FinalWin Prob.pScore
2920%98
93
980%110
103
ORTG#PossPace
UTA logo UTA
105.78887.3
DAL logo DAL
114.49090.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MavericksJazzQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MavericksJazzQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventUTADAL
Q4 - 0:00.0DAL93
0%
103
100%
Q4 - 0:19.0DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)93
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 0:21.0UTAMISS Burke 24' 3PT Jump Shot93
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 0:27.0UTAWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)93
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 0:28.0DALMISS Blair 2' Layup93
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 0:49.0UTAWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)93
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 0:49.0UTAWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)92
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 0:52.0UTABurke REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)91
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 0:54.0DALMISS Nowitzki 19' Fadeaway Jumper91
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 1:17DALDalembert REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7)91
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 1:18UTAMISS Williams 3PT Jump Shot91
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 1:32DALEllis Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)91
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 1:32DALMISS Ellis Free Throw 1 of 291
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 1:32DALEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)91
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 1:33DALMISS Ellis 5' Driving Jump Shot91
0.2%
102
99.8%
Q4 - 1:48UTABurks 8' Driving Bank Hook Shot (11 PTS)91
0.2%
102
99.8%
Q4 - 2:04DALEllis 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (25 PTS)89
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 2:21UTAHayward 13' Step Back Jump Shot (13 PTS)89
0.2%
100
99.8%
Q4 - 2:33DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)87
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 2:33DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)87
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 2:43DALDalembert REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)87
0.2%
98
99.8%
Q4 - 2:44UTAMISS Favors Free Throw 2 of 287
0.2%
98
99.8%
Q4 - 2:44UTAMISS Favors Free Throw 1 of 287
0.3%
98
99.7%
Q4 - 2:45UTAFavors REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)87
0.4%
98
99.6%
Q4 - 2:46UTAMISS Burke 24' 3PT Jump Shot87
0.2%
98
99.8%
Q4 - 3:01DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 1 (16 PTS)87
0.5%
98
99.5%
Q4 - 3:12DALDalembert REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)87
1.1%
95
98.9%
Q4 - 3:16UTAMISS Hayward 1' Driving Reverse Layup87
1.2%
95
98.8%
Q4 - 3:34DALDalembert 4' Jump Shot (18 PTS)87
2.8%
95
97.2%
Q4 - 3:39DALDalembert REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)87
3.8%
93
96.2%
Q4 - 3:41DALMISS Ellis 2' Layup87
4.9%
93
95.1%
Q4 - 4:03UTAFavors 2' Layup (13 PTS) (Hayward 5 AST)87
3.6%
93
96.4%
Q4 - 4:07UTAJazz Rebound85
2.6%
93
97.4%
Q4 - 4:07UTADalembert BLOCK (2 BLK)85
1.9%
93
98.1%
Q4 - 4:23DALCalderon 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Ellis 6 AST)85
2.5%
93
97.5%
Q4 - 4:42UTAFavors 1' Dunk (11 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)85
5.0%
90
95.0%
Q4 - 5:01UTAFavors REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)83
4.6%
90
95.4%
Q4 - 5:02DALMISS Carter 25' 3PT Jump Shot83
4.2%
90
95.8%
Q4 - 5:17UTAHayward Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)83
3.2%
90
96.8%
Q4 - 5:17UTAHayward Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)82
3.1%
90
96.9%
Q4 - 5:17UTAHayward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)81
2.4%
90
97.6%
Q4 - 5:18UTAMarion BLOCK (1 BLK)81
1.9%
90
98.1%
Q4 - 5:33DALCalderon Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T17)81
2.4%
90
97.6%
Q4 - 5:51UTAHayward 1' Driving Reverse Layup (9 PTS) (Garrett 8 AST)81
1.6%
90
98.4%
Q4 - 5:57DALCalderon Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T16)79
1.2%
90
98.8%
Q4 - 6:19UTABurks Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T17)79
1.2%
90
98.8%
Q4 - 6:52DALEllis 2' Driving Layup (23 PTS)79
1.6%
90
98.4%
Q4 - 7:10UTAEvans 2' Alley Oop Dunk (14 PTS) (Garrett 7 AST)79
2.6%
88
97.4%
Q4 - 7:28DALDalembert 1' Layup (16 PTS) (Ellis 5 AST)77
2.0%
88
98.0%
Q4 - 7:52UTAGarrett 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)77
2.5%
86
97.5%
Q4 - 8:14DALMarion 8' Driving Bank Shot (10 PTS)74
1.9%
86
98.1%
Q4 - 8:26DALMAVERICKS Rebound74
2.4%
84
97.6%
Q4 - 8:26DALMISS Ellis 1' Layup74
2.9%
84
97.1%
Q4 - 8:28DALBlair REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)74
2.4%
84
97.6%
Q4 - 8:31UTAMISS Burks 6' Jump Shot74
2.6%
84
97.4%
Q4 - 8:48DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)74
3.1%
84
96.9%
Q4 - 8:48DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)74
3.2%
83
96.8%
Q4 - 9:03UTAEvans 2' Slam Dunk (12 PTS) (Garrett 6 AST)74
4.5%
82
95.5%
Q4 - 9:17UTAKanter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)72
3.6%
82
96.4%
Q4 - 9:18DALMISS Larkin Free Throw 1 of 172
3.4%
82
96.6%
Q4 - 9:30UTAGarrett 9' Driving Jump Shot (4 PTS)72
4.5%
80
95.5%
Q4 - 9:53UTAEvans REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)70
3.5%
80
96.5%
Q4 - 9:54DALMISS Nowitzki 18' Jump Shot70
3.3%
80
96.7%
Q4 - 9:57DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)70
2.8%
80
97.2%
Q4 - 9:59DALMISS Ellis 2' Layup70
3.3%
80
96.7%
Q4 - 10:12UTAGarrett 7' Jump Shot (2 PTS)70
3.1%
80
96.9%
Q4 - 10:24UTAKanter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)68
2.5%
80
97.5%
Q4 - 10:24DALMISS Crowder 25' 3PT Jump Shot68
2.3%
80
97.7%
Q4 - 10:25DALCarter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)68
2.0%
80
98.0%
Q4 - 10:26DALMISS Blair 3' Layup68
2.3%
80
97.7%
Q4 - 10:41UTAEvans 15' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Garrett 5 AST)68
2.0%
80
98.0%
Q4 - 10:58DALBlair Foul Turnover (P3.T15)66
1.6%
80
98.4%
Q4 - 11:17UTAWilliams 11' Floating Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Kanter 1 AST)66
1.5%
80
98.5%
Q4 - 11:40UTABurks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)64
1.2%
80
98.8%
Q4 - 11:41DALMISS Nowitzki 15' Jump Shot64
1.1%
80
98.9%
Q4 - 11:48DALMAVERICKS Rebound64
1.0%
80
99.0%
Q4 - 11:49DALMISS Carter 2' Layup64
1.1%
80
98.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0DAL64
1.0%
80
99.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0DALMAVERICKS Rebound64
1.0%
80
99.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0DALMISS Nowitzki 13' Step Back Jump Shot64
1.1%
80
98.9%
Q3 - 0:10.0UTABurks 1' Dunk (9 PTS) (Garrett 4 AST)64
1.1%
80
98.9%
Q3 - 0:14.0DALNowitzki Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T14)62
0.9%
80
99.1%
Q3 - 0:30.0DALMAVERICKS Rebound62
0.8%
80
99.2%
Q3 - 0:30.0UTAMISS Kanter 18' Jump Shot62
0.8%
80
99.2%
Q3 - 0:53.0DALBlair 1' Layup (11 PTS)62
0.9%
80
99.1%
Q3 - 0:54.0DALBlair REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)62
1.1%
78
98.9%
Q3 - 0:55.0DALMISS Carter 26' 3PT Jump Shot62
1.3%
78
98.7%
Q3 - 1:11DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)62
1.3%
78
98.7%
Q3 - 1:12UTAMISS Burks 16' Jump Shot62
1.4%
78
98.6%
Q3 - 1:15UTAJazz Rebound62
1.5%
78
98.5%
Q3 - 1:15UTACarter BLOCK (1 BLK)62
1.4%
78
98.6%
Q3 - 1:31UTAKanter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)62
1.5%
78
98.5%
Q3 - 1:32DALMISS Ellis 2' Driving Layup62
1.4%
78
98.6%
Q3 - 1:41UTAKanter 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)62
1.3%
78
98.7%
Q3 - 1:56UTAWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)60
1.0%
78
99.0%
Q3 - 1:57DALMISS Marion 26' 3PT Jump Shot60
1.0%
78
99.0%
Q3 - 2:16DALBlair REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)60
1.0%
78
99.0%
Q3 - 2:16UTAMISS Williams 3PT Jump Shot60
1.0%
78
99.0%
Q3 - 2:42DALBlair 6' Driving Bank Shot (9 PTS)60
1.2%
78
98.8%
Q3 - 2:55UTACrowder STEAL (1 STL)60
1.4%
76
98.6%
Q3 - 3:10UTAWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)60
1.9%
76
98.1%
Q3 - 3:11DALMISS Carter Free Throw 1 of 160
1.9%
76
98.1%
Q3 - 3:26UTAWilliams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Garrett 3 AST)60
2.2%
74
97.8%
Q3 - 3:44DALEllis 8' Driving Jump Shot (21 PTS)57
1.6%
74
98.4%
Q3 - 4:00DALEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)57
1.9%
72
98.1%
Q3 - 4:01UTAMISS Williams Free Throw 1 of 157
2.1%
72
97.9%
Q3 - 4:13DALEllis Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)55
1.8%
72
98.2%
Q3 - 4:13DALEllis Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)55
1.8%
71
98.2%
Q3 - 4:25UTAWilliams 1' Running Slam Dunk (10 PTS) (Garrett 2 AST)55
2.0%
70
98.0%
Q3 - 4:47DALEllis 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (17 PTS)53
1.8%
70
98.2%
Q3 - 5:10UTAJefferson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Garrett 1 AST)53
2.2%
68
97.8%
Q3 - 5:19UTAFavors REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)50
1.6%
68
98.4%
Q3 - 5:21DALMISS Carter 20' Jump Shot50
1.5%
68
98.5%
Q3 - 5:38UTAHayward 1' Driving Layup (7 PTS)50
1.3%
68
98.7%
Q3 - 5:43DALDalembert Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T13)48
1.2%
68
98.8%
Q3 - 5:56UTAWilliams 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Hayward 4 AST)48
1.0%
68
99.0%
Q3 - 6:11DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)45
0.8%
68
99.2%
Q3 - 6:11DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)45
0.8%
67
99.2%
Q3 - 6:21DALMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)45
0.9%
66
99.1%
Q3 - 6:22UTAMISS Jefferson 23' Jump Shot45
1.0%
66
99.0%
Q3 - 6:40UTAJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)45
1.1%
66
98.9%
Q3 - 6:42DALMISS Ellis 19' Jump Shot45
1.0%
66
99.0%
Q3 - 7:10UTAFavors 1' Layup (9 PTS) (Jefferson 2 AST)45
1.0%
66
99.0%
Q3 - 7:16DALDalembert Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)43
0.9%
66
99.1%
Q3 - 7:29UTAJefferson 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS)43
0.7%
66
99.3%
Q3 - 7:44DALDalembert 2' Reverse Layup (14 PTS) (Marion 4 AST)41
0.6%
66
99.4%
Q3 - 8:08UTAHayward 15' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Burke 3 AST)41
0.8%
64
99.2%
Q3 - 8:22UTAJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)39
0.7%
64
99.3%
Q3 - 8:23DALMISS Dalembert Free Throw 2 of 239
0.7%
64
99.3%
Q3 - 8:23DALMISS Dalembert Free Throw 1 of 239
0.6%
64
99.4%
Q3 - 8:33DALDalembert REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)39
0.6%
64
99.4%
Q3 - 8:35UTAMISS Jefferson 3PT Jump Shot39
0.6%
64
99.4%
Q3 - 8:54DALEllis Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)39
0.7%
64
99.3%
Q3 - 8:54DALEllis Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)39
0.7%
63
99.3%
Q3 - 9:06UTAHayward Traveling Turnover (P5.T15)39
0.8%
62
99.2%
Q3 - 9:06UTAJazz Rebound39
1.0%
62
99.0%
Q3 - 9:07UTAMISS Hayward 2' Running Layup39
0.9%
62
99.1%
Q3 - 9:14UTABurke REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)39
1.0%
62
99.0%
Q3 - 9:15UTAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot39
0.9%
62
99.1%
Q3 - 9:30DALDalembert Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)39
1.0%
62
99.0%
Q3 - 9:30DALDalembert Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)39
1.0%
61
99.0%
Q3 - 9:46DALDalembert REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)39
1.1%
60
98.9%
Q3 - 9:48DALMISS Nowitzki 11' Step Back Jump Shot39
1.2%
60
98.8%
Q3 - 10:09UTAHayward 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Burke 2 AST)39
1.2%
60
98.8%
Q3 - 10:15DALEllis Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)36
0.9%
60
99.1%
Q3 - 10:31DALDalembert REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)36
0.8%
60
99.2%
Q3 - 10:32UTAMISS Hayward 7' Jump Shot36
0.8%
60
99.2%
Q3 - 10:42DALDalembert REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)36
0.9%
60
99.1%
Q3 - 10:42DALDalembert Tip Shot (10 PTS)36
0.9%
60
99.1%
Q3 - 10:46DALMISS Ellis 2' Driving Layup36
1.1%
58
98.9%
Q3 - 11:04UTAWilliams 1' Putback Layup (5 PTS)36
1.1%
58
98.9%
Q3 - 11:07UTAWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)34
1.0%
58
99.0%
Q3 - 11:08UTAMISS Burke 25' 3PT Jump Shot34
0.9%
58
99.1%
Q3 - 11:34UTAJazz Rebound34
1.0%
58
99.0%
Q3 - 11:34DALMISS Marion 2' Running Layup34
0.9%
58
99.1%
Q3 - 11:38UTAMarion STEAL (2 STL)34
0.8%
58
99.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0DAL34
1.0%
58
99.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0DALMAVERICKS Rebound34
0.8%
58
99.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0DALMISS Larkin 15' Running Jump Shot34
0.9%
58
99.1%
Q2 - 0:04.0UTABurke Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)34
1.0%
58
99.0%
Q2 - 0:07.0UTABurke REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)31
0.7%
58
99.3%
Q2 - 0:10.0DALMISS Nowitzki 15' Step Back Jump Shot31
0.7%
58
99.3%
Q2 - 0:32.0DALBlair REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)31
0.7%
58
99.3%
Q2 - 0:32.0UTAMISS Burks 22' Jump Shot31
0.7%
58
99.3%
Q2 - 0:51.0DALNowitzki Slam Dunk (9 PTS) (Ellis 4 AST)31
0.7%
58
99.3%
Q2 - 0:55.0UTANowitzki STEAL (1 STL)31
0.8%
56
99.2%
Q2 - 1:08DALBlair 6' Turnaround Hook Shot (7 PTS)31
1.0%
56
99.0%
Q2 - 1:13DALBlair REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)31
1.2%
54
98.8%
Q2 - 1:14DALMISS Blair 6' Jump Shot31
1.3%
54
98.7%
Q2 - 1:27UTAEvans 1' Layup (8 PTS) (Burks 2 AST)31
1.2%
54
98.8%
Q2 - 1:32DALCarter Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)29
1.0%
54
99.0%
Q2 - 1:44UTABurks 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Hayward 3 AST)29
0.9%
54
99.1%
Q2 - 2:11DALEllis Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)26
0.8%
54
99.2%
Q2 - 2:11DALEllis Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)26
0.8%
53
99.2%
Q2 - 2:27DALBlair REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)26
0.9%
52
99.1%
Q2 - 2:28UTAMISS Hayward 25' 3PT Jump Shot26
0.9%
52
99.1%
Q2 - 2:41DALEllis Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)26
1.0%
52
99.0%
Q2 - 2:41DALEllis Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)26
1.0%
51
99.0%
Q2 - 2:41UTAEllis STEAL (1 STL)26
1.1%
50
98.9%
Q2 - 2:57DALDalembert Foul Turnover (P1.T9)26
1.3%
50
98.7%
Q2 - 3:03DALDalembert REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)26
1.2%
50
98.8%
Q2 - 3:04UTAMISS Burke 20' Jump Shot26
1.3%
50
98.7%
Q2 - 3:19UTAFavors REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)26
1.4%
50
98.6%
Q2 - 3:21DALMISS Ellis 16' Jump Shot26
1.3%
50
98.7%
Q2 - 3:36UTAHayward Foul Turnover (P4.T11)26
1.2%
50
98.8%
Q2 - 3:52DALDalembert 6' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Ellis 3 AST)26
1.4%
50
98.6%
Q2 - 4:08UTAFavors Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)26
1.7%
48
98.3%
Q2 - 4:08UTAFavors Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)25
1.6%
48
98.4%
Q2 - 4:17DALDalembert REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)24
1.5%
48
98.5%
Q2 - 4:17DALDalembert Putback Layup (6 PTS)24
1.5%
48
98.5%
Q2 - 4:20DALMISS Ellis 2' Driving Layup24
1.8%
46
98.2%
Q2 - 4:32UTACalderon STEAL (2 STL)24
1.6%
46
98.4%
Q2 - 4:37DALEllis Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)24
1.9%
46
98.1%
Q2 - 5:00DALMAVERICKS Rebound24
1.6%
46
98.4%
Q2 - 5:01UTAMISS Jefferson 24' 3PT Jump Shot24
1.8%
46
98.2%
Q2 - 5:20UTABurke REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
1.9%
46
98.1%
Q2 - 5:21DALMISS Marion 25' 3PT Jump Shot24
1.9%
46
98.1%
Q2 - 5:32DALMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
1.7%
46
98.3%
Q2 - 5:33UTAMISS Burke 19' Jump Shot24
1.8%
46
98.2%
Q2 - 5:47DALCalderon 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS)24
1.9%
46
98.1%
Q2 - 5:51UTACalderon STEAL (1 STL)24
2.2%
44
97.8%
Q2 - 6:07DALCarter 27' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Calderon 4 AST)24
2.6%
44
97.4%
Q2 - 6:25DALMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
3.1%
41
96.9%
Q2 - 6:26UTAMISS Favors Free Throw 2 of 224
3.2%
41
96.8%
Q2 - 6:26UTAFavors Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)24
3.4%
41
96.6%
Q2 - 6:31DALEllis Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)23
3.2%
41
96.8%
Q2 - 6:56DALCrowder REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
2.8%
41
97.2%
Q2 - 6:57UTAMISS Kanter 15' Jump Shot23
2.9%
41
97.1%
Q2 - 7:20DALLarkin Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)23
3.3%
41
96.7%
Q2 - 7:32DALBlair REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)23
2.9%
41
97.1%
Q2 - 7:33DALMISS Nowitzki 15' Step Back Jump Shot23
3.2%
41
96.8%
Q2 - 7:50UTAWilliams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Lucas III 2 AST)23
2.9%
41
97.1%
Q2 - 8:06DALCrowder 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Blair 1 AST)20
2.5%
41
97.5%
Q2 - 8:18UTALarkin STEAL (2 STL)20
3.1%
38
96.9%
Q2 - 8:30DALBlair Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)20
3.4%
38
96.6%
Q2 - 8:32UTALarkin STEAL (1 STL)20
3.1%
38
96.9%
Q2 - 8:52DALBlair Traveling Turnover (P1.T4)20
3.4%
38
96.6%
Q2 - 9:00UTABlair STEAL (1 STL)20
3.1%
38
96.9%
Q2 - 9:13DALEllington 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Larkin 1 AST)20
3.5%
38
96.5%
Q2 - 9:17DALLarkin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
3.8%
36
96.2%
Q2 - 9:20UTAMISS Lucas III 15' Step Back Jump Shot20
3.9%
36
96.1%
Q2 - 9:32UTAEvans REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)20
4.2%
36
95.8%
Q2 - 9:33UTAMISS Burks 16' Jump Shot20
3.9%
36
96.1%
Q2 - 9:46DALCrowder Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)20
4.2%
36
95.8%
Q2 - 10:02DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)20
3.9%
36
96.1%
Q2 - 10:02UTAMISS Williams 14' Jump Shot20
4.1%
36
95.9%
Q2 - 10:13DALNowitzki 13' Turnaround Bank Shot (7 PTS)20
4.4%
36
95.6%
Q2 - 10:38UTAEvans Alley Oop Dunk (6 PTS) (Lucas III 1 AST)20
4.7%
34
95.3%
Q2 - 10:55UTAJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
4.4%
34
95.6%
Q2 - 10:57DALMISS Blair Free Throw 2 of 218
4.3%
34
95.7%
Q2 - 10:57DALBlair Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)18
4.1%
34
95.9%
Q2 - 11:02DALCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)18
4.5%
33
95.5%
Q2 - 11:04UTAMISS Williams 5' Driving Jump Shot18
4.7%
33
95.3%
Q2 - 11:24DALNowitzki 14' Fadeaway Jumper (5 PTS)18
5.0%
33
95.0%
Q2 - 11:43DALCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
5.4%
31
94.6%
Q2 - 11:46UTAMISS Burks 7' Driving Jump Shot18
5.6%
31
94.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0DAL18
6.0%
31
94.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0DALMAVERICKS Rebound18
5.4%
31
94.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0DALMISS Carter 81' 3PT Jump Shot18
5.8%
31
94.2%
Q1 - 0:01.0DALCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
5.6%
31
94.4%
Q1 - 0:02.0UTAMISS Hayward 3PT Jump Shot18
5.8%
31
94.2%
Q1 - 0:23.0UTAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
6.0%
31
94.0%
Q1 - 0:25.0DALMISS Ellington 24' 3PT Jump Shot18
5.9%
31
94.1%
Q1 - 0:44.0UTABurke 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)18
5.6%
31
94.4%
Q1 - 1:02DALBlair REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)16
5.1%
31
94.9%
Q1 - 1:02DALBlair 1' Putback Layup (4 PTS)16
5.1%
31
94.9%
Q1 - 1:05DALMISS Blair 1' Layup16
6.0%
29
94.0%
Q1 - 1:07DALBlair REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)16
5.7%
29
94.3%
Q1 - 1:09DALMISS Carter 20' Jump Shot16
6.0%
29
94.0%
Q1 - 1:30UTAEvans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)16
5.7%
29
94.3%
Q1 - 1:30UTAEvans Putback Dunk (4 PTS)16
5.7%
29
94.3%
Q1 - 1:32UTAMISS Williams 12' Jump Shot14
4.9%
29
95.1%
Q1 - 1:49DALEllis 10' Floating Jump Shot (9 PTS)14
5.1%
29
94.9%
Q1 - 2:09UTAEvans 5' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Burks 1 AST)14
5.8%
27
94.2%
Q1 - 2:29DALBlair 2' Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS) (Ellis 2 AST)12
5.3%
27
94.7%
Q1 - 2:44UTABurks 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)12
5.8%
25
94.2%
Q1 - 3:01DALCarter 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Crowder 1 AST)10
5.3%
25
94.7%
Q1 - 3:21UTABurks 2' Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS) (Burke 1 AST)10
6.3%
22
93.7%
Q1 - 3:41DALMarion Layup (8 PTS) (Ellis 1 AST)8
5.8%
22
94.2%
Q1 - 3:46DALDalembert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
6.3%
20
93.7%
Q1 - 3:47UTAMISS Burke 27' 3PT Jump Shot8
6.4%
20
93.6%
Q1 - 3:54UTABurke REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
6.8%
20
93.2%
Q1 - 3:55DALMISS Ellis 27' 3PT Jump Shot8
6.7%
20
93.3%
Q1 - 4:17UTAFavors 5' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Jefferson 1 AST)8
6.3%
20
93.7%
Q1 - 4:38DALCarter Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T2)6
5.8%
20
94.2%
Q1 - 4:51UTAHayward Traveling Turnover (P2.T5)6
5.3%
20
94.7%
Q1 - 5:10UTAKanter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
6.1%
20
93.9%
Q1 - 5:11DALMISS Nowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot6
6.0%
20
94.0%
Q1 - 5:16DALEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
5.6%
20
94.4%
Q1 - 5:18UTAMISS Kanter 4' Jump Shot6
5.8%
20
94.2%
Q1 - 5:21UTAKanter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
6.1%
20
93.9%
Q1 - 5:22UTAMISS Lucas III 25' 3PT Jump Shot6
5.8%
20
94.2%
Q1 - 5:34DALMarion 1' Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Calderon 3 AST)6
6.1%
20
93.9%
Q1 - 5:37DALCalderon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
6.6%
18
93.4%
Q1 - 5:40UTADalembert BLOCK (1 BLK)6
6.7%
18
93.3%
Q1 - 6:02DALMarion 25' 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Dalembert 1 AST)6
7.3%
18
92.7%
Q1 - 6:21DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)6
8.3%
15
91.7%
Q1 - 6:22UTAMISS Jefferson 21' Jump Shot6
8.5%
15
91.5%
Q1 - 6:41UTAFavors REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)6
9.0%
15
91.0%
Q1 - 6:42DALMISS Nowitzki 18' Jump Shot6
8.8%
15
91.2%
Q1 - 6:57UTAKanter Traveling Turnover (P1.T4)6
8.3%
15
91.7%
Q1 - 7:14DALEllis 2' Running Finger Roll Layup (7 PTS) (Nowitzki 1 AST)6
9.1%
15
90.9%
Q1 - 7:32UTALucas III 10' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Hayward 2 AST)6
9.6%
13
90.4%
Q1 - 7:50DALDalembert Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Calderon 2 AST)4
9.1%
13
90.9%
Q1 - 7:57DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
9.6%
11
90.4%
Q1 - 7:59UTAMISS Kanter 8' Turnaround Jump Shot4
9.8%
11
90.2%
Q1 - 8:20DALEllis 2' Driving Layup (5 PTS) (Marion 3 AST)4
10.3%
11
89.7%
Q1 - 8:23UTAMarion STEAL (1 STL)4
11.0%
9
89.0%
Q1 - 8:27UTAFavors REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)4
11.8%
9
88.2%
Q1 - 8:29UTAMISS Favors 1' Layup4
11.2%
9
88.8%
Q1 - 8:32UTAFavors REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
11.8%
9
88.2%
Q1 - 8:33UTAMISS Favors 1' Layup4
11.2%
9
88.8%
Q1 - 8:55UTAFavors REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
11.8%
9
88.2%
Q1 - 8:57DALMISS Calderon 25' 3PT Jump Shot4
11.5%
9
88.5%
Q1 - 9:15UTAJefferson 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
11.0%
9
89.0%
Q1 - 9:31DALMarion Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)2
10.4%
9
89.6%
Q1 - 9:31DALMISS Marion Free Throw 1 of 22
10.5%
8
89.5%
Q1 - 9:40DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
10.3%
8
89.7%
Q1 - 9:42UTAMISS Kanter 7' Jump Shot2
10.5%
8
89.5%
Q1 - 9:58DALDalembert 12' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS) (Marion 2 AST)2
11.1%
8
88.9%
Q1 - 10:15UTAJefferson Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T2)2
11.8%
6
88.2%
Q1 - 10:26DALNowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Marion 1 AST)2
12.6%
6
87.4%
Q1 - 10:34UTAHayward Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)2
14.1%
3
85.9%
Q1 - 10:52DALEllis 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Calderon 1 AST)2
15.0%
3
85.0%
Q1 - 10:57DALDalembert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
16.8%
0
83.2%
Q1 - 10:59DALMISS Ellis 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup2
17.5%
0
82.5%
Q1 - 11:15UTAFavors 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Hayward 1 AST)2
16.6%
0
83.4%
Q1 - 11:36DALMAVERICKS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#1)0
15.6%
0
84.4%
Q1 - 12:00DALJump Ball Dalembert vs. Favors: Tip to Calderon0
14.8%
0
85.2%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

UTA
1.12 56.0%
DAL
1.12 56.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
UTA
20
29
69%
DAL
19
32
59%
Midrange
UTA
12
29
41%
DAL
12
26
46%
3PT | Effective 3PT
UTA
7
10.5
20
35%
53%
DAL
7
10.5
17
41%
62%
Free Throws
UTA
8
12
67%
DAL
20
27
74%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
UTA logo Jazz
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Williams1968%9.5 / 14
J. Evans14100%7.0 / 7
G. Hayward1350%6.5 / 13
D. Favors1359%6.5 / 11
A. Burks1155%5.5 / 10
R. Jefferson744%3.5 / 8
D. Garrett7117%3.5 / 3
T. Burke531%2.5 / 8
E. Kanter217%1.0 / 6
J. Lucas III233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Ellis2654%13.0 / 24
D. Nowitzki1853%9.0 / 17
S. Dalembert1890%9.0 / 10
D. Blair1155%5.5 / 10
S. Marion1063%5.0 / 8
V. Carter844%4.0 / 9
J. Calderon583%2.5 / 3
J. Crowder375%1.5 / 2
S. Larkin250%1.0 / 2
W. Ellington250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

UTA
71
+12
-17
83
DAL
74
+18
-16
92
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

UTA
1.12 56.0%
DAL
1.12 56.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
103.5
110.7
UTA 105.7
DAL 114.4 +8.8
Pace
91.3
94.1
UTA 87.3
DAL 90.8 +3.5
Avg. Poss. Time
16.1
15.7
UTA 16.5
DAL 15.9 +0.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.4%
52.6%
UTA 54.5%
DAL 55.3% +0.8%
TO %
15.2%
13.9%
UTA 17.0%
DAL 16.4% +0.6%
ORB %
25.6%
24.7%
UTA 24.3%
DAL 37.1% +12.8%
FTrt
27.1
25.3
UTA 15.4
DAL 36.0 +20.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
56.4%
59.6%
UTA 69.2% +19.2%
DAL 50.0%
STL %
7.6%
9.1%
UTA 11.4% +0.3%
DAL 11.1%
BLK %
7.3%
7.4%
UTA 10.3% +3.4%
DAL 6.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.0%
55.0%
UTA 56.0%
DAL 56.0%
Rim FG%
58.2%
60.9%
UTA 69.0% +9.6%
DAL 59.4%
Mid FG%
37.8%
42.4%
UTA 41.4%
DAL 46.2% +4.8%
3P %
34.4%
38.4%
UTA 35.0%
DAL 41.2% +6.2%
FT %
74.7%
79.5%
UTA 66.7%
DAL 74.1% +7.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.2%
32.8%
UTA 37.2%
DAL 42.7% +5.5%
Mid Att. %
40.0%
39.9%
UTA 37.2%
DAL 34.7% +2.5%
3P Att. %
23.7%
27.4%
UTA 25.6% +3.0%
DAL 22.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsUTADAL
Possessions8890
Possession Minutes24.223.8
Points93103
Rebounds3141
Assists2719
Steals1010
Blocks64
Turnovers (Team)17 (0)16 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (3)13 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)22 (1)28 (2)
Field Goals39-7838-75
At-the-Rim FG20-2919-32
Midrange FG12-2912-26
2-Point FG32-5831-58
3-Point FG7-207-17
Free Throws8-1220-27
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'8" 226 · 24
34.6
13
50%
1
5
3
2
5
4
1
0
2-2
100%
4-9
44%
1-3
33%
F · 6'10" 265 · 22
33.5
13
59%
8
0
3
0
3
3
3
5
3-6
50%
5-8
63%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 233 · 33
28.4
7
44%
3
3
0
0
2
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-4
50%
1-4
25%
C · 6'11" 245 · 22
20.8
2
17%
5
1
0
0
2
3
1
4
0-0
-
1-6
17%
0-0
-
G · 5'11" 166 · 31
12.4
2
33%
0
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
F · 6'9" 237 · 27
31.7
19
68%
5
3
2
1
0
4
1
4
2-3
67%
4-7
57%
3-6
50%
G · 6'5" 214 · 22
27.1
11
55%
1
2
1
1
2
4
0
1
0-0
-
4-9
44%
1-1
100%
G · 6'1" 191 · 21
19.6
5
31%
5
3
0
0
2
1
1
4
1-1
100%
2-4
50%
0-4
0%
G · 6'4" 190 · 25
16.0
7
117%
0
8
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
100%
1-1
100%
F · 6'9" 200 · 26
16.0
14
100%
3
0
0
2
1
2
2
1
0-0
-
7-7
100%
0-0
-
F · 6'6" 242 · 30
C · 7'1" 258 · 21
G · 6'3" 175 · 23
#25 · G-F · 6'6" 220 · 28
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#11 · C · 7'0" 250 · 28
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
93
56%
31
27
10
6
17
0
9
22
8-12
67%
32-58
55%
7-20
35%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.