FinalWin Prob.pScore
567%105
120
2833%99
92
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
127.79489.3
ORL logo ORL
98.99398.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MagicHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MagicHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAORL
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA120
100%
92
0%
Q4 - 0:17.0ORLOladipo 2' Driving Slam Dunk (20 PTS)120
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 0:26.0MIABeasley Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)120
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 0:26.0MIABeasley Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)119
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 0:40.0ORLPrice 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)118
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 0:55.0MIAPrice STEAL (1 STL)118
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 1:15ORLOladipo 1' Driving Dunk (18 PTS)118
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 1:27ORLMAGIC Rebound118
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 1:27MIAMISS Beasley 2' Driving Layup118
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 1:40ORLOladipo 28' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Nicholson 1 AST)118
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 2:03MIABeasley 2' Driving Layup (12 PTS) (Cole 5 AST)118
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 2:15MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)116
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 2:16ORLMISS Maxiell 13' Jump Shot116
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 2:30MIAHaslem 1' Layup (5 PTS) (Mason Jr. 1 AST)116
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 2:48ORLMaxiell 10' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Oladipo 2 AST)114
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 3:03ORLMAGIC Rebound114
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 3:05MIAMISS Mason Jr. 26' 3PT Jump Shot114
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 3:18ORLOladipo Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)114
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 3:18ORLOladipo Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)114
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 3:32MIAMason Jr. 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Cole 4 AST)114
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 3:49ORLJump Ball Oladipo vs. Haslem: Tip to Beasley111
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 4:00MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)111
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 4:00MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 1 of 2110
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 4:12ORLOladipo Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)110
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 4:12ORLOladipo Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)110
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 4:21MIABeasley 16' Pullup Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Cole 3 AST)110
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 4:28MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)108
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 4:29ORLMISS Oladipo 27' 3PT Jump Shot108
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 4:51MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)108
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 4:51MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)107
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 4:51MIAHeat Rebound106
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 4:52MIAMISS Allen 24' 3PT Jump Shot106
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 5:04MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)106
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 5:05ORLMISS Lamb 26' 3PT Jump Shot106
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 5:21MIABeasley 1' Driving Layup (8 PTS)106
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 5:28MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)104
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 5:29ORLMISS Oladipo 10' Jump Shot104
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 5:55MIABeasley Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)104
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 5:55MIABeasley Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)103
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 6:07MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)102
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 6:08ORLMISS Jones 18' Jump Shot102
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 6:22ORLJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)102
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 6:23MIAMISS Cole 7' Running Jump Shot102
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 6:37ORLJones Traveling Turnover (P1.T23)102
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 6:47MIALewis Foul Turnover (P2.T21)102
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 6:52MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)102
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 6:53ORLMISS Afflalo 18' Step Back Jump Shot102
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 7:10MIACole 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Lewis 3 AST)102
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 7:30MIAHeat Rebound99
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 7:30ORLMISS Maxiell 5' Jump Shot99
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 7:44MIABeasley Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)99
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 7:44MIABeasley Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)98
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 8:07ORLAfflalo Free Throw 1 of 1 (30 PTS)97
99.8%
76
0.2%
Q4 - 8:18MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)97
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 8:18MIABeasley 1' Tip Shot (2 PTS)97
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 8:20MIAMISS Beasley 2' Layup95
99.8%
73
0.2%
Q4 - 8:26ORLNelson Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T22)95
99.8%
73
0.2%
Q4 - 8:36MIAAllen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Cole 2 AST)95
99.8%
73
0.2%
Q4 - 8:53ORLMoore 19' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Lamb 1 AST)92
99.7%
73
0.3%
Q4 - 9:07MIAMoore STEAL (1 STL)92
99.6%
71
0.4%
Q4 - 9:23ORLMoore Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T21)92
99.7%
71
0.3%
Q4 - 9:38MIABeasley Foul Turnover (P2.T19)92
99.6%
71
0.4%
Q4 - 9:45ORLLamb Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T20)92
99.7%
71
0.3%
Q4 - 9:48ORLMAGIC Rebound92
99.6%
71
0.4%
Q4 - 9:50ORLMISS Maxiell 10' Hook Shot92
99.7%
71
0.3%
Q4 - 10:05MIAAndersen Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)92
99.5%
71
0.5%
Q4 - 10:05MIAAndersen Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)91
99.5%
71
0.5%
Q4 - 10:07MIALewis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)90
99.4%
71
0.6%
Q4 - 10:10MIAMISS Cole 2' Layup90
99.3%
71
0.7%
Q4 - 10:15ORLMoore Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T19)90
99.4%
71
0.6%
Q4 - 10:27ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)90
99.3%
71
0.7%
Q4 - 10:29MIAMISS Allen 19' Jump Shot90
99.3%
71
0.7%
Q4 - 10:49ORLLamb Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T18)90
99.4%
71
0.6%
Q4 - 10:56ORLJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)90
99.3%
71
0.7%
Q4 - 10:58MIAMISS Beasley 15' Jump Shot90
99.3%
71
0.7%
Q4 - 11:15MIAHeat Rebound90
99.3%
71
0.7%
Q4 - 11:15ORLMISS Nelson 25' 3PT Jump Shot90
99.2%
71
0.8%
Q4 - 11:32MIAJones STEAL (2 STL)90
99.1%
71
0.9%
Q4 - 11:43MIAHeat Rebound90
99.3%
71
0.7%
Q4 - 11:43MIAMISS Allen 18' Pullup Jump Shot90
99.1%
71
0.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORL90
99.3%
71
0.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORLMAGIC Rebound90
99.1%
71
0.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORLMISS Afflalo 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot90
99.2%
71
0.8%
Q3 - 0:04.0MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)90
98.9%
71
1.1%
Q3 - 0:04.0MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)89
98.9%
71
1.1%
Q3 - 0:25.0ORLOladipo Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)88
98.7%
71
1.3%
Q3 - 0:25.0ORLOladipo Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)88
98.7%
70
1.3%
Q3 - 0:25.0ORLOladipo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)88
98.9%
69
1.1%
Q3 - 0:26.0MIAMISS Lewis 24' 3PT Jump Shot88
99.0%
69
1.0%
Q3 - 0:47.0ORLAfflalo 26' 3PT Jump Shot (27 PTS) (Nelson 5 AST)88
99.1%
69
0.9%
Q3 - 0:57.0MIAJames 2' Layup (19 PTS) (Chalmers 8 AST)88
99.4%
66
0.6%
Q3 - 1:01ORLOladipo Bad Pass Turnover (P7.T17)86
99.1%
66
0.9%
Q3 - 1:16MIAAndersen 3' Layup (8 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)86
99.0%
66
1.0%
Q3 - 1:35ORLAfflalo Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)84
98.7%
66
1.3%
Q3 - 1:35ORLAfflalo Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)84
98.8%
65
1.2%
Q3 - 1:58MIAChalmers 2' Layup (9 PTS)84
99.0%
64
1.0%
Q3 - 1:59MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)82
98.7%
64
1.3%
Q3 - 2:00MIAMISS James 36' 3PT Jump Shot82
98.6%
64
1.4%
Q3 - 2:07MIABattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)82
98.5%
64
1.5%
Q3 - 2:08ORLMISS Oladipo 3' Driving Layup82
98.4%
64
1.6%
Q3 - 2:15ORLOladipo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)82
98.2%
64
1.8%
Q3 - 2:16MIAMISS Bosh 21' Jump Shot82
98.3%
64
1.7%
Q3 - 2:40MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)82
98.5%
64
1.5%
Q3 - 2:41ORLJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)82
98.2%
64
1.8%
Q3 - 2:41ORLMISS Jones 1' Tip Shot82
98.4%
64
1.6%
Q3 - 2:43ORLMISS Harkless 24' 3PT Jump Shot82
98.4%
64
1.6%
Q3 - 3:04MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (James 7 AST)82
97.9%
64
2.1%
Q3 - 3:23ORLHarkless Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T16)79
97.1%
64
2.9%
Q3 - 3:50MIABosh 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (18 PTS)79
96.6%
64
3.4%
Q3 - 4:07ORLAfflalo Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T15)77
95.7%
64
4.3%
Q3 - 4:15MIAJones Free Throw 3 of 3 (14 PTS)77
94.7%
64
5.3%
Q3 - 4:15MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 3 (13 PTS)76
94.6%
64
5.4%
Q3 - 4:15MIAMISS Jones Free Throw 1 of 375
94.4%
64
5.6%
Q3 - 4:23ORLOladipo 2' Driving Reverse Layup (7 PTS) (Harkless 3 AST)75
94.0%
64
6.0%
Q3 - 4:28MIAOladipo STEAL (5 STL)75
94.7%
62
5.3%
Q3 - 4:39MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)75
95.7%
62
4.3%
Q3 - 4:41ORLMISS Oladipo 9' Pullup Jump Shot75
95.4%
62
4.6%
Q3 - 5:03MIABosh 2' Layup (16 PTS) (Chalmers 7 AST)75
94.3%
62
5.7%
Q3 - 5:25ORLHarkless REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)73
93.5%
62
6.5%
Q3 - 5:25ORLHarkless 2' Tip Shot (5 PTS)73
93.5%
62
6.5%
Q3 - 5:26ORLMISS Nelson 2' Layup73
95.0%
60
5.0%
Q3 - 5:31MIAHarkless STEAL (4 STL)73
94.3%
60
5.7%
Q3 - 5:42MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)73
95.3%
60
4.7%
Q3 - 5:43ORLMISS Nelson 27' 3PT Jump Shot73
95.0%
60
5.0%
Q3 - 6:03MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)73
94.0%
60
6.0%
Q3 - 6:03MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)72
93.9%
60
6.1%
Q3 - 6:24ORLOladipo 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Afflalo 2 AST)71
93.2%
60
6.8%
Q3 - 6:36ORLAfflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)71
94.9%
57
5.1%
Q3 - 6:37MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot71
95.1%
57
4.9%
Q3 - 6:52MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)71
95.7%
57
4.3%
Q3 - 6:53ORLMISS Vucevic 9' Hook Shot71
95.5%
57
4.5%
Q3 - 7:18MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (James 6 AST)71
94.5%
57
5.5%
Q3 - 7:30MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)68
92.8%
57
7.2%
Q3 - 7:32ORLMISS Nelson 27' 3PT Jump Shot68
92.4%
57
7.6%
Q3 - 7:45MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Battier 2 AST)68
91.6%
57
8.4%
Q3 - 7:54MIAHeat Rebound65
89.0%
57
11.0%
Q3 - 7:55MIAMISS Battier 3PT Jump Shot65
87.8%
57
12.2%
Q3 - 8:15ORLNelson 28' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Afflalo 1 AST)65
88.8%
57
11.2%
Q3 - 8:26ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)65
91.3%
54
8.7%
Q3 - 8:27MIAMISS Bosh 13' Jump Shot65
91.7%
54
8.3%
Q3 - 8:41ORLNelson Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T14)65
92.6%
54
7.4%
Q3 - 8:51MIAJones Traveling Turnover (P1.T15)65
91.3%
54
8.7%
Q3 - 8:55MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)65
92.6%
54
7.4%
Q3 - 8:56ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)65
91.3%
54
8.7%
Q3 - 8:56ORLMISS Vucevic 1' Tip Shot65
92.2%
54
7.8%
Q3 - 8:57ORLMISS Nelson 7' Fadeaway Jumper65
92.2%
54
7.8%
Q3 - 9:14MIABosh 2' Layup (12 PTS) (Battier 1 AST)65
91.1%
54
8.9%
Q3 - 9:40ORLNelson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Vucevic 1 AST)63
89.9%
54
10.1%
Q3 - 10:03MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (James 5 AST)63
92.2%
51
7.8%
Q3 - 10:15ORLNelson Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T13)60
89.9%
51
10.1%
Q3 - 10:26MIABosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Chalmers 6 AST)60
88.4%
51
11.6%
Q3 - 10:41MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)57
85.2%
51
14.8%
Q3 - 10:42MIAMISS James 27' 3PT Jump Shot57
83.9%
51
16.1%
Q3 - 10:52MIAJames Free Throw Technical (17 PTS)57
85.2%
51
14.8%
Q3 - 11:12ORLAfflalo 16' Jump Shot (22 PTS)56
83.4%
51
16.6%
Q3 - 11:30MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)56
85.1%
49
14.9%
Q3 - 11:30MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)55
84.8%
49
15.2%
Q3 - 11:39ORLOladipo Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P6.T12)54
83.4%
49
16.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORL54
81.3%
49
18.7%
Q2 - 0:03.0MIAHarkless STEAL (3 STL)54
81.3%
49
18.7%
Q2 - 0:26.0ORLOladipo Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)54
82.8%
49
17.2%
Q2 - 0:26.0ORLOladipo Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)54
83.2%
48
16.8%
Q2 - 0:26.0ORLMISS Nelson Free Throw Technical54
85.0%
47
15.0%
Q2 - 0:26.0ORLOladipo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)54
85.0%
47
15.0%
Q2 - 0:26.0MIAMaxiell BLOCK (1 BLK)54
85.4%
47
14.6%
Q2 - 0:27.0MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)54
86.2%
47
13.8%
Q2 - 0:30.0MIAAfflalo BLOCK (1 BLK)54
85.4%
47
14.6%
Q2 - 0:45.0ORLOladipo Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P5.T11)54
86.3%
47
13.7%
Q2 - 0:46.0MIAOladipo STEAL (4 STL)54
85.0%
47
15.0%
Q2 - 1:10ORLNelson 30' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS)54
85.8%
47
14.2%
Q2 - 1:34MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)54
89.1%
44
10.9%
Q2 - 1:34MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)53
88.9%
44
11.1%
Q2 - 1:34ORLNelson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)52
87.3%
44
12.7%
Q2 - 1:38MIAHarkless STEAL (2 STL)52
86.4%
44
13.6%
Q2 - 1:57ORLOladipo Foul Turnover (P4.T9)52
87.3%
44
12.7%
Q2 - 2:08MIAAllen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 4 AST)52
85.8%
44
14.2%
Q2 - 2:29ORLMaxiell 8' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Nelson 4 AST)49
82.5%
44
17.5%
Q2 - 2:36ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)49
84.3%
42
15.7%
Q2 - 2:37MIAMISS Bosh 26' 3PT Jump Shot49
84.8%
42
15.2%
Q2 - 2:54ORLAfflalo 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Nelson 3 AST)49
85.8%
42
14.2%
Q2 - 3:13MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)49
88.3%
39
11.7%
Q2 - 3:13MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)48
88.1%
39
11.9%
Q2 - 3:21MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)47
87.3%
39
12.7%
Q2 - 3:22ORLMISS Harkless 4' Hook Shot47
86.8%
39
13.2%
Q2 - 3:34MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)47
85.6%
39
14.4%
Q2 - 3:34MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)46
85.3%
39
14.7%
Q2 - 3:46ORLAfflalo 26' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Nelson 2 AST)45
84.4%
39
15.6%
Q2 - 3:50ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)45
87.0%
36
13.0%
Q2 - 3:52ORLMISS Oladipo 25' 3PT Jump Shot45
88.1%
36
11.9%
Q2 - 4:00MIABattier 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (James 3 AST)45
87.0%
36
13.0%
Q2 - 4:26ORLNelson 1' Driving Layup (8 PTS)42
83.9%
36
16.1%
Q2 - 4:45MIAChalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (James 2 AST)42
85.4%
34
14.6%
Q2 - 5:04ORLVucevic Foul Turnover (P1.T8)39
82.2%
34
17.8%
Q2 - 5:13MIAJames 1' Reverse Slam Dunk (10 PTS)39
80.6%
34
19.4%
Q2 - 5:28ORLVucevic Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)37
78.7%
34
21.3%
Q2 - 5:28ORLVucevic Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)37
79.2%
33
20.8%
Q2 - 5:47MIAJames 2' Driving Layup (8 PTS)37
80.6%
32
19.4%
Q2 - 5:53ORLNelson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)35
78.7%
32
21.3%
Q2 - 6:13MIABosh 22' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Chalmers 5 AST)35
76.5%
32
23.5%
Q2 - 6:25ORLHarkless Traveling Turnover (P1.T6)33
74.9%
32
25.1%
Q2 - 6:46MIACole Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T11)33
72.4%
32
27.6%
Q2 - 6:51MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)33
74.9%
32
25.1%
Q2 - 6:52ORLMISS Afflalo 22' Jump Shot33
74.1%
32
25.9%
Q2 - 7:07MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)33
72.6%
32
27.4%
Q2 - 7:07MIABosh 3' Tip Shot (5 PTS)33
72.6%
32
27.4%
Q2 - 7:10MIAMISS Allen 3' Driving Layup31
68.9%
32
31.1%
Q2 - 7:34MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
70.7%
32
29.3%
Q2 - 7:35ORLMISS Nelson 26' 3PT Jump Shot31
69.9%
32
30.1%
Q2 - 7:42ORLHarkless REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
68.1%
32
31.9%
Q2 - 7:43MIAMISS Cole 12' Pullup Jump Shot31
68.9%
32
31.1%
Q2 - 7:55ORLHarkless Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)31
70.7%
32
29.3%
Q2 - 7:55ORLMISS Harkless Free Throw 1 of 231
71.4%
31
28.6%
Q2 - 8:12MIABosh 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T10)31
70.5%
31
29.5%
Q2 - 8:33ORLNelson Free Throw 3 of 3 (6 PTS)31
72.7%
31
27.3%
Q2 - 8:33ORLNelson Free Throw 2 of 3 (5 PTS)31
73.0%
30
27.0%
Q2 - 8:33ORLNelson Free Throw 1 of 3 (4 PTS)31
73.3%
29
26.7%
Q2 - 8:53ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)31
76.5%
28
23.5%
Q2 - 8:54MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 2 of 231
76.8%
28
23.2%
Q2 - 8:54MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)31
78.0%
28
22.0%
Q2 - 9:05ORLJones 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Nelson 1 AST)30
76.7%
28
23.3%
Q2 - 9:19MIACole 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Lewis 2 AST)30
78.4%
26
21.6%
Q2 - 9:42ORLNelson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)27
74.9%
26
25.1%
Q2 - 9:48ORLMaxiell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
78.4%
23
21.6%
Q2 - 9:49MIAMISS Beasley 20' Jump Shot27
78.9%
23
21.1%
Q2 - 9:58MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)27
80.1%
23
19.9%
Q2 - 10:02ORLMISS Moore 3' Driving Layup27
79.3%
23
20.7%
Q2 - 10:16MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#9)27
78.0%
23
22.0%
Q2 - 10:16MIAHeat Rebound27
79.9%
23
20.1%
Q2 - 10:16MIAJones BLOCK (1 BLK)27
78.6%
23
21.4%
Q2 - 10:43ORLLamb 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Moore 3 AST)27
79.9%
23
20.1%
Q2 - 10:50MIAJones STEAL (1 STL)27
82.7%
20
17.3%
Q2 - 10:58MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
84.3%
20
15.7%
Q2 - 11:00ORLMISS Jones 12' Jump Shot27
83.8%
20
16.2%
Q2 - 11:24MIALewis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)27
82.4%
20
17.6%
Q2 - 11:24MIALewis 2' Putback Layup (2 PTS)27
82.4%
20
17.6%
Q2 - 11:26MIAMISS Lewis 2' Alley Oop Layup25
80.0%
20
20.0%
Q2 - 11:39MIAHeat Rebound25
81.1%
20
18.9%
Q2 - 11:40ORLMISS Maxiell 10' Turnaround Jump Shot25
80.6%
20
19.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORL25
79.5%
20
20.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORLMAGIC Rebound25
79.5%
20
20.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORLMISS Oladipo 30' 3PT Jump Shot25
80.6%
20
19.4%
Q1 - 0:11.0ORLAfflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
79.5%
20
20.5%
Q1 - 0:13.0MIAMISS Beasley 14' Jump Shot25
79.8%
20
20.2%
Q1 - 0:17.0MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)25
80.6%
20
19.4%
Q1 - 0:18.0MIAOladipo BLOCK (2 BLK)25
79.8%
20
20.2%
Q1 - 0:26.0MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
80.6%
20
19.4%
Q1 - 0:27.0ORLMISS Afflalo 24' 3PT Jump Shot25
80.3%
20
19.7%
Q1 - 0:41.0MIACole 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Lewis 1 AST)25
79.5%
20
20.5%
Q1 - 1:03ORLAfflalo 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Harkless 2 AST)22
75.9%
20
24.1%
Q1 - 1:16ORLMaxiell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
79.5%
17
20.5%
Q1 - 1:17MIAMISS Lewis 5' Hook Shot22
79.9%
17
20.1%
Q1 - 1:32MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
80.6%
17
19.4%
Q1 - 1:33ORLMISS Moore 25' 3PT Jump Shot22
80.3%
17
19.7%
Q1 - 1:45MIAAndersen 1' Dunk (6 PTS) (Cole 1 AST)22
79.5%
17
20.5%
Q1 - 1:53MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)20
77.5%
17
22.5%
Q1 - 1:56MIAMISS Allen 15' Pullup Jump Shot20
76.7%
17
23.3%
Q1 - 2:07MIAHeat Rebound20
77.7%
17
22.3%
Q1 - 2:07MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)20
77.7%
17
22.3%
Q1 - 2:07MIAMISS Andersen 2' Tip Shot20
76.7%
17
23.3%
Q1 - 2:07MIAMISS Chalmers 7' Running Bank Shot20
76.7%
17
23.3%
Q1 - 2:21ORLVucevic 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Moore 2 AST)20
77.7%
17
22.3%
Q1 - 2:37MIAAndersen 1' Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST)20
79.4%
15
20.6%
Q1 - 2:48ORLAfflalo 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Moore 1 AST)18
77.7%
15
22.3%
Q1 - 2:53ORLMoore REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
80.8%
12
19.2%
Q1 - 2:55MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)18
82.1%
12
17.9%
Q1 - 2:55MIAMISS James 1' Tip Shot18
81.2%
12
18.8%
Q1 - 2:57MIAOladipo BLOCK (1 BLK)18
81.2%
12
18.8%
Q1 - 3:02ORLOladipo Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T5)18
82.2%
12
17.8%
Q1 - 3:10MIAAndersen Traveling Turnover (P2.T7)18
80.7%
12
19.3%
Q1 - 3:32ORLOladipo Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)18
82.2%
12
17.8%
Q1 - 3:35MIAOladipo STEAL (3 STL)18
80.7%
12
19.3%
Q1 - 3:48ORLAfflalo Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T3)18
82.2%
12
17.8%
Q1 - 3:50MIAOladipo STEAL (2 STL)18
80.7%
12
19.3%
Q1 - 3:54ORLOladipo Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)18
82.2%
12
17.8%
Q1 - 4:03MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)18
80.7%
12
19.3%
Q1 - 4:15MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)18
82.1%
12
17.9%
Q1 - 4:17ORLMISS Harkless 3' Driving Layup18
81.7%
12
18.3%
Q1 - 4:23ORLMAGIC Rebound18
80.7%
12
19.3%
Q1 - 4:23ORLMISS Oladipo 21' Jump Shot18
81.7%
12
18.3%
Q1 - 4:30ORLOladipo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
80.7%
12
19.3%
Q1 - 4:32MIAMISS James 16' Fadeaway Jumper18
81.1%
12
18.9%
Q1 - 4:40MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)18
82.1%
12
17.9%
Q1 - 4:41MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot18
81.1%
12
18.9%
Q1 - 5:03ORLVucevic 2' Driving Reverse Layup (2 PTS)18
81.5%
12
18.5%
Q1 - 5:13ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)18
82.6%
10
17.4%
Q1 - 5:15ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)18
82.6%
10
17.4%
Q1 - 5:15ORLMISS Vucevic 3' Tip Shot18
83.5%
10
16.5%
Q1 - 5:17ORLMISS Nelson 3' Driving Layup18
83.5%
10
16.5%
Q1 - 5:39MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)18
82.7%
10
17.3%
Q1 - 5:39MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)17
82.4%
10
17.6%
Q1 - 6:05ORLAfflalo 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Oladipo 1 AST)16
81.3%
10
18.7%
Q1 - 6:12ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)16
83.5%
7
16.5%
Q1 - 6:14MIAMISS Jones 2' Layup16
83.9%
7
16.1%
Q1 - 6:41ORLAfflalo 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Harkless 1 AST)16
84.7%
7
15.3%
Q1 - 6:48MIAOladipo STEAL (1 STL)16
86.5%
4
13.5%
Q1 - 7:00ORLHarkless 1' Driving Dunk (2 PTS)16
87.5%
4
12.5%
Q1 - 7:08ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)16
87.9%
2
12.1%
Q1 - 7:10MIAMISS James 20' Pullup Jump Shot16
88.2%
2
11.8%
Q1 - 7:30ORLAfflalo Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)16
88.8%
2
11.2%
Q1 - 7:30ORLAfflalo Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)16
88.9%
1
11.1%
Q1 - 7:32MIAHarkless STEAL (1 STL)16
89.4%
0
10.6%
Q1 - 7:36MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
90.2%
0
9.8%
Q1 - 7:38ORLMISS Afflalo 1' Driving Layup16
90.0%
0
10.0%
Q1 - 7:58MIAAndersen 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)16
89.4%
0
10.6%
Q1 - 8:08MIABattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)14
88.7%
0
11.3%
Q1 - 8:09ORLMISS Harkless 3' Layup14
88.5%
0
11.5%
Q1 - 8:33MIAJames 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)14
87.9%
0
12.1%
Q1 - 8:38MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
87.1%
0
12.9%
Q1 - 8:39ORLMISS Afflalo 3' Driving Layup12
86.9%
0
13.1%
Q1 - 9:03MIAChalmers 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)12
86.1%
0
13.9%
Q1 - 9:08ORLAfflalo Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)10
85.3%
0
14.7%
Q1 - 9:19MIABosh Foul Turnover (P1.T1)10
84.3%
0
15.7%
Q1 - 9:20MIABattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
85.3%
0
14.7%
Q1 - 9:21ORLMISS Afflalo 20' Jump Shot10
85.0%
0
15.0%
Q1 - 9:50MIAJames 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)10
84.3%
0
15.7%
Q1 - 9:55MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
83.4%
0
16.6%
Q1 - 9:57ORLMISS Harkless 26' 3PT Jump Shot8
83.1%
0
16.9%
Q1 - 10:21MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)8
82.0%
0
18.0%
Q1 - 10:34MIABattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
80.1%
0
19.9%
Q1 - 10:36ORLMISS Nelson 25' 3PT Jump Shot5
79.7%
0
20.3%
Q1 - 10:50MIABattier 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 1 AST)5
78.8%
0
21.2%
Q1 - 11:12MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
76.4%
0
23.6%
Q1 - 11:15ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
75.3%
0
24.7%
Q1 - 11:15ORLMISS Vucevic 3' Jump Shot2
76.0%
0
24.0%
Q1 - 11:16ORLMISS Vucevic 8' Hook Shot2
76.0%
0
24.0%
Q1 - 11:37MIABosh 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
75.3%
0
24.7%
Q1 - 12:00ORLJump Ball Vucevic vs. Bosh: Tip to James0
73.9%
0
26.1%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.32 65.9%
ORL
1.11 55.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
19
33
58%
ORL
8
22
36%
Midrange
MIA
4
17
24%
ORL
6
20
30%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
15
22.5
24
63%
94%
ORL
15
22.5
29
52%
78%
Free Throws
MIA
29
32
91%
ORL
19
21
90%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. James2166%10.5 / 16
C. Bosh1875%9.0 / 12
J. Jones1794%8.5 / 9
M. Beasley1454%7.0 / 13
C. Andersen1071%5.0 / 7
M. Chalmers975%4.5 / 6
N. Cole975%4.5 / 6
S. Battier6100%3.0 / 3
R. Allen638%3.0 / 8
U. Haslem583%2.5 / 3
R. Mason Jr.375%1.5 / 2
R. Lewis225%1.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Afflalo3083%15.0 / 18
V. Oladipo2063%10.0 / 16
J. Nelson1761%8.5 / 14
N. Vučević638%3.0 / 8
M. Harkless531%2.5 / 8
J. Maxiell433%2.0 / 6
D. Lamb375%1.5 / 2
R. Price3150%1.5 / 1
S. Jones225%1.0 / 4
E. Moore233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
73
+17
-21
90
ORL
69
+11
-24
80
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.32 65.9%
ORL
1.11 55.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
110.7
101.9
MIA 127.7
ORL 98.9 +28.7
Pace
91.5
93.4
MIA 89.3
ORL 98.1 +8.8
Avg. Poss. Time
15.8
15.3
MIA 16.1
ORL 14.7 +1.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
55.4%
48.7%
MIA 61.5% +10.1%
ORL 51.4%
TO %
15.4%
15.0%
MIA 20.0% +3.0%
ORL 23.0%
ORB %
20.6%
22.5%
MIA 40.0% +20.0%
ORL 20.0%
FTrt
30.0
25.3
MIA 43.2 +13.6
ORL 29.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.8%
57.1%
MIA 71.1% +5.6%
ORL 65.5%
STL %
9.7%
8.1%
MIA 12.8%
ORL 14.0% +1.2%
BLK %
8.1%
6.9%
MIA 14.3% +4.3%
ORL 10.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.51 and 2.51.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
57.5%
51.0%
MIA 65.9% +10.5%
ORL 55.4%
Rim FG%
66.7%
55.8%
MIA 57.6% +21.2%
ORL 36.4%
Mid FG%
42.8%
40.7%
MIA 23.5%
ORL 30.0% +6.5%
3P %
36.4%
35.3%
MIA 62.5% +10.8%
ORL 51.7%
FT %
76.0%
76.3%
MIA 90.6% +0.1%
ORL 90.5%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
38.3%
33.8%
MIA 44.6% +13.6%
ORL 31.0%
Mid Att. %
32.5%
42.7%
MIA 23.0% +5.2%
ORL 28.2%
3P Att. %
29.2%
23.5%
MIA 32.4%
ORL 40.8% +8.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.71 and 2.71.
Game TotalsMIAORL
Possessions9493
Possession Minutes25.322.8
Points12092
Rebounds4025
Assists2719
Steals1213
Blocks65
Turnovers (Team)21 (1)24 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (5)7 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)28 (3)18 (2)
Field Goals38-7429-71
At-the-Rim FG19-338-22
Midrange FG4-176-20
2-Point FG23-5014-42
3-Point FG15-2415-29
Free Throws29-3219-21
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 250 · 29
29.1
21
66%
6
7
1
1
4
0
1
5
11-11
100%
5-9
56%
0-2
0%
G · 6'2" 190 · 28
27.9
9
75%
3
8
2
0
2
4
1
2
2-2
100%
2-4
50%
1-1
100%
F · 6'8" 220 · 35
25.0
6
100%
4
2
0
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
0-0
-
2-3
67%
C · 6'11" 235 · 30
24.0
18
75%
5
0
2
1
2
2
2
3
3-4
75%
6-8
75%
1-2
50%
G · 6'8" 218 · 33
20.0
17
94%
1
1
1
0
1
0
0
1
2-3
67%
0-1
0%
5-7
71%
F · 6'10" 235 · 34
24.9
2
25%
2
3
2
0
2
1
2
0
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-1
0%
F · 6'9" 235 · 25
20.6
14
54%
7
0
0
1
2
4
1
6
6-6
100%
4-10
40%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 175 · 25
20.1
9
75%
4
5
1
0
3
1
0
4
0-0
-
0-3
0%
3-3
100%
G · 6'5" 205 · 38
20.0
6
38%
2
0
1
0
3
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-5
0%
2-3
67%
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 35
17.7
10
71%
5
0
1
2
2
2
4
1
2-2
100%
4-6
67%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 235 · 33
5.9
5
83%
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
3-4
75%
1-1
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 205 · 33
4.8
3
75%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-2
50%
C · 6'9" 245 · 31
#20 · C · 7'0" 273 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#3 · G · 6'4" 220 · 32
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
120
66%
40
27
12
6
21
0
12
28
29-32
91%
23-50
46%
15-24
63%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.