FinalWin Prob.pScore
642%106
120
1058%109
123
ORTG#PossPace
HOU logo HOU
125.09695.4
DAL logo DAL
129.59595.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MavericksRocketsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MavericksRocketsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventHOUDAL
Q4 - 0:00.0HOU120
0%
123
100%
Q4 - 0:02.0HOUCasspi REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)120
1.6%
123
98.4%
Q4 - 0:03.0HOUMISS Harden 28' 3PT Jump Shot120
0.9%
123
99.1%
Q4 - 0:06.0DALCalderon Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)120
4.4%
123
95.6%
Q4 - 0:06.0DALCalderon Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)120
4.9%
122
95.1%
Q4 - 0:08.0DALMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)120
12.7%
121
87.3%
Q4 - 0:09.0HOUMISS Harden Free Throw 2 of 2120
15.5%
121
84.5%
Q4 - 0:09.0HOUHarden Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)120
28.1%
121
71.9%
Q4 - 0:18.0HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)119
19.8%
121
80.2%
Q4 - 0:19.0DALMISS Ellis 25' 3PT Jump Shot119
14.3%
121
85.7%
Q4 - 0:34.0DALDalembert REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)119
9.0%
121
91.0%
Q4 - 0:36.0HOUMISS Harden 26' 3PT Jump Shot119
11.6%
121
88.4%
Q4 - 0:47.0DALMarion 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Ellis 9 AST)119
23.8%
121
76.2%
Q4 - 0:59.0DALEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)119
53.2%
118
46.8%
Q4 - 1:02HOUMISS Parsons 2' Driving Layup119
58.4%
118
41.6%
Q4 - 1:20DALMarion 1' Slam Dunk (10 PTS) (Ellis 8 AST)119
67.7%
118
32.3%
Q4 - 1:20DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)119
77.4%
116
22.6%
Q4 - 1:24HOUNowitzki BLOCK (1 BLK)119
80.2%
116
19.8%
Q4 - 1:45DALNowitzki 18' Jump Shot (35 PTS) (Marion 2 AST)119
83.3%
116
16.7%
Q4 - 2:03DALDalembert REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)119
87.9%
114
12.1%
Q4 - 2:04HOUMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 2119
88.7%
114
11.3%
Q4 - 2:04HOUHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (33 PTS)119
90.7%
114
9.3%
Q4 - 2:10DALMarion Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T16)118
89.1%
114
10.9%
Q4 - 2:12DALMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)118
81.8%
114
18.2%
Q4 - 2:14HOUDalembert BLOCK (4 BLK)118
84.4%
114
15.6%
Q4 - 2:16HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)118
89.1%
114
10.9%
Q4 - 2:17HOUMISS Beverley 25' 3PT Jump Shot118
84.4%
114
15.6%
Q4 - 2:42DALEllis Free Throw 2 of 2 (37 PTS)118
89.2%
114
10.8%
Q4 - 2:42DALEllis Free Throw 1 of 2 (36 PTS)118
90.0%
113
10.0%
Q4 - 2:54HOUHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (32 PTS)118
90.3%
112
9.7%
Q4 - 2:54HOUHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (31 PTS)117
88.7%
112
11.3%
Q4 - 2:54DALNowitzki Free Throw Technical (33 PTS)116
86.7%
112
13.3%
Q4 - 2:54HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)116
91.0%
111
9.0%
Q4 - 2:56HOUMISS Harden 16' Step Back Jump Shot116
87.6%
111
12.4%
Q4 - 3:23DALCalderon 20' Pullup Jump Shot (11 PTS)116
91.3%
111
8.7%
Q4 - 3:42HOUHoward 2' Turnaround Bank Hook Shot (30 PTS)116
90.4%
109
9.6%
Q4 - 4:02DALNowitzki 24' 3PT Jump Shot (32 PTS)114
87.5%
109
12.5%
Q4 - 4:16HOUHarden Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)114
93.6%
106
6.4%
Q4 - 4:16HOUHarden Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)113
93.3%
106
6.7%
Q4 - 4:38DALCalderon 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Nowitzki 4 AST)112
91.4%
106
8.6%
Q4 - 5:00HOUJones 2' Running Slam Dunk (18 PTS) (Harden 8 AST)112
95.7%
103
4.3%
Q4 - 5:23DALNowitzki 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (29 PTS)110
91.3%
103
8.7%
Q4 - 5:43HOUHarden 27' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Beverley 3 AST)110
93.5%
101
6.5%
Q4 - 5:46HOUBeverley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)107
88.3%
101
11.7%
Q4 - 5:48HOUMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot107
85.4%
101
14.6%
Q4 - 6:07DALEllis Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T15)107
85.6%
101
14.4%
Q4 - 6:27HOUBeverley 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Harden 7 AST)107
81.0%
101
19.0%
Q4 - 6:49DALEllis 1' Layup (35 PTS)104
70.7%
101
29.3%
Q4 - 6:54HOUMarion STEAL (1 STL)104
76.0%
99
24.0%
Q4 - 7:09DALEllis 19' Jump Shot (33 PTS) (Carter 5 AST)104
79.2%
99
20.8%
Q4 - 7:29DALCarter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)104
83.1%
97
16.9%
Q4 - 7:30HOUDalembert BLOCK (3 BLK)104
84.4%
97
15.6%
Q4 - 7:51DALCarter 14' Floating Jump Shot (9 PTS)104
87.1%
97
12.9%
Q4 - 8:06HOUHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (28 PTS)104
87.8%
95
12.2%
Q4 - 8:06HOUMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 2103
86.6%
95
13.4%
Q4 - 8:16HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)103
87.8%
95
12.2%
Q4 - 8:18HOUMISS Howard 5' Hook Shot103
85.8%
95
14.2%
Q4 - 8:36DALEllis 17' Pullup Jump Shot (31 PTS)103
87.9%
95
12.1%
Q4 - 8:56HOUJones 6' Running Hook Shot (16 PTS)103
90.4%
93
9.6%
Q4 - 9:18DALNowitzki 16' Jump Shot (27 PTS) (Ellis 7 AST)101
86.0%
93
14.0%
Q4 - 9:26HOULarkin STEAL (2 STL)101
88.7%
91
11.3%
Q4 - 9:36DALNowitzki 16' Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Larkin 2 AST)101
90.9%
91
9.1%
Q4 - 9:53DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)101
92.7%
89
7.3%
Q4 - 9:54DALMISS Carter 26' 3PT Jump Shot101
93.8%
89
6.2%
Q4 - 9:59DALLarkin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)101
92.7%
89
7.3%
Q4 - 10:01HOUMISS Beverley 3PT Jump Shot101
91.8%
89
8.2%
Q4 - 10:07HOULin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)101
93.0%
89
7.0%
Q4 - 10:19DALMISS Crowder 2' Running Layup101
92.5%
89
7.5%
Q4 - 10:19DALLarkin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)101
91.3%
89
8.7%
Q4 - 10:21DALMISS Larkin 2' Driving Reverse Layup101
92.5%
89
7.5%
Q4 - 10:28DALLarkin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)101
91.4%
89
8.6%
Q4 - 10:29HOUMISS Garcia 25' 3PT Jump Shot101
91.9%
89
8.1%
Q4 - 10:43HOUAsik REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)101
93.0%
89
7.0%
Q4 - 10:43DALMISS Nowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot101
92.6%
89
7.4%
Q4 - 10:58DALCarter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)101
91.4%
89
8.6%
Q4 - 10:59HOUMISS Lin 24' 3PT Jump Shot101
92.0%
89
8.0%
Q4 - 11:19DALLarkin Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T14)101
92.0%
89
8.0%
Q4 - 11:29DALBlair REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)101
90.2%
89
9.8%
Q4 - 11:30HOUMISS Harden 25' 3PT Jump Shot101
90.8%
89
9.2%
Q4 - 11:47DALNowitzki 19' Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Blair 2 AST)101
92.0%
89
8.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0DAL101
93.4%
87
6.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)101
93.4%
87
6.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0HOUMISS Lin 20' Jump Shot101
93.8%
87
6.2%
Q3 - 0:25.0DALCarter Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)101
93.8%
87
6.2%
Q3 - 0:25.0DALMISS Carter Free Throw 1 of 2101
94.0%
86
6.0%
Q3 - 0:45.0HOUGarcia 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Harden 6 AST)101
93.9%
86
6.1%
Q3 - 1:04DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)98
89.8%
86
10.2%
Q3 - 1:04DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)98
90.0%
85
10.0%
Q3 - 1:21HOUHarden 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup (17 PTS) (Lin 4 AST)98
91.6%
84
8.4%
Q3 - 1:34HOUAsik REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)96
89.9%
84
10.1%
Q3 - 1:36DALMISS Nowitzki 11' Jump Shot96
89.3%
84
10.7%
Q3 - 1:48DALLarkin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)96
88.0%
84
12.0%
Q3 - 1:51HOUMISS Lin 6' Running Jump Shot96
88.6%
84
11.4%
Q3 - 2:04DALEllis Free Throw 2 of 2 (29 PTS)96
88.5%
84
11.5%
Q3 - 2:04DALMISS Ellis Free Throw 1 of 296
88.8%
83
11.2%
Q3 - 2:17HOULin Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)96
88.4%
83
11.6%
Q3 - 2:17HOUMISS Lin Free Throw 1 of 295
88.1%
83
11.9%
Q3 - 2:29DALBlair 6' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Larkin 1 AST)95
88.6%
83
11.4%
Q3 - 2:34HOUEllis STEAL (2 STL)95
90.3%
81
9.7%
Q3 - 2:46DALEllis 24' 3PT Jump Shot (28 PTS) (Carter 4 AST)95
91.9%
81
8.1%
Q3 - 3:09HOUCasspi 5' Jump Bank Shot (11 PTS) (Parsons 11 AST)95
93.4%
78
6.6%
Q3 - 3:22DALCarter Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)93
92.3%
78
7.7%
Q3 - 3:36HOUHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (27 PTS)93
94.4%
75
5.6%
Q3 - 3:36HOUHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (26 PTS)92
94.0%
75
6.0%
Q3 - 3:51DALLarkin Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T13)91
93.5%
75
6.5%
Q3 - 3:58HOUHoward Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)91
92.2%
75
7.8%
Q3 - 4:09HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)91
92.8%
75
7.2%
Q3 - 4:11DALMISS Marion 5' Running Jump Shot91
92.3%
75
7.7%
Q3 - 4:26HOUHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)91
91.3%
75
8.7%
Q3 - 4:26HOUHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)90
90.7%
75
9.3%
Q3 - 4:31DALMarion Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)89
90.1%
75
9.9%
Q3 - 4:39HOUHarden Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)89
92.6%
72
7.4%
Q3 - 4:39HOUHarden Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)88
92.4%
72
7.6%
Q3 - 4:52DALLarkin Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)87
91.6%
72
8.4%
Q3 - 5:08HOUBeverley 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Parsons 10 AST)87
88.9%
72
11.1%
Q3 - 5:28DALDalembert Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)84
85.5%
72
14.5%
Q3 - 5:28DALDalembert Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)84
86.0%
71
14.0%
Q3 - 5:37DALDalembert REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)84
87.2%
70
12.8%
Q3 - 5:40HOUMISS Jones 4' Running Jump Shot84
87.8%
70
12.2%
Q3 - 5:50DALEllis Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)84
89.2%
70
10.8%
Q3 - 5:50DALEllis Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)84
89.5%
69
10.5%
Q3 - 6:07HOUHoward 7' Jump Hook Shot (23 PTS)84
89.4%
68
10.6%
Q3 - 6:21DALEllis Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)82
88.1%
68
11.9%
Q3 - 6:35HOUHarden 20' Step Back Jump Shot (13 PTS)82
86.1%
68
13.9%
Q3 - 6:47HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)80
84.4%
68
15.6%
Q3 - 6:48DALMISS Calderon 25' 3PT Jump Shot80
83.6%
68
16.4%
Q3 - 7:09HOUParsons 25' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)80
80.6%
68
19.4%
Q3 - 7:27HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)77
75.7%
68
24.3%
Q3 - 7:28DALMISS Calderon 3' Running Layup77
74.7%
68
25.3%
Q3 - 7:34HOUEllis STEAL (1 STL)77
72.5%
68
27.5%
Q3 - 7:37DALCalderon Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)77
75.7%
68
24.3%
Q3 - 7:42DALDalembert REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)77
72.5%
68
27.5%
Q3 - 7:44HOUMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot77
73.5%
68
26.5%
Q3 - 8:02HOUParsons REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)77
75.0%
68
25.0%
Q3 - 8:05HOUMISS Beverley 25' 3PT Jump Shot77
72.7%
68
27.3%
Q3 - 8:24DALNowitzki 14' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Ellis 6 AST)77
75.0%
68
25.0%
Q3 - 8:41HOUJones Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)77
77.4%
66
22.6%
Q3 - 8:45HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)74
72.1%
66
27.9%
Q3 - 8:47DALMISS Ellis 6' Turnaround Jump Shot74
71.0%
66
29.0%
Q3 - 8:59DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)74
68.5%
66
31.5%
Q3 - 9:00HOUMISS Harden 26' 3PT Jump Shot74
69.6%
66
30.4%
Q3 - 9:15HOURockets Rebound74
70.9%
66
29.1%
Q3 - 9:16DALMISS Ellis 24' 3PT Jump Shot74
70.0%
66
30.0%
Q3 - 9:43HOUHoward 5' Running Hook Shot (21 PTS)74
67.8%
66
32.2%
Q3 - 9:58HOUBeverley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)72
64.6%
66
35.4%
Q3 - 10:00DALMISS Nowitzki 19' Jump Shot72
63.6%
66
36.4%
Q3 - 10:18HOUHoward 7' Jump Bank Hook Shot (19 PTS)72
60.4%
66
39.6%
Q3 - 10:35DALDalembert Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)70
57.0%
66
43.0%
Q3 - 10:35DALDalembert Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)70
57.8%
65
42.2%
Q3 - 10:37DALDalembert REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)70
60.4%
64
39.6%
Q3 - 10:41HOUMISS Jones 4' Running Bank Shot70
61.5%
64
38.5%
Q3 - 10:54DALCalderon 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Marion 1 AST)70
63.8%
64
36.2%
Q3 - 10:57DALMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)70
70.1%
61
29.9%
Q3 - 10:59DALDalembert REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)70
70.1%
61
29.9%
Q3 - 10:59DALMISS Dalembert 2' Tip Shot70
72.2%
61
27.8%
Q3 - 11:01DALDalembert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)70
69.0%
61
31.0%
Q3 - 11:01DALMISS Dalembert 2' Tip Shot70
71.1%
61
28.9%
Q3 - 11:06DALMISS Marion 14' Turnaround Jump Shot70
71.1%
61
28.9%
Q3 - 11:24HOUHoward 2' Layup (17 PTS) (Parsons 9 AST)70
69.1%
61
30.9%
Q3 - 11:35DALDalembert Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T9)68
66.2%
61
33.8%
Q3 - 11:47DALDalembert REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)68
62.9%
61
37.1%
Q3 - 11:48HOUMISS Harden 26' 3PT Jump Shot68
64.0%
61
36.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0HOU68
66.2%
61
33.8%
Q2 - 0:06.0DALMAVERICKS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#8)68
64.7%
61
35.3%
Q2 - 0:06.0DALMAVERICKS Rebound68
62.4%
61
37.6%
Q2 - 0:06.0DALMISS Calderon 26' 3PT Jump Shot68
64.0%
61
36.0%
Q2 - 0:29.0DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)68
62.4%
61
37.6%
Q2 - 0:31.0HOUMISS Lin 26' 3PT Jump Shot68
63.2%
61
36.8%
Q2 - 0:34.0DALEllis 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup (23 PTS)68
64.8%
61
35.2%
Q2 - 0:46.0HOUParsons 25' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Lin 3 AST)68
68.4%
59
31.6%
Q2 - 0:53.0DALDalembert 2' Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Ellis 5 AST)65
61.8%
59
38.2%
Q2 - 1:05HOUHoward 1' Alley Oop Dunk (15 PTS) (Parsons 8 AST)65
65.0%
57
35.0%
Q2 - 1:18DALCarter Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)63
60.9%
57
39.1%
Q2 - 1:18DALCarter Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)63
61.5%
56
38.5%
Q2 - 1:23DALCarter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)63
65.0%
55
35.0%
Q2 - 1:26HOUMISS Harden 24' 3PT Jump Shot63
65.6%
55
34.4%
Q2 - 1:34HOUParsons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)63
66.8%
55
33.2%
Q2 - 1:35DALMISS Carter 25' 3PT Jump Shot63
66.3%
55
33.7%
Q2 - 1:46DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)63
65.0%
55
35.0%
Q2 - 1:47HOUMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 163
65.2%
55
34.8%
Q2 - 2:05DALEllis 2' Driving Layup (21 PTS) (Nowitzki 3 AST)61
60.7%
55
39.3%
Q2 - 2:11DALNowitzki Free Throw Technical (17 PTS)61
63.5%
53
36.5%
Q2 - 2:30HOUJones 1' Alley Oop Dunk (11 PTS) (Parsons 6 AST)61
66.4%
52
33.6%
Q2 - 2:42DALEllis 4' Running Jump Shot (19 PTS)59
63.6%
52
36.4%
Q2 - 2:57DALDalembert REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)59
66.5%
50
33.5%
Q2 - 2:58HOUMISS Parsons 12' Fadeaway Jumper59
67.3%
50
32.7%
Q2 - 3:23DALEllis Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)59
68.5%
50
31.5%
Q2 - 3:23DALEllis Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)59
69.0%
49
31.0%
Q2 - 3:32HOUParsons Free Throw 3 of 3 (15 PTS)59
70.6%
48
29.4%
Q2 - 3:32HOUParsons Free Throw 2 of 3 (14 PTS)58
70.0%
48
30.0%
Q2 - 3:32HOUParsons Free Throw 1 of 3 (13 PTS)57
69.2%
48
30.8%
Q2 - 3:45DALEllis Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)56
65.9%
48
34.1%
Q2 - 3:45DALMISS Ellis Free Throw 1 of 256
66.4%
47
33.6%
Q2 - 4:05HOUHarden 1' Running Slam Dunk (11 PTS) (Parsons 5 AST)56
64.4%
47
35.6%
Q2 - 4:09DALEllis Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)54
61.8%
47
38.2%
Q2 - 4:21HOUParsons 2' Running Layup (12 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)54
59.0%
47
41.0%
Q2 - 4:42DALCalderon 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Carter 2 AST)52
56.3%
47
43.7%
Q2 - 4:57HOURockets Turnover: Shot Clock (T#7)52
61.8%
44
38.2%
Q2 - 5:20HOUParsons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)52
63.9%
44
36.1%
Q2 - 5:22DALMISS Carter 15' Fadeaway Jumper52
63.1%
44
36.9%
Q2 - 5:36HOUHoward 2' Turnaround Jump Shot (11 PTS)52
61.4%
44
38.6%
Q2 - 5:49DALMarion 5' Running Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Ellis 4 AST)50
58.5%
44
41.5%
Q2 - 6:07HOUHoward 3' Layup (9 PTS)50
60.4%
42
39.6%
Q2 - 6:22DALEllis 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (14 PTS) (Calderon 2 AST)48
58.4%
42
41.6%
Q2 - 6:25DALCalderon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)48
60.5%
40
39.5%
Q2 - 6:28HOUDalembert BLOCK (2 BLK)48
61.5%
40
38.5%
Q2 - 6:49DALLarkin Foul Turnover (P1.T6)48
63.6%
40
36.4%
Q2 - 6:55HOULarkin STEAL (1 STL)48
60.5%
40
39.5%
Q2 - 7:07HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)48
62.7%
40
37.3%
Q2 - 7:08DALMISS Ellis Free Throw 2 of 248
62.3%
40
37.7%
Q2 - 7:08DALEllis Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)48
60.6%
40
39.4%
Q2 - 7:38HOUBeverley 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Lin 2 AST)48
62.4%
39
37.6%
Q2 - 7:51HOUAsik REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)45
57.7%
39
42.3%
Q2 - 7:52DALMISS Larkin 25' 3PT Jump Shot45
56.8%
39
43.2%
Q2 - 8:00HOUCarter STEAL (2 STL)45
54.7%
39
45.3%
Q2 - 8:13DALLarkin 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Blair 1 AST)45
56.8%
39
43.2%
Q2 - 8:22HOUParsons 2' Running Finger Roll Layup (10 PTS) (Beverley 1 AST)45
61.7%
36
38.3%
Q2 - 8:27DALCarter Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)43
59.4%
36
40.6%
Q2 - 8:39HOUAsik Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)43
56.7%
36
43.3%
Q2 - 8:39HOUMISS Asik Free Throw 1 of 242
55.8%
36
44.2%
Q2 - 8:54DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)42
56.9%
36
43.1%
Q2 - 8:54DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)42
57.1%
35
42.9%
Q2 - 9:07DALEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)42
58.4%
34
41.6%
Q2 - 9:09HOUMISS Garcia 3PT Jump Shot42
59.2%
34
40.8%
Q2 - 9:31DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)42
61.1%
34
38.9%
Q2 - 9:45HOUNowitzki STEAL (1 STL)42
65.6%
31
34.4%
Q2 - 9:55DALLarkin 18' Jump Shot (5 PTS)42
68.0%
31
32.0%
Q2 - 10:09DALMAVERICKS Rebound42
69.3%
29
30.7%
Q2 - 10:09HOUMISS Lin 25' 3PT Jump Shot42
70.1%
29
29.9%
Q2 - 10:29DALNowitzki Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)42
71.8%
29
28.2%
Q2 - 10:43HOUBeverley Foul Turnover (P1.T3)42
69.4%
29
30.6%
Q2 - 10:47HOUCasspi REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)42
71.8%
29
28.2%
Q2 - 10:49DALMISS Nowitzki 11' Jump Shot42
71.0%
29
29.0%
Q2 - 11:05HOUCarter STEAL (1 STL)42
68.7%
29
31.3%
Q2 - 11:11HOUCasspi REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)42
70.9%
29
29.1%
Q2 - 11:12DALMISS Carter 19' Jump Shot42
70.2%
29
29.8%
Q2 - 11:33HOUCasspi 19' Step Back Jump Shot (9 PTS)42
68.8%
29
31.2%
Q2 - 11:44HOUAsik REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)40
66.8%
29
33.2%
Q2 - 11:45HOUMISS Garcia 19' Jump Shot40
65.2%
29
34.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0DAL40
66.8%
29
33.2%
Q1 - 0:02.0HOUCasspi 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Harden 5 AST)40
64.1%
29
35.9%
Q1 - 0:13.0HOUAsik REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)37
59.1%
29
40.9%
Q1 - 0:15.0DALMISS Nowitzki 10' Running Jump Shot37
58.6%
29
41.4%
Q1 - 0:30.0HOUHarden Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)37
57.4%
29
42.6%
Q1 - 0:30.0HOUHarden Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)36
57.1%
29
42.9%
Q1 - 0:30.0HOUMISS Harden Free Throw Technical35
54.5%
29
45.5%
Q1 - 0:36.0DALLarkin 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Nowitzki 2 AST)35
54.5%
29
45.5%
Q1 - 1:02HOUCasspi 3' Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Lin 1 AST)35
59.2%
26
40.8%
Q1 - 1:30DALNowitzki 2' Running Layup (11 PTS) (Carter 1 AST)33
56.4%
26
43.6%
Q1 - 1:39DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
59.2%
24
40.8%
Q1 - 1:41HOUMISS Harden 19' Step Back Jump Shot33
59.7%
24
40.3%
Q1 - 2:03DALCarter Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)33
60.8%
24
39.2%
Q1 - 2:03DALMISS Carter Free Throw 1 of 233
61.1%
23
38.9%
Q1 - 2:15HOUCasspi 6' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS)33
60.9%
23
39.1%
Q1 - 2:32DALEllis 14' Jump Shot (11 PTS)31
58.6%
23
41.4%
Q1 - 2:42DALCrowder REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
60.9%
21
39.1%
Q1 - 2:43HOUMISS Parsons 27' 3PT Jump Shot31
61.5%
21
38.5%
Q1 - 2:54HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)31
62.9%
21
37.1%
Q1 - 2:56DALMISS Blair 3' Layup31
62.3%
21
37.7%
Q1 - 2:57DALBlair REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)31
61.0%
21
39.0%
Q1 - 2:59DALMISS Marion 5' Running Jump Shot31
62.3%
21
37.7%
Q1 - 3:13DALMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
60.3%
21
39.7%
Q1 - 3:14HOUMISS Parsons Free Throw 1 of 131
60.6%
21
39.4%
Q1 - 3:18DALBlair Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)29
58.3%
21
41.7%
Q1 - 3:41HOUHoward 2' Alley Oop Dunk (7 PTS) (Parsons 4 AST)29
56.0%
21
44.0%
Q1 - 3:57DALEllis 2' Driving Slam Dunk (9 PTS)27
54.0%
21
46.0%
Q1 - 4:04DALDalembert REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
55.2%
19
44.8%
Q1 - 4:06HOUMISS Beverley 25' 3PT Jump Shot27
56.0%
19
44.0%
Q1 - 4:20DALCalderon Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)27
57.7%
19
42.3%
Q1 - 4:30DALCarter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)27
55.3%
19
44.7%
Q1 - 4:32HOUMISS Beverley 3PT Jump Shot27
56.0%
19
44.0%
Q1 - 4:46HOUJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)27
57.7%
19
42.3%
Q1 - 4:49DALMISS Ellis 14' Jump Shot27
57.0%
19
43.0%
Q1 - 4:55DALCarter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)27
55.3%
19
44.7%
Q1 - 4:55DALMISS Carter 25' 3PT Jump Shot27
57.0%
19
43.0%
Q1 - 5:11HOUHarden 2' Driving Reverse Layup (7 PTS)27
54.3%
19
45.7%
Q1 - 5:19DALEllis 8' Floating Jump Shot (7 PTS)25
52.4%
19
47.6%
Q1 - 5:41HOUHarden Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)25
54.3%
17
45.7%
Q1 - 5:41HOUHarden Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)24
54.1%
17
45.9%
Q1 - 5:53HOUParsons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
52.5%
17
47.5%
Q1 - 5:55DALMISS Calderon 3' Running Layup23
51.8%
17
48.2%
Q1 - 6:15HOUHoward 1' Alley Oop Dunk (5 PTS) (Harden 4 AST)23
49.5%
17
50.5%
Q1 - 6:37DALEllis 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Nowitzki 1 AST)21
47.7%
17
52.3%
Q1 - 6:44HOUCalderon STEAL (1 STL)21
51.5%
14
48.5%
Q1 - 6:57HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
53.6%
14
46.4%
Q1 - 6:58DALMISS Nowitzki 26' 3PT Jump Shot21
53.0%
14
47.0%
Q1 - 7:24DALMAVERICKS Rebound21
50.8%
14
49.2%
Q1 - 7:25HOUDalembert BLOCK (1 BLK)21
51.4%
14
48.6%
Q1 - 7:26HOUJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)21
53.0%
14
47.0%
Q1 - 7:28HOUMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 221
51.1%
14
48.9%
Q1 - 7:28HOUHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)21
51.9%
14
48.1%
Q1 - 7:45DALNowitzki 12' Fadeaway Jumper (9 PTS)20
51.1%
14
48.9%
Q1 - 8:02HOUJones 1' Slam Dunk (9 PTS) (Parsons 3 AST)20
52.4%
12
47.6%
Q1 - 8:07HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
50.7%
12
49.3%
Q1 - 8:08DALMISS Nowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot18
50.1%
12
49.9%
Q1 - 8:19HOUParsons 27' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)18
48.7%
12
51.3%
Q1 - 8:37DALNowitzki 13' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Ellis 3 AST)15
45.2%
12
54.8%
Q1 - 8:55HOUJones 7' Running Hook Shot (7 PTS) (Harden 3 AST)15
46.8%
10
53.2%
Q1 - 9:09DALNowitzki 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Ellis 2 AST)13
45.0%
10
55.0%
Q1 - 9:24HOUJones 1' Slam Dunk (5 PTS) (Parsons 2 AST)13
48.4%
7
51.6%
Q1 - 9:42DALDalembert Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)11
46.8%
7
53.2%
Q1 - 10:02HOUParsons 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Harden 2 AST)11
44.6%
7
55.4%
Q1 - 10:18DALMarion 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Calderon 1 AST)8
41.4%
7
58.6%
Q1 - 10:29HOUHarden 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Parsons 1 AST)8
44.6%
4
55.4%
Q1 - 10:37HOUParsons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
41.4%
4
58.6%
Q1 - 10:38DALMISS Ellis 16' Jump Shot5
40.8%
4
59.2%
Q1 - 10:48HOUJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Harden 1 AST)5
39.6%
4
60.4%
Q1 - 11:06DALNowitzki 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Ellis 1 AST)2
36.2%
4
63.8%
Q1 - 11:22HOUHoward 2' Slam Dunk (2 PTS)2
37.9%
2
62.1%
Q1 - 11:43DALEllis 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)0
36.2%
2
63.8%
Q1 - 12:00DALJump Ball Dalembert vs. Howard: Tip to Marion0
37.9%
0
62.1%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

HOU
1.29 64.5%
DAL
1.38 69.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
HOU
23
32
72%
DAL
11
20
55%
Midrange
HOU
7
13
54%
DAL
20
30
67%
3PT | Effective 3PT
HOU
12
18.0
31
39%
58%
DAL
11
16.5
22
50%
75%
Free Throws
HOU
24
33
73%
DAL
28
33
85%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
HOU logo Rockets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Howard3375%16.5 / 22
J. Harden2361%11.5 / 19
C. Parsons2195%10.5 / 11
T. Jones1869%9.0 / 13
O. Casspi11110%5.5 / 5
P. Beverley950%4.5 / 9
F. Garcia338%1.5 / 4
J. Lin18%0.5 / 6
O. Asik150%0.5 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Ellis3777%18.5 / 24
D. Nowitzki3580%17.5 / 22
S. Marion1381%6.5 / 8
J. Calderon1372%6.5 / 9
V. Carter945%4.5 / 10
S. Larkin880%4.0 / 5
S. Dalembert660%3.0 / 5
D. Blair250%1.0 / 2
J. Crowder0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

HOU
85
+8
-11
93
DAL
80
+8
-15
88
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

HOU
1.29 64.5%
DAL
1.38 69.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
110.9
110.7
HOU 125.0
DAL 129.5 +4.5
Pace
96.4
94.1
HOU 95.4
DAL 95.6 +0.2
Avg. Poss. Time
14.6
15.7
HOU 15.1
DAL 15.1 +0.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
53.1%
52.6%
HOU 63.2%
DAL 66.0% +2.8%
TO %
15.9%
13.9%
HOU 11.7% +3.9%
DAL 15.6%
ORB %
27.4%
24.7%
HOU 21.6%
DAL 24.1% +2.5%
FTrt
38.6
25.3
HOU 43.4
DAL 45.8 +2.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
56.3%
59.6%
HOU 69.0% +7.1%
DAL 61.9%
STL %
7.8%
9.1%
HOU 9.4%
DAL 9.5% +0.1%
BLK %
8.7%
7.4%
HOU 4.0%
DAL 11.1% +7.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.98 and 2.98.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.4%
55.0%
HOU 64.5%
DAL 69.1% +4.6%
Rim FG%
59.7%
60.9%
HOU 71.9% +16.9%
DAL 55.0%
Mid FG%
38.5%
42.4%
HOU 53.8%
DAL 66.7% +12.9%
3P %
35.8%
38.4%
HOU 38.7%
DAL 50.0% +11.3%
FT %
71.2%
79.5%
HOU 72.7%
DAL 84.8% +12.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
45.4%
32.8%
HOU 42.1% +14.3%
DAL 27.8%
Mid Att. %
21.6%
39.9%
HOU 17.1% +24.6%
DAL 41.7%
3P Att. %
33.0%
27.4%
HOU 40.8% +10.2%
DAL 30.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.36 and 3.36.
Game TotalsHOUDAL
Possessions9695
Possession Minutes24.123.9
Points120123
Rebounds3036
Assists2926
Steals99
Blocks25
Turnovers (Team)11 (1)15 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (0)7 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)22 (1)29 (2)
Field Goals42-7642-72
At-the-Rim FG23-3211-20
Midrange FG7-1320-30
2-Point FG30-4531-50
3-Point FG12-3111-22
Free Throws24-3328-33
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'5" 220 · 24
42.6
23
61%
1
8
0
0
1
4
0
1
9-11
82%
4-6
67%
2-8
25%
F · 6'10" 230 · 25
37.9
21
95%
5
11
4
0
2
3
1
4
3-4
75%
3-5
60%
4-5
80%
G · 6'1" 185 · 25
36.6
9
50%
2
3
4
0
2
3
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
3-8
38%
C · 6'11" 265 · 28
36.3
33
75%
11
1
0
0
1
3
3
8
9-13
69%
12-16
75%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 252 · 22
32.7
18
69%
2
2
0
0
2
2
1
1
1-1
100%
7-10
70%
1-3
33%
G · 6'3" 200 · 25
16.9
1
8%
1
4
0
1
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
0-2
0%
0-3
0%
F · 6'9" 225 · 25
15.3
11
110%
3
0
1
0
1
3
1
2
0-0
-
4-4
100%
1-1
100%
C · 7'0" 255 · 27
11.6
1
50%
5
0
0
1
1
3
1
4
1-2
50%
0-0
-
0-0
-
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 32
10.2
3
38%
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-3
33%
F-C · 7'0" 220 · 23
G · 6'0" 161 · 29
F · 6'7" 235 · 29
C · 6'10" 250 · 23
#1 · G · 6'0" 200 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#33 · F · 6'9" 225 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
120
65%
30
29
9
2
11
0
8
22
24-33
73%
30-45
67%
12-31
39%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.