FinalWin Prob.pScore
2130%100
85
1270%107
93
ORTG#PossPace
DET logo DET
91.49392.3
ATL logo ATL
98.99494.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HawksPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HawksPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDETATL
Q4 - 0:00.0ATL85
0%
93
100%
Q4 - 0:15.0DETJennings 8' Floating Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Caldwell-Pope 1 AST)85
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 0:20.0ATLScott Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T22)83
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 0:27.0DETJennings Driving Layup (19 PTS)83
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 0:35.0ATLTeague Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)81
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 0:35.0ATLTeague Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)81
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 0:37.0DETHorford STEAL (1 STL)81
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 0:45.0DETSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)81
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 0:46.0ATLMISS Scott Free Throw 2 of 281
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 0:46.0ATLScott Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)81
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 0:46.0ATLScott REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)81
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 0:47.0DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 25' 3PT Jump Shot81
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 0:56.0ATLScott Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T21)81
0.3%
90
99.7%
Q4 - 1:02DETDrummond 1' Dunk (10 PTS)81
0.2%
90
99.8%
Q4 - 1:02ATLMartin Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T20)79
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 1:07ATLMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)79
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 1:08DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 24' 3PT Jump Shot79
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 1:19DETCaldwell-Pope REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)79
0.2%
90
99.8%
Q4 - 1:20ATLMISS Horford 21' Jump Shot79
0.2%
90
99.8%
Q4 - 1:44ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)79
0.2%
90
99.8%
Q4 - 1:46DETMISS Jennings 1' Driving Layup79
0.3%
90
99.7%
Q4 - 1:55DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)79
0.4%
90
99.6%
Q4 - 1:57DETMISS Smith 24' 3PT Jump Shot79
0.3%
90
99.7%
Q4 - 2:04ATLTeague Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T19)79
0.5%
90
99.5%
Q4 - 2:07DETTeague STEAL (1 STL)79
0.3%
90
99.7%
Q4 - 2:13ATLTeague Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T18)79
0.5%
90
99.5%
Q4 - 2:28DETCaldwell-Pope Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)79
0.3%
90
99.7%
Q4 - 2:28DETCaldwell-Pope Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)78
0.2%
90
99.8%
Q4 - 2:36ATLKorver Free Throw Technical (8 PTS)77
0.2%
90
99.8%
Q4 - 2:36ATLKorver Free Throw Technical (7 PTS)77
0.3%
89
99.7%
Q4 - 2:36ATLTeague 18' Jump Shot (16 PTS)77
0.5%
88
99.5%
Q4 - 2:50ATLScott REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)77
0.7%
86
99.3%
Q4 - 2:51DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 25' 3PT Jump Shot77
1.1%
86
98.9%
Q4 - 2:58ATLKorver Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T17)77
1.6%
86
98.4%
Q4 - 3:01ATLKorver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)77
0.9%
86
99.1%
Q4 - 3:02DETMISS Jennings 24' 3PT Jump Shot77
1.1%
86
98.9%
Q4 - 3:10DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)77
1.6%
86
98.4%
Q4 - 3:11ATLMISS Scott 24' 3PT Jump Shot77
1.3%
86
98.7%
Q4 - 3:30DETStuckey Foul Turnover (P5.T15)77
0.9%
86
99.1%
Q4 - 3:57ATLTeague 5' Floating Jump Shot (14 PTS)77
2.4%
86
97.6%
Q4 - 4:08ATLScott REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)77
3.3%
84
96.7%
Q4 - 4:10DETMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 277
3.5%
84
96.5%
Q4 - 4:10DETSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)77
4.2%
84
95.8%
Q4 - 4:10DETSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)76
3.4%
84
96.6%
Q4 - 4:11DETMISS Stuckey 12' Running Jump Shot76
2.6%
84
97.4%
Q4 - 4:27ATLCarroll Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)76
3.4%
84
96.6%
Q4 - 4:27ATLCarroll Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)76
3.6%
83
96.4%
Q4 - 4:46DETSmith 5' Hook Shot (10 PTS) (Jennings 6 AST)76
4.7%
82
95.3%
Q4 - 5:05DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)74
4.6%
82
95.4%
Q4 - 5:06ATLMISS Carroll Free Throw 2 of 274
4.4%
82
95.6%
Q4 - 5:06ATLCarroll Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)74
3.5%
82
96.5%
Q4 - 5:09ATLCarroll REBOUND (Off:0 Def:12)74
4.4%
81
95.6%
Q4 - 5:11DETHorford BLOCK (5 BLK)74
4.9%
81
95.1%
Q4 - 5:33ATLTeague 15' Jump Shot (12 PTS)74
6.2%
81
93.8%
Q4 - 5:44DETMack STEAL (1 STL)74
8.2%
79
91.8%
Q4 - 5:58ATLHorford Foul Turnover (P2.T16)74
11.4%
79
88.6%
Q4 - 6:04DETStuckey Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T13)74
9.4%
79
90.6%
Q4 - 6:33ATLScott Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)74
12.7%
79
87.3%
Q4 - 6:49ATLHAWKS Rebound74
20.5%
76
79.5%
Q4 - 6:49DETMISS Smith 20' Jump Shot74
22.2%
76
77.8%
Q4 - 7:05ATLScott Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T15)74
26.7%
76
73.3%
Q4 - 7:24DETSingler 1' Layup (6 PTS) (Monroe 4 AST)74
21.1%
76
78.9%
Q4 - 7:52ATLAyon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)72
17.2%
76
82.8%
Q4 - 7:52ATLAyon Tip Shot (7 PTS)72
17.2%
76
82.8%
Q4 - 7:54ATLMISS Mack 1' Driving Layup72
24.9%
74
75.1%
Q4 - 8:11DETDrummond 1' Layup (8 PTS)72
22.2%
74
77.8%
Q4 - 8:24ATLWilliams Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)70
18.0%
74
82.0%
Q4 - 8:39DETSingler Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)70
26.9%
71
73.1%
Q4 - 8:39DETSingler Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)69
26.1%
71
73.9%
Q4 - 8:39DETSingler REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)68
22.1%
71
77.9%
Q4 - 8:39DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)68
22.1%
71
77.9%
Q4 - 8:39DETMISS Drummond 1' Putback Layup68
19.1%
71
80.9%
Q4 - 8:40DETMISS Drummond 2' Layup68
19.1%
71
80.9%
Q4 - 9:01ATLScott Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)68
22.6%
71
77.4%
Q4 - 9:17DETStuckey 1' Driving Layup (18 PTS) (Jennings 5 AST)68
32.0%
68
68.0%
Q4 - 9:31DETHarrellson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)66
27.0%
68
73.0%
Q4 - 9:33DETMISS Singler 21' Jump Shot66
23.8%
68
76.2%
Q4 - 9:57ATLScott 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Williams 4 AST)66
27.0%
68
73.0%
Q4 - 10:06ATLAyon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)66
31.5%
66
68.5%
Q4 - 10:07DETMISS Datome 24' 3PT Jump Shot66
33.0%
66
67.0%
Q4 - 10:23DETSingler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)66
36.7%
66
63.3%
Q4 - 10:24DETMISS Jennings 26' 3PT Jump Shot66
33.1%
66
66.9%
Q4 - 10:38ATLAyon Foul Turnover (P1.T14)66
36.7%
66
63.3%
Q4 - 10:44DETHarrellson Foul Turnover (P1.T12)66
31.5%
66
68.5%
Q4 - 10:48DETDatome REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)66
36.7%
66
63.3%
Q4 - 10:50ATLMISS Scott 1' Putback Layup66
35.1%
66
64.9%
Q4 - 10:52ATLScott REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)66
31.5%
66
68.5%
Q4 - 10:53ATLMISS Mack 26' 3PT Jump Shot66
35.1%
66
64.9%
Q4 - 11:05DETJennings Driving Layup (17 PTS)66
31.5%
66
68.5%
Q4 - 11:18DETPistons Rebound64
27.1%
66
72.9%
Q4 - 11:19ATLMISS Ayon 15' Jump Shot64
25.8%
66
74.2%
Q4 - 11:44ATLMack REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)64
23.0%
66
77.0%
Q4 - 11:45DETMISS Stuckey 17' Turnaround Jump Shot64
24.2%
66
75.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATL64
27.1%
66
72.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATLHAWKS Rebound64
23.0%
66
77.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATLMISS Williams 11' Floating Jump Shot64
25.8%
66
74.2%
Q3 - 0:08.0DETHarrellson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Jennings 4 AST)64
23.4%
66
76.6%
Q3 - 0:29.0DETSingler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)61
16.7%
66
83.3%
Q3 - 0:32.0ATLMISS Williams 14' Jump Shot61
15.9%
66
84.1%
Q3 - 0:37.0DETStuckey Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)61
14.1%
66
85.9%
Q3 - 0:56.0ATLKorver 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Mack 2 AST)61
16.7%
66
83.3%
Q3 - 1:29ATLCarroll REBOUND (Off:0 Def:11)61
23.3%
63
76.7%
Q3 - 1:30DETMISS Singler 24' 3PT Jump Shot61
24.4%
63
75.6%
Q3 - 1:54ATLWilliams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Teague 7 AST)61
26.9%
63
73.1%
Q3 - 2:11DETStuckey 6' Driving Jump Shot (16 PTS)61
34.4%
60
65.6%
Q3 - 2:33ATLCarroll 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)59
30.5%
60
69.5%
Q3 - 2:54DETStuckey 10' Turnaround Fadeaway (14 PTS)59
38.8%
57
61.2%
Q3 - 3:11ATLMillsap 1' Driving Reverse Layup (19 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)57
34.2%
57
65.8%
Q3 - 3:22ATLCarroll REBOUND (Off:0 Def:10)57
38.0%
55
62.0%
Q3 - 3:23DETMISS Monroe 18' Jump Shot57
39.4%
55
60.6%
Q3 - 3:41ATLMillsap 8' Fadeaway Jumper (17 PTS) (Carroll 3 AST)57
42.7%
55
57.3%
Q3 - 3:49ATLCarroll REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)57
46.7%
53
53.3%
Q3 - 3:51DETMISS Jennings 6' Floating Jump Shot57
48.2%
53
51.8%
Q3 - 3:56ATLMillsap Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T13)57
51.6%
53
48.4%
Q3 - 4:09DETPistons Turnover: Shot Clock (T#10)57
45.4%
53
54.6%
Q3 - 4:34ATLMillsap Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T12)57
50.8%
53
49.2%
Q3 - 4:36DETMillsap STEAL (1 STL)57
45.5%
53
54.5%
Q3 - 4:47DETSingler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)57
50.8%
53
49.2%
Q3 - 4:48ATLMISS Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot57
49.2%
53
50.8%
Q3 - 5:01ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)57
44.7%
53
55.3%
Q3 - 5:03ATLMISS Millsap 3' Driving Jump Shot57
48.0%
53
52.0%
Q3 - 5:16ATLHAWKS Rebound57
44.7%
53
55.3%
Q3 - 5:17ATLMISS Teague 4' Driving Jump Shot57
48.0%
53
52.0%
Q3 - 5:31ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)57
44.7%
53
55.3%
Q3 - 5:35DETMISS Jennings Free Throw 1 of 157
45.4%
53
54.6%
Q3 - 5:43ATLHorford 2' Driving Layup (10 PTS) (Teague 6 AST)54
37.4%
53
62.6%
Q3 - 6:00DETJennings 19' Fadeaway Jumper (12 PTS)54
40.7%
51
59.3%
Q3 - 6:35ATLMillsap 4' Fadeaway Jumper (15 PTS) (Horford 2 AST)52
36.5%
51
63.5%
Q3 - 6:46ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)52
39.9%
49
60.1%
Q3 - 6:49DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 24' 3PT Jump Shot52
41.2%
49
58.8%
Q3 - 6:59DETSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)52
44.2%
49
55.8%
Q3 - 7:01ATLMISS Horford 18' Jump Shot52
41.8%
49
58.2%
Q3 - 7:10ATLHAWKS Rebound52
39.1%
49
60.9%
Q3 - 7:10DETMISS Smith 2' Layup52
40.3%
49
59.7%
Q3 - 7:25DETSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)52
43.1%
49
56.9%
Q3 - 7:26ATLMISS Millsap 25' 3PT Jump Shot52
41.9%
49
58.1%
Q3 - 7:47DETCaldwell-Pope 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jennings 3 AST)52
39.1%
49
60.9%
Q3 - 7:52DETJennings REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)50
35.8%
49
64.2%
Q3 - 7:53ATLMISS Carroll 3PT Jump Shot50
34.6%
49
65.4%
Q3 - 8:06ATLHAWKS Rebound50
31.6%
49
68.4%
Q3 - 8:06DETMISS Smith 20' Jump Shot50
32.8%
49
67.2%
Q3 - 8:20ATLHorford Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)50
35.5%
49
64.5%
Q3 - 8:21DETCarroll STEAL (2 STL)50
31.6%
49
68.4%
Q3 - 8:25DETCaldwell-Pope REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)50
35.5%
49
64.5%
Q3 - 8:27DETMISS Jennings 26' 3PT Jump Shot50
32.8%
49
67.2%
Q3 - 8:54ATLTeague 2' Driving Layup (10 PTS)50
35.5%
49
64.5%
Q3 - 9:12DETMonroe 2' Running Layup (7 PTS) (Jennings 2 AST)50
37.9%
47
62.1%
Q3 - 9:17DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)48
34.6%
47
65.4%
Q3 - 9:18ATLMISS Teague 25' 3PT Jump Shot48
33.6%
47
66.4%
Q3 - 9:27ATLKorver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)48
31.3%
47
68.7%
Q3 - 9:29DETMISS Monroe 2' Driving Layup48
32.3%
47
67.7%
Q3 - 9:36DETJennings REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)48
34.7%
47
65.3%
Q3 - 9:38DETCarroll BLOCK (2 BLK)48
32.3%
47
67.7%
Q3 - 9:45ATLTeague Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T10)48
34.7%
47
65.3%
Q3 - 10:05DETSmith 1' Running Dunk (8 PTS)48
30.7%
47
69.3%
Q3 - 10:10ATLTeague Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)46
27.8%
47
72.2%
Q3 - 10:18ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)46
25.0%
47
75.0%
Q3 - 10:19DETMISS Smith 26' 3PT Jump Shot46
25.9%
47
74.1%
Q3 - 10:34ATLTeague 10' Floating Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Korver 2 AST)46
27.9%
47
72.1%
Q3 - 10:51ATLKorver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)46
30.8%
45
69.2%
Q3 - 10:51DETHorford BLOCK (4 BLK)46
31.7%
45
68.3%
Q3 - 10:51ATLTeague Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)46
34.0%
45
66.0%
Q3 - 10:55ATLHAWKS Rebound46
30.8%
45
69.2%
Q3 - 10:55DETHorford BLOCK (3 BLK)46
31.7%
45
68.3%
Q3 - 11:16ATLCarroll 2' Driving Dunk (5 PTS)46
33.4%
45
66.6%
Q3 - 11:35ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)46
36.5%
43
63.5%
Q3 - 11:36ATLMISS Teague 12' Driving Jump Shot46
38.8%
43
61.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0DET46
36.5%
43
63.5%
Q2 - 0:03.0ATLHAWKS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#7)46
38.7%
43
61.3%
Q2 - 0:27.0DETJennings 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)46
36.4%
43
63.6%
Q2 - 0:35.0ATLMillsap Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)43
29.9%
43
70.1%
Q2 - 0:35.0ATLMillsap Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)43
30.6%
42
69.4%
Q2 - 0:47.0DETJennings 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Monroe 3 AST)43
33.4%
41
66.6%
Q2 - 1:05ATLMillsap Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P2.T6)40
27.1%
41
72.9%
Q2 - 1:18DETJennings 9' Floating Jump Shot (4 PTS)40
25.5%
41
74.5%
Q2 - 1:27DETCaldwell-Pope REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)38
22.3%
41
77.7%
Q2 - 1:30ATLMISS Korver 24' 3PT Jump Shot38
21.9%
41
78.1%
Q2 - 1:37DETCarroll STEAL (1 STL)38
20.9%
41
79.1%
Q2 - 2:08ATLHorford Alley Oop Dunk (8 PTS) (Teague 5 AST)38
22.7%
41
77.3%
Q2 - 2:15DETMonroe 1' Layup (5 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)38
24.9%
39
75.1%
Q2 - 2:38ATLKorver 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Carroll 2 AST)36
22.7%
39
77.3%
Q2 - 2:56ATLCarroll REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)36
27.4%
36
72.6%
Q2 - 2:58DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 25' 3PT Jump Shot36
28.1%
36
71.9%
Q2 - 3:19ATLCarroll 1' Running Layup (3 PTS) (Horford 1 AST)36
29.7%
36
70.3%
Q2 - 3:29ATLCarroll REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)36
31.8%
34
68.2%
Q2 - 3:31DETMISS Jennings 18' Jump Shot36
32.7%
34
67.3%
Q2 - 3:51ATLTeague 2' Driving Layup (6 PTS)36
35.0%
34
65.0%
Q2 - 4:03DETPistons Turnover: Shot Clock (T#6)36
36.6%
32
63.4%
Q2 - 4:03DETPistons Rebound36
39.4%
32
60.6%
Q2 - 4:03DETMISS Smith 19' Fadeaway Jumper36
37.5%
32
62.5%
Q2 - 4:30ATLMillsap Running Layup (11 PTS) (Teague 4 AST)36
39.5%
32
60.5%
Q2 - 4:39DETSmith 7' Hook Shot (6 PTS)36
42.2%
30
57.8%
Q2 - 5:05ATLHorford 16' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS)34
38.9%
30
61.1%
Q2 - 5:21DETStuckey 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Monroe 2 AST)34
41.8%
28
58.2%
Q2 - 5:34ATLMillsap 11' Fadeaway Jumper (9 PTS)31
36.3%
28
63.7%
Q2 - 5:56DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)31
39.1%
26
60.9%
Q2 - 5:56DETDrummond Tip Shot (6 PTS)31
39.1%
26
60.9%
Q2 - 5:59DETMISS Jennings 18' Jump Shot29
34.6%
26
65.4%
Q2 - 6:15ATLTeague 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS)29
36.3%
26
63.7%
Q2 - 6:23ATLCarroll REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)29
38.3%
24
61.7%
Q2 - 6:24DETMISS Jennings 21' Jump Shot29
39.3%
24
60.7%
Q2 - 6:27DETJennings REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)29
41.5%
24
58.5%
Q2 - 6:29DETKorver BLOCK (1 BLK)29
39.3%
24
60.7%
Q2 - 6:55ATLMillsap 1' Running Slam Dunk (7 PTS) (Teague 3 AST)29
41.5%
24
58.5%
Q2 - 7:05DETStuckey 3' Driving Layup (9 PTS)29
42.9%
22
57.1%
Q2 - 7:27DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)27
40.7%
22
59.3%
Q2 - 7:28ATLMISS Millsap Free Throw 2 of 227
40.3%
22
59.7%
Q2 - 7:28ATLMillsap Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)27
38.7%
22
61.3%
Q2 - 7:42DETStuckey 8' Driving Jump Shot (7 PTS)27
40.4%
21
59.6%
Q2 - 7:54ATLKorver Traveling Turnover (P1.T5)25
38.2%
21
61.8%
Q2 - 8:09DETDrummond 7' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Stuckey 2 AST)25
34.9%
21
65.1%
Q2 - 8:33ATLAyon 2' Running Dunk (5 PTS) (Mack 1 AST)23
32.7%
21
67.3%
Q2 - 8:59DETSingler 1' Running Layup (2 PTS)23
35.0%
19
65.0%
Q2 - 9:04ATLMartin Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4)21
32.2%
19
67.8%
Q2 - 9:17DETDatome 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Siva 1 AST)21
29.9%
19
70.1%
Q2 - 9:33ATLMillsap 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS)18
26.0%
19
74.0%
Q2 - 9:46ATLMack REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
27.8%
17
72.2%
Q2 - 9:47DETMISS Datome 26' 3PT Jump Shot18
28.5%
17
71.5%
Q2 - 9:55DETStuckey Free Throw Technical (5 PTS)18
30.1%
17
69.9%
Q2 - 10:04DETSingler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)17
28.1%
17
71.9%
Q2 - 10:06ATLMISS Mack 20' Jump Shot17
27.4%
17
72.6%
Q2 - 10:17DETStuckey Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)17
25.8%
17
74.2%
Q2 - 10:17DETStuckey Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)16
25.5%
17
74.5%
Q2 - 10:21DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)15
24.3%
17
75.7%
Q2 - 10:23ATLMISS Scott 12' Fadeaway Jumper15
23.6%
17
76.4%
Q2 - 10:32DETAyon STEAL (1 STL)15
22.2%
17
77.8%
Q2 - 10:47DETSingler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)15
24.2%
17
75.8%
Q2 - 10:48DETMISS Singler 11' Fadeaway Jumper15
22.8%
17
77.2%
Q2 - 11:11DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)15
24.2%
17
75.8%
Q2 - 11:12ATLMISS Scott Free Throw 1 of 115
23.9%
17
76.1%
Q2 - 11:18DETStuckey 3' Driving Layup (2 PTS)15
25.9%
15
74.1%
Q2 - 11:41DETSingler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
24.2%
15
75.8%
Q2 - 11:43ATLMISS Scott 3' Driving Layup13
23.6%
15
76.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATL13
22.3%
15
77.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATLHAWKS Rebound13
22.3%
15
77.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATLMISS Martin 26' 3PT Jump Shot13
23.6%
15
76.4%
Q1 - 0:19.0DETMartin STEAL (2 STL)13
22.7%
15
77.3%
Q1 - 0:23.0ATLScott Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)13
23.9%
15
76.1%
Q1 - 0:37.0DETDrummond 1' Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Singler 1 AST)13
22.6%
15
77.4%
Q1 - 0:52.0DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)11
20.7%
15
79.3%
Q1 - 0:55.0ATLMISS Mack Free Throw 2 of 211
20.5%
15
79.5%
Q1 - 0:55.0ATLMack Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)11
19.5%
15
80.5%
Q1 - 1:03ATLHAWKS Rebound11
21.0%
14
79.0%
Q1 - 1:03ATLMISS Williams 8' Driving Jump Shot11
21.8%
14
78.2%
Q1 - 1:14DETDatome 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Stuckey 1 AST)11
21.0%
14
79.0%
Q1 - 1:31DETSiva REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
19.2%
14
80.8%
Q1 - 1:34ATLMISS Scott 6' Floating Jump Shot9
18.9%
14
81.1%
Q1 - 1:45ATLHAWKS Rebound9
18.2%
14
81.8%
Q1 - 1:45ATLMISS Martin 2' Running Layup9
18.9%
14
81.1%
Q1 - 1:47ATLAyon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
18.2%
14
81.8%
Q1 - 1:48DETMISS Stuckey 6' Driving Jump Shot9
18.5%
14
81.5%
Q1 - 1:58ATLMartin Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)9
19.2%
14
80.8%
Q1 - 2:11ATLCarroll REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)9
18.2%
14
81.8%
Q1 - 2:13DETMISS Smith 19' Jump Shot9
18.5%
14
81.5%
Q1 - 2:36ATLAyon 1' Running Layup (3 PTS) (Martin 1 AST)9
19.4%
14
80.6%
Q1 - 2:40DETMartin STEAL (1 STL)9
21.0%
12
79.0%
Q1 - 2:41DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)9
22.4%
12
77.6%
Q1 - 2:44DETMISS Stuckey 17' Jump Shot9
21.4%
12
78.6%
Q1 - 3:09ATLMartin 16' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Carroll 1 AST)9
22.4%
12
77.6%
Q1 - 3:21DETSmith Driving Layup (4 PTS)9
23.8%
10
76.2%
Q1 - 3:40ATLAyon Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)7
22.4%
10
77.6%
Q1 - 3:40ATLMISS Ayon Free Throw 1 of 27
23.0%
9
77.0%
Q1 - 3:47DETKorver STEAL (2 STL)7
22.3%
9
77.7%
Q1 - 3:51DETJennings REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)7
24.0%
9
76.0%
Q1 - 3:55ATLMISS Carroll 7' Driving Jump Shot7
23.5%
9
76.5%
Q1 - 4:05ATLCarroll REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)7
22.0%
9
78.0%
Q1 - 4:07DETMISS Singler 21' Jump Shot7
22.6%
9
77.4%
Q1 - 4:18DETJennings REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)7
23.8%
9
76.2%
Q1 - 4:21ATLMISS Carroll 24' 3PT Jump Shot7
23.2%
9
76.8%
Q1 - 4:27ATLKorver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
22.0%
9
78.0%
Q1 - 4:29DETMISS Jennings 2' Layup7
22.6%
9
77.4%
Q1 - 4:32DETJennings REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)7
23.8%
9
76.2%
Q1 - 4:34ATLMISS Korver 17' Jump Shot7
23.2%
9
76.8%
Q1 - 4:51ATLCarroll REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)7
22.1%
9
77.9%
Q1 - 4:53DETMISS Drummond 2' Alley Oop Dunk7
22.6%
9
77.4%
Q1 - 5:00DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)7
23.8%
9
76.2%
Q1 - 5:02ATLMISS Millsap 1' Putback Layup7
23.2%
9
76.8%
Q1 - 5:03ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)7
22.2%
9
77.8%
Q1 - 5:04ATLMISS Teague 26' 3PT Jump Shot7
23.2%
9
76.8%
Q1 - 5:09ATLCarroll REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
22.2%
9
77.8%
Q1 - 5:11DETCarroll BLOCK (1 BLK)7
22.6%
9
77.4%
Q1 - 5:24DETCaldwell-Pope REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
23.7%
9
76.3%
Q1 - 5:25ATLMISS Millsap 24' 3PT Jump Shot7
23.2%
9
76.8%
Q1 - 5:44ATLHAWKS Rebound7
22.1%
9
77.9%
Q1 - 5:47DETMISS Drummond 3' Driving Layup7
22.6%
9
77.4%
Q1 - 6:00DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
23.7%
9
76.3%
Q1 - 6:04ATLMISS Teague 9' Floating Jump Shot7
23.0%
9
77.0%
Q1 - 6:26DETJennings 18' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)7
22.0%
9
78.0%
Q1 - 6:37DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
20.8%
9
79.2%
Q1 - 6:39ATLMISS Millsap 1' Driving Slam Dunk5
20.4%
9
79.6%
Q1 - 6:55DETSmith 1' Running Layup (2 PTS) (Monroe 1 AST)5
19.4%
9
80.6%
Q1 - 7:12DETSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)3
18.4%
9
81.6%
Q1 - 7:14DETMISS Monroe Free Throw 2 of 23
17.3%
9
82.7%
Q1 - 7:14DETMonroe Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)3
17.9%
9
82.1%
Q1 - 7:31ATLCarroll Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)2
17.3%
9
82.7%
Q1 - 7:31ATLMISS Carroll Free Throw 1 of 22
17.5%
8
82.5%
Q1 - 7:34ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
17.1%
8
82.9%
Q1 - 7:35DETMISS Smith 3PT Jump Shot2
17.5%
8
82.5%
Q1 - 7:48ATLMillsap Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)2
18.4%
8
81.6%
Q1 - 7:57ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
17.1%
8
82.9%
Q1 - 7:58DETMISS Jennings 4' Jump Shot2
17.5%
8
82.5%
Q1 - 7:59DETJennings REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
18.4%
8
81.6%
Q1 - 8:00DETMISS Jennings 13' Driving Jump Shot2
17.5%
8
82.5%
Q1 - 8:09DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
18.4%
8
81.6%
Q1 - 8:11ATLMISS Millsap 3' Running Layup2
18.0%
8
82.0%
Q1 - 8:19ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
17.2%
8
82.8%
Q1 - 8:21DETHorford BLOCK (2 BLK)2
17.6%
8
82.4%
Q1 - 8:39ATLTeague 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
18.4%
8
81.6%
Q1 - 9:00ATLTeague REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
19.4%
6
80.6%
Q1 - 9:01DETMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
19.9%
6
80.1%
Q1 - 9:12DETSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
20.8%
6
79.2%
Q1 - 9:13ATLMISS Korver 21' Jump Shot2
20.4%
6
79.6%
Q1 - 9:24ATLHAWKS Rebound2
19.5%
6
80.5%
Q1 - 9:24ATLMISS Teague 12' Floating Jump Shot2
20.4%
6
79.6%
Q1 - 9:31ATLCarroll REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
19.5%
6
80.5%
Q1 - 9:32DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 24' 3PT Jump Shot2
19.9%
6
80.1%
Q1 - 9:56ATLHorford 2' Running Layup (4 PTS) (Teague 2 AST)2
20.8%
6
79.2%
Q1 - 10:17DETKorver STEAL (1 STL)2
21.9%
4
78.1%
Q1 - 10:34ATLHorford 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Korver 1 AST)2
23.2%
4
76.8%
Q1 - 10:47ATLKorver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
24.4%
2
75.6%
Q1 - 10:49DETMISS Monroe 19' Jump Shot2
24.8%
2
75.2%
Q1 - 10:56DETPistons Rebound2
25.8%
2
74.2%
Q1 - 10:56DETHorford BLOCK (1 BLK)2
24.8%
2
75.2%
Q1 - 11:17ATLMillsap 2' Running Layup (2 PTS) (Teague 1 AST)2
25.4%
2
74.6%
Q1 - 11:29DETMonroe 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Jennings 1 AST)2
26.8%
0
73.2%
Q1 - 11:43DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
25.4%
0
74.6%
Q1 - 11:44DETMISS Smith 12' Hook Shot0
24.6%
0
75.4%
Q1 - 12:00ATLJump Ball Horford vs. Drummond: Tip to Jennings0
25.4%
0
74.6%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DET
0.89 44.7%
ATL
1.11 55.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DET
18
35
51%
ATL
22
31
71%
Midrange
DET
11
30
37%
ATL
10
25
40%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DET
6
9.0
22
27%
41%
ATL
4
6.0
15
27%
40%
Free Throws
DET
9
12
75%
ATL
17
24
71%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Jennings2150%10.5 / 21
R. Stuckey1869%9.0 / 13
J. Smith1134%5.5 / 16
A. Drummond1050%5.0 / 10
G. Monroe739%3.5 / 9
K. Singler643%3.0 / 7
G. Datome563%2.5 / 4
K. Caldwell-Pope420%2.0 / 10
J. Harrellson3150%1.5 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
P. Millsap1959%9.5 / 16
J. Teague1860%9.0 / 15
D. Carroll1161%5.5 / 9
M. Scott1155%5.5 / 10
A. Horford1071%5.0 / 7
K. Korver880%4.0 / 5
G. Ayon770%3.5 / 5
L. Williams650%3.0 / 6
C. Martin233%1.0 / 3
S. Mack113%0.5 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DET
78
+17
-15
95
ATL
73
+11
-21
84
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DET
0.89 44.7%
ATL
1.11 55.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.2
105.6
DET 91.4
ATL 98.9 +7.5
Pace
94.7
95.0
DET 92.3
ATL 94.7 +2.4
Avg. Poss. Time
15.2
14.9
DET 15.6
ATL 15.2 +0.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.2%
51.5%
DET 43.7%
ATL 53.5% +9.8%
TO %
14.7%
15.2%
DET 15.6% +5.6%
ATL 21.2%
ORB %
31.4%
21.0%
DET 31.3% +16.1%
ATL 15.2%
FTrt
29.6
26.6
DET 13.8
ATL 33.8 +20.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
53.9%
66.7%
DET 48.6%
ATL 63.9% +15.3%
STL %
8.8%
8.7%
DET 14.0% +2.3%
ATL 11.7%
BLK %
8.0%
6.5%
DET 8.9%
ATL 12.3% +3.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.23 and 2.23.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.3%
53.7%
DET 44.7%
ATL 55.4% +10.7%
Rim FG%
57.6%
59.2%
DET 51.4%
ATL 71.0% +19.6%
Mid FG%
35.4%
41.3%
DET 36.7%
ATL 40.0% +3.3%
3P %
32.1%
36.3%
DET 27.3% +0.6%
ATL 26.7%
FT %
67.0%
78.1%
DET 75.0% +4.2%
ATL 70.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
45.0%
33.9%
DET 40.2%
ATL 43.7% +3.4%
Mid Att. %
32.8%
34.5%
DET 34.5% +0.7%
ATL 35.2%
3P Att. %
22.2%
31.6%
DET 25.3% +4.2%
ATL 21.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.89 and 2.89.
Game TotalsDETATL
Possessions9394
Possession Minutes24.223.8
Points8593
Rebounds4338
Assists1723
Steals1311
Blocks58
Turnovers (Team)15 (2)21 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)15 (2)5 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)28 (1)33 (5)
Field Goals35-8736-71
At-the-Rim FG18-3522-31
Midrange FG11-3010-25
2-Point FG29-6532-56
3-Point FG6-224-15
Free Throws9-1217-24
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'1" 170 · 24
40.6
21
50%
7
6
1
0
4
0
3
4
0-1
0%
6-15
40%
3-6
50%
F · 6'9" 225 · 28
35.6
11
34%
6
2
3
2
1
3
2
4
1-2
50%
5-11
45%
0-4
0%
C · 6'11" 279 · 20
35.1
10
50%
12
0
4
1
0
4
3
9
0-0
-
5-11
45%
0-0
-
F · 6'11" 265 · 23
33.9
7
39%
4
4
2
0
2
2
2
2
1-2
50%
3-8
38%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 204 · 21
22.8
4
20%
4
1
0
0
0
1
1
3
2-2
100%
1-3
33%
0-6
0%
G · 6'5" 205 · 28
26.2
18
69%
0
2
1
0
5
6
0
0
3-3
100%
6-11
55%
1-1
100%
F · 6'8" 228 · 26
22.4
6
43%
7
1
0
1
2
0
3
4
2-2
100%
2-5
40%
0-1
0%
F · 6'8" 215 · 26
10.7
5
63%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
1-3
33%
G · 6'0" 185 · 23
6.5
0
0%
1
1
2
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F-C · 6'10" 275 · 25
6.2
3
150%
1
0
0
1
1
2
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-1
100%
F · 6'10" 231 · 27
· 6'8" 216 · 22
F · 6'11" 232 · 29
#12 · G · 6'0" 185 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#1 · G · 6'3" 210 · 37
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
85
45%
43
17
13
5
15
0
15
28
9-12
75%
29-65
45%
6-22
27%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.