FinalWin Prob.pScore
946%109
100
1854%110
102
ORTG#PossPace
DAL logo DAL
99.010199.1
DEN logo DEN
102.0100102.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

NuggetsMavericksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

NuggetsMavericksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDALDEN
Q4 - 0:00.0DAL100
0%
102
100%
Q4 - 0:00.0DALMavericks Rebound100
2.5%
102
97.5%
Q4 - 0:01.0DALMISS Nowitzki 22' Turnaround Jump Shot100
0%
102
100%
Q4 - 0:07.0DALMavericks Rebound100
14.4%
102
85.6%
Q4 - 0:08.0DALFaried BLOCK (2 BLK)100
7.3%
102
92.7%
Q4 - 0:14.0DALBlair REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)100
20.9%
102
79.1%
Q4 - 0:14.0DENMISS Faried Free Throw 2 of 2100
18.1%
102
81.9%
Q4 - 0:14.0DENFaried Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)100
11.5%
102
88.5%
Q4 - 0:15.0DENFaried REBOUND (Off:5 Def:9)100
16.5%
101
83.5%
Q4 - 0:17.0DALMISS Nowitzki 19' Jump Shot100
22.9%
101
77.1%
Q4 - 0:30.0DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)100
40.7%
101
59.3%
Q4 - 0:31.0DENMISS Foye 25' 3PT Jump Shot100
33.7%
101
66.3%
Q4 - 0:47.0DENFoye REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)100
23.7%
101
76.3%
Q4 - 0:53.0DALMISS Ellis 9' Running Jump Shot100
29.3%
101
70.7%
Q4 - 1:11DENFoye 26' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Chandler 3 AST)100
41.8%
101
58.2%
Q4 - 1:22DENMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)100
68.1%
98
31.9%
Q4 - 1:25DALMISS Nowitzki 16' Turnaround Jump Shot100
71.9%
98
28.1%
Q4 - 1:42DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)100
77.6%
98
22.4%
Q4 - 1:44DENMISS Miller 7' Running Jump Shot100
74.2%
98
25.8%
Q4 - 2:02DALNowitzki 13' Fadeaway Jumper (27 PTS)100
65.7%
98
34.3%
Q4 - 2:25DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)98
57.4%
98
42.6%
Q4 - 2:25DENMISS Lawson Free Throw 2 of 298
55.4%
98
44.6%
Q4 - 2:25DENMISS Lawson Free Throw 1 of 298
47.7%
98
52.3%
Q4 - 2:34DALNowitzki 16' Fadeaway Jumper (25 PTS)98
42.3%
98
57.7%
Q4 - 2:45DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)96
34.4%
98
65.6%
Q4 - 2:50DENMISS Foye 25' 3PT Jump Shot96
30.3%
98
69.7%
Q4 - 3:03DALEllis Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)96
23.6%
98
76.4%
Q4 - 3:03DALEllis Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)95
22.1%
98
77.9%
Q4 - 3:10DALEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)94
18.0%
98
82.0%
Q4 - 3:11DENMISS Chandler 25' 3PT Jump Shot94
15.7%
98
84.3%
Q4 - 3:16DENFoye REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)94
11.3%
98
88.7%
Q4 - 3:20DALMISS Calderon 25' 3PT Jump Shot94
13.0%
98
87.0%
Q4 - 3:38DENLawson 2' Driving Layup (20 PTS) (Chandler 2 AST)94
20.8%
98
79.2%
Q4 - 3:42DENChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)94
26.7%
96
73.3%
Q4 - 3:43DALMISS Nowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot94
29.2%
96
70.8%
Q4 - 3:59DENFoye Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T18)94
35.3%
96
64.7%
Q4 - 4:11DALNowitzki Free Throw 3 of 3 (23 PTS)94
26.3%
96
73.7%
Q4 - 4:11DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 3 (22 PTS)93
25.6%
96
74.4%
Q4 - 4:11DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 3 (21 PTS)92
24.8%
96
75.2%
Q4 - 4:17DALEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)91
14.6%
96
85.4%
Q4 - 4:18DENMISS Chandler 25' 3PT Jump Shot91
13.1%
96
86.9%
Q4 - 4:41DENNUGGETS Rebound91
10.0%
96
90.0%
Q4 - 4:42DALMISS Nowitzki 14' Turnaround Jump Shot91
11.2%
96
88.8%
Q4 - 4:58DENFoye Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)91
14.4%
96
85.6%
Q4 - 4:58DENFoye Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)91
15.2%
95
84.8%
Q4 - 5:10DALCrowder Foul Turnover (P2.T12)91
22.0%
94
78.0%
Q4 - 5:20DENChandler Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T17)91
28.8%
94
71.2%
Q4 - 5:31DENFoye REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)91
21.9%
94
78.1%
Q4 - 5:36DALMISS Marion 25' 3PT Jump Shot91
23.8%
94
76.2%
Q4 - 5:46DENLawson Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)91
28.8%
94
71.2%
Q4 - 5:46DENLawson Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)91
30.1%
93
69.9%
Q4 - 5:50DENFaried REBOUND (Off:5 Def:8)91
35.5%
92
64.5%
Q4 - 5:50DALMISS Crowder 3PT Jump Shot91
38.1%
92
61.9%
Q4 - 6:02DALEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)91
44.8%
92
55.2%
Q4 - 6:03DENMISS Foye 27' 3PT Jump Shot91
42.2%
92
57.8%
Q4 - 6:11DALFaried STEAL (1 STL)91
36.5%
92
63.5%
Q4 - 6:29DENFaried 6' Jump Hook Shot (17 PTS)91
44.7%
92
55.3%
Q4 - 6:48DALMarion 10' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Blair 2 AST)91
51.4%
90
48.6%
Q4 - 7:12DENFaried Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)89
45.0%
90
55.0%
Q4 - 7:12DENFaried Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)89
47.2%
89
52.8%
Q4 - 7:30DALEllis 19' Jump Shot (23 PTS)89
51.3%
88
48.7%
Q4 - 7:50DALCalderon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)87
45.0%
88
55.0%
Q4 - 7:55DENMISS Foye 27' 3PT Jump Shot87
42.7%
88
57.3%
Q4 - 8:15DALBlair 3' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Ellis 2 AST)87
38.6%
88
61.4%
Q4 - 8:27DALEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)85
32.6%
88
67.4%
Q4 - 8:29DENMISS Lawson 25' 3PT Jump Shot85
30.9%
88
69.1%
Q4 - 8:33DENFaried REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7)85
27.3%
88
72.7%
Q4 - 8:34DENMISS Lawson 6' Jump Shot85
30.9%
88
69.1%
Q4 - 9:04DENFaried REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)85
28.4%
88
71.6%
Q4 - 9:07DALMISS Crowder 24' 3PT Jump Shot85
29.9%
88
70.1%
Q4 - 9:20DENFaried 7' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Miller 4 AST)85
33.5%
88
66.5%
Q4 - 9:35DENMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)85
39.0%
86
61.0%
Q4 - 9:41DALMISS Larkin 6' Fadeaway Jumper85
40.8%
86
59.2%
Q4 - 9:55DALMavericks Rebound85
44.9%
86
55.1%
Q4 - 9:58DENMISS Fournier 25' 3PT Jump Shot85
43.1%
86
56.9%
Q4 - 10:12DALCarter 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS)85
39.2%
86
60.8%
Q4 - 10:15DALCarter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)82
29.1%
86
70.9%
Q4 - 10:19DALMISS Nowitzki 26' 3PT Jump Shot82
26.0%
86
74.0%
Q4 - 10:28DALBlair REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)82
29.1%
86
70.9%
Q4 - 10:29DENMISS Arthur 18' Jump Shot82
27.7%
86
72.3%
Q4 - 10:49DENRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)82
24.6%
86
75.4%
Q4 - 10:55DALMISS Nowitzki 19' Fadeaway Jumper82
25.9%
86
74.1%
Q4 - 11:05DALBlair REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)82
29.8%
86
70.2%
Q4 - 11:10DENMISS Miller 16' Jump Shot82
28.4%
86
71.6%
Q4 - 11:42DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)82
25.4%
86
74.6%
Q4 - 11:42DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)81
25.0%
86
75.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0DEN80
21.6%
86
78.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0DALBlair 3' Layup (6 PTS)80
18.1%
86
81.9%
Q3 - 0:06.0DENFournier 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)78
16.2%
86
83.8%
Q3 - 0:19.0DALCarter 26' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS)78
19.2%
84
80.8%
Q3 - 0:37.0DENRobinson 2' Driving Layup (10 PTS)75
13.5%
84
86.5%
Q3 - 0:40.0DENRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)75
16.2%
82
83.8%
Q3 - 0:45.0DALMISS Nowitzki 20' Jump Shot75
17.0%
82
83.0%
Q3 - 0:50.0DENArthur 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Fournier 2 AST)75
19.1%
82
80.9%
Q3 - 1:15DENNUGGETS Rebound75
23.3%
80
76.7%
Q3 - 1:22DALMISS Nowitzki 19' Jump Shot75
24.4%
80
75.6%
Q3 - 1:22DALMavericks Rebound75
26.9%
80
73.1%
Q3 - 1:22DALMozgov BLOCK (1 BLK)75
24.4%
80
75.6%
Q3 - 1:30DALBlair REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)75
26.9%
80
73.1%
Q3 - 1:40DALMISS Blair 9' Jump Shot75
24.4%
80
75.6%
Q3 - 1:47DALLarkin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)75
26.9%
80
73.1%
Q3 - 1:50DALMISS Larkin 11' Jump Shot75
24.4%
80
75.6%
Q3 - 1:58DENMozgov 5' Jump Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Arthur 1 AST)75
26.9%
80
73.1%
Q3 - 2:05DALCrowder Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T10)75
31.3%
78
68.7%
Q3 - 2:13DENHickson Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T16)75
35.6%
78
64.4%
Q3 - 2:15DENHickson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)75
31.2%
78
68.8%
Q3 - 2:18DALMISS Blair 3' Layup75
32.5%
78
67.5%
Q3 - 2:18DALBlair REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)75
35.6%
78
64.4%
Q3 - 2:20DALMISS Carter 15' Jump Shot75
32.5%
78
67.5%
Q3 - 2:40DALMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)75
35.5%
78
64.5%
Q3 - 2:43DENMISS Lawson 17' Jump Shot75
34.2%
78
65.8%
Q3 - 2:48DENLawson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)75
31.2%
78
68.8%
Q3 - 2:51DALMISS Marion 3PT Jump Shot75
32.5%
78
67.5%
Q3 - 2:51DALMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)75
35.5%
78
64.5%
Q3 - 2:51DENMISS Hamilton 7' Jump Shot75
34.2%
78
65.8%
Q3 - 3:25DALCarter 23' Jump Shot (10 PTS)75
31.7%
78
68.3%
Q3 - 3:35DALMavericks Rebound73
28.3%
78
71.7%
Q3 - 3:38DENMISS Arthur 12' Jump Shot73
27.1%
78
72.9%
Q3 - 3:47DALCarter 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Calderon 5 AST)73
24.5%
78
75.5%
Q3 - 4:12DALMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)70
19.6%
78
80.4%
Q3 - 4:17DENMISS Hickson 21' Jump Shot70
18.6%
78
81.4%
Q3 - 4:17DENNUGGETS Rebound70
16.5%
78
83.5%
Q3 - 4:18DENMISS Hamilton 5' Jump Shot70
18.6%
78
81.4%
Q3 - 4:21DENLawson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)70
16.5%
78
83.5%
Q3 - 4:21DALMISS Blair 3' Layup70
17.4%
78
82.6%
Q3 - 4:28DALCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)70
19.6%
78
80.4%
Q3 - 4:29DENMISS Hamilton 25' 3PT Jump Shot70
18.6%
78
81.4%
Q3 - 5:02DALBlair Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T9)70
17.2%
78
82.8%
Q3 - 5:08DENLawson 6' Running Jump Shot (16 PTS)70
20.1%
78
79.9%
Q3 - 5:32DALCarter 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Blair 1 AST)70
22.4%
76
77.6%
Q3 - 5:47DENLawson Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)67
17.5%
76
82.5%
Q3 - 5:47DENMISS Lawson Free Throw 1 of 267
17.9%
75
82.1%
Q3 - 5:58DENHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)67
17.1%
75
82.9%
Q3 - 6:00DALMISS Calderon 12' Jump Shot67
18.0%
75
82.0%
Q3 - 6:19DENArthur 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Lawson 9 AST)67
20.7%
75
79.3%
Q3 - 6:38DALDalembert Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)67
23.1%
73
76.9%
Q3 - 6:38DALMISS Dalembert Free Throw 1 of 266
22.4%
73
77.6%
Q3 - 6:42DALDalembert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)66
23.4%
73
76.6%
Q3 - 6:43DALMISS Calderon 24' 3PT Jump Shot66
21.3%
73
78.7%
Q3 - 6:43DENHickson Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P1.T15)66
23.4%
73
76.6%
Q3 - 6:46DALFoye STEAL (1 STL)66
20.4%
73
79.6%
Q3 - 6:57DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)66
23.4%
73
76.6%
Q3 - 6:58DENMISS Chandler 24' 3PT Jump Shot66
22.4%
73
77.6%
Q3 - 7:03DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)66
20.9%
73
79.1%
Q3 - 7:03DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)65
20.7%
73
79.3%
Q3 - 7:13DALDalembert REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)64
18.7%
73
81.3%
Q3 - 7:15DENMISS Hickson 1' Driving Layup64
17.9%
73
82.1%
Q3 - 7:30DALCalderon 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Nowitzki 1 AST)64
16.2%
73
83.8%
Q3 - 7:48DENFaried 3' Finger Roll Layup (11 PTS) (Foye 2 AST)61
12.6%
73
87.4%
Q3 - 8:07DALNowitzki 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Calderon 4 AST)61
14.6%
71
85.4%
Q3 - 8:22DALEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)59
13.1%
71
86.9%
Q3 - 8:25DENMISS Foye 11' Running Bank Shot59
12.5%
71
87.5%
Q3 - 8:42DENNUGGETS Rebound59
11.2%
71
88.8%
Q3 - 8:42DALMISS Nowitzki 14' Turnaround Jump Shot59
11.8%
71
88.2%
Q3 - 8:53DALDalembert REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)59
13.1%
71
86.9%
Q3 - 8:56DENMISS Lawson 10' Fadeaway Bank Shot59
12.5%
71
87.5%
Q3 - 9:07DALCalderon 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Dalembert 2 AST)59
11.8%
71
88.2%
Q3 - 9:19DENFoye 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Lawson 8 AST)57
10.4%
71
89.6%
Q3 - 9:39DALNowitzki 9' Turnaround Fadeaway (14 PTS)57
13.3%
68
86.7%
Q3 - 10:03DENLawson Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T14)55
12.3%
68
87.7%
Q3 - 10:10DALMavericks Turnover: Shot Clock (T#7)55
10.8%
68
89.2%
Q3 - 10:37DENHickson 1' Driving Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Faried 1 AST)55
12.3%
68
87.7%
Q3 - 10:50DENNUGGETS Rebound55
13.9%
66
86.1%
Q3 - 10:50DALMISS Ellis 22' Jump Shot55
14.4%
66
85.6%
Q3 - 10:59DENLawson Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T13)55
15.7%
66
84.3%
Q3 - 11:03DALEllis 5' Running Jump Shot (21 PTS)55
14.6%
66
85.4%
Q3 - 11:15DENFaried Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)53
13.0%
66
87.0%
Q3 - 11:15DENMISS Faried Free Throw 1 of 253
13.5%
65
86.5%
Q3 - 11:27DENLawson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)53
12.9%
65
87.1%
Q3 - 11:32DALFaried BLOCK (1 BLK)53
13.4%
65
86.6%
Q3 - 11:37DENLawson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)53
14.6%
65
85.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0DAL53
12.9%
65
87.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0DENLawson Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)53
14.6%
65
85.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0DENMISS Lawson Free Throw 1 of 253
14.9%
64
85.1%
Q2 - 0:01.0DENFaried REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)53
15.8%
64
84.2%
Q2 - 0:03.0DALMISS Blair 7' Running Jump Shot53
16.1%
64
83.9%
Q2 - 0:25.0DENFaried REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)53
17.0%
64
83.0%
Q2 - 0:25.0DENFaried 2' Putback Slam Dunk (8 PTS)53
17.0%
64
83.0%
Q2 - 0:25.0DENMISS Fournier 6' Running Jump Shot53
20.6%
62
79.4%
Q2 - 0:32.0DENFaried REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)53
19.5%
62
80.5%
Q2 - 0:33.0DALMISS Ellis 24' 3PT Jump Shot53
20.0%
62
80.0%
Q2 - 0:55.0DENLawson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)53
21.1%
62
78.9%
Q2 - 1:03DALEllis Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)53
20.3%
62
79.7%
Q2 - 1:03DALEllis Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)52
19.9%
62
80.1%
Q2 - 1:11DENLawson 27' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Fournier 1 AST)51
17.6%
62
82.4%
Q2 - 1:32DALEllis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Calderon 3 AST)51
22.4%
59
77.6%
Q2 - 1:37DALBlair REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)48
17.6%
59
82.4%
Q2 - 1:40DENMISS Fournier 24' 3PT Jump Shot48
17.2%
59
82.8%
Q2 - 1:44DENFournier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)48
16.4%
59
83.6%
Q2 - 1:46DALMISS Nowitzki 10' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot48
16.7%
59
83.3%
Q2 - 2:01DENFoye Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T10)48
18.5%
59
81.5%
Q2 - 2:17DALNowitzki 8' Jump Bank Shot (12 PTS)48
16.7%
59
83.3%
Q2 - 2:32DENFaried Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T9)46
15.0%
59
85.0%
Q2 - 2:36DENFaried REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)46
13.5%
59
86.5%
Q2 - 2:38DENMISS Lawson 3' Driving Layup46
14.5%
59
85.5%
Q2 - 2:45DALCalderon 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Dalembert 1 AST)46
13.5%
59
86.5%
Q2 - 3:00DENLawson Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)44
12.1%
59
87.9%
Q2 - 3:00DENLawson Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)44
12.3%
58
87.7%
Q2 - 3:12DALEllis 2' Driving Layup (14 PTS) (Calderon 2 AST)44
14.0%
57
86.0%
Q2 - 3:18DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)42
12.9%
57
87.1%
Q2 - 3:19DENMISS Foye 26' 3PT Jump Shot42
12.4%
57
87.6%
Q2 - 3:22DENHickson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)42
11.3%
57
88.7%
Q2 - 3:26DENMISS Chandler 3PT Jump Shot42
12.4%
57
87.6%
Q2 - 3:38DALMarion Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)42
11.3%
57
88.7%
Q2 - 3:38DALMarion Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)41
11.1%
57
88.9%
Q2 - 3:41DALCalderon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)40
10.4%
57
89.6%
Q2 - 3:42DENMISS Foye 26' 3PT Jump Shot40
10.0%
57
90.0%
Q2 - 3:50DENFoye REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)40
9.1%
57
90.9%
Q2 - 3:51DALMISS Marion 9' Jump Shot40
9.5%
57
90.5%
Q2 - 4:02DENFoye 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Lawson 7 AST)40
11.0%
57
89.0%
Q2 - 4:08DALEllis 2' Driving Layup (12 PTS)40
13.4%
54
86.6%
Q2 - 4:20DENChandler 26' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Lawson 6 AST)38
12.1%
54
87.9%
Q2 - 4:29DALEllis 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Marion 2 AST)38
14.8%
51
85.2%
Q2 - 4:39DENLawson 1' Driving Layup (7 PTS)35
12.1%
51
87.9%
Q2 - 4:44DALLawson STEAL (1 STL)35
13.3%
49
86.7%
Q2 - 4:56DALEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
14.8%
49
85.2%
Q2 - 4:58DENMISS Hickson 7' Turnaround Jump Shot35
14.3%
49
85.7%
Q2 - 5:14DALEllis Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)35
13.9%
49
86.1%
Q2 - 5:14DALEllis Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)34
13.6%
49
86.4%
Q2 - 5:14DENLawson Free Throw Technical (5 PTS)33
12.5%
49
87.5%
Q2 - 5:14DENMISS Lawson Free Throw Technical33
13.8%
48
86.2%
Q2 - 5:36DENFoye 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Lawson 5 AST)33
13.8%
48
86.2%
Q2 - 5:51DENFoye REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
16.8%
45
83.2%
Q2 - 5:53DALMISS Calderon 23' Jump Shot33
17.3%
45
82.7%
Q2 - 6:04DENChandler 1' Slam Dunk (7 PTS) (Miller 3 AST)33
19.1%
45
80.9%
Q2 - 6:08DALChandler STEAL (1 STL)33
20.5%
43
79.5%
Q2 - 6:19DENFournier Foul Turnover (P1.T8)33
22.7%
43
77.3%
Q2 - 6:23DENNUGGETS Rebound33
20.5%
43
79.5%
Q2 - 6:23DENChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)33
20.5%
43
79.5%
Q2 - 6:23DENMISS Chandler 1' Tip Shot33
22.0%
43
78.0%
Q2 - 6:24DENMISS Chandler 2' Layup33
22.0%
43
78.0%
Q2 - 6:36DENFaried REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)33
20.5%
43
79.5%
Q2 - 6:39DALMISS Carter 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup33
21.1%
43
78.9%
Q2 - 6:53DENChandler Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)33
22.7%
43
77.3%
Q2 - 6:53DENMISS Chandler Free Throw 1 of 233
23.1%
42
76.9%
Q2 - 7:04DALEllis Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)33
23.0%
42
77.0%
Q2 - 7:04DALMISS Ellis Free Throw 1 of 232
22.6%
42
77.4%
Q2 - 7:08DALCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
23.2%
42
76.8%
Q2 - 7:11DENMISS Chandler 19' Fadeaway Jumper32
22.5%
42
77.5%
Q2 - 7:24DENRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
21.1%
42
78.9%
Q2 - 7:26DALMISS Carter 28' 3PT Jump Shot32
21.7%
42
78.3%
Q2 - 7:50DENRobinson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Miller 2 AST)32
23.2%
42
76.8%
Q2 - 7:58DENChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
26.9%
39
73.1%
Q2 - 8:00DALMISS Blair 12' Running Jump Shot32
27.6%
39
72.4%
Q2 - 8:18DENChandler Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)32
29.5%
39
70.5%
Q2 - 8:44DALEllington 2' Dunk (2 PTS)32
31.6%
37
68.4%
Q2 - 8:48DENMozgov Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T7)30
29.5%
37
70.5%
Q2 - 9:05DALBlair 7' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Larkin 1 AST)30
27.6%
37
72.4%
Q2 - 9:16DALBlair REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)28
25.8%
37
74.2%
Q2 - 9:17DENMISS Mozgov 8' Jump Shot28
25.2%
37
74.8%
Q2 - 9:33DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)28
23.8%
37
76.2%
Q2 - 9:33DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)27
23.6%
37
76.4%
Q2 - 9:49DENRobinson 1' Driving Reverse Layup (5 PTS)26
22.1%
37
77.9%
Q2 - 9:58DENFournier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
23.8%
35
76.2%
Q2 - 10:00DALMISS Blair 2' Reverse Layup26
24.4%
35
75.6%
Q2 - 10:09DENMozgov 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T6)26
26.1%
35
73.9%
Q2 - 10:16DENFournier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
23.9%
35
76.1%
Q2 - 10:17DALMISS Ellington 22' Jump Shot26
24.6%
35
75.4%
Q2 - 10:27DENMozgov Foul Turnover (P1.T5)26
26.1%
35
73.9%
Q2 - 10:30DENNUGGETS Rebound26
23.9%
35
76.1%
Q2 - 10:30DENMISS Robinson 2' Driving Layup26
25.4%
35
74.6%
Q2 - 10:43DALNowitzki 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Crowder 2 AST)26
23.9%
35
76.1%
Q2 - 10:57DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)24
22.5%
35
77.5%
Q2 - 10:58DENMISS Robinson 18' Jump Shot24
21.9%
35
78.1%
Q2 - 11:25DALNowitzki 1' Dunk (6 PTS) (Crowder 1 AST)24
21.0%
35
79.0%
Q2 - 11:39DENRobinson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)22
19.5%
35
80.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0DAL22
17.9%
35
82.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0DALMavericks Rebound22
19.5%
35
80.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0DALMISS Crowder 51' 3PT Jump Shot22
18.4%
35
81.6%
Q1 - 0:01.0DENMozgov Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)22
19.7%
35
80.3%
Q1 - 0:01.0DENMozgov Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)22
20.1%
34
79.9%
Q1 - 0:05.0DALRobinson STEAL (2 STL)22
21.7%
33
78.3%
Q1 - 0:11.0DENArthur 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Hamilton 1 AST)22
22.9%
33
77.1%
Q1 - 0:29.0DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)22
25.0%
31
75.0%
Q1 - 0:31.0DALMISS Carter 16' Fadeaway Jumper22
25.4%
31
74.6%
Q1 - 0:44.0DENMozgov Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)22
26.3%
31
73.7%
Q1 - 0:44.0DENMozgov Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)22
26.8%
30
73.2%
Q1 - 0:44.0DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
28.7%
29
71.3%
Q1 - 0:44.0DALMISS Larkin 27' 3PT Jump Shot22
29.1%
29
70.9%
Q1 - 0:49.0DALBlair REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)22
30.2%
29
69.8%
Q1 - 0:51.0DALMISS Nowitzki 14' Fadeaway Jumper22
29.1%
29
70.9%
Q1 - 1:08DALBlair REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)22
30.5%
29
69.5%
Q1 - 1:09DENMISS Robinson 26' 3PT Jump Shot22
30.1%
29
69.9%
Q1 - 1:17DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
29.1%
29
70.9%
Q1 - 1:19DALMISS Blair 15' Running Jump Shot22
29.5%
29
70.5%
Q1 - 1:33DENRobinson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Lawson 4 AST)22
30.5%
29
69.5%
Q1 - 1:47DALCarter 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS)22
35.1%
26
64.9%
Q1 - 1:58DENLawson Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)20
32.4%
26
67.6%
Q1 - 1:58DENMISS Lawson Free Throw 1 of 220
32.8%
25
67.2%
Q1 - 1:58DALArthur STEAL (1 STL)20
33.0%
25
67.0%
Q1 - 2:01DALBlair REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)20
34.9%
25
65.1%
Q1 - 2:04DALMISS Carter 6' Running Bank Shot20
33.6%
25
66.4%
Q1 - 2:17DENArthur 23' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Robinson 1 AST)20
34.9%
25
65.1%
Q1 - 2:34DALLarkin Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)20
37.2%
23
62.8%
Q1 - 2:34DALLarkin Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)19
36.7%
23
63.3%
Q1 - 2:50DENArthur Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)18
34.9%
23
65.1%
Q1 - 2:50DENArthur Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)18
35.3%
22
64.7%
Q1 - 2:54DALRobinson STEAL (1 STL)18
37.2%
21
62.8%
Q1 - 3:13DENLawson 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Foye 1 AST)18
39.3%
21
60.7%
Q1 - 3:23DALBlair 4' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Calderon 1 AST)18
43.5%
18
56.5%
Q1 - 3:32DALMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
41.5%
18
58.5%
Q1 - 3:33DENMISS Hamilton 27' 3PT Jump Shot16
40.8%
18
59.2%
Q1 - 3:42DENArthur REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
39.1%
18
60.9%
Q1 - 3:43DALMISS Ellis 19' Jump Shot16
39.8%
18
60.2%
Q1 - 3:56DALMavericks Rebound16
41.5%
18
58.5%
Q1 - 3:56DALMISS Carter 6' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot16
39.9%
18
60.1%
Q1 - 4:17DENHamilton 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)16
41.5%
18
58.5%
Q1 - 4:36DENFaried REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)16
45.5%
15
54.5%
Q1 - 4:38DALMISS Carter 18' Running Jump Shot16
46.2%
15
53.8%
Q1 - 4:56DENHickson 1' Layup (4 PTS)16
47.9%
15
52.1%
Q1 - 4:59DENHickson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)16
49.8%
13
50.2%
Q1 - 5:01DENMISS Chandler 3PT Jump Shot16
50.8%
13
49.2%
Q1 - 5:18DALEllis Driving Finger Roll Layup (4 PTS)16
49.3%
13
50.7%
Q1 - 5:31DALMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
47.5%
13
52.5%
Q1 - 5:34DENMISS Hickson 13' Jump Shot14
46.8%
13
53.2%
Q1 - 5:56DENFaried REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)14
45.3%
13
54.7%
Q1 - 5:57DALMISS Marion 1' Layup14
45.9%
13
54.1%
Q1 - 6:09DENFaried REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)14
47.2%
13
52.8%
Q1 - 6:09DENFaried 1' Putback Dunk (6 PTS)14
47.2%
13
52.8%
Q1 - 6:10DENMISS Chandler 3PT Jump Shot14
50.4%
11
49.6%
Q1 - 6:27DALMarion 1' Dunk (2 PTS) (Ellis 1 AST)14
49.0%
11
51.0%
Q1 - 6:33DENFaried Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)12
47.2%
11
52.8%
Q1 - 6:43DALEllis 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS)12
45.0%
11
55.0%
Q1 - 6:55DENFaried Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)10
43.3%
11
56.7%
Q1 - 6:59DENFaried REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
41.2%
11
58.8%
Q1 - 7:02DALMISS Marion 13' Running Jump Shot10
41.8%
11
58.2%
Q1 - 7:26DALMavericks Rebound10
43.3%
11
56.7%
Q1 - 7:26DENMISS Foye 26' 3PT Jump Shot10
42.6%
11
57.4%
Q1 - 7:31DENHickson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
41.1%
11
58.9%
Q1 - 7:35DALMISS Nowitzki 14' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot10
41.8%
11
58.2%
Q1 - 7:55DENFaried Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Lawson 3 AST)10
43.3%
11
56.7%
Q1 - 8:13DALDalembert Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)10
45.0%
9
55.0%
Q1 - 8:13DALDalembert Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)9
44.5%
9
55.5%
Q1 - 8:29DENHickson 3' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Lawson 2 AST)8
43.3%
9
56.7%
Q1 - 8:49DALNowitzki 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Marion 1 AST)8
44.9%
7
55.1%
Q1 - 9:04DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
43.5%
7
56.5%
Q1 - 9:04DENMISS Chandler 26' 3PT Jump Shot6
42.9%
7
57.1%
Q1 - 9:12DENChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
41.5%
7
58.5%
Q1 - 9:14DALMISS Marion 24' 3PT Jump Shot6
42.1%
7
57.9%
Q1 - 9:22DENChandler Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)6
43.5%
7
56.5%
Q1 - 9:34DALEllis Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)6
41.5%
7
58.5%
Q1 - 9:44DENChandler 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Lawson 1 AST)6
43.4%
7
56.6%
Q1 - 9:50DENHickson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
45.0%
5
55.0%
Q1 - 9:51DALMISS Calderon 26' 3PT Jump Shot6
45.6%
5
54.4%
Q1 - 10:09DENFaried REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
46.9%
5
53.1%
Q1 - 10:09DENFaried 2' Putback Slam Dunk (2 PTS)6
46.9%
5
53.1%
Q1 - 10:11DENMISS Hickson 10' Jump Shot6
49.7%
3
50.3%
Q1 - 10:30DALCalderon 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS)6
48.4%
3
51.6%
Q1 - 10:42DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
46.9%
3
53.1%
Q1 - 10:43DENMISS Chandler 25' 3PT Jump Shot4
46.3%
3
53.7%
Q1 - 11:02DALCalderon 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
45.0%
3
55.0%
Q1 - 11:16DENFoye 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Chandler 1 AST)2
43.1%
3
56.9%
Q1 - 11:39DALNowitzki 17' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)2
46.6%
0
53.4%
Q1 - 12:00DENJump Ball Hickson vs. Dalembert: Tip to Ellis0
44.8%
0
55.2%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DAL
0.97 48.5%
DEN
1.09 54.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DAL
10
18
56%
DEN
16
22
73%
Midrange
DAL
18
48
38%
DEN
8
25
32%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DAL
7
10.5
21
33%
50%
DEN
11
16.5
32
34%
52%
Free Throws
DAL
23
25
92%
DEN
21
30
70%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Nowitzki2752%13.5 / 26
M. Ellis2569%12.5 / 18
V. Carter1662%8.0 / 13
J. Calderon1155%5.5 / 10
D. Blair833%4.0 / 12
S. Marion633%3.0 / 9
S. Dalembert375%1.5 / 2
S. Larkin225%1.0 / 4
W. Ellington250%1.0 / 2
J. Crowder0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Lawson2063%10.0 / 16
K. Faried1890%9.0 / 10
R. Foye1761%8.5 / 14
W. Chandler1031%5.0 / 16
D. Arthur1071%5.0 / 7
N. Robinson1071%5.0 / 7
J. Hickson638%3.0 / 8
T. Mozgov675%3.0 / 4
J. Hamilton330%1.5 / 5
E. Fournier225%1.0 / 4
A. Miller0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DAL
90
+12
-11
102
DEN
82
+11
-18
93
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DAL
0.97 48.5%
DEN
1.09 54.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
110.7
106.3
DAL 99.0 +3.0
DEN 102.0
Pace
94.1
97.8
DAL 99.1
DEN 102.6 +3.6
Avg. Poss. Time
15.7
14.2
DAL 14.5
DEN 14.0 +0.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.6%
49.7%
DAL 44.3%
DEN 51.3% +7.0%
TO %
13.9%
15.7%
DAL 10.9% +5.4%
DEN 16.3%
ORB %
24.7%
27.5%
DAL 16.3%
DEN 20.0% +3.7%
FTrt
25.3
30.6
DAL 28.7
DEN 38.0 +9.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
59.6%
58.4%
DAL 48.6%
DEN 68.6% +20.0%
STL %
9.1%
7.6%
DAL 7.9% +0.9%
DEN 7.0%
BLK %
7.4%
8.6%
DAL 4.3%
DEN 4.5% +0.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.0%
52.2%
DAL 48.5%
DEN 54.3% +5.8%
Rim FG%
60.9%
57.6%
DAL 55.6%
DEN 72.7% +17.1%
Mid FG%
42.4%
36.2%
DAL 37.5% +5.5%
DEN 32.0%
3P %
38.4%
35.8%
DAL 33.3%
DEN 34.4% +1.1%
FT %
79.5%
72.6%
DAL 92.0% +22.0%
DEN 70.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
32.8%
40.2%
DAL 20.7%
DEN 27.8% +7.2%
Mid Att. %
39.9%
32.0%
DAL 55.2%
DEN 31.6% +23.5%
3P Att. %
27.4%
27.8%
DAL 24.1%
DEN 40.5% +16.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsDALDEN
Possessions101100
Possession Minutes24.523.4
Points100102
Rebounds3944
Assists1724
Steals87
Blocks23
Turnovers (Team)11 (1)18 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (5)8 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)32 (3)36 (4)
Field Goals35-8735-79
At-the-Rim FG10-1816-22
Midrange FG18-488-25
2-Point FG28-6624-47
3-Point FG7-2111-32
Free Throws23-2521-30
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 7'0" 245 · 35
34.4
27
52%
9
1
0
1
0
2
0
9
9-9
100%
9-20
45%
0-2
0%
G · 6'3" 185 · 28
34.1
25
69%
6
2
2
0
4
1
0
6
7-8
88%
6-11
55%
2-3
67%
G · 6'3" 200 · 32
34.1
11
55%
2
5
1
0
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
4-6
67%
1-4
25%
F · 6'7" 228 · 36
32.1
6
33%
5
2
1
0
2
2
0
5
2-2
100%
2-5
40%
0-3
0%
C · 6'11" 255 · 34
21.7
3
75%
3
2
1
0
0
2
1
2
3-4
75%
0-0
-
0-0
-
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 25
26.3
8
33%
10
2
2
0
2
5
4
6
0-0
-
4-12
33%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 37
24.0
16
62%
3
0
0
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
2-8
25%
4-5
80%
G · 5'11" 175 · 21
13.9
2
25%
1
1
0
0
1
1
1
0
2-2
100%
0-2
0%
0-1
0%
F · 6'6" 235 · 23
13.2
0
0%
0
2
0
0
2
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-3
0%
G · 6'5" 200 · 26
6.3
2
50%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 191 · 26
C · 6'10" 235 · 29
G · 6'7" 195 · 21
#20 · G · 6'3" 185 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#34 · F-C · 6'10" 235 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
100
49%
39
17
8
2
11
0
7
32
23-25
92%
28-66
42%
7-21
33%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.