:52TORLowry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Novak 1 AST)77
93.9%
66
6.1%
Q3 - 2:07MIAAllen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (James 3 AST)77
95.2%
63
4.8%
Q3 - 2:18MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)74
93.2%
63
6.8%
Q3 - 2:20MIAMISS Cole 6' Driving Jump Shot74
92.3%
63
7.7%
Q3 - 2:41TORDeRozan Free Throw 1 of 1 (21 PTS)74
93.3%
63
6.7%
Q3 - 2:57TORGay REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)74
95.2%
60
4.8%
Q3 - 2:58MIAGay BLOCK (1 BLK)74
95.5%
60
4.5%
Q3 - 3:22TORGay 22' Jump Shot (19 PTS)74
95.6%
60
4.4%
Q3 - 3:31MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T13)74
96.3%
58
3.7%
Q3 - 3:46MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)74
96.9%
58
3.1%
Q3 - 3:48TORMISS DeRozan Free Throw 2 of 274
96.8%
58
3.2%
Q3 - 3:48TORMISS DeRozan Free Throw 1 of 274
96.4%
58
3.6%
Q3 - 3:54TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)74
96.3%
58
3.7%
Q3 - 3:55MIAMISS James 20' Jump Shot74
96.5%
58
3.5%
Q3 - 4:28TORNovak 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Hansbrough 1 AST)74
96.6%
58
3.4%
Q3 - 4:39TORGay REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)74
97.5%
55
2.5%
Q3 - 4:40MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot74
97.6%
55
2.4%
Q3 - 4:57MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)74
98.0%
55
2.0%
Q3 - 4:58TORMISS Gay Free Throw 2 of 274
97.9%
55
2.1%
Q3 - 4:58TORGay Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)74
97.7%
55
2.3%
Q3 - 5:13MIAJames 1' Driving Dunk (19 PTS)74
97.6%
54
2.4%
Q3 - 5:19TORLowry Bad Pass Turnover (P6.T18)72
97.2%
54
2.8%
Q3 - 5:37MIAHaslem 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Chalmers 6 AST)72
96.7%
54
3.3%
Q3 - 5:58TORDeRozan Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)70
96.2%
54
3.8%
Q3 - 5:58TORDeRozan Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)70
96.3%
53
3.7%
Q3 - 6:06MIAJames 3' Alley Oop Layup (17 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)70
96.4%
52
3.6%
Q3 - 6:17MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)68
95.9%
52
4.1%
Q3 - 6:18TORMISS Novak 3PT Jump Shot68
95.6%
52
4.4%
Q3 - 6:34TORGay REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)68
95.1%
52
4.9%
Q3 - 6:35MIAMISS Battier 24' 3PT Jump Shot68
95.3%
52
4.7%
Q3 - 6:52MIAHeat Rebound68
95.9%
52
4.1%
Q3 - 6:52MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot68
95.4%
52
4.6%
Q3 - 6:58MIABattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)68
95.9%
52
4.1%
Q3 - 6:59TORMISS DeRozan 3PT Jump Shot68
95.7%
52
4.3%
Q3 - 7:13MIAHaslem Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T12)68
94.7%
52
5.3%
Q3 - 7:30TORDeRozan 14' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Valanciunas 1 AST)68
95.5%
52
4.5%
Q3 - 7:43TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)68
96.0%
50
4.0%
Q3 - 7:45MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot68
96.2%
50
3.8%
Q3 - 8:07TORGay Dunk (16 PTS) (Lowry 5 AST)68
96.4%
50
3.6%
Q3 - 8:25MIAJames 26' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS)68
96.9%
48
3.1%
Q3 - 8:34TORGay Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T17)65
95.9%
48
4.1%
Q3 - 8:52MIAJames 21' Jump Shot (12 PTS)65
95.2%
48
4.8%
Q3 - 9:07TORLowry 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Gay 2 AST)63
94.1%
48
5.9%
Q3 - 9:19TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)63
95.5%
45
4.5%
Q3 - 9:20MIAMISS Battier 25' 3PT Jump Shot63
95.7%
45
4.3%
Q3 - 9:28TORLowry Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T16)63
96.2%
45
3.8%
Q3 - 9:39MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)63
95.6%
45
4.4%
Q3 - 9:39MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)62
95.4%
45
4.6%
Q3 - 9:41TORDeRozan Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T15)61
94.9%
45
5.1%
Q3 - 9:47MIAValanciunas STEAL (1 STL)61
94.1%
45
5.9%
Q3 - 10:06TORJohnson Dunk (2 PTS) (Lowry 4 AST)61
94.7%
45
5.3%
Q3 - 10:20MIAWade Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T10)61
95.4%
43
4.6%
Q3 - 10:23TORLowry Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T14)61
96.0%
43
4.0%
Q3 - 10:47MIAWade Driving Dunk (18 PTS) (Chalmers 5 AST)61
95.4%
43
4.6%
Q3 - 10:52TORLowry Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T13)59
94.7%
43
5.3%
Q3 - 11:02MIAWade 12' Fadeaway Jumper (16 PTS)59
93.6%
43
6.4%
Q3 - 11:26MIAHeat Rebound57
92.8%
43
7.2%
Q3 - 11:26TORMISS DeRozan 21' Jump Shot57
92.5%
43
7.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA57
91.8%
43
8.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound57
92.8%
43
7.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIADeRozan BLOCK (1 BLK)57
92.1%
43
7.9%
Q2 - 0:04.0TORHansbrough Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)57
92.0%
43
8.0%
Q2 - 0:04.0TORHansbrough Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)57
92.2%
42
7.8%
Q2 - 0:26.0MIABeasley 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST)57
93.2%
41
6.8%
Q2 - 0:35.0TORRAPTORS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#12)54
91.1%
41
8.9%
Q2 - 0:35.0TORRAPTORS Rebound54
90.2%
41
9.8%
Q2 - 0:37.0TORMISS Gay 3PT Fadeaway Jumper54
90.8%
41
9.2%
Q2 - 1:03MIAAllen 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS)54
89.8%
41
10.2%
Q2 - 1:14MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)52
88.1%
41
11.9%
Q2 - 1:15TORMISS Acy 18' Jump Shot52
87.9%
41
12.1%
Q2 - 1:33MIABeasley 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Allen 4 AST)52
87.3%
41
12.7%
Q2 - 1:46TORAcy 1' Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Lowry 3 AST)50
85.2%
41
14.8%
Q2 - 1:52MIABeasley 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Allen 3 AST)50
87.3%
39
12.7%
Q2 - 2:12TORGay 24' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (DeRozan 3 AST)48
85.1%
39
14.9%
Q2 - 2:25TORAcy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)48
87.9%
36
12.1%
Q2 - 2:26MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot48
88.3%
36
11.7%
Q2 - 2:40TORAcy Foul Turnover (P1.T11)48
89.2%
36
10.8%
Q2 - 2:47MIAAcy STEAL (1 STL)48
88.0%
36
12.0%
Q2 - 3:00TORGay Dunk (11 PTS) (DeRozan 2 AST)48
89.2%
36
10.8%
Q2 - 3:18MIAJames 2' Alley Oop Dunk (10 PTS) (Allen 2 AST)48
89.9%
34
10.1%
Q2 - 3:23MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)46
89.0%
34
11.0%
Q2 - 3:24TORMISS DeRozan 2' Driving Reverse Layup46
88.6%
34
11.4%
Q2 - 3:42TORHansbrough REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)46
87.5%
34
12.5%
Q2 - 3:43TORMISS Gay Free Throw 2 of 246
88.8%
34
11.2%
Q2 - 3:43TORMISS Gay Free Throw 1 of 246
88.0%
34
12.0%
Q2 - 3:48TORGay REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)46
87.5%
34
12.5%
Q2 - 3:49MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot46
88.0%
34
12.0%
Q2 - 4:00MIAHeat Rebound46
89.0%
34
11.0%
Q2 - 4:00TORMISS Lowry 25' 3PT Jump Shot46
88.6%
34
11.4%
Q2 - 4:08TORRoss REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)46
87.1%
34
12.9%
Q2 - 4:09MIAMISS Cole 25' 3PT Jump Shot46
87.5%
34
12.5%
Q2 - 4:19MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)46
88.3%
34
11.7%
Q2 - 4:20TORMISS Gay 20' Pullup Jump Shot46
88.0%
34
12.0%
Q2 - 4:34TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)46
87.1%
34
12.9%
Q2 - 4:36MIAMISS Cole 3' Driving Layup46
87.5%
34
12.5%
Q2 - 4:55MIAHeat Rebound46
88.4%
34
11.6%
Q2 - 4:56TORMISS DeRozan 25' 3PT Jump Shot46
88.0%
34
12.0%
Q2 - 5:07MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)46
86.9%
34
13.1%
Q2 - 5:07MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 245
86.6%
34
13.4%
Q2 - 5:11TORGay Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)45
86.8%
34
13.2%
Q2 - 5:24MIAJames 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)45
85.5%
34
14.5%
Q2 - 5:44TORGay 11' Turnaround Jump Shot (9 PTS)42
82.4%
34
17.6%
Q2 - 6:00TORGay REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)42
84.1%
32
15.9%
Q2 - 6:01MIAMISS Wade 21' Jump Shot42
84.1%
32
15.9%
Q2 - 6:20TORLowry Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T9)42
85.3%
32
14.7%
Q2 - 6:34MIAJames Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)42
83.6%
32
16.4%
Q2 - 6:48TORDeRozan 20' Jump Shot (14 PTS)40
82.3%
32
17.7%
Q2 - 6:55MIABeasley Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)40
83.6%
30
16.4%
Q2 - 7:19TORDeRozan 26' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Buycks 1 AST)40
84.8%
30
15.2%
Q2 - 7:34MIAWade 4' Fadeaway Jumper (14 PTS)40
87.3%
27
12.7%
Q2 - 7:36MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)38
86.2%
27
13.8%
Q2 - 7:38MIAValanciunas BLOCK (1 BLK)38
85.2%
27
14.8%
Q2 - 7:46MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)38
86.2%
27
13.8%
Q2 - 7:47TORMISS Valanciunas 5' Driving Hook Shot38
85.7%
27
14.3%
Q2 - 8:11MIACole 1' Driving Layup (5 PTS)38
84.3%
27
15.7%
Q2 - 8:17TORRAPTORS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#8)36
82.9%
27
17.1%
Q2 - 8:17TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)36
81.3%
27
18.7%
Q2 - 8:18TORMISS Buycks 29' 3PT Jump Shot36
82.5%
27
17.5%
Q2 - 8:43MIAWade 2' Driving Reverse Layup (12 PTS)36
81.4%
27
18.6%
Q2 - 9:01TORValanciunas Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)34
79.6%
27
20.4%
Q2 - 9:01TORValanciunas Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)34
79.9%
26
20.1%
Q2 - 9:20MIACole 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)34
81.1%
25
18.9%
Q2 - 9:32MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
77.9%
25
22.1%
Q2 - 9:34TORMISS Buycks 10' Jump Shot31
77.3%
25
22.7%
Q2 - 9:46MIAWade 3' Driving Layup (10 PTS)31
76.0%
25
24.0%
Q2 - 9:52MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)29
74.2%
25
25.8%
Q2 - 9:53TORMISS Ross 3PT Jump Shot29
73.6%
25
26.4%
Q2 - 10:09TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
71.7%
25
28.3%
Q2 - 10:11MIAMISS Andersen 2' Alley Oop Layup29
72.4%
25
27.6%
Q2 - 10:26MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
74.0%
25
26.0%
Q2 - 10:27TORMISS Fields 21' Jump Shot29
73.3%
25
26.7%
Q2 - 10:54MIAWade 24' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Lewis 1 AST)29
71.8%
25
28.2%
Q2 - 11:15TORValanciunas Kicked Ball Violation Turnover (P2.T7)27
69.7%
25
30.3%
Q2 - 11:19MIABuycks STEAL (1 STL)27
67.5%
25
32.5%
Q2 - 11:41TORBuycks 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (DeRozan 1 AST)27
69.7%
25
30.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA27
73.5%
22
26.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound27
75.4%
22
24.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Wade 8' Running Jump Shot27
74.1%
22
25.9%
Q1 - 0:05.0TORLowry Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)27
74.8%
22
25.2%
Q1 - 0:05.0TORLowry Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)27
75.1%
21
24.9%
Q1 - 0:16.0TORLowry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)27
77.0%
20
23.0%
Q1 - 0:17.0MIAMISS Lewis 24' 3PT Jump Shot27
77.4%
20
22.6%
Q1 - 0:30.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
78.2%
20
21.8%
Q1 - 0:31.0TORMISS Lowry 26' 3PT Jump Shot27
77.9%
20
22.1%
Q1 - 0:49.0MIALewis 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Andersen 1 AST)27
77.0%
20
23.0%
Q1 - 1:01TORRAPTORS Turnover: Backcourt (T#6)24
73.0%
20
27.0%
Q1 - 1:14MIAAndersen 1' Dunk (2 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)24
71.6%
20
28.4%
Q1 - 1:29TORHansbrough Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)22
69.2%
20
30.8%
Q1 - 1:29TORHansbrough Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)22
69.7%
19
30.3%
Q1 - 1:30TORHansbrough REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)22
71.6%
18
28.4%
Q1 - 1:31TORMISS Gay 2' Layup22
72.6%
18
27.4%
Q1 - 1:40TORHansbrough REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
71.6%
18
28.4%
Q1 - 1:41MIAMISS James 15' Jump Shot22
72.1%
18
27.9%
Q1 - 1:56TORGay Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)22
73.0%
18
27.0%
Q1 - 1:57TORGay REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)22
76.9%
15
23.1%
Q1 - 1:58TORMISS Ross 24' 3PT Jump Shot22
77.7%
15
22.3%
Q1 - 2:01TORLowry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)22
76.6%
15
23.4%
Q1 - 2:04TORMISS Gay 8' Jump Shot22
77.7%
15
22.3%
Q1 - 2:18MIABosh Foul Turnover (P1.T6)22
76.6%
15
23.4%
Q1 - 2:26TORGay 3' Finger Roll Layup (4 PTS) (Lowry 2 AST)22
78.1%
15
21.9%
Q1 - 2:36TORHansbrough REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
79.7%
13
20.3%
Q1 - 2:37MIAMISS Allen 20' Pullup Jump Shot22
80.1%
13
19.9%
Q1 - 3:10MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)22
81.0%
13
19.0%
Q1 - 3:11TORMISS Novak 24' 3PT Jump Shot22
80.6%
13
19.4%
Q1 - 3:22TORGay REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
79.5%
13
20.5%
Q1 - 3:23MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot22
80.0%
13
20.0%
Q1 - 3:30MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
81.0%
13
19.0%
Q1 - 3:32TORMISS Gay 4' Jump Shot22
80.6%
13
19.4%
Q1 - 3:51MIAAllen 2' Driving Reverse Layup (2 PTS)22
79.5%
13
20.5%
Q1 - 4:11MIABattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
78.0%
13
22.0%
Q1 - 4:12TORMISS Novak 24' 3PT Jump Shot20
77.5%
13
22.5%
Q1 - 4:27MIABosh 3' Layup (4 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)20
76.3%
13
23.7%
Q1 - 4:41TORDeRozan 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Gay 1 AST)18
74.9%
13
25.1%
Q1 - 4:56MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#5)18
77.8%
10
22.2%
Q1 - 4:56MIAHeat Rebound18
79.4%
10
20.6%
Q1 - 4:56MIAMISS Chalmers 3' Layup18
78.3%
10
21.7%
Q1 - 4:57MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)18
79.5%
10
20.5%
Q1 - 4:59MIAJohnson BLOCK (1 BLK)18
78.3%
10
21.7%
Q1 - 5:21MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)18
78.6%
10
21.4%
Q1 - 5:22TORMISS Gay 24' 3PT Jump Shot18
78.2%
10
21.8%
Q1 - 5:34MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)18
77.1%
10
22.9%
Q1 - 5:34MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)17
76.8%
10
23.2%
Q1 - 5:45TORGay 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Lowry 1 AST)16
75.8%
10
24.2%
Q1 - 6:04MIAJames Reverse Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)16
76.7%
8
23.3%
Q1 - 6:09MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
75.4%
8
24.6%
Q1 - 6:10TORMISS Lowry 24' 3PT Jump Shot14
74.9%
8
25.1%
Q1 - 6:20MIABattier 4' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)14
73.8%
8
26.2%
Q1 - 6:33TORRAPTORS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#5)12
72.4%
8
27.6%
Q1 - 6:33TORRAPTORS Rebound12
70.6%
8
29.4%
Q1 - 6:33TORMISS Gay 5' Jump Shot12
71.8%
8
28.2%
Q1 - 6:59MIADeRozan STEAL (1 STL)12
70.6%
8
29.4%
Q1 - 7:05TORDeRozan Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4)12
72.2%
8
27.8%
Q1 - 7:14MIAWade 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)12
70.4%
8
29.6%
Q1 - 7:23TORDeRozan Traveling Turnover (P1.T3)10
69.1%
8
30.9%
Q1 - 7:33TORRAPTORS Rebound10
67.2%
8
32.8%
Q1 - 7:33TORMISS DeRozan 24' 3PT Jump Shot10
68.5%
8
31.5%
Q1 - 7:37TORLowry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
67.2%
8
32.8%
Q1 - 7:40MIAMISS Bosh 1' Driving Dunk10
67.8%
8
32.2%
Q1 - 7:55TORValanciunas Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)10
69.1%
8
30.9%
Q1 - 8:10MIAChalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (James 2 AST)10
67.6%
8
32.4%
Q1 - 8:24TORValanciunas 4' Driving Hook Shot (2 PTS)7
64.4%
8
35.6%
Q1 - 8:36MIALowry STEAL (1 STL)7
65.9%
6
34.1%
Q1 - 8:55TORDeRozan 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS)7
67.7%
6
32.3%
Q1 - 9:06MIAWade 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)7
69.3%
4
30.7%
Q1 - 9:21TORDeRozan 16' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS)5
67.9%
4
32.1%
Q1 - 9:34MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)5
69.3%
2
30.7%
Q1 - 9:53MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)5
71.0%
2
29.0%
Q1 - 9:55TORMISS Gay 16' Jump Shot5
70.5%
2
29.5%
Q1 - 10:07MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)5
69.2%
2
30.8%
Q1 - 10:17TORDeRozan 12' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)5
70.8%
2
29.2%
Q1 - 10:28TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
72.1%
0
27.9%
Q1 - 10:29MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot5
72.5%
0
27.5%
Q1 - 10:37MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
73.6%
0
26.4%
Q1 - 10:39TORMISS Johnson 3' Layup5
73.1%
0
26.9%
Q1 - 10:47MIAChalmers 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 1 AST)5
72.1%
0
27.9%
Q1 - 10:54MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
69.4%
0
30.6%
Q1 - 10:56TORMISS DeRozan 29' 3PT Jump Shot2
68.9%
0
31.1%
Q1 - 11:23MIABosh 1' Driving Dunk (2 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)2
67.8%
0
32.2%
Q1 - 11:33TORLowry Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
66.2%
0
33.8%
Q1 - 11:43TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
64.8%
0
35.2%
Q1 - 11:44MIAMISS Bosh 11' Jump Shot0
65.2%
0
34.8%
Q1 - 12:00TORJump Ball Valanciunas vs. Bosh: Tip to James0
66.2%
0
33.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.03 51.7%
TOR
0.90 45.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
21
31
68%
TOR
9
21
43%
Midrange
MIA
6
23
26%
TOR
11
22
50%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
9
13.5
22
41%
61%
TOR
8
12.0
30
27%
40%
Free Throws
MIA
9
13
69%
TOR
19
32
59%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. James2768%13.5 / 20
D. Wade2261%11.0 / 18
R. Allen744%3.5 / 8
M. Beasley7117%3.5 / 3
M. Chalmers638%3.0 / 8
N. Cole542%2.5 / 6
C. Andersen563%2.5 / 4
C. Bosh433%2.0 / 6
R. Lewis338%1.5 / 4
S. Battier233%1.0 / 3
U. Haslem250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
TOR logo Raptors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. DeRozan2554%12.5 / 23
R. Gay2144%10.5 / 24
K. Lowry1563%7.5 / 12
T. Hansbrough850%4.0 / 8
J. Valančiūnas467%2.0 / 3
S. Novak330%1.5 / 5
D. Buycks350%1.5 / 3
A. Johnson250%1.0 / 2
Q. Acy250%1.0 / 2
T. Ross0-0.0 / 5
L. Fields0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
78
+8
-19
86
TOR
79
+13
-17
92
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.03 51.7%
TOR
0.90 45.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
110.7
108.7
MIA 92.8 +6.3
TOR 86.5
Pace
91.5
92.0
MIA 100.6 +7.8
TOR 92.7
Avg. Poss. Time
15.8
16.1
MIA 14.3 +1.2
TOR 15.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
55.4%
49.8%
MIA 53.3% +9.5%
TOR 43.8%
TO %
15.4%
14.4%
MIA 19.7%
TOR 19.4% +0.3%
ORB %
20.6%
27.2%
MIA 8.3%
TOR 23.3% +15.0%
FTrt
30.0
30.6
MIA 17.1
TOR 43.8 +26.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.8%
58.1%
MIA 66.7% +9.6%
TOR 57.1%
STL %
9.7%
7.6%
MIA 10.3% +2.0%
TOR 8.3%
BLK %
8.1%
6.9%
MIA 9.3%
TOR 9.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.51 and 2.51.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
57.5%
53.0%
MIA 51.7% +6.6%
TOR 45.1%
Rim FG%
66.7%
57.5%
MIA 67.7% +24.8%
TOR 42.9%
Mid FG%
42.8%
38.7%
MIA 26.1%
TOR 50.0% +23.9%
3P %
36.4%
37.2%
MIA 40.9% +14.2%
TOR 26.7%
FT %
76.0%
78.3%
MIA 69.2% +9.8%
TOR 59.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
38.3%
33.3%
MIA 40.8% +12.0%
TOR 28.8%
Mid Att. %
32.5%
38.2%
MIA 30.3%
TOR 30.1% +0.1%
3P Att. %
29.2%
28.5%
MIA 28.9%
TOR 41.1% +12.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.71 and 2.71.
Game TotalsMIATOR
Possessions9796
Possession Minutes23.124.9
Points9083
Rebounds3643
Assists2416
Steals108
Blocks45
Turnovers (Team)19 (1)17 (4)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)3 (5)10 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)33 (5)33 (0)
Field Goals36-7628-73
At-the-Rim FG21-319-21
Midrange FG6-2311-22
2-Point FG27-5420-43
3-Point FG9-228-30
Free Throws9-1319-32
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 250 · 29
36.5
27
68%
6
3
1
1
3
2
1
5
4-6
67%
7-12
58%
3-5
60%
G · 6'4" 220 · 32
34.5
22
61%
7
6
4
0
5
4
1
6
4-5
80%
9-16
56%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 190 · 28
28.4
6
38%
2
8
3
1
3
2
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
2-7
29%
C · 6'11" 235 · 30
20.5
4
33%
5
1
1
0
1
6
0
5
0-0
-
2-6
33%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 220 · 35
17.4
2
33%
2
0
0
0
1
3
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-2
0%
G · 6'5" 205 · 38
23.6
7
44%
0
4
0
0
3
4
0
0
0-0
-
2-7
29%
1-1
100%
G · 6'2" 175 · 25
19.6
5
42%
4
0
1
0
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
1-4
25%
1-2
50%
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 35
18.8
5
63%
4
1
0
2
0
3
0
4
1-2
50%
2-3
67%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 235 · 34
18.6
3
38%
2
1
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-4
25%
F · 6'9" 235 · 25
13.6
7
117%
3
0
0
0
2
2
0
3
0-0
-
2-2
100%
1-1
100%
F · 6'8" 235 · 33
8.7
2
50%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 33
C · 6'9" 245 · 31
#20 · C · 7'0" 273 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#21 · G · 6'5" 205 · 33
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
90
52%
36
24
10
4
19
0
3
33
9-13
69%
27-54
50%
9-22
41%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.