FinalWin Prob.pScore
3017%95
99
283%108
101
ORTG#PossPace
ORL logo ORL
110.09091.0
MIA logo MIA
108.69392.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventORLMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA99
0%
101
100%
Q4 - 0:00.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)99
0%
101
100%
Q4 - 0:01.0ORLMISS Oladipo 12' Fadeaway Jumper99
0%
101
100%
Q4 - 0:03.0ORLOladipo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)99
7.0%
101
93.0%
Q4 - 0:04.0ORLBosh BLOCK (2 BLK)99
3.5%
101
96.5%
Q4 - 0:15.0MIAJames 18' Pullup Jump Shot (22 PTS)99
14.0%
101
86.0%
Q4 - 0:37.0ORLDavis Free Throw 1 of 1 (20 PTS)99
23.3%
99
76.7%
Q4 - 0:40.0ORLDavis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)96
7.4%
99
92.6%
Q4 - 0:41.0ORLMISS Afflalo 25' 3PT Jump Shot96
4.3%
99
95.7%
Q4 - 0:58.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (27 PTS)96
8.9%
99
91.1%
Q4 - 0:58.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 296
10.1%
98
89.9%
Q4 - 1:12ORLVucevic 1' Tip Shot (11 PTS)96
9.3%
98
90.7%
Q4 - 1:13ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)94
5.8%
98
94.2%
Q4 - 1:14ORLMISS Harkless 2' Layup94
3.8%
98
96.2%
Q4 - 1:15ORLHarkless REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)94
5.9%
98
94.1%
Q4 - 1:16ORLMISS Davis 12' Jump Shot94
3.9%
98
96.1%
Q4 - 1:34MIABosh 20' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)94
7.0%
98
93.0%
Q4 - 1:48ORLAfflalo 1' Driving Layup (18 PTS)94
11.3%
96
88.7%
Q4 - 2:01MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)92
8.3%
96
91.7%
Q4 - 2:01MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)92
9.1%
95
90.9%
Q4 - 2:11ORLMagic Turnover: Shot Clock (T#17)92
11.6%
94
88.4%
Q4 - 2:35MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)92
19.6%
94
80.4%
Q4 - 2:35MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)92
21.1%
93
78.9%
Q4 - 2:50ORLHarkless Dunk (5 PTS) (Davis 1 AST)92
25.4%
92
74.6%
Q4 - 3:01ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)90
19.3%
92
80.7%
Q4 - 3:02MIAMISS Cole 16' Jump Shot90
16.9%
92
83.1%
Q4 - 3:28ORLDavis Foul Turnover (P2.T16)90
12.2%
92
87.8%
Q4 - 3:47MIAJames 27' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Allen 2 AST)90
19.3%
92
80.7%
Q4 - 4:10ORLAfflalo Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)90
33.0%
89
67.0%
Q4 - 4:10ORLAfflalo Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)89
31.8%
89
68.2%
Q4 - 4:33MIABosh 17' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)88
25.8%
89
74.2%
Q4 - 4:53MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)88
33.2%
87
66.8%
Q4 - 4:54ORLMISS Davis Free Throw 2 of 288
34.4%
87
65.6%
Q4 - 4:54ORLDavis Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)88
40.0%
87
60.0%
Q4 - 5:08MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)87
31.7%
87
68.3%
Q4 - 5:08MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)87
33.4%
86
66.6%
Q4 - 5:20MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)87
38.8%
85
61.2%
Q4 - 5:21ORLMISS Afflalo 22' Jump Shot87
41.5%
85
58.5%
Q4 - 5:32ORLMagic Rebound87
47.9%
85
52.1%
Q4 - 5:34ORLMISS Nelson 24' 3PT Jump Shot87
41.6%
85
58.4%
Q4 - 6:01MIAJames 1' Layup (15 PTS) (Cole 4 AST)87
43.8%
85
56.2%
Q4 - 6:05MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)87
50.4%
83
49.6%
Q4 - 6:06ORLMISS Harkless 3PT Jump Shot87
53.0%
83
47.0%
Q4 - 6:16MIABosh Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T12)87
59.0%
83
41.0%
Q4 - 6:30ORLNelson Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T15)87
50.7%
83
49.3%
Q4 - 6:39MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)87
59.2%
83
40.8%
Q4 - 6:39MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)87
60.5%
82
39.5%
Q4 - 6:57ORLAfflalo 17' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Nelson 6 AST)87
65.6%
81
34.4%
Q4 - 7:03ORLDavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)85
54.6%
81
45.4%
Q4 - 7:04MIAMISS Allen 25' 3PT Jump Shot85
52.3%
81
47.7%
Q4 - 7:10MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)85
47.1%
81
52.9%
Q4 - 7:12ORLMISS Afflalo 2' Driving Layup85
49.4%
81
50.6%
Q4 - 7:36MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)85
55.0%
81
45.0%
Q4 - 7:36MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 285
56.3%
80
43.7%
Q4 - 7:53ORLDavis Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)85
54.3%
80
45.7%
Q4 - 7:53ORLMISS Davis Free Throw 1 of 284
52.6%
80
47.4%
Q4 - 8:13MIAAllen Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)84
51.5%
80
48.5%
Q4 - 8:13MIAAllen Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)84
52.3%
79
47.7%
Q4 - 8:25ORLAfflalo 7' Jump Shot (12 PTS)84
58.1%
78
41.9%
Q4 - 8:44ORLHarkless REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)82
51.7%
78
48.3%
Q4 - 8:45MIAMISS Cole 25' 3PT Jump Shot82
49.8%
78
50.2%
Q4 - 9:04ORLNelson Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)82
42.8%
78
57.2%
Q4 - 9:04ORLNelson Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)81
42.0%
78
58.0%
Q4 - 9:17ORLAfflalo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)80
37.2%
78
62.8%
Q4 - 9:18MIAMISS James 12' Turnaround Jump Shot80
35.5%
78
64.5%
Q4 - 9:33MIAHEAT Rebound80
31.8%
78
68.2%
Q4 - 9:34MIAMISS Lewis 17' Jump Shot80
35.5%
78
64.5%
Q4 - 9:48ORLNelson Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P4.T14)80
31.8%
78
68.2%
Q4 - 10:01ORLNicholson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)80
35.4%
78
64.6%
Q4 - 10:02MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Shot80
33.8%
78
66.2%
Q4 - 10:14MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)80
30.4%
78
69.6%
Q4 - 10:15ORLMISS Nicholson Free Throw 2 of 280
31.1%
78
68.9%
Q4 - 10:15ORLNicholson Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)80
34.4%
78
65.6%
Q4 - 10:26MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (22 PTS)79
30.5%
78
69.5%
Q4 - 10:33MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)79
40.8%
75
59.2%
Q4 - 10:34ORLMISS Davis 20' Jump Shot79
42.5%
75
57.5%
Q4 - 10:48MIALewis 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS)79
46.5%
75
53.5%
Q4 - 11:06MIAHEAT Rebound79
50.2%
73
49.8%
Q4 - 11:07MIAMISS Allen 24' 3PT Jump Shot79
54.0%
73
46.0%
Q4 - 11:23ORLDavis 8' Fadeaway Jumper (15 PTS)79
50.3%
73
49.7%
Q4 - 11:26ORLDavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)77
45.0%
73
55.0%
Q4 - 11:28ORLMISS Davis 10' Jump Shot77
41.3%
73
58.7%
Q4 - 11:51MIAWade 11' Pullup Jump Shot (19 PTS)77
45.0%
73
55.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA77
50.3%
71
49.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound77
50.3%
71
49.7%
Q3 - 0:01.0ORLMISS Afflalo 27' 3PT Running Jump Shot77
49.8%
71
50.2%
Q3 - 0:03.0ORLAfflalo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)77
53.2%
71
46.8%
Q3 - 0:04.0MIAMISS Cole 3PT Jump Shot77
51.8%
71
48.2%
Q3 - 0:27.0MIALewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)77
48.5%
71
51.5%
Q3 - 0:28.0ORLMISS Nicholson Free Throw 2 of 277
49.1%
71
50.9%
Q3 - 0:28.0ORLNicholson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)77
52.6%
71
47.4%
Q3 - 0:43.0ORLAfflalo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)76
48.4%
71
51.6%
Q3 - 0:44.0MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot76
46.8%
71
53.2%
Q3 - 1:01ORLDavis Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)76
41.3%
71
58.7%
Q3 - 1:01ORLDavis Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)75
40.2%
71
59.8%
Q3 - 1:15ORLDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)74
36.6%
71
63.4%
Q3 - 1:16MIAMISS Allen 4' Jump Shot74
35.3%
71
64.7%
Q3 - 1:19MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)74
32.3%
71
67.7%
Q3 - 1:20MIAMISS Lewis 3PT Jump Shot74
35.3%
71
64.7%
Q3 - 1:44ORLDavis 18' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Oladipo 4 AST)74
32.4%
71
67.6%
Q3 - 1:59MIAAllen Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)72
28.1%
71
71.9%
Q3 - 2:07ORLCole STEAL (1 STL)72
23.4%
71
76.6%
Q3 - 2:21MIAJames 6' Jump Bank Shot (12 PTS)72
27.1%
71
72.9%
Q3 - 2:38ORLOladipo 1' Driving Layup (17 PTS)72
30.8%
69
69.2%
Q3 - 2:57MIAAllen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 7 AST)70
27.1%
69
72.9%
Q3 - 3:03ORLJames STEAL (3 STL)70
33.5%
66
66.5%
Q3 - 3:07MIACole Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)70
37.9%
66
62.1%
Q3 - 3:32ORLOladipo Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)70
33.6%
66
66.4%
Q3 - 3:32ORLOladipo Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)69
32.7%
66
67.3%
Q3 - 3:32ORLMagic Rebound68
30.0%
66
70.0%
Q3 - 3:33MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Shot68
28.8%
66
71.2%
Q3 - 3:55ORLOladipo Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)68
26.1%
66
73.9%
Q3 - 3:55ORLOladipo Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)67
25.4%
66
74.6%
Q3 - 4:09MIACole 20' Jump Shot (5 PTS)66
22.8%
66
77.2%
Q3 - 4:30MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)66
25.3%
64
74.7%
Q3 - 4:31ORLMISS Harkless Free Throw 2 of 266
25.8%
64
74.2%
Q3 - 4:31ORLMISS Harkless Free Throw 1 of 266
27.4%
64
72.6%
Q3 - 4:41ORLOladipo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)66
29.4%
64
70.6%
Q3 - 4:42MIAMISS James 26' 3PT Jump Shot66
28.1%
64
71.9%
Q3 - 4:48MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)66
25.3%
64
74.7%
Q3 - 4:49ORLMISS Nelson 25' 3PT Jump Shot66
26.5%
64
73.5%
Q3 - 5:13MIACole 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 6 AST)66
28.5%
64
71.5%
Q3 - 5:31ORLOladipo Free Throw 3 of 3 (11 PTS)66
35.2%
61
64.8%
Q3 - 5:31ORLMISS Oladipo Free Throw 2 of 365
34.4%
61
65.6%
Q3 - 5:31ORLOladipo Free Throw 1 of 3 (10 PTS)65
37.2%
61
62.8%
Q3 - 5:47MIAChalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)64
32.1%
61
67.9%
Q3 - 5:59MIAJames Free Throw Technical (10 PTS)64
39.1%
58
60.9%
Q3 - 5:59ORLVucevic 3' Jump Shot (9 PTS)64
43.2%
57
56.8%
Q3 - 5:59ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)62
39.8%
57
60.2%
Q3 - 6:00ORLMISS Afflalo 12' Jump Shot62
36.6%
57
63.4%
Q3 - 6:14MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)62
37.9%
57
62.1%
Q3 - 6:16ORLBosh STEAL (1 STL)62
45.2%
54
54.8%
Q3 - 6:28MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (17 PTS)62
49.7%
54
50.3%
Q3 - 6:39ORLVucevic 4' Hook Shot (7 PTS) (Afflalo 5 AST)62
57.2%
51
42.8%
Q3 - 6:47ORLAfflalo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)60
53.7%
51
46.3%
Q3 - 6:48MIAMISS Bosh 18' Jump Shot60
52.4%
51
47.6%
Q3 - 7:08ORLOladipo Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)60
47.3%
51
52.7%
Q3 - 7:30MIAWade 2' Driving Dunk (14 PTS)60
51.6%
51
48.4%
Q3 - 7:40MIAMISS Chalmers Free Throw Technical60
55.1%
49
44.9%
Q3 - 8:01ORLNelson 4' Floating Jump Shot (10 PTS)60
53.4%
49
46.6%
Q3 - 8:07ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)58
50.3%
49
49.7%
Q3 - 8:08MIAMISS Bosh 8' Hook Shot58
49.0%
49
51.0%
Q3 - 8:34ORLAfflalo 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Nelson 5 AST)58
46.0%
49
54.0%
Q3 - 8:54MIAWade 1' Driving Dunk (12 PTS)55
39.2%
49
60.8%
Q3 - 9:04MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)55
40.9%
47
59.1%
Q3 - 9:05ORLMISS Afflalo 3PT Jump Shot55
42.0%
47
58.0%
Q3 - 9:17ORLHarkless REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)55
44.7%
47
55.3%
Q3 - 9:18MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot55
43.5%
47
56.5%
Q3 - 9:24MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)55
41.0%
47
59.0%
Q3 - 9:25ORLMISS Vucevic 18' Jump Shot55
42.1%
47
57.9%
Q3 - 9:36MIAWade 5' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (James 5 AST)55
44.7%
47
55.3%
Q3 - 9:46MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)55
48.3%
45
51.7%
Q3 - 9:46ORLMISS Afflalo 25' 3PT Jump Shot55
49.4%
45
50.6%
Q3 - 10:02MIAJames 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)55
49.7%
45
50.3%
Q3 - 10:14ORLJames STEAL (2 STL)55
56.8%
42
43.2%
Q3 - 10:27ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)55
60.4%
42
39.6%
Q3 - 10:28MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot55
59.3%
42
40.7%
Q3 - 10:37MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)55
56.9%
42
43.1%
Q3 - 10:38ORLMISS Oladipo 24' 3PT Jump Shot55
58.0%
42
42.0%
Q3 - 11:01MIAJames 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS)55
57.9%
42
42.1%
Q3 - 11:11MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)55
64.3%
39
35.7%
Q3 - 11:12ORLMISS Nelson 26' 3PT Jump Shot55
65.3%
39
34.7%
Q3 - 11:33MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T9)55
67.7%
39
32.3%
Q3 - 11:42ORLWade STEAL (1 STL)55
64.5%
39
35.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORL55
67.8%
39
32.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)55
67.8%
39
32.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Chalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot55
66.8%
39
33.2%
Q2 - 0:07.0ORLAfflalo 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Nelson 4 AST)55
62.4%
39
37.6%
Q2 - 0:29.0MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)52
55.4%
39
44.6%
Q2 - 0:37.0ORLAfflalo 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Vucevic 1 AST)52
52.9%
39
47.1%
Q2 - 0:51.0MIABeasley Traveling Turnover (P1.T7)50
48.9%
39
51.1%
Q2 - 0:58.0ORLNelson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)50
46.3%
39
53.7%
Q2 - 1:16MIABeasley 2' Driving Layup (9 PTS)50
47.4%
39
52.6%
Q2 - 1:34ORLVucevic 20' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Nelson 3 AST)50
51.8%
37
48.2%
Q2 - 1:49MIAChalmers 2' Driving Layup (5 PTS)48
47.4%
37
52.6%
Q2 - 2:18ORLMoore 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Afflalo 4 AST)48
49.4%
35
50.6%
Q2 - 2:35MIABeasley 22' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (James 4 AST)45
43.3%
35
56.7%
Q2 - 2:50MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)45
46.4%
33
53.6%
Q2 - 2:51ORLMISS Nelson 19' Jump Shot45
47.4%
33
52.6%
Q2 - 3:11MIABeasley 10' Jump Bank Shot (5 PTS)45
47.7%
33
52.3%
Q2 - 3:20MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)45
50.1%
31
49.9%
Q2 - 3:21ORLMISS Nelson 8' Floating Jump Shot45
51.2%
31
48.8%
Q2 - 3:33MIABeasley 9' Driving Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 3 AST)45
53.8%
31
46.2%
Q2 - 3:50ORLMoore 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Nelson 2 AST)45
56.2%
29
43.8%
Q2 - 4:11ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)42
48.2%
29
51.8%
Q2 - 4:12MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot42
47.3%
29
52.7%
Q2 - 4:28MIAChalmers Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)42
45.4%
29
54.6%
Q2 - 4:41ORLMoore 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Nelson 1 AST)42
48.3%
28
51.7%
Q2 - 4:49ORLAfflalo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)39
42.7%
28
57.3%
Q2 - 4:50MIAMISS Bosh 8' Turnaround Jump Shot39
41.8%
28
58.2%
Q2 - 5:07ORLAfflalo 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)39
38.8%
28
61.2%
Q2 - 5:26MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)37
36.1%
28
63.9%
Q2 - 5:26MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)37
36.7%
27
63.3%
Q2 - 5:34MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)37
38.8%
26
61.2%
Q2 - 5:35ORLMISS Nicholson 20' Jump Shot37
39.6%
26
60.4%
Q2 - 5:45MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)37
41.4%
26
58.6%
Q2 - 6:03MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)37
37.5%
26
62.5%
Q2 - 6:04MIAMISS Lewis 3PT Jump Shot37
39.7%
26
60.3%
Q2 - 6:26ORLMoore 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Afflalo 3 AST)37
37.6%
26
62.4%
Q2 - 6:32MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)34
33.1%
26
66.9%
Q2 - 6:49MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)34
30.3%
26
69.7%
Q2 - 6:50ORLMISS Vucevic 9' Jump Shot34
31.1%
26
68.9%
Q2 - 7:11MIAWade 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Cole 3 AST)34
31.9%
26
68.1%
Q2 - 7:27MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)34
34.1%
24
65.9%
Q2 - 7:28ORLMISS Davis 2' Driving Layup34
34.9%
24
65.1%
Q2 - 7:50MIALewis 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)34
36.9%
24
63.1%
Q2 - 8:08ORLDavis Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)34
37.9%
22
62.1%
Q2 - 8:32MIAWade 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Cole 2 AST)31
33.3%
22
66.7%
Q2 - 8:39MIAHEAT Rebound31
35.5%
20
64.5%
Q2 - 8:40MIAMISS Cole 26' 3PT Jump Shot31
37.3%
20
62.7%
Q2 - 8:54ORLOladipo 1' Driving Layup (9 PTS)31
35.5%
20
64.5%
Q2 - 9:12ORLNicholson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)29
32.0%
20
68.0%
Q2 - 9:13MIAMISS Wade 9' Turnaround Jump Shot29
31.3%
20
68.7%
Q2 - 9:40ORLHarkless 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Moore 1 AST)29
29.8%
20
70.2%
Q2 - 9:52ORLOladipo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)26
25.9%
20
74.1%
Q2 - 9:53MIAMISS Andersen 8' Jump Shot26
25.2%
20
74.8%
Q2 - 10:15ORLDavis 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Oladipo 3 AST)26
23.6%
20
76.4%
Q2 - 10:22ORLNicholson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)24
22.2%
20
77.8%
Q2 - 10:24ORLMISS Nicholson 9' Hook Shot24
20.8%
20
79.2%
Q2 - 10:44MIAAndersen Dunk (6 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)24
22.2%
20
77.8%
Q2 - 11:07ORLDavis 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Oladipo 2 AST)24
23.5%
18
76.5%
Q2 - 11:24MIAAndersen 2' Layup (4 PTS)22
21.9%
18
78.1%
Q2 - 11:25MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)22
23.5%
16
76.5%
Q2 - 11:26MIAMISS Wade 2' Driving Layup22
24.8%
16
75.2%
Q2 - 11:48ORLMoore 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS)22
23.5%
16
76.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORL20
22.0%
16
78.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORLMagic Rebound20
22.0%
16
78.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORLMISS Harkless 17' Jump Shot20
20.7%
16
79.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAAndersen Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)20
22.0%
16
78.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORLOladipo 6' Floating Jump Shot (7 PTS)20
20.2%
16
79.8%
Q1 - 0:18.0ORLDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
18.4%
16
81.6%
Q1 - 0:19.0MIAMISS Cole 24' 3PT Jump Shot18
18.1%
16
81.9%
Q1 - 0:31.0ORLHarkless Traveling Turnover (P2.T6)18
17.4%
16
82.6%
Q1 - 0:41.0MIAAndersen 1' Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Cole 1 AST)18
18.4%
16
81.6%
Q1 - 0:49.0ORLOladipo Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)18
20.3%
14
79.7%
Q1 - 0:49.0ORLOladipo Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)17
19.9%
14
80.1%
Q1 - 1:00MIABeasley Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)16
18.4%
14
81.6%
Q1 - 1:00MIAMISS Beasley Free Throw 1 of 216
18.8%
13
81.2%
Q1 - 1:12ORLDavis 8' Running Hook Shot (2 PTS)16
18.5%
13
81.5%
Q1 - 1:36ORLHarkless REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)14
16.8%
13
83.2%
Q1 - 1:37MIAMISS Lewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot14
16.5%
13
83.5%
Q1 - 1:43MIAHEAT Rebound14
15.9%
13
84.1%
Q1 - 1:44MIAMISS Cole 21' Jump Shot14
16.5%
13
83.5%
Q1 - 1:50MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
15.9%
13
84.1%
Q1 - 1:51ORLMISS Davis 16' Jump Shot14
16.2%
13
83.8%
Q1 - 2:14MIACole Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)14
16.9%
13
83.1%
Q1 - 2:37ORLMoore Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T5)14
15.7%
13
84.3%
Q1 - 2:40ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
16.9%
13
83.1%
Q1 - 2:41MIAMISS Bosh 17' Jump Shot14
16.5%
13
83.5%
Q1 - 3:00MIAJump Ball Bosh vs. Davis: Tip to Chalmers14
15.7%
13
84.3%
Q1 - 3:00ORLBosh BLOCK (1 BLK)14
16.1%
13
83.9%
Q1 - 3:15MIAChalmers Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)14
16.6%
13
83.4%
Q1 - 3:26ORLMoore Traveling Turnover (P1.T4)14
15.4%
13
84.6%
Q1 - 3:29ORLMoore REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
16.6%
13
83.4%
Q1 - 3:30MIAMISS Bosh 21' Jump Shot14
16.2%
13
83.8%
Q1 - 3:39MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
15.4%
13
84.6%
Q1 - 3:40ORLMISS Nicholson 3PT Jump Shot14
15.7%
13
84.3%
Q1 - 4:00MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)14
16.7%
13
83.3%
Q1 - 4:00MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 214
16.9%
12
83.1%
Q1 - 4:12MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
16.1%
12
83.9%
Q1 - 4:13ORLBattier BLOCK (1 BLK)14
16.5%
12
83.5%
Q1 - 4:14ORLAfflalo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)14
17.4%
12
82.6%
Q1 - 4:15ORLMISS Afflalo 11' Jump Shot14
16.5%
12
83.5%
Q1 - 4:39MIABosh Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)14
17.5%
12
82.5%
Q1 - 4:53ORLHarkless Foul Turnover (P1.T3)14
16.1%
12
83.9%
Q1 - 5:08ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)14
17.2%
12
82.8%
Q1 - 5:09MIAMISS Allen 1' Reverse Layup14
16.8%
12
83.2%
Q1 - 5:17ORLJames STEAL (1 STL)14
15.9%
12
84.1%
Q1 - 5:30MIAJames 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)14
17.2%
12
82.8%
Q1 - 5:43ORLAfflalo Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)14
18.3%
10
81.7%
Q1 - 5:48ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)14
19.6%
10
80.4%
Q1 - 5:49MIAMISS Wade 12' Jump Shot14
19.2%
10
80.8%
Q1 - 6:01ORLNelson 1' Driving Layup (8 PTS)14
17.6%
10
82.4%
Q1 - 6:14ORLOladipo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)12
16.7%
10
83.3%
Q1 - 6:15MIAMISS Battier 24' 3PT Jump Shot12
16.3%
10
83.7%
Q1 - 6:24MIAHEAT Rebound12
15.5%
10
84.5%
Q1 - 6:25MIAMISS Wade 2' Driving Layup12
16.3%
10
83.7%
Q1 - 6:38MIAHEAT Rebound12
15.5%
10
84.5%
Q1 - 6:39ORLMISS Nelson 26' 3PT Jump Shot12
15.9%
10
84.1%
Q1 - 6:48ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)12
16.7%
10
83.3%
Q1 - 6:49MIAMISS Battier 25' 3PT Jump Shot12
16.3%
10
83.7%
Q1 - 6:51MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)12
15.5%
10
84.5%
Q1 - 6:52MIAMISS James 1' Driving Layup12
16.4%
10
83.6%
Q1 - 6:58MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)12
15.6%
10
84.4%
Q1 - 6:59ORLMISS Oladipo 25' 3PT Jump Shot12
15.9%
10
84.1%
Q1 - 7:12MIABosh 1' Driving Layup (6 PTS)12
16.3%
10
83.7%
Q1 - 7:27MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)12
17.2%
8
82.8%
Q1 - 7:28ORLMISS Vucevic 17' Jump Shot12
17.6%
8
82.4%
Q1 - 7:44MIAChalmers 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (James 2 AST)12
18.5%
8
81.5%
Q1 - 7:48MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
19.5%
6
80.5%
Q1 - 7:49ORLMISS Harkless 24' 3PT Jump Shot12
19.9%
6
80.1%
Q1 - 8:10ORLOladipo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)12
20.3%
6
79.7%
Q1 - 8:11MIAMISS Bosh 24' 3PT Jump Shot12
19.9%
6
80.1%
Q1 - 8:35ORLNelson 27' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Afflalo 2 AST)12
19.1%
6
80.9%
Q1 - 8:41ORLOladipo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
17.0%
6
83.0%
Q1 - 8:42MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot9
16.6%
6
83.4%
Q1 - 9:04ORLVucevic 1' Layup (3 PTS)9
15.6%
6
84.4%
Q1 - 9:05ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)7
14.8%
6
85.2%
Q1 - 9:06ORLMISS Harkless 1' Layup7
14.1%
6
85.9%
Q1 - 9:07ORLHarkless REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)7
14.8%
6
85.2%
Q1 - 9:08ORLMISS Harkless 2' Driving Layup7
14.1%
6
85.9%
Q1 - 9:18ORLHarkless REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
14.8%
6
85.2%
Q1 - 9:19MIAMISS James 10' Fadeaway Jumper7
14.5%
6
85.5%
Q1 - 9:29MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
13.8%
6
86.2%
Q1 - 9:30ORLMISS Oladipo 19' Jump Shot7
14.1%
6
85.9%
Q1 - 9:43MIABosh 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)7
14.8%
6
85.2%
Q1 - 9:56ORLNelson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Oladipo 1 AST)7
15.6%
4
84.4%
Q1 - 10:04ORLOladipo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
13.8%
4
86.2%
Q1 - 10:05MIAMISS Wade 13' Fadeaway Bank Shot4
13.5%
4
86.5%
Q1 - 10:27MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
12.9%
4
87.1%
Q1 - 10:28ORLMISS Vucevic Free Throw 2 of 24
13.0%
4
87.0%
Q1 - 10:28ORLVucevic Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)4
13.5%
4
86.5%
Q1 - 10:45MIABosh 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (James 1 AST)3
13.0%
4
87.0%
Q1 - 11:06ORLOladipo 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Afflalo 1 AST)3
13.6%
2
86.4%
Q1 - 11:18ORLAfflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
12.0%
2
88.0%
Q1 - 11:19MIAMISS Bosh 18' Jump Shot0
11.8%
2
88.2%
Q1 - 11:26MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
11.4%
2
88.6%
Q1 - 11:27ORLMISS Vucevic 19' Jump Shot0
11.6%
2
88.4%
Q1 - 11:43MIAWade 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)0
12.0%
2
88.0%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Bosh vs. Vucevic: Tip to Wade0
12.8%
0
87.2%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
1.11 55.6%
MIA
1.12 56.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ORL
10
18
56%
MIA
15
20
75%
Midrange
ORL
14
32
44%
MIA
16
33
48%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ORL
10
15.0
23
43%
65%
MIA
6
9.0
25
24%
36%
Free Throws
ORL
21
29
72%
MIA
21
26
81%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
G. Davis2063%10.0 / 16
A. Afflalo1850%9.0 / 18
V. Oladipo1771%8.5 / 12
E. Moore14140%7.0 / 5
J. Nelson1255%6.0 / 11
N. Vučević1155%5.5 / 10
M. Harkless528%2.5 / 9
A. Nicholson220%1.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2768%13.5 / 20
L. James2269%11.0 / 16
C. Bosh1554%7.5 / 14
M. Beasley990%4.5 / 5
M. Chalmers857%4.0 / 7
C. Andersen675%3.0 / 4
N. Cole531%2.5 / 8
R. Allen542%2.5 / 6
R. Lewis433%2.0 / 6
S. Battier0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ORL
74
+12
-16
86
MIA
81
+9
-12
90
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
1.11 55.6%
MIA
1.12 56.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
101.9
110.7
ORL 110.0 +1.4
MIA 108.6
Pace
93.4
91.5
ORL 91.0
MIA 92.7 +1.7
Avg. Poss. Time
15.3
15.8
ORL 15.8
MIA 15.5 +0.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.7%
55.4%
ORL 53.4% +2.1%
MIA 51.3%
TO %
15.0%
15.4%
ORL 16.5%
MIA 11.8% +4.7%
ORB %
22.5%
20.6%
ORL 25.6% +14.2%
MIA 11.4%
FTrt
25.3
30.0
ORL 39.7 +6.4
MIA 33.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.1%
58.8%
ORL 55.9% +4.5%
MIA 51.4%
STL %
8.1%
9.7%
ORL 8.9% +2.4%
MIA 6.5%
BLK %
6.9%
8.1%
ORL 5.7%
MIA 6.0% +0.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.51 and 2.51.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.0%
57.5%
ORL 55.6%
MIA 56.1% +0.5%
Rim FG%
55.8%
66.7%
ORL 55.6%
MIA 75.0% +19.4%
Mid FG%
40.7%
42.8%
ORL 43.8%
MIA 48.5% +4.7%
3P %
35.3%
36.4%
ORL 43.5% +19.5%
MIA 24.0%
FT %
76.3%
76.0%
ORL 72.4%
MIA 80.8% +8.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.8%
38.3%
ORL 24.7%
MIA 25.6% +1.0%
Mid Att. %
42.7%
32.5%
ORL 43.8%
MIA 42.3% +1.5%
3P Att. %
23.5%
29.2%
ORL 31.5%
MIA 32.1% +0.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.71 and 2.71.
Game TotalsORLMIA
Possessions9093
Possession Minutes23.724.1
Points99101
Rebounds4133
Assists1919
Steals86
Blocks33
Turnovers (Team)16 (1)12 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (2)4 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)31 (1)29 (3)
Field Goals34-7337-78
At-the-Rim FG10-1815-20
Midrange FG14-3216-33
2-Point FG24-5031-53
3-Point FG10-236-25
Free Throws21-2921-26
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'5" 210 · 28
40.3
18
50%
7
5
1
0
2
4
1
6
2-2
100%
5-11
45%
2-6
33%
G · 6'0" 190 · 32
37.7
12
55%
3
6
2
0
5
0
0
3
2-2
100%
2-4
50%
2-6
33%
F · 6'9" 220 · 21
33.5
5
28%
6
0
1
1
2
5
2
4
0-2
0%
1-5
20%
1-3
33%
C · 6'10" 260 · 23
31.3
11
55%
9
1
1
1
2
4
3
6
1-2
50%
5-9
56%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 210 · 22
27.1
17
71%
7
4
0
0
1
2
1
6
8-9
89%
3-5
60%
1-3
33%
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 28
26.2
20
63%
5
1
2
0
2
4
2
3
6-8
75%
7-13
54%
0-0
-
F-G · 6'4" 191 · 25
21.9
14
140%
1
1
0
0
2
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
4-4
100%
F · 6'9" 250 · 24
19.0
2
20%
3
1
1
1
0
3
1
2
2-4
50%
0-2
0%
0-1
0%
F · 6'10" 235 · 29
3.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 260 · 31
G · 6'4" 200 · 22
G · 6'2" 190 · 30
C-F · 6'10" 250 · 24
#12 · F · 6'8" 226 · 21
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#15 · F · 6'10" 220 · 35
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
99
56%
41
19
8
3
16
0
10
31
21-29
72%
24-50
48%
10-23
43%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.