FinalWin Prob.pScore
1833%106
110
967%112
96
ORTG#PossPace
DEN logo DEN
120.99194.1
DAL logo DAL
104.39289.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MavericksNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MavericksNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDENDAL
Q4 - 0:00.0DEN110
100%
96
0%
Q4 - 0:22.0DENFournier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)110
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 0:23.0DALMISS Mekel 9' Jump Shot110
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 0:31.0DALLedo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)110
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 0:31.0DENMISS Miller 8' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot110
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 0:50.0DALMekel Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)110
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 0:50.0DALMISS Mekel Free Throw 1 of 2110
99.9%
95
0.1%
Q4 - 0:52.0DALLedo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)110
99.9%
95
0.1%
Q4 - 0:54.0DENMISS Hamilton 7' Running Jump Shot110
99.9%
95
0.1%
Q4 - 1:10DENMiller REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)110
99.9%
95
0.1%
Q4 - 1:11DENMISS Hickson Free Throw 1 of 1110
99.9%
95
0.1%
Q4 - 1:26DENMiller REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)108
99.9%
95
0.1%
Q4 - 1:28DALMISS Ledo 10' Driving Bank Shot108
99.9%
95
0.1%
Q4 - 1:41DENHickson 7' Driving Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Lawson 10 AST)108
99.7%
95
0.3%
Q4 - 1:58DENMiller REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)106
99.5%
95
0.5%
Q4 - 1:59DENMISS Arthur 21' Jump Shot106
99.3%
95
0.7%
Q4 - 2:15DENMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)106
99.5%
95
0.5%
Q4 - 2:16DENMISS Lawson 15' Step Back Jump Shot106
99.2%
95
0.8%
Q4 - 2:36DALNowitzki 1' Driving Layup (18 PTS)106
99.5%
95
0.5%
Q4 - 2:58DALMarion REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)106
99.4%
93
0.6%
Q4 - 2:58DENMISS Lawson Free Throw 2 of 2106
99.4%
93
0.6%
Q4 - 2:58DENLawson Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)106
99.6%
93
0.4%
Q4 - 3:15DALCrowder 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Marion 4 AST)105
99.4%
93
0.6%
Q4 - 3:41DENHickson Free Throw 1 of 1 (18 PTS)105
99.3%
90
0.7%
Q4 - 3:54DENMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)102
98.7%
90
1.3%
Q4 - 3:55DALMISS Calderon 20' Pullup Jump Shot102
98.5%
90
1.5%
Q4 - 4:06DALMAVERICKS Rebound102
98.1%
90
1.9%
Q4 - 4:07DALMISS Nowitzki 14' Jump Shot102
98.6%
90
1.4%
Q4 - 4:16DALMarion REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)102
98.1%
90
1.9%
Q4 - 4:17DENMISS Foye 24' 3PT Jump Shot102
98.3%
90
1.7%
Q4 - 4:31DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)102
98.8%
90
1.2%
Q4 - 4:31DALMISS Nowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2102
98.8%
89
1.2%
Q4 - 4:52DENMiller Driving Finger Roll Layup (4 PTS)102
98.8%
89
1.2%
Q4 - 5:15DALMarion 15' Running Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Ellis 4 AST)100
96.8%
89
3.2%
Q4 - 5:31DENRobinson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Miller 3 AST)100
97.7%
87
2.3%
Q4 - 5:43DENMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)97
95.7%
87
4.3%
Q4 - 5:44DALMISS Carter 25' 3PT Jump Shot97
95.3%
87
4.7%
Q4 - 6:09DENRobinson 15' Step Back Jump Shot (14 PTS)97
91.5%
87
8.5%
Q4 - 6:16DENHickson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)95
89.3%
87
10.7%
Q4 - 6:17DENMISS Robinson 24' 3PT Jump Shot95
86.8%
87
13.2%
Q4 - 6:35DALEllis 18' Jump Shot (22 PTS)95
89.4%
87
10.6%
Q4 - 6:57DENRobinson 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Foye 1 AST)95
91.7%
85
8.3%
Q4 - 7:19DENFoye REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)92
83.3%
85
16.7%
Q4 - 7:20DALMISS Nowitzki 19' Jump Shot92
81.9%
85
18.1%
Q4 - 7:30DENFoye Traveling Turnover (P3.T13)92
78.6%
85
21.4%
Q4 - 7:51DENHickson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)92
83.4%
85
16.6%
Q4 - 7:52DALMISS Blair 7' Fadeaway Bank Shot92
82.1%
85
17.9%
Q4 - 8:01DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)92
76.1%
85
23.9%
Q4 - 8:02DENMISS Arthur 18' Pullup Jump Shot92
77.5%
85
22.5%
Q4 - 8:10DENHickson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)92
80.5%
85
19.5%
Q4 - 8:11DALMISS Crowder 24' 3PT Jump Shot92
79.2%
85
20.8%
Q4 - 8:18DALMekel REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)92
76.2%
85
23.8%
Q4 - 8:19DENMISS Foye 24' 3PT Jump Shot92
77.6%
85
22.4%
Q4 - 8:23DENHickson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)92
80.6%
85
19.4%
Q4 - 8:25DALMISS Nowitzki 3' Driving Layup92
79.3%
85
20.7%
Q4 - 8:38DENRobinson 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Miller 2 AST)92
76.3%
85
23.7%
Q4 - 9:00DALMekel 5' Driving Jump Shot (4 PTS)89
65.8%
85
34.2%
Q4 - 9:11DENHamilton Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T12)89
68.8%
83
31.2%
Q4 - 9:24DALBlair 1' Layup (10 PTS) (Carter 3 AST)89
73.8%
83
26.2%
Q4 - 9:34DALBlair REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)89
78.2%
81
21.8%
Q4 - 9:36DENHickson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)89
82.0%
81
18.0%
Q4 - 9:36DENMISS Hickson 1' Tip Shot89
79.4%
81
20.6%
Q4 - 9:37DENMISS Miller 8' Fadeaway Jumper89
79.4%
81
20.6%
Q4 - 9:55DENRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)89
82.1%
81
17.9%
Q4 - 9:57DALMISS Carter 22' Jump Shot89
81.0%
81
19.0%
Q4 - 10:13DENHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)89
75.8%
81
24.2%
Q4 - 10:13DENHamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)88
74.4%
81
25.6%
Q4 - 10:17DALMekel Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T13)87
71.5%
81
28.5%
Q4 - 10:25DALBlair REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)87
66.6%
81
33.4%
Q4 - 10:27DENCarter BLOCK (1 BLK)87
68.2%
81
31.8%
Q4 - 10:38DALBlair 3' Jump Bank Shot (8 PTS)87
71.6%
81
28.4%
Q4 - 11:00DENRobinson 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Lawson 9 AST)87
76.0%
79
24.0%
Q4 - 11:22DALBlair 1' Putback Layup (6 PTS)85
69.9%
79
30.1%
Q4 - 11:24DALBlair REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)85
74.1%
77
25.9%
Q4 - 11:25DALMISS Crowder 24' 3PT Jump Shot85
76.9%
77
23.1%
Q4 - 11:47DALCrowder REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)85
74.2%
77
25.8%
Q4 - 11:48DENMISS Robinson 24' 3PT Jump Shot85
75.4%
77
24.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0DAL85
78.2%
77
21.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)85
74.2%
77
25.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0DALMISS Carter 26' 3PT Jump Shot85
77.0%
77
23.0%
Q3 - 0:10.0DENLawson 10' Fadeaway Jumper (18 PTS)85
72.5%
77
27.5%
Q3 - 0:29.0DALCrowder 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Ellis 3 AST)83
68.2%
77
31.8%
Q3 - 0:40.0DENRobinson Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)83
76.5%
74
23.5%
Q3 - 0:40.0DENRobinson Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)82
75.9%
74
24.1%
Q3 - 0:47.0DENFaried REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)81
72.5%
74
27.5%
Q3 - 0:47.0DALMISS Nowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot81
71.3%
74
28.7%
Q3 - 0:54.0DALDalembert REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)81
68.4%
74
31.6%
Q3 - 0:56.0DENMISS Faried 2' Layup81
69.7%
74
30.3%
Q3 - 1:02DALCarter Foul Turnover (P1.T12)81
70.5%
74
29.5%
Q3 - 1:11DALMarion REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)81
66.5%
74
33.5%
Q3 - 1:12DENMISS Hamilton 24' 3PT Jump Shot81
67.8%
74
32.2%
Q3 - 1:33DALMarion REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)81
70.7%
74
29.3%
Q3 - 1:33DALMarion 1' Running Tip Shot (11 PTS)81
70.7%
74
29.3%
Q3 - 1:34DALMISS Carter 21' Fadeaway Jumper81
77.1%
72
22.9%
Q3 - 1:54DENArthur 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Robinson 2 AST)81
74.7%
72
25.3%
Q3 - 2:11DALEllis Free Throw 1 of 1 (20 PTS)79
68.6%
72
31.4%
Q3 - 2:25DALCarter REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)79
75.9%
69
24.1%
Q3 - 2:26DALMISS Marion 25' 3PT Jump Shot79
78.3%
69
21.7%
Q3 - 2:49DENLawson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Robinson 1 AST)79
76.0%
69
24.0%
Q3 - 3:05DALEllis 2' Driving Layup (17 PTS) (Carter 2 AST)76
67.1%
69
32.9%
Q3 - 3:15DALMAVERICKS Rebound76
70.6%
67
29.4%
Q3 - 3:15DENMISS Hamilton 20' Turnaround Jump Shot76
71.9%
67
28.1%
Q3 - 3:34DALMarion REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)76
74.5%
67
25.5%
Q3 - 3:34DALMarion 1' Tip Shot (9 PTS)76
74.5%
67
25.5%
Q3 - 3:34DALMISS Ellington 3PT Jump Shot76
79.8%
65
20.2%
Q3 - 3:43DENEllis STEAL (1 STL)76
77.5%
65
22.5%
Q3 - 3:49DALCarter 1' Driving Layup (8 PTS)76
80.7%
65
19.3%
Q3 - 3:54DALMAVERICKS Rebound76
83.2%
63
16.8%
Q3 - 3:55DALMISS Carter 3PT Jump Shot76
85.0%
63
15.0%
Q3 - 4:08DENMozgov 6' Turnaround Hook Shot (3 PTS) (Lawson 8 AST)76
81.5%
63
18.5%
Q3 - 4:22DALMarion 1' Driving Layup (7 PTS) (Carter 1 AST)74
79.5%
63
20.5%
Q3 - 4:24DALMAVERICKS Rebound74
81.6%
61
18.4%
Q3 - 4:25DALMISS Ellis 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup74
83.7%
61
16.3%
Q3 - 4:36DALMarion REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)74
81.6%
61
18.4%
Q3 - 4:36DENMISS Mozgov 17' Jump Shot74
82.5%
61
17.5%
Q3 - 4:47DENHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)74
84.6%
61
15.4%
Q3 - 4:48DALMISS Ellis 24' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot74
83.7%
61
16.3%
Q3 - 4:54DALCarter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)74
81.6%
61
18.4%
Q3 - 4:54DALMISS Carter 8' Driving Bank Shot74
83.7%
61
16.3%
Q3 - 5:12DENHamilton 22' Jump Shot (9 PTS)74
80.2%
61
19.8%
Q3 - 5:38DALCalderon 22' Jump Shot (12 PTS)72
78.0%
61
22.0%
Q3 - 5:58DENHickson Foul Turnover (P2.T10)72
80.3%
59
19.7%
Q3 - 6:06DALCarter 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS)72
81.5%
59
18.5%
Q3 - 6:22DENLawson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Hamilton 2 AST)72
83.6%
57
16.4%
Q3 - 6:32DALCalderon Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)69
79.1%
57
20.9%
Q3 - 6:40DALBlair REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)69
76.0%
57
24.0%
Q3 - 6:41DENMISS Lawson 6' Jump Bank Shot69
77.0%
57
23.0%
Q3 - 6:49DENHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)69
79.1%
57
20.9%
Q3 - 6:50DALMISS Nowitzki 16' Fadeaway Jumper69
78.2%
57
21.8%
Q3 - 6:57DALMAVERICKS Rebound69
76.0%
57
24.0%
Q3 - 6:59DENMISS Lawson Free Throw 2 of 269
76.5%
57
23.5%
Q3 - 6:59DENLawson Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)69
78.3%
57
21.7%
Q3 - 7:02DALCalderon Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)68
74.6%
57
25.4%
Q3 - 7:16DENHickson 12' Fadeaway Jumper (15 PTS)68
71.4%
57
28.6%
Q3 - 7:33DALMarion 6' Driving Jump Shot (5 PTS)66
68.5%
57
31.5%
Q3 - 7:48DENLawson 2' Driving Layup (9 PTS)66
71.5%
55
28.5%
Q3 - 8:03DENHickson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)64
67.6%
55
32.4%
Q3 - 8:04DALMISS Nowitzki 12' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot64
66.4%
55
33.6%
Q3 - 8:21DENBlair STEAL (1 STL)64
63.7%
55
36.3%
Q3 - 8:38DALEllis Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)64
67.6%
55
32.4%
Q3 - 8:38DALEllis Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)64
68.2%
54
31.8%
Q3 - 9:00DENChandler 4' Running Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Lawson 7 AST)64
70.4%
53
29.6%
Q3 - 9:05DENFaried REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)62
66.0%
53
34.0%
Q3 - 9:06DALMISS Blair 4' Fadeaway Jumper62
65.0%
53
35.0%
Q3 - 9:15DALMarion REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)62
62.6%
53
37.4%
Q3 - 9:16DALMISS Ellis 19' Pullup Jump Shot62
65.0%
53
35.0%
Q3 - 9:41DENFaried 1' Driving Layup (10 PTS) (Lawson 6 AST)62
62.7%
53
37.3%
Q3 - 9:49DENFaried REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)60
59.4%
53
40.6%
Q3 - 9:50DALMISS Ellis 7' Driving Jump Shot60
58.2%
53
41.8%
Q3 - 10:13DENFaried 8' Running Hook Shot (8 PTS)60
54.5%
53
45.5%
Q3 - 10:21DENFaried REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)58
51.0%
53
49.0%
Q3 - 10:23DALMISS Blair 2' Layup58
49.9%
53
50.1%
Q3 - 10:24DALBlair REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)58
47.4%
53
52.6%
Q3 - 10:25DALMISS Nowitzki 14' Step Back Jump Shot58
49.9%
53
50.1%
Q3 - 10:45DENLawson 17' Floating Jump Shot (7 PTS)58
47.4%
53
52.6%
Q3 - 11:07DALNowitzki 14' Fadeaway Jumper (15 PTS)56
43.1%
53
56.9%
Q3 - 11:18DENHickson Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)56
46.4%
51
53.6%
Q3 - 11:37DENLawson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)56
50.1%
51
49.9%
Q3 - 11:38DALMISS Ellis 25' 3PT Jump Shot56
49.0%
51
51.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0DEN56
46.5%
51
53.5%
Q2 - 0:02.0DALBlair Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)56
48.6%
51
51.4%
Q2 - 0:03.0DENLawson Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)56
46.2%
51
53.8%
Q2 - 0:03.0DENMISS Lawson Free Throw 1 of 255
45.5%
51
54.5%
Q2 - 0:12.0DALEllis Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)55
45.3%
51
54.7%
Q2 - 0:12.0DALEllis Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)55
46.0%
50
54.0%
Q2 - 0:29.0DENFoye 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Hickson 1 AST)55
49.5%
49
50.5%
Q2 - 0:45.0DALEllis Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)52
42.2%
49
57.8%
Q2 - 0:56.0DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)52
39.7%
49
60.3%
Q2 - 0:57.0DENMISS Hickson 9' Turnaround Jump Shot52
40.4%
49
59.6%
Q2 - 1:15DENHickson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)52
41.6%
49
58.4%
Q2 - 1:16DALMISS Marion Free Throw 2 of 252
41.3%
49
58.7%
Q2 - 1:16DALMarion Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)52
39.1%
49
60.9%
Q2 - 1:16DALMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)52
42.7%
48
57.3%
Q2 - 1:16DENMISS Hickson 21' Jump Shot52
43.3%
48
56.7%
Q2 - 1:40DALEllis Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)52
44.8%
48
55.2%
Q2 - 1:46DALDalembert REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)52
52.3%
45
47.7%
Q2 - 1:47DENMISS Randolph 3PT Jump Shot52
52.9%
45
47.1%
Q2 - 2:01DALCalderon 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Nowitzki 2 AST)52
53.9%
45
46.1%
Q2 - 2:19DENFoye 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS)52
59.9%
42
40.1%
Q2 - 2:42DALNowitzki 19' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Calderon 4 AST)50
57.0%
42
43.0%
Q2 - 2:50DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)50
60.0%
40
40.0%
Q2 - 2:51DENMISS Foye 25' 3PT Jump Shot50
60.9%
40
39.1%
Q2 - 3:03DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)50
61.8%
40
38.2%
Q2 - 3:03DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)50
62.1%
39
37.9%
Q2 - 3:17DENFoye Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)50
64.1%
38
35.9%
Q2 - 3:31DENLawson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)50
67.4%
38
32.6%
Q2 - 3:32DALMISS Nowitzki 19' Jump Shot50
66.4%
38
33.6%
Q2 - 3:56DENFaried Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)50
64.2%
38
35.8%
Q2 - 3:56DENFaried Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)49
63.4%
38
36.6%
Q2 - 3:56DENFaried REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)48
62.0%
38
38.0%
Q2 - 3:57DENDalembert BLOCK (2 BLK)48
59.6%
38
40.4%
Q2 - 4:03DENHickson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)48
60.0%
38
40.0%
Q2 - 4:04DENMISS Fournier 25' 3PT Floating Jump Shot48
58.1%
38
41.9%
Q2 - 4:14DALEllis 2' Driving Layup (8 PTS)48
60.1%
38
39.9%
Q2 - 4:21DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)48
62.8%
36
37.2%
Q2 - 4:22DENMISS Chandler 24' 3PT Jump Shot48
63.7%
36
36.3%
Q2 - 4:38DALNowitzki Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)48
65.6%
36
34.4%
Q2 - 4:52DENChandler 1' Alley Oop Dunk (9 PTS) (Fournier 1 AST)48
62.9%
36
37.1%
Q2 - 4:55DENFaried REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)46
60.2%
36
39.8%
Q2 - 4:57DALMISS Carter 5' Driving Jump Shot46
59.4%
36
40.6%
Q2 - 5:12DENChandler 5' Fadeaway Jumper (7 PTS)46
56.6%
36
43.4%
Q2 - 5:19DENFaried REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)44
53.7%
36
46.3%
Q2 - 5:20DALMISS Ellis 3' Driving Layup44
52.9%
36
47.1%
Q2 - 5:35DALBlair REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)44
51.0%
36
49.0%
Q2 - 5:36DENMISS Hickson Free Throw 2 of 244
51.4%
36
48.6%
Q2 - 5:36DENHickson Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)44
53.0%
36
47.0%
Q2 - 5:38DENLawson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)43
50.9%
36
49.1%
Q2 - 5:39DALMISS Carter 21' Jump Shot43
50.1%
36
49.9%
Q2 - 6:00DENFaried 1' Slam Dunk (4 PTS)43
48.2%
36
51.8%
Q2 - 6:03DENFaried REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)41
45.1%
36
54.9%
Q2 - 6:04DENMISS Lawson 25' 3PT Jump Shot41
42.8%
36
57.2%
Q2 - 6:24DALCarter Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)41
45.1%
36
54.9%
Q2 - 6:24DALCarter Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)41
45.6%
35
54.4%
Q2 - 6:32DALMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)41
47.3%
34
52.7%
Q2 - 6:33DENMISS Mozgov 3' Layup41
48.3%
34
51.7%
Q2 - 6:53DENFaried REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)41
50.6%
34
49.4%
Q2 - 6:54DALMISS Blair 12' Running Jump Shot41
49.6%
34
50.4%
Q2 - 7:16DENArthur Foul Turnover (P1.T6)41
46.7%
34
53.3%
Q2 - 7:21DENHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)41
49.6%
34
50.4%
Q2 - 7:22DALMISS Crowder 15' Fadeaway Jumper41
48.7%
34
51.3%
Q2 - 7:48DENHamilton 1' Running Layup (7 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)41
46.7%
34
53.3%
Q2 - 7:59DALMekel 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS)39
44.4%
34
55.6%
Q2 - 8:15DENMozgov 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T5)39
46.0%
32
54.0%
Q2 - 8:31DALNowitzki 13' Fadeaway Jumper (9 PTS)39
48.7%
32
51.3%
Q2 - 8:52DENMozgov Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)39
51.2%
30
48.8%
Q2 - 8:52DENMISS Mozgov Free Throw 1 of 238
50.6%
30
49.4%
Q2 - 8:52DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)38
51.3%
30
48.7%
Q2 - 8:53DENMISS Arthur 5' Turnaround Jump Shot38
49.5%
30
50.5%
Q2 - 8:56DENNuggets Rebound38
51.3%
30
48.7%
Q2 - 8:56DENDalembert BLOCK (1 BLK)38
49.5%
30
50.5%
Q2 - 9:02DALCrowder Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)38
50.2%
30
49.8%
Q2 - 9:10DALNowitzki Free Throw Technical (7 PTS)38
47.6%
30
52.4%
Q2 - 9:20DENMiller 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)38
50.1%
29
49.9%
Q2 - 9:36DALDalembert 2' Alley Oop Layup (2 PTS) (Mekel 1 AST)36
47.8%
29
52.2%
Q2 - 9:55DENEllington STEAL (1 STL)36
50.2%
27
49.8%
Q2 - 10:09DENHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)36
52.5%
27
47.5%
Q2 - 10:10DALMISS Ellington 3PT Jump Shot36
51.6%
27
48.4%
Q2 - 10:26DENRobinson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)36
49.6%
27
50.4%
Q2 - 10:26DENRobinson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)35
49.2%
27
50.8%
Q2 - 10:30DALNowitzki Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)34
47.6%
27
52.4%
Q2 - 10:46DENHamilton 10' Driving Jump Shot (5 PTS)34
44.7%
27
55.3%
Q2 - 11:02DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
42.1%
27
57.9%
Q2 - 11:03DALMISS Larkin 19' Jump Shot32
41.4%
27
58.6%
Q2 - 11:22DALDalembert REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
39.7%
27
60.3%
Q2 - 11:23DENMISS Arthur 16' Jump Shot32
40.5%
27
59.5%
Q2 - 11:38DENHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)32
42.2%
27
57.8%
Q2 - 11:39DALMISS Ellington 4' Driving Jump Shot32
41.4%
27
58.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0DAL32
39.7%
27
60.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
39.7%
27
60.3%
Q1 - 0:01.0DENMISS Robinson 25' 3PT Running Jump Shot32
40.2%
27
59.8%
Q1 - 0:15.0DALLarkin Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)32
41.4%
27
58.6%
Q1 - 0:30.0DENHamilton 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)32
39.7%
27
60.3%
Q1 - 0:42.0DALNowitzki 14' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS)29
34.8%
27
65.2%
Q1 - 1:03DENHickson Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)29
37.1%
25
62.9%
Q1 - 1:03DENHickson Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)28
36.5%
25
63.5%
Q1 - 1:19DENHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
34.5%
25
65.5%
Q1 - 1:19DALMISS Carter 18' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot27
34.0%
25
66.0%
Q1 - 1:48DENArthur 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Hamilton 1 AST)27
33.0%
25
67.0%
Q1 - 2:05DENHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
30.7%
25
69.3%
Q1 - 2:06DALMISS Ellis 19' Jump Shot25
30.1%
25
69.9%
Q1 - 2:27DENHickson 9' Jump Shot (10 PTS)25
28.9%
25
71.1%
Q1 - 2:49DENArthur REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
26.9%
25
73.1%
Q1 - 2:50DALMISS Marion 9' Turnaround Hook Shot23
26.4%
25
73.6%
Q1 - 3:04DALMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)23
25.1%
25
74.9%
Q1 - 3:05DALMISS Carter 28' 3PT Jump Shot23
26.3%
25
73.7%
Q1 - 3:33DENLawson 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS)23
25.1%
25
74.9%
Q1 - 3:47DALCarter 2' Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Marion 3 AST)21
23.6%
25
76.4%
Q1 - 4:14DENHickson 1' Running Finger Roll Layup (8 PTS) (Lawson 5 AST)21
24.9%
23
75.1%
Q1 - 4:19DALJames Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T3)19
23.5%
23
76.5%
Q1 - 4:41DENArthur 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Lawson 4 AST)19
21.8%
23
78.2%
Q1 - 5:00DALEllis 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (6 PTS)17
20.5%
23
79.5%
Q1 - 5:10DENHickson 5' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS)17
22.0%
21
78.0%
Q1 - 5:23DENArthur REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
20.8%
21
79.2%
Q1 - 5:24DALMISS Calderon 3PT Jump Shot15
20.3%
21
79.7%
Q1 - 5:28DALJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)15
19.3%
21
80.7%
Q1 - 5:30DALMISS Marion 7' Turnaround Hook Shot15
20.3%
21
79.7%
Q1 - 5:44DENChandler Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)15
19.3%
21
80.7%
Q1 - 5:44DENChandler Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)14
19.1%
21
80.9%
Q1 - 5:53DALJames Foul Turnover (P1.T2)13
18.2%
21
81.8%
Q1 - 5:58DENHickson Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)13
16.9%
21
83.1%
Q1 - 5:58DENHickson Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)12
16.5%
21
83.5%
Q1 - 6:15DALEllis 1' Running Layup (4 PTS) (Marion 2 AST)11
16.1%
21
83.9%
Q1 - 6:31DENChandler 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Lawson 3 AST)11
17.1%
19
82.9%
Q1 - 6:44DALBlair Running Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Calderon 3 AST)8
15.1%
19
84.9%
Q1 - 6:51DENNowitzki STEAL (1 STL)8
16.0%
17
84.0%
Q1 - 7:04DALBlair 5' Turnaround Bank Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Nowitzki 1 AST)8
17.4%
17
82.6%
Q1 - 7:16DENLawson 10' Driving Jump Shot (2 PTS)8
18.4%
15
81.6%
Q1 - 7:23DALCalderon Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)6
17.4%
15
82.6%
Q1 - 7:23DALMISS Calderon Free Throw 1 of 26
17.5%
14
82.5%
Q1 - 7:40DENFaried Foul Turnover (P1.T2)6
17.3%
14
82.7%
Q1 - 7:46DALEllis 2' Layup (2 PTS)6
18.5%
14
81.5%
Q1 - 8:06DENFoye 7' Driving Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Lawson 2 AST)6
19.7%
12
80.3%
Q1 - 8:30DALCalderon 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Ellis 2 AST)4
18.6%
12
81.4%
Q1 - 8:38DALMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
20.8%
9
79.2%
Q1 - 8:39DENMISS Faried 2' Dunk4
21.3%
9
78.7%
Q1 - 8:40DENFaried REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
22.2%
9
77.8%
Q1 - 8:41DENMISS Lawson 18' Jump Shot4
21.3%
9
78.7%
Q1 - 9:02DALBlair Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)4
22.4%
9
77.6%
Q1 - 9:20DENMarion STEAL (1 STL)4
21.0%
9
79.0%
Q1 - 9:33DALNowitzki 16' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS) (Marion 1 AST)4
22.4%
9
77.6%
Q1 - 9:46DALBlair REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
23.5%
7
76.5%
Q1 - 9:47DENMISS Faried 17' Jump Shot4
23.9%
7
76.1%
Q1 - 10:02DALNowitzki 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Calderon 2 AST)4
25.0%
7
75.0%
Q1 - 10:12DALMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
26.2%
5
73.8%
Q1 - 10:13DENMISS Foye 25' 3PT Jump Shot4
26.6%
5
73.4%
Q1 - 10:35DALCalderon 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Ellis 1 AST)4
27.7%
5
72.3%
Q1 - 10:45DENHickson 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS) (Chandler 1 AST)4
30.4%
2
69.6%
Q1 - 11:01DALMarion 10' Turnaround Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Calderon 1 AST)2
28.6%
2
71.4%
Q1 - 11:11DALBlair REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
30.2%
0
69.8%
Q1 - 11:12DENMISS Faried Free Throw 2 of 22
30.3%
0
69.7%
Q1 - 11:12DENMISS Faried Free Throw 1 of 22
31.1%
0
68.9%
Q1 - 11:23DENChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
31.5%
0
68.5%
Q1 - 11:24DALMISS Marion 3PT Jump Shot2
31.1%
0
68.9%
Q1 - 11:41DENFaried Alley Oop Layup (2 PTS) (Lawson 1 AST)2
30.2%
0
69.8%
Q1 - 12:00DALJump Ball Blair vs. Hickson: Tip to Lawson0
28.7%
0
71.3%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.22 61.1%
DAL
1.04 52.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DEN
16
23
70%
DAL
20
27
74%
Midrange
DEN
17
32
53%
DAL
13
36
36%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DEN
8
12.0
20
40%
60%
DAL
5
7.5
19
26%
39%
Free Throws
DEN
20
28
71%
DAL
15
19
79%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Hickson2279%11.0 / 14
T. Lawson1973%9.5 / 13
N. Robinson1777%8.5 / 11
W. Chandler1179%5.5 / 7
J. Hamilton1161%5.5 / 9
K. Faried1056%5.0 / 9
R. Foye750%3.5 / 7
D. Arthur643%3.0 / 7
A. Miller467%2.0 / 3
T. Mozgov338%1.5 / 4
E. Fournier0-0.0 / 1
A. Randolph0-0.0 / 1
Q. Miller0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Ellis2265%11.0 / 17
D. Nowitzki1853%9.0 / 17
S. Marion1359%6.5 / 11
J. Calderon1286%6.0 / 7
D. Blair1056%5.0 / 9
V. Carter829%4.0 / 14
J. Crowder660%3.0 / 5
G. Mekel563%2.5 / 4
S. Dalembert2100%1.0 / 1
W. Ellington0-0.0 / 3
S. Larkin0-0.0 / 1
R. Ledo0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DEN
78
+11
-13
89
DAL
79
+13
-13
92
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.22 61.1%
DAL
1.04 52.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.3
110.7
DEN 120.9 +16.5
DAL 104.3
Pace
97.8
94.1
DEN 94.1 +5.1
DAL 89.0
Avg. Poss. Time
14.2
15.7
DEN 15.3 +0.9
DAL 16.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.7%
52.6%
DEN 60.0% +10.6%
DAL 49.4%
TO %
15.7%
13.9%
DEN 13.0%
DAL 12.6% +0.4%
ORB %
27.5%
24.7%
DEN 27.8% +4.0%
DAL 23.8%
FTrt
30.6
25.3
DEN 37.3 +14.1
DAL 23.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.4%
59.6%
DEN 56.1% +8.7%
DAL 47.4%
STL %
7.6%
9.1%
DEN 11.0% +5.6%
DAL 5.4%
BLK %
8.6%
7.4%
DEN 3.2%
DAL 5.5% +2.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.2%
55.0%
DEN 61.1% +8.9%
DAL 52.2%
Rim FG%
57.6%
60.9%
DEN 69.6%
DAL 74.1% +4.5%
Mid FG%
36.2%
42.4%
DEN 53.1% +17.0%
DAL 36.1%
3P %
35.8%
38.4%
DEN 40.0% +13.7%
DAL 26.3%
FT %
72.6%
79.5%
DEN 71.4%
DAL 78.9% +7.5%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
40.2%
32.8%
DEN 30.7%
DAL 32.9% +2.3%
Mid Att. %
32.0%
39.9%
DEN 42.7% +1.2%
DAL 43.9%
3P Att. %
27.8%
27.4%
DEN 26.7% +3.5%
DAL 23.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsDENDAL
Possessions9192
Possession Minutes23.224.8
Points11096
Rebounds4236
Assists2318
Steals105
Blocks23
Turnovers (Team)13 (0)13 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (1)10 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)32 (0)26 (2)
Field Goals41-7538-82
At-the-Rim FG16-2320-27
Midrange FG17-3213-36
2-Point FG33-5533-63
3-Point FG8-205-19
Free Throws20-2815-19
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
C · 6'9" 242 · 25
33.8
22
79%
8
1
3
1
2
3
3
5
6-8
75%
8-11
73%
0-0
-
G · 5'11" 195 · 26
30.3
19
73%
3
11
0
0
1
2
0
3
3-6
50%
5-8
63%
2-3
67%
G · 6'4" 218 · 30
25.6
7
50%
1
1
0
0
3
4
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
100%
1-5
20%
F · 6'8" 228 · 24
25.1
10
56%
10
0
2
1
1
1
3
7
2-4
50%
4-7
57%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 225 · 27
18.8
11
79%
1
1
1
0
1
4
0
1
2-2
100%
3-4
75%
1-2
50%
F · 6'9" 235 · 26
26.9
6
43%
2
0
0
0
1
4
0
2
0-0
-
3-7
43%
0-0
-
G · 5'9" 180 · 29
23.7
17
77%
1
3
1
0
0
2
0
1
4-4
100%
2-3
67%
3-6
50%
G · 6'3" 200 · 38
19.1
4
67%
6
3
0
0
1
1
3
3
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 23
18.4
11
61%
7
2
3
0
1
0
0
7
2-2
100%
3-6
50%
1-2
50%
C · 7'1" 275 · 27
8.0
3
38%
2
0
0
0
2
1
1
1
1-2
50%
1-3
33%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 21
6.4
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
· 6'10" 225 · 24
3.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
F · 6'9" 210 · 21
0.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
#34 · C · 7'0" 270 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#8 · F · 6'10" 225 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
110
61%
42
23
10
2
13
0
10
32
20-28
71%
33-55
60%
8-20
40%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.